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0:04
Tuesday morning, April ninth, twenty twenty four. It
0:06
is the Beating the Book Podcast, the eighty
0:08
eighth Masters tradition, unlike
0:10
any other from Augusta, first
0:13
major of the year, as always Skill Alexander
0:16
joined by a steamed panel
0:18
of golf experts for the second
0:21
straight year. Kelly, you might have been on for
0:23
three years, but for the second straight year the
0:25
duo here.
0:25
That's a great question.
0:26
Yeah, we were going through like the history of Beating
0:29
the Book Masters pod.
0:30
This this is only my second year on.
0:32
Okay, so you and West both to
0:34
two thirds of the long shots
0:36
caring by long shots, I mean there is a podcast,
0:38
a dedicated golf podcast that Vison
0:41
has called long Shots, a colloquial
0:44
colloquially called it's called long shots. Is
0:46
That's how Matt Brown used to do the promo. Matt
0:48
Brown too much of a divad to be on the show. It's
0:50
not true. He's going to Augusta, so we give him an excuse.
0:53
But the other two members for a second straight
0:55
year, the great Wes Reynolds everybody
0:58
co host of Vison tonight doing Wes, thanks
1:00
for doing this again.
1:01
I'm well, Gil, thanks for having me and.
1:03
Congratulations on the
1:07
future Jaeger fifty
1:09
to one two weeks ago. Were you on Batilla?
1:12
I was not just for a placement market,
1:14
but he was very well tipped in the
1:16
market and was able to get at home in
1:19
that playoff. Now, now, when he heard
1:21
his shoulder though in the playoff, all
1:23
I was like.
1:24
Man, this is like very tennis. This is
1:26
exactly hard. Gil.
1:28
I was like, man, this is like Ropp and Nadal
1:30
going to the trainer and like the fourpe said
1:32
at Roland Garros or something. But nevertheless,
1:35
he got it home after he got that shoulder
1:37
taped.
1:38
What Wes is referring to. For those who don't
1:40
know, ak Shee Batilla, who won the
1:43
Valero Open this past week, had
1:45
a six shot lead going
1:47
into the back nine, and then Denny McCarthy went
1:50
ballistic, birdied ten, part
1:52
eleven and then birdied twelve, thirteen, fourteen,
1:54
fifty, sixteen, seventeen, eighteen, and
1:57
it required Akha Batilla
1:59
to have a tournament tying putt
2:02
on eighteen. It looked like he was going to lose it
2:04
in regulation, if you will, he sinks
2:06
the putt and in celebration it
2:09
was It was a pretty tough putt too. It was not a short butt.
2:12
In celebration, he pumps his left
2:15
arm and Batilla what we
2:17
say, Wes, he weighs what ninety seven ninety
2:19
eight pounds roughly?
2:20
Yeah, he does this, big tall guy, big tall,
2:22
skinny guy.
2:23
It was very It was very grammatica
2:25
of uh.
2:27
Very grammatica. That's why we have Wes
2:29
on the show for reverences like that. Correct, was
2:31
that Martin? Just to get my grammatica's
2:33
correct.
2:34
I believe it was Martine Grammatica. Okay,
2:37
jumped on in the field goal celebration and
2:39
then stumbled to the ground after
2:41
that.
2:42
That's the right, one of the great moments in NFL celebration
2:44
history. So anyway, he dis he What
2:46
we learn on the playoff hole because
2:48
they go back and play eighteen again is
2:51
that he's called for a trainer, and Wes
2:53
is exactly right. This is like every tennis player who
2:55
falls behind, Oh my leg I
2:57
need a trainer, just trying to like really like stay
3:00
time. Sometimes it's legit, and in Batia's
3:02
case, it was legit, and the announcers were and I was texting
3:04
Kelly. Kelly was on the air because he couldn't really get
3:06
it because he was on the air. I'm texting Kelly.
3:09
I'm like, the announcers are speculating
3:11
that he dislo that he heard his shoulder,
3:13
first heard his shoulder on the celebration, and then
3:15
I was like, oh my god, it's confirmed. He partially
3:17
dislocated his shoulder. But it didn't
3:19
matter in the end because he was still able
3:21
to hit an approach shot or the shot before the approach
3:24
shot. And then McCarthy
3:26
hid in the creek anyway, and then I'm sure his elbow his
3:28
shoulder started feeling much better. It's tough
3:30
to put from the creek, Denny, Yeah, it
3:33
is, Wes. Let me just before, by the way,
3:35
that's the voice of Kelly Bidlin. I shouldn't assume that this
3:37
audience knows who you are. You're
3:39
like, yeap and like it's the Numbers Games. That's
3:41
Kelly Biblin, along with Wes Reynolds two thirds
3:43
of the long Shots crew. And before
3:45
I asked Wes this question, the third member
3:48
of the panel is Sia Najade, who
3:50
we have on the radio side all the time. Sia
3:53
is a host and analyst at sports
3:55
Line and the Monumental Sports Network
3:57
in Good Old DC, in the
3:59
dmv uh Sea comes
4:01
to us. You won't be able to see this, but he has a uh he
4:04
has a one of the all time very good Santana
4:06
Moss photo behind him where
4:08
he's thrown up the twenty one for Sean Taylor
4:11
Jolways love Sea. Good morning, Thank
4:13
you for doing this man.
4:14
Good morning, listen.
4:16
I wish I was on the right side of Batilla
4:18
for the outright, but I had him for a first
4:21
round leader at sixty five to one. The reason I bring
4:23
that up is because it's
4:25
I have a lot in common with Akhabt. You guys
4:27
know, I've told this story. I've dislocated my shoulders
4:30
seven times, like fully dislocated before
4:33
before the first yeah, before
4:35
the first of seven playing basketball, mostly before
4:37
the first of seven. It would it would
4:39
go like Oxhays went, where it would pop
4:41
out but then pop right back in and basically be
4:44
okay outside of some soreness. So uh,
4:46
anyway, I could very much relate to that. It
4:48
was painful for me to watch after I realized
4:50
what had happened when he was pumping his fist, But
4:54
yeah, that brought back some gruesome memories
4:56
for sure.
4:57
Seven times.
4:59
Is it just like it.
5:00
It's gonna happen for the rest of your life, that it's just going
5:02
to pop out now.
5:03
When it's in compromising positions.
5:05
Yes, it's usually like you know, playing
5:07
basketball the football. I put it in an awkward spot,
5:10
weight gets pushed against it, it comes out. It's very
5:12
hard to put it back out.
5:13
I wasn't gonna ask about the compromise.
5:16
Now, are you like falling rigs at this point?
5:18
See, I like you against
5:20
the wall like Mel Gibson style, all badass.
5:23
So you know before the
5:26
before the anti semitism he's talking about.
5:28
Yes, yeah, anti semitism.
5:30
Yeah.
5:31
The first four I was able to put it back in myself.
5:33
I'm kind of like wiggling into my shoulder. The
5:35
last three I needed assistance
5:37
in a very very big way.
5:39
Wiggling into your shoulder. Oh
5:41
man.
5:42
And the last thing, I'm sorry, I don't mean to
5:44
belabor this, but the first the first
5:47
time that it dislocated was some traumatic event
5:49
and then it just never corrected.
5:51
Well, the first time it dislocated, it popped
5:54
right back in. That was kind of my high school days where I
5:56
realized there was a problem, But it wasn't so much
5:58
of a problem that the tears and all
6:00
of that stuff inside, like wasn't as big of a
6:02
deal for it to stay out, so it wasn't
6:04
fully compromised, and then it became fully compromised,
6:07
and when it came out, it stayed out.
6:08
So wait, does this mean no one can bet on Batilla for the Masters
6:10
because he qualifies for the Masters with this win?
6:12
But now, like, if you want it, let's just say if you
6:14
had an inkling to bet him, And
6:17
someone pointed out this morning it was a
6:19
Hasselbauer who was like, if he hadn't
6:21
qualified, it would have been exactly eighty eight golfers
6:24
for the eighty eighth Masters, So he fucked that
6:26
up. Yeah, let's just say that, what an
6:28
ass. But if you if you had an inkling
6:31
to bet him, now would you not because of this situation?
6:33
I'll answer this one first, because
6:35
I don't know about you, guys. He
6:37
is definitely a guy that I had circled
6:40
to bet this week. Yet I mean,
6:42
it's it's a major week. You can always make
6:44
so many cases for so many guys that
6:46
yes, Gil, that is pretty much all it took for me
6:48
to cross off my list.
6:49
This week, where I don't really know what his shoulder is
6:52
doing.
6:52
If it's in, it's out, can how easily can
6:54
it pop back out again? Like see is talking about.
6:57
So yeah, I did cross him off my list, Wes,
6:59
Yeah, I don't know. You guys handled him.
7:01
Well, yeah, go ahead, let's see. I'm
7:04
sorry, go ahead. No.
7:05
I was just going to say, like, I don't think it's a problem, to
7:07
be honest with you, because it wasn't fully
7:09
compromised in the sense of it like being
7:11
out for a while, that's when you really have to stabilize
7:13
and you got to worry about the join and the ligaments
7:16
around the join itself. The fact that he's at
7:18
a stage where it's popping right back in. It's probably
7:20
going to be some soreness for a couple of days, but it's
7:22
actually not going to affect his golf swing at all.
7:24
The fact that he had his hand up in a non
7:26
golf position when he was celebrating that putt,
7:28
by the way, great putt by him, But that's
7:31
not a position where you're putting your shoulder
7:33
in, And therefore, outside of a couple of days of
7:35
soreness, I actually think he'll be fine with his swing.
7:38
Same for you me.
7:40
Yeah, well, yeah, I agree with in
7:42
terms of the diagnosis
7:44
that Si, having had this injury before,
7:47
just gave there. But the one thing I will say,
7:50
because as we're as we're recording
7:52
this, we're now getting the pairings
7:54
being released and oh yes, actually
7:56
he is actually in the apt one of the afternoon
7:58
groups, which I do wonder
8:01
because all the top five in the betting,
8:04
by the way, are in the first the am wave
8:06
on Thursday, and if we get
8:08
weather, I think it's going to be in the afternoon.
