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Vice, Vice, Baby: Who’ll Be Trump’s Running Mate?

Vice, Vice, Baby: Who’ll Be Trump’s Running Mate?

Released Thursday, 28th March 2024
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Vice, Vice, Baby: Who’ll Be Trump’s Running Mate?

Vice, Vice, Baby: Who’ll Be Trump’s Running Mate?

Vice, Vice, Baby: Who’ll Be Trump’s Running Mate?

Vice, Vice, Baby: Who’ll Be Trump’s Running Mate?

Thursday, 28th March 2024
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Episode Transcript

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0:00

This is the BBC. This

0:03

podcast is supported by advertising outside

0:05

the UK. Honey,

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why are you packing a suit

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Then I need something casual for the roller coasters.

0:22

Oh, and the music festival. Meetings

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terms at mintmobile.com BBC

1:15

Sounds. Music, radio, podcasts.

1:19

Sounds like someone's got mail. Yeah, you know, I've

1:21

been getting a whole lot of email from a

1:23

whole lot of people, but in particular from Donald

1:25

Trump and his presidential campaign. Let me

1:28

read one that just came to me fairly recently.

1:30

The subject line is, can I tell you who

1:32

my VP is? And then you have the big

1:34

Trump banner and a button saying cast your vote

1:36

and a memo from Trump that says, friends, can

1:39

I tell you who my vice president is? Second

1:42

thought, I have a much better idea. Before the

1:44

day is over, I want to hear from you

1:46

on who my VP should be. I'll be making

1:48

the choice soon. And then he goes

1:50

on to say, that's why I'm asking for you to please submit your

1:52

results now. Answer today and with your

1:54

input, we will make America great again. And of

1:56

course, it goes on to ask for some money

1:58

now. I get a lot

2:00

of emails from Donald Trump and I get a

2:03

few. He texts me a lot and you know

2:05

what, they've started beginning with, Dear Sarah, I love

2:07

you. You're very sweet. I

2:10

don't get texts from him, Sarah. Maybe he

2:12

does love you. Yeah, I don't think anyone

2:14

else in the world gets those texts, which

2:16

is something possibly we should do an entire

2:18

episode of America simply about that. But

2:20

anyway, drawing a veil, as they say, moving

2:23

swiftly on, he's a

2:25

showman. That's the point, isn't it? He's

2:27

a showman and he's found a way

2:29

to get everyone's attention yet again. He

2:31

is so good at this. So he

2:34

has trapped us into discussing this, but

2:36

it's not just him, I should

2:38

say, because we've had this email

2:41

from Edward. Dear Americaast, there has

2:43

been little speculation about Trump's possible

2:45

running mate. It will

2:47

be too late to speculate once he decides,

2:50

so please crack on. Edward,

2:53

this is for you. Welcome to Americaast.

2:55

Americaast. Americaast from BBC News. Let me start

2:58

off with two words. May in America. be

3:01

blamed at all. When

3:03

9-11 happened, we didn't ban planes. We secured

3:06

the cockpit. The president said, I'm going to

3:08

get a kiss

3:20

my ass. Nobody should have to go to jail for

3:22

smoking weed. Hi there, it is Sarah. I'm in the Washington, DC bureau. And

3:24

it's Anthony. point of

3:26

the continental United States. And it's Justin in Boringell, London, England. It's

3:29

a very important time for us to be able

3:31

to get the Western

3:45

point of the continental United States. Why?

4:00

What are you doing? I'm going to be on holiday. Oh, I see. Right.

4:04

I'm going to, but I had booked it without

4:06

knowing that Port Antilles is search or central and

4:08

that he was going to be there at the

4:10

same time. You've booked a holiday amongst

4:13

Anthony's extended family. Yeah.

4:16

Maybe not quite like that. But

4:18

it is beautiful country and it is well worth

4:20

visiting even without family here. Okay.

4:23

Right. Let's get to vice presidential things. I

4:25

mean, we should start off, I suppose, we've

4:27

talked a lot about Kamala Harris, who actually

4:29

is the vice president. We've talked about whether

4:32

she's going to remain Biden's vice

4:34

president. I think I mentioned on

4:36

one of our podcasts quite recently

4:38

that he could drop her. Biden

4:41

could drop her. And it's a kind of elephant in

4:43

the room because we're going to talk mainly about Trump.

4:45

But I just think right at the start, you look

4:47

back to FDR in whenever

4:50

it was, 1944, I suppose it was

4:53

when he was running for his third term, which he was still

4:55

allowed to do then. And he

4:57

or the party, because it was all done a bit

4:59

differently then, the party got rid of the guy called

5:01

Henry Wallace, who was the vice president because they thought

5:03

he wasn't up to it and they put someone else

5:05

in. I'm just saying there are

5:07

a lot of Democrats who at least behind

5:09

their hands and in secret would

5:12

tell you that that would be the solution to an

5:14

awful lot of their ways. But Anthony, you're laughing because

5:16

it ain't going to happen.

5:19

Yeah. I put the chances that approximately

5:21

zero. They are not dropping the first

5:23

black woman vice president in American history

5:26

just because Joe Biden's poll numbers are

5:28

not great. Well, exactly, Justin.

5:30

I couldn't agree with Anthony more. I mean, the

5:32

reason that there's more spotlight on Kamala Harris than

5:35

there would be normally is because of Joe Biden's

5:37

age and because Republicans are campaigning saying, look, there's

5:39

every chance she will actually assume the presidency during

5:42

the next term of Biden's reelected. But

5:44

for everybody who doesn't like her and might

5:46

be more likely to vote for a different

5:48

VP candidate, think of all of the women

5:51

and all the voters of color who make

5:53

up a huge part of Joe Biden's coalition

5:55

who would be so furious that he

5:57

would be shooting himself. It's an interesting one that I mean, I

5:59

don't. I'm not absolutely, obviously I'm not disagreeing with either

6:01

of you, but I was listening the other day to

6:04

Sarah Longwell, who you will both know, the

6:06

Republican pollster, very respectable, anti-Trump Republican pollster,

6:08

been around a long time, does a

6:10

lot of focus groups. And so this

6:13

wasn't a poll, it was a focus

6:15

group. And she had done a focus

6:17

group where they've got black

6:19

women talking about all the candidates and

6:21

all the potential candidates. And she said

6:23

there was a lot of hostility towards

6:26

Kamala Harris in that focus group because

6:28

they said she isn't representing us well.

