Episode Transcript
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That's t-r-y-l-i-f-e-m-d.com.
1:56
See you next time. other
2:00
party members who actually point to
2:02
recent comments made by BJP leaders
2:04
like Jyoti Mirdha from Rajasthan. While
2:07
addressing a gathering, Mirdha was heard saying
2:09
that several tough decisions need to be
2:12
taken in the country's interest. And
2:14
for that, we have to make constitutional
2:16
amendments. But
2:19
yesterday, on Ambedkar Jainthi, PM Modi hit
2:21
out at the Congress in the state and said that
2:45
as far as the constitution is concerned,
2:48
even if Baba Sahib Ambedkar comes back
2:50
himself, he too cannot abolish
2:53
the constitution. He also
2:55
added that for the government,
2:57
our constitution is Gita, Ramayan,
2:59
Mahabharata, Ramayan,
3:30
Mahabharata, Ramayan, Mahabharata,
3:33
Ramayan, Mahabharata, Ramayan, Mahabharata, Now in the coming
3:35
days, we will be talking more about the
3:37
dominant political narratives, campaign strategies,
3:39
and everything you need to know about
3:41
the Lok Sabha polls. But
3:43
today, we are dedicating this entire episode
3:45
to talk about the Congress party, which
3:48
has been facing a crisis of confidence.
3:50
To some, this crisis finds echo in the
3:53
fact that the party has still not
3:55
announced its candidate from the Amati seat
3:57
in UP, which has been a bastion
3:59
of the government. to the Randhole party. To
4:01
tell us about the Congress's preparations and
4:03
campaign strategy, we are joined
4:05
by Indian Express's chief of national political
4:08
bureau, Manoj C.G. Manoj,
4:10
tell us with all the things the Congress
4:12
has been saying, the allegations it has been
4:14
making, tell us in what state does it
4:16
find itself before the polls. In
4:18
the run-up to the actual launch of
4:21
the campaign, we saw the Congress engaged
4:23
in a bitter war of words with
4:25
the government over what the Congress called
4:28
freezing of their bank accounts by the
4:30
income tax department and in fact unilateral
4:32
coercive action in the sense withdrawal of
4:34
over 100 crores from their bank accounts.
4:38
All our bank accounts have
4:40
been frozen. We
4:42
can do no campaign work. We
4:45
cannot support our workers. We
4:47
cannot support our candidates. Our
4:49
leaders cannot fly from one
4:52
part of the country to the other. Forget fly. They
4:55
can't take a railway train. And
4:57
this has been done literally
5:00
two months before the
5:03
election campaign. Why
5:05
has it been done? The Congress got
5:07
relief from the court, even the IT
5:09
department later told the court that it
5:11
will not indulge in any coercive action
5:13
till the completion of the elections. So
5:15
that chapter at least for the time
5:17
being is over. The other big issue
5:19
of course was that the arrest of
5:21
the Delhi Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal in
5:23
January, the arrest of Heyman Soorain who
5:25
is the Chief Minister of Jharkhand. So
5:27
that was an issue what the opposition
5:29
frames as misuse of investigating agencies be
5:31
it the ED or the CBI or
5:33
the IT, how the opposition feels that
5:35
the government is using these agencies
5:37
to target almost all parties of the
5:40
India block. So,
6:03
of course, Congress was part of that
6:05
larger attack on the government. So, these
6:07
are the two main charges that the
6:10
party was leveling in the run-up to
6:12
the full-fledged launch of the campaign. And
6:15
Manoj, when we talk about the party's preparations,
6:17
we kind of get a sense of that
6:20
from both Amethi and Raibareli. But
6:22
before we talk about its details, can you first
6:24
tell us what significance these two
6:26
seats have for the Congress party? Well,
6:29
Amethi and Raibareli, they have been kind
6:32
of bastions of the Nehru Gandhi family.
6:34
Even if we leave aside Indira Gandhi
6:36
or Rajiv Gandhi, let's talk about the
6:38
current leadership when Sonia Gandhi decided to
6:40
enter electoral politics. She contested for the
6:43
first time from Amethi way back in
6:45
1999 and then moved to Raibareli in
6:47
2004. That was
6:49
when Mr. Rahul Gandhi decided to enter electoral
6:51
politics. So he contested from Amethi. He has
6:54
been winning that seat till 2019. In
6:57
2019, we all know how he lost to Smriti
6:59
Rani of the BJP. Sonia Gandhi
7:01
on the other hand has been winning the seat.
