Podchaser Logo
Home
Was the Liberal budget a bust with Canadians?

Was the Liberal budget a bust with Canadians?

Released Friday, 26th April 2024
Good episode? Give it some love!
Was the Liberal budget a bust with Canadians?

Was the Liberal budget a bust with Canadians?

Was the Liberal budget a bust with Canadians?

Was the Liberal budget a bust with Canadians?

Friday, 26th April 2024
Good episode? Give it some love!
Rate Episode

Episode Transcript

Transcripts are displayed as originally observed. Some content, including advertisements may have changed.

Use Ctrl + F to search

0:00

When it comes to business travel

0:02

in Orlando, it's never business as

0:04

usual. Oh sure, I could go

0:06

on for days about all the

0:08

incredible places to hold meetings, or

0:10

the Michelin Dining, or the innovative

0:12

industries that'll make you feel right

0:14

at home. But Dr. Michael Edwards

0:17

of Ocean Insight said it best.

0:19

Orlando is as much a business

0:21

capital as an entertainment one. So

0:23

dive in and see what's happening

0:25

in Orlando, where the possibilities for

0:27

business travel are unbelievably real. Learn

0:29

more at orlandofourbusiness.com. This

0:32

is a CBC Podcast. Hey

0:35

there, I'm Rosemary Barton. This week on At

0:37

Issue, the podcast edition for Thursday, April 25th.

0:43

At Issue, a budget strategy meant to

0:45

revive the liberal government, but early polling

0:47

suggests the party has not yet received

0:49

the bump they were hoping for. It's

0:51

not about political popularity. It's about doing

0:53

the right thing to set every

0:56

generation up for success. So

0:59

this week we're asking how are Canadians

1:01

responding to the budget? What more can

1:03

the liberals do to close the gap?

1:05

Chantilly Bear, Andrew Coyne and El Fia

1:07

Raj join me to talk about that

1:09

and more. Plus Pierre Poilyev is facing

1:11

criticism for meeting with carbon tax protesters

1:13

with alleged ties to extremist movements. I

1:16

don't know really like how much, how

1:18

soon you should expect to see any kind of bounce

1:20

from a budget, but I would also

1:22

argue that this budget is not just a week

1:24

old. It's more like three weeks old because of

1:26

the strategy that the liberals put in place of rolling

1:28

it out. But how concerning should this be for

1:31

the liberal? Chantilly, I'll start with you. Oh,

1:36

we've had what this week, half

1:38

a dozen polls and they

1:40

all look the same. And they all look

1:42

like the polls that were

1:44

published before the budget roll out and the

1:47

budget. So basically

1:50

you're looking at polls that show very little

1:52

movement. If I

1:54

were in the liberal war room,

1:56

I would ask myself whether Canadians

1:59

have just tuned out the

2:02

Prime Minister and the Liberal message and

2:04

its messengers. I've

2:06

also noticed that in

2:08

the background to all of this budget

2:10

rollout, there's been quite a

2:12

bit of talk and interest in something

2:14

called leadership maneuvers. The

2:17

Minique Leblanc got

2:19

written up in the Globe column. Mark

2:22

Carney seems to have a lot of

2:24

speaking engagements to Liberal crowds.

2:27

So put together, what that

2:29

tells me is there are more Liberals

2:31

today looking at the polls and thinking

2:33

to themselves. Justin

2:36

Trudeau may be doing things

2:38

that people approve. There is

2:40

support for the housing chapter, for

2:42

instance. But we

2:46

need a new messenger because he's lost

2:48

his audience. Some

2:50

of this, as Chantal says, Andrew, some of

2:53

the polls do suggest that Canadians like pieces

2:55

of what they're hearing from the Liberals. But

2:57

I also wonder, do

2:59

we think that Canadians are paying attention at all?

3:02

Is this also like about it's just not

3:04

what Canadians are spending time talking about right

3:06

now? Well, the Liberals went to great

3:08

lengths to make them pay attention. So

3:11

that two or three week effectively

3:13

election campaign that preceded the budget

3:16

was not for, you know, that was not usual.