6:32

And they were actually, they felt that

6:34

she was a poor representation of them.

6:36

So I take all your points, but

6:39

I think there are significant numbers of

6:41

people, including people of colour, including women

6:43

inside the Democratic Party, who as I

6:45

say, really in a very darkened room,

6:47

where it's absolutely secret would say, you

6:50

know what, we're quite like someone else.

6:52

Yeah, they're all the same people who are whispering behind their hands

6:55

that they hope somebody other than Joe Biden would run at the

6:57

top of the ticket and that didn't get them very far. Yeah,

7:00

true point. Anyway, turning back to Trump,

7:02

which is the main subject. So who's out?

7:04

Vivek Rabaswamy is out, isn't

7:06

he? Mike Pence, Mike Pence,

7:09

Anthony, I mean, it's an unusual situation.

7:11

Everything's so unusual this year. I

7:14

don't think we've properly stressed how

7:17

weird it is that the actual

7:19

vice president under Donald Trump is

7:22

now not just ruling himself out,

7:24

but also not wanting to vote

7:26

for his former president. Yeah, absolutely.

7:28

It is very unusual. And it's

7:30

interesting that the reason Pence said

7:32

he was not going to endorse

7:34

Donald Trump wasn't because Donald Trump

7:36

incited a riot at

7:38

the Capitol that threatened his life, but

7:40

because Donald Trump wasn't sufficiently conservative, which

7:42

I mean, okay, but it is a

7:45

little, you know, ignoring the

7:48

big question, the big threat that posed

7:50

Pence back on January 6th. Let's

7:52

listen to the former vice president. He was talking to

7:55

Martha McCallum on Fox News a couple

7:57

of weeks ago. I cannot in good

7:59

kind. conscience, uh, endorsed Donald

8:01

Trump in this campaign. But let me say

8:04

one last thing that being said, look, Republican

8:06

primary voters have made it clear, Martha, uh,

8:09

uh, you know, who they're for

8:11

in this election. What I'm going to spend the rest of

8:13

this year on is talking about what we

8:15

should be for. And that is the broad

8:18

mainstream conservative agenda.

8:21

Moving along, we do have a question

8:23

from Thomas in Germany via email and

8:25

Thomas writes, given the ages

8:27

of Joe Biden and Donald Trump, the

8:30

risk is higher that the future VP

8:32

might eventually become the actual president. Does

8:34

this mean the VP picks are more

8:36

important? Could the presidential race become a

8:39

race between two VP candidates? What do

8:41

you think, Justin? Uh,

8:43

100% yes, actually. I think it's a really good

8:45

question. I think it's really potentially true because the

8:47

normal thing you say about the vice president, I've

8:49

heard you say this, Anthony,

8:51

uh, it doesn't matter. I mean, really, it doesn't matter.

8:54

It doesn't add up too much. Um, uh,

8:56

and there've been all sorts of rather rude things. Vice

8:59

presidents have been called in the past and they're

9:01

on the vice presidential job. And you think that

9:03

wonderful. Yeah, yeah, exactly. Bugger the spit.

9:05

Yeah, it will be kind of halfway house

9:07

between how rude it actually was and what we're

9:09

allowed to say. So, uh, so there's all of

9:12

that stuff and there's a veep. I mean,

9:14

you know, lots of people have seen the TVs,

9:16

that wonderful TV series about the utterly hapless,

9:18

useless, um, uh, vice president. And

9:20

you know, that is the kind of, and you

9:22

think back to, who was the

9:24

guy who couldn't spell potato? Dan quail. Dan

9:26

quail. Yeah. I mean, potato or tomato. Anyway,

9:28

he, he corrected a young kid in a

9:30

class and put an E on the end.

9:33

Yeah. And then, you know, everyone laughed at

9:35

him, poor guy and, and, but nobody

9:37

really cared that, that much. And that

9:39

has been, that's the kind of classic

9:42

way, isn't it? And which the vice

9:44

presidential job is seen until this

9:46

year. And among the, all

9:48

the weird things about this year, all the things

9:51

about this year that are just, um,

9:53

utterly bonkers is the real

9:55

chance that either of these presidential, no, no, no, no, no,

9:57

no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no.

10:00

nominees will become, let's

10:02

put this delicately, incapacitated

10:04

while in office. And

10:07

that really does raise the stakes, it

10:09

seems to me. It raises the

10:11

stakes for both men. But my goodness, it

10:13

makes the Trump pick for all

10:15

manner of reasons, given his legal difficulties and

10:17

the fact that they might follow him out

10:19

of office if he does serve

10:22

another four years. It makes all of

10:24

that so much more important, it seems

10:26

to me, than it has

10:28

been in at least recent history. And

10:30

it possibly turns on its head the

10:32

reasons why people pick their vice presidential

10:35

candidate. So traditionally, you're looking for somebody

10:37

to balance out the ticket, somebody who

10:39

can reach parts of the electorate that the

10:41

presidential candidate can't. So different demographics. If you've

10:44

got a candidate from the south, you might

10:46

be looking for a northerner,

10:48

a woman to stand alongside

10:50

a man, maybe a person of color if you've

10:52

got a white candidate. People

10:55

who appear more, appeal more to the left or the right

10:57

of their party, for instance. And

10:59

it's usually seen that way, that

11:01

you've got this vice presidential candidate

11:04

stands beside the president, persuades a

11:06

whole host of voters to come along

11:08

with them who might not otherwise do so,

11:10

and is then forgotten about for four years.

