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Lockheed Martin

Lockheed Martin

Released Tuesday, 30th May 2023
 1 person rated this episode
Lockheed Martin

Lockheed Martin

Lockheed Martin

Lockheed Martin

Tuesday, 30th May 2023
 1 person rated this episode
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Episode Transcript

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0:00

Those two movies

0:02

are so freaking good. Yeah.

0:05

It's so shocking how good Maverick

0:08

is. So many years later in such

0:10

a different environment

0:12

and then like delayed due to coronavirus.

0:14

Well the funniest thing is when it was delayed for whatever

0:17

years during coronavirus, the fighter

0:20

that Maverick is in is an F-18

0:22

Hornet, the Boeing plane. And by the time

0:24

the movie gets released, it's basically discontinued.

0:27

Within a couple of years, that's when they end of life the

0:29

F-18 Hornet for the Navy.

0:32

Did you catch the Lockheed thing

0:34

in Maverick? The skunk on

0:36

the tail of the plane? Oh yeah. On

0:38

the Mach 10

0:40

Dark Star aircraft. The

0:43

Mach 10 Dark Star. Oh

0:45

God. All right, let's do it. All right,

0:47

let's do this. Who

0:48

got the truth? Is it you? Is it

0:51

you? Is it you? Who got the truth now?

0:53

Is it you? Is it you? Is

0:55

it you? Is it you? Is it you?

0:58

Is it you? Sit me down, say

1:00

it straight, another story

1:02

on the way. Who got

1:04

the truth?

1:05

Welcome to season 12, episode 5

1:08

of Acquired, the podcast about great technology

1:10

companies and the stories and playbooks behind

1:12

them. I'm Ben Gilbert. I'm David Rosenthal.

1:15

And we are your hosts. Today's

1:17

episode is on a critical piece of

1:19

American infrastructure, Lockheed

1:22

Martin. They are the nation's largest

1:24

defense contractor.

1:25

They're actually the federal government's largest contractor,

1:28

period.

1:29

The American taxpayers pay Lockheed

1:31

Martin around $50 billion a year.

1:35

And just to state this early and clearly,

1:38

Lockheed Martin makes, among other things,

1:41

killing machines.

1:42

The company is, of course, critical to defending

1:44

the American way of life. And

1:47

most of these things they make, fortunately, are

1:49

used as deterrents to keep peace.

1:51

But we should not mince words. They make

1:53

weapons synonymous with phrases like overwhelming

1:56

force and air superiority.

1:58

You may feel, and probably should feel

2:00

conflicted as you learn about this company.

2:03

There are really no easy answers to

2:05

the question, is what they make right

2:07

or good? And that's why

2:10

we entrust the decision to use their products

2:12

to the office of the President of the United

2:14

States.

2:15

But this company's history is absolutely fascinating.

2:18

There's stories of hardcore engineering, daring

2:20

innovators, and it's frankly just inspiring.

2:23

Yeah, going back and learning all this and soaking

2:26

in the history of the times

2:28

when Lockheed was really forged

2:31

gave me at least a whole new perspective

2:34

on this killing machines and deterrence

2:36

question. To tell the full

2:39

story of Lockheed and Lockheed

2:41

Martin and all the predecessor companies that came

2:43

before it, because I think it's like 17

2:46

companies all merged together at this point,

2:48

would probably require a full season of acquired, so we're

2:50

not going to do that. Instead, we're going to focus

2:52

on two interwoven stories

2:55

from Lockheed, not Martin, but Lockheed's

2:57

golden eras.

2:59

And the first of those stories

3:01

is the famous Skunk Works. The second one,

3:03

I'm not going to say what it is, so we don't spoil it just

3:05

yet, but as a teaser, it's

3:08

unbelievable and is directly

3:10

tied in to the birth of Silicon Valley.

3:13

So if you're in the tech world and you think Lockheed Martin

3:15

and Defense and fighter planes doesn't

3:17

apply to me, think again, because

3:20

pretty much everything you do came

3:22

out of this. So I can't wait to tell

3:24

it.

3:25

Quite the teaser, David.

3:27

Well, listeners, this episode was selected by

3:29

Acquired LPs. So if you

3:31

want to help pick an episode for next season, you can

3:33

become an Acquired Limited partner, come closer

3:35

to the show in other ways, including a private Zoom

3:38

call with us every month or two for

3:40

all the LPs.

3:41

You can join anytime at acquired.fm

3:44

slash LP.

3:45

If you want more from David and I, you should check

3:47

out our interview show, ACQ2. Our

3:50

last episode was on the topic of how generative

3:52

AI can be valuable specifically

3:54

to B2B SaaS companies and

3:57

probably more importantly, where it cannot.

3:59

And listeners, you can just search ACQ2

4:02

anywhere podcasts are found. We've got

4:04

some awesome interviews coming up, too. ACQ2

4:06

is on fire. Yep.

4:08

Join the Slack, Acquire.fm slash Slack.

4:10

We'll be discussing this episode there

4:13

afterwards. And without further ado, David,

4:15

take us in. And listeners, as always, this

4:17

show is not investment advice. David and I may have

4:19

investments in the companies we discuss. And this show

4:22

is for informational

4:23

and entertainment purposes only. So

4:25

for many of you listening, one thing you may

4:27

not know that I didn't really know till we started the research

4:30

is that the company that eventually became

4:32

Lockheed Martin today

4:34

was two companies. It was Lockheed

4:37

and Martin Marietta. And there was a huge

4:39

merger in 1995. Lockheed

4:43

was actually the second Lockheed

4:45

company, or really maybe the third. The

4:47

first Lockheed company was founded

4:49

in 1912 by one Alan Lockheed.

4:53

But if you were to look at the spelling of his name,

4:56

it would look like Loghead. L-O-U-G-H-E-A-D.

5:00

Yes. But it was pronounced Lockheed because it is

5:02

Scottish like lock, like Loch Ness, Loch

5:04

Heed, not Loghead.

5:06

He eventually changed his name to Lockheed

5:09

and the name of the second company to Lockheed

5:11

to avoid mispronunciations. Which is great.

5:13

He didn't just rename Lockheed the company. He's

5:15

like, yeah, I'm actually going to change my own name spelling

5:18

to match it.

5:19

Yes. So great. So he

5:21

started the first company with his brother, Malcolm.

5:24

And they were more or less contemporaries of the Wright

5:26

brothers.

5:27

It was based in San Francisco, of all

5:29

places. And it was mostly kind of a tourist

5:32

attraction. They had one plane, they had Model

5:34

G, and they flew tourists around

5:36

over the bay and evangelized this new

5:39

flying technology.

5:40

It had a bunch of ups and downs. Malcolm

5:43

leaves the company and goes to Detroit to

5:45

seek his fortune in the automobile industry,

5:48

where he invented the

5:50

modern hydraulic brake

5:52

system for automobiles. So every time you press

5:54

the brake in your cars, you're using

5:57

Malcolm Lockheed's technology. No

5:59

way.

5:59

Yeah, super cool. They also end

6:02

up hiring into this first Lockheed company,

6:04

one John Northrop. That

6:06

name might ring some bells to help them design

6:08

their future airplanes. John would

6:11

go on to be a co-founder with Alan of

6:13

the second Lockheed company, then

6:15

leave to strike out on his own where he founded the

6:17

Avion Corporation. That gets acquired by

6:19

Douglas and becomes a big part of Douglas.

6:22

Douglas, of course, is now part of Boeing. And

6:24

then after that, John, as you might imagine, founded,

6:27

you guessed it, Northrop, which is now Northrop

6:29

Grumman.

6:29

So this one dude was responsible

6:32

for founding or playing a major role in three

6:34

of the remaining five defense

6:36

prime contractors today.

6:38

But anyway, the first Lockheed company goes

6:40

under. They start the second one a few years later.

6:43

They have some success with the Vega

6:45

airplane. People might be familiar with that. It becomes

6:47

a favorite of Amelia Earhart and

6:50

Wiley Post, famous early aviators.

6:53

It becomes successful, this second Lockheed company.

6:55

They end up selling it to a consortium

6:57

of Detroit auto moguls, maybe

7:00

through the relationships from Malcolm or something, that

7:02

have formed the quote unquote Detroit Aircraft

7:04

Corporation or the DAC.

7:07

This is including Charles Kettering, the founder of Delco

7:09

and head of research at GM as part of this. You

7:12

may know Memorial Sloan Kettering. Exactly,

7:15

same dude. So the idea was they were gonna build the

7:17

General Motors of the Air.

7:19

There was just one problem with that is that aviation

7:22

did not become a consumer industry

7:24

like the automobile industry.

7:27

Alan Lockheed departs at this point

7:29

in time and is

7:30

kind of tangentially involved, but

7:32

this company that to this day bears his name

7:34

after this point in time, he doesn't really have a lot of impact

7:37

on. Now, shortly after this maybe

7:39

hair brained GM of the Air idea

7:42

comes together and Lockheed gets sold to

7:44

the Detroit Aircraft Corporation, the

7:46

stock market crash of 1929 and the Great Depression

7:48

happens and DAC predictably goes

7:51

bankrupt. They sell off the Lockheed

7:53

division, which is actually still fairly profitable

7:56

out of bankruptcy to an entrepreneurial

7:58

young businessman named. Robert Gross.

8:01

And this is really the founding of the modern Lockheed.

8:04

And the craziest thing, this price that

8:06

he bought it for, $40,000, was so low that Alan Lockheed

8:12

actually considered bidding to

8:14

buy his company back when they had it on the auction

8:16

block. And his considered bid

8:18

was $50,000, but he thought that

8:20

is so low that it might be insulting. There's no way

8:22

they'd ever sell it. So he didn't actually bid, and

8:25

the winning bid was $10,000 less. So

8:29

amazing. When

8:30

everything you know of Lockheed today got

8:32

bought out of bankruptcy for $40,000, it's

8:34

crazy.

8:35

So under Robert Gross

8:38

and his brother, Cortland, who gets involved, they

8:40

really are the ones who turned Lockheed into the great

8:43

company it became. So before

8:45

World War Two, during the 30s,

8:47

Lockheed builds the famous Electra

8:50

airplane, which is absolutely

8:52

iconic. This is the plane that Amelia Earhart

8:54

disappears in,

8:56

perhaps even more timelessly. This

8:58

is the plane at the very, very

9:00

famous scene at the end of the movie Casablanca

9:03

when Rick puts Ilse on the plane

9:05

with Victor to escape the Nazis and says,

9:08

here's looking at you, kid. That plane

9:10

is an Electra, I believe an Electra Jr.

9:13

And listeners, you know this plane.

9:15

It's one of those romantic early aircrafts

9:17

that were always sort of perched up at an angle where

9:20

if you saw it standing still on a

9:22

runway, it looked like it could just take off at any

9:24

moment. Oh, absolutely beautiful.

9:27

The Electra and Casablanca

9:29

brings us to the first core

9:31

part of our story, which is World War

9:34

Two, which transforms everything.

9:37

And a man named Clarence Kelly Johnson,

9:40

who started the famous Lockheed Skunk

9:43

Works division.

9:44

And this is great because

9:45

before I started the research, I was loosely

9:48

aware that Lockheed had the first Skunk

9:50

Works. Now it's become almost

9:52

like Kleenex when someone says Skunk Works. Oh,

9:54

we're going to start a little Skunk Works division.

9:56

And like, it was not a thing until

9:59

Kelly Johnson.

9:59

started The Skunk Works. So

10:02

there's a wonderful book. There are a bunch of

10:04

wonderful books around Lockheed, but a book

10:06

titled Skunk Works that was written by Ben

10:08

Rich, who was Kelly's second in command for

10:11

a long time at Skunk Works and then took it over when Kelly

10:13

retired.

10:14

And this book is like the top

10:16

gun of historical autobiographies.

10:18

You read it and you were just fired up. It

10:21

is amazing what these people did.

10:23

It's top gun for engineers. Yes, it's

10:26

so great. I also highly recommend

10:28

a book called Beyond the Horizons, which is

10:31

hard to find and most people don't know about, by Walter

10:33

Boyne. And that is an amazing history of

10:35

Lockheed during all these eras that we're going to talk about.

10:38

David, that's so mean. You're recommending an out of print

10:40

book to people. We keep doing this. This

10:44

one I think I only paid like 40 bucks for on Amazon.

10:47

So it's not quite like Taste of Luxury

10:49

and LVMH, which I think that's now like

10:52

three, four, or $5,000. Oh, yeah. No,

10:54

we definitely spiked the price.

10:57

So we did. All right. So who is

10:59

this Kelly Johnson? He's basically the Shigeru Miyamoto

11:02

of airplane design. His

11:04

nickname is Kelly because when he

11:07

was in grade school growing up in Michigan,

11:09

his real name was Clarence. An older boy

11:12

called him Clara on the schoolyard

11:14

and

11:15

Johnson attacked

11:17

him so viciously that he broke

11:19

this kid's leg.

11:21

And so after that, all of his schoolmates never

11:23

called him Clarence or Clara again and they nicknamed

11:25

him Kelly.

11:26

OK, so not Clara, but why Kelly? There

11:28

was some character of Kelly, kind

11:30

of an Irish tough guy that they

11:32

named him after. That really was his

11:35

personality. So after every skunk

11:37

works test flight for the rest of his tenure

11:39

running skunk works, they throw a big party

11:42

and Kelly would challenge anyone,

11:44

all comers to an arm wrestling match. And

11:46

even when he was like 60 years old, he

11:48

was still beating people. You should Google

11:51

a picture of this dude. He is just a

11:54

1930s man's man at his finest. And maybe

11:56

the best airplane designer ever to live. That

11:58

is Kelly Johnson.

11:59

And we. the stories about him, he

12:01

could intuit the answer to difficult

12:05

math problems in his head. And not just math problems,

12:07

but like physics problems and applying

12:09

Bernoulli's principle in his head and

12:11

come up with an answer that was 5% off

12:14

from the actual answer. And someone else would go spend

12:16

hours and hours and hours with pencil and paper and

12:18

slide roll to come to basically the same number. The

12:21

quote from his first boss, Lockheed's

12:23

chief engineer at the time,

12:24

Kelly would become the chief engineer, but

12:26

his boss at the time, Hall Hibbard, would say, that

12:29

guy can see the air.

12:32

So Kelly ends up winning the Collier

12:34

trophy twice, one of only two people to

12:36

do so in history. The Collier trophy is the equivalent

12:39

of like the Oscar for best picture. It's

12:41

the best airplane design of the year. He

12:43

wins it twice. He ends up being bestowed

12:45

the Presidential Medal of Freedom by Lyndon Johnson,

12:47

leader in his career.

12:49

He is a true American hero.

12:51

So he ends up joining Lockheed right

12:53

out of the University of Michigan engineering school. I'm

12:56

sorry, University of Michigan, you know, Ohio State,

12:58

sorry then. In 1933, at 23 years old, and Kelly is

13:04

really one of the, if not the principal

13:06

engineer that designs and builds the Electra.

13:08

So he becomes the star of Lockheed's then only

13:11

six person aviation

13:14

design and engineering department. There were six people

13:16

that were making these things

13:18

crazy. And he does basically everything

13:20

himself, engineering, designing, testing,

13:22

even flight testing. There's this amazing

13:25

quote in Skunk Works. This is Ben

13:27

Rich talking.

13:28

Kelly once said that unless he

13:30

had the hell scared out of him at least once a

13:32

year in a cockpit, he wouldn't have the proper

13:34

perspective to design airplanes. So

13:38

great. Okay. So the start of World War II rolls

13:40

around. And the first thing that Kelly

13:43

and Lockheed do is they adapt the

13:45

Electra into a bombing vehicle

13:47

called the Hudson. And even before the

13:49

US enters the war, the British

13:52

Royal Air Force ends up buying about 3000 of these

13:55

Hudson's from Lockheed.

13:57

Yeah. This is a thing that was,

13:59

I.

13:59

opening to me doing the research, Lockheed's

14:02

big customer in World War Two before

14:04

the US enters was Britain's Royal

14:06

Air Force. They were a way bigger customer

14:08

than the US was for many, many years.

14:11

So then once the US enters

14:13

the war and as they're gearing up to enter the war, Kelly

14:17

designs the amazing P-38

14:20

Lightning fighter, which was

14:22

the US's elite, fastest,

14:25

most maneuverable aircraft during

14:27

World War Two. They made over 10,000 of

14:30

them during the war and all of

14:32

the top aces in the US Army

14:35

Air Corps flew them. It was the plane

14:37

that shot down the transport that was carrying

14:40

Japanese Admiral Yamamoto,

14:41

the guy who had kind of masterminded

14:43

and overseen the Pearl Harbor attack. This

14:46

is a legendary airplane.

14:48

Side note, I will say last week, partly

14:51

in preparation for recording this, but partly because it's

14:53

something that I've always wanted to do, I went to Pearl

14:55

Harbor and there is truly

14:59

nothing like

15:00

being there and experiencing that. Growing

15:02

up in America, we basically haven't

15:05

had attacks on our soil. It's 9-11 and Pearl

15:07

Harbor period. So it's a very

15:09

unusual thing to see in

15:11

your own country, the remnants of

15:13

an attack and being over the sunken USS

15:16

Arizona from the Japanese bombing, it's

15:19

harrowing and heavy. But I think that that's

15:21

an experience I'd recommend to anyone. Okay,

15:24

so

15:25

that was kind of Lockheed and Kelly during

15:27

the war. Fast forward now to kind of the waning

15:29

days of World War Two, end of 1944 into 1945. It's

15:34

pretty clear that America and the Allies are

15:36

going to win the war at this point in time,

15:39

but it's also becoming evident that

15:41

there are two big

15:43

problems that are emerging.

15:45

One very immediate and

15:48

one sort of longer term.

15:50

The immediate problem is that in

15:52

the skies over Europe, in

15:54

the air theater of the European front,

15:58

a new technology is a appearing

16:00

on the German side. Jet-powered

16:03

fighter planes have

16:06

begun to pop up. And we're not

16:08

a military history podcast, save this for hardcore

16:10

history in Dan Carlin, but my understanding

16:12

of this is that the German jet fighters

16:15

entered the war too late to

16:17

make a difference, but if they had entered service

16:19

earlier,

16:20

it would have been a big problem. So

16:23

the US and the Allies, they're like, oh

16:26

crap, we need to step up our game and get

16:28

a jet fleet in service for us ASAP.

16:31

And for anyone who's not an av geek out

16:33

there or an aviation geek, it's worth knowing

16:36

going from a prop airplane

16:39

to a jet airplane is not just incremental.

16:41

It's an entirely different technology. You may have

16:43

heard the phrase, if you've looked into this before, suck,

16:46

squeeze, bang, blow. It is

16:48

a completely transformative process

16:50

of how the engine uses the

16:52

air in order to create thrust

16:55

that is much more sophisticated than just

16:57

a propeller.

16:58

My understanding is the engines that airplanes were

17:00

flying before then, even the P-38, as

17:02

sophisticated as it was, were basically

17:05

automobile internal combustion engines.

17:07

Totally.

17:08

So we're observing overseas

17:11

our enemy has a completely new

17:13

technology that we have not tamed and mastered

17:15

yet.

17:16

We're at a disadvantage. So that's one problem,

17:18

and we're going to focus on that first. The other problem

17:20

to put a pin in for later, and we start

17:22

to get worried that our ally, the

17:25

Russians and the Soviets,

17:27

our relationship with them might not

17:29

be quite what we think it is. And

17:31

we might have to address that in the coming decades. So

17:34

keep that in the back of your mind as we go along here. But

17:36

let's start with the jet problem.

17:39

So

17:40

the German plane that had started appearing in the skies

17:42

over Europe was the

17:44

Messerschmitt ME 262, nicknamed

17:47

the Swallow. And it was the

17:49

world's first operational jet-powered

17:52

aircraft. It flew close to 550 miles an hour, which

17:55

is over 100 miles an hour faster

17:57

than any allied plane, including the light

17:59

P-38.

18:01

So the US government turns to, of course, the

18:03

very best person for the job to start the

18:06

US jet fighter program,

18:08

Kelly Johnson and Lockheed.

18:10

And they tell him, go make us a

18:12

jet fighter as soon as possible

18:15

and by any means necessary.

18:17

And when we say as soon as possible,

18:19

we want to prototype in 180 days with

18:22

the spec that it must go faster than the

18:25

German swallow. So at least 600

18:27

miles an hour. You need to pull out all the

18:29

stops, bypass any red tape,

18:31

do absolutely anything

18:34

necessary to make this happen.

18:36

And for those tracking along at home, 600

18:39

miles per hour, not quite the speed of sound,

18:41

not quite Mach 1, but approaching that something

18:43

like 80 ish percent to Mach.

18:46

So Johnson hand picks 23

18:51

of Lockheed's very

18:54

best engineers and designers and

18:56

about 30 of the best shop

18:58

people, the people that actually build the

19:00

airplanes. And get this, he

19:03

rents a literal circus

19:06

tent to house them in

19:08

the parking lot next to a plastics

19:10

factory that is nearby to Lockheed's

19:13

headquarters in Burbank, California.

19:16

And it is because of this that the

19:19

name skunk works is

19:22

born because of the outdoor nature

19:24

in the tent and the smell coming

19:26

from this plastics factory. At

19:28

the time, there was a very popular comic strip

19:30

called Little Abner and a character

19:33

in this comic strip had a

19:35

outdoor moonshine still making

19:38

bootlegged prohibition era alcohol. And

19:41

this still in the comic strip was called

19:43

the skunk works.

19:44

I think it was called the skunk works. That's right.

19:46

The skunk works with an O and eventually

19:49

the publisher of Little Abner sues

19:51

Lockheed over using skunk works. So

19:53

they changed it to skunk works.

19:55

So in this circus tent

19:57

in a parking lot, Kelly

20:00

and this super elite team

20:02

from Lockheed build the

20:04

first

20:05

prototype US fighter jet

20:07

named the Lulu Bell

20:09

in 143 days

20:13

start to finish. This is just

20:15

wild for years. The

20:18

US had been working on this technology and

20:20

they hadn't gotten it operationalized. The Germans

20:22

beat them to it. And then in 143 days,

20:26

Kelly and Lockheed go from zero to

20:29

flying

20:30

prototype. Wow. Crazy.

20:33

What a testament to him and to this organization

20:36

in the circus tent that he has built the

20:38

skunk works. Seriously.

20:41

So this 180 day thing

20:43

is a very interesting constraint

20:45

placed on them. And it means that they

20:48

immediately need to go to an

20:50

acquired axiom that we've talked about forever.

20:53

Don't do something that's not your core competency.

20:55

AKA doesn't make the beer taste better or make

20:58

the plane fly faster. Exactly. And

21:00

outsource everything else. And if you only have 180 days to

21:03

do it, you are not going to become

21:05

an engine manufacturing company. You are going to look

21:07

around and say, okay, which of my allies

21:10

has the capability

21:11

to just give me an engine? So

21:13

they find this British company, Halford,

21:15

and they take the Halford H1B

21:18

goblin engine. And that is what they

21:20

put in this prototype.

21:22

Yes. This prototype, the Lulu Bell, would

21:24

go on to become the P80 shooting

21:26

star. Lockheed would ultimately make

21:28

about 2000 of them. And while

21:30

they weren't really used in World War II, because the war ended,

21:33

they would be used in Korea and it would be the first

21:36

jet fighter plane in the US military.

21:38

You raise a really important point though, that we didn't

21:41

cover earlier about Lockheed and

21:43

skunk works.

21:44

They are not engine manufacturers.

21:47

All of the engines that were going into the planes before,

21:49

during, since, they're getting from other

21:51

companies.

21:53

And that is true across the aerospace industry. That's

21:55

interesting that the value chain evolved this way, where basically

21:58

no aircraft manufacturers to the

21:59

this day make their own engines. In commercial,

22:02

you've got Rolls Royce, GE, but

22:04

every single one of these Lockheed planes, the engines

22:07

are made by someone else. Yeah, very

22:09

different from how the automobile industry evolved,

22:11

where obviously Ford and GM

22:14

and whatnot, they're making their own engines.

22:16

So this amazing feat, building

22:20

what becomes the P-80 shooting star and the

22:22

US's first jet fighter plane in

22:24

less than six months, this is

22:26

the beginning of Skunk Works. And

22:29

Kelly realizes, hey,

22:30

this is something pretty special here. So

22:32

I want to read a little quote from the Skunk Works

22:35

book. That primitive Skunk

22:37

Works operation set the standards

22:39

for what followed. The project was highly

22:42

secret, very high priority, and

22:44

time was of the essence. The

22:46

Air Corps had cooperated to meet all of

22:48

Kelly's needs and then got out

22:51

of his way. And boy, did they

22:53

deliver.

22:54

So the P-80 would eventually give way to

22:56

the F-104 Starfighter, which was

22:59

another invention from Kelly and the team. Kelly

23:01

would win the Collier trophy for this.

23:03

So after the war,

23:06

Kelly says, hey, this is special. We should

23:08

keep this going. And the Gross Brothers and

23:10

Lockheed's management agree. And

23:13

they say, yes, you can keep this quote

23:15

unquote Skunk Works division going,

23:18

as long as it doesn't take too

23:20

much money

23:21

and it doesn't distract from your duties in

23:23

the rest of the company as now

23:25

the new chief engineer. So Kelly is both

23:27

the chief engineer of all of Lockheed and

23:29

running Skunk Works at the same time.