8:10
So I wonder if we're going to get a scenario
8:12
like we did last year where the afternoon guys
8:14
are going to have to make up to get
8:17
this back on time and you know, play twenty
8:20
eight thirty holes in a day or.
8:22
Something like that.
8:22
So that's the only thing that I could see
8:24
that could be a bugaboo on this injury for betf
8:27
he's got to play a lot of extra golf.
8:29
If you get weather in that afternoon wave Thursday.
8:32
Watch this bugaboo hip hop record?
8:34
Who's the artist.
8:35
Wes's Destiny's Child? Of
8:37
course, I think, yeah.
8:40
No, but they had a bugaboo too, they had I
8:43
always thinking of a hip hop record, but yes, that's correct.
8:45
Okay, yeah, okay, okay,
8:47
So I want to seize on the weather thing momentarily, but before
8:50
I do that, because there's going to be the beating
8:52
the book. Audience may not be as familiar with
8:55
the Long Shot Screw, but Kelly,
8:57
Wes and Matt are going to do
8:59
a live thing for those who happen to listen
9:01
to this today. They're gonna do a live thing
9:04
at eleven pm Eastern eight pm
9:06
Pacific tonight, which is the Tuesday
9:08
before the Masters. Don't
9:10
worry West, it's not actually it's not actually live,
9:12
Kelly saying, we just say it's live. By the way,
9:14
I completely thought it was live, and Kelly like, burst
9:17
my bubble.
9:17
I wonder what Killy gill all on at numbers.
9:19
We be so worried about it, Yes, acted like I had the longest
9:22
day at I mean.
9:22
I was so confused for a moment. And for those
9:24
who were wondering, if I'm listening to this, why should I listen
9:26
to that? Because you guys will go deep dive into
9:29
that more than you will hear necessarily.
9:30
Yeah.
9:30
Absolutely.
9:31
Matt Brown's picks as well.
9:32
Yeah we are.
9:33
I know Cia does a lot of this too, but very
9:35
heavy heavy data driven that we're
9:38
that we will talk through that lens. That's
9:40
what you'll hear a lot more on the podcast, more
9:43
so than I'm guessing what you're gonna see us up with questions
9:45
here for exactly, we got to leave something
9:48
for you that's right, so you'll hear
9:50
it much more through that lens on the podcast.
9:52
I also want to say this that these are not just three
9:54
I use the word Schmendricks on a numbers game this morning.
9:56
These are not just three schmendricks of golf Sea
10:00
and he doesn't want to be known for this. Hits
10:03
a ridiculous percentage and I'm not even
10:06
making this up. A first round leader bets,
10:08
which is maybe the most Even as I'm saying it, I'm
10:10
like, this is the most ridiculous thing in the world. But it's
10:13
true. He does. Wes. Uh
10:16
you helped me out here, Kelly. Is there
10:19
anybody who hits more outrights
10:21
in anything than Wes Reynolds does in
10:23
golf?
10:24
No, I mean that for a comparable sports No
10:26
like that is you're talking. We're
10:28
talking about the two guys. I mean for west
10:31
Renolds. I think a lot of people have been following this stuff for years
10:33
with golf. He hits outrights
10:35
at higher rate than almost anybody I know. It's
10:37
seeing a shot absolutely the first round.
10:39
He's become the first round leader king over the past
10:41
couple of years.
10:42
The sea things just a comical,
10:44
It's unbelievable.
10:45
It is because I had, like, I
10:47
had some success that I stumbled
10:49
into. I think, much like CEO when we like
10:52
all like kind of first round leader markets
10:54
became more widely available for
10:56
whatever reason, I found myself stumbling
10:59
into success there. But it's like betting a
11:01
first quarter of an NBA game, right, Like
11:03
it's.
11:03
Not really you're you're.
11:05
Ideally letting your hondicap play
11:08
out.
11:08
By the way we're talking, like these guys aren't even here, see is
11:10
like it's not no,
11:12
you're right, yeah, okay. So, and I also
11:15
just want to point out before we get into this particular
11:17
master's that you Kelly
11:19
do By the way, Kelly's a great golf handicapper
11:21
in his own right, you do things by model Wes.
11:25
You don't necessarily do it that way,
11:27
correct, How would you characterize it.
11:29
Kind of a combo platter? I'm not totally
11:31
model driven. A lot of it is a lot
11:33
of it is market driven as well.
11:35
A lot of it is just you know, following
11:37
this out the year, So it's not like a particular
11:39
model. It's more like a statistical context,
11:42
okay of things that I think are going to be important
11:45
on week to week basis.
11:46
By the way, how much like pressure do you feel
11:49
because you're so good at this? Like if you have a
11:51
week or two or god forbid, god
11:53
forbid Wes that you go a month without
11:56
hitting an outright, do you like lose your
11:58
mind? Do you start to get high anxiety?
12:01
Yes?
12:02
Yes, as a matter of fact, because
12:04
look, look I had a few week drought before
12:07
I hit Jaeger in Houston, and you
12:09
know, and and and because of these droughts,
12:12
that's what led me a little bit more to like placement
12:14
markets, you know, the top twenties
12:16
and the top thirties where it's like, hey,
12:19
can I still make money when
12:21
I'm not hitting out in an outright
12:23
wager? And and you know that that has
12:25
helped me at least most weeks. But but yeah,
12:27
look, you know I put a little bit
12:29
probably too much pressure on myself.
12:31
But you know, when you devote yourself to
12:33
this, you obviously want to get out what you put
12:35
into it.
12:36
I love only vsent dot com slash picks page.
12:38
When I'm lucky enough to be in the top three.
12:41
It's like Wes Renolds, like Gil
12:43
Alexander two, he went three and
12:45
two the last week for you know whatever. The
12:47
percentage ROI three and two right West Reynolds
12:49
is in the first place. He's like one hundred and seventy
12:52
eight or something like that with all his plays fires
12:55
Baby, and then Sia does
12:57
things by locating and dislocating.
13:00
What is your what would you say is your handicapping
13:02
approach?
13:03
I would say it's a combo between Wes and
13:05
Kelly's. Like I tend to steer
13:07
away from models, but I got to admit, like the the
13:10
things I'm looking at are inputs into
13:12
models. I'm just looking at it more granularly
13:15
hard word to say, by the way, So I'm looking at strokes
13:17
gain data mostly, but I'm just looking
13:19
at looking at a piece by piece because i want
13:21
to see, like even the smaller sample size
13:23
sizes that a model might show, like round by round,
13:25
tournament by tournament scoring, where whereas a
13:27
model might just like you'll collate
13:30
all of that stuff over whatever, however many rounds
13:32
you want to do it, but sixteen, twenty four, fifty
13:34
whatever, I just want to look at it piece
13:36
by piece. So it's kind of a long way to do it, but
13:39
it's kind of using both approaches that Wes and Kelly
13:41
use.
13:41
Okay, so I probably should just clarify
13:43
too. Matt Brown often does this. So if I'm not sitting
13:46
here coding and like running all this stuff,
13:48
I'm using a lot of great stat engine websites
13:50
that are out there, like Fantasy National, ric,
13:53
run good dot.
13:53
Com, bet spurts, a lot of these guys that we've
13:56
had on the shows.
13:56
You mean, you're not scraping day.
13:58
That might be shocking to you some of the y the
14:00
audience.
14:01
That's right, that's very honest of you. So
14:04
eighty eighth Masters, and
14:06
again we should always point out with the Masters the most
14:08
predictive of golf courses from
14:10
one year to the next. Obviously, it's the only major
14:12
that plays on the same golf course, and
14:14
as we alluded to earlier, it is a smaller
14:17
field than what we're normally used
14:19
to. And we just mentioned eighty nine golfers
14:22
here. With the pairings coming out right now,
14:24
and many of those not many,
14:27
but a more than negligible
14:29
percentage of the eighty nine are going
14:31
to be. As we like to joke every year, winners
14:33
from like the Eisenhower administration, right the
14:35
Larry Mises of the world and years gone
14:37
by and those kind the Bernard Langers
14:40
and those kind of players. So you really
14:42
do have a smaller pool than normal.
14:44
And let me start with what West brought up. This
14:46
is always the best place to start up if you
14:48
look at the weather forecast in Augusta, and we know
14:51
how weather forecasts go, but right now we're
14:53
seeing some rain and wind on
14:55
Thursday for the first round, and some wind
14:57
on Friday, Saturday, and Sunday is supposed
14:59
to glorious. So it's
15:02
funny how you couched it, West, because earlier on
15:04
a numbers game we had Drew densic On it's
15:06
also a nice golf handicapper,
15:08
and he was talking about how he
15:11
thought the advantage might go. Am
15:13
I right about this, Kelly? He did the opposite. He said the advantage
15:16
might go to the afternoon Thursdays
15:18
and the morning Fridays. Yeah's
15:21
no correct, correct, And you off air, You're
15:23
like, yeah, these guy everyone's really
15:25
like has assumptions about the weather and
15:27
Wes is saying the opposite now that you're
15:30
sort of operating instinct, is that the
15:33
folks in the afternoon on Thursday might
15:35
get the worst of it.
15:36
Yeah, look, it's hard to predict a weather
15:39
bias. You know, that's what we try to do every
15:41
year. It's seemingly for the Open Championship
15:43
in July, but you know,
15:45
more often than not, the wind at least
15:47
is going to be more benign you would think in the
15:49
morning.
15:50
And that's why I think, you know, on a.
15:53
Just week to week basis on the PGA Tour,
15:55
the majority and CM maybe
15:57
can confirm this or go a diferent
16:00
way with it, but it seems like a lot
16:02
of the first round leaders are in morning draws
16:05
more often than not on PGA Tour events.
16:07
Guys that are getting out and maybe those first ten
16:10
to fifteen groups in the morning.
