G'day this is Ken Simpson - and it is a great pleasure to finally welcome you to episode 22 of the show!

Here are the key links for this show;

• World Economic Forum Global Risks Report 2016
  
  • My blog posts on previous WEF Reports
  • Blogs on Horizon Scanning
  • WEF 2013 Report
    • Whitehaven Coal - Hoax Media release
    • War of the Worlds - Orson Welles 1938 radio production, full show
• BCI Horizon Scan
• DRII 2016 Predictions
• Resilience Ninja Newsletter - promoting Collaboration, Curation and Coaching
• BCI Position Statement on Organisational Resilience
  • Continuity Central commentary on the statement

Have you ever found yourself in a situation where you started work on a plan or report, then something changed in the the environment - so you re scoped your work to include those new factors. That work takes a little longer to finish, and guess what - something else changes while you are completing the assignment!

This episode started out on the editorial schedule as the January Book Club, with a slight difference. The focus was to be the World Economic Forum's 2016 Global Risks Report rather than a book. Tardiness in production meant that the BCI Horizon Scan report landed in my Inbox.

Of course it would only be appropriate to include and contrast the two different perspectives. After all, where you perceive the horizon depends on where you sit.

More delay and procrastination followed, then the DRII Future Vision program delivers their 2016 Threat Predictions paper - how can I resist recasting the show to be "The tale of Three Horizons".

Before I know it, it is time for February Book Club, the schedule is compromised and a sense of pressure and stress grows.

How many times do we see that happen with our risk registers and BC plans. We strive to have the complete (dare I suggest a perfect) plan or strategy and the result is we actually do not deliver anything in a timely manner.

When we do that, we contribute to building vulnerability in our organisations, not resilience. There is a quote I use to illustrate the need for timely delivery in our business - it is from the Roman stoic philosopher Seneca

"Whatever can happen at anytime, can happen today."

Translated for today's risk and resilience challenge - deliver early and deliver often. The days of waiting to deliver the perfect document are gone, to contribute to resilience we need agile approaches and continuous delivery.

So that's my attempt at drawing a practice example from my personal story of disruption and adversity. Not really up to Andy Osborne's standard yet I will admit. Let's get on with the real content of the show and take a look at the 3 reports and their different horizons.

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