Podchaser Logo
Home
All Ball - Early Duke and Purdue Takes + Pt. 1: SANIL CEO Jason Belzer with NIL 2.0 Predictions

All Ball - Early Duke and Purdue Takes + Pt. 1: SANIL CEO Jason Belzer with NIL 2.0 Predictions

Released Wednesday, 6th December 2023
Good episode? Give it some love!
All Ball - Early Duke and Purdue Takes + Pt. 1: SANIL CEO Jason Belzer with NIL 2.0 Predictions

All Ball - Early Duke and Purdue Takes + Pt. 1: SANIL CEO Jason Belzer with NIL 2.0 Predictions

All Ball - Early Duke and Purdue Takes + Pt. 1: SANIL CEO Jason Belzer with NIL 2.0 Predictions

All Ball - Early Duke and Purdue Takes + Pt. 1: SANIL CEO Jason Belzer with NIL 2.0 Predictions

Wednesday, 6th December 2023
Good episode? Give it some love!
Rate Episode

Episode Transcript

Transcripts are displayed as originally observed. Some content, including advertisements may have changed.

Use Ctrl + F to search

0:06

Hey, what up. Welcome in.

0:07

I'm dog Gottlieb. This is all ball.

0:11

Look, I can dispense with the pleasant trees. Let's

0:13

just get to some of the stuff we've seen in college basketball.

0:16

A couple of things is in

0:18

this past week we've seen Arkansas takedown

0:21

Duke and Kansas beat

0:23

Yukon. The Kansas Yukon gap

0:25

was a great basketball game if

0:28

possible, and I know Yukon

0:31

fans will forever say, you know, we got screwed

0:33

in the officiating, and that happens when you're

0:35

in the fog. I don't think it was I

0:37

don't think the officiating was terrible. Hunter

0:41

Dickinson is a hard guy to officiate. He's

0:44

incredibly physical and he does

0:46

complain a lot, but he is

0:48

a very talented player. And big

0:51

guys in many ways are at a disadvantage in

0:54

terms of how the game is officiated these days,

0:57

especially guys a scoring a low post, because you can be so

0:59

physical the low post, and yet you can't be physical

1:01

out on the court or or

1:04

sometimes in screening situations. So

1:08

the first thing is that those are

1:10

two places, and I know there's others. I watched the

1:12

Xavier Houston game Xavier's always

1:15

an incredible place that

1:19

I know.

1:20

It's like chicken or the egg. But I'll give you

1:22

an example i've

1:25

done. I'm doing consulting work with Oklahoma

1:27

State this year.

1:28

And granted Oklahoma State has

1:30

not had the recent success of Arkansas,

1:32

definitely not had the success of Kansas,

1:35

but a one proud fan base.

1:37

You know, you end up having six seven

1:39

thousand people for creating a ranked team to

1:41

come in and play, and the difference

1:43

is or maybe you go

1:45

to any of these games. It's really weird

1:48

how fans are in most

1:50

places, not all places, the basketball places

1:53

it's not this way, but in most places it's

1:55

show me.

1:57

Now.

1:57

Look, I grant you that our

2:00

Arkansas getting Duke on their home floors

2:02

is pretty special night.

2:03

But like Arkansas, I have been struggling.

2:05

You know, they were

2:08

like a five hundred team, and

2:10

so to have your biggest

2:12

crowd ever in Fayetteville,

2:15

granted it's for Duke. In many

2:17

ways, that's the difference in winning and losing

2:19

games. And it's like, well, if

2:21

you'd win more, we'd show up more. But if

2:23

you show up more, we'd win more.

2:27

And I think there's a

2:29

lot of there's there's just truth

2:31

to that that are undeniable.

2:34

But let's let's dig in on a little bit of the meat.

2:36

What's wrong with Duke is Duke turn around and lost to

2:38

Georgia Tech two straight roadmans. First, there's

2:40

home and road in college basketball, and I

2:43

love the John shire is unlike his

2:46

predecessor Mike Rychevsky, But some of it

2:48

is a you know, it's at a conference scheduling, right,

2:50

that's the acc SEC

2:54

showdown, So they had to go on the road.

2:56

But you know how often like it's

2:58

a celebration for all that

3:00

Duke has accomplished when they go on the road and

3:02

they're the biggest game that team has

3:05

been in. Arkansas is a proud program, the

3:08

biggest program you could ever

3:10

see.

3:11

I mean, there's a couple of things. I think.

