Episode Transcript
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0:03
The numbers told the story they always do.
0:05
It's one of those idiots who believe in the analytics.
0:08
This is a numbers game with Gil Alexander,
0:10
Gone vs.
0:11
Good Monday Mortitude is a numbers game at
0:14
Visa, the sports betting Network, Visa dot Com, Visa
0:16
app, Game plus, iHeartRadio, YouTube TV, and of course
0:18
DraftKings Network. It's Gill
0:20
Alexander, It's Kelly Bedland live
0:22
from bar Canada at the
0:25
d in downtown Las Vegas, guessing
0:27
lines for week number fourteen
0:29
in the National Football League. In the process
0:31
that look back to week thirteen. How you doing man,
0:34
good morning. I'm doing okay. I'm doing okay.
0:36
You know, it was.
0:38
Quite a decision by the College Football Playoff
0:40
Committee yesterday. We are going to have a rare
0:43
show yesterday under protest. Yeah,
0:45
you committee, you were, you were very strong in
0:47
your opinion yesterday. I've never heard of
0:49
It's garbage, a salty Kelly Bidlins.
0:52
I get that everybody else is like.
0:54
You and are aligned. You and me are
0:56
steadfast. It's garbage. And
0:58
so along those lines, we're gonna have a rare guessing
1:00
lines drop in today from the Bear Chris Filika,
1:03
who is going to tell those of us who believe Florida
1:05
State Guy robbed that we're all ridiculous
1:08
or something like that. We'll find out what he has to say to us. We
1:11
might have something to say back to him that should be
1:13
fun.
1:14
Get it, like, I get that everybody else wants
1:16
to see these four other teams. I get that
1:19
right, but it doesn't make it, okay, ridiculous.
1:21
It absolutely ridiculous, and
1:24
the justifications to me are crazy. But we'll get in that later.
1:26
Okay. You know, my favorite part of the whole thing is people
1:29
who have been talking about who's in and out of the playoffs
1:31
for like two months and then this today they're like, oh, I'm
1:33
glad we don't have to talk about that again.
1:35
It's like, okay, yeah, you guys are
1:37
glad. All right, uh
1:39
we do this.
1:40
First of all, how was your weekend? In millions? How'd
1:42
you do?
1:42
Four?
1:43
No with Jags pending five? And oh
1:45
for young Gillo? There you
1:47
go, now I wish. Now here's the thing. I
1:50
was having a great year, and I was having a
1:52
great year except for the one week five and
1:54
then the last two weeks, especially Thanksgiving,
1:56
I hit the skits because I had a one in four that
1:59
week day check this the old standings in a
2:01
few weeks, so this is just a makeup for
2:03
that week. So I'm just trying to
2:05
get back to where we were, which
2:07
is again the sixty percent threshold, which is why we
2:10
don't really talk about it that much, but we
2:12
sort of flirt with it once again. And this
2:14
is the thing about guessing lines for those who are unfamiliar,
2:17
I'm in a cocoon. I don't know the lines. It's
2:19
a first reaction to what the upcoming week's NFL
2:21
lines are. Last week I said
2:24
I love these, I'd made the four
2:26
bets four of my five on the show itself.
2:28
Two weeks agoes, I didn't like it, and I got crushed.
2:31
Typically, this year, with the exception of a couple weeks,
2:34
it has been goal doing this exercise
2:37
first. As always, we start every guessing lines
2:39
with a Circus Survivor update
2:42
Kelly. Out of the original nine two
2:45
hundred and sixty seven entries, fifty
2:47
four remain. Twenty
2:49
four got knocked out with the Stillers yesterday,
2:52
one with the Saints, one with the Jets. Fifty
2:56
four remain. By the way, fifty
2:58
four controlled best as
3:00
we could tell by fifty two different
3:03
people. Now only
3:05
two people have two entries, fifty
3:07
two have one entry. Only two people
3:10
have two entries. That would be Champa
3:12
Bay and to Aalipa.
3:15
Get it to Aalipa not du Aleipa,
3:17
and Champa Bay not Tampa Bay. Those
3:19
are the two people that have two entries. Everybody else
3:21
has one. Twenty four
3:24
folks on the jags tonight, so that might
3:26
not be a final number. After
3:28
this. We not only have exceeded the percentage.
3:30
Remember after seven weeks, how
3:33
much further behind in terms of eliminations
3:35
this year was than last. We have now
3:37
exceeded by percentage. We've exceeded it
3:39
by There's fewer entries
3:42
left now this year than they were at this
3:44
time last year, and last year was crazy.
3:46
Last year was the weirdest thing ever. We
3:48
got it down from six that week circa
3:50
got it down from six one hundred and thirty
3:52
three to one hundred and twenty
3:55
five, and seven weeks to
3:58
this point that one hundred twenty had
4:00
only dwindled down to seventy Like
4:02
these were. Those one twenty five were
4:05
just strong the rest of the way through.
4:08
But this because this is the this
4:11
was the chalkiest group I
4:13
think in any survivor year in terms of
4:15
just the aggregate of what these folks
4:18
used to get to this point, because there was
4:20
never any the game theory.
4:22
Folks like myself, we got crushed early. So
4:26
good on these guys fifty four, including
4:28
our buddy Greg Jones La
4:30
Jones, who whose mother died
4:33
he mistakenly clicked on the packers on
4:35
Thanksgiving. He's one of the fifty four
4:38
that are still there. So our
4:41
guy Tony Farmer's in there as well. Paul
4:44
Howard has one left, PAULI has
4:47
one left, and then Adam Burke. Adam
4:49
Burke is nearly Adam Burke has one. He has
4:51
one that a split entry one he split with
4:53
a buddy, I think. But yeah, that popped
4:56
up in the Bill newsletter like last week or something. I had
4:58
no idea about that. Adam Burke beaby, I
5:00
had no idea either that.
5:02
Yeah, he's still alive too.
5:04
Okay, So we're aware of we're
5:07
aware of several guys. Good luck to everybody.
5:09
Great on you to have gotten this far. The
5:11
intrinsic value of each of
5:14
the remaining fifty four at this moment, remember, twenty
5:16
four could go down tonight. If the Jags don't
5:18
win, fifty four left,
5:20
one hundred and seventy one thousand,
5:22
six hundred eleven dollars and eleven cents,
5:26
it's prettay pretty
5:28
good. All right, let's do this Thursday
5:30
night foot ball?
5:30
What do we got?
5:31
Oh?
5:31
Intro I remembered, I remember,
5:35
I know, sort of kind of yes,
5:39
here we go live from the D's Thursday
5:41
Night.
5:42
Kind of like low music on that one though. It's kind of a week.
5:44
Intern Thursday Night Patriots
5:47
and Steelers.
5:48
Oh it's a barn burner. Yeah, yeah,
5:50
the two and ten Patriots and the seven and
5:52
five Steelers now Patriots in
5:55
just a I'm glad we're getting a few of these bad
5:57
games out of the way. New England loses to the Charge
6:00
six to nothing New England
6:02
Chargers yesterday. If the team, after the team's traded three
6:04
and outs, New England matriculated second and five at
6:06
the Chargers thirty one Remandre fumbles Twoy
6:09
Poloto on the hit and recovery amounts
6:11
to another couple trade of punts. Chargers then matriculate
6:14
Dicker thirty eight yard field goal three to nothing, Chargers
6:16
nine oh nine left in the second quarter, then after another
6:18
trade of punts. By the way, the theme of today's
6:20
guessing lines is trade of punts and trades of three
6:22
and outs. After a trade of punts, New England three and out
6:25
pinned at their own four, Bryce Bearringer punt
6:27
returned by Darius Davis thirty four yards set up at the New
6:29
England twenty seven, one thirty four left in the
6:31
second quarter. Dicker would add Cameron Dicker that is
6:33
another field goal. This went from thirty eight six
6:35
to nothing, two thirty eight yard
6:37
field goal, six to nothing Chargers with forty four seconds
6:39
left in the second quarter. That would be the halftime. By
6:41
the way, that would be all the scoring because, first
6:44
of all, at halftime the stats one eighteen to one oh
6:46
seven in total yards. That's
6:48
how that game was going. Eleven
6:50
first downs total and nine punts
6:52
in the first half of that game. Second half, after a Chargers
6:55
three and out, New England fourth and three at the Chargers thirty
6:57
eight, Zappi got four. All it did was
6:59
lead to another then another trade of punts in another
7:01
another La punt, New England gets
7:04
to fourth and five of the Chargers thirty. Remember they're only
7:06
down six. Zappi sacked by Derwin
7:08
James six fifty eight to go. Chargers forced
7:10
upon again, but New England was stopped fourth and eight at their own forty
7:12
two on a Zappian completion. Chargers would ever give
7:14
it back six and I think that was the game. Zappi thirteen
7:17
forward completed passes for twenty five one
7:19
forty one, no touchdowns, no picks. He
7:22
was sacked five times, by the way. You see the Ben Fox
7:25
tweet on this. Ben Fox, formerly
7:28
of Visent formally ESPN, He was tweeting
7:30
about how the Patriots are the first team ever
7:33
to lose three straight games, sent
7:35
you that one yesterday. Here it is his courtesy
7:37
of Doug Clawson from Ben Fox. First
7:39
team since nineteen thirty eight to lose
7:41
three straight games, allowing ten or fewer points
7:44
in each one. I sent you this
7:46
one yesterday in nineteen thirty eight Chicago
7:48
Cardinals. You who would forget that team? Of course
7:51
in nineteen hundred and thirty eight? How bad is that?
7:53
Or?
7:53
As Jabrill Pepper said, I don't know if you caught
7:55
this to his former teammate sick One Barkley last
7:57
year last week after the game, lamenting
8:00
how the Giants were able to beat his Patriots.
8:02
He goes, uh, you lucky,
8:04
We a bro. I
8:06
don't think I could say the A word. Allow here you can.
8:09
Oh, yeah, you lucky,
8:11
We asked bro Emerson throw
8:15
Jabrill Peppers. I really can't rank
8:17
them. I don't know. Uh, okay, Pittsburgh,
8:19
that's what they're point. Pittsburgh loses
8:22
to the Cardinals. Boswell twenty nine yard
8:24
field goal three to nothing Pittsburg yesterday, then an Arizona
8:26
three and out, then a Pittsburgh three and out, then a Prater fifty
8:28
one yard field goalnoted up at three apiece, Pittsburgh
8:31
punt, Arizona three and out, Pittsburgh three and out, Arizona
8:33
punt. Pittsburgh matriculates. They
8:35
get it to fourth and goal at the one that after Picket
8:37
hurt his ankle on third on the third down run
8:40
to get it to the one, they go in a
8:42
shotgun nausey stuffed by Kevin
8:44
Strong four to fifty one left in the second quarter, and then
8:46
the Cardinals from their own one go ninety nine yards
8:49
through the rain on fifteen plays, convert
8:51
five third downs along the way, Murray to Trey McBride
8:53
from five out ten to three Arizona that would
8:55
be the halftime score. There were fifteen seconds left in the half at that
8:57
point. By the way, that after Jeene Stare
9:00
told us that the previous play was a touchdown when it
9:02
so clearly was not, he was
9:04
like, ah, no, it wasn't. He dropped
9:06
the ball. By the way, fans evacuated
9:08
from the stands at the half. Weather delay. Third
9:11
quarter finally gets going about. You know
9:13
when the fourth quarters of the other games were starting. After
9:16
an Arizona three and out, Pittsburgh second and nine at their own
9:18
thirty Trubisky now and can't handle the low snap
9:20
fumbbop Dante Stills recovers
9:22
Arizona set up at the Pittsburgh twenty one. They get a flag
9:24
in the end zone on Joey Porter Junior on
9:27
Dorsch that led to a Connor one yard touchdown,
9:29
seventeen to three, Arizona seven,
9:31
eighteen to go. Another weather
9:33
delay. Now, imagine being one
9:35
of the twenty four who had twenty four survivor
9:38
guys who had the Steelers sitting
9:40
through these weather delays, kind
9:42
of.
9:42
Knowing you're not gonna win this.
9:46
Out of the delay. Here's where you knew Pittsburgh wasn't
9:48
gonna win out of delay. Boswell forty five yard
9:50
field goal try wide right. That was kind of the deflator
9:52
of the all Arizona punt, but they pinned
9:54
Pittsburgh at their own four and after three and out after gaining
9:57
only five yards and a punt that a face mask
9:59
upon return, rather with a face mask attached
10:01
to a seven yard gain. Arizona takes over
10:03
at Pittsburgh thirty three. Four plays later, Connor in
10:05
from nine, twenty four to three, Arizona
10:07
eight twenty eight to go. Pittsburgh would add a
10:10
touchdown to make it twenty four to ten. Trubisky
10:12
to Deontae for twenty
10:14
five to go your down two scores. You know what Mike
10:16
Tomlin does, kicks it away,
10:20
kicks it away. Yeah, what are you doing?
10:22
That's bad?
10:23
Try you doing it?
10:24
Was bad.
10:24
Pittsburgh would never see the ball again. Ball game twenty four
10:26
to ten, twenty four survivers out, pick it seven
10:29
for ten for seventy. He's
10:31
getting surgery. Kelly's expected to miss anywhere
10:33
from between two to four weeks. Trubisky
10:36
was eleven of seventeen in relief for one seventeen
10:38
one touchdown. He did lose a fumble.
10:40
This is ah, how's everybody getting sergery? By
10:42
the way these days? And back in like two weeks.
10:44
Bro I said the same thing, like tail Picket,
10:47
Like I half expected we'll get to the Houston later,
10:49
but I half expected though, like Tank Dell broke his fibula,
10:51
he'll be back the week after.
10:53
Net like I like that. We have this short eye
10:55
ar now, but it's like you're not gonna put him on.
10:57
I r he's getting surgery, but he'll be back in two weeks.
10:59
Aaron Rodgers doing this to people? Yeh, by
11:01
the way, they're four and eight. Can we stop with here Rodgers
11:03
stuff already?
11:03
Please? New England at Pittsburgh? Is that what this
11:06
yep drek game?
11:07
Is?
11:08
Pittsburgh and No man's land five and.
11:09
A half Pittsburgh Steelers that DraftKings
11:12
right now, six point favorites, six point
11:14
favorites. That is pretty much the.
11:16
Case everywhere you want to take
11:18
Pittsburgh. But do you trust Pittsburgh.
