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Beating The Book: NFL Week 14 Guessing Lines Show and Chris Fallica on CFP

Beating The Book: NFL Week 14 Guessing Lines Show and Chris Fallica on CFP

Released Monday, 4th December 2023
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Beating The Book: NFL Week 14 Guessing Lines Show and Chris Fallica on CFP

Beating The Book: NFL Week 14 Guessing Lines Show and Chris Fallica on CFP

Beating The Book: NFL Week 14 Guessing Lines Show and Chris Fallica on CFP

Beating The Book: NFL Week 14 Guessing Lines Show and Chris Fallica on CFP

Monday, 4th December 2023
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Episode Transcript

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0:03

The numbers told the story they always do.

0:05

It's one of those idiots who believe in the analytics.

0:08

This is a numbers game with Gil Alexander,

0:10

Gone vs.

0:11

Good Monday Mortitude is a numbers game at

0:14

Visa, the sports betting Network, Visa dot Com, Visa

0:16

app, Game plus, iHeartRadio, YouTube TV, and of course

0:18

DraftKings Network. It's Gill

0:20

Alexander, It's Kelly Bedland live

0:22

from bar Canada at the

0:25

d in downtown Las Vegas, guessing

0:27

lines for week number fourteen

0:29

in the National Football League. In the process

0:31

that look back to week thirteen. How you doing man,

0:34

good morning. I'm doing okay. I'm doing okay.

0:36

You know, it was.

0:38

Quite a decision by the College Football Playoff

0:40

Committee yesterday. We are going to have a rare

0:43

show yesterday under protest. Yeah,

0:45

you committee, you were, you were very strong in

0:47

your opinion yesterday. I've never heard of

0:49

It's garbage, a salty Kelly Bidlins.

0:52

I get that everybody else is like.

0:54

You and are aligned. You and me are

0:56

steadfast. It's garbage. And

0:58

so along those lines, we're gonna have a rare guessing

1:00

lines drop in today from the Bear Chris Filika,

1:03

who is going to tell those of us who believe Florida

1:05

State Guy robbed that we're all ridiculous

1:08

or something like that. We'll find out what he has to say to us. We

1:11

might have something to say back to him that should be

1:13

fun.

1:14

Get it, like, I get that everybody else wants

1:16

to see these four other teams. I get that

1:19

right, but it doesn't make it, okay, ridiculous.

1:21

It absolutely ridiculous, and

1:24

the justifications to me are crazy. But we'll get in that later.

1:26

Okay. You know, my favorite part of the whole thing is people

1:29

who have been talking about who's in and out of the playoffs

1:31

for like two months and then this today they're like, oh, I'm

1:33

glad we don't have to talk about that again.

1:35

It's like, okay, yeah, you guys are

1:37

glad. All right, uh

1:39

we do this.

1:40

First of all, how was your weekend? In millions? How'd

1:42

you do?

1:42

Four?

1:43

No with Jags pending five? And oh

1:45

for young Gillo? There you

1:47

go, now I wish. Now here's the thing. I

1:50

was having a great year, and I was having a

1:52

great year except for the one week five and

1:54

then the last two weeks, especially Thanksgiving,

1:56

I hit the skits because I had a one in four that

1:59

week day check this the old standings in a

2:01

few weeks, so this is just a makeup for

2:03

that week. So I'm just trying to

2:05

get back to where we were, which

2:07

is again the sixty percent threshold, which is why we

2:10

don't really talk about it that much, but we

2:12

sort of flirt with it once again. And this

2:14

is the thing about guessing lines for those who are unfamiliar,

2:17

I'm in a cocoon. I don't know the lines. It's

2:19

a first reaction to what the upcoming week's NFL

2:21

lines are. Last week I said

2:24

I love these, I'd made the four

2:26

bets four of my five on the show itself.

2:28

Two weeks agoes, I didn't like it, and I got crushed.

2:31

Typically, this year, with the exception of a couple weeks,

2:34

it has been goal doing this exercise

2:37

first. As always, we start every guessing lines

2:39

with a Circus Survivor update

2:42

Kelly. Out of the original nine two

2:45

hundred and sixty seven entries, fifty

2:47

four remain. Twenty

2:49

four got knocked out with the Stillers yesterday,

2:52

one with the Saints, one with the Jets. Fifty

2:56

four remain. By the way, fifty

2:58

four controlled best as

3:00

we could tell by fifty two different

3:03

people. Now only

3:05

two people have two entries, fifty

3:07

two have one entry. Only two people

3:10

have two entries. That would be Champa

3:12

Bay and to Aalipa.

3:15

Get it to Aalipa not du Aleipa,

3:17

and Champa Bay not Tampa Bay. Those

3:19

are the two people that have two entries. Everybody else

3:21

has one. Twenty four

3:24

folks on the jags tonight, so that might

3:26

not be a final number. After

3:28

this. We not only have exceeded the percentage.

3:30

Remember after seven weeks, how

3:33

much further behind in terms of eliminations

3:35

this year was than last. We have now

3:37

exceeded by percentage. We've exceeded it

3:39

by There's fewer entries

3:42

left now this year than they were at this

3:44

time last year, and last year was crazy.

3:46

Last year was the weirdest thing ever. We

3:48

got it down from six that week circa

3:50

got it down from six one hundred and thirty

3:52

three to one hundred and twenty

3:55

five, and seven weeks to

3:58

this point that one hundred twenty had

4:00

only dwindled down to seventy Like

4:02

these were. Those one twenty five were

4:05

just strong the rest of the way through.

4:08

But this because this is the this

4:11

was the chalkiest group I

4:13

think in any survivor year in terms of

4:15

just the aggregate of what these folks

4:18

used to get to this point, because there was

4:20

never any the game theory.

4:22

Folks like myself, we got crushed early. So

4:26

good on these guys fifty four, including

4:28

our buddy Greg Jones La

4:30

Jones, who whose mother died

4:33

he mistakenly clicked on the packers on

4:35

Thanksgiving. He's one of the fifty four

4:38

that are still there. So our

4:41

guy Tony Farmer's in there as well. Paul

4:44

Howard has one left, PAULI has

4:47

one left, and then Adam Burke. Adam

4:49

Burke is nearly Adam Burke has one. He has

4:51

one that a split entry one he split with

4:53

a buddy, I think. But yeah, that popped

4:56

up in the Bill newsletter like last week or something. I had

4:58

no idea about that. Adam Burke beaby, I

5:00

had no idea either that.

5:02

Yeah, he's still alive too.

5:04

Okay, So we're aware of we're

5:07

aware of several guys. Good luck to everybody.

5:09

Great on you to have gotten this far. The

5:11

intrinsic value of each of

5:14

the remaining fifty four at this moment, remember, twenty

5:16

four could go down tonight. If the Jags don't

5:18

win, fifty four left,

5:20

one hundred and seventy one thousand,

5:22

six hundred eleven dollars and eleven cents,

5:26

it's prettay pretty

5:28

good. All right, let's do this Thursday

5:30

night foot ball?

5:30

What do we got?

5:31

Oh?

5:31

Intro I remembered, I remember,

5:35

I know, sort of kind of yes,

5:39

here we go live from the D's Thursday

5:41

Night.

5:42

Kind of like low music on that one though. It's kind of a week.

5:44

Intern Thursday Night Patriots

5:47

and Steelers.

5:48

Oh it's a barn burner. Yeah, yeah,

5:50

the two and ten Patriots and the seven and

5:52

five Steelers now Patriots in

5:55

just a I'm glad we're getting a few of these bad

5:57

games out of the way. New England loses to the Charge

6:00

six to nothing New England

6:02

Chargers yesterday. If the team, after the team's traded three

6:04

and outs, New England matriculated second and five at

6:06

the Chargers thirty one Remandre fumbles Twoy

6:09

Poloto on the hit and recovery amounts

6:11

to another couple trade of punts. Chargers then matriculate

6:14

Dicker thirty eight yard field goal three to nothing, Chargers

6:16

nine oh nine left in the second quarter, then after another

6:18

trade of punts. By the way, the theme of today's

6:20

guessing lines is trade of punts and trades of three

6:22

and outs. After a trade of punts, New England three and out

6:25

pinned at their own four, Bryce Bearringer punt

6:27

returned by Darius Davis thirty four yards set up at the New

6:29

England twenty seven, one thirty four left in the

6:31

second quarter. Dicker would add Cameron Dicker that is

6:33

another field goal. This went from thirty eight six

6:35

to nothing, two thirty eight yard

6:37

field goal, six to nothing Chargers with forty four seconds

6:39

left in the second quarter. That would be the halftime. By

6:41

the way, that would be all the scoring because, first

6:44

of all, at halftime the stats one eighteen to one oh

6:46

seven in total yards. That's

6:48

how that game was going. Eleven

6:50

first downs total and nine punts

6:52

in the first half of that game. Second half, after a Chargers

6:55

three and out, New England fourth and three at the Chargers thirty

6:57

eight, Zappi got four. All it did was

6:59

lead to another then another trade of punts in another

7:01

another La punt, New England gets

7:04

to fourth and five of the Chargers thirty. Remember they're only

7:06

down six. Zappi sacked by Derwin

7:08

James six fifty eight to go. Chargers forced

7:10

upon again, but New England was stopped fourth and eight at their own forty

7:12

two on a Zappian completion. Chargers would ever give

7:14

it back six and I think that was the game. Zappi thirteen

7:17

forward completed passes for twenty five one

7:19

forty one, no touchdowns, no picks. He

7:22

was sacked five times, by the way. You see the Ben Fox

7:25

tweet on this. Ben Fox, formerly

7:28

of Visent formally ESPN, He was tweeting

7:30

about how the Patriots are the first team ever

7:33

to lose three straight games, sent

7:35

you that one yesterday. Here it is his courtesy

7:37

of Doug Clawson from Ben Fox. First

7:39

team since nineteen thirty eight to lose

7:41

three straight games, allowing ten or fewer points

7:44

in each one. I sent you this

7:46

one yesterday in nineteen thirty eight Chicago

7:48

Cardinals. You who would forget that team? Of course

7:51

in nineteen hundred and thirty eight? How bad is that?

7:53

Or?

7:53

As Jabrill Pepper said, I don't know if you caught

7:55

this to his former teammate sick One Barkley last

7:57

year last week after the game, lamenting

8:00

how the Giants were able to beat his Patriots.

8:02

He goes, uh, you lucky,

8:04

We a bro. I

8:06

don't think I could say the A word. Allow here you can.

8:09

Oh, yeah, you lucky,

8:11

We asked bro Emerson throw

8:15

Jabrill Peppers. I really can't rank

8:17

them. I don't know. Uh, okay, Pittsburgh,

8:19

that's what they're point. Pittsburgh loses

8:22

to the Cardinals. Boswell twenty nine yard

8:24

field goal three to nothing Pittsburg yesterday, then an Arizona

8:26

three and out, then a Pittsburgh three and out, then a Prater fifty

8:28

one yard field goalnoted up at three apiece, Pittsburgh

8:31

punt, Arizona three and out, Pittsburgh three and out, Arizona

8:33

punt. Pittsburgh matriculates. They

8:35

get it to fourth and goal at the one that after Picket

8:37

hurt his ankle on third on the third down run

8:40

to get it to the one, they go in a

8:42

shotgun nausey stuffed by Kevin

8:44

Strong four to fifty one left in the second quarter, and then

8:46

the Cardinals from their own one go ninety nine yards

8:49

through the rain on fifteen plays, convert

8:51

five third downs along the way, Murray to Trey McBride

8:53

from five out ten to three Arizona that would

8:55

be the halftime score. There were fifteen seconds left in the half at that

8:57

point. By the way, that after Jeene Stare

9:00

told us that the previous play was a touchdown when it

9:02

so clearly was not, he was

9:04

like, ah, no, it wasn't. He dropped

9:06

the ball. By the way, fans evacuated

9:08

from the stands at the half. Weather delay. Third

9:11

quarter finally gets going about. You know

9:13

when the fourth quarters of the other games were starting. After

9:16

an Arizona three and out, Pittsburgh second and nine at their own

9:18

thirty Trubisky now and can't handle the low snap

9:20

fumbbop Dante Stills recovers

9:22

Arizona set up at the Pittsburgh twenty one. They get a flag

9:24

in the end zone on Joey Porter Junior on

9:27

Dorsch that led to a Connor one yard touchdown,

9:29

seventeen to three, Arizona seven,

9:31

eighteen to go. Another weather

9:33

delay. Now, imagine being one

9:35

of the twenty four who had twenty four survivor

9:38

guys who had the Steelers sitting

9:40

through these weather delays, kind

9:42

of.

9:42

Knowing you're not gonna win this.

9:46

Out of the delay. Here's where you knew Pittsburgh wasn't

9:48

gonna win out of delay. Boswell forty five yard

9:50

field goal try wide right. That was kind of the deflator

9:52

of the all Arizona punt, but they pinned

9:54

Pittsburgh at their own four and after three and out after gaining

9:57

only five yards and a punt that a face mask

9:59

upon return, rather with a face mask attached

10:01

to a seven yard gain. Arizona takes over

10:03

at Pittsburgh thirty three. Four plays later, Connor in

10:05

from nine, twenty four to three, Arizona

10:07

eight twenty eight to go. Pittsburgh would add a

10:10

touchdown to make it twenty four to ten. Trubisky

10:12

to Deontae for twenty

10:14

five to go your down two scores. You know what Mike

10:16

Tomlin does, kicks it away,

10:20

kicks it away. Yeah, what are you doing?

10:22

That's bad?

10:23

Try you doing it?

10:24

Was bad.

10:24

Pittsburgh would never see the ball again. Ball game twenty four

10:26

to ten, twenty four survivers out, pick it seven

10:29

for ten for seventy. He's

10:31

getting surgery. Kelly's expected to miss anywhere

10:33

from between two to four weeks. Trubisky

10:36

was eleven of seventeen in relief for one seventeen

10:38

one touchdown. He did lose a fumble.

10:40

This is ah, how's everybody getting sergery? By

10:42

the way these days? And back in like two weeks.

10:44

Bro I said the same thing, like tail Picket,

10:47

Like I half expected we'll get to the Houston later,

10:49

but I half expected though, like Tank Dell broke his fibula,

10:51

he'll be back the week after.

10:53

Net like I like that. We have this short eye

10:55

ar now, but it's like you're not gonna put him on.

10:57

I r he's getting surgery, but he'll be back in two weeks.