7:04
She has never lost the seat so
7:06
far, but now she has opted to
7:08
move to Raji Sabha. So in both
7:10
these seats, there is this huge suspense
7:12
on whether the Gandhis would contest from
7:15
Amethi and Raibareli. Rahul Gandhi has already
7:17
fighting again from Vayanaar in Kerala. The
7:19
seat goes to polls on April 26.
7:22
The big question about Raibareli is whether
7:24
Pringa Gandhi Vadra would make her electoral
7:26
debut from that seat. The sense that
7:28
the local Congress, when I visited
7:30
both these constituencies, the sense that the local
7:32
Congress leaders gave was that they believe after
7:35
April 26, once polling in
7:37
Vayanaar is over, perhaps the Congress
7:39
would announce the candidates of both
7:41
Pringa Gandhi, Vadra and Rahul Gandhi
7:44
from these two seats. But it's
7:46
surprising given that, you know, then
7:48
in 2019, the Congress had announced
7:50
Rahul Gandhi's candidate chair from Amethi
7:52
first. Vayanaar was then, you know,
7:54
the surprise package. So the
7:56
indication that the Congress is giving is that he
7:59
doesn't want to. The that I mean it's
8:01
surprising since the Congress believes why are these
8:03
the relatively safe seat for our Gandhi that
8:05
runs listing the communist leaders? the locals. Honestly
8:07
this as that if if that is a
8:09
safe seat for out and it and why
8:11
should the party norton I notice candid to
8:13
from I'm A T right away. Yeah.
8:15
That is strange because I'm a T supposed
8:18
to be one of those seats that Congress
8:20
is the most confident about. Yeah.
8:22
Except for Twenty nineteen all the.bomb as it
8:24
is a ones that seat so it's surprising
8:26
so you know the local communist leaders also
8:29
that that is out it's finally decides to
8:31
contest from that seats and what what is
8:33
stopping the party But I'm announcing his candidates
8:35
earth only although that is still time to
8:37
process for you know finding of nomination and
8:40
or beans on April Twenty Six only That
8:42
is still time that the parties and has
8:44
announced candidates for seats which are going in
8:46
the last face you know in you pizzas
8:48
that as a slave what a messy yard
8:51
much as guns. There are many seats
8:53
which is going to last phase and
8:55
the buddies kennedy surrounding streets the so
8:57
that is a surprise element you know
8:59
as to why the communists is reluctant
9:02
to announce their candidates from one of
9:04
them most prestigious. Seats. Which still
9:06
twenty nineteen was one of the the safest
9:08
seats considered Bucket Burrow the best sins of
9:10
the Dundee families but did a student or
9:12
candid it so that also facing even the
9:14
local comedies It as a surprising there's no
9:16
clarity on the dead the Gandhi's would contest
9:19
at all other they're very confident that printed
9:21
on the whatever makes it a little the
9:23
be some guy billion dollars contest again from
9:25
a meaty but that is kind of her
9:27
a hope maybe a confidence but that is
9:29
annoying because of the High Command I asked
9:31
you know the local communist leaders including the
9:33
district residents above the. Had. the heard
9:36
from the high command have diverted to send
9:38
the leadership about the candidates is so the
9:40
answer was no this i hope this will
9:42
say that they will contest so in that
9:44
sense by the campaign of the bjp has
9:46
moved forward and i'm a tv soon and
9:48
minister mathias any visiting the constancy twice already
9:50
the communists is unaccountable in books in right
9:53
really both the be to be under congress
9:55
have not announced and is perhaps a bit
9:57
episodes of eating for the communist whether to
9:59
see the the Pringa Gandhi water is contesting
10:01
or not. And you
10:03
know this in a way shows the extent
10:05
to which things have changed for the Congress
10:07
talk about how the Congress's presence
10:09
there compares to that of the
10:11
BJP. You know the
10:14
last elections was assembly elections of 2022.
