Episode Transcript
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Sounds. Music, radio, podcasts.
1:19
Sounds like someone's got mail. Yeah, you know, I've
1:21
been getting a whole lot of email from a
1:23
whole lot of people, but in particular from Donald
1:25
Trump and his presidential campaign. Let me
1:28
read one that just came to me fairly recently.
1:30
The subject line is, can I tell you who
1:32
my VP is? And then you have the big
1:34
Trump banner and a button saying cast your vote
1:36
and a memo from Trump that says, friends, can
1:39
I tell you who my vice president is? Second
1:42
thought, I have a much better idea. Before the
1:44
day is over, I want to hear from you
1:46
on who my VP should be. I'll be making
1:48
the choice soon. And then he goes
1:50
on to say, that's why I'm asking for you to please submit your
1:52
results now. Answer today and with your
1:54
input, we will make America great again. And of
1:56
course, it goes on to ask for some money
1:58
now. I get a lot
2:00
of emails from Donald Trump and I get a
2:03
few. He texts me a lot and you know
2:05
what, they've started beginning with, Dear Sarah, I love
2:07
you. You're very sweet. I
2:10
don't get texts from him, Sarah. Maybe he
2:12
does love you. Yeah, I don't think anyone
2:14
else in the world gets those texts, which
2:16
is something possibly we should do an entire
2:18
episode of America simply about that. But
2:20
anyway, drawing a veil, as they say, moving
2:23
swiftly on, he's a
2:25
showman. That's the point, isn't it? He's
2:27
a showman and he's found a way
2:29
to get everyone's attention yet again. He
2:31
is so good at this. So he
2:34
has trapped us into discussing this, but
2:36
it's not just him, I should
2:38
say, because we've had this email
2:41
from Edward. Dear Americaast, there has
2:43
been little speculation about Trump's possible
2:45
running mate. It will
2:47
be too late to speculate once he decides,
2:50
so please crack on. Edward,
2:53
this is for you. Welcome to Americaast.
2:55
Americaast. Americaast from BBC News. Let me start
2:58
off with two words. May in America. be
3:01
blamed at all. When
3:03
9-11 happened, we didn't ban planes. We secured
3:06
the cockpit. The president said, I'm going to
3:08
get a kiss
3:20
my ass. Nobody should have to go to jail for
3:22
smoking weed. Hi there, it is Sarah. I'm in the Washington, DC bureau. And
3:24
it's Anthony. point of
3:26
the continental United States. And it's Justin in Boringell, London, England. It's
3:29
a very important time for us to be able
3:31
to get the Western
3:45
point of the continental United States. Why?
4:00
What are you doing? I'm going to be on holiday. Oh, I see. Right.
4:04
I'm going to, but I had booked it without
4:06
knowing that Port Antilles is search or central and
4:08
that he was going to be there at the
4:10
same time. You've booked a holiday amongst
4:13
Anthony's extended family. Yeah.
4:16
Maybe not quite like that. But
4:18
it is beautiful country and it is well worth
4:20
visiting even without family here. Okay.
4:23
Right. Let's get to vice presidential things. I
4:25
mean, we should start off, I suppose, we've
4:27
talked a lot about Kamala Harris, who actually
4:29
is the vice president. We've talked about whether
4:32
she's going to remain Biden's vice
4:34
president. I think I mentioned on
4:36
one of our podcasts quite recently
4:38
that he could drop her. Biden
4:41
could drop her. And it's a kind of elephant in
4:43
the room because we're going to talk mainly about Trump.
4:45
But I just think right at the start, you look
4:47
back to FDR in whenever
4:50
it was, 1944, I suppose it was
4:53
when he was running for his third term, which he was still
4:55
allowed to do then. And he
4:57
or the party, because it was all done a bit
4:59
differently then, the party got rid of the guy called
5:01
Henry Wallace, who was the vice president because they thought
5:03
he wasn't up to it and they put someone else
5:05
in. I'm just saying there are
5:07
a lot of Democrats who at least behind
5:09
their hands and in secret would
5:12
tell you that that would be the solution to an
5:14
awful lot of their ways. But Anthony, you're laughing because
5:16
it ain't going to happen.
5:19
Yeah. I put the chances that approximately
5:21
zero. They are not dropping the first
5:23
black woman vice president in American history
5:26
just because Joe Biden's poll numbers are
5:28
not great. Well, exactly, Justin.
5:30
I couldn't agree with Anthony more. I mean, the
5:32
reason that there's more spotlight on Kamala Harris than
5:35
there would be normally is because of Joe Biden's
5:37
age and because Republicans are campaigning saying, look, there's
5:39
every chance she will actually assume the presidency during
5:42
the next term of Biden's reelected. But
5:44
for everybody who doesn't like her and might
5:46
be more likely to vote for a different
5:48
VP candidate, think of all of the women
5:51
and all the voters of color who make
5:53
up a huge part of Joe Biden's coalition
5:55
who would be so furious that he
5:57
would be shooting himself. It's an interesting one that I mean, I
5:59
don't. I'm not absolutely, obviously I'm not disagreeing with either
6:01
of you, but I was listening the other day to
6:04
Sarah Longwell, who you will both know, the
6:06
Republican pollster, very respectable, anti-Trump Republican pollster,
6:08
been around a long time, does a
6:10
lot of focus groups. And so this
6:13
wasn't a poll, it was a focus
6:15
group. And she had done a focus
6:17
group where they've got black
6:19
women talking about all the candidates and
6:21
all the potential candidates. And she said
6:23
there was a lot of hostility towards
6:26
Kamala Harris in that focus group because
6:28
they said she isn't representing us well.