23:31

It's insane.

23:33

This not taking too much money thing

23:35

does become a core tenant of the Skunk Works operation,

23:37

because you can sort of get around

23:40

management's ire and management's need

23:42

to report to shareholders and things like that if

23:45

you're doing amazing things and pulling rabbits out

23:47

of hats. And when it's not

23:50

going well, you're not a huge burden.

23:52

Yeah. So I'm going to read a little more from Skunk

23:54

Works here. So Kelly and his handful of bright

23:56

young designers that he selected took over

23:59

some empty space.

23:59

in building 82. This

24:02

is a building on the Lockheed

24:05

campus, which is right next to

24:07

the Burbank Municipal Airport.

24:10

It's an unmarked building. Literally, like this is a commercial

24:12

airport that

24:13

average people are taking off of every

24:15

single day. So

24:17

that it continues. Those guys brainstormed,

24:19

what if questions about the future needs

24:21

of commercial and military aircraft. And if

24:24

one of their ideas resulted in a contract to

24:26

build an experimental prototype, Kelly would

24:28

borrow the best people he could find in the

24:30

main plant to get the job done. That

24:32

way the overhead was kept low and the

24:34

financial risks to the company stayed small.

24:37

His small group were all young and high spirited

24:40

who thought nothing of working out of a phone booth

24:42

if necessary as long as they were designing

24:45

and building

24:46

airplanes.

24:47

All that mattered to Kelly was our proximity

24:50

to the production floor. A

24:52

stone's throw was too far away. Kelly

24:54

wanted us, the engineers and designers, only

24:57

steps away from the shop workers to

24:59

make quick structural or parts changes.

25:02

Yes, I love this. I think

25:04

this is a huge learning,

25:06

keeping your designers as close

25:08

as possible to production. So the game of

25:11

telephone is as short as possible and

25:13

is incredibly valuable. And having the

25:15

designers being able to glance up at their desk and

25:17

see like literally the way things are being manufactured

25:20

so they can say, oh, that looked good in the

25:22

diagram, but in practice, you have to bring this

25:24

big thing around over here. Maybe we can make that

25:26

better the next time we design it. It's just

25:29

such a great key insight. The

25:31

other thing on the small number of people, this

25:33

gets to the Skunk Works rules.

25:36

And Kelly created this incredible

25:38

document, 14 rules that

25:40

we'll link to in the show notes. Oh, yeah. The

25:42

third of which I mean, they're all incredible. The third of

25:44

which really applies here.

25:46

And I quote,

25:47

the number of people having any connection

25:50

with the project must be restricted

25:52

in an almost vicious manner. Use

25:54

a small number of good people 10 percent

25:57

to 25 percent compared to the so-called

25:59

These

26:01

people should all be together, all of them

26:03

building relationships, collaborating, working

26:05

together to produce the very best product. And

26:08

you see this in products in the future too. The iPhone,

26:10

the iPod, I mean you read the stories about the early teams

26:12

there are six, eight, ten people. They're

26:15

all full stack. So there's these unicorns

26:17

that cross disciplines and they're 10x, 100x engineers.

26:21

So you really only need a handful

26:23

of really good people.

26:25

So I think it's worth going through a

26:27

bunch of Kelly's rules.

26:29

But first,

26:30

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28:40

right, David, so what makes Skunk Works

28:42

work? Well, to start, all

28:45

that mattered, literally the only

28:47

thing

28:48

that matters is rapid delivery

28:51

of superior products. And

28:53

that was driven by the expedient requirements

28:56

of World War II, literally

28:58

saving America and the free world. And

29:01

then the Cold War, which is going to come in in a big

29:03

way in a second here.

29:04

Listeners might be thinking,

29:06

isn't all that matters in any

29:09

business rapid delivery of superior

29:11

products? Like why is this new

29:14

and unique and different?

29:15

The reality though, is that that's almost never

29:18

the case. There's politics, there's

29:20

personalities. And you rarely

29:22

have an existential threat that

29:25

you must cut through all the red tape.

29:27

It's like Operation Warp Speed, the way that we got the vaccines

29:29

as fast as we did. If the world is

29:31

on the line, what can you do away

29:34

with in your processes and which people

29:36

can you hand select to solve it?

29:39

Competition and existential competition

29:41

kind of has a way of bringing out the best in people.

29:44

So Ben, you already talked about rule three. I want to... Did

29:46

we pick the same ones? I'm so curious. We

29:49

got 14 to pick from. Let's see, let's pick

29:51

three that we're going to highlight here. We already talked about

29:53

number three. What are your others?

29:55

The next one I want to talk about is

29:57

the Skunk Works manager must be delegated

29:59

practically

29:59

complete control of his program

30:02

in all aspects.

30:04

Yeah. I mean, this is like the auteur theory.

30:06

Like you have to have a single person's

30:09

vision and the buck stopping with a single

30:11

person who has ultimate control

30:14

and isn't a squeezed middle manager. He's

30:16

the program manager for any given

30:18

program that they're working on, any new aircraft. And

30:21

also, he's the guy flying to Washington to

30:23

interface with the government. It's not like he's

30:26

dealing with the engineers and then calling the sales force

30:28

and being like, hey, can you go to a steak dinner with our

30:30

guy in Washington? No, it's Kelly.

30:33

And at its most productive

30:34

Skunk Works, I think, was about

30:36

maybe 50 designers and engineers

30:39

and maybe 100 machinists and shop

30:41

people. This is not a large organization.

30:43

It's crazy. My last one is

30:46

the last one of the rules. Yes, this is

30:48

one of mine too. Because only a few people

30:51

will be used in engineering and most

30:53

other areas. Ways must

30:55

be provided to reward good

30:57

performance by pay, not

31:00

based on number of personnel supervised.

31:02

So Kelly has a quote about this in the book.

31:04

In the main plant,

31:06

they give raises on the basis of the more

31:08

people supervised. I give raises

31:10

to the guy who supervises the least. That

31:13

means he's doing more and taking more responsibility.

31:16

But most executives don't think like that

31:18

at all. They're empire builders.

31:20

This is so important. Yep,

31:23

totally agree. And in fact, it's thinking

31:25

like a capitalist too. I mean, it's really like,

31:27

how can we achieve the most with the least, not

31:30

how can we achieve a fixed amount with a fixed

31:32

margin?

31:33

So there's one more thing that isn't

31:35

in any of the rules, because I think it's just sort

31:37

of a implicit, unspoken assumption.

31:40

All of this only works if the

31:42

small group of people that you've brought together

31:45

are

31:45

highly motivated. And

31:48

I think the reason this was taken for granted for all of

31:50

Skunk Works' heyday was,

31:52

hey, the mission here is preserving

31:54

your life and the lives of your loved ones

31:57

and America from losing

31:59

world war II.

31:59

or two and then having nuclear bombs

32:02

dropped on it by the Soviet Union. You don't

32:04

really need a lot of extra cajoling or motivation

32:06

here.

32:07

Totally. And you got to think back. This was

32:09

a time where American superiority was not

32:11

guaranteed. I think we have a

32:13

reasonable amount of complacency today.

32:16

Americans feel very secure. Sure, they're enemies,

32:18

but are we going to be fine? Totally. We

32:21

don't need to think about this that much. We can decide

32:23

to prioritize other things and have

32:25

passions and say, yeah,

32:27

other people can take care of the national good because

32:30

we'll be fine either way. That was not the

32:32

belief at the time. No, there's this great

32:35

quote in Skunk Works where Ben Rich tells

32:37

the story of his first day in Skunk

32:39

Works where he's shown the U-2 prototype. We're

32:42

going to talk all about the U-2 in a minute here. But

32:44

literally day one, he's shown the prototype of this top

32:47

highly classified, highly secret

32:49

airplane that nobody

32:50

can know about. He says, the

32:52

full weight of government secrecy

32:55

fell on me like a sack of cement that day

32:57

inside Kelly Johnson's guarded domain.

33:00

Learning an absolutely momentous national

33:03

security secret just took my breath

33:05

away and I left work bursting

33:07

with both pride and energy to

33:09

be on the inside of a project so

33:12

special and closely held, but also

33:14

nervous about the burdens it

33:16

would impose on my life. This

33:18

is exactly to your point. With great

33:20

power comes great responsibility

33:23

here. Yup.

33:25

Okay, so what are the machines

33:27

that sort of unfold from here? Yeah, all right.

33:30

So a minute ago, I was talking about the two problems that

33:32

America and its allies have at the end

33:34

of World War II. One was the jets. Skunk

33:36

Works addresses that with the P-80

33:38

shooting star. The other problem is, yeah,

33:41

we're going to win this war, but

33:43

there's a whole new war that's just about to start.

33:46

Yeah, and the war we're coming out of is World War

33:48

II, but of course the Cold War against the Russians

33:50

is just starting. And this is so

33:52

hard for us to process today, but

33:55

doing the research, I really felt it.

33:57

I think for a lot of people.

34:00

the stakes and the

34:02

pressure and the worry about

34:04

the Cold War was greater than

34:06

World War II.

34:08

Yeah, that's a great point. When the Americans entered

34:10

World War II, we had reason to believe

34:12

that we could come in and win.

34:15

The Cold War, I think to the American

34:17

psyche, felt very different. I

34:20

think we had good reason to believe

34:22

we were not going to win.

34:23

So right after the war, Churchill

34:25

comes to America and gives his famous Iron Curtain

34:27

speech in Fulton, Missouri, that an Iron Curtain

34:30

has descended over Europe in the form of

34:32

the Soviet Union. And then before

34:35

the end of the decade, I didn't really realize the

34:37

timeline on this. In August 1949, the

34:40

Soviet Union detonates its first nuclear

34:42

bomb.

34:43

And nobody believed that

34:46

they were going to have the bomb that

34:48

quickly or that powerfully. And not

34:50

only did they have the bomb, but

34:53

whether this was real or not or positioning,

34:56

people really believe that

34:58

the Soviets and Khrushchev's intention

35:01

is to use the bomb against America.

35:04

If they ever believe that they could do

35:06

so without fear of retaliation,

35:08

that they could knock us out first, that they would

35:11

do

35:11

a first strike and use nuclear

35:14

weapons on America.

35:15

And this kicks off the Cold War arms

35:17

race. And people probably know and learn about mutually

35:20

assured destruction and deterrence. This

35:22

really was the policy

35:25

of the military and the American government, that

35:27

we need to have capabilities to

35:30

deter the Soviet Union from launching

35:32

a first nuclear strike against us by

35:35

being able to guarantee

35:37

and have them know that we guarantee that if

35:39

they do so, we will destroy

35:41

them. So they can't do this because

35:44

if they do, they will be destroyed. That

35:46

was the whole policy. And that's like a really scary

35:48

place to be.

35:50

This is like

35:51

if somebody over there in the Kremlin

35:53

decides one day that they think

35:55

they can win, we're all going to die.

35:58

Right.

35:59

There was a national

36:02

poll

36:03

that asked the question,

36:05

what do you think you are most likely

36:07

to die from?

36:08

And over half of America

36:12

responded that they thought they were most

36:14

likely to die in thermonuclear war

36:17

above any other cause. Let that sink

36:19

in. Over half of the country thought

36:21

they were going to die in nuclear war. Horrifying.

36:25

And so in a war of perception, intelligence

36:28

is paramount.

36:29

Bingo. It is the most important

36:31

thing. Even more important than your

36:34

ability to strike and

36:36

wage war is your ability to know

36:38

what the current state of the opponent's ability

36:41

is to strike and wage war.

36:44

So that means that the battleground is no longer

36:46

the use of weapons,

36:48

but the intelligence about the existence

36:50

and positioning of weapons. And

36:53

nobody is

36:54

better suited than

36:56

Skunkworks

36:57

to be the US government and military's

37:00

primary sounds cliche to say,

37:03

but sword and shield during this war.

37:05

Yes. So this brings us to the

37:07

U2 spy plane.

37:09

And this plane serves such an important

37:11

purpose that ended up being

37:14

brought into service in 1955 and

37:17

was only decommissioned in 1989. Yeah,

37:21

incredible.

37:22

Now there are many airplane programs

37:24

that have 10, 20, 25 year timeframes. For

37:28

very different reasons. Yes, that we will

37:30

talk about in the military industrial complex. But

37:33

the U2 was basically the first time

37:35

that America found a plane that it could use

37:37

for a long time and wasn't rapidly replaced

37:39

by the next best thing.

37:41

Okay, so it would be really great if you

37:43

could fly a plane over Russia and take

37:45

pictures and understand all this. Because there's no satellites

37:47

yet. Oh, are there satellites? We'll

37:50

talk about that a little later. But you can't just fly

37:52

a plane into Russia and do that. It's a closed country.

37:55

The Russians are going to shoot you down if you do it. We're not

37:57

technically at war, so it would violate

37:59

international.

37:59

treaties to go into their airspace, we

38:02

would start the war by doing that. Exactly.

38:04

So the first thing, it's funny, it's kind of in the news now,

38:07

China's doing this now, the first thing we

38:09

try is unmanned spy balloons. We

38:11

send balloons over Russia. Failed weather experiments.

38:14

Yeah, failed weather experiments. That fails

38:16

on many fronts, including actually

38:19

returning usable photos of Soviet

38:21

nuclear installations.

38:23

So

38:24

really it becomes clear that what's required

38:27

is an entirely new type

38:29

of airplane that can either do

38:31

one of two things and ideally both.

38:33

Fly over Russia stealthily

38:36

and undetected by radar,

38:38

or two, fly high enough or

38:40

fast enough that they can't shoot it down even if they

38:42

do. At Soskogworks, being the ambitious

38:44

organization that they are, tries for option one,

38:47

and we don't frankly know very

38:49

much about what Russia's capabilities are. So

38:51

we're pretty sure that we can

38:54

build some airplane that flies high

38:56

enough that their radar systems

38:58

won't detect us. And great,

39:00

so let's do that. Yeah, great.

39:02

So this is interesting. What government

39:05

agency contracts them to do this?

39:07

It's not the military. We're in the spy game

39:09

now. It's not the army, not the Navy, not the

39:11

Air Force. It's the CIA. They

39:14

are building their own air

39:16

capabilities and all of the work that

39:18

Ssogworks does here and for many years to come is

39:20

for the CIA.

39:22

So what exactly is the challenge

39:25

that Ssogworks has laid out in front

39:27

of them for designing this new spy plane?

39:30

Well

39:30

at the time, the maximum altitude

39:32

that airplanes flew was about 40,000 feet.

39:36

The US thought that the Soviets' best

39:38

interceptor fighter aircraft could

39:41

get to about 45,000 feet.

39:43

Yeah, and we also thought that their radar

39:45

wouldn't function above like 55,000, right? We

39:48

were like, all right, as long as we clear 65,000, we should be higher than their

39:50

radar

39:51

could

39:53

even detect and certainly higher than

39:55

their fighters could come get us. Right.

39:58

So the CIA's spec for...

39:59

gunk works for the U2 is

40:02

to fly at 70,000 feet.

40:04

Now, there are a couple problems

40:06

with that.

40:07

One is that normal jet

40:10

fuel doesn't work at that altitude.

40:12

At that altitude, the pressure,

40:15

the temperature, everything

40:17

about the environment, you're getting to be closer

40:20

to space than you are to normal Earth

40:22

atmosphere, and things start going wrong. So

40:25

that one, they actually subcontract with

40:27

shell oil to make a new formulation

40:30

of jet fuel that does work up there. So

40:32

that problem is solved.

40:34

Problem number two is maybe a little bigger,

40:36

and that is that humans cannot survive

40:39

at that altitude.

40:40

So certainly you need a pressurized cabin,

40:43

but if something were to happen and you needed to be out

40:45

of the cabin, cold,

40:47

no air, blah, blah, blah. Yeah, and I

40:49

don't know the technical details, but

40:51

I think even the cabin pressurization technology

40:54

that existed then was not going to cut

40:56

it at 70,000 feet.

40:58

So you basically need a spacesuit.

41:01

Exactly. Some of this technology

41:03

came from diving suits and some other things that

41:05

came before this, but I think

41:07

this was the big coming together of the

41:09

technology that created the

41:11

spacesuit, and that's what they put these pilots

41:14

in.

41:14

Wow. So

41:16

Lockheed and Skunk Works win

41:18

the contract from the CIA.

41:20

They start working on this plane sometime

41:23

in 1953. Incredibly

41:25

top secret.

41:26

We wouldn't reveal the fact that this existed

41:29

to the Russians, our own people, for years and

41:31

years and years. I mean, this is like the quote

41:33

from earlier that we read from Ben Rich when he started

41:35

working on this project day one and saw

41:38

the prototype, and then it hit him like a sack

41:40

of cement, how important this was.

41:43

So Skunk Works completes

41:46

and delivers the plane

41:48

by July, 1955. So

41:50

like a year and a half, and for a total

41:53

project cost

41:55

of three and a half million dollars.

41:57

That's an M. That is not a B. A

41:59

year and a half. and three and a half million dollars

42:02

for one of the most important

42:05

products and pieces of technology

42:07

in American history.

42:09

Astounding! This is what Skunk Works

42:11

is capable of.

42:12

So they're flying higher than any plane has ever

42:14

flown before, they're using a different type of fuel, people

42:17

are flying in spacesuits for the first time.

42:19

Feels like to be a reconnaissance aircraft

42:21

you would also need one other key

42:24

component in order to

42:26

achieve the mission of spying

42:29

on the enemy. Yeah, to take photos you

42:31

need a camera.

42:32

Indeed, and you would need an all new

42:35

type of camera with all new type of lens

42:38

capable of taking photographs of something 70,000

42:41

feet away from you through, you

42:44

know, a whole bunch of atmosphere.

42:46

Gosh,

42:47

if only the US had someone who was just

42:50

incredible at this sort of pioneering

42:53

optics technology.

42:54

Indeed the US did and that was Dr. Edwin

42:57

Land and the Polaroid company

42:59

who subcontracted and created all of that. And actually

43:02

I believe it was Edwin Land himself

43:05

that helped convince President Eisenhower

43:07

to even pursue this project in the first place. He

43:09

was like, we can build the camera that can do this,

43:12

if we can get the airplane built,

43:14

we can do this project. This blew

43:16

my mind, it's so cool to see the intersections

43:19

of different innovators throughout history.

43:21

I mean Edwin Land is the man who inspired Steve

43:23

Jobs and he's building the U2's

43:27

camera. Oh, just wait, we are going to have a lot

43:29

more tech in Silicon Valley and

43:31

Apple stuff that's going to come up here

43:34

in just a little bit.

43:35

So they built the plane, you

43:38

got to test this thing.

43:39

They're not going to roll it on the runway in Burbank

43:41

and take off and, you know, just head for

43:43

the Soviet Union. You got to test it and

43:46

you know, it's got to be secret of whatnot.

43:48

And remember, Kelly Johnson, one of his big principles

43:50

is like, we test our products. You,

43:52

the government, don't test our products, we test our products. And

43:55

we should be clear, this U2 spy plane looks

43:57

crazy.

43:59

Yeah, this thing, if you

44:02

saw it taking off, you would be like,

44:04

okay, I've seen airplanes. That thing is completely

44:07

different. So it's not like they could disguise

44:10

it. Like you need to figure out somewhere in the

44:12

United States where there's basically nobody

44:15

so that you can test this thing. Oh,

44:17

this is so fun. Oh, the smile on our

44:19

faces is like, you

44:21

can't see us, but it is stretching out of the room

44:23

here.

44:24

Yeah. You can't just paint this

44:26

thing like a school bus and pretend it's something

44:27

else. So they need to find a suitable test site. They go

44:29

scouting all across the Western US

44:32

and kind of remote areas. Kelly Johnson

44:34

is sort of like Sam Walton and his prop plane

44:36

scouting out for, you know, Walmart locations

44:39

flying sideways. And then they get an idea.

44:42

And that idea is where

44:44

is a place where even

44:47

if there were people before, there

44:49

sure aren't people now because

44:52

nobody in their right mind would

44:54

want to be anywhere close to

44:56

where we just tested our nuclear

44:59

bombs. And

45:01

they go, oh,

45:03

as long as we figure out that it's safe,

45:05

that would be a perfect place for

45:07

us to test this airplane.

45:09

So they find a dry lake bed in Nevada

45:12

called Groom Lake. And there's

45:14

a quote from Kelly Johnson here about this

45:17

in the book. We flew over it and within 30

45:19

seconds you knew that this was the place.

45:22

It was right by a dry lake, man alive.

45:24

We looked at that lake and we all looked at each

45:27

other. It was another Edwards, like Edwards Air

45:29

Force Base. So we wheeled around, landed

45:32

on that lake, taxied up to one end of

45:34

it. It was a perfect natural landing

45:36

field, as smooth as a billiard

45:38

table without anything being done to it.

45:41

How insane is it that this

45:43

is where we were testing nukes?

45:46

I actually do not understand how

45:48

there was not radiation poisoning. And

45:51

I don't fully understand the half-life and all

45:53

that needs to be done. But like,

45:54

how is that safe? Yeah,

45:56

it's insane. And not only were there recently

45:59

nuclear tests.

45:59

happening right nearby, I

46:01

believe that nuclear testing

46:04

continued right nearby while they're

46:06

using this site, Groom Lake, to

46:09

test the U2. 100%, it's

46:11

the craziest thing. They had to sometimes take

46:13

some time between the most recent

46:16

nuclear test and when they wanted to

46:18

go fly, because these sites are like, I don't

46:20

know, 12 miles away from each other or something pretty

46:23

close. If you're curious listeners, there's this

46:25

great documentary on Amazon called

46:28

Secrets in the Sky, the untold story

46:30

of Skunk Works that has a bunch of footage

46:32

of all of this. Wow.

46:33

So listeners, if you haven't caught on already,

46:36

the location that we are talking

46:38

about. A Nevada test site

46:40

in the middle of the desert. Nuclear,

46:43

some really strange looking flying aircraft.

46:46

This is Area 51. Skunk

46:49

Works creates Area 51.

46:52

And of course there's rumors of UFOs

46:55

there. They want to keep everyone away. For

46:57

the people who they can't keep away, they're going

46:59

to see some really weird flying stuff. So

47:01

of course the rumors are going to start. It's

47:03

all goodness for Skunk Works. This cover is

47:05

great. It's even better than that.

47:08

I can't remember which plane or when this

47:10

was, but at one point in time, one

47:12

of the test flights crashed and the

47:15

pilot survived and somebody saw

47:17

him. He was wearing a spacesuit. Nobody

47:19

knew what a spacesuit was. Of course he looked like a

47:21

freaking alien. Right. Maybe

47:23

another 10 years before we would have the

47:25

moon missions.

47:27

Yeah. It's so funny. Amazing.

47:30

Yeah. It's all

47:33

Skunk Works and the U2. Wow. And

47:36

then the Blackbird and everything else we're going to get into

47:38

later in the story. All happening out of Area 51.

47:41

The prep work that the pilots had to go through

47:43

before getting on these planes too were nuts. They

47:45

needed to breathe pure oxygen for two

47:48

hours to remove all the nitrogen from

47:50

their blood in case they

47:52

had to eject. Because remember these are test pilots

47:54

on a super experimental aircraft. They were

47:56

often ejecting or they were often, you

47:59

know, things went wrong.

47:59

wrong in these tests. Yeah, a bunch of people died

48:02

doing this, like we should say. Yeah,

48:04

I mean, a great sacrifice to bring

48:06

this program and subsequent Skunk Works programs

48:09

into the world. But

48:10

basically what was happening is if you

48:13

didn't breathe pure oxygen for two hours, you

48:15

could get the bends for anyone who

48:17

scuba-dived and you can't fly right afterwards from

48:20

ejecting. And so it's like, well,

48:22

if you managed to get out of the aircraft before

48:25

it crashed, then that could kill

48:27

you. So you needed to make sure that this

48:30

oxygenating of your blood and getting rid of all the nitrogen

48:32

made it so that if you did need to eject, then

48:34

you would survive this as well. Yeah,

48:37

crazy.

48:38

OK, so they test the U2 at

48:40

Area 51. So great. They

48:42

get it up and running. And in active service

48:45

as an operational spy plane,

48:47

pretty much the world's first, at least

48:49

of this type, within a year, the

48:52

first Soviet Union overflight

48:54

happens on July 4, 1956. Of

48:59

course it was. Of course it was July 4. Now,

49:01

this is so interesting. There's a whole bunch

49:04

of things that happen when they take out, like, they don't know what's going to

49:06

happen. Is this thing going to work? Are the Soviets going to see us?

49:08

We're going to learn so much here.

49:10

You can't script this stuff. The Soviets

49:13

tracked it on radar,

49:14

even at 70,000 feet. The whole

49:16

way. The whole way. Right from it takes off

49:19

the whole flight path through Russia. They

49:21

knew everything that we were doing.

49:24

We were super wrong about their

49:26

radar. They didn't just have low altitude

49:28

radar. They were capable of radar

49:31

that could see straight up into

49:33

space. Wherever we were flying, they were going to see

49:35

us. Yeah, which we had no idea. So we

49:37

learned this as part of it.

