0:04

The numbers told the story. They always do. It's

0:06

one of those idiots who believe in the analytics.

0:08

This is a numbers game with Gil Alexander,

0:11

Gone vs.

0:12

Good Monday Morning, Dude. Is the numbers

0:14

game in vs. In the sports betting network, Visa dot

0:16

Com, the Visa app game plus iHeartRadio, YouTube

0:18

TV, and of course the Draft Kings

0:21

Network's Gill Alexander. It's Kelly Bidlin

0:24

live from bar Canada here at the day and yes, we've

0:26

been sitting in these chairs for at least two

0:28

minutes, two and a half minutes. Happy

0:31

Martin Luther King Junior birthday, by the way. The

0:33

reason and apparently the way that downtown Las Vegas

0:35

handles that is they create all kinds of detours

0:39

and we barely got here in time for the show.

0:41

Yeah.

0:42

I feel like I feel like I was being

0:44

tested, like you know, like a mouse, like

0:46

an amazed rights did you

0:48

try to like an idiot test of how many times

0:50

I was like trying, Oh my god, I gotta go back over that way. Oh wait,

0:52

road close, I gotta go back over that road close. Okay,

0:55

I don't know what construction is going on.

0:56

Now exactly what happened to me, thanks for warning me about the Uh

0:59

we are here though, and we are ready to talk football,

1:01

everything that has gone by this past

1:04

weekend, everything that's about to happen here today,

1:06

kind of like the two two to two in the end.

1:08

Kind of like the two I don't

1:11

know if you have the same thought, Like on Saturday, I didn't

1:13

text you about this, but I was like, it really

1:16

screws up show plans for the next two

1:18

days, or does that? But like from a

1:20

football watching for us,

1:22

yeah, oh that's great. Well, so let me start.

1:25

There before we get into today's games, and then we'll get and then

1:27

we'll look back at everything over the weekend, and lord

1:29

knows, there's plenty to talk about, but

1:31

the that was my first thing. So

1:34

Friday, you know, we do we obviously do five

1:36

shows a week, and typically I will get

1:38

to every point that I want to make during the course

1:40

of a week. Usually that day Friday

1:43

afternoon, like I'm home and I'm like, I'm

1:45

thinking to myself and like, how is it that I went five

1:48

days without even uttering the

1:50

possibility like giving life the possibility

1:52

of you know, this Chief's Dolphins

1:54

game. I wonder if they'll postpone

1:57

it the Chiefs Dolphins specifically, right,

1:59

So I was like, but I was like beaten on myself

2:01

for not having even brought that up. And

2:03

I'm like, wow, I mean, like, I wonder what temperature this

2:06

could get to in the forecast where they tell

2:08

everybody we're going to do this a different day,

2:10

and then Saturday morning, it's not that game, it's

2:12

the other game. It's the uh, it's the

2:15

the Lake effect blizzard in Buffalo

2:17

that creates the postponement from Saturday

2:19

to excuse me, from a Sunday morning to today.

2:23

And so I was glad then I didn't bring up anything because

2:25

I would have the wrong game anyway.

2:26

It's funny you thought that, because when that

2:28

news came down, I kind of did the whole

2:31

Why did like nobody talked about

2:33

this all week? It felt like like nobody talked

2:35

about this evening a possibility.

2:37

I felt so stupid that I had yes,

2:39

yes, so that I mean you

2:41

no, I hear you. We were discussing this yesterday,

2:44

like, ay, what point is it, like

2:46

you bring a child right to that Kansas

2:49

City game, Like, at what point is that too dangerous?

2:51

Well?

2:51

Because and then I also and I was

2:53

corroborated by some doctors I know who are

2:55

like, yeah, that's like super dangerous, Hawn. And we saw

2:57

helmets getting cracked down. I feel like, right, I

2:59

mean so clearly. But anyway, so that

3:02

was that's the sort of biggest off the field

3:04

headline of the weekend. And and yesterday

3:06

the conditions in Buffalo are going to be cold, but they

3:08

will not have the wind issue that they

3:10

would have had. So that's a go today

3:12

in the first of two games. The other things before we get

3:15

into those, though, I also felt like this

3:17

weekend, and I'll just get off the the off the field

3:19

stuff first, I'll just brain dump it now.

3:22

Is I felt like it was this weird

3:25

beyond me not communicating that

3:27

possibility. I felt like it was a weird

3:29

weekend just in terms of all the stuff

3:32

going on around the games. First of all, the Peacock

3:34

NBC game, which was the Chiefs and the

3:36

Dolphins game. You know, there's already millions,

3:38

tens of millions of Americans who already angry

3:41

as could be the fact that that game was

3:43

on streaming only, and

3:45

then for them to have the

3:48

audacity, right, the moxie, the

3:50

chutzpah to have the whole ad campaign

3:52

of be a part of history, right,

3:55

which I thought was like, are you are they for

3:57

real.

3:58

Proved this right last Tariko

4:00

went going through the numbers of how successful.

4:03

I was like, what is

4:05

going on right now?

4:07

Then, like, I just think there's like stuff

4:09

that goes on to that you

4:12

know announced we know

4:14

that's happening, but we don't really know the depths of

4:16

which. So Aj Brown can't play today for

4:18

the Eagles. He removed all connection

4:21

to the Eagles off social media, and I thought to myself,

4:23

I'm like, what is the Eagles story?

4:26

We're not being told? Like how much

4:29

has Sirianni lost this locker room?

4:31

What's going on behind the scenes in Philly. We

4:33

we know that it's gone bad, just

4:35

how bad? I'm not sure we're getting the full

4:37

story.

4:38

Well, well, that would be the only way these rumors

4:40

even make sense to me of being if

4:44

they lose Aj Brown in a boxing match on Saturday

4:46

night he did in Atlantic City.

4:48

Sure that makes sense. And

4:51

then what was the other one? The other one was like during the

4:53

first half of the Cowboys disaster

4:55

against the Packers yesterday, and we'll get into all that. Did

4:59

you feel like Kevin Burkhardt for

5:01

the first half of that game. Kept

5:04

harping on this point that

5:06

something was off between Dak and

5:08

CD Lamb that went beyond what was actually

5:11

happening on the field, Like he said at five

5:13

different times where he's like, oh, there's

5:15

something, there's something going on, like he had

5:17

to know something that he wasn't

5:20

able to share with the audience that

5:22

was beyond what was actually happening on a guy who

5:24

just hadn't had any catches yet. I just

5:26

thought there was all these weird things happening

5:28

around the farm.

5:29

But I thought it was odd. Don't get me, I thought it was odd.

5:31

He kept saying that.

5:32

I did think it was I did just think that,

5:34

like the CD connection was odd.

5:36

For the fifth time, I was like, what, just

5:38

tell us what she right, Let's tell us what

5:40

you know. I mean, those first what like three throws

5:43

to CD Lamb was like it looked like two guys

5:45

that had never played catch together before. It was incredible.

5:47

It's very odd anyway as

5:49

far as today's games, so we'll get it everything from the

5:51

weekend here in depth, but as far as today's

5:53

games are concerned, so on the beating the Book Megapod,

5:56

we usually do three games a week in a normal

5:58

NFL week, This is the week where we

6:01

only do two six wild

6:04

card weekend game, so we only pick our two best

6:06

bets. Mine both happen to be today

6:09

as a result of the postponement

6:11

of the Bill Steelers game. Now here's the deal. I'm

6:14

on the Steelers plus ten. But

6:16

a huge part of that handicap was

6:19

they're going to play in all this wind

6:21

condition thirty to fifty miles per

6:23

hour. Whatever forecast you bought into this

6:25

past week, Now that's not going to happen. The

6:28

wind is going to be tame by comparison

6:30

today. So do I like my Steelers

6:32

plus the ten? And by the way, it should be mentioned that

6:34

depending on the book at which you bet

6:37

here, this is either a

6:39

refund for you avoided bet and you

6:41

have to bet it again if you want to, or

6:43

the bet stands. Some books are

6:45

going to say it has to be the day,

6:48

the actual day of schedule. Others

6:50

are going to say it stands for a certain amount of time.

6:52

So I am I won't say stuck

6:54

with this Steelers plus ten, but I certainly

6:57

don't love it as well.

6:58

Sure of course, no, you're stuck with it.

7:00

It's you wouldn't have made the

7:02

bed otherwise I would not have I mean in

7:04

that way, we had multiple guests on that made

7:06

the made the same bet for the same reason.

7:09

Well, we had people who took the Steelers on the money line, remember.

7:11

Right, Yeah, I mean we're talking yeah, And this is

7:13

I'm looking at the weather. Weather now it's supposed

7:15

to it's getting better and better as every

7:17

hour goes on from yesterday. It looks

7:19

like it's my kickoff time. We're gonna have like

7:22

ten ish miles an hour mile

7:24

an hour sustained wins with gust at like

7:26

fifteen.

7:27

And a ball me eighteen degrees right,

7:30

which is cold, but obviously what we saw Saturday

7:32

in Kansas City not all that cold by

7:34

comparison. So I am stuck

7:37

with that bed. Ken,

7:39

the Steelers keep it within ten I hope so, but I wouldn't

7:41

have bet on it quite frankly. So

7:45

that's the thing. Ken, the Steelers Sun

7:47

enough clock here today. Do you have any play on this game at

7:49

all? Oh?

7:50

I had a I love my teaser leg

7:52

position, but that was tied in with the Dallas Cowboys,

7:54

so that's out the window.

7:56

Yeah, right now, nothing on this game.

7:58

I still think that there's Buffalo

8:00

side I'd like to get involved with somehow.

8:03

I just haven't figured that. I haven't figured that out exactly

8:06

yet. Okay, it

8:08

might be an in game look. Might be looking looking

8:10

at a team total over or something like that.

8:12

Four thirty Eastern, one thirty Pacific for that same

8:14

schedule as the last two days now and

8:17

then Philly and Tampa is tonight. The eight

8:20

fifteen eastern, five point fifteen Pacific

8:22

game tonight scheduled

8:24

in this time slot, as it has been, the Eagles

8:26

two and a half point favorites. It's kind of hung there

8:29

all week two and a half three, we're seeing

8:31

three as a consensus. Now Eagles three point

8:33

favorites at Tampa

8:35

Bay. I got the Eagles minus two and a half early in

8:38

the week, and again I admit it the

8:40

flimsiest of all handicaps. And

8:42

I should say I had four bets, I split them.