3:14

One probably still

3:16

playing too many guys and a lot of coaches

3:18

I speak with are

3:20

in that same boat where

3:24

you know, part of this, I'm sure is the portal

3:26

I'm not gonna lesten I'm being denial of how

3:28

things work in that you

3:31

just can't lose everybody every year, and

3:34

you make some promises and

3:37

I'm sure there's some nil

3:39

directed at a bunch of different players, and you're like,

3:41

look, we allocated resources

3:43

to this player. We have to at least see what he

3:45

can do. And so it causes

3:48

you. This is a lot like in AAU basketball

3:51

where you got payers and you got

3:53

players, you know, and you're like, well,

3:55

this kid came to practice that week and this kid's dad,

3:57

you know, face to the team ban and

3:59

this.

3:59

You know. Now it's

4:02

obviously different, but you know.

4:03

I when you're around these programs

4:06

enough, there is at least a

4:08

very small portion a portion of

4:11

hey, who do we take a look at and

4:14

in what situations?

4:15

At least a portion of it is some

4:18

of the nil stuff, the transfer portal stuff.

4:20

We don't want to lose everybody every year, and we

4:22

definitely don't want to lose half

4:24

of our team checking out because we're

4:26

only playing seven guys or six.

4:27

Guys to start the season. That

4:31

said, there's other reasons.

4:33

One is you don't really know what you have, and

4:35

whatever you think you have, you don't know what you have

4:37

until you play them in front of eighteen thousand people, because

4:40

people react differently in front

4:42

of eighteen thousand people than they

4:44

do and it's an empty practice gym

4:46

and you're going up against the team, you know, and

4:49

the ball screen coverage that you're very well

4:51

aware of.

4:51

How to manipulate.

4:54

But I think that part of the do thing

4:56

is you play too many guys. The

5:00

dude thing is you have some really young

5:02

players. I mean even

5:05

even you know Proctor has come back

5:07

for year two, like Philipowski's

5:10

a stud. Then those guys playing

5:12

a lot last year, but you

5:14

know Procter wasn't like he was playing thirty five minutes

5:16

and he's still only a sophomore and this is a much

5:18

bigger role. But I think

5:21

it's all the whirling pieces around that you're

5:23

trying to figure out. And

5:26

I thought Eric Musselman did a great job of

5:29

not guarding the non shooters

5:31

for Duke. And look,

5:35

on some level, you have to you have

5:37

to change how you play when teams play

5:39

kind of a one man zone with the shop

5:42

blocker. I mean that's having seen that

5:44

Creighton game up close against Oklahoma State

5:46

and I watched all the film leading up to it,

5:49

that's how they play right where they press

5:51

up on three

5:54

or four perimeter players force every

5:56

everything into the lane. And he got Ryan Kalkbrenner,

5:59

who's seven point one and does a great job of not

6:01

fowling in the lane, kind of

6:03

daring you to take and make mid range

6:05

jump shots or those little floater shots

6:08

in two on ones, and it's

6:10

those are the shots you don't necessarily

6:13

want to take when you're a coach. That's not

6:15

what we're that's not what you're shooting

6:17

for. So the first thing for Duke

6:19

is I think they're playing too many guys, and I think that will

6:22

work itself out. I do think that

6:25

that if you watched John Shire last year, he seemed

6:27

to figure out what he had by about this

6:29

time or into January, and

6:32

it is inorganic to have conference

6:34

play. You know, I used to really

6:36

hate I don't like conference play this time

6:38

of year, but

6:41

you almost wish that everybody had like a four.

6:43

Game conference stretch.

6:45

I'll give you a scheduling thought in

6:47

a moment, but anyway,

6:50

I working back to Duke playing

6:52

too many guys.

6:54

That's really kind of what it comes down to.

6:56

And you're at this point of the year where

6:59

once you kind of get to January, you're hoping

7:01

you're freshmen, the good ones.

7:04

They've evolved some, but you know

7:06

that the juniors and seniors

7:09

can kind of carry you.

7:10

But you have your juniors and seniors for

7:12

the most part, because they're not

7:14

as talented as guys that have

7:16

left. That makes any sense, I

7:20

mean, you look around the country and you'll notice

7:22

that some of the starting lineups are evolving where the younger

7:24

players are starting to take Oh why is that? Because

7:27

when they got there, they weren't ready and they're still

7:29

probably not ready now, but

7:32

they have a higher ceiling, or the thought is they have a

7:34

higher ceiling than the older players.

7:36

Now, some teams just have older players. They're going

7:39

to ride or die with them. I think that's what you have

7:41

from Creighton, for example. But

7:44

the Duke thing, a lot of it is playing to any pieces.

7:46

A lot of it is trying to figure out how it's really hard

7:48

to win with young guys and

7:51

people have you know, because we see Duke a

7:53

lot. They got them scouted and

7:57

you know, forever this has been an issue with Duke.