10:17
So you know of the 10 assembly
10:19
segments in both ribrilli and amiti the
10:21
Congress could not win even one seat
10:23
in the amiti Lok Sabha constituency out
10:25
of the five assembly segments three went
10:27
to the BJP and two to the
10:29
samajwadi party. Remember there was no alliance
10:31
between the Congress and the SP then
10:33
the Congress came third in all the
10:35
seats and in ribrilli barring one the
10:37
ribrilli city seat the S3 the samajwadi
10:39
party won all the other seats. So
10:41
the results of the last elections is
10:44
you know we if you go by
10:46
that then clearly the samajwadi party
10:48
seems to be in a much better position
10:50
there. But since the Congress and the SP
10:52
are now in an alliance and traditionally the
10:54
SP has refrained from you know contesting both
10:56
these families seats even when there was no
10:59
alliance. So this time of course there is
11:01
an alliance and the Congress's hope is that
11:03
you know with the help of the SP
11:05
which seems to have you know much better
11:08
organizational presence and support base in both these
11:10
seats the Congress believes you know they will
11:12
be able to retain ribrilli and regain amiti.
11:15
And you mentioned that last time it was Smiti Irani
11:17
who won from amiti. Now leading up
11:19
to the polls what are the kind of things
11:22
she's been highlighting in her campaign. So
11:24
Smiti Irani won the seat in 2019
11:26
and she has some you know achievements
11:29
to showcase in terms of a bypass
11:31
that she has built in terms of
11:33
couple of you know a coca-cola plant.
11:35
There are some achievements that that of
11:37
course the BJP would talk about the
11:39
Gandhis on the other hand they have
11:41
been representing those two seats for decades.
11:43
Be it the Rajiv Gandhi, Udan Academy
11:45
or be it the huge hospital they
11:47
had built. So you know in terms
11:49
of achievements you cannot compare five year
11:51
term with that of years of you
11:54
know representing that seat by the other party. But
11:56
of course both the sides have achievements
11:58
to showcase the The question is, it's
12:01
not just about what the Congress has got
12:03
for a rivalry or a meti or what
12:05
the BJP has got for a rivalry or
12:07
a meti. It's a larger equation at play,
12:09
I think in Uttar Pradesh where these seats
12:11
may go by the larger voting
12:13
pattern. The Congress of course believes
12:16
that these two seats will bug
12:18
the trend even if the UP votes
12:20
in one particular fashion. So the
12:22
presence of the Gandhi's would become very
12:24
clear once the candidates are announced and
12:26
once they hit the campaign trail. Nrithi
12:28
Rani, she has built a house in
12:30
the meti. She held a house
12:32
warming ceremony in February. She has moved into that
12:34
house. She has become an author of a meti.
12:58
So now there is a new equation there. Now
13:03
the BJP claims that she is a
13:05
local, she resides in a meti, she
13:07
is a voter of a meti. Whereas
13:09
Rahul Gandhi is now the outsider, contesting
13:11
from Vayanaad and residing
13:14
in Delhi. So there is a new
13:16
challenge at hand for the Congress where
13:18
a seat represented by Rahul Gandhi for
13:20
three consecutive terms. Every time he visits
13:22
a meti, he has this standard
13:24
line saying a meti is his family or
13:26
a rivalry is family. The people are part
13:29
of the Congress family, the Nehru Gandhi family.