8:45

I had Houston that got home. I had Miami

8:47

which didn't. And again I couldn't

8:50

have been more wrong about that game. But

8:53

I the flimsy handicap on the Eagles

8:55

is it can't be that bad,

8:58

right, They can't suck this mon much

9:00

that a team that had been so

9:02

good, and

9:05

even through the ten and one record, I was

9:07

the first person to say they shouldn't have been ten and one. They probably

9:09

should have lost multiple of those games. But

9:12

they can go into Tampa Bay and be this

9:14

outfit, can't they? And now you

9:16

hear all the AJ Brown stuff, And I'm like, do I love

9:18

this bet? I don't love this bet either. So

9:21

I have two. I got both both

9:23

Pennsylvania teams, one getting

9:26

the points, one giving the points, and I don't love

9:28

either of them quite frankly, one because of a postponeman

9:30

and the other one because as news

9:33

keeps trickling in, it

9:35

starts to dawn on you. Oh this might be every

9:37

bit as bad as they're making it.

9:38

Out to me.

9:39

Yeah, I'm feeling the same way I did end up over the

9:41

weekend putting a small bet in on the Eagles minus

9:43

two and a half as well.

9:44

So I'll be right at that one with you.

9:46

But it's I mean, and I really wish

9:48

I could add to it, but it's really it's really

9:50

your same handicap, man.

9:51

It is the Eagles really

9:54

this bad.

9:54

Going into Tampa with I think

9:56

Baker Mayfield's going to try to tough

9:58

guy it out right through some off here. I

10:03

just can't imagine that the Eagles are gonna.

10:05

Lose this game.

10:06

But man, this team has been awful down

10:08

the stretch.

10:09

So now again keep in mind, the only division

10:12

game that is set, the only division game

10:14

that is set is Green Bay

10:16

at San Francisco. We'll talk about that. That's

10:18

gonna be the Saturday night game. The

10:20

first game on Saturday will be once

10:23

again the Houston Texans timeslot,

10:25

which Buddhist Man had a great teet yesterday

10:27

said, if the Texans advanced to the Super

10:30

Bowl, they're gonna move it to the early time slaunched

10:32

Saturday. Now, while

10:35

we know that it is going to be Green Bay

10:37

at San Francisco Saturday night, we

10:39

await who Detroit will play Sunday

10:42

morning, the winner of that Tampa Bay Philadelphia

10:44

game. And as far as the AFC is concerned, that

10:46

is very much up in the air with

10:48

the Bills Steelers outcome. If the Bills

10:50

do win that game, the Bills

10:53

will host the Kansas City Chiefs in

10:55

the three to two game in the AFC.

10:57

If the Steelers somehow emerge victorious, they

11:00

will go to play Pittsburgh

11:04

and Houston will go to

11:07

Kansas City. Otherwise, in the scenario

11:09

where Kansas City plays Buffalo, Houston

11:11

will go play at Baltimore. So we'll

11:13

give up. We'll get potential predictions.

11:16

We'll give a guessing lines predictions on all of that

11:20

coming up on the show. I have no clock, so you have to tell

11:22

me when we're out.

11:22

We're out, No, no, no, who about

11:24

solid fifteen seconds?

11:25

Oh, there's the music. The music tells me when we're out

11:27

there. Fifteen seconds where

11:30

it's it's construction outside, it's l MLK

11:32

days, all kinds of things happening here at the d We'll

11:35

get it figured out. We'll come back. We'll go through these games

11:37

one by one. We'll do win a reverse order. Let's start

11:39

with yesterday's as we do

11:41

a faux guessing lines. Potential

11:45

matchups coming up on a numbers game at Visa the

11:47

Sports Betting Network.

11:51

A numbers game on Visa the Sports

11:54

Betting Network.

11:55

Start your morning with a daily dose of winning strategies

11:57

insider tips in the latest buzz with the Free Vsent

11:59

Daily Newsletter. In today's newsletter,

12:02

all the talk about today's two games,

12:05

and a look back on everything that happened over the weekend

12:07

in the NFL. Plus I'm Australian Open talk

12:09

as well. We'll have Zach Gohen on Zach Cohen

12:11

on the show a little later on to talk Aussie Open as

12:13

well. But that's in the newsletter. Get expert analysis

12:15

in the latest odds delivered straight to your inbox, absolutely

12:18

free. Visit visa dot com slash newsletter

12:21

to subscribe, written by the Great Bill

12:23

Ady, which Kelly overactive

12:26

in the video of the nod hadnond

12:28

is that was perfect bitterness fourteen

12:30

takes. But you know, okay,

12:33

we get tweets at beating the book, Kelly, I just want to read these couple

12:35

because this will seguey

12:37

right into the game. We want to talk about Las Vegas five

12:39

one four. Who's a Skins fan? He said, Yo, is it me?

12:42

Or can this Dallas loss be one of the most embarrassing

12:44

moments in Dallas football history? Glad to witness

12:46

it? Lmao. There

12:48

is something about and

12:51

this might apply to Eagles fans and Giants fans,

12:53

but it really applies to Skins fans, which

12:55

is, there's something that takes us back

12:57

to our childhood when the Cowboys lose in a playoff

12:59

game, especially that spectacularly. There is

13:02

a little thing inside your inside your little

13:04

boy body where you're just

13:06

you remember how joyous it was.

13:08

Yeah, we had a we had a great Eagles kiss

13:10

on yesterday ty on Live Bet Sunday.

13:13

Uh, what was the wording he used?

13:17

It won't be a great weekend if the Eagles

13:19

don't win, but it can't be a bad weekend.

13:21

Cost We used to say,

13:23

it's a you know, the the However,

13:26

what happened in Washington game win or lose would

13:28

determine our mood for the rest of the week. But if

13:31

Dallas lost, it was still salvaged. Jason

13:33

h eleven. The way Burkhardt was carrying

13:36

on, Uh, you talk about Dak

13:38

and CD, what I brought up earlier, you'd

13:40

think Dak caught CD with his wife

13:42

the night before. Remember in Major

13:45

League when Dorin's wife picks up Ricky Vaughan at

13:47

the bar. I did think it was bizarre how he just kept

13:49

on about it and it was like okay, And then the second half when

13:51

they finally connected, Uh, it sort

13:53

of got muted. But let's start with that game, because

13:55

that's obviously the one that's going to i

13:57

mean dominate e s. If you get ready

14:00

for four weeks of ESPN talking

14:02

about it, that demise the Cowboys.

14:05

The game started yesterday, Packers

14:08

won the toss. Was a little guessing

14:10

lines that you're here kind

14:12

of guessing line. Oh bit weird guessing

14:14

lines. We just don't know all the matchups.

14:16

Yeah, exactly, this is like real guess. This is really

14:18

guessing when you got multiple matchups to get. That's

14:20

right, that's actually even more fun.

14:22

So here's this. So, if Packers won the toss, they

14:24

elected to receive, they go twelve plays, seventy

14:26

five yards, Jones in from three touchdown,

14:29

Packers up seven and nothing, and they churned

14:31

clock seven oh eight left in the first quarter

14:34

that Dallas punted, green Bay punted. Then Dallas gets

14:36

the ball back third and five at their

14:38

own thirteen dak

14:40

picked by Jay Yir Alexander

14:43

oh Boy. Green Bay set up at

14:45

the nineteen three plays later, Jones in from one fourteen

14:48

to nothing, pack fourteen to fifteen

14:50

left in the second quarter, Dallas

14:52

punts again, green Bay ten plays ninety

14:55

three yards loved to Dontavion Wicks

14:58

for twenty twenty to nothing, and of course, and

15:00

Carlson misses a Pat. As we talked

15:02

about last week. He always seems to.

15:04

Like, how's this guy survived the entire

15:06

season? I feel like I'd see him missing kick every week.

15:08

I think that's a sixth the missed pat of

15:10

the whole season when you include regular season in postseason.

15:12

Now, three twenty three left in the second quarter, it's twenty

15:15

to nothing. And this is when I fired off the tweet,

15:17

which was hardly original because we had talked about it

15:19

all last week and I'm sure others had two, which is, you

15:21

know, if the Cowboys lose this game, how

15:24

quickly will Bill Belichick be the head coach?

15:26

And so I fired off the tweet that I put the

15:28

over under on Bill Belichick

15:30

being announced as a Cowboys head coach at this

15:33

Friday at noon Eastern. This

15:36

Friday at noon Eastern. And this was before

15:38

the next sequence of events where

15:40

Dallas second and two at the green Bay forty

15:43

Dak picked by Darnell Savage sixty

15:45

four yards to the house, twenty

15:47

seven and nothing Green Bay with one forty three

15:49

left in the second quarter, and you thought to yourself,

15:52

maybe the competitive portion of this game is already

15:54

over. But Dallas on the last

15:56

drive of the first half, twelve place, fifty five yards Dak to

15:58

Ferguson from one out. That was four plays

16:00

after Remember Devondre Campbell should have picked

16:02

another Dak pass oh at the goal

16:04

line.

16:05

That should have been the second easiest pick. Yes,

16:08

the second easiest is how bad this game was.

16:10

And Dallas got bailed terrible Dallas got

16:13

bailed out. And then they end up

16:15

scoring on the last play of the

16:17

half when a false start goes uncalled.

16:19

Remember the refs missed that. The officials missed that.

16:22

So Dakta Ferguson twenty seven to seven

16:24

at the half. And you see, for a

16:26

little bit you said, okay, well, at least they have

16:29

a double dip opportunity here. If they can

16:31

matriculate score another touchdown, you

16:33

know, maybe they're back in this game.

16:35

I thought there was game over if they didn't score that

16:37

touchout at the end of the first half, for sure, because

16:39

of that situation, right, they had the chance at

16:41

the double dip at least.