8:00

Duke and I don't

8:01

they don't play as much that way

8:04

defensively, but you know, there was probably

8:06

a ten year span there where Duke all

8:08

they did defensively was get up

8:11

the line and try and pressure you, and

8:13

it didn't matter who they were

8:15

playing against. That's

8:17

how they played right. That's

8:20

how they played up the line, pressuring

8:22

everything. Matter of fact, the twenty ten team that

8:25

won the national championship, that was the one team

8:27

you know, I'm always going

8:29

to be the guy. They called them alarmingly unathletic,

8:32

and the crazy part was that they

8:34

were alarmingly on athletic at that time.

8:37

Here's the contextup. But they played Arizona State,

8:39

who I think had James Harden in Madison Square

8:42

Garden and they got just carved

8:44

up by Arizona State. And they got

8:46

carved up because they were trying to pressure everywhere

8:48

defensively, and they

8:52

had Nolan Smith and John Shire then

8:55

Kyle Singler as well, so

8:57

you didn't It's not like.

8:58

You had the freakiest athletes

9:02

on Earth.

9:03

And when they changed their lineup and

9:05

put Brian Zubek in, they

9:07

played much more back

9:10

off the line, you know, help

9:12

oriented defense where they.

9:14

Just muled you on the glass and

9:16

with their size in a lane. Like

9:19

again, no one's ever gone like, yeah, you

9:21

know.

9:22

I mean the Duke guys have told me like, of course you were right,

9:25

but they didn't realize the

9:27

adjustment.

9:27

The coach k adjustment in style mid.

9:30

Season changed forever the trajectory

9:32

of that team, and Zubec became

9:34

a dominant big guy for them based upon

9:36

how they were playing. They couldn't play up the line with the guys they

9:38

were playing with. One of the reasons

9:41

that the Greg Paulis struggled

9:43

in his career. Greg paulso really good player,

9:46

really good player, but what he was was

9:49

a point guard who could really pressure, who

9:51

could pressure that way defensively. That's just not

9:54

who he was or will ever

9:56

be. The point is

9:58

that Duke always played one way. And one of

10:00

the things that coaches run into this time of the year

10:02

is because you haven't

10:05

self scouted in practice, right,

10:07

even when you play in scrimmages, secret

10:09

scrimmages, nobody doesn't guard guys,

10:12

And now you get into games and people get you completely

10:14

scouted.

10:15

Some people won't. We're not gonna guard.

10:16

We're not gonna go past, you know, the free throw line

10:18

to make him shoot where some guys

10:20

you know, we're going to change how he played ball, string coverings,

10:23

whatever. Well, that causes

10:26

everything you run you kind

10:28

of have to tweak and adjust to and it's

10:30

not easy. So I'd

10:32

say that's the other thing is now Dukes being scouted

10:34

and as

10:37

probably the most watched college basketball team or

10:39

one of the two or three buzz watch college boss people.

10:41

That's the adjustment they're going to have to make.

10:43

And then trying to integrate, you know, Caleb

10:45

Foster into that lineup, who obviously,

10:47

you know, we always have a guy who in the Champions

10:50

Classic as freshman, who makes a bunch of shots

10:52

and we get an unreal sense of who they are. I

10:55

love Caleb Foster. I saw him last year. He was you

10:59

know, those two Jeremy and Caleb Foster

11:01

were two dynamic guards in California.

11:04

And you know it's interesting, you know, Brownie James

11:06

is so high up on these draft

11:09

wars.

11:09

This makes no sense.

11:10

Those dud just dominated him, Caleb

11:14

specifically when he played against They played against four

11:16

times last year in high school. But both

11:18

of them are just freshmen and

11:21

you know, their reputation and their upside demand

11:23

minutes. But as freshmen you're going to be

11:25

super inconsistent, and

11:27

that's what they're running into. And now they're scouted

11:30

as well. So

11:32

Purdue loses again to

11:34

Northwestern, and look,

11:36

you can lose in conference play on the road. Welsh

11:39

Ryan is what

11:41

a cool place. I mean, just like

11:43

historically, I hope people understand,

11:45

and I know it's been open for a while now,

11:49

but I hope people understand that was the worst

11:52

gym. It was a gym, worst

11:54

gym in the Big Ten by a mile.

11:57

All the other teams in the Big Ten, I'm

12:00

trying to think of that, they've all made kind of the same.

12:03

You know, Breslian is really good, but

12:06

you know, you look at what Penn State did where

12:10

they reck Hall was like perfect

12:13

college basketball venue. Now

12:15

they play in the Price Jordan Center.

12:17

They've done it for twenty years. It's

12:20

just cavernous. It doesn't make any

12:22

sense. You know, Wisconsin's

12:25

place, the Coal Center is big,

12:27

and they don't lose there often, but there's no

12:29

real atmosphere there.

12:31

Ohio State's shotten Steen Center

12:33

or.