16:12
Now, keep in mind there's only thirty pairings here
16:14
at Augusta because there's only eighty nine players.
16:16
There's one group that's a twosome that I
16:18
think is the first out, and then you have threesomes
16:21
throughout the rest. So I think, like we were talking about with Patilla,
16:23
he's like in the twenty second of thirty groups,
16:25
so that would make him in the afternoon wave.
16:28
But yeah, look last
16:30
year, obviously the weather turned this topsy
16:32
turvy or it looked like Group Kopka was
16:34
very much the winner, and then John Rahm
16:37
had to go. You know, John Rahm proved that you
16:39
can come from the tough side of the draw and
16:41
obviously win here. So just because you're on the bad
16:43
end of the draw doesn't mean that you can't
16:46
try it ultimately.
16:47
Yet John Ram the defending champion Scotti
16:49
Scheffler. His only major win was the year before
16:52
that. All right,
16:54
well, Wes, have you seen any things I know I'm asking
16:56
you to do two things at once here, but have you seen anything
16:58
in the pairings just on a glance
17:01
that makes you lean certain
17:03
directions or makes you cross out anybody?
17:06
Well, the featured pairing, and
17:09
it's going to be in the early wave on Thursday
17:11
and then the afternoon wave on Friday.
17:13
Believe they are group number twelve,
17:16
and you've got three of the top four in the betting
17:20
paired together. So you have Scotti
17:22
Scheffler paired with
17:24
Rory McElroy and Xander
17:27
Schoffle. Oh, and they
17:29
are paired together and The group in front
17:31
of them, I believe is John
17:34
Ram, the defending champion, Matt
17:36
Fitzpatrick, and Nick Dunlap, who
17:38
of course was the amateur that won the American
17:40
Express that has since turned professional.
17:43
Okay, so what is
17:46
that? Does that do anything for you from a handicapping
17:48
staff or not? Really?
17:49
You know, it doesn't change it as much
17:51
because look, and
17:54
Rory and Xander two that I do
17:56
like this week, at least on the.
17:58
Short end of the board. But
18:00
look, you're.
18:01
Gonna have to be paired and go against great
18:03
players if you want to do great things at Augustus,
18:06
So I don't think you can be intimidated by that.
18:08
Now, I was mainly looking at okay,
18:11
are some of these guys going to be paired with
18:13
Tiger? And that's where it would have
18:15
been a little bit of a concern with me if
18:17
they were gonna be paired with Tiger,
18:20
because look, that's gonna be obviously a big
18:22
story. Even though he's one hundred and fifty to one on the
18:24
odds board. Is is he
18:26
going to be able to make it? Is he gonna be able
18:28
to make the cut? Is what is the physical
18:30
toll going to be on him? Because last year,
18:33
I thought the physical toll was at least a little
18:35
bit easier through the first two rounds, simply
18:37
because Louis Houstazen withdrew
18:40
from that group. So keep in mind he played in a
18:42
twosome with Woke Neeman, so that's
18:44
a little bit easier than having to stop
18:46
and start with three players in the group.
18:48
And just the walk I think kind of got
18:50
to him and he made the cut on the number and then withdrew
18:53
over the weekend. So I wanted to make
18:55
sure maybe some of my guys were not paired
18:57
with Tiger, because if they see him struggling,
19:00
it may weigh on them a little bit, you know, to
19:02
see if he's playing bad and really struggling
19:05
physically, especially the ones that are
19:07
like really close to him, like Justin Thomas
19:09
and Jordan Speed, but neither were
19:11
paired with Tiger. As I'm actually scrolling
19:14
Jason Mary, Yeah,
19:16
I believe, And I think is that a late.
19:17
Perry and I believe?
19:18
Yeah, one twenty four.
19:20
Okay, by
19:22
the way, you see this prop Micholson versus
19:24
Tiger that some that some shops had
19:27
where it was like really tightly lined,
19:29
and now I think Michelson's minus one forty.
19:31
Phil Mickelson, who, for those who forget finished
19:35
with a flourish last year, shot
19:37
a sixty five on the final round
19:40
and was he tied for second last year
19:42
in the end?
19:43
Yeah?
19:43
Behind wrong. Yeah
19:45
that's a curious line, don't you think.
19:49
I'm not really surprised.
19:50
We had somebody actually on Matt
19:53
Humans and Ice program last night,
19:55
Vson, and I said, I really like Phil
19:57
over Tiger here, because Phil, even though he's
19:59
not really in contention on
20:01
a week to week basis on Live and it's
20:03
fifty four holes, he still at least his com playing
20:06
competitive golf Tiger Woods, by
20:08
the way, has not finished four rounds in an
20:10
official event I'm not including the Hero Rule
20:12
Challenge. Has not finished an
20:14
event where he's played all four rounds since
20:16
the twenty twenty three Genesis Invitational.
20:19
So it's been over a year since this guy
20:21
has played four rounds in tournament play.
20:23
Yeah, I mean, that's what I mean. Maybe I wasn't clarifying.
20:25
I wasn't clear. I couldn't believe it was
20:27
so short, and minus one forty
20:30
seems short to me.
20:31
Still for Micky, it was like it
20:33
was like minus one fifteen at bet mgm
20:35
Over.
20:35
Yeah, yeah, yeah, I saw one that
20:37
were even tighter. I mean I would be leaning
20:39
Phill. You're not rushing to be running
20:41
out to bet though, I would not be betting Tiger or
20:43
Phil this week. All right, well, let's start out with
20:46
Let's start out with some outrights. Sia
20:48
has not a heart out but a heart ish out,
20:51
So let's just let's do outrights first, and
20:53
then we'll sort of throw at see his way.
20:55
But Kelly, right
20:57
now, forty eight hours before.
20:59
The tournament, the tournament is who he use?
21:01
It's the totement. Gil. We don't like your
21:03
con around here. Uh
21:08
what do you have in pocket as an outright? And
21:10
then what are you thinking about?
21:11
I think my outrights are settled. I think my
21:14
outright card is complete. There are definitely
21:16
some bets I still have to add as Vegas is
21:18
taking its time to post some things here
21:20
in town. So the outrights
21:23
are about the only thing that is settled, I would say
21:25
for me right now, I have three that
21:27
I made over the
21:29
past couple months. I have three that
21:31
I've made this week justin
21:34
Thomas Hideki Matziyama, will zalatoris
21:37
I bet in the mid thirties over the
21:39
past couple months. I absolutely
21:41
love Adeci this week, so much more
21:44
that I had it back on to him at a shorter
21:46
number. He
21:49
might be my favorite. He is my favorite play
21:51
this week, no matter how you're playing him. Hideki Matziyama
21:54
is my favorite play this week. JT and Zalaturus
21:57
had some great stretches earlier or
21:59
earlier in the season. Their past couple events
22:01
have both been a little mid not
22:03
so great. JT obviously the change
22:06
a caddy with.
22:07
Does that matter to you, by the way, so close to the
22:09
event.
22:10
Because it's not just any bones
22:12
it does, see it, Wes. I don't
22:14
know how you guys feel about this with JT.
22:16
In the amount of experience he has at
22:18
Augusta, I'm not worried about
22:21
it as much, but I
22:23
don't.
22:23
Know how you guys look at that.
22:25
I just think it's a sign that he's flailing more
22:27
than anything else. The timing of it just seems very
22:29
curious with a very respected guy on the back,
22:31
so it doesn't it doesn't inspire much confidence,
22:34
let's put it that way.
22:34
Yeah, yeah, and with me. Look,
22:37
Matt Minster is a really good caddy. He was
22:39
with Patrick Cantley for several years
22:41
and they had some success together, so I'm not worried
22:43
about the quality of service he's going to
22:45
get on the bag, but it does beg
22:47
the question, like Sea was saying, like, because
22:49
I feel like Justin Thomas has played much
22:52
better this year than he had last year where he
22:54
was totally lost and missing cuts badly,
22:56
but he's still kind of searching for something and
22:59
that gets in your head a little bit. And he
23:01
hasn't won since that PGA Championship
23:03
at Southern Hills two years ago, so he's.
23:05
Certainly is question it.
23:07
But I think he is in better like pure
23:09
playing for him, just watching him than he
23:11
was this time last.
23:12
Yeah, I agree with Wes. That's kind of why I put
23:14
the bet in it for the first place. I think the consistency
23:17
you're getting out of Zalatorus and JT right now
23:19
though, is a little shaky. So I didn't go
23:21
back in on those guys in any other markets
23:23
hit DECKI I did add the other
23:25
outrights that I did bet Wyndham
23:28
Clark debutant tebut debutant,
23:31
I did bet him at thirty five to one, A
23:33
little bit of that I
23:36
bet him in the top debutant market too.
23:38
I mean we'll hit on that, we get to other bets.
23:40
I did add a small outright bet on him though, just
23:42
because this mark the number I found thirty
23:44
five to one. He had been getting kept getting chopped
23:46
down, chopped down. Think I think he's mainly around
23:49
twenty five twenty eight to one in that range
23:51
right now. So that was part of the part of a number
23:53
play. And then this
23:55
would be a I know he's on CEA his card as
23:57
well. Shane Lowry I do have as
23:59
an outright is my long bomb, my one
24:01
long kind of outright here for this tournament. Lowry
24:04
was incredible in Florida, has put together some great
24:06
results. If we're gonna talk about rain,
24:08
we know this guy can play in the rain. We've seen that
24:10
plenty of times before, done it at
24:12
a very high level. So Shane Lowry
24:15
definitely is kind of the one long
24:17
shot.
24:17
I would say that I do have a lot of interest in this week.
24:19
Shane Lowry, who's top finish here was
24:22
tie for third a couple of years ago at
24:24
the Masters. Obviously the Open
24:26
Championship his one major win, by
24:30
the way, Dave Tindall, for those who
24:32
are golf hardos who are familiar with Dave Tindall
24:35
across the Pond. He writes for Betfair. He does
24:37
his Master's formula every year. We just
24:39
had him on a numbers game where he has criteria
24:42
for the last ten Masters winners and
24:44
he winnows it down on a point system to who
24:46
actually has the most points. First time he's ever had
24:49
a tie at the top, and it is hit, Decky
24:51
and Rory tied as
24:54
his potential Masters winners per
24:56
his formula. By the way, he hit the runners
24:58
up the last two years, so
25:00
he didn't get that champ, but he got the number
25:02
two spot. Wes.