16:43

Love was a thirteen of sixteen for what to eighty

16:45

five in the first half. My goodness, but those two turnovers,

16:48

you know, fourteen Green Bay points,

16:50

one which was a pick six one which set them up in

16:52

the red zone. So what happens with

16:54

that first Dallas driving the second half? Will they end up with an

16:56

Aubrey thirty four yard field goal? So twenty

16:58

seven to ten, So okay, they get a field

17:01

goal. They keeps him alive also, but at

17:03

that point it was over because green Bay then so

17:06

quick five plays, seventy five yards,

17:09

Jones in from nine, set up by a forty six yard

17:11

Loved to Dobbs connection. Thirty four to ten.

17:14

Then it was all cosmic. Well, it's thirty

17:16

four to sixteen. Remember Pollard scored in

17:18

from one. They got flagged on a two point

17:20

conversion. Here was the first Mike. Here was another Mike McCarthy

17:22

thing. So Mike McCarthy who got bailed out

17:25

in that game against Seattle when he made

17:27

a horrible decision where Dak threw

17:29

an incomplete pass gave Seattle life late

17:31

the defense bailed him out. Mike McCarthy

17:34

who got bailed out in the Detroit game by

17:36

the officials and the whole Brad Allen thing when

17:38

Dak threw an incomplete pass when they should have just run

17:40

it in milk clock at the end. Here it was

17:43

they score, It's thirty four to sixteen. You

17:45

got to go for two. They get flagged and

17:48

McCarthy decides to kick the long extra

17:50

point instead of going from two for two from the twelve.

17:53

And by the way, Aubrey missed the extra point two

17:55

he joinked it, so it was still remained thirty

17:57

four to sixteen. But you have to go for two from the

17:59

twelve. They're also, yeah, you

18:02

can't not try it. Green

18:04

Bay three plays seventy five yards, loved

18:06

to musk Grave for thirty eight. No one was within

18:09

twenty yards of him. Forty one to

18:11

sixteen, and from that point on it was just cosmetic,

18:14

you know. Last play a third quarter,

18:16

fourth and five, at they're on forty one, Dallas turned over

18:19

on downs and complete. Green

18:21

Bay did add another score eight plays forty

18:23

one yards. Love to dops I forgot. There was another

18:25

score where they scored on fourth and two to make it forty

18:27

eight to sixteen, But then it was dak to Ferguson

18:29

to make it forty eight to twenty four. After the two point conversion.

18:32

Sean Clifford came in the game for green Bay. Dallas

18:34

went went four plays ninety one yards to

18:37

make it forty eight to thirty two after Dak

18:39

went in from two, Dak to Ferguson on the touchdown,

18:41

and then Green Bay put their starters back in loving

18:45

complete pass on third they you know, that

18:47

was a bat That was a mistake for Matt Lafloor to throw a pass

18:49

there to stop the clock. But then Dallas turnover

18:51

on downs. That was it. Forty eight thirty

18:53

two. They score much more cosmetic than

18:55

it really ought to have been. The

18:58

Packers just murdering them here from

19:00

the outset forty eight

19:02

points. Time for the most enfranchised postseason

19:05

history for the Packers. Love sixteen of twenty one

19:07

for two seventy two. And even though Dak through

19:09

for four h three, he was terrible. Should

19:11

have thrown three picks well in.

19:13

The first that was in garbage time too.

19:16

It was all garbage and I just I keep getting back

19:18

to this one. So green Bay advances. By the way,

19:20

when it was fourteen to nothing, I sent out text everybody.

19:22

I was like, it's gonna be San Francisco minus ten. Is

19:25

that what it is? I think that's what it was, exactly

19:27

right, And that was at fourteen to nothing yesterday,

19:29

Like that was an obvious spread based

19:31

on what green Bay was was

19:33

here at Dallas being just seven, so you figure

19:36

just add three with San Francisco getting

19:39

to Dallas, though.

19:39

That game will be Saturday night, Saturday

19:42

night, eight pm.

19:42

That's right. The only thing we know. We know Saturday

19:45

night is the San Francisco game. We know Sunday morning is

19:47

the game at Detroit. We know Saturday

19:49

morning will be the game that Houston goes

19:52

to road. Yeah.

19:55

But the whole thing with Dak comes back to what if I said

19:57

a million times on this show through

19:59

the years. This is the

20:01

cruelty of National Football League

20:03

economics where unless you have a

20:05

Hall of Fame quarterback or a quarterback

20:08

who over performs on a rookie contract where you can

20:10

pay everybody else, you are

20:12

not winning a Super Bowl. It is just

20:14

the case. Now. I know the Eagles with Nick Foles is an

20:16

exception, but Carson Wentz was on the rookie

20:18

deal, so it doesn't really count. You'd

20:21

have to go all the way back to Brad Johnson in two thousand

20:23

and two with Tampa Trent Dilford with the Ravens

20:25

in two thousand to find an exception to this quarterback

20:29

over performing on a rookie quarterback slash

20:31

or a Hall of Famer to win a Super

20:33

Bowl. So Dak Prescott, who is,

20:36

you know, one year away from the Cowboys having

20:38

to make another decision on him,

20:41

he does not fall into this category.

20:44

And so I just you know,

20:46

this is the problem. You pay Deshaun

20:49

Watson two hundred and fifty three million dollars every

20:51

dollar guaranteed, you pay Kirk

20:53

Cousins, you pay Jared Goff, you pay Dak press

20:55

gott on this past contract. You're not winning

20:58

super Bowls. You're just not. And

21:00

so they have to make this decision about Dak much

21:02

like the Dolphins. We'll get to them with Tua momentarily,

21:05

because this is he's about to have the fifth year

21:07

option on his rookie deal. They're

21:09

gonna have to make a decision in Miami. And

21:11

I just think this is the problem. You

21:13

know what I also thought about yesterday Matt Brown,

21:16

our own Matt Brown, who correctly

21:18

said all the time, while Dallas's defense

21:20

was getting all this hype all year, he said

21:22

it many times, and he said it on this show. Actually,

21:25

Micah Parsons is the only one generating

21:27

any kind of pressure. They didn't sack

21:30

Jordan Love yesterday, and when they did get

21:32

just the slightest bit of pressure, he destroyed

21:34

them. And so your

21:37

defense isn't as good as it was made out to

21:39

be either. Maybe Deron blanz picked

21:41

six has made us covered

21:43

up a lot, covered up a lot.

21:44

Also, Yeah, this was I mean, look, we're

21:46

not going to be you know, other four letter networks

21:49

talking about the Dallas Cowboys for four hours

21:51

today. But I mean, to some it all up, this was, I

21:54

mean a complete fell flat on

21:56

everywhere right. Dak was terrible. The defense

21:59

was terrible. I mean that for half, I

22:01

mean the entire game.

22:02

Dan Quinn looks worse after that game than

22:04

Mike McCarthy did.

22:04

Yeah, absolutely, everybody looks

22:07

bad.

22:07

But you're talking about receivers running

22:09

wide open in the Dallas secondary.

22:11

There's no pressure being generated the

22:13

run game that you knew Green Bay was going to

22:15

test you with that you didn't adjust

22:17

it all throughout the entirety of the game.

22:20

It was amazing.

22:21

Terrible coaching, terrible quarterback play.

22:23

I was shocked. I don't know if I'm laying ten

22:25

with San Francisco, but I think San Francisco advances They're

22:29

not gonna have the same problem with Green Bay. I

22:31

don't think so either. The man

22:33

Jordan Lovely there Jones. You

22:36

hold the clipboard, you turn out man, good tow

22:39

works coming back skill,

22:42

Alexander, It's kept Midlin Live from bar Canada

22:44

at the D Happy MLK

22:47

Junior Day. This was a huge deal when I was growing

22:49

up in DC. Had

22:52

to fight to make this a holiday, to make this

22:55

a national holiday. Stevie Wonder's Happy

22:57

Birthday is about this. I know

22:59

a lot of people think always just making a happy birthday song. It

23:01

was about this holiday, and

23:03

so it was a huge deal growing up in DC. I

23:05

don't get the impression in my adult life that

23:08

it really uh pervaded. I

23:10

know when I used to work in San Francisco, they used to give us

23:12

a choice between President's Day and MLK Day.

23:15

I once got a parking ticket on MLK Day.

23:17

I remember saying, it's a national holiday.

23:19

They're like, no, it's not, buddy. I'm like this,

23:22

it is your

23:24

excuse for getting a party. I was like, it's a national

23:26

what you can't, oh, you can?

23:29

I give a speed ticket for going twenty over officer.

23:31

It was Christmas Come by

23:35

the way King Dream chorus. If you're interested

23:37

in a great MLK flashback.

23:40

Do it after the show, though, King dream

23:42

Courus. Okay, we're doing this in a in

23:44

a all out of order. By the way, let me just do this though.

23:47

Let me read some tweets here because folks have some stuff

23:49

to say. One this is from Terry Lash.

23:51

He says, are you sure Bill would want any

23:54

part of DAK in that Cowboy team? Here's

23:56

here's the case for Bill Belichick going to the

23:58

Cowboys. The Patriots were just

24:01

four and thirteen, and

24:03

by the way, they were lucky to get to

24:05

four. Some could say, but four

24:08

and thirteen you're on the mount rushmore

24:10

of NFL head coaches. You don't want it ending

24:12

that way. And the quickest way

24:14

you can go to rehab that is

24:17

to go to a team that has parts

24:19

in place. And yes, after

24:21

what I just said, do I think DAK can win a Super Bowl?

24:23

I don't, But like, if Bill Belichick can

24:25

have a successful season with them,

24:28

they're already a playoff team at least, right,

24:31

could he bring them over the playoff hump?

24:33

He will think so, and it will rehab that four

24:36

and thirteen quicker than it

24:38

would with any other team. Yeah.

24:39

I think that's well said.

24:40

I mean, how many, assuming

24:42

he's an extremely self confident

24:45

head coach, which I would kind of hope almost Deffree

24:47

coaches rightfully him, especially like what you

24:50

know, you're getting a playoff you are getting

24:52

a playoff team. So is the

24:54

difference between you and Mike

24:56

McCarthy and Jason Garrett the fact

24:58

that you can lead them to.