3:18

So they were clearly banking

3:20

on something coming out of this. They were betting a lot

3:22

on it. And I think they don't think they can now

3:24

turn around and say, oh, well, we didn't expect to do

3:27

very much out of this budget. They were hoping. Now,

3:29

granted, that's not always the case. And it

3:31

may be, as Chantal said, that the Prime

3:34

Minister as salesman now and perhaps the

3:36

finance minister as well is

3:38

simply not connecting with Canadians. The approval rating or disapproval

3:40

rating I saw in one of the polls with the

3:42

Prime Minister was 66%. That's

3:45

getting into last days of Mulroney territory.

3:48

But also, I think even the message, you

3:50

know, at a time when people are very concerned about inflation

3:53

and affordability and when the message coming

3:55

out of the opposition thing has been

3:57

that is connected to higher spending, bigger

3:59

deficits. to come in

4:01

with essentially unchanged deficits, more spending is not

4:03

necessarily I think plugging into the public moon.

4:07

When people are, I think

4:09

also don't necessarily equate higher

4:12

taxes with fairness, I think there's

4:15

some polling data on this, that

4:17

they see this as not necessarily good for the economy.

4:19

I saw a couple polls on the specific thing of

4:21

the capital gains tax, which I really think the liberals

4:23

were hoping to set the woods on fire with. And

4:26

it was a plurality in one poll thought it was

4:28

a good idea, a plurality in another poll thought

4:30

it was a bad idea, but certainly not the

4:32

kind of big overwhelming yes, ticket to the rich

4:34

type of a message that I think they were

4:37

hoping to get from the public. So

4:39

does this mean that it's all over for

4:42

them? No, but they're running out of bullets,

4:44

they're running out of chances to connect with

4:46

Canadians in the limited time that's left before

4:48

the next election. Althea? Well,

4:51

I don't know. I mean, if the next election

4:53

is in 18 months, there is a lot of

4:55

stuff that can happen in that time. Well,

4:57

we don't even know if it will be 18 months, maybe not, maybe

4:59

the ND people surprise us. But

5:02

you know, like I think Trump's election could

5:05

have an impact. All this talk about another

5:07

Quebec referendum can have an impact. There

5:10

are international events that we don't

5:12

see coming that could have an impact. Maybe Justin

5:14

Trudeau decides to take a walk in the nice

5:16

sunny weather of Ottawa. Regardless,

5:19

I do think it's a little early to

5:21

put the X. A big

5:24

challenge for the Liberals has been and has been

5:26

for almost a year now the fact that a

5:28

lot of Canadians have tuned out the Prime Minister,

5:30

the party's primary spokesperson to Chantal's

5:32

point. That is a huge challenge when you're actually

5:34

trying to sell something. But

5:36

I question whether it is too early to talk

5:38

about this, because this is an election budget. It's

5:41

400 plus pages. I mean, it was a really big brick. And

5:44

there's stuff there that is micro targeting

5:46

certain communities. You know, there was money

5:48

for black Canadians for their mental health.

5:50

There was money for sick arts in

5:52

Toronto. There was money for

5:54

the Muslim community, the Jewish community. So

5:57

It will take some time for all those.

6:00

Ministers are designated Mps and do their

6:02

rounds and ethnic media and this very

6:04

young men new sad it's kind of

6:06

build momentum so far. Like the big

6:08

things that have been communicated seem to

6:10

be popular with Canadians. The housing that

6:12

humans in the Capital Gains tax was

6:15

a hundred and fifty six percent. But

6:17

again with that you know when and

6:19

when. Twenty seventeen. When Bill Morneau announced

6:21

his Hands of Finance Department announced the

6:23

changes, We. Didn't feel the

6:25

anger really. oh palpitate for like three

6:27

months and then it was like whoa,

6:29

what just happened? So I'd I think

6:32

it's a little early to put the

6:34

axe. I do think they have gone

6:36

back. To. Make one last point

6:38

to a kind of tried and true liberal

6:40

strategy like this is basically the twenties has been

6:42

by just. It is. We're going

6:44

to spend more we're going to

6:47

have deficit. We're going to ask the wealthy

6:49

to pay so that we can have a future

6:51

for Canada Canadians in a work for them then

6:53

and they're hoping they will work for them again.