10:59

Aaron Rodgers doing this to people? Yeh, by

11:01

the way, they're four and eight. Can we stop with here Rodgers

11:03

stuff already?

11:03

Please? New England at Pittsburgh? Is that what this

11:06

yep drek game?

11:07

Is?

11:08

Pittsburgh and No man's land five and.

11:09

A half Pittsburgh Steelers that DraftKings

11:12

right now, six point favorites, six point

11:14

favorites. That is pretty much the.

11:16

Case everywhere you want to take

11:18

Pittsburgh. But do you trust Pittsburgh.

11:20

No, not at all? I mean, and it's gonna

11:23

be trubisky, right like is it?

11:25

Is? It way worse than can you picket?

11:27

No?

11:27

But it's worst in Pickett in my opinion.

11:29

Still I don't know if it is okay. I mean I

11:31

don't think it's much. I don't think it's much. I think

11:33

it's a slight down grade dollar. There's nothing here

11:36

for NBA Cup that night. That's probably

11:39

are you going, yeah? I think's not good for you.

11:41

Good for you? Thursday night

11:43

semis for the in season tournament. Got to

11:45

get through the quarters Tomorrow and Wednesday night

11:47

first more guessing lines Week fourteen

11:49

coming back Numbers game Visa in the Sports Betting Network.

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of the sports betting network. That's

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a VSI N slash

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subscribes Gil Alexander, it's Kelly Bidlin

12:47

guessing lines for Week fourteen. I

12:49

don't think there's ever been a better guessing

12:51

line season, Kelly in terms of leading

12:53

us to winners. I don't really

12:56

Yeah, I don't think it's been tried in every

12:58

week but two this year it

13:00

has been gold. By the way, the megapod

13:03

being an even tighter subset of that

13:06

has been spectacular. Uh,

13:08

Todd, Will and I with the guests have been great

13:10

too. Ace on this past one. And everybody's

13:12

killing it, man, everybody's absolutely killing it. So couldn't

13:15

be happy with that, by the way, A brock Purty.

13:17

We'll get to the Niners in a bit when

13:19

they come up on the schedule, but at

13:21

the latest look at the DraftKings MVP market.

13:24

Brock Purty is now your co short

13:26

shot three to one, along with Dak

13:29

Prescott, Jalen Hurts plus three, fifty

13:32

to seven to one, Lamar nine to

13:34

one, Patrick may Holmes

13:36

nine to one, and Ty Reek down

13:39

to sixteen to one. I got a seventy

13:42

five to one on Reek, and

13:44

I got a sixteen to one on Purdy. By the way,

13:46

Purty just conventional stats,

13:48

pass rating, completion percentage, touchdowns

13:51

per attempt, yards per addrempt. That's

13:53

yards per attempt, yards per completion. First

13:56

first, first, first, first.

13:58

It's been awesome. It's the awesome first.

14:01

The odds now seem correct.

14:04

That is correct. That's the way I would

14:06

put it.

14:07

And I'm just gonna let everybody know it's pretty

14:09

propaganda week.

14:10

Here on the look.

14:12

I think Dak blogs blogs up there too, and he

14:14

is right. I think the os the odds reflect

14:17

the race properly.

14:18

Now, if the Niners are the number one seed

14:20

perty's getting it, is that what you're you're operating

14:23

problem assumption is right now? I think so too.

14:26

I mean, I think the odds are are like correct

14:28

now. Finally, I still

14:30

if I had to make a pet today, would still be on Brockberty

14:32

cleve Ta will be on the show tomorrow

14:35

to talk about it, and hopefully later

14:37

in the week the grade Ethan Strauss.

14:39

We shall see. Let's do some more. Week fourteen.

14:41

All right, Sunday, early window, Buccaneers

14:43

at Falcons. Oh glad,

14:46

we're getting the bad ones out of the way at least from yesterday's

14:48

games Tampa Bay and Atlanta.

14:49

This has big NFC South implications.

14:53

Atlanta leads the NFC South at six

14:55

to six. Tampa Bay knocking at the dough five

14:58

and seven Tampa Bay against

15:00

Carolina yesterday after Tampa Bay punt to Carolina three

15:02

and out, Tampa went fifty seven yards were shot white

15:05

in from one seven to nothing Tampa six. A eight left first

15:07

quarter, Pinero outed a field goal for Carolina

15:09

and make it seven to three. Early second quarter. A

15:11

deluge in Tampa, I mean it was

15:13

pouring. Among many games yesterday where the weather

15:15

was in clement. Tampa Bay three and out, Carolina three

15:18

and out, Tampa Bay three and out, Carolina punt. This was

15:20

football yesterday. Mayfield an awful

15:22

pick by Xavier Woods where Baker just threw the

15:24

ball up in the air, jump all Carolina

15:27

three and out, Tampa Bay punt Carolina and to the

15:29

half seven to three at a half

15:31

times so bad. Third quarter team straight

15:33

three and outs twice twice.

15:35

Then Carolina goes sixty five yards on seven plays, Hubbard

15:38

in from.

15:38

One, ten to seven. Kakilaki.

15:41

This is the thing. Carolina does this

15:43

every game. They're down

15:45

and then the early third quarter they have this moment

15:47

where they'll wait a minute, wait

15:49

one second. It's happened so many times

15:52

this year. It lasted one offensive

15:54

play Tampa Bay one play, seventy five

15:57

yards, Baker to Evans for seventy five, fourteen

15:59

to ten, Tampa Bay four to fifty four left

16:01

third quarter. Then the teams traded another three

16:04

pair of three and outs, another pair of three ounts. Then at

16:06

Carolina punt, Tampa Bay go sixty seven yards seven

16:08

plays, God went in from nine he hasn't scored

16:10

in forever, twenty one to ten, Tampa Bay eleven,

16:12

thirty six to go Carolina, though for

16:14

those that bet them, they had one last

16:16

gasp fourth and six of the Tampa Bay thirty eight

16:18

Bryce the chart for thirty two plays later, Hubbard

16:20

in from one, not a gasp, but reality

16:23

they go for two Young's face masks wrenched them

16:25

from the one Young in twenty one to eighteen Tampa

16:27

Bay five oh two left in the fourth quarter,

16:30

Tampa Bay punt Carolina down three, gets the ball

16:32

back, but stopped on downs when Bryce is picked by

16:34

Angeline Winfield Junior and fourth and one from their own

16:36

forty two to fourteen to go Carolina with two timeouts

16:38

and the two min a warning, but the Bucks got

16:40

their first down. They never gave the ball back. Ball Game twenty

16:42

one eighteen Tampa Bay Carolina folks

16:45

do get the money though on

16:47

this one. Mayfield

16:50

fourteen of twenty nine for two oh two, one touchdown,

16:52

one picky sack Ones Evans seven for one sixty

16:54

two in a touch ten straight seasons started

16:56

his NFL career with over one thousand yards.

16:58

Only Jerry Rice has more with eleven. That's incredible.

17:00

It is incredible modeling consistency. They're

17:03

taking on Atlanta in a big game. Next we get Lanta

17:05

and the Jets. Oh god, there's another one. After the team's

17:07

traded punts twice, Atlanta pinned at their own two Bjeon

17:10

tackle for a safety by Quinn Williams two to zhering

17:12

Jets late first quarter, Jets

17:15

third safety of the year after a trade

17:17

of three and outs. Jets first and fifteen at their own thirty

17:19

nine Dalvin Cook hit by Nate Lanman, fumbles

17:21

recovered by d Elford of the Jets. Forty seven thirteen

17:23

eleven left second quarter, six plays later riddered.

17:26

To Mike Cole Pruitt from twenty out seven

17:28

to two.

17:29

I was about say Braves because of that score. Falcons

17:32

ten oh four left second quarter. Zerline, we'll

17:34

get a twenty seven yard field goal to make it seven to five

17:36

late second quarter. Then after the team's traded

17:38

punts Atlanta, we'll get a coup twenty two yard field

17:40

goal ten to five Atlanta at the half. Third quarter

17:42

opening drive, zerline forty six yard field goal ten

17:45

to eight, then Coup forty two yardfield

17:47

goal thirteen to eight, three thirty eight left third quarter,

17:49

Then then a Jets three and out and

17:51

Atlanta three and out. You get the theme today. Then

17:53

second to night at their own forty three boil picked by

17:55

Jesse Bates. Boil benched team strade

17:58

punts again, then three and outs again, Thenana

18:00

three and out again, then first intended at Atlanta forty eight, two

18:02

fifty two to go. Trevor Simeon, who's in

18:04

for Boile, sacked by Richie Grant. Ruled

18:06

a Fumber fumble after a long review. Andrea Smith

18:09

Junior recovers another Atlanta three and out. Jets

18:11

take over at their own seven, down five with one fifty

18:13

three to go Kelly.

18:14

They get a couple first, but fourth and.

18:15

Seventeen of their own thirty Simion incomplete turn it over

18:17

on downs ball game thirteen to eight. Atlanta. What

18:20

a game, and by what a game, I mean what

18:22

a crap game.

18:23

You did a great job making the sound excite. Oh it

18:25

was so great.

18:26

Ritter twelve of twenty seven twelve completed

18:28

forward passes in victory for one twenty one

18:30

one touchdown. No Pixie was sacked three times. They were outgained

18:33

by the Jets two fifty nine to one ninety four,

18:35

but they were plus three in turnovers. That led to plus

18:37

seven Atlanta neet points. That's your margin. Atlanta

18:40

wins it by five, thirteen to eight, so

18:42

Atlanta leads the NFC South Big

18:45

Game. Though I will say Atlanta, I'll

18:47

cut the split the difference between a field goal and

18:49

to pick them minus one and a half. Two and a half, Okay,

18:51

two and a half, so close there when

18:53

I can squeeze one more and let's do one more.

18:55

Yeah, absolutely, let's go early wind the Lions at the Bears.

18:58

Lions back off off the Schneide

19:00

with a win here against the Saints.

19:03

They're nine and three. Now, they'll

19:05

get to the playoffs, they'll win that division. At

19:07

the feisty four and eight

19:09

Bears. Detroit against

19:11

the Saints yesterday they went eighty yards and seven.

19:14

I mean, this game is so this is like

19:16

what Baltimore did to Detroit, but in reverse.

19:18

Early Detroit went eighty yards and seven plays. Montgomery

19:20

in from two, seven to nothing. Detroit first play for

19:22

a New Orleans car picked by Brian Branch. Detroit

19:24

three plays, seventeen yards golf to Laporta from

19:26

thirteen out, fourteen to nothing, Lions ten to twenty

19:29

four left in the first quarter. We're still not even five minutes

19:31

into the game. Then, after a New Orleans three and out, Detroit

19:33

goes fifty four yards and three plays golf to Saint Brown

19:35

for twenty five twenty one nothing. Detroit,

19:38

we're not even halfway through the first quarter.

19:40

First quarter stats one forty eight to thirty

19:43

three, totally yards advanced for Detroit. Then

19:45

the team's traded three and outs and another trade uponts. New Orleans

19:47

then wakes up. They go eighty four yards on thirteen

19:49

plays Car to Graham. Remember Jimmy Graham in

19:52

a Saints uniform. Yeah, I was wondering where he was hanging

19:54

out Car to Graham for six touchdown,

19:56

twenty one to seven Detroit, nine oh eight left second

19:58

quarter. Then after the team's raded three and ounce,

20:00

Riley Patterson twenty six yard field goal adds

20:02

to the Detroit lead. So it's twenty four to seven lines at

20:04

the half. First half stats two twenty four to one

20:07

to twenty three totally yards advantaged for Detroit.

20:09

And then a little something happened. New Orleans

20:12

made a run opening drive. New Orleans goes seventy five

20:14

yards ten plays of the second half. Kamara in from

20:16

two twenty four to fourteen New Orleans. After

20:18

Detroit three and out, New Orleans go sixty two yards seven

20:20

plays, Hill in from one twenty four to twenty

20:22

one Detroit four to thirty four left third quarter. We got

20:24

ourselves a ball game, Yeah, no, we don't.

20:27

Detroit gets a Patterson thirty two yardfield goal to make it

20:29

twenty seven to twenty one to end the third quarter,

20:31

and then first play ensuing drive. Here

20:34

is where car card and the Saints sainted? Is

20:36

that a thing? Car fumbles when

20:38

the when his left guard James hurs Arm

20:40

hits him, recovered by Tracy Walker.

20:42

That's set up Detroit at the New Orleans twenty six. Two plays

20:45

later, Jamison Williams in from nineteen two

20:47

point tri fails thirty three to twenty one Detroit

20:49

fourteen oh seven to go. Subsequent drive

20:51

third and seventeen at their own forty eight ten

20:54

twenty three to go, Car hurt on a

20:56

completion to Alvin Kamara, knocked out

20:58

of the game. Roughing was

21:00

called, so it set up New Orleans at the Detroit twenty nine,

21:02

but Jamis was in. He

21:05

goes to a lave the most Jamis play ever

21:07

off a Brian Branch tip for thirty

21:09

yards three plays later

21:11

Jerry. Three plays later, that happened. Jerry

21:14

Jacobs actually could have picked the ball off and

21:16

probably could have taken into the house yep, but instead

21:18

it tips to his receiver Kamara in from

21:20

one Two plays after that, thirty three to twenty eight

21:22

Detroit halfway through the fourth quarter exactly,

21:25

Detroit three and out when Montgomery couldn't haul in

21:27

a third down pass. So New Orleans gets

21:29

the ball down five. They

21:31

get it to fourth and six of the Detroit forty, but Winston

21:34

can't connect with Olave. He was way

21:36

off on a couple passes before that too. New

21:38

Orleans would never see the ball again. There's a lot of that on

21:40

the show today, and they would never see the ball again.

21:44

That was it. Detroit converting

21:46

a Golf to Reynolds twelve yard pass

21:49

on third and nine at the New Orleans forty

21:51

six with one fifty four to go. If

21:54

that's incomplete, What a mistake that

21:56

would have been because it would have given New Orleans the ball back. They

21:58

had no timeouts, I don't believe, or maybe one at

22:00

the time, so the fact that

22:02

they were they went for it and risked

22:04

the incomplete pass was huge. Instead,

22:06

it's converted and the Lions win at

22:08

thirty three twenty eight golf sixteen

22:11

of twenty five for two thirteen, two

22:13

touchdowns, no Pixie Sack One's laporta nine for one

22:16

in a touchdown Detroit plus two and turnovers

22:18

that led directly to plus thirteen net

22:21

Detroit points. I'll say Detroit on the

22:23

road at Chicago. I

22:25

don't think this will be as high

22:28

as it would have been a couple of weeks back. I'll say

22:30

minus four and a half.

