Episode Transcript
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0:06
Hey, what up. Welcome in.
0:07
I'm dog Gottlieb. This is all ball.
0:11
Look, I can dispense with the pleasant trees. Let's
0:13
just get to some of the stuff we've seen in college basketball.
0:16
A couple of things is in
0:18
this past week we've seen Arkansas takedown
0:21
Duke and Kansas beat
0:23
Yukon. The Kansas Yukon gap
0:25
was a great basketball game if
0:28
possible, and I know Yukon
0:31
fans will forever say, you know, we got screwed
0:33
in the officiating, and that happens when you're
0:35
in the fog. I don't think it was I
0:37
don't think the officiating was terrible. Hunter
0:41
Dickinson is a hard guy to officiate. He's
0:44
incredibly physical and he does
0:46
complain a lot, but he is
0:48
a very talented player. And big
0:51
guys in many ways are at a disadvantage in
0:54
terms of how the game is officiated these days,
0:57
especially guys a scoring a low post, because you can be so
0:59
physical the low post, and yet you can't be physical
1:01
out on the court or or
1:04
sometimes in screening situations. So
1:08
the first thing is that those are
1:10
two places, and I know there's others. I watched the
1:12
Xavier Houston game Xavier's always
1:15
an incredible place that
1:19
I know.
1:20
It's like chicken or the egg. But I'll give you
1:22
an example i've
1:25
done. I'm doing consulting work with Oklahoma
1:27
State this year.
1:28
And granted Oklahoma State has
1:30
not had the recent success of Arkansas,
1:32
definitely not had the success of Kansas,
1:35
but a one proud fan base.
1:37
You know, you end up having six seven
1:39
thousand people for creating a ranked team to
1:41
come in and play, and the difference
1:43
is or maybe you go
1:45
to any of these games. It's really weird
1:48
how fans are in most
1:50
places, not all places, the basketball places
1:53
it's not this way, but in most places it's
1:55
show me.
1:57
Now.
1:57
Look, I grant you that our
2:00
Arkansas getting Duke on their home floors
2:02
is pretty special night.
2:03
But like Arkansas, I have been struggling.
2:05
You know, they were
2:08
like a five hundred team, and
2:10
so to have your biggest
2:12
crowd ever in Fayetteville,
2:15
granted it's for Duke. In many
2:17
ways, that's the difference in winning and losing
2:19
games. And it's like, well, if
2:21
you'd win more, we'd show up more. But if
2:23
you show up more, we'd win more.
2:27
And I think there's a
2:29
lot of there's there's just truth
2:31
to that that are undeniable.
2:34
But let's let's dig in on a little bit of the meat.
2:36
What's wrong with Duke is Duke turn around and lost to
2:38
Georgia Tech two straight roadmans. First, there's
2:40
home and road in college basketball, and I
2:43
love the John shire is unlike his
2:46
predecessor Mike Rychevsky, But some of it
2:48
is a you know, it's at a conference scheduling, right,
2:50
that's the acc SEC
2:54
showdown, So they had to go on the road.
2:56
But you know how often like it's
2:58
a celebration for all that
3:00
Duke has accomplished when they go on the road and
3:02
they're the biggest game that team has
3:05
been in. Arkansas is a proud program, the
3:08
biggest program you could ever
3:10
see.
3:11
I mean, there's a couple of things. I think.
3:14
One probably still
3:16
playing too many guys and a lot of coaches
3:18
I speak with are
3:20
in that same boat where
3:24
you know, part of this, I'm sure is the portal
3:26
I'm not gonna lesten I'm being denial of how
3:28
things work in that you
3:31
just can't lose everybody every year, and
3:34
you make some promises and
3:37
I'm sure there's some nil
3:39
directed at a bunch of different players, and you're like,
3:41
look, we allocated resources
3:43
to this player. We have to at least see what he
3:45
can do. And so it causes
3:48
you. This is a lot like in AAU basketball
3:51
where you got payers and you got
3:53
players, you know, and you're like, well,
3:55
this kid came to practice that week and this kid's dad,
3:57
you know, face to the team ban and
3:59
this.
3:59
You know. Now it's
4:02
obviously different, but you know.
4:03
I when you're around these programs
4:06
enough, there is at least a
4:08
very small portion a portion of
4:11
hey, who do we take a look at and
4:14
in what situations?
4:15
At least a portion of it is some
4:18
of the nil stuff, the transfer portal stuff.
4:20
We don't want to lose everybody every year, and we
4:22
definitely don't want to lose half
4:24
of our team checking out because we're
4:26
only playing seven guys or six.
4:27
Guys to start the season. That
4:31
said, there's other reasons.