6:55

But can you trust the same people to deliver

6:57

on the things that they said and twenty the

6:59

thing they would do that they haven't done? I

7:01

don't. Know what the sooners? it's first

7:03

subtle in that early and twenty

7:05

fifteen or was fresh now it's

7:08

old, i'm tired or for one

7:10

to on the capital dating games

7:12

of ducks. If the

7:14

liberals we're hoping to. Use

7:16

it as something that sounds. For fairness

7:18

between generations it would have

7:20

helps of the Conservative said

7:22

the. Picked. A fight with them

7:24

on of and they are not. I'm

7:27

not young.your I's yasir I suspect that

7:29

the this is not a battlefield that

7:31

this of them for us to the

7:34

conservatives are under the ropes or I'm

7:36

rambling and I agree that there are

7:38

a lot of issues that are micro

7:41

targeting audiences. But the real question is.

7:43

Or. Any of those initiatives, The kind

7:46

of initiatives that make people go to

7:48

the ballot box element to ask the

7:50

ballot for the government? That I don't

7:53

think so. I don't think you by

7:55

of Bowser with retail initiatives or at

7:57

least every government's I seem that tried.

8:00

I ended up in opposition and her.

8:03

Her Here In Twenty Fifteen, you're coming off

8:05

a period of relative fiscal conservatism. People were

8:07

looking for a change. They were willing to

8:09

go in a different direction for coming off

8:11

a period now of relative fiscal liberalism and

8:13

before also a think looking for a change

8:15

in direction. So to come up with the

8:17

same old thing I don't think it's necessarily

8:19

reading the times terrible wealth or I think

8:21

that must come back to the particular miss

8:23

in this budget at a time when I

8:25

think a large section of the suddenly of

8:27

the opinion making community and and more and

8:29

more so the public is very concerned about

8:31

the Us economy base of being stuck. In

8:33

the war that we're not getting the growth

8:35

we need that in fact that Gdp per

8:37

capita declining or to come up with the

8:40

budget. That not by my measure, but by

8:42

the measure of former Liberal finance Ministers John

8:44

Manly and Bill Morneau of the former Bank

8:46

of Canada govern possible future Liberal leader Earth

8:49

Mark Carney are all of whom said as

8:51

they missed the boat and they did not

8:53

address that. The growth question So you've got

8:55

Blue Liberals essentially looking at us and going

8:57

i I can't see my i can see

9:00

myself in this is is a part of

9:02

this basically abandoned. Us that's gotta hurt them

9:04

in terms of a point. Together a of

9:06

intellectual coalition going forward as well. As

9:08

you. Are

9:11

everything than as you said yes he resumed

9:14

sad debate. ah well I guess I've will

9:16

same as he things that I would be

9:18

watching for and let's face it to see

9:20

if there as soon as I mentioned that

9:22

can build I didn't know how saying. It.

9:25

So vague a really does for see the

9:27

kind of we imagine what you think the

9:29

government's role and housing is that the challenge

9:31

with that as they only have a year

9:33

to show movement and if they cannot show

9:35

movement and that time sent I don't think

9:37

they have a leg to stand on. The

9:39

other thing I would flag as I think

9:41

the relationship with the premier as and we

9:43

saw that last week with the counselor batteries

9:45

and letter. Where they said bite out

9:47

of our area jurisdiction. Set. Only

9:50

sucks about on antenna that the government.

9:53

I sing actually wants to have a fight with

9:55

a painter as they wanna be able to say,

9:57

you know, you guys are not moving on as

9:59

you. Are not being cooperative, You are not

10:01

matching. The reason that we're not getting to

10:03

where we need is your fault. In a

10:05

way they're stealing the province's playbook and using

10:07

get against them So I think those are

10:09

two interesting point of Tenzin it will be

10:11

and it will that I think will determine

10:13

whether or not this kind of the free

10:15

me around the budget exhaust let lot quicker

10:18

to center. But. At the search

10:20

for the government So if your flag

10:22

those two on a collision course with

10:24

itself because if it wants to demonstrate

10:27

that as ousting agenda works it's nice

10:29

cooperation with the provinces and by the

10:31

way all those provinces so that this

10:33

like the bugs with got a nice

10:36

gifts that with the capital gains tax

10:38

changes ah if is going to go

10:40

to their bottom line and away that

10:42

all provincial finance ministers are probably saying

10:45

this is great and we don't have

10:47

to wear with the system. Okay,

10:49

we're in a pause. this conversation, I'm sure we'll We'll talk

10:52

more about this in the coming weeks, but when we come

10:54

back or in a take a look at pure folly of.