25:05
I heard you mentioned Xander earlier,
25:07
so I'm very excited to hear what you're about to say your
25:09
outrights.
25:10
Yeah yeah, and Xander
25:12
is on my card if you really look,
25:14
look, Scotty Scheffler has been, you
25:17
know, the man among mortals. I guess if you
25:19
will, statistically not just winning two
25:21
events back to back at bay Hill and at the Players,
25:23
first guy to ever defend at the Players in
25:25
that event's history, but the guy right behind
25:27
him on a lot of these categories is Xander
25:29
Schoffle, and I have him int a little
25:31
bit of a better number. I think sixteen
25:33
to one might be the best you can get out there right
25:36
now. But Xander right now second total
25:38
strokes gain top twenty and off the
25:40
tee approach around the green a little.
25:42
Bit down the board.
25:43
Putting, he's eighty f where a Scheffler I think
25:45
is around one hundred mark. But Xander
25:47
was fifth on tour in the same category in putting
25:50
last year, so it seems like it can heat
25:52
up at any moment. Xander actually
25:54
has the longest active consecutive cut
25:56
strikes made on the PGA Tour at forty two.
25:58
He's nine ahead of Scheffler and second at thirty
26:00
three. Last cut was actually at the Masters
26:03
here two years ago, but he was T three
26:05
and twenty twenty one. That was the year Matsuyama
26:07
one was T two and twenty
26:09
nineteen here at Augusta. I think he's
26:11
been the second best player on the PGA Tour this
26:13
season. He's got six top tens. You
26:16
know, it's kind of like, maybe
26:18
I'm ready to get hurt again with this guy, but it's
26:20
long past time for this guy to be second
26:23
best. You know, he's always kind of right there.
26:25
I had him at the Players and I
26:27
felt.
26:27
Like man this is the time he's gonna win.
26:29
A really really big one here and
26:31
just got passed by Scotti Scheffler and ends
26:33
up T two with Clark and Harmon.
26:37
So you know, Xanderschaffle was
26:39
a guy. The number is short, but
26:41
I think it's short for a reason.
26:43
You're the reason I sees on that is for
26:45
obviously for the obvious reasons, because he
26:47
has burned probably more golf betters
26:50
who had him in outrights than anyone that I can think
26:52
of over time. But you're not the only
26:54
one to anecdotally
26:56
anyway that seems to have landed
26:58
on him for this that are willing to go
27:01
back with him. So I thought that, I think that's interesting.
27:04
Yeah, yeah, and you know there's on
27:07
the shorter end Xander. And then I
27:09
did also play Rory speaking of getting
27:11
hurt again, if you've been betting him at the Masters, you've been
27:13
getting hurt the last ten years as he's trying to finish
27:15
this Grand Slam. But I liked what I saw
27:17
at the Valero last week. One
27:20
point eight to eight strokes gain approach per round.
27:22
That's the best that he had done, I believe since
27:25
the Canadian Open two years ago, when he
27:27
won because it came out that he's
27:29
been out to Vegas a few times working with Butch
27:32
Harmon, and you know, maybe Butch is a
27:34
good elixir.
27:34
At least in a short term.
27:36
So he's trying things, and he's
27:38
off the PGA Tour policy board, resigned
27:40
back in December. Of course, he's been the focal
27:42
point of the PGA Tour versus Live
27:45
divide, I think as much as any other player,
27:47
and I think he kind of just wants to put that on the back burner.
27:49
It's like, man, I need to win this thing. This is
27:51
the last thing I have to really accomplished
27:53
as an individual player. So Roy
27:57
McElroy, I did have a little bit at thirteen,
28:00
jakeen Neieman, I'd still maybe
28:02
play smaller at thirty to one. I got fifty to one
28:04
actually when he won the live event Jetta
28:08
last month. But this guy, you look
28:10
at the form on this guy. This guy has
28:12
been terrific for about the last five or six
28:14
months really worldwide. He's
28:16
already won two live events. He's
28:19
trying to get his world ranking up
28:21
because he mentioned after Mayacoba, hey I'm not in
28:23
the majors. He's ninety third
28:25
in the world, and this is a guy
28:27
it's probably a top fifteen or twenty player
28:29
in the world if we're really, you know, looking at
28:31
it realistically.
28:33
But he's got to.
28:34
Move that world ranking up just to get into
28:36
the US Open, just to get into the PGA
28:38
in the Open Championship. So this is an opportunity
28:41
he's got to go, you know where.
28:43
Not if he doesn't win the thing, he at least finishes
28:45
like top three or four.
28:47
So juaque neieman.
28:48
I played I would play at thirty
28:50
a couple of guys in like the mid forties and fifties
28:53
because I'm still finishing my card. Tony
28:55
Fee now whose Majors
28:57
form has not been great lately, but
29:00
before that bad run was really good
29:02
and I liked how he played in Houston a couple of weeks
29:05
ago, runner up, so really
29:07
good Tea Green and the putter's been good in three of
29:09
the last four starts. I played him about forty
29:11
five to one. And then another guy who's heard
29:13
a lot of people I'm going with all the guys that are
29:15
just heartbreakers this week Cameron
29:18
Young fifty five to one, who is
29:20
actually I think in better form coming into
29:22
this Masters than last year when he was twenty
29:24
five to one and ultimately
29:26
finished seventh. Seven runner up finishes
29:29
on the PGA Tour in the last three years for Cameron
29:31
Young. But he's got the game
29:33
here. He was the early leader in round one
29:36
last year. So I just
29:38
went on the drift here. I just went on double the
29:40
price for a guy that I think is probably in better
29:42
form this time around.
29:43
Also in the same way that I brought up Tendall and who
29:45
he landed on, I should bring up because you brought up Tony
29:48
Fenew and because we can hear
29:50
gasps already when we bring up showflet or
29:52
finale from all golf betters listening
29:54
to this. When Joe Peta
29:56
our friend who people know from baseball analytics
29:59
and also analytics, when he did the twenty
30:01
nineteen Master's Tour Guide where
30:03
he had access to the proprietary Augusta
30:06
data, his
30:08
conclusion was that Tony Feenow was
30:10
going to win that twenty nineteen Masters.
30:13
He was actually the third round leader, if
30:15
I'm not mistaken, didn't get there. But
30:17
Fenw's analytics on this
30:19
course over time are as good as
30:21
anyone's. All right,
30:24
SIA, your outrights, And then that you can
30:26
vomit out everything else at this point too, but let's
30:28
start with your outrights.
30:30
Yeah, I like what I had just heard from Wes
30:32
and Kelly.
30:32
I mean, I don't know that brooks Kepka's name was
30:34
mentioned, but you know, I don't want
30:36
to go narrative shopping too much here, but the
30:38
big game hunter thing actually is true
30:40
for brooks Keopka, And even though on Livy
30:43
he's not taking down tournaments, I do think
30:45
Brooks is one of those guys that none of us are
30:47
going to be surprised if he wins this tournament. I got it at
30:49
twenty to one. I think it's eighteen, maybe sixteen
30:52
to one in some markets. But again,
30:54
I brooks Kopka when he's not injured,
30:56
because don't forget he missed a couple of cuts here when
30:58
he was kind of dealing with injuries. But otherwise,
31:01
I believe we've got two second place finishes and a
31:03
seventh place finishes over the last five years,
31:05
so I.
31:05
Really like him.
31:06
I don't know that he's getting enough respect
31:08
in the market, and I do think that has something to do with
31:11
Live and just not really flashing.
31:12
On Live necessarily. But Hitdeki mounts Siyama.
31:14
Kelly mentioned him, and there's a guy
31:16
that Wes mentioned too that I'm really surprised about
31:18
but is also on my card. So I'm really happy to hear that.
31:21
But there's not much else we can say about
31:23
Deckie. We know the recent forum has been very good.
31:25
I don't know that there's anybody in
31:28
this field. I mean, obviously probably two or three that
31:30
you can make the argument for that's more comfortable
31:32
at Augusta than Hideki mount Sciama. We know he has
31:34
the win in twenty twenty one, but since twenty fifteen,
31:37
for the record, to think about that, it's a long time ago. He's
31:40
made every cut Okay, that's kind of impressive
31:42
and finished inside the top twenty eight
31:44
out.
31:44
Of those nine times.
31:46
That is really really Oh by the way, the one
31:48
time he didn't finish inside the top twenty, he was
31:50
a disgusting T thirty two. I
31:52
mean, this guy is just a walking top
31:54
ten, top twenty machine at Augusta. Specifically,
31:57
he's got the around the green game. He checks to weight it off,
31:59
the tee boxes, long iron
32:01
play. Obviously around the Green is super
32:03
solid for him. Absolutely love him. Cam
32:05
Young's the guy that I was surprised, Wes mentioned. I'm
32:07
really happy about it because I think Wes is right. I
32:10
think he is in better form now than he was before. And
32:12
for the record, this is his third time at the Masters.
32:14
He missed the cut his first time, no shame in
32:16
that debutante all that stuff.
32:18
But the second time he was excellent
32:20
off the tee and he was excellent with the putter.
32:23
He checks all the boxes I'm looking for with long
32:25
irons, off the tee, approach game,
32:27
all of that stuff. What's interesting about him,
32:29
and maybe this is a small sample size, but his around
32:32
the green game is not very good.
32:34
Right, But at Augusta, the two times he's been there,
32:36
he's been relatively neutral. I mean, he
32:38
hasn't had a poor performance, hasn't had a great performance
32:41
around the green. So I think the argument can
32:43
be made that he might actually have some success
32:45
here around the green.
32:46
And because he checks all the other boxes.