49:38

So here's what's funny. We know

49:40

that they see it from takeoff. They track the

49:43

U2 the whole way. This whole top secret program, like, oh,

49:45

no, it's busted.

49:46

They see it. But it turns out they

49:49

can't hit it. So a whole

49:51

bunch of fighter jets scramble. And the fighter jets, they

49:53

can't get up that high. So they can't intercept it. They

49:56

launch surface to air missiles. The missiles can't

49:59

hit anything. high up. So the

50:01

U-2 just flies along, they're tracking it

50:03

the whole way, there's planes flying along

50:05

behind it, and they can't do anything. But at least

50:07

we get the intel now in the U.S. that, okay,

50:10

they can see up here, and so it's

50:12

probably just a matter of time before they're

50:14

capable of shooting something down up here

50:17

too.

50:17

Yes. But here's what's so interesting.

50:20

Remember this whole war, like, God, it's fascinating.

50:23

It's a war, but it's not a war. It's a war

50:25

of perception. So

50:27

in that flight, we get incredible

50:29

photographic observational evidence, and

50:31

we would fly so many missions

50:34

over Russia for the next few years getting this

50:36

incredible intelligence.

50:38

The Soviets never say anything, because

50:40

if they were to say anything and say

50:42

that they tracked us into it, then they

50:45

would be admitting that they were powerless

50:47

to stop it. This war of perception,

50:49

like, it's so crazy, the incentives

50:51

and motivations here, but it makes sense.

50:53

They're not going to say anything and reveal the program,

50:55

so it remains top secret,

50:57

because if they did, their sort of position

51:00

and posturing of strength would be compromised.

51:02

And neither country really wants to be at war,

51:04

so we're both maintaining this, we're

51:07

not at war, and we're not

51:09

going to tell you that we're preparing for if

51:11

we need to be, but of course we're going to do whatever

51:14

we can to understand the best

51:16

about our enemy, or not our enemy, other

51:18

countries that we're not at war with. Adversary.

51:22

Right. And I actually think there may be military

51:24

historians that

51:26

understand this better than us, but

51:28

I think this was actually an optimal

51:30

outcome for the US. Because,

51:34

remember, just like you were saying, Ben, nobody actually

51:36

wants to go to war here. The goal is

51:38

for both sides to keep each other in check, and

51:41

so this, the U-2 and these reconnaissance

51:43

missions, become a major chess piece

51:45

for us on our side of the board

51:47

to keep the Soviets in check. We

51:50

like this state, I think, that

51:52

they know about it,

51:53

but nobody talks about it.

51:55

The other crazy thing is, this camera is

51:57

incredible. If you look up photos taken

51:59

by

51:59

U-2 spy plane, it is remarkable

52:02

what in the mid-50s this thing was

52:04

capable of taking photographs of from 70,000 feet.

52:07

The engineering all around that went into this is

52:10

just incredible. You could do a whole podcast just about

52:13

the technical aspects of the engineering advances.

52:15

And it basically works. They find a whole bunch

52:18

of nuclear test sites. They find where missiles

52:20

are kept. We basically have a real-time

52:22

count of the Soviet

52:24

Union's warheads, the Soviet Union's

52:27

fighter jets, the capabilities that they

52:29

have with their radar because it's painting our

52:31

airplanes. So we now know that that

52:33

exists. Mission accomplished in spades on this thing.

52:36

We talked earlier about the cost of $3.5 million.

52:40

I think you could make an analogy to the Louisiana

52:42

Purchase in terms of best deals that

52:44

the United States government ever got

52:46

relative to the benefit to America. This

52:49

is huge. Arguably the last great deal they got from Lockheed

52:51

Martin. Well,

52:54

no, there's some more that we're going to talk about in a minute.

52:56

So this all continues. We

52:59

fly dozens, maybe hundreds of

53:01

U-2 missions over the next few years.

53:03

The Russians are constantly trying to shoot them down. They fail.

53:06

Nobody says anything.

53:07

And then

53:08

on May 1st, 1960, ironically

53:11

on May Day, we launched the U-2 program

53:13

on July 4th.

53:14

And it ends, at least over the Soviet Union.

53:17

On May

53:18

Day, 1960, the Soviets

53:20

finally have developed a missile

53:23

that can reach 70,000 feet with

53:25

accuracy and they shoot down a U-2.

53:28

This was the first time in history that

53:30

a ground to air missile had

53:33

shot down an airplane. I

53:35

didn't realize this. I read that. I was

53:37

like, oh, whoa. I guess maybe the technology didn't exist during World War

53:39

II, the Korean War. And so this was

53:41

a major historical moment in so many

53:43

ways. America

53:44

and the CIA and the government, the

53:46

president, they're like, okay. Right. What

53:49

do we do? America's posture is we were never there. Right.

53:51

So now that the motivation for Russia

53:54

not to talk about it now is gone. Now they

53:56

can position this as like, hey, we're

53:58

so strong that we.

53:59

We can keep people out.

54:01

We expect them to say something right away.

54:04

A couple of weeks go by. They say nothing.

54:07

Quite surprising. All we know is we've

54:09

lost contact with our pilot

54:11

and we didn't see them come back and land

54:14

so we presume that

54:16

they shot down our pilot but they're not saying anything.

54:19

But we don't really know. And we presume that

54:21

if this plane was shot down, as we think, probably

54:23

the pilot was killed. I mean, like,

54:26

you shoot down a plane from 70,000 feet. Right.

54:28

The pilot was killed.

54:30

Well... That's 14

54:32

miles in the air. Yeah.

54:35

No. The

54:37

pilot was not killed. The pilot's

54:40

name was Francis Gary Powers.

54:43

Pilot Powers. If you know anything about US history,

54:45

you probably know his name and you probably know

54:47

that he miraculously did survive and was

54:49

captured and interrogated and probably tortured

54:52

by the Russians and that this was

54:54

the revealing of the U2 program. So

54:57

what happens?

54:58

Turns out that there was a big summit in Paris

55:00

scheduled for later in May

55:03

between Eisenhower and Khrushchev. And

55:05

Khrushchev announces on the

55:08

eve of the summit

55:09

that they have captured an American pilot.

55:12

They have captured this new plane

55:14

that the US has been illegally and

55:17

in a provocateur manner flying

55:19

over Soviet airspace. They have

55:22

defended their country and shot it down and this creates

55:24

a huge mess. Eisenhower

55:27

first denies this and then admits

55:29

it when we realize that like, oh shoot, this pilot

55:32

is still alive. He's confessed

55:34

like, wow, this is a disaster.

55:36

Yeah.

55:37

So, but I guess there probably was a path where

55:39

this could have led to escalation. Fortunately

55:42

it does not.

55:43

But it does mean that the U2

55:45

program, at least over Russia is

55:48

done. We don't fly any more U2s

55:50

over Russia. We can't. I mean, if we were to

55:52

do it at this point, we know they can see us. They now

55:54

can talk about that they can see us and they can shoot

55:56

us down. Like it would escalate to war

55:59

if we kept doing this.

55:59

we have to stop. The U-2 becomes

56:02

quite useful for other locations around the globe,

56:04

but not over the USSR itself. This

56:06

though is a huge, huge problem. This was

56:09

the most important thing in the war, and now it's gone,

56:11

right?

56:12

We now have no way to take photos

56:15

of military sites in Russia because

56:17

we can't fly planes over there anymore, right?

56:20

We're blind. What do we do? What do we do? Well,

56:24

the world would not know until 1995, when

56:29

this would all become declassified

56:31

under the Clinton administration.

56:33

But that was only true for about three

56:36

months,

56:37

thanks to

56:38

another

56:39

super secretive

56:41

Lockheed division that

56:44

figured out another way for us to take pictures

56:46

of the Soviet Union. Yes. And

56:49

this, listeners, is where if you've

56:51

read Skunk Works or watched documentaries about Skunk

56:54

Works,

56:54

what we're about to talk about is not in any of

56:56

those. This is a completely separate story

56:59

that takes place in a different place in

57:01

California that is a detour from

57:03

our Skunk Works story. And we'll be back because

57:05

my god did Skunk Works do some incredible

57:08

things after the U-2. But

57:10

before we do that, we want to take you to

57:13

Northern California and the origins

57:15

of Silicon Valley and Lockheed's

57:17

participation in that. And

57:20

this is a great time to tell you about one of our other

57:22

favorite companies that is back as a sponsor

57:25

of season 12 is our good friends

57:27

at Tiny, the Berkshire Hathaway

57:30

of the internet.

57:31

Tiny, as you know, listeners, has built and acquired

57:33

the world's premier collection of wonderful

57:36

internet businesses. And this time

57:38

and this year is so great

57:41

for the Berkshire meeting and Tiny because just

57:43

like Berkshire, Tiny is now a public company.

57:46

They're a publicly traded holding company. We're so

57:48

happy for them. Yep.

57:50

And they really are becoming sort of the buyer

57:52

of choice for wonderful internet

57:54

businesses. I mean, there's a lot of people

57:57

who are talking about how great it is to buy

57:59

small companies. companies, and especially when

58:01

they're these profitable businesses with 30

58:03

to 40% operating margins.

58:05

Maybe they're doing 5, maybe they're doing 10 million in revenue.

58:08

There's a whole subcategory of Twitter devoted

58:10

to this. And I'm sort of watching

58:12

all these tweets and I'm like, okay, geniuses. Do you

58:15

remember what Andrew and Chris were talking about,

58:17

I don't know, a decade ago? And so Tiny

58:19

has sort of proved at this point

58:21

that they can do this very well, that they

58:23

can continue to compound capital, that they can let

58:26

these businesses grow and run. I mean, you think about

58:28

businesses like Dribble or

58:29

Pixel Union, Creative Market, 8020. The last 15

58:32

years,

58:33

Tiny has just

58:35

been

58:35

buying businesses. They've let

58:38

them run. They

58:39

empower their own independent managers

58:41

to run them, oftentimes the founders of the

58:43

business, but oftentimes professional CEOs

58:45

that they bring in to run them and take them to

58:47

kind of the next right stage of the company.

58:50

And what's great, especially now that Tiny is a

58:52

bigger scale and now being a public company,

58:54

they've always historically done this with bootstrapped

58:57

businesses, which they certainly still

58:59

do.

59:00

They now do it with venture-backed businesses

59:02

too, especially in this environment. There's

59:04

so many businesses over the last couple of years

59:06

that took VC dollars and kind

59:08

of no longer make sense in a VC portfolio.

59:11

And these companies used to be orphaned within

59:13

venture firms. It was really a

59:16

less than ideal situation, but Tiny can

59:18

now come in and acquire those companies and

59:20

has been doing that to great effect. Yep.

59:23

If you're evaluating your next fundraising round and you're

59:25

sort of looking at actually what your

59:27

business's natural growth rate is or natural

59:30

margin profile, and you're like, you know what? This

59:32

is not going to be a $10 billion

59:34

Uber style business. This is just a regular

59:37

good business on the internet.

59:39

I think you should talk to Tiny. It ends up being a

59:41

total win for everyone. And this is a product

59:43

that absolutely needs to exist in the market,

59:45

especially, especially in this

59:47

moment. Shoot them a note, hi at tiny.com

59:50

and just tell them that Ben and David sent you.

59:53

Okay, David. So I had forgotten

59:55

about this story. I knew a little bit

59:57

of it from watching Steve Blank's great.

59:59

talk maybe five, eight years

1:00:02

ago, the secret history of Silicon Valley.

1:00:04

But you sort of found the last 20 minutes

1:00:07

and then just dug in like a splinter

1:00:10

on this particular moment in history

1:00:13

and how it is all tied into Lockheed

1:00:15

Martin. So where are we going? Yeah. Well,

1:00:17

and it's even lesser known than that. Only certain

1:00:20

versions of that talk that Steve has given

1:00:22

contain the Lockheed story. So

1:00:25

much of it has only recently been declassified.

1:00:27

A lot of it, even after he first started giving

1:00:29

this

1:00:29

talk. So what really turned

1:00:32

me onto this was some of the chapters in

1:00:34

Beyond the Horizons, even though that book

1:00:36

was written in the late 90s. I started

1:00:38

digging in and then I started watching some YouTube

1:00:40

videos with some of the people involved in this. And I was

1:00:42

like, oh, my God,

1:00:44

there is this incredible story

1:00:47

here that we don't realize.

1:00:48

Yes. In typical David Rosenthal

1:00:50

fashion, you sent me a note the other day

1:00:53

and said you have to listen to this starting at

1:00:55

eight minutes and 50 seconds. And I was like, what is this?

1:00:57

And I click and it's a guy at a podium

1:01:00

with a terrible recording set up

1:01:03

from the IEEE Silicon Valley

1:01:05

History videos. So Industry Association.

1:01:07

This thing has 124 views after being posted seven years ago. Incredible.

1:01:14

This stuff is buried. I honestly

1:01:16

can't believe it. And I'm so glad that

1:01:18

we get to tell it here.

1:01:20

All right. Let's set the context. So

1:01:23

if we rewind back to World War Two, one

1:01:26

thing we kind of mentioned here now as

1:01:28

we were talking about the U-2 and the Russians tracking

1:01:30

it on radar, but we didn't talk about during

1:01:32

World War Two

1:01:34

was the importance of radar. Now,

1:01:37

so much of World War Two was an air

1:01:39

war, both in Europe and then especially

1:01:41

in the Pacific.

1:01:43

And the development of both radar

1:01:45

and anti-radar technologies was

1:01:47

paramount in the war efforts. Yes,

1:01:50

there was lots of land based fighting and tanks and

1:01:52

all that stuff. But World War Two was the first

1:01:54

real air war.

1:01:56

And obviously that importance of

1:01:58

radar continued into the cold.

1:01:59

War just like we were talking about with U2 flights.

1:02:03

Now during World War II, where

1:02:06

was all of the US and allied

1:02:08

radar work and research being done?

1:02:11

It was primarily being done out

1:02:13

of two institutions in Boston, MIT

1:02:17

with the Radiation Laboratory or

1:02:19

the RAD Lab, and

1:02:22

Harvard with the Harvard Radio

1:02:25

Research Laboratory. Now here's what's

1:02:27

interesting.

1:02:28

Other of these two labs at MIT and

1:02:30

Harvard existed before the war. The government

1:02:33

directed MIT and Harvard

1:02:35

to set them up as part of the war effort.

1:02:37

They didn't exist before and then MIT

1:02:40

and Harvard, very fortunately

1:02:42

for California and Silicon Valley, shut them

1:02:44

down after the war.

1:02:47

Now it turns out that

1:02:49

the head of the Harvard Lab was

1:02:52

a professor named Frederick Terman.

1:02:55

That might ring some bells for people, especially people who went

1:02:57

to Stanford. Terman was

1:02:59

probably the world's leading expert

1:03:02

on radio engineering and also

1:03:04

vacuum tubes and early computing.

1:03:07

Except Terman

1:03:08

wasn't actually a Harvard professor.

1:03:12

Terman was a Stanford professor. He was

1:03:14

just on loan to Harvard during

1:03:16

the war years because that's where

1:03:18

the government set up

1:03:20

the radio labs. The government allocated

1:03:22

millions and millions of dollars of funding to Harvard

1:03:25

and MIT and something like $50,000 to Stanford. All

1:03:28

of the funding for this was Harvard and

1:03:30

MIT. Yes, they assembled all

1:03:33

of the world's experts and Terman was arguably

1:03:35

one of, if not the leading world expert

1:03:38

in radio engineering, assembled them there

1:03:40

in Boston, I

1:03:41

guess in Cambridge at Harvard and MIT.

1:03:44

Cambridge residents would get mad at us if we say Boston. After

1:03:47

the war, Terman comes back to

1:03:49

Stanford because Harvard shut down the lab. He

1:03:52

comes back to Stanford and he

1:03:54

does three things. First, he

1:03:57

recruits away all

1:03:58

of the best people.

1:03:59

that he worked with at the Harvard Radio

1:04:02

Lab from universities all over the country, he

1:04:04

recruits them to Stanford. And he gives them

1:04:07

tenure immediately. Yes.

1:04:09

He's like, I want to make this deal as sweet

1:04:11

as possible for you because I want to will

1:04:14

Stanford into existence as

1:04:16

an engineering institution.

1:04:18

Yes, of the highest order.

1:04:20

So that's one. Two,

1:04:22

soon after he gets back to Stanford, he becomes

1:04:25

the provost of the entire university.

1:04:28

And as provost, he

1:04:30

completely changes the way tech

1:04:32

transfer is done at Stanford. No

1:04:34

other university has as good of a tech

1:04:36

transfer policy as Stanford. They're notoriously

1:04:39

friendly. Yes, notoriously friendly and

1:04:41

everywhere else, including Harvard,

1:04:43

MIT, Princeton, blah, blah, blah, notoriously unfriendly

1:04:46

and hard to work with.

1:04:47

The classic story is Stanford

1:04:49

owned 1% of Google at spin out, which

1:04:52

ended up making them an ungodly

1:04:54

amount of money because of how big Google became.

1:04:56

And if that were at other universities, they would have

1:04:58

said 50% is what we need to keep,

1:05:01

or 33% is what we need to keep. And they would

1:05:03

have smothered the innovation before it could become

1:05:05

commercially viable. Now,

1:05:06

I sort of in the back of my mind knew

1:05:08

this because I had watched Steve Blank's talk

1:05:10

many years ago. But I kind of forgotten. I just

1:05:12

thought it was like, oh, well, that's because Stanford and

1:05:15

Silicon Valley, like, we get it. We're smart.

1:05:17

Not that we're smarter, but there's this attitude of, if

1:05:19

you're in Silicon Valley, even to this day, you're

1:05:21

like, yeah, we get how the culture works

1:05:23

here. And the East Coast doesn't get it. As

1:05:26

if this somehow existed a priori, because

1:05:28

it was just in the water and came from nowhere.

1:05:31

Not at all. It's all thanks to Terman

1:05:34

and World War II and his experience at the

1:05:36

Radiolab.

1:05:37

When he becomes provost, he's still

1:05:40

a super devoted patriot. He knows

1:05:42

how important

1:05:44

this work is that it was doing World War

1:05:46

II, and he knows it's just as if not more

1:05:48

important during the Cold War. So

1:05:50

what he does is he encourages

1:05:53

students and professors to leave Stanford

1:05:56

and go set up companies and work

1:05:58

for defense firms and work for the military.

1:06:00

not to make money, but to be

1:06:02

like in the nation's service. Take

1:06:05

the research and the people who are doing the research

1:06:07

out, start a brand new company.

1:06:10

He would try to help you find funding, which

1:06:12

at that point, venture capital didn't exist. So

1:06:14

he was introducing you to customers who could

1:06:16

sort of preorder from you to fund your research.

1:06:20

And he basically believed that a commercial

1:06:22

ecosystem leads to more innovation

1:06:25

than one that is purely happening in academia

1:06:28

and thus could better serve the

1:06:30

needs of the nation. Customers.

1:06:34

Customer. Customer. Hang

1:06:36

on to that thought for one second.

1:06:38

If you were doing all of this 10 years before,

1:06:40

the university would have looked at you and said, what are you doing?

1:06:43

You're encouraging this stuff to go away

1:06:45

from us. It would have been career suicide in

1:06:47

academia to do this.

1:06:49

Instead, at Stanford, it becomes the

1:06:51

best thing you can do for your career.

1:06:53

Because in Terman's mind, it's the best thing you can do

1:06:55

for your country.

1:06:57

Okay, so that was number two. Number

1:06:59

three,

1:07:00

he carves off a

1:07:02

big part of the Stanford campus. Now if you've ever been to

1:07:04

the Stanford campus,

1:07:06

my God, I was so lucky to spend two years there.

1:07:08

It's like paved in gold. It's literally Shangri-La. They

1:07:11

have so much land. It's the most

1:07:13

beautiful, like idyllic place in the world. And

1:07:15

like 80% of the land is still undeveloped. Yeah,

1:07:18

they own like all the way out to the ocean, I think, like it's crazy.

1:07:21

So he carves off a part of

1:07:23

the Stanford campus and develops

1:07:25

it

1:07:25

to be leased out as commercial

1:07:28

space to corporations and

1:07:30

the government

1:07:31

to come, people to start companies, companies to

1:07:33

come to build to participate on this ecosystem

1:07:36

all right there on campus. It's initially

1:07:38

called the Stanford Industrial Park.

1:07:41

Today, it's called the Stanford Research

1:07:43

Park. It still exists if you've ever been

1:07:45

there. It's basically all of the

1:07:48

office buildings up and down page mill road in

1:07:50

Palo Alto. So it's HP

1:07:53

and Hewlett Packard. We'll talk about that in a minute. It's

1:07:55

Tesla's landlord today. It's VMware. It's

1:07:58

where Xerox Park was. It's where Next was.

1:07:59

was in Steve Jobs. It's where Facebook's

1:08:02

office was for a while. This is where Theranos

1:08:04

was, my God. So

1:08:07

you might be listening like, well, this is cool. Maybe

1:08:09

I knew this stuff. Maybe I didn't. This is really fun. Silicon

1:08:11

Valley history. What does this have to do with

1:08:13

Lockheed?

1:08:14

Well, one of

1:08:17

the very first tenants

1:08:18

of Stanford Industrial Park,

1:08:20

then you were talking about customers, customer,

1:08:24

who would go on to become the

1:08:26

single largest employer

1:08:28

in the area, in Proto

1:08:30

Silicon Valley,

1:08:32

by a huge margin,

1:08:34

was a new secret division

1:08:38

of Lockheed. This blew

1:08:40

my mind. The secret division is called

1:08:42

the Lockheed Missile Systems

1:08:45

Division. Later to be renamed

1:08:48

the Lockheed Missiles and Space

1:08:50

Company.

1:08:51

And what

1:08:52

LMSC, Lockheed Missiles and Space

1:08:54

Company, did.

1:08:56

I honestly think it is bigger

1:08:58

impact to the country, to the world, and

1:09:00

certainly on business to Lockheed and

1:09:02

to Silicon Valley than Skunk Works. This story

1:09:05

is of a scale, I don't know,

1:09:07

that we've ever really told on acquired.

1:09:09

There are a lot of Skunk Works devotees, David.

1:09:11

That is quite the assertion to say that this

1:09:13

is a bigger deal.

1:09:15

Well, let's talk about it. Listeners, you can judge. They

1:09:17

patterned themselves after Skunk Works and took so

1:09:19

many of the Skunk Works management principles

1:09:22

up to Silicon Valley.

1:09:24

I was reading Skunk Works, I'm like, oh yeah, so

1:09:26

many of these principles, they sound like Silicon Valley

1:09:29

principles. Well, there's a reason for that.

1:09:31

Okay,

1:09:32

so Lockheed makes the decision to

1:09:34

start this new Missile Systems

1:09:36

Division in 1954.

1:09:39

But it becomes so much

1:09:41

more than that.

1:09:42

Obviously, this is also top secret stuff,

1:09:44

just like Skunk Works. So just

1:09:46

like Skunk Works, they set up the

1:09:49

new Missiles Division in Burbank,

1:09:51

also in an unmarked building. They literally just

1:09:53

copy-paste Skunk Works right there in Burbank.

1:09:56

And so it starts in Southern California. It

1:09:58

does. But...

1:10:00

There's two problems with that. First,

1:10:03

it's kind of unwieldy for a

1:10:05

big company like Lockheed

1:10:07

to have not one, but two super

1:10:09

secret unmarked divisions right

1:10:12

there on the main campus, you know, that aren't supposed

1:10:14

to know about each other or anything else going on. Like you start

1:10:16

getting into weird territory quickly.

1:10:19

But it's important that

1:10:20

the missiles division did start there because they

1:10:22

took, as I said, a lot of Skunk Works management

1:10:24

practices.

1:10:26

The bigger problem is that it

1:10:28

turns out that building missiles is

1:10:31

a very different discipline than

1:10:33

building airplanes. Because

1:10:36

unlike airplanes, you don't have a pilot in

1:10:39

the missiles. So you need missiles

1:10:41

guidance systems.

1:10:44

And that means that you need

1:10:46

radar and you need computing.

1:10:49

And those two things are not what Southern California

1:10:52

is good at. But you know what's

1:10:54

really good at those things?

1:10:56

Fred Terman

1:10:57

up at Stanford. And everybody

1:10:59

that he's recruited, literally the best minds in the world

1:11:01

at all of that, who are now at Stanford and

1:11:03

who are now being encouraged to go

1:11:06

spin out

1:11:06

and start companies who might just be subcontractors

1:11:09

to a big missile system that you're trying to

1:11:12

build. Interesting.

1:11:13

And this is cool. This is a part of the research that you did that

1:11:15

I don't know much about.

1:11:17

Yeah, this is great. So

1:11:19

the next year in 1955, Lockheed moves the

1:11:24

missile systems division out of

1:11:26

Burbank

1:11:27

and up 101 to the Stanford

1:11:29

industrial

1:11:31

park. The very same

1:11:33

Stanford industrial park that Fred Terman

1:11:36

just carved out of the Stanford campus and

1:11:38

developed on Page Mill Road. And

1:11:41

Lockheed becomes one of the very

1:11:43

first and biggest tenants of

1:11:46

the Stanford now research park and is still

1:11:48

there

1:11:49

to this day. Wow. Now,

1:11:51

they can't actually do everything they wanna do on

1:11:54

the Stanford campus. You're not gonna build a missile and

1:11:56

test it on the Stanford campus.