11:20
No, not at all? I mean, and it's gonna
11:23
be trubisky, right like is it?
11:25
Is? It way worse than can you picket?
11:27
No?
11:27
But it's worst in Pickett in my opinion.
11:29
Still I don't know if it is okay. I mean I
11:31
don't think it's much. I don't think it's much. I think
11:33
it's a slight down grade dollar. There's nothing here
11:36
for NBA Cup that night. That's probably
11:39
are you going, yeah? I think's not good for you.
11:41
Good for you? Thursday night
11:43
semis for the in season tournament. Got to
11:45
get through the quarters Tomorrow and Wednesday night
11:47
first more guessing lines Week fourteen
11:49
coming back Numbers game Visa in the Sports Betting Network.
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of the sports betting network. That's
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a VSI N slash
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subscribes Gil Alexander, it's Kelly Bidlin
12:47
guessing lines for Week fourteen. I
12:49
don't think there's ever been a better guessing
12:51
line season, Kelly in terms of leading
12:53
us to winners. I don't really
12:56
Yeah, I don't think it's been tried in every
12:58
week but two this year it
13:00
has been gold. By the way, the megapod
13:03
being an even tighter subset of that
13:06
has been spectacular. Uh,
13:08
Todd, Will and I with the guests have been great
13:10
too. Ace on this past one. And everybody's
13:12
killing it, man, everybody's absolutely killing it. So couldn't
13:15
be happy with that, by the way, A brock Purty.
13:17
We'll get to the Niners in a bit when
13:19
they come up on the schedule, but at
13:21
the latest look at the DraftKings MVP market.
13:24
Brock Purty is now your co short
13:26
shot three to one, along with Dak
13:29
Prescott, Jalen Hurts plus three, fifty
13:32
to seven to one, Lamar nine to
13:34
one, Patrick may Holmes
13:36
nine to one, and Ty Reek down
13:39
to sixteen to one. I got a seventy
13:42
five to one on Reek, and
13:44
I got a sixteen to one on Purdy. By the way,
13:46
Purty just conventional stats,
13:48
pass rating, completion percentage, touchdowns
13:51
per attempt, yards per addrempt. That's
13:53
yards per attempt, yards per completion. First
13:56
first, first, first, first.
13:58
It's been awesome. It's the awesome first.
14:01
The odds now seem correct.
14:04
That is correct. That's the way I would
14:06
put it.
14:07
And I'm just gonna let everybody know it's pretty
14:09
propaganda week.
14:10
Here on the look.
14:12
I think Dak blogs blogs up there too, and he
14:14
is right. I think the os the odds reflect
14:17
the race properly.
14:18
Now, if the Niners are the number one seed
14:20
perty's getting it, is that what you're you're operating
14:23
problem assumption is right now? I think so too.
14:26
I mean, I think the odds are are like correct
14:28
now. Finally, I still
14:30
if I had to make a pet today, would still be on Brockberty
14:32
cleve Ta will be on the show tomorrow
14:35
to talk about it, and hopefully later
14:37
in the week the grade Ethan Strauss.
14:39
We shall see. Let's do some more. Week fourteen.
14:41
All right, Sunday, early window, Buccaneers
14:43
at Falcons. Oh glad,
14:46
we're getting the bad ones out of the way at least from yesterday's
14:48
games Tampa Bay and Atlanta.
14:49
This has big NFC South implications.
14:53
Atlanta leads the NFC South at six
14:55
to six. Tampa Bay knocking at the dough five
14:58
and seven Tampa Bay against
15:00
Carolina yesterday after Tampa Bay punt to Carolina three
15:02
and out, Tampa went fifty seven yards were shot white
15:05
in from one seven to nothing Tampa six. A eight left first
15:07
quarter, Pinero outed a field goal for Carolina
15:09
and make it seven to three. Early second quarter. A
15:11
deluge in Tampa, I mean it was
15:13
pouring. Among many games yesterday where the weather
15:15
was in clement. Tampa Bay three and out, Carolina three
15:18
and out, Tampa Bay three and out, Carolina punt. This was
15:20
football yesterday. Mayfield an awful
15:22
pick by Xavier Woods where Baker just threw the
15:24
ball up in the air, jump all Carolina
15:27
three and out, Tampa Bay punt Carolina and to the
15:29
half seven to three at a half
15:31
times so bad. Third quarter team straight
15:33
three and outs twice twice.
15:35
Then Carolina goes sixty five yards on seven plays, Hubbard
15:38
in from.
15:38
One, ten to seven. Kakilaki.
15:41
This is the thing. Carolina does this
15:43
every game. They're down
15:45
and then the early third quarter they have this moment
15:47
where they'll wait a minute, wait
15:49
one second. It's happened so many times
15:52
this year. It lasted one offensive
15:54
play Tampa Bay one play, seventy five
15:57
yards, Baker to Evans for seventy five, fourteen
15:59
to ten, Tampa Bay four to fifty four left
16:01
third quarter. Then the teams traded another three
16:04
pair of three and outs, another pair of three ounts. Then at
16:06
Carolina punt, Tampa Bay go sixty seven yards seven
16:08
plays, God went in from nine he hasn't scored
16:10
in forever, twenty one to ten, Tampa Bay eleven,
16:12
thirty six to go Carolina, though for
16:14
those that bet them, they had one last
16:16
gasp fourth and six of the Tampa Bay thirty eight
16:18
Bryce the chart for thirty two plays later, Hubbard
16:20
in from one, not a gasp, but reality
16:23
they go for two Young's face masks wrenched them
16:25
from the one Young in twenty one to eighteen Tampa
16:27
Bay five oh two left in the fourth quarter,
16:30
Tampa Bay punt Carolina down three, gets the ball
16:32
back, but stopped on downs when Bryce is picked by
16:34
Angeline Winfield Junior and fourth and one from their own
16:36
forty two to fourteen to go Carolina with two timeouts
16:38
and the two min a warning, but the Bucks got
16:40
their first down. They never gave the ball back. Ball Game twenty
16:42
one eighteen Tampa Bay Carolina folks
16:45
do get the money though on
16:47
this one. Mayfield
16:50
fourteen of twenty nine for two oh two, one touchdown,
16:52
one picky sack Ones Evans seven for one sixty
16:54
two in a touch ten straight seasons started
16:56
his NFL career with over one thousand yards.
16:58
Only Jerry Rice has more with eleven. That's incredible.
17:00
It is incredible modeling consistency. They're
17:03
taking on Atlanta in a big game. Next we get Lanta
17:05
and the Jets. Oh god, there's another one. After the team's
17:07
traded punts twice, Atlanta pinned at their own two Bjeon
17:10
tackle for a safety by Quinn Williams two to zhering
17:12
Jets late first quarter, Jets
17:15
third safety of the year after a trade
17:17
of three and outs. Jets first and fifteen at their own thirty
17:19
nine Dalvin Cook hit by Nate Lanman, fumbles
17:21
recovered by d Elford of the Jets. Forty seven thirteen
17:23
eleven left second quarter, six plays later riddered.
17:26
To Mike Cole Pruitt from twenty out seven
17:28
to two.
17:29
I was about say Braves because of that score. Falcons
17:32
ten oh four left second quarter. Zerline, we'll
17:34
get a twenty seven yard field goal to make it seven to five
17:36
late second quarter. Then after the team's traded
17:38
punts Atlanta, we'll get a coup twenty two yard field
17:40
goal ten to five Atlanta at the half. Third quarter
17:42
opening drive, zerline forty six yard field goal ten
17:45
to eight, then Coup forty two yardfield
17:47
goal thirteen to eight, three thirty eight left third quarter,
17:49
Then then a Jets three and out and
17:51
Atlanta three and out. You get the theme today. Then
17:53
second to night at their own forty three boil picked by
17:55
Jesse Bates. Boil benched team strade
17:58
punts again, then three and outs again, Thenana
18:00
three and out again, then first intended at Atlanta forty eight, two
18:02
fifty two to go. Trevor Simeon, who's in
18:04
for Boile, sacked by Richie Grant. Ruled
18:06
a Fumber fumble after a long review. Andrea Smith
18:09
Junior recovers another Atlanta three and out. Jets
18:11
take over at their own seven, down five with one fifty
18:13
three to go Kelly.
18:14
They get a couple first, but fourth and.
18:15
Seventeen of their own thirty Simion incomplete turn it over
18:17
on downs ball game thirteen to eight. Atlanta. What
18:20
a game, and by what a game, I mean what
18:22
a crap game.
18:23
You did a great job making the sound excite. Oh it
18:25
was so great.
18:26
Ritter twelve of twenty seven twelve completed
18:28
forward passes in victory for one twenty one
18:30
one touchdown. No Pixie was sacked three times. They were outgained
18:33
by the Jets two fifty nine to one ninety four,
18:35
but they were plus three in turnovers. That led to plus
18:37
seven Atlanta neet points. That's your margin. Atlanta
18:40
wins it by five, thirteen to eight, so
18:42
Atlanta leads the NFC South Big
18:45
Game. Though I will say Atlanta, I'll
18:47
cut the split the difference between a field goal and
18:49
to pick them minus one and a half. Two and a half, Okay,
18:51
two and a half, so close there when
18:53
I can squeeze one more and let's do one more.
18:55
Yeah, absolutely, let's go early wind the Lions at the Bears.
18:58
Lions back off off the Schneide
19:00
with a win here against the Saints.
19:03
They're nine and three. Now, they'll
19:05
get to the playoffs, they'll win that division. At
19:07
the feisty four and eight
19:09
Bears. Detroit against
19:11
the Saints yesterday they went eighty yards and seven.
19:14
I mean, this game is so this is like
19:16
what Baltimore did to Detroit, but in reverse.
19:18
Early Detroit went eighty yards and seven plays. Montgomery
19:20
in from two, seven to nothing. Detroit first play for
19:22
a New Orleans car picked by Brian Branch. Detroit
19:24
three plays, seventeen yards golf to Laporta from
19:26
thirteen out, fourteen to nothing, Lions ten to twenty
19:29
four left in the first quarter. We're still not even five minutes
19:31
into the game. Then, after a New Orleans three and out, Detroit
19:33
goes fifty four yards and three plays golf to Saint Brown
19:35
for twenty five twenty one nothing. Detroit,
19:38
we're not even halfway through the first quarter.
19:40
First quarter stats one forty eight to thirty
19:43
three, totally yards advanced for Detroit. Then
19:45
the team's traded three and outs and another trade uponts. New Orleans
19:47
then wakes up. They go eighty four yards on thirteen
19:49
plays Car to Graham. Remember Jimmy Graham in
19:52
a Saints uniform. Yeah, I was wondering where he was hanging
19:54
out Car to Graham for six touchdown,
19:56
twenty one to seven Detroit, nine oh eight left second
19:58
quarter. Then after the team's raded three and ounce,
20:00
Riley Patterson twenty six yard field goal adds
20:02
to the Detroit lead. So it's twenty four to seven lines at
20:04
the half. First half stats two twenty four to one
20:07
to twenty three totally yards advantaged for Detroit.
20:09
And then a little something happened. New Orleans
20:12
made a run opening drive. New Orleans goes seventy five
20:14
yards ten plays of the second half. Kamara in from
20:16
two twenty four to fourteen New Orleans. After
20:18
Detroit three and out, New Orleans go sixty two yards seven
20:20
plays, Hill in from one twenty four to twenty
20:22
one Detroit four to thirty four left third quarter. We got
20:24
ourselves a ball game, Yeah, no, we don't.
20:27
Detroit gets a Patterson thirty two yardfield goal to make it
20:29
twenty seven to twenty one to end the third quarter,
20:31
and then first play ensuing drive. Here
20:34
is where car card and the Saints sainted? Is
20:36
that a thing? Car fumbles when
20:38
the when his left guard James hurs Arm
20:40
hits him, recovered by Tracy Walker.
20:42
That's set up Detroit at the New Orleans twenty six. Two plays
20:45
later, Jamison Williams in from nineteen two
20:47
point tri fails thirty three to twenty one Detroit
20:49
fourteen oh seven to go. Subsequent drive
20:51
third and seventeen at their own forty eight ten
20:54
twenty three to go, Car hurt on a
20:56
completion to Alvin Kamara, knocked out
20:58
of the game. Roughing was
21:00
called, so it set up New Orleans at the Detroit twenty nine,
21:02
but Jamis was in. He
21:05
goes to a lave the most Jamis play ever
21:07
off a Brian Branch tip for thirty
21:09
yards three plays later
21:11
Jerry. Three plays later, that happened. Jerry
21:14
Jacobs actually could have picked the ball off and
21:16
probably could have taken into the house yep, but instead
21:18
it tips to his receiver Kamara in from
21:20
one Two plays after that, thirty three to twenty eight
21:22
Detroit halfway through the fourth quarter exactly,
21:25
Detroit three and out when Montgomery couldn't haul in
21:27
a third down pass. So New Orleans gets
21:29
the ball down five. They
21:31
get it to fourth and six of the Detroit forty, but Winston
21:34
can't connect with Olave. He was way
21:36
off on a couple passes before that too. New
21:38
Orleans would never see the ball again. There's a lot of that on
21:40
the show today, and they would never see the ball again.
21:44
That was it. Detroit converting
21:46
a Golf to Reynolds twelve yard pass
21:49
on third and nine at the New Orleans forty
21:51
six with one fifty four to go. If
21:54
that's incomplete, What a mistake that
21:56
would have been because it would have given New Orleans the ball back. They
21:58
had no timeouts, I don't believe, or maybe one at
22:00
the time, so the fact that
22:02
they were they went for it and risked
22:04
the incomplete pass was huge. Instead,
22:06
it's converted and the Lions win at
22:08
thirty three twenty eight golf sixteen
22:11
of twenty five for two thirteen, two
22:13
touchdowns, no Pixie Sack One's laporta nine for one
22:16
in a touchdown Detroit plus two and turnovers
22:18
that led directly to plus thirteen net
22:21
Detroit points. I'll say Detroit on the
22:23
road at Chicago. I
22:25
don't think this will be as high
22:28
as it would have been a couple of weeks back. I'll say
22:30
minus four and a half.
22:32
Pretty big movement on this game this morning.
22:34
I'm just checking. I think this is the biggest mover
22:36
so far. Opened five yesterday
22:38
at DraftKings we were down to three and a half.
22:40
Basically, whoa shorter than
22:42
even?