32:48
I think fifty five to one, fifty to one is
32:50
like borderline disrespectful.
32:52
I know he doesn't win. I get that part.
32:54
But we make the same argument about Xander Schaffley,
32:56
and I'm not sure the talent gap between those
32:58
two is that dramatic so fifty five to
33:00
one, fifty to one, absolutely love Cam Young.
33:03
All right, sea first round leaders
33:05
where you've made your hay.
33:08
Yeah, I'll make this super easy.
33:09
We talked about Cam Young getting getting in front
33:12
of it in the first round. I like him, I
33:14
like Kideki Matsuyama, I like Brooks Kopka.
33:16
I'm going with my outright card.
33:17
Here's part of the reason I don't normally do this, but
33:19
two weeks ago at the Houston Open, West Reynolds
33:22
had Steven Yeger Well, I had Stephen Yeger first
33:24
round leader, but I didn't have him in my outright card.
33:26
Last week I had akshe Batia first round leader.
33:28
Turns out that hit, but he didn't you know,
33:30
I didn't have the akhe Batia outright.
33:33
And so that's two weeks in a row where I've had the first
33:35
round leader but not the outright and it was the
33:37
same guy. I'm just gonna go ahead
33:39
and go with guys that I know can get out in front of
33:41
it.
33:41
I mean Decky, cam Young and Brooks.
33:43
They fit that profile and you
33:45
know, most of them very comfortable
33:47
here. I think at their numbers, which are in like the
33:49
twenty eight to one range, and then then in Cam
33:51
Young's case, I think he's in the forty five
33:53
to one range, like all three.
33:55
Like the sound of that. By the way,
33:57
I have dare you not have Patiata win the whole?
34:01
I know, terrible, I know what I'm thinking.
34:03
It's so funny because you guys do this so much more brilliantly
34:06
than I do. But somehow in my head
34:09
hack golf better. I
34:11
love Matsuyama and Keopka the most.
34:13
Also, and Kepka because, like
34:15
you said, big game hunter, right, I
34:17
hate not having him and then seeing
34:19
that shitting't e grin of
34:21
his as he's just like, you know, crushing
34:23
of course, so I
34:26
will be on him and then Matsuyama. I've said this
34:28
on a couple occasions this week with Kelly. I
34:31
just feel like if we on Vson,
34:33
for instance, maybe it's different with long
34:35
shots, but on Vson, if we somehow
34:38
had a way of aggregating all the time we've
34:40
spent not only on a numbers geting on
34:42
every show talking about all the great golfers
34:45
in the world, from the Kepka's to the JT's, to
34:47
the Speace to the Schefflers, to
34:49
the Rams and beyond. I
34:51
just feel like Matsuyama is the least
34:54
talked about of all of that tier
34:57
of golfers. And I get it, all right, maybe he's
34:59
not quite the top of the tip of
35:01
the top, but I just feel like
35:03
he gets overlooked a lot. And
35:06
you know, besides providing us with the most iconic moment,
35:08
or one of the more iconic moments in Master's history
35:10
with his caddy bowing at eighteen,
35:13
which is just you know, it's chill inducing,
35:15
I just I have a feeling about him as well.
35:18
Take that for what it's worth, which is not worth much, but
35:20
that's Those are the two I landed on, SEEA so
35:22
that you can go tell us all your other bets here.
35:24
Yeah, by the way, one outright, I forgot, and I
35:26
think Kelly brought him up. I do like Shane Lowry
35:29
at sixty to one. I did want to point that out. He's
35:32
been really hot in Florida and
35:34
let's see at the Masters his last four T sixteen,
35:37
third T twenty one, twenty five, and he's
35:39
really coming in with good form, particularly with the
35:41
iron. So I think sixty to one, that's the fourth
35:43
guy on my card. I just forgot to mention him. So it's
35:45
it's the three I mentioned plus Shane Lowie. Okay, so just
35:47
a couple other picks turning matchups,
35:49
I got two for you. I got Shane Lowry speaking
35:52
of over Colin Moore cow, I like Taylor
35:54
Moore over Eric Cole.
35:55
Taylor Moore in very very good.
35:56
Form, some spike finishing positions.
35:59
I do think he has some top ten, top twenty potential.
36:01
Eric Cole's game is just not there right now for whatever
36:03
reason. So Taylor Moore minus one thirty over Cole. These are tournament
36:05
matchups, and then I'll just rattle off a few finishing
36:07
positions before I get out of here. Taylor
36:10
Moore t forty. I like that at plus
36:12
money. That's plus one ten. I like Lucas
36:14
Glover, who has also in very good form and has
36:16
had some success at the Masters.
36:19
Hasn't played a lot of it. He played a lot of it pre
36:21
twenty fifteen, hasn't played a lot lately, but when
36:23
he has played, he's been okay. He certainly
36:25
fits the bill for somebody who would T forty
36:27
here. I like that at plus one oh five. Seawoo
36:30
Cam minus one ten at T thirty very
36:32
comfortable Master's history for him, I've
36:34
got Shane Lowry T twenty at plus
36:36
one fifty and a sprinkle
36:38
bet because I know people are going to be hesitant to bet
36:40
Cam Young to win it for kind of obvious
36:42
reasons. I think Cam Young in the top ten
36:45
market may may be the better play,
36:47
the more valuable play at plus three
36:49
sixty. So that's something I think you know again,
36:51
those plus three sixty plays when it comes to finishing
36:53
market, you don't have to put a full unit on that, right,
36:56
You don't even have to put a half unit. You can put point three
36:58
units on that to get a full unit. So
37:00
those are kind of like, if you like Cam Young, but
37:02
you don't like him enough to bet him as an outright, maybe
37:04
you take him in the top ten where I think he can firmly
37:07
land at plus three sixty.
37:08
All right, Sea, thank you so much. Man,
37:10
appreciate it's seeing the shot. Everybody SI
37:13
A N, E J A D
37:15
on Twitter just like it sounds.
37:19
Monumental sports network
37:21
and sports line host and analyst
37:25
and of course a member or
37:27
at least a resident of the DMV.
37:29
Now, thank you, Sea, appreciate it.
37:31
Man, Thank you, Gil Kelly and Wes
37:33
he soon and have a great week.
37:35
You too, go get some winners. Seeing his shot
37:37
kind to join us. He's got other stuff he's got
37:39
to do as well. By
37:42
the way, Wes, let me just point this out. When I asked about
37:44
Bugaboo, I'm like thinking ed Og and the Bulldogs,
37:47
and Wes comes in with Destiny's shot, and I'm like,
37:49
okay, West, it's on top of him as
37:52
always. Well, I was.
37:54
Trying to think of who you were thinking of.
37:56
But I do remember that song. I was like Destiny's
37:59
Child or was it a show?
38:00
It was one of those It's only two
38:03
thousand, R and B beyond Janus.
38:04
It was great because I know you too well, both well enough
38:07
that I know Gil was trying to set up the
38:09
alley up to show off the West Reynolds
38:11
knowledge and then he just came over.
38:12
The top of it. Yeah. By the way,
38:14
we didn't mention that on the show today. How great We
38:16
did a whole show obviously at college basketball was big.
38:19
The most random moment of that
38:21
game last night. Who was the kid
38:23
on Purdue that had that dunk? Yeah?
38:27
That was that mountain heid Heidi.
38:29
I was out of my I was out of my chair
38:31
and we didn't bring that up on it.
38:33
We can't wear two hours. We didn't bring it up. Am I
38:36
wrong in saying? That is easily one
38:38
of the top five in game
38:40
dunks you've ever seen in
38:42
your life at any level.
38:44
And yet they couldn't put it in the One
38:46
Shining Moment and put it in video package
38:48
at the end of the night.
38:49
I'm like, come on, you know I didn't even think
38:52
squeeze that right in. Yeah, I
38:55
love.
38:55
One Shining Moment.
38:56
I was so mad how late it was
38:58
last night, Like it felt like it took for ever.
39:00
I don't know they forgot We're gonna have one
39:02
Shining Moment the other broadcast.
39:04
I made sure to stay. I love one Shining Moment.
39:07
It's my favorite moment of the entire tournament.
39:10
How was that not in there?
39:11
Well, let me go back to the expert West Reynolds. I'm more
39:13
of a Teddy Pendergrass One Shiny Moment
39:15
guy than I am a loose.
39:16
Shit I am too.
39:17
I love Luther, and you know they switched
39:20
it with a couple other singers, But yeah,
39:22
Teddy Pandergrass. And maybe I'm old
39:24
school too, because that's when my university
39:27
was. I think a lot more relevant college basketball
39:29
that be in Indiana University, where they
39:31
were always featured deep in multiple
39:34
times in the package.
39:36
When Teddy Pendergrass was doing
39:38
the number.
39:39
Real quick, I know we're talking
39:41
golf. I'm so glad you brought that up.
39:42
Though.
39:43
I was like, I saw him like
39:45
it was one of those I saw coming. But I was
39:47
like, all right, what's this kid gonna do here? You
39:49
know, like, what's this this kid going
39:52
to do on this put back?
39:53
There's no and you're like, oh my, well,
39:56
one.
39:56
Last college basketball question before we get back to golf. I think
39:58
the golf people will forgive me, but I have Wes
40:00
here, so I want to ask him. My big question last
40:03
night was forget the fact that uk
40:05
Obviously we know Yukon's domination against
40:07
Perdue last night come second half,
40:11
but where do I arbitrarily made
40:13
the year two thousand? Where does that
40:15
team rank for you since the
40:17
year two thousand? Are they the best college basketball
40:20
team since that.
40:20
Year in terms of a team that
40:23
actually, you know, finishes winning the championship?
40:26
I think it's at least the.
40:27
Best team since twenty twelve Kentucky,
40:30
And then, of course was the ad team
40:32
that ended up winning at all.
40:33
That was Col's lone national championship.