11:12

And during the campaign, very rarely does anybody

11:15

look very hard at what this person

11:17

would be like if they were the ones sat

11:19

in the Oval Office. And that's what's going to

11:21

be fascinating this year to see if they are

11:23

more interrogated about how their policies would be the

11:25

same or differ from the guy who's at the

11:27

top of the ticket and just whether or not

11:29

they would be competent in office. I remember

11:31

when I was a kid, actually, in

11:33

1980, I was an eight year old visiting

11:35

Washington, DC for the first time. And my

11:37

dad took me to a hotel and we

11:39

were riding up the elevator in the hotel.

11:41

And lo and behold, I was on the

11:43

elevator with Walter Mondale, who was Jimmy Carter's

11:45

vice president, the outgoing vice president. He had

11:48

already lost election. And my

11:50

dad introduced me. We shook hands and parted

11:52

ways in the elevator. My

11:54

first brush with politics as a

11:57

kid. And it is still something I vividly remember. one

12:00

of my first experiences ever reporting from

12:02

the united states uh... bust have been

12:04

back in two thousand two

12:07

thousand one something like that dick cheney was

12:09

the vice president because that well he'd

12:11

been appointed to try and pick a

12:13

vice presidential candidate to vet them all to look

12:15

across the whole country to try and decide who

12:18

would be the best running mate for george

12:20

w bush and he's goward the whole of america

12:22

and came up with himself and

12:24

uh... and made himself the vice president

12:26

and so he's in office when i'm

12:29

here reported and i know he's going to be

12:31

coming out of a a building after a television interview

12:33

one sunday morning and i am absolutely determined

12:35

i'm going to get to the question to

12:37

him i'm going to make my mark in

12:39

american that television journalism so i'm all keyed

12:42

up uh... and i don't know

12:44

if you know this and today but if you're reporting

12:46

in the uk if you're standing outside dining street waiting

12:48

for the prime minister for making get pretty physical to

12:51

be honest people crowd in all at once in

12:53

the elbow your competitors out of the way

12:55

in order to shove your microphone in front of

12:57

the politician and so i'm already

12:59

to do this echo charging forward only

13:01

to discover that firstly that is

13:04

not how polite american television reporters

13:06

behave at all they're all appalled but

13:08

not quite surprised at the secret service

13:10

who followed vice president and all the

13:12

time anyway suffice to say that did

13:14

not end well i did not get

13:16

an interview with dick cheney and i

13:19

only just managed to self-page being allowed

13:21

to report from america ever again god that

13:24

that they have those moments of genuinely

13:26

dangerous or potentially genuinely dangerous to because

13:28

everyone's very well armed and and and

13:30

and quite on edge uh...

13:32

let's talk about individuals then should we

13:34

just go through some of the obvious

13:36

names the trump himself as

13:38

kind of not battered away and and

13:41

and are themselves uh... saying

13:43

that they're interested that there's an obvious

13:45

one she became very prominent quite recently

13:47

and at least a phonic so

13:50

she was one of these people got a quite

13:52

a few of these it was a trump skeptic and

13:54

now has gone very very much

13:57

full-on trump lover and

14:00

has become a kind of really,

14:02

really true believer, it seems, in

14:05

everything that he believes

14:07

in, and became very prominent nationally

14:11

when she asked that series of

14:13

questions in Congress of the

14:15

bosses of some of the big Ivy

14:18

League colleges and got them in a

14:20

terrible mess over anti-Semitism

14:23

on campus. And that was

14:25

kind of the moment where

14:27

she inserted herself, I suppose,

14:29

into America's national political story.

14:32

I am asking, specifically calling

14:34

for the genocide of Jews, does

14:37

that constitute bullying or harassment?