6:32
And they were actually, they felt that
6:34
she was a poor representation of them.
6:36
So I take all your points, but
6:39
I think there are significant numbers of
6:41
people, including people of colour, including women
6:43
inside the Democratic Party, who as I
6:45
say, really in a very darkened room,
6:47
where it's absolutely secret would say, you
6:50
know what, we're quite like someone else.
6:52
Yeah, they're all the same people who are whispering behind their hands
6:55
that they hope somebody other than Joe Biden would run at the
6:57
top of the ticket and that didn't get them very far. Yeah,
7:00
true point. Anyway, turning back to Trump,
7:02
which is the main subject. So who's out?
7:04
Vivek Rabaswamy is out, isn't
7:06
he? Mike Pence, Mike Pence,
7:09
Anthony, I mean, it's an unusual situation.
7:11
Everything's so unusual this year. I
7:14
don't think we've properly stressed how
7:17
weird it is that the actual
7:19
vice president under Donald Trump is
7:22
now not just ruling himself out,
7:24
but also not wanting to vote
7:26
for his former president. Yeah, absolutely.
7:28
It is very unusual. And it's
7:30
interesting that the reason Pence said
7:32
he was not going to endorse
7:34
Donald Trump wasn't because Donald Trump
7:36
incited a riot at
7:38
the Capitol that threatened his life, but
7:40
because Donald Trump wasn't sufficiently conservative, which
7:42
I mean, okay, but it is a
7:45
little, you know, ignoring the
7:48
big question, the big threat that posed
7:50
Pence back on January 6th. Let's
7:52
listen to the former vice president. He was talking to
7:55
Martha McCallum on Fox News a couple
7:57
of weeks ago. I cannot in good
7:59
kind. conscience, uh, endorsed Donald
8:01
Trump in this campaign. But let me say
8:04
one last thing that being said, look, Republican
8:06
primary voters have made it clear, Martha, uh,
8:09
uh, you know, who they're for
8:11
in this election. What I'm going to spend the rest of
8:13
this year on is talking about what we
8:15
should be for. And that is the broad
8:18
mainstream conservative agenda.
8:21
Moving along, we do have a question
8:23
from Thomas in Germany via email and
8:25
Thomas writes, given the ages
8:27
of Joe Biden and Donald Trump, the
8:30
risk is higher that the future VP
8:32
might eventually become the actual president. Does
8:34
this mean the VP picks are more
8:36
important? Could the presidential race become a
8:39
race between two VP candidates? What do
8:41
you think, Justin? Uh,
8:43
100% yes, actually. I think it's a really good
8:45
question. I think it's really potentially true because the
8:47
normal thing you say about the vice president, I've
8:49
heard you say this, Anthony,
8:51
uh, it doesn't matter. I mean, really, it doesn't matter.
8:54
It doesn't add up too much. Um, uh,
8:56
and there've been all sorts of rather rude things. Vice
8:59
presidents have been called in the past and they're
9:01
on the vice presidential job. And you think that
9:03
wonderful. Yeah, yeah, exactly. Bugger the spit.
9:05
Yeah, it will be kind of halfway house
9:07
between how rude it actually was and what we're
9:09
allowed to say. So, uh, so there's all of
9:12
that stuff and there's a veep. I mean,
9:14
you know, lots of people have seen the TVs,
9:16
that wonderful TV series about the utterly hapless,
9:18
useless, um, uh, vice president. And
9:20
you know, that is the kind of, and you
9:22
think back to, who was the
9:24
guy who couldn't spell potato? Dan quail. Dan
9:26
quail. Yeah. I mean, potato or tomato. Anyway,
9:28
he, he corrected a young kid in a
9:30
class and put an E on the end.
9:33
Yeah. And then, you know, everyone laughed at
9:35
him, poor guy and, and, but nobody
9:37
really cared that, that much. And that
9:39
has been, that's the kind of classic
9:42
way, isn't it? And which the vice
9:44
presidential job is seen until this
9:46
year. And among the, all
9:48
the weird things about this year, all the things
9:51
about this year that are just, um,
9:53
utterly bonkers is the real
9:55
chance that either of these presidential, no, no, no, no, no,
9:57
no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no.
10:00
nominees will become, let's
10:02
put this delicately, incapacitated
10:04
while in office. And
10:07
that really does raise the stakes, it
10:09
seems to me. It raises the
10:11
stakes for both men. But my goodness, it
10:13
makes the Trump pick for all
10:15
manner of reasons, given his legal difficulties and
10:17
the fact that they might follow him out
10:19
of office if he does serve
10:22
another four years. It makes all of
10:24
that so much more important, it seems
10:26
to me, than it has
10:28
been in at least recent history. And
10:30
it possibly turns on its head the
10:32
reasons why people pick their vice presidential
10:35
candidate. So traditionally, you're looking for somebody
10:37
to balance out the ticket, somebody who
10:39
can reach parts of the electorate that the
10:41
presidential candidate can't. So different demographics. If you've
10:44
got a candidate from the south, you might
10:46
be looking for a northerner,
10:48
a woman to stand alongside
10:50
a man, maybe a person of color if you've
10:52
got a white candidate. People
10:55
who appear more, appeal more to the left or the right
10:57
of their party, for instance. And
10:59
it's usually seen that way, that
11:01
you've got this vice presidential candidate
11:04
stands beside the president, persuades a
11:06
whole host of voters to come along
11:08
with them who might not otherwise do so,
11:10
and is then forgotten about for four years.