10:56

Roadside meeting with protesters. Really?

11:02

Years. Five

11:06

minutes stop. The

11:10

feminists are liars. The who is a conservative

11:13

leader trying to court? They're. Pure

11:17

folly of is facing criticism for meeting

11:19

with carbon tax protesters who seems to

11:21

be tied to extremism. Prime

11:27

minister says talia stoking division and

11:29

fear for his own game? Really?

11:31

Shows that he will do. Anything.

11:35

With. The

11:37

what's he made a poly a pit stop with protesters

11:39

how will it play out for him politically her To

11:42

break it down some more subtle and or lcs of

11:44

the author with you because you wrote about this will

11:46

you You combine both of our topic nicely the call

11:48

him but they all start with you because that. Was.

11:50

Where you started. What do you

11:53

think this this meeting does for. Pure

11:55

folly of for for for good or for bad.

11:59

I think he was an air. In judgments of

12:01

that the Conservative leader showed you

12:03

almost get a sense from video

12:05

that he seems to recognize that

12:07

oh what did I walk into?

12:09

I'm. What

12:12

bothers me that the video is not

12:15

that he stops talk to people who

12:17

might have been involved with things that

12:19

he should not want to be involved

12:21

in at one point. Frankly, she says

12:24

oh so when I asked the tax

12:26

because this is an encampment that is.

12:30

Apparently. They are protesting the tax, but

12:32

some of the same people have been involved.

12:34

In protesting vaccines are to the

12:36

back, The mandatory vaccination. He

12:39

says when you when I asked the taxes

12:41

as will be able to go home because

12:43

they've been sitting there for at the time

12:45

twenty three days living in their car and

12:47

one of the woman says oh when how

12:50

soon will that be Clearly she wants to

12:52

be able to go home and. And

12:54

he doesn't tell her to go

12:57

home like if you care about

12:59

people and alleviating suffering. You.

13:01

Should tell people that you will acts

13:03

the tax and it doesn't matter. If.

13:06

They are living in their car at the

13:08

side of the road or not or if

13:10

they're at home in the warm bed it

13:12

doesn't matter, they do not need to be

13:14

doing this and it would be the healthier

13:16

for them probably. I mean I'm not certain

13:18

people like to have a sense of community

13:20

and maybe this is where they get their

13:22

fun. but I think of you really really

13:24

want people the best interest at heart. Surely

13:26

you can tell them that they're not the

13:28

reason why there is a carbon tax and

13:31

place you know what? Like that to me

13:33

and oh that's not where you thought I

13:35

was gonna go. really find. That and. But.

13:38

I was very disturbed by

13:40

that one idea. my Alia,

13:42

You. Get to go where you want to go.

13:44

That's what is it. Swayed by sir invite? It's somehow

13:47

what? what? What did you make of of the encounter?

13:50

While. I understand the temptation

13:52

to go shake hands with people. Who

13:55

seem to be fellow travelers On what

13:57

you've made your main slogan. axl

13:59

attacks except that

14:02

what drew Mr. Polyev's attention were

14:04

the acts that tax flags, but

14:07

also there were a number

14:09

of F Trudeau

14:11

flags, which have become

14:13

common. There were enough of them that they

14:15

wanted him to take a picture with that

14:17

backdrop, and he wisely chose to have his

14:19

picture taken with a different backdrop. But

14:22

I was trying to think, I've

14:24

covered a number of opposition leaders

14:26

who became Prime Minister. Brian Malroni,

14:28

Jean-Claude Chien, Stephen Harper, Justin Trudeau.