14:40

If it is directed and severe or pervasive,

14:42

it is harassment? So the answer

14:44

is yes. It is

14:46

a context-dependent decision, Congresswoman. It's a

14:48

context-dependent decision. That's your testimony today,

14:51

calling for the genocide of Jews

14:53

is depending upon the context. That

14:55

is not bullying or harassment. This

14:58

is the easiest question to answer

15:00

yes, Miss McGill. If

15:02

that was an audition to get

15:04

herself on the list for a vice

15:06

presidential pick, it did very, very well. It

15:08

became the cold open for Saturday Night Live,

15:11

the sketch show that goes out every Saturday

15:13

night and often parodies the big political moment

15:15

of the week. Everybody knew who Elise Stefanik

15:17

was after that. I'd be interested,

15:20

you guys, whether you think that her

15:22

previously more liberal past, more moderate past,

15:24

is an asset or a setback. Because

15:26

obviously she could speak to, say, suburban

15:28

women voters, for instance, one of the

15:31

groups that Trump has trouble with, and

15:33

they could more easily identify with her

15:35

because she wasn't always, you know, full

15:37

magma, true believer. But it also does

15:40

mean there will be things she said,

15:42

albeit not specifically about Trump, that can

15:44

be brought up again and again. And

15:46

he might find that rather irritating that

15:48

previously moderate stances are being thrown around

15:50

as quotes from her. positions

16:00

and he moved. The criticisms in the past,

16:02

yeah, that will probably be thrown at her,

16:05

although Donald Trump has embraced some people who

16:07

have criticized him as long as he feels

16:10

that they have seen the lighting come around

16:12

to him. I think that the

16:14

fact that she's a woman is going to be one of

16:17

the reasons why she's on the shortlist for Donald

16:19

Trump, because there is a lot of interest

16:21

among the Trump circle and Trump himself

16:24

in balancing the ticket with a woman

16:26

candidate, because women voters has been a

16:28

real source of weakness for Republicans. And

16:30

as we discussed earlier, this would

16:32

be a way to shore up

16:34

that support. That actually is a

16:37

question that Ian sent us on Discord. He

16:39

said, will it help Trump to choose a

16:41

woman? And I think the answer you would

16:43

agree is yes, right? When we had to

16:45

make our time capsule predictions a few months

16:48

ago, one of the ones I put in

16:50

was that Trump would pick a woman to

16:52

be on his ticket. He likes

16:54

to have women around him if they have

16:56

the right look. And there is a very,

16:58

very MAGA look, which you see not just

17:00

the people he surrounds himself with. If you ever

17:03

go to any Trump event that he's holding some

17:05

of these like victory night parties after the primaries

17:07

or something, all the hairstyles, all the makeup,

17:09

all the high heels are practically the same

17:11

and all of the women there is a

17:14

very, very defined MAGA look. And

17:16

I think if you're going to

17:18

base it on that, and he does, look

17:20

at the lawyer he had sitting beside him

17:22

all through the Trump organization fraud trial in

17:24

New York, who didn't necessarily prove to be

17:26

the most effective barrister that he could have

17:28

had in the court. But she was out

17:30

of Trump World Central casting for being very

17:32

glamorous and well-dressed. And so I

17:34

think it does matter to him. And that surely puts

17:37

Kristy Noem pretty far up

17:39

the list, South Dakota governor, who

17:42

may have been getting ready for her close

17:44

up as she went and had her teeth

17:46

fixed recently, but that became a whole controversy

17:48

in itself. I'm Kristy

17:50

Noem. I'm the governor of South Dakota

17:52

and had the opportunity to come to

17:54

Smile Texas to fix my teeth, which

17:57

has been absolutely amazing. The team here

17:59

was... remarkable and finally gave

18:01

me a smile that I

18:03

can be proud of and confident in. It

18:05

was amazing to me how flexible this team

18:07

was with my schedule and they are that

18:10

way with everyone. I'll be eternally grateful. It

18:12

has been a gift to be here at

18:14

Smell Texas. So yeah, Kristi Noem

18:16

has been under some criticism for what

18:18

she may have gotten in return for

18:21

that little endorsement but she does have

18:23

potential as you mentioned Sarah and she

18:25

was at CPAC that gathering the Conservatives

18:28

last month and tied for the most

18:30

votes as among the

18:32

people, attendees therefore, who Donald Trump's

18:34

vice presidential pick should be. She

18:36

tied with Vivek Ramaswamy. One

18:39

count against Kristi Noem I think that we need

18:41

to drop in though is abortion which is going

18:43

to be a huge issue in this election as

18:45

we all know. In South Dakota

18:47

where she's the governor they have a total

18:49

abortion ban with no exceptions for rape incest

18:52

or the life of the mother and she

18:54

has passionately defended that and as we know

18:56

Donald Trump thinks that that's a significant vote

18:59

loser. He wants to minimize the role of

19:01

abortion policy in this election and he wants

19:03

to come up with some kind of compromise around an abortion

19:06

ban after about 15 or 16 weeks but not

19:08

earlier than that. So that could be a real

19:10

drag on Kristi Noem I think. Another

19:12

favorite or another person I saw

19:14

a lot of support for at

19:17

CPAC was Tulsi Gabbard who was

19:19

a former Democratic Congresswoman from Hawaii

19:21

who then became an independent, has

19:24

appeared on Fox regularly. She's very

19:26

charismatic, very very well spoken. She's

19:29

had us a military background. She's

19:31

young so she might be

19:33

a dark horse for a woman on the

19:36

ticket although again she has a more

19:38

liberal background and has endorsed actually Bernie

19:40

Sanders back in 2016 so

19:43

it would take a certain leap of faith

19:45

on Donald Trump's part to put her on

19:47

the ticket. Yeah and when it comes to

19:49

Tulsi Gabbard, I mean as you were

19:51

saying she

19:54

does have a past as

19:56

a Democrat and even a left-wing Democrat and

19:58

I just wonder how much of a risk

20:00

Donald Trump wants to take given that

20:02

things with Mike Pence didn't work out

20:04

as he expected them to. And I

20:07

think there are, you know, you've got

20:09

to factor in the conversation

20:11

that we're having now is kind of

20:13

mirrored by a conversation that he has,

20:16

he is having with people. And

20:18

his conversation is going to be

20:21

with the professional members of staff

20:23

and everyone right across the board

20:25

says that Trump is much better

20:28

advised by political operatives behind

20:30

the scenes who have done other campaigns

20:32

and who know about what has worked

20:34

in the past, who will be kind

20:37

of advising him to do the

20:39

conventional thing, to think through this choice,

20:41

to not shoot from the hip or

20:43

choose from the hip if you can

20:45

choose from the hip and work out

20:48

the kind of pros and cons of

20:50

each person. And I think part of

20:52

this entire conversation that we're having is

20:54

actually about, never mind the names, it's about

20:56

whether Trump is just going to pick someone

20:58

because it's kind of crazy and interesting and

21:01

he wants it to be good television. Sort

21:03

of in the way that John McCain did way

21:06

back when he made his rather wild

21:08

choice of vice presidential candidate, does he

21:10

go down that road or does he

21:12

actually listen to the politicals who've kind

21:15

of sorted his campaign much more this

21:17

time than it was in 2020 or

21:20

2016? And does he then

21:22

go down a more conventional route?