1:11:58

So Lockheed.

1:11:59

pretty quickly after they established

1:12:02

themselves in Palo Alto, they also

1:12:04

buy 275 acres just down the

1:12:07

road in Sunnyvale and they build

1:12:10

a huge campus there, 137 buildings.

1:12:12

So when Lockheed buys this, the

1:12:16

population of Sunnyvale is less than 10,000 people.

1:12:19

What? Lockheed built

1:12:21

Sunnyvale.

1:12:22

I didn't realize that. Wow.

1:12:25

So how many people would eventually work

1:12:28

in Sunnyvale at Lockheed?

1:12:29

So by the end of

1:12:31

the decade in 1959, just four

1:12:34

years later, Lockheed Missile

1:12:36

Systems employs almost 20,000 people

1:12:39

in Palo Alto and Sunnyvale. And

1:12:42

a few years later, by the mid 60s, they

1:12:44

would employ 30,000 people.

1:12:46

This makes Lockheed by

1:12:49

far the largest employer

1:12:52

in this brand new proto Silicon Valley.

1:12:54

I mean, remember, I just said Lockheed built Sunnyvale. You

1:12:56

think of Sunnyvale Silicon Valley today, like Yahoo

1:12:59

and Intel and all that Cisco, there was

1:13:01

none of that Lockheed built

1:13:03

it. So Hewlett

1:13:05

Packard was the largest tech

1:13:07

company computing company, Silicon

1:13:09

Valley company at the time. Hewlett

1:13:11

and Packard were students of Fred Terman

1:13:14

and Fred encouraged them to spin

1:13:16

out and start Hewlett Packard.

1:13:18

They were the largest new tech company.

1:13:20

They only had 3000 people. 123. Lockheed had 30,000 people. Whoa.

1:13:22

Oh my

1:13:23

God. It's funny story. I

1:13:29

knew at least as of 2009, that

1:13:32

the Lockheed campus in Sunnyvale was large.

1:13:35

Because when I was interning at Cisco, I went

1:13:37

on a run one morning, and I was just sort of like exploring

1:13:39

around and I ran into Lockheed's

1:13:42

campus. And I got chased down by a security

1:13:45

guard who's like, well, you can't just run in here. And

1:13:47

I had my headphones in. I thought I was in big trouble.

1:13:50

Yeah. They had this huge structure called the

1:13:52

blue cube that has since been disassembled.

1:13:55

It's not there anymore, but you need

1:13:57

a big hanger

1:13:58

that you're going to build.

1:13:59

missiles it and they end up building a lot more than

1:14:02

missiles we're going to talk about.

1:14:03

And you mentioned they need radio and

1:14:05

they need computing. Computing basically

1:14:07

wasn't a thing yet. I mean Shockley co-invented

1:14:10

the transistor just a few years before, started

1:14:12

Shockley Semiconductor in 1955. The

1:14:15

same time as Lockheed is coming

1:14:17

to Silicon Valley. Right. And

1:14:19

of course Shockley is a predecessor to Fairchild

1:14:21

Semiconductor, which is a predecessor to Intel.

1:14:24

So like they've got Terman's

1:14:26

radio background, but there

1:14:28

really weren't any people with compute

1:14:31

experience yet. That was all happening concurrently

1:14:34

all around them in Sunnyvale and Palo Alto.

1:14:37

So we talked about this

1:14:39

a bunch actually on the first Sequoia

1:14:41

Capital episode when we were telling Don Valentine's

1:14:43

story. And at the time when we

1:14:45

were telling the story, we're like, Oh, you know, Don, he was

1:14:48

so legendary before he started Sequoia.

1:14:50

He was the head of sales at Fairchild Semiconductor

1:14:53

and the head of sales at National Semiconductor.

1:14:56

And we sort of glossed over to, we were like, yeah,

1:14:58

you know, he was mostly selling to defense companies.

1:15:01

Well, who do you think he was selling to?

1:15:04

I mean, he was selling to defense company.

1:15:07

Yes. Now he was also selling around

1:15:09

the country to other defense contractors too.

1:15:12

Lockheed wasn't the only company that was

1:15:14

working on missiles, but I think they

1:15:16

were the only one that was working on missiles in Silicon

1:15:18

Valley. Wow. And God did they

1:15:20

buy a lot of product

1:15:23

out of all these startups and all of these

1:15:25

Silicon startups that are coming out of

1:15:27

Stanford and coming out of Shockley and just

1:15:29

getting sprung up right there in Silicon Valley.

1:15:32

I can't believe that there

1:15:34

were 10 times more employees

1:15:37

at Lockheed in Silicon Valley

1:15:39

than at HP in the late 50s.

1:15:42

Yes, it is totally insane. And

1:15:45

so many people came through Lockheed

1:15:48

into Silicon Valley, including

1:15:51

one Jerry Wozniak

1:15:54

who moved himself and his young family

1:15:56

out to this new Silicon

1:15:59

Valley. Silicon Valley to become an

1:16:02

engineer at Lockheed

1:16:04

Missiles and Space Company. That's right.

1:16:07

Woz is dead. The reason that Steve

1:16:09

Wozniak grew up in Silicon Valley is

1:16:11

directly because of Lockheed

1:16:13

Martin. Oh, that is awesome. No

1:16:17

Lockheed, no Woz in Silicon Valley,

1:16:19

no Apple. No Apple. Crazy.

1:16:23

Not to mention, there's a really interesting

1:16:25

point here, which is you wouldn't have this open

1:16:29

commercial

1:16:31

spirit to Silicon

1:16:33

Valley without Terman

1:16:35

and without the belief that the right thing

1:16:37

for America was for all these companies

1:16:40

to become companies instead of academic research

1:16:43

or spread around in other parts of the country. It creates

1:16:45

the Silicon Valley ethos and creates Silicon

1:16:47

Valley as the place where that ethos

1:16:49

would thrive. And it's worth pointing out

1:16:52

for people who don't spend a lot of time in the Bay

1:16:54

Area, this has absolutely nothing

1:16:56

to do with San Francisco. Nowadays

1:16:58

it's sort of this big blended soup of companies

1:17:01

that have offices in both places and you can

1:17:03

drive or take the tech train between them. Yeah,

1:17:05

that's a recent phenomenon. San Francisco

1:17:08

is a completely different universe at this

1:17:10

point that is in zero part responsible

1:17:13

for the growth of Silicon Valley.

1:17:15

Yeah. And before this time, before the 50s,

1:17:18

there was no Silicon. It was called the Valley of

1:17:20

Hearts Delight. That was the name

1:17:22

for it. It wasn't Silicon Valley. Huh.

1:17:25

Wild. Okay.

1:17:27

So what was Lockheed actually doing

1:17:29

there? We talked about them working on intercontinental

1:17:31

ballistic missiles, ICBMs and missile

1:17:34

defense systems. I think they probably

1:17:36

did continue to work on

1:17:37

that. But there were two projects that this

1:17:40

new

1:17:41

division of Lockheed

1:17:42

took on that really

1:17:44

changed history

1:17:46

and both of them together became,

1:17:49

for Lockheed at least, and the parent

1:17:51

company, by far the biggest

1:17:54

driver of profits for

1:17:56

the coming decades. And really, as we'll see,

1:17:59

this division.

1:17:59

you know, not skunkworks, this division kept

1:18:02

Lockheed alive. Lockheed would have absolutely

1:18:05

died without this division.

1:18:07

So what were these projects? One went

1:18:11

up to space, as perhaps

1:18:13

is obvious, and we foreshadowed and literally

1:18:15

is in the name of the company, the Lockheed Missiles and

1:18:17

Space Corporation.

1:18:19

And the other one went down

1:18:22

under the oceans. So let's talk

1:18:24

about that one first, because I think it happened

1:18:27

first chronologically. So

1:18:30

submarines had

1:18:32

obviously been a thing since World War II and

1:18:34

even before that, back to World War I.

1:18:37

There's lots of advantages to submarines

1:18:39

during wartime. They're stealthy. They

1:18:42

can basically travel anywhere in the world. You

1:18:45

can stay hidden for long periods of time, especially

1:18:47

once nuclear submarines are developed that can stay

1:18:49

underwater for months at a time, self-powered.

1:18:53

They're both a great offensive and a great defensive

1:18:56

weapon during periods of active war.

1:18:59

But during the Cold War, they're kind of

1:19:01

useless, because

1:19:03

if you wanted to have a chess

1:19:05

piece in position to strike a land-based

1:19:08

target,

1:19:09

if you could even do that at all with a submarine,

1:19:11

you got to get the submarine pretty dang close to

1:19:13

the land, which means close to Russia, which

1:19:15

means they know you're there and that's a provocation.

1:19:19

Unless somebody

1:19:22

could maybe somehow figure out a

1:19:24

way to fire an intercontinental

1:19:27

ballistic missile out of a submarine

1:19:30

and go up into the air and into space

1:19:32

and then hit a land-based target far, far

1:19:34

away. Now, this seems crazy.

1:19:37

It's hard enough to make this happen from the

1:19:39

ground.

1:19:41

You're talking about doing this from the sea with

1:19:43

all the waves and the lack of stability.

1:19:46

No way this could happen. This thing has to thrust

1:19:48

through air after it thrusts through

1:19:50

water.

1:19:51

Oh, well, you're making the leap already

1:19:53

that you would fire it underwater at first

1:19:56

when the Navy contracts Lockheed to work

1:19:58

on this in 1950.

1:19:59

35 to build the Navy's

1:20:02

fleet ballistic missile system. It's FBM.

1:20:05

The idea is they're going to fire these things from the

1:20:07

surface of the ocean. The submarine's going to rise

1:20:09

up. They're going to stabilize it in

1:20:12

water and they're going to fire off a

1:20:14

missile from the deck of a ship or a surface

1:20:16

submarine. You could imagine another

1:20:18

issue, which is these things have rockets

1:20:20

on them. So you have to not destroy the

1:20:22

launch pad, which is the submarine full

1:20:25

of American humans while

1:20:27

launching it.

1:20:28

Yeah, this is a big challenge. The

1:20:30

reason

1:20:31

that it was worth trying

1:20:33

was that if you could

1:20:36

create a naval based intercontinental

1:20:40

nuclear strike capability,

1:20:42

it completely changes the strategic

1:20:45

landscape of deterrence and

1:20:47

first strike versus second strike and retaliation.

1:20:50

So what we were really

1:20:52

afraid of, we thought the Soviets

1:20:55

would pursue a first strike policy if

1:20:57

they felt they were able to.

1:21:00

The way that they would do that is if they

1:21:02

felt that they could in that first strike

1:21:04

knock out all of our

1:21:06

nuclear capabilities. If they could

1:21:09

target all of our land base

1:21:11

ICBMs,

1:21:13

incapacitate them, then we would be

1:21:15

incapable of responding

1:21:17

with a second strike and then they could blow up our cities

1:21:19

and whatnot.

1:21:21

Now,

1:21:22

if all of a sudden you have a mobile

1:21:24

naval based missile system,

1:21:27

well, that completely changes the chess board. It's quite the

1:21:29

deterrent.

1:21:30

Quite the deterrent. You can now pretty

1:21:33

much guarantee as long as you

1:21:35

can keep a fleet of nuclear submarines operating

1:21:37

at all times that you can't take

1:21:40

them out and they can move around and be

1:21:42

anywhere. And so if you launch a strike,

1:21:44

they're going to launch right back and

1:21:47

first strike is now off the table. This is a huge

1:21:50

strategic win if you could put this actually

1:21:53

operationally in practice.

1:21:55

The other medium, if you will,

1:21:57

location

1:21:59

that could change the dimension two for

1:22:01

doing this

1:22:02

would of course be space. If you had

1:22:04

nuclear missiles up in space, that also

1:22:06

changes the dimension. And this among many,

1:22:09

many reasons is why when

1:22:11

the Soviet Union launches Sputnik

1:22:14

into space in October 1957, even

1:22:17

though Sputnik itself was far from having

1:22:20

nuclear ICBM capabilities,

1:22:23

the Soviets getting to space first was truly

1:22:25

terrifying.

1:22:26

I can't imagine how disconcerting it is in an era

1:22:28

that,

1:22:29

you know, now there are tens of thousands of satellites

1:22:31

orbiting the earth all the time.

1:22:33

When that was a brand new thing, when you could look up at

1:22:35

night, if you could see Sputnik and you're like,

1:22:37

Oh my God, that thing any day now could have

1:22:39

a nuke aimed at us. Right.

1:22:42

Okay, so back to the sea. It turned

1:22:44

out like we were talking about a minute ago that firing

1:22:47

ICBMs from the deck of a surfaced

1:22:50

ship, be it a submarine or otherwise,

1:22:52

bad idea, basically impossible.

1:22:55

But firing missiles from under the

1:22:57

ocean was doable. And

1:23:00

Lockheed did it with the help of Silicon

1:23:02

Valley.

1:23:03

So in December 1955, the Navy awards

1:23:07

this contract to Lockheed.

1:23:09

The name of the project was Polaris.

1:23:12

People might've heard of Polaris missiles just

1:23:15

over four years later after the contract

1:23:17

is awarded in 1960.

1:23:18

The very first US

1:23:22

nuclear ballistic missile equipped submarine

1:23:24

sets sail on its patrol and everything we

1:23:26

just talked about

1:23:28

is operationalized equipped with Lockheed

1:23:31

Polaris A1

1:23:33

under sea fired nuclear

1:23:35

warheads. Ballistic missiles could

1:23:38

reach land based targets up to 1200 nautical

1:23:41

miles away from wherever the submarine

1:23:43

was when it launched it.

1:23:45

And it was all built out of Silicon

1:23:47

Valley

1:23:47

with many subcontractors all over the place. Right.

1:23:50

I'm assuming Lockheed doesn't actually make

1:23:53

the nuclear warheads, right? Like that

1:23:55

was still happening in national labs at Sandia

1:23:58

and all the places that were pioneers.

1:23:59

during World War II. Yeah,

1:24:02

Lockheed did not make the submarines, nor did they make

1:24:04

the

1:24:05

nuclear warheads. I think a

1:24:07

lot of this work was done out of Sandia, which

1:24:09

we talked about on the Amazon episode. Oh yeah,

1:24:12

Bezos' dad worked there, right? Grandfather,

1:24:14

Bezos' grandfather was the head of Sandia,

1:24:16

which was in New Mexico, the military

1:24:19

nuclear program,

1:24:21

the division of the US overall nuclear

1:24:23

program, I

1:24:25

think was out of Los Alamos, but Sandia

1:24:27

was the military arm of it.

1:24:29

Which weirdly, Lockheed for

1:24:32

many years actually had a contract to

1:24:34

manage Sandia, because there's some sort

1:24:36

of strange partnership that happens where the

1:24:38

federal government hires government contractors

1:24:40

to manage national labs. Yeah,

1:24:43

to enable this strategic

1:24:45

chess piece, the key thing is

1:24:47

the missiles. Nuclear submarines already

1:24:49

existed, nuclear warheads already existed.

1:24:52

The challenge here was create a system

1:24:54

by which you could launch a missile from under

1:24:57

the ocean out of a submarine. Man, I just

1:24:59

gotta say, it is so fortunate

1:25:01

and insane to me that

1:25:03

neither side ever launched.

1:25:06

All the deterrence

1:25:08

for all the scary things that could

1:25:10

have come out of it and all the itchy trigger fingers and everybody

1:25:13

getting close, it never happened.

1:25:15

That is a big applause

1:25:17

to humanity that we could have done

1:25:20

this and no one did.

1:25:21

Well, this is one of the things that I mentioned at the top

1:25:23

of the episode.

1:25:24

Doing this research sort of changed my mind

1:25:26

on

1:25:27

the war machine aspect of Lockheed

1:25:30

and the military and the military industrial complex.

1:25:33

But I think people really believed, and I think there's a good chance

1:25:35

this was reality, it was

1:25:37

building all of these systems and

1:25:39

advancing all of this capability that

1:25:42

prevented it from being used.

1:25:44

If we hadn't built this stuff, there's

1:25:46

a good chance Russia would have done a first strike.

1:25:49

Yeah, it's crazy.

1:25:51

Okay, so Lockheed after four years successfully

1:25:53

does the underwater ICBM

1:25:56

launch.

1:25:57

Yes, and then that quickly

1:25:59

leads. to more successor

1:26:02

programs and developing the technology further.

1:26:04

The Polaris becomes the

1:26:06

Poseidon is the next program, and then

1:26:08

the Trident. The Trident missiles

1:26:11

had a 5,000 mile range

1:26:14

and carry a

1:26:16

hugely destructive nuclear payload.

1:26:18

Unbelievable. Terrifying.

1:26:20

All right. So

1:26:22

we just told this incredible story about

1:26:25

LMSC taking

1:26:28

Silicon Valley

1:26:29

under the ocean.

1:26:31

This program, Polaris,

1:26:33

Poseidon, Trident, for most people listening,

1:26:36

especially if you're American,

1:26:38

these names aren't surprising to you. You've heard

1:26:40

of these programs. You are aware that

1:26:43

the US starting in the

1:26:45

1960s had nuclear

1:26:47

submarines carrying intercontinental

1:26:50

ballistic missiles. Yep.

1:26:52

It was, if you think back to the kind of

1:26:54

the chess game, it was in the

1:26:56

government's best interest for

1:26:59

the Soviets to know that we had

1:27:01

these. The point was deterrence.

1:27:04

In fact, we probably should have bragged about this

1:27:06

even if it wasn't real. Right. Maybe

1:27:08

it wasn't. Who knows? We

1:27:10

should have had inflatable subs floating around that we thought were nuclear.

1:27:13

Maybe it's all the cover. Maybe all the money that went into Silicon

1:27:15

Valley. No,

1:27:17

I don't think that was the case. Either way, you don't want

1:27:19

to find out. Speaking of cover, do you know about

1:27:22

the things we did on top of the factories

1:27:24

when we were building airplanes? Oh, yes.

1:27:27

And Disney was involved. Yeah.

1:27:29

Starting way back in World War II, but I think continuing

1:27:31

after that, in the Burbank facilities at

1:27:34

Lockheed,

1:27:34

I know Boeing in the Seattle area

1:27:36

and other places too, built basically

1:27:38

these burlap cities on

1:27:41

top of factories that looked

1:27:43

like suburbs, complete with 3D cars and

1:27:46

trees and stuff so that anybody

1:27:48

who was creating a spy plane and flying

1:27:50

overhead would mistake

1:27:52

our manufacturing facilities for

1:27:55

something innocuous. Yeah, I think it was spy planes and also

1:27:57

during World War II bombers.

1:27:59

never made it to the West Coast that they wouldn't know

1:28:02

where to bomb. I'm pretty

1:28:04

sure that Disney Imagineering was involved

1:28:06

in creating these sets like they made

1:28:08

for Disneyland.

1:28:10

It's crazy how sometimes it's in our

1:28:12

best interest to make

1:28:14

the adversary aware of our capabilities

1:28:17

and sometimes we want to disguise capabilities.

1:28:19

It's really interesting. Super interesting.

1:28:22

Okay, so if you remember back when

1:28:24

we pressed pause on the skunk work story and

1:28:27

moved up the state of California up the coast

1:28:29

to Silicon Valley,

1:28:31

we'd said that when

1:28:33

Gary Powers and the U2 was shut down in

1:28:35

May 1960 that supposedly

1:28:38

this was the end of US observational

1:28:41

capabilities in the Soviet

1:28:43

Union and that it was for about three

1:28:46

months, but nobody knew it. Well,

1:28:50

LMSC is the reason

1:28:52

that we got our

1:28:55

eyes back in the sky.

1:28:56

And you might know that eventually after

1:28:59

the U2, Skunk Works would

1:29:01

create the next great spy

1:29:03

plane, the SR-71, which we will get to,

1:29:05

but that wasn't for a little while. So this intelligence

1:29:08

gap was filled by this secret,

1:29:11

not very well-known project.

1:29:13

I think a lot of people in

1:29:15

the military who did know about this stuff,

1:29:18

this is heretical to say because it's so

1:29:20

beloved,

1:29:21

but I think the Blackbird was

1:29:24

a decoy. We were getting everything we needed

1:29:26

from space. We just didn't want anybody

1:29:28

to know about it.

1:29:29

And so everybody's now is like, oh, the Blackbird, it's

1:29:31

such a shame the government shut it down. It

1:29:34

was never used to its potential.

1:29:36

It kind of never needed to be because

1:29:38

of LMSC in space.

1:29:40

Whoa. All right, I'm listening. Okay.

1:29:43

You got a lot of hairs on my arms. Yeah, I know.

1:29:45

I'm getting mad over here. People are probably getting

1:29:47

very mad. Here we go.

1:29:50

So when you think about America

1:29:52

and space and the US space program,

1:29:54

you think of course about

1:29:56

NASA, Gemini and Apollo,

1:29:58

Mercury, Kennedy. putting a man on the moon,

1:30:02

all that amazing stuff, which

1:30:05

for sure happened and was happening. All

1:30:07

of that was basic

1:30:10

science research. Nobody

1:30:13

working on those programs, public

1:30:16

observing it, like

1:30:17

it would be crazy to think they were gonna be actual

1:30:20

applications in space anytime

1:30:23

soon.

1:30:24

There's no infrastructure, like these are science missions. This

1:30:26

is research. And even Sputnik

1:30:29

on the Russian side, Sputnik was

1:30:31

a research festival. It was like the size of, I don't know, like

1:30:34

a bowling ball. I think it was a little bigger, but like it

1:30:36

was

1:30:36

very, very simple. It was

1:30:39

a long, long,

1:30:41

long, long time before you went

1:30:43

from those initial science missions

1:30:46

to

1:30:46

applications in space,

1:30:49

or so everybody thought. Because

1:30:51

in parallel, there was a secret

1:30:54

US space program

1:30:56

being run by Lockheed Missiles

1:30:59

in Space Corporation

1:31:01

out of Silicon Valley. And

1:31:04

in basically the same

1:31:06

timeframe as the initial NASA

1:31:09

missions, the initial Mercury, I think

1:31:11

were the first missions. Mercury, Gemini,

1:31:13

Apollo, yep. Yeah, basically concurrently

1:31:15

with that, they got a fully

1:31:18

operational

1:31:20

observational spy satellite

1:31:22

system

1:31:24

up into space and functioning at the same

1:31:26

time.

1:31:26

How did we launch them with nobody

1:31:29

laid out? There was a cover story for what these

1:31:32

things were. I think it was called the Discoverer

1:31:34

program.

1:31:35

I believe the cover story was that this was like

1:31:38

life form research in space, like they

1:31:40

were sending animals up to space like monkeys

1:31:42

to prepare for manned space flight. That

1:31:44

was the cover story. They may have sent some monkeys

1:31:47

up there, but that was not the point. The

1:31:49

point was to get these reconnaissance satellites up

1:31:51

to space.

1:31:52

So the first program

1:31:55

was called Corona. And

1:31:57

you should Google about it and read. There's a great.

1:31:59

declassification document

1:32:02

story

1:32:02

that the government put out in 1995 when they declassified

1:32:06

this stuff and the Wikipedia page is pretty

1:32:08

good. Yeah,

1:32:09

I downloaded it and I have it open

1:32:11

my computer. It's pretty crazy. It

1:32:13

says secret. It has the classification on it

1:32:15

and then it's struck through. Yeah. It's literally

1:32:18

the document that was prepared in secret

1:32:20

and then declassified. I think what the

1:32:23

CIA and the National Reconnaissance Office does,

1:32:26

I think they write these stories, maybe

1:32:28

quasi in real time, so that there's documentation

1:32:31

of all this stuff and then they stamp it

1:32:33

secret and then it never gets out until it gets

1:32:35

declassified. Wow.

1:32:37

Just amazing. But on the declassification

1:32:39

website, which we'll link to in sources, you

1:32:42

can see a bunch of the pictures that

1:32:44

the corona satellite took, including

1:32:46

of the Pentagon. So you can see like something

1:32:49

you know what it looks like and you can see the level

1:32:51

of fidelity that this 1959 satellite

1:32:54

got of that.

1:32:56

Oh, let's get into it. Okay, so the name Corona.

1:32:58

There are conflicting stories of whether it comes from the

1:33:00

Corona typewriter or the Corona type

1:33:03

of cigar that apparently the Pentagon

1:33:06

official that championed this program really liked.

1:33:09

We'll never know. It's all classified. So

1:33:11

these satellites, like we've been alluding to, had

1:33:14

cameras on them.

1:33:15

The first one went up in August 1960. It

1:33:18

was built in the years leading up to

1:33:20

that by LMSC and then went up in August 1960.

1:33:24

While everything else happening in space was, you

1:33:26

know, research

1:33:27

vessels,

1:33:29

this first corona satellite had a camera

1:33:31

system on it

1:33:33

that

1:33:34

was able to photograph

1:33:36

any ground location that it

1:33:38

passed over in its orbit around the earth

1:33:41

at a resolution as low as

1:33:43

five feet

1:33:44

from space.

1:33:46

These were film systems. Now

1:33:49

the U2 camera system did

1:33:51

have a higher resolution than

1:33:54

that higher ground resolution,

1:33:56

but five feet was still

1:33:57

plenty good. And more important.

