Episode Transcript
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0:00
Listeners, you should know, David and I were texting
0:02
before this, debating, do we change
0:05
this thing around? Do we play with this? Should
0:07
we reorganize this section? And he texted me, let's
0:10
just do it. So in the
0:12
honor of bad jokes by David Rosenthal,
0:15
here we go. Welcome
0:16
to season 13, episode
0:19
one of Acquired, the podcast about great
0:21
technology companies
0:32
and
0:38
the stories and playbooks behind them. I'm Ben
0:40
Gilbert. I'm David Rosenthal.
0:43
And we are your hosts. There's
0:45
an age old question in business, what
0:47
is more important, a great product
0:49
or great marketing? Well,
0:51
today we have literally the perfect
0:53
case study in that very question
0:56
in Nike. Does breakthrough
0:58
innovation drive that business? Or
1:01
is their core competency really around their
1:03
profound advertisements and their sponsorship
1:06
deals with athletes and teams or their
1:08
probably best in the world brand
1:10
positioning?
1:12
To understand it, we have to examine Nike's
1:14
entire 60 year history, of course, because this
1:16
is Acquired. And because shoe
1:18
dog is so good. That's amazing. You
1:21
got to start at the beginning.
1:22
So really the question is, what makes this company
1:24
the single largest apparel business
1:27
in the world today, outside of luxury,
1:29
of course?
1:30
And how is it possible to be a shoe
1:32
company that does over $50 billion
1:35
in revenue when they technically don't
1:37
make a single shoe?
1:39
So you may think you know Nike from the
1:41
movie Air or Shoe Dog. But what
1:44
hasn't been told is how those old stories
1:46
tied to the gigantic shift in strategy
1:49
that Nike is really in the middle of right
1:51
now. Well,
1:52
LPs, we got to thank you for voting
1:54
for this episode. David and I have had it sort of
1:56
in our episode backlog for
1:59
two, three years.
1:59
And when we put it up for a vote, the
2:02
overwhelming majority of you selected this
2:04
as our next episode. So if you also
2:07
want to vote for future episodes and become an Acquired
2:09
LP, that is Acquired.fm slash
2:11
LP.
2:12
If you want an update every time we drop
2:14
a new episode so you don't miss it, you can
2:16
sign up at Acquired.fm slash
2:19
email. And we'll be dropping little Easter
2:21
eggs and hints in those emails to
2:23
tease about what the next episode is going to
2:25
be. So that's Acquired.fm slash
2:27
email. Don't miss a new episode. And
2:30
lastly, make sure you check out ACQ2,
2:32
our second show where we interview people who
2:34
are building their companies today available
2:37
in any podcast player.
2:39
And without further ado, listeners, as always,
2:42
this show is not investment advice. Dave and
2:44
I may have investments in the companies we discuss, and this
2:46
show is for informational
2:48
and entertainment purposes only.
2:50
David Rosenthal, what is that stack of books
2:52
on your desk? Oh my God, I think Amazon owes
2:55
a thank you note to Acquired LPs because I
2:57
bought every Nike
2:59
book out there. I mean, my six foot long
3:01
desk is covered in Nike books.
3:04
So fun to read all of them. I thought there was just Shoe Dog. I
3:06
didn't realize there was the literally over a dozen
3:09
that you and I collectively read.
3:10
There's so many of them. I read thousands
3:13
of pages, but there are three
3:15
books that all basically tell more
3:18
or less the same story that we
3:20
weave together to come up with our core
3:22
Acquired Nike story here today. And I bring
3:24
it up because it's actually pretty important
3:26
what these three books are.
3:28
The first, of course, is Shoe
3:30
Dog, the goat business memoir
3:32
of all time. The second is
3:35
a book called Just Do It that was written
3:37
by the journalist Donald Katz. Ben,
3:40
do you know who Donald Katz
3:42
is?
3:43
Ooh, I do not.
3:45
So Don, after he
3:47
wrote this book, and I think he wrote one or two other books,
3:49
he had quite the career change. He
3:52
went on
3:53
to found the company Audible. Oh,
3:56
really? Isn't that crazy? Yeah,
4:00
just wow. So he wrote kind of the
4:02
canonical third party journalists
4:05
take on Nike. And then the third
4:07
book is a book called Swoosh,
4:10
which I bet most people
4:12
have not read, but kind of like taste of
4:15
luxury. I think people who are really in the know in
4:17
the footwear industry have read this book.
4:19
It was written by one JB Strasser
4:22
and her sister, Laurie Beckland.
4:24
JB Strasser is Julie Strasser,
4:26
who was the wife
4:28
of Rob Strasser. Now,
4:31
Rob, if you've seen the movie Air, the character
4:33
played by Jason Bateman
4:36
is Rob Strasser, Nike's
4:39
legendary first head
4:41
of marketing. The
4:42
item among many that is not discussed
4:44
in the movie is that Rob
4:47
shortly after signing Jordan
4:49
had an enormous fight
4:52
with Phil Knight, left the
4:54
company with Peter Moore, who was the
4:57
designer behind Jordans
4:58
and ended up joining Adidas
5:01
as CEO of Adidas America
5:04
just a few short years later. It's like an incredible
5:06
betrayal. This is like a Judas
5:09
level betrayal. I mean, to say he was persona
5:11
non grata around Nike is an
5:14
understatement of the century. And here's this book that
5:16
was written in real time by his wife
5:18
as this was all happening. Incredible.
5:21
Yeah. So Strasser will get
5:23
into his contributions, but he is
5:26
probably second only to Phil Knight in willing
5:28
Nike into existence.
5:30
We start, however, with the shoe dog
5:32
story, the origin of
5:34
blue ribbon sports, and actually
5:36
a little bit before shoe dog starts in July 1948,
5:40
when one Bill Bowerman becomes
5:43
the head track coach at
5:45
the University of Oregon. Now,
5:48
Bill was a legendary
5:51
figure in addition to being Nike's
5:53
co-founder along with Phil Knight.
5:56
I mean, kind of the only way to describe him is he
5:58
was like a descendant of the
5:59
of the Oregon Trail. The
6:02
cowards never started and the weak died along the way
6:04
was one of his favorite sayings. Yes.
6:07
So, Bill's dad
6:09
was the governor of Oregon.
6:11
And
6:12
Bill fought in World War
6:14
II as a major,
6:16
and he actually negotiated at the end of the
6:18
war the stand-down of a German battalion.
6:21
He's also such a character. He lived
6:23
in a remote mountaintop in the Oregon Mountains.
6:26
And the male delivery people who would come
6:28
up to his home kept knocking over
6:31
his mailbox with their trucks.
6:32
So, he rigs the mailbox with explosives
6:35
to blow up the truck the next time
6:37
it happens. And he literally blew up the truck. I
6:40
mean, the stuff you could get away with
6:42
in the 50s. They do
6:44
not make him like that anymore. No, they do not.
6:47
So, when Bill comes home after the war, he
6:50
first coaches high school and then he becomes the
6:52
head track coach at the University of Oregon.
6:55
He takes this background and character
6:57
that he has and he becomes
6:59
maybe arguably the most successful
7:03
track coach in American
7:05
history. So, I believe Bill
7:07
coaches the first American sub-four-minute
7:10
milers. He ends up coaching several
7:12
Olympic teams. He definitely turns
7:14
the University of Oregon into the most prestigious
7:17
track program in America. You
7:19
know, he's
7:20
a national celebrity, which is pretty
7:23
crazy for
7:24
Oregon in the 1940s, 1950s. Right.
7:28
So,
7:29
a few years into Bowerman's tenure as
7:31
head coach, he recruits a pretty
7:34
talented middle distance
7:36
runner, freshman, from Portland nearby,
7:39
one Phil Knight. Now,
7:41
Phil also has some interesting Oregon
7:44
roots. He's the son of Bill Knight,
7:46
who is another well-known University of
7:48
Oregon alum. He was a former
7:50
lawyer in Portland, and he's
7:52
the publisher of the Oregon Journal newspaper.
7:56
Phil follows in his dad's footsteps. He majors
7:58
in journalism at Oregon.
7:59
and he runs for Bowerman. And
8:02
I would say Phil is okay as
8:04
a runner.
8:05
Well, it's interesting. Phil Knight would
8:07
describe himself in his prime as an okay
8:10
runner because he was running
8:12
with the best, collegiate runners
8:14
in the world, coached by Bill Bowerman,
8:17
who barely gave Phil Knight the time of day.
8:20
I get the sense he was not a man of many words and
8:22
certainly almost no words of encouragement other
8:24
than run faster. And so, you've
8:27
got Phil Knight. The guy runs a four-minute,
8:30
13-second mile and is convinced
8:32
he's okay.
8:34
This is exactly what I was gonna say. I think at
8:36
any other school, Phil would have been a star. This
8:39
isn't really in Shoe Dog, but I know Phil's
8:41
personality from reading so much about him over
8:43
the past couple weeks.
8:45
I think he probably went to Oregon
8:47
in part
8:48
because he wasn't gonna be a star there. I mean,
8:50
he is, I
8:51
think, the most introverted CEO
8:54
that we have ever covered on Acquired. I
8:57
mean, Rockefeller was pretty introverted, but
8:59
he looks like Elon Musk compared to Phil Knight.
9:02
Yeah, and a lot of the CEOs that show up in
9:04
these Acquired episodes are deeply
9:07
private people, but it's mostly because
9:09
they want to stay out of the limelight. And
9:11
when they're in the limelight, you can see that they can turn
9:13
it on and they're bright and shiny and
9:16
they're sort of loving working the room. That's
9:18
not Phil Knight at all.
9:19
Not at all. I mean, I was super
9:21
lucky. I owed a huge thank
9:23
you in my life to Phil Knight. I went to
9:25
Stanford Business School. I was one of the first
9:27
classes to graduate at the Knight
9:30
Management Center that he endowed there. Didn't
9:32
he give your graduation speech? Exactly.
9:35
It was amazing. It was kind of the first draft
9:37
of Shoe Dog that he had been working on. The book came out
9:39
a couple years later. So great. But I remember
9:41
thinking, this does not seem
9:44
like the founder and CEO of Nike.
9:46
You know, even here talking at Stanford, the
9:48
most warmly receptive audience
9:50
possible,
9:51
like, he was very nervous. Yeah.
9:54
Huh. So Knight
9:56
runs at Oregon. And it's
9:58
important to say we should note about... He
10:01
was definitely a person,
10:03
a man like they don't make anymore.
10:06
But despite what you might think, he wasn't militaristic.
10:09
He really was pretty innovative. He
10:11
was the first track coach,
10:13
maybe college coach of any sport,
10:16
who really put a focus on rest for his
10:18
runners.
10:19
And part of this famously
10:21
for the Nike story too was
10:24
technology and was shoes.
10:26
So Bowerman actually taught himself
10:28
how to be a cobbler and would take
10:31
athletic shoes, usually Adidas athletic shoes,
10:33
and modify them or even build his own and
10:36
then use his athletes as
10:38
guinea pigs to any advantage
10:40
that they could have he would be looking
10:42
for and shoes were part of it.
10:44
And the technology that Bowerman was experimenting
10:47
with was crazy stuff. He
10:49
would rip shoes apart and he would rebuild
10:52
them, this is from the Nike website, with
10:54
snakeskin, deer hide, or fish
10:57
skin. Goofy and
10:59
crazy stuff. And his guinea pig was
11:01
Phil Knight because Phil wasn't at the
11:03
front of the pack so he could sort of afford to experiment
11:05
on him. So very fortunate for Phil Knight
11:08
and his future that he was not the fastest
11:10
runner on the Oregon team.
11:11
Exactly. This is where it all comes
11:13
together. So
11:15
after Phil graduates,
11:18
he goes to business school
11:20
right after undergrad to Stanford,
11:23
to Stanford GSB, hence the connection.
11:25
He graduates from GSB
11:27
in 1962. It's also crazy.
11:30
Nike feels like such a modern company. This
11:33
was a long time ago.
11:35
So
11:36
in Phil's final term
11:38
there at Stanford, he takes what is then
11:40
the
11:41
only quote unquote entrepreneurship
11:43
course at GSB. I mean, today there's like 100 different
11:46
entrepreneurship courses
11:48
taught by the
11:49
famous Professor Frank Schallenberger
11:51
who Knight gives tons of credit
11:53
to for Blue Ribbon Sports and ultimately
11:56
Nike.
11:57
And in the course for Knight's final
11:59
paper. he writes the
12:01
business plan for
12:03
Blue Ribbon Sports, pretty much word
12:05
for word. His thesis is that he
12:07
knows from growing up with his dad, and
12:09
I think he actually maybe spent some summers
12:12
at college and then at GSB working
12:14
in the newsroom at the Oregon Journal, and
12:17
he knows from the photography department
12:19
that high-end professional cameras
12:22
had traditionally been the
12:24
domain of the Germans. Leica
12:26
was the most famous camera brand,
12:29
and then at this point in time in the 50s
12:32
and 60s, the Japanese are starting
12:34
to enter the market. So Nikon was the
12:36
big Japanese entrant. Fuji,
12:38
Ricoh. Exactly. They
12:41
made great cameras and they undercut
12:43
Leica on prices by a huge amount.
12:47
And he also knows about
12:49
the sporting goods market from his time
12:51
at Oregon, and particularly being
12:53
a test pilot, as they would say for Bill's
12:56
shoes.
12:57
And actually the dynamics are pretty
12:59
much exactly the same in the
13:01
athletic goods market. There are
13:04
two companies, both German,
13:06
that dominate sports equipment.
13:09
One, of course, is Adidas.
13:12
Or Adidas, as the Germans
13:14
would say. Yes, as we will get into in just
13:16
a sec here. And the other one to a lesser
13:18
extent was Puma. Now, there
13:20
was an American athletic
13:23
apparel footwear maker in
13:25
Converse and others, but
13:28
Converse at the time was stuck
13:30
in the canvas shoe era, which was already
13:33
like ancient history. So if you know Chuck Taylor,
13:35
All Stars, the famous seminal Converse
13:38
shoes, Ben, if you had to guess,
13:40
when do you think Chuck Taylor played basketball?
13:44
Ooh, let's see. I think
13:46
if I remember our NBA episode, the
13:48
NBA was really getting going like
13:50
post-war. So like the 50s, I'd
13:53
guess he was an early 50s NBA player.
13:55
Yeah, you might think so contemporaneously with
13:58
the time we're talking about right now.
14:00
No, Chuck Taylor played professional basketball
14:02
in the 1920s. Whoa,
14:05
that's when the Chuck Taylor All-Star
14:07
technology is from. It's a
14:09
canvas shoe. By this point
14:11
in time, the market had migrated to
14:14
leather upper shoes, of which
14:17
Adidas or Adidas was the leading
14:19
technology manufacturer of it. So
14:23
anyway, basketball shoes wasn't really
14:25
the market yet. It would become much, much later,
14:27
as we shall see. The market was
14:29
running shoes. And
14:32
it was like an okay market, but this was not
14:34
the camera market. So Phil Knight's
14:37
thesis here, it actually didn't
14:39
get any sort of notice or praise famously
14:42
from his classmates or even really from the faculty
14:44
because they're like, okay, this is a
14:46
good idea to apply Japanese
14:50
low-ed disruption to the athletic
14:52
apparel market and the footwear market. But
14:55
this is not a big market. The market
14:57
such as it existed was track shoes.
14:59
Right. Think about how you would define a market
15:02
size. There's
15:02
not that many track athletes at any given point in
15:04
history. So not that interesting.
15:06
And it's worth maybe saying one word on
15:09
the Adidas or Adidas story
15:11
before we move back to Phil Knight and
15:13
Chewdog here, because it's pretty crazy.
15:16
So it's called Adidas
15:18
because Adidas was founded by
15:21
Adolph Dassler or Adi
15:23
for short, Adi Das.
15:26
In like the 1920s? Yes.
15:29
So after World War I when Germany
15:31
was totally decimated, but before World
15:33
War II, he becomes like a
15:36
fairly well-known elite
15:39
cobbler shoe purveyor,
15:41
track cleat purveyor to Olympians
15:44
at the time. So actually,
15:46
ironically, I guess Jesse Owens
15:49
wins the 1936 Olympics,
15:52
the big American demonstration,
15:55
literally beating Hitler in Berlin in Germany
15:58
in Adidas shoes.
15:59
And actually that was Adi Dassler taking a big
16:02
risk
16:03
by sneaking a pair of
16:05
Adidas shoes to someone
16:08
who could get them to Jesse Owens like the night before his
16:10
race. And Jesse Owens was like, oh, these are actually awesome.
16:13
And so it was like a big sort of, uh-oh,
16:15
is this going to be a problem for Adi when it comes out
16:17
that the American one wearing German shoes? Interesting.
16:20
I didn't know that part of the story. That makes sense because
16:23
Adi's older brother, Rudy, worked
16:25
with him in the business, as did Adi's wife
16:28
and son. After World War
16:30
II, though, the two brothers have
16:33
a huge acrimonious split.
16:35
Rudy goes off and starts a separate
16:38
shoe company.
16:39
It never came out what the fight was about,
16:41
but
16:42
one of the rumors is that Rudy
16:44
went and fought in the Nazi
16:46
army and Adi didn't. And
16:48
maybe that might have, I don't know, but may have
16:50
had something to do with it.
16:52
Anyway, crazy. Rudy goes across
16:54
town and starts a competing company
16:57
after the war
16:58
named
16:59
Puma. Craziest thing. Adidas,
17:01
Adidas, and Puma
17:03
are the two brothers. They're both the Dassler brothers.
17:06
Crazy. Okay, so take us back to Phil Knight. Phil
17:08
has this idea in this class in
17:11
business school, this good idea but small
17:13
idea to sell Japanese track
17:16
shoes in the US and undercut Adidas.
17:18
In 1963, after
17:21
he graduates,
17:22
Phil decides that he's going
17:24
to go off before he really starts life.
17:27
He's going to go take a trip around the world and he convinces
17:29
one of his buddies from GSB to go with him. They
17:32
go first to Hawaii famously and the buddy
17:35
meets a girl in Hawaii and... It's like, why
17:37
would I leave Hawaii? Yeah, I mean, smart
17:39
guy. Phil though
17:41
goes on to Japan and he's
17:43
still thinking about this idea.
17:45
When he's in Japan, he starts going to tracks
17:47
in Tokyo and watching what people
17:50
are wearing, running around the tracks
17:52
and he observes and he decides that
17:54
the Tiger brand shoes
17:56
that he's seeing are the best. So
17:59
he looks up the...
17:59
the company that makes tigers. Turns out they're
18:02
made by a company called Onitsuka,
18:04
which is based in Kobe in the south of
18:06
Japan near Osaka. And
18:09
Phil, for a desperate introvert,
18:12
kind of crazily, this is how passionate he is about
18:14
this idea. He gets it
18:16
in his head that he's gonna hop on a train from
18:18
Tokyo
18:19
and just go knock on their door and
18:22
say hi to the Onitsuka
18:24
Corporation and maybe ask
18:26
them if he could import some of their shoes.
18:29
So the story goes that he shows up
18:31
on the door and I can only imagine what 23-year-old
18:34
Phil Knight is feeling
18:36
as he's going through this.
18:38
Well, this is the other side of Phil's personality
18:41
where he's sort of a tortured soul.
18:44
He's introverted, but
18:46
he's unbelievably driven. He
18:48
has a splinter in his mind where
18:51
when his buddy's like, actually, this is pretty good, I'm gonna stay in
18:53
Hawaii, Phil's like,
18:54
but I'm longing for something. Yes. There's
18:57
something wrong with my existence
19:00
in the world that needs to be fixed and I need
19:02
to go and find out where
19:04
I belong and what to do and how to change the
19:06
world and how to build something.
19:09
And I think he's got a motor that's just
19:11
different than the way that other humans operate.
19:14
I've been thinking a lot about, I think this is
19:16
David Senra saying that the
19:18
CEOs and the founders of these
19:20
companies that we cover, that he covers,
19:23
they are the Genghis Khans of our time.
19:26
And Phil doesn't present as
19:28
a Genghis Khan, but he
19:30
still is. Deep down
19:32
underneath all that introvert, he
19:34
has that same drive that
19:37
John Rockefeller had, that an Elon Musk has,
19:39
that a Mark Zuckerberg has. And this unbelievably
19:42
competitive spirit is the
19:45
founding element of Nike's culture
19:47
that permeates to this day.
19:49
At Nike, you play to win. And
19:52
I think everyone shows up to work
19:54
and you wear Nike stuff and you don't ever
19:56
wear any of the competitors. Not to, hey,
19:59
I wanna try out this stuff. It's like,
20:00
hey,
20:01
we don't do that here. That's playing for the other team. Get
20:04
off the other team. You're on our team. And you wake
20:06
up every day and you show up to
20:08
go to work and kick your competitors' asses.
20:11
And sometimes that takes them to questionable
20:13
places that we'll talk about later in the episode. But Nike
20:16
is among the most competitive cultures
20:19
in the world.
20:20
It's funny you say Nike there as
20:22
sort of founding principles because
20:24
Nike isn't going to come for quite a while here.
20:27
While Phil is making this train
20:29
trip down to Kobe,
20:32
he suddenly has a realization. His plan is
20:34
he's going to show up at the door. He's going to
20:36
say that he's an American businessman, a
20:39
distributor, and he wants to distribute their shoes
20:41
in America, literally his business plan from the GSB
20:44
class.
20:45
He doesn't have a company, though. And he doesn't have a
20:47
name for the company. So he has to
20:49
think fast and come up with a name.
20:52
And there are multiple conflicting stories about where
20:54
the name comes from.
20:56
The one that Phil tells is that the
20:58
name Blue Ribbon Sports comes from
21:00
him thinking back to his childhood
21:02
days, becoming a track athlete
21:04
in middle school and high school. He
21:07
talks about he got cut from the baseball team and
21:09
his mom encouraged him to go out for track. And
21:11
then the Blue Ribbons that he won
21:13
at his track meets really helped
21:16
define his personality. It's a very nice story. Very
21:18
nice story. That's where the name comes from.
21:21
The other story that appears in the other
21:23
books is that Phil was out drinking
21:25
the night before either drinking
21:28
Pabst Blue Ribbon PBR beers,
21:31
or I think more likely the other one that I read
21:33
is Suntory Blue Ribbon Whiskey,
21:36
which is a Japanese whiskey brand.
21:38
We saw a billboard or something like that. And
21:41
that's where the name Blue Ribbon came from.
21:44
As with any of these stories, we'll never know, and it's
21:46
probably some of both.
21:47
Yes. Either way, perhaps
21:49
driven by this drive to succeed,
21:53
Phil
21:54
puts on the performance of a lifetime in
21:56
this meeting.
21:58
He claims that he is a.
22:00
He's a US businessman
22:02
from America. He's gone to Stanford Business School.
22:04
He has a company called Blue Ribbon Sports. He wants
22:06
to import their shoes. By the way,
22:09
he ran track for the legendary Bill
22:11
Bowerman, who of course they know.
22:13
He tells them that
22:15
he's done market research. He thinks that
22:17
the US track shoe, running
22:20
shoe market could be a $1 billion
22:23
market, which he totally
22:25
makes up. He has no evidence
22:27
to back this up whatsoever. He's
22:29
done lots of market research.
22:32
Lots of market research. And it is completely
22:34
wrong in both directions.
22:36
The actual US market
22:38
for running shoes at this point
22:41
in time, I mean,
22:42
there's no way it was a billion dollars. Maybe $100
22:45
million,
22:45
maybe? I
22:47
mean, we just were talking about running was not a thing.
22:49
It was a thing that athletes did. Right.
22:52
And the running craze or
22:54
the fitness craze hadn't really started
22:56
yet. So to
22:57
give you a sense, David, I think you're probably spot on with that,
23:00
maybe $100 million, maybe $200 million for
23:02
track shoes in the US. The branded
23:05
athletic shoe market all up, including
23:07
all sports for the whole US across
23:09
all age groups, everything, $2 billion.
23:13
So he's completely wrong on what it actually
23:15
is at that point in time.
23:16
He's also completely wrong on
23:19
what it would become in the other direction,
23:22
thanks to Blue Ribbon and Nike. They
23:24
had a large hand in growing.
23:25
And I'll spoil it for listeners. The
23:28
branded athletic shoe market in the US
23:30
today
23:31
is $130 billion. Now,
23:34
obviously, not all of that is track and running.
23:37
But a large part is
23:39
running shoes. And that's growing 5% year
23:41
over year. So still a growth market,
23:43
even at that scale, which by the way, that number, $130
23:45
billion, just to compare it against
23:48
some other things, that is bigger than the video
23:50
game market.
23:51
Wow. Hey, I mean, not everybody has to
23:53
play video games. But everybody has to wear
23:55
shoes.
23:57
So Knight leaves this meeting, this
23:59
performance of.
23:59
of a lifetime,
24:01
he gets an agreement from Onitsuka
24:03
that if he
24:05
wires them $50, they will send samples
24:09
of the shoes to his office
24:12
back in the States,
24:13
i.e. his family home in Portland,
24:16
Oregon. So first thing Knight does,
24:18
he gets in touch with his dad, I don't know, he sends
24:20
him like a telegram or something,
24:22
back in Portland and asks him to wire $50 to
24:25
the Onitsuka Corporation of Japan for
24:29
purchasing these samples. He
24:31
gets home, I think it's two or three months later
24:34
after this. Surely the shoes would have arrived. But
24:36
surely the shoes would have arrived. He
24:38
rushes home, says, hi mom,
24:41
hi dad,
24:42
did the shoes arrive? His dad's like,
24:44
what shoes?