22:43
I thought, Yeah, I thought I was being mister
22:45
short here with this one. I
22:47
mean, it's crazy what you got the Bears coming. The Bears.
22:50
Wow, Bear's a lot of time to
22:52
prep for this game. After just playing the
22:54
Lions.
22:55
Here, I thought, oh, I was all clever about it. All right, We'll
22:57
get back more Week fourteen lines to
22:59
get yes, looking for value. That's the
23:01
point numbers game vs. In these sports betting
23:04
network it's
23:06
skill, Alexander. It's Kelly bid Little I from bar Canada
23:08
at the d here in downtown Las
23:10
Vegas, just looking at my five
23:13
and O here Kelly. And this is the thing with ats
23:15
in the NFL pre flop and
23:18
contests that last the whole season. You
23:20
have got to have the Plinko shine on
23:22
you.
23:23
Oh are you kidding me? Yeah?
23:24
I mean it is just you know, if
23:26
if the Jaguars covered tonight. I think
23:29
phesis in first and
23:31
I was saying to him, I was like, you
23:33
got two plinkos this week? Boy already?
23:36
And he goes, I've had Plinko all year, Yeah,
23:38
because it's in my five and oh, like I look at him,
23:40
like three of them were totally blank.
23:41
Yeah, minor silly, like I don't know about I don't know about
23:44
yours. But I had I had Chargers.
23:46
I did that's one of my I had Falcons.
23:49
No, I had the Colts. That was a plank Okay,
23:51
I did have that one. I had Rams,
23:53
I did not have that, and I had Lions.
23:57
I mean, what is the combined point, Like
23:59
what's the find victory margin there?
24:01
Yeah? My plinkos were Chargers, Colts,
24:04
and Texans.
24:06
Yeah, just as bad. I mean, come on, what
24:08
are we talking about?
24:08
The other two were good, but those were like I was like,
24:11
so you have to really know, but now forget that. Listen
24:13
to this. This is a we get tweets, a beating the book. I just want to
24:15
read this one. J. Dmons are, Buddy
24:17
JD. He
24:20
says, I am sitting on an eight hundred
24:23
and sixty eight to one parlay. Let
24:25
me let me repeat that he is sitting
24:27
on an eight hundred and sixty eight to one
24:30
parlay of all eight
24:32
NFL divisions I made in June that now
24:35
has odds of are you ready for this? Plus
24:37
one ninety?
24:39
He says. Question is why the hell would a seemingly
24:42
sane man bet on the NFC South.
24:43
Here's who he got you ready for this?
24:45
Yeah, Dolphins, Ravens
24:48
looking good, Niners yeah,
24:50
Eagles sure, Chiefs yeah,
24:53
Jags okay, Lions, uh
24:55
huh, Falcons
24:59
oh, man, Scot JD.
25:02
That outstanding.
25:03
The problem is, like it's such a great
25:05
ticket, It is in such a good spot.
25:08
Except what could possibly go wrong, But like
25:10
you.
25:11
Don't have It's not like the NFC sounds
25:13
a division where you could easily go and
25:15
like ben another team to win it.
25:17
Also, some of the more like three teams in the race.
25:19
Also some of the other ones that we mentioned, they are looking good
25:21
right now. They're like, yeah, the Eagles
25:23
could not win aps, Like right, there's there's
25:25
a couple of those. It's just so
25:28
good that he has this eight hundred and sixty
25:30
eight to one. Man, I hope
25:32
you put more in a couple of shekels on that though.
25:35
All right, Yeah, I mean, I'm just looking over standings right
25:37
now, like the Yeah, the Eagles are your next most
25:39
concerning.
25:40
Most concerning, Yeah, yeah, all right, Let's try
25:42
to squeeze a.
25:43
Couple here, all right. So in the early window, Colts
25:45
had Bengals seven and five Colts
25:47
what I tell you, and the five and
25:49
six Bengals who play tonight sign unseen
25:52
Colts.
25:53
Beat Tennessee yesterday, How oh
25:56
my god? How is right? Tennessee goes
25:58
sixty four yards and four play Henry in from twenty
26:00
two seven to nothing, Titans one to forty in the
26:02
game, Indianapolis comes right back fifty six yards
26:05
and three plays after a thirty six yard Mackenzie return,
26:07
Minshew to Aleck appears for thirty six.
26:09
We're tied at seven. Two fifty five into the
26:11
ball game. After trade of punts, Tennessee has
26:14
a third and ten at their own forty. Levis sacked
26:16
by Samson ebucom ball goes forward, recovered
26:18
by Julian Blackman. Then Lebis hits him.
26:21
He fumbles and Lebis recovers leads
26:23
to a Folk twenty four yard field goal ten to seven Tennessee
26:25
thirteen seconds left first quarter. After in Indianapols
26:27
three and out, Tennessee goes seventy seven yards on eight plays.
26:30
Henry in from five seventeen to seven Titans
26:32
ten to twenty two second quarter. Every Colts
26:35
game seems to go this way, by the way. Matt
26:38
Gay twenty three yard field goals seventeen to ten
26:40
Titans seven thirty nine left second quarter, Then after
26:42
Tennessee three and now big Minsheet to Kylon Grants
26:44
and forty six yard play to the Tennessee six,
26:46
but three plays later Minshew sacked by Deniko Autry
26:48
fumbles. Elijah Molden recovers one forty eight left
26:50
in the second quarter, But then after Tennessee three
26:53
and out, Matt Gay did get a forty six yard field goal seventeen
26:55
to thirteen Titans at the half. Third
26:57
quarter opening drive fourth and two at the Tennessee forty one
26:59
Grants for two first down that led to a
27:01
Matt Gay twenty three yard field goal seventeen
27:03
sixteen Tennessee four to fifty seven left
27:06
third quarter, A nineteen play
27:08
drive to get that field goal. Goodness.
27:11
After a trade of three and outs, another three and out for Tennessee,
27:13
this time Ryan Stonehouse. His
27:15
punt blocked Grant Store at eighteen yards
27:18
of the house, twenty two to seventeen colts.
27:20
They're gonna take in the two point conversion two right,
27:22
wrong, picked by a Moni hooker two
27:24
points the other way, twenty
27:27
two to nineteen. Instead of being up seven,
27:29
perhaps they're only up three with
27:32
nineteen seconds left in.
27:33
The third corp. I was so confused on the area
27:35
yesterday with what happened during that because
27:37
you don't have the audio. I'm like, wait, they scored
27:39
a touchdown? I was a wait, what yeah?
27:42
The all two point conversion the other way?
27:45
Uh?
27:45
Tennessee three and out,
27:47
surviving e Leves fumble by the way. Stonehouse
27:50
back in punt formation again. This time not only
27:52
was the punt blocked, but Tony
27:54
Brown was up in his grill. He didn't even have to extend
27:56
his arms. He's like standing in front of him. Stonehouse
27:59
so close to him that stone House actually got hurt on the play.
28:01
Indianapolis had to settle for a gay twenty eight yard field
28:04
goal twenty five to nineteen. Colts
28:07
eleven thirty four to go. Then Tennessee
28:09
first play of the next drive. Henry is hurt
28:11
on the drive's first play, but the Titans do go
28:13
seventy five yards Levis to Hopkins from three
28:16
out twenty five twenty five extra
28:18
point to take the lead. No good,
28:21
We're still tied at twenty five. What a moment.
28:23
That would turn out to be Colts
28:26
three and out. Then a Tennessee punt by the way
28:28
by Folk now because Stonehouse is out of the game,
28:30
so Folk is punting as well.
28:33
So apparently kickers can punt, but punters can't
28:35
kick. The Matt Brown axiom
28:38
as we learned, which is true. It's
28:40
interesting, right, we just see that a brief
28:43
parenthetical aside. Indianapolis
28:45
takes over at their own thirty two twenty seven ag we're tied
28:47
to twenty five.
28:48
They get it to fourth.
28:49
And one, and they're
28:51
in their own territory. They elect to punt.
28:55
Hm interesting at the moment. Tennessee takes over
28:57
at their own twenty two with one thirteen to go. They
29:00
cross midfield, but then they go backwards
29:02
on two consecutive plays. Jesus
29:04
Christ, they're going the wrong way. They
29:07
have to punt two. Colts get it back with thirteen seconds
29:09
left at their own twenty two, and they have the bright
29:11
idea of passing the ball. Minshew almost gets
29:13
the ball picked off at point blank range and
29:16
Steiken goes, how do we go to overtime?
29:18
And they do overtime.
29:20
Tennis Tennessee wins the toss full forty six
29:22
yard field goal twenty eight twenty five Tennessee
29:24
four nineteen to go. Indianapolis first
29:26
intend at their own forty one. Minshew to Alec Pierce
29:29
for fifty five double Nickels to the
29:31
Tennessee four. Two plays later, Minshew to Pittman
29:33
Junior touchdown. Colts win it never
29:35
in Dowbed thirty one to twenty eight. Those
29:37
of us who have the Colts get the money ball game.
29:40
Minshew twenty six for forty two for three twelve two
29:42
touchdowns. No Pixie was sacked three times, he lost the fumble.
29:44
Pittman Junior eleven for one oh five and a touchdown,
29:46
Piers three for one hundred and a touchdown. They're
29:48
at Cincinnati, who plays tonight? Sight
29:51
unseen on the Bengals. I'll say the Colts minus
29:53
three on the road. As a placeholder.
29:55
Colts two and a half right now at
29:58
DraftKings two get a little more respe.
30:00
Back week after week of it.
30:01
Course. Yeah, yeah, this is their two half painted
30:04
right now. But we'll see what the Bengals do tonight that
30:06
might change things again. The three AFC
30:08
teams that are currently in wildcard position, your quarterbacks
30:10
would be currently
30:13
Mitch Rubisky, Joe
30:16
Flacco and Gardner Minshew, let's
30:19
do one more. Whatever happened to Alan Peersman?
30:21
That was crazy seeing him yesterday. Yeah,
30:24
early window. We'll roll with Jags. Jags
30:26
at Browns.
30:26
Okay, the Jags who have not played, they play the Bengals tonight. You
30:28
don't have any playing tonight's game, do you.
30:30
I've the Jags tied into a teaser from last week
30:32
and you got him in the contest.
30:34
Yeah, and they're trying to have matching five and o's
30:36
on this show. Let's go Jaguars
30:39
at Cleveland. Jaguars played to night Cleveland.
30:41
They lose to the Rams in a game that cosmetically
30:44
on the scoreboard thirty six to nineteen does
30:46
not indicate at all how close this game
30:48
was. Cleveland goes seventy five
30:50
yards on nine plays. Flacco passes
30:52
for sixty five of them to Jerome Ford
30:54
for twenty four of the touchdowns. Seven to nothing Cleveland. You're like,
30:57
whoa, this dude is way better than dt ar
31:00
PJ.
31:00
Walker, Like so sad.
31:01
Like why didn't the Jets get him back? Har
31:04
six forty four yard field goal for the Rams cuts into seven to
31:06
three Cleveland three and outs.
31:07
Then the Rams two plays seventy nine yards Stafford
31:09
Depuca Nakula.
31:11
If CJ. Stroud didn't exist, he's the dude
31:13
seventy yards on the play ten to seven Rams, three
31:16
fifty nine left, first quarter. Then after a Browns
31:18
punt, Haerseq would miss a forty three yard field
31:20
goal try badly wide right, first play, second
31:22
quarter Cleveland. That was the first play in the SACD
31:24
quarter. Cleveland then would punt. They trade three and ounce
31:26
Rams punt on a drive in which Nicua would get hurt
31:28
briefly looked like he'd be out of the game
31:30
and maybe even out of the season. He would end up coming
31:32
back.
31:33
Yeah, that was weird.
31:34
That was weird.
31:34
It looked like it was in serious pain and
31:36
then like all I'm getting them alerts on my phone and stuff
31:39
or cramps yeah, I'm like what and the next
31:41
thing you know is like sprinting down the field with the ball.
31:44
They trade three ounts Hopkins forty yard field goal ten
31:46
to ten, two h six left the second quarter, harsec would
31:48
could get twenty eight yardield goal to make it thirteen ten Rams
31:50
at the half.
31:50
Third quarter.
31:51
After a Rams punt, Hopkins twenty
31:53
four yard field goal tied up at thirteen four to fifty
31:55
eight left third quarter. Then the Rams go seventy five
31:57
yards on seven blays Stafford's DeMarcus
31:59
Robin for seven that after they hooked up for thirty yards
32:02
two plays before that, twenty to thirteen Rams
32:04
thirty nine seconds left third quarter. But then Cleveland
32:06
goes seventy five yards on thirteen plays Flaco
32:08
to Harrison Bryant from eight out twenty
32:10
to nineteen Hopkins to tie the game, and
32:12
he misses it. The Dustin Hopkins
32:15
experience. Everybody Rams
32:17
three and out. After DeMarcus Robinson penalty wipes
32:19
out a huge would be nicoua gain, Cleveland
32:21
takes over down one with six fifty one to
32:23
go. You like I threw in the Nico again, the would be nico
32:26
again. Cleveland takes over down one
32:28
with six fifty one to go, they're
32:30
only down one. That got the ball, but first play
32:32
ensuing drive, Flacco picked by John
32:34
Johnson the third deep forty two yard
32:36
return that would set up the rams of the Cleveland
32:38
twenty four five plays Stafford
32:40
a Cup from three out twenty seven to nineteen rams
32:42
three forty eight to go, then at Cleveland four
32:44
and out after they had third and one, the
32:47
Rams were set up at the Cleveland thirty with two twenty
32:49
nine to go. Five plays Kyron Williams in from one thirty
32:51
four to nineteen Rams at a safety from
32:53
Aaron Donald thirty six to nineteen. Ball game Flacco
32:56
twenty three of forty four for two fifty
32:58
four, two touchdowns, one pick. He was sacked twice,
33:00
the most yards passing by Cleveland quarterback since
33:02
DeShawn and Week three.
33:04
And remember it was a one point game with
33:06
like.
33:07
Six minutes left,
33:09
Jacksonville minus four as a placeholder.
33:11
Jacksonville minus three already
33:14
bet in Mike, Yeah,
33:18
that might be a bet right there. Not
33:21
a big one, I mean, I think, especially with Jacksonville
33:23
playing today.