1:34:01

the corona system

1:34:02

could take photos anywhere

1:34:05

in the world on its orbit. And if

1:34:07

you had multiple of these satellites up there, you know, you could

1:34:09

pretty much blanket the earth or at least everywhere you

1:34:11

cared about

1:34:12

pretty quickly.

1:34:14

At basically any point in time, you know, they're

1:34:16

spinning around the earth. Like, yes, you can't do it

1:34:18

in real, real time, but like it doesn't take that long

1:34:20

for the thing to fly around the earth and then fly around again. Right.

1:34:24

The very first corona

1:34:26

mission, that very first satellite that went up

1:34:29

in August 1960,

1:34:30

produced greater photo coverage

1:34:33

of the Soviet Union than all

1:34:35

of the previous U2 flights combined. Five

1:34:38

years of operating the U2 program, one

1:34:41

satellite in one kind of

1:34:43

month long mission, I think it was about a month before

1:34:45

it decayed, the orbit decayed,

1:34:47

got more than all of that. Wow. No

1:34:49

need to fly a plane. No need to worry

1:34:51

about getting caught. No need to worry about the Soviets

1:34:53

knowing what was going on. No need to worry about

1:34:55

being shot down.

1:34:57

Unbelievable. There's a crazy stat over 800,000

1:35:01

images would be taken by these satellites

1:35:04

over the course of the program. They got an enormous

1:35:06

amount of coverage. Now,

1:35:08

you might be thinking as you're listening, you know, oh, I

1:35:10

know how satellites and satellite imagery works today.

1:35:13

You know, you got Google Maps, you got Starlink,

1:35:15

you know, blah, blah, blah, Starlink's communication.

1:35:17

But like communication. Yeah. How

1:35:19

did they beam these images down

1:35:22

from the ground? These were not digital

1:35:25

photography. This was film freaking

1:35:28

photograph. So you got to

1:35:30

get the film down from space is my point. Which

1:35:32

they literally did. And how

1:35:34

did they do it? They dropped it.

1:35:36

OK, so that's the craziest thing.

1:35:38

They dropped from

1:35:41

space a canister with film

1:35:43

in it.

1:35:43

Mind you, they can't mess up and expose

1:35:46

the film and ruin it. This is very delicate

1:35:48

film. They drop it in

1:35:50

a canister from orbit. It

1:35:53

enters the atmosphere and during all the heat

1:35:56

and everything. It's not like you just shove

1:35:58

it out of the saddle. They.

1:35:59

had retro rockets built into the

1:36:02

film canisters to

1:36:04

reaccelerate out of the orbit

1:36:06

and move it down to go into the atmosphere.

1:36:08

Right. Because if you just drop it out behind you, then it stays

1:36:11

in orbit. It needs to decelerate its rotational

1:36:13

velocity so that it does move closer to the

1:36:15

earth. It is in a custom designed canister

1:36:18

called the film bucket that General Electric

1:36:20

designed. It would separate

1:36:23

and start falling to the earth

1:36:25

after the incredible heat

1:36:28

and violent action of moving

1:36:30

through the atmosphere.

1:36:31

The heat shield that surrounds

1:36:34

the vehicle is jettisoned at around 60,000

1:36:37

feet. So again, where the highest airplanes

1:36:39

can start to fly and parachutes would

1:36:41

be deployed. So you've got this film canister.

1:36:44

This is my favorite part. This is so good.

1:36:46

Coming down with a parachute,

1:36:48

the capsule is designed

1:36:51

to be caught in midair

1:36:53

by a passing airplane

1:36:56

towing a claw.

1:36:58

The claw grabs the

1:37:00

parachute and they use a winch

1:37:03

to bring the film capsule into

1:37:05

the airplane. It's like those claw games

1:37:07

in the arcades, you know, like, oh, you pick up the literally,

1:37:10

they had a freaking C-130 flying

1:37:12

around with a big-ass claw to snatch

1:37:14

this thing out of the sky. Unbelievable.

1:37:17

You might say, what if the C-130, which

1:37:19

by the way, Lockheed airplane that still flies today,

1:37:21

the C-130J,

1:37:23

what if the airplane misses it? Seems

1:37:25

like that's a pretty reasonable probability when this

1:37:27

thing's falling from space and you're trying to catch it with a

1:37:29

moving object.

1:37:30

It can land at sea

1:37:32

and there's sort of a self-destruct

1:37:35

mechanism where there's a salt plug in the

1:37:37

base that dissolves after exactly

1:37:39

two days, which if that

1:37:42

happens, then the film sinks forever

1:37:44

to the bottom of the sea. So if the Navy can't retrieve

1:37:47

it within 48 hours, the salt sort

1:37:49

of dissolves enough. Because obviously what would

1:37:51

the biggest disaster be would be if somebody else

1:37:53

or the Russians got their hands on this and were like,

1:37:55

holy crap, somebody's taking photos from space of us.

1:37:58

Right?

1:37:59

The whole thing. is genius,

1:38:02

crazy, and absolutely insane

1:38:04

that it actually worked. I believe

1:38:06

it wasn't just one C-130. I

1:38:08

think they had a whole fleet of C-130s all flying around where

1:38:11

they thought this thing was going to reenter the atmosphere. You

1:38:14

would need to. Because how else are you... I mean, when you have

1:38:16

a satellite orbiting the Earth that

1:38:18

fast at, I don't know what it is, Mach

1:38:20

20-something,

1:38:21

it's pretty hard to predict exactly

1:38:24

where your tiny film canister is going to come

1:38:26

back and land. And all this happened

1:38:28

in 1960. Oh my God.

1:38:32

So, all told, the Corona satellite program

1:38:34

and LMSC also designed the

1:38:37

Agena rocket, which was the kind of

1:38:39

upper stage rocket booster that the Corona

1:38:42

satellite and other satellites, future satellites,

1:38:44

attach to. And I think they sort of pioneered

1:38:46

the concept of a second stage. Like, we

1:38:48

need a first stage to get us up, and then we need

1:38:50

a second stage to get us to a very particular

1:38:53

orbit that we care a lot about being in. So,

1:38:55

that system of the Corona

1:38:58

and the Agena was the first spacecraft

1:39:01

in history

1:39:02

to do all

1:39:03

of the following things.

1:39:05

Achieve a circular orbit,

1:39:07

achieve a polar orbit, be

1:39:09

stabilized on all three axes

1:39:12

in orbit, because you kind of needed

1:39:14

to be stabilized if you were going to take

1:39:16

photos at five foot resolution of

1:39:18

the ground,

1:39:19

be controlled by a ground command,

1:39:22

return a man-made object from

1:39:24

space,

1:39:25

propel itself from one orbit to another.

1:39:28

By the way, they returned 39,000 man-made objects from

1:39:30

space. They

1:39:33

took 2.1 million feet

1:39:35

of film, of photographs in 39,000 cans.

1:39:40

I mean,

1:39:40

any one of those things that I just mentioned, if

1:39:43

this weren't a top secret black classified

1:39:45

program for

1:39:46

what, three and a half decades, we'd

1:39:48

be all over the history books, and as

1:39:51

is, like nobody knows about this stuff.

1:39:53

Yeah,

1:39:54

it's the first, obviously, mapping of Earth from space. It's

1:39:57

this first stereo optical data from space. the

1:40:00

first reconnaissance program to fly 100 missions

1:40:02

at all, let alone one in space.

1:40:05

I mean, this thing operated for 12 years. Yeah,

1:40:09

crazy. So Corona would then lead

1:40:11

to three follow-up programs that

1:40:13

we know of, I'm sure many, many more, but

1:40:16

there are three follow-on ones that

1:40:19

LMSC did that have been declassified so

1:40:21

far. Some of these only very recently.

1:40:23

So

1:40:24

the strategy of the program evolution

1:40:27

over time

1:40:28

followed the four stages that we know of. First,

1:40:30

it was what they called see it. That

1:40:33

was Corona, just period. Can we see

1:40:35

the Soviet Union from space? Corona proved

1:40:38

that. The next phase was

1:40:40

can we see it well?

1:40:42

And then the phase after that was can we see it all?

1:40:45

And then the last phase, which is a

1:40:47

lot of the last phase is still classified

1:40:50

is see it now. So let's talk about

1:40:52

all of these. Corona, like we said was

1:40:54

just see it, get photos. But

1:40:57

the photos were at a worse resolution than

1:40:59

what the U2 was able to achieve.

1:41:02

In 1963, only three years

1:41:04

after the first

1:41:07

Corona satellite goes up,

1:41:09

LMSC and the government launch

1:41:12

the Gambit program.

1:41:14

This is the see it well.

1:41:16

So

1:41:17

Gambit's max resolution

1:41:20

still has not been declassified. We

1:41:22

don't know how sharp it was. This thing launched

1:41:25

in 1963 and it is still classified

1:41:28

how good it was.

1:41:30

But it has been confirmed that

1:41:32

the resolution was under two feet,

1:41:34

which was better than the U2 cameras.

1:41:37

Whoa, less than two feet

1:41:40

from space in 1963. Next

1:41:42

was hexagon.

1:41:44

Hexagon was the quote, see it all

1:41:46

program.

1:41:47

Now this is starting to eclipse a little bit my

1:41:50

technical knowledge. And I think there's also just less

1:41:52

known about this because a lot of this is still classified

1:41:54

too. I believe the hexagon satellites

1:41:57

had longer orbit lifespan.

1:41:59

and had more film capacity before

1:42:02

they decayed. And so I think they were able

1:42:04

to kind of like see more longer,

1:42:07

I think is what Hexagon was. You basically

1:42:09

would need larger format film

1:42:12

with a wider angle lens if

1:42:14

you don't want to increase your number of satellites. Yeah.

1:42:17

I'm fuzziest on Hexagon.

1:42:19

Then in 1977, they launched Canon, K-E-N-N-E-N, which

1:42:26

this is still like very classified.

1:42:29

Some of it is out so we can know

1:42:31

a little bit about this. There actually was an incident

1:42:34

in, I think it was 2019, when

1:42:36

Trump was president.

1:42:38

He tweeted a intelligence

1:42:42

photo. That was just like this incredible

1:42:44

photo of, you know, incredible resolution

1:42:47

of something that happened somewhere, maybe in Iran. And

1:42:49

he tweeted like, oh, see, like it isn't what you thought. And

1:42:52

people went nuts.

1:42:54

People believe it's never been confirmed that

1:42:56

this photo was from a future version

1:42:58

of the Canon program.

1:43:01

So what was Canon?

1:43:02

Canon, it was see it now.

1:43:05

It's the first real time

1:43:08

space-based surveillance system. I

1:43:11

guess maybe the first real time surveillance system

1:43:13

period. I don't know. By 1977, there

1:43:16

were enough communication satellites

1:43:18

up in the sky and

1:43:20

digital photography had come along

1:43:22

far enough. The Canon satellites

1:43:24

are

1:43:25

like what we think about like Google maps, like it's real

1:43:28

time digital photography

1:43:30

beamed down via ground link

1:43:33

to stations in real time. Whoa.

1:43:36

And Lockheed has to build their

1:43:38

own digital workstations to like

1:43:41

process these photos, to

1:43:43

display them, to manipulate them. Like, I

1:43:46

think these might've been the first or like really

1:43:48

early digital

1:43:49

photo processing manipulation

1:43:51

workstations that were sold to the CIA.

1:43:54

I didn't know about any of this. Yeah, Lockheed built all

1:43:56

this in Silicon Valley. Wow.

1:43:59

You keep saying Google Maps. There's a

1:44:02

fun piece of trivia that I'm curious if you know. Do

1:44:04

you know, I

1:44:06

think it was the code name, the

1:44:08

original name for the Corona program. Oh,

1:44:10

Keyhole, yes. Yes. Which

1:44:12

is one of the companies that Google acquired that

1:44:15

became Google Maps. Yep.

1:44:16

Different Keyhole. Different Keyhole. But I'm pretty

1:44:19

sure Keyhole, Inc.,

1:44:20

which became Google Maps, was named

1:44:23

after this Keyhole program. Ooh.

1:44:25

It very well could have been, because it was 1995 when

1:44:28

that was declassified. And I'm sure Keyhole

1:44:30

was started after that. Yep.

1:44:32

Just super cool. Along the way,

1:44:35

LMSC also does

1:44:37

a lot of pioneering work in weather satellites.

1:44:39

And they launch weather satellites,

1:44:41

because it turns out that most of Russia is under

1:44:43

cloud cover most of the time. So they got

1:44:45

to know when the weather is

1:44:47

going to be clear enough to look pretty awesome.

1:44:50

Well, that's when you get into all the synthetic

1:44:52

aperture radar and all the other types

1:44:54

of sensing that you have in satellites

1:44:57

now that are not just the visible

1:44:59

light spectrum in order to get visibility of stuff

1:45:01

on the ground no ratter the conditions. Yep.

1:45:04

They're part of the positioning

1:45:07

satellites that the military puts up.

1:45:09

And that goes on to be opened

1:45:11

up to commercial use. And that's the GPS

1:45:14

system that we use today. And

1:45:16

of course, I'm sure LMSC

1:45:18

is part of

1:45:19

many, many other things in space that

1:45:21

we still have no idea about.

1:45:23

Wow. Yeah. One thing that

1:45:25

we have a lot of idea about that

1:45:27

they built

1:45:29

that I had no idea until researching

1:45:31

all this. So we're now

1:45:33

in the 70s as this is going along. And we'll

1:45:36

come back and talk a little bit about this as we come back

1:45:38

to Skunk Works here in a sec. But we're getting

1:45:40

towards the end of the Cold War. And this stuff

1:45:43

is less urgent. Lockheed

1:45:45

and LMSC start moving

1:45:47

into non-military applications

1:45:50

or trying to.

1:45:51

But LMSC

1:45:53

gets a contract from NASA

1:45:55

and builds

1:45:57

the Hubble telescope. Did you know that?

1:45:59

I did know that.

1:45:59

And Martin Marietta, future

1:46:02

Martin in Lockheed Martin, built the

1:46:05

large orange fuel tank for

1:46:07

the space shuttle which took the Hubble telescope

1:46:10

to space. Haha, that's so awesome.

1:46:12

Different companies at the time,

1:46:14

now the same company.

1:46:16

Yep. This is a great time to talk about our

1:46:18

third favorite company of the episode, pilot.com.

1:46:21

And as you know, this season we are joined by Waseem

1:46:23

Daher, CEO of Pilot,

1:46:25

for his tips he has for founders

1:46:28

after starting three different companies.

1:46:30

Today we're talking about a fun one,

1:46:33

fake work. Don't get

1:46:35

distracted by it. Tell us about that.

1:46:37

Sure. So I think there's a real temptation

1:46:40

among early stage startup founders

1:46:43

to do something that's basically like playing startup.

1:46:46

Meaning there are the things you really need to

1:46:48

do, but there are the things you think

1:46:51

like, oh, this is what a CEO does, or this

1:46:53

is what a business person should do. So

1:46:55

I guess I should spend time on that stuff. Like

1:46:58

going to networking events or

1:47:00

giving talks, spending a bunch of time meeting

1:47:02

VCs for coffee if you're not fundraising,

1:47:04

or being clever on Twitter, or just

1:47:06

spending hours researching what corporate card

1:47:09

is the best. You really have

1:47:11

one job as

1:47:12

an early stage startup founder, which is to

1:47:15

find product market fit, or to talk

1:47:18

to your customers, build something that they really

1:47:20

love and that they're willing to pay you for.

1:47:22

And anything that you do that is not

1:47:24

that, in a way, really is

1:47:26

fake work. It feels like work. It takes up

1:47:29

your time, but it doesn't actually

1:47:31

advance

1:47:32

the mission of the company. And it is consequently

1:47:34

really, really dangerous.

1:47:36

Sometimes it's working on

1:47:38

like priority 35. Like this is a

1:47:40

real task. It's a task that needs to be done,

1:47:43

maybe, I guess, by someone.

1:47:44

Just you should be focusing on priority number one

1:47:46

or two. Like priority number 35 should be the thing

1:47:48

that is below the line that you don't get to.

1:47:51

And you do it because you're good at priority 35,

1:47:54

or you happen to like that particular thing. For

1:47:57

me,

1:47:57

the very concrete example recently is...

1:47:59

I wrote some elaborate Python script to

1:48:02

sync data between our CRM and

1:48:04

a spreadsheet I was using to track revenue. And

1:48:06

it was just like, no, why?

1:48:09

That's an awful use of my time. But

1:48:11

like, I like to program sometimes. And so I did

1:48:13

it and I justified it to myself as like, Oh, I'm working,

1:48:15

I'm helping compute the revenue

1:48:17

or whatever. It's like, no, no, you have to be

1:48:20

laser focused on the real work, not

1:48:22

the fake work.

1:48:23

Our thanks to pilot, the largest startup focused

1:48:26

accounting firm in America.

1:48:28

You can click the link in the show notes or go to pilot.com

1:48:30

slash acquired to get 20% off your

1:48:33

finance, accounting and tax prep needs

1:48:35

for your first six months. And frankly, everyone

1:48:38

should do this. This is no one's core competency.

1:48:40

pilot has gotten extremely good at it. humans

1:48:43

software, keeping up with all the latest

1:48:45

trends and FinTech platforms

1:48:47

that you're probably using. Click the link in the show

1:48:49

notes and give it a shot. I think they are fantastic

1:48:52

humans and we recommend it.

1:48:54

Thank you pilot. It's

1:48:55

funny to be talking about

1:48:56

pilot

1:48:57

as we're talking about

1:48:58

aircraft. I know. Well, here now we're talking

1:49:00

about pilot lists aircraft, but which is

1:49:02

what you should be because you should use pilot, you

1:49:05

should outsource all of your finance and accounting to

1:49:07

pilot. Okay, two other things

1:49:09

that I want to talk about with LMSC

1:49:12

before we come back to the coda on skunk

1:49:14

works and the blackbird and all that.

1:49:16

One, I think I alluded

1:49:19

to this earlier. LMSC

1:49:21

listeners, you be the

1:49:23

judge. The stories that we've just told is

1:49:25

this more impactful to America

1:49:27

and the world than what skunk works was doing.

1:49:30

Personally, I kind of think yes, but you know, maybe

1:49:32

you can debate.

1:49:33

What is undebatable

1:49:35

is that LMSC from a business

1:49:37

standpoint within Lockheed became

1:49:40

the crown jewel of the company. Huh? Which

1:49:43

isn't true anymore. Or at least it's not their

1:49:45

largest business today. Well,

1:49:48

I think at times in the sixties and

1:49:50

seventies and eighties, LMSC was

1:49:52

the largest business by revenue, but

1:49:55

almost through the whole time, it was by

1:49:57

far the most profitable division. within

1:50:00

Lockheed. And at times, when

1:50:02

we'll get into Lockheed fell on some really

1:50:04

hard times in the seventies, there

1:50:07

were years where

1:50:08

LMSC generated more than 100%

1:50:12

of the profits of Lockheed. So

1:50:14

all of the rest of Lockheed Skunk Works included

1:50:17

was in the red, unprofitable,

1:50:19

bleeding money.

1:50:20

And LMSC

1:50:22

was keeping the company afloat.

1:50:24

Wow. And if you think about it, I guess one,

1:50:26

like just what they're developing and the scale

1:50:29

of it and these contracts are huge, both

1:50:32

under the ocean and up in space. Two

1:50:34

though, what they're doing, it's different than

1:50:36

building airplanes. And I alluded to this when I was talking

1:50:38

about it, it's a different talent set. This

1:50:41

is much more technology problems

1:50:43

and computing problems that LMSC

1:50:46

is tackling here. Yes, they're building missiles.

1:50:48

Yes, they're building rockets and all that, but the

1:50:51

core value

1:50:53

components of those rockets is

1:50:55

computing and silicon and ultimately

1:50:58

software. And as we talk about all the time

1:51:00

on this show, like, well, that's really good margins, definitely

1:51:02

better margins than building airplanes.

1:51:04

So the stats

1:51:06

I have, this is from Beyond the Horizons, which

1:51:09

also is where a lot of the story, especially of

1:51:11

Corona came from.

1:51:13

During the 12 year period from 1960,

1:51:17

when Corona first launched to 1972,

1:51:20

Lockheed as a whole did 26 billion

1:51:22

in revenue over

1:51:24

that 12 year period, and just 255 million

1:51:27

in total profit, not

1:51:30

a high margin company during that period.

1:51:33

LMSC accounted for

1:51:35

over a third of that revenue and 128%

1:51:38

of the profit. So

1:51:40

that's what I was talking about.

1:51:42

Everything else in Lockheed lost money,

1:51:44

or at least in aggregate lost money. And

1:51:46

then during the early post-Cold War period from 1983

1:51:48

to 1992, LMSC accounted for 46% of revenue.

1:51:51

So

1:51:54

growing percentage of revenue and 72%

1:51:57

of profits during that 10 year period.

1:51:59

Wow, it really is a completely different

1:52:02

company today. And I want to save why

1:52:04

as we drift toward today in analysis and all that. But that's

1:52:07

crazy how big the LMSC business

1:52:09

was at the time. It was a great business

1:52:12

just from a business standpoint.

1:52:14

So

1:52:15

the other thing I want to talk about before we come back to Skunk Works is

1:52:18

LMSC's operating

1:52:20

principles in philosophy. And

1:52:22

so much of that was built off the shoulders

1:52:24

of Skunk Works. And a lot of the guys

1:52:27

in the YouTube videos that I found talk about

1:52:29

this. Their philosophy, though,

1:52:31

they codified into seven tenets.

1:52:34

So Kelly had his 14

1:52:36

rules. LMSC had

1:52:38

seven tenets.

1:52:40

And most of them are very similar to

1:52:42

the Skunk Works rules. We'll link

1:52:44

to an image of them in the show notes.

1:52:47

One of them, though, that I want to highlight and discuss

1:52:49

that

1:52:50

to me stands out as different from

1:52:52

Skunk Works is Tenet Number One.

1:52:55

And that one is

1:52:56

focus on a threat-based

1:52:59

need. And I think that's really

1:53:01

interesting. Huh.

1:53:03

To me, when I read that and thought about it,

1:53:06

that element is missing

1:53:08

from Skunk Works and

1:53:11

Kelly's

1:53:12

philosophy.

1:53:13

Oh, this is conjecture here. Like, there's no Skunk

1:53:15

Works book about LMSC. So like, we

1:53:18

have very little information to go on.

1:53:20

But if that really was

1:53:21

Tenet Number One for

1:53:23

the company,

1:53:25

I think you could maybe extrapolate that

1:53:27

a little bit to the

1:53:28

market context is really important

1:53:31

for what you're doing. And don't lose sight of

1:53:34

the market context for what you're building.

1:53:36

Kelly's philosophy of all that matters

1:53:39

is rapid delivery of superior products.

1:53:42

Nowhere in that statement is there

1:53:44

room for the market. Well, who decides what's superior?

1:53:47

Maybe a small number of people want

1:53:49

this, but do a large number of people want this? How

1:53:51

important is this? Obviously, what Skunk

1:53:53

Works was doing was really important.

1:53:55

Or so they thought. I mean, if they knew

1:53:58

about this robust spy.

1:53:59

satellite system. Well, this is

1:54:02

the argument. Maybe it wasn't that important. Maybe

1:54:04

the Blackbird was a decoy.

1:54:06

Okay. We have not talked about the SR-71.

1:54:09

Can you please take us back to Skunk Works? I'm like dying

1:54:12

for my Mach 3 airplanes and ribbon

1:54:14

engines here. Okay.

1:54:17

Let's do it. But keep that in mind though. A threat

1:54:19

based need. Was there a threat based need for the SR-71?

1:54:22

Maybe.

1:54:23

My computer wallpaper needs to exist. So that's

1:54:25

a need. There was a

1:54:27

market need. Was there a threat based

1:54:29

need? Okay.

1:54:31

So

1:54:33

Skunk Works, the greatest airplane ever built.

1:54:35

Gee, it sure would be nice if

1:54:37

we had a plane that couldn't be

1:54:40

shot down. So when

1:54:42

Gary Powers was shot down in May 1960, of

1:54:45

course, as you would expect, the CIA

1:54:49

and Skunk Works is already hard

1:54:51

at work at the successor airplane

1:54:53

to the U-2.

1:54:54

Everybody believes it's kind of a miracle that they were able

1:54:57

to fly for five years like they did.

1:54:59

They knew that this day was coming

1:55:01

when the Russians would be able to shoot it down.

1:55:04

So

1:55:05

as we talked about, the U-2's primary

1:55:09

defense as it so happened, wasn't

1:55:11

intentional, but as it happened in practice

1:55:14

was how high it flew. It was obviously

1:55:16

trackable on radar. 70,000 feet. Yup. It's

1:55:19

not like you could evade enemy

1:55:22

fighters or missiles in this thing. It had a hundred foot wingspan.

1:55:25

It turned like a school bus. It

1:55:28

was how high it flew. And then all of a sudden that

1:55:30

was no longer defensible.

1:55:32

So it's not very fast and it doesn't fly

1:55:34

high enough to evade missiles. So

1:55:37

kind of useless. Yup.