24:45
The shoes did not arrive. The
24:47
shoes would not arrive for almost
24:49
another year. Wow.
24:53
A little foreshadowing in what
24:55
doing business with Onitsuka is going to be like for
24:57
the fledgling Blue Ribbon Sports. And
24:59
this is just to like get some samples to
25:01
see if he can sell $50 worth of shoes.
25:04
That takes over a year.
25:05
So Phil gets home, he's disappointed. He's
25:07
got to start his life, he gets a job as an accountant,
25:10
he's got a business school degree studying to take
25:12
the CPA exams and become a licensed CPA.
25:16
And then finally, at
25:17
the end of 1963, I think right around
25:19
Christmas, Phil writes in Shoe Dog,
25:22
the samples show up.
25:24
And Phil gets them, they're
25:26
great, they're what he remembers. He thinks,
25:29
these aren't quite maybe
25:31
as good as Adidas, but
25:33
they're good enough. And I can sell them cheaply
25:35
enough that
25:36
my business plan will work. They're
25:39
way cheaper. So
25:41
Phil gets back and writes Onitsuka, says, great,
25:43
I would like to be the
25:44
US distributor for
25:46
track and field shoes. And Onitsuka
25:48
says, okay, great, you can be the distributor
25:51
for the Western United States. We already
25:53
have somebody that we're working with on the East Coast,
25:55
but you can have the Western 13 states.
25:56
Phil's like, great.
25:59
He quits.
25:59
his accounting job, he starts
26:02
the company, he goes to work, he hires one
26:04
of his twin younger sisters, who I think was maybe
26:06
still in high school to help him part-time
26:09
with receiving the inventory and sending them out
26:11
and stuff. The naivete is just dripping off
26:14
of Phil at this point. It's like, oh good, I have a business,
26:16
so surely I will make enough money to be able to
26:18
quit my job and hire people.
26:20
Yes, and now he doesn't have enough
26:22
money to open a retail outlet, or
26:24
even really to get enough inventory to sell
26:27
wholesale to other retailers. So
26:29
his genius business
26:31
plan, I don't know how much of this was part of the Stanford
26:34
paper or not,
26:35
is he's going to drive around to track
26:37
meets in Oregon and up and down the West
26:39
Coast and sell the shoes
26:41
out of his car. Pretty awesome. That's
26:44
legitimately doing the shoe leather work
26:47
that no one else is willing to do, and getting
26:49
through that hard part to get your business off the
26:51
ground, establishing proprietary distribution channels.
26:54
Yes.
26:55
Speaking of proprietary, he
26:58
also has another actually
27:01
really great idea, which
27:03
is that while he's driving around,
27:06
he'll go down to Eugene
27:08
and see his old coach,
27:10
Bowerman, at the University of Oregon.
27:13
And he thinks, oh, if I
27:15
could get Bill to put
27:17
his runners
27:19
in Tigers, then that would be
27:21
great marketing for me. And I know
27:23
he's not always super happy with Adidas. We're
27:25
going to have a better relationship. He'll be able to experiment
27:28
with these shoes. And I'll sell them to him for
27:30
cheap, because
27:31
at this point in time, even the legendary
27:33
Bill Bowerman and the University of Oregon,
27:36
they bought all the shoes.
27:38
Nobody was giving them shoes. It
27:41
was like a major line item in their budget.
27:43
Crazy. And so let's just
27:45
take a quick pause and recognize
27:47
this company that would eventually become
27:49
Nike started, A,
27:51
not as Nike, B,
27:54
not with a swoosh, C, not
27:57
making a product. It's literally
27:59
just import.
27:59
and reselling someone else's
28:02
product, and the plan is to build
28:04
a big business off the back of
28:07
not actually making things.
28:09
Not exactly what GSP or any
28:12
other business school would determine a recipe for
28:14
success here. But
28:15
maybe that penciled more at
28:17
the time. Being in this super globalized
28:19
world that we're in now with the internet and
28:22
companies with these massive resources that can
28:24
scale immediately. And venture capital.
28:27
Exactly, and venture capital, which can just supercharge
28:29
a company's growth if something's working. The
28:31
idea that your core competency is just
28:34
distributing someone else's product among
28:37
a geographic area where you have
28:39
a relationship with customers, that might
28:41
have actually been a pretty good plan and much
28:43
more defensible in a way that it's
28:45
much harder to build something like that from scratch
28:48
now.
28:48
That's a super good point. And it turned out actually
28:51
that
28:51
Onitsuka had already studied the
28:54
US market, whether they agreed with Phil's
28:56
plucked out a thin air market size or not. They
28:59
wanted to enter the market,
29:01
but they didn't think they could do it on their own. So they
29:03
actually were looking for somebody like Phil.
29:05
Yep.
29:06
So Phil goes down to see Bowerman. And
29:09
to
29:10
Phil's surprise, I mean, Bowerman is not a
29:12
warm and fuzzy guy. He's never really
29:14
shown Phil much encouragement when he
29:16
ran for him or since.
29:19
Bowerman says, this
29:20
is a pretty good idea.
29:22
Not only
29:23
do I want the shoes for
29:26
cheap,
29:27
I want you to cut me in on the deal. I
29:29
want to be partners with you in this company.
29:31
And Phil is like,
29:33
floored.
29:34
And like real partners, 50-50-ish. It's
29:36
not like I want you to like toss me a percent here or
29:38
there for being an advisor or something. It's like, okay,
29:41
great, co-founders, just like that. So
29:43
Phil's like, what's the deal you have
29:46
in mind? I think originally Bowerman
29:49
says 50-50 and then he sleeps on it and he comes back
29:51
with his lawyer and he says, actually,
29:53
let's do 51-49. I want you to
29:55
have 51, me to be 49. Cause
29:57
I don't really want to be involved here.
29:59
Now, on the one
30:02
hand, this is super exploitatory
30:04
of Bowerman, of his old athlete that still
30:06
obviously looks up to him like a father. It's kind
30:08
of like there weren't
30:10
really VCs yet in this era, but when
30:12
there would be like VCs taking 50, 60, 70% of
30:14
the company.
30:16
On the other hand, this is a no-brainer
30:19
yes for Phil. Right, he's giddy
30:21
about it. He's like, oh, only half the company? Great.
30:24
Well, and if Phil doesn't do this deal,
30:27
he would have 100% of Phil Knight's
30:29
blue ribbon sports, but he does do
30:31
the deal and he gets 51% of
30:34
Bill Bowerman's blue
30:36
ribbon sports, which is a completely different
30:38
animal. Yes. So
30:41
I was thinking about this. After reading Shoe Dog,
30:43
I was like, hmm,
30:45
because I just read it for the second time.
30:47
It just feels a little weird that Bowerman
30:50
would just kind of immediately be
30:52
like, yes, I'll go into business
30:55
with you person who ran
30:57
for me that I never had a particularly close relationship
30:59
with.
31:00
And so I've always wondered like, why was
31:02
he so eager to do this?
31:04
And as part of the research, I
31:07
stumbled upon this guy named Scott Reams,
31:10
who was formerly a Nike historian. He
31:12
worked in the marketing department and then for over 20 years
31:14
worked at Nike and became a company historian.
31:17
He has an epic set of LinkedIn posts
31:19
that are really like
31:20
these incredible gems pointing
31:23
out things in company history. And so he's got this
31:25
post. He says,
31:26
based on letters in the University of Oregon and
31:28
Nike archives, Bill Bowerman corresponded
31:31
directly with many footwear manufacturers
31:34
in the 1950s. So
31:36
like 15 plus years before this, including
31:39
Adi Dassler directly to Adi
31:41
Dassler
31:42
trying to purchase shoes for his runners directly
31:44
to avoid retail markup. He made it
31:47
clear he had ideas on how
31:49
to make running shoes better. Remember, these are
31:51
in letters to Adi Dassler years
31:53
before. The responses he received
31:56
referred him to footwear distributors in the United
31:58
States for Adi Dassler.
31:59
and ignored his design offer.
32:02
So Bowerman is sitting there and he is
32:05
primed. He's like, oh, you're gonna import foreign
32:07
shoes and give me a deal? I'm in.
32:09
Just like Onitsuka was primed
32:11
to receive young Phil Knight, so
32:14
was Bowerman. Ben, this is so awesome. I
32:17
was gonna save this for a reveal later
32:19
in the episode.
32:20
Scott Reames is legendary. He
32:23
was, as you say, Nike's corporate historian. He
32:25
worked super closely with Phil on
32:28
writing Shoe Dog. Oh, did you read his post?
32:30
I sent you his LinkedIn. Did you look through them all too? Not
32:32
only I sent him a message on LinkedIn,
32:34
I talked to him. I spent
32:36
hours talking to Scott. Really? He
32:38
spent a few days helping me put our
32:41
version,
32:41
acquired's version of the Nike story
32:43
together. We have a huge, huge thank you to him,
32:46
but I was gonna surprise you with this. This
32:48
is super cool.
32:50
That is so awesome. Oh,
32:52
that's so cool. I guess I should tell you. So listeners,
32:54
we talked to, like,
32:56
nearly a dozen people to prepare for this episode.
32:59
I also want to thank Eric Sprunk, who is
33:01
a 27-year Nike veteran. And
33:04
David, you know that I chatted with him, but he was COO until a
33:06
couple years ago, and very cool to get his perspective
33:09
and Scott's perspective. I'm curious
33:11
if you have any other nuggets that come up, too. Oh,
33:14
I've got one in particular that I want to bring Scott's perspective
33:16
in, but it's a little farther in the story. Great.
33:18
All right, so, Bowerman. So, okay, we've got 51-49 Bowerman
33:23
in Blue Ribbon Sports. They each put
33:25
in $500 to finance the
33:27
first big shipment
33:29
of inventory of tigers from Onitsuka.
33:31
And they
33:33
do, they, meaning Phil, does
33:35
what he intended to do. He drives around
33:37
to track meets around the Pacific Northwest
33:40
and
33:41
sells them out of the back of his car. And
33:44
even with that funny sales strategy,
33:47
and in Shoe Dog, Phil talks about this while
33:50
he was in Hawaii with his buddy. The way
33:52
they made money was they sold encyclopedias
33:54
door-to-door, and then Phil gets a job
33:57
as a stockbroker trying
33:59
to sell stocks.
34:00
He doesn't make any sale. Like he's the most introverted person
34:02
in the world. He can't be a salesman.
34:04
But for some reason when he's selling shoes,
34:07
when he's doing his crazy idea,
34:10
he can literally just go to track meets and
34:12
convince kids and their parents to buy these
34:14
shoes out of the back of his car. When you believe
34:16
in something, sales are just natural.
34:19
It's so true.
34:20
So they sell out basically immediately
34:23
and then they plow all the profit that they're making
34:25
back into the next orders of inventory
34:27
from Onitsuka. So they do $8,000 in revenue
34:29
in 1964. That
34:32
doubles in 1965. They do $16,000 in revenue.
34:37
But Ben, as I think you're about to say,
34:39
there's kind of a problem here. Well, there's a few
34:41
problems. One of which is they're not making
34:43
that much money. It's not
34:45
a great
34:46
gross margin business. You have to pay to import
34:48
these shoes from Japan. How much can you really mark
34:51
them up to sell them? And if you're making, I don't
34:53
know, two, three bucks profit, something
34:55
like that, on each pair of shoes, you have to sell
34:57
a lot of shoes and
34:59
if your only way to get money to buy more
35:02
inventory is
35:03
the profits from the shoes that you sold
35:06
last order,
35:07
I don't even know how you double your over a year because
35:09
where's the money coming from to get the inventory? This
35:12
is not a solvable problem. It's
35:14
a circular issue. There's no way to do it. So
35:16
Phil is selling
35:18
the Tigers for $6.95 a pair.
35:22
It costs him and Bowerman about $3.50 to
35:25
get each pair of shoes. So that leaves
35:28
what, about $3.50?
35:31
Pretty soon, Phil hires
35:33
his first full-time employee, the
35:35
legendary Jeff Johnson, who has
35:38
a huge role in Nike,
35:40
as we shall see.
35:42
Once Jeff and other sales reps come
35:44
on board,
35:45
he's giving them about $1.75 in commissions.
35:49
So half the gross margin ends up going
35:51
into sales and marketing expenses. Exactly.
35:53
So that leaves what, a buck $75, maybe $2, like
35:57
you said, in profit per pair.
36:00
How are you gonna order more inventory
36:03
at $3.50 a pair when
36:05
you're making $2 in
36:06
profit per pair? The
36:08
math doesn't pencil.
36:10
Wow.
36:11
Quick aside on Jeff Johnson.
36:13
Like we said, he is absolutely legendary.
36:16
He also sells out of the back of his
36:18
car. He's based in California. He met
36:20
Knight at Stanford. Jeff was a Stanford
36:22
undergrad who ran track and met Knight
36:25
while he was at GSB.
36:26
Johnson sells out of the back of his car.
36:29
He evangelizes the brand. He designs
36:31
shoes. He eventually opens Nike's first
36:33
retail store in LA. He sets
36:35
up manufacturing. He moves back and forth
36:37
across the country. He is basically
36:39
like
36:40
everything you would ever want
36:43
in a first employee at a company.
36:45
To find a Jeff Johnson
36:47
is the most incredible
36:50
thing that could ever happen to a startup company. And
36:52
he has an irrational passion for
36:54
running, which basically no one else did at
36:56
the time. Here's a great quote from Shoe Dog. So
36:58
it's in Phil Knight's voice.
37:00
In 1965, running wasn't even a sport. It
37:03
wasn't popular. It wasn't unpopular.
37:05
It just was. To go out for a three mile
37:07
run was something weirdos did, presumably
37:09
to burn off their manic energy. Running
37:12
for pleasure, running for exercise, running for endorphins,
37:14
running to live better and longer. These were
37:16
things that were unheard of. People went out
37:19
of their way to mock runners. Drivers
37:21
would slow down and honk their horns. Get
37:23
a horse. They'd yell throwing a beer
37:26
or soda at the runner's head. And he goes
37:28
on to say that Johnson had many sodas
37:30
thrown at his head while he was out running. This
37:32
is one of the moments that just floored
37:34
me rereading Shoe Dog and
37:37
internalizing that.
37:38
Running, I go for a run
37:41
maybe three times a week these days. Right,
37:43
it's just normalized into life. Every
37:46
time I walk out in the street, basically
37:48
anywhere in the world, unless I'm like truly
37:50
in the middle of nowhere, you see people running.
37:53
And the idea that motorists would throw beer and soda
37:55
cans at runners is
37:58
crazy. Yeah. Totally wild.
38:01
So back to this financing issue.
38:04
As you can imagine, the only
38:06
way to grow
38:07
as a company with
38:10
the set of operating constraints that Blue Ribbon
38:12
Sports has
38:13
is through financing.
38:15
And the only way to get financing
38:18
in Portland, Oregon in those days
38:20
was to go to Oregon regional
38:23
banks. I think actually there were laws
38:25
in the US that corporate
38:28
banking could not happen across state lines.
38:30
Correct. So there are only like two or three banks that
38:33
Knight even has the option of going to.
38:35
Yep.
38:36
And by the way, when you're going to get money from the bank,
38:38
it's not equity capital. They're not saying
38:41
like a venture capitalist would say, oh, I'll buy a piece
38:43
of your business and value it at this and give
38:45
you the money at that. It's just pure
38:48
loan that you owe back to them at some
38:50
point in time with interest. Yep.
38:53
And the bankers who are making
38:55
these loans in Portland then was a
38:57
very, very small town in a very, very
39:00
small state on the west coast of the US.
39:03
They're not going to be very risk seeking. They're
39:05
going to be quite risk averse. So
39:07
there's another good passage that I grabbed from Shoe
39:09
Dog that explains this. Phil Knight,
39:12
I was projecting $16,000 in my second year. And
39:15
according to my banker, this was a very
39:17
troubling trend. 100% increase
39:20
in sales is troubling, I asked. Your
39:22
rate of growth is too fast for your equity, he
39:24
said.
39:25
Growth off your balance sheet is dangerous.
39:28
And this is where Phil Knight's complete opposite
39:30
approach comes in. He goes, life is growth. Business
39:33
is growth. You grow or you die.
39:36
And the banker says, that's not how we see
39:38
it.
39:39
And there's a couple of important points to make in here,
39:41
one of which is this equity they're referring to. We
39:44
refer to equity these days, especially in startup
39:46
land, as percentage points in a startup. And
39:49
what he's talking about here is the technical definition
39:52
of equity. The book value of equity. Right,
39:54
your total assets minus your total liabilities
39:57
is your equity. And in many cases, the equity is the
39:59
equity. You can sort of squint at this if you don't have
40:01
a lot of liabilities or a lot of debt on your books and
40:03
say, okay, so it's basically like the cash in the
40:06
bank. It's the assets you have on hand as your equity.
40:08
So what this banker is basically saying to Phil Knight
40:10
is,
40:11
I will only loan you up
40:13
to the amount of money that I already know
40:15
you have.
40:17
Now, that's not terribly helpful. It's
40:19
basically a cash advance. It's
40:21
like, well, the money that I have is sort
40:23
of tied up in other stuff like inventory
40:26
and you're just loaning me enough money for me
40:28
to make my next order. But there's not actually
40:30
any real new capital.
40:33
It's not like there's a post money valuation. You're
40:35
basically just saying you can borrow these dollars, then you
40:37
can give them back to me and I'm going to cap your
40:39
dollar limit super low.
40:41
Yeah, it's basically factoring, right,
40:43
is what it's known as today. Right. So,
40:47
yeah, as you can imagine, there are quite
40:49
a lot of struggles with the various
40:51
banks in Oregon and it's all very
40:54
well chronicled in shoe dog.
40:57
So since
40:58
growth is literally rate limited
41:01
by the banks, Knight decides
41:03
that he can't justify taking a
41:05
salary. He goes back to being
41:07
an accountant by day. He joins Pricewaterhouse
41:10
in the Portland office.
41:11
He does that for a couple of years. I
41:13
mean, years, years takes a
41:16
long time to grow this thing.
41:18
Eventually, Blue Ribbon does become big enough
41:20
and he needs to devote enough time to it that he can't be
41:22
a full time accountant.
41:24
So instead he gets a job teaching accounting
41:26
at Portland State
41:28
where he meets two women,
41:30
both of which will change his life. The
41:32
first one is a student. Things were
41:34
different in the 60s. A student in
41:37
his first class that he teaches named Penny
41:39
Parks, who he
41:42
sees has great potential as
41:44
an accountant. So he hires her as
41:46
a bookkeeper part time while she's a student, I
41:48
believe, for Blue Ribbon Sports.
41:51
Very shortly thereafter, she becomes
41:53
Penny Knight, his wife.
41:56
Now I think of gosh, like 60
41:58
years, maybe something. like that. The
42:01
other woman he meets is an art student,
42:04
not an accountant, an art student named
42:06
Carolyn Davidson.
42:08
And Phil overhears her talking with some
42:10
friends in the hallway one day talking about art
42:12
classes. And he stops her and he says,
42:14
Hey, I've got a company. We need
42:16
some part-time art and design work for
42:19
like
42:19
brochures and sponsorship collateral.
42:22
Because everyone's telling him that he needs to do advertising.
42:24
Phil Knight to this point, which is hilarious given
42:26
Nike today doesn't believe in advertising. And
42:29
so he's like, fine, I'll give in to some
42:31
other people who are advising me that I should make
42:33
some brochures or something. And the way I'm going to do
42:35
it is I'm going to hire a part-time
42:38
student
42:38
from Portland State to do my advertising
42:41
collateral for $2 an hour. Yes.
42:44
She says, sure, put a
42:46
pin in that we are going to come back to
42:48
Carolyn Davidson and the Nike
42:50
art department in a minute here.
42:53
Yes.
42:54
But first, now is a great time to
42:56
tell you about one of our favorite companies here at Acquired
42:58
and a new sponsor this season.
43:01
Ooh, David, you teaser. What else
43:03
could anyone possibly design for Nike
43:05
that would change Phil Knight's life? It's a
43:07
great story and there's more to it than I
43:09
think you've heard before. So
43:11
what sponsor are we talking about? Brand new one for us,
43:13
a company called Blinkist.
43:15
We are doing something pretty special with them
43:18
here at Acquired. Blinkist, as you
43:20
might know, takes books and condenses
43:23
them into the most important
43:25
points. I really could have used that for research
43:27
on this one. Yes. It lets you
43:30
read or listen to the summaries. So
43:32
it's great for people who want to read more books, but you might not
43:34
have time to get to your whole dream bookshelf.
43:37
Now we told the good people at Blinkist how
43:39
we go about researching for Acquired and they had
43:41
an idea and we're running with it. So if
43:43
you go to Blinkist.com slash Nike
43:46
or click the link in the show notes, you can get blinks
43:48
for the Nike books that we use to
43:50
research this episode. And many
43:52
of them, they are making custom for you
43:54
guys in real time.
43:56
So expect more Nike books to be
43:58
showing up as they're
43:59
literally making these for the acquired
44:02
audience. And not only that, if you
44:04
use the link, you'll get the whole Nike
44:06
collection for free as these books
44:08
get added. And Blinkist has told us anyone
44:11
who signs up through that link or uses
44:13
the coupon code NIKE will then get
44:15
an additional 50% off a premium
44:17
subscription to all 6,500 titles in their
44:20
library. So
44:22
for those of you who lead companies and organizations,
44:24
I know there's a lot of founders and executives listening, Blinkist
44:27
also lets your company become a customer
44:29
with Blinkist for Business. So 1,500
44:32
different organizations use this worldwide.
44:34
This gives you not only access to condensed books,
44:37
but also courses and coaching pathways
44:39
like leadership from Simon Sinek or
44:41
courses on mindfulness or communication
44:43
and history. It's awesome for teaching new
44:45
skills or for the learning and development
44:48
department at your company. So a fun
44:50
way this came about, a little acquired behind the
44:52
scenes, Blinkist was just acquired
44:54
by Go1, which is a friend of
44:56
the show where the founder and the leadership
44:58
team have been long time acquired listeners.
45:01
David and I are both investors
45:03
in Go1 and now Blinkist, and
45:06
we'll share more about Go1 later this season,
45:08
but know that they are an amazing one-stop
45:10
shop to get all the content that you need for
45:12
your company, like for your whole workforce from
45:15
HR trainings to specific skill
45:17
development classes. And they get
45:20
that content from the best places in the
45:22
world to produce that content. It's not like
45:24
they're making something you've never heard of. They
45:26
probably have awesome content that
45:28
you're looking for just bundled into one easy subscription.
45:31
So back to Blinkist. To join
45:33
the 27 million people who use Blinkist,
45:35
go to blinkist.com slash Nike
45:38
or click the link in the show notes to get access
45:40
to what we use for research.
45:42
Pretty cool.
45:44
Okay, David, so
45:45
should we share the Carolyn Davidson thing
45:48
now or don't we need to evolve Nike
45:50
a little bit more before it really comes into play? Yeah,
45:52
put a pin in it. We'll come back to it.
45:54
So in the meantime,
45:56
buy hooker, buy crook, and
45:58
maybe.
45:59
Onitsuka as we will see would argue by Crook.
46:02
Blue Ribbon Sports' sales do
46:04
keep growing. They do keep getting
46:07
just enough and just enough in time financing
46:09
to finance their inventory and orders
46:11
from Tiger and Onitsuka. In 1966,
46:14
they do $44,000 in revenue. In 1967,
46:18
they do $84,000 in revenue, noticing
46:22
a doubling theme here. Turns
46:25
out even from a very low base, if you double
46:27
every year for like 20 years, you
46:30
can still become a big company.
46:31
So then in 1967,
46:32
Bowerman,
46:34
remember, you know, Bowerman's been
46:37
involved, his name, his association with the
46:39
company has been huge throughout all this. But
46:41
like you were saying a minute ago, Ben, his
46:44
real motivation is he wants R&D
46:47
access. He wants to be able to
46:49
make shoes. And in 1967, ahead of the 1968 Mexico City
46:51
Olympics, he
46:55
comes up with a new idea for an entirely
46:58
new type of shoe, one
47:01
that he probably can't really manufacture
47:03
on his own.
47:04
But now he has this relationship with Tiger,
47:06
with Onitsuka.
47:07
And his idea is that
47:09
rather than leather on the
47:11
upper parts of these track
47:14
shoes,
47:15
what if we instead use a breathable material
47:17
like nylon so that my
47:19
runner's feet aren't sweating throughout
47:22
the whole race?
47:23
On the one hand, like, guess nobody likes sweaty
47:25
feet.
47:25
On the other hand, if your feet sweat a lot in leather
47:28
shoes over the course of several miles, well,
47:30
they're gonna get heavier and weighed down.
47:33
And so maybe this might help the shoes
47:35
stay lighter. And Bowerman is obsessed
47:37
with lightweight in his shoes. So
47:41
Onitsuka is very receptive
47:43
to this. They think, great,
47:45
we love this. We'll make the shoe. We can do
47:47
that. We can source the nylon. We'll make the shoe.