22:32

Pretty big movement on this game this morning.

22:34

I'm just checking. I think this is the biggest mover

22:36

so far. Opened five yesterday

22:38

at DraftKings we were down to three and a half.

22:40

Basically, whoa shorter than

22:42

even?

22:43

I thought, Yeah, I thought I was being mister

22:45

short here with this one. I

22:47

mean, it's crazy what you got the Bears coming. The Bears.

22:50

Wow, Bear's a lot of time to

22:52

prep for this game. After just playing the

22:54

Lions.

22:55

Here, I thought, oh, I was all clever about it. All right, We'll

22:57

get back more Week fourteen lines to

22:59

get yes, looking for value. That's the

23:01

point numbers game vs. In these sports betting

23:04

network it's

23:06

skill, Alexander. It's Kelly bid Little I from bar Canada

23:08

at the d here in downtown Las

23:10

Vegas, just looking at my five

23:13

and O here Kelly. And this is the thing with ats

23:15

in the NFL pre flop and

23:18

contests that last the whole season. You

23:20

have got to have the Plinko shine on

23:22

you.

23:23

Oh are you kidding me? Yeah?

23:24

I mean it is just you know, if

23:26

if the Jaguars covered tonight. I think

23:29

phesis in first and

23:31

I was saying to him, I was like, you

23:33

got two plinkos this week? Boy already?

23:36

And he goes, I've had Plinko all year, Yeah,

23:38

because it's in my five and oh, like I look at him,

23:40

like three of them were totally blank.

23:41

Yeah, minor silly, like I don't know about I don't know about

23:44

yours. But I had I had Chargers.

23:46

I did that's one of my I had Falcons.

23:49

No, I had the Colts. That was a plank Okay,

23:51

I did have that one. I had Rams,

23:53

I did not have that, and I had Lions.

23:57

I mean, what is the combined point, Like

23:59

what's the find victory margin there?

24:01

Yeah? My plinkos were Chargers, Colts,

24:04

and Texans.

24:06

Yeah, just as bad. I mean, come on, what

24:08

are we talking about?

24:08

The other two were good, but those were like I was like,

24:11

so you have to really know, but now forget that. Listen

24:13

to this. This is a we get tweets, a beating the book. I just want to

24:15

read this one. J. Dmons are, Buddy

24:17

JD. He

24:20

says, I am sitting on an eight hundred

24:23

and sixty eight to one parlay. Let

24:25

me let me repeat that he is sitting

24:27

on an eight hundred and sixty eight to one

24:30

parlay of all eight

24:32

NFL divisions I made in June that now

24:35

has odds of are you ready for this? Plus

24:37

one ninety?

24:39

He says. Question is why the hell would a seemingly

24:42

sane man bet on the NFC South.

24:43

Here's who he got you ready for this?

24:45

Yeah, Dolphins, Ravens

24:48

looking good, Niners yeah,

24:50

Eagles sure, Chiefs yeah,

24:53

Jags okay, Lions, uh

24:55

huh, Falcons

24:59

oh, man, Scot JD.

25:02

That outstanding.

25:03

The problem is, like it's such a great

25:05

ticket, It is in such a good spot.

25:08

Except what could possibly go wrong, But like

25:10

you.

25:11

Don't have It's not like the NFC sounds

25:13

a division where you could easily go and

25:15

like ben another team to win it.

25:17

Also, some of the more like three teams in the race.

25:19

Also some of the other ones that we mentioned, they are looking good

25:21

right now. They're like, yeah, the Eagles

25:23

could not win aps, Like right, there's there's

25:25

a couple of those. It's just so

25:28

good that he has this eight hundred and sixty

25:30

eight to one. Man, I hope

25:32

you put more in a couple of shekels on that though.

25:35

All right, Yeah, I mean, I'm just looking over standings right

25:37

now, like the Yeah, the Eagles are your next most

25:39

concerning.

25:40

Most concerning, Yeah, yeah, all right, Let's try

25:42

to squeeze a.

25:43

Couple here, all right. So in the early window, Colts

25:45

had Bengals seven and five Colts

25:47

what I tell you, and the five and

25:49

six Bengals who play tonight sign unseen

25:52

Colts.

25:53

Beat Tennessee yesterday, How oh

25:56

my god? How is right? Tennessee goes

25:58

sixty four yards and four play Henry in from twenty

26:00

two seven to nothing, Titans one to forty in the

26:02

game, Indianapolis comes right back fifty six yards

26:05

and three plays after a thirty six yard Mackenzie return,

26:07

Minshew to Aleck appears for thirty six.

26:09

We're tied at seven. Two fifty five into the

26:11

ball game. After trade of punts, Tennessee has

26:14

a third and ten at their own forty. Levis sacked

26:16

by Samson ebucom ball goes forward, recovered

26:18

by Julian Blackman. Then Lebis hits him.

26:21

He fumbles and Lebis recovers leads

26:23

to a Folk twenty four yard field goal ten to seven Tennessee

26:25

thirteen seconds left first quarter. After in Indianapols

26:27

three and out, Tennessee goes seventy seven yards on eight plays.

26:30

Henry in from five seventeen to seven Titans

26:32

ten to twenty two second quarter. Every Colts

26:35

game seems to go this way, by the way. Matt

26:38

Gay twenty three yard field goals seventeen to ten

26:40

Titans seven thirty nine left second quarter, Then after

26:42

Tennessee three and now big Minsheet to Kylon Grants

26:44

and forty six yard play to the Tennessee six,

26:46

but three plays later Minshew sacked by Deniko Autry

26:48

fumbles. Elijah Molden recovers one forty eight left

26:50

in the second quarter, But then after Tennessee three

26:53

and out, Matt Gay did get a forty six yard field goal seventeen

26:55

to thirteen Titans at the half. Third

26:57

quarter opening drive fourth and two at the Tennessee forty one

26:59

Grants for two first down that led to a

27:01

Matt Gay twenty three yard field goal seventeen

27:03

sixteen Tennessee four to fifty seven left

27:06

third quarter, A nineteen play

27:08

drive to get that field goal. Goodness.

27:11

After a trade of three and outs, another three and out for Tennessee,

27:13

this time Ryan Stonehouse. His

27:15

punt blocked Grant Store at eighteen yards

27:18

of the house, twenty two to seventeen colts.

27:20

They're gonna take in the two point conversion two right,

27:22

wrong, picked by a Moni hooker two

27:24

points the other way, twenty

27:27

two to nineteen. Instead of being up seven,

27:29

perhaps they're only up three with

27:32

nineteen seconds left in.

27:33

The third corp. I was so confused on the area

27:35

yesterday with what happened during that because

27:37

you don't have the audio. I'm like, wait, they scored

27:39

a touchdown? I was a wait, what yeah?

27:42

The all two point conversion the other way?

27:45

Uh?

27:45

Tennessee three and out,

27:47

surviving e Leves fumble by the way. Stonehouse

27:50

back in punt formation again. This time not only

27:52

was the punt blocked, but Tony

27:54

Brown was up in his grill. He didn't even have to extend

27:56

his arms. He's like standing in front of him. Stonehouse

27:59

so close to him that stone House actually got hurt on the play.

28:01

Indianapolis had to settle for a gay twenty eight yard field

28:04

goal twenty five to nineteen. Colts

28:07

eleven thirty four to go. Then Tennessee

28:09

first play of the next drive. Henry is hurt

28:11

on the drive's first play, but the Titans do go

28:13

seventy five yards Levis to Hopkins from three

28:16

out twenty five twenty five extra

28:18

point to take the lead. No good,

28:21

We're still tied at twenty five. What a moment.

28:23

That would turn out to be Colts

28:26

three and out. Then a Tennessee punt by the way

28:28

by Folk now because Stonehouse is out of the game,

28:30

so Folk is punting as well.

28:33

So apparently kickers can punt, but punters can't

28:35

kick. The Matt Brown axiom

28:38

as we learned, which is true. It's

28:40

interesting, right, we just see that a brief

28:43

parenthetical aside. Indianapolis

28:45

takes over at their own thirty two twenty seven ag we're tied

28:47

to twenty five.

28:48

They get it to fourth.

28:49

And one, and they're

28:51

in their own territory. They elect to punt.

28:55

Hm interesting at the moment. Tennessee takes over

28:57

at their own twenty two with one thirteen to go. They

29:00

cross midfield, but then they go backwards

29:02

on two consecutive plays. Jesus

29:04

Christ, they're going the wrong way. They

29:07

have to punt two. Colts get it back with thirteen seconds

29:09

left at their own twenty two, and they have the bright

29:11

idea of passing the ball. Minshew almost gets

29:13

the ball picked off at point blank range and

29:16

Steiken goes, how do we go to overtime?

29:18

And they do overtime.

29:20

Tennis Tennessee wins the toss full forty six

29:22

yard field goal twenty eight twenty five Tennessee

29:24

four nineteen to go. Indianapolis first

29:26

intend at their own forty one. Minshew to Alec Pierce

29:29

for fifty five double Nickels to the

29:31

Tennessee four. Two plays later, Minshew to Pittman

29:33

Junior touchdown. Colts win it never

29:35

in Dowbed thirty one to twenty eight. Those

29:37

of us who have the Colts get the money ball game.

29:40

Minshew twenty six for forty two for three twelve two

29:42

touchdowns. No Pixie was sacked three times, he lost the fumble.

29:44

Pittman Junior eleven for one oh five and a touchdown,

29:46

Piers three for one hundred and a touchdown. They're

29:48

at Cincinnati, who plays tonight? Sight

29:51

unseen on the Bengals. I'll say the Colts minus

29:53

three on the road. As a placeholder.

29:55

Colts two and a half right now at

29:58

DraftKings two get a little more respe.

30:00

Back week after week of it.

30:01

Course. Yeah, yeah, this is their two half painted

30:04

right now. But we'll see what the Bengals do tonight that

30:06

might change things again. The three AFC

30:08

teams that are currently in wildcard position, your quarterbacks

30:10

would be currently

30:13

Mitch Rubisky, Joe

30:16

Flacco and Gardner Minshew, let's

30:19

do one more. Whatever happened to Alan Peersman?

30:21

That was crazy seeing him yesterday. Yeah,

30:24

early window. We'll roll with Jags. Jags

30:26

at Browns.

30:26

Okay, the Jags who have not played, they play the Bengals tonight. You

30:28

don't have any playing tonight's game, do you.

30:30

I've the Jags tied into a teaser from last week

30:32

and you got him in the contest.

30:34

Yeah, and they're trying to have matching five and o's

30:36

on this show. Let's go Jaguars

30:39

at Cleveland. Jaguars played to night Cleveland.

30:41

They lose to the Rams in a game that cosmetically

30:44

on the scoreboard thirty six to nineteen does

30:46

not indicate at all how close this game

30:48

was. Cleveland goes seventy five

30:50

yards on nine plays. Flacco passes

30:52

for sixty five of them to Jerome Ford

30:54

for twenty four of the touchdowns. Seven to nothing Cleveland. You're like,

30:57

whoa, this dude is way better than dt ar

31:00

PJ.

31:00

Walker, Like so sad.

31:01

Like why didn't the Jets get him back? Har

31:04

six forty four yard field goal for the Rams cuts into seven to

31:06

three Cleveland three and outs.

31:07

Then the Rams two plays seventy nine yards Stafford

31:09

Depuca Nakula.

31:11

If CJ. Stroud didn't exist, he's the dude

31:13

seventy yards on the play ten to seven Rams, three

31:16

fifty nine left, first quarter. Then after a Browns

31:18

punt, Haerseq would miss a forty three yard field

31:20

goal try badly wide right, first play, second

31:22

quarter Cleveland. That was the first play in the SACD

31:24

quarter. Cleveland then would punt. They trade three and ounce

31:26

Rams punt on a drive in which Nicua would get hurt

31:28

briefly looked like he'd be out of the game

31:30

and maybe even out of the season. He would end up coming

31:32

back.

31:33

Yeah, that was weird.

31:34

That was weird.

31:34

It looked like it was in serious pain and

31:36

then like all I'm getting them alerts on my phone and stuff

31:39

or cramps yeah, I'm like what and the next

31:41

thing you know is like sprinting down the field with the ball.

31:44

They trade three ounts Hopkins forty yard field goal ten

31:46

to ten, two h six left the second quarter, harsec would

31:48

could get twenty eight yardield goal to make it thirteen ten Rams

31:50

at the half.

31:50

Third quarter.

31:51

After a Rams punt, Hopkins twenty

31:53

four yard field goal tied up at thirteen four to fifty

31:55

eight left third quarter. Then the Rams go seventy five

31:57

yards on seven blays Stafford's DeMarcus

31:59

Robin for seven that after they hooked up for thirty yards

32:02

two plays before that, twenty to thirteen Rams

32:04

thirty nine seconds left third quarter. But then Cleveland

32:06

goes seventy five yards on thirteen plays Flaco

32:08

to Harrison Bryant from eight out twenty

32:10

to nineteen Hopkins to tie the game, and

32:12

he misses it. The Dustin Hopkins

32:15

experience. Everybody Rams

32:17

three and out. After DeMarcus Robinson penalty wipes

32:19

out a huge would be nicoua gain, Cleveland

32:21

takes over down one with six fifty one to

32:23

go. You like I threw in the Nico again, the would be nico

32:26

again. Cleveland takes over down one

32:28

with six fifty one to go, they're

32:30

only down one. That got the ball, but first play

32:32

ensuing drive, Flacco picked by John

32:34

Johnson the third deep forty two yard

32:36

return that would set up the rams of the Cleveland

32:38

twenty four five plays Stafford

32:40

a Cup from three out twenty seven to nineteen rams

32:42

three forty eight to go, then at Cleveland four

32:44

and out after they had third and one, the

32:47

Rams were set up at the Cleveland thirty with two twenty

32:49

nine to go. Five plays Kyron Williams in from one thirty

32:51

four to nineteen Rams at a safety from

32:53

Aaron Donald thirty six to nineteen. Ball game Flacco

32:56

twenty three of forty four for two fifty

32:58

four, two touchdowns, one pick. He was sacked twice,

33:00

the most yards passing by Cleveland quarterback since

33:02

DeShawn and Week three.

33:04

And remember it was a one point game with

33:06

like.