4:33
One is you don't really know what you have, and
4:35
whatever you think you have, you don't know what you have
4:37
until you play them in front of eighteen thousand people, because
4:40
people react differently in front
4:42
of eighteen thousand people than they
4:44
do and it's an empty practice gym
4:46
and you're going up against the team, you know, and
4:49
the ball screen coverage that you're very well
4:51
aware of.
4:51
How to manipulate.
4:54
But I think that part of the do thing
4:56
is you play too many guys. The
5:00
dude thing is you have some really young
5:02
players. I mean even
5:05
even you know Proctor has come back
5:07
for year two, like Philipowski's
5:10
a stud. Then those guys playing
5:12
a lot last year, but you
5:14
know Procter wasn't like he was playing thirty five minutes
5:16
and he's still only a sophomore and this is a much
5:18
bigger role. But I think
5:21
it's all the whirling pieces around that you're
5:23
trying to figure out. And
5:26
I thought Eric Musselman did a great job of
5:29
not guarding the non shooters
5:31
for Duke. And look,
5:35
on some level, you have to you have
5:37
to change how you play when teams play
5:39
kind of a one man zone with the shop
5:42
blocker. I mean that's having seen that
5:44
Creighton game up close against Oklahoma State
5:46
and I watched all the film leading up to it,
5:49
that's how they play right where they press
5:51
up on three
5:54
or four perimeter players force every
5:56
everything into the lane. And he got Ryan Kalkbrenner,
5:59
who's seven point one and does a great job of not
6:01
fowling in the lane, kind of
6:03
daring you to take and make mid range
6:05
jump shots or those little floater shots
6:08
in two on ones, and it's
6:10
those are the shots you don't necessarily
6:13
want to take when you're a coach. That's not
6:15
what we're that's not what you're shooting
6:17
for. So the first thing for Duke
6:19
is I think they're playing too many guys, and I think that will
6:22
work itself out. I do think that
6:25
that if you watched John Shire last year, he seemed
6:27
to figure out what he had by about this
6:29
time or into January, and
6:32
it is inorganic to have conference
6:34
play. You know, I used to really
6:36
hate I don't like conference play this time
6:38
of year, but
6:41
you almost wish that everybody had like a four.
6:43
Game conference stretch.
6:45
I'll give you a scheduling thought in
6:47
a moment, but anyway,
6:50
I working back to Duke playing
6:52
too many guys.
6:54
That's really kind of what it comes down to.
6:56
And you're at this point of the year where
6:59
once you kind of get to January, you're hoping
7:01
you're freshmen, the good ones.
7:04
They've evolved some, but you know
7:06
that the juniors and seniors
7:09
can kind of carry you.
7:10
But you have your juniors and seniors for
7:12
the most part, because they're not
7:14
as talented as guys that have
7:16
left. That makes any sense, I
7:20
mean, you look around the country and you'll notice
7:22
that some of the starting lineups are evolving where the younger
7:24
players are starting to take Oh why is that? Because
7:27
when they got there, they weren't ready and they're still
7:29
probably not ready now, but
7:32
they have a higher ceiling, or the thought is they have a
7:34
higher ceiling than the older players.
7:36
Now, some teams just have older players. They're going
7:39
to ride or die with them. I think that's what you have
7:41
from Creighton, for example. But
7:44
the Duke thing, a lot of it is playing to any pieces.
7:46
A lot of it is trying to figure out how it's really hard
7:48
to win with young guys and
7:51
people have you know, because we see Duke a
7:53
lot. They got them scouted and
7:57
you know, forever this has been an issue with Duke.
8:00
Duke and I don't
8:01
they don't play as much that way
8:04
defensively, but you know, there was probably
8:06
a ten year span there where Duke all
8:08
they did defensively was get up
8:11
the line and try and pressure you, and
8:13
it didn't matter who they were
8:15
playing against. That's
8:17
how they played right. That's
8:20
how they played up the line, pressuring
8:22
everything. Matter of fact, the twenty ten team that
8:25
won the national championship, that was the one team
8:27
you know, I'm always going
8:29
to be the guy. They called them alarmingly unathletic,
8:32
and the crazy part was that they
8:34
were alarmingly on athletic at that time.
8:37
Here's the contextup. But they played Arizona State,
8:39
who I think had James Harden in Madison Square
8:42
Garden and they got just carved
8:44
up by Arizona State. And they got
8:46
carved up because they were trying to pressure everywhere
8:48
defensively, and they
8:52
had Nolan Smith and John Shire then
8:55
Kyle Singler as well, so
8:57
you didn't It's not like.