47:49
So Bowerman and Phil get together like,
47:52
this is amazing. We're gonna have our
47:53
own model, you know, that we've designed, that Bowerman's
47:56
designed. Which you should already
47:58
start to get a little bit nervous here.
47:59
Cause it's like, well, okay, who? Who owns this
48:02
shoe? Exactly. Well, that would
48:04
be for the courts to decide. Is it like the
48:06
blue ribbon shoes design company
48:09
owns the design and they hired a contract manufacturer?
48:11
Or is it more like, oh, we just gave you a little suggestion
48:14
idea and like we BRS don't own anything.
48:16
Yep.
48:17
The relationship
48:18
complicates a little bit here. It's no longer
48:20
just, hey, we're the American distributor
48:23
of tigers. So Bowerman
48:25
and Phil want to call the shoe.
48:27
They actually want to borrow from the Adidas
48:30
playbook and call the shoe, the Aztec
48:33
ahead of the Mexico city Olympics.
48:36
Adidas has been doing this for years. They always come
48:38
out with new shoe models ahead of whatever
48:41
the Olympics is in the world every four
48:43
years. Adidas of course has already beaten
48:45
them to the punch. They have trademarked
48:47
a shoe that they're coming out with called
48:49
the Azteca gold. And
48:52
I don't know if it's blue ribbon or
48:54
on it's Uka decides that the Aztec is
48:56
too close to that.
48:57
So
48:58
legend has it, you know, knowing these
49:00
men. I assume this is
49:03
quite true. Bowerman is
49:05
casting a bout for other ideas for names of the shoe.
49:07
And he says tonight, what
49:09
was the name of that Spanish guy that kicked
49:11
the, you know what out of the Aztecs?
49:14
And Knight is like, oh, that's Cortez. And
49:16
thus
49:17
the
49:18
blue ribbon slash tiger Cortez
49:21
is born. Naming aside, the nylon
49:23
uppers are a huge innovation
49:28
and this becomes a big hit.
49:31
I bet someone out there is wearing Nike
49:33
Cortez's right now.
49:34
It's become like a lifestyle shoe and less
49:37
of a running shoe cause the definition of a running shoe has
49:39
changed dramatically.
49:40
And so
49:41
the fascinating thing is if you look down at
49:44
your Nike Cortez or you Google a picture
49:46
of it,
49:47
it's basically exactly the same as
49:49
the thing that they came out with. But when they came out, it had
49:51
the Onitsuka now ASICS
49:54
design on it, not the swoosh. Yeah,
49:56
spoiler alert, tiger eventually became
49:58
ASICS.
49:59
Yes. So
50:01
also in 1967, Bowerman has
50:03
another just
50:05
monumental contribution. His
50:07
contributions, though sporadic when they happen, are
50:10
enormous. So he
50:12
writes a book.
50:14
I feel like some marketing agency these days would advise
50:16
a startup on, oh yeah, this is how you build a market, write
50:19
a book, start an evangelizer movement.
50:21
Bowerman just does this because it's what he wants to do.
50:24
He had gone on a trip to visit
50:26
another international track coach
50:29
in New Zealand a few years earlier.
50:32
And he discovers the concept
50:34
of jogging. I don't even know if the word
50:36
jogging really existed in America
50:38
at this point in time. The idea
50:41
of running not to win, but
50:44
to run for joy or for physical
50:46
fitness
50:47
was an entirely foreign concept.
50:50
All right, I'm gonna read a paragraph from Shoe Dog
50:52
here. This is Phil Knight.
50:54
He told me on top of everything else, he
50:57
was also writing a book. A book, I said, about
50:59
jogging, he said gruffly.
51:01
Bowerman was forever griping
51:04
that people make the mistake of thinking only
51:06
elite Olympians are athletes. But
51:08
everyone's an athlete, he said. If you have a body,
51:11
then you're an athlete. Now he was determined
51:13
to get this point across to a larger audience,
51:16
the reading public. Sound interesting,
51:18
I said, but I thought my old coach had popped
51:20
out a screw. Who the heck would want to read
51:22
a book about jogging?
51:24
This is Phil Knight, the founder of Nike.
51:27
Right, I mean, even Phil Knight is
51:29
like jogging. That's crazy.
51:31
So Bowerman writes this book, it's called Jogging,
51:33
A Physical Fitness Program for All
51:36
Ages. He writes the book, it comes out in 1967. Life
51:40
Magazine, Life Magazine was huge
51:42
in America at the time. They come out to Oregon
51:45
and they write a profile of him
51:47
and his
51:49
jogging clubs that he started for
51:51
the citizens of Eugene of all
51:53
ages to get into jogging and physical fitness.
51:56
And by God, I mean, as much
51:59
as anything.
51:59
This
52:01
book and this article is
52:03
what starts the fitness
52:06
movement in America. Yup.
52:08
It's the craziest thing.
52:10
I keep going back and forth when looking at Nike
52:12
and say,
52:13
did they benefit from this
52:15
enormous wave that they were riding or
52:17
did they create a wave? And I
52:19
think it was actually both. Yes.
52:22
So Knight has this great quote about
52:24
this later in life. He's asked literally
52:26
this question if Nike started
52:29
the fitness revolution. And his answer is
52:31
so typically, Phil Knight, he says, we
52:33
were at least right there and we sure
52:36
rode it for one hell of a ride.
52:38
I love it.
52:40
Here's a crazy bit of trivia, David.
52:42
So for me, when I reflect back on
52:44
like the birth of the jogging movement, because I'm
52:46
a millennial and I wasn't there, I think
52:49
of Forrest Gump.
52:50
You know, he's running across America and all these people
52:52
are running with him. And that time and that
52:54
aesthetic to me is like, oh, that's when jogging sort of really
52:56
took off. He was wearing Nike
52:58
Cortez's. Yeah.
53:01
Perfect. So great.
53:03
And the fact that Blue Ribbon really did
53:05
have starting to become pretty
53:07
real distribution at this point to
53:10
the West Coast. They actually had built
53:12
a brand and a trustworthiness with customers
53:14
and coaches and that sort of thing for themselves that
53:17
not only could Bowerman write the book and
53:19
evangelize and have the idea, but they
53:21
could actually get shoes onto the feet
53:23
of people because out of this budding company,
53:25
they actually had a little bit of distribution and more
53:28
than just athletes. Yeah.
53:31
Or more importantly, changing the definition of athlete.
53:33
Yes, I like that changing the definition more
53:36
than just people who define themselves
53:38
by their occupation, whether amateur
53:40
or professional as athletes. Right.
53:43
So by 1970, just
53:45
a short while after this, Blue
53:48
Ribbon is now doing over half a million
53:50
dollars. In annual sales. So
53:52
they're like a real company now.
53:54
They're selling out of the Cortez is literally
53:56
as fast as they can get them off the boats from
53:59
Japan.
54:00
Onitsuka renews Blue
54:02
Ribbon's distribution agreement in 1970 for
54:05
three more years to run through 1973. When
54:09
this happens, Phil then goes
54:11
to the bankers in Oregon and
54:13
asks for, hey, you know,
54:16
great.
54:16
The Cortez is selling out great, fitness is this
54:19
new thing. We're a half a million dollar revenue
54:21
company. We've got a three year ironclad
54:23
deal with our manufacturer. Surely
54:26
you could assign some value to that contract,
54:28
if not to our brand and our team
54:30
and all these other intangibles, you won't just
54:33
treat us as if we're book value now.
54:35
Like we'll have some real enterprise value because
54:37
you can invest in our enterprise here,
54:39
our enduring institution.
54:41
So he asks for a line of credit
54:43
of $1.2 million
54:45
to finance inventory.
54:48
He'd never asked for a over million dollar
54:51
line of credit before. He trips the alarms. He
54:53
trips the alarm system. $1.2 million,
54:57
a kid off the street can literally
54:59
walk down Sandhill and raise $1.2 million today. Inflation
55:03
adjusted, it's probably like $8 million or something.
55:05
Sure, whatever. But a kid off the street can walk
55:08
in a Stanford and raise $8 million today. Exactly,
55:10
just say it's an AI company. So the
55:13
bankers,
55:14
not literally, although literally, they would do
55:16
this very shortly thereafter, they throw him
55:19
out.
55:19
They're like, no, no, no, no,
55:21
we're done here. You can't be doing this, we're done.
55:23
I'm just fascinated by this concept of
55:26
it's almost as if the idea
55:28
of enterprise value didn't exist, that
55:31
literally a company could only possibly
55:33
be thought of as its assets minus
55:35
its liabilities.
55:36
So what that meant was if you
55:39
want to grow your company and you want
55:41
to grow it as fast as possible, then
55:43
it means you can only take out as much debt
55:45
as you have assets in the company.
55:47
But you probably shouldn't, because then
55:50
if anything goes wrong, your company is immediately
55:52
wiped out because your debt to
55:54
assets ratio is literally 100. And
55:57
what Phil Knight did was all of the time,
55:59
kept it as a company.
55:59
at a 100% ratio or close to it, like a 90% ratio. He'd
56:03
look and see how many assets they had and say, great,
56:06
we should have exactly that much debt too, so
56:08
I can grow as fast as possible. And so
56:10
it kind of becomes this game of musical chairs where
56:13
when you're levered that hard,
56:15
you need to be growing super
56:17
fast because you need to
56:20
get that inventory off the boat, sell it
56:22
so you can as fast as possible go and pay
56:25
off the bank so that A, the
56:27
interest doesn't pile up and you don't trip a bunch of covenants,
56:30
so that then you can go ask them for another loan to
56:32
do the same thing again. And you literally
56:34
need growth as
56:37
the only way to keep the lights on. It's not just
56:39
growth as a virtue, it's growth as a
56:41
necessity. And this, in addition
56:43
to the competitive thing
56:46
I mentioned earlier where Nike is a competitive
56:48
company,
56:49
Nike is a growth company. And if you
56:51
go to their investor relations page to this day,
56:54
across the top in big bold letters,
56:56
it says Nike Inc is a growth
56:59
company.
57:00
They were born out of this is the only
57:02
possible way to continue our existence
57:06
is grow so we can pay off the bankers.
57:08
Two things here. One, this
57:10
is so sad. That's the way
57:13
it was. And thank God
57:15
the business world has evolved
57:17
since then. I mean, you can decry the ridiculousness
57:20
of startups and VC and
57:22
tech and all that now, but this is
57:24
a way better alternative than the
57:26
way things used to be too
57:28
though. Ironically,
57:30
I actually as
57:33
crazy as this sounds think
57:35
it was a critical element of Nike
57:38
succeeding and becoming Nike because
57:40
if it were too easy,
57:42
there would have been a flood of other competitors
57:45
or Onitsuka and others would
57:47
have just done this themselves. Right. It's
57:50
like many of the stories we tell that it's path dependent.
57:52
The only way to have built what they
57:54
built is to have endured what they endured
57:56
in a system that was stacked against them.
57:59
Yes.
57:59
And there's huge survivorship bias here. But
58:03
the journey that they had to go through to survive
58:06
is incredible. Plenty of other companies maxed
58:08
out their available credit and debt
58:10
all the time and had 100% liabilities to
58:13
assets ratio and went out of business. And
58:15
went under, yes.
58:17
And Nike almost does.
58:18
So
58:20
when this happens, when he gets thrown out of the banks,
58:22
Phil needs to do something to raise money.
58:24
So he decides
58:26
the only thing he can think of is to do a small
58:29
public offering, like a local
58:31
IPO. Remember how Ben and Jerry's was
58:33
the first? Direct listing. Yeah,
58:35
I think it's something like that where they sold shares, Ben
58:37
and Jerry's sold shares in Vermont to like their
58:39
neighbors. This is what Phil
58:42
wants to do.
58:43
And this is how bad it is. So A, he
58:45
changes the name of the company. This
58:47
is so good. Nike isn't anywhere in
58:49
the picture yet. He changes the name of the company
58:51
to sports-tech, T-E-K, with
58:56
the idea that, oh, this will make us sound like a technology
58:58
company. And then people will be interested in investing.
59:01
Because he hears that people are getting financing
59:03
for their business in the form of equity
59:06
capital, where they're willing to assign a valuation
59:09
to the company. And regardless of what
59:11
your current sales and assets look like, that
59:13
sort
59:13
of
59:13
takes your potential future growth into account
59:16
and gives you capital in exchange
59:18
for that. And what they want is a percent of the upside, equity
59:21
investing as we know it today in startups.
59:23
And
59:24
all of that is happening in Northern California
59:26
into tech companies as we chronicled
59:29
on the Sequoia episode with Don Valentine. It's
59:31
that era. Exactly. We
59:33
are right in that era now. Don is about to start Sequoia.
59:36
A lot of this is happening around Stanford. Of course,
59:38
Phil up in Oregon is hearing about this.
59:41
But once anybody, any proto venture
59:43
capitalist digs into sports-tech, they're
59:45
gonna be like, no. So
59:48
what I've never been able to figure out is did he change it to sports-tech,
59:51
Inc. and then change it back to blue ribbon sports or
59:54
did they sort of
59:54
like, I'm trying to figure out if they ever literally changed
59:56
the name on documents. That's a great question
59:59
for Scout Reams. We'll have to ask him. Yeah, yeah.
1:00:02
So
1:00:02
this is how bad it is though. The offering fails.
1:00:05
Nobody's interested. None of these proto VCs,
1:00:08
none of the local business people in Portland,
1:00:10
they're all like, oh, no, no. This is a terrible
1:00:13
company. Well, and Phil might undersells it
1:00:15
too, before he learns some of his later
1:00:17
lessons. It's his super
1:00:20
humble, you know, I'm not a very good runner.
1:00:22
I'm only a 4.13 miler type attitude.
1:00:24
Right. Oh, shucks. Yeah, and so that's
1:00:27
not gonna sell shares in your company. Yep.
1:00:30
So he ultimately has to raise
1:00:32
some money from the families of some
1:00:34
of the employees at Blue Ribbon. Most famously,
1:00:37
Bob Woodell, who would become
1:00:40
Nike's first president other than Phil
1:00:42
when Phil takes a sabbatical later in the
1:00:44
eighties. Bob is this amazing
1:00:46
story. He was also a Bowerman runner,
1:00:49
had a terrible accident in college
1:00:51
and was confined to a wheelchair for the rest of
1:00:53
his life, becomes one of Nike's
1:00:56
and Blue Ribbon's first employees
1:00:58
and then becomes a huge leader,
1:01:00
built so many things at the company and
1:01:02
becomes the first president other than Phil. But
1:01:05
he doesn't come from wealth and his family loans,
1:01:09
I think three or $5,000 to Blue Ribbon, like
1:01:12
a huge amount of money for them. It's
1:01:15
like a huge amount of the family's net worth.
1:01:18
Phil would convert that into equity before the actual
1:01:20
IPO and they would become millionaires
1:01:22
and change their lives. It's amazing.
1:01:24
Yeah, the way that he was financing this was basically through
1:01:27
convertible debt. All the pre-IPO, little
1:01:29
friends and family financings that
1:01:30
he's doing here are convertible notes. So
1:01:33
this brings us
1:01:35
to 1971, the Annis
1:01:38
either Mirabelus or
1:01:41
Haribla. Depending on how
1:01:43
you wanna think about it, I just butchered both
1:01:45
Latin and French there, but
1:01:47
clearly this financing path
1:01:50
isn't gonna work for the next stage of
1:01:52
growth. Eventually,
1:01:54
I think he reads in either a magazine or
1:01:56
a newspaper article about Japanese
1:01:59
trade.
1:01:59
trading companies. How he had
1:02:02
never heard of Japanese trading companies before then,
1:02:04
given the amount of business he was doing in Japan,
1:02:07
is crazy. Although it was in
1:02:09
Onitsuka's strong interest for
1:02:12
Phil and Blue Ribbon not to find out about Japanese
1:02:14
trading companies as we shall see.
1:02:17
And what they are is this very strange
1:02:20
type of company that we don't
1:02:22
really have, at least in the tech ecosystem
1:02:25
today. No, does not exist in America
1:02:27
or in most countries. And it's sort of a hybrid
1:02:30
between a
1:02:32
lender and
1:02:35
a
1:02:36
supply chain partner, where
1:02:38
it's a company that has some primary
1:02:41
business that they're doing. Slash private
1:02:43
equity firm slash holding company. Yes.
1:02:46
It's a company that in this particular instance
1:02:48
has a business that they're in and
1:02:50
generates a bunch of cash. So what do you do with the
1:02:52
company's treasury? Well, you could do boring
1:02:55
stuff with it, or you could make strategic investments
1:02:57
with it, or you could operate
1:02:59
a financing business
1:03:01
where you leverage all
1:03:03
of the unique relationships you have from the parent
1:03:06
company
1:03:07
to do diligence,
1:03:09
to advantage your investments, to
1:03:11
put your foot on the scale. And you're using
1:03:14
the fact that you have a large treasury to
1:03:16
open a competitively advantaged
1:03:18
bank, especially in sourcing
1:03:21
international goods. Yes. To do
1:03:24
asset based financing, exactly
1:03:28
what Blue Ribbon needs. So
1:03:31
the company that he ends up meeting at
1:03:33
the local branch office of it in Portland,
1:03:35
I think they might have been the only Japanese trading
1:03:37
company with a branch office in Portland,
1:03:39
is Nisho Iwai, which is
1:03:42
one of the smaller ones. Today, the company is called
1:03:44
Sojits. Today it is still
1:03:46
a $40 billion revenue company.
1:03:49
Back then in 1971, it was a $100 billion annual revenue
1:03:56
company, and it was I think the sixth
1:03:59
largest.
1:03:59
Japanese trading company. The other ones that many
1:04:02
listeners probably will have heard of are companies
1:04:04
like Mitsubishi
1:04:06
or Mitsui or Sumitomo.
1:04:09
These are
1:04:10
enormous companies and especially
1:04:12
in the 70s as Japan was really
1:04:14
rising. We told the story on the Sony episode.
1:04:17
Nisha Ui was a
1:04:20
godsend for Blue Ribbon. And
1:04:22
it could have gone either way.
1:04:24
That was the thing with these Japanese trading companies
1:04:27
is if you weren't super clear on exactly
1:04:29
what you wanted upfront, it could totally
1:04:31
go the way of private equity where
1:04:34
you tripped one covenant or up you
1:04:37
this that the other thing and suddenly
1:04:39
they're able to own a controlling interest
1:04:41
of your company or they're able to take over management
1:04:44
and install their own people. It was a PE
1:04:46
style financing where oftentimes they
1:04:48
would sort of take over and absorb the businesses
1:04:51
that they were financing. So Phil Knight
1:04:53
was going into this saying, okay,
1:04:55
that really, really, really can't happen to Blue
1:04:57
Ribbon. Can I possibly negotiate with these
1:05:00
guys to
1:05:01
make it so that
1:05:02
their interests are aligned with mine, but
1:05:04
not in a way that could compromise
1:05:07
my control? Right. Because he gets
1:05:09
a little spooked. According to Shoe Dog, Phil
1:05:11
walks into the office of Nisha Ui
1:05:14
in Portland. This is like the Portland, Oregon
1:05:16
branch office of Nisha Ui
1:05:19
meets with one of the officers there
1:05:21
who would go on to become
1:05:23
an incredible personal relationship
1:05:25
for Nike and for Phil,
1:05:28
a guy named Tom Sumeragi.
1:05:30
And he offers on the spot
1:05:32
to finance all of Nike's inventory
1:05:35
on the spot in a meeting in the branch office
1:05:37
in Portland. So Phil's like, whoa, how do I deal
1:05:39
with these guys? Right.
1:05:41
They're a little too eager. This can't be
1:05:43
that good of a deal. What's going on here?
1:05:45
It turns out ultimately, it's a great deal.
1:05:47
And why is it a great deal? Well, the first
1:05:49
thing you have to know is Nisha knows
1:05:52
Japanese manufacturers. And
1:05:54
so they start asking Phil Knight questions like,
1:05:57
well, who do you work with in Japan? And like, would
1:05:59
you ever make your own? and are
1:06:01
you looking for relationships with more factories? And
1:06:03
so they start to get the sense that like, maybe
1:06:06
eventually we could
1:06:09
put our foot on the scale in certain ways and
1:06:11
help this company win. And so if we're doing business
1:06:13
with them as their financing
1:06:15
partner, this could be really good for us too.
1:06:18
So Phil, in retrospect,
1:06:20
makes the mistake of calling
1:06:22
up on Itsuka and saying, hey,
1:06:25
you know, I'm in this lurch with financing. I just
1:06:27
met Nisha Iwai. They
1:06:30
offered to finance all my orders with
1:06:32
you guys.
1:06:33
Would you be okay if I do it? And
1:06:36
they immediately say, absolutely
1:06:37
not. And the reason
1:06:40
they say absolutely not is Ben, just like you're saying, they
1:06:42
know what's going to happen here is Nisha
1:06:45
is going to say to Phil,
1:06:47
hey, you know, this is nice
1:06:49
that you're
1:06:50
buying Onitsuka's inventory. Onitsuka,
1:06:52
I think, is like a 20, 30, maybe $40
1:06:53
million revenue company in
1:06:56
Kobe at this point in time. Right.
1:06:59
This could creep into us. Nisha is a $100
1:07:01
billion company, right? Nisha
1:07:04
is going to say, hey, we'll introduce you
1:07:06
to manufacturers, to factories here
1:07:08
in Japan,
1:07:09
build your own shoes, make your own brand,
1:07:12
screw these tiger guys. And
1:07:14
that is exactly what happens.
1:07:15
Yes. And before we get into exactly
1:07:17
how this all plays out and
1:07:20
effectively the real founding of Nike, creating
1:07:22
their own shoes and how that all goes down, with this financing
1:07:24
as a key part of it, this
1:07:27
is a great time to tell you about our next
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1:07:32
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1:07:33
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1:07:37
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1:07:40
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purpose built for AI training and
1:07:44
inference. So just like Phil
1:07:47
Knight had the crazy idea of taking on Adidas
1:07:49
with Blue Ribbon, Crusoe and its
1:07:51
founders, Chase and Cully, had the crazy idea
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and for many AI workloads, you'll get
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Crusoe helps to reduce this by
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1:09:45
But for 99% of AI workloads,
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latency doesn't matter. So
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Crusoe can put these data centers out
1:09:51
where energy happens in these oil fields
1:09:54
and wind farms instead. Yep. And
1:09:56
as an aside, while we're here talking about Nike's
1:09:59
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financing strategy, what Crusoe
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1:10:43
Okay. So, Blue Ribbon's in this interesting situation
1:10:45
where
1:10:46
they've been kicked out of their bank from
1:10:48
a lending perspective. They can still keep their money
1:10:50
there. They still have the operating accounts, but they can't get
1:10:53
any more
1:10:54
debt there to finance their inventory,
1:10:57
which they need to buy. You know, they need this
1:10:59
cash to be able to buy their next round to grow the
1:11:01
company. Nisho enters the picture. How does
1:11:03
it go from here? So this basically
1:11:06
sets off a whole chain of events
1:11:08
that would later get prosecuted in court.
1:11:10
So, Onitsuka,
1:11:12
as we said, they are super nervous. They
1:11:15
know what this Nisho relationship is going to mean
1:11:17
for Blue Ribbon, and it's not good for them.
1:11:19
So they start looking around
1:11:22
at
1:11:22
working with other potential distributors
1:11:25
in the U.S. They assume that Blue
1:11:27
Ribbon, one way or another, is going
1:11:29
to end their relationship with them here.
1:11:32
They also, as kind of a last ditch
1:11:34
effort,
1:11:35
make an offer to buy Phil
1:11:37
out, to buy Blue Ribbon. And
1:11:40
Phil thinks he's being smart
1:11:42
here. He
1:11:43
stalls. He doesn't say yes. He doesn't
1:11:45
say no. He's like, uh, let me talk to Bowerman.
1:11:48
Yes. And one thing I was trying to
1:11:50
figure out, so in Shoe Dog, it
1:11:52
doesn't give a value. Phil just
1:11:54
says that his contact at Onitsuka
1:11:57
offers to buy 51% off. of
1:12:00
Blue Ribbon
1:12:01
and keep him as a minority partner.
1:12:04
And from some other sources, what
1:12:07
Phil Knight says in interviews is
1:12:09
that they offered to buy it for book value. Yes,
1:12:12
that's what I read too,
1:12:13
which I imagine is like zero. So
1:12:16
it's a pretty terrible deal because what
1:12:18
is the book value of a company that 100% of the time has its
1:12:20
capital tied up in inventory? Right,
1:12:24
it's zero. So
1:12:26
it's zero, or most generously,
1:12:29
it's the value of the inventory. So in 1971, I believe
1:12:31
they did 1.3 million in revenue,
1:12:38
which best estimates
1:12:41
would be that their
1:12:43
cost was something like $600,000, $700,000. Right,
1:12:47
but they probably turned to that inventory several times. So
1:12:50
at any given point in time, the inventory is less than that. Right.
1:12:53
So it's a terrible deal, it's a takeover,
1:12:55
and so Phil Knight's basically just like, I don't
1:12:58
want to piss them off by declining,
1:13:00
so I'll just say nothing. He knows
1:13:02
at this point that
1:13:04
he's done with Onitsuka, they're
1:13:06
going to go with Nisio,
1:13:08
and they're going to set up their own factory
1:13:10
relationships and make their own shoes. But
1:13:13
he can't just shut off Tiger.
