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Global business news twenty four hours
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stocks are trading higher. Heading for records
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the dial the SMP Nastac Hall
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Advancing SMP five hundred
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index now at twenty one eighty seven,
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up eleven points, a gain of five tents
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of one percent. A batch of surprising
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earnings from Macy's to Zurich Insurance
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Group lifting global equities. Macy's,
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for example, surging eighteen point
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six percent as it closes stores.
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Macy's up six thirty two to forty thirty
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two. Right now, we've got the Dow up a
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hundred and twenty nine points to eighteen thousand,
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six hundred twenty five, a gain there of seven
0:46
tents of one percent, and Nastaks
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surging twenty seven points, up five
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tenths of one percent to fifty two
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thirty two. The tenure down twenty two
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thirty seconds that yield one point five
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seven percent, Gold down three sixty
1:00
the ounce three dropped
1:02
there of three tenths of one percent, and crude
1:04
oil up four percent today to Barrel.
1:08
I'm Charlie Pellets and that's a bloom Bird
1:10
business flash. You're
1:13
listening to Taking Stoff with Kathleen
1:15
Hayes and Kim Fox on Bloomberg Radio.
1:18
Ali Baba on fire today.
1:20
It looks like jack Ma's diversification
1:22
strategy is starting to pay off,
1:25
as revenue at Ali Baba Group
1:27
Holding accelerates to the fastest
1:29
since its record initial public
1:32
offering share price of five dollars
1:34
and thirty four cents right now ninety two dollars
1:36
and sixties six cents. And we're very happy
1:39
to welcome back Brendan Hearn.
1:41
He's chief investment officer at Crane
1:44
Shares. Ali Baba is the
1:46
number one position of Crane
1:48
Shares c s I China Internet
1:50
et F ticker symbol k w EB
1:53
just rated five stars from
1:55
Morning Star and as Brendan Nister minus
1:58
or the last three years, they've
2:00
beaten the SMP five hundred by
2:03
holding Chinese stock, So welcome
2:05
back, Thank you, Cather. So, first of all the news
2:08
on Ali Baba. What did we find out today?
2:10
Three key takeaways? Some
2:12
of the parts companies buying
2:14
back stock and lastly the
2:17
cloud computing. So some of the parts. What I mean is
2:19
Ali Baba is breaking out the different
2:22
divisions for the first time, we're able to apply
2:24
a growth rate. Analysts are going to be upgrading
2:26
this stock over the next several days, I believe, based
2:29
on aggregating these different
2:31
divisions. UM secondarily
2:34
was buying back stock over five billion dollars.
2:36
And lastly, they're cloud computing is
2:38
about to go profitable uh fousand
2:41
paying customers and as we've
2:43
seen with Amazon with a WS, the
2:45
ability to drive that drive
2:47
the stock potentially significantly higher. Why
2:50
the buying back stock? Why do that?
2:52
I mean, if you're a young company and you're
2:54
supposedly a tech company, why
2:56
can't they invest that money in things that will
2:59
grow in the future buy back the
3:01
stock. All it ends up doing is making the earnings
3:03
look better mathematically because you take
3:06
the shares out of circulation and stick him in
3:08
the treasury. That that's a valid
3:10
point of him UM. At the same time,
3:12
the stock has been affected by broad
3:14
China news. Last summer's Onshore
3:17
equity market rolled over. Ali
3:19
Baba has nothing to do with the Shanghai
3:22
and shenz En stock exchanges, but the stock
3:24
came down, but they got a lot to do with how
3:26
business in China is doing well.
3:28
Look at this past January where the
3:30
implementation the circuit breaker affected,
3:33
uh, the onshore equity market Shanghai
3:35
Shen's and Ali Baba stock got crushed.