12:33

Whatever, Like it's just a big it's

12:35

like a bad NBA arena. Where

12:38

what Northwestern did was they gutted

12:40

the inside and kept

12:42

it at seven thousand seats and

12:44

they just made it an incredible venue.

12:47

And I can't.

12:48

Implore college

12:51

administrators enough and like, look, a

12:53

lot of schools don't have this opportunity.

12:55

But oklahom State's per for example, right like that

12:58

place is awesome.

12:59

It's thirteen. It's too damn big. You

13:02

know.

13:02

It's not just that Oklahoma

13:05

State hasn't been as good. It's also

13:07

that there's the thunder who wasn't there. But just

13:10

like seven thousand seats its great,

13:13

A Pactorina is great.

13:15

You know.

13:16

And I

13:19

think Northwestern is the best remodel.

13:22

They're an SMU. Those are the two best

13:24

remodels. Where they took a

13:27

small gym and instead

13:29

of falling in love with hey, we

13:31

can put a couple of more thousand seats or

13:33

build some new kind of NBA

13:36

style place where we can get concerts in

13:38

and whatever, and

13:40

they do it. They do those things obviously, sometimes

13:42

either to get into a tournament bid or to get

13:45

to make more money off

13:47

concerts forever. The

13:52

ones that just keep it the stops New Mexico

13:55

even they went down I think four thousand

13:57

seats back when they redid the pit.

13:59

But wels Ryan is awesome. But

14:02

the warning sign it has for

14:04

Purdue is kind.

14:05

Of we think that the only way

14:07

to beat them is with small

14:11

What was with really athletic guards getting

14:13

after Braden Smith and

14:15

with

14:18

with five men who can shoot, who

14:20

can shoot threes and drag Zach Edy out because

14:22

that's what they've lost. You know, the last two years

14:24

in the tournament is to low majors,

14:27

but Northwestern's ability

14:29

to beat Purdue granted at home two consecutive

14:32

years. How the Cats

14:34

play, You could be happier

14:37

Chris Collins. Everyone I know,

14:39

everyone I know in Evanston

14:42

last year was like, and

14:45

we're gonna have to fire Chris Collins and he's an awesome

14:48

dude, Like, well, so why

14:50

do you have to fire him?

14:51

Like, well, I just program's kind of stuck

14:53

in not really

14:55

doing anything.

14:56

And then of course they go to the NCAA tournament and remember

14:58

before he got there, they've never been to an NCAH. But

15:01

I just I'm not sure I really understood

15:03

that whole thing. But they play beautiful

15:05

basketball in terms of the consistency

15:08

of their movement within all the actions

15:10

that they run.

15:11

And look, they they really

15:14

attacked Zach Edy.

15:15

And Zach Edy, you know, he fouled out like pretty

15:18

much every big guy that Northwestern

15:20

had, and yet they just kept

15:22

coming at him and changing

15:24

their coverages and trying to limit

15:27

his pain touches. And they're really quick

15:29

and you know, forcing him off the block, and

15:32

you know, when he's not two to four feet away,

15:35

it's a different game, and.

15:36

He does struggle to move out of his zone.

15:40

That was an amazing play they ran for

15:42

him, them to win the game or

15:45

just send the ball game to overtime.

15:46

And they just threw it up to him.

15:47

And he's just bigger than everybody

15:49

catches and lays it in with like zero point six seconds

15:52

ago.

15:53

But I again, the point is not.

15:55

That that Northwestern

15:58

can win a home game again it's the number

16:00

one ranked team in the country, or that they have produced

16:02

number it's more how do they do it?

16:05

And they did it a different way.

16:06

Yes, they some of their fives can

16:09

step out and shoot, and they're

16:11

you know those big ten teams, they're all loaded

16:13

up with you know, two or three

16:16

six foot ten dudes, so he can throw multiple

16:18

bodies at him. But I thought it was

16:20

the movement, the actions, you

16:23

know, not just getting caught up. So many teams

16:25

they say, hey, we want to attack Zach Edy

16:27

on a ball screen, so they put them on a ball screen, you

16:30

know, right the start of every possession.

16:32

Whereas what Northwestern does is, you

16:34

know, they really moved around, coming some slight of

16:36

hand stuff and then they get Boo booie kind

16:38

of in that two on one where

16:41

he's you know, coming downhill and

16:43

he's got a great floater game, really

16:45

good in those middies, and you

16:47

know, just a volume of attacks on a big guy,

16:50

and I think some of that wears him out on the offensive

16:52

end as well. And then you know, like,

16:54

look, Braden Smith is good, but

16:56

there are times in which he still looks like a sophomore.

16:59

They don't don't really have They

17:01

don't have a wing who

17:03

can go get you a bucket.

17:04

They're not built that way.

17:08

And you know they're a good

17:10

team that that Purdue

17:13

continues to be a good team that doesn't have an NBA

17:15

player.