40:36
Perhaps that has not been officially
40:38
announced yet that he's leaving Lexington,
40:41
But yeah, I think in terms
40:43
of like the Ken Pomeroy I read this adjusted
40:46
efficiency ranking, just overall, it's
40:48
the best team since twenty one
40:51
Duke. So if you
40:53
go by that type of rating and put some
40:55
credence into that, I could certainly see
40:57
that. But it's at least the best team in over a decade.
41:00
For me, Doctor Bob had a non
41:03
winner twenty fifteen Kentucky,
41:05
the team that was undefeated that got to the Final.
41:07
Four, because I was there at that Final four
41:09
in Indianapolis at Luca Stadium when
41:11
Wisconsin knocked him off. So that's why I said non
41:14
championship team, because they did get
41:16
all the way to the final four undefeated, where
41:18
we're still waiting for that fully undefeated
41:20
season since the last time with seventy six
41:22
Indiana.
41:23
Kent Benson, Quinn Buckner, and Scott
41:26
may Kelly.
41:26
You remember it, Oh yeah, sure
41:29
totally.
41:31
By the way, you know what wish Nev was obsessed with yesterday
41:33
at the end that I can only say this on the podcast, I can say
41:36
that's the radio side, wish nev yesterday morning
41:38
goes, you gotta find this out for me. Where's
41:40
is this the in? How long was this
41:43
the most white starters for both
41:45
teams combined? Oh? When was the let
41:47
so.
41:47
I literally about that earlier in the tournament.
41:49
Well, you all were looking at a solar eclipse.
41:52
I was like a deep diving NCAA
41:55
finalists for and the only comp
41:57
I could come up with. Now we're
41:59
not talking you know, pre nineteen
42:01
sixty six UTEP because obviously the world
42:04
was different and in a bad way. But
42:06
the only comp I could come up was like nineteen seventy
42:08
eight Duke Kentucky
42:10
where they also had six Caucasian
42:13
starters. Cittingway, that was wish
42:16
cancerted yesterday.
42:17
Well, then you know that's the day about college
42:19
basketball. Now, there was only one
42:21
McDonald's All American, by the way, in the final
42:23
four Stefan Castle
42:25
at Yukon, Wow, which
42:27
you don't get that very often. And the fact
42:30
that it's get old stale
42:32
now in college basketball.
42:33
It's all old stale all to portal.
42:35
Yes, yeah, yeah, you got to get the Blue
42:37
Chippers, but you got to get older guys. Cam
42:39
Spencer, by the way, who was
42:42
he didn't get the most Valuable Player. I think it was Tristan
42:44
Newton. But Cam Spencer for Yukon
42:47
just turned twenty four on Saturday and
42:49
I looked it up. There were six NBA
42:51
All Stars this year age twenty four or
42:53
younger.
42:55
Yeah, there was something where he's like, he's like older and
42:57
they listed all these NBA players. I'm like, camp
42:59
Spencer's old with all those guys.
43:01
Anyway, Paulo Boncaro is twenty one.
43:03
Yeah, he's like way older than Bud
43:05
Carrol. Anyway. Well,
43:09
it's a golf podcast, but I'd love to
43:11
get your thoughts on next year because
43:13
if if Bama can stick keep those guys,
43:15
man, I think Bama's the play. But
43:17
that's a big if. Uh Okay, back
43:19
to golf, Wes. What else besides
43:21
your outrights do you have in pocket already?
43:23
What have you bet?
43:24
I'm gonna be playing and I'm actually gonna be
43:26
adding after we're done here some placement
43:29
markets.
43:29
One matchup I did play.
43:31
I did play Patrick Reid plus
43:33
one fifteen over Terrel Hatton and Teryl
43:36
Hatton. If you were watching the live dural
43:38
event last week, he was in the mix didn't get
43:40
it done there. At the end, Dean Burdmester won
43:42
the playoff over Sergio Garcia.
43:44
But this is just terrel.
43:46
Hatton has never really seemed to be
43:48
comfortable at Augusta National, has never
43:50
really liked it here. He's got one top twenty and seven
43:52
appearances. And Patrick Reid, who
43:54
look is not contending week
43:56
in and week out on the Live Tour, loves
43:59
this play and he's still a magician
44:02
around the greens with scrambling and around
44:04
the green, which I think is going to really matter this week.
44:06
So you know, I was surprised see Patrick
44:08
Reid that big of an underdog, cause I did play Patrick
44:11
Reid plus one fifteen over
44:13
Tyrollhatton on a matchup. And then for
44:16
low amateur this year, I went
44:18
with the big six to eight kid who plays
44:20
at Georgia Tech. You might remember if you watched
44:22
the Open Championship last year he
44:25
was the first round leader there.
44:27
And I went with Chrysto Lamprecked at
44:29
plus two twenty five to be the low.
44:31
Amateur here at Augusta National.
44:34
And that's always kind of a crapshoot market because
44:36
you're getting the British Amateur you're getting
44:38
the USM, you're getting the
44:41
Latino America Amateur, so you're getting only
44:43
a few in the field. But Christo
44:46
Lampreck, look, I gotta think he's at least played
44:48
Augusta National several times,
44:50
being a member of the Georgia Tech Golf team, you
44:52
know, and being based at least in the state.
44:55
So Christo Lampreck plus two
44:57
twenty five low am.
44:58
Oh so say it might be a crap shoot market
45:01
for a lot of people out there. Wes Rynolds definitely
45:03
has a better read on that kind of stuff than most
45:05
of us.
45:05
I'll say that, much.
45:06
Like Jason Weingarten doing baseball prospecially
45:08
exactly. I think he knows what he's talk exactly. By
45:11
the way, about debutants because it's our annual,
45:14
you know, entree to using the word debutants
45:16
where no first time Masters
45:19
player has won the Master since nineteen
45:21
seventy nine. And Fuzzy Zeller, do
45:23
you throw out all first timers to
45:25
win it all? Wes more more
45:27
often than not.
45:28
Yes, But look, and I
45:30
don't have any on the on the card necessarily.
45:33
But Kelly mentioned one though, that usually
45:35
you don't get a first timer that's
45:38
already a major championship winner, and
45:40
you do have that this year with Wyndham Clark.
45:42
In terms of the debutant market, there's
45:45
twenty by the way, this year in the eighty
45:47
nine player field. Ludwig Obert,
45:49
who you know, if you listen to Launch every
45:51
week, Ludwig Gobert is like price less than
45:53
twenty to one. He's already won on the PGA Tour
45:56
and he's won on the DP World Tour. But it's like
45:58
this guy gets priced like he's a major champion
46:01
and now he's not. A guy I'm necessarily
46:04
high on this week just because I think this,
46:06
by the way, is his the first major championship
46:08
he's ever played.
46:09
Ludvigobert, as much of.
46:11
A star as he is, this is
46:13
going to be his first major championship
46:15
appearance. So man, if he does
46:17
it, then then maybe he is the next big
46:19
thing in golf. And I think he is going to be, you
46:22
know, a pretty big player for years to come. But
46:25
yeah, you've got a lot of people in this debutante
46:27
market, but don't I don't bet him
46:29
for the outright wins, but I think certainly for
46:33
placements and any type
46:35
of props, I don't think you want to ignore these
46:37
guys, because keep in mind, will Zalatorus
46:40
was runner up his first time a couple of years ago.
46:43
Montsia Jonas Lexed.
46:44
Actually many years ago, was a debutante
46:46
in finished.
46:47
D two here.
46:48
So don't think that these guys are just
46:50
all going to be at the bottom of the board when you're
46:52
scrolling through. There's going to be a
46:54
couple of these guys that contend.
46:56
Yeah, yeah, I honestly,
46:58
Wes, this is interesting
47:01
is I can remember it a
47:03
long time that the the the
47:05
debutant market. God, I'm so sick of debutant
47:08
and totality.
47:09
I'm only like totality.
47:11
I'm already I'm only halfway done with probably
47:13
Master's content for the week. I'm so sick of saying
47:15
the word debutante before you before you go west?
47:17
Did you did you were? Did you look for the clips
47:19
yesterday? Did you did you see it?
47:21
I did not.
47:21
I called the coverage on television
47:23
as I was doing some uh some written
47:26
work for the Masters stuff. We were doing
47:28
the same I saw well at
47:30
my hometown in Indianapolis. There was a big
47:32
deal at the Indianapolis Motor Speedway. Yeah,
47:34
which I guess is a pretty good place to watch it.
47:37
And uh yeah, so, uh
47:39
yeah, I was watching that all the day.
47:40
It's like, okay, they.
47:41
Have totality here in
47:43
New Hampshire, yes, but not yet
47:46
in Vermont.
47:46
Well, yeah, the totality. The
47:49
totality spots were great and
47:51
awesome and it must be so cool.
47:54
But I have a working theory that
47:56
people lie when they are
47:58
in other places. So like, there's people in
48:01
Vegas I have when I was a kid in DC too.
48:03
I have the same reaction in both both times where
48:05
I'm like, I didn't see a thing and in both
48:07
cases there were people in the same
48:10
spot that I was like, oh, it was amazing.
48:12
Are people lying? Wes? Really? Aren't
48:14
people full of it?
48:16
Yeah?
48:16
Look, I think people want something kind of
48:18
exciting and in their life and then their
48:20
lives do and you know, just want some kind
48:22
of escapism from the normal
48:25
day to day news cycle that we currently
48:27
have, so you know, maybe
48:29
a little bit of embellishment.
48:30
I'm sorry, Kelly said totality. I apologize.
48:33
Go ahead, Yeah, you're fine. No, I was just are
48:36
you kidding? Me?
48:37
As fascinating with that as anybody, but no,
48:39
the deputyp Market, I think is really fascinating
48:42
this this year. I mean, you brought up all thatself
48:44
about Louvie Abert, but that are o bear.
48:46
But this is like Wes.
48:48
I think that you know, the course, we're moving back some of
48:50
the tea boxes, like I do think
48:52
like the course fits. Some of these guys game
48:54
pretty damn well, including Ludwig, including
48:57
Wyndham Clark, including Aux Japetia.