11:12
And during the campaign, very rarely does anybody
11:15
look very hard at what this person
11:17
would be like if they were the ones sat
11:19
in the Oval Office. And that's what's going to
11:21
be fascinating this year to see if they are
11:23
more interrogated about how their policies would be the
11:25
same or differ from the guy who's at the
11:27
top of the ticket and just whether or not
11:29
they would be competent in office. I remember
11:31
when I was a kid, actually, in
11:33
1980, I was an eight year old visiting
11:35
Washington, DC for the first time. And my
11:37
dad took me to a hotel and we
11:39
were riding up the elevator in the hotel.
11:41
And lo and behold, I was on the
11:43
elevator with Walter Mondale, who was Jimmy Carter's
11:45
vice president, the outgoing vice president. He had
11:48
already lost election. And my
11:50
dad introduced me. We shook hands and parted
11:52
ways in the elevator. My
11:54
first brush with politics as a
11:57
kid. And it is still something I vividly remember. one
12:00
of my first experiences ever reporting from
12:02
the united states uh... bust have been
12:04
back in two thousand two
12:07
thousand one something like that dick cheney was
12:09
the vice president because that well he'd
12:11
been appointed to try and pick a
12:13
vice presidential candidate to vet them all to look
12:15
across the whole country to try and decide who
12:18
would be the best running mate for george
12:20
w bush and he's goward the whole of america
12:22
and came up with himself and
12:24
uh... and made himself the vice president
12:26
and so he's in office when i'm
12:29
here reported and i know he's going to be
12:31
coming out of a a building after a television interview
12:33
one sunday morning and i am absolutely determined
12:35
i'm going to get to the question to
12:37
him i'm going to make my mark in
12:39
american that television journalism so i'm all keyed
12:42
up uh... and i don't know
12:44
if you know this and today but if you're reporting
12:46
in the uk if you're standing outside dining street waiting
12:48
for the prime minister for making get pretty physical to
12:51
be honest people crowd in all at once in
12:53
the elbow your competitors out of the way
12:55
in order to shove your microphone in front of
12:57
the politician and so i'm already
12:59
to do this echo charging forward only
13:01
to discover that firstly that is
13:04
not how polite american television reporters
13:06
behave at all they're all appalled but
13:08
not quite surprised at the secret service
13:10
who followed vice president and all the
13:12
time anyway suffice to say that did
13:14
not end well i did not get
13:16
an interview with dick cheney and i
13:19
only just managed to self-page being allowed
13:21
to report from america ever again god that
13:24
that they have those moments of genuinely
13:26
dangerous or potentially genuinely dangerous to because
13:28
everyone's very well armed and and and
13:30
and quite on edge uh...
13:32
let's talk about individuals then should we
13:34
just go through some of the obvious
13:36
names the trump himself as
13:38
kind of not battered away and and
13:41
and are themselves uh... saying
13:43
that they're interested that there's an obvious
13:45
one she became very prominent quite recently
13:47
and at least a phonic so
13:50
she was one of these people got a quite
13:52
a few of these it was a trump skeptic and
13:54
now has gone very very much
13:57
full-on trump lover and
14:00
has become a kind of really,
14:02
really true believer, it seems, in
14:05
everything that he believes
14:07
in, and became very prominent nationally
14:11
when she asked that series of
14:13
questions in Congress of the
14:15
bosses of some of the big Ivy
14:18
League colleges and got them in a
14:20
terrible mess over anti-Semitism
14:23
on campus. And that was
14:25
kind of the moment where
14:27
she inserted herself, I suppose,
14:29
into America's national political story.
14:32
I am asking, specifically calling
14:34
for the genocide of Jews, does
14:37
that constitute bullying or harassment?
14:40
If it is directed and severe or pervasive,
14:42
it is harassment? So the answer
14:44
is yes. It is
14:46
a context-dependent decision, Congresswoman. It's a
14:48
context-dependent decision. That's your testimony today,
14:51
calling for the genocide of Jews
14:53
is depending upon the context. That
14:55
is not bullying or harassment. This
14:58
is the easiest question to answer
15:00
yes, Miss McGill. If
15:02
that was an audition to get
15:04
herself on the list for a vice
15:06
presidential pick, it did very, very well. It
15:08
became the cold open for Saturday Night Live,
15:11
the sketch show that goes out every Saturday
15:13
night and often parodies the big political moment
15:15
of the week. Everybody knew who Elise Stefanik
15:17
was after that. I'd be interested,
15:20
you guys, whether you think that her
15:22
previously more liberal past, more moderate past,
15:24
is an asset or a setback. Because
15:26
obviously she could speak to, say, suburban
15:28
women voters, for instance, one of the
15:31
groups that Trump has trouble with, and
15:33
they could more easily identify with her
15:35
because she wasn't always, you know, full
15:37
magma, true believer. But it also does
15:40
mean there will be things she said,
15:42
albeit not specifically about Trump, that can
15:44
be brought up again and again. And
15:46
he might find that rather irritating that
15:48
previously moderate stances are being thrown around
15:50
as quotes from her. positions
16:00
and he moved. The criticisms in the past,
16:02
yeah, that will probably be thrown at her,
16:05
although Donald Trump has embraced some people who
16:07
have criticized him as long as he feels
16:10
that they have seen the lighting come around
16:12
to him. I think that the
16:14
fact that she's a woman is going to be one of
16:17