33:23
Yeah, we gotta go atta tread lightly
33:26
a little break with Chris Filica. He'll tell us
33:28
why us FSU folks are
33:30
wrong. That's next skill,
33:34
Alexander. It's Kelly Vilin live from bar Canada at
33:36
the d here in downtown Las Vegas. We
33:38
usually don't do anything on Mondays
33:40
during Guessing lines except for guest the lines,
33:43
but we wanted to take a little moment for
33:45
a drop in from the bear from Fox Sports
33:48
Chris Filika that after, of course, yesterday,
33:50
Florida State was left out of
33:53
the College football Playoff. They
33:55
were ranked fifth despite
33:58
going undefeated as as a
34:00
Power of five conference champion. In
34:02
case you missed it, head coach Mike Norvel
34:05
once he gathered himself, quote,
34:07
I am discussed and infuriated with the committee's
34:09
decision today to have what was earned on the
34:11
field taken away because of a small because
34:13
a small group of people decided they knew better than
34:15
the results of the games. What's the point of playing
34:18
games? Do you tell players it's okay to quit if someone goes
34:20
down? Do you not play a senior or senior day
34:22
for fear of injury? Where's the motivation to schedule challenging
34:24
non conference games. We're not only an undefeated
34:26
Power five conference champ, but we also played two Power
34:29
five non conference games away from home and
34:31
won both of them. Jordan Travis, the injured Jordan
34:33
Travis, whose injury is at
34:35
the center of all of this, said,
34:38
I wish my leg broke earlier in the season so y'all
34:40
could see this team as much more than the quarterback.
34:42
And finally, Michael Alford, FSU's
34:44
athletic director, he had a lot to say,
34:47
including the consequences of giving into
34:49
a narrative of the moment our destructive, far
34:51
reaching, and permanent, not just for Florida State.
34:53
But college football as a whole.
34:55
The fact that this team has continued to close out victories
34:57
in dominant fashion facing our current quarterback situation
35:00
should have enhanced in capitals, our
35:02
case to get a playoff birth earned in capitals
35:04
on the field. Instead, the committee decided to
35:06
elevate themselves and quote unquote make history
35:09
today by departing from what makes this sport
35:11
great by excluding an undefeated Power
35:13
five conference champ for the first time since the advent of
35:15
the BCSCFP era that began twenty five
35:18
years ago. He goes on to call the decision ridiculous.
35:20
He goes on to call the committee
35:22
prognosticators Chris
35:25
Volika. First of all, thanks for joining
35:27
us. Tell me
35:29
and Kelly, Kelly a FSU
35:31
grad, me, who really is
35:35
I said, I wasn't going to be outraged. I was
35:37
a little more outraged than I thought yesterday. Quite frankly,
35:39
tell us why we're wrong.
35:42
We're wrong because the committee utilized
35:45
the protocols and the criteria that they
35:47
have in place, which would personally, that's
35:49
the biggest shock in this all to me is
35:51
that they actually followed through with
35:54
the protocols and the criteria that they have in place,
35:56
where if
35:58
they were talking about best like they said all along
36:01
and using the availability
36:03
of players matters. It was
36:05
an easy decision because you
36:08
cannot tell me on the watching
36:10
what Florida State was the last
36:12
two weeks on the offensive side of the ball with
36:15
their backup quarterbacks in there and
36:17
their inability to complete a forward
36:19
pass, that they were one of the best four teams's
36:23
And maybe I'm oversimplifying it, maybe
36:25
I'm using too much common sense and logic,
36:27
Maybe I'm being too truthful
36:30
and harsh and what Florida State would
36:32
be moving forward, But you
36:35
don't want to totally throw out everything
36:37
they did before the year. But everything
36:39
that they did with Jordan
36:41
Travis is kind of minimalized because
36:44
that's not the team that they have on the field
36:46
now, that's not the team that they were going
36:48
to have on the field in the playoff.
36:51
Is it right?
36:51
Is it wrong?
36:52
Is it fair?
36:53
Is it cruel?
36:54
Whatever you want to decide. Yeah, but the committee,
36:56
that's why we have a committee. That's why it's
36:59
no longer just BCS
37:01
rankings or poll
37:03
and you take it's to evaluate
37:05
everything in there. I think the committee
37:07
got down. If you want to be super if you
37:09
want to be super harsh and super
37:12
true, and you say to anybody, who
37:14
are the best four teams? I think the
37:16
best four teams probably are Alabama,
37:18
Georgia, Texas, and Michigan.
37:21
But you're not gonna leave Washington out as well, because
37:23
Washington is a full complete team right
37:25
now and they were undefeated in the league
37:27
that I think a lot of people for most of the year
37:29
thought that was the best conference in the Power
37:32
of Five. So do I get where
37:34
Florida State fans are coming from? True? And
37:37
I know I'm going on a little around here, but
37:40
don't go crying and shed a tear for Florida
37:42
State. They've been on the right side of
37:44
this more often than not.
37:47
Ninety three, they.
37:47
Lost a regular season game to Notre Dame,
37:50
wound up and with the same regularly, with the same
37:52
overall record, they got awarded a national
37:54
title on Notre Dame finished second despite
37:57
beating Florida State head Day
37:59
eight. They backed their way into a call
38:01
into the BCS title game the first year with
38:04
the markets outs and the backup quarterback there,
38:06
and I think they're still struggling, struggling to get
38:08
a first down against the balls. Two
38:10
thousand and they lost the head to head game against
38:12
Miami and the BCS ERA somehow
38:14
they wound up playing for the BCS
38:16
title, couldn't score an
38:18
offensive point against Oklahoma's sow While
38:21
this one hurts largest statesmen
38:23
on the right side of these controversies and gotten
38:25
defended for the doubt more often than not. Know
38:27
that doesn't make up for this year. But I said,
38:29
I think the biggest shock in all of this is
38:32
that there wasn't a human element in
38:34
there to be like, yeah, I know they're not one of
38:36
the best. For I know that they they
38:38
lost their quarterback, We're still going to put him in
38:40
the fact that that human element didn't come through, and the committee
38:42
actually utilized their protocols they
38:45
put to put Alabama in that
38:47
that was the most surprising part of this.
38:49
Chris, I could not disagree
38:51
with you more on on almost
38:53
every count. And I'll tell you why I said this last week.
38:56
This is to me, it's about subjectivity versus
38:58
objectivity. The
39:01
committee is projecting forward,
39:04
they are prognosticating, they are
39:06
not relying on what actually what the
39:08
facts are, what happened. And by
39:10
the way, if you want to talk about this best thing, well,
39:13
they had FSU ranked ahead of Georgia
39:15
in the end five versus six, so
39:17
that all goes out the window too. I don't want to
39:19
hear about the Vegas thing because Georgia would be a thirteen
39:21
and a half point favorite.
39:23
And do you know why they had Florida State ranked ahead
39:25
of Georgia though, because one of their criteria
39:27
that they utilize for conference champs. If
39:29
Florida State was a conference champ.
39:31
And doesn't, it doesn't refute it doesn't.
39:33
It doesn't refute my point. Let me finish
39:36
the people who are saying, oh, car Dale Jones
39:39
was different. He won fifty nine and nothing against Wisconsin
39:41
and conference championship. Hold on, hold
39:43
on, this guy, brock Glenn
39:45
wasn't going to play in the semi finals. It was going to be
39:47
Road Tomaker. They have no idea.
39:50
They think they know how good Road Tomaker is going
39:52
to be, They have no idea how good
39:54
he's going to be. So that's a completely subjective
39:57
Martin against Florida that it's
39:59
one game. Dude, it's one game. They have
40:01
no idea how good he's gonna be. And he's
40:03
been credible on the football field. You don't
40:05
know, Chris. College
40:08
football guys get games wrong every week,
40:10
hundreds of games Oregon.
40:12
Everybody thought Oregon was gonna crush you, dub.
40:14
It didn't happen, like I mean, the notion
40:17
that they would determine a team. These
40:19
college football players showed up for a college football
40:21
season with a Power five schedule. They beat
40:23
every team in front of them, and to
40:25
tell them at the end, sorry, buddy, that wasn't good enough
40:28
for the first time ever, because
40:31
they decided an injury was so
40:34
significant that they were gonna keep them out. To me,
40:36
it is nothing but a committee deciding to themselves,
40:39
we'd rather piss these guys off
40:41
than Alabama or Texas, so we're
40:43
gonna go with it. By the way, I just want to say one other
40:45
thing, and this to me was, and I know these
40:48
are your former colleagues, and I really like them on air.
40:50
I think Reese's great as a job, Reese Davis, and
40:52
I think Kirk hrb Street is great at his job. But
40:54
I thought yesterday was not their finest
40:56
moment because you have an Ohio State guy in Kirk,
40:59
and you have an Alabama and Reeese, you do have
41:01
an Ohio state guy and Joey Galloway. I
41:03
thought, by the way that Greg McElroy was biting
41:05
his tongue hard, and dare I say that, I can't believe
41:08
that. I agree with Booger. Booger was the only
41:10
guy making sense yesterday. He
41:12
was the only guy making sense. Jump on if you want
41:16
the fact that Kirk got
41:18
to the point where he was like, oh, if this had happened
41:20
to and then he started to think carefully about
41:22
what he was saying. Michigan with McCarthy or
41:24
you double whatever. Notice he didn't say Alabama
41:27
Ohio state. First of all, I disagree with
41:29
him entirely that it would have been the same with even
41:31
Michigan It absolutely
41:33
would not have been the case with Alabama Ohio State,
41:35
and you will never get me to believe that it would
41:37
have been that. To me, it's like, it
41:39
is completely let's call it what
41:42
it was. I just I object
41:44
to the people who are saying, well, it's so it's
41:46
because of this, and they wouldn't have been any good. You don't
41:48
know, you don't. I think it's
41:51
a travesty, and I think it's not a sport. It's
41:53
an exhibition. This was a wonderful twenty
41:55
twenty three college football exhibition. I
41:58
give you the word I would.
41:59
Say what I would say in regards
42:01
to what you're dead about, Kurt, I think
42:03
it would have been the exact same, and that
42:05
they would have evaluated the team based
42:08
on how the backup quarterbacks would have
42:10
done, and that's ultimately how
42:12
they would have decided. I mean, the
42:14
amazing thing is that the drop off at quarterback
42:17
was so great from what Florida stated
42:19
had at the starter to number two to number
42:21
three. That was the amazing thing. Whereas
42:24
at Alabama you had Tua
42:26
and Matt Jones and Jalen Hurts
42:29
and there was no drop off. In Ohio
42:31
State, you had Braxton Miller
42:34
to J. T. Barrett to Carl deale Jones
42:36
like they were lying. Like the fact that there was such
42:38
a drop off is I think why Mike Norvel
42:40
built this team through the portal
42:43
the way he did, and it
42:46
sucks. I feel awful for Jordan Travis because
42:48
he's an unbelievable kid, and everyone who's
42:50
had dealings with him it says the same
42:53
thing. Chris Fawler was very a poignant
42:55
about his dealings with with the Knoles year because he's
42:57
had him a bunch. I mean, I would go check
42:59
that out and get his because people
43:02
are on others on both sides of this, but uh,
43:05
I'm back. I said album might be in the minority. I
43:07
think the committee got it right, and.
43:09
I think they got a horrible Kelly's an FSU grad.
43:12
You have the Last World this.
43:14
Yeah. I mean I think a lot of what you just
43:16
said, a lot of what you just said, Gil. I think it's
43:18
the rademaker factor that does it. Does I
43:21
mean, what he went into Florida, he came in with once.
43:23
Once Jordan Travis got hurt, wins a game, goes
43:25
into Florida into the swamp, wins.
43:27
A game there.
43:28
I mean and We don't really We still don't really
43:30
know, but everybody seems to think know
43:32
that he's a terrible, terrible quarterback. And
43:35
we saw brock Led lose that he looked terrible
43:37
in that game. He's not going to be the guy that would play
43:39
though, So.
43:40
I said, Chris, thank you. We'll
43:42
talk to you later in the week.
43:43
Of course, my man, Chris.
43:45
Bear Bets Pod Thursday and Friday,
43:47
College on Thursday, Pro on Friday. Yeah, you
43:50
have one. We'll get back to guessing ws. We have one extra point.
43:52
About this is that because interesting after the break
43:55
and I'm just told the story. It's
43:57
one of those idiots who believe in analytics.
44:00
This is a numbers game with Gil Alexander
44:02
Gone.
44:03
Our number two of a numbers game at Visa, the Sports
44:06
bending Network, Visa dot Com, the Visa app, game plus iHeartRadio
44:08
YouTube TV. It's Kill Alexander.
44:11
It's Kelly Bidlin guessing lines for Week fourteen
44:13
in the National Football League. Before we get to that,
44:15
yes, because we want to say a few final words.
44:18
First of all, we get tweets at Beat of the Book. It
44:20
is. Here's the thing. We're probably obviously after
44:22
this week, we're not going to ever bring this up again. But people,
44:26
people get heated about this kind of stuff. And
44:29
I'll say it again, I thought I wouldn't be outraged.
44:32
I was more outraged than I thought. You too,
44:34
David King?
44:35
Can I still get it from like the average person
44:37
out there? You don't want to see Florida
44:39
stay with a beat up quarter for TV ratings
44:42
and all that stuff. This is great.
44:43
Why do you think they made the decision they made?
44:45
Of course all that bs David
44:48
King? Gil if you see this in time, oh sorry I didn't. Will
44:50
you please ask Chris if he would put FSU
44:53
into an eight team or even twelve team tournament
44:54
apps in a requirement the A SEC champ goes.
44:57
I mean, I mean if the third string quarterback
44:59
thing holds. I I assume not right. This
45:01
is from les kipping the NFL
45:04
ones Israel mcgroun wait, Miami Alum,
45:06
Chris Fholic, thanks.
45:07
Of keeping Florida state. It's out as correct shock.
45:10
I thought Chris was very reach.
45:11
This has always been great. He has never ones come on this
45:13
show ever and like played the Miami
45:15
car now anything, I'm not.
45:16
Gonna never at all, never at all. Step in Vegas
45:18
an FSU alum as an f SU alum.
45:21
I watched the NFL with yes yesterday morning,
45:23
was totally deflated. For the ten am slate, Chris
45:26
brought up an interesting point. FSU goes undefeated
45:28
in a Power five and gets snubbed because the quarterback
45:30
is hurt, then shouldn't Travis be the favorite
45:32
for the Heisman.