1:13:16
It's going to take time to spin this stuff up. He
1:13:18
needs the Tiger shoes in the interim,
1:13:20
so he stalls.
1:13:21
And by the way, this relationship so far has
1:13:23
been unbelievably fruitful. They're
1:13:26
at the point now where because of Blue Ribbon, 70% of
1:13:28
runners in the US, mind
1:13:32
you, runners is not a large category yet, but runners
1:13:34
in the US have Onitsuka shoes. Yeah,
1:13:37
so this is pretty important. Yeah. So
1:13:40
there's a whole bunch of stuff. Phil
1:13:42
hires a spy. There's a thing
1:13:45
where the Onitsuka management team comes over to
1:13:47
visit Blue Ribbon headquarters. Phil
1:13:50
steals some documents out of the guy's
1:13:52
briefcase. Literally the guy gets
1:13:54
up to go to the bathroom or something, and Phil
1:13:57
grabs it out of a folder and photos
1:13:59
it.
1:13:59
copies it. Yeah, it's pretty bad. Even
1:14:02
worse, Phil's a combination, as we keep
1:14:04
saying, of Genghis Khan and extremely
1:14:06
introverted and really naive. He writes
1:14:08
a memo to the whole company saying that he's
1:14:11
hired a spy at Onitsuka. This
1:14:13
is not the kind of stuff that you want coming up in
1:14:15
legal discovery later. A
1:14:17
whole bunch of this stuff happens. They end up in
1:14:19
this literal Mexican standoff here where
1:14:22
there's no way out without firing shots
1:14:25
and somebody has to fire a shot
1:14:28
first. And it's Phil. Phil
1:14:30
shoots first. He's like Han, he shoots first. And
1:14:32
I say Mexican standoff too because A, that is
1:14:34
the situation they're in. B, the
1:14:36
first shot gets fired
1:14:39
in Mexico.
1:14:41
So while Phil is waiting
1:14:44
on spinning up the Japanese factory
1:14:46
relationships with Nisho Iwai,
1:14:49
he remembers from back
1:14:50
in the Mexico City Olympics in 1968, I
1:14:53
think, that there was a factory,
1:14:55
I believe in Guadalajara, that
1:14:57
Adidas had used to make
1:15:00
soccer cleats for the Olympics.
1:15:03
And he says, you know, those soccer cleats that
1:15:05
Adidas made were pretty good.
1:15:07
Let me go down to that factory and
1:15:09
see if I can get some of those cleats
1:15:12
and we'll sell them here in America
1:15:15
as blue ribbon American
1:15:17
football cleats.
1:15:18
Now technically,
1:15:21
he thinks this won't violate his exclusivity
1:15:24
agreement with Onitsuka because Onitsuka
1:15:26
doesn't make football cleats.
1:15:29
Now that's debatable. Yeah.
1:15:32
There's a paragraph in the written agreement
1:15:34
that gives Phil Knight three years or
1:15:36
whatever it is of exclusive distribution. In
1:15:39
exchange, he is forbidden from
1:15:41
importing other brands of track
1:15:43
and field shoes.
1:15:45
And so theoretically, he thinks as long as they're
1:15:47
not track shoes, it's fine. So he goes down to the
1:15:49
factory in Mexico. He's like, can I get the shoes?
1:15:52
And they're like, yeah, sure.
1:15:53
What do you want to put on them when we made them for
1:15:55
Adidas? You know, we had the three stripes on them, the Adidas
1:15:58
stripes.
1:15:59
What design do you want?
1:15:59
you want on your version of these shoes? And
1:16:02
oh yeah, by the way, what do you want to call them? And
1:16:04
Phil's like, let me get
1:16:06
back to you on both of those. So
1:16:10
he goes home to Portland and calls up
1:16:12
who else?
1:16:13
Carolyn Davidson. Yup, the part-time
1:16:16
art department at Blue Ribbon Sports for $2
1:16:18
an hour.
1:16:19
And he asks her to
1:16:21
design something like Adidas'
1:16:24
stripes
1:16:25
that can go on the sides of these soccer
1:16:27
slash football cleats. Huge
1:16:30
thank you here to Scott Reams for helping us sort
1:16:32
out exactly what the timeline is and what the details
1:16:35
are, because it's not well understood
1:16:37
how this all went down.
1:16:39
And
1:16:40
you can actually hear quotes from
1:16:42
Phil Knight in interviews and a little bit in
1:16:44
Shoe Dog where it disputes
1:16:47
other records of how this all went down.
1:16:49
And people care a lot about this because obviously
1:16:51
what we're getting here is the origin of
1:16:54
the swoosh and of Nike. And so how
1:16:56
does this end up happening? The most
1:16:58
interesting thing is from Scott,
1:17:00
he put this on LinkedIn, he talked to Carolyn herself
1:17:03
about this. Her recollection is that
1:17:06
originally in the request
1:17:08
to create what became the swoosh,
1:17:10
they wanted
1:17:12
structural support
1:17:14
as an element in the design. And
1:17:17
she came back with some designs, they didn't like any
1:17:19
of them. And so in the
1:17:22
second revision, they dropped
1:17:24
the requirement that it be supportive in
1:17:26
any way and that it's just about
1:17:28
having the brand sewn onto the outside.
1:17:31
Also, super importantly,
1:17:33
this is not the name that we're
1:17:36
talking about here. So point one,
1:17:37
we're just talking about a logo to
1:17:39
go on the shoes.
1:17:41
So all the thought of like, oh, the swoosh
1:17:43
is like the wing of the goddess of victory.
1:17:46
No, not the case, this is before
1:17:48
the name.
1:17:49
Right, so it's literally not inspired by
1:17:51
the Greek goddess of victory. Like I was just in
1:17:54
France, I just stood in front of the winged
1:17:56
victory statue. It's this beautiful, incredible
1:17:58
thing in Paris.
1:17:59
There's this myth running around forever
1:18:02
and ever that the swoosh is inspired by one
1:18:04
of those wings The name Nike came after
1:18:06
the design of the swoosh, which by the way also
1:18:09
was not called a swoosh yet Okay, so as you say
1:18:11
she goes through two rounds of sketches when
1:18:13
the second round comes back
1:18:16
They're out of time. The factory is calling
1:18:18
and they're like hey
1:18:20
shoes are just about ready. We just got to put the sides
1:18:22
on them
1:18:23
What do you want?
1:18:24
So finally Phil and
1:18:27
Jeff Johnson and Bob Waddell they're sitting
1:18:29
around and a couple other folks and they're
1:18:31
like well We got to pick one and like
1:18:33
well, maybe I don't know this one
1:18:35
that kind of looks like a checkmark It
1:18:37
maybe is the best of the bunch and Phil
1:18:39
very famously says the line I
1:18:42
don't love it, but maybe it'll grow
1:18:44
on me and
1:18:46
that Becomes
1:18:48
the swoosh now ultimately they do give
1:18:50
Carolyn stock in the company before the
1:18:53
IPO So she makes more than two dollars
1:18:55
an hour But for this project she
1:18:57
was paid $35
1:18:58
which also she said she spent way more than 17
1:19:01
and a half hours But it was just kind of coming up with some
1:19:03
price to charge
1:19:04
fun thing about I did the math on the
1:19:07
IPO shares when Nike would pub like
1:19:09
they did give her 500 shares
1:19:11
the stock price today is around 110 and it has
1:19:13
split Seven
1:19:16
times so two to the seventh
1:19:18
times a hundred and ten dollars a share times
1:19:20
her 500 shares is
1:19:23
worth seven million dollars today nice
1:19:26
and I
1:19:26
Heard Phil say somewhere. I think it might have been
1:19:29
in the GSB graduation speech I
1:19:32
believe he said that she held the shares.
1:19:34
Yes as late as 2016 2017 he
1:19:38
is on the record saying she has never sold the share. Yeah
1:19:41
Wow Incredible prequel
1:19:44
so they send the logo off
1:19:46
So a short while later factory in Mexico
1:19:48
calls them up and it's like alright
1:19:50
shoes are done We're ready to box
1:19:52
them and ship them.
1:19:54
What should the model name
1:19:57
of these shoes be like
1:19:59
the Cortez?
1:19:59
or the Aztec of gold or
1:20:02
whatever they had called them. What's
1:20:04
the model name of the shoes?
1:20:06
And so back at Nike headquarters,
1:20:08
they're all sitting around brainstorming.
1:20:10
And this is where all
1:20:12
the famous ideas that get thrown out, Phil
1:20:14
Knight loves Dimension Six, the
1:20:17
other people are throwing out the Bengal, the Falcon,
1:20:19
all the naming ideas.
1:20:21
The idea is they wanna name the model
1:20:23
of the shoes, like these cleats, what are the cleats
1:20:26
called? They're not coming up with a name
1:20:28
for the company. And it's the idea it's gonna
1:20:30
be the blue ribbon Dimension Sixes.
1:20:33
Yes.
1:20:34
So legend has it.
1:20:35
And as best as we can tell, this is actually
1:20:38
true.
1:20:39
In typical Phil Knight style, he
1:20:42
can't make a decision. They're waiting towards the end. It's the
1:20:44
same story has happened with the logo all
1:20:46
over again.
1:20:48
They're batting it around. And then the night before they
1:20:50
need to finally drop dead, give
1:20:52
the name of the shoes to the factory,
1:20:55
Jeff Johnson comes in and is like,
1:20:57
I had a dream last night. Johnson.
1:21:01
And in the dream, the
1:21:03
name came to me, Nike.
1:21:07
And everybody's like,
1:21:08
what are you talking about?
1:21:09
What are you talking about? And he's like,
1:21:11
the winged Greek
1:21:14
goddess of victory. These
1:21:16
are gonna be the Nike football
1:21:19
cleats. And everybody's like,
1:21:21
all right, well, we like that better than the other stuff,
1:21:23
ship it. But
1:21:25
it wasn't that big a deal.
1:21:27
Like it was a big deal, but it wasn't that big a deal.
1:21:29
This wasn't
1:21:30
intended to be Nike.
1:21:32
This was intended to be the name of the model, the football cleat.
1:21:35
That they weren't even sure was gonna work. Right. And
1:21:37
it didn't work. Turns out this factory,
1:21:38
not very high quality. Well,
1:21:41
no, I don't think that was the problem. I think the factory was fine.
1:21:43
I mean, they made shoes for Adidas for the Olympics. The
1:21:45
problem was it was in Guadalajara. It
1:21:48
doesn't get very cold in Guadalajara.
1:21:50
So
1:21:51
the shoes were great, but
1:21:54
in freezing temperatures, they would crack. They'd
1:21:56
never been tested in the cold. And,
1:21:58
you know, as America.
1:21:59
at least know many American football
1:22:02
games that played in cold temperatures.
1:22:04
So they ordered 3,000 pairs. They
1:22:06
sold them apparently. The Notre Dame football
1:22:08
team wore them that year, at least the quarterback
1:22:10
did. Then they would crack in cold weather.
1:22:13
So it was a very inauspicious start to
1:22:15
Nike and the Swoosh here. Yeah, it's kind of
1:22:17
amazing that they even continued
1:22:20
after that or that they didn't just give up and say, okay,
1:22:22
shoe distribution sounds a lot better than making
1:22:24
shoes. Yes, but again, whether
1:22:27
it violated the letter of the
1:22:29
agreement with Onitsuka or not, ultimately
1:22:31
the courts would decide it didn't, but
1:22:33
it's
1:22:34
game over here. Like the relationship
1:22:36
is done, they have burned the bridge,
1:22:38
it's over.
1:22:39
Yeah, and this to me is
1:22:42
a little bit of a thing in Nike's DNA
1:22:45
where they are competitive
1:22:48
all the way up to the line and then one toe
1:22:50
over. Yeah, what's the Uber corporate
1:22:52
value toe stepping from the Travis era?
1:22:55
It's very much that. We are fiercely
1:22:57
competitive. And at this point in time, it was to stay alive.
1:22:59
So I get it. But for their whole existence,
1:23:02
it's like, is there anything we can do that other
1:23:04
people aren't doing because they kind of think you
1:23:06
can't, but maybe we'll do it anyway and
1:23:08
deal with the repercussions.
1:23:10
That kind of happens with Nike over
1:23:12
and over and over again. And for most
1:23:14
of these
1:23:16
situations, this one very much
1:23:18
included, yeah, like this ends up
1:23:20
in lawsuits and yeah, it's probably
1:23:22
a toe over the line. On the other hand, it's also
1:23:24
a little bit like Uber in the early days
1:23:26
with toe stepping. The alternative was the
1:23:28
taxi industry. It's good
1:23:31
for the world that they stepped a toe over
1:23:33
the line. They didn't do this. There's no Nike.
1:23:36
Yep.
1:23:37
So with that, Onitsuka
1:23:39
pulls out of the relationship.
1:23:42
They don't send any more tigers to Blue
1:23:44
Ribbon.
1:23:45
Phil signs a deal finally with Nisha
1:23:47
EY.
1:23:48
And the core part of the deal is Nisha
1:23:50
will
1:23:51
A,
1:23:53
finance all of Blue
1:23:56
Ribbon's financing needs, henceforth,
1:23:59
pretty much at a scale.
1:23:59
that goes all the way up to
1:24:02
the moon. I mean, they're a $100 billion revenue
1:24:04
company, certainly way more than any of the
1:24:06
Oregon banks could do.
1:24:07
And they'll do that at market interest rates.
1:24:10
Two,
1:24:11
Nisha will help Blue Ribbon
1:24:13
set up
1:24:14
direct manufacturing relationships
1:24:16
in Japan, which they do. And then
1:24:18
three, in exchange for all that, Nisha
1:24:20
gets a 4% royalty on every shoe that
1:24:25
Blue Ribbon sells,
1:24:27
which ultimately ends up being a great
1:24:29
relationship. And that's on top of the financing.
1:24:32
So they already owe interest on borrowing the money,
1:24:34
but now they additionally owe a 4% royalty. Yes,
1:24:36
this is sort of like the trading company
1:24:39
playbook.
1:24:40
And is that just for the inventory they finance or
1:24:42
all sales? I believe it's for all sales.
1:24:45
Whoa, does that still exist?
1:24:47
I don't know. I doubt if it does in the same
1:24:49
way. I know that
1:24:51
the relationship with Nisha Iwai continued
1:24:54
for like 30, 40 years,
1:24:56
like a very long time.
1:24:58
If it still does exist
1:25:00
today, I'm sure it is not the same
1:25:02
terms, but this goes on for a very
1:25:05
long period of time.
1:25:06
Wow. I mean,
1:25:07
at this point in history, to have the house in order
1:25:09
with a strong financing partner, there's crazy
1:25:12
stuff we didn't even cover. Like he got kicked out of multiple
1:25:15
banks. The FBI got involved.
1:25:17
They were playing it a little bit too
1:25:19
fast and loose where they were using every available
1:25:22
penny to buy inventory.
1:25:25
And so there would be checks that bounced for
1:25:27
payroll and things like that. When these things topple,
1:25:30
they topple all at once. And so they had like
1:25:32
a day where they got called into the bank
1:25:35
and then the bank called the FBI and then they got investigated
1:25:37
for fraud. It was an insane
1:25:41
few years there.
1:25:42
Yeah, Shoe Dog has a lot of great, like
1:25:45
Phil Knight's personal experience going
1:25:47
through this, which is, I mean, it's worth the read
1:25:49
no matter what, but read it for that. But
1:25:51
safe to say this moment here in,
1:25:54
what is it? 71, 72. They
1:25:56
can kind of take a deep breath and
1:25:58
say, well, the business ahead of me is, is still really
1:26:01
hard because now Onitsuka is going to be working
1:26:03
against us. We have to figure out how to
1:26:05
design and make shoes ourselves. But
1:26:07
at least we have a real financing
1:26:10
partner that has struck a deal to work with
1:26:12
us. Yep.
1:26:13
So once this is all in place, Phil
1:26:15
goes over to Japan and
1:26:17
works with Nisha, goes visits
1:26:19
lots of factories, ends up meeting
1:26:21
the Nippon rubber factory.
1:26:24
He's touring with lots of folks and his sort of test
1:26:26
of these factories of whether they
1:26:28
can be a good partner is he pulls out a Cortez
1:26:31
and he asks the factory
1:26:33
how long it would take them
1:26:35
to make a version of
1:26:37
this shoe. So he meets
1:26:39
with Nippon rubber in the morning. They say, let's
1:26:41
go out to lunch. Let us borrow the shoe,
1:26:44
inspect it a little bit.
1:26:46
We'll come back after lunch and we'll have an answer for
1:26:48
you. They come back after lunch
1:26:51
and there is an almost perfect
1:26:54
duplicate of the Cortez sitting there
1:26:56
on the conference room table and Phil's
1:26:58
like, hell yeah,
1:27:01
this is what I'm talking about. What an amazing
1:27:04
way to do business because
1:27:05
he had met with all these other factories that are like, oh,
1:27:08
we'll get back to you in a few weeks and like over
1:27:10
lunch, they built one. Amazing.
1:27:13
So he is jazzed. He
1:27:15
orders all sorts of models. He's like,
1:27:18
can you do all the running shoes that we
1:27:21
slash tiger we're doing before, at least the ones that
1:27:23
we in Bowerman designed. They're
1:27:25
like, yep, no problem. He's like, can you do
1:27:27
tennis shoes, basketball shoes, cleats
1:27:29
is like, yep, yep, yep, whatever you want. So,
1:27:32
um, in a kind of very unfilled
1:27:34
night, like peak of confidence here, he
1:27:37
says, great, well, I'll just start
1:27:39
right now. Model names. So he
1:27:41
writes out the Wimbledon tennis shoe,
1:27:44
the Forest Hill tennis shoe, the Blazer
1:27:46
basketball shoe, the Bruin basketball
1:27:48
shoe, the marathon, of course, the Cortez,
1:27:51
he's
1:27:51
like, great, let's do
1:27:53
all of them. And these are Nike franchises
1:27:55
that stood the test of time. Many of these shoes
1:27:58
are still made the Blazer.
1:27:59
For sure, yup, of course the Cortez. And
1:28:02
they're like, okay, great. And then
1:28:04
Phil's like, one more thing, the
1:28:07
boxes. Can you make
1:28:09
them bright orange? I want them to
1:28:11
stand out.
1:28:12
And Yvonne Rivers like,
1:28:13
you got it, man, whatever you want. It's awesome,
1:28:16
so great. And to this day, they're orange.
1:28:19
And by the end of this trip,
1:28:21
Phil and Blue Ribbon Sports has a whole
1:28:23
new line of athletic shoe models coming
1:28:26
out of Japan with a much better relationship,
1:28:29
solid financing,
1:28:31
and a brand new brand to show it
1:28:33
all off, the winged goddess of
1:28:35
victory,
1:28:36
Nike. Yup. And
1:28:39
there's kind of this funny thing where it
1:28:41
is still Blue Ribbon Sports. So
1:28:44
in 1971, they do create Nike Inc. It
1:28:47
is a wholly owned subsidiary of
1:28:49
Blue Ribbon Sports, and it is responsible
1:28:51
for manufacturing, well, or contracting
1:28:54
with manufacturers to make this line
1:28:56
of shoes, this Nike designed line
1:28:59
of shoes owned by Blue Ribbon Sports. Of course, later
1:29:01
on, these would flip and Nike
1:29:03
would become the parent company. But for now, it's a
1:29:06
subsidiary of Blue Ribbon.
1:29:07
Amazing. So Phil
1:29:10
gets home and he tells Bowerman about this. And
1:29:12
this is where
1:29:13
yet another sporadic
1:29:15
but incredible
1:29:17
Bowerman stroke of genius
1:29:19
comes to play for Blue
1:29:21
Ribbon slash Nike.
1:29:23
Bowerman's jazz. He's like, great,
1:29:25
I never liked the Onituka guys that much anyway. Hey,
1:29:28
but he doesn't really care about that. What he cares about is he's
1:29:30
like, wait, so there are factories now? We
1:29:33
can tell them exactly what to do? You mean
1:29:35
I'm the new chief R&D officer
1:29:38
of Blue Ribbon Sports? Let's
1:29:40
get to work. So that
1:29:42
weekend, supposedly it was the weekend right
1:29:45
after Nike
1:29:46
told Bowerman about what was
1:29:48
happening.
1:29:49
He goes home
1:29:50
and over breakfast on Sunday,
1:29:52
Bill is sitting there, his
1:29:54
wife Barbara is making waffles
1:29:57
for breakfast. And honest to God, I think, you know,
1:29:59
I mean, according to Scott,
1:29:59
out of corn to everybody, this really happened. Bill
1:30:02
is struck with inspiration and he's like,
1:30:04
hey honey, can I borrow
1:30:06
that waffle iron? Borrow,
1:30:09
that waffle iron was not coming back.
1:30:12
He goes out in the back in his mountain
1:30:15
home
1:30:16
and he had a vat
1:30:18
of polyurethane sitting there and he had
1:30:20
it because the
1:30:22
University of Oregon had just redone
1:30:24
their track
1:30:25
and made it into a polyurethane track instead of
1:30:27
a cinder track.
1:30:28
Empowerment at the time was like, well this is
1:30:31
great, this is the future, the Olympics
1:30:33
are gonna do this and whatnot, but
1:30:35
the shoes that I have, that I have my
1:30:37
runners in, they're not gripping the track that well
1:30:40
and so he sees the waffle iron and he's
1:30:42
like, what if I pour polyurethane
1:30:45
into the waffle iron? Which has
1:30:48
two problems. Yes, the shape is, yeah,
1:30:50
you can imagine how that could grip a track well.
1:30:52
There's two problems. One, hot polyurethane,
1:30:55
super toxic.
1:30:57
The man for many years of his life,
1:30:59
because he's been experimenting forever, is like breathing
1:31:01
in all these hot terrible chemicals. He's literally
1:31:03
a mad scientist. Yes,
1:31:05
and two,
1:31:06
pouring hot polyurethane into
1:31:09
a waffle iron is going to permanently
1:31:12
glue the iron shut.
1:31:13
Yes, which is exactly what happens. So
1:31:15
apparently the first actual
1:31:18
waffle
1:31:18
trainer shoe
1:31:20
was inspired by this design, but he literally
1:31:22
couldn't make one in a traditional
1:31:25
waffle iron. Now, according to Scott, in a really,
1:31:27
you cannot make this stuff up.
1:31:30
Everybody thought that that original waffle iron
1:31:32
was lost to history and was
1:31:34
this even true or apocryphal anyway?
1:31:37
Years and years later,
1:31:39
after Bill had died,
1:31:41
I think it was his kids are going
1:31:43
through the estate. No. And out back
1:31:45
his members is up in the mountains. They didn't have
1:31:47
real trash service, so they threw the trash
1:31:51
in a garbage pile in the
1:31:53
back and they're doing some renovations to
1:31:55
the house or something. Somehow
1:31:57
they discover out in the trash heap.
1:32:00
the glued shut waffle iron and
1:32:02
it is in Nike's possession to
1:32:04
this day. That is awesome.
1:32:06
Isn't that awesome?
1:32:09
So where of course this is leading is
1:32:11
the waffle trainer, which is
1:32:14
another one of Bowerman's genius
1:32:16
inventions and becomes the first big
1:32:19
hit shoe for the new Nike
1:32:21
brand. He would
1:32:24
eventually after gluing the first waffle iron
1:32:26
shut then create a mold out of plaster in
1:32:28
the waffle iron pour polyurethane into
1:32:30
that and then make the waffle
1:32:33
soles for the shoes. They
1:32:35
work incredibly well on artificial
1:32:37
surfaces, not just tracks, but
1:32:40
also astroturf, which is becoming
1:32:42
a thing at this point in time. So the University
1:32:44
of Oregon football team wears them that
1:32:47
year on their new astroturf field. It's
1:32:49
like a huge thing. They beat Oregon State wearing
1:32:51
their waffle trainers. This is incredible
1:32:54
publicity for Nike.
1:32:56
And I think the waffle trainer
1:32:59
is starting to be worn outside of track
1:33:01
situations. Like this is the first hint of
1:33:03
a lifestyle sneaker.
1:33:05
Yes, I forget what the first colorway
1:33:08
that they do it in is. Look at you
1:33:10
sneaker head over there colorway. Eventually,
1:33:14
I think it's Phil who's like, oh we should do this in
1:33:16
a blue that'll go well with blue jeans.
1:33:20
Ah, yeah,
1:33:21
the canonical
1:33:22
old school waffle trainer is blue
1:33:25
with a yellow swoosh.
1:33:26
And I think a lot of those were sold to be lifestyle
1:33:28
shoes going with blue jeans.
1:33:31
Which turns into Nike's real
1:33:33
business eventually. But
1:33:35
that
1:33:35
the success on the field on astroturf
1:33:38
fields, the success in track
1:33:40
that year. So this is 1972
1:33:42
blue ribbons first full year doing sales
1:33:45
as Nike purely on their own.
1:33:47
They do $3.2 million in revenue. Remember
1:33:49
just a couple of years before their last kind of
1:33:52
full year with Tiger, they were doing
1:33:54
half a million dollars in revenue. So
1:33:56
to go from
1:33:57
all the crazy drama ending the
1:33:59
Tiger.