3:37
So you you have investors the
3:39
Ali Baba baby goes out when
3:42
when the China water gets thrown out, and
3:45
um, there's there's Ali Baba has
3:47
nothing to do with
3:49
with the Chinese stock market. It's
3:51
so then why list there? So go ahead and just
3:53
list here in the United States. So list in London,
3:56
list somewhere outside of China. I mean, there are a lot of ways
3:58
to accomplish what you're talking about without
4:00
buying. It just seems odd when you're talking about
4:02
a growth company, a tech company, doesn't
4:04
it kind of make you question, g don't they have anything
4:06
better to do with that five billion? Well, and
4:09
I think you know you I p
4:11
O was priced at sixty eight dollars, It
4:13
got up to one twenty, it came all
4:15
the way back down below seventy. The
4:18
stock you're talking about a company that's growing
4:20
the top line at over thirty percent. Me in
4:22
here were one quarter you
4:24
know, long term growth rate over this
4:27
stock was just so inexpensive that
4:30
I think the management bought it. I love
4:32
that that that the company is buying back to stock and
4:34
that the the CEO and
4:36
the management team. UM is
4:39
on the same time of the same side of the table
4:41
as me as an investor talk
4:43
to us about cloud computing. When
4:45
I, you know, I think we will think of the competition
4:48
and people trying to get and you think of Microsoft,
4:50
Do you think of Amazon? I don't know if Ali Baba
4:53
is the first name that comes to a lot of minds, what are
4:55
they doing there? And why is that impressed
4:57
analysts? What you say, are gonna upgrade Ali Baba?
4:59
Now, yep, no, certainly, UM Ali Bamba
5:01
is the primary businesses is
5:04
in China basically selling
5:06
to Chinese companies
5:09
themselves, and and what they're
5:11
looking to do is to take advantage of the
5:15
very very advanced kind of technology ecosystem
5:17
in China. Just as kind of Amazon
5:20
is really you know, competing with Microsoft
5:22
and others and with their AWS division,
5:25
Alibaba is basically bringing that playbook to China.
5:28
They've had a great level of success
5:30
in a short period of time, over five thousand
5:32
paying clients. UM it's it's it's
5:34
about to start to hit an
5:36
inflection point where it's going to be monetized,
5:39
and the company guided that they believe they can
5:41
have over a million million paying
5:43
customers within a year. Ali
5:46
Baba is not just in the delivery
5:49
business, right, They're not just a broker products
5:51
and services. They're trying to get into a lot of
5:53
other businesses. Do you foresee a time
5:55
when they're going to split those businesses off
5:58
into separate units? Well think
6:00
to some degree. And financial
6:02
um, which is the equivalent
6:04
of say like a PayPal um. It's it's
6:07
I would argue, it's beyond what PayPal. It's
6:09
ubiquitous in China. Uh
6:12
it used to be called ali pay and and and financial
6:16
um. Ali Baba has a thirty eight percent ownership
6:18
position that's going to go public.
6:20
I believe in probably about a year's
6:23
time listening exchange to be
6:25
determined. UM. But but I
6:27
do think and and coming out
6:29
UM was part of the value that some
6:31
of the parts idea. So
6:35
in terms of growth are
6:38
Bloomberg News story points
6:41
out that you know you
6:43
can they they are the may the big thing in China,
6:45
but they've got still got growth in users,
6:47
big growth in users. Yeah, I mean
6:49
one of the one of the statistics
6:52
I love is the
6:55
utile is Internet utilization right here in the United
6:57
States is nearly we
6:59
would over fifty percent in two thousand
7:02
two. China just went
7:04
over fifty percent utilization Amazon
7:07
stock. Back in two thousand two, when the U S
7:09
went over fifty percent, utilization was at six
7:11
dollars. So unless you have a DeLorean
7:13
out front, you're able to get into
7:16
um China internet and
7:18
e commerce companies UM
7:21
at basically at a fifty percent, and
7:23
that that numbers are only going to go higher. And that's why
7:25
we're quite bullish, and that's self
7:27
serving and highly biased. But as
7:30
Somaly, as a shareholder myself, I'm a big believer
7:32
in k Web. Now, the position that you
7:34
hold in ali Baba is not a
7:36
reflection of an actively managed
7:39
decision making process. Correct,
7:42
So how do you foresee
7:44
the role of ali Baba in an
7:46
index when it is so dominant a
7:48
position? Well, ali Baba is
7:50
certainly a big, big beneficiary of what we believe
7:53
is with the top down policy, where where China's
7:55
economy as a barbell, you have export
7:57
driven manufacturing adversely affected
7:59
by tep global growth. Global growth
8:02
at the same time domestic consumption is
8:04
doing very well in China so well
8:07
as much as um I love Ali Baba,
8:09
Um, I love ten Cent, ten
8:12
Cent, the Facebook of China with their reach out application.
8:14
I love c