8:58
You had the freakiest athletes
9:02
on Earth.
9:03
And when they changed their lineup and
9:05
put Brian Zubek in, they
9:07
played much more back
9:10
off the line, you know, help
9:12
oriented defense where they.
9:14
Just muled you on the glass and
9:16
with their size in a lane. Like
9:19
again, no one's ever gone like, yeah, you
9:21
know.
9:22
I mean the Duke guys have told me like, of course you were right,
9:25
but they didn't realize the
9:27
adjustment.
9:27
The coach k adjustment in style mid.
9:30
Season changed forever the trajectory
9:32
of that team, and Zubec became
9:34
a dominant big guy for them based upon
9:36
how they were playing. They couldn't play up the line with the guys they
9:38
were playing with. One of the reasons
9:41
that the Greg Paulis struggled
9:43
in his career. Greg paulso really good player,
9:46
really good player, but what he was was
9:49
a point guard who could really pressure, who
9:51
could pressure that way defensively. That's just not
9:54
who he was or will ever
9:56
be. The point is
9:58
that Duke always played one way. And one of
10:00
the things that coaches run into this time of the year
10:02
is because you haven't
10:05
self scouted in practice, right,
10:07
even when you play in scrimmages, secret
10:09
scrimmages, nobody doesn't guard guys,
10:12
And now you get into games and people get you completely
10:14
scouted.
10:15
Some people won't. We're not gonna guard.
10:16
We're not gonna go past, you know, the free throw line
10:18
to make him shoot where some guys
10:20
you know, we're going to change how he played ball, string coverings,
10:23
whatever. Well, that causes
10:26
everything you run you kind
10:28
of have to tweak and adjust to and it's
10:30
not easy. So I'd
10:32
say that's the other thing is now Dukes being scouted
10:34
and as
10:37
probably the most watched college basketball team or
10:39
one of the two or three buzz watch college boss people.
10:41
That's the adjustment they're going to have to make.
10:43
And then trying to integrate, you know, Caleb
10:45
Foster into that lineup, who obviously,
10:47
you know, we always have a guy who in the Champions
10:50
Classic as freshman, who makes a bunch of shots
10:52
and we get an unreal sense of who they are. I
10:55
love Caleb Foster. I saw him last year. He was you
10:59
know, those two Jeremy and Caleb Foster
11:01
were two dynamic guards in California.
11:04
And you know it's interesting, you know, Brownie James
11:06
is so high up on these draft
11:09
wars.
11:09
This makes no sense.
11:10
Those dud just dominated him, Caleb
11:14
specifically when he played against They played against four
11:16
times last year in high school. But both
11:18
of them are just freshmen and
11:21
you know, their reputation and their upside demand
11:23
minutes. But as freshmen you're going to be
11:25
super inconsistent, and
11:27
that's what they're running into. And now they're scouted
11:30
as well. So
11:32
Purdue loses again to
11:34
Northwestern, and look,
11:36
you can lose in conference play on the road. Welsh
11:39
Ryan is what
11:41
a cool place. I mean, just like
11:43
historically, I hope people understand,
11:45
and I know it's been open for a while now,
11:49
but I hope people understand that was the worst
11:52
gym. It was a gym, worst
11:54
gym in the Big Ten by a mile.
11:57
All the other teams in the Big Ten, I'm
12:00
trying to think of that, they've all made kind of the same.
12:03
You know, Breslian is really good, but
12:06
you know, you look at what Penn State did where
12:10
they reck Hall was like perfect
12:13
college basketball venue. Now
12:15
they play in the Price Jordan Center.
12:17
They've done it for twenty years. It's
12:20
just cavernous. It doesn't make any
12:22
sense. You know, Wisconsin's
12:25
place, the Coal Center is big,
12:27
and they don't lose there often, but there's no
12:29
real atmosphere there.
12:31
Ohio State's shotten Steen Center
12:33
or.
12:33
Whatever, Like it's just a big it's
12:35
like a bad NBA arena. Where
12:38
what Northwestern did was they gutted
12:40
the inside and kept
12:42
it at seven thousand seats and
12:44
they just made it an incredible venue.
12:47
And I can't.
12:48
Implore college
12:51
administrators enough and like, look, a
12:53
lot of schools don't have this opportunity.
12:55
But oklahom State's per for example, right like that
12:58
place is awesome.
12:59
It's thirteen. It's too damn big. You
13:02
know.
13:02
It's not just that Oklahoma
13:05
State hasn't been as good. It's also
13:07
that there's the thunder who wasn't there. But just
13:10
like seven thousand seats its great,
13:13
A Pactorina is great.