1:33:59
relationship, starting
1:34:02
up their own factory production,
1:34:04
making the waffle trainer to be at 3.2 million
1:34:07
dollars, fully financed by Nisha.
1:34:10
What a great spot to be in.
1:34:12
Nike is designing their own shoes and going
1:34:14
direct to the manufacturer. I
1:34:15
think the benefit to the business at this point is not
1:34:17
margin expansion. It's purely aliveness
1:34:20
and can we convince people to
1:34:23
buy things from us that aren't
1:34:25
Onitsuka Tigers? Because to this point
1:34:28
it's still unproven if
1:34:30
it's hey Blue Ribbon has
1:34:32
great distribution and people will buy anything from
1:34:34
these guys because we trust the company
1:34:36
or if it's people really want an Onitsuka Tiger
1:34:39
because they were really good shoes for runners
1:34:41
and I don't really want whatever this new thing you're
1:34:44
selling is.
1:34:45
Yes and it turned out that
1:34:47
it was the former. People were willing,
1:34:50
definitely willing, to buy Blue Ribbon
1:34:52
shoes and to buy Bill Bowerman shoes
1:34:55
regardless of Tiger
1:34:57
and Onitsuka. Which is kind of amazing.
1:35:00
That is completely opposite to what
1:35:02
my intuition would have suggested. I
1:35:04
would have definitely believed there's
1:35:07
these shoes that are popular among
1:35:09
other competitors so I should be wearing them to
1:35:11
be as competitive as them. If I run in them myself
1:35:14
I learn to like them.
1:35:15
It's very strange that it ends up
1:35:17
being the relationship that matters.
1:35:20
Like thinking oh I trust whatever this
1:35:22
running shoe distribution company
1:35:25
is now making because they say it's good.
1:35:27
I'm sure it's good.
1:35:29
Well this is how important Bowerman was.
1:35:31
He started jogging. Not only
1:35:33
was he Bill Bowerman, you know, legendary
1:35:36
track coach, he also started jogging.
1:35:38
So the convergence of things, all the
1:35:42
butterfly wing flapping that had
1:35:44
to happen for Nike to become Nike.
1:35:47
Right at this time. Right
1:35:49
as
1:35:50
Nike is being born and Blue Ribbon
1:35:52
is going out on their own.
1:35:54
Bowerman gets a
1:35:57
generational runner at
1:36:00
Oregon,
1:36:01
Steve Prefontaine,
1:36:03
tragedy. Like,
1:36:05
weirdly, so many people we've covered recently
1:36:07
on Acquired dies in a car crash way too
1:36:09
young, James Dean style, which
1:36:12
ironically, of course, just cements his legacy.
1:36:15
But Pre was the
1:36:18
American runner. He was on the cover
1:36:20
of Sports Illustrated while he was a runner
1:36:23
at Oregon for Bowerman.
1:36:24
He simultaneously held
1:36:28
every American record for
1:36:30
every distance between 2,000 and 10,000 meters. It's
1:36:34
crazy, he died holding every single
1:36:36
one of those records. Yes, incredible.
1:36:39
And he did this at
1:36:41
Oregon, and then later as a professional,
1:36:44
but still for Bowerman and his Olympic
1:36:46
teams, in Nike's, right
1:36:48
as Nike was starting. You can't script
1:36:50
this any better.
1:36:52
And in fact, he was not allowed
1:36:54
to take a paid endorsement due to AAU
1:36:57
rules. Yes, this is another toe stepping
1:36:59
that's gonna happen. Just like snatching
1:37:01
the document out of the briefcase, whatever
1:37:03
it takes to win,
1:37:05
Phil Knight figures out a way to A,
1:37:08
make sure that he's running in Nike's, and
1:37:10
B,
1:37:11
make sure that he doesn't need to worry about
1:37:14
money by finding a clever way
1:37:16
to not do a paid endorsement, but
1:37:18
something else. And this is one of those things
1:37:20
that the AAU and the
1:37:23
amateur rules and all that, like Nike was 1,000% on
1:37:25
the side of right here. And
1:37:28
Nike was on the side of the athlete, which
1:37:30
is a thing that they've always been and is a
1:37:32
huge part of their strategy. Yes, so
1:37:34
what was happening was amateur
1:37:36
athletic rules and the Olympic organizing
1:37:38
committees rules
1:37:40
were that you had to be an amateur. You
1:37:42
couldn't be a professional athlete. You couldn't
1:37:45
take endorsements or take money to
1:37:47
race.
1:37:48
Pre was this poor kid from Oregon.
1:37:51
So after he graduated and wasn't
1:37:53
at the university anymore, he literally
1:37:55
had to bartend to make money while
1:37:57
he's simultaneously holding the American record.
1:37:59
in every major distance event.
1:38:02
This is criminal.
1:38:04
So what Phil does is he
1:38:06
decides to employ pre
1:38:09
as a corporate employee of Nike, as the
1:38:11
national director of public affairs
1:38:14
for $5,000 a year. With no responsibility.
1:38:17
Yes. And there's this amazing quote in
1:38:19
Shoe Dog. Phil says, people asked
1:38:21
me what that meant.
1:38:22
I said it means he can run fast. So
1:38:25
great. So
1:38:28
great. This
1:38:30
is the perfect encapsulation. I'm going
1:38:33
to foreshadow just a little bit here of
1:38:36
the later, number three in the later
1:38:38
Nike document of
1:38:41
the 10 principles of Nike that
1:38:43
we will talk about in a bit.
1:38:45
Number three is so great. Perfect results count,
1:38:47
not a perfect process. Break the
1:38:49
rules, fight the law. That's
1:38:51
exactly
1:38:53
what Phil and Nike are doing. Yep,
1:38:55
you bet. So that's on the sort of proto
1:38:58
marketing front that this early
1:39:00
Nike playbook is getting going. You
1:39:03
know, $5,000 for the
1:39:04
best publicity you could possibly
1:39:06
ever get. It's Phil like basically
1:39:08
inventing sports marketing. I mean, there
1:39:10
was a sort of nascent idea of athlete sponsorship
1:39:13
at the time, but it really, this is
1:39:15
the invention of it as we know it today. And
1:39:17
all athletic brands are defined by
1:39:19
athletes. And this is really the first instance. Yes,
1:39:23
that's part one of
1:39:25
just the brilliant kind of restart
1:39:27
up of the Nike startup playbook
1:39:29
that
1:39:30
Phil puts together here.
1:39:32
Part two,
1:39:33
equally brilliant and innovative.
1:39:35
He comes up
1:39:37
with an idea for what he calls the futures
1:39:39
program.
1:39:40
So the way retailing
1:39:42
worked back then, and Nike had
1:39:45
their own stores always, but they also
1:39:47
sold through retailers, of course. The
1:39:49
retailers would place orders
1:39:52
with Nike to buy the shoes
1:39:55
and then they would resell them at retail. And
1:39:57
then they would pay
1:39:58
after they got the inventory.
1:39:59
This is how retail works. This
1:40:02
is like the law of the land, not the official
1:40:04
law, but the way it all works.
1:40:06
Phil comes up with the idea, because remember he's got the niche
1:40:09
OUI partnership, but financing is still
1:40:12
like he's scarred by this. So
1:40:14
he goes to the retailers and says, if
1:40:17
you commit and pay
1:40:19
for
1:40:20
your orders six months in advance,
1:40:23
Blue Ribbon will give you a 7% discount. And
1:40:26
we're going to call this the Nike Futures
1:40:29
Program.
1:40:30
So he's essentially moving his financing
1:40:32
from
1:40:33
Banks and Nicio UI
1:40:35
over to his retail partners, to his
1:40:37
customers.
1:40:39
And the retailers of course, tell them to take a hike
1:40:41
at first,
1:40:42
but then the waffle trainer comes out
1:40:44
and they can't make enough of them and retailers can't
1:40:47
get enough of them. And the only way that
1:40:49
they can get the waffle trainer, sweet,
1:40:52
sweet inventory, those delicious
1:40:54
waffles that they want, is to sign
1:40:56
up for the Futures Program.
1:40:58
And this really starts Nike down a path of
1:41:00
their
1:41:02
distribution strategy being a wholesaler.
1:41:05
They sell to retail chains.
1:41:08
And
1:41:09
for decades, starting
1:41:11
here in the early seventies,
1:41:13
they are predominantly someone
1:41:15
who reaches their customers through an intermediary,
1:41:18
through retail.
1:41:19
Yes.
1:41:20
So that's the second piece.
1:41:21
The third piece then is sort of obvious and
1:41:23
has happened all along, but now as Nike
1:41:26
is making their own shoes,
1:41:28
is outsourcing and global outsourcing
1:41:30
of manufacturing.
1:41:32
So again, Nike
1:41:33
isn't making the shoes in their own factories. Now
1:41:36
they did actually buy a factory in New Hampshire,
1:41:39
along the way, which is a little bit of a detour.
1:41:41
Phil sent Jeff Johnson out to like buy
1:41:43
it and run it.
1:41:44
That was more of a stopgap measure while they were
1:41:47
transitioning from Tyga. Kind of a hedge
1:41:49
too. It was a hedge, yes.
1:41:51
And it was a secret hedge. Again, break the rules,
1:41:53
fight the law. They use
1:41:55
Nesho's money, which was supposed to
1:41:57
be to buy inventory, instead to plow
1:41:59
it into cash. of buying and rehabbing
1:42:01
a factory. And then they were secretly
1:42:04
operating their own factory with money
1:42:06
that was not supposed to be used for that purpose. But again,
1:42:08
Nike break the rules, fight the law. And
1:42:10
here they are today, a huge and successful company.
1:42:13
I like that break the rules, fight the law sounds much
1:42:16
more inspiring than toe stepping. So
1:42:19
global outsourcing though.
1:42:20
At first, this of course is in Japan with Nippon
1:42:22
rubber. But
1:42:23
as we were saying, Japan is coming up
1:42:25
in the global economy. And right
1:42:27
around this time,
1:42:29
Nixon
1:42:30
cuts the dollar peg to the yen loose
1:42:33
and the yen starts floating against the dollar. So
1:42:35
up until this point from after World War II until
1:42:38
the mid seventies, the yen
1:42:40
was pegged to the dollar.
1:42:42
Once the currency floats and the Japanese
1:42:44
economy of course has come up hugely
1:42:47
over these decades.
1:42:48
Now currency issues become a big
1:42:50
problem for Nike in terms of
1:42:52
importing from Japan and the cost
1:42:55
of labor is going up. So
1:42:56
basically the ratings on the wall, there's no way
1:42:58
that they're getting shoes for $3 a pair
1:43:00
anymore anytime soon.
1:43:03
This means
1:43:04
that they got to go find other countries to make the shoes
1:43:06
in. Yep.
1:43:07
So Phil and a bunch of the management team starts
1:43:10
flying around Asia. They go to Taiwan, they go to
1:43:12
South Korea. Ultimately they go to China, they
1:43:14
go to Indonesia, they go to Vietnam. And
1:43:16
this is where
1:43:17
the Nike global production machine
1:43:21
is born. And at first it's
1:43:23
primarily Taiwan and then South Korea that
1:43:25
they go to. Then the
1:43:27
big move is into China, both in terms
1:43:29
of production and for selling.
1:43:32
I think there's a scene in Shoe Dog even when he's
1:43:34
on the trip around the world in 1963 that
1:43:37
he like peers into China from
1:43:39
Hong Kong and is dreaming about 2
1:43:41
billion feet in China. Nike
1:43:44
would be one of the very first companies and I think
1:43:46
the first
1:43:47
footwear company that would be allowed to sell in China.
1:43:50
To sell and open factories. They sort of opened
1:43:52
the country for the industry. So
1:43:55
this we would certainly be remiss in
1:43:58
doing a Nike episode if we did.
1:43:59
didn't talk about the downside of this. The
1:44:03
upside of course is
1:44:04
cheap shoes. And the upside,
1:44:07
I think you can make a strong argument
1:44:09
in the case with many of those countries that
1:44:11
this is part of the
1:44:14
coming up process in the global economy.
1:44:16
If you look at what happened to
1:44:18
the Japanese economy, to the South Korean economy,
1:44:20
to the Taiwanese economy, they went
1:44:22
from making shoes to making
1:44:25
chips, to making technology, to being
1:44:28
global economic powers. It's part
1:44:30
of the process.
1:44:31
At the same time, people are making
1:44:33
like 70 cents a day working in these
1:44:35
factories.
1:44:36
Totally.
1:44:37
Well, let's flash forward to the 90s here where
1:44:40
this really hits a flash point. And then I think we'll come
1:44:42
back to the story. While we're here, we may as
1:44:44
well be here.
1:44:45
So stories hit the news of some
1:44:47
really horrible things like child labor,
1:44:49
stitching soccer balls on dirt floors in
1:44:52
high temperatures, toxic glues. Carcinogens.
1:44:55
Et cetera.
1:44:56
Nike fans looked at this as, oof, the
1:44:58
company really has a black mark on their otherwise
1:45:01
great reputation.
1:45:02
But it kind of was the natural endpoint
1:45:05
of an idea that had been in the company's
1:45:07
DNA the whole time. I mean, literally, Phil
1:45:09
Knight's Stanford paper is about arbitraging
1:45:11
cheap labor from imported goods and selling
1:45:14
into markets willing to pay higher prices. They
1:45:16
should have realized this is where it could have gone if
1:45:18
left unchecked. So to add
1:45:21
insult to injury, Nike wildly mishandled
1:45:23
this. They tried to act like it wasn't their problem.
1:45:25
They literally said to the press, oh, we don't
1:45:27
make shoes. Mark Parker later
1:45:30
walked this back with a stance where he said, ignorance
1:45:32
is not bliss. You have to understand
1:45:34
the systemic issues and work with factory
1:45:36
partners to solve them. They did
1:45:39
do a huge amount of work to clean up their act.
1:45:41
They created new standards for factory partners.
1:45:44
They publish supplier lists. They have third-party
1:45:46
audits of factories. They do huge investments
1:45:49
in R&D and invented things like new types
1:45:51
of glue that weren't toxic, which they then went
1:45:53
on to share with their competitors.
1:45:55
But David, I don't know. There is still this interesting
1:45:57
and more theoretical question.
1:45:59
What is the line of view? acceptability and
1:46:01
who should determine it.
1:46:02
Obviously, when a company trips a clear bright
1:46:05
line like child labor, there is appropriately
1:46:07
public outcry. But what about when
1:46:09
the lines are blurrier? Are 75 degree
1:46:11
factories okay? Or are $3 wages
1:46:14
fine if the local average is $2 an hour?
1:46:17
At the end of the day, there's a discomfort of sitting
1:46:19
with the idea that in order to manufacture
1:46:21
a product that you are buying from shoes
1:46:24
to smartphones, somebody has to work
1:46:26
in conditions you wouldn't endure, even
1:46:28
if it's better than all of their other options.
1:46:31
And companies need to grapple with a spectrum
1:46:33
that they sit on. On one end, there's making
1:46:35
the absolute maximum margin. And
1:46:38
on the other end, there's creating labor conditions
1:46:40
that customers would totally be fine
1:46:42
with if they learned every single little detail. And
1:46:45
in the 90s, Nike chose to sit too far
1:46:47
on maximizing the margin side of things.
1:46:49
And they intentionally turned a blind eye
1:46:52
to what was going on in the factories. And they were in the wrong
1:46:54
because it led to exploiting people.
1:46:56
One of the things that
1:46:59
Nike folks were really surprised by at
1:47:01
the time when the controversy came up
1:47:03
is they were like, all the other shoe companies
1:47:05
do it this way. All the clothing companies do
1:47:08
it this way. Why are we being picked on? Yeah, but
1:47:10
Nike started it and they're the biggest. But
1:47:12
I think it's even more than that.
1:47:13
People had come
1:47:16
to love Nike so much and
1:47:18
the brand represented so much
1:47:21
that it was like a huge
1:47:24
betrayal. It was a disappointment. It was like, oh,
1:47:26
I thought you were better than that. You are about inspiring
1:47:29
greatness and this is not greatness.
1:47:31
And I think that's really interesting that like, yeah,
1:47:34
this was part of Nike from the beginning,
1:47:37
but because of everything else that made
1:47:39
Nike successful,
1:47:41
it's super ironic that
1:47:43
they didn't hold themselves to the high
1:47:45
standard that the whole company was all
1:47:48
about
1:47:48
and then their customers were like,
1:47:50
yo, this doesn't compute.
1:47:52
Yeah. They sort of discovered they couldn't have their cake and
1:47:54
eat it too of saying we are the
1:47:56
brand that inspires you. Oh, but by the way, anytime
1:47:58
there's an issue. Oh, that's what. of our suppliers problems,
1:48:01
we simply don't make shoes. Even though
1:48:03
it is technically correct, the court of
1:48:05
a public opinion will find you guilty.
1:48:08
So
1:48:08
okay, back to the mid 1970s. In 1974, these pieces of the Nike startup playbook,
1:48:11
the
1:48:11
inventing sports
1:48:18
marketing, basically sponsoring
1:48:20
quote unquote pre for $5,000, the
1:48:22
outsourcing your
1:48:24
financing to your retail
1:48:27
partners,
1:48:28
and then the global outsourcing
1:48:30
of manufacturing. All
1:48:32
of this combines in 1974
1:48:34
for just
1:48:36
an explosive year. I
1:48:38
can't remember exactly the phrase, but in shoe dog Phil
1:48:41
says something like
1:48:42
the limiters were off, the governors were
1:48:44
off. We could run. They
1:48:47
do $8 million in revenue in 1974,
1:48:49
which is up almost 100%. They nearly
1:48:52
doubled
1:48:55
again in 1973 to 1974.
1:48:58
1974 is also a momentous year for
1:49:01
blue ribbon because they finally
1:49:03
settle the legal battles with on its U.S.
1:49:06
and they win
1:49:07
in court.
1:49:09
Amazingly. Ultimately, they settle for on
1:49:11
its U.S. paying blue ribbon $400,000, which by this point in
1:49:15
time is a pittance to blue
1:49:17
ribbon. But the actual
1:49:20
butterfly flaps its wings hugely
1:49:23
important outcome of this for
1:49:25
the Nike journey
1:49:26
is that the court case with on its
1:49:29
U.S.
1:49:29
leads to one Rob Strasser.
1:49:32
Yes. Coming into Phil
1:49:35
Knight and the Nike
1:49:37
orbit. He was their lawyer on
1:49:39
this case, right?
1:49:40
Yes. Strasser was the junior
1:49:42
attorney at the Portland law
1:49:45
firm that was working on the Nike case.
1:49:47
And Strasser
1:49:49
is just a force. I
1:49:51
mean, this guy was not cut
1:49:53
out to be a corporate lawyer. He
1:49:55
actually comes in after the case
1:49:57
is settled to blue ribbon as in-house
1:49:59
counsel.
1:49:59
but then Phil quickly realizes
1:50:02
like, oh, this guy is way more
1:50:04
valuable to me than as my lawyer.
1:50:07
You know, everybody else in Nike at the time, they're
1:50:09
all former runners. Most of them ran
1:50:12
for Bowerman. Strasser is,
1:50:14
I think, about six foot two and
1:50:16
weighs over 300 pounds. And
1:50:18
he has an equally
1:50:20
outsized personality as
1:50:23
his actual size. He gets the nickname
1:50:25
within Nike of rolling thunder.
1:50:28
And boy does he roll like thunder.
1:50:31
And while he and Phil, of course, did ultimately
1:50:34
clash and there
1:50:36
was the terrible betrayal that
1:50:38
happened. For a while, they were thick as thieves.
1:50:41
Yes, so the first thing that
1:50:43
Phil puts Rob in charge of is
1:50:46
taking this really early
1:50:49
sports marketing concept of
1:50:51
doing sponsorship deals with athletes and
1:50:54
blowing it out. So they had already
1:50:56
before Rob joined done the
1:50:59
first official sponsorship
1:51:01
of an athlete with Illy Nastasi, the
1:51:04
tennis player. They paid him $10,000 to wear Nike tennis shoes. Oh
1:51:08
boy, how quaint.
1:51:09
When Strasser comes in,
1:51:12
he starts doing sponsorships in a systematic
1:51:14
manner. So he goes out and
1:51:16
negotiates with athletes and agents.
1:51:19
He signs up like half the NBA for peanuts.
1:51:21
Now, not the big stars, but the journeyman,
1:51:24
the role players in the NBA,
1:51:26
he just obliterates them and
1:51:28
their agents in negotiations. I mean, they're
1:51:30
getting like,
1:51:31
I don't even know the dollar amounts, but not a lot.
1:51:33
They're getting free shoes, basically. And
1:51:35
then Nike is showing up on nationally
1:51:38
televised broadcasts every single night. Yep.
1:51:41
This leads
1:51:43
then to a bigger initiative
1:51:44
that Strasser puts together. And if you've watched
1:51:47
the recent movie air about
1:51:50
Air Jordan, this totally gets
1:51:52
played as like a Sonny Vaccaro thing. Strasser
1:51:55
hires Sonny Vaccaro to
1:51:57
come in and build the college basketball.
1:51:59
program for Nike. And
1:52:02
this is another just equally
1:52:04
brilliant move.
1:52:06
So Strasser gets sunny
1:52:08
to go around the country
1:52:10
and sign up coaches
1:52:13
of the big basketball schools
1:52:15
to become Nike coaches. Now
1:52:17
there's nothing preventing the coaches
1:52:20
at schools from
1:52:22
being consultants, advisors,
1:52:24
running Nike clinics. No, you can pay
1:52:26
them whatever you want. You can pay them whatever you want, right?
1:52:29
And they can tell their teams to do whatever they want. There's no
1:52:31
contract between the team and the coach about wearing
1:52:33
shoes. But if the coach says, hey,
1:52:35
I really like this shoe company, you should wear
1:52:37
the shoes on court. What do you think the players are going
1:52:39
to do? It's actually a team policy. Yeah, exactly.
1:52:42
So within a month of
1:52:44
working on this, Strasser and
1:52:47
Vaccaro have got UNLV,
1:52:49
Georgetown, Texas, Arkansas.
1:52:52
They get legendary coach Jimmy Vee at Iona
1:52:55
to sign up to be committed to being Nike
1:52:57
coaches and their teams wearing Nike. And
1:53:00
this is hilarious. So
1:53:02
all this is happening.
1:53:03
The Washington Post gets word of this. They
1:53:06
run a real Pearl Clutchie article
1:53:09
saying that this is shameful. Nike
1:53:12
is commercializing the purity
1:53:14
of college athletics. Like, oh my God, give
1:53:16
me a break. Like these kids are being exploited.
1:53:18
Like at least they're getting free shoes here now.
1:53:21
In the article,
1:53:22
the Post mistakenly says that
1:53:24
Iowa is one of the colleges
1:53:26
that Nike has signed up, not Iona.
1:53:29
So Lude Olson, the coach at Iowa, who's
1:53:31
legendary, he goes on and coaches at Arizona.
1:53:34
Lots of listeners probably know who Lude Olson is. He's
1:53:36
in the Hall of Fame now.
1:53:38
Instead of being pissed off that he was
1:53:40
included in this shameful article
1:53:42
with the Post, he calls up Nike and he's like,
1:53:44
yo, can I get on on this? Yeah. So
1:53:48
then they signed up, Lude at Iowa
1:53:50
and then Arizona, and he becomes a big Nike coach.
1:53:53
It's incredible. Gasser then takes the same
1:53:55
playbook to college football.
1:53:58
He signs all the big coaches in school. all
1:54:00
the big powerhouses for peanuts. This
1:54:03
is incredible. Now, selling football cleats is
1:54:05
never a big business for Nike, but college
1:54:07
football is huge. I
1:54:10
mean, still huge. Lot of eyeballs on those
1:54:12
swooshes. Lot of eyeballs on
1:54:14
those swooshes. And this is so clarifying
1:54:17
of what their sports marketing strategy is.
1:54:19
These endorsement deals are not
1:54:21
about the sneakers that that basketball
1:54:24
player is going to sell, or, oh, I want
1:54:26
to buy the cleats that my favorite college football
1:54:28
team is wearing on the field. No one else plays
1:54:30
football other than college football students and the very
1:54:33
few NFL players that exist. So there's
1:54:35
really nothing to buy. But what you
1:54:37
do see are these swooshes, and
1:54:40
it's cementing that brand in your head
1:54:42
of this is what real
1:54:44
athletes wear. So
1:54:46
one thing that's worth mentioning, this is sort
1:54:48
of obvious, but didn't
1:54:50
click for me until really getting pretty deep
1:54:52
in the research here for Nike. There
1:54:54
are actually
1:54:55
only three sports that matter. So
1:54:58
Nike, Adidas, you know, Reebok, they
1:55:00
sponsor lots of sports, but
1:55:03
running
1:55:04
basketball and tennis
1:55:06
are the only sports that matter because
1:55:09
those are the only shoes that normal people
1:55:11
can wear. Normal people don't wear baseball cleats
1:55:13
or football cleats or soccer cleats, no matter
1:55:15
how popular those sports are. Yep.
1:55:19
Even to this day,
1:55:21
all the marketing, all the athletes,
1:55:23
everything you see on TV of Nike
1:55:26
and the other athletics companies,
1:55:29
it's not about getting you to buy the shoes
1:55:31
that that athlete is wearing. It's about
1:55:33
getting you to buy Nike. Right.