21:24

And I think it's those sorts

21:27

of questions behind the scenes that are

21:29

going to determine who

21:31

he picks, not just whether it's a man or

21:34

a woman or indeed someone

21:36

of colour, because that's another

21:38

point that people are making,

21:40

isn't it, behind the scenes. It's not just that

21:42

he could choose a woman. He could also choose

21:45

Senator from South Carolina, Tim Scott, for

21:47

whom I think, I mean, he ran

21:50

for the nomination and when he started,

21:52

he's by all accounts a very nice

21:54

man, people like him right across the

21:56

political aisle in Congress and feel that

21:58

he's a good... person and his stick

22:01

is very sunny, very un-Trump-like

22:03

actually about what he wants

22:05

America to be like. But

22:08

if you're going to go for a group,

22:11

if you're going to go for identity,

22:13

and Trump very much wants to attract

22:15

young black men in particular, then who

22:18

knows? Tim Scott, he's available

22:20

and he seems very keen. He

22:23

did run against Donald Trump for the nomination, but

22:25

he wasn't enormously critical of him. He

22:27

didn't say anything that could come back

22:30

to bite him now. And

22:32

pretty much as he dropped out, he

22:34

became this MAGA true believer following Trump

22:36

around the place. Donald

22:39

Trump himself says he's a better surrogate for

22:41

Trump than Trump is, and that he's making

22:43

a better case for Trump than he ever

22:45

made for Tim Scott himself. And all of

22:47

that's true, but to the point where it's

22:49

so sycophantic sometimes when you see him on

22:51

stage with Donald Trump. Because I think that's

22:53

another aspect of this. Does he want someone who's

22:56

so utterly sycophantic that he quickly

22:58

gets sick of them? I mean, we can't

23:00

know, but it's interesting to speculate, I think,

23:03

the psychology of the Trump choice is more

23:05

complex than you might kind of immediately think.

23:07

And let's hear Tim Scott and Donald Trump

23:10

together if you want to get a taste

23:12

for that kind of sycophancy that you mentioned.

23:14

She actually appointed you, Tim. And

23:18

think of it, appointed and you're the

23:21

senator of his state and she

23:23

endorsed me. You

23:26

must really hate her. No,

23:29

it's a shame. It's a shame. Uh

23:31

oh. I

23:34

just love you. That's why he's a great

23:37

politician. Pass

23:40

the sick bag, Alice, as they used

23:43

to say. I mean, he's talking there

23:45

about Nikki Haley, isn't he? That

23:47

the thorn in his side and not

23:49

wanting to be too nice about her.

23:51

And it was Nikki Haley who appointed

23:54

Tim Scott. And Tim Scott, of course, then

23:56

turned on Nikki Haley. So it's all very

23:58

complicated and Well, not very nice, I suppose.

24:01

Yeah, so Anthony, Justin, I

24:04

wonder if you've spotted the same thing

24:06

I have, which is just how much

24:08

Trump seems to be enjoying

24:10

relishing this process, though. And in

24:13

fact, I remember watching him picking

24:15

his first cabinet members when he was first elected

24:17

in 2016. And the same

24:19

thing was going on where he was just

24:21

making people audition for it, potentially

24:24

humiliating them at the end if he

24:26

decided not to go for them. But

24:28

he's going around the country at the

24:30

moment teasing not just the voters, but

24:32

lots of potential candidates. He was down

24:34

on the border a couple of weeks ago in

24:36

Texas, so he had the Texas Governor Greg

24:38

Abbott beside him. And he immediately starts talking

24:40

about what a great running mate, Greg Abbott,

24:43

would be. And so he has to say

24:45

he would be delighted and honored. And then

24:47

the next time he's going to be standing

24:49

beside anybody who's even possibly a running

24:52

mate, he'll be putting out

24:54

these little hints, and therefore he'll

24:56

just be weighing up the sycophancy

24:58

that comes his way as a

25:00

result. He just he really enjoys

25:02

toying with people and their egos,

25:05

I think. And this has got to be one of the

25:07

best games he can have. I mean, it's like a certain

25:09

television program, isn't it? Which he made

25:11

his name and a lot of his money.

25:13

I mean, it really is. And that's how

25:15

he treats it. Yeah. I

25:17

assume, Justin, you're talking about The Apprentice, where

25:20

people competed to get a shot at his

25:22

apprentice. Don't forget, he also used to own

25:24

Miss Universe. And there are

25:26

elements of this contest, I have to

25:28

say, as these candidates parade themselves in

25:30

front of him, which might be more

25:32

akin to Miss Universe than it is to

25:34

The Apprentice. I have forgotten about the Miss Universe

25:37

days. Anyway, so are we

25:39

saying that Tim Scott is unlikely because he's

25:41

too sycophantic? Is that just us or is

25:43

that? No, I don't think sycophancy

25:45

rules you out. No. So

25:47

we're not ruling Tim Scott out. And, you

25:49

know, as I was suggesting, he seems to

25:51

be someone who is sunny, where Trump is

25:54

dark and who has friends, where Trump has

25:56

a lot of enemies. And if you're looking

25:58

for this balance, take a look. ticket thing.

26:00

I think we're all suggesting that he's not necessarily

26:02

looking for a balanced ticket, but if you

26:04

are, if he is, then Tim Scott fits the bill.

26:08

And he's a good speaker. He didn't come

26:10

across very well in the debates because he

26:12

speaks quite slowly, but he's got a great

26:14

story about how he made it in America

26:17

and if he can, how anybody can. It's

26:19

a kind of uplifting Reaganite kind of story.

26:21

And he's very charming and charismatic, if he's

26:23

got an audience who's prepared to give him

26:26

the time to listen. So in

26:29

personality ways, he could balance out

26:31

quite a lot of Donald Trump as well as politically. There

26:33

is a candidate we haven't yet talked

26:35

about who is a really

26:38

interesting, I mean, in a sense, he

26:40

is a balanced ticket and he certainly

26:42

brings something to the ticket potentially rather

26:44

as Tim Scott as a black man

26:47

or the various women as women.