1:55:39

So if you remember back to the original spec for

1:55:42

the program, there were three sort of

1:55:44

vectors that were possible

1:55:46

for how you could operate a

1:55:48

program like this.

1:55:50

One was fly high enough. That's

1:55:52

what the U-2 ultimately did.

1:55:54

There was also though, fly

1:55:56

so that it can't be seen by radar

1:55:59

stealthy. We'll come back to that in

1:56:01

a few minutes here.

1:56:02

And then three. Make it go

1:56:04

so fast that even if they do fire

1:56:06

at you, it just falls behind

1:56:09

and then explodes miles behind

1:56:11

your incredibly fast airplane.

1:56:14

Yep. So

1:56:16

that's the path they took. If you can't evade

1:56:18

them, outrun them. Yep.

1:56:20

It's like the Sonic the Hedgehog of airplanes.

1:56:23

So

1:56:24

this program, if you know anything about the

1:56:27

SR-71 Blackbird, you're like, well,

1:56:29

that's a Air Force airplane.

1:56:31

We're talking about the CIA here.

1:56:33

The Blackbird was not a CIA airplane.

1:56:36

The program that the Blackbird ultimately came

1:56:38

out of was the A-12 Oxcart.

1:56:41

This was essentially the same airplane. We'll

1:56:44

talk about the differences in a minute. But this

1:56:46

was the CIA contract that they

1:56:48

had Skunk Works working on. And it was,

1:56:50

yeah, the goal of make this thing so fast that whether

1:56:52

they see it or not, they're not gonna shoot it out

1:56:54

of the sky.

1:56:55

It has an even better camera, I think

1:56:58

also designed by Edwin Land, and

1:57:00

it can get these incredible photos

1:57:03

flying really, really fast. Yep.

1:57:05

And to be able to avoid surface-to-air

1:57:08

missiles, that

1:57:10

basically meant that the specs for this

1:57:12

thing were that it had to go Mach 3

1:57:15

or faster. Now,

1:57:18

to outrun any missiles,

1:57:20

it had to do that with a pilot. There

1:57:22

had to be humans in this thing. Faster

1:57:24

than Mach 3 is faster than 2,000 miles an hour.

1:57:28

If you fire a rifle,

1:57:30

that bullet doesn't go Mach 3.

1:57:33

If you're standing on the ground and you pick up a rifle

1:57:35

and you shoot it, and an SR-71 flies over your

1:57:37

head, the SR-71

1:57:39

will beat the bullet. Yeah, it goes about 2

1:57:42

thirds of a mile every second. This

1:57:45

thing also is not very good

1:57:47

at turning, as you would imagine. So

1:57:50

there's a fun stat about the SR-71.

1:57:53

It cannot turn around in

1:57:55

the state of Ohio.

1:57:57

It's turn radius to change direction

1:57:59

by 180.

1:57:59

80 degrees

1:58:01

is a

1:58:02

wider turn than the state of Ohio.

1:58:05

Oh, wow. It's decommissioning mission,

1:58:07

just to show off how fast it ever went,

1:58:09

was one hour and five

1:58:11

minutes from LA to

1:58:14

DC.

1:58:15

For being placed in the National

1:58:17

Iron Space Museum? Yep,

1:58:19

coast to coast in an hour. Wow.

1:58:23

And I remember being a kid looking at this thing, like,

1:58:25

well, why didn't we commercial the, you

1:58:27

can't commercialize this thing. You've got to be in a spacesuit

1:58:29

to fly this. Totally. It flies

1:58:32

at 84,000 feet, up looks black to you,

1:58:34

straight basically

1:58:36

looks black to you. You can see the curvature of

1:58:38

the Earth. You can't navigate, really,

1:58:41

by Earth-based landmarks,

1:58:44

because the

1:58:45

Earth-based landmarks are moving

1:58:47

by you too fast. So the best you can do

1:58:50

is be like, the Rockies are in front of me, oh,

1:58:52

the Rockies are behind me. And that's

1:58:54

not terribly useful. So they had to invent

1:58:56

a new navigational guidance system

1:58:59

that sits on the top of the plane, R2D2

1:59:01

style, looking like an astro mech from Star Wars,

1:59:04

to navigate by the stars.

1:59:06

So great. I mean, it is like 50 concurrent

1:59:10

miracles that went into making this

1:59:12

thing possible.

1:59:13

And hopefully this is obvious. But just to make the

1:59:15

point again, some of you might be sitting there being like,

1:59:17

well, you just told me about how the sister company, LMSC,

1:59:21

did all this amazing stuff in space. You go a lot

1:59:23

faster than that to get to space and whatnot. Yeah,

1:59:26

but you don't have humans on there. So a

1:59:28

pilot's got to fly this thing. And these aren't rocket engines.

1:59:30

These are jet engines that they figured out how to make

1:59:32

go Mach 3. Yep.

1:59:34

OK. So when Skunk Works

1:59:37

and Kelly and Ben Rich and everybody sit

1:59:39

down to work on this, the

1:59:41

current state of the art, fastest

1:59:44

plane at the time,

1:59:46

this is late 1950s when

1:59:48

they start working on this,

1:59:50

is the McDonnell Douglas F-4

1:59:52

Phantom,

1:59:53

which is able to hit just over

1:59:56

Mach 2

1:59:57

with its afterburners on. So not sustained for

1:59:59

the first time.

1:59:59

Like when you punch the afterburners,

2:00:02

it

2:00:02

can barely touch Mach 2.

2:00:04

And the F4 itself was

2:00:06

only a bit faster than the Skunk

2:00:08

Works built F-104

2:00:10

Starfighter that Ben you mentioned earlier, which

2:00:13

was the first collier trophy that

2:00:15

Kelly Johnson won.

2:00:17

So the idea that you were going to achieve

2:00:19

cruising speeds, like sustained

2:00:22

speeds above Mach 3,

2:00:25

this is a big piece to bite off here.

2:00:27

Only a handful of planes have ever

2:00:29

been able to do this since, and

2:00:32

I'm pretty sure no other plane has been able

2:00:34

to do this at cruise speed without

2:00:36

engaging afterburners. It is still to this

2:00:39

day, unless there are classified programs we don't

2:00:41

know about, the highest and fastest

2:00:44

humans have ever flown without rocket propulsion.

2:00:46

Yes. Okay, so how are you going to do this? The

2:00:50

only way you can do this in a jet-powered

2:00:53

plane

2:00:54

is to essentially design something

2:00:56

that can run with afterburners on all

2:00:58

the time.

2:00:59

Like they're not afterburners, they're just

2:01:01

burners. It's how the thing goes. To

2:01:04

do that, you A. required

2:01:07

a tremendous amount of fuel,

2:01:09

and B. you also produce

2:01:12

heat in doing so that's like rocket-level

2:01:15

proportions. The skin

2:01:18

of the airplane gets to 500 degrees Fahrenheit. The

2:01:22

area near the engines on the airframe itself

2:01:25

gets almost to a thousand. Yes,

2:01:27

and the engines, I think, inside the engines

2:01:29

get to close to 3000 degrees, I

2:01:31

believe.

2:01:32

So they had to build the whole plane out of titanium

2:01:35

to make this work. Which was a metal

2:01:37

that no one had ever built a plane out of before. Right,

2:01:40

this is really funny.

2:01:42

There wasn't enough titanium in the United States to

2:01:44

build all these blackbirds, or raw

2:01:46

titanium that they could easily source. There happened

2:01:48

to be mines somewhere else with a bunch of titanium.

2:01:51

So the government and Lockheed set

2:01:53

up a bunch of dummy corporations. In Europe,

2:01:56

like European incorporated dummy corporations.

2:01:58

Yes.

2:01:59

source a large amount of the titanium that

2:02:02

goes into the blackbirds, the A12s and then the

2:02:04

blackbirds

2:02:05

out of the Soviet Union. Too

2:02:09

funny. And by the way, you can't

2:02:12

machine titanium with

2:02:14

regular tools. Right.

2:02:17

Titanium is so hard that it will damage

2:02:19

your tools. So they had to machine new

2:02:22

tools

2:02:23

for the blackbird itself out of titanium

2:02:25

in order to

2:02:26

manufacture the titanium plane. I feel like it's

2:02:29

like a diamond cutting facility or something.

2:02:31

Totally. And I think traditional

2:02:34

materials like aluminum would lose its strength

2:02:36

around 300 degrees. So like you actually

2:02:38

need a different material. Otherwise the whole plane

2:02:41

would just dissolve when it got

2:02:43

that fast.

2:02:44

Amazing.

2:02:45

So there's

2:02:46

another funny thing here, which is metal

2:02:49

expands when it gets hot. And

2:02:51

normally your airplane materials don't

2:02:53

get that hot because you're not going that

2:02:55

fast. It's fine if the metal expands a

2:02:57

little bit,

2:02:58

except when it's getting this hot,

2:03:00

the panels, the skin of the airplane is

2:03:02

going to expand quite a bit.

2:03:04

So that means if they expand a lot,

2:03:06

you have to leave a lot of room.

2:03:08

So

2:03:09

how do you leave room? So what they

2:03:12

want it to do is fit together really snug

2:03:14

while the plane is flying, which

2:03:17

means the panels have to fit together kind

2:03:19

of loose

2:03:20

when the plane's not flying. Ben, are you

2:03:22

telling me that the blackbird had panel gaps? The

2:03:25

blackbird had panel gaps

2:03:27

and to add insult to injury, there

2:03:30

are a variety of reasons they decided not to

2:03:32

have custom fuel tanks. They

2:03:34

literally just made the skin of the aircraft,

2:03:37

the fuel tank itself. So you didn't need

2:03:39

sort of multiple, you needed it to be light.

2:03:41

And you needed a lot of fuel in there. Right.

2:03:44

And so when it was on the ground after you fuel it up, because

2:03:47

there's gaps in the fuel tank, it would

2:03:49

just leak fuel while

2:03:51

it was sitting on the ground. So to solve

2:03:53

this problem,

2:03:54

they went to shell and had a custom

2:03:58

fuel created for it.

2:03:59

that was not flammable

2:04:02

on the ground. Like you could smoke a cigarette next to it and

2:04:04

it wouldn't burst into flames because after you fuel

2:04:06

this thing before it took off, it's just gonna leak fuel all

2:04:09

over the tarmac. Oh my God. This is one

2:04:11

of the reasons why

2:04:12

it is maybe spoiling it a little bit, but to flash

2:04:15

forward, the Air Force hated

2:04:17

operating these things. Yeah. I

2:04:20

mean, it costs, I think, $300 million a year just

2:04:22

to maintain these things. These

2:04:25

were beasts from hell in every

2:04:27

sense of that phrase. The good

2:04:29

and the bad. Yep.

2:04:31

Okay, so that's some of the materials challenges.

2:04:35

Another problem

2:04:36

was on the engines. So

2:04:39

the most advanced jet engines

2:04:41

in the world at the time

2:04:43

was the Pratt & Whitney J58. And

2:04:46

I believe actually they weren't even able to get

2:04:48

the J58 in the first A12s and

2:04:51

then only later in the Blackbirds did

2:04:53

they put it in. And we should tell people the Blackbird,

2:04:55

the SR-71 was the two seater Air Force

2:04:57

version of the single seater

2:04:59

A12 CIA airplane. Yep.

2:05:02

So

2:05:03

even the J58s

2:05:05

couldn't produce nearly enough thrust

2:05:07

on their own to get to

2:05:09

and sustain the Mach 3 plus speeds

2:05:12

that

2:05:13

they needed to hit spec. In fact,

2:05:15

at least according to Ben Rich in Skunk Works, they

2:05:18

could only produce about 25% of the thrust required.

2:05:21

So Ben leads a

2:05:23

team that engineers the Spike

2:05:26

Inlet System. So if you're looking at a Blackbird

2:05:29

and you look at the engines, they've got

2:05:31

these like

2:05:32

cones in front of these spikes, these big

2:05:34

spikes. I mean, I'm sure everybody listening

2:05:37

has seen a photo of Blackbird. If you live in

2:05:39

Seattle, go to the Museum of Flight. There's

2:05:41

a handful of these at various museums

2:05:43

around the country. You owe it to yourself if you have

2:05:45

not seen one of these things in person.

2:05:47

It's just one of the most amazing objects ever

2:05:50

created ever. But these cones,

2:05:52

what do they do?

2:05:53

So the engines get the thing

2:05:55

up

2:05:56

and then once it's up in the air, the cones

2:05:59

expand and reach. first

2:06:01

suck in

2:06:02

and then compress and then superheat

2:06:05

massive amounts of air

2:06:07

that they then mix with fuel in

2:06:09

the engines and ignite.

2:06:13

Essentially, this is the world's

2:06:15

most badass supercharger

2:06:18

ever created. These

2:06:20

things are superchargers. That's what they are. The Spike System is

2:06:22

a supercharger for the engines. It

2:06:24

provides

2:06:25

three quarters of the thrust needed

2:06:27

to get to

2:06:28

Mach 3 plus and sustain it.

2:06:30

Unbelievable. Obviously, Dave

2:06:33

and I are fanboying this thing.

2:06:35

It's really easy to feel good about

2:06:37

this airplane because it also never carried

2:06:39

guns. It only carried cameras. You

2:06:41

couldn't shoot bullets out of it because it's

2:06:43

faster than the bullets. Right. But

2:06:46

they did consider, I think Kelly

2:06:48

and the Skunk Works team were really advocating to build

2:06:50

a tactical aircraft that was based

2:06:53

on this or a bomber. And that never

2:06:55

happened. So every version

2:06:57

of the SR-71 or the early prototypes

2:07:00

of the Archangel or the CIA spy plane,

2:07:02

they're only ever badass airplanes

2:07:04

that carry

2:07:05

cameras. And go really fast. Yeah.

2:07:08

Yeah. So fortunately,

2:07:11

you know, Skunk Works and the CIA had started working

2:07:13

on the A-12 ox cart

2:07:15

before Gary Powers was shut down. It

2:07:17

takes, I believe, quite a while to engineer

2:07:20

this beast. They start test

2:07:22

flying it in April 1962. Of course, at Area 51.

2:07:24

Where else are they going to do

2:07:26

this? Once

2:07:30

they start test flying it, that's when the Air Force

2:07:33

finally gets interested in the project and is like,

2:07:35

oh, we want our version of this. And that's how

2:07:37

the Blackbird comes about. A fun little

2:07:39

bit of trivia within the Air Force

2:07:42

and the Pentagon. The project originally

2:07:44

was called the RS-71. Yes.

2:07:48

Not the SR. And the SR-71

2:07:50

is strategic reconnaissance, but it ended

2:07:52

up being backwards. Yeah. So

2:07:54

funny. It happened because

2:07:56

President Lyndon Johnson actually announced the

2:07:58

existence of this thing.

2:07:59

in a national speech and during

2:08:02

the speech he calls it the SR-71 instead

2:08:04

of the RS. There's

2:08:06

some speculation that it wasn't that he messed

2:08:08

up and made a mistake, but that his speechwriter

2:08:11

wanted it to be called the SR-71

2:08:14

and intentionally modified

2:08:16

the speech. Who knows? What

2:08:18

is relevant though,

2:08:19

post-Cold War politics become

2:08:21

a huge thing here. So once Johnson

2:08:24

says this,

2:08:25

nobody is willing to contradict the president. So

2:08:28

Skunk Works has to go and like redo

2:08:30

all of their documentation for the whole damn

2:08:32

thing. You can imagine Kelly Johnson's

2:08:35

reaction to this. Yeah.

2:08:37

So the first official flight of the

2:08:39

Blackbird happens on December 22nd, 1964. It

2:08:43

reaches a top speed of Mach 3.4. God.

2:08:47

The airplane wins Kelly his

2:08:49

second Collier trophy. I

2:08:51

mean still to this day people lose their minds

2:08:54

over this thing and it's stunning.

2:08:56

It

2:08:57

I believe has never been shot

2:08:59

down. There were some accidents in

2:09:02

test piloting, but yeah, it's never been hit by

2:09:04

an enemy. I think it took four years to ever

2:09:06

even be detected by radar for the first time all

2:09:09

the way until 1968.

2:09:11

It has played roles in surveillance in

2:09:14

Vietnam, Korea, Arab-Israel

2:09:16

conflict in the 70s, obviously the

2:09:19

USSR. There's stuff you can find out there

2:09:21

on the internet. Obviously nobody really knows, but supposedly

2:09:24

according to internet lore, over 4,000 missiles have

2:09:27

been shot at

2:09:29

Blackbirds and none of them have ever hit.

2:09:31

It is just such an awesome badass

2:09:33

thing to say the way

2:09:36

that we're going to get around getting shot down is just

2:09:38

to be faster than the missiles and be right

2:09:40

about that. It's especially awesome

2:09:42

when you know as the

2:09:44

highest levels of the government,

2:09:46

it's kind of all a decoy anyway. You're

2:09:49

getting what you need from other sources. Man,

2:09:52

so this is a good time to talk about that. You keep saying

2:09:54

that. I had no idea until you

2:09:56

brought that up, what, an hour ago.

2:09:58

I think you're right. Yeah, well,

2:10:01

here's one area where I'm wrong. I

2:10:03

do think that statement is mostly right, but

2:10:05

you could argue with it and people do and

2:10:07

did in that

2:10:09

satellites are not real

2:10:12

time. You know when they're coming.

2:10:14

You know when they're about to fly over. If you

2:10:16

need to instantly get somewhere

2:10:18

that maybe you don't have the right orbit coverage for

2:10:21

or where there's a dynamic situation,

2:10:24

if an enemy knows that a

2:10:26

satellite is flying over it and doing reconnaissance,

2:10:29

they know when the satellite is going to fly

2:10:31

over so they could hide stuff during those times.

2:10:34

If you need full flexibility,

2:10:37

you need a Blackbird. So it does have

2:10:39

a use. It's not like it's useless,

2:10:41

but unlike the U2, which was

2:10:44

everything, it's more of a niche

2:10:46

use case here. So the Blackbird doesn't fly

2:10:48

today. Civilians are unaware of

2:10:51

something that has flown faster.

2:10:53

There's a crazy stat, a little bit

2:10:55

of trivia about the SR-71

2:10:57

and this really puts into context

2:11:00

how early this was and

2:11:02

how strange it is that

2:11:04

we've had nothing faster since. The

2:11:07

SR-71 first flight was

2:11:09

closer to the Wright brothers than

2:11:11

today. Yeah, wild, right?

2:11:15

It's totally wild. And I mean, this whole

2:11:17

thing was built with slide rules.

2:11:19

I had a very controversial tweet get

2:11:21

a community noted where I said that

2:11:24

it was before the invention of the desktop

2:11:26

calculator. It's like mostly true.

2:11:28

There's technicalities to it, but Kelly

2:11:30

and team basically did this

2:11:32

thing independently of computers and calculators

2:11:35

and figured out all the unbelievable aerodynamicism

2:11:38

stuff about it. Of course, there's also,

2:11:41

it's

2:11:41

the first stealth airplane.

2:11:44

I mean, that's the other thing that we didn't talk about is the

2:11:46

reason this thing wasn't detected on radar for four

2:11:48

years because they figured out how

2:11:50

to fly and start to evade radar.

2:11:53

Yeah.

2:11:54

Now I don't know the details of stealth

2:11:57

with the blackbird. I imagine

2:11:59

a big part of that. that was the

2:12:02

height,

2:12:02

was the altitude and the speed of it.

2:12:04

It's not that I don't think it's more

2:12:07

around the shape because radar will

2:12:09

just go unimpeded out

2:12:11

into space. There's famous stories

2:12:14

about detecting where people's

2:12:16

radar transmitters are by bouncing them off

2:12:18

the moon and figuring out the patterns of

2:12:20

bouncing off the moon.

2:12:21

It's more, I think that the

2:12:24

SR-71's bottom was one of

2:12:26

the first airplanes with a flat bottom rather

2:12:28

than a rounded fuselage. And so

2:12:31

imagine I'm shooting a set of

2:12:33

waves at a round sphere in front

2:12:35

of me. Well, some of those waves are gonna

2:12:37

bounce back because some of that sphere is

2:12:40

exactly perpendicular to

2:12:43

me broadcasting it. There's one particular point

2:12:46

that's exactly perpendicular and I can kind

2:12:48

of tell the radius of the thing by

2:12:50

how I'm detecting waves that are bouncing back

2:12:53

at me. But if it's all flat, there's

2:12:55

only one very specific

2:12:57

angle for which I can shoot waves at it where

2:13:00

I'm perfectly perpendicular and every

2:13:02

other angle that I shoot

2:13:04

radar at it, it's gonna bounce off and not

2:13:07

come back to me as a transmitter. You'd need transmitters

2:13:09

coding all over the earth to figure out where

2:13:12

all those waves are bouncing. And so by making

2:13:14

the bottom flat, they made it so that if

2:13:16

it was truly flat, then there's only one

2:13:18

exact moment in time that a given

2:13:21

radar transmitter is useful. That's

2:13:23

cool. They also did a whole bunch of work around

2:13:26

making the rivets exactly flush

2:13:28

with the skin. So it basically didn't have

2:13:30

a whole bunch

2:13:31

of rounded parts that could risk

2:13:33

bouncing radar waves back

2:13:36

at the transmitter receiver. Super cool.

2:13:38

Keep in mind for a minute from now,

2:13:41

that idea of flat surfaces and planes and

2:13:43

radar planes, not

2:13:45

airplanes, planes like a flat plane and

2:13:48

surfaces.

2:13:49

Okay,

2:13:50

to close out on this amazing

2:13:52

airplane, I've basically been sad in a lot

2:13:54

of ways. It's hugely expensive to build

2:13:56

these things. $33 million per plane.

2:13:59

which was a lot back then. I mean, play

2:14:02

it style costs more, but a lot. And

2:14:04

then as I said, $300 million a year just

2:14:06

to keep them operational and run the program.

2:14:09

You couldn't use it as a fighter or a bomber. It

2:14:11

was only reconnaissance.

2:14:13

It's not super popular with the military

2:14:16

and the Air Force. They kind of don't like it

2:14:18

as an operational plane. It's a lusty

2:14:21

airplane. Yes. It's not a daily

2:14:23

driver. Let's put it that way. In 1970,

2:14:26

the Pentagon

2:14:28

cancels further orders, and they order

2:14:31

Skunk Works to destroy all

2:14:33

of the titanium tooling for it so that

2:14:35

no more can ever be built. I assume that's

2:14:37

so that it doesn't fall into enemy hands

2:14:39

or something like that. And it's like we're serious

2:14:42

about telling you we're done ordering these things, and we

2:14:44

don't want political maneuvering to spin it back up. So

2:14:46

we're going to be prohibitively expensive for you

2:14:48

or for anyone to ever think about starting the program

2:14:50

back up. Yep.

2:14:52

The existing ones do stay in service.

2:14:55

But obviously, this is like a big blow

2:14:57

to Skunk Works' revenue. They're

2:14:59

not producing these things anymore. On the

2:15:01

back of that, Skunk Works has to do layoffs.

2:15:04

The Skunk Works division, after the contract

2:15:06

is canceled,

2:15:08

in 1972, two years

2:15:10

later, Lockheed and Skunk Works lose

2:15:13

the bidding for the F-16 fighter. General

2:15:16

Dynamics wins that. Ironically, the

2:15:18

later Lockheed, right before the

2:15:20

merger with Lockheed Martin,

2:15:22

would acquire General Dynamics fighter plane business.

2:15:24

So it does come back into Lockheed.

2:15:27

And it is still, they call it out in their earnings like

2:15:30

today. They're still selling F-16s today.

2:15:32

So here's what's interesting about this contract and

2:15:34

Lockheed and Skunk Works losing it. This

2:15:37

is an example, I think, of to that first

2:15:39

tenant from LMSE of threat-based

2:15:42

need and real market need.

2:15:44

Maybe you want to adapt that to

2:15:47

Kelly Johnson, as amazing

2:15:49

and a genius as he is, is a

2:15:52

very stubborn man. And

2:15:55

the stated purpose,

2:15:57

the Air Force's goals with the F-16.

2:15:59

was to have a cheap fighter.

2:16:02

It didn't need the best. It needed to be cheap

2:16:05

and that they could make a lot of these and they could use them all

2:16:07

over the world.

2:16:09

That's not Kelly Zemo. And

2:16:11

so he and Skunk Works bidding

2:16:13

on this project, they kept trying to give the Air

2:16:15

Force what they didn't want

2:16:17

and they lost it. Like the idea of Skunk Works

2:16:19

losing a contract, this is crazy. And

2:16:21

in particular,

2:16:22

he didn't really want to play ball the way the government

2:16:25

was trying to bid out the contract.

2:16:28

He looked at the requirements. He said, this is stupid. I'm

2:16:30

going to design you an airplane that I think meets

2:16:32

the needs of how this will be used in the field

2:16:35

rather than what these technical specifications

2:16:37

say here. And over

2:16:39

the long run, he was right. As the program

2:16:42

evolved, the specs actually changed to what Kelly

2:16:45

decided to build their prototype airplane

2:16:47

to do. But the prototype they produced

2:16:49

was not in spec for the original

2:16:51

F-16 requirements.