1:55:37
The funnel is
1:55:38
every single one of those is a brand impression. So
1:55:40
consider them all billboards.
1:55:42
And then
1:55:43
they just need to manufacture enough
1:55:45
products to meet needs in your
1:55:48
life that you can go and
1:55:50
participate
1:55:51
in the brand story by
1:55:54
buying things that you need in your life.
1:55:56
And you're inspired to do that because what you saw
1:55:59
on those moving billboards. on all the players running around,
1:56:01
but the products that the players are wearing
1:56:04
are made for them in their athletic journey and
1:56:06
the products that you're buying at the store are
1:56:08
things that are made for you in your athletic
1:56:10
and increasingly lifestyle journey, but
1:56:13
you're inspired by what you see on
1:56:15
the billboards. You're buying victory.
1:56:18
Right, and so their whole business
1:56:20
eventually becomes figuring out
1:56:22
this multi-sided equation of, can
1:56:25
we create enough demand? Like it literally on their
1:56:27
income statement says, demand creation
1:56:29
by
1:56:29
doing these sponsorships, and then can we create the
1:56:32
right product mix for people to participate
1:56:34
in our brand by giving us their dollars? Yes,
1:56:37
now I don't wanna say
1:56:39
that Strasser alone
1:56:41
architected this grand strategy, or
1:56:44
even I'm not really sure that Phil or anybody at
1:56:46
Nike understood this at this time,
1:56:48
but certainly Strasser executes
1:56:51
this in just an incredible
1:56:54
way. Nobody else was doing this.
1:56:56
The college coaches, they ran the
1:56:58
table, and it was just an
1:57:00
incredible run in the
1:57:02
late 70s. All the while,
1:57:05
the
1:57:05
jogging movement is just getting
1:57:08
bigger and bigger and bigger. Keep
1:57:10
in mind, they still only make running shoes.
1:57:12
There's no apparel, there's no shoes for other
1:57:15
sports really. There's some things on the margins,
1:57:17
but 90 plus percent of their revenue is
1:57:19
running shoes. Yeah, the core sales,
1:57:21
what they are marketing is go
1:57:23
buy a waffle trainer and wear them with
1:57:26
your blue jeans. Yep,
1:57:27
so through the late 70s, revenue
1:57:29
just doubles year over year over year. They go from 14
1:57:31
million in sales to 29 million in sales to 71
1:57:36
million in sales, finishing out in 1979 with 150
1:57:38
million in sales. Yes,
1:57:41
it was 1976 when they officially
1:57:43
changed the actual name of the company to Nike.
1:57:46
The 1977 was a huge year,
1:57:49
as you said, they do 70 million in revenue that
1:57:51
year. They signed John McEnroe. They
1:57:53
crossed a thousand employees, so it's gonna be a real
1:57:56
beefy organization.
1:57:57
Two other things,
1:57:59
they bring.
1:57:59
one former NASA
1:58:02
engineer and true
1:58:04
mad scientist, Frank
1:58:06
Rudy
1:58:07
into the fold, the inventor
1:58:10
of air soul technology.
1:58:14
Which Phil Knight
1:58:15
is not a fan of. We hear about the idea.
1:58:17
Well, he thinks it's a crazy idea at first.
1:58:20
Phil's meeting with Rudy. He's like, I don't even know how
1:58:22
Rudy got into my office. Who is this crazy
1:58:24
dude? He's about to kick him
1:58:26
out and then Rudy's like, yeah, Adidas
1:58:28
didn't want it either. And Phil's like, oop,
1:58:30
you said the A word. All right, let me try it. So
1:58:33
supposedly Phil goes for a run in the prototypes
1:58:36
of the air souls. And he's like, yeah, actually these
1:58:38
are pretty great. And we should say for anybody who doesn't
1:58:41
know everything that you hear of now, the
1:58:43
Air Max, the Air Jordan, the Air Force One,
1:58:45
it is a literal air
1:58:48
bag. Actually it's a nitrogen bag that
1:58:50
sits in the midsole. So think about the
1:58:52
thing between the lower sole, the rubber
1:58:54
on the bottom and inside of the
1:58:57
insole. Basically the part of the shoe that you can't get
1:58:59
to that's underneath
1:59:00
your heel.
1:59:01
And sometimes that runs all the way across, all the way up
1:59:03
to the toe that replaces foam
1:59:06
cushioning instead using
1:59:08
a little air bag that magically
1:59:10
doesn't pop.
1:59:12
Yeah, I mean, Rudy really was a genius.
1:59:14
So
1:59:15
Phil's like, all right, let's do it. He tasks,
1:59:18
who else?
1:59:19
Rob Strasser with going and doing a deal
1:59:22
with Rudy. They do a deal Rudy gets between 10
1:59:24
to 20 cent royalty for each pair of
1:59:27
air sole technology shoes that
1:59:29
Nike sells. Eventually Nike would just buy
1:59:32
Rudy's company and Rudy would become an employee
1:59:34
of Nike.
1:59:35
So still here in 1977, Strasser is just on fire.
1:59:40
I don't know the full context
1:59:43
around this. Scott Reims has a great LinkedIn
1:59:45
post, but as best as we can tell,
1:59:48
Ben, as you said, the company was growing hugely.
1:59:50
There are all these new employees there who
1:59:52
are just kind of taken for granted that
1:59:54
Nike is
1:59:56
winning. Strasser gets kind of
1:59:58
pissed off one day.
1:59:59
He goes to his typewriter and he fires
2:00:02
off a memo.
2:00:03
He
2:00:04
Xeroxes, he copies this memo
2:00:07
and pasted up on the walls all
2:00:09
around the office of Nike.
2:00:11
Ten principles. And
2:00:14
this document is just
2:00:16
amazing. We've tweeted it before.
2:00:19
It's going around the internet.
2:00:21
Yeah,
2:00:21
it's going around the internet, but it's going around
2:00:23
the internet described in the following way.
2:00:26
Here is the document that Phil
2:00:28
Knight wrote articulating Nike's
2:00:31
principles.
2:00:32
Here are the things that are wrong with that statement.
2:00:34
One, Phil
2:00:35
Knight did not write it. Rob Strasser did.
2:00:38
Two, Nike's principles. Also
2:00:40
incorrect. When this was written, it was
2:00:43
actually still blue ribbon sports so
2:00:45
that it was not
2:00:46
yet the Nike corporation.
2:00:49
Three,
2:00:49
the top of the document has this like thin,
2:00:52
wispy swoosh.
2:00:53
That was never the Nike swoosh. This
2:00:56
is someone's attempt who doctored this
2:00:58
at some point to make it look like
2:01:00
some old version of the swoosh. There
2:01:02
is an old version of the swoosh, which we will link
2:01:05
to in our sources. It is still
2:01:07
in the USPTO for the swoosh
2:01:09
trademark. It is a hand-drawn version,
2:01:12
Carolyn's hand-drawn version of the swoosh that
2:01:14
looks nothing like this weird, thin, wispy thing
2:01:16
that was like doctored and added to the document.
2:01:19
Not Nike, Inc.
2:01:20
Not the swoosh. There was never a swoosh on the document.
2:01:23
It was done on a typewriter. How are you going to do that? And
2:01:25
three, not Phil Knight. But yes,
2:01:28
oh my God, these principles are amazing
2:01:31
and we're going to go through them. But first, we
2:01:33
want to tell you about our third favorite
2:01:36
company of the episode,
2:01:38
David, who is it?
2:01:39
It is Statsig. Yes,
2:01:42
back in action with Acquire.
2:01:44
This is their first time being a full season
2:01:47
sponsor. Statsig empowers
2:01:49
modern day visionaries to transform
2:01:52
the way that they develop software.
2:01:54
The highest performing product teams run multiple
2:01:57
experiments every day. If you're at a company that
2:01:59
uses Statsig, you can use it every day. Sig and is sort of versed
2:02:01
in modern product development principles, you know this.
2:02:04
Stat Sig provides all the tools that you need
2:02:06
to build, measure, and learn
2:02:08
faster as a product organization. They
2:02:11
integrate feature flags, they have an unbelievably
2:02:14
powerful proprietary stats engine,
2:02:17
and they have robust analytics. They make
2:02:19
it so that you can 10x your experimentation
2:02:21
velocity at your company while providing
2:02:23
near real-time visibility into how these
2:02:26
features actually impact your
2:02:28
business metrics.
2:02:29
Yeah, it's been so fun to watch Stat
2:02:31
Sig's growth even just over the last couple months.
2:02:33
The market was clearly hungry.
2:02:36
Most companies today are working with expensive, clunky,
2:02:38
and disjointed point solutions or
2:02:40
under-resourced with internal product experimentation
2:02:43
tools. Stat Sig works with large
2:02:45
enterprises, they have a startup program, they're
2:02:48
powering some of the hottest and fastest growing
2:02:50
brands in AI as well.
2:02:52
One quote I particularly love, this is from a data
2:02:54
scientist at one of their customers, we're operating
2:02:56
like a large experimentation organization
2:02:59
at an enterprise tech company, organizing,
2:03:01
tracking, and analyzing multiple experiments,
2:03:03
providing intuitive visualizations that even
2:03:06
enable non-technical users to make informed
2:03:08
business decisions. What's really cool
2:03:10
is that the company that this data scientist is from,
2:03:13
Black Crow, which is an AI startup, is
2:03:15
running Stat Sig natively in their Snowflake
2:03:17
data warehouse. We talked on our
2:03:20
ACQ2 episode with Kamakshi from Samuha
2:03:22
about
2:03:23
bringing compute into data warehouses
2:03:25
like Snowflake, and this is a great example of that happening
2:03:28
here with Stat Sig. Yep.
2:03:30
Acquired community members can take advantage of a special
2:03:32
offer, including 5 million free
2:03:35
events per month, including white
2:03:38
glove onboarding experience and migration
2:03:41
support. So you can visit statsig.com slash
2:03:43
acquired to learn more and
2:03:46
10x your product experimentation velocity.
2:03:49
Oh, and one more thing.
2:03:51
David and I are going to be doing an event with Stat
2:03:53
Sig live in San Francisco, a product
2:03:56
growth forum.
2:03:57
Honestly, it's going to be an amazing speaker lineup.
2:04:00
the Chief Product Officer from Brex, the
2:04:03
Chief Marketing Officer from Instacart, and the
2:04:05
CTO of Figma are all gonna be there. Vijay
2:04:07
Raji, the CEO and founder of Statsig, who
2:04:10
many of you know well at this point from our ACQ2
2:04:12
episode with him, also gonna be there, and
2:04:15
it should be pretty great. So if you wanna hang out with David and I August
2:04:17
10th in San Francisco, you can click the link in
2:04:19
the show notes to register. It is
2:04:21
selling out fast, so make sure to
2:04:24
grab a spot. We'd love to see you
2:04:26
at the Statsig event.
2:04:27
Okay, David, what are these
2:04:30
principles? All right, Nike principles,
2:04:32
according to Rob Strasser in 1977. One,
2:04:36
our business is change.
2:04:38
Two, oh, this is so good. We are
2:04:40
on offense all the
2:04:43
time. Three, we already
2:04:45
alluded to, perfect results count, not
2:04:48
a perfect process, break the rules,
2:04:50
fight the law. Number four, this is as
2:04:52
much about battle as about business.
2:04:55
Five, assume nothing. Make
2:04:57
sure people keep their promises. Push
2:05:00
yourselves, push others, stretch
2:05:02
the possible.
2:05:03
Number six, live off the land. Number
2:05:06
seven, your job isn't done until
2:05:08
the job is done.
2:05:09
Eight, dangers,
2:05:11
with a underline as a heading.
2:05:14
Bureaucracy, personal ambition,
2:05:16
energy takers versus energy givers. Knowing
2:05:19
our weaknesses,
2:05:20
don't get too many things on the
2:05:22
platter. Number nine, it won't be pretty.
2:05:25
And then number 10,
2:05:27
if we do the right things, we'll
2:05:29
make money damn near
2:05:31
automatic. It's so
2:05:33
good.
2:05:34
It's so good. That last one is so
2:05:36
spot on for any business, through to this day.
2:05:39
It's so easy to get wrapped up on all the other
2:05:42
crap.
2:05:42
You do the right things, you make
2:05:45
product that customers love, you market it right, you
2:05:47
build a brand, you will make money damn near
2:05:50
automatic.
2:05:51
So
2:05:52
I read these differently than
2:05:54
I used to read them. Because when I didn't
2:05:56
know Nike's journey, I sort of would just read
2:05:58
them and be like, yeah, that's awesome. awesome or like, wow,
2:06:00
that's so pithy. I can't believe their official corporate
2:06:03
values are in such a pithy way.
2:06:05
No, this is stream of consciousness
2:06:07
all from Rob Strasser, all into the typewriter.
2:06:10
And like some of them are
2:06:12
things that Nike would never say
2:06:14
today because it shows
2:06:16
the trade-offs inherent in their business.
2:06:19
I mean, live off the land. It's cringe worthy,
2:06:21
right?
2:06:21
It's almost like you guys, you had this huge
2:06:24
labor issue. It's not good. So
2:06:27
you sort of see where some of this stuff comes from,
2:06:29
break the rules, fight the law.
2:06:31
I think there's also something very clear, dangerous
2:06:34
bureaucracy, personal ambition.
2:06:36
Like
2:06:37
this is a foreshadow of Rob Strasser
2:06:39
hating the bureaucracy at Nike after
2:06:42
its IPO that we'll talk about in a second, clashing with
2:06:44
Phil Knight, developing his own personal
2:06:46
ambition and developing his own personal
2:06:49
ambition, leaving and going to Adidas. So there's
2:06:51
like so much in here that when you really start
2:06:53
to know the company's history and story and the
2:06:55
headspace that he was in when he punched this out,
2:06:58
it reads entirely differently to me than I
2:07:00
sort of used to just read it as a,
2:07:02
hey, I love Nike a brand. Wow. So cool.
2:07:04
I wish I could work at a company that had these pithy
2:07:06
punchy values.
2:07:07
Yeah, this is definitely one of those cases where
2:07:10
ignorance is bliss.
2:07:11
Yeah. But man, they're awesome. The
2:07:14
one that is still in Nike's maxims today
2:07:16
that they distribute to employees, that is David,
2:07:18
something you and I both hold near and dear and think
2:07:20
of with acquired is
2:07:21
we're on offense all the time. You
2:07:24
don't win by playing defense. Nope.
2:07:26
OK, so we're approaching 1980. They're about
2:07:28
to go public and they are entirely
2:07:31
a running shoe company. Still no
2:07:33
sign of the Nike that they are today, where
2:07:35
they have apparel, where they're diversified
2:07:37
across a zillion sports.
2:07:39
And from their revenue, they're basically
2:07:42
a running shoe company that makes shoes for men. That
2:07:44
is where their revenue comes from. So Nike
2:07:47
IPO's the second week of December in 1980, the
2:07:49
same week as Apple.
2:07:50
Unbelievable.
2:07:53
It's amazing. You get all the
2:07:55
way through shoe dog. There is basically no mention
2:07:57
of market cap at IPO. It's the craziest.
2:08:00
thing. It really underscores how much
2:08:02
nobody believed enterprise value mattered then.
2:08:04
Yeah.
2:08:05
It was about $400 million. The
2:08:07
market cap at IPO Apple for
2:08:09
comparison sake was $1.8 billion.
2:08:12
Now, interestingly, before they went public,
2:08:15
Bowerman sold most of his stake back
2:08:17
to Phil Knight. Actually, this was related
2:08:19
to some of the financings earlier, but as
2:08:21
Nike got bigger, he just didn't want to be a major
2:08:24
listed shareholder in a highly
2:08:26
visible public company. Certainly he was in retirement
2:08:29
age towards the end of his life. He was like,
2:08:32
I'm going to sell my stake back to Phil. So
2:08:34
when they went public, after the IPO, Phil owned 46%
2:08:37
of the company and was overnight
2:08:40
one of the richest people in America.
2:08:42
And the craziest thing is like one of the
2:08:44
richest people in America then was $178
2:08:46
million.
2:08:49
Yes, quite different. Now, he
2:08:52
was far from the top richest person
2:08:54
in America, but still this made national headlines.
2:08:57
Yeah. So this
2:09:00
is where Shoe Dog ends, which is kind
2:09:02
of crazy. I had forgotten this before
2:09:05
I went back and reread it. There's no Jordan.
2:09:08
There's no
2:09:09
huge fall from grace that is about
2:09:11
to happen for Nike. Basically, right
2:09:13
after they go public,
2:09:15
Phil picked an interesting time to end the story.
2:09:18
Very much so, especially because right after
2:09:20
they go public, Phil goes on sabbatical for
2:09:22
a year. It's sort of like, you know, the
2:09:24
job's done. Wash my hands of it. Then
2:09:26
the job's not done until the job is done. There
2:09:29
you go. But like the whole
2:09:31
company, there was a lot
2:09:33
of hubris going on. They're on top.
2:09:36
We own the running shoe market. We've been in
2:09:38
this magical secular growing trend
2:09:40
forever, and it's just surely
2:09:43
going to continue, right?
2:09:44
And the fitness boom continues, but
2:09:47
running is not exactly
2:09:49
the thing that keeps carrying.
2:09:52
I mean, they have 50 percent market share in
2:09:54
running shoes at this point in America. And
2:09:57
yet their growth in the future is going to be
2:09:59
dictated by where they go from there because it's really
2:10:01
hard to have more than 50% market
2:10:03
share in an industry like this.
2:10:05
Early Nike
2:10:07
did so many things right, but they made one critical
2:10:09
mistake.
2:10:10
They mistook
2:10:12
the running and the jogging boom
2:10:14
for the broader fitness boom.
2:10:17
The broader fitness boom was
2:10:19
a massive secular trend that continues
2:10:22
through to this day.
2:10:23
The running boom
2:10:25
was a cyclical trend that was
2:10:28
part of the fad-driven
2:10:30
fitness cycle. By
2:10:33
the early 80s, as we're heading into
2:10:35
everything that the 80s was and that
2:10:37
the 70s were not, running
2:10:39
and jogging is out
2:10:41
and aerobics are in.
2:10:43
Nike
2:10:45
absolutely refused to see
2:10:47
that and refused to do aerobics
2:10:49
on principle. It's
2:10:50
fascinating. In 1980, Reebok USA
2:10:52
is founded and by 1988 Reebok eclipses Nike in sales.
2:10:56
Yes,
2:11:00
at well over a billion dollars. It's
2:11:02
not like Nike fell out of favor
2:11:04
in running and it's not like people who
2:11:07
were running stopped running, but
2:11:09
Nike had ridden the running boom at this
2:11:11
insane growth rate of running. Even
2:11:14
if running continued, its growth rate was going to massively
2:11:16
taper off and they were going to stop growing their market
2:11:19
share. They really did need to look elsewhere
2:11:21
and I think it was pure hubris
2:11:24
that blinded them from finding their next market.
2:11:27
So Reebok, funny, originally a British company
2:11:30
started as Foster and Sons. They
2:11:32
were the company that made the track shoes for
2:11:34
the 1924 British Olympic team that was
2:11:37
the basis for the movie Chariots of Fire. The
2:11:40
Reebok we all know, well not
2:11:42
today, but back then, is
2:11:44
a completely different animal. It's a marketing
2:11:47
driven company started by a guy named Paul
2:11:49
Fireman who is American.
2:11:51
And pretty quickly,
2:11:52
they developed a business plan to cash
2:11:54
in on the aerobics fad and they made
2:11:57
a shoe that in Nike's principled
2:11:59
opinion.
2:11:59
sucked, but
2:12:02
it went really great with leg warmers. You know,
2:12:04
it was all white. It had soft leather
2:12:06
that wrinkled. It looked good. Women loved it.
2:12:09
It was everything that Nike was
2:12:11
not. And their rise,
2:12:13
like you said, Ben, was even steeper and faster
2:12:16
than Nike's. Ironically,
2:12:18
Reebok would end up much later getting acquired
2:12:20
by Adidas and then spun
2:12:22
back out to private equity recently.
2:12:24
Wow.
2:12:25
So financially, they're sitting
2:12:28
pretty pretty. They've just raised 22 million
2:12:30
in the IPO, which then was a lot of money.
2:12:33
They basically wouldn't need any more money after
2:12:35
that. They raised one smaller pipe
2:12:38
later in their history. But the company was
2:12:40
basically built on debt financing
2:12:42
and this 22 million in the bank from IPO.
2:12:45
And you can see how they got
2:12:48
fat and lazy. Their whole life,
2:12:50
they were starved for capital. Finally, they
2:12:52
had it.
2:12:52
Their whole life, they were the underdog. They're
2:12:55
not the underdog. They're half the running market and this dominant
2:12:57
brand where they just steamrolled the competition
2:12:59
to get into all these sports deals. But
2:13:02
right at the same time as the aerobics
2:13:04
boom is coming up,
2:13:05
Adidas is becoming a very real competitor
2:13:08
in the sports marketing deals, too. And so
2:13:10
Nike is kind of realizing like, oh, we
2:13:12
are not nearly as well capitalized
2:13:15
as them. And they're kind of going to
2:13:17
come eat our lunch and all these deals where
2:13:19
we just figured out that you can
2:13:21
pay people and they'll wear your stuff. And
2:13:23
so our cheap brand advertising is kind of going
2:13:25
away. And meanwhile,
2:13:27
in our core consumer
2:13:29
actual reason people buy truckloads
2:13:32
of shoes, the fitness market, the
2:13:34
swooshing sound you hear is that going to Reebok.
2:13:38
Yes.
2:13:38
So interestingly, financially,
2:13:42
there only are a couple quarters where Nike's
2:13:44
revenue declines.
2:13:46
I think that's because of the futures program.
2:13:49
Kind of saves their skin again.
2:13:51
The retailers had to commit six
2:13:54
plus months in advance to their orders.
2:13:57
And yeah, Nike was able to at
2:13:59
least. maintain revenue through
2:14:01
a lot of this. But the actual underlying
2:14:03
dynamics of the business are
2:14:05
ugly at this point in time.
2:14:08
The market, like I said, is swooshing
2:14:10
away.
2:14:12
So that brings us to 1984.
2:14:14
Phil
2:14:16
Knight actually wrote in the
2:14:18
letter to shareholders that year,
2:14:20
1984, like Georgia well predicted, was
2:14:24
not a good year for Nike. Everything
2:14:27
that we talked about is happening.
2:14:28
But 1984 was also the seed of something pretty incredible
2:14:35
that would make everything that happened before in
2:14:38
Nike look like child's play. And that
2:14:40
would be a young kid
2:14:42
from
2:14:43
North Carolina,
2:14:45
Michael Jordan, who
2:14:47
walks in the door.
2:14:48
This is such a fun time to do the Nike episode
2:14:50
because the movie Air just came out, which
2:14:53
really is like a fun kind of summer blockbuster
2:14:55
movie.
2:14:56
Also very, very inaccurate
2:14:58
in how it portrays everything.
2:15:01
Oh yeah, no, it's a very fun campy work
2:15:03
of fiction. I mean, it gets the broad
2:15:05
point, right? Michael Jordan saved
2:15:08
Nike absolutely, 100%.
2:15:12
The characters involved in how it all went down
2:15:14
and what the deals were, no, almost
2:15:17
all wrong. There's a lot of little dynamics
2:15:19
that we can be mad about. Like it was kind of Strasser's
2:15:22
baby to do the deal, not Vaccaro's baby
2:15:24
to do the deal. Vaccaro never flew
2:15:26
to North Carolina to negotiate at Michael's house
2:15:28
with Michael's mother. All of this doesn't actually
2:15:31
happen. They weren't gonna fire everyone in the basketball division
2:15:33
if this didn't work.
2:15:34
But again, factual inaccuracies are fine. It's
2:15:37
the characters that they messed up that really bothered
2:15:39
me.
2:15:40
I know I'm doing a review of a movie
2:15:42
that maybe not all of you have seen, so spoilers,
2:15:44
but like, God, they make Phil Knight
2:15:47
just
2:15:48
not at all who Phil Knight is. They
2:15:50
make him out to be kind of a rube.
2:15:53
And after watching every interview
2:15:55
he's ever given and reading all this stuff about him, and I
2:15:58
just don't think that the Ben Affleck character
2:16:00
There is anything like Phil Knight. Anyway,
2:16:03
air is entertaining. Here's the real story.
2:16:05
The big important thing from
2:16:09
Michael Jordan, the Air Jordan
2:16:11
one, and then everything that became in the
2:16:13
Jordan brand is that
2:16:15
it didn't just save Nike.
2:16:18
It changed the world. That's a
2:16:20
super campy thing to say,
2:16:22
but it is 100% true. If
2:16:25
you walk down any street,
2:16:27
you're pretty much anywhere in the world today,
2:16:30
or you go into any event,
2:16:32
building, venue, whatever, and you look at what people
2:16:34
are wearing, they are wearing sneakers,
2:16:37
and they are mostly wearing
2:16:39
basketball shoes and running shoes.
2:16:42
That was not the case before
2:16:45
Air Jordans. Air Jordans
2:16:48
and Michael Jordan made sneakers
2:16:51
into culture. So Nike
2:16:53
takes a chance.