the reasons why she's on the shortlist for Donald
16:19
Trump, because there is a lot of interest
16:21
among the Trump circle and Trump himself
16:24
in balancing the ticket with a woman
16:26
candidate, because women voters has been a
16:28
real source of weakness for Republicans. And
16:30
as we discussed earlier, this would
16:32
be a way to shore up
16:34
that support. That actually is a
16:37
question that Ian sent us on Discord. He
16:39
said, will it help Trump to choose a
16:41
woman? And I think the answer you would
16:43
agree is yes, right? When we had to
16:45
make our time capsule predictions a few months
16:48
ago, one of the ones I put in
16:50
was that Trump would pick a woman to
16:52
be on his ticket. He likes
16:54
to have women around him if they have
16:56
the right look. And there is a very,
16:58
very MAGA look, which you see not just
17:00
the people he surrounds himself with. If you ever
17:03
go to any Trump event that he's holding some
17:05
of these like victory night parties after the primaries
17:07
or something, all the hairstyles, all the makeup,
17:09
all the high heels are practically the same
17:11
and all of the women there is a
17:14
very, very defined MAGA look. And
17:16
I think if you're going to
17:18
base it on that, and he does, look
17:20
at the lawyer he had sitting beside him
17:22
all through the Trump organization fraud trial in
17:24
New York, who didn't necessarily prove to be
17:26
the most effective barrister that he could have
17:28
had in the court. But she was out
17:30
of Trump World Central casting for being very
17:32
glamorous and well-dressed. And so I
17:34
think it does matter to him. And that surely puts
17:37
Kristy Noem pretty far up
17:39
the list, South Dakota governor, who
17:42
may have been getting ready for her close
17:44
up as she went and had her teeth
17:46
fixed recently, but that became a whole controversy
17:48
in itself. I'm Kristy
17:50
Noem. I'm the governor of South Dakota
17:52
and had the opportunity to come to
17:54
Smile Texas to fix my teeth, which
17:57
has been absolutely amazing. The team here
17:59
was... remarkable and finally gave
18:01
me a smile that I
18:03
can be proud of and confident in. It
18:05
was amazing to me how flexible this team
18:07
was with my schedule and they are that
18:10
way with everyone. I'll be eternally grateful. It
18:12
has been a gift to be here at
18:14
Smell Texas. So yeah, Kristi Noem
18:16
has been under some criticism for what
18:18
she may have gotten in return for
18:21
that little endorsement but she does have
18:23
potential as you mentioned Sarah and she
18:25
was at CPAC that gathering the Conservatives
18:28
last month and tied for the most
18:30
votes as among the
18:32
people, attendees therefore, who Donald Trump's
18:34
vice presidential pick should be. She
18:36
tied with Vivek Ramaswamy. One
18:39
count against Kristi Noem I think that we need
18:41
to drop in though is abortion which is going
18:43
to be a huge issue in this election as
18:45
we all know. In South Dakota
18:47
where she's the governor they have a total
18:49
abortion ban with no exceptions for rape incest
18:52
or the life of the mother and she
18:54
has passionately defended that and as we know
18:56
Donald Trump thinks that that's a significant vote
18:59
loser. He wants to minimize the role of
19:01
abortion policy in this election and he wants
19:03
to come up with some kind of compromise around an abortion
19:06
ban after about 15 or 16 weeks but not
19:08
earlier than that. So that could be a real
19:10
drag on Kristi Noem I think. Another
19:12
favorite or another person I saw
19:14
a lot of support for at
19:17
CPAC was Tulsi Gabbard who was
19:19
a former Democratic Congresswoman from Hawaii
19:21
who then became an independent, has
19:24
appeared on Fox regularly. She's very
19:26
charismatic, very very well spoken. She's
19:29
had us a military background. She's
19:31
young so she might be
19:33
a dark horse for a woman on the
19:36
ticket although again she has a more
19:38
liberal background and has endorsed actually Bernie
19:40
Sanders back in 2016 so
19:43
it would take a certain leap of faith
19:45
on Donald Trump's part to put her on
19:47
the ticket. Yeah and when it comes to
19:49
Tulsi Gabbard, I mean as you were
19:51
saying she
19:54
does have a past as
19:56
a Democrat and even a left-wing Democrat and
19:58
I just wonder how much of a risk
20:00
Donald Trump wants to take given that
20:02
things with Mike Pence didn't work out
20:04
as he expected them to. And I
20:07
think there are, you know, you've got
20:09
to factor in the conversation
20:11
that we're having now is kind of
20:13
mirrored by a conversation that he has,
20:16
he is having with people. And
20:18
his conversation is going to be
20:21
with the professional members of staff
20:23
and everyone right across the board
20:25
says that Trump is much better
20:28
advised by political operatives behind
20:30
the scenes who have done other campaigns
20:32
and who know about what has worked
20:34
in the past, who will be kind
20:37
of advising him to do the
20:39
conventional thing, to think through this choice,
20:41
to not shoot from the hip or
20:43
choose from the hip if you can
20:45
choose from the hip and work out
20:48
the kind of pros and cons of
20:50
each person. And I think part of
20:52
this entire conversation that we're having is
20:54
actually about, never mind the names, it's about
20:56
whether Trump is just going to pick someone
20:58
because it's kind of crazy and interesting and
21:01
he wants it to be good television. Sort
21:03
of in the way that John McCain did way
21:06
back when he made his rather wild
21:08
choice of vice presidential candidate, does he
21:10
go down that road or does he
21:12
actually listen to the politicals who've kind
21:15
of sorted his campaign much more this
21:17
time than it was in 2020 or
21:20
2016? And does he then
21:22
go down a more conventional route?