17:16

Can will Zach you be playing the NBA? Probably?

17:20

Yeah, I mean he'll make it. He'll make a ton overseas.

17:24

Will you play in the NBA? Probably,

17:26

But you're like, what does that matter? Well, when you

17:29

have a guy who can just all things

17:31

are going bad and break you down, and maybe not even.

17:33

An NBA player, like like Boo Boo.

17:35

He's not an NBA player, but he's

17:37

one of those stud college players who can

17:39

just end the game. Hey, I'm just gonna get you a bucket,

17:42

and they don't don't.

17:43

Really built that way, really

17:45

built that way.

17:47

So I still like Purdue and

17:49

I think they can win a national championship because

17:51

I don't think this is a year in which the top teams

17:54

have a lot of those guys, or especially

17:56

have an older guy like that. But

17:58

you can see that some of the same old

18:01

Purdue issues peak their head out

18:03

at inopportune moments. So

18:06

my guest today is Jason Belzer.

18:08

Jason, I'll tell you about his company, all the things that

18:10

he does, but it's a perfect time to have men

18:12

since he truly is an

18:15

expert in the nil space

18:18

as well as the college coaching kind

18:20

of space.

18:21

He's a former student athlete.

18:22

And he's the

18:25

founder of Ady University.

18:27

He's a professor of strategy

18:30

as well and sports law at

18:32

Rutgers University, and he's also the director of

18:35

the Jewish Coaches Association.

18:38

Let's welcome in. He's Jason Belzer.

18:40

Fox Sports Radio has the best sports

18:42

talk lineup in the nation. Catch all

18:44

of our shows at foxsports Radio dot

18:46

com and within the iHeartRadio

18:49

app. Search FSR to listen

18:51

live.

18:55

Jason, your let's start

18:57

with your background in hoops for

18:59

the last ten years you've done.

19:01

What So?

19:04

I have been a attorney

19:06

in college sports for almost

19:08

seventeen years now, and I

19:11

represent a whole bunch of college basketball

19:13

coaches, both on the men's

19:15

and women's side. Helped start the College

19:18

Insider Tournament and then build

19:20

a media company called Athletic

19:22

Director d one Ticker, which

19:26

helped me build relationships with

19:28

administrators and coaches and all

19:31

the important people in college athletics.

19:34

You went to law school ware Rutgers

19:36

played football. Ruers went to law school or Rutgers.

19:39

What was Rutgers football like? When you played there?

19:43

We were the worst team in the country.

19:45

We were literally at

19:47

the time, I believe there was one hundred and twenty FBS

19:49

schools and we were one twenty.

19:52

My recruiting tip to Rutgers.

19:53

When I was in high school, we lost to West Virginia

19:56

eighty to seven, Which

19:58

is did you go there? Because

20:01

it was really the only chance I had to play

20:04

Division I football. Plus it

20:06

was a school that was forty minutes down the road from

20:08

where I grew up, So

20:11

or at least FBS football now,

20:13

we got really good, really fast, And

20:16

I wasn't really contributing much to that.

20:19

But it was, you know,

20:22

it was a great opportunity to engage and

20:24

be part of a you know, a big time

20:26

football program, even

20:29

though we weren't very good at least initially.

20:32

So you're going to law school, was

20:34

it always your intention to go into some

20:37

sort of sports law, some from a sports focus.

20:40

Yeah.

20:40

I mean I knew when I was an undergrad that I wanted

20:42

to be an agent, and I actually wanted

20:44

to be an agent representing student athletes,

20:47

but you couldn't.

20:48

Do that back then.

20:48

So I said, I'm going to do the next best thing, and

20:51

I'm going to be an agent that represents college

20:53

coaches. And I literally

20:55

just started code calling and emailing

20:57

people.

20:58

You know.

20:58

I was reaching out to Rick

21:00

Patino and you

21:03

know, lud Olson and anybody

21:05

else that was coaching at the time, trying to get them

21:07

to let me represent them.

21:08

I was a twenty one year old kid, and

21:11

eventually I caught on.

21:13

I got some people to join, and you

21:16

know, that's where I got involved very

21:18

early on.

21:19

In the Jewish Coaches Association.

21:22

And started working with some young

21:24

Jewish coaches like Josh Passner, who

21:27

literally just became head coach at

21:30

Memphis at the time, and

21:32

you know, the rest is history on that end. But

21:36

even throughout that time, I've always

21:38

been a tremendous advocate for

21:41

student athletes and NIL rights.