13:15
You know.
13:16
And I
13:19
think Northwestern is the best remodel.
13:22
They're an SMU. Those are the two best
13:24
remodels. Where they took a
13:27
small gym and instead
13:29
of falling in love with hey, we
13:31
can put a couple of more thousand seats or
13:33
build some new kind of NBA
13:36
style place where we can get concerts in
13:38
and whatever, and
13:40
they do it. They do those things obviously, sometimes
13:42
either to get into a tournament bid or to get
13:45
to make more money off
13:47
concerts forever. The
13:52
ones that just keep it the stops New Mexico
13:55
even they went down I think four thousand
13:57
seats back when they redid the pit.
13:59
But wels Ryan is awesome. But
14:02
the warning sign it has for
14:04
Purdue is kind.
14:05
Of we think that the only way
14:07
to beat them is with small
14:11
What was with really athletic guards getting
14:13
after Braden Smith and
14:15
with
14:18
with five men who can shoot, who
14:20
can shoot threes and drag Zach Edy out because
14:22
that's what they've lost. You know, the last two years
14:24
in the tournament is to low majors,
14:27
but Northwestern's ability
14:29
to beat Purdue granted at home two consecutive
14:32
years. How the Cats
14:34
play, You could be happier
14:37
Chris Collins. Everyone I know,
14:39
everyone I know in Evanston
14:42
last year was like, and
14:45
we're gonna have to fire Chris Collins and he's an awesome
14:48
dude, Like, well, so why
14:50
do you have to fire him?
14:51
Like, well, I just program's kind of stuck
14:53
in not really
14:55
doing anything.
14:56
And then of course they go to the NCAA tournament and remember
14:58
before he got there, they've never been to an NCAH. But
15:01
I just I'm not sure I really understood
15:03
that whole thing. But they play beautiful
15:05
basketball in terms of the consistency
15:08
of their movement within all the actions
15:10
that they run.
15:11
And look, they they really
15:14
attacked Zach Edy.
15:15
And Zach Edy, you know, he fouled out like pretty
15:18
much every big guy that Northwestern
15:20
had, and yet they just kept
15:22
coming at him and changing
15:24
their coverages and trying to limit
15:27
his pain touches. And they're really quick
15:29
and you know, forcing him off the block, and
15:32
you know, when he's not two to four feet away,
15:35
it's a different game, and.
15:36
He does struggle to move out of his zone.
15:40
That was an amazing play they ran for
15:42
him, them to win the game or
15:45
just send the ball game to overtime.
15:46
And they just threw it up to him.
15:47
And he's just bigger than everybody
15:49
catches and lays it in with like zero point six seconds
15:52
ago.
15:53
But I again, the point is not.
15:55
That that Northwestern
15:58
can win a home game again it's the number
16:00
one ranked team in the country, or that they have produced
16:02
number it's more how do they do it?
16:05
And they did it a different way.
16:06
Yes, they some of their fives can
16:09
step out and shoot, and they're
16:11
you know those big ten teams, they're all loaded
16:13
up with you know, two or three
16:16
six foot ten dudes, so he can throw multiple
16:18
bodies at him. But I thought it was
16:20
the movement, the actions, you
16:23
know, not just getting caught up. So many teams
16:25
they say, hey, we want to attack Zach Edy
16:27
on a ball screen, so they put them on a ball screen, you
16:30
know, right the start of every possession.
16:32
Whereas what Northwestern does is, you
16:34
know, they really moved around, coming some slight of
16:36
hand stuff and then they get Boo booie kind
16:38
of in that two on one where
16:41
he's you know, coming downhill and
16:43
he's got a great floater game, really
16:45
good in those middies, and you
16:47
know, just a volume of attacks on a big guy,
16:50
and I think some of that wears him out on the offensive
16:52
end as well. And then you know, like,
16:54
look, Braden Smith is good, but
16:56
there are times in which he still looks like a sophomore.
16:59
They don't don't really have They
17:01
don't have a wing who
17:03
can go get you a bucket.
17:04
They're not built that way.
17:08
And you know they're a good
17:10
team that that Purdue
17:13
continues to be a good team that doesn't have an NBA
17:15
player.
17:16
Can will Zach you be playing the NBA? Probably?
17:20
Yeah, I mean he'll make it. He'll make a ton overseas.
17:24
Will you play in the NBA? Probably,
17:26
But you're like, what does that matter? Well, when you
17:29
have a guy who can just all things
17:31
are going bad and break you down, and maybe not even.
17:33
An NBA player, like like Boo Boo.