33:07

Six minutes left,

33:09

Jacksonville minus four as a placeholder.

33:11

Jacksonville minus three already

33:14

bet in Mike, Yeah,

33:18

that might be a bet right there. Not

33:21

a big one, I mean, I think, especially with Jacksonville

33:23

playing today.

33:23

Yeah, we gotta go atta tread lightly

33:26

a little break with Chris Filica. He'll tell us

33:28

why us FSU folks are

33:30

wrong. That's next skill,

33:34

Alexander. It's Kelly Vilin live from bar Canada at

33:36

the d here in downtown Las Vegas. We

33:38

usually don't do anything on Mondays

33:40

during Guessing lines except for guest the lines,

33:43

but we wanted to take a little moment for

33:45

a drop in from the bear from Fox Sports

33:48

Chris Filika that after, of course, yesterday,

33:50

Florida State was left out of

33:53

the College football Playoff. They

33:55

were ranked fifth despite

33:58

going undefeated as as a

34:00

Power of five conference champion. In

34:02

case you missed it, head coach Mike Norvel

34:05

once he gathered himself, quote,

34:07

I am discussed and infuriated with the committee's

34:09

decision today to have what was earned on the

34:11

field taken away because of a small because

34:13

a small group of people decided they knew better than

34:15

the results of the games. What's the point of playing

34:18

games? Do you tell players it's okay to quit if someone goes

34:20

down? Do you not play a senior or senior day

34:22

for fear of injury? Where's the motivation to schedule challenging

34:24

non conference games. We're not only an undefeated

34:26

Power five conference champ, but we also played two Power

34:29

five non conference games away from home and

34:31

won both of them. Jordan Travis, the injured Jordan

34:33

Travis, whose injury is at

34:35

the center of all of this, said,

34:38

I wish my leg broke earlier in the season so y'all

34:40

could see this team as much more than the quarterback.

34:42

And finally, Michael Alford, FSU's

34:44

athletic director, he had a lot to say,

34:47

including the consequences of giving into

34:49

a narrative of the moment our destructive, far

34:51

reaching, and permanent, not just for Florida State.

34:53

But college football as a whole.

34:55

The fact that this team has continued to close out victories

34:57

in dominant fashion facing our current quarterback situation

35:00

should have enhanced in capitals, our

35:02

case to get a playoff birth earned in capitals

35:04

on the field. Instead, the committee decided to

35:06

elevate themselves and quote unquote make history

35:09

today by departing from what makes this sport

35:11

great by excluding an undefeated Power

35:13

five conference champ for the first time since the advent of

35:15

the BCSCFP era that began twenty five

35:18

years ago. He goes on to call the decision ridiculous.

35:20

He goes on to call the committee

35:22

prognosticators Chris

35:25

Volika. First of all, thanks for joining

35:27

us. Tell me

35:29

and Kelly, Kelly a FSU

35:31

grad, me, who really is

35:35

I said, I wasn't going to be outraged. I was

35:37

a little more outraged than I thought yesterday. Quite frankly,

35:39

tell us why we're wrong.

35:42

We're wrong because the committee utilized

35:45

the protocols and the criteria that they

35:47

have in place, which would personally, that's

35:49

the biggest shock in this all to me is

35:51

that they actually followed through with

35:54

the protocols and the criteria that they have in place,

35:56

where if

35:58

they were talking about best like they said all along

36:01

and using the availability

36:03

of players matters. It was

36:05

an easy decision because you

36:08

cannot tell me on the watching

36:10

what Florida State was the last

36:12

two weeks on the offensive side of the ball with

36:15

their backup quarterbacks in there and

36:17

their inability to complete a forward

36:19

pass, that they were one of the best four teams's

36:23

And maybe I'm oversimplifying it, maybe

36:25

I'm using too much common sense and logic,

36:27

Maybe I'm being too truthful

36:30

and harsh and what Florida State would

36:32

be moving forward, But you

36:35

don't want to totally throw out everything

36:37

they did before the year. But everything

36:39

that they did with Jordan

36:41

Travis is kind of minimalized because

36:44

that's not the team that they have on the field

36:46

now, that's not the team that they were going

36:48

to have on the field in the playoff.

36:51

Is it right?

36:51

Is it wrong?

36:52

Is it fair?

36:53

Is it cruel?

36:54

Whatever you want to decide. Yeah, but the committee,

36:56

that's why we have a committee. That's why it's

36:59

no longer just BCS

37:01

rankings or poll

37:03

and you take it's to evaluate

37:05

everything in there. I think the committee

37:07

got down. If you want to be super if you

37:09

want to be super harsh and super

37:12

true, and you say to anybody, who

37:14

are the best four teams? I think the

37:16

best four teams probably are Alabama,

37:18

Georgia, Texas, and Michigan.

37:21

But you're not gonna leave Washington out as well, because

37:23

Washington is a full complete team right

37:25

now and they were undefeated in the league

37:27

that I think a lot of people for most of the year

37:29

thought that was the best conference in the Power

37:32

of Five. So do I get where

37:34

Florida State fans are coming from? True? And

37:37

I know I'm going on a little around here, but

37:40

don't go crying and shed a tear for Florida

37:42

State. They've been on the right side of

37:44

this more often than not.

37:47

Ninety three, they.

37:47

Lost a regular season game to Notre Dame,

37:50

wound up and with the same regularly, with the same

37:52

overall record, they got awarded a national

37:54

title on Notre Dame finished second despite

37:57

beating Florida State head Day

37:59

eight. They backed their way into a call

38:01

into the BCS title game the first year with

38:04

the markets outs and the backup quarterback there,

38:06

and I think they're still struggling, struggling to get

38:08

a first down against the balls. Two

38:10

thousand and they lost the head to head game against

38:12

Miami and the BCS ERA somehow

38:14

they wound up playing for the BCS

38:16

title, couldn't score an

38:18

offensive point against Oklahoma's sow While

38:21

this one hurts largest statesmen

38:23

on the right side of these controversies and gotten

38:25

defended for the doubt more often than not. Know

38:27

that doesn't make up for this year. But I said,

38:29

I think the biggest shock in all of this is

38:32

that there wasn't a human element in

38:34

there to be like, yeah, I know they're not one of

38:36

the best. For I know that they they

38:38

lost their quarterback, We're still going to put him in

38:40

the fact that that human element didn't come through, and the committee

38:42

actually utilized their protocols they

38:45

put to put Alabama in that

38:47

that was the most surprising part of this.

38:49

Chris, I could not disagree

38:51

with you more on on almost

38:53

every count. And I'll tell you why I said this last week.

38:56

This is to me, it's about subjectivity versus

38:58

objectivity. The

39:01

committee is projecting forward,

39:04

they are prognosticating, they are

39:06

not relying on what actually what the

39:08

facts are, what happened. And by

39:10

the way, if you want to talk about this best thing, well,

39:13

they had FSU ranked ahead of Georgia

39:15

in the end five versus six, so

39:17

that all goes out the window too. I don't want to

39:19

hear about the Vegas thing because Georgia would be a thirteen

39:21

and a half point favorite.

39:23

And do you know why they had Florida State ranked ahead

39:25

of Georgia though, because one of their criteria

39:27

that they utilize for conference champs. If

39:29

Florida State was a conference champ.

39:31

And doesn't, it doesn't refute it doesn't.

39:33

It doesn't refute my point. Let me finish

39:36

the people who are saying, oh, car Dale Jones

39:39

was different. He won fifty nine and nothing against Wisconsin

39:41

and conference championship. Hold on, hold

39:43

on, this guy, brock Glenn

39:45

wasn't going to play in the semi finals. It was going to be

39:47

Road Tomaker. They have no idea.

39:50

They think they know how good Road Tomaker is going

39:52

to be, They have no idea how good

39:54

he's going to be. So that's a completely subjective

39:57

Martin against Florida that it's

39:59

one game. Dude, it's one game. They have

40:01

no idea how good he's gonna be. And he's

40:03

been credible on the football field. You don't

40:05

know, Chris. College

40:08

football guys get games wrong every week,

40:10

hundreds of games Oregon.

40:12

Everybody thought Oregon was gonna crush you, dub.

40:14

It didn't happen, like I mean, the notion

40:17

that they would determine a team. These

40:19

college football players showed up for a college football

40:21

season with a Power five schedule. They beat

40:23

every team in front of them, and to

40:25

tell them at the end, sorry, buddy, that wasn't good enough

40:28

for the first time ever, because

40:31

they decided an injury was so

40:34

significant that they were gonna keep them out. To me,

40:36

it is nothing but a committee deciding to themselves,

40:39

we'd rather piss these guys off

40:41

than Alabama or Texas, so we're

40:43

gonna go with it. By the way, I just want to say one other

40:45

thing, and this to me was, and I know these

40:48

are your former colleagues, and I really like them on air.

40:50

I think Reese's great as a job, Reese Davis, and

40:52

I think Kirk hrb Street is great at his job. But

40:54

I thought yesterday was not their finest

40:56

moment because you have an Ohio State guy in Kirk,

40:59

and you have an Alabama and Reeese, you do have

41:01

an Ohio state guy and Joey Galloway. I

41:03

thought, by the way that Greg McElroy was biting

41:05

his tongue hard, and dare I say that, I can't believe

41:08

that. I agree with Booger. Booger was the only

41:10

guy making sense yesterday. He

41:12

was the only guy making sense. Jump on if you want

41:16

the fact that Kirk got

41:18

to the point where he was like, oh, if this had happened

41:20

to and then he started to think carefully about

41:22

what he was saying. Michigan with McCarthy or

41:24

you double whatever. Notice he didn't say Alabama

41:27

Ohio state. First of all, I disagree with

41:29

him entirely that it would have been the same with even

41:31

Michigan It absolutely

41:33

would not have been the case with Alabama Ohio State,

41:35

and you will never get me to believe that it would

41:37

have been that. To me, it's like, it

41:39

is completely let's call it what

41:42

it was. I just I object

41:44

to the people who are saying, well, it's so it's

41:46

because of this, and they wouldn't have been any good. You don't

41:48

know, you don't. I think it's

41:51

a travesty, and I think it's not a sport. It's

41:53

an exhibition. This was a wonderful twenty

41:55

twenty three college football exhibition. I

41:58

give you the word I would.

41:59

Say what I would say in regards

42:01

to what you're dead about, Kurt, I think

42:03

it would have been the exact same, and that

42:05

they would have evaluated the team based

42:08

on how the backup quarterbacks would have

42:10

done, and that's ultimately how

42:12

they would have decided. I mean, the

42:14

amazing thing is that the drop off at quarterback

42:17

was so great from what Florida stated

42:19

had at the starter to number two to number

42:21

three. That was the amazing thing. Whereas

42:24

at Alabama you had Tua

42:26

and Matt Jones and Jalen Hurts

42:29

and there was no drop off. In Ohio

42:31

State, you had Braxton Miller

42:34

to J. T. Barrett to Carl deale Jones

42:36

like they were lying. Like the fact that there was such

42:38

a drop off is I think why Mike Norvel

42:40

built this team through the portal

42:43

the way he did, and it

42:46

sucks. I feel awful for Jordan Travis because

42:48

he's an unbelievable kid, and everyone who's

42:50

had dealings with him it says the same

42:53

thing. Chris Fawler was very a poignant

42:55

about his dealings with with the Knoles year because he's

42:57

had him a bunch. I mean, I would go check

42:59

that out and get his because people

43:02

are on others on both sides of this, but uh,

43:05

I'm back. I said album might be in the minority. I

43:07

think the committee got it right, and.

43:09

I think they got a horrible Kelly's an FSU grad.

43:12

You have the Last World this.

43:14

Yeah. I mean I think a lot of what you just

43:16

said, a lot of what you just said, Gil. I think it's

43:18

the rademaker factor that does it. Does I

43:21

mean, what he went into Florida, he came in with once.

43:23

Once Jordan Travis got hurt, wins a game, goes

43:25

into Florida into the swamp, wins.

43:27

A game there.

43:28

I mean and We don't really We still don't really

43:30

know, but everybody seems to think know

43:32

that he's a terrible, terrible quarterback. And

43:35

we saw brock Led lose that he looked terrible

43:37

in that game. He's not going to be the guy that would play

43:39

though, So.

43:40

I said, Chris, thank you. We'll

43:42

talk to you later in the week.

43:43

Of course, my man, Chris.

43:45

Bear Bets Pod Thursday and Friday,

43:47

College on Thursday, Pro on Friday. Yeah, you

43:50

have one. We'll get back to guessing ws. We have one extra point.

43:52

About this is that because interesting after the break

43:55

and I'm just told the story. It's

43:57

one of those idiots who believe in analytics.

44:00

This is a numbers game with Gil Alexander

44:02

Gone.

44:03

Our number two of a numbers game at Visa, the Sports

44:06

bending Network, Visa dot Com, the Visa app, game plus iHeartRadio

44:08

YouTube TV. It's Kill Alexander.

44:11

It's Kelly Bidlin guessing lines for Week fourteen

44:13

in the National Football League. Before we get to that,

44:15

yes, because we want to say a few final words.

44:18

First of all, we get tweets at Beat of the Book. It

44:20

is. Here's the thing. We're probably obviously after

44:22

this week, we're not going to ever bring this up again. But people,

44:26

people get heated about this kind of stuff. And

44:29

I'll say it again, I thought I wouldn't be outraged.

44:32

I was more outraged than I thought. You too,

44:34

David King?

44:35

Can I still get it from like the average person

44:37

out there? You don't want to see Florida

44:39

stay with a beat up quarter for TV ratings

44:42

and all that stuff. This is great.

44:43

Why do you think they made the decision they made?

44:45

Of course all that bs David

44:48

King? Gil if you see this in time, oh sorry I didn't. Will

44:50

you please ask Chris if he would put FSU

44:53

into an eight team or even twelve team tournament

44:54

apps in a requirement the A SEC champ goes.

44:57

I mean, I mean if the third string quarterback

44:59

thing holds. I I assume not right. This

45:01

is from les kipping the NFL

45:04

ones Israel mcgroun wait, Miami Alum,

45:06

Chris Fholic, thanks.

45:07

Of keeping Florida state. It's out as correct shock.

45:10

I thought Chris was very reach.

45:11

This has always been great. He has never ones come on this

45:13

show ever and like played the Miami

45:15

car now anything, I'm not.

45:16

Gonna never at all, never at all. Step in Vegas

45:18

an FSU alum as an f SU alum.