21:24
And I think it's those sorts
21:27
of questions behind the scenes that are
21:29
going to determine who
21:31
he picks, not just whether it's a man or
21:34
a woman or indeed someone
21:36
of colour, because that's another
21:38
point that people are making,
21:40
isn't it, behind the scenes. It's not just that
21:42
he could choose a woman. He could also choose
21:45
Senator from South Carolina, Tim Scott, for
21:47
whom I think, I mean, he ran
21:50
for the nomination and when he started,
21:52
he's by all accounts a very nice
21:54
man, people like him right across the
21:56
political aisle in Congress and feel that
21:58
he's a good... person and his stick
22:01
is very sunny, very un-Trump-like
22:03
actually about what he wants
22:05
America to be like. But
22:08
if you're going to go for a group,
22:11
if you're going to go for identity,
22:13
and Trump very much wants to attract
22:15
young black men in particular, then who
22:18
knows? Tim Scott, he's available
22:20
and he seems very keen. He
22:23
did run against Donald Trump for the nomination, but
22:25
he wasn't enormously critical of him. He
22:27
didn't say anything that could come back
22:30
to bite him now. And
22:32
pretty much as he dropped out, he
22:34
became this MAGA true believer following Trump
22:36
around the place. Donald
22:39
Trump himself says he's a better surrogate for
22:41
Trump than Trump is, and that he's making
22:43
a better case for Trump than he ever
22:45
made for Tim Scott himself. And all of
22:47
that's true, but to the point where it's
22:49
so sycophantic sometimes when you see him on
22:51
stage with Donald Trump. Because I think that's
22:53
another aspect of this. Does he want someone who's
22:56
so utterly sycophantic that he quickly
22:58
gets sick of them? I mean, we can't
23:00
know, but it's interesting to speculate, I think,
23:03
the psychology of the Trump choice is more
23:05
complex than you might kind of immediately think.
23:07
And let's hear Tim Scott and Donald Trump
23:10
together if you want to get a taste
23:12
for that kind of sycophancy that you mentioned.
23:14
She actually appointed you, Tim. And
23:18
think of it, appointed and you're the
23:21
senator of his state and she
23:23
endorsed me. You
23:26
must really hate her. No,
23:29
it's a shame. It's a shame. Uh
23:31
oh. I
23:34
just love you. That's why he's a great
23:37
politician. Pass
23:40
the sick bag, Alice, as they used
23:43
to say. I mean, he's talking there
23:45
about Nikki Haley, isn't he? That
23:47
the thorn in his side and not
23:49
wanting to be too nice about her.
23:51
And it was Nikki Haley who appointed
23:54
Tim Scott. And Tim Scott, of course, then
23:56
turned on Nikki Haley. So it's all very
23:58
complicated and Well, not very nice, I suppose.
24:01
Yeah, so Anthony, Justin, I
24:04
wonder if you've spotted the same thing
24:06
I have, which is just how much
24:08
Trump seems to be enjoying
24:10
relishing this process, though. And in
24:13
fact, I remember watching him picking
24:15
his first cabinet members when he was first elected
24:17
in 2016. And the same
24:19
thing was going on where he was just
24:21
making people audition for it, potentially
24:24
humiliating them at the end if he
24:26
decided not to go for them. But
24:28
he's going around the country at the
24:30
moment teasing not just the voters, but
24:32
lots of potential candidates. He was down
24:34
on the border a couple of weeks ago in
24:36
Texas, so he had the Texas Governor Greg
24:38
Abbott beside him. And he immediately starts talking
24:40
about what a great running mate, Greg Abbott,
24:43
would be. And so he has to say
24:45
he would be delighted and honored. And then
24:47
the next time he's going to be standing
24:49
beside anybody who's even possibly a running
24:52
mate, he'll be putting out
24:54
these little hints, and therefore he'll
24:56
just be weighing up the sycophancy
24:58
that comes his way as a
25:00
result. He just he really enjoys
25:02
toying with people and their egos,
25:05
I think. And this has got to be one of the
25:07
best games he can have. I mean, it's like a certain
25:09
television program, isn't it? Which he made
25:11
his name and a lot of his money.
25:13
I mean, it really is. And that's how
25:15
he treats it. Yeah. I
25:17
assume, Justin, you're talking about The Apprentice, where
25:20
people competed to get a shot at his
25:22
apprentice. Don't forget, he also used to own
25:24
Miss Universe. And there are
25:26
elements of this contest, I have to
25:28
say, as these candidates parade themselves in
25:30
front of him, which might be more
25:32
akin to Miss Universe than it is to
25:34
The Apprentice. I have forgotten about the Miss Universe
25:37
days. Anyway, so are we
25:39
saying that Tim Scott is unlikely because he's
25:41
too sycophantic? Is that just us or is
25:43
that? No, I don't think sycophancy
25:45
rules you out. No. So
25:47
we're not ruling Tim Scott out. And, you
25:49
know, as I was suggesting, he seems to
25:51
be someone who is sunny, where Trump is
25:54
dark and who has friends, where Trump has
25:56
a lot of enemies. And if you're looking
25:58
for this balance, take a look. ticket thing.
26:00
I think we're all suggesting that he's not necessarily
26:02
looking for a balanced ticket, but if you
26:04
are, if he is, then Tim Scott fits the bill.