21:44

I was I am like a walking

21:46

oxymoron. I'm the guy that is

21:48

helping coaches make millions of dollars and

21:50

then at the same time realizing that some of this

21:53

money should be shared with the student athletes,

21:55

which is why as NIL started

21:58

to become more of a reality, I

22:00

knew that I was maybe the best positioned

22:02

person on the entire planet to

22:04

help the industry through what was going to

22:06

be a very tumultuous time

22:09

that we are in. And everything that I predicted

22:12

has happened, and everything that I

22:14

believe will happen is

22:16

unfolding here, and we are

22:18

seeing this before our eyes. We're

22:21

going to be at revenue share in some capacity within

22:23

the next twelve to eighteen months,

22:26

no question.

22:26

Do you think what

22:29

about the schools where there isn't

22:31

the revenue.

22:33

I don't think it matters.

22:34

I think you're going to have a subset about

22:37

forty schools that are

22:39

going to make a decision that that is the route

22:41

that they're going to want to go. That decision

22:43

will be predicated on a

22:45

few factors. Number One, Either

22:48

they will make the decision themselves, the

22:50

decision will be made for them through the court

22:53

system through one of these employment or

22:55

NLRB cases, or

22:57

the decision will be partially predicated

22:59

on what Congress passes.

23:01

I have no.

23:07

I am not going to rely on Congress to

23:09

do anything. They can't even

23:12

get a budget pass, much less save college

23:15

athletics. And so there's

23:18

no question that these conversations

23:20

already happening. I can tell you

23:22

that they're happening because I'm involved in some of them.

23:24

About what does this new model look like? We

23:27

as an organization, my company

23:29

Student Athlete NIL now works with more

23:31

than forty different institutions. We

23:34

are the largest mover of money

23:36

in NIL as it relates

23:38

to rosters than anybody else. We have over

23:41

a thousand student athletes under contract.

23:44

And so this the groundwork

23:46

is there, and we are moving

23:50

violently towards a new

23:52

era in whatever

23:54

looks like the semi professionalization of

23:56

college sports, even though it's pretty much been

23:58

semi pro two.

24:00

Or three years. We'll just have some structure

24:02

around it.

24:04

Okay, So in your mind, what

24:07

does it look like in.

24:09

The ultimate and easiest structure

24:13

it would be to have these institutions

24:16

that choose to want to participate in this

24:19

to agree upon a

24:21

revenue share. We would start with football,

24:24

potentially basketball, but football is a much

24:26

bigger piece where there is some

24:28

sort of guaranteed minimum compensation

24:31

for every athlete on the roster. I

24:33

suspect that, based on what we

24:35

are seeing in the SEC Conference that

24:38

that number will be an estimated

24:40

eight to ten million dollars for

24:42

football, meaning that you're looking at

24:45

about one hundred thousand dollars for each

24:47

student athlete. That

24:50

football and maybe basketball

24:52

is split off into a professional

24:55

organization that is licensed

24:57

underneath the existing athletic departm,

25:00

so it could be Michigan Football

25:03

LLC or whatever you want to call it. When

25:06

that happens, the student athletes

25:08

are likely to be deemed employees unless

25:10

there's some sort of safe harbor position that

25:13

is provided by you know, maybe Senator

25:15

Cruz or whoever else if the legislation gets

25:17

through. But by splitting

25:20

it off, what it does is that

25:22

it creates a scenario where Title nine

25:24

no longer applies because

25:26

if my athletes are employees, it

25:29

doesn't matter. And what ends up happening then,

25:31

is that I can choose to keep

25:33

my women's teams. I can likely choose

25:36

to gut them to save money if I need

25:38

to, which will happen to some capacity. But

25:41

I don't have to play this nonsense Title nine

25:43

game. If these athletes are actually

25:46

generating revenue, and

25:48

then the big question becomes, what happens

25:50

to all of the other sports, what happens to women's

25:52

sports, what happens to Olympic sports. The

25:55

reason why SEC

25:57

schools and we work with the number of them,

25:59

and we're paying a number of their payrolls

26:03

are trying to drive eight, nine, ten

26:05

million dollars a year into their collectives

26:07

is because they know this is happening. It's

26:10

going to be here in the next twelve to twenty

26:12

four months, and so they are literally

26:15

trying to wean themselves off

26:17

of that money today. They are

26:19

saying, if we're going to have to operate

26:21

in a revenue share world

26:24

in two years or one year, why

26:27

are we not trying to figure out how to operate

26:29

with ten million dollars less in our budgets

26:31

today? And let's just allocate those

26:33

dollars to the student athletes

26:36

right now. The problem

26:38

is that there are schools within the

26:40

SEC less so than

26:43

SEC, and more so in the Big Ten that

26:45

don't have that type of money. And

26:48

so while the revenues are similar

26:51

for both conferences, I

26:53

can tell you that Ruckers and Purdue

26:55

and Northwestern and Maryland,

26:58

they don't have the same capacity as Ohio

27:01

State and Michigan. Everybody knows that they're not paying

27:03

the same numbers for nil and

27:05

that's not too different from what's happening in the SEC.