45:33
I'll take it. He's obviously that key right.
45:35
I got to take it on him.
45:37
Let's see. This is from
45:40
Brian mcfp. Should go rogue eighteen
45:42
playoff Michigan, Oregon, Bama, FSU, Texas,
45:44
Georgia, Washington, Ohio State. There are no potential rematches
45:46
until the final. If you want to bounce a Oregon put in liberty
45:49
for the g FIP Group of five Top right champion
45:51
Scott New York met sixteen. Thank you, Gil. I
45:53
agree with all your points. And if the SEC is the name
45:56
brand, FSU beat two of them on the road. Washington
45:58
was a surprise. Let them play. They did what you
46:01
asked of them. His name is Chaz. College
46:03
football has been, in my mind, equivalent to gymnastics
46:05
when it comes to determining a champ. I'm glad it was
46:07
exposed definitively, definitively as
46:09
a sham this year. Always decided on the field,
46:12
always.
46:12
And Greenberg said basically the same thing this morning,
46:14
completely agree said, we've turned this into figure skating
46:17
where we have judges ruling on what's
46:19
going on.
46:20
What's actually called it an exhibition. Last actually
46:22
it's not a sport. It's an exhibition. The numbers, guys,
46:24
they got the best teams quote unquote hah. Defense
46:27
isn't sexy. So if you rely on your defense as your calling
46:29
guard, your identity, you better scrap that right now. Put
46:31
all your chips towards the offense, where there's a good chance
46:33
you're going to find yourself number thirteen in the years
46:35
to come. It's basically what Booger said. Yep, I
46:37
couldn't have agreed with Booger Moore. By the way, Reddit college
46:39
Football, the committee cannot ignore how much Alabama
46:41
has improved over the season, from a seventeen
46:44
to three win over six and six South
46:46
Florida to a twenty seven to twenty four
46:48
win over six and six Auburn. Yeah,
46:51
by the way, I have fourth and thirty one also. And
46:54
then Bill Connolly, who is
46:56
the creator of sp plus on at
46:59
ESPN. He had a tweet yesterday
47:01
about this as well, which
47:03
I'll get to right here, which which he said FSU
47:07
looked better against Louisville last night talking
47:09
about Saturday night than Alabama did
47:11
against Auburn, Arkansas or USF.
47:13
By the way, I just in closing, because
47:15
you couldn't even remember what you said. I've got a couple
47:17
points real quick that might cover them.
47:19
I just think for everybody out there, you
47:22
might think this is great because this might be the four teams
47:24
that you want to cover. There are longer lasting
47:26
issues of this. For me, I think everybody's thinking,
47:28
oh, we're switching to a twelve team playoff, This
47:31
isn't going to be an issue down the road. There's
47:33
certain things that are still going to be an issue when
47:35
you have teams, like when
47:37
you have teams where there are injuries, right,
47:39
this is this is one more because its a big deal.
47:41
This was best where if you have Jordan
47:44
Travis is different. We all saw it on the field. We all knew he was
47:46
going to be out forever. What happens if that injury
47:49
doesn't look as bad. What happens
47:51
if there are injuries that
47:54
the team knows someone's going to be out
47:56
for a extended period of time
47:58
at the end of the year. You already
48:00
don't get credible college football injury
48:02
reporting. It's how easy is it gonna be
48:04
gill for those teams going forward that saw
48:07
what happened to Florida State to just lie
48:09
on your injury reports. He is gonna
48:11
miss some time with a foot injury. We
48:14
don't know how long it's gonna be. You made it even
48:16
better. And then the draft stuff. Okay,
48:18
now we have guys like Verse Keyon Coleman.
48:20
All these guys are gonna be first round draft
48:22
picks. Great players that sat through. Great
48:25
players sat there working
48:27
their butts off game after game to try
48:29
to get into the college football playoffs when
48:31
they could have just sat out and made sure they didn't
48:33
get hurt and be ready for the draft. After
48:36
what they just saw this year, you don't think there's
48:38
gonna be other players and years to come that
48:40
see that and say I'm done for the
48:42
season. No good. Mike key On Coleman to transfer transfer
48:45
from Michigan State launched himself up the
48:47
draft board this year. He should have sat out in the past
48:49
two games.
48:49
Oh my quarterback got hurt and I don't play for Alabama,
48:52
Ohio State or any of the other blue bloods. Ye Oh, I guess
48:54
I'm just gonna sit it out and get ready for the draft because I don't
48:56
want to risk injury.
48:57
Ye I mean, especially
48:59
we're expended to twelve. And I love the instead
49:02
of being the ten seed, of course you should
49:04
sit out and be ready for the tray.
49:05
And I love the point that the tweeter made of forget
49:07
me. I just read it where it's like, oh, so
49:10
so offense means that means more than defense.
49:12
Now that they held a ten and
49:14
two Louisville team, they dominated them. Yeah,
49:16
they're an elite defense.
49:17
And that was part of Booger's point, right. He was like, if
49:20
you're saying this, you're saying that defense
49:22
no longer matters.
49:24
I could talk about it for an hour, but I'm not going you have me
49:26
fired up again.
49:27
I'm all that.
49:27
I ady it's more. Let
49:30
me put it this way. The people on the other side that are
49:32
like, oh, the FSU has no point, I'm like, I
49:34
have no idea. We're not even on the same planet.
49:37
We're not even on the same planet.
49:39
I'll get give Falik a credit. It
49:41
just is this should be able to
49:43
be Yes, I'm fired up, I'm in fsu grat
49:45
Yeah, as long as we can have a conversation
49:47
about say, let's have a conversation. There are
49:49
too many people that are coming there and be like, no, you're dumb.
49:52
What are you talking about. I thought we had a lovely conversation.
49:54
No, we did. We did.
49:55
That's what I'm saying. I like those kind
49:57
of conversations. I think like you're pointing out these
49:59
people on both sides that can't understand
50:02
either way. Like, I get it. FS, you've got boxed
50:04
out. I get it for everybody else out there. You get
50:06
to watch two better semi final games
50:09
then you would have gotten to watch. Doesn't mean it's right.
50:11
And I have no bets involved. I'm just talking about
50:13
it objectively. Let's go back.
50:15
What do we got all right? Next up on the board,
50:17
we've got Kelly totally
50:19
lost his place Panthers at Saints.
50:22
Oh, this will be quick. One on eleven Panthers
50:24
five and seven Saints. We talked about both games.
50:26
Bryce was fifteen of thirty one for one to seventy eight
50:28
and defeat no touchdowns, one pick. You sacked four times. Hubbard
50:31
twenty five for one and four two touchdowns. Car
50:33
seventeen of twenty two for two twenty
50:35
six, one touchdown, one pick. You sacked twice before
50:37
he got knocked out, Kelly, he's in concussion
50:39
protocol, shoulder and back
50:42
injuries. Good lord, it's entire
50:44
body. Winston two of
50:46
five in relief, forty one yards, no
50:48
touchdowns, no picks. He wasn't said o Lave five
50:50
for one on one teen Kamara fourteen for fifty
50:52
one for two touchdowns on the ground, six catches for fifty eight.
50:55
The Saints were minus two and turnovers that led to plus thirteen
50:57
Detroit Nett points. As we talked about. By the way, you see
50:59
Michael Thomas was throwing shade on
51:01
Twitter at car during the
51:04
game. During
51:06
the game and
51:08
he had to delete his account. I'm
51:11
serious. During the game
51:13
and his quarterback, uh Saints
51:15
by seven, five and a half, five
51:18
and a half. Oh, that's interesting because it's because
51:20
it's Jamis. Yeah, that's why it was only seven.
51:22
Yeah, yeah, Jamis Davison
51:24
mill. However, they dice that up. You're basically
51:27
seeing the same spread though that way you saw Carolina
51:29
catching going into Tampa. Give me one
51:31
more all right here we go.
51:32
Texans at Jets seven and five.
51:35
Texans. Jamaico's a
51:37
crowded coach of the year field. I think he's the favorite
51:39
right now.
51:40
He should be.
51:41
Matt Lafleur may have reintroduced himself to that
51:43
lay at the Jets. The Jets who lost the
51:45
Falcons, we already talked about them. Houston against
51:48
Denver yesterday, after the team's traded three and ounces, Houston
51:50
gets an Amadola Matt Amandola twenty nine yard field
51:52
goal, three to nothing Texans. Then after another tennis
51:55
excuse you that, after another Denver three and out, Houston
51:57
gets it fourth and two at the Denver seven. They
52:00
all start, but Alex Singleton gets an unnecessary
52:02
roughness call, getting into Stroud's face. Stupid
52:06
he plays it through the whistle. False
52:08
start whistle leads to a Damien
52:11
Damien Piers three yard dutchdown run ten to
52:13
nothing Texans three forty nine left first
52:15
quarter, but Tank Dell's leg gets
52:18
ranched under the pile in the process has
52:21
to be carted off. Broken fibula.
52:24
Ugh terrible first
52:26
quarter stats.
52:27
I didn't see the injury? Was
52:30
this the did I see? Tweets that he was
52:32
a lead blocker on this.
52:34
He got yeah, he got wrapped up in the pile. It
52:36
was terrible. A one seventy eight to
52:38
twenty three total yards advantage for the Texans
52:41
after the first quarter, either up ten to nothing.
52:43
Then after a Denver punt, amandoladds a thirty eight yard
52:45
field its thirteen to nothing Texans twelve
52:47
forty seven. Second quarter. This was the game I like the most,
52:49
along with the Niners last week. I'm thinking, I'm so smart.
52:51
This is gonna be easy peasy. That was made
52:53
possible that field go by the way by Stroud to Collins
52:55
fifty nine yard hookup. Then after trade of
52:57
punts thirteen to nothing Denver, who had punted all four percents
53:00
thus far, they matriculate Let's thirty four yard
53:02
field goal thirteen to three, one twenty four left and the sect
53:04
quarter that would be the halftime score. First half
53:06
stats two fifty nine to one oh three
53:09
total yards advantage for Houston. Collins had
53:11
one hundred and twenty two alone. He was out
53:13
gaining the Broncos himself. Third quarter,
53:15
after Denver three and out am Mondola thirty eight yard
53:17
field, It's sixteen to three Houston then after
53:19
a trade of three and outs the theme of today show, Wilson
53:22
is Setton from forty five outs sixteen to ten Houston
53:25
four forty seven left in the third quarter. All of a sudden,
53:27
this becomes a sweat then Houston.
53:30
Houston punt, but that was with some fumble luck when
53:32
Stroud got sacked by Jaquan mcmillion Badare
53:35
Ogunbowale landed on it. A first
53:37
play in sewing drive Wilson picked by Derek Stingley
53:40
junior. Houston set up at the Denver twenty
53:42
one four plays in Stroud to Colin three yard touchdown
53:44
pass, two point conversion fields twenty two to
53:46
ten, Houston fourteen sixteen to go Denver
53:49
seventy five yards. Set up by
53:51
Wilson to Judy forty one yard connection Wilson
53:53
in from one. It's twenty two to seventeen Houston
53:55
twelve four to go Houston three and out. Then
53:57
second play in sewing drive, Wilson picked deep by
53:59
Stingle He's junior again, thank you for being drafted
54:01
third. Houston eventually has to punt
54:03
up five four to thirty six to go. Denver ends
54:06
up with a fourth and one at the Houston twenty two. At the two
54:08
minute warning, they're down five. Javonte
54:10
Williams gets the one yard barely. Then
54:12
fourth and two at the Houston What is it
54:14
with thirty seconds to go Wilson for
54:16
five. That was at the thirteen twenty
54:19
three seconds to go, first and ten at the Houston eight.
54:21
Excuse me, first and goal at the Houston eight. No
54:23
timeouts left, incomplete,
54:25
incomplete, third down, sixteen seconds
54:27
to go.
54:28
Wilson somehow avoids the sack, but he
54:30
throws it up in the end zone, picked off by Jimmy
54:32
Ward.
54:33
Ballgame Houston wins at twenty two to seventeen
54:35
Stroud sixteen of twenty seven, two seventy four, one
54:37
touchdown, no picks. He was sacked five times,
54:39
though Collins nine for one ninety
54:42
one in a touch will Anderson
54:44
with the best game of his career, the number three pick
54:46
in the draft this year. Five tackles, two
54:49
sacks, two tackles for losses, eight pressures
54:51
and a tip pass that led to the led to an interception,
54:54
plus three in turnovers all in the second
54:56
half of the Texans that led to plus
54:58
six net Houston points and that's what
55:00
they needed to win the game and the game clinching interception.
55:02
Of course, they're playing the Jets boil
55:05
fourteen for twenty five for one defeat
55:07
against the Falcons yesterday, no touchdowns, one picky
55:09
sack once sent me in five for thirteen for sixty
55:11
six, sack three times, lost to fumble, actually
55:14
fumble three times when only lost to one of them in
55:16
defeat, and that they outgained Atlanta two fifty
55:18
nine to one ninety four, but were minus three in turnovers.
55:21
I will say Houston
55:24
by six, Stingning ding Ding nailed
55:26
it. Series fat drafted.
55:29
I don't like.
55:29
Anything that much yet, except for Jacksonville.
55:31
Maybe what did you learn anything
55:34
more about the Denver broadcost Yester? No,
55:36
they're exactly who they were.
55:38
By the way, you have that fumble luck I talked about
55:40
amazing when it doesn't go to your well, we'll
55:42
come back more to guests. Numbers game Visa, the sports
55:44
betting network.
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Don't miss out on this limited time offer, Zach
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ninety nine become part of the sports Betting Network. That's
56:26
the sports Betting Network vs
56:28
I N slash subscribe vsin
56:30
dot com slash subscribe. It's kill Alexander,
56:32
It's Kelly Billin. By the way, I got a text from
56:35
Flatter from Ron Flatters run.
56:37
He's pointing out that the Bill Ady article. Bill
56:39
Ady, one of the founders of the co founders of vson
56:42
A has a we have a video about him,
56:45
you know, just to let everybody know what a great
56:47
job he's done with the newsletter all this time. In his post newspaper
56:49
life and apparently he found it on LinkedIn.
56:51
I haven't seen the video yet, and it
56:54
was just reminded us of when we filmed our
56:56
part for this and how I
56:58
had.
56:58
A line and all all Kelly had.
57:00
To do was react, and
57:03
the people behind the camera told Kelly
57:05
to stop overacting.