17:35
He's not an NBA player, but he's
17:37
one of those stud college players who can
17:39
just end the game. Hey, I'm just gonna get you a bucket,
17:42
and they don't don't.
17:43
Really built that way, really
17:45
built that way.
17:47
So I still like Purdue and
17:49
I think they can win a national championship because
17:51
I don't think this is a year in which the top teams
17:54
have a lot of those guys, or especially
17:56
have an older guy like that. But
17:58
you can see that some of the same old
18:01
Purdue issues peak their head out
18:03
at inopportune moments. So
18:06
my guest today is Jason Belzer.
18:08
Jason, I'll tell you about his company, all the things that
18:10
he does, but it's a perfect time to have men
18:12
since he truly is an
18:15
expert in the nil space
18:18
as well as the college coaching kind
18:20
of space.
18:21
He's a former student athlete.
18:22
And he's the
18:25
founder of Ady University.
18:27
He's a professor of strategy
18:30
as well and sports law at
18:32
Rutgers University, and he's also the director of
18:35
the Jewish Coaches Association.
18:38
Let's welcome in. He's Jason Belzer.
18:40
Fox Sports Radio has the best sports
18:42
talk lineup in the nation. Catch all
18:44
of our shows at foxsports Radio dot
18:46
com and within the iHeartRadio
18:49
app. Search FSR to listen
18:51
live.
18:55
Jason, your let's start
18:57
with your background in hoops for
18:59
the last ten years you've done.
19:01
What So?
19:04
I have been a attorney
19:06
in college sports for almost
19:08
seventeen years now, and I
19:11
represent a whole bunch of college basketball
19:13
coaches, both on the men's
19:15
and women's side. Helped start the College
19:18
Insider Tournament and then build
19:20
a media company called Athletic
19:22
Director d one Ticker, which
19:26
helped me build relationships with
19:28
administrators and coaches and all
19:31
the important people in college athletics.
19:34
You went to law school ware Rutgers
19:36
played football. Ruers went to law school or Rutgers.
19:39
What was Rutgers football like? When you played there?
19:43
We were the worst team in the country.
19:45
We were literally at
19:47
the time, I believe there was one hundred and twenty FBS
19:49
schools and we were one twenty.
19:52
My recruiting tip to Rutgers.
19:53
When I was in high school, we lost to West Virginia
19:56
eighty to seven, Which
19:58
is did you go there? Because
20:01
it was really the only chance I had to play
20:04
Division I football. Plus it
20:06
was a school that was forty minutes down the road from
20:08
where I grew up, So
20:11
or at least FBS football now,
20:13
we got really good, really fast, And
20:16
I wasn't really contributing much to that.
20:19
But it was, you know,
20:22
it was a great opportunity to engage and
20:24
be part of a you know, a big time
20:26
football program, even
20:29
though we weren't very good at least initially.
20:32
So you're going to law school, was
20:34
it always your intention to go into some
20:37
sort of sports law, some from a sports focus.
20:40
Yeah.
20:40
I mean I knew when I was an undergrad that I wanted
20:42
to be an agent, and I actually wanted
20:44
to be an agent representing student athletes,
20:47
but you couldn't.
20:48
Do that back then.
20:48
So I said, I'm going to do the next best thing, and
20:51
I'm going to be an agent that represents college
20:53
coaches. And I literally
20:55
just started code calling and emailing
20:57
people.
20:58
You know.
20:58
I was reaching out to Rick
21:00
Patino and you
21:03
know, lud Olson and anybody
21:05
else that was coaching at the time, trying to get them
21:07
to let me represent them.
21:08
I was a twenty one year old kid, and
21:11
eventually I caught on.
21:13
I got some people to join, and you
21:16
know, that's where I got involved very
21:18
early on.
21:19
In the Jewish Coaches Association.
21:22
And started working with some young
21:24
Jewish coaches like Josh Passner, who
21:27
literally just became head coach at
21:30
Memphis at the time, and
21:32
you know, the rest is history on that end. But
21:36
even throughout that time, I've always
21:38
been a tremendous advocate for
21:41
student athletes and NIL rights.
21:44
I was I am like a walking
21:46
oxymoron. I'm the guy that is
21:48
helping coaches make millions of dollars and
21:50
then at the same time realizing that some of this
21:53
money should be shared with the student athletes,
21:55
which is why as NIL started
21:58
to become more of a reality, I
22:00
knew that I was maybe the best positioned
22:02
person on the entire planet to
22:04
help the industry through what was going to
22:06
be a very tumultuous time
22:09
that we are in. And everything that I predicted
22:12
has happened, and everything that I
22:14
believe will happen is
22:16
unfolding here, and we are
22:18
seeing this before our eyes. We're
22:21
going to be at revenue share in some capacity within
22:23
the next twelve to eighteen months,
22:26
no question.