25:00

A super Bowl should be right?

25:02

I would think there might

25:05

be, and that Bill Belichick probably thinks

25:07

there is that kind of difference between him and those

25:09

others.

25:09

The point is, if you don't think his ego is telling him he's

25:11

got to rehab that four to thirteen, trust me,

25:13

it is as great a coach as.

25:15

He was fourteen wins from the record,

25:18

I think it's.

25:18

F fourteen to tie fifteen. I think you go ahead,

25:21

Kevin clone Bone. I know it's a regular season award, But

25:23

if you reverse the Texans final game score

25:25

in Flacco wins in that fashion, is he submitted

25:27

as comeback player? The voters are only human? Is it possible

25:30

this cost him that award? Now, well, it is a regular season

25:32

award, so it doesn't cost him. But to your premise, yeah,

25:35

if that was a regular season game, I think

25:37

we'd be in here the next week saying there's no chance

25:39

he wins the comeback Player of the year.

25:40

Correct, Yes, I mean at least for at

25:42

least how our conversations have went. If that was

25:44

a week nineteen, Yes, we'd be sitting

25:47

here saying this is done.

25:49

Dwar Hamlin just.

25:50

On Michael Burns bet Dallas

25:52

pre flop during Packers first drop. I continually

25:54

bet pack in game for quite a while. I knew

25:56

quickly something was a miss. Thanksgill, I'm

25:58

learning glad you did that. Jason da Wall, how

26:01

often do you play many game script in gameplays

26:03

like Dak over alt passing

26:05

yards live? Yep, I didn't put

26:07

in retrospective, of course, good idea. Love the show. Well, I'll

26:09

tell you who did. Todd did Will?

26:11

Did Todd wishnev Will Hill? They did

26:14

that. They immediately jumped on it, and

26:16

the lament afterwards was why didn't

26:18

we bet tenfold that on DAK?

26:21

Yeah? I think I think?

26:23

Yeah.

26:23

The over attempts was the first thing I went

26:25

and looked at. I mean, you basically saw,

26:28

I mean we were talking about here a love best side. We basically

26:30

saw this same gameplay out in Houston,

26:33

right, the day before, where it was what

26:35

did Joe Flacco gonna do?

26:36

And what are they?

26:37

What are the Cowboys gonna do? You gonna air it out a million

26:39

times? Let's talk about the Rams in Detroit,

26:42

which was the obviously the last of the four games,

26:44

the only competitive game of the

26:46

bunch this weekend. Imagine if there was no

26:48

such thing as betting. Oh man,

26:50

what a weekend that would have been. This game though, this

26:53

was the one competitive game which Detroit,

26:55

of course wins by a point

26:57

where I after the game, I was like, Kelly, I don't

26:59

really know what to make of what I just saw, because

27:02

it felt like Detroit should have been killing them

27:04

early, and then it felt like Detroit

27:06

had no business winning it late, and yet

27:08

they did.

27:09

Only I know Gilz, who was a deadlock

27:11

under from the get go. Okay, the easiest

27:14

winner of the week, get.

27:15

For me game started Detroit. If you werecall

27:17

ten, play seventy five yards Montgomery in from one,

27:19

seven to nothing, Lions Rams

27:22

came all the way back twenty four yard field goal from

27:24

Maher. But here's where again,

27:26

like, of all the calls I've made this year,

27:29

Kelly, oh, and I've made some good ones Carolina

27:31

Panthers last winless. Jordan love the

27:34

Puka Nakua thing where I said that Cooper

27:36

Cup kept I mean that uh Pat Matt Stafford

27:38

kept feeding his boyfriend all year. I hope

27:40

now y'all know I wasn't joking after

27:43

watching this game, so me and McVeigh

27:45

is terrible that they're in the red zone. So three

27:47

incomplete passes there they ended up settling them for

27:49

a field goal seven to three Detroit. Detroit

27:51

comes right back, five play, seventy five yards, Gibbs

27:54

in from ten. It's fourteen to three Detroit

27:56

with a minute and a half, one thirty one left in the first

27:58

court, and you're like, this is gonna be a rat out right another

28:01

route? Nope, Rams end

28:03

up with a third and sixteen. You're already

28:05

in that mode, like is this going to be a route? Stafford

28:07

to DeMarcus Robinson for nineteen at

28:09

the last play of the first quarter that led

28:12

to Stafford to Puka Nakoupa fifty

28:14

yard touchdown, fourteen to ten

28:16

Detroit, thirteen twenty four left. Second quarter,

28:19

Detroit comes right back, eleven play, seventy five yards,

28:21

fourth and goal golf to Laporta, who ends up

28:23

playing from two out

28:25

twenty one to ten Detroit. It's

28:28

another thing about this weekend. First of all, like

28:30

the injury reports, there was a few things

28:32

like there's like different

28:34

rules in the postseason. Not only like Laporter

28:37

on the injury always playing now, but like

28:39

when Patrick mahomes helmet got cracked,

28:42

it's like, okay, now you sit out of play and someone else

28:44

comes in. Oh no, we'll just take all the time you need.

28:46

Patrick. When when Stafford

28:48

and Puka both went into the tent later and they were

28:50

like, oh what, they're back on the field. How

28:52

did they get cleared so quickly? Anyway, twenty

28:54

one to ten Detroit. Rams end up

28:56

with fourth and five of the Detroit forty four, Stafford

28:58

to cover for six. Next place Stafford to two to two

29:01

for thirty eight to two at well, twenty

29:03

one to seventeen Detroit. That

29:06

ends the half after Detroit ends up punting and the

29:08

Rams get the ball at the other half, so it's twenty

29:10

one to seventeen. Would turn into a game that looked

29:12

looked at first like the lines were gonna blow him out. Then

29:15

it just became a shootout twenty one to seventeen

29:17

at the half, and Dan Campbell

29:19

with Melissa Stark on the

29:21

way back onto the field. They

29:24

haven't punted. He was very

29:26

angry about that, very emotional. All

29:28

right, Rams start with the ball, though, right, They

29:31

get the ball, try to you know, take a lead here.

29:34

They end up punting on the first drive of the half. They

29:36

waste a time out during

29:39

that sequence, file that away.

29:41

Detroit ends up with a Badgely fifty four yard

29:44

field goal, which I thought was a bad decision to let him

29:46

kick it. He nails it, which I didn't think

29:48

Badly was capable of twenty four to

29:50

seventeen. I know he's capable in the pass, but it

29:52

wasn't having a good stretch here. Twenty four to seventeen,

29:54

Lions eight forty one

29:56

left in the third quarter, Kelly, that's the last time

29:58

they would score just those

30:01

three points in the second half

30:03

of the Lions. Twenty four to seventeen. Then

30:05

the Rams come down. They match it with a Maher twenty

30:07

seven yard field goal to make it twenty four

30:10

to twenty. Remember that was the drive where Stafford

30:12

had to go to the tent and Pooko

30:15

had to go to the tent. Detroit punts

30:17

again. Rams matriculate again

30:20

Maher twenty nine yard field goal

30:22

to make it twenty four to twenty three with eight ten left

30:24

in the fourth quarter. They burned another

30:27

time out the Rams did on that

30:29

drive, file that away. That's to burn

30:31

now. So

30:34

there's that Detroit

30:38

three and out. Oh, by the way, that was the sequence also

30:40

when they settled for the Maher field goal to cut

30:42

it twenty four to twenty three, where Chris collins Worth

30:44

finally voiced where I've been voicing all year, which is they

30:46

gotta stop trying to feed Cooper Cup down

30:49

there. And I'm like, hallelujah.

30:51

If only somebody hadn't been screaming about this all

30:53

year in more colorful

30:55

terms like miself, Detroit three and out seven

30:57

eighteen fourth quarter Rams down a point, they

31:00

get it to. Here's the fascinating part

31:02

of the game. It ends up

31:04

being fourth and four, so

31:07

they end up getting matriculating into

31:11

the Lion's territory. There's

31:14

a penalty called on the

31:16

Rams, and so Dan Campbell has a choice.

31:19

Does he decline it and allow it to

31:21

be fourth and four, which would

31:23

have precipitated a fifty two yard

31:25

field goal try for Maher, or

31:27

does he take the penalty and

31:29

make it third and fourteen from outside

31:32

a field goal range. He takes the penalty, and

31:34

I will be honest with you, in the moment, I thought to myself,

31:36

I'm like, wow, I think I would have let

31:38

Maher try that fifty two yarder because

31:40

I don't think he could have made it. I could have

31:42

been wrong. We'll never know. He takes the penalty.

31:44

I agreed with it, but this is

31:46

one of those I'm like this, this decision

31:48

is.

31:49

Really tough, really tough. Third

31:51

and fourteen Stafford incomplete

31:53

to Nakua. And when I say incomplete,

31:56

no call for anything, not a defensive

31:59

hold, not a PI, not

32:02

a illegal hit. We

32:04

have several we have snapshots and we have

32:06

a tweet on both these nothing called

32:09

nothing. So there's there's

32:11

the hold on the left. If you're watching at Visa

32:13

dot com or on YouTube TV here there's

32:16

the hold on the left, or on the DK network, there's

32:18

the interference on the right. When

32:21

the ball's in the air, you take your pick. And

32:23

then he just got smacked by two people. By the way,

32:25

Matt Stafford when he hurt his hand,

32:28

and he was like a good like he got hits. I can't

32:30

believe there was no flag on Matt the one where he got hit

32:32

twice and he banged this. But here's a coach,

32:34

Dan Casey, pick one defensive holding, pass interference,

32:36

late hit, none of them called, and so

32:39

Detroit ends up punting. Which how

32:41

in the world does

32:44

Sean McVay punt when you only have one time

32:46

out left? There? Just at least at

32:48

least try it on fourth and fourteen. They

32:50

never see the ball again. Never see the ball

32:53

again. By the way, the Rams should

32:55

have considered letting them score like a

32:57

sixty yard touchdown just

32:59

to get the ball all back down eight, or maybe Dan Campbell

33:01

would have gone for two. Anyway, I don't know, but I'm just saying

33:03

it was just a coaching nightmare. At the end, we're coming

33:05

back.