57:08
It's like this, like twelve takes. For some reason,
57:10
I have no idea, why could you tone down your acting.
57:12
I had to try to mix up my reactions as
57:15
I was told to tone it down a.
57:16
Little bit, like the extra that did too much in the
57:18
background. It's so great, we
57:20
get sweets, I meet you the book. I always appreciate
57:22
this. Let's
57:24
see here, Oh adds
57:27
oh jonesy is in here. He goes Greg
57:30
Jones, who again whose mother died. He accidentally
57:32
picked on the pick the Packers instead
57:34
of the Lions, which he meant to do,
57:36
and that saved him and he is still alive. He's one
57:38
of the last fifty four entries. He said, Lions,
57:41
Saints, Steelers are Texans. Was
57:43
always planning for Steelers. But Trubisky now New
57:45
England is tanking for a quarterback, right, so he's
57:47
pondering what his pick is going to be. This
57:50
is from Oh,
57:52
this gentleman also has the same as JD there that
57:54
eight team division parlay.
57:58
Evan and Bessie. We
58:00
have the same parlay. No, this guy Evan and
58:02
Bessie. Yeah, well he has Dolphins, Ravens,
58:04
Jags, Chiefs, Eagles, Lions, Falcons, Niners,
58:07
exact same eight teams. Wow, he has it
58:09
at seven hundred and thirty eight to
58:11
one. Good luck
58:13
to all of you on that God, that's
58:15
such a great one ahead.
58:16
It's awesome, like just another thing we don't really
58:18
have access to, of being able to parlay things
58:20
like this.
58:21
Tom Stefan, about my conversation with Felika
58:23
at an Angular Underscore Rhythm, you said it perfectly gild.
58:25
These playoff games are mere exhibitions. They may as
58:27
well crown the CHAMPI in the summer. Based on recruiting rankings
58:30
from Travis at megazone seven O two,
58:32
ESPN has a partnership with SEC remove FSU
58:34
place an SEC and a future SEC
58:36
team in the playoff Gibbie Pitt Panther. Gibbie
58:39
says, if you want to do a deeper dive, the committee is basing their
58:41
rankings all the way back to recruiting classes. The narrative
58:43
that the SEC and Big ten have the most talent based on recruiting
58:45
drives the narrative that they have the best
58:47
teams. Oh
58:50
yes, And Jason Stark brings up a great point because
58:52
he's right about this from a betting standpoint. These
58:54
were available at Caesars and at
58:57
DraftKings, among others. Who
58:59
was going to be in the playoffs. FSU
59:01
was minus eight hundred Saturday.
59:04
Night opened YEP.
59:05
Two hours before, they were still north
59:07
of three dollars, one hour
59:10
before they were south of two dollars,
59:13
and as game time meaning
59:15
selection time approached, they
59:19
had gotten down to a small
59:22
minus one twenty five in regulated
59:24
markets and in offshore markets,
59:26
the no was minus to forty when
59:28
it closed. People were betting
59:30
two dimes a shot on that. Jason
59:33
Stark even bigger stories. Someone leaked the teams from ESPN.
59:35
The steam fifteen minutes before the show went from FSU
59:38
No Plus three forty to plus one hundred. That's when I
59:40
grabbed it because it was obviously leaked. Penny
59:42
had the exact games up at eleven fifty nine. Yes, Penny,
59:44
actually minus two forty No
59:47
was the final number on that. Phil
59:50
Weis there's always going to be an issue. Team
59:53
thirteen or fourteen also exactly. Okay,
59:56
let's get some more lines, all right.
59:57
Last early window game Rams at
59:59
Raans.
1:00:01
Rams AD to Ravens Rams
1:00:04
we already talked about. They beat the Browns
1:00:06
at a game that cosmetically on the scoreboard was a far
1:00:08
greater margin than the game actually really
1:00:13
was in terms of the contents of it. It was a one
1:00:15
point game with just mere minutes left. Stafford
1:00:17
was twenty two of thirty seven for two seventy nine three touchdowns.
1:00:20
No Pixie was not zacked and Pooka Nakua four
1:00:22
for one oh five and a touchdown. Also two
1:00:25
carries for thirty four yards. Baltimore on a
1:00:27
buy six and six Rams at the nine
1:00:29
and three Ravens. I will say Ravens by seven.
1:00:32
Yeah, it's uh seven and a half at
1:00:34
Draft Kings, I think about seven and a half.
1:00:36
There's some there's some flat sevens out there. Actually it's
1:00:39
mainly flat sevens uh in
1:00:41
the market. My initial
1:00:44
U lean here was take
1:00:46
the Ravens in a teaser, But man, I don't know this.
1:00:48
Rams teams been feast.
1:00:49
I have an exacta with the Niners
1:00:52
to beat the Bills in the Super Bowl. I think I'm
1:00:54
gonna get a Niners to beat the Ravens in the Super
1:00:56
Bowl.
1:00:56
Cuy, I like it?
1:00:57
Next?
1:00:58
Yeah, I got a preseason Cowboy Ravens
1:01:00
one, two hundred and one. All
1:01:03
right, next up early one oh
1:01:05
five Pacific four or five Eastern Vikings
1:01:08
at Raiders.
1:01:08
Oh that little time slot, Yeah, six
1:01:10
and six Vikings by five
1:01:13
and seven Raiders on a by I'll say
1:01:15
the Vikings in between the three and the pick, I'll say
1:01:17
minus one and a half on the road.
1:01:19
Two and a half right now, two and a half point road favorites.
1:01:22
Let's go, Josh Dobbs. Let's come
1:01:24
back.
1:01:24
Let's come back. Seahawks at forty
1:01:26
nine Ers.
1:01:27
Seahawks on extra rest.
1:01:29
Here.
1:01:29
They played Thursday night. They got beat by the Cowboys
1:01:31
forty one to thirty five at the Niners.
1:01:34
Who if you didn't get it yet, I
1:01:36
hope you got it after yesterday. They're the best team
1:01:38
in the NFL when fully
1:01:40
healthy. Six and six Seahawks, nine
1:01:42
and three nine Ers. The Niners beat the Eagles
1:01:45
forty two to nineteen. Didn't start
1:01:47
out that way though. Twenty six yard field goal for
1:01:49
Jake Elliott three to nothing Philly, then a San Francisco
1:01:51
three and own. Philly matriculates again Elliott
1:01:54
thirty nine yardfield will to make it six to nothing. That
1:01:56
after hurt slipped on the turf with
1:01:59
all the time in the world two plays earlier, took a fifteen
1:02:01
yard sack I think was kinlaw two to h one
1:02:03
left in the first quarter. At this point in the game it was total
1:02:06
yards. It was one twenty to minus
1:02:08
two, six to nothing Eagles.
1:02:10
Then another San Francisco three and out, so it was minus
1:02:13
It was excuse me, it was one twenty to minus
1:02:15
six in total yards at this point.
1:02:18
But then after a Philly three and out, the
1:02:20
Niners would get it to minus eleven
1:02:22
total yards, so it would be second and fifteen
1:02:24
at their own ten. And then ladies
1:02:26
and gentlemen, the game changed. They'd
1:02:29
awaken ninety yards later Perty to Ayuke
1:02:31
from two out seven to six nine ers. After a twenty
1:02:34
one yard third and nineteen conversion from Hurtz the
1:02:36
smith, the Eagles would punt it eventually San Francisco
1:02:38
ninety yards again on ten plays. McCaffrey
1:02:40
in from two party responsible for fifty of them,
1:02:42
fourteen to six nine ers. That would be the halftime
1:02:45
score. Third quarter seventy five yards
1:02:47
on seven plays, Perty to McCaffrey for thirty three,
1:02:49
setting up debo in from twelve twenty one to
1:02:51
six niners and the route was on Bury
1:02:53
these guys eleven forty one third
1:02:55
quarter left in the third quarter, Philly,
1:02:57
the matriculates Drake Greenlaw gets tossed
1:02:59
for poking some guy from Philly named Dom
1:03:01
on the sidelines, who Kevin Burkhart and Greg Olson
1:03:04
desperately wanted us to care about.
1:03:05
We don't.
1:03:06
We don't care about anybody from Philly named Dom
1:03:09
Burkhart from your Philly background. That led
1:03:11
to a took us Bush twenty one to thirteen. San Francisco,
1:03:14
six fifty one left in the third quarter. How much more
1:03:16
than making about Dom. Get him off the screen.
1:03:18
So again, I'm doing your show. I can't
1:03:20
hear what's happening, Like the cameras
1:03:22
are following him into the tunnel and everything.
1:03:25
It was so bizarre.
1:03:26
This is this my DC coming out where we're like, we
1:03:28
hate this kind of stuff, like I don't care about a guy
1:03:31
from Philly named Dom. Get him off there. San
1:03:33
Francisco five plays, seventy seven yards after the first
1:03:35
was a sack, Party to Debo for forty eight touchdown
1:03:38
nine or twenty eight thirteen San Francisco three
1:03:40
fifty four left in third quarter, Philly three and.
1:03:42
Out seventy five yards.
1:03:44
Twelve plays for the Niners, party to Jennings
1:03:46
from eighteen shoving.
1:03:47
Eli Rix out of the way. Get out of here, Philly
1:03:50
thirty five.
1:03:51
Thirteen San Francisco ten forty three to go, then
1:03:53
Mariota in for five plays before Hurts returns.
1:03:55
By the way, every time Hurts goes into tense, he always magically
1:03:58
returns.
1:03:59
Yep.
1:04:00
Thir team play seventy one yards. Hurts the Smith from two
1:04:02
out thirty five to nineteen two point conversion fails
1:04:04
on an incomplete pass five point thirty three to go. Then
1:04:07
Philly, unlike Tomlin, correctly
1:04:09
kicks it on sidekick down two scores,
1:04:11
because why not, it's your only shot.
1:04:14
Second play, Purty to Debo for forty
1:04:16
six on a wide receiver screen, touchdown
1:04:18
forty two to nineteen nine ers. Good night, everybody,
1:04:21
That's how it would end. Finally, Kelly, we
1:04:23
got to see last year's NFC championship
1:04:25
as I thought it.
1:04:26
Would be, hey
1:04:29
Man, we won money out of this time.
1:04:30
By the way, to my biggest pet peeves
1:04:32
in the history of sports
1:04:35
betting were people chirping
1:04:37
about Alabama when Colt McCoy got
1:04:39
injured in the first quarter of that Texas Alabama
1:04:42
National Championship and after
1:04:44
the Philly Niners playoff game last
1:04:46
year where Philly backers were
1:04:48
chirping after the Niners were playing
1:04:50
like Kelly Bidlin off the street.
1:04:52
At quarterback would
1:04:54
have been better.
1:04:55
My favorite part about that whole u FSU
1:04:57
thing was how you couldn't remember what you said yesterday
1:04:59
and I have. I'd like to quote Kelly Bidley. It's
1:05:01
like sitting two feet away, I.
1:05:02
Get so many noses written down on my phone. I didn't
1:05:04
know what you're referring to. Get domb off my screen.
1:05:07
Perty nineteen for twenty seven for three fourteen,
1:05:09
four touchdowns, no picks. He was sacked twice a one
1:05:12
forty eight point eight passer rating.
1:05:15
That's at a one fifty eight point three. Give that man
1:05:17
an MVP. DBO four for one, sixteen
1:05:19
and two touchdowns. Niners out gained the
1:05:21
Eagles four fifty six to three thirty three. I'll
1:05:24
say the Niners by ten at home against
1:05:26
the Seahawks.
1:05:27
Uh, you are low. It is eleven and a half
1:05:30
in draft kings right now. We have come
1:05:32
down. There's anywhere between ten and a half to eleven
1:05:34
and a half in the market, and there was
1:05:37
twelve and a half's out there yesterday this opened.
1:05:39
I just want to say this though, the reason that I have the Niners
1:05:42
power rank of one in the and the Eagles four. I'm not
1:05:44
saying the Eagles aren't a good football team. They're obviously
1:05:46
a resilient, gritty team
1:05:48
that figures out ways to win game through the gauntlet
1:05:50
here recently, and they won the first three games
1:05:52
of the six game gauntlet before they lost yesterday.
1:05:55
But let's face it, they should have lost a couple
1:05:57
of those. They should have lost to the Cowboys, they
1:06:00
should have lost to the Bills. They might even
1:06:03
have lost one to the Commanders, believe it or
1:06:05
not, if not both.
1:06:06
Quite frankly, they're
1:06:09
not as good as last year's Eagles. They're
1:06:11
not. They deserve a lot of credit
1:06:13
for getting this far. They still have the best record in the NFC.
1:06:16
Not trying to take anything away from them, but they're
1:06:18
not as good as them.
1:06:19
They're not as good I think betting wise,
1:06:21
though, the market's gonna go too low on them
1:06:23
eventually through this Goblins, there's gonna be some betting
1:06:25
oppositions.
1:06:26
On hell Oh, I'll be right there.
1:06:28
I have no problem betting on them.
1:06:29
Just don't show me Domin anymore with Kevin Burkar, I coudn't
1:06:31
care. Left all right, We'll come back more guessing lines
1:06:34
looking for value Week fourteen numbers game Visa
1:06:36
the sports Betting network SKAL
1:06:42
Alexander's Kelly Bilin live from
1:06:44
Barkhana the barrage here at the
1:06:46
d in downtown Las Vegas.
1:06:49
You know, we have music in the background because we're out here in
1:06:51
the bar, and they're
1:06:54
playing a jam from the eighties too
1:06:56
shy shy, shy, hush
1:06:58
shush, I do I and I said, and I
1:07:00
said to yeah.
1:07:03
So I said to Kelly, I go, Kelly, you know who sings this?
1:07:06
And he looks at me and he goes no, And I go, Kaja
1:07:08
Google And he thought I had a medical event, yes,
1:07:12
to which he h to which he then said, what
1:07:14
percentage of the population do you think actually
1:07:16
knows this?
1:07:17
And I go, I think if you were alive then.
1:07:18
A pretty good percentage, really too
1:07:20
shy by Kadja Google. They know the
1:07:23
jam. I'll tell you that much what year ish eighty
1:07:25
something?
1:07:25
I don't eighty something? Would you say? It's a kin
1:07:28
to like Chumble womba for me, I
1:07:31
get knocked out, but I get up again. That you know that one,
1:07:33
but like you always remember, Yeah, probably helped
1:07:35
me out. Roby that again, Kaja
1:07:39
Google, I didn't hear all
1:07:41
right. By the way, we have a
1:07:43
tweet here. This is from a we get tweets a beating of the book.