26:50

Marco Rubio, who is

26:53

a senator from Florida who

26:55

has been around for quite a

26:58

long time now, famously, famously, famously

27:00

back in 2016, ran

27:02

against Trump for the nomination and

27:05

was utterly destroyed by Donald

27:07

Trump. Humiliated. Humiliated. I mean, it's worth,

27:09

we've got the clip, it's worth listening

27:12

to some of that humiliation. Don't worry

27:14

about it, little Marco, I will. Well,

27:16

let's hear big Donald. Don't worry about

27:18

it, little Marco. Gentlemen, let's hear you.

27:23

You ought to show a better man. You've got

27:25

to do better than those. And then himself said

27:29

of Trump that he wasn't fit for office.

27:31

And now he's suddenly saying, oh, yeah, yeah,

27:34

if I was picked, I'd do it. And his

27:36

name is going around, even though for all

27:38

the reasons that you've just outlined, Justin, it

27:40

seems incredibly unlikely. And yet you keep hearing

27:42

it come up in conversation. I

27:45

don't know if that's because it's really

27:47

under consideration or because somebody in little

27:49

Marco's team is briefing it very hard.

27:51

It's always interesting when you start having

27:54

these chats in politics and lots of

27:56

different people all start telling you the

27:58

same thing. either means

28:00

they're all right, or it means that there's a campaign

28:02

behind it to convince you that they are. Right.

28:05

Yeah, that's the thing about Marco Rubio.

28:07

Yes, he would bring perhaps Hispanic voters,

28:09

which is another targeted group that Republicans

28:11

feel like they've made inroads in and

28:13

could really cement. And if they just

28:15

convince more to vote Republican, that could

28:18

really deliver Arizona and Nevada to very

28:20

key swing states to the Republicans. But

28:22

he also has his own independent presidential

28:24

ambitions, as we saw in 2016. And

28:27

as we discussed before, would Donald Trump

28:29

want to have a VP who has

28:31

got his own agenda, Justin? I

28:34

don't think that fits with what we've been playing so

28:36

far. Well, yeah, except that. Does he

28:38

believe in anything at all? And if the

28:41

answer to that is probably no, then does

28:43

that make him really attractive to Donald Trump?

28:45

I weirdly, I had lunch with him in

28:47

about maybe 2015. So

28:50

he was in London, and a few of us met up with

28:52

him and had a very nice

28:54

lunch at the offices of the

28:56

Spectator magazine, this old and conservative

28:59

British magazine. And they'd invited him

29:01

in. And what became

29:03

obvious, he was talking then about how

29:06

to become the candidate and get through

29:08

what I remember him using this term,

29:10

the Fox News primary. So in

29:12

other words, he said the problem with all of us

29:14

is we get pushed to the right by Fox News.

29:16

And I don't want to be that person getting pushed

29:18

to the right. In other words, and then he was

29:20

running as a very much a centrist Republican. And

29:23

then he went into the 2016 election kind of

29:25

in the same position. And then he's been in

29:27

all sorts of contorted positions since

29:30

then and now appears to be a

29:32

fan of Donald Trump. I wonder if that

29:34

very ability

29:37

to change rather

29:39

attracts him to Trump or attracts Trump

29:41

to him because he's not really

29:43

a threat because he hasn't got anything when it

29:46

comes to kind of political ambition. He's

29:48

got lots of ambition, but it's not political.

29:50

It's not to do anything. He's got one

29:53

big problem though. And I feel sure that

29:55

Anthony knows exactly what the 12th amendment to

29:57

the constitution says. Oh,

29:59

yeah. I do. And it's

30:02

a rule that you can't have two

30:04

candidates, vice president and a president, from

30:07

the same state running in an

30:09

election on the same ticket. So

30:11

one of them would have to move

30:13

or claim residency in a different state

30:15

in order to avoid having Florida's

30:18

electoral votes where they're both from, not count

30:20

for Republicans, which is kind of a big

30:23

deal. Florida's a big state, an important state.

30:25

So now maybe Donald Trump would claim New

30:27

Jersey, maybe Marco Rubio. I don't know. He

30:29

could claim Nevada, moved to Nevada. He used to

30:31

live there as a kid, but it is an

30:34

obstacle, a not insurmountable obstacle. He had

30:36

Dick Cheney and George W. Bush, both

30:38

from Texas and Cheney, then claimed Wyoming

30:40

as his home state. But it is

30:42

something that they would have to get

30:45

through if Marco Rubio

30:47

was on the ticket. That is fabulously nerdy. So

30:49

the first thing we know, if it's

30:51

going to happen, is we see Rubio's moved

30:54

to Hawaii or something. And

30:56

there's one other candidate I want to talk to,

30:58

because I think he's really interesting and unusual and

31:01

different. And that might be something that Donald Trump

31:03

goes for. And that's the new senator from Ohio

31:06

who was elected just two years ago, J.D.

31:08

Vance. He is the author of that 2016

31:11

bestselling book, Hillbilly Elegy, the

31:13

memoir that was about his

31:15

working-class roots in Ohio and

31:18

the Midwest. He was a never-Trump-er in

31:20

the beginning, but then came around to

31:22

Donald Trump and now has been a

31:25

very active and enthusiastic supporter of Donald

31:27

Trump in the Senate. And

31:29

if you get to the idea that

31:32

this entire presidential election is going to

31:34

be decided by white working-class voters in

31:36

places like Wisconsin and Michigan and Pennsylvania,

31:38

I think J.D. Vance may be the

31:41

best candidate to try to win those

31:43

people over, to get them out to

31:45

the polls. He's young. He's only 38

31:48

years old. He's an interesting

31:50

guy. And I think if I had to pick

31:52

someone, I might be putting my money on J.D.

31:54

Vance at this point. Yeah, and he's another of

31:56

these people who's been on a journey, hasn't he?

31:58

Because he was very firmly. anti-Trump.