26:08
And he's a good speaker. He didn't come
26:10
across very well in the debates because he
26:12
speaks quite slowly, but he's got a great
26:14
story about how he made it in America
26:17
and if he can, how anybody can. It's
26:19
a kind of uplifting Reaganite kind of story.
26:21
And he's very charming and charismatic, if he's
26:23
got an audience who's prepared to give him
26:26
the time to listen. So in
26:29
personality ways, he could balance out
26:31
quite a lot of Donald Trump as well as politically. There
26:33
is a candidate we haven't yet talked
26:35
about who is a really
26:38
interesting, I mean, in a sense, he
26:40
is a balanced ticket and he certainly
26:42
brings something to the ticket potentially rather
26:44
as Tim Scott as a black man
26:47
or the various women as women.
26:50
Marco Rubio, who is
26:53
a senator from Florida who
26:55
has been around for quite a
26:58
long time now, famously, famously, famously
27:00
back in 2016, ran
27:02
against Trump for the nomination and
27:05
was utterly destroyed by Donald
27:07
Trump. Humiliated. Humiliated. I mean, it's worth,
27:09
we've got the clip, it's worth listening
27:12
to some of that humiliation. Don't worry
27:14
about it, little Marco, I will. Well,
27:16
let's hear big Donald. Don't worry about
27:18
it, little Marco. Gentlemen, let's hear you.
27:23
You ought to show a better man. You've got
27:25
to do better than those. And then himself said
27:29
of Trump that he wasn't fit for office.
27:31
And now he's suddenly saying, oh, yeah, yeah,
27:34
if I was picked, I'd do it. And his
27:36
name is going around, even though for all
27:38
the reasons that you've just outlined, Justin, it
27:40
seems incredibly unlikely. And yet you keep hearing
27:42
it come up in conversation. I
27:45
don't know if that's because it's really
27:47
under consideration or because somebody in little
27:49
Marco's team is briefing it very hard.
27:51
It's always interesting when you start having
27:54
these chats in politics and lots of
27:56
different people all start telling you the
27:58
same thing. either means
28:00
they're all right, or it means that there's a campaign
28:02
behind it to convince you that they are. Right.
28:05
Yeah, that's the thing about Marco Rubio.
28:07
Yes, he would bring perhaps Hispanic voters,
28:09
which is another targeted group that Republicans
28:11
feel like they've made inroads in and
28:13
could really cement. And if they just
28:15
convince more to vote Republican, that could
28:18
really deliver Arizona and Nevada to very
28:20
key swing states to the Republicans. But
28:22
he also has his own independent presidential
28:24
ambitions, as we saw in 2016. And
28:27
as we discussed before, would Donald Trump
28:29
want to have a VP who has
28:31
got his own agenda, Justin? I
28:34
don't think that fits with what we've been playing so
28:36
far. Well, yeah, except that. Does he
28:38
believe in anything at all? And if the
28:41
answer to that is probably no, then does
28:43
that make him really attractive to Donald Trump?
28:45
I weirdly, I had lunch with him in
28:47
about maybe 2015. So
28:50
he was in London, and a few of us met up with
28:52
him and had a very nice
28:54
lunch at the offices of the
28:56
Spectator magazine, this old and conservative
28:59
British magazine. And they'd invited him
29:01
in. And what became
29:03
obvious, he was talking then about how
29:06
to become the candidate and get through
29:08
what I remember him using this term,
29:10
the Fox News primary. So in
29:12
other words, he said the problem with all of us
29:14
is we get pushed to the right by Fox News.
29:16
And I don't want to be that person getting pushed
29:18
to the right. In other words, and then he was
29:20
running as a very much a centrist Republican. And
29:23
then he went into the 2016 election kind of
29:25
in the same position. And then he's been in
29:27
all sorts of contorted positions since
29:30
then and now appears to be a
29:32
fan of Donald Trump. I wonder if that
29:34
very ability
29:37
to change rather
29:39
attracts him to Trump or attracts Trump
29:41
to him because he's not really
29:43
a threat because he hasn't got anything when it
29:46
comes to kind of political ambition. He's
29:48
got lots of ambition, but it's not political.
29:50
It's not to do anything. He's got one
29:53
big problem though. And I feel sure that
29:55
Anthony knows exactly what the 12th amendment to
29:57
the constitution says. Oh,
29:59
yeah. I do. And it's
30:02
a rule that you can't have two
30:04
candidates, vice president and a president, from
30:07
the same state running in an
30:09
election on the same ticket. So
30:11
one of them would have to move
30:13
or claim residency in a different state
30:15
in order to avoid having Florida's
30:18
electoral votes where they're both from, not count
30:20
for Republicans, which is kind of a big
30:23
deal. Florida's a big state, an important state.
30:25
So now maybe Donald Trump would claim New
30:27
Jersey, maybe Marco Rubio. I don't know. He
30:29
could claim Nevada, moved to Nevada. He used to
30:31
live there as a kid, but it is an
30:34
obstacle, a not insurmountable obstacle. He had
30:36
Dick Cheney and George W. Bush, both
30:38
from Texas and Cheney, then claimed Wyoming
30:40
as his home state. But it is
30:42
something that they would have to get
30:45
through if Marco Rubio
30:47
was on the ticket. That is fabulously nerdy. So
30:49
the first thing we know, if it's
30:51
going to happen, is we see Rubio's moved
30:54
to Hawaii or something. And
30:56
there's one other candidate I want to talk to,
30:58
because I think he's really interesting and unusual and
31:01
different. And that might be something that Donald Trump
31:03
goes for. And that's the new senator from Ohio
31:06
who was elected just two years ago, J.D.