13:31
So now there is a new challenge for
13:33
Rahul Gandhi to reconnect with the people in
13:35
the face of this, the MP moving in
13:38
there, becoming a voter. So that's kind of
13:40
a new situation which Rahul would face if
13:42
at all he decides to contest. So
13:45
on one hand you have someone who has
13:47
moved in there while on the other you
13:49
have someone who has barely visited the place
13:51
since the last polls. Yeah, he
13:53
has visited a meti only four
13:55
times since 2019 after
13:57
he was defeated and twice he during
14:01
the assembly election of 2022 for
14:03
campaigning, addressing a rally and going
14:05
back. And the reason we
14:07
said was when the Bharajodho Yatra passed through
14:09
Amitayana Ribrilli. So then again, it was not
14:11
an extended visit, the Yatra passed through. So
14:14
that is clearly one issue which people there
14:16
talk about. They say whosoever is the
14:18
MP, even if that person, you know, doesn't
14:21
bring that kind of development, which they
14:23
expect, at least the MP should be there
14:25
for them to, you know, meet or
14:27
once in a while the MP should be
14:29
visiting the constituency. So the general refrain is
14:31
that that era is over when you file
14:34
the nomination paper, wave at people and then
14:36
leave and then return once again, you know,
14:38
just address a couple of rallies and then
14:40
leave. So that clearly was the sense, you
14:42
know, that era is over. And
14:45
in that sense, this is a common complaint that
14:47
people have about the party, right, that it's not
14:49
connected to people on the ground, especially when we
14:51
compare it to the BJP. Was
14:53
Rahul's Bharajodho Yatra supposed to compensate for
14:55
that in a way? Yeah, one
14:58
idea was, you know, to address this concern
15:00
that Rahul is aloof. He only visits state
15:02
when there are elections, you know, he doesn't
15:05
meet people, he spends most
15:07
of the time in Delhi. So that
15:09
was one of the ideas that, you
15:11
know, he will walk from Paniakumari to
15:13
Kashmir that Bharajodho Yatra, the first Yatra,
15:15
where he can interact with people, people
15:18
can, you know, tell him their grievances
15:20
or their aspirations. So the whole idea
15:22
of this senior Congress leader, a member
15:24
of the Nehru Gandhi family, a Kvama
15:26
Congress president, walking the street, meeting
15:28
with people, clicking photographs, or you
15:30
know, shaking hands, talking to them,
15:33
interacting with, you know, select groups
15:35
during the Yatra. So that was this
15:37
whole idea where you present the leader
15:39
as a person who is going to,
15:42
you know, their doorstep to stay, to
15:44
hear out the people. And
15:55
The second Yatra, of course, due to positive
15:58
time was the hybrid Yatra where he. Them
16:00
and by bus and even then he
16:02
got out. But one complaint I heard
16:04
from mean I'm a T was that
16:06
he did not stop at many places
16:08
with Congress leaders had organized you know
16:10
these welcome it stops. Who is Dick
16:12
garland him than welcome him but the
16:14
bus didn't stop at many places which
16:16
as they expected to said again was
16:18
one. Complaints were hood animated so the
16:20
whole idea was about the other as
16:22
the was talking was a rebrand. Now
16:24
who's as a leader who is willing
16:26
to listen to the people, who is
16:28
willing to interact with the people and
16:30
who is ready You know there was
16:32
once it was who often said that
16:34
he's elected politicians of in a shadow
16:36
of that fact that he's no more
16:38
reluctant he he's twenty four seven politician.
16:42
Rounds. Out the up get him out may minimize the Us.
16:46
Or. Hey. My
16:48
name is. Gail.
16:53
Yeah. Just
16:56
just because they feel. For.
16:58
Out on the name. Was.
17:00
Politically. Correct.
17:03
One of the main functions of the original
17:05
Yatra was story Black Buffalo Dandy but. Could.
17:07
You talk about the extent to which the party
17:10
was able to capitalize on the yacht that are.
17:12
In individual states. In.
17:15
Windows of for love to build that
17:17
organizational structures. I think the party has
17:19
not made much progress. Death to the
17:21
zebra. Remember the first Yatra endured in
17:23
January February of Two Hundred Twenty Two
17:25
And immediately after that the focus of
17:28
the party was assembly the since in
17:30
Connecticut which the Party one and a
17:32
major part of the Thirty two of
17:34
them do unto Rahul and He's yeah,
17:36
thrive it has passed through Connecticut. Sakara.
17:39
Thought he has got a something victory
17:41
and the cat not fair elections winning
17:43
and one hundred and thirty five out
17:45
of two hundred and twenty four seats
17:47
getting a clear majority. Studies if he
17:49
has lost the only south Indian state
17:52
that it's worth. So the forties rolling
17:54
as a center has been wiped out
17:56
completely some the whole assaulting the Us.
17:58
The Bjp. Anybody the after that was. The
18:00
formation of the India block, the couple of
18:02
meetings that won't happen back to back
18:04
from in a partner Bangalore, Mumbai and then
18:06
the comedies went straight into the next
18:08
and of assembly elections. In added to these
18:11
are distance of these good So organizationally
18:13
there was not much for up in that
18:15
sense it was minimal. Then after the
18:17
big said back in the the police are
18:19
descendants of his go after that a
18:21
some religions haven't lost. Although the three states
18:24
the party went into a face of
18:26
dormancy without much activities. and then of course
18:28
the patricians began to the looks. Of I
18:30
like since organisation leaders in much follow after
18:32
the first yeah thrown at the second other.