1:07:45
This is from Nick g Gil. I need a reason to
1:07:47
bet Purty for m v P.
1:07:49
Looking back at former MVPs, none of them have had
1:07:51
as many stars as he's got on the team.
1:07:53
Just trying to be convinced. Well,
1:07:56
I gave the passionate pretty uh speech a
1:07:58
couple times before. I I had a seventy
1:08:00
five to one ticket on Tyreek Hill to win
1:08:02
MVP from early in the season. I actually
1:08:05
believe Tyreek Hill is the
1:08:07
true MVP of the National
1:08:09
Football League. But because
1:08:12
we had Aaron Shotts on a couple times and he's one of
1:08:14
the fifty voters, he just makes it very
1:08:16
clear they don't want to bet for a non quarterback. At least
1:08:18
he doesn't and he won't, and I wonder
1:08:21
how many of the voters he represents. So
1:08:24
to me, the other guy to bet on was
1:08:26
Brock Purty. I got him at sixteen to one. Some
1:08:29
people have him longer odds than I do, by the way, and
1:08:31
for me, the reason is simple. He's he is
1:08:34
being judged unfairly by what
1:08:36
his pedigree is, meaning he was myster irrelevant.
1:08:38
He was the last pick in the draft. If he were
1:08:40
Trey Lance, who was picked third, we
1:08:43
wouldn't be having this discussion. He
1:08:45
is so so good when we ran
1:08:47
off conventional stats where he's first across the
1:08:49
board. We'll have on cleave
1:08:52
Ta, who I didn't know, by the way, had
1:08:54
a ticket on Brock Party. Turns out Will
1:08:56
Kapper has a ticket on Brock Pertty too. But cleeve Ta
1:08:58
will be on tomorrow. We'll talk advanced with him, and then Ethan
1:09:01
Strauss, who writes this great substack
1:09:03
as a Bay Area guy, we've had him on to talk Warriors
1:09:05
before. He gives
1:09:07
this great passionate speech. This is from two months
1:09:09
ago, not now. From two months
1:09:11
ago, where he, as a guy
1:09:13
in the Bay Area, was relating Brock
1:09:16
Purdy to Draymond Green and basically
1:09:18
saying people don't have any
1:09:20
way of properly evaluating
1:09:22
how good this guy is, and he's
1:09:24
proven it. Brock Purty, to me, is the glue that holds
1:09:27
it all together. And yes, there
1:09:29
is McCaffrey and there is Debo, and everybody's gonna
1:09:31
give them some credit, but this
1:09:33
doesn't happen with just anybody.
1:09:34
Yeah, someone we spoke about in the summer time,
1:09:37
and it's really like, I guess it's come to
1:09:39
fruition. It's just it's Tua and brock Purty
1:09:41
are seemingly never gonna get the credit that they fully
1:09:43
deserve because of the weapons they have around him,
1:09:45
and of course they're going of course
1:09:47
they're going to have an easier time with
1:09:49
the weapons or howeveraty, but it doesn't mean when
1:09:52
you're talking MVP and elite level
1:09:54
quarterbacking, you still gotta be
1:09:56
damn good at the position, and seemingly
1:09:58
neither one of them ever gets the credit they truly.
1:10:00
Purdy is the is the embodiment
1:10:03
of why it is so difficult for life
1:10:06
lifers who have watched the NFL and who
1:10:08
have been in the NFL and been in college football
1:10:11
coaches and talent evaluators forget
1:10:13
about little pissures like us. But he
1:10:15
is the representation, the embodiment of why
1:10:17
they still can't properly evaluate
1:10:20
quarterbacks and why the NFL
1:10:23
Draft is the biggest inexact science there
1:10:25
is. How does a guy like this, who,
1:10:27
by the way, Matt Campbell, how do you
1:10:29
not win with him? And with Breee at Iowa
1:10:31
State? There
1:10:33
were some games at Iowa State were all like, oh my god, Purdy,
1:10:36
I can't believe you through that past. So I get
1:10:38
it. I'm not saying I knew either, but
1:10:40
you have to understand that when he when he started
1:10:42
playing for the Niners, his ability
1:10:44
to process was quick. Loucle war seeing from Jordan
1:10:46
Love, which we'll get to the Packers. Jordan
1:10:48
Love, who I said all off season, I
1:10:51
was like, if you hold a clipboard for multiple
1:10:53
years under the same coach in the same
1:10:55
system, you tend to be really
1:10:58
good when you get out of that. I use my team growing
1:11:00
up, washing Mark Rippin, Stan Humphries
1:11:02
who got to a Super Bowl, Trent Green, who, if not
1:11:05
for the injury, gave way to Kurt warrener and
1:11:07
then when Jordan Love didn't look good. Early
1:11:09
in the year, I was like, ah, I must have been wrong about this. Uh
1:11:11
huh, I'm not wrong. Jordan Love looks outstanding.
1:11:14
It clicks at a certain point, and
1:11:16
for brock Purty it clicked early. It
1:11:19
clicked early. Yeah, and so we'll never know
1:11:21
what would have happened in the playoffs last.
1:11:22
Year had he been healthy. You're you're at that point
1:11:24
with Jordan Love. I mean, he's been playing awesome.
1:11:27
I don't know that. I'm convinced he.
1:11:29
Looks really good. We'll get to that.
1:11:30
Let's do a few games here, all right, big one here
1:11:33
Sunday four, twenty five, five
1:11:35
nine, Bill's at Chiefs.
1:11:36
Oh, there's a ball game. Yeah,
1:11:38
Buffalo is six and six. What are the Chiefs
1:11:40
now? Eight and four? So
1:11:43
yes, believe so Buffalo,
1:11:45
Buffalo on idol
1:11:48
Here Kansas City last night. If
1:11:50
you missed this against green Bay,
1:11:52
green Bay popped him in the mouth early. Green Bay thirteen
1:11:54
play, seventy five yards, seven forty seven off
1:11:57
the clock, loved Ben Simmons from one out,
1:11:59
seven to nothing green Bay more than halfway through
1:12:01
the first quarter. Butcker then adds a field
1:12:03
goal seven to three green Bay at the end of the first quarter.
1:12:06
That was a whole first quarter, two drives. Then
1:12:08
the second quarter, green Bay eight play seventy five yards,
1:12:11
four to twenty one. Loved to Watson from nine out
1:12:13
fourteen to three, green Bay ten thirty nine left second
1:12:16
quarter, Then Butker added a field will to cut it into fourteen
1:12:18
to six. Two nineteen left in the second quarter.
1:12:21
Green Bay matriculated most.
1:12:23
Of the rest of the half. They had to pun eventually,
1:12:25
and then Kansas City end up half Lee.
1:12:26
We literally had five
1:12:29
real drives in the first Adams for wiled
1:12:32
Yeah, fourteen to twelve, excuse me, fourteen to
1:12:35
two, uh six green Bay. Third
1:12:37
quarter. Kansas City starts out with the ball nine
1:12:39
plays seventy five yards, but Checko win from one, but
1:12:41
he fails on the two point conversion, fourteen to twelve. Green
1:12:43
Bay nine thirty nine left the third quarter, and you're
1:12:45
thinking, well, green Bay's got a stumble here at some point.
1:12:48
Nope, green Bay fourth and one at the CAC forty four.
1:12:50
Loved to Dobbs for thirty three. What a
1:12:52
pass that was up in the air surrounded
1:12:55
by defenders. Two plays later, Love to Watson,
1:13:00
Watson for twelve touchdown, twenty one
1:13:02
to twelve Packers five twenty three left third
1:13:04
quarter to Kansas City. Then eleven play sixty six yards
1:13:06
tip for tat Mahomes Noah Grave from two out twenty
1:13:08
one nineteen fourteen, fifty one to go.
1:13:10
Surely the Packers will stumble, and yes they did
1:13:13
punt. But then Casey with
1:13:15
a three and out Andrews Carlson
1:13:17
forty yardfield goal twenty four to nineteen Packers six
1:13:19
z three to go. So the Chiefs got the ball that back
1:13:22
five points down. Kansas
1:13:24
City. First intent at the Green Bay forty nine Mahomes
1:13:28
picked by Keishawn Nixon.
1:13:30
Were you watching the same way? I was like, Wow, where
1:13:32
did that come?
1:13:33
From?
1:13:33
Five fourteen to go? Mahomes never throws
1:13:35
that. Carlson has a forty eight yard
1:13:37
field goal twenty seven and nineteen Green Bay, so they're
1:13:39
up eight. That's one score with one oh nine to go.
1:13:42
Kansas City with the ball no timeouts
1:13:45
said, here's where ladies and gentlemen, if you missed
1:13:47
this last night, you missed.
1:13:48
A tour de force of poor officiating.
1:13:51
Second intent at Kansas City thirty Mahomes runs
1:13:53
for ten, hit by Jonathan Owens,
1:13:55
Mister Simone Biles unnecessary
1:13:58
roughness called even though Holmes was
1:14:00
still in bounds. It was on his way out.
1:14:02
If that's not Patrick Mahomes, that
1:14:05
doesn't get called.
1:14:08
All right, it was really bad. Oh no, it
1:14:10
was really bad.
1:14:11
There's no debate here.
1:14:12
It was really bad. I don't
1:14:15
I don't know that I could sit here and say that wouldn't be called
1:14:17
on any other quarterback.
1:14:18
I don't know about any other quarterback. But if that's okay,
1:14:21
if that's uh Sam.
1:14:22
Howard, I'm I'm just trying to
1:14:24
temper my anger before we get down the
1:14:26
line.
1:14:27
We're getting there. That doesn't That wasn't even the worst.
1:14:30
Then first intent of the Green Bay forty five Mahomes
1:14:32
to Rice would
1:14:35
be fumble. So they don't
1:14:37
blow the whistle. They play it out and but Checko
1:14:39
on the return. On the fake return
1:14:41
if you will, fake meaning a Fugezi return
1:14:43
because it's not actually going to stand. He
1:14:46
throws a punch, so he gets fifteen yards
1:14:48
in his qualification, which is correct.
1:14:50
Yeah, Chiefs
1:14:53
get the ball back at midfield. Mahomes deep. Now here's
1:14:55
the worst of the worst. Mahomes deep
1:14:57
to Marquez Valdez Scantley, the former packer.
1:15:00
He is tackled by Carrington
1:15:02
Vallance, like, what.
1:15:04
Are we talking? No flag? You're
1:15:06
watching this year? Like this cannot be. I
1:15:09
was I had no money invested in this cab.
1:15:11
I'm screaming at my tell.
1:15:12
It's the worst non call I've ever seen.
1:15:15
I've ever seen.
1:15:16
Two plays later.
1:15:18
Uh to mvs. Marquez Valez
1:15:20
Valdis scanling, he fights for the sideline.
1:15:23
The official rule that he got there and the clock
1:15:25
stopped, even though he probably didn't get there.
1:15:27
No should have. Yeah, he was being dragged backwards.
1:15:29
Clock should have been running. And then it's like makeup
1:15:31
call after makeup call after makeup call. It's a credit.
1:15:34
And then first intend at the thirty three. That's exactly right.
1:15:36
It was a makeup fest.
1:15:37
First intend at the thirty three incomplete, incomplete, incomplete,
1:15:39
five seconds to go.
1:15:41
Hail Mary from the thirty three. If you can call one from
1:15:43
the thirty three, Hill Mary incomplete. In the end
1:15:45
zone ballgame, Chris Collinsworth
1:15:48
stumping for a PI. I
1:15:50
know you love Patrick Mahomes, Chris, but of
1:15:52
all the things that we called there, that was the least
1:15:54
controversy. Weird.
1:15:55
I know there was a little extension on the arms, but relaxed.
1:15:58
It was not He almost to be
1:16:00
into it more. Well, they came back from the commercial
1:16:02
that he was still talking about. He says, let's
1:16:04
bring in the official we gotta talk about this. I'm
1:16:07
like ezy, buddy.
1:16:08
There's like three other things that were worse than this.
1:16:10
Uh they went Green Bay does.
1:16:12
It was incomplete by the way, Travis Kelsey did get pushed
1:16:14
with two arms to send I get it, but you're not gonna get
1:16:16
that call.
1:16:17
Like a lot of that happens on the Hailbury
1:16:19
place. As they did eventually bring up
1:16:22
event it was a little like Missus
1:16:24
Lincoln. Besides that, that was the play.
1:16:26
Uh, twenty seven to nineteen Packers win
1:16:28
it out right. Mahomes twenty one up, thirty three for two
1:16:31
ten, one touchdown, one pick. He was sacked three ties, but
1:16:33
checko eighteen for one ten before he was tossed
1:16:35
and a touchdown.
1:16:36
I will say this is a good game. Chief's
1:16:40
minus four. I'm probably high.
1:16:43
Oh wow, uh opened
1:16:46
three. I think everywhere Bill's taking
1:16:48
money.
1:16:48
This is down to.
1:16:49
Chiefs two and a half this morning.
1:16:50
I don't I don't hate that. I was probably too high.
1:16:52
I don't hate it either.
1:16:54
I think I talk about the Eagles not being as
1:16:56
good as they were last year, the Chiefs are not as good.
1:16:58
I think this has got tea Bill's teaser written
1:17:00
all over it for me. Do you think the Bills are
1:17:02
the sneaky freaky brothers sneaking in from the rear?
1:17:04
I do I think they are. I kind of
1:17:06
think they are. Everyone's down
1:17:09
on. The defense is banged up, but Josh ouch the
1:17:11
threat of Josh Allen In the postseason, we'll come back
1:17:13
board a Guess Numbers game Visa the Sports Betting Network.
1:17:19
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your free copy today.
1:17:48
We just saw that Bill Ady video and
1:17:50
Kelly and I got cut down to three
1:17:53
seconds because Kelly was
1:17:55
overacting.
1:17:56
My bad, Gil, my bad, I still sill of your airtime.
1:17:58
Man, it
1:18:01
caught him acting. Why
1:18:03
did it take us so many takes? That's the keid acting.
1:18:06
Don't ever let them catch you acting.