31:08
Vance. He is the author of that 2016
31:11
bestselling book, Hillbilly Elegy, the
31:13
memoir that was about his
31:15
working-class roots in Ohio and
31:18
the Midwest. He was a never-Trump-er in
31:20
the beginning, but then came around to
31:22
Donald Trump and now has been a
31:25
very active and enthusiastic supporter of Donald
31:27
Trump in the Senate. And
31:29
if you get to the idea that
31:32
this entire presidential election is going to
31:34
be decided by white working-class voters in
31:36
places like Wisconsin and Michigan and Pennsylvania,
31:38
I think J.D. Vance may be the
31:41
best candidate to try to win those
31:43
people over, to get them out to
31:45
the polls. He's young. He's only 38
31:48
years old. He's an interesting
31:50
guy. And I think if I had to pick
31:52
someone, I might be putting my money on J.D.
31:54
Vance at this point. Yeah, and he's another of
31:56
these people who's been on a journey, hasn't he?
31:58
Because he was very firmly. anti-Trump.
32:01
Yeah, he did well in 2022 in
32:04
the midterms because if you remember we
32:06
were predicting this red wave that was going
32:08
to come and in fact a lot of Republican
32:10
candidates did really quite badly in the midterms
32:12
and many of the ones who'd been
32:14
endorsed by Donald Trump did particularly badly
32:16
with a few exceptions the shiniest of
32:19
which was JD Vance who won
32:21
pretty comfortably and enjoyed that Trump endorsement
32:23
so you know he looks like a
32:25
winner and he ran a very interesting
32:27
campaign have a listen to this. Call
32:57
us. We will put America first. And
33:00
that's an issue that's going to be huge
33:02
I think we're all agreed that immigration is
33:05
really going to matter in this campaign and
33:07
that's a way of talking about it which
33:09
neutralizes some of the inflammatory rhetoric that Donald
33:11
Trump uses when talking about it but you know
33:13
a lot of people will agree with that. Let's
33:16
mention a few other names who are probably not going
33:18
to be on the list and the obvious one to
33:20
start with is Nikki Haley because if
33:22
you're a centrist Republican
33:24
and and you wake
33:26
up in the middle of the night in
33:29
a cold sweat thinking how
33:31
on earth are we going to manage this I suppose you
33:33
think I know we'll get
33:35
a candidate who kind of reigns Trump in
33:37
and as if that were possible to do
33:39
and and changes his policy and
33:41
Trump can just be president and get off
33:44
all the get off all the
33:46
court cases and all the rest of it and actually leave
33:48
someone else to actually govern I'm not suggesting for a minute
33:50
that could happen but I suppose if
33:52
you were thinking that that might happen then your choice
33:54
would be Nikki Haley about
33:56
whom we talked so much so recently
33:58
and now right And there are
34:01
a few more here on the list that
34:03
we should probably talk about. Carrie Lake, who
34:05
is running for Senator in Arizona. She ran
34:07
for governor and lost in 2022, but a
34:09
telegenic Trump supporter. But she's
34:11
kind of got her race now to
34:14
focus on. So she probably won't take
34:16
a VP pick. Sarah Huckabee Sanders, you
34:18
remember her. She was Donald Trump's press
34:20
secretary for a big chunk of his
34:22
term in office. She's now governor of
34:24
Arizona and is an enthusiastic Trump supporter,
34:26
another woman that Trump could look at
34:28
to put on the ticket. Of
34:31
course, Marjorie Taylor Greene, we all
34:33
know her. She's the Congresswoman from
34:35
Georgia, a bomb thrower who has
34:38
been an outspoken Trump supporter, also
34:41
could catch Donald Trump's eye. And
34:43
then, Sarah, what about Tucker Carlson? If Donald Trump wants
34:45
to really think outside the box, he's got a lot
34:48
of free time. Do you think he might have a
34:50
shot? Is it got enough free time now that
34:52
he's no longer on Fox News to
34:54
go around Russia making movies about
34:57
how much better it is there than it
34:59
is in the United States of America? Because
35:01
remember, he went over to interview Vladimir Putin,
35:04
and President Putin didn't think much of that interview. He
35:06
said he wasn't asked very clever questions. And then
35:08
he started making these videos that he was putting
35:10
out on X, formerly known as
35:13
Twitter, including how very clever it
35:15
is in Russia. On the supermarket
35:17
trolleys, you can put a coin in, use
35:19
the trolley in the supermarket and get the
35:21
coin back again on the way out. And
35:23
that stops people from throwing them into the
35:25
rivers in the canal. All right. Here
35:28
we go. So I guess you
35:30
put in 10 rubles here and you
35:32
get it back when
35:34
you put the cart back. So
35:37
it's free, but there's an incentive to return
35:39
it and not just bring it to your
35:41
homeless encampment. OK. The
35:44
it would be good for a laugh, Tucker
35:47
Carlson, but would it gain any votes? Yeah.
35:49
So long term and he needs someone who can.
35:52
And this is a kind of technical
35:55
issue for Trump, but I think quite an important one.