2:16:54
There's a kid out of North Carolina. He's picked
2:16:56
third in the draft. He was really
2:16:58
good. He just took the game-winning shot to win the
2:17:00
NCAA Final Four.
2:17:03
But he's not LeBron in high school. Yeah,
2:17:05
he was picked third. Right. I remember
2:17:07
going to see LeBron as a high
2:17:09
school athlete because I lived near Akron, Ohio,
2:17:11
and he went to St. Vincent, St. Mary's famously. And
2:17:14
he was very obviously one of
2:17:16
the best NBA players as a
2:17:18
freshman in high school. Jordan wasn't
2:17:21
quite that. He was a different type
2:17:23
of player. He was not as big
2:17:25
and as physical as a lot of the guys dominating
2:17:27
the NBA at the time.
2:17:29
And so doing a big
2:17:31
deal with Jordan really was more
2:17:33
of a gamble for Nike than they would
2:17:35
do with really any athlete today. All
2:17:38
right, so let's talk about what that deal was
2:17:40
and why it was so different.
2:17:43
Nike, like we just said, their back's against
2:17:45
the wall. They need to do something
2:17:47
to save the company.
2:17:48
And it's actually Strasser who puts this
2:17:50
deal together. And together with Sonny
2:17:52
Vaccaro, as portrayed in the movie, goes after Jordan.
2:17:55
But Strasser puts it all together.
2:17:57
So the deal is a $2.5 million.
2:17:59
minimum guaranteed payout over
2:18:02
five years. But that's not
2:18:04
actually how the economics work. The revolutionary
2:18:07
aspect of the deal
2:18:09
was the payouts were calculated
2:18:11
as a 5% royalty on
2:18:14
gross revenue
2:18:16
from the sales
2:18:17
of Air Jordans, the whole line, the
2:18:20
shoes, the merchandise, everything. It's almost like
2:18:22
the way the book industry works. They gave him an advance
2:18:25
on the first 500K a year. But
2:18:27
once he sold through the advance, he was gonna get a 5%
2:18:30
participation on any of the shoe sales.
2:18:32
Right, and it goes even deeper than that.
2:18:34
This structure was completely
2:18:37
revolutionary. So
2:18:38
the way shoe deals were done at the time,
2:18:40
so Magic Johnson and Larry Bird were
2:18:42
the biggest stars in the NBA at the time. They
2:18:44
were both signed with Converse. Their
2:18:47
deals were roughly $100,000 a year in cash payments to
2:18:51
wear the Converse weapons.
2:18:53
Ben, have you ever worn the Converse weapons? No,
2:18:56
never. Do you know what they are? No. No, I
2:18:58
don't. These are not Air Birds.
2:19:00
They weren't signature shoes. Nike
2:19:02
says, we are gonna make you a signature shoe,
2:19:05
and then you are gonna participate in the upside
2:19:07
from that. They did that intentionally. It
2:19:10
wasn't Jordan who asked for that. Nike
2:19:12
wanted it that way. They thought, we need to
2:19:14
incentivize Jordan to
2:19:17
build the dream here. We need to tie this
2:19:19
all together. And it's
2:19:21
brilliant counter positioning because
2:19:23
all their competitors basically couldn't do it. Converse
2:19:25
has too many stars to go all around
2:19:28
signing these, A, you get
2:19:30
some of the upside deals. Like Nike had freaking nothing
2:19:32
to lose. Of course they could give away some of the upside.
2:19:35
If Converse is gonna do this or he do this, he's gonna do
2:19:37
this. They actually do have quite a bit to lose by
2:19:39
giving away upside. Of course, Nike, it turns
2:19:41
out, it was a big paycheck that they cut Jordan
2:19:44
for years and years and years. But Nike
2:19:46
was truly doing something here that their competitors could not.
2:19:48
And it was smart to figure out what are the things
2:19:51
that by being small and cash
2:19:53
constrained and under penetrated in the NBA,
2:19:56
what strengths do we have?
2:19:57
Right, it goes even further.
2:19:59
Also in the deal,
2:20:01
the previous year, Nike
2:20:03
had sold 400,000 pairs
2:20:06
of Nike basketball shoes.
2:20:07
They include a clause that Jordan gets
2:20:10
a royalty on incremental
2:20:12
sales in future years beyond
2:20:14
the baseline of everything
2:20:17
in the Nike basketball line. I did
2:20:19
not realize that. This is how
2:20:21
it works. We alluded to this earlier in the episode.
2:20:24
It's the halo effect. Yes,
2:20:26
the Jordans are important, and we'll talk
2:20:28
all about the Air Jordan ones in a second here, but
2:20:31
it's not about the Jordans. It's
2:20:33
about the swoosh, and it's about
2:20:35
the halo effect and the lifting
2:20:37
up of the whole company's sales. I
2:20:40
had no idea that Jordan got a
2:20:42
royalty of non-Jordan shoes. He
2:20:44
did. And this would eventually morph into
2:20:46
the Jordan brand and the Jordan line and Zion
2:20:49
Williams and Jason Tatum. And like they are Jordan
2:20:51
athletes. This is part of it.
2:20:54
So Nike also guarantees
2:20:56
a minimum ad spend to promote the
2:20:58
Jordan line.
2:20:59
They're all in here. They also give
2:21:02
Jordan stock options in the company.
2:21:04
This is a hell
2:21:06
of a deal, and it's smart
2:21:09
for Nike. So there's
2:21:11
something kind of interesting here, which is I
2:21:13
was trying to figure out if I would describe this as
2:21:15
a partnership.
2:21:16
David, you and I are partners in Acquired. We
2:21:19
together benefit from the upside and
2:21:21
the downside. That is what
2:21:24
makes a partnership.
2:21:25
Is this a partnership? Is there any scenario
2:21:28
where Jordan has any downside or is
2:21:30
all of the downside owned by Nike?
2:21:33
No, it's all owned by Nike because there's the minimum guaranteed
2:21:35
payment. For $2.5 million over five years, that
2:21:39
seems like a pittance today.
2:21:41
But that was huge. Nobody else
2:21:43
was getting that kind of money. So here's the
2:21:45
thing, and this was chronicled in the movie. This is absolutely
2:21:48
true.
2:21:49
Jordan didn't wanna work with Nike. Nike was for
2:21:51
the second rate pro players. Jordan wanted
2:21:53
Adidas. Jordan was a kid in the 80s,
2:21:55
like a teenager,
2:21:57
to the extent that sneakers
2:21:59
had started.
2:21:59
to transcend into culture. It
2:22:02
was Adidas.
2:22:03
Hip-hop, breakdancing, tracksuits,
2:22:06
shell toes. That was Adidas.
2:22:08
That was what Jordan wanted.
2:22:10
And so to put a finer point on
2:22:12
this here,
2:22:13
Jordan didn't want to be Nike's partner,
2:22:15
so he basically wasn't. And
2:22:18
they backed up the truck for him. And some of
2:22:20
that truck was in variable comp and some
2:22:22
of that truck was in cash. But make
2:22:24
no mistake, that is what this is. Is Nike
2:22:27
having no leverage, Jordan having all
2:22:29
the leverage, and getting a landmark,
2:22:32
unbelievable deal still to this day
2:22:35
unmatched in terms of the amount of dollar
2:22:37
outflows that has gone to an athlete because of
2:22:39
it?
2:22:40
Yeah. So
2:22:41
Jordan actually takes the deal and shops it
2:22:43
to Adidas afterwards. And he's like,
2:22:45
I really don't want to go with Nike. I really
2:22:47
want to be with Adidas. You don't have to match this. Can
2:22:50
you just come anywhere in the ballpark
2:22:52
close?
2:22:53
And Adidas is like,
2:22:55
we could give you $100,000 a year.
2:22:57
And so reluctantly, Jordan
2:23:00
goes with Nike. But you're so right, and it's so
2:23:02
important. It sets up the incentives,
2:23:04
even though Jordan has no downside. He's like, well.
2:23:08
Jordan also is on offense all the time. This is a
2:23:10
guy who plays to win. So you give him the incentives.
2:23:13
He and Phil Knight are going to get along real
2:23:15
well.
2:23:16
So here's what happens.
2:23:18
In that first year, the Air Jordan
2:23:20
ones,
2:23:21
this is going to be very incredible. Some
2:23:23
of you know this, some of you are going to listen to this, you're going to be blown away.
2:23:25
Hang on, because there is a second part to this story
2:23:28
that is not what you expect.
2:23:30
In the first year, Air Jordan ones
2:23:32
sell $126
2:23:33
million. That's the shoes and the associated
2:23:39
merchandise with it. David, do you know
2:23:41
what their goal was?
2:23:43
$3 million over three years. So
2:23:46
it's about 15% of Nike's
2:23:48
entire revenue for the whole year.
2:23:51
In the first year,
2:23:53
they sold $1.5 million
2:23:55
in the first six weeks after
2:23:57
releasing them.
2:23:59
Put aside the halo
2:24:02
royalties that Jordan is getting on the rest of
2:24:04
Nike basketball, let's take just
2:24:06
the 5% of that $126 million
2:24:08
that
2:24:10
he made in his first year.
2:24:12
That's $6.3 million
2:24:14
that Jordan got from Nike in 1985.
2:24:17
Do you know what Jordan's contract with the Bulls was?
2:24:20
It's too perfect.
2:24:22
$6.3 million over seven years. So
2:24:26
he made the exact same amount from
2:24:28
the Nike deal in his first year.
2:24:30
He made his entire seven
2:24:33
year contract with the Bulls in his first year.
2:24:35
Wow.
2:24:37
I always wanted to think of the story as like, wow,
2:24:39
Jordan took some risk and it paid off big
2:24:41
on the backend. It's like,
2:24:43
it paid off immediately and he had to make no
2:24:45
trade-offs to do it. He got the cash
2:24:48
guarantees
2:24:49
and he got the royalty upside and it
2:24:51
happened immediately and it only got bigger
2:24:53
from there.
2:24:54
Well,
2:24:54
trade-offs, I think they're two things. One,
2:24:57
none of this would have happened if Jordan didn't turn
2:24:59
out to be Jordan. Totally. And in
2:25:01
fact, that's literally true. If he wasn't, what were the three
2:25:03
clauses? If he didn't either win
2:25:06
rookie of the year or win the NBA
2:25:08
finals or win the
2:25:10
MVP or something, there was an out
2:25:12
in the contract. Oh, interesting. I didn't
2:25:14
know that. They were basically like, we will give you the
2:25:16
entire farm or 5% of the farm if
2:25:20
you are a phenom and if you're not. Interesting.
2:25:23
So there was some protection for Nike. Yes.
2:25:26
And I think he's Michael Jordan. So whatever the thing
2:25:28
was, he got all three of them.
2:25:29
Oh, it wasn't the NBA finals. It was becoming
2:25:32
All-Star.
2:25:32
Interesting. Which I think he did in the
2:25:35
first year. Yes. Yes. That's
2:25:37
right because the other players kept the ball away from him
2:25:39
and they froze him out because they were so jealous. Okay.
2:25:43
One, Jordan had to become Jordan.
2:25:45
Two though, he
2:25:46
sacrificed a huge amount.
2:25:49
There's this great quote from Jordan when he
2:25:51
retired for the first time.
2:25:53
He said, Phil Knight and
2:25:55
Nike have made me into a dream.
2:25:57
And that's very sweet on the surface.
2:26:00
but that's very dark underneath
2:26:02
of it. Michael Jordan's life was
2:26:05
no longer the life of a normal
2:26:07
person or anything close to it.
2:26:09
And now
2:26:10
to a certain extent, that happens to every star, but like
2:26:13
today you're like, duh. But back then, this
2:26:16
was the first time this happened.
2:26:18
Jordan
2:26:19
became a dream. And that's
2:26:22
very hard to live with as an actual
2:26:24
human being. So there was some downside.
2:26:27
Yeah, David, you're so right. Imagine that I
2:26:29
come to you and I say,
2:26:31
hey, I'm going to pay you and give you revenue upside.
2:26:33
And all you have to do is do the thing that you're already
2:26:35
good at and work hard at the thing you're already passionate about.
2:26:38
By the way, I'm going to use your face
2:26:41
on $5 million of media, of
2:26:43
paid media, in the next few months.
2:26:45
It's like, whoa, what? But
2:26:48
that's it for any normal
2:26:50
life that I get, like right out the bat. Right,
2:26:53
and he's a kid. Yes. So again, like
2:26:55
this is all normal today. Everybody understands this.
2:26:57
LeBron knew exactly what he was getting into
2:26:59
when he signed with Nike out of high school and went to the NBA.
2:27:02
But like,
2:27:03
this was the beginning of
2:27:05
all of this.
2:27:07
So why did they sell so well? That's
2:27:09
sort of this interesting $126 million in
2:27:12
the first year. Like, why was the demand for them crazy?
2:27:14
Did people just love Michael Jordan? Nike,
2:27:17
this is, I think, the first time they
2:27:19
really flex their ability
2:27:22
to recognize an opportunity
2:27:25
for an incredible marketing moment.
2:27:28
So back in 84,
2:27:29
Jordan starts wearing, in preseason
2:27:32
and in warmups, some modified airships.
2:27:35
Because Nike's actually not done making the
2:27:37
Air Jordan 1 yet. And so he's
2:27:40
wearing these black and red shoes
2:27:42
that are now called the Jordan Breds, B-R-E-D.
2:27:45
And these shoes are black and red. And
2:27:48
in the NBA, you wear
2:27:49
white, and that's it. And
2:27:51
so Jordan's
2:27:53
getting ready to play in the league with these black
2:27:55
and red shoes, which again, he hasn't actually
2:27:57
worn on court. And to this day,
2:28:00
no one can find footage of him
2:28:02
wearing the black and red
2:28:05
precursor to the Air Jordan 1, these
2:28:07
modified airships on the court. So we're not
2:28:09
actually sure that it happened. Right, because it takes
2:28:11
a while to actually make a new shoe. So the
2:28:14
Air Jordan 1 is still in production. Right. But
2:28:17
this black and red catches the league's attention. David
2:28:19
Stern says, hey, you can't wear those.
2:28:22
We're going to find you if you do. In fact,
2:28:24
this results in literally writing a letter
2:28:26
that doesn't state the dollar amount, but does say,
2:28:29
hey, it's against league policy to wear the
2:28:31
black and red shoes. It doesn't mention the Air
2:28:33
Jordan. It doesn't mention the Air Jordan 1. It just says those
2:28:36
black and red shoes. And this gives
2:28:38
Nike this incredible opportunity
2:28:41
to make a marketing moment out of it.
2:28:43
Now,
2:28:44
it would have actually been very expensive
2:28:46
because the way that the fine worked technically
2:28:48
after you dig into it for a while is $1,000 for the first
2:28:50
infraction, $5,000 for the second infraction. It
2:28:55
may have even been the case that it was $10,000 for the third over
2:28:57
an 82 game season
2:28:58
and
2:29:01
facing possible ejection. It's
2:29:03
a big tab for Nike and it's a big problem
2:29:05
for Jordan. And before he could even
2:29:08
wear these black and red shoes
2:29:10
in a game
2:29:11
or have the opportunity to, they switched.
2:29:14
The Air Jordan 1, they made white and red. The
2:29:16
one that is iconic that you can go buy and
2:29:19
then they make all the remakes out of. The AJ 1
2:29:21
is not the bread. And the
2:29:23
bread is the thing that kicked up the big issue. Anyway,
2:29:26
so Jordan, they just filmed him in this incredible
2:29:28
commercial where he's just standing there and the camera pans
2:29:31
down from his head to his
2:29:33
feet where he's wearing the black and red
2:29:35
and it just goes bong, bong
2:29:38
and puts these black bars over the shoes. And
2:29:41
they make a whole big deal out of the fact
2:29:43
that these shoes are so
2:29:45
great, they are banned in the
2:29:47
NBA and you can go buy them at
2:29:50
your local retailer and people
2:29:52
go nuts.
2:29:53
So great. Such a good story.
2:29:56
And the coda to all this is even
2:29:58
after reading all these books. and
2:30:00
watching all these videos and these interviews, I
2:30:03
actually don't know what dollars ever
2:30:05
changed hands. Some people said it was $5,000
2:30:07
times an 82 game season. Some
2:30:10
people said it was $1,000 ever and
2:30:12
then nothing after that. I have even heard
2:30:15
that no dollars ever exchanged between
2:30:17
Nike and the NBA or Nike and Michael Jordan because
2:30:20
the fine was never levied. It was a threat
2:30:23
that then Nike made that Air Jordan
2:30:25
ones before anything could be enforced. If anybody
2:30:27
knows, please
2:30:29
join the Slack and shoot us a DM or put
2:30:31
it in the general channel. I'm very curious. The
2:30:33
thing that's so great though, Nike, right? It
2:30:36
doesn't matter. It's the story, it's
2:30:38
the dream. It doesn't matter. Right.
2:30:41
They just put it in a freaking Hollywood
2:30:43
movie that it was 5,000 times 82 games and
2:30:46
that's all anybody's gonna remember. Oh,
2:30:48
man.
2:30:49
Okay, so I mentioned a minute ago about the other side
2:30:52
of the Air Jordan one story.
2:30:54
It's not the dark side of Michael Jordan's
2:30:56
fame.
2:30:57
I think this is crazy. I don't think anybody really knows this.
2:31:00
Nike sold $126 million worth of Air Jordan
2:31:02
one shoes and
2:31:06
merchandise in the first year.
2:31:08
Fact. Another fact
2:31:10
that gets put out there is that Nike sold
2:31:13
$150 million of Air Jordan
2:31:15
shoes and merchandise during the first three years.
2:31:18
Now, if you look at that, you're like,
2:31:20
wait a minute. Huh? What happened?
2:31:23
Something bad happened in years two and three. Yes,
2:31:26
and indeed something bad did happen in years two
2:31:28
and three and in year one.
2:31:30
Nike needed that first
2:31:32
year of the Jordan deal to be a huge
2:31:34
hit.
2:31:35
So they stuffed the channel.
2:31:37
They pushed so much
2:31:39
product on retailers and
2:31:41
through the Futures Program and whatnot
2:31:44
that that's how they hit the $126 million in sales. There
2:31:47
wasn't actually $126 million of demand for
2:31:51
Jordan products that year. So
2:31:53
good commercial, but not $126 million of
2:31:56
demand commercial. I mean, there probably was, I'm
2:31:58
making this up 57.
2:31:59
$100 million of demand, like
2:32:02
unprecedented for any shoe in history
2:32:04
for a single year.
2:32:06
But Nike also effectively
2:32:08
took some steroids on this one. Yeah.
2:32:11
That turned into a huge problem because
2:32:13
the retailers and the buying public
2:32:15
had a huge hangover the next
2:32:17
year in year two that
2:32:19
was compounded by two issues. One,
2:32:22
Jordan
2:32:22
broke his foot early in the season
2:32:25
of his second year, missed most of the season.
2:32:28
Two,
2:32:29
the Air Jordan 2s
2:32:32
sucked. There's kind of no other
2:32:34
way to put it.
2:32:36
This was where Strasser, who
2:32:38
again had masterminded all of this, the
2:32:40
Jordan deal, the Jordan 1s, working
2:32:43
with his collaborator Peter Moore, all
2:32:45
this stuff, they kind of went rogue.
2:32:48
The Air Jordan 2s cost $100. The Air
2:32:50
Jordan 1s cost $65. The
2:32:52
Air Jordan 2s were made in Italy out of
2:32:54
premium Italian leather. This doesn't
2:32:57
sound like the Nike playbook. This
2:32:59
also doesn't sound like a good basketball shoe. Do
2:33:01
you want to play basketball in Gucci
2:33:04
leather? Probably not.
2:33:07
Jordan didn't like the shoes. They were not good
2:33:09
to play basketball in. They were super stiff. They
2:33:11
were hard to break in.
2:33:13
They didn't fit his style, right?
2:33:15
So, A, he wasn't playing. B, he wasn't
2:33:17
incentivized to push them. I mean, he
2:33:20
was economically incentivized, but he didn't like the shoe.
2:33:23
It all kind of fell apart.
2:33:26
On top of that,
2:33:28
as this is all happening,
2:33:30
Strasser, and
2:33:32
more too along with him, but really Strasser
2:33:34
is
2:33:35
becoming increasingly rogue
2:33:38
within Nike.
2:33:39
He
2:33:40
breaks away. He starts a new division
2:33:43
in a separate office complex from
2:33:45
the rest of the company
2:33:48
called the New Products Division. Dude,
2:33:50
this is like very Steve Jobs, Macintosh.
2:33:54
new
2:34:00
campus, new division, you know,
2:34:02
away from Knight, away from the rest of the company. He mandates
2:34:04
that all new product launches
2:34:06
have to go through him in this new group and
2:34:09
that they're gonna take control and streamline
2:34:11
the process. And the Jordan two's
2:34:13
come out of this. Obviously it's not a very good shoe.
2:34:16
This becomes a big problem.
2:34:19
Obviously there's only one way
2:34:21
that
2:34:22
this is gonna end. Either
2:34:25
Strasser is gonna become CEO of
2:34:27
Nike
2:34:28
or Strasser is gonna leave Nike. Yep. And
2:34:33
Strasser ain't gonna become CEO of Nike because
2:34:36
one, Phil Knight is CEO of Nike. Two,
2:34:38
Nike has a dual class voting structure.
2:34:41
Phil Knight controls all the high vote shares and
2:34:43
he controls the board. So
2:34:46
really this is the end for
2:34:48
Strasser. They get in a
2:34:50
huge fight in 1987.
2:34:53
Strasser leaves the company.
2:34:54
He goes off and takes more
2:34:57
with him, Peter Moore,
2:34:58
and they start a consulting firm in
2:35:00
Portland called Sports Incorporated.
2:35:03
All of which is fine. And
2:35:05
you could imagine a future where one day,
2:35:08
Knight and Strasser might reconcile and
2:35:11
they could be friends again and say, wow, Rob,
2:35:13
you've had such incredible part of the
2:35:15
Nike journey, contribution to everything.
2:35:17
We can bury the hatchet.
2:35:20
Well,
2:35:21
Sports Incorporated takes on as one of their
2:35:23
major clients,
2:35:24
Adidas. And eventually their only client.
2:35:27
And then eventually Adidas buys the company,
2:35:30
moves their North American headquarters to
2:35:32
Portland, Oregon and makes Strasser
2:35:35
the CEO of Adidas
2:35:38
America.
2:35:40
And then incredibly tragically,
2:35:42
this is just terrible. Eight months
2:35:44
into the job, Strasser has
2:35:46
a massive heart attack and dies, I
2:35:49
believe at age 46. Oh,
2:35:52
it's just terrible.
2:35:53
Yeah. But the
2:35:56
betrayal that this engenders.
2:36:00
It's irreversible. Ben, you talked about earlier, the
2:36:02
Nike culture. There's a quote from Jeff Johnson,
2:36:05
Blue Ribbon Employee Number One, who I think had already
2:36:07
left the company at this point. He's
2:36:09
asked in the book, Just Do It, about Rob
2:36:11
becoming CEO of Adidas. And he says, I know
2:36:14
they Adidas aren't what they once were, but
2:36:17
Adidas people were the Huns. I would starve
2:36:20
to death before I would work for Adidas. Wow.
2:36:23
And then when Rob dies, Phil does not attend
2:36:25
his funeral. It was really just heartbreaking.
2:36:29
There's a
2:36:30
quote that sums it up in this Portland Monthly
2:36:32
article
2:36:33
that talks about why Strasser isn't
2:36:35
known to many people outside the companies
2:36:37
and why his role sort of fades into history.
2:36:40
And they say, why? Because his work was
2:36:42
vital to both, which makes it incredibly
2:36:45
difficult to neatly write him into the mythology
2:36:47
of either one. For Adidas, it was
2:36:49
a brand revival, conceived and executed
2:36:52
by a fat American ex Nike guy
2:36:54
and his artsy partner. For Nike,
2:36:57
Strasser's overachievements are overshadowed, if
2:36:59
not severely tarnished because he was a traitor.
2:37:02
From Phil Knight, it might've been okay
2:37:04
if he had just quit, but he went to work for Adidas,
2:37:07
an intolerable betrayal I never
2:37:09
forgave him.
2:37:10
Yeah.
2:37:12
And still the repercussions of this exists
2:37:14
to this day. Adidas' American
2:37:17
headquarters are still in Portland, Oregon.
2:37:20
Yep. And they poach a lot of Nike people. Yep.
2:37:23
So, okay, back
2:37:26
to Jordan. The plot thickens
2:37:28
here.
2:37:29
Jordan's not happy. Strasser was his guy
2:37:32
there. Yeah.
2:37:33
Strasser was his guy.
2:37:35
Strasser leaves, starts this new
2:37:37
company, starts working for Adidas,
2:37:40
becomes the CEO of Adidas.
2:37:43
Jordan's going to go to Adidas.
2:37:45
The writing's on the wall here. I mean,
2:37:47
Jordan's deal is up in 90, right?
2:37:50
Not only is his deal up in 90,
2:37:52
he tries to renegotiate.
2:37:55
So in year three,
2:37:57
Jordan is so unhappy.
2:38:00
The wheels are in motion at Adidas.
2:38:02
Adidas with Strasser, not yet
2:38:04
at the helm, but whispering in the year, is
2:38:07
gonna be willing to do a Jordan type deal
2:38:09
for Jordan. Michael always
2:38:12
wanted to do this anyway.