1:18:09
We get tweets at beating in the both Jason H eleven
1:18:11
Funny how a Giants fan me and a Skins
1:18:13
fan like you feel about good old Dom and how we
1:18:15
want that clown off of our TV as fast
1:18:17
as possible. Kevin Ryan Gilt
1:18:19
two things I never want to see again, Dom And oh
1:18:22
you're getting political? Don't do that? Uh
1:18:24
shine the professor Professor Shin Sadly, anyone who
1:18:27
grew up on MTV would know Kajak gougu had
1:18:29
to be nineteen eighty three. Ye man's
1:18:32
from uh Scott Kendrick. Do you think
1:18:34
had Georgia won, the Committee would have taken the four undefeated,
1:18:37
in other words, left Texas out. In effect, Alabama
1:18:40
winning forced them to take Texas. Yeah,
1:18:42
I think if Jordan, Let's put it this way, I think if Jordan
1:18:44
Travis was still playing, they
1:18:47
would have screwed Texas. I
1:18:49
believe that.
1:18:49
Yeah, I believe that too.
1:18:51
I believe that freak and havoc.
1:18:53
Is it worth betting Khalil Mack Defensive Player of the Year
1:18:55
odds are one hundred and one and he's leading the league in sacks.
1:18:57
Yeah, he had a great game yesterday. I
1:18:59
think that is actually a pretty good bet
1:19:01
at one hundred to one. I would take a flyer on it. I
1:19:03
don't have it full disclosure, but
1:19:06
it's it's a pretty interest of all the long
1:19:08
shot bets.
1:19:08
It's the best one out there. What's he up due
1:19:10
now, like like thirteen or something? Do you
1:19:12
have like six in that one game? Yeah?
1:19:14
I had. I think he had two yesterday.
1:19:16
I believe it's just funny he leads because
1:19:18
he had a few big gay.
1:19:19
He was the defensive player of the Year in twenty sixteen.
1:19:22
I believe it was. I mean seven years later, here he
1:19:24
is again. Joe Abraham. Yes, the comparison
1:19:26
to Chumbawamba is apped. I knew who sung two shot, but
1:19:28
no idea how to spell it. And
1:19:30
this is from Bill Beard. Earlier in the game, way
1:19:32
before the scuffle, Burkhart mentioned Dom on air because
1:19:34
Tom hooked him up with a restaurant recommendation. Then
1:19:36
Dom gets serious camera time Kevin's trying
1:19:38
to make his boy famous. Oh and t Lynch
1:19:41
with the last correction, and he is right. He goes the Saints would
1:19:43
like a word with worst non call versus
1:19:46
the Rams. Uh, you are correct.
1:19:48
The worst non call in history was not last night.
1:19:50
It was, of course Tommy Lee Lewis
1:19:53
getting destroyed by
1:19:55
Nikel Roby Coleman in that playoff game.
1:19:57
Yeah, yeah, yeah, that's a fair tweet.
1:19:59
I amended it all fair and I said, Okay, what
1:20:01
we saw last night is the worst non call
1:20:03
I've ever seen in my life of the past two
1:20:05
months, I was.
1:20:06
Gonna see of my past twenty four hours
1:20:08
here on this planet. Let's go.
1:20:10
We got games. We got games to go to. UH four
1:20:12
to twenty five Eastern Broncos at Chargers,
1:20:14
the six and six Broncos, the five and
1:20:17
seven Chargers. After that riveting six
1:20:19
to nothing win over the Patriots yesterday, UH
1:20:21
Russell Wilson in defeat against the Texans fifteen
1:20:23
of twenty six for one eighty six, one touchdown, three
1:20:26
picks, three time sacked, ten carries forty four yards
1:20:28
in a touchdown. They were minus three and turnovers against
1:20:30
the Texans, all in the second half, and that led to plus
1:20:32
six net Houston points and the
1:20:34
game clinching interception. Chargers
1:20:36
in victory.
1:20:37
Herbert twenty two of thirty seven for
1:20:39
two twelve, no touchdowns, no picks.
1:20:40
He was not sacked Chargers by three and even
1:20:43
three big name name Chargers by thirty. That's
1:20:45
an easy one, all right. Next up Sunday
1:20:48
night, because we have two Monday night football games this,
1:20:50
Yes.
1:20:50
We're back to two Monday nights.
1:20:51
I like this me too. Sunday night football.
1:20:53
Eagles and Cowboys.
1:20:56
I'm gonna guess based on the teams that are left at the
1:20:58
Monday night game stink. But that's a different story.
1:21:01
Philly at Dallas Sunday night. Now that's a ballgame.
1:21:03
The ten and two Eagles, the nine and three Cowboys.
1:21:06
Cowboys trying to even up the season series against
1:21:08
the Eagles with this one.
1:21:09
Philly.
1:21:09
In defeat against the Niners, Hurts twenty
1:21:11
six of forty five for two ninety eight, one touchdown,
1:21:13
no Pasey was sacked three times, seven for twenty on the ground
1:21:15
in the touchdown. AJ Brown eight for one
1:21:18
fourteen again in defeat Dallas we talked
1:21:20
about on Friday. They beat the Seahawks
1:21:22
on Thursday. I will say Dallas, not quite by the full
1:21:24
three, but by two and a half.
1:21:26
We have Okay, I'm updating
1:21:28
this right now. Cowboys three
1:21:30
juiced at DraftKings.
1:21:33
We are up to three and a half several
1:21:35
of their places. I did lay the three on the open
1:21:37
here with the Cowboys.
1:21:38
Like it.
1:21:39
Okay, Monday night. Don't
1:21:42
like this same times? We're not in the staggered
1:21:44
times. Oh I don't like that. Yeah, they start
1:21:46
at the same start at the same time, I believe,
1:21:49
not even like an hour and fifteen minutes stagger
1:21:51
like they did earlier. I'm just confirming I'm not
1:21:53
screwing that up. No, we have eight to fifteen Eastern
1:21:55
starts. Why would they do that?
1:21:57
I have no idea.
1:21:58
Uh okay, first up, Titans had
1:22:00
Dolphins.
1:22:01
Four and eight, Titans nine and three Dolphins.
1:22:03
We talked about the Titans earlier losing somehow
1:22:05
to the Colts. Total Plinko game eleven
1:22:08
sixteen of thirty three for two twenty four one touchdown, no
1:22:10
picks, even sacks six times, lost a fumble. Henry
1:22:12
twenty one for one oh two and two touchdowns before
1:22:14
he was knocked out of the game.
1:22:16
Miami.
1:22:16
This is the only game we haven't talked about Miami. Just just by
1:22:18
the way. That was my fifth pick in millions.
1:22:20
I just took the Dolphins. God, that was the easiest of the
1:22:22
bunch. They just destroy the commodores.
1:22:26
Miami first drive, three plays, six eighty six
1:22:28
yards, two out of tyreek for seventy eight seven
1:22:30
to nothing, Dolphins nine twenty eight left first quarter,
1:22:32
ten to nothing. Now first and ten for Washington at their own
1:22:34
thirty eight howl picked at point blank range by
1:22:36
Andrew van Ginkel to the house thirty two yards,
1:22:38
seventeen to nothing. Dolphins. We're still in the first
1:22:41
quarter. The route is on skins dead. Did
1:22:43
go seventy five yards ten plays howl in from one seventeen
1:22:45
to seven eleven oh four left and second
1:22:47
quarter, but then Miami right back, third and seven
1:22:49
at their own forty two at a reek for sixty
1:22:52
twenty four to seven Miami nine to fourteen left
1:22:54
second quarter, and then after a Washington puont Miami
1:22:56
would go seventy six yards on eleven plays, mosted
1:22:58
in from one thirty one to seven.
1:23:00
At the half.
1:23:01
It was two forty seven to one, thirty totally yards
1:23:03
at halftime Tyreek had one forty eight alone.
1:23:05
He was out gaining Washington by himself. Second
1:23:07
half opening drive Miami seventy five yards, nine plays
1:23:10
eight chan In from four thirty eight to seven
1:23:12
Miami nine thirty six left third quarter. Then Washington
1:23:15
would answer back Howell in from thirteen and
1:23:17
a two point conversion thirty eight to fifteen,
1:23:20
four thirty one left third quarter, But then Miami
1:23:22
would score again forty five to
1:23:24
fifteen. You know the rest eighteen for twenty
1:23:26
four for two eighty two touchdowns, no picks,
1:23:28
no sacks, Tyreek five for one fifty
1:23:31
seven and two touchdowns. He's gonna get there, baby,
1:23:33
He's gonna get to two thousand. For the first time ever in
1:23:35
NFL history. They outgained Washington
1:23:37
four oh six to two forty five. They held Washington to
1:23:39
eleven first downs and twelve
1:23:42
completed forward passes. Miami
1:23:45
hosting Tennessee. I'll say Miami by ten and a hook.
1:23:48
Ooh you are light Dolphins thirteen
1:23:51
point favorites. Oh
1:23:54
Man, Alright, finally, I think I
1:23:56
got it. I mean it's Dolphins are nothing, right,
1:23:59
Yeah, especially in these type of games.
1:24:01
We'll talk about this more in the not a Slayer
1:24:04
low, but like one of two games on national television,
1:24:06
are they gonna crush them?
1:24:07
They're gonna especially this Tennessee
1:24:09
team. To me, it's interesting because
1:24:11
I think they're kind of easy to figure relatively
1:24:14
easy to figure out betting wise, because Derrick
1:24:16
Henry is either part of the game or not part of
1:24:18
the game based on the opponent. Them
1:24:20
playing the Miami Dolphins. Derek Henry is not a part of
1:24:22
the game because Dolphins's gonna score too
1:24:24
much.
1:24:24
Though somehow they only beat the Raiders by seven, so
1:24:26
there is that. So I don't know it's
1:24:29
chalk mcchalkerson, but it's like it's better than most
1:24:31
of these games this week.
1:24:32
I think, yeah, you got one
1:24:34
more same time, same day Packers
1:24:36
at Giants.
1:24:37
The Packers who are now six and six, And yes, Matt
1:24:39
Lafleur back should be back in the coach of the
1:24:42
Year discussion.
1:24:42
I really believe that. I think I saw thirty's when
1:24:45
I looked earlier. That's kind of back.
1:24:47
Jordan Love twenty five of thirty six or two
1:24:49
sixty seven, three touchdowns, no picks. He was sacked
1:24:51
only twice in victory against the Chiefs
1:24:53
last night. Lafleur, you ready
1:24:55
for this stat on Matt Lafleur indeed.
1:24:58
Which you got sixteen and oh right
1:25:00
up.
1:25:00
In December.
1:25:02
He had a pretty good quarterback.
1:25:04
He did sixteen
1:25:06
to h and the Giants were idol.
1:25:08
Giants are four and eight Packers
1:25:11
after last night, Packers
1:25:13
by six. I
1:25:17
mean, come on, it gotta be right.
1:25:18
Yeah, all right, so I can't
1:25:20
bet it, but yeah, dude,
1:25:23
Jordan Love is good. I know. I hate
1:25:25
to tell people, all right, So what did I unlock?
1:25:28
So last week I loved for I bet
1:25:30
him during the show. I don't
1:25:33
love Love anything here, but
1:25:35
I kind of like Jacksonville
1:25:37
fits three or lower played that and
1:25:40
you're saying it's three. I think we're still threes.
1:25:42
Widely available of course something.
1:25:44
This is before the game tonight, so god forbids available.
1:25:47
So yes, yeah I bet it, and you're right. But if you are going
1:25:49
to bet games like this, I think you gotta bet them smaller
1:25:52
than you normally would because they're playing tonight.
1:25:54
You don't know what could happen.
1:25:56
I kind of like Indianapolis because I kind
1:25:58
of like them every week and they to get
1:26:00
home for me.
1:26:01
Yeah, they've been working out for you, man.
1:26:04
That doesn't make me like super confident in
1:26:06
minshew, but and I could see them going into Cincinnati
1:26:08
and getting beat again.
1:26:09
But I sense is terrible.
1:26:11
That's the only problem right now, right I said it though there
1:26:13
bye was at the exact right time.
1:26:16
They had a week to rest.
1:26:17
At five and five, you could tell Jonathan Taylor
1:26:20
was ramping up. So
1:26:22
I kind of like them, but I love these Like last
1:26:24
week, man, Yeah, let's say how
1:26:26
low that Detroit game gets against Chicago,
1:26:29
Like, if that got to three, that'd be a play.
1:26:31
I think it would be a play for me too. We did get a tweet
1:26:33
about that, I answered, and three and a half.
1:26:36
I feel like it's gonna probably sit there all week, but maybe
1:26:38
not. If it gets to three will be a play for me. I
1:26:40
did lay the three with the Cowboys already, And if
1:26:43
you have, if you're in the same mindset,
1:26:45
get there, get there now, because we're going mainly
1:26:47
three and a half now in that Eagles Cowboys
1:26:49
game. And then I think with that Chiefs
1:26:51
Bill line moving, you know, I think I'm gonna
1:26:54
do it Bill's Ravens teasers what I'm gonna end
1:26:56
up doing.
1:26:56
Yeah, I'm just talking about sides here for
1:26:58
a contest, And for Bets here, I mean
1:27:01
Dallas laying three
1:27:04
or less. Again the three let's say's
1:27:06
three right now, Dallas laying three against the Eagles
1:27:08
maybe, And what about the two Chalklin Miami
1:27:11
thirteen versus
1:27:13
Tennessee and then what was
1:27:15
the other one? San Francisco double digits
1:27:17
against Seattle. Like these are like the
1:27:19
squarest, choggiest things in the world. But it's like I'd
1:27:22
rather lose on that than some of these others.
1:27:24
I'd much more quickly go
1:27:26
to the Dolphins
1:27:28
in that situation.
1:27:30
That met me too. As
1:27:33
much as I love the Niners in brock Purty, it's
1:27:35
a lot of pressure. Stel has a lot of Yeah,
1:27:38
that's right. So I like this not Seattle
1:27:40
was a little impressive last week, Yeah they were. I
1:27:43
don't like this nearly as much as last week, but I like
1:27:45
it better than two weeks ago. Let's put it that way.
1:27:47
Thanksgiving week, Let's go Jags tonight and
1:27:49
then next week too.
1:27:50
Thank you to Chris Malika. That was fun talking
1:27:53
FSU.
1:27:54
We appreciate that best.
1:27:56
Betts's next enjoy from Vson The Sports
1:27:58
Betty Memories
1:28:00
The Sacandagada,
1:28:05
the Satan
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