35:58
And I don't know whether he thinks this is. strategically
36:00
as this, but if
36:02
he wants to avoid all the potential
36:04
criminal cases, and he does the presidency,
36:06
so he does the four years, and
36:09
nothing progresses during the four years because
36:11
the understanding with the Justice Department is
36:13
that nothing can, and the states won't
36:15
do it either. But actually, at the
36:17
end of the four years, assuming he's
36:19
successfully pardoned himself for the federal cases,
36:21
which there is some question about the
36:23
extent to which he can do that,
36:26
but let's assume that he can do
36:28
that, he's still got these state cases
36:30
waiting for him, certainly the one in
36:32
Georgia, which is unlikely to have started
36:34
before the election. So does he
36:36
need someone who can run and win in
36:38
2028 and can then make sure
36:41
that that case doesn't
36:44
haunt him? And I do wonder
36:46
whether there is a kind of
36:48
thinking that the person he needs
36:50
needs to be a potential 2028
36:53
winner, and that some of
36:55
those wilder suggestions, the Marjorie Taylor Greens, the
36:57
Tucker Carlson's, I mean, who knows what America
36:59
is like by then, maybe they are potential
37:01
winners, they would probably both say that they
37:03
were, but actually, I wonder whether that sort
37:05
of brings him towards the safer side of
37:07
town, as it were as well. Well,
37:10
I've always wondered whether or not he's going to
37:12
want to groom Eric or Don
37:14
Jr. to be his
37:16
successor, and then you could argue you want a
37:18
vice president who's not going to be competition in
37:20
2028. If he looks to
37:22
turn it into a family business, he's already
37:25
got his daughter-in-law running the Republican National
37:27
Committee, and he'll be wanting to put
37:29
the family in some kind of position,
37:31
I would think, make it dynastic. Yep, plans
37:33
within plans, it's all very Shakespearean. We could
37:36
go down a rabbit hole just thinking about
37:38
it all. That's our job,
37:40
at least on this podcast, because people like the
37:42
rabbit holes. They come up to
37:45
me in the street, I don't know about you, but I've had,
37:47
in fact, the newsreader on Radio 4
37:49
the other day, I was doing my day job
37:51
on the Today programme, the newsreader. As soon as
37:53
the bulletin was underway and something was being played,
37:56
Alan Smith, he turned to me and he said, I've got
37:58
several questions I want to ask, and... And I said,
38:00
well, isn't either the time nor the place,
38:02
I said. But, yeah, someone came up to
38:05
me in the street the other day as
38:07
well to say, could I write some questions
38:09
down? So, I mean, people like the rabbit
38:11
holes. And I think understandably, because it is
38:13
sort of endlessly fascinating. And here is a
38:15
rabbit hole before we wrap up. Who's
38:17
it going to be? Few entries
38:20
in our America's time capsule. I know
38:22
I've got some quite wild entries
38:24
there, which have still not come true, but who
38:26
knows if they might? Yeah, of course, of the
38:28
summer, we've got a few months to go. Still
38:30
time. So nominees for vice president, 2024,
38:32
Anthony, kick us off. You
38:35
know, I'm going to say J.D. Vance. I think
38:38
Tim Scott would be the safe pick, but I
38:40
think Donald Trump might decide to make that real
38:42
play, as I mentioned, for white working class voters.
38:44
So J.D. Vance is my pick. That's
38:46
a good one. I'm going to say Elise Stefanik.
38:49
Yeah, I mean, both of those are good.
38:51
I wonder if Tulsi Gabbard, I mean, I
38:53
know there is this problem that she has
38:55
been in the past quite an outspoken Democrat,
38:57
but she's also in more recent times been
39:00
very outspokenly anti-Democrat, if you see
39:02
what I mean. And I wonder
39:04
whether that might attract
39:06
her to him. So I'm going to go
39:08
for her. You could be right.
39:10
I've heard rumors. I heard a friend of mine was
39:13
talking to some Republican senators a few months ago and
39:15
Gabbard was one they thought was going to be the
39:17
pick. OK, the WhatsApp 443301239480. And
39:24
if you're a news reader in the BBC,
39:26
that's how you get in touch with us, folks. Don't
39:28
hand me bits of paper in the studio. americast.bbc.co.uk.
39:33
Hashtag America's something
39:35
called Discord. Remember, you will always
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hear America's first and in full as a
39:40
podcast on BBC Science. And we'll see
39:42
you later. Bye. Goodbye.
39:45
Bye. America's America's from
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BBC News. Thanks
39:49
for listening to America's from BBC News.
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why are you packing a suit
40:07
with swim trunks and sunscreen? Because
40:09
I can't wear the same suit for
40:11
fine dining and kayaking. Total
40:13
faux pas. Then I need something casual for the
40:15
roller coasters. Oh, and the music festival.
40:18
Meetings waterside. Really? Looks like
40:20
your work trip to Tampa Bay just
40:22
turned into a couples trip through the
40:24
weekend. How's our packing? Where it meets Leia,
40:27
Tampa Bay. Our business and leisure
40:29
blend perfectly. Discover modern hotels and
40:31
easy vibes at visittampavay.com.
40:41
Honey, why are you packing a
40:43
suit with swim trunks and sunscreen?
40:45
Because I can't wear the same suit
40:47
for fine dining and kayaking. Total faux
40:49
pas. Then I need something casual for
40:51
the roller coasters. Oh, and the
40:53
music festival. Meetings waterside.
40:56
Really? Looks like your work trip
40:58
to Tampa Bay just turned into a couples
41:00
trip through the weekend. How's our packing?
41:02
Where it meets Leia, Tampa Bay.
41:04
Where business and leisure blend
41:06
perfectly. Discover modern hotels and
41:08
easy vibes at visittampavay.com.
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