45:21

I watched the NFL with yes yesterday morning,

45:23

was totally deflated. For the ten am slate, Chris

45:26

brought up an interesting point. FSU goes undefeated

45:28

in a Power five and gets snubbed because the quarterback

45:30

is hurt, then shouldn't Travis be the favorite

45:32

for the Heisman.

45:33

I'll take it. He's obviously that key right.

45:35

I got to take it on him.

45:37

Let's see. This is from

45:40

Brian mcfp. Should go rogue eighteen

45:42

playoff Michigan, Oregon, Bama, FSU, Texas,

45:44

Georgia, Washington, Ohio State. There are no potential rematches

45:46

until the final. If you want to bounce a Oregon put in liberty

45:49

for the g FIP Group of five Top right champion

45:51

Scott New York met sixteen. Thank you, Gil. I

45:53

agree with all your points. And if the SEC is the name

45:56

brand, FSU beat two of them on the road. Washington

45:58

was a surprise. Let them play. They did what you

46:01

asked of them. His name is Chaz. College

46:03

football has been, in my mind, equivalent to gymnastics

46:05

when it comes to determining a champ. I'm glad it was

46:07

exposed definitively, definitively as

46:09

a sham this year. Always decided on the field,

46:12

always.

46:12

And Greenberg said basically the same thing this morning,

46:14

completely agree said, we've turned this into figure skating

46:17

where we have judges ruling on what's

46:19

going on.

46:20

What's actually called it an exhibition. Last actually

46:22

it's not a sport. It's an exhibition. The numbers, guys,

46:24

they got the best teams quote unquote hah. Defense

46:27

isn't sexy. So if you rely on your defense as your calling

46:29

guard, your identity, you better scrap that right now. Put

46:31

all your chips towards the offense, where there's a good chance

46:33

you're going to find yourself number thirteen in the years

46:35

to come. It's basically what Booger said. Yep, I

46:37

couldn't have agreed with Booger Moore. By the way, Reddit college

46:39

Football, the committee cannot ignore how much Alabama

46:41

has improved over the season, from a seventeen

46:44

to three win over six and six South

46:46

Florida to a twenty seven to twenty four

46:48

win over six and six Auburn. Yeah,

46:51

by the way, I have fourth and thirty one also. And

46:54

then Bill Connolly, who is

46:56

the creator of sp plus on at

46:59

ESPN. He had a tweet yesterday

47:01

about this as well, which

47:03

I'll get to right here, which which he said FSU

47:07

looked better against Louisville last night talking

47:09

about Saturday night than Alabama did

47:11

against Auburn, Arkansas or USF.

47:13

By the way, I just in closing, because

47:15

you couldn't even remember what you said. I've got a couple

47:17

points real quick that might cover them.

47:19

I just think for everybody out there, you

47:22

might think this is great because this might be the four teams

47:24

that you want to cover. There are longer lasting

47:26

issues of this. For me, I think everybody's thinking,

47:28

oh, we're switching to a twelve team playoff, This

47:31

isn't going to be an issue down the road. There's

47:33

certain things that are still going to be an issue when

47:35

you have teams, like when

47:37

you have teams where there are injuries, right,

47:39

this is this is one more because its a big deal.

47:41

This was best where if you have Jordan

47:44

Travis is different. We all saw it on the field. We all knew he was

47:46

going to be out forever. What happens if that injury

47:49

doesn't look as bad. What happens

47:51

if there are injuries that

47:54

the team knows someone's going to be out

47:56

for a extended period of time

47:58

at the end of the year. You already

48:00

don't get credible college football injury

48:02

reporting. It's how easy is it gonna be

48:04

gill for those teams going forward that saw

48:07

what happened to Florida State to just lie

48:09

on your injury reports. He is gonna

48:11

miss some time with a foot injury. We

48:14

don't know how long it's gonna be. You made it even

48:16

better. And then the draft stuff. Okay,

48:18

now we have guys like Verse Keyon Coleman.

48:20

All these guys are gonna be first round draft

48:22

picks. Great players that sat through. Great

48:25

players sat there working

48:27

their butts off game after game to try

48:29

to get into the college football playoffs when

48:31

they could have just sat out and made sure they didn't

48:33

get hurt and be ready for the draft. After

48:36

what they just saw this year, you don't think there's

48:38

gonna be other players and years to come that

48:40

see that and say I'm done for the

48:42

season. No good. Mike key On Coleman to transfer transfer

48:45

from Michigan State launched himself up the

48:47

draft board this year. He should have sat out in the past

48:49

two games.

48:49

Oh my quarterback got hurt and I don't play for Alabama,

48:52

Ohio State or any of the other blue bloods. Ye Oh, I guess

48:54

I'm just gonna sit it out and get ready for the draft because I don't

48:56

want to risk injury.

48:57

Ye I mean, especially

48:59

we're expended to twelve. And I love the instead

49:02

of being the ten seed, of course you should

49:04

sit out and be ready for the tray.

49:05

And I love the point that the tweeter made of forget

49:07

me. I just read it where it's like, oh, so

49:10

so offense means that means more than defense.

49:12

Now that they held a ten and

49:14

two Louisville team, they dominated them. Yeah,

49:16

they're an elite defense.

49:17

And that was part of Booger's point, right. He was like, if

49:20

you're saying this, you're saying that defense

49:22

no longer matters.

49:24

I could talk about it for an hour, but I'm not going you have me

49:26

fired up again.

49:27

I'm all that.

49:27

I ady it's more. Let

49:30

me put it this way. The people on the other side that are

49:32

like, oh, the FSU has no point, I'm like, I

49:34

have no idea. We're not even on the same planet.

49:37

We're not even on the same planet.

49:39

I'll get give Falik a credit. It

49:41

just is this should be able to

49:43

be Yes, I'm fired up, I'm in fsu grat

49:45

Yeah, as long as we can have a conversation

49:47

about say, let's have a conversation. There are

49:49

too many people that are coming there and be like, no, you're dumb.

49:52

What are you talking about. I thought we had a lovely conversation.

49:54

No, we did. We did.

49:55

That's what I'm saying. I like those kind

49:57

of conversations. I think like you're pointing out these

49:59

people on both sides that can't understand

50:02

either way. Like, I get it. FS, you've got boxed

50:04

out. I get it for everybody else out there. You get

50:06

to watch two better semi final games

50:09

then you would have gotten to watch. Doesn't mean it's right.

50:11

And I have no bets involved. I'm just talking about

50:13

it objectively. Let's go back.

50:15

What do we got all right? Next up on the board,

50:17

we've got Kelly totally

50:19

lost his place Panthers at Saints.

50:22

Oh, this will be quick. One on eleven Panthers

50:24

five and seven Saints. We talked about both games.

50:26

Bryce was fifteen of thirty one for one to seventy eight

50:28

and defeat no touchdowns, one pick. You sacked four times. Hubbard

50:31

twenty five for one and four two touchdowns. Car

50:33

seventeen of twenty two for two twenty

50:35

six, one touchdown, one pick. You sacked twice before

50:37

he got knocked out, Kelly, he's in concussion

50:39

protocol, shoulder and back

50:42

injuries. Good lord, it's entire

50:44

body. Winston two of

50:46

five in relief, forty one yards, no

50:48

touchdowns, no picks. He wasn't said o Lave five

50:50

for one on one teen Kamara fourteen for fifty

50:52

one for two touchdowns on the ground, six catches for fifty eight.

50:55

The Saints were minus two and turnovers that led to plus thirteen

50:57

Detroit Nett points. As we talked about. By the way, you see

50:59

Michael Thomas was throwing shade on

51:01

Twitter at car during the

51:04

game. During

51:06

the game and

51:08

he had to delete his account. I'm

51:11

serious. During the game

51:13

and his quarterback, uh Saints

51:15

by seven, five and a half, five

51:18

and a half. Oh, that's interesting because it's because

51:20

it's Jamis. Yeah, that's why it was only seven.

51:22

Yeah, yeah, Jamis Davison

51:24

mill. However, they dice that up. You're basically

51:27

seeing the same spread though that way you saw Carolina

51:29

catching going into Tampa. Give me one

51:31

more all right here we go.

51:32

Texans at Jets seven and five.

51:35

Texans. Jamaico's a

51:37

crowded coach of the year field. I think he's the favorite

51:39

right now.

51:40

He should be.

51:41

Matt Lafleur may have reintroduced himself to that

51:43

lay at the Jets. The Jets who lost the

51:45

Falcons, we already talked about them. Houston against

51:48

Denver yesterday, after the team's traded three and ounces, Houston

51:50

gets an Amadola Matt Amandola twenty nine yard field

51:52

goal, three to nothing Texans. Then after another tennis

51:55

excuse you that, after another Denver three and out, Houston

51:57

gets it fourth and two at the Denver seven. They

52:00

all start, but Alex Singleton gets an unnecessary

52:02

roughness call, getting into Stroud's face. Stupid

52:06

he plays it through the whistle. False

52:08

start whistle leads to a Damien

52:11

Damien Piers three yard dutchdown run ten to

52:13

nothing Texans three forty nine left first

52:15

quarter, but Tank Dell's leg gets

52:18

ranched under the pile in the process has

52:21

to be carted off. Broken fibula.

52:24

Ugh terrible first

52:26

quarter stats.

52:27

I didn't see the injury? Was

52:30

this the did I see? Tweets that he was

52:32

a lead blocker on this.

52:34

He got yeah, he got wrapped up in the pile. It

52:36

was terrible. A one seventy eight to

52:38

twenty three total yards advantage for the Texans

52:41

after the first quarter, either up ten to nothing.

52:43

Then after a Denver punt, amandoladds a thirty eight yard

52:45

field its thirteen to nothing Texans twelve

52:47

forty seven. Second quarter. This was the game I like the most,

52:49

along with the Niners last week. I'm thinking, I'm so smart.

52:51

This is gonna be easy peasy. That was made

52:53

possible that field go by the way by Stroud to Collins

52:55

fifty nine yard hookup. Then after trade of

52:57

punts thirteen to nothing Denver, who had punted all four percents

53:00

thus far, they matriculate Let's thirty four yard

53:02

field goal thirteen to three, one twenty four left and the sect

53:04

quarter that would be the halftime score. First half

53:06

stats two fifty nine to one oh three

53:09

total yards advantage for Houston. Collins had

53:11

one hundred and twenty two alone. He was out

53:13

gaining the Broncos himself. Third quarter,

53:15

after Denver three and out am Mondola thirty eight yard

53:17

field, It's sixteen to three Houston then after

53:19

a trade of three and outs the theme of today show, Wilson

53:22

is Setton from forty five outs sixteen to ten Houston

53:25

four forty seven left in the third quarter. All of a sudden,

53:27

this becomes a sweat then Houston.

53:30

Houston punt, but that was with some fumble luck when

53:32

Stroud got sacked by Jaquan mcmillion Badare

53:35

Ogunbowale landed on it. A first

53:37

play in sewing drive Wilson picked by Derek Stingley

53:40

junior. Houston set up at the Denver twenty

53:42

one four plays in Stroud to Colin three yard touchdown

53:44

pass, two point conversion fields twenty two to

53:46

ten, Houston fourteen sixteen to go Denver

53:49

seventy five yards. Set up by

53:51

Wilson to Judy forty one yard connection Wilson

53:53

in from one. It's twenty two to seventeen Houston

53:55

twelve four to go Houston three and out. Then

53:57

second play in sewing drive, Wilson picked deep by

53:59

Stingle He's junior again, thank you for being drafted

54:01

third. Houston eventually has to punt

54:03

up five four to thirty six to go. Denver ends

54:06

up with a fourth and one at the Houston twenty two. At the two

54:08

minute warning, they're down five. Javonte

54:10

Williams gets the one yard barely. Then

54:12

fourth and two at the Houston What is it

54:14

with thirty seconds to go Wilson for

54:16

five. That was at the thirteen twenty

54:19

three seconds to go, first and ten at the Houston eight.

54:21

Excuse me, first and goal at the Houston eight. No

54:23

timeouts left, incomplete,

54:25

incomplete, third down, sixteen seconds

54:27

to go.

54:28

Wilson somehow avoids the sack, but he

54:30

throws it up in the end zone, picked off by Jimmy

54:32

Ward.

54:33

Ballgame Houston wins at twenty two to seventeen

54:35

Stroud sixteen of twenty seven, two seventy four, one

54:37

touchdown, no picks. He was sacked five times,

54:39

though Collins nine for one ninety

54:42

one in a touch will Anderson

54:44

with the best game of his career, the number three pick

54:46

in the draft this year. Five tackles, two

54:49

sacks, two tackles for losses, eight pressures

54:51

and a tip pass that led to the led to an interception,

54:54

plus three in turnovers all in the second

54:56

half of the Texans that led to plus

54:58

six net Houston points and that's what

55:00

they needed to win the game and the game clinching interception.

55:02

Of course, they're playing the Jets boil

55:05

fourteen for twenty five for one defeat

55:07

against the Falcons yesterday, no touchdowns, one picky

55:09

sack once sent me in five for thirteen for sixty

55:11

six, sack three times, lost to fumble, actually

55:14

fumble three times when only lost to one of them in

55:16

defeat, and that they outgained Atlanta two fifty

55:18

nine to one ninety four, but were minus three in turnovers.

55:21

I will say Houston

55:24

by six, Stingning ding Ding nailed

55:26

it. Series fat drafted.

55:29

I don't like.

55:29

Anything that much yet, except for Jacksonville.

55:31

Maybe what did you learn anything

55:34

more about the Denver broadcost Yester? No,

55:36

they're exactly who they were.

55:38

By the way, you have that fumble luck I talked about

55:40

amazing when it doesn't go to your well, we'll

55:42

come back more to guests. Numbers game Visa, the sports

55:44

betting network.

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Numbers game on Visa, these sports

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ninety nine become part of the sports Betting Network. That's

56:26

the sports Betting Network vs

56:28

I N slash subscribe vsin

56:30

dot com slash subscribe. It's kill Alexander,

56:32

It's Kelly Billin. By the way, I got a text from

56:35

Flatter from Ron Flatters run.

56:37

He's pointing out that the Bill Ady article. Bill

56:39

Ady, one of the founders of the co founders of vson

56:42

A has a we have a video about him,

56:45

you know, just to let everybody know what a great

56:47

job he's done with the newsletter all this time. In his post newspaper

56:49

life and apparently he found it on LinkedIn.

56:51

I haven't seen the video yet, and it

56:54

was just reminded us of when we filmed our

56:56

part for this and how I

56:58

had.