49:00
You know, if his shoulder can stay in the socket, you
49:02
know, I think I think he's got.
49:04
A fighting chance. Danny McCarthy's right there in that
49:06
market as well.
49:07
So I mean we've had we've seen other
49:09
guys that have won this year, you know, obviously
49:11
Pavone, Jake nab Nick Dunlap.
49:14
I'm I'm excited to see what
49:16
some of these guys can do. And I do have some betting
49:18
interest in Wyndham Clark. As
49:20
you said, guy's already won a major. I don't really
49:23
the experience of Augusta is extremely important,
49:25
but at the moment's not going to be too much more,
49:27
that's for sure.
49:30
Those are all your bets. You have other bets that you've made
49:32
besides that, right, So.
49:33
I got yeah, I got others.
49:35
Yeah, I can roll through mine here quick, so
49:37
outrights already went through those top I have
49:39
a big bet, big bet top ten on
49:41
Xander Schoffley. That's the way I chose to attack
49:44
that. Completely agree with everything that Wes said,
49:46
though I would have him as the second best guy you
49:48
know on the PGA Tour right now. I think that there
49:51
are the Masters is very
49:53
interesting to me this year because if you are someone
49:55
who focuses heavy
49:57
PGA Tour as I do,
50:00
and not as much live, and West does a little
50:02
bit more with that stuff than I do.
50:04
The live guys.
50:05
Yes, I think John Rahm, I think Brooks Koepka
50:08
is interesting. I think it's great.
50:10
I think Jackie Neeman's interesting with the year he's
50:12
putting together. I think his
50:14
odds have maybe gotten a little too short though
50:16
for me to have much interest betting interest
50:19
in him. So you kind of if you throw out
50:21
the live guys, then you can start picking through
50:23
these PGA Tour guys and man
50:25
West like you could.
50:26
It's it's only a handful of.
50:28
Guys that you could really make a claim that
50:30
are okay, this is a world class
50:32
player who's in form coming
50:35
into this tournament that you can
50:37
really that you can really feel confident backing,
50:39
So I think that's part of the reason why
50:42
why I'm more confident putting some dollars behind
50:44
Sanders Shoffley, then maybe a lot of people would
50:46
be in this tournament because he is one of those
50:48
guys who's been getting it done basically
50:50
week in and week out on tour this year. So
50:53
yeah, I went top ten on him, heavy bet
50:56
on top Hitdeki, top twenty.
50:57
If he finishes. If Shafley finishes twelve, will
51:00
you never ever bet on him again for the rest of the calendar
51:02
year.
51:02
No, I'll still better.
51:04
I'll be.
51:07
Heavy bet on the top twenty on Hitdeki, Matsi
51:10
Yama. I will be adding uh
51:12
finishing position markets here today. Other
51:15
guys that I will be adding Nieman I
51:17
will be mixing in somewhere. I think what I'm gonna do with
51:19
him is probably take a top ten shot. Either
51:21
he's got the game to show up and compete and
51:24
he's right around there, or uh,
51:26
we're all overrating what he's done this year. So
51:28
I'll probably play a top ten on him.
51:31
Shane Lowry.
51:32
Shane Lowry, I ended up playing in a couple matchups,
51:35
so I might actually not play in any of the finishing
51:37
position markets, but I think a top twenty bet
51:39
on him is sound. See you brought Seawill
51:42
came up. I will definitely be on him in a top twenty
51:44
bet, waiting for some pricing to show
51:46
up on him. And
51:49
that's everything finishing position tournament
51:52
matchups right now. I have hit Deecki over Jordan
51:54
Speith. I don't hate Speek this week,
51:57
but this is more of a price play only minus one twenty.
51:59
I gotta lay with deck I've got Decky.
52:00
I don't hate Jordan, So you just hate Jordan Smith in general.
52:03
Yeah, he's a human.
52:04
Good point.
52:04
Yeah, I hate Jordan Speed in general. I hate
52:06
how much he talks to the damn Caber stuff. Just
52:08
get out of your game. But no, I think betting
52:11
wise this week, he is a guy you could make a
52:13
case for, but the minus one twenty
52:15
not steep enough for me to stay away from a Decky matchup
52:17
over him, and I bet Lowry plus one
52:19
oh four over call him more a cow. I believe
52:22
that was the one that Sea mentioned. I'm on the same
52:24
exact matchup as him, and then Lowry
52:26
plus one twenty over Matt Fitzpatrick mat Fitzpatrick
52:29
another guy that I don't think is
52:31
gonna have it. He could have a good
52:34
week, but he's not really high on my radar. Calinmore
52:36
Kala not really a guy that's put it all together.
52:39
And then a couple other props that I've bet so far, Wyndham
52:41
Clark I mentioned as top Debutante, and then Corey
52:43
Connors I bet for top Canadian.
52:47
Corey Connors is to hit the Gala.
52:49
Were the guys that kind of just I just
52:51
left off my card for other
52:54
bets that I'm interested in, But
52:56
Corey Connors made it for top Canadian
52:59
for sure?
52:59
Okay, do we lose web? Okay?
53:03
Did West gave out all his plays?
53:05
Right? Didn't he already?
53:06
If not, they'll be up at Visa dot gum.
53:08
Visa dot com slash picks. Uh, let's try
53:10
to get West back because I want to ask my final two questions.
53:13
So here are the final two final
53:16
two questions. I want to get your thoughts on this one. First
53:21
of all, who is the golfer
53:24
that if they win or are competing
53:26
at the end, you're gonna
53:28
have the most self loathing over because
53:31
you will not have any position on them, like
53:33
who's the guy that you and by that I mean obviously there's
53:35
like, you know, millions of choices. Yeah, I'm talking about someone who
53:37
you're thinking about betting but ultimately
53:40
are not going to, and then they're gonna
53:42
stick it up your you know what when all is said
53:44
and done.
53:45
Well, I just mentioned Connor's at the gala, but
53:48
if we're being honest, I wouldn't bet an outright
53:50
on Connors anyways, So I guess
53:52
the Gala might be the answer for me,
53:55
but it's also it's also
53:57
Brooks Koepka.
53:58
Yeah, but I is.
54:00
Yeah, I'm glad you brought this up because there's
54:02
also the outrights. I rattled off like I'm
54:04
I'm leaving room to get in live as well.
54:06
Okay, so that was my second.
54:08
Yeah, like there are there are some
54:10
guys at the top of that board, whether it and
54:12
mainly i'm talking Scheffler Rom Koepka.
54:15
Yes, yeah, those three literally those three
54:17
is what I'm talking about of where I would look to
54:19
get in live on one of those.
54:21
So these were exactly my my final two questions.
54:23
And Wes, I think you've given out all your bets already, so I can
54:25
ask you the final two questions.
54:26
Yeah, yeah, so far.
54:27
I'm gonna add more over the
54:29
over the next couple of days.
54:31
But so so the fun Yeah, the final
54:33
two head, Oh, no, you finish your thought, go ahead. I'm sorry.
54:35
No, I was just gonna say I'm gonna add a couple more of
54:38
the placements. Usually I don't place those
54:40
on a week until like Tuesday or Wednesday,
54:42
you know, just to kind of get a gauge of the market.
54:45
But uh, that's what I have, at least
54:47
at the moment, but more to come, certainly.
54:49
Okay, So here are the final two questions. They're not the megapod
54:52
questions, but they're at the final two and and Kelly's
54:54
right, they are kind of related. Which is my
54:56
standard question for golf. Is much of golf
54:58
betting for many a self
55:01
loathing, Like you think about betting
55:03
a golfer, but you don't pull the trigger
55:05
on it, and then comes Sunday back nine. There
55:08
they are either in the lead or in contention. And
55:10
so my first question is, you
55:13
know, which is the golfer that is going to cause
55:15
you the most self loathing because you're not gonna have any
55:17
money on it. But Kelly's right, my second question
55:19
is actually related which is, on the other
55:21
hand, how much of your betting
55:23
pie is going to be in tournament. So
55:26
Scheffler, who's four to one? We all love Scotti
55:28
Scheffler, for God's sake, I feel like you
55:30
should have a bet on him in every tournament. But at four
55:32
to one, that's ridiculous, right,
55:34
Like, no one's really betting him pre
55:36
flop, and now I just say no one. Someone is, But
55:39
it's not like necessarily something
55:41
that you guys would do. Who is the
55:43
golfer that you aren't going to have anything
55:46
preflop, but you will be quick
55:48
to jump in on if a number becomes
55:50
more favorable.
55:52
It might be It might be Patrick
55:54
Cantley actually, because he is drifted
55:57
up to forty to one, and this
55:59
is a guy I have a prop bet on.
56:01
Him to win a major this year.
56:03
But yeah, Patrick Cantley
56:06
Victor Hoblin being another one. Those are kind
56:08
of the two guys that have drifted up that I thought,
56:10
Okay, this is their year going into this year
56:12
where they're going to finally win a major, and
56:15
neither has really played that great. Can't
56:18
Lay was the fifty four hole leader at
56:20
Riviera when I had him, and as
56:22
alators as well, and they got passed by Matsiyama
56:24
who shot that sixty two on
56:27
Sunday to get the win. But yeah,
56:29
Victor Hoblin's kind of been a little bit off
56:32
this year. You know, he has a sports
56:34
psychologist out there, he's had a different
56:36
swing coach, but yeah,
56:38
he's got the potential, man, But I
56:41
just am like, Okay, the day of the week,
56:43
I don't put these guys on. Here are
56:45
the weeks that they're going to burn me. So you always
56:47
have that fomo type of thing. I
56:50
think, especially as a golf futures better. But
56:52
those are the two that I think have drifted up
56:54
a little bit where it's like, man, these guys would
56:56
be in like the teens or the twenty to one and
56:58
now you're seeing them like forty one out there in the
57:00
market.