14:31

I don't think any of them would have

14:33

made a stop or a

14:35

detour if they'd seen flags that

14:37

said F whoever

14:40

was the Prime Minister of the day at that

14:42

point. It becomes a matter

14:44

of civil discourse and a matter of

14:46

principle, and I think on that it

14:48

was an error in judgment. I

14:51

mean, there was obviously Andrew some

14:54

notion about appealing to the argument that

14:56

he is making about against the carbon

14:58

tax and who segment of the population

15:00

that he has met before. This

15:03

group is sort of self-described as a

15:06

convoy and certainly shared some of the

15:08

views of the convoy that was here in

15:10

Ottawa that Conservatives went out and met with

15:12

as well. Yeah, at some

15:14

point he has to decide whether again whether he's

15:16

running for Prime Minister or running for opposition leader.

15:18

You're 20 points ahead in the polls. At some

15:21

point you start to consolidate, you start to bring

15:24

people in rather than telling people who you don't

15:26

like. And this is certainly

15:28

still appealing to the same strategy of

15:30

whipping up emotions and playing to resentments

15:32

and fears. I wouldn't make

15:34

too much of it. I think people, you know,

15:36

there was a Diago on patch somewhere scrawled on

15:38

the side of the thing. I don't imagine he wants much

15:41

to do with that group, particularly after what they said about

15:43

his wife last year. But it's

15:46

the same. There's a context though to this, which

15:49

is, you know, hanging out with the lawless

15:52

mob that occupied the streets of Ottawa

15:54

was probably the low point. But also,

15:56

you know, some of the Coochier

15:58

stuff with the world Economic. Mccormack said are

16:01

it's it's winking at that audience that

16:03

group couldn't people's party voters saying well

16:05

you know you, you can country you

16:07

know you can stay inside the tent

16:09

the same time he wants mainstream boards

16:11

of think okay he's just doing that

16:13

for political reasons. doesn't really believe the

16:15

stuff. I think that's probably true but

16:17

the the voters should not be put

16:20

the position of having to wonder or

16:22

whether the next feminists are Canada is

16:24

a mainstream in of normal politician or

16:26

somebody who hangs out with with extremists

16:28

and and the dire glancing. That. It when

16:30

I talk about extremists it's that diack line

16:32

a flag that were pointed to whether side

16:34

or knew it was there that I think

16:36

that different questions front elena office. Yes

16:39

I you know Sarah person with the

16:41

Mr by the of have the towards

16:44

to stop and have a talk with

16:46

people who were demonstrating for the climate

16:48

Know I know you know the answer

16:51

to that. but for the average voter.

16:53

Ah, Having a prime minister who

16:55

can actually talk about the environment

16:58

with people who are concerned that

17:00

would be the vast majority of

17:02

Canadians works better than having a

17:04

prime minister. Was seems to

17:06

some the message that Sir A

17:08

he will be happy to talk

17:11

with people who occupy. Parliament

17:13

Hill or occupy of the border

17:16

between two provinces up with Zeus

17:18

Earth that serves make them believe

17:20

that the if they sit there

17:23

for forever politicians will take these

17:25

kinds of events that he's encouraging.

17:27

Know. Will. Come back

17:30

to haunt conservative government. If

17:32

and when. There is one led

17:34

by Mr. Plenty of because those tactics

17:36

will be used on him. And

17:39

I thought your starting point. Lcn The column

17:41

which at others have mentioned is it was what.

17:44

Why why do something like this when you're twenty

17:46

points ahead Legal it was if you're have to

17:48

pull over and toss everybody on the street you

17:50

just don't up. Do. Now.