27:07

I mean Mississippi State, you

27:09

know, South Carolina. Are they as competitive

27:12

with LSU and Alabama?

27:13

They're not.

27:15

So Okay.

27:17

The picture you're paying, though, means,

27:20

as you said, and this is a very realistic

27:22

picture, is whenever

27:25

you pump something up like football,

27:27

something's going to fall short, like women's sports.

27:31

How does that work? I mean, I understand you're talking

27:33

about legally splitting them off, but the reality

27:36

is that so much of this has been created

27:38

so that there's equal opportunity, and I

27:41

just wonder how that plays out in

27:44

Congress and in the courts.

27:46

So how I will give you the

27:48

solution, but I have some questions

27:51

for you. First, Doug, Yeah, how can

27:53

Congress force any

27:56

entity to do something? Where's the

27:58

money going to come from. It's going to be

28:00

too late by that point.

28:01

Right.

28:02

Well, here, here's where where does the money

28:04

come from? Is this?

28:06

As you know and I know, states

28:09

give far less to their

28:12

land grant universities for sports, if anything,

28:14

then they ever have previously. But

28:16

that doesn't stop them from giving money

28:19

and giving benefits as well

28:21

to other areas of the school. So

28:24

that's the that's the threat. Right, If you

28:26

don't do it our way, then

28:28

you get no funding.

28:30

So the University of Arizona that is

28:32

facing a massive budget crisis

28:35

is now a sudden going to have to come up with

28:37

the next their five million dollars ten million

28:39

dollars to continue to fund their

28:41

women's programs because Congres said,

28:44

so that's going to be a disaster.

28:46

I will tell you what will happen. You may

28:48

very well be right, Doug, Like, let's play

28:51

that out one hundred percent certainty it happens, what

28:54

will then happen and

28:56

this is the likely outcome for all of this is

28:58

that you will have a private equity firm come in,

29:01

and a private equity firm will come and say

29:03

I will give you I

29:06

will Arizona, whoever, I will

29:08

give you one hundred million. I will give you two hundred

29:10

million dollars, five hundred

29:12

million dollars.

29:13

What is Ohio State football worth? What is

29:15

Texas football worth? Billions?

29:18

Right? I will give you X

29:20

number of dollars as an annuity.

29:25

For whatever percentage twenty

29:27

five thirty percent of your future

29:29

revenue. You take that two

29:32

three hundred million dollars and

29:34

then that money and its interest, you

29:36

know you will make you ten percent on that will

29:39

pay for your women's programs moving forward,

29:42

and we're good. Right, So the

29:44

school will be forced to sell off and

29:47

Doug take the University of Arizona as

29:49

an example, because it's low hanging fruit here. You

29:52

don't think that the president and the

29:54

board of trustees of that university,

29:57

facing an existential crisis wouldn't

29:59

take five hundred million

30:02

dollars right now to sell off fifty

30:04

percent of their athletics program

30:07

to save the university.

30:09

Of course they would.

30:10

I mean, what is the endowment of Arizona

30:12

a billion, billion and a half. You're

30:14

gonna get fifty percent of your endowment

30:17

for a portion of your athletics team.

30:20

They're gonna sell it tomorrow. Rutgers

30:23

operates at a twenty five million dollar loss

30:26

every year.

30:27

If they can go raise five hundred million dollars,

30:30

then the university's endowment is a billion dollars.

30:32

They will sell that tomorrow and it solves

30:34

all their problems. And as

30:37

an alum, you know, if Oklahoma

30:39

State puts out a shingle and says, hey, we're gonna go

30:41

do this, You're gonna go put your money in

30:44

Doug.

30:44

Right, so am I? Everybody will? Everyone

30:46

wants to be an owner.

30:47

You know what the ironic thing is, that's

30:49

essentially what we're doing with the collectives anyway. Right,

30:52

you're just not actually getting an ownership stake unless

30:55

you invest into my company.

30:56

But that's getting You're getting an

30:58

ownership stake of a player, but

31:01

you're not getting any return on it.

31:03

Right, That's the only turn.

31:04

On what you're seeing.

31:05

Sure, what about what

31:07

happens with the donation game? Does

31:09

that totally go away?

31:11

Well, it's all going to go in house regardless.

31:13

I mean it's already moved in house

31:15

in some capacities.

31:17

We have many mechanisms that.

31:18

We work with universities to be able

31:20

to manage cash flow. I

31:23

mean we are in the transfer portal, we're

31:25

in day two and

31:27

by our estimations this there

31:30

will be about four hundred million

31:32

dollars that will change

31:34

hands over the next forty

31:38

five to sixty days.

31:39

In terms of contracts.

31:41

We will control the largest proportion of

31:43

that because of the number of universities that we represent.