57:01
Those are good answers. All right, I lied here
57:03
here's my last the last question. So
57:05
Hoblin and Kent'tley would would fill that
57:08
bill. Who's the guy though that no
57:10
matter how good he's doing rounds
57:13
one, rounds two, rounds three, you're it's
57:15
not gonna be a Hoblin or can't lay, but you're still
57:17
gonna be like I'm still not betting this guy. There's
57:19
no way I'm betting him. This can't be real, It's
57:21
not happening. Is
57:24
that a Tyrrell Hatton kind of guy?
57:26
Wes who you got?
57:28
Oh Man? Probably?
57:30
I mean, I don't know if I could pick on
57:32
guys, that would
57:34
be.
57:35
A good answer.
57:35
That is a good answer.
57:37
You don't feel like, Okay, it's his time.
57:39
You feel like eventually he's going to have a time, but
57:42
is it going to be here? Like can this really
57:44
happen like that? That seems like something
57:46
that only Tiger Woods would do, like when his
57:48
first ever major on you
57:50
know that early in his
57:52
career. But uh uh, A couple guys,
57:55
even though I did bet him on a matchup that I won't
57:57
have on an outright just because the form,
57:59
the form isn't there.
58:01
Is Patrick Reid.
58:03
You know, like last year we were watching this when the
58:05
live guys all kind of got ignored in
58:07
the betting market and drifted up too far and then
58:09
they played really well well now, especially
58:11
if like Brooks and you go walking
58:14
Neeman in there too, and maybe
58:16
even to Shambo where it's kind of like, okay,
58:18
everybody knows that these guys, you
58:20
know, yeah, are still at least
58:23
playing, you know, somewhat competitive golf,
58:25
whatever you think of the live tour. But Bryson
58:28
to Shambo actually a name I just mentioned. That's
58:30
a guy I will say because his distance,
58:32
he's still number one in distance, He's
58:34
still got some touch around the greens.
58:36
But I just don't feel and remember
58:38
he had that.
58:39
Quote where it's like I feel like sixty seven's
58:41
even party had that asenine quote
58:43
and then he proceeded to shoot I think like several
58:45
over. But Bryson to Shambo, just
58:47
to me, on these greens, I
58:50
never trust him, yeh. I never trust
58:52
him on these bent grass greens, on these slick
58:54
greens. So that might be the one
58:57
where it's like, oh, this can't be real, like he's about
58:59
to falter at some point.
59:00
I I as I was scrolling down the odds
59:02
board, that was the next name I was gonna mention.
59:04
I think Ludwig maybe.
59:05
A little unfair because we're picking on one of the new
59:07
bee kids for guys that have been here
59:09
before, who have you know, who have won,
59:12
uh, you know, on tours before.
59:13
Bryson Deshamba would be I'm with Wes.
59:15
I don't think there's any situation where
59:17
I'd be like, oh man, I missed out on Bright's.
59:20
I forgot he said that too.
59:21
Yeah, the uh, I think the one
59:23
that's fascinatings.
59:24
Going back to you, like your your in tournament question
59:27
is like, you know, see see
59:29
what we talked about, right, does so much with first round leaders.
59:32
I'll be dialing back a little bit that, you
59:34
know, some of my first round betting, which is then
59:36
going to impact me dialing back how
59:38
much kind of in tournament stuff I'm doing simply
59:41
because of because of this weather, And I don't
59:43
know that I'm gonna feel confident enough by
59:46
Wednesday night to really I mean,
59:48
we'll see stuff changes and there might be a window
59:51
there where you actually do think, uh, there's
59:53
some groups that have a really big advantage. But
59:55
we're sitting here on Tuesday morn late
59:58
morning right now, and Thursday it looks
1:00:00
like it could be a complete wash out from start
1:00:02
to finish.
1:00:02
Oh you pointed it out last year, like what if it just completely
1:00:05
gets a limit.
1:00:05
And that there's that right west, Like I know,
1:00:08
we try to talk about these weather windows, but like there's
1:00:10
a lot of times it's just a wash out and
1:00:12
everybody gets pushed back, so you
1:00:14
sometimes bet. You know, golf betters
1:00:16
can outthink themselves sometimes when
1:00:19
they try to look for those advantages. So I'll
1:00:22
tell you if it's if it's looking like
1:00:24
it looks right now, I can't imagine I'm
1:00:26
gonna have much much invested on
1:00:28
Thursday outside of my
1:00:30
top guys like c Us mentioned,
1:00:32
like, I'll still bet Decky first round leader
1:00:35
because I'm loaded up on him so heavily already.
1:00:37
H but honestly, that could be it. That
1:00:40
might be it for first round.
1:00:41
Did we have a master's that ever went to Monday? Didn't
1:00:43
we?
1:00:44
Oh? Yeah, yeah, we've had We've had it a couple.
1:00:46
Yeah, yeah, I thought so. Okay, listen,
1:00:50
appreciate it from both of you guys. I
1:00:52
hope that gave some folks some food for thought.
1:00:54
And I asked that last question not to like embarrass
1:00:56
you guys if those guys end up being at the top, but
1:00:59
just to let other folks know what you guys are thinking
1:01:01
in terms of if you have the instinct to bet
1:01:03
Bryson to Shamba, well, these guys might not still
1:01:05
even if he's playing well. Phil Mickelson
1:01:08
might be in that same category.
1:01:09
The last note I'll add on Brooks like, there's also like
1:01:12
this is live Betting's live betting doesn't matter
1:01:14
what sport, right, I can say
1:01:16
it's really easy for me to sit here on a Tuesday
1:01:19
and say I would love to grab Scheffler Ram
1:01:21
or Brooks live. Yeah, but of course I could
1:01:23
be beating myself up on Monday if Brooks
1:01:25
the first round lead and goes wired to
1:01:27
wire to win the damn.
1:01:28
And you might change your mind. And by the way, that's
1:01:30
like from our perspective, like sports
1:01:33
betting one oh one. What what annoys
1:01:35
us most is when
1:01:38
people think we must be beholden
1:01:40
exactly to the picks we make in
1:01:42
the moments that we're doing a show or a podcast,
1:01:44
when in fact we're all live betters too right
1:01:47
the moment they just give a clean example this when the FedEx
1:01:49
Cup happened a few years ago, the three tournament
1:01:52
Arc and I had Koepka Betts and
1:01:55
I talked about keptain Keppa, but there
1:01:57
was a moment on Sunday where I could grab Rory
1:02:00
back to just make sure I didn't lose everything.
1:02:02
And you had to time it perfectly, and
1:02:04
you had to be present and your girlfriend or your wife
1:02:06
couldn't be bothering you, But that's these
1:02:09
are the things that go into all of betting, and so
1:02:12
yeah, I mean, we'll see how it plays out. I
1:02:14
do think though, that the weather point is a
1:02:16
good one, and that you know, also
1:02:18
just for newer golfers, the quickest way to
1:02:21
ruin is not everybody's West Reynolds,
1:02:23
right mere, Mortals don't hit out rights on
1:02:25
a regular basis. So the quickest way to what
1:02:28
we call a betting leak, and I've talked
1:02:30
about this on a numbers game recently, might be golf
1:02:32
outrights. Like if you bet too many of them pre
1:02:34
flop, it's probably a losing proposition,
1:02:37
right Like, Not everybody's going to hit these at a high
1:02:39
rate, so just
1:02:41
be mindful of that. You guys have long
1:02:43
Shots Live eleven pm tonight Eastern,
1:02:46
eight pm Pacific Wes Kelly
1:02:49
and Matt Brown. The name of the podcast
1:02:51
is called long Shots. Is the live different from
1:02:53
the podcast? Yeah, it would just be reposted.
1:02:55
Oh, just rehost.
1:02:56
So yeah, the show again, not live.
1:03:01
We'll do it.
1:03:02
Live once again, not live,
1:03:04
not be waiting to see us outside of the Circus studio.
1:03:06
At that time, live to tape
1:03:09
there you go live to tape, so we call it in
1:03:11
the biz.
1:03:11
So you mean to tell me you're not doing this podcast
1:03:13
a live podcast and a podcast
1:03:16
podcast is correct? Yes, okay,
1:03:18
long Shots is the name of the podcast. Though they do it every
1:03:20
week and three of them at least when Matt shows
1:03:22
up, they do all three of them. Matt is
1:03:24
at the Masters, so we're all jealous of him, so I'm just spoking
1:03:27
fun good for him. Have you ever been to the Masters? West?
1:03:30
I have not. It's a bucket list item.
1:03:34
Yeah, they don't. They don't like my kind
1:03:36
there, Augusty either. Midwest
1:03:38
Hillbillies.
1:03:39
Yeah, well we don't really like West.
1:03:42
Rentalds coming down here, all
1:03:44
right. Wes Reynolds at Wes Reynolds one. That's
1:03:47
the number one on Twitter. Also the co host
1:03:49
of v sent tonight with Matt Humans what is
1:03:51
that six pm? Is it?
1:03:53
West?
1:03:54
It is?
1:03:54
It is now eight pm
1:03:57
Pacific in AM Eastern
1:04:00
and then and then replay us going
1:04:02
into Mitch and Paul h.
1:04:04
So you guys are on like four or five consecutive
1:04:06
times through the night. Yes, okay, yes, And then
1:04:08
Kelly Bidlin at Kelly Bidlin that's
1:04:10
k E.
1:04:11
L L E.
1:04:11
Y B y D l O
1:04:14
N on Twitter. Uh. He is uh
1:04:16
the producer number nine of a numbers
1:04:19
game week days here
1:04:21
on the network. Really really is my
1:04:23
sidekick, for God's sakes, He's on the air all
1:04:25
the time. In fact, if you Parson out, Kelly
1:04:27
talks more night Uh
1:04:30
and then will say that and what's your what's
1:04:32
your show on the weekend when.
1:04:34
Beds Sunday with Dustin Sweetelson, Yes,
1:04:36
three to seven Eastern.
1:04:38
Thank you, Wes, thank you Kelly. Listening
1:04:40
to long Shots tonight. Good luck with all your
1:04:42
bets. The Adya the Masters from Augusta
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