32:01

Yeah, he did well in 2022 in

32:04

the midterms because if you remember we

32:06

were predicting this red wave that was going

32:08

to come and in fact a lot of Republican

32:10

candidates did really quite badly in the midterms

32:12

and many of the ones who'd been

32:14

endorsed by Donald Trump did particularly badly

32:16

with a few exceptions the shiniest of

32:19

which was JD Vance who won

32:21

pretty comfortably and enjoyed that Trump endorsement

32:23

so you know he looks like a

32:25

winner and he ran a very interesting

32:27

campaign have a listen to this. Call

32:57

us. We will put America first. And

33:00

that's an issue that's going to be huge

33:02

I think we're all agreed that immigration is

33:05

really going to matter in this campaign and

33:07

that's a way of talking about it which

33:09

neutralizes some of the inflammatory rhetoric that Donald

33:11

Trump uses when talking about it but you know

33:13

a lot of people will agree with that. Let's

33:16

mention a few other names who are probably not going

33:18

to be on the list and the obvious one to

33:20

start with is Nikki Haley because if

33:22

you're a centrist Republican

33:24

and and you wake

33:26

up in the middle of the night in

33:29

a cold sweat thinking how

33:31

on earth are we going to manage this I suppose you

33:33

think I know we'll get

33:35

a candidate who kind of reigns Trump in

33:37

and as if that were possible to do

33:39

and and changes his policy and

33:41

Trump can just be president and get off

33:44

all the get off all the

33:46

court cases and all the rest of it and actually leave

33:48

someone else to actually govern I'm not suggesting for a minute

33:50

that could happen but I suppose if

33:52

you were thinking that that might happen then your choice

33:54

would be Nikki Haley about

33:56

whom we talked so much so recently

33:58

and now right And there are

34:01

a few more here on the list that

34:03

we should probably talk about. Carrie Lake, who

34:05

is running for Senator in Arizona. She ran

34:07

for governor and lost in 2022, but a

34:09

telegenic Trump supporter. But she's

34:11

kind of got her race now to

34:14

focus on. So she probably won't take

34:16

a VP pick. Sarah Huckabee Sanders, you

34:18

remember her. She was Donald Trump's press

34:20

secretary for a big chunk of his

34:22

term in office. She's now governor of

34:24

Arizona and is an enthusiastic Trump supporter,

34:26

another woman that Trump could look at

34:28

to put on the ticket. Of

34:31

course, Marjorie Taylor Greene, we all

34:33

know her. She's the Congresswoman from

34:35

Georgia, a bomb thrower who has

34:38

been an outspoken Trump supporter, also

34:41

could catch Donald Trump's eye. And

34:43

then, Sarah, what about Tucker Carlson? If Donald Trump wants

34:45

to really think outside the box, he's got a lot

34:48

of free time. Do you think he might have a

34:50

shot? Is it got enough free time now that

34:52

he's no longer on Fox News to

34:54

go around Russia making movies about

34:57

how much better it is there than it

34:59

is in the United States of America? Because

35:01

remember, he went over to interview Vladimir Putin,

35:04

and President Putin didn't think much of that interview. He

35:06

said he wasn't asked very clever questions. And then

35:08

he started making these videos that he was putting

35:10

out on X, formerly known as

35:13

Twitter, including how very clever it

35:15

is in Russia. On the supermarket

35:17

trolleys, you can put a coin in, use

35:19

the trolley in the supermarket and get the

35:21

coin back again on the way out. And

35:23

that stops people from throwing them into the

35:25

rivers in the canal. All right. Here

35:28

we go. So I guess you

35:30

put in 10 rubles here and you

35:32

get it back when

35:34

you put the cart back. So

35:37

it's free, but there's an incentive to return

35:39

it and not just bring it to your

35:41

homeless encampment. OK. The

35:44

it would be good for a laugh, Tucker

35:47

Carlson, but would it gain any votes? Yeah.

35:49

So long term and he needs someone who can.

35:52

And this is a kind of technical

35:55

issue for Trump, but I think quite an important one.