33:10

Numbers Game, Sports

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Betting Network and.

33:13

Kelly Sometimes I come in here, you tell me I look like

33:15

a marshmallow, and now you're telling me I look like a polar

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which it is. Draftking

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33:37

crown is yours.

33:39

So I saw that first commercial

33:41

break last night. I see it as

33:43

I'm like walking to the kitchen, and I'm

33:45

like, wait, did I.

33:47

Just hear that right?

33:48

And I'm like, nah, I couldn't possibly have hurt it?

33:50

Right?

33:50

Yeah? Man?

33:50

And then it plays the second time and I meant

33:52

the text if we got the text me, I was like, this is

33:55

obvious, she said, She said

33:57

the she said, it's so funny.

34:00

They felt like they had to switch out the line,

34:02

Like, clearly we were not the only people seizing

34:05

on the Marshmallow game.

34:06

Yeah talking about Zoe Salt donam by the way, well

34:08

inside jokes here, so the beautiful Zoe

34:10

Salt dot ya who who uh? They

34:12

just decided to edit the end of the commerci how many.

34:14

Other takes did they do that?

34:16

Right?

34:16

Like?

34:16

I was like, Marshmallow poll ar bar, we

34:18

could get a rhinoceros next week.

34:20

I have no idea else

34:23

dying.

34:23

We get texts, we get tweets, We get

34:25

text. This is from Richard Palma, who

34:28

says uh. He says, is it too late for my

34:30

Jordan Love m VP ticket? And is

34:33

it too love for Is it too late for my Mapmafloor

34:35

Coach of the Year ticket? Is it too

34:38

late? Is it too late for my Pooka Akua

34:40

shared offensive Rookie of the Year ticket? Like, I

34:42

mean, some of these were such great bets

34:44

and they're not going to get home.

34:45

I mean, we brought it up already this year, but like

34:48

that, that was a game Like

34:50

that. Everybody, everybody not named

34:52

Gil Alexy is sitting on sitting

34:55

watching that game yesterday with Akua

34:57

and you're just like, you showed

35:00

up in the wrong year.

35:01

Yeah, Like that's

35:03

the best.

35:04

The worst I can say, Like it is, you had an

35:06

incredible season.

35:07

You showed up in the wrong thing. I say about

35:09

Tommy hearns his entire boxing career. I'm

35:11

like he is. His only misfortune was that he showed

35:14

up when Chica, Ray Leonard and Marvin Hagler.

35:16

It applies to all the tennis greats, right like

35:18

the fact that, yeah,

35:21

playing.

35:21

At the same time, we had tweets. Chris

35:23

Hartman guilty your point The entire

35:25

twenty one quarterback draft class started

35:28

year one except for Trey Lance and Love, who's

35:31

had for three years is better by Miles. The

35:33

instant gratification quarterback culture has

35:35

to change Burrow and Stroud,

35:38

and I'll add I'll go ahead and now and

35:40

I'll add my man Justin

35:43

Herbert to that as well. Or the exception, not

35:45

the rule. Bryce Young could have used an

35:47

intern year Absolutely, Chris

35:49

Sells. It seems all the talk is Harbaugh

35:51

to the Raiders in Seattle. I would think the Patriots would

35:53

be a great fit for him. Your thoughts, My thoughts are

35:55

the Patriots have already hired their coach, Gerrod

35:58

Mayo. I don't know if you heard that, Phil

36:00

Wise. Oh boy, Phil Weiss,

36:02

he's angry. Belichick made over one

36:04

hundred and fifty million riding the coattails of a six

36:07

round pick. Why would he allow himself to be exposed

36:09

as the fraud that he's always been by taking the Dallas

36:11

job? Easy? Easy, Phil Wison?

36:14

Uh, Hut O'Connor, I'm

36:16

sure you saw.

36:17

It really fired people up in the past week.

36:19

Oh yeah, Jutt O'Connor.

36:21

He's sending me the picture of Stafford with the eyes

36:23

when he was knocked down, he said, granted, I'm

36:25

happy he came back with my stafford completed passes

36:27

prop but there are there are there fines coming

36:29

for that. And then shots of Buffalo with people

36:32

still taking down this, you know, taking snow

36:34

off the field here today they got some work

36:36

to do, and or Bruce do big

36:38

and those with Cooper Cup anytime touchdowns we're telling

36:40

Collinsworth to shut up, you're

36:44

telling me to shut up. Also, if you had heard me, all

36:46

right, which game you want to go to next year?

36:48

Call?

36:48

You know what?

36:48

I got a you know what we didn't do? Do we

36:50

do a guess? Oh no, we didn't do it.

36:52

You got theoretical lines actually from draft?

36:53

Oh okay, so, Mike, so again,

36:55

I had Green Bay as a ten point dog at

36:57

San Francisco, and then I have if

37:00

it's Tampa Bay that

37:02

wins tonight, I have them as six and

37:04

a half point dogs at Detroit, and if it's Philly,

37:08

keeping in mind that if Philly wins,

37:10

some of that Philly feeling might start

37:12

to seep into people's brains, I

37:15

would say Detroit minus two and a half.

37:17

Okay, So the lines I got

37:19

from DraftKings this morning. Lions

37:21

three over the

37:24

Eagles, Lions seven over the

37:26

bus on a half point half on each, half point

37:28

low on each. Okay, currently not posted.

37:31

I have a feeling my AFC guesses are going to be farther

37:33

off, but that further off. But I think that that's

37:36

about right. All right, let's

37:38

go Saturday afternoon.

37:39

Let's do the great Texans Browns game.

37:41

Oh, the first game on Saturday.

37:44

This was a great Saturday. Was a great day for

37:47

a great day for my exactness, because I

37:49

have San Francisco beating Baltimore,

37:51

Kansas City, and Buffalo

37:55

I also got knocked out. I also have Baltimore

37:58

beating San Francisco,

38:00

which won't win me as much, but I have that also.

38:02

So like Cleveland and Miami

38:05

getting knocked out was perfect because I never had bets

38:07

on those. But Cleveland goes out first

38:09

at Houston. Remember this was weird

38:12

at the beginning. Cleveland

38:15

punted on the first drive, it was nearly blocked.

38:17

Then Houston they had a passed

38:19

a Dalton Schultz which he just straight up dropped

38:22

and they had to punt. Then Cleveland with another

38:25

three and out. Then Houston ended

38:27

up third and six of the Cleveland forty one. Stroud

38:29

to Collins for thirty eight, setting up first and goal

38:31

of the three, and Houston had to settle

38:33

for a fair baar and twenty one yard field goal, so

38:36

the Shultz drop and then not cashing in

38:38

on the second drive, it only ended up being three

38:40

to nothing Houston five point twenty nine

38:42

left in the first quarter, and

38:44

then Cleveland got into it right Flacko to

38:47

n a Joku for forty five on the first play, five

38:49

plays later, Hunted from one, seven to three Cleveland.

38:52

Houston did match up four plays, seventy five yard

38:54

Singletary for twenty nine, then to metch You for twenty

38:56

seven, two plays later to Collins from fifteen

38:58

out, ten to seven Houston final seconds

39:01

of the first quarter. But

39:03

then Cleveland came right back. Flacco to Harrison

39:05

Brant for forty seven and to the first quarter. Five

39:07

plays later, Fla go to Hunt for eleven, fourteen

39:10

to ten Cleveland twelve eighteen

39:12

left in the second quarter, and You're like, wow,

39:14

this is going to be a shootout too. Houston.

39:17

One play Stroud to Brevin Jordan for

39:19

seventy six, seventeen

39:22

to fourteen Texans. I'm like, what are we watching

39:25

seventeen to fourteen Houston twelve minutes left

39:27

in the second quarter, the longest pass play

39:29

of the season, longest play of the season for the Texans. Then

39:32

on the first play of the ensuing drive, a

39:35

PI that goes uncalled on Nadjoku.

39:38

Remember Flacco goes into Joku, He's clearly

39:40

interfered, with no flags, and

39:42

it felt like from that moment on nothing

39:46

would ever go Cleveland's way again. They

39:50

end up with a three and out. Houston gets tunseled

39:52

back who was out for a little bit. Stroud

39:56

overthrows Collins wide open downfield

39:58

on third down, so there was a three an ounce, so was still a three

40:00

point game, but Cleveland punted again. Houston

40:03

eight plays, seventy one yards, Stroud

40:06

to Schultz for thirty seven touchdown, twenty four to fourteen.

40:08

Houston won eleven left in the second quarter, and

40:10

that would be the score at the half. Cleveland's

40:12

last three drives in the first half zero

40:16

points, eighteen yards, and

40:18

then in the third quarter Houston would punt, and here's where

40:20

the game obviously gets out of hand. First

40:22

intend at their own thirty four, So you scuse

40:24

me, First intend at the Houston thirty four, Flacco under pressure

40:27

throws it up picked by Steven Nelson

40:29

eighty two yards of the house, thirty one to fourteen

40:31

Houston. Cleveland next possession,

40:33

fourth and two at their own thirty three, Flacco pick six

40:35

to Christian Harris, thirty eight to fourteen.

40:38

The competitive portion of this game was over. Cleveland

40:42

never did anything again, turnover

40:45

on downs, turnover on downs,

40:47

and the game fizzle from there and a turnover

40:50

on downs to close things out. So, by the way, here here

40:52

is the entirety of Cleveland's drives for

40:54

the entire game. They lose huge

40:57

to the Texans. They lose

40:59

forty five to fourteen in a completely

41:02

non competitive football game. But here's all

41:05

ten Houston drives, punt

41:08

three and out.

41:09

Cleveland drives right Cleveland, I'm sorry.

41:11

Cleveland drives from the beginning of the game, punt three

41:13

and out, touchdown,

41:15

touchdown three

41:18

and out, punt halftime. Excuse

41:20

me. Eleven drives second half

41:23

pick six, pick six downs, downs,

41:25

downs, turnover run downs those

41:28

three. So they literally had

41:30

out of eleven drives, one

41:33

of which was the end of the half. But let's say ten legit drives

41:35

two touchdowns and two

41:38

touchdowns three turnover on downs,

41:42

three punts, two

41:44

pick sixes.