56:58

A line and all all Kelly had.

57:00

To do was react, and

57:03

the people behind the camera told Kelly

57:05

to stop overacting.

57:08

It's like this, like twelve takes. For some reason,

57:10

I have no idea, why could you tone down your acting.

57:12

I had to try to mix up my reactions as

57:15

I was told to tone it down a.

57:16

Little bit, like the extra that did too much in the

57:18

background. It's so great, we

57:20

get sweets, I meet you the book. I always appreciate

57:22

this. Let's

57:24

see here, Oh adds

57:27

oh jonesy is in here. He goes Greg

57:30

Jones, who again whose mother died. He accidentally

57:32

picked on the pick the Packers instead

57:34

of the Lions, which he meant to do,

57:36

and that saved him and he is still alive. He's one

57:38

of the last fifty four entries. He said, Lions,

57:41

Saints, Steelers are Texans. Was

57:43

always planning for Steelers. But Trubisky now New

57:45

England is tanking for a quarterback, right, so he's

57:47

pondering what his pick is going to be. This

57:50

is from Oh,

57:52

this gentleman also has the same as JD there that

57:54

eight team division parlay.

57:58

Evan and Bessie. We

58:00

have the same parlay. No, this guy Evan and

58:02

Bessie. Yeah, well he has Dolphins, Ravens,

58:04

Jags, Chiefs, Eagles, Lions, Falcons, Niners,

58:07

exact same eight teams. Wow, he has it

58:09

at seven hundred and thirty eight to

58:11

one. Good luck

58:13

to all of you on that God, that's

58:15

such a great one ahead.

58:16

It's awesome, like just another thing we don't really

58:18

have access to, of being able to parlay things

58:20

like this.

58:21

Tom Stefan, about my conversation with Felika

58:23

at an Angular Underscore Rhythm, you said it perfectly gild.

58:25

These playoff games are mere exhibitions. They may as

58:27

well crown the CHAMPI in the summer. Based on recruiting rankings

58:30

from Travis at megazone seven O two,

58:32

ESPN has a partnership with SEC remove FSU

58:34

place an SEC and a future SEC

58:36

team in the playoff Gibbie Pitt Panther. Gibbie

58:39

says, if you want to do a deeper dive, the committee is basing their

58:41

rankings all the way back to recruiting classes. The narrative

58:43

that the SEC and Big ten have the most talent based on recruiting

58:45

drives the narrative that they have the best

58:47

teams. Oh

58:50

yes, And Jason Stark brings up a great point because

58:52

he's right about this from a betting standpoint. These

58:54

were available at Caesars and at

58:57

DraftKings, among others. Who

58:59

was going to be in the playoffs. FSU

59:01

was minus eight hundred Saturday.

59:04

Night opened YEP.

59:05

Two hours before, they were still north

59:07

of three dollars, one hour

59:10

before they were south of two dollars,

59:13

and as game time meaning

59:15

selection time approached, they

59:19

had gotten down to a small

59:22

minus one twenty five in regulated

59:24

markets and in offshore markets,

59:26

the no was minus to forty when

59:28

it closed. People were betting

59:30

two dimes a shot on that. Jason

59:33

Stark even bigger stories. Someone leaked the teams from ESPN.

59:35

The steam fifteen minutes before the show went from FSU

59:38

No Plus three forty to plus one hundred. That's when I

59:40

grabbed it because it was obviously leaked. Penny

59:42

had the exact games up at eleven fifty nine. Yes, Penny,

59:44

actually minus two forty No

59:47

was the final number on that. Phil

59:50

Weis there's always going to be an issue. Team

59:53

thirteen or fourteen also exactly. Okay,

59:56

let's get some more lines, all right.

59:57

Last early window game Rams at

59:59

Raans.

1:00:01

Rams AD to Ravens Rams

1:00:04

we already talked about. They beat the Browns

1:00:06

at a game that cosmetically on the scoreboard was a far

1:00:08

greater margin than the game actually really

1:00:13

was in terms of the contents of it. It was a one

1:00:15

point game with just mere minutes left. Stafford

1:00:17

was twenty two of thirty seven for two seventy nine three touchdowns.

1:00:20

No Pixie was not zacked and Pooka Nakua four

1:00:22

for one oh five and a touchdown. Also two

1:00:25

carries for thirty four yards. Baltimore on a

1:00:27

buy six and six Rams at the nine

1:00:29

and three Ravens. I will say Ravens by seven.

1:00:32

Yeah, it's uh seven and a half at

1:00:34

Draft Kings, I think about seven and a half.

1:00:36

There's some there's some flat sevens out there. Actually it's

1:00:39

mainly flat sevens uh in

1:00:41

the market. My initial

1:00:44

U lean here was take

1:00:46

the Ravens in a teaser, But man, I don't know this.

1:00:48

Rams teams been feast.

1:00:49

I have an exacta with the Niners

1:00:52

to beat the Bills in the Super Bowl. I think I'm

1:00:54

gonna get a Niners to beat the Ravens in the Super

1:00:56

Bowl.

1:00:56

Cuy, I like it?

1:00:57

Next?

1:00:58

Yeah, I got a preseason Cowboy Ravens

1:01:00

one, two hundred and one. All

1:01:03

right, next up early one oh

1:01:05

five Pacific four or five Eastern Vikings

1:01:08

at Raiders.

1:01:08

Oh that little time slot, Yeah, six

1:01:10

and six Vikings by five

1:01:13

and seven Raiders on a by I'll say

1:01:15

the Vikings in between the three and the pick, I'll say

1:01:17

minus one and a half on the road.

1:01:19

Two and a half right now, two and a half point road favorites.

1:01:22

Let's go, Josh Dobbs. Let's come

1:01:24

back.

1:01:24

Let's come back. Seahawks at forty

1:01:26

nine Ers.

1:01:27

Seahawks on extra rest.

1:01:29

Here.

1:01:29

They played Thursday night. They got beat by the Cowboys

1:01:31

forty one to thirty five at the Niners.

1:01:34

Who if you didn't get it yet, I

1:01:36

hope you got it after yesterday. They're the best team

1:01:38

in the NFL when fully

1:01:40

healthy. Six and six Seahawks, nine

1:01:42

and three nine Ers. The Niners beat the Eagles

1:01:45

forty two to nineteen. Didn't start

1:01:47

out that way though. Twenty six yard field goal for

1:01:49

Jake Elliott three to nothing Philly, then a San Francisco

1:01:51

three and own. Philly matriculates again Elliott

1:01:54

thirty nine yardfield will to make it six to nothing. That

1:01:56

after hurt slipped on the turf with

1:01:59

all the time in the world two plays earlier, took a fifteen

1:02:01

yard sack I think was kinlaw two to h one

1:02:03

left in the first quarter. At this point in the game it was total

1:02:06

yards. It was one twenty to minus

1:02:08

two, six to nothing Eagles.

1:02:10

Then another San Francisco three and out, so it was minus

1:02:13

It was excuse me, it was one twenty to minus

1:02:15

six in total yards at this point.

1:02:18

But then after a Philly three and out, the

1:02:20

Niners would get it to minus eleven

1:02:22

total yards, so it would be second and fifteen

1:02:24

at their own ten. And then ladies

1:02:26

and gentlemen, the game changed. They'd

1:02:29

awaken ninety yards later Perty to Ayuke

1:02:31

from two out seven to six nine ers. After a twenty

1:02:34

one yard third and nineteen conversion from Hurtz the

1:02:36

smith, the Eagles would punt it eventually San Francisco

1:02:38

ninety yards again on ten plays. McCaffrey

1:02:40

in from two party responsible for fifty of them,

1:02:42

fourteen to six nine ers. That would be the halftime

1:02:45

score. Third quarter seventy five yards

1:02:47

on seven plays, Perty to McCaffrey for thirty three,

1:02:49

setting up debo in from twelve twenty one to

1:02:51

six niners and the route was on Bury

1:02:53

these guys eleven forty one third

1:02:55

quarter left in the third quarter, Philly,

1:02:57

the matriculates Drake Greenlaw gets tossed

1:02:59

for poking some guy from Philly named Dom

1:03:01

on the sidelines, who Kevin Burkhart and Greg Olson

1:03:04

desperately wanted us to care about.

1:03:05

We don't.

1:03:06

We don't care about anybody from Philly named Dom

1:03:09

Burkhart from your Philly background. That led

1:03:11

to a took us Bush twenty one to thirteen. San Francisco,

1:03:14

six fifty one left in the third quarter. How much more

1:03:16

than making about Dom. Get him off the screen.

1:03:18

So again, I'm doing your show. I can't

1:03:20

hear what's happening, Like the cameras

1:03:22

are following him into the tunnel and everything.

1:03:25

It was so bizarre.

1:03:26

This is this my DC coming out where we're like, we

1:03:28

hate this kind of stuff, like I don't care about a guy

1:03:31

from Philly named Dom. Get him off there. San

1:03:33

Francisco five plays, seventy seven yards after the first

1:03:35

was a sack, Party to Debo for forty eight touchdown

1:03:38

nine or twenty eight thirteen San Francisco three

1:03:40

fifty four left in third quarter, Philly three and.

1:03:42

Out seventy five yards.

1:03:44

Twelve plays for the Niners, party to Jennings

1:03:46

from eighteen shoving.

1:03:47

Eli Rix out of the way. Get out of here, Philly

1:03:50

thirty five.

1:03:51

Thirteen San Francisco ten forty three to go, then

1:03:53

Mariota in for five plays before Hurts returns.

1:03:55

By the way, every time Hurts goes into tense, he always magically

1:03:58

returns.

1:03:59

Yep.

1:04:00

Thir team play seventy one yards. Hurts the Smith from two

1:04:02

out thirty five to nineteen two point conversion fails

1:04:04

on an incomplete pass five point thirty three to go. Then

1:04:07

Philly, unlike Tomlin, correctly

1:04:09

kicks it on sidekick down two scores,

1:04:11

because why not, it's your only shot.

1:04:14

Second play, Purty to Debo for forty

1:04:16

six on a wide receiver screen, touchdown

1:04:18

forty two to nineteen nine ers. Good night, everybody,

1:04:21

That's how it would end. Finally, Kelly, we

1:04:23

got to see last year's NFC championship

1:04:25

as I thought it.

1:04:26

Would be, hey

1:04:29

Man, we won money out of this time.

1:04:30

By the way, to my biggest pet peeves

1:04:32

in the history of sports

1:04:35

betting were people chirping

1:04:37

about Alabama when Colt McCoy got

1:04:39

injured in the first quarter of that Texas Alabama

1:04:42

National Championship and after

1:04:44

the Philly Niners playoff game last

1:04:46

year where Philly backers were

1:04:48

chirping after the Niners were playing

1:04:50

like Kelly Bidlin off the street.

1:04:52

At quarterback would

1:04:54

have been better.

1:04:55

My favorite part about that whole u FSU

1:04:57

thing was how you couldn't remember what you said yesterday

1:04:59

and I have. I'd like to quote Kelly Bidley. It's

1:05:01

like sitting two feet away, I.

1:05:02

Get so many noses written down on my phone. I didn't

1:05:04

know what you're referring to. Get domb off my screen.

1:05:07

Perty nineteen for twenty seven for three fourteen,

1:05:09

four touchdowns, no picks. He was sacked twice a one

1:05:12

forty eight point eight passer rating.

1:05:15

That's at a one fifty eight point three. Give that man

1:05:17

an MVP. DBO four for one, sixteen

1:05:19

and two touchdowns. Niners out gained the

1:05:21

Eagles four fifty six to three thirty three. I'll

1:05:24

say the Niners by ten at home against

1:05:26

the Seahawks.

1:05:27

Uh, you are low. It is eleven and a half

1:05:30

in draft kings right now. We have come

1:05:32

down. There's anywhere between ten and a half to eleven

1:05:34

and a half in the market, and there was

1:05:37

twelve and a half's out there yesterday this opened.

1:05:39

I just want to say this though, the reason that I have the Niners

1:05:42

power rank of one in the and the Eagles four. I'm not

1:05:44

saying the Eagles aren't a good football team. They're obviously

1:05:46

a resilient, gritty team

1:05:48

that figures out ways to win game through the gauntlet

1:05:50

here recently, and they won the first three games

1:05:52

of the six game gauntlet before they lost yesterday.

1:05:55

But let's face it, they should have lost a couple

1:05:57

of those. They should have lost to the Cowboys, they

1:06:00

should have lost to the Bills. They might even

1:06:03

have lost one to the Commanders, believe it or

1:06:05

not, if not both.

1:06:06

Quite frankly, they're

1:06:09

not as good as last year's Eagles. They're

1:06:11

not. They deserve a lot of credit

1:06:13

for getting this far. They still have the best record in the NFC.

1:06:16

Not trying to take anything away from them, but they're

1:06:18

not as good as them.

1:06:19

They're not as good I think betting wise,

1:06:21

though, the market's gonna go too low on them

1:06:23

eventually through this Goblins, there's gonna be some betting

1:06:25

oppositions.

1:06:26

On hell Oh, I'll be right there.

1:06:28

I have no problem betting on them.

1:06:29

Just don't show me Domin anymore with Kevin Burkar, I coudn't

1:06:31

care. Left all right, We'll come back more guessing lines

1:06:34

looking for value Week fourteen numbers game Visa

1:06:36

the sports Betting network SKAL

1:06:42

Alexander's Kelly Bilin live from

1:06:44

Barkhana the barrage here at the

1:06:46

d in downtown Las Vegas.

1:06:49

You know, we have music in the background because we're out here in

1:06:51

the bar, and they're

1:06:54

playing a jam from the eighties too

1:06:56

shy shy, shy, hush

1:06:58

shush, I do I and I said, and I

1:07:00

said to yeah.

1:07:03

So I said to Kelly, I go, Kelly, you know who sings this?

1:07:06

And he looks at me and he goes no, And I go, Kaja

1:07:08

Google And he thought I had a medical event, yes,

1:07:12

to which he h to which he then said, what

1:07:14

percentage of the population do you think actually

1:07:16

knows this?

1:07:17

And I go, I think if you were alive then.

1:07:18

A pretty good percentage, really too

1:07:20

shy by Kadja Google. They know the

1:07:23

jam. I'll tell you that much what year ish eighty

1:07:25

something?