22:26
Do you think what
22:29
about the schools where there isn't
22:31
the revenue.
22:33
I don't think it matters.
22:34
I think you're going to have a subset about
22:37
forty schools that are
22:39
going to make a decision that that is the route
22:41
that they're going to want to go. That decision
22:43
will be predicated on a
22:45
few factors. Number One, Either
22:48
they will make the decision themselves, the
22:50
decision will be made for them through the court
22:53
system through one of these employment or
22:55
NLRB cases, or
22:57
the decision will be partially predicated
22:59
on what Congress passes.
23:01
I have no.
23:07
I am not going to rely on Congress to
23:09
do anything. They can't even
23:12
get a budget pass, much less save college
23:15
athletics. And so there's
23:18
no question that these conversations
23:20
already happening. I can tell you
23:22
that they're happening because I'm involved in some of them.
23:24
About what does this new model look like? We
23:27
as an organization, my company
23:29
Student Athlete NIL now works with more
23:31
than forty different institutions. We
23:34
are the largest mover of money
23:36
in NIL as it relates
23:38
to rosters than anybody else. We have over
23:41
a thousand student athletes under contract.
23:44
And so this the groundwork
23:46
is there, and we are moving
23:50
violently towards a new
23:52
era in whatever
23:54
looks like the semi professionalization of
23:56
college sports, even though it's pretty much been
23:58
semi pro two.
24:00
Or three years. We'll just have some structure
24:02
around it.
24:04
Okay, So in your mind, what
24:07
does it look like in.
24:09
The ultimate and easiest structure
24:13
it would be to have these institutions
24:16
that choose to want to participate in this
24:19
to agree upon a
24:21
revenue share. We would start with football,
24:24
potentially basketball, but football is a much
24:26
bigger piece where there is some
24:28
sort of guaranteed minimum compensation
24:31
for every athlete on the roster. I
24:33
suspect that, based on what we
24:35
are seeing in the SEC Conference that
24:38
that number will be an estimated
24:40
eight to ten million dollars for
24:42
football, meaning that you're looking at
24:45
about one hundred thousand dollars for each
24:47
student athlete. That
24:50
football and maybe basketball
24:52
is split off into a professional
24:55
organization that is licensed
24:57
underneath the existing athletic departm,
25:00
so it could be Michigan Football
25:03
LLC or whatever you want to call it. When
25:06
that happens, the student athletes
25:08
are likely to be deemed employees unless
25:10
there's some sort of safe harbor position that
25:13
is provided by you know, maybe Senator
25:15
Cruz or whoever else if the legislation gets
25:17
through. But by splitting
25:20
it off, what it does is that
25:22
it creates a scenario where Title nine
25:24
no longer applies because
25:26
if my athletes are employees, it
25:29
doesn't matter. And what ends up happening then,
25:31
is that I can choose to keep
25:33
my women's teams. I can likely choose
25:36
to gut them to save money if I need
25:38
to, which will happen to some capacity. But
25:41
I don't have to play this nonsense Title nine
25:43
game. If these athletes are actually
25:46
generating revenue, and
25:48
then the big question becomes, what happens
25:50
to all of the other sports, what happens to women's
25:52
sports, what happens to Olympic sports. The
25:55
reason why SEC
25:57
schools and we work with the number of them,
25:59
and we're paying a number of their payrolls
26:03
are trying to drive eight, nine, ten
26:05
million dollars a year into their collectives
26:07
is because they know this is happening. It's
26:10
going to be here in the next twelve to twenty
26:12
four months, and so they are literally
26:15
trying to wean themselves off
26:17
of that money today. They are
26:19
saying, if we're going to have to operate
26:21
in a revenue share world
26:24
in two years or one year, why
26:27
are we not trying to figure out how to operate
26:29
with ten million dollars less in our budgets
26:31
today? And let's just allocate those
26:33
dollars to the student athletes
26:36
right now. The problem
26:38
is that there are schools within the
26:40
SEC less so than
26:43
SEC, and more so in the Big Ten that
26:45
don't have that type of money. And
26:48
so while the revenues are similar
26:51
for both conferences, I
26:53
can tell you that Ruckers and Purdue
26:55
and Northwestern and Maryland,
26:58
they don't have the same capacity as Ohio
27:01
State and Michigan. Everybody knows that they're not paying
27:03
the same numbers for nil and
27:05
that's not too different from what's happening in the SEC.
27:07
I mean Mississippi State, you
27:09
know, South Carolina. Are they as competitive
27:12
with LSU and Alabama?