41:46

It's almost like they had a thirty eight

41:48

year old Joe Flacco quarterback in their team with absolutely

41:51

no running game Gill.

41:52

So almost, like we said a million times

41:54

last week, he's got a stinker in him.

41:57

It's gonna happen.

41:57

At some point, that was a look

42:00

at the over of the game. I'm happy and it resulted

42:03

that way. But uh, yeah, that was

42:05

That was the Cleveland dud that I think

42:07

was.

42:08

Count at some point. I listen, I talked

42:10

myself into Houston last week. I'm glad I did

42:13

because the second game Miami I got completely

42:15

wrong. So I'm happy it did happen. But a lot

42:17

of people had talked themselves into Cleveland

42:20

being or The question was, who's the team you don't want to play

42:22

in the playoffs if it's not Baltimore and San Francisco,

42:24

who's the team that gets? Answer became Cleveland. Answer

42:26

became Cleveland. Yes for a lot of people,

42:30

Yeah, not so much, not so much.

42:32

I mean, if anything, I think this, Uh,

42:35

I mean, I'm still gonna say it's Buffalo if they count.

42:37

I don't know if they count anymore. But like I mean,

42:39

Houston.

42:40

I don't.

42:40

I don't want to play his team right now.

42:42

Well, this kid, he's

42:44

great, he cannot he's great, he

42:46

cannot be phased guilt. I mean this is wide

42:49

receivers go down, offensive linemen

42:51

go down.

42:52

It doesn't matter. He can't run the

42:54

ball, it doesn't matter. C J. Stroud

42:56

and Jordan love doing things that that

42:58

people didn't think they could do. Incredible.

43:00

I think probably the Texans

43:02

defense shows up and lets them down at some

43:05

point year during those this run.

43:06

But in addition to my Matt Lafleur

43:09

Coach of the Year and pookin a coup offensive

43:11

Rookie of the Year. Tickets, where do I go to cash those? Where

43:13

do I go to cash my NFL Draft first pick in

43:15

the draft? CJ? Stroud tickets? Where'd

43:17

I go? I can't. I those are gone.

43:19

We're not going to shut up about that.

43:21

For Houston at Kansas City, these

43:23

are there. Either one of these is going to be in Saturday morning

43:26

Houston. They stick in the Saturday morning, Saturday

43:28

early I should say Houston at Casey, I have k C minus

43:30

seven and a half. If it's Houston at Baltimore at Baltimore

43:32

minus ten, I'll.

43:35

Take you seven and a half of the Houston, Texas

43:37

if that's the line?

43:38

Wait, which is there's two options? Which one is?

43:40

Which you'll tell us

43:42

after the break?

43:43

Yeah?

43:43

Okay, the

43:46

numbers told the story. They always do. It's a

43:48

on those idiots who believe in the analytics.

43:50

This is a numbers game with Gil Alexander

43:53

vis hour.

43:54

Number two of a numbers game at Visa and these sports betting

43:56

network Visa dot Com, Visa that game plus iHeartRadio,

43:59

You Tube TV. How are you taking us in this morning?

44:01

We appreciate it. Thanks for making us part of your

44:04

Martin Luther King Junior birthday holiday.

44:06

Gil Alexander Kenley Bidlin live

44:09

from Gadada here at the d the

44:11

barrage. So before we went

44:13

into break, well, let me read these tweets real quick, just

44:15

three of them. I want to get too fear into

44:19

Stephen Vegas, who's in charge of the lead in

44:21

and out music today from commercial breaks? Dan Quinn,

44:23

what's wrong with the song with our music? Anything?

44:26

He's beautiful, It's wonderful. Oh

44:29

you can't hear me, Bruce, do do big?

44:31

And reacting to not only Chris Collinsworth

44:34

killing Sean McVay for his play calling and Matt

44:36

Stafford trying to feed Cooper Cup incessantly.

44:39

And I said that, you know you're also telling me to

44:41

Sha, he adds, he goes, and you shut

44:43

up by your face too, Gil, he says, Nevade's

44:46

er, what a gift McVeigh got facing

44:48

Zach Taylor at Super Bowl fifty six? Is blake calling

44:50

still leaves a lot to be desired. Yes, Listen,

44:53

people love Sean McVay. He

44:56

was what was he thirty when he got the job,

44:58

or you know, just the youngest coach ever and

45:02

he won a super Bowl. But I just I will

45:04

say this again, if you watch

45:06

that team all year, and

45:09

I know there was the Kira and Williams stretch down

45:11

the end where they sort of figured it out, but

45:13

there was a massive part of the season

45:15

where they just tried to force

45:18

feed Cooper Cup too much. You saw a little of it yesterday

45:20

as well. And I think that. I think he's

45:22

a terrible play caller in the red zone also,

45:25

and so I do think in a certain respect he is

45:28

a scoch overrated Rams.

45:31

Money gets there. Though the Rams do get the cover,

45:33

they just don't get the game in a game where once

45:35

again I feel like the

45:38

other three were blowouts and this one I was just sort

45:40

of at the end, I was like, I don't know how I even feel

45:42

about that game, because it

45:44

felt like the Lions should have been crushing them

45:48

and the Rams were just banged up, I

45:50

mean Stafford's hand, then his head,

45:52

I mean everything, And then

45:54

I felt like the Lions had no business winning it, only scoring

45:56

three points in the second half. So I sort

45:59

of like, you know what A

46:01

you called it before the break? He was like a competition

46:03

of mediocre head coaching.

46:05

Yeah, yeah, it was just it felt like

46:07

a game that, from what you had seen in the first

46:09

half, like at some point in the second

46:12

half we were going to get poor fireworks out

46:14

of it, and it just kind of never happened.

46:17

I got a limb to the finish line.

46:18

I agree that. I think that the fourth and fourteen,

46:21

excuse me, the fourth and four versus

46:23

the third and fourteen was a really interesting

46:26

choice where in the moment, if I'm being

46:28

honest, I thought he made the wrong one. I would have let

46:31

Maher kick the fifty two yarder

46:34

try it, but Dan Campbell

46:36

took that penalty. Then no

46:39

call made on that third fourteen from

46:41

Stafford to Takua. Not a pi, not

46:44

a hole, not a late hit. And

46:47

then Sean McVay doesn't even go forward on fourth

46:49

and fourteen. He punts it with one time out

46:51

left. If you have three timeouts left, different

46:54

story. But if you have one time out left,

46:57

there's so much pressure on your defense to

46:59

like get him all off the field, and they couldn't.

47:02

And then, by the way, there is that other thing at the end where

47:04

it's sort of like, well, what do you do here? Do

47:06

you just sort of muttadore them

47:08

into the end zone, like here, go sixty yards and score

47:10

real quick if you would? But who knows

47:12

that what Day Cable does. And I'm just saying it's like it was just

47:14

such a fitting end,

47:17

if you will, to the Sean McVay experience.

47:19

And I don't. I don't

47:21

feel all that confident about the Lions. I already

47:24

we guessed that line, and you said I was a half point

47:26

light on whether it's either the Bucks or the Eagles

47:28

at the Lions. Before we went to break, I

47:31

made the guesses about Houston because we talked about

47:33

the Houston game. If it's Houston at

47:35

Kansas City, I said seven and a half. If it's

47:37

Houston at Baltimore, I said, uh, did

47:39

I say ten or ten and a half? I wrote them down I sent you.

47:42

I want to be accurate. Guess was ten?

47:44

I said ten on the button. And you're saying

47:46

you would you would. You don't know what those lines are, but

47:48

you said you'd grab the seven and a half in a heartbeat,

47:50

you said, I think I would. Yep, I would,

47:53

even if it's freezing, insane game conditions

47:55

and all that stuff.

47:56

Oh okay, well, we'll

47:59

have to pump the breaks a little.

48:00

But there, which I was come. So

48:02

here's the thing.

48:02

Let's let's talk about Miami Kansas City. I don't know

48:04

for sure i'd be better get that you will. I'd

48:06

have to wait and see it.

48:07

But so Miami at Kansas City, the one

48:09

game we haven't talked about yet, starts out minus

48:11

four degrees fahrenheit with a windshill

48:14

of minus twenty seven. By the end of the game, it got to minus

48:16

nine fahrenheit and minus twenty

48:18

eight wind chill. I talked

48:21

about the Peacock of Missugus at the beginning, like,

48:23

oh, be a part of history, really, thanks

48:25

so much? What an opportunity at fl in Peacock

48:28

and then the Mahomes helmet thing, like the helmets

48:31

are chipping and it's like we're still playing

48:33

this game.

48:33

Terminator two out there. He was just so frozen

48:36

over. One hit just cracked

48:38

the whole helmet.

48:39

I couldn't have been more wrong about this game. I immediately

48:43

guessing the lines last week grabbed the Dolphins. I said

48:45

the Chief shouldn't be more than three point favorites over everybody,

48:47

over anybody at this point in the playoff situation.

48:50

Then when the week went on and the

48:52

cold became a big deal, I regretted

48:55

it. I was like, oh, I got the worst of it. This is bad.

48:57

I don't feel so great about it in the end. We'll

49:00

talk about it after this. But was it

49:02

the cold? Was it Tua? Was

49:04

it the injuries? Was it the fact

49:06

that Dolphins just would have lost

49:09

the same way if it wasn't that cold? Game

49:11

started out? Yeah, the

49:13

the I didn't get.

49:15

I wasn't involved in this one. I was dead wrong

49:17

though too.

49:18

You can't tell me for a second, like if all the things

49:21

we talked about with the weather, this with this game

49:23

is past week, I don't believe for a

49:25

second that the Dolphins weren't vastly more affected

49:28

by that than the Kansas That.

49:29

Then that that was exactly what I was going

49:31

to bring up at the end of the synopsis, which is, if

49:34

the Dolphins end up using that as

49:37

a tacit

49:40

or spoken excuse, that's

49:42

a bad thing because I'm not sure

49:44

it ends up differently. I can't prove it, right,

49:47

I can't prove that it would have ended that it wouldn't have ended

49:49

up differently. Yeah, I get that impression.