1:07:25

I don't eighty something? Would you say? It's a kin

1:07:28

to like Chumble womba for me, I

1:07:31

get knocked out, but I get up again. That you know that one,

1:07:33

but like you always remember, Yeah, probably helped

1:07:35

me out. Roby that again, Kaja

1:07:39

Google, I didn't hear all

1:07:41

right. By the way, we have a

1:07:43

tweet here. This is from a we get tweets a beating of the book.

1:07:45

This is from Nick g Gil. I need a reason to

1:07:47

bet Purty for m v P.

1:07:49

Looking back at former MVPs, none of them have had

1:07:51

as many stars as he's got on the team.

1:07:53

Just trying to be convinced. Well,

1:07:56

I gave the passionate pretty uh speech a

1:07:58

couple times before. I I had a seventy

1:08:00

five to one ticket on Tyreek Hill to win

1:08:02

MVP from early in the season. I actually

1:08:05

believe Tyreek Hill is the

1:08:07

true MVP of the National

1:08:09

Football League. But because

1:08:12

we had Aaron Shotts on a couple times and he's one of

1:08:14

the fifty voters, he just makes it very

1:08:16

clear they don't want to bet for a non quarterback. At least

1:08:18

he doesn't and he won't, and I wonder

1:08:21

how many of the voters he represents. So

1:08:24

to me, the other guy to bet on was

1:08:26

Brock Purty. I got him at sixteen to one. Some

1:08:29

people have him longer odds than I do, by the way, and

1:08:31

for me, the reason is simple. He's he is

1:08:34

being judged unfairly by what

1:08:36

his pedigree is, meaning he was myster irrelevant.

1:08:38

He was the last pick in the draft. If he were

1:08:40

Trey Lance, who was picked third, we

1:08:43

wouldn't be having this discussion. He

1:08:45

is so so good when we ran

1:08:47

off conventional stats where he's first across the

1:08:49

board. We'll have on cleave

1:08:52

Ta, who I didn't know, by the way, had

1:08:54

a ticket on Brock Party. Turns out Will

1:08:56

Kapper has a ticket on Brock Pertty too. But cleeve Ta

1:08:58

will be on tomorrow. We'll talk advanced with him, and then Ethan

1:09:01

Strauss, who writes this great substack

1:09:03

as a Bay Area guy, we've had him on to talk Warriors

1:09:05

before. He gives

1:09:07

this great passionate speech. This is from two months

1:09:09

ago, not now. From two months

1:09:11

ago, where he, as a guy

1:09:13

in the Bay Area, was relating Brock

1:09:16

Purdy to Draymond Green and basically

1:09:18

saying people don't have any

1:09:20

way of properly evaluating

1:09:22

how good this guy is, and he's

1:09:24

proven it. Brock Purty, to me, is the glue that holds

1:09:27

it all together. And yes, there

1:09:29

is McCaffrey and there is Debo, and everybody's gonna

1:09:31

give them some credit, but this

1:09:33

doesn't happen with just anybody.

1:09:34

Yeah, someone we spoke about in the summer time,

1:09:37

and it's really like, I guess it's come to

1:09:39

fruition. It's just it's Tua and brock Purty

1:09:41

are seemingly never gonna get the credit that they fully

1:09:43

deserve because of the weapons they have around him,

1:09:45

and of course they're going of course

1:09:47

they're going to have an easier time with

1:09:49

the weapons or howeveraty, but it doesn't mean when

1:09:52

you're talking MVP and elite level

1:09:54

quarterbacking, you still gotta be

1:09:56

damn good at the position, and seemingly

1:09:58

neither one of them ever gets the credit they truly.

1:10:00

Purdy is the is the embodiment

1:10:03

of why it is so difficult for life

1:10:06

lifers who have watched the NFL and who

1:10:08

have been in the NFL and been in college football

1:10:11

coaches and talent evaluators forget

1:10:13

about little pissures like us. But he

1:10:15

is the representation, the embodiment of why

1:10:17

they still can't properly evaluate

1:10:20

quarterbacks and why the NFL

1:10:23

Draft is the biggest inexact science there

1:10:25

is. How does a guy like this, who,

1:10:27

by the way, Matt Campbell, how do you

1:10:29

not win with him? And with Breee at Iowa

1:10:31

State? There

1:10:33

were some games at Iowa State were all like, oh my god, Purdy,

1:10:36

I can't believe you through that past. So I get

1:10:38

it. I'm not saying I knew either, but

1:10:40

you have to understand that when he when he started

1:10:42

playing for the Niners, his ability

1:10:44

to process was quick. Loucle war seeing from Jordan

1:10:46

Love, which we'll get to the Packers. Jordan

1:10:48

Love, who I said all off season, I

1:10:51

was like, if you hold a clipboard for multiple

1:10:53

years under the same coach in the same

1:10:55

system, you tend to be really

1:10:58

good when you get out of that. I use my team growing

1:11:00

up, washing Mark Rippin, Stan Humphries

1:11:02

who got to a Super Bowl, Trent Green, who, if not

1:11:05

for the injury, gave way to Kurt warrener and

1:11:07

then when Jordan Love didn't look good. Early

1:11:09

in the year, I was like, ah, I must have been wrong about this. Uh

1:11:11

huh, I'm not wrong. Jordan Love looks outstanding.

1:11:14

It clicks at a certain point, and

1:11:16

for brock Purty it clicked early. It

1:11:19

clicked early. Yeah, and so we'll never know

1:11:21

what would have happened in the playoffs last.

1:11:22

Year had he been healthy. You're you're at that point

1:11:24

with Jordan Love. I mean, he's been playing awesome.

1:11:27

I don't know that. I'm convinced he.

1:11:29

Looks really good. We'll get to that.

1:11:30

Let's do a few games here, all right, big one here

1:11:33

Sunday four, twenty five, five

1:11:35

nine, Bill's at Chiefs.

1:11:36

Oh, there's a ball game. Yeah,

1:11:38

Buffalo is six and six. What are the Chiefs

1:11:40

now? Eight and four? So

1:11:43

yes, believe so Buffalo,

1:11:45

Buffalo on idol

1:11:48

Here Kansas City last night. If

1:11:50

you missed this against green Bay,

1:11:52

green Bay popped him in the mouth early. Green Bay thirteen

1:11:54

play, seventy five yards, seven forty seven off

1:11:57

the clock, loved Ben Simmons from one out,

1:11:59

seven to nothing green Bay more than halfway through

1:12:01

the first quarter. Butcker then adds a field

1:12:03

goal seven to three green Bay at the end of the first quarter.

1:12:06

That was a whole first quarter, two drives. Then

1:12:08

the second quarter, green Bay eight play seventy five yards,

1:12:11

four to twenty one. Loved to Watson from nine out

1:12:13

fourteen to three, green Bay ten thirty nine left second

1:12:16

quarter, Then Butker added a field will to cut it into fourteen

1:12:18

to six. Two nineteen left in the second quarter.

1:12:21

Green Bay matriculated most.

1:12:23

Of the rest of the half. They had to pun eventually,

1:12:25

and then Kansas City end up half Lee.

1:12:26

We literally had five

1:12:29

real drives in the first Adams for wiled

1:12:32

Yeah, fourteen to twelve, excuse me, fourteen to

1:12:35

two, uh six green Bay. Third

1:12:37

quarter. Kansas City starts out with the ball nine

1:12:39

plays seventy five yards, but Checko win from one, but

1:12:41

he fails on the two point conversion, fourteen to twelve. Green

1:12:43

Bay nine thirty nine left the third quarter, and you're

1:12:45

thinking, well, green Bay's got a stumble here at some point.

1:12:48

Nope, green Bay fourth and one at the CAC forty four.

1:12:50

Loved to Dobbs for thirty three. What a

1:12:52

pass that was up in the air surrounded

1:12:55

by defenders. Two plays later, Love to Watson,

1:13:00

Watson for twelve touchdown, twenty one

1:13:02

to twelve Packers five twenty three left third

1:13:04

quarter to Kansas City. Then eleven play sixty six yards

1:13:06

tip for tat Mahomes Noah Grave from two out twenty

1:13:08

one nineteen fourteen, fifty one to go.

1:13:10

Surely the Packers will stumble, and yes they did

1:13:13

punt. But then Casey with

1:13:15

a three and out Andrews Carlson

1:13:17

forty yardfield goal twenty four to nineteen Packers six

1:13:19

z three to go. So the Chiefs got the ball that back

1:13:22

five points down. Kansas

1:13:24

City. First intent at the Green Bay forty nine Mahomes

1:13:28

picked by Keishawn Nixon.

1:13:30

Were you watching the same way? I was like, Wow, where

1:13:32

did that come?

1:13:33

From?

1:13:33

Five fourteen to go? Mahomes never throws

1:13:35

that. Carlson has a forty eight yard

1:13:37

field goal twenty seven and nineteen Green Bay, so they're

1:13:39

up eight. That's one score with one oh nine to go.

1:13:42

Kansas City with the ball no timeouts

1:13:45

said, here's where ladies and gentlemen, if you missed

1:13:47

this last night, you missed.

1:13:48

A tour de force of poor officiating.

1:13:51

Second intent at Kansas City thirty Mahomes runs

1:13:53

for ten, hit by Jonathan Owens,

1:13:55

Mister Simone Biles unnecessary

1:13:58

roughness called even though Holmes was

1:14:00

still in bounds. It was on his way out.

1:14:02

If that's not Patrick Mahomes, that

1:14:05

doesn't get called.

1:14:08

All right, it was really bad. Oh no, it

1:14:10

was really bad.

1:14:11

There's no debate here.

1:14:12

It was really bad. I don't

1:14:15

I don't know that I could sit here and say that wouldn't be called

1:14:17

on any other quarterback.

1:14:18

I don't know about any other quarterback. But if that's okay,

1:14:21

if that's uh Sam.

1:14:22

Howard, I'm I'm just trying to

1:14:24

temper my anger before we get down the

1:14:26

line.

1:14:27

We're getting there. That doesn't That wasn't even the worst.

1:14:30

Then first intent of the Green Bay forty five Mahomes

1:14:32

to Rice would

1:14:35

be fumble. So they don't

1:14:37

blow the whistle. They play it out and but Checko

1:14:39

on the return. On the fake return

1:14:41

if you will, fake meaning a Fugezi return

1:14:43

because it's not actually going to stand. He

1:14:46

throws a punch, so he gets fifteen yards

1:14:48

in his qualification, which is correct.

1:14:50

Yeah, Chiefs

1:14:53

get the ball back at midfield. Mahomes deep. Now here's

1:14:55

the worst of the worst. Mahomes deep

1:14:57

to Marquez Valdez Scantley, the former packer.

1:15:00

He is tackled by Carrington

1:15:02

Vallance, like, what.

1:15:04

Are we talking? No flag? You're

1:15:06

watching this year? Like this cannot be. I

1:15:09

was I had no money invested in this cab.

1:15:11

I'm screaming at my tell.

1:15:12

It's the worst non call I've ever seen.

1:15:15

I've ever seen.

1:15:16

Two plays later.

1:15:18

Uh to mvs. Marquez Valez

1:15:20

Valdis scanling, he fights for the sideline.

1:15:23

The official rule that he got there and the clock

1:15:25

stopped, even though he probably didn't get there.

1:15:27

No should have. Yeah, he was being dragged backwards.

1:15:29

Clock should have been running. And then it's like makeup

1:15:31

call after makeup call after makeup call. It's a credit.

1:15:34

And then first intend at the thirty three. That's exactly right.

1:15:36

It was a makeup fest.

1:15:37

First intend at the thirty three incomplete, incomplete, incomplete,

1:15:39

five seconds to go.

1:15:41

Hail Mary from the thirty three. If you can call one from

1:15:43

the thirty three, Hill Mary incomplete. In the end

1:15:45

zone ballgame, Chris Collinsworth

1:15:48

stumping for a PI. I

1:15:50

know you love Patrick Mahomes, Chris, but of

1:15:52

all the things that we called there, that was the least

1:15:54

controversy. Weird.

1:15:55

I know there was a little extension on the arms, but relaxed.

1:15:58

It was not He almost to be

1:16:00

into it more. Well, they came back from the commercial

1:16:02

that he was still talking about. He says, let's

1:16:04

bring in the official we gotta talk about this. I'm

1:16:07

like ezy, buddy.

1:16:08

There's like three other things that were worse than this.

1:16:10

Uh they went Green Bay does.

1:16:12

It was incomplete by the way, Travis Kelsey did get pushed

1:16:14

with two arms to send I get it, but you're not gonna get

1:16:16

that call.

1:16:17

Like a lot of that happens on the Hailbury

1:16:19

place. As they did eventually bring up

1:16:22

event it was a little like Missus

1:16:24

Lincoln. Besides that, that was the play.

1:16:26

Uh, twenty seven to nineteen Packers win

1:16:28

it out right. Mahomes twenty one up, thirty three for two

1:16:31

ten, one touchdown, one pick. He was sacked three ties, but

1:16:33

checko eighteen for one ten before he was tossed

1:16:35

and a touchdown.

1:16:36

I will say this is a good game. Chief's

1:16:40

minus four. I'm probably high.

1:16:43

Oh wow, uh opened

1:16:46

three. I think everywhere Bill's taking

1:16:48

money.

1:16:48

This is down to.

1:16:49

Chiefs two and a half this morning.

1:16:50

I don't I don't hate that. I was probably too high.

1:16:52

I don't hate it either.

1:16:54

I think I talk about the Eagles not being as

1:16:56

good as they were last year, the Chiefs are not as good.

1:16:58

I think this has got tea Bill's teaser written

1:17:00

all over it for me. Do you think the Bills are

1:17:02

the sneaky freaky brothers sneaking in from the rear?

1:17:04

I do I think they are. I kind of

1:17:06

think they are. Everyone's down

1:17:09

on. The defense is banged up, but Josh ouch the

1:17:11

threat of Josh Allen In the postseason, we'll come back

1:17:13

board a Guess Numbers game Visa the Sports Betting Network.

1:17:19

Numbers game on VSI. These Sports

1:17:21

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1:17:22

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your free copy today.

1:17:48

We just saw that Bill Ady video and

1:17:50

Kelly and I got cut down to three

1:17:53

seconds because Kelly was

1:17:55

overacting.

1:17:56

My bad, Gil, my bad, I still sill of your airtime.

1:17:58

Man, it

1:18:01

caught him acting. Why

1:18:03

did it take us so many takes? That's the keid acting.

1:18:06

Don't ever let them catch you acting.