18:34
I just ended in February and March and
18:37
do in the middle of the campaign so
18:39
organizationally nothing much was done to capitalize if
18:41
it all. the Congress believes that the opera
18:43
of was a popular initiative. And
18:46
minutes. The other places that the Congress
18:48
has been facing is it Sparky Booker's
18:50
Jumping Ship. Enjoy the Bjp. We've.
18:52
Seen that happen in a number of states,
18:54
most prominently in Madhya Pradesh, but thousand have
18:56
left to join to be to be. So.
18:59
How but it is the party about
19:01
that. As. Was a com
19:03
as is concerned abiding a couple of
19:05
leaders. They believe none of the leaders
19:08
will switch sides recently has any in
19:10
of ground support or they were not
19:12
organizationally big enough leaders to in or
19:14
data lots uncles or do you have
19:17
causes organisation with them so bad they
19:19
were worried about international to on in
19:21
reliving the body molester or couple of
19:23
years like that. But of course the
19:26
Congress accept that the string of excess
19:28
base the leaders that the Anvil states
19:30
is a blow is a setback in.
19:32
Terms of of Dixie sensical, the political
19:34
message that.the blood jumping a sinking ship
19:37
so that damage of course. The cons
19:39
for the understand but organisers li they
19:41
don't believe they stand to lose be
19:43
the kind of leaders who have switched
19:45
sides. but having said that I can
19:47
censor change in the party's mood. maybe
19:49
the perhaps in the last fortnight was
19:52
it began the campaign for this elections
19:54
in a slightly and despondent mood. but
19:56
now the seems to be some sense
19:58
of hope in Hindi even. North
20:00
Indian states available. He was really hopeful of
20:02
it's it's performance and get a lot Connecticut
20:05
to some extent the London or to a
20:07
large extent and with the help of Dmk
20:09
Domino to those little hope month ago when
20:11
you speak to com listed as it was
20:13
not much hope in terms of the party
20:16
staging a comeback in the in the heartland
20:18
the North Indian States. but somehow there is
20:20
a sense the party know is that sits
20:22
not that bad. Incremental gains can be made
20:25
in some of the states into I just
20:27
on including was robbed Maresca in be hard
20:29
so theories sense. Of hope. And
20:31
vet is that hopefully some is it
20:33
coming from what it's showing some people
20:36
underground or out the alliance's have booked.
20:39
As those islands is concerned the party
20:41
had to you know given to most
20:43
of their lives even the choice of
20:45
seats. maybe they must have got the
20:47
number of the they wanted the in
20:49
behind in my roster even in Delhi
20:51
with the police didn't get the seats
20:53
that they wanted. Better part the sense
20:55
of hope it's has just telling you
20:57
is coming not some or Lancet. Percy
20:59
the Congress believes that all is not
21:01
well in the Bjp in some of
21:03
the regions of the states including those
21:05
are just as much as.be hard to
21:07
they believe of course does. It all
21:09
claims made during elections I as have
21:11
left who you know take into the
21:14
pinch of salt but didn't live. There
21:16
is some sort of tension in some
21:18
of the seats in many of the
21:20
heartland states to the hope is coming
21:22
from the report said they getting from
21:24
their internal feedback mckenzie most from what
21:26
is being reported in the media in
21:28
the mainstream media and the social media
21:30
about how in some of the seats
21:32
the Bjp is facing some kind of
21:34
internal tensions internal sued over the joys
21:36
of the candidates that denied the gets.
21:39
to almost hundred sitting in be so
21:41
forth so this perhaps is translating into
21:43
some sort of hope for the party
21:45
this is the manifesto the congress has
21:47
reached the ground but as exited i'm
21:49
a damn right really to death the
21:51
vip seats of the congress or to
21:53
see it but when you talk to
21:55
people they have no inkling about the
21:57
promises that the Congress has been making.