49:51

I mean, it's an NFL playoff game.

49:54

You can't Yeah, you can't be using those type of excuses.

49:56

But yes, I felt like it mattered a whole lot

49:58

more for Miami.

50:00

The city started nine plays sixty nine yards Mahomes

50:02

to Rice from eleven to seven to nothing, KC Miami

50:04

three and out, then a Kansas City three and out after Hardman,

50:07

remember couldn't track that deep ball for Mahomes. Miami

50:10

had a second in inches at their own forty four and the subsequent

50:12

drive that turned into a third and six at their

50:14

own thirty nine two a picked by Mike

50:16

Edwards on the overthrow three h three left in the first

50:18

quarter. Still Kansas City up seven to nothing, Butckker

50:20

would aud a field goal to make it ten to nothing early second

50:23

quarter, and then Miami two

50:25

plays tua to Tyreek from

50:27

fifty three to cut it to ten

50:29

to seven. You're like, all right, maaybi, Miami's

50:32

got something. Nope. Kansas City fourth and

50:34

five at the Miami thirty eight mahomes for twenty eight

50:36

on the ground. They settled for a Buttker field goal,

50:39

thirteen to seven. Kansas City settling

50:41

for Buttker field goals ends

50:43

up being the theme of this game and kept this score

50:46

muted quite frankly. Miami

50:48

fourth and one at the CAC forty four to incomplete

50:50

intended for Reek after a third and one went

50:53

incomplete. Then Kansas City three and out after

50:55

a defensive hold went uncalled on Brandon Jones

50:57

covering Hardman, so the Dolphins actually caught

50:59

a break down six. Miami three

51:01

and out one fifty five left in the second quarter. Kansasity

51:03

would add another Butker field goal before the end

51:05

of the half, sixteen to seven at halftime, and if

51:07

you're Kansas City and you're only down nine, you're

51:09

thinking to yourself, that ain't that bad. Actually,

51:13

because they were out they were you know two

51:15

at that play was six at that point was

51:17

six of eleven for ninety four, with

51:19

fifty three of them coming on the one Tyreek

51:21

touchdown, and they were being out gained

51:24

two fifty seven to one thirty six the

51:26

Dolphins were at the half. At

51:28

halftime, the Dolphins had five total

51:30

first downs. The Chiefs had had four

51:32

trips inside the red zone.

51:35

So five first downs for the Dolphins, four trips

51:38

inside the red zone for the Chiefs, and the Chiefs

51:40

were only leading by nine. Third

51:43

quarter of Miami had the ball first two, so you're thinking,

51:45

man, they could actually make this a really

51:47

tight game. But three and out Kansas

51:49

City, butcker twenty one yard field goal to make it

51:52

nineteen to seven. That was the drive where Mahomes

51:54

chipped the helmet on the thirteen yard run, but

51:57

they had to settle for that field goal. There, nineteen to seven.

52:00

Miami another punt. Casey then blew it open

52:02

fourteen plays, seventy two yards, but check

52:04

go in from three made it twenty six to seven. Then

52:07

Miami turnover on downs Kansas

52:09

City three. And now Miami turnover on downs Kansas

52:12

City up

52:14

with that score. A

52:18

fumble by Clyde Edwards a

52:20

lair late, and even with one away to go, Miami

52:22

couldn't do anything with that, even cosmetically. So that

52:24

was your final score, twenty six to seven.

52:27

Chefs, they cover easily

52:30

as five point favorites, and quite frankly, the game wasn't

52:32

that close. And so I get back

52:34

to that question at the beginning, which is, first

52:37

of all, good on the Chiefs. If

52:40

Pittsburgh wins here, excuse

52:42

me, pardon me. If

52:46

Pittsburgh wins here, Kansas City

52:48

would actually get another home game. So

52:51

there is a scenario today where if Pittsburgh somehow beat

52:54

Buffalo, where we still would not get to

52:56

see Patrick Mahomes Road

52:58

to playoff game. Now if Buffalo does and we will

53:00

see our first wild Patrick

53:02

Mahomes Road a playoff game next

53:04

week at Buffalo if Buffalo

53:07

wins tonight, and then Houston would go to Baltimore.

53:09

So good on the Chiefs. You know,

53:12

sometimes just Patrick Mahomes

53:14

himself is you know, he's the

53:16

best player on the field. Will Will Hill had an interesting

53:18

comment this week or during this game.

53:20

He said he feels like Patrick

53:23

Mahomes is still the best player in the NFL and that the difference

53:25

between him and the second best player is

53:27

a wider gap than he ever remembers

53:30

in any other year ever. And my

53:32

instant reaction was that can't be. And then

53:34

you start thinking about it, you're like, well, if you think Patrick Mahomes

53:36

is still by far the best player in the NFL, maybe it is the

53:38

widest gap ever this year. I don't know. But

53:40

good on the Chiefs and as far as

53:43

the Dolphins, I get back to the same thing I was talking about

53:45

Dak earlier, which is Dak

53:47

who's already had one big contract with Tua.

53:50

They already they already exercised the option

53:52

on him for the fifth year, so he's under contract for this coming

53:54

year. You're gonna pay to. By

53:56

the way, after the game, first

53:59

thing he does is as for Patrick Mahomes, Jersey,

54:02

did that bother you a little too? Chipper? After that loss?

54:05

That bothered a lot of people.

54:06

No, I didn't see that.

54:07

I didn't love that myself, quite frankly. But

54:10

I just wonder if the Dolphins can make a long

54:12

term commitment to that guy who clearly

54:14

didn't seem like could throw the ball downfield in that

54:17

game.

54:17

No, he couldn't. I mean, this was as

54:20

it was completely one sided. I mean they struggled.

54:23

They struggled, but the whole team

54:25

struggled. That was I

54:27

think what you brought up at the beginning, though. It was important

54:29

for people to keep in mind.

54:31

The Chiefs team.

54:32

We talked a lot about them not being able to win

54:34

by margin. Okay, they won by margin here,

54:38

but like that margin should have been a whole lot.

54:40

More, whole lot more.

54:41

This team still settling for field goals when they

54:43

should be scoring touchdowns.

54:45

I think that's the biggest thing I took away

54:47

from Give the Dolphins defense some credit for that, as

54:49

injury depleted as they were, so

54:51

I just think, you know, from a Dolphins perspective, was

54:54

it the fact that half of their defense was out? Was

54:57

it the cold weather? Was the fact that they're just all that not

54:59

that not all that good? And I get back to something

55:01

we said all year long, and maybe this should have been the

55:03

easiest handicap in the world, Kelly, What

55:05

did I say all year long about the Cowboys and

55:07

the Dolphins bullies and

55:10

they get through the postseasons, someone their

55:13

own size picked on them.

55:15

Yeah, picked right back to expect that the Packers.

55:17

To be bullied in that game, but no, not at

55:20

all the ultimate bullies. The Dolphins

55:22

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55:57

It's kill Alexander. It's Kelly Bitlin live

56:00

from bar Canada here at the d A

56:03

couple of things. One, Kelly, did you see this? Did

56:05

you see this ridiculous Tony dungeee

56:08

rod Woodson thing? No?

56:11

I actually did it.

56:12

I saw people tweeting about Dungee. I don't know what they're

56:15

tweeting about.

56:16

Tony Dungee fears Taylor Swift

56:18

is part of why NFL fans are

56:21

quote disenchanted unquote.

56:25

First of all, like a, I'm so sick

56:27

of these Taylor Swift comments. But Blake b what

56:30

what are we disenchanted about it?

56:31

First of all, who thinks no one's watching

56:33

the NFL? Like, who thinks people are that's

56:35

supposed to meet? Because I think he was told some report

56:38

like young, young people aren't

56:40

watching the NFL? Is that? First of all? If anything,

56:42

Taylor Swift is bringing in more people to watch

56:44

the NFL than otherwise wouldn't have. Secondly,

56:48

Rod Woodson said it's about gambling

56:51

that people are like Rod, my man,

56:54

are you kidding me? Like if there was no such thing

56:56

as gambling, gambling held up your

56:58

league since the

57:00

beginning of time? Like what are you what are you guys talking

57:02

about? By

57:06

the way, if there's if there were to ever be

57:08

anybody disenchanted with the NFL, it's

57:10

because it ain't like it used to be. It's

57:13

the game itself. It's not about gambling

57:15

or Taylor Swift. So that was the first time on what are these guys

57:17

talking about? It's bizarre world.

57:20

It's so tired of these comments. I saw somebod tweet

57:22

yesterday. I saw a great tweet yesterday was the picture

57:25

of the EB and EB from the Lions game.

57:28

The tweet was like, oh god, they cut the EB and AB again.

57:30

Can we just get back to the football game and stop

57:32

showing celebrities all the time in the box?

57:35

It's like it is, It's exactly that,

57:37

Like, come on, all right.

57:39

I gave guesses on almost

57:41

all of the potential matches, but not all of them, and let's do them

57:43

chronologically for next week. So Houston

57:46

is in the early Saturday time slot because that is

57:48

their birthright. I said,

57:50

if it's at Kansas City, I said minus seven and a half.

57:52

If it's at Baltimore, I said minus ten. That's

57:55

going to depend on the Buffalo Steelers outcome

57:57

today. Green Bay at San Francisco, which

57:59

we know is locked in on Saturday night when

58:01

it was fourteen to nothing yesterday, I guess San Francisco

58:04

minus ten. That is in fact what it

58:06

is. Then I did bet

58:08

the over on that game.

58:09

Oh what is it's fifty to fifty

58:11

and a half fifty right here at CIRCA I bet it right

58:13

right as it's got released.

58:14

Yesterday.

58:15

I guess the one surprising thing to note of this

58:17

game is since it got posted last night, there's.

58:19

Been like no movement. What none? Because

58:22

that's exactly what it ought to be. Ten. Yeah,

58:24

San Francisco team total over become an

58:26

auto bet for that game.

58:28

I really like that too.