1:18:09

We get tweets at beating in the both Jason H eleven

1:18:11

Funny how a Giants fan me and a Skins

1:18:13

fan like you feel about good old Dom and how we

1:18:15

want that clown off of our TV as fast

1:18:17

as possible. Kevin Ryan Gilt

1:18:19

two things I never want to see again, Dom And oh

1:18:22

you're getting political? Don't do that? Uh

1:18:24

shine the professor Professor Shin Sadly, anyone who

1:18:27

grew up on MTV would know Kajak gougu had

1:18:29

to be nineteen eighty three. Ye man's

1:18:32

from uh Scott Kendrick. Do you think

1:18:34

had Georgia won, the Committee would have taken the four undefeated,

1:18:37

in other words, left Texas out. In effect, Alabama

1:18:40

winning forced them to take Texas. Yeah,

1:18:42

I think if Jordan, Let's put it this way, I think if Jordan

1:18:44

Travis was still playing, they

1:18:47

would have screwed Texas. I

1:18:49

believe that.

1:18:49

Yeah, I believe that too.

1:18:51

I believe that freak and havoc.

1:18:53

Is it worth betting Khalil Mack Defensive Player of the Year

1:18:55

odds are one hundred and one and he's leading the league in sacks.

1:18:57

Yeah, he had a great game yesterday. I

1:18:59

think that is actually a pretty good bet

1:19:01

at one hundred to one. I would take a flyer on it. I

1:19:03

don't have it full disclosure, but

1:19:06

it's it's a pretty interest of all the long

1:19:08

shot bets.

1:19:08

It's the best one out there. What's he up due

1:19:10

now, like like thirteen or something? Do you

1:19:12

have like six in that one game? Yeah?

1:19:14

I had. I think he had two yesterday.

1:19:16

I believe it's just funny he leads because

1:19:18

he had a few big gay.

1:19:19

He was the defensive player of the Year in twenty sixteen.

1:19:22

I believe it was. I mean seven years later, here he

1:19:24

is again. Joe Abraham. Yes, the comparison

1:19:26

to Chumbawamba is apped. I knew who sung two shot, but

1:19:28

no idea how to spell it. And

1:19:30

this is from Bill Beard. Earlier in the game, way

1:19:32

before the scuffle, Burkhart mentioned Dom on air because

1:19:34

Tom hooked him up with a restaurant recommendation. Then

1:19:36

Dom gets serious camera time Kevin's trying

1:19:38

to make his boy famous. Oh and t Lynch

1:19:41

with the last correction, and he is right. He goes the Saints would

1:19:43

like a word with worst non call versus

1:19:46

the Rams. Uh, you are correct.

1:19:48

The worst non call in history was not last night.

1:19:50

It was, of course Tommy Lee Lewis

1:19:53

getting destroyed by

1:19:55

Nikel Roby Coleman in that playoff game.

1:19:57

Yeah, yeah, yeah, that's a fair tweet.

1:19:59

I amended it all fair and I said, Okay, what

1:20:01

we saw last night is the worst non call

1:20:03

I've ever seen in my life of the past two

1:20:05

months, I was.

1:20:06

Gonna see of my past twenty four hours

1:20:08

here on this planet. Let's go.

1:20:10

We got games. We got games to go to. UH four

1:20:12

to twenty five Eastern Broncos at Chargers,

1:20:14

the six and six Broncos, the five and

1:20:17

seven Chargers. After that riveting six

1:20:19

to nothing win over the Patriots yesterday, UH

1:20:21

Russell Wilson in defeat against the Texans fifteen

1:20:23

of twenty six for one eighty six, one touchdown, three

1:20:26

picks, three time sacked, ten carries forty four yards

1:20:28

in a touchdown. They were minus three and turnovers against

1:20:30

the Texans, all in the second half, and that led to plus

1:20:32

six net Houston points and the

1:20:34

game clinching interception. Chargers

1:20:36

in victory.

1:20:37

Herbert twenty two of thirty seven for

1:20:39

two twelve, no touchdowns, no picks.

1:20:40

He was not sacked Chargers by three and even

1:20:43

three big name name Chargers by thirty. That's

1:20:45

an easy one, all right. Next up Sunday

1:20:48

night, because we have two Monday night football games this,

1:20:50

Yes.

1:20:50

We're back to two Monday nights.

1:20:51

I like this me too. Sunday night football.

1:20:53

Eagles and Cowboys.

1:20:56

I'm gonna guess based on the teams that are left at the

1:20:58

Monday night game stink. But that's a different story.

1:21:01

Philly at Dallas Sunday night. Now that's a ballgame.

1:21:03

The ten and two Eagles, the nine and three Cowboys.

1:21:06

Cowboys trying to even up the season series against

1:21:08

the Eagles with this one.

1:21:09

Philly.

1:21:09

In defeat against the Niners, Hurts twenty

1:21:11

six of forty five for two ninety eight, one touchdown,

1:21:13

no Pasey was sacked three times, seven for twenty on the ground

1:21:15

in the touchdown. AJ Brown eight for one

1:21:18

fourteen again in defeat Dallas we talked

1:21:20

about on Friday. They beat the Seahawks

1:21:22

on Thursday. I will say Dallas, not quite by the full

1:21:24

three, but by two and a half.

1:21:26

We have Okay, I'm updating

1:21:28

this right now. Cowboys three

1:21:30

juiced at DraftKings.

1:21:33

We are up to three and a half several

1:21:35

of their places. I did lay the three on the open

1:21:37

here with the Cowboys.

1:21:38

Like it.

1:21:39

Okay, Monday night. Don't

1:21:42

like this same times? We're not in the staggered

1:21:44

times. Oh I don't like that. Yeah, they start

1:21:46

at the same start at the same time, I believe,

1:21:49

not even like an hour and fifteen minutes stagger

1:21:51

like they did earlier. I'm just confirming I'm not

1:21:53

screwing that up. No, we have eight to fifteen Eastern

1:21:55

starts. Why would they do that?

1:21:57

I have no idea.

1:21:58

Uh okay, first up, Titans had

1:22:00

Dolphins.

1:22:01

Four and eight, Titans nine and three Dolphins.

1:22:03

We talked about the Titans earlier losing somehow

1:22:05

to the Colts. Total Plinko game eleven

1:22:08

sixteen of thirty three for two twenty four one touchdown, no

1:22:10

picks, even sacks six times, lost a fumble. Henry

1:22:12

twenty one for one oh two and two touchdowns before

1:22:14

he was knocked out of the game.

1:22:16

Miami.

1:22:16

This is the only game we haven't talked about Miami. Just just by

1:22:18

the way. That was my fifth pick in millions.

1:22:20

I just took the Dolphins. God, that was the easiest of the

1:22:22

bunch. They just destroy the commodores.

1:22:26

Miami first drive, three plays, six eighty six

1:22:28

yards, two out of tyreek for seventy eight seven

1:22:30

to nothing, Dolphins nine twenty eight left first quarter,

1:22:32

ten to nothing. Now first and ten for Washington at their own

1:22:34

thirty eight howl picked at point blank range by

1:22:36

Andrew van Ginkel to the house thirty two yards,

1:22:38

seventeen to nothing. Dolphins. We're still in the first

1:22:41

quarter. The route is on skins dead. Did

1:22:43

go seventy five yards ten plays howl in from one seventeen

1:22:45

to seven eleven oh four left and second

1:22:47

quarter, but then Miami right back, third and seven

1:22:49

at their own forty two at a reek for sixty

1:22:52

twenty four to seven Miami nine to fourteen left

1:22:54

second quarter, and then after a Washington puont Miami

1:22:56

would go seventy six yards on eleven plays, mosted

1:22:58

in from one thirty one to seven.

1:23:00

At the half.

1:23:01

It was two forty seven to one, thirty totally yards

1:23:03

at halftime Tyreek had one forty eight alone.

1:23:05

He was out gaining Washington by himself. Second

1:23:07

half opening drive Miami seventy five yards, nine plays

1:23:10

eight chan In from four thirty eight to seven

1:23:12

Miami nine thirty six left third quarter. Then Washington

1:23:15

would answer back Howell in from thirteen and

1:23:17

a two point conversion thirty eight to fifteen,

1:23:20

four thirty one left third quarter, But then Miami

1:23:22

would score again forty five to

1:23:24

fifteen. You know the rest eighteen for twenty

1:23:26

four for two eighty two touchdowns, no picks,

1:23:28

no sacks, Tyreek five for one fifty

1:23:31

seven and two touchdowns. He's gonna get there, baby,

1:23:33

He's gonna get to two thousand. For the first time ever in

1:23:35

NFL history. They outgained Washington

1:23:37

four oh six to two forty five. They held Washington to

1:23:39

eleven first downs and twelve

1:23:42

completed forward passes. Miami

1:23:45

hosting Tennessee. I'll say Miami by ten and a hook.

1:23:48

Ooh you are light Dolphins thirteen

1:23:51

point favorites. Oh

1:23:54

Man, Alright, finally, I think I

1:23:56

got it. I mean it's Dolphins are nothing, right,

1:23:59

Yeah, especially in these type of games.

1:24:01

We'll talk about this more in the not a Slayer

1:24:04

low, but like one of two games on national television,

1:24:06

are they gonna crush them?

1:24:07

They're gonna especially this Tennessee

1:24:09

team. To me, it's interesting because

1:24:11

I think they're kind of easy to figure relatively

1:24:14

easy to figure out betting wise, because Derrick

1:24:16

Henry is either part of the game or not part of

1:24:18

the game based on the opponent. Them

1:24:20

playing the Miami Dolphins. Derek Henry is not a part of

1:24:22

the game because Dolphins's gonna score too

1:24:24

much.

1:24:24

Though somehow they only beat the Raiders by seven, so

1:24:26

there is that. So I don't know it's

1:24:29

chalk mcchalkerson, but it's like it's better than most

1:24:31

of these games this week.

1:24:32

I think, yeah, you got one

1:24:34

more same time, same day Packers

1:24:36

at Giants.

1:24:37

The Packers who are now six and six, And yes, Matt

1:24:39

Lafleur back should be back in the coach of the

1:24:42

Year discussion.

1:24:42

I really believe that. I think I saw thirty's when

1:24:45

I looked earlier. That's kind of back.

1:24:47

Jordan Love twenty five of thirty six or two

1:24:49

sixty seven, three touchdowns, no picks. He was sacked

1:24:51

only twice in victory against the Chiefs

1:24:53

last night. Lafleur, you ready

1:24:55

for this stat on Matt Lafleur indeed.

1:24:58

Which you got sixteen and oh right

1:25:00

up.

1:25:00

In December.

1:25:02

He had a pretty good quarterback.

1:25:04

He did sixteen

1:25:06

to h and the Giants were idol.

1:25:08

Giants are four and eight Packers

1:25:11

after last night, Packers

1:25:13

by six. I

1:25:17

mean, come on, it gotta be right.

1:25:18

Yeah, all right, so I can't

1:25:20

bet it, but yeah, dude,

1:25:23

Jordan Love is good. I know. I hate

1:25:25

to tell people, all right, So what did I unlock?

1:25:28

So last week I loved for I bet

1:25:30

him during the show. I don't

1:25:33

love Love anything here, but

1:25:35

I kind of like Jacksonville

1:25:37

fits three or lower played that and

1:25:40

you're saying it's three. I think we're still threes.

1:25:42

Widely available of course something.

1:25:44

This is before the game tonight, so god forbids available.

1:25:47

So yes, yeah I bet it, and you're right. But if you are going

1:25:49

to bet games like this, I think you gotta bet them smaller

1:25:52

than you normally would because they're playing tonight.

1:25:54

You don't know what could happen.

1:25:56

I kind of like Indianapolis because I kind

1:25:58

of like them every week and they to get

1:26:00

home for me.

1:26:01

Yeah, they've been working out for you, man.

1:26:04

That doesn't make me like super confident in

1:26:06

minshew, but and I could see them going into Cincinnati

1:26:08

and getting beat again.

1:26:09

But I sense is terrible.

1:26:11

That's the only problem right now, right I said it though there

1:26:13

bye was at the exact right time.

1:26:16

They had a week to rest.

1:26:17

At five and five, you could tell Jonathan Taylor

1:26:20

was ramping up. So

1:26:22

I kind of like them, but I love these Like last

1:26:24

week, man, Yeah, let's say how

1:26:26

low that Detroit game gets against Chicago,

1:26:29

Like, if that got to three, that'd be a play.

1:26:31

I think it would be a play for me too. We did get a tweet

1:26:33

about that, I answered, and three and a half.

1:26:36

I feel like it's gonna probably sit there all week, but maybe

1:26:38

not. If it gets to three will be a play for me. I

1:26:40

did lay the three with the Cowboys already, And if

1:26:43

you have, if you're in the same mindset,

1:26:45

get there, get there now, because we're going mainly

1:26:47

three and a half now in that Eagles Cowboys

1:26:49

game. And then I think with that Chiefs

1:26:51

Bill line moving, you know, I think I'm gonna

1:26:54

do it Bill's Ravens teasers what I'm gonna end

1:26:56

up doing.

1:26:56

Yeah, I'm just talking about sides here for

1:26:58

a contest, And for Bets here, I mean

1:27:01

Dallas laying three

1:27:04

or less. Again the three let's say's

1:27:06

three right now, Dallas laying three against the Eagles

1:27:08

maybe, And what about the two Chalklin Miami

1:27:11

thirteen versus

1:27:13

Tennessee and then what was

1:27:15

the other one? San Francisco double digits

1:27:17

against Seattle. Like these are like the

1:27:19

squarest, choggiest things in the world. But it's like I'd

1:27:22

rather lose on that than some of these others.

1:27:24

I'd much more quickly go

1:27:26

to the Dolphins

1:27:28

in that situation.

1:27:30

That met me too. As

1:27:33

much as I love the Niners in brock Purty, it's

1:27:35

a lot of pressure. Stel has a lot of Yeah,

1:27:38

that's right. So I like this not Seattle

1:27:40

was a little impressive last week, Yeah they were. I

1:27:43

don't like this nearly as much as last week, but I like

1:27:45

it better than two weeks ago. Let's put it that way.

1:27:47

Thanksgiving week, Let's go Jags tonight and

1:27:49

then next week too.

1:27:50

Thank you to Chris Malika. That was fun talking

1:27:53

FSU.

1:27:54

We appreciate that best.

1:27:56

Betts's next enjoy from Vson The Sports

1:27:58

Betty Memories

1:28:00

The Sacandagada,

1:28:05

the Satan

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