17:53

i mean i'm suppose that he

17:55

felt a little comfortable ah a

17:57

little too comfortable to take that

17:59

risk as I think right now, you know, we're

18:01

living in a different era than we were 20 years

18:03

ago. Everybody has a cell phone. You have to expect

18:05

that everywhere you go, there will be a record of

18:07

it and it will be broadcast on social media. And

18:10

you don't know what you're entering. And

18:12

that's not just for this group of individuals that

18:14

are protesting in the carbon tax. You don't know

18:16

that about any type of protest. And you should

18:18

be very careful about where you go and what

18:20

symbols might be there and who you're associating with

18:22

if you don't know who these people are. But

18:26

beyond that, I think, you

18:28

know, Andrew said he's kind of, you

18:30

know, winking at conspiracy theorists. He's not

18:32

just winking. He is engaging

18:35

them. He is affirming what they

18:37

have said on the World

18:39

Economic Forum, for example, that Justin Trudeau's government

18:41

is run by the World Economic Forum. We've seen

18:43

that during door knocks. And

18:47

placating, encouraging

18:50

people who, frankly, are

18:52

detached from reality is

18:55

not the kind of leadership that

18:57

we should expect for somebody who wants to

19:00

be the prime minister of the country. Like,

19:02

you have to have a certain baseline

19:05

of like, this is what the

19:07

facts are. And if

19:09

we don't encourage our political leaders

19:11

to have a discussion based on

19:13

facts, then we are not going

19:16

to be able to come as

19:18

a country, as a society together

19:20

and talk about big questions that

19:22

the country faces. We

19:24

will not be able to find grounds where

19:27

we can cooperate, where we can agree,

19:29

even agree to disagree.

19:31

Like, that's the scary part. And you can kind

19:33

of see what's happening down south. And I don't

19:35

think anybody in this country wants to

19:37

have what's happening in the United States happening in Canada.

19:40

Quickly, Andrew. I'm not sure if it's

19:42

overconfidence or if they're still nervous about the People's Party

19:44

and want to make sure that they keep that tamped

19:46

down and don't give them in. Well,

19:49

I think those votes in close writing, those can matter.

19:51

And I think that I think they want to make

19:53

sure that doesn't happen. But the thing is, you know,

19:55

it maybe doesn't show up in the polls now in

19:57

terms of hurting them. No

20:00

doubts like that. If you leave doubts that don't

20:02

show up now, but they're the kind of thing

20:04

that can show up in the heat and the

20:06

pressure crack of an election campaign. If people are

20:08

nervous about this, if they're leaving mainstream voters wondering

20:10

what's the sky all about. So that's the potential

20:12

price. We'll see whether it has to pay it

20:14

or not. Very quickly,

20:16

Chantal. Very quickly. And they would be wrong,

20:18

the Conservatives, to believe that they have closed

20:20

their deal with voters who

20:23

did not vote Conservative in

20:25

2021 because from anecdotal evidence,

20:28

that's not the case. Honda

20:34

has plans for a new EV battery plant in

20:36

Alliston, Ontario with the help of billions in

20:38

federal and provincial investment. This

20:40

government, we're making choices to invest,

20:42

to try and these

20:46

important country companies that

20:48

were creating jobs. So

20:51

what's made of this big new

20:53

investment is Canada attracting investors or

20:55

subsidizing a whole sector. Let's bring

20:57

everybody back. Chantal, Andrew and

20:59

Althea. I suppose the answer could be it's doing both

21:01

of those things. But I

21:03

mean, this is a significant amount

21:05

of money. It's a big deal

21:08

for Ontario. Andrew,

21:10

is this the way that you, and I know

21:12

I almost know your answer, but I'm going to

21:14

ask you anyway. Is this the way that you

21:16

build an industry? Like do you

21:19

need some kind of conduct to choose

21:21

Canada over all the other places it could have done

21:23

this? First of all, just on the

21:25

expense, it's $5 billion for what they claim

21:27

is a thousand jobs. That's $5 million a

21:29

job. You could hire five times as many

21:31

people at $100,000 a year for

21:33

10 years for the same money. But

21:35

of course, you're not actually creating a thousand

21:37

jobs because there's no shortage of jobs in

21:39

Ontario. You're basically luring people and the resources

21:41

away from other sectors. You

21:44

know, you always destroy as many jobs

21:46

as you create when you're playing this kind of game.

21:48

Why are you doing? Because you think you're going to

21:50

get what, first mover advantage in electric vehicles and electric

21:52

vehicle batteries. I got news for them. The Chinese have

21:54

been at this for 20 years. So

21:56

all they're really doing is plowing a lot

21:59

of money into an industry that's... they think is going

22:01

to be a winner, but where they're only

22:03

going to be basically matching other countries' subsidies.