2:16:53

And by this point in time,

2:16:56

to bring some context back of

2:16:58

where the country was,

2:16:59

we're now basically post-Vietnam

2:17:02

War. The Cold War is for sure still

2:17:04

going on, but it's not the same

2:17:07

level of urgency in Americans'

2:17:09

minds as it was back in the 50s. Not

2:17:12

to mention, all military muscle

2:17:15

is very unpopular in America.

2:17:17

And so any politicians who are

2:17:19

seeking to sort of expand the

2:17:22

might and budget and proactivity of the military

2:17:25

are facing a lot of resistance at home.

2:17:27

And that is probably a good thing for

2:17:30

our society that that was happening. And

2:17:32

at the same time, it made Kelly

2:17:34

kind of a relic.

2:17:35

Yeah, totally. And this is not a challenge

2:17:38

that LMSC, at least with the Corona

2:17:40

Project, had to face, because nobody knew about it. Right.

2:17:44

So this is a really

2:17:46

bad time for Lockheed. This is the

2:17:48

period, like we were talking about at the end

2:17:50

of the LMSC chapter, where

2:17:53

it's LMSC that keeps the company afloat. Kelly

2:17:55

retires. Kelly retires. Ben

2:17:57

Rich takes over as head of Skunk Corps.

2:18:00

Scott Corks is doing layoffs.

2:18:02

Lockheed really stupidly

2:18:05

decides to try to get back into the

2:18:07

commercial aviation business. L-1011. They

2:18:11

make the L-1011, which by all accounts

2:18:13

was a great airplane, but turns into

2:18:15

a disaster project. They're

2:18:17

trying to compete with Boeing and with McDonnell

2:18:20

Douglas here. The DC-10, I think,

2:18:22

was the McDonnell Douglas competitor.

2:18:24

Lockheed partners with Rolls-Royce to

2:18:26

make the engines. Right as Rolls-Royce

2:18:29

goes bankrupt and gets nationalized by the UK

2:18:31

government, all told, we won't go into

2:18:33

the whole history here, but the L-1011 airliner

2:18:36

project loses Lockheed $2.5 billion.

2:18:41

And as we said a few minutes ago, this is not

2:18:43

a super profitable company. They don't have $2.5

2:18:46

billion in other earnings just

2:18:48

sitting around to soak up the losses

2:18:50

here.

2:18:52

At the same time, Lockheed

2:18:55

also gets caught up in really

2:18:57

nasty bribery scandals around

2:18:59

the world. Both these are nasty political scandals themselves.

2:19:01

And

2:19:04

basically, Lockheed comes out looking

2:19:07

at least to the American public like kind

2:19:09

of a corrupt arms dealer. So

2:19:11

what happens is, you

2:19:13

know, Lockheed and lots of people would argue that this

2:19:15

is just the way you needed to do business in foreign

2:19:17

countries, our allies that

2:19:19

Lockheed sold these weapons to

2:19:22

in the Netherlands, in Japan, and

2:19:24

in Saudi Arabia.

2:19:26

It comes to light that Lockheed

2:19:28

employees and contractors are paying bribes to

2:19:31

political officials to win contracts. This

2:19:34

actually brings down the Japanese prime

2:19:36

minister at the time. Whoa. This

2:19:38

is a huge scandal in Japan

2:19:40

on the order of Lake Watergate in the U.S. Huge

2:19:43

scandal. Sega actually makes

2:19:45

an arcade game about it called I'm

2:19:47

Sorry About the Prime Minister at the time.

2:19:50

Like so funny.

2:19:52

Lockheed also on the military

2:19:54

side, kind of the main Lockheed divisions,

2:19:57

engage with a couple helicopter projects

2:19:59

with the military.

2:19:59

and then the C5 Galaxy

2:20:02

transport plane, those projects

2:20:04

go horribly. They have huge cost

2:20:06

overruns.

2:20:08

The C5 at least I think does ultimately become

2:20:10

a good airplane, but costs way

2:20:13

more than the initial bidding.

2:20:14

All of this conspires that, especially post

2:20:17

Vietnam period, the American public starts to

2:20:19

view Lockheed as

2:20:20

this corrupt vampire octopus

2:20:23

military industrial complex, squid

2:20:26

sucking on America. Things get real

2:20:28

bad. Lockheed's finances at the

2:20:30

same time are so bad,

2:20:32

they need a bailout from the government. So

2:20:34

the government has to guarantee a $250 million

2:20:37

loan to Lockheed to keep them

2:20:39

afloat,

2:20:40

mostly because of the L-1011 disaster. It

2:20:43

requires a vote of Congress to do this.

2:20:45

It almost doesn't pass. This is a

2:20:47

real bad.

2:20:50

I didn't realize how dark it got there. It got real,

2:20:52

real dark. And again, it was only the profits

2:20:54

from LMSC that kept the company

2:20:57

from probably going under.

2:20:59

So, okay,

2:21:00

we've mentioned stealth a few times here.

2:21:02

Back to Skunk Works. There is one more great

2:21:05

Skunk Works airplane and it is under

2:21:07

the administration of Ben Rich, Kelly's

2:21:09

successor. One last hurrah,

2:21:12

at least for the traditional Skunk Works organization.

2:21:15

So there's a math

2:21:18

paper published in a Russian

2:21:20

journal. Around mid 1970s,

2:21:22

right around this time.

2:21:24

Which I think

2:21:26

gets published because the Russians don't

2:21:28

really see anything of value in there. They don't really

2:21:30

know exactly what these particular

2:21:33

equations that are getting published could be applied

2:21:35

toward.

2:21:36

But somebody at the Skunk Works reads

2:21:38

the paper

2:21:39

and says, huh,

2:21:40

I think all the ways that

2:21:42

we've been thinking about trying to make an

2:21:45

airplane stealth, like the SR-71

2:21:47

with flattening the bottom a little bit

2:21:49

and trying to use particular materials

2:21:52

and paint and stuff like that, I think it's good. But

2:21:54

if I apply these equations

2:21:57

to make a stealth aircraft,

2:21:59

then...

2:21:59

I think we can do something two orders

2:22:02

of magnitude better than

2:22:03

anything we've done before. And

2:22:06

I think we can make an airplane

2:22:07

go from looking smaller

2:22:10

than it is, like a bird on a radar

2:22:12

to something like a baby on

2:22:14

a radar. Or a ball bearing, famously.

2:22:17

Or a ball bearing. So

2:22:19

that Skunk Works employee was

2:22:21

then 36-year-old Dennis Overhalser,

2:22:25

who was a mathematician. And

2:22:28

he,

2:22:29

like you said, reads this paper and brings it

2:22:31

to Ben Rich, who just six months earlier

2:22:33

had taken over from Kelly as head

2:22:35

of Skunk Works.

2:22:36

And he's told don't stick your neck out. No

2:22:39

one's getting the

2:22:40

crazy amount of rope that Kelly

2:22:42

had. So prepare to

2:22:45

just be Lockheed's Yes Man,

2:22:47

and we're going to use the Skunk Works for branding

2:22:49

and marketing, but we're not doing anything too

2:22:52

nutty in your little shop over there. Kelly

2:22:55

himself, he's retired, but he stays

2:22:57

on as an advisor, so he still has his fingers

2:22:59

and everything.

2:23:00

He's so disillusioned at this point.

2:23:03

He tells Ben Rich, he says, don't

2:23:05

even pursue this. It's not worth it. Missiles

2:23:07

are where the future is. Nobody's making planes anymore.

2:23:10

Don't invest the money on this.

2:23:12

And in particular, because when

2:23:15

you apply these equations to

2:23:18

design an aircraft, the way you

2:23:20

have to design it makes it incredibly

2:23:22

not aerodynamic. If it works,

2:23:25

it will be a thing that is invisible on radar.

2:23:28

But Kelly sort of looks at some of the early

2:23:30

sketches of what you would have to do to

2:23:32

make this thing into an airplane and basically thinks that's

2:23:35

not an airplane. That won't generate lift.

2:23:38

He's such an aesthetic snob. He's

2:23:40

like, that's not an airplane. We can't make it. It

2:23:42

doesn't look beautiful.

2:23:43

And it's not just that it doesn't look beautiful. It's that

2:23:45

literally there's like only

2:23:48

a hint of Bernoulli in there. The way

2:23:50

that it's shaped is unclear that it will

2:23:52

generate enough lift to lift itself.

2:23:54

Yes.

2:23:55

Also correct. Or, well, I think the bigger

2:23:57

problem was less. about

2:24:00

lift, although I'm sure that was a problem, but more

2:24:02

about could you control it? Yeah. Could you

2:24:05

fly this thing? So what's

2:24:07

being proposed here is basically

2:24:10

an enormous looking cockpit, this

2:24:12

big globular fuselage. And

2:24:15

you can Google the F117A. The

2:24:19

name is the Nighthawk. Stubby

2:24:21

wings,

2:24:22

these two little super thin tall

2:24:24

tail fins. It looks super unstable.

2:24:27

And the whole thing has basically

2:24:30

zero round surfaces on it. It's faceted.

2:24:33

I mean, it looks like a diamond. In fact,

2:24:36

its code name, or I would say probably

2:24:38

not its code name, but its nickname internally, was

2:24:40

the hopeless diamond. Yes. You

2:24:42

know what this thing looks like if you aren't

2:24:44

already intimately familiar with images of

2:24:46

it? I actually think it looks really cool. Totally.

2:24:49

But

2:24:49

it doesn't look like it'll fly or fly in a controllable

2:24:51

way. It looks like you made an airplane, like

2:24:53

a paper airplane, and then you put

2:24:55

a rock on top of it, and you

2:24:57

were like trying to get that thing to fly. Totally. To

2:25:00

me, it looks like the

2:25:02

planes in the first Star Fox

2:25:04

game for the Super Nintendo, when

2:25:06

Nintendo and other 16-bit

2:25:09

game developers during that generation

2:25:11

were trying to make 3D games with

2:25:14

16-bit hardware. And you didn't have enough processing

2:25:17

power and polygonal power to make rounded

2:25:19

shapes. So you had to have flat surfaces.

2:25:22

These big ass triangles. Big ass

2:25:24

triangles. That's what this thing looks like. It literally

2:25:26

looks like not a Star Fox 64, a Star Fox Super

2:25:29

Nintendo plane.

2:25:32

Right.

2:25:34

So Ben Rich decides

2:25:36

that he wants to put his career

2:25:38

on the line. Yeah, and take a risk and make

2:25:40

this. So he goes to the Air Force. The Air

2:25:42

Force says, well,

2:25:44

on the one hand, your timing is good.

2:25:46

We actually also think stealth technology

2:25:49

is worth pursuing. We

2:25:51

have an active RFP out

2:25:54

there. We didn't come to

2:25:56

you guys because

2:25:58

Skunkworks hasn't made a fighter plane.

2:25:59

and God knows how long. You

2:26:02

guys just had layoffs. We don't like

2:26:04

the Blackbird. Sorry, you guys

2:26:07

are old news. And

2:26:09

Ben Rich, like you said, he risked

2:26:11

his career six months into the job pursuing

2:26:13

it at all. He risks it even further.

2:26:16

He goes back to Lockheed corporate

2:26:18

and says, I want to pursue this and make

2:26:20

a prototype

2:26:21

anyway

2:26:22

without a

2:26:24

research contract. We're going to fund this

2:26:26

internally.

2:26:27

Which this is not something that defense contractors

2:26:30

do. No. We'll talk about this as

2:26:32

we get into Playbook. But it's not like a tech company

2:26:34

where you do a bunch of forward-looking R&D

2:26:37

and then amortize it over a bunch of customers

2:26:40

later. You go bid on a contract,

2:26:42

you get that contract, and then you build the

2:26:44

thing. It's so funny reading

2:26:46

less so in the early history, but when you read about Lockheed

2:26:49

today and the industry today,

2:26:51

there's all this talk of the customer.

2:26:54

The customer, there's only one customer. The

2:26:56

DOD. The DOD is the customer. It's

2:26:59

like the Amazon, oh, the empty seat for

2:27:01

the customer in the room. It's not a metaphorical

2:27:03

customer. It is a specific customer.

2:27:06

No. It's like, what does the Pentagon think?

2:27:08

Which is a good and a bad. They're unbelievably

2:27:10

customer-focused. Lockheed Martin doesn't

2:27:12

build stuff unless the

2:27:15

US government says, I'll order it, which means

2:27:17

they don't have to take a lot of risk. But on the other hand,

2:27:19

they also don't get the upside from taking risk,

2:27:21

typically.

2:27:22

And this is how crazy this situation is. It

2:27:24

is literally the opposite of what you just said. This

2:27:28

is Ben Rich's neck on the line. This is Skunk Works

2:27:30

on the line. This is everything.

2:27:33

So they go and they build a prototype. It's nicknamed

2:27:35

the Hopeless Diamond. The codename is Have

2:27:38

Blue, H-A-V-E-B-L-U-E.

2:27:41

And I mentioned ball bearings earlier. They make a model

2:27:43

of this thing, a wooden model. They put it

2:27:45

up on a pole. They test it in a radar

2:27:47

range alongside the other prototypes from other

2:27:50

contractors for a stealth fighter that the Pentagon

2:27:52

has put out.

2:27:54

And

2:27:55

this thing is invisible, the way that the

2:27:57

Air Force inspectors...

2:27:59

come up with testing it is they get

2:28:02

a set of ball bearings of increasingly

2:28:04

smaller diameters

2:28:06

and they attach them to the nose cone of the

2:28:08

wooden model at the radar range

2:28:11

and they see if you can detect

2:28:13

the ball bearing or if it's blacked

2:28:16

out by like this massive plane model

2:28:18

behind it

2:28:19

and they can detect

2:28:21

a ball bearing down to a diameter of

2:28:23

an eighth of an inch.

2:28:25

So the radar signature of this plane is

2:28:27

less than an eighth of an inch sphere. It's

2:28:29

unbelievable. The thing is all

2:28:32

flat surfaces. So it basically

2:28:34

bounces the radar everywhere except

2:28:37

for the transmitter receiver that

2:28:39

is actually shooting the radar waves at it. So

2:28:42

will it fly and can you control it are still

2:28:44

open questions but we now know that it is like

2:28:46

oh my god radar invisible. Yeah. So

2:28:49

out of that

2:28:50

the dark horse Skunk Works wins the contract

2:28:52

to build the Air Force's stealth

2:28:54

fighter. They do. They

2:28:57

solve the challenges you just mentioned and

2:28:59

they solve them

2:29:00

with computers for the first time or at

2:29:02

least that we know of really the first time in Skunk Works history.

2:29:05

The way you control this thing is with

2:29:08

fly by wire which I'd heard that term

2:29:10

before but fly by wire means

2:29:13

that the planes systems are controlled

2:29:15

by a computer and when you move the controls

2:29:17

as a pilot you are not directly

2:29:19

moving the mechanics. The computer decides

2:29:22

how to translate your intentions into

2:29:25

stabilized movements for the alien. Power

2:29:28

steering. Exactly. Well it's even

2:29:30

more than it's like doing all sorts

2:29:32

of stuff that you have no idea. Right.

2:29:34

To make it do what you want to do. Right.

2:29:37

I mean it's a Tesla basically. It's abstracting away your inputs

2:29:40

and doing the thing that is optimal based

2:29:42

on what it's pretty sure your inputs want it to do. Yeah.

2:29:45

So they win the contract. They start testing this

2:29:47

thing at of course area 51

2:29:50

and the stealth fighter really looks like an alien

2:29:52

spaceship. I

2:29:54

don't blame all these people with the binoculars who are

2:29:56

pretty sure there's aliens. I don't blame

2:29:59

them either.

2:29:59

The Air Force starts taking delivery in 1983

2:30:02

of the stealth fighter from Skunk Works.

2:30:06

They ultimately buy 59 of them of the

2:30:08

F-117A Nighthawks at $43 million each. So

2:30:13

that is $2.5 billion

2:30:15

in revenue for a Lockheed, a time

2:30:18

when they desperately needed it. And Skunk

2:30:20

Works desperately needed it. Huge win

2:30:22

for Ben Rich. Huge win. The

2:30:25

real combat debut for the Nighthawk

2:30:27

is during the Gulf War, during Operation

2:30:29

Desert

2:30:29

Storm. So that's what, six years

2:30:32

that they keep it

2:30:33

undeployed, where they have it, but the

2:30:35

US government has decided that we want

2:30:37

to save it? Well, where are they going to use it? We're not

2:30:39

really fighting any wars. And this is a fighter.

2:30:41

This isn't a reconnaissance plane. This is a fighter

2:30:44

slash tactical strike

2:30:46

plane. Which, again, Skunk Works hasn't built

2:30:48

one of those since, I guess, what, the 104

2:30:51

Starfighter?

2:30:53

I think that's right. I mean, yeah, the F in F-117

2:30:55

is fighter. The SR-71 was not an F plane.

2:31:00

So

2:31:00

the plane is never really tested

2:31:03

in combat of what it can do until

2:31:06

Operation Desert Storm. And I

2:31:08

remember watching this live when this

2:31:11

happened. I don't know if you remember this, Ben, but

2:31:13

I vividly remember when this happened. The

2:31:15

first night of the war,

2:31:18

Operation Desert Storm, I mean, this is broadcast

2:31:21

live to the world.

2:31:22

The US Air Force completely

2:31:25

knocks out

2:31:27

all of Baghdad's defenses

2:31:30

and infrastructure.

2:31:31

And the way they do it

2:31:32

is with the Nighthawks.

2:31:34

They came in under the dark of night. No one

2:31:36

knew they were coming. They hit a bunch

2:31:38

of the high value targets. And then

2:31:41

these wars now tend to be these overwhelming

2:31:43

force at the start and then long,

2:31:46

long drawn out

2:31:48

battles after that. But this set

2:31:50

the stage for what the modern

2:31:52

military engagement looks like. Yeah. So

2:31:55

a few quotes here that are in Skunk Works. First

2:31:57

from the Secretary of the Air Force at the time. We

2:31:59

love

2:31:59

that night the first night of the Gulf War. And

2:32:02

for many nights after that,

2:32:03

that stealth combined with precision weapons

2:32:05

constituted a quantum advance in

2:32:08

air warfare. Ever since World War

2:32:10

II, when radar systems first came into play, air

2:32:12

warfare planners thought that surprise

2:32:15

attacks were rendered null and void, and

2:32:17

thought in terms of large armadas to overwhelm

2:32:19

the enemy and get a few attack aircraft

2:32:21

through to do damage.

2:32:23

Now we again think it's small numbers, and

2:32:25

in staging surprise surgically precise

2:32:28

raids.

2:32:29

And then another quote here from

2:32:31

one of the pilots that flew that night.

2:32:34

To put it in domestic terms, if

2:32:36

Baghdad had been Washington, that

2:32:39

first night we knocked out their White House,

2:32:41

their Capitol building, their Pentagon, their CIA, their

2:32:43

FBI, and took out their telephone and telegraph

2:32:46

facilities. We damaged Andrews Air Force Base,

2:32:48

Langley, and Baling, and we punched

2:32:50

big holes in all the key Potomac

2:32:53

River bridges. And that was just the first

2:32:55

night.

2:32:56

So this thing is deadly. The Nighthawk

2:32:58

very much worked.

2:32:59

The Nighthawk flew 1% of the air

2:33:01

missions in Desert Storm, but accounted

2:33:03

for 40% of all damaged targets.

2:33:07

And so while this plane was a

2:33:09

massive success for what it was intended

2:33:12

to do, this is where I sort of want

2:33:14

to stop glorifying some

2:33:16

of the military might the way that we did in

2:33:18

the Cold War, which was like,

2:33:20

obviously for deterrent. This

2:33:22

is when the foreign policy sort of changes a little bit

2:33:24

in a way where you're... Yeah, people are dying here. Yeah.

2:33:27

This is the incredible paradox of

2:33:29

this.

2:33:30

The most overwhelming

2:33:34

and terrifying weaponry

2:33:37

ever created and weapons capabilities ever

2:33:39

created was never used

2:33:42

and was created so that it would never be used.

2:33:44

Right. It's fascinating. Yeah, totally.

2:33:47

But here, this stuff is used and a lot of people

2:33:49

died. For the F-117A, 10,000

2:33:52

people worked on this airplane, the Nighthawk, and

2:33:54

kept the secret for 21 years

2:33:56

until it was declassified.

2:33:58

Wow. Crazy. Yeah.

2:34:01

Let's just divorce any value judgments here for the moment.

2:34:04

In terms of the airplane itself and

2:34:06

Lockheed and Skunk Works and the company, while

2:34:09

Desert Storm was on the one hand

2:34:11

this great success story for the

2:34:13

airplane, there's

2:34:14

also kind of the end. That's the end of the Cold

2:34:16

War. Yup. There is

2:34:19

no doubt after Desert Storm and all the other

2:34:21

things that happened in the following of the Berlin

2:34:23

Wall by the early to mid

2:34:25

90s, it's done.

2:34:27

And this success of the Nighthawk and

2:34:29

success of the US military from

2:34:32

a military standpoint during the Gulf

2:34:34

War,

2:34:35

you know, that sets the conditions to

2:34:37

bring us to the modern era

2:34:40

and Lockheed today, which

2:34:42

is not Lockheed, but Lockheed Martin.

2:34:45

And Boeing today, which is not Boeing, but

2:34:48

Boeing and McDonnell Douglas and this incredible

2:34:50

era of consolidation. Right. Northrop,

2:34:53

which is not Northrop, but Northrop Grumman and

2:34:55

which

2:34:56

very closely almost

2:34:58

was part of Lockheed Martin, but got

2:35:00

blocked by the DOJ. Yeah. And

2:35:03

then you have Raytheon and General Dynamics, which have eaten

2:35:05

their fair share of all the other competitors

2:35:08

too.

2:35:09

So the Gulf conflict I think

2:35:11

ends in 91, I believe.

2:35:13

And it becomes really obvious that the

2:35:15

Cold War era of arms buildup

2:35:17

in the US is over and

2:35:20

defense budgets are going to shrink massively.

2:35:23

And we need to start nuclear disarmament. We need

2:35:25

to start destroying a lot of the nuclear

2:35:27

warheads that we build.

2:35:29

Right. And everybody in the industry

2:35:31

knows it. And then it becomes super explicit.

2:35:34

This is kind of an amazing event that happens in

2:35:37

July of 1993. The

2:35:39

then deputy defense secretary, William

2:35:42

Perry,

2:35:43

calls the CEOs

2:35:46

of all the major prime defense

2:35:49

contractors to a dinner in Washington

2:35:52

at which

2:35:54

he explicitly tells them

2:35:56

defense spending

2:35:57

is going to shrink massively. Duh, you know.

2:35:59

that

2:36:00

and he instructs the CEOs present

2:36:03

that you all need to consolidate and start

2:36:05

merging with one another.

2:36:07

We the Defense Department are no longer

2:36:09

going to be able to feed all of the metaphorical

2:36:11

mouths at this table and the

2:36:13

CEO of then Martin Marietta

2:36:16

soon to be Lockheed Martin

2:36:18

refers to this dinner tongue in cheek as

2:36:21

the last supper and

2:36:23

indeed it was. This is an amazing event

2:36:25

literally a government agency

2:36:29

just told an industry

2:36:31

what to do. This doesn't happen in America.

2:36:34

Very explicitly and this was rumored for a

2:36:36

long time. People were like, wait, did this really happen?

2:36:38

The US government instructed these

2:36:40

big companies to become

2:36:42

anti-competitive to all merge together.

2:36:45

And this 1993 thing

2:36:47

really kicks off an era of intentional

2:36:51

government policy around combining

2:36:54

companies.

2:36:55

Yeah, which is very odd American

2:36:57

industry and I think as we

2:37:00

saw during the Cold War era,

2:37:03

America functions on competition and

2:37:05

thrives in competition and here the government is saying

2:37:08

less competition.

2:37:09

And in part they're basically saying,

2:37:12

look, it's an acknowledgement that

2:37:14

a lot of the times companies thrive

2:37:16

because they're in growing markets and this

2:37:18

is now a shrinking market. So

2:37:20

what do you do if you want

2:37:23

to maintain America's

2:37:25

military industrial base but you know

2:37:28

for a fact the market is shrinking this year and likely

2:37:31

every year for the next decade or two. Like

2:37:33

what do you actually do? And so I

2:37:35

think the intent here is

2:37:38

to say

2:37:39

we don't want to lose capability.

2:37:42

We want the US to remain a

2:37:44

country that has a whole bunch of people

2:37:46

that know how to build this stuff.

2:37:49

So if we need it, it's there but

2:37:52

you're going to put each other out of business because we

2:37:54

just won't have enough for you. So you need to

2:37:56

like merge and get more efficient so

2:37:58

we don't lose the muscle.

2:37:59

but

2:38:01

you all have real businesses,

2:38:03

real going concerns. And this whole like,

2:38:05

so you don't lose the muscle thing, that

2:38:07

is unique on this episode versus any other

2:38:09

episode because the government is an indifferent

2:38:12

player in almost every episode

2:38:14

of every company that we talk about. But in this one, they're

2:38:17

an extremely interested party where it is in

2:38:19

the national interest. They are the

2:38:21

customer. Right. It is in the

2:38:23

national interest for us to maintain this capability

2:38:26

or so that's the sort of policy. Yep.

