It's the middle of winter, so what better time to start gazing toward the 2019 college football season? Bill Connelly of SB Nation joins AP's Ralph Russo to discuss the first edition of his S&P+ rankings. Connelly's numbers combine returning production, recent recruiting rankings and recent performance. No surprise, Alabama is No. 1. In fact, the numbers love the SEC. They are not so high in Texas. Here is a huge gap between Clemson and the rest of the ACC and a potentially intriguing Big 10 West race. What are the prospects for a resurgent Pac-12? Plus, where is UCF coming into this season? Connelly and Russo also slide into a discussion about the value of going for it on fourth down and why Jimbo Fisher really needs to get with the program.