35:58

And I don't know whether he thinks this is. strategically

36:00

as this, but if

36:02

he wants to avoid all the potential

36:04

criminal cases, and he does the presidency,

36:06

so he does the four years, and

36:09

nothing progresses during the four years because

36:11

the understanding with the Justice Department is

36:13

that nothing can, and the states won't

36:15

do it either. But actually, at the

36:17

end of the four years, assuming he's

36:19

successfully pardoned himself for the federal cases,

36:21

which there is some question about the

36:23

extent to which he can do that,

36:26

but let's assume that he can do

36:28

that, he's still got these state cases

36:30

waiting for him, certainly the one in

36:32

Georgia, which is unlikely to have started

36:34

before the election. So does he

36:36

need someone who can run and win in

36:38

2028 and can then make sure

36:41

that that case doesn't

36:44

haunt him? And I do wonder

36:46

whether there is a kind of

36:48

thinking that the person he needs

36:50

needs to be a potential 2028

36:53

winner, and that some of

36:55

those wilder suggestions, the Marjorie Taylor Greens, the

36:57

Tucker Carlson's, I mean, who knows what America

36:59

is like by then, maybe they are potential

37:01

winners, they would probably both say that they

37:03

were, but actually, I wonder whether that sort

37:05

of brings him towards the safer side of

37:07

town, as it were as well. Well,

37:10

I've always wondered whether or not he's going to

37:12

want to groom Eric or Don

37:14

Jr. to be his

37:16

successor, and then you could argue you want a

37:18

vice president who's not going to be competition in

37:20

2028. If he looks to

37:22

turn it into a family business, he's already

37:25

got his daughter-in-law running the Republican National

37:27

Committee, and he'll be wanting to put

37:29

the family in some kind of position,

37:31

I would think, make it dynastic. Yep, plans

37:33

within plans, it's all very Shakespearean. We could

37:36

go down a rabbit hole just thinking about

37:38

it all. That's our job,

37:40

at least on this podcast, because people like the

37:42

rabbit holes. They come up to

37:45

me in the street, I don't know about you, but I've had,

37:47

in fact, the newsreader on Radio 4

37:49

the other day, I was doing my day job

37:51

on the Today programme, the newsreader. As soon as

37:53

the bulletin was underway and something was being played,

37:56

Alan Smith, he turned to me and he said, I've got

37:58

several questions I want to ask, and... And I said,

38:00

well, isn't either the time nor the place,

38:02

I said. But, yeah, someone came up to

38:05

me in the street the other day as

38:07

well to say, could I write some questions

38:09

down? So, I mean, people like the rabbit

38:11

holes. And I think understandably, because it is

38:13

sort of endlessly fascinating. And here is a

38:15

rabbit hole before we wrap up. Who's

38:17

it going to be? Few entries

38:20

in our America's time capsule. I know

38:22

I've got some quite wild entries

38:24

there, which have still not come true, but who

38:26

knows if they might? Yeah, of course, of the

38:28

summer, we've got a few months to go. Still

38:30

time. So nominees for vice president, 2024,

38:32

Anthony, kick us off. You

38:35

know, I'm going to say J.D. Vance. I think

38:38

Tim Scott would be the safe pick, but I

38:40

think Donald Trump might decide to make that real

38:42

play, as I mentioned, for white working class voters.

38:44

So J.D. Vance is my pick. That's

38:46

a good one. I'm going to say Elise Stefanik.

38:49

Yeah, I mean, both of those are good.

38:51

I wonder if Tulsi Gabbard, I mean, I

38:53

know there is this problem that she has

38:55

been in the past quite an outspoken Democrat,

38:57

but she's also in more recent times been

39:00

very outspokenly anti-Democrat, if you see

39:02

what I mean. And I wonder

39:04

whether that might attract

39:06

her to him. So I'm going to go

39:08

for her. You could be right.

39:10

I've heard rumors. I heard a friend of mine was

39:13

talking to some Republican senators a few months ago and

39:15

Gabbard was one they thought was going to be the

39:17

pick. OK, the WhatsApp 443301239480. And

39:24

if you're a news reader in the BBC,

39:26

that's how you get in touch with us, folks. Don't

39:28

hand me bits of paper in the studio. americast.bbc.co.uk.

39:33

Hashtag America's something

39:35

called Discord. Remember, you will always

39:37

hear America's first and in full as a

39:40

podcast on BBC Science. And we'll see

39:42

you later. Bye. Goodbye.

39:45

Bye. America's America's from

39:47

BBC News. Thanks

39:49

for listening to America's from BBC News.

39:52

You can subscribe to this podcast on

39:54

the free BBC Sounds app, which is

39:56

now available worldwide. Honey,

40:04

why are you packing a suit

40:07

with swim trunks and sunscreen? Because

40:09

I can't wear the same suit for

40:11

fine dining and kayaking. Total

40:13

faux pas. Then I need something casual for the

40:15

roller coasters. Oh, and the music festival.

40:18

Meetings waterside. Really? Looks like

40:20

your work trip to Tampa Bay just

40:22

turned into a couples trip through the

40:24

weekend. How's our packing? Where it meets Leia,

40:27

Tampa Bay. Our business and leisure

40:29

blend perfectly. Discover modern hotels and

40:31

easy vibes at visittampavay.com.

40:41

Honey, why are you packing a

40:43

suit with swim trunks and sunscreen?

40:45

Because I can't wear the same suit

40:47

for fine dining and kayaking. Total faux

40:49

pas. Then I need something casual for

40:51

the roller coasters. Oh, and the

40:53

music festival. Meetings waterside.

40:56

Really? Looks like your work trip

40:58

to Tampa Bay just turned into a couples

41:00

trip through the weekend. How's our packing?

41:02

Where it meets Leia, Tampa Bay.

41:04

Where business and leisure blend

41:06

perfectly. Discover modern hotels and

41:08

easy vibes at visittampavay.com.

Rate

From The Podcast

Americast

The authoritative twice-weekly US news and politics podcast from BBC News, Americast investigates the social and cultural issues that define America today.Is Joe Biden too old to win another go in the White House? What does Donald Trump’s latest criminal charge mean for the Republican campaign? And why have issues such as LGBT rights, global warming and the war effort in Ukraine become so divisive across the US political spectrum? From foreign policy to pop culture, Americast keeps you up to date and in the know about the stories that matter with on-the-ground insights from right across the US.Americast is hosted by trusted journalists including the BBC’s North America editor Sarah Smith, North America correspondent Anthony Zurcher, presenter Justin Webb, and disinformation and social media correspondent, Marianna Spring. Joined by special guests each week such as former chief medical adviser to the president, Dr Anthony Fauci, former FBI director James Comey, CNN anchor and author Jake Tapper, Succession actress J Smith-Cameron, and Suruthi Bala and Hannah Maguire from podcast RedHanded, they look at America through an international lens, trying to make sense of the increasingly polarised political debate.Each week on Americast, Marianna Spring also brings listeners the latest update on BBC Undercover Voters, the award-winning investigation into the content that is recommended to US voters on social media. Marianna has created undercover voters – multiple social media accounts belonging to different characters who sit across the US political divide. By tracking the content that is pushed at each of them, this investigation will cover a turbulent time for US politics with speculation over a Trump bid for the presidency and Biden facing domestic and international challenges.GET IN TOUCH:• Join our online community: https://discord.gg/qSrxqNcmRB• Send us a message or voice note via WhatsApp to +44 330 123 9480• Email [email protected]• Or use #AmericastFind out more about our award-winning "undercover voters" here: bbc.in/3lFddSF.

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