2:38:28

So this sets off an amazing series

2:38:31

of events, kind of similar to

2:38:33

harkening back to the LVMH episode when

2:38:36

Louis Vuitton and

2:38:37

Moet Hennessy merged

2:38:40

not because they liked each other or because there was a

2:38:42

business reason, they merged for like practicalities

2:38:45

and to avoid dying and getting taken

2:38:47

over by hostile raiders. In 1993,

2:38:51

Lockheed buys General Dynamics

2:38:53

fighter jet business that we already talked about, the F-16

2:38:55

business.

2:38:56

And then in 1994,

2:38:58

the big shoe drops, they announced a quote merger

2:39:01

of equals with Martin Marietta.

2:39:03

That goes through in 1995.

2:39:05

Except they

2:39:07

didn't merge everything about, there's two spin

2:39:09

outs of the Lockheed Martin combination.

2:39:12

One is there's another set

2:39:15

of things that Martin Marietta does around

2:39:17

minerals and mining. And so there's

2:39:19

literally a Martin Marietta company

2:39:22

that's publicly traded today that still exists that's

2:39:24

around mining raw materials. Do

2:39:26

you know this because you looked up the mine safety disclosures?

2:39:29

I was disappointed to see that there were no mine safety disclosures

2:39:32

in Lockheed Martin's financials. There's

2:39:34

another thing that spins

2:39:35

out called L3 Communications,

2:39:37

which is the set of things

2:39:40

that won't be combining into Lockheed

2:39:42

Martin.

2:39:43

And this has actually become a fairly

2:39:45

formidable competitor today. There's the five big primes,

2:39:48

Lockheed Martin, Boeing, Raytheon, Northrop Grumman,

2:39:50

and General Dynamics. And L3

2:39:52

is kind of growing, which is fairly

2:39:54

unprecedented in this era of primes.

2:39:57

But you might be saying, what is the L3?

2:39:59

Well, There were three L's involved in

2:40:01

creating this company. One of them was

2:40:03

the investment bank that helped combine them. Lehman

2:40:06

Brothers. Yes.

2:40:09

Frank Lanza, Robert Lapenta,

2:40:12

and Lehman Brothers are the L's. So

2:40:15

the

2:40:16

assets that do merge of Lockheed and

2:40:18

Martin in January, 1996, shortly

2:40:22

after

2:40:22

the big merger goes through,

2:40:24

they then acquire the defense business

2:40:27

from Loral

2:40:28

for almost $10 billion.

2:40:30

And then, as we said a minute ago, in July, 1997,

2:40:33

they attempt to merge with Northrop

2:40:35

Grumman. Right, this is like Lockheed Martin sort of like

2:40:37

looks at the DOD and they're like, are we supposed to keep going?

2:40:39

Yeah, like you told us to do this, right? Yeah. They

2:40:42

misread the tea leaves on that one. That merger

2:40:45

gets announced. Everybody signed off the

2:40:47

DOJ blocks it, I assume with

2:40:50

tacit approval from the DOD on that.

2:40:52

Yeah, I mean, the thing with the five big primes is

2:40:54

they're all like very good at a certain

2:40:56

bucket of things. And so if

2:40:59

you start combining Lockheed

2:41:01

and Northrop, which are the two that really kind of

2:41:03

like bid against each other at this point in history,

2:41:05

I mean, like the B2 bomber and the B21, like

2:41:07

there's often this face off between Northrop

2:41:10

and Lockheed. If you combine them, then

2:41:12

you actually do away with all competition. Yeah,

2:41:15

would have been so fitting, right? Given that Northrop

2:41:17

was a co-founder of Lockheed, but

2:41:21

all the way back to the beginning of the episode. So

2:41:23

the DOJ blocks that, but also in 1997, Boeing

2:41:26

merges with McDonnell Douglas and becomes

2:41:29

the giant that it is now. Do you know why

2:41:31

that happened? Oh, I do not.

2:41:33

So we're going to talk here in a second about the F-22 program and

2:41:36

the F-35 program. We'll skip over

2:41:38

the F-22 for the moment, just to hit this point.

2:41:41

For the JSF, the Joint

2:41:43

Strike Fighter F-35 program,

2:41:46

this is going to be like the biggest ever

2:41:48

military contract. And so it's really

2:41:51

worth going for. And there's three companies that are worth

2:41:53

gunning for in the mid-90s. There's Lockheed

2:41:55

Martin right after their combination. There's

2:41:57

Boeing. And there's still independent.

2:41:59

at McDonald Douglas. And

2:42:03

McDonald Douglas is eliminated

2:42:05

from competition. So it just comes down

2:42:08

to Boeing and Lockheed as the two finalists.

2:42:10

Within a month,

2:42:12

Boeing announces that it's buying McDonald

2:42:14

Douglas. Yeah, that was probably the end of McDonald

2:42:16

Douglas once they got eliminated. Exactly.

2:42:19

This contract is so big and they were

2:42:21

betting so heavily on it that basically

2:42:24

Boeing and McDonald Douglas after McDonald

2:42:26

Douglas loses kind of need to just combine and

2:42:28

size up in order to be a formidable

2:42:30

competitor to Lockheed Martin going forward.

2:42:33

Do you know the size of the

2:42:35

F-35 Joint Strike Fighter program, like

2:42:37

in terms of dollars? I do. It is

2:42:39

a $30 billion DOD contract for 398 airplanes

2:42:42

just

2:42:42

for the US. We'll talk about

2:42:46

that in a minute, but it was a prize worth going

2:42:48

for.

2:42:49

So yeah, if you lose this contract, this

2:42:51

is literally life or death, whether you get this or not.

2:42:54

Right. So losing this creates some extreme

2:42:57

combination. And obviously this sets the

2:42:59

stage. I'm going to hand it over to you in a minute to lead the discussion

2:43:01

of all the

2:43:02

dynamics around this and the military industrial

2:43:04

complex and defense contractors today. But to

2:43:06

set the stage, I have a few quotes from

2:43:08

Norm Augustine, who was CEO

2:43:11

of Martin Marietta, where the merger happens.

2:43:13

And Dan Tellup, the CEO of Lockheed is the

2:43:16

first CEO of the combined company. Dan

2:43:18

came up through LMSC,

2:43:20

started there, worked in LMSC for decades, and then

2:43:22

became the CEO of Lockheed. He's the first

2:43:24

CEO of the combined company. And then Norm takes

2:43:27

over for a few years after that.

2:43:28

In 1997, Norm

2:43:30

is a character. He's a serious

2:43:33

character. He writes a Harvard

2:43:35

Business Review article. I want to read

2:43:37

a few quotes from this.

2:43:38

Following the Last Supper,

2:43:40

which he termed it the Last Supper, it became

2:43:43

evident that there were only two potential survival

2:43:45

strategies. One was to move into

2:43:47

new markets. He's meeting commercial

2:43:49

markets, a difficult and time consuming

2:43:51

option that has rarely succeeded. And as we

2:43:53

talked about,

2:43:54

definitely Lockheed tried that in

2:43:56

the 70s and failed miserably with the L1011.

2:43:59

The other strategy

2:44:02

entailed something almost as difficult,

2:44:04

increasing market share in existing

2:44:06

markets during a period of severely

2:44:09

declining businesses. Duh,

2:44:10

this is what we're talking about. And

2:44:12

he says, here's what happened. He just lays it

2:44:14

all out here.

2:44:15

Lockheed soon purchased General Dynamics

2:44:17

Aircraft Business and Martin Marietta purchased

2:44:20

General Electric's Aerospace Business.

2:44:22

All told, our company comprises 17

2:44:25

previously independent entities,

2:44:27

like independent until recent times,

2:44:30

as he's writing this.

2:44:31

General Dynamics, Sanders, Gold

2:44:34

Ocean Systems, GE Aerospace, RCA

2:44:36

Aerospace, Xerox Electro-Optical Systems,

2:44:39

Goodyear Aerospace, Fairchild Weston,

2:44:41

Honeywell Electro-Optics, Ford Aerospace,

2:44:44

LibraScope, IBM Federal Systems, Unisys

2:44:47

Defense, Lockheed, Martin Marietta,

2:44:49

and Loral.

2:44:50

What a Franken company.

2:44:52

As we've been alluding to, these were not very

2:44:55

profitable

2:44:56

entities. So Lockheed,

2:44:58

at the time of the merger,

2:44:59

did 13 billion in revenue and only 422

2:45:02

million in net income.

2:45:05

Martin Marietta was slightly more profitable,

2:45:07

did 9.4 billion in revenue and 450 million in

2:45:11

net income.

2:45:12

So both of these are like 10% or

2:45:14

less net income margins.

2:45:16

Yeah. And you basically have a situation

2:45:18

where like

2:45:19

all these contracts kind of go to

2:45:22

all of the contractors. They

2:45:24

just rotate around who's the prime on it. And the prime makes

2:45:26

the most money and then it has the most sort

2:45:28

of sway and you don't want to be with a subcontractor,

2:45:31

you'd rather be the prime contractor. But

2:45:33

still, this current

2:45:35

military industrial complex is very,

2:45:39

all five players are basically in on all

2:45:41

the big contracts and the government's very aware

2:45:43

of that and the companies are all very aware of that

2:45:45

and it sort of reached this stasis.

2:45:48

Yep.

2:45:48

So Ben Rich basically called

2:45:51

it in 1992 when he was talking about, this

2:45:53

is at the end of the Skunk Works book, about the end

2:45:55

of the B2 bomber program, which by the

2:45:57

way, the B2 was kind of a

2:45:59

make good.

2:45:59

when they gave that to Northrop Grumman.

2:46:02

This is the stealth bomber? Yeah. By

2:46:05

all means, that should have gone to Lockheed Martin. They had the

2:46:07

expertise from the F-117A, Nighthawk, and

2:46:11

I

2:46:11

mean, this is the Lockheed side of the story, but they

2:46:14

beat the B-2 in a lot of the early

2:46:16

competitions. But the government still gave the award

2:46:18

to Northrop Grumman because there

2:46:20

was some particular plane that the government said

2:46:22

Northrop could manufacture a bunch of and then

2:46:24

sell internationally and then change their mind. And

2:46:27

so then Northrop was sort of left holding the bag.

2:46:30

And so it was the Department of Defense being like, all right,

2:46:32

you can win this competition.

2:46:34

And who knows if any of these things are true? That's

2:46:36

Lockheed side of the story. But anyway, Ben

2:46:39

writes,

2:46:40

under the current manufacturing arrangements for

2:46:42

the B-2, Boeing makes the wings, Northrop

2:46:44

makes the cockpit, LTV makes the bomb bays,

2:46:46

and the back end of the B-2 airplane, in addition

2:46:49

to 4,000 subcontractors working

2:46:51

on bits and pieces of everything else. Because

2:46:53

of the tremendous costs involved, this

2:46:56

is probably a blueprint for how big

2:46:58

expensive airplanes will be built in the future.

2:47:01

For better or for worse, this piecemeal

2:47:03

manufacturing approach, rather than the

2:47:05

skunkworks way, will characterize large

2:47:07

aerospace projects from now on. With

2:47:10

many fewer projects, the government will

2:47:12

have to spread the workaround across an even

2:47:15

broader horizon. What will happen to the efficiency,

2:47:17

the quality and the decision-making? At

2:47:19

a time of maximum belt tightening in aerospace,

2:47:22

those are not just words, but may well represent

2:47:24

the keys to a company's ability to

2:47:26

survive.

2:47:28

Yep.

2:47:29

So I think that sort of 1992 Ben Rich, publishing

2:47:33

the Skunkworks book,

2:47:34

then the Last Supper, it basically

2:47:37

marks the end of skunkworks. Skunkworks

2:47:39

is still a term that is used

2:47:41

to describe a part of Lockheed Martin,

2:47:44

but is it the skunkworks of

2:47:46

the 50s, 60s, 70s? No, not

2:47:48

at all. It's a completely different thing. And

2:47:51

airplanes are just not built

2:47:53

by small teams in this sort of

2:47:55

auteur way, the way that they were in Kelly's era.

2:47:58

So let's talk about some of these.

2:47:59

huge programs, these

2:48:02

large fleets of planes that the US government

2:48:04

has bought in recent years. And we'll

2:48:06

start with the F-22. And this gives you a sense of how freaking

2:48:09

long these timeframes take.

2:48:10

So in 1981,

2:48:13

the Air Force identified a requirement

2:48:15

for an advanced tactical fighter

2:48:17

to replace the F-15 Eagle and the F-16

2:48:20

Fighting Falcon. So that sort of kicks off

2:48:23

this we're going to need some future thing.

2:48:26

In 1985, the initial

2:48:29

order, and I don't know if it's technically an order

2:48:31

or how it sort of changes over time, but the initial

2:48:34

pseudo commitment is for

2:48:36

the US government to buy 750 planes

2:48:40

of what becomes the F-22 Raptor

2:48:43

for $44 billion in the

2:48:45

total program cost. Wow. That

2:48:47

gets revised down.

2:48:49

Again, an airplane has not flown yet. Just

2:48:52

before 1997, to 339 planes, that's going from 750 to 339, for $62

2:48:54

billion in total program

2:49:01

cost. That cost went up,

2:49:04

even though the number of planes dramatically

2:49:07

went down to like half.

2:49:09

I was wondering, I was like, did Ben misspeak

2:49:11

there? Nope. Then,

2:49:13

the F-22 program

2:49:14

is over. It was

2:49:16

a big thing in the Obama administration where he basically

2:49:19

said, I'm going to veto anything that comes to my desk

2:49:21

for any more Raptors. We're done with this.

2:49:23

But it's not as good as it sounds. No,

2:49:25

it's not as noble.

2:49:27

The final, down from 750 to 339, is 187 planes

2:49:29

delivered.

2:49:33

They kept the $62 billion total

2:49:35

program cost fixed. They managed to

2:49:37

do that. Each plane

2:49:39

ends up costing $360 million

2:49:42

if you amortize all the R&D

2:49:45

against the very few airplanes that

2:49:47

they ended up making.

2:49:48

The

2:49:50

F-22, much like the SR-71, there's

2:49:53

not much we can complain about with the plane. It is a

2:49:55

bad ass plane. In fact, for Seafair

2:49:58

here in Seattle, the last ... few years they've

2:50:00

had an F-22, it is an unbelievable

2:50:03

thing to see live.

2:50:05

It performs maneuvers that just look alien.

2:50:07

I mean, you just don't understand how the physics makes it work.

2:50:10

It was all about air superiority. It was all

2:50:12

about speed. They took all of

2:50:14

the stealth lessons from the

2:50:17

F-117 and put it into a

2:50:19

very fast air dominating airplane.

2:50:22

So

2:50:23

the stealth fighter, the Nighthawk,

2:50:26

was angular and looked like a Super

2:50:28

Nintendo Star Fox plane because

2:50:31

the computational ability

2:50:34

to model it at the time, it wasn't

2:50:36

that you needed to have just flat

2:50:38

surfaces. It's that you could

2:50:40

have three dimensional rounded

2:50:42

looking surfaces. You just needed to be able to model

2:50:45

it for the radar signature

2:50:46

and computers weren't advanced enough at the time

2:50:48

to be able to build a 3D

2:50:51

modeled version of a radar

2:50:54

stealth structure.

2:50:56

As they advanced, you are now

2:50:59

able to do that in much the

2:51:01

same way that in video games, you

2:51:03

can now build lifelike looking

2:51:06

3D models out of the same polygons

2:51:09

before. And so the Sega,

2:51:11

I think it was the Model 3 arcade

2:51:13

board that we talked about that

2:51:16

was part of the real 3D revolution

2:51:18

in video games. They used it in the

2:51:20

arcade cabinets, right? The cutting edge better

2:51:22

than home consoles, computers, virtual

2:51:25

racer, virtual cop, virtual

2:51:26

fighter being the big one where on that

2:51:29

Sega co-developed those boards with Lockheed Martin

2:51:32

in order to model the

2:51:35

stealth airplanes. Yes.

2:51:37

Unbelievable. That

2:51:38

is insane. So fun.

2:51:41

So what we can see here is sort of

2:51:44

the classic modern, boondoggle

2:51:46

is probably the wrong word, but program

2:51:48

gone awry where there's

2:51:50

a sensible total program cost for making

2:51:53

a lot of airplanes. And then as there

2:51:55

is more pressure on the budget over time

2:51:57

and there's cutbacks that happen,

2:51:59

up making less and less airplanes. And

2:52:02

so it's really hard to amortize all

2:52:04

the R&D costs. And because of

2:52:06

the way that these contracts work, it's not the tech

2:52:09

company that's left holding the bag. It's

2:52:11

not the contractor holding the bag. It's total

2:52:13

cost plus model. The company,

2:52:15

the contractor, Lockheed, doesn't take any risk.

2:52:18

And so who's holding the bag? The government's

2:52:20

just paying more for each airplane rather

2:52:23

than, you know, you could imagine if I was

2:52:25

an apple and I sunk a

2:52:27

billion dollars into developing the next great

2:52:29

device and then no one bought them. I'm out a billion.

2:52:32

But in this scenario, the government's like, look, I

2:52:34

told you I'd pay that much. I'm paying that much.

2:52:37

And unfortunately, I just can't spread

2:52:39

the R&D across as many units.

2:52:42

Wow. It's the R&D, but also the tooling

2:52:44

like we were talking about with the Blackbird. Totally.

2:52:47

The infrastructure that you need to spin up to make

2:52:49

a new

2:52:50

airplane is a

2:52:52

lot.

2:52:54

Following Ben Rich's sort of, hey, I think this

2:52:56

is how airplanes are going to be made in the future.

2:52:59

This happens in 46 states.

2:53:02

The F-22 is built in 46 states. Yes.

2:53:06

And it requires 95,000 jobs,

2:53:09

which in

2:53:10

some ways is good. It's good to employ

2:53:12

people. In other ways, the

2:53:15

reason that some of these projects get funded

2:53:18

is because it creates these jobs. And

2:53:20

the reason that it's in 46 states

2:53:23

is because that

2:53:24

way, basically every

2:53:27

member of Congress is incented to vote

2:53:29

for it. You're talking about pork barrel

2:53:31

politics.

2:53:33

Exactly. So I think Lockheed

2:53:35

has become world class at understanding where

2:53:37

their bread is buttered. Yes, their customers,

2:53:39

the U.S. government, but the people

2:53:42

approving their funding are individual

2:53:44

people, these members of Congress who all

2:53:46

want to get reelected. And so Lockheed

2:53:49

spreads all these operations around. They employ all these people

2:53:52

and members of Congress love nothing more than creating

2:53:54

jobs for their constituents. And they hate nothing more than

2:53:56

participating in a vote that eliminates

2:53:58

jobs. And so. Congress

2:54:00

can kind of be simplified to 538 principal

2:54:02

agent problems.

2:54:05

And contrast that with the team of,

2:54:08

you know, what, 50 engineers

2:54:10

and 100 machinists that built the U-2? Yeah,

2:54:13

of course the F-22 is a much more advanced airplane

2:54:16

than the U-2, but the size of

2:54:18

the engineering challenge relative

2:54:20

to state-of-the-art technology was way

2:54:22

less than the size of the U-2 engineering challenge

2:54:25

relative to state-of-the-art technology. Yep.

2:54:28

So then there's the next program that comes along,

2:54:30

the F-35 Lightning II, the

2:54:32

Joint Strike Fighter. And so,

2:54:35

you know, the mindset here is, well,

2:54:37

we finally get it. We need to make a lot of these things

2:54:39

if we're going to make a big investment. The government

2:54:41

sort of pulls its resources and the DOD

2:54:43

sort of works across the armed services

2:54:46

and they reach out to all of our allies, Britain

2:54:48

and others, and they say, what's like a common

2:54:50

platform that we can develop

2:54:53

so that we can get the best economies of

2:54:55

scale out of this thing? That's the right thing for the American

2:54:57

taxpayer. And so they come up with this idea

2:54:59

for the F-35 Lightning II,

2:55:01

and they're going to make three models, and

2:55:03

each of the models are for a different purpose.

2:55:06

It's this incredible piece

2:55:08

of technology. One of the three models can actually

2:55:11

angle its engine down and

2:55:14

take off vertically using its

2:55:16

engine to reposition. I don't think they can use this

2:55:18

in combat, but they can like use it to move

2:55:20

itself around on an aircraft carrier

2:55:22

and stuff like that. It's pretty incredible

2:55:25

to watch videos of it if you just go search on

2:55:27

YouTube.

2:55:28

It interestingly

2:55:29

has a different

2:55:31

aim and mentality than the F-22. It's

2:55:33

less about being sort of the fastest plane

2:55:35

in the skies and much more about having

2:55:38

the technology and the visibility

2:55:40

to have the best information

2:55:42

at all times. It's sort of looking

2:55:45

to the future of information-based

2:55:47

warfare more than pure

2:55:50

air superiority and speed. It's not

2:55:52

all the way to like a drone future or a cybersecurity

2:55:55

future, but you can see it drifting there, really

2:55:57

intense communications between a whole bunch of

2:55:59

people. whole squadron of fighters, intense

2:56:02

heads up displays with digital stuff for

2:56:04

the pilots in the cockpits and in their helmets.

2:56:06

And so it's sort of like the most

2:56:09

technology forward

2:56:11

plane program ever. So

2:56:14

when I say big, I mean

2:56:16

really big in terms of the number of orders

2:56:18

that are going to be placed, the initial order

2:56:21

book is approximately 3000 airplanes

2:56:24

worth a potential $200

2:56:27

billion for

2:56:29

the total program cost. Wow. In

2:56:32

practice,

2:56:33

it's kind of as pork

2:56:35

barely as the F-22. Lockheed

2:56:38

won the contract, but it's subcontracted.

2:56:41

It's peanut buttered out to all the other big programs

2:56:43

too. The fuselage is Northrop Grumman. BAA

2:56:46

systems from the UK makes the rear fuselage.

2:56:49

These pieces are shipped all over the globe before

2:56:51

final assembly. So we've sort of expanded

2:56:53

it even from pork barrel in the US to

2:56:55

like, which of our allies can participate

2:56:58

in making this thing and thus benefiting

2:57:01

in their area too. So

2:57:03

here's some of the stats from Lockheed's 2022 annual report.

2:57:07

The USA's F-35 order is a $30 billion order just

2:57:10

from the US, $30 billion.

2:57:15

That's 398 airplanes.

2:57:19

That is $750 million per airplane. The

2:57:23

Swiss have placed an order for $6 billion for 36

2:57:25

airplanes. Finland bought 64,

2:57:28

Germany 35, Greece 20, the Czech 24, Canada 88, Poland 32. Lockheed

2:57:36

Martin, this is an enormous

2:57:38

win to win this program and it is

2:57:40

among us and our allies the

2:57:42

largest ever purchase anyone

2:57:44

has ever made for any piece of defense equipment. It's

2:57:47

just so clear

2:57:49

listening to you talk about that and

2:57:51

contrasting it with

2:57:53

everything we talked about in the story portion

2:57:55

of the episode.

2:57:56

This is a different world than...

2:58:00

the Lockheed of World

2:58:02

War II and the Cold War, and the military

2:58:04

of World War II and the Cold War.

2:58:06

It's very unclear to me what the threat-based need

2:58:08

is here for this. Well,

2:58:10

yeah,

2:58:11

hopefully deterrence.

2:58:14

Well, I guess, I don't know. I'm not a military

2:58:16

strategist, but you mentioned drones.

2:58:19

Drones are a thing now, and they're a lot

2:58:21

cheaper.

2:58:22

Yeah, put a pin in that for the moment.

2:58:24

I'll finish rounding out the national

2:58:27

defense budget, just to put all this in

2:58:29

context of what

2:58:31

Lockheed represents here. So

2:58:33

our national defense budget in the United

2:58:35

States is $800 billion. As

2:58:37

you would expect, that's more than any other country in

2:58:40

the world. It's 3% to 4%

2:58:42

of our GDP

2:58:44

we spend on defense.

2:58:46

Interestingly, it is down on a percentage

2:58:49

basis of, when you think about the

2:58:51

percent of federal revenue spent on defense,

2:58:53

it's actually down. Back in the 60s, we

2:58:55

spent half of our federal revenue

2:58:58

on the military.

2:58:59

And in recent years, it's fluctuated

2:59:02

between 12% and 20%.

2:59:04

So I think that's a little bit of a counter narrative

2:59:06

to people that like to complain about how much

2:59:08

money we spend on the military. Well, I guess it is

2:59:11

to the

2:59:12

point of consolidation in the last supper.

2:59:15

The government was clear, we're going to spend a lot less. We're

2:59:17

just going to spend it in a much more concentrated

2:59:20

fashion. Exactly.

2:59:21

The military-industrial-congressional

2:59:24

complex has really, it's almost like

2:59:26

what's happened to the banking system. We like pseudo-nationalize

2:59:29

a few companies. There's these too big to fail

2:59:32

entities that are like in

2:59:34

cooperation with the government, neither can really

2:59:36

exist without each other. And we just

2:59:39

are OK with that. We say, OK, that's how the

2:59:41

system works. And for better or for worse,

2:59:44

private industry and the government are tied at

2:59:46

the hip there.

2:59:47

So a few more stats

2:59:49

on this. So I said in recent years, the government's

2:59:53

DOD, or defense spending, is between 12% and 20%.

2:59:56

The total US government budget

2:59:59

is $6 trillion.

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