31:47

But this will also be the biggest

31:49

nil exchange ever

31:52

because the reality is that we probably go to rev

31:54

share and a lot of that will be absorbed

31:56

in house, right, and then donors just

31:58

you know, Doug, You'll keep going Oklahoma State, and then

32:00

Oklahoma State will sign its revshare contract

32:03

with the football and basketball teams, and

32:05

the donor money will just flow into this university

32:07

and be one bucket of the revenue share. There

32:11

is so much more opportunity for real nil

32:13

though that schools are taking are not taking

32:15

advantage of the majority of them are not because

32:18

they have poor infrastructure set at the place to

32:20

drive this type of revenue.

32:22

When you say real nil, what do you mean?

32:24

I mean real endorsement marketing

32:27

potential? I mean, you know, I'll

32:29

give an example, Doug. I know you may not want to hear

32:31

it, but we work with the University of Oklahoma, and

32:33

I would say that Crimson and Cream is

32:35

kicking the butt of whatever Oklahoma

32:38

State has going on, because we are

32:40

writing, we are running a high,

32:43

you know, functioning, professionalized operation

32:46

where we are generating.

32:47

We have generated in excess of.

32:50

Two and a half million dollars

32:52

in real nil, non

32:55

donor money for ou student

32:57

athletes over the last thirteen

33:00

months that we've been operating at Oklahoma.

33:03

What has Oklahoma State been able

33:05

to generate for their athletes in that same

33:07

time, not touching donor money,

33:10

not a whole lot, right, real nil

33:12

right endorsements, trading cards,

33:17

marketing appearances, television commercials,

33:19

membership programs, all

33:22

of those different things. There is

33:24

more money in nil than

33:26

there is in multimedia rights because

33:29

you're not beholden to just one

33:32

partner. You don't have to just be an exclusive

33:34

partner of Hal Smith. You

33:36

can go work with McDonald's and everybody

33:39

else. That's just part of it, right,

33:41

and so there's real nil value. That's

33:43

what our focus is is an organization. Sure,

33:45

we're running money from donors, but

33:47

at the end of the day, we want to build a

33:50

billion dollar industry that

33:52

is based on real nil transactions

33:54

and the power of the student athlete is an influencer.

33:57

Who's the what school or are

34:00

the most advanced in the real ail.

34:03

There are a handful. Again, I would say

34:05

Oklahoma LSU

34:08

has done a fantastic job. Not on the

34:10

collective side, They've done an awful

34:12

job on their collective. They've done a great

34:15

job in helping provide marketing opportunities

34:17

for their student athletes. USC

34:20

has done an okay job, again not on the collective

34:22

side.

34:22

On real nil.

34:24

Tennessee has done a pretty good job because

34:26

of Spire. The

34:28

difference is that we are a sports marketing

34:30

company, right. We employ full time salespeople,

34:33

we employ full time business developers.

34:36

The vast majority of schools are just operating

34:38

collectives, or they have collectives

34:41

that are being operated by part time donors

34:43

and alumni, and then internally

34:46

they have people that aren't real revenue generators.

34:49

That's also the problem. Doug College

34:51

athletics has been based on a ecosystem

34:54

of money that comes from donors. Right,

34:57

That's why it doesn't stay.

35:00

He's Texas A and m to go fire Jimbo

35:02

Fisher and have to go you know, loan.

35:04

There another seventy five million dollars in money

35:06

through their nonprofit status

35:08

athletics department to go pay it off from donors.

35:11

These people are not thinking about what the bottom

35:13

line is, how do we drive real,

35:16

real revenue to our student

35:18

athletes? And so there

35:20

has been a very very small amount of money

35:23

that has come through. Nebraska probably has

35:25

done a good job because Blake Lawrence

35:27

has started Open Doors is from Nebraska

35:29

and he's dedicated a lot of his time to doing

35:32

that. Oregon because of Division

35:34

Street and what Phil Knight has been able to do there.

35:37

But outside that, most institutions

35:39

are not doing very much at all when it comes

35:41

to monetizing the real value

35:43

of what a student athlete is, mostly

35:45

because their hands off.

35:46

They don't want to deal with it.

35:47

And that's why ads rather

35:49

retire than go figure out this nil thing.

35:54

That's it for Part one, Okay,

35:56

part two. What are the downsides?

36:00

Well, the downsides what about women's athletics

36:03

and will college

36:05

athletes actually sit out if they can't

36:07

get the deal they want when it's collectively

36:09

bargained for?

36:11

And we'll get to that in the next episode. I'm Doug Gottlieb.

36:13

This is all ball

Unlock more with Podchaser Pro

  • Audience Insights
  • Contact Information
  • Demographics
  • Charts
  • Sponsor History
  • and More!
Pro Features