27:13
They're not.
27:15
So Okay.
27:17
The picture you're paying, though, means,
27:20
as you said, and this is a very realistic
27:22
picture, is whenever
27:25
you pump something up like football,
27:27
something's going to fall short, like women's sports.
27:31
How does that work? I mean, I understand you're talking
27:33
about legally splitting them off, but the reality
27:36
is that so much of this has been created
27:38
so that there's equal opportunity, and I
27:41
just wonder how that plays out in
27:44
Congress and in the courts.
27:46
So how I will give you the
27:48
solution, but I have some questions
27:51
for you. First, Doug, Yeah, how can
27:53
Congress force any
27:56
entity to do something? Where's the
27:58
money going to come from. It's going to be
28:00
too late by that point.
28:01
Right.
28:02
Well, here, here's where where does the money
28:04
come from? Is this?
28:06
As you know and I know, states
28:09
give far less to their
28:12
land grant universities for sports, if anything,
28:14
then they ever have previously. But
28:16
that doesn't stop them from giving money
28:19
and giving benefits as well
28:21
to other areas of the school. So
28:24
that's the that's the threat. Right, If you
28:26
don't do it our way, then
28:28
you get no funding.
28:30
So the University of Arizona that is
28:32
facing a massive budget crisis
28:35
is now a sudden going to have to come up with
28:37
the next their five million dollars ten million
28:39
dollars to continue to fund their
28:41
women's programs because Congres said,
28:44
so that's going to be a disaster.
28:46
I will tell you what will happen. You may
28:48
very well be right, Doug, Like, let's play
28:51
that out one hundred percent certainty it happens, what
28:54
will then happen and
28:56
this is the likely outcome for all of this is
28:58
that you will have a private equity firm come in,
29:01
and a private equity firm will come and say
29:03
I will give you I
29:06
will Arizona, whoever, I will
29:08
give you one hundred million. I will give you two hundred
29:10
million dollars, five hundred
29:12
million dollars.
29:13
What is Ohio State football worth? What is
29:15
Texas football worth? Billions?
29:18
Right? I will give you X
29:20
number of dollars as an annuity.
29:25
For whatever percentage twenty
29:27
five thirty percent of your future
29:29
revenue. You take that two
29:32
three hundred million dollars and
29:34
then that money and its interest, you
29:36
know you will make you ten percent on that will
29:39
pay for your women's programs moving forward,
29:42
and we're good. Right, So the
29:44
school will be forced to sell off and
29:47
Doug take the University of Arizona as
29:49
an example, because it's low hanging fruit here. You
29:52
don't think that the president and the
29:54
board of trustees of that university,
29:57
facing an existential crisis wouldn't
29:59
take five hundred million
30:02
dollars right now to sell off fifty
30:04
percent of their athletics program
30:07
to save the university.
30:09
Of course they would.
30:10
I mean, what is the endowment of Arizona
30:12
a billion, billion and a half. You're
30:14
gonna get fifty percent of your endowment
30:17
for a portion of your athletics team.
30:20
They're gonna sell it tomorrow. Rutgers
30:23
operates at a twenty five million dollar loss
30:26
every year.
30:27
If they can go raise five hundred million dollars,
30:30
then the university's endowment is a billion dollars.
30:32
They will sell that tomorrow and it solves
30:34
all their problems. And as
30:37
an alum, you know, if Oklahoma
30:39
State puts out a shingle and says, hey, we're gonna go
30:41
do this, You're gonna go put your money in
30:44
Doug.
30:44
Right, so am I? Everybody will? Everyone
30:46
wants to be an owner.
30:47
You know what the ironic thing is, that's
30:49
essentially what we're doing with the collectives anyway. Right,
30:52
you're just not actually getting an ownership stake unless
30:55
you invest into my company.
30:56
But that's getting You're getting an
30:58
ownership stake of a player, but
31:01
you're not getting any return on it.
31:03
Right, That's the only turn.
31:04
On what you're seeing.
31:05
Sure, what about what
31:07
happens with the donation game? Does
31:09
that totally go away?
31:11
Well, it's all going to go in house regardless.
31:13
I mean it's already moved in house
31:15
in some capacities.
31:17
We have many mechanisms that.
31:18
We work with universities to be able
31:20
to manage cash flow. I
31:23
mean we are in the transfer portal, we're
31:25
in day two and
31:27
by our estimations this there
31:30
will be about four hundred million
31:32
dollars that will change
31:34
hands over the next forty
31:38
five to sixty days.
31:39
In terms of contracts.
31:41
We will control the largest proportion of
31:43
that because of the number of universities that we represent.