21:59
So that is one big challenge that
22:01
the Congress has, you know, drawing up
22:03
a manifesto coming out with it is
22:05
easy, but to you know, taking it
22:07
to the ground is another big challenge
22:09
that the Congress is facing. And
22:12
Manoj, when talking about the Congress
22:14
manifesto, it is making a lot
22:16
of promises from lifting the 50%
22:19
cap on quota for SCs, STs
22:21
and OBCs and adding reservation in
22:23
private educational institutions. It
22:25
promises a legal guarantee on MSP
22:28
and cash transfers for women. So
22:53
Manoj, what can we tell about what Congress is
22:55
thinking based on
22:57
these promises, based on
23:15
what it's saying in its manifesto? Of
23:17
course, they have kept some of the contentious
23:20
issues of the table, be it the promise
23:22
that you know, restoring the old pension scheme,
23:24
which they had made in the recent assembly
23:26
elections. There are many contentious issues that you
23:29
know, if you go back to the 2019
23:32
manifesto of the Congress, if you remember, they
23:34
had made a promise to dilute of the
23:36
Armed Forces Special Powers Act about, you know,
23:38
scrapping the sedition law. So the 2019 Lok
23:41
Sabha election happened
23:43
in a very nationalistically charged atmosphere
23:45
after the Pulwama attack and the
23:47
Balakot Response.: So Then it was felt
23:49
that those kinds of promises were completely
23:52
misplaced. So This time, the Congress has
23:54
been more pragmatic, keeping most of the
23:56
contentious issues out of the manifesto and
23:58
focusing more on the. The
24:00
welfare promises that they're making them many
24:02
of which you listed are just enough.
24:04
So in that sense of always Blues,
24:07
it's a positive. Manifesto was one charge
24:09
that the Congress is often face. Do
24:11
that they're unable to, you know v
24:13
the narrative. tell a story to a
24:15
water as I showed her water in
24:17
Twenty Twenty Four would work for the
24:19
Congress against the Bjp which has been
24:21
in power for ten years. A stable
24:23
government in that sense. So that story
24:25
which the gong as is often freeze
24:27
decide that they don't have a compelling
24:29
narrative. And a compelling story. So with this
24:32
manifesto the communists seems to have are just
24:34
some of those aspects. This as a mod
24:36
with a set of alternative promises. The third
24:38
call it a completely new mission for an
24:40
alternative vision, but there are some songs as
24:43
which they can talk about so this will
24:45
form the talking points of the campaign. you
24:47
know instead of waiting a completely negative campaign
24:49
against visit them for hims and and them
24:51
with is so it's a conscious attempt to
24:54
bring in a bit of you know positive
24:56
aspect to the camping. But minutes
24:58
does the party get a sense of those who will
25:00
be voting for the congress. Will. Essentially be
25:03
voting against the Bjp is that what
25:05
they think will work and disabled. So.
25:08
To the company's wanted to you know
25:10
visa for cities as well as a
25:12
negative campaign. So the first phase of
25:14
the campaign was slightly of next to
25:16
one with the party's he says elses
25:18
it was about you know finding fault
25:20
with the busy fees on months policies
25:22
attacking the Bjp government and the second
25:24
phase is largely which the party goers
25:26
a positive campaign for his who happened
25:28
to listen to some radio did something
25:30
called a game I see no you
25:32
Congress so that's a sport advertisement than
25:34
com as as come out with with
25:36
the dipping into history I'm telling. you the
25:38
congress quote unquote contribution and achievements the last
25:40
fifty sixty years when they were in power
25:43
so the second phase is largely the positive
25:45
campaign where the party's trying to a does
25:47
that criticism that it is unable to you
25:49
know viva narrative most of the times and
25:51
both in twenty nineteen one of the major
25:53
criticism was as the com is this campaign
25:55
was all are against the bjp with the
25:57
main issue was of that a file going
25:59
to the Chokhizar Chor Hai and of
26:01
course the Manifesto Promise of Niai. So these
26:04
were the two pillars of the Congress campaign
26:06
then. But it was seen as a more
26:08
negative campaign than a positive one. So this
26:10
time the party is trying to address that
26:12
where they hope that they will be able
26:14
to spin a narrative, they will be able
26:16
to project a narrative. But it's of course
26:18
we will have to see how the campaign
26:20
takes shape and of course we will have
26:22
to see the results, the outcome to say
26:24
whether it was effective, whether it was credible
26:26
or not. But the party believes its campaign
26:28
would be oriented more towards projecting a
26:31
vision. That's
26:57
all for today.
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