22:05

So it's not like we're going to create

22:07

some massive empire in Canada, in this industry,

22:09

and it's not clear whether electric

22:11

vehicles are going to take over in quite the way that they

22:13

are. There's a lot of doubts about

22:15

it in the marketplace right now. If they do, it's not

22:17

clear that this particular battery technology is going to be the

22:19

one that's going to take over the world. They're making enormous

22:22

bets, $50 billion before this,

22:24

when you include interest costs and tax

22:26

write-offs, for the three plants before this, and

22:28

they're now going to add another $5 billion to it. It's

22:31

an enormous bet with not just

22:33

an uncertain payoff, but almost a certainty that it's

22:35

not going to be worth the money. Yeah, I

22:38

guess the difference between the previous announcements with

22:40

Volkswagen and Stellantis is those were

22:42

subsidies. These are tax credits. It's a

22:44

little bit different, maybe a little more

22:47

palatable. I thought maybe that

22:49

would make it slightly more palatable to

22:51

Andrew. Maybe not. Shut down. I

22:56

think for all the talk about being ahead

22:58

of some curve, they're actually playing defense on

23:00

this in the sense that they're

23:02

trying to protect the auto industry and

23:06

trying to avoid Southern

23:08

Ontario to be carved out of it by

23:12

making these rather massive taxpayer

23:14

investments. Whether

23:16

that's going to turn out to be a

23:19

good bet or not, we won't

23:21

know for a while. What I

23:23

don't expect is for Pierre Poitlier to say he's

23:25

going to take the chips off the table from

23:28

that bet. Why say that?

23:30

Because if you look back at those pictures

23:32

you showed, who was standing right next

23:34

to the Prime Minister beaming the

23:37

conservative premier of Ontario. I

23:40

don't expect Pierre Poitlier to campaign in

23:42

Ontario against both Doug

23:44

Ford and Justin Trudeau. It would be pretty

23:46

hard to undo, Elthea, I think. You

23:50

got a sense during the first announcement,

23:52

the Volkswagen announcement, that they weren't really

23:54

onside and that there was sort of

23:56

a schism between the local MPs and

23:58

the local and the mayor of

24:00

St. Thomas who used to be a Conservative MP, and

24:04

the team around Mr. Poliev, but you don't get

24:06

that sense at all. And we talked a little

24:09

bit earlier about how the

24:11

Conservatives have not come out against the capital

24:13

gains changes. They have not come out and

24:16

said anything critical about this either so far.

24:19

So I have to say, I

24:21

think there were a

24:23

lot of skeptics about the government

24:25

strategy last year when the

24:28

big announcement started happening. But

24:31

now it seems like they have managed to build

24:33

a cluster and to Chantal's point, they

24:36

needed to, we knew they needed to, but they

24:39

have succeeded, I think, or

24:41

they will have succeeded a generation from now. We

24:43

will know whether or not we are right. And

24:46

ensuring that you have that market access with

24:48

the United States, so there is an auto industry in

24:50

Ontario. And they're willing

24:53

to pump a lot of money, and the provinces are

24:55

willing to pump a lot of money. It was interesting

24:57

that we got to be a bit of a

24:59

fly on the wall in terms of the discussions

25:01

between Quebec and Ontario and who was gonna win

25:03

and not. So there's a little bit of lifting

25:06

of the curtain. I do wonder if it will

25:08

accentuate some regional tensions, feeling that Ontario

25:10

is getting a large chunk of the pie, but

25:13

we'll see what the premiers eventually

25:15

say about that. Okay, I'm gonna leave it

25:17

there. Thank you all very much. That is

25:19

at issue for this week. What do you

25:21

think about Poliev meeting with some of those

25:23

protesters and what he said? Let us know.

25:25

And send us a DM on Instagram, at

25:27

CBC The National. You can email ask at

25:29

cbc.ca. And remember, you can catch me on

25:31

Rosemary Barton Live, Sundays at 10 a.m. Eastern.

25:34

We'll be back in your podcast feeds next week. Thanks

25:36

so much for listening. For

25:40

more CBC podcasts, go

25:42

to cbc.ca/ podcasts.

Rate

Join Podchaser to...

  • Rate podcasts and episodes
  • Follow podcasts and creators
  • Create podcast and episode lists
  • & much more

Episode Tags

Do you host or manage this podcast?
Claim and edit this page to your liking.
,

Unlock more with Podchaser Pro

  • Audience Insights
  • Contact Information
  • Demographics
  • Charts
  • Sponsor History
  • and More!
Pro Features