58:29

Yeah, I mean I bet the over already. I think, yes,

58:31

San Francisco team total over, isolating

58:34

that probably, Yes, I think that's

58:36

probably a great call.

58:37

Yeah.

58:38

I opened with a small player on the over fifty

58:40

because I wanted to see where that would move, because I

58:42

think it's probably only going up.

58:44

But I think the bigger bet is probably.

58:46

Team total over because they

58:48

score, man, no matter what the what the

58:51

situation, they score. And like I

58:53

mean, green Bay, I'm sorry, I just don't think

58:55

you're gonna be able to I mean.

58:57

I was so impressed with the offense yesterday.

59:00

That's that is the reason I bet the over

59:02

in this game that I actually think green Bay

59:04

might actually be able to score some points. But

59:07

this San Francisco offense at home

59:09

with a week off, it's

59:12

a tall that is a tall task. It's

59:14

gonna be a tall task to cover ten points. But I think that

59:16

team total going over. Yeah, I'll be betting. By

59:18

the way, how comical was the Packers

59:21

for as great as they played? The Packers postgame

59:23

locker room or Matt Lafleur one of the

59:26

one of the hype speeches, one of the hype the

59:28

parts of the hype speech he gave was.

59:30

We're the first seventh seed in the

59:32

history of the NFL seventh

59:36

seeds just like started a second. Again, I

59:38

didn't hear that. I thought that was a little much. But

59:41

uh, this is again it's like it should

59:43

go without saying. But apparently, like I've heard

59:46

some people say things

59:48

counter to this, which is the

59:50

fact is there is no bigger advantage

59:53

than not having to play this week, right,

59:55

Yeah, the Ravens in the city. You can handicap

59:58

all these other things all the way went the fact that you

1:00:00

don't have to play a game this week. The fact that you get

1:00:02

to play one less game, one

1:00:04

fewer game than everybody else is the

1:00:06

biggest advantage you could possibly have in anything.

1:00:09

And the Niners here ten point fairs. And it

1:00:11

doesn't mean hosting the Packers.

1:00:13

It doesn't necessarily mean you

1:00:15

like you break it down so well every time,

1:00:17

but like the when we have the seven

1:00:20

game series in the NBA, right,

1:00:22

and like the this is one

1:00:24

game. It's just one game. And we talk about

1:00:26

this a lot with Survivor. But it's like winning a Super

1:00:28

Bowl. You get in the tournament and you got to

1:00:30

hit a parlay, whether it's a three game or a four

1:00:33

game parlay, you got to hit that. As a team

1:00:35

to win a super Bowl, it is tough.

1:00:37

So the biggest advantage you have is not having to

1:00:40

play.

1:00:40

Not having to play, period, pontificate

1:00:42

about anything else. And then Sunday

1:00:45

morning, So the San Francisco, so

1:00:47

the green Bay San Francisco game a Saturday night. The

1:00:49

home game for Detroit is going to be Sunday

1:00:52

morning. They will host the winner of tonight's game between

1:00:54

the Bucks and the Eagles. I

1:00:56

guessed Detroit hosting

1:00:58

Philly would be two and a half. I said hosting Tampa

1:01:00

Bay would be six and a half. No,

1:01:04

we haven't gone over the next one. I'm getting to the

1:01:07

Detroit Tampa and Detroit Philly. Did we

1:01:09

go over the Detroit options? Yeah, because you said

1:01:11

I was a half point low on each of Oh yeah, okay,

1:01:14

because you you apparently saw what those might be. So

1:01:17

I am a half point low on those guesses

1:01:19

again Detroit, I had two and a half hosting

1:01:21

Philly in Detroit, six and a half against Tampa. Kelly

1:01:23

tells me that would be three at.

1:01:24

Second drafts DraftKings have put it some theoretical

1:01:27

theoreticals.

1:01:28

Yeah, okay, so this one

1:01:31

we hadn't another the late options on Sunday,

1:01:33

we haven't guessed which I will guess now, which

1:01:35

is Pittsburgh at Baltimore or CAC at

1:01:37

Buffalo are the only two other options.

1:01:41

So Pittsburgh get Baltimore or CAC at Buffalo,

1:01:44

because remember Houston is locked into the early

1:01:46

Saturday no matter who they play. So

1:01:48

if Pittsburgh beats Buffalo, I would say

1:01:50

Pittsburgh is a ten and a half point dog. Get

1:01:52

Baltimore. I would add the hook to

1:01:55

what is today's line, And

1:01:58

if it's k C at Buffalo, Oh, Patrick

1:02:02

mahomes first ever road

1:02:04

a playoff game, is that was what that would be

1:02:06

if Buffalo wins tonight or wins today.

1:02:08

Pardon me, I said Buffalo minus

1:02:10

two and a half in that game less

1:02:13

than a field goal.

1:02:14

Yeah, obviously depends what we see today a

1:02:16

little bit. But I know, I think I

1:02:20

think you're dead on with those like I, you're

1:02:22

pretty close to debt.

1:02:23

Yeah, I don't think these are that difficult to think

1:02:26

Bill's you know, if it is Bill's under three,

1:02:28

probably a bet for me, depending on what

1:02:30

they look like today. But how about the line? I think

1:02:33

the one that sort of interests me is if

1:02:35

the Eagles look good tonight, right,

1:02:38

yeah, and I happen to win that bet, right

1:02:40

for those of us who have Philly win that And Philly looks not

1:02:44

necessarily even dominant, but let's say they look solid

1:02:46

in victory at Tampa Bay. The

1:02:48

fact that the Lions would only

1:02:51

my guess was two and a half. Kelly's telling me it'll be three.

1:02:53

Let's say it's three. Does

1:02:55

that feel like a lion's play to you? Then?

1:02:58

Absolutely?

1:02:58

Because that I think that That's why I kind of stopped

1:03:00

before. It was like, because

1:03:02

yes, I wanted to talk about that lion's side.

1:03:05

Because with a lot of these teams, like again,

1:03:07

in the moment, we feel like

1:03:10

wow, CJ. Stroud and the Texans, uh

1:03:13

wow boy, oh boy,

1:03:15

Jordan Love and the Packers. You

1:03:17

know, the come up ands can come pretty pretty

1:03:20

suddenly and pretty abruptly next week. I'm

1:03:22

not saying it will, but but it could very well be and no one

1:03:24

will be surprised. So a

1:03:27

lot of these teams have a level, and

1:03:30

I just feel like this is

1:03:32

kind of the level for a lot of teams like Philly,

1:03:34

even if they're able to get by this week.

1:03:37

It's so funny, Joe Pete even think you're making a great

1:03:40

point on Philly.

1:03:40

Real Like, I think that if you asked

1:03:43

oddsmakers to set what a Philly

1:03:45

Detroit line would be right now

1:03:48

before this game, before this game, Yeah, if

1:03:50

Philly wins this game and like you're saying,

1:03:53

doesn't even look dominant, but if they look like they

1:03:55

have a poll something we haven't seen basically

1:03:57

in the past five weeks, I

1:03:59

think that line moves a point and a half

1:04:02

from whatever they would have said it before this

1:04:04

game today.

1:04:05

That all makes sense.

1:04:06

Joe Peta is who's obviously

1:04:09

frequent guest of this shows, joined us for all

1:04:11

kinds of things, baseball in the past, golf,

1:04:14

obviously survivor. He's

1:04:16

a Philadelphia native, and he was he

1:04:18

sent me something tongue in che kind of tongue in

1:04:20

cheek yesterday, but not not necessarily tongue

1:04:22

in cheek because he's a Philly fan, and

1:04:25

he's like, okay, Gil, this is after

1:04:27

the the Cowboys got crushed,

1:04:29

he says, in the aftermath of that glorious

1:04:31

Dallas destruction, because that's the one thing Philly and

1:04:34

DC fans have in commony, goes, I'm going to

1:04:36

speak this into existence. He goes,

1:04:38

Eagles win tonight in Tampa as

1:04:40

a one point favorite. Then they

1:04:43

win at home versus the Rams. Remember he thought

1:04:45

the Rams thought. Then they win at home versus

1:04:47

the Rams as a one point favorite. Then they're

1:04:49

at home versus Green Bay is a one point

1:04:52

favorite in the championship. He said, that's

1:04:54

the that would be the Eagles path to being

1:04:56

a favorite in every game. Obviously that

1:04:58

didn't happen. The Eagles

1:05:00

are a favorite here tonight, but after this they will not

1:05:02

be. And so I do think, like projecting

1:05:05

forward to those guesses and

1:05:07

to what might be actual anticipating

1:05:10

what game you would really like

1:05:13

to pounce on, I think

1:05:15

that might be it. And I'm not even that big of a Detroit

1:05:18

fan, but I feel like that's

1:05:20

the game where it all just goes to

1:05:22

hell for the Eagles once and for all, in

1:05:24

front of everybody.

1:05:25

Well and the two big things there right, would

1:05:28

be the two or two of the big injury notes

1:05:30

there right, A J.

1:05:31

Brown. I'm not positive he's back in

1:05:33

a week even, you know what I mean.

1:05:34

Like that, a knee injury like that, Who

1:05:37

knows, I mean, who knows at this point how

1:05:39

bad it really is, because they might be even covering

1:05:41

up how bad it is at this point while they're still alive

1:05:43

in the playoffs.

1:05:45

And then I mean, I got duped

1:05:47

on Stan Laporta yesterday.

1:05:48

I went into the game with such

1:05:50

great thoughts of like, hey, this might be the

1:05:52

Rob Gronkowski fake out, like late to see

1:05:55

they plays and you can bet live under it. But

1:05:57

then I saw him in the first two those first two plays,

1:05:59

and I.

1:05:59

Was like, they're they're they're pulling him

1:06:02

on to make a blockab He's

1:06:04

gotta be fine.

1:06:05

I'm hitting this over live. And then that diet

1:06:07

is all countertrak jokers, counter they

1:06:11

We'll come back a little talk about the Australian Open. We'll

1:06:13

get back to football. On the other side, Tennis's first

1:06:15

major going on. It's a numbers game in visa the Sports

1:06:17

Betting Network