2:38:14
He's gonna break the deal with Nike and go with them.
2:38:16
Yep.
2:38:17
So, back to Nike and Phil.
2:38:20
This is serious wartime mode.
2:38:23
They schedule a pitch meeting with Jordan. This
2:38:26
is, I think, towards the end of year
2:38:28
three of the deal to try
2:38:30
and save him, to try and re-sign him. They're willing
2:38:32
to do anything. Re-negotiate the deal,
2:38:34
give him more economics, give
2:38:37
him another shoe, anything.
2:38:39
Phil goes
2:38:41
to a bright young star
2:38:44
within the Nike design
2:38:46
group.
2:38:47
Tinker Hatfield. Formally
2:38:50
of Nike's architecture and building
2:38:52
planning team, he wasn't even hired
2:38:54
as a shoe designer. He was an architect.
2:38:56
This is super important.
2:38:58
Tinker was another Bowerman guy. He ran track
2:39:00
for Bowerman in Oregon and studied architecture.
2:39:03
And then he comes into Nike, and together with Mark Parker, who
2:39:06
would become the CEO of Nike, they
2:39:08
design the Air Max, they design the Air Trainer. They're
2:39:11
part of Nike's revival on the running
2:39:13
and training side and competing ultimately
2:39:15
in aerobics with the Air Trainer.
2:39:18
Now that Strasser and Morg on Tinker is the
2:39:21
star that he can give
2:39:23
Jordan, he says,
2:39:24
go fly out to Chicago, go
2:39:26
with Howard White, Jordan's guy at
2:39:28
Nike,
2:39:30
go talk to him,
2:39:32
come home, like, bearing your shielder
2:39:34
on it, essentially.
2:39:35
So Tinker goes out. Now,
2:39:37
remember, he's trained as an architect and then became a shoe
2:39:39
designer. What do architects do when they
2:39:41
meet with their clients? They ask them questions, they say, what
2:39:43
do you want? What are your specifications?
2:39:45
Tinker sits down with Jordan and he's like,
2:39:48
tell me what you don't like about the Jordan too.
2:39:50
They're too tough to break in.
2:39:51
Okay, cool. What else is wrong with them? They're
2:39:54
high tops, you know, that's too much weight.
2:39:56
I'm Michael Jordan. I need lightness
2:39:59
on my feet. I want to...
2:39:59
I don't want the extra weight.
2:40:01
Okay, cool.
2:40:03
In an ideal world, Michael, what shoe
2:40:05
would you want? What would it look like? And
2:40:07
Michael's like, well, I want a great basketball
2:40:10
shoe
2:40:10
that will also look great off the
2:40:13
court,
2:40:13
but it needs to be both. It can't be like the Jordan 2 that
2:40:16
looked great off the court, maybe, but
2:40:18
sucked as a basketball shoe. Tinker's
2:40:20
like, okay,
2:40:22
noted. So he goes back to Nike,
2:40:25
works feverishly. Jordan comes in for
2:40:27
this last ditch pitch meeting. He
2:40:29
shows up four hours late. Phil
2:40:32
starts the meeting and is like, oh boy, here we go.
2:40:35
Tinker, like an architect, has
2:40:37
the shoe
2:40:39
under a black cloth on the
2:40:41
table, just like Steve Jobs
2:40:44
in the keynotes many years later. Phil
2:40:47
hands the meeting over to Tinker. He's like,
2:40:50
Michael,
2:40:51
I took notes on our conversation.
2:40:53
Here
2:40:54
is the Jordan 3.
2:40:56
And he pulls the shroud off and
2:40:58
hands the shoe to Jordan.
2:41:00
And he's like,
2:41:00
it's the shoe you asked for. He goes right down the checklist.
2:41:04
Soft leather that doesn't need to be broken in. You
2:41:06
can wear a new pair in every single game.
2:41:09
Mid cut height,
2:41:11
not a high top, not a low top, the support
2:41:13
you need without the weight of a high top. Elephant
2:41:16
print leather for style off the court
2:41:18
that won't detract from performance on
2:41:20
the court. And then the
2:41:22
piece de resistance,
2:41:24
no swoosh.
2:41:26
There's a little swoosh on the back tab.
2:41:28
The main logo
2:41:30
is the Jordan jump
2:41:33
man logo on the tongue.
2:41:37
The jump man logo did exist beforehand.
2:41:39
Peter Moore had actually designed it, but it was never
2:41:41
in the prime position. It was always the swoosh
2:41:44
and then the jump man. That's like heretical
2:41:47
at Nike at this point to not have the swoosh
2:41:49
be the main character. But Michael
2:41:51
Jordan didn't really want to be a Nike. So the only
2:41:53
way to keep him is to kind of hide the swoosh.
2:41:56
It's kind of like hearkening back to the beginning of like
2:41:58
Phil Knight could have had 100% of.
2:41:59
of Blue Ribbon Sports, or he
2:42:02
could have had 51% of Bill
2:42:04
Bowerman's Blue Ribbon Sports.
2:42:06
Yeah, it's pretty crazy because the whole point
2:42:08
of these deals is to get swoosh impressions.
2:42:11
And they were willing to say, we think
2:42:14
it's going to be profitable enough in the long run to
2:42:16
be in business with you, that we will
2:42:18
not put the swoosh on the side of these shoes. And
2:42:21
they were extremely right to do that.
2:42:23
Indeed. So as part of that, they renegotiate
2:42:26
the deal.
2:42:27
Jordan agrees to stay with Nike.
2:42:29
The Jordan brand becomes its own
2:42:31
sub segment within Nike,
2:42:34
its own shoes, its own clothes, its own colors,
2:42:36
its own logo, its own advertising,
2:42:38
all managed standalone. And
2:42:41
then ultimately, this would take several years,
2:42:43
but it would become
2:42:45
Zion Williamson, where's Jordan's? Jason
2:42:47
Tatum, where's Jordan's? The University
2:42:50
of Michigan, for some reason, is Jordan,
2:42:52
not Nike as their official uniform supplier?
2:42:55
UNC is Jordan's.
2:42:58
And so do you know what changed in that renegotiation?
2:43:01
Yes. So
2:43:03
they extend the deal for seven more years.
2:43:06
I believe at the same 5% royalty
2:43:08
on gross sales,
2:43:09
but
2:43:10
there's the new massive further
2:43:12
commitment to making the Jordan
2:43:15
sub brand
2:43:16
much more of its own brand.
2:43:18
And they up the total guarantee
2:43:21
to at
2:43:21
least $18 million. So
2:43:23
from two and a half to 18 in three years. Wow.
2:43:28
Ultimately, just like the two and a half, that's
2:43:30
meaningless because Jordan
2:43:33
brand sales
2:43:34
go back up in 88, 89,
2:43:36
90, on and on and on, 200 million, 300
2:43:39
million, 400 million, 500 million
2:43:42
in sales. This is when they do the Spike
2:43:45
and Mike ads with Spike Lee. It's
2:43:47
got to be the shoes. And Wyden Kennedy got
2:43:49
to be the shoes.
2:43:51
Jordan earns over
2:43:53
the course of this contract easily,
2:43:56
at least $100 million easily. Over
2:43:58
the seven year. Yeah.
2:43:59
dwarfing what he's earning from the NBA.
2:44:02
In his total career from basketball contracts,
2:44:06
he made something like $90 million. So,
2:44:09
I mean, you even said it in that first year, just from
2:44:11
the get-go with his Nike earnings, we're way outpacing
2:44:13
his NBA earnings. Yup.
2:44:15
Now, interestingly,
2:44:17
at retail,
2:44:18
again, back to this Halo strategy,
2:44:21
the Jordan 3s and then all Jordans subsequently,
2:44:24
really, this is when they become the luxury
2:44:27
brand. The Jordans are
2:44:29
Nike's Louis Vuitton trunk. Yeah,
2:44:32
they make a lot of revenue from them. Yeah, they sell
2:44:34
a lot of them,
2:44:35
but you know what, it also helps them sell a lot of wallets. Yeah.
2:44:39
So the Jordan 3 is priced at like $200
2:44:41
or something?
2:44:43
$100, but this is 1988, 1989. Right,
2:44:47
okay, that makes sense.
2:44:49
All right, so you mentioned how much
2:44:51
he made at the end of that seven-year contract.
2:44:53
There's something mind-blowing going on today
2:44:55
in 2023 with the Jordan
2:44:58
brand, and I don't think people
2:45:00
quite have a handle on what has happened
2:45:02
in the last three years.
2:45:04
So the Jordan brand is the
2:45:06
fastest growing part of Nike. Nike
2:45:09
grows like 10% a year. The Jordan
2:45:11
brand over the last three years keeps
2:45:14
growing at like 35%,
2:45:16
and it does billions in revenue growing
2:45:19
at 35%. So this
2:45:21
past year, they just reported FY22,
2:45:25
the Jordan brand did $6.6 billion in revenue.
2:45:30
Let's assume that the 5% figure
2:45:33
is still accurate enough. It's accurate-ish.
2:45:36
Jordan's making over $300 million a year from
2:45:40
the Jordan brand at a 5-ish percent
2:45:42
royalty. He retired for the
2:45:44
last time 20 years ago. There
2:45:47
is no athlete making $300 million a year. Michael
2:45:51
Jordan will make five, maybe $10 billion
2:45:54
over his lifetime from the Jordan brand.
2:45:56
Absolutely unprecedented for an athlete.
2:45:59
He's effectively... a founder of a
2:46:01
brand that is growing 35% at
2:46:04
six plus billion dollar revenue scale.
2:46:07
With all the operations
2:46:09
and distribution and marketing of
2:46:11
Nike. It is unfathomable.
2:46:14
So he did active work for many
2:46:16
years in order to build the brand equity,
2:46:19
but he does passive work now to
2:46:22
keep it alive. Of course, he has
2:46:24
sort of input on who they're signing to
2:46:26
the Jordan brand. He is sort of a vote in
2:46:29
that. But
2:46:30
in Michael staying out of trouble
2:46:32
and Michael staying the dream, he
2:46:36
builds a tremendous amount of brand
2:46:38
equity and Nike reaps 95% of that.
2:46:41
So like they're perfectly happy with this arrangement.
2:46:43
They're happy to cut him $300 million checks. I
2:46:46
would be too if I was earning the
2:46:48
other side of the $6.6 billion, but
2:46:51
Jordan totally has had to
2:46:54
shape his life in order to be
2:46:56
the dream Michael and continue
2:46:59
to be that.
2:47:00
He is so synonymous with the brand that he has
2:47:02
to be perfect to keep the brand doing what it's doing.
2:47:05
Yes. And that's the dark side for Michael.
2:47:08
One more really critical
2:47:10
thing I wanna say about all this and Jordan
2:47:12
and the building of the dream and the changing of culture,
2:47:15
before we move on to
2:47:16
all the rest of Nike history, which we will cover here.
2:47:19
You can't ignore to
2:47:21
again, the timing in this,
2:47:23
all of this coincided with
2:47:26
the rise of ESPN and
2:47:28
SportsCenter. And that was
2:47:30
so important. In
2:47:33
the early days, like when Steve Prefontaine was
2:47:35
on the cover of Sports Illustrated or some of the tennis players,
2:47:37
it was like there was a Nike line of, oh,
2:47:40
we could spend X million dollars in advertising,
2:47:42
but if we get our shoes on the cover of Sports Illustrated,
2:47:44
that's worth $20 million.
2:47:47
With ESPN and SportsCenter,
2:47:49
those athletes and Michael Jordan being
2:47:51
all over that 24 seven every night,
2:47:54
that was $20 million a night of
2:47:56
free advertising. That's a great point.
2:47:59
The Rise of the Jordan brand, in 1988,
2:48:02
they launched the Just Do
2:48:04
It campaign with the very first,
2:48:06
I think this is the first Wieden and Kennedy ad, right?
2:48:10
Second real big one. The first was the Revolution ad
2:48:12
with the Beatles that they did for the Air Max. Another
2:48:15
Ticker Hatfield and Mark Parker joint.
2:48:17
And so, they're kind of finding their footing
2:48:19
again. They're realizing that,
2:48:22
okay, we can diversify outside
2:48:25
of running. We can find a lot
2:48:27
of places to sell the dream. We can
2:48:29
make different products to monetize
2:48:32
the dream, to let people participate. Their
2:48:34
market cap hits a billion dollars at this point
2:48:36
in 1988. So investors are starting to wake
2:48:38
up to like, huh, they're building something really special
2:48:41
here. They opened their first Nike town
2:48:43
in Portland. The early 90s,
2:48:46
late 80s, early 90s are just all good for
2:48:48
Nike. I think by 91, their market
2:48:50
cap hit 5 billion. By 96, their
2:48:52
market cap hit 10 billion. And they're really
2:48:54
just executing the strategy that we talked about,
2:48:57
but at scale until
2:48:59
they get hit with everything we already
2:49:01
talked about on the labor challenges and
2:49:04
that controversy. Yep.
2:49:06
So
2:49:07
that's a tough few years. Interestingly,
2:49:09
like right around the dot-com crash is also
2:49:11
kind of tough for them. Their market cap
2:49:13
drops from 20 billion to 8 billion
2:49:16
dollars. They weren't in any way yet a tech
2:49:18
company, but tough times right around
2:49:20
the same time period.
2:49:22
And an interesting thing from that front,
2:49:24
losing Kobe to Adidas was
2:49:26
big. Yes, really big.
2:49:28
And people forget this. People forget that Kobe
2:49:30
was an Adidas athlete first. In
2:49:33
the same way that people forget that Kanye was a Nike
2:49:35
athlete or a Nike... Rapper.
2:49:38
Rapper first.
2:49:39
But yeah, those early 2000s were
2:49:42
not a great time for Nike. But then
2:49:44
interestingly,
2:49:45
Kobe was so unhappy at
2:49:47
Adidas and wanted
2:49:49
what Nike could give him that he bought Adidas
2:49:52
out of his deal to move over to Nike. Oh
2:49:54
yeah, I have the numbers. So Kobe was
2:49:56
with Adidas from 96 to 2002.
2:49:59
He hated the Kobe twos so
2:50:02
bad that it's rumored that he paid $8 million
2:50:05
to get out of his contract so he could move over to Nike.
2:50:07
Yeah. That was a huge win for Nike
2:50:10
and a big turnaround. Like 2002 is
2:50:12
really when it started to get good again for them. Yep.
2:50:15
I'm sure part of that was the shoes and yeah,
2:50:18
by all accounts, the Kobe twos sucked. I
2:50:20
do think there is, and this will get to analysis
2:50:22
in a little bit.
2:50:24
Nike can do something for athletes,
2:50:27
for the big superstars that the
2:50:29
other companies can't. Oh, and right around the same
2:50:31
time in 2003 is when LeBron
2:50:34
came into the NBA and Nike signed him out of high school.
2:50:37
Yep.
2:50:38
Okay, so 2002, they get Kobe, 2003, they
2:50:40
get LeBron, they've
2:50:43
cleaned up their image, they're cleaning up their factories, they're
2:50:45
cleaning up their supply chain. In 2003, they
2:50:47
acquire Converse for $309 million. They're
2:50:53
once faux and now Nike's
2:50:55
in the multi-billion dollar market cap and
2:50:57
Converse is a tiny fraction of that size.
2:51:00
2003, Michael Jordan retires and it's
2:51:03
fascinating. Just to get a quick data point,
2:51:05
the Jordan brand that year in 2003 is
2:51:09
doing $700 million a year. And
2:51:12
today it's doing 6.6 billion. And
2:51:15
that's been the Delta since he stopped playing
2:51:17
basketball.
2:51:18
I mean, the thing is both of those numbers are
2:51:21
bonkers. Right. $100 million
2:51:23
is bonkers.
2:51:24
And $6 billion
2:51:26
is bonkers.
2:51:27
Yeah, Jordan has completely
2:51:30
transcended a sponsorship deal and
2:51:33
turned into a brand. The
2:51:35
notion, the platonic ideal of
2:51:37
Jordan is a brand more than
2:51:39
a human.
2:51:40
So in 2006, another important thing happens.
2:51:43
And most people
2:51:45
didn't realize it at the time because
2:51:48
keep in mind 2006 over an Apple, Steve
2:51:52
Jobs is still the CEO. So
2:51:55
not a lot of people know this guy named Tim
2:51:57
Cook's name, but Tim joins
2:51:59
Nike's team.
2:51:59
board.
2:52:01
I believe in like late 2005
2:52:03
he joined the board. He immediately
2:52:06
starts helping Nike into understanding
2:52:08
how to use digital technology to transform
2:52:10
their business. And in 2006, they
2:52:13
launched the Nike plus iPod. Yes,
2:52:16
yes.
2:52:17
Which was not a terribly
2:52:20
successful product in the market.
2:52:22
But
2:52:22
man, did it help Nike understand
2:52:26
where the puck is going.
2:52:27
And this was the
2:52:29
first corporate use of plus
2:52:33
in a product name. Oh, was it really?
2:52:35
This is the moment that
2:52:37
has led to the
2:52:38
terribleness of the sea
2:52:41
of digital corporate products today. We
2:52:44
all have this to think. Plus this, plus
2:52:46
that, plus blah, blah, blah. I'm surprised there's not a
2:52:48
Jordan plus out there. No, there's not because Jordan
2:52:50
is too well managed to brand. I actually
2:52:52
did not know that's funny. That was the origin
2:52:55
of plus. It was interesting because it was
2:52:57
this little like thing that you would put in the install
2:52:59
of certain shoes and it would measure your
2:53:02
stride length and your, you know, all the metrics
2:53:04
about running it will report it to your iPod because
2:53:06
it had a little like 30
2:53:07
pin connector thing you could put into your iPod.
2:53:10
It was the most clunky, clucy thing ever. But
2:53:12
as that evolved into the fuel
2:53:14
band and then as the fuel band evolved
2:53:16
into apps on your iPhone, Nike
2:53:19
started really building a way
2:53:21
to have a relationship with
2:53:23
their customers directly and
2:53:25
not just through their products,
2:53:28
but with this sort of suite of services and 2006.
2:53:31
And then again, in like 2013, 14, they
2:53:34
had a sort of a new strategy start. There's
2:53:37
really these clear moments in time where
2:53:39
the company changed its DNA. And
2:53:41
I go all the way back to 2006 on the technology
2:53:43
one. It also completely changed their
2:53:46
acquisition strategy because up until
2:53:48
then they had been acquiring brands.
2:53:51
They bought Converse. They had bought starter.
2:53:53
Starter was going to kind of be their like Walmart brand.
2:53:56
Oh, that's right. Cole Han. Cole
2:53:58
Han. Yeah. And. I think
2:54:00
this sort of aha moment happened
2:54:02
where they realized, actually, what we want to
2:54:04
be doing is pouring everything
2:54:06
into the flywheel of the Nike brand. They
2:54:09
divested a bunch of stuff, but they started acquiring
2:54:11
capabilities from a bunch
2:54:13
of these other companies to help them make
2:54:15
this tech migration.
2:54:17
It's like a two-decade thing where
2:54:20
they have these two different strategies
2:54:22
that are happening at the same time. One is
2:54:24
the digitization. And to give you a stat
2:54:27
on how impressive that is, across
2:54:29
the four mobile apps that Nike operates today,
2:54:32
they have 500 million
2:54:34
users a quarter who are now using
2:54:37
Nike digital apps. From their e-commerce
2:54:39
app to their running app. Run club,
2:54:41
training club, sneakers. And
2:54:44
the Nike mobile store. Huge
2:54:46
user base. All sort of started at this
2:54:49
moment in time where they realized, A, we should be in technology,
2:54:52
and B, we should be making
2:54:54
acquisitions not of other brands, but of
2:54:57
technologies that we can integrate to help us
2:54:59
extend our brand and participate more in the
2:55:01
lives of our customers. The other thing, and
2:55:04
this is a little bit later, this is more of the 2013-14 era, they
2:55:08
pull the trigger on this big strategy
2:55:10
shift away from what Phil
2:55:12
Knight had sort of pioneered with the
2:55:14
retail relationships to go direct.
2:55:17
And Nike started to realize in
2:55:19
this new era, this internet era, this global
2:55:22
era where you have to be at scale to
2:55:24
execute certain strategies, they're going
2:55:26
to be the player at scale that
2:55:28
can execute a direct strategy. That can
2:55:30
operate Nike.com to sell shoes
2:55:32
directly to customers. That can operate retail
2:55:35
stores and all these different places to go directly
2:55:37
to customers. And they're not all
2:55:39
the way there. And I think there's a lot of, like
2:55:41
we'll talk in their sort of bare bull case about where
2:55:44
they are in that transition and how successful it will be.
2:55:47
But
2:55:47
there is this tipping point where
2:55:50
a brand becomes
2:55:52
the scale player. Like think about Disney
2:55:54
in media. They've become the scale player. They
2:55:56
can run a different playbook and go directly
2:55:59
to customers.
2:55:59
in a way where other places that make content
2:56:02
need to integrate with the existing distribution
2:56:05
channels,
2:56:06
Disney can make a 10, 15 year transition,
2:56:08
especially with the right technology to go direct. Nike's
2:56:11
basically betting that they're also
2:56:13
one of these hero brands that can run that playbook.
2:56:16
For context, today Nike is what, more
2:56:18
than twice the size of Adidas, who
2:56:21
is more than three times, I
2:56:23
think, the size of the number three player,
2:56:25
which is Skechers maybe? Yep, it's
2:56:28
super power law distributed.
2:56:29
The other aspect of that is personalization.
2:56:32
Nike, I actually think is
2:56:35
really at the forefront of apparel
2:56:37
personalization with what started as Nike
2:56:39
ID, and now is I think called Nike
2:56:42
by me, but anybody can
2:56:44
make their own Nike shoes in
2:56:46
their own colors with their own designs on them, to
2:56:49
be able to do that at scale
2:56:51
with their customer base and produce
2:56:54
the standard lines that requires
2:56:56
a level of scale economies that
2:56:58
nobody else can really match. Okay,
2:57:01
so that's like the 2014 era where
2:57:03
they really start to execute this digital
2:57:06
and direct migration.
2:57:08
Around this time, you have this very
2:57:10
old idea of sneaker heads starting
2:57:12
to take root in a big
2:57:15
way, this huge growth category,
2:57:17
where the secondary market for shoes,
2:57:20
in most situations you would think used shoes are
2:57:22
worthless. And I'm being tongue in
2:57:25
cheek here, as most secondary
2:57:27
market shoes are not used. Well, until
2:57:29
recently,
2:57:30
any mainstream person would have said of course
2:57:33
to that statement. Right,
2:57:35
but there became David
2:57:37
to your point about
2:57:39
Jordan and Nike creating
2:57:41
culture and participating in cultural movements
2:57:44
and changing the way that people
2:57:46
move around in the world and having a sneaker
2:57:48
as a thing that defines you, rather than
2:57:50
a sneaker as a thing you throw on for the tennis court, but you
2:57:52
will wear proper shoes anytime you go
2:57:54
somewhere else. They really have
2:57:57
figured out how to reach an audience
2:57:59
tap into their identity
2:58:02
in a way that the original Phil Knight
2:58:04
track shoe thing never could have dreamed. And
2:58:07
shoes have become this method for self-expression.
2:58:10
And the secondary market is huge. It's
2:58:12
like some estimate $2 billion, some
2:58:14
people estimate $6 billion category. Keep
2:58:18
in mind all of athletic shoes are what did
2:58:20
I say, 150-ish, somewhere around there. So
2:58:23
still a tiny fraction compared to
2:58:25
the athletic sneaker market
2:58:28
broadly.
2:58:29
Who would have thought that used special
2:58:31
edition shoes or secondary sales
2:58:34
of shoes could possibly be a single
2:58:36
digit billion dollar ecosystem?
2:58:39
Right. I mean, this is companies
2:58:41
like GOAT and Stockix. And we'll talk about
2:58:43
this more in analysis. But Nike
2:58:46
has made the, I think, very conscious decision
2:58:49
not to capture any of that value. Yeah,
2:58:52
I'm fascinated by that.
2:58:54
I think they figured out clever ways
2:58:56
to make a bunch of money on limited edition
2:58:59
sneakers without having to be the marketplace
2:59:02
for all the secondary sales.
2:59:04
The other way that Nike potentially could capture
2:59:06
this value would be to massively
2:59:08
increase their prices. And this is really interesting.
2:59:11
I think this is where Nike is
2:59:13
different from the luxury
2:59:15
brands that we've covered, the LVMHs,
2:59:18
the Porsches. NYCHA makes
2:59:21
tens of thousands of dollars of incremental
2:59:23
gross margin with their library
2:59:25
wine colors that you can buy. Nike
2:59:29
sells these incredibly
2:59:31
limited edition retro and otherwise
2:59:33
sneakers,
2:59:35
but they sell them for 150
2:59:38
bucks, 200 bucks, maybe 300
2:59:41
bucks, like not a lot of money. The instant
2:59:43
that they get purchased, you can turn around and sell
2:59:46
them on the secondary market for $5,000, some of these shoes, $10,000,
2:59:48
maybe more. That
2:59:51
is a very intentional decision by Nike
2:59:53
not to capture that value. And I think
2:59:55
the reason they do it is to make all of this
2:59:58
work, to make the dream work.
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