Matt attends his high school reunion ... Herschel Walker lowers expectations about a debate with Sen. Raphael Warnock. Meanwhile, Dr. Oz is lowering expectations about John Fetterman's abilities ... Matt raises concerns about the polls. Then, based on Bill's math, Matt predicts Republicans will narrowly take the Senate ... Bill thinks Mandela Barnes' "Defund the Police" rhetoric might have blown his chances of defeating Ron Johnson in Wisconsin ... Matt wonders if Trump reordered politics to the point where states like Nevada—states that seemed to be trending blue—are now competitive ... Matt worries that "Team Normal" in the GOP is normalizing election denying ... Matt laments Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin's decision to campaign for Kari Lake. Bill argues this is what Youngkin has to do to be relevant and have a shot at the presidency. Meanwhile, Bill says Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis's decision to campaign outside Florida is the weirder story ...