31:47
But this will also be the biggest
31:49
nil exchange ever
31:52
because the reality is that we probably go to rev
31:54
share and a lot of that will be absorbed
31:56
in house, right, and then donors just
31:58
you know, Doug, You'll keep going Oklahoma State, and then
32:00
Oklahoma State will sign its revshare contract
32:03
with the football and basketball teams, and
32:05
the donor money will just flow into this university
32:07
and be one bucket of the revenue share. There
32:11
is so much more opportunity for real nil
32:13
though that schools are taking are not taking
32:15
advantage of the majority of them are not because
32:18
they have poor infrastructure set at the place to
32:20
drive this type of revenue.
32:22
When you say real nil, what do you mean?
32:24
I mean real endorsement marketing
32:27
potential? I mean, you know, I'll
32:29
give an example, Doug. I know you may not want to hear
32:31
it, but we work with the University of Oklahoma, and
32:33
I would say that Crimson and Cream is
32:35
kicking the butt of whatever Oklahoma
32:38
State has going on, because we are
32:40
writing, we are running a high,
32:43
you know, functioning, professionalized operation
32:46
where we are generating.
32:47
We have generated in excess of.
32:50
Two and a half million dollars
32:52
in real nil, non
32:55
donor money for ou student
32:57
athletes over the last thirteen
33:00
months that we've been operating at Oklahoma.
33:03
What has Oklahoma State been able
33:05
to generate for their athletes in that same
33:07
time, not touching donor money,
33:10
not a whole lot, right, real nil
33:12
right endorsements, trading cards,
33:17
marketing appearances, television commercials,
33:19
membership programs, all
33:22
of those different things. There is
33:24
more money in nil than
33:26
there is in multimedia rights because
33:29
you're not beholden to just one
33:32
partner. You don't have to just be an exclusive
33:34
partner of Hal Smith. You
33:36
can go work with McDonald's and everybody
33:39
else. That's just part of it, right,
33:41
and so there's real nil value. That's
33:43
what our focus is is an organization. Sure,
33:45
we're running money from donors, but
33:47
at the end of the day, we want to build a
33:50
billion dollar industry that
33:52
is based on real nil transactions
33:54
and the power of the student athlete is an influencer.
33:57
Who's the what school or are
34:00
the most advanced in the real ail.
34:03
There are a handful. Again, I would say
34:05
Oklahoma LSU
34:08
has done a fantastic job. Not on the
34:10
collective side, They've done an awful
34:12
job on their collective. They've done a great
34:15
job in helping provide marketing opportunities
34:17
for their student athletes. USC
34:20
has done an okay job, again not on the collective
34:22
side.
34:22
On real nil.
34:24
Tennessee has done a pretty good job because
34:26
of Spire. The
34:28
difference is that we are a sports marketing
34:30
company, right. We employ full time salespeople,
34:33
we employ full time business developers.
34:36
The vast majority of schools are just operating
34:38
collectives, or they have collectives
34:41
that are being operated by part time donors
34:43
and alumni, and then internally
34:46
they have people that aren't real revenue generators.
34:49
That's also the problem. Doug College
34:51
athletics has been based on a ecosystem
34:54
of money that comes from donors. Right,
34:57
That's why it doesn't stay.
35:00
He's Texas A and m to go fire Jimbo
35:02
Fisher and have to go you know, loan.
35:04
There another seventy five million dollars in money
35:06
through their nonprofit status
35:08
athletics department to go pay it off from donors.
35:11
These people are not thinking about what the bottom
35:13
line is, how do we drive real,
35:16
real revenue to our student
35:18
athletes? And so there
35:20
has been a very very small amount of money
35:23
that has come through. Nebraska probably has
35:25
done a good job because Blake Lawrence
35:27
has started Open Doors is from Nebraska
35:29
and he's dedicated a lot of his time to doing
35:32
that. Oregon because of Division
35:34
Street and what Phil Knight has been able to do there.
35:37
But outside that, most institutions
35:39
are not doing very much at all when it comes
35:41
to monetizing the real value
35:43
of what a student athlete is, mostly
35:45
because their hands off.
35:46
They don't want to deal with it.
35:47
And that's why ads rather
35:49
retire than go figure out this nil thing.
35:54
That's it for Part one, Okay,
35:56
part two. What are the downsides?
36:00
Well, the downsides what about women's athletics
36:03
and will college
36:05
athletes actually sit out if they can't
36:07
get the deal they want when it's collectively
36:09
bargained for?
36:11
And we'll get to that in the next episode. I'm Doug Gottlieb.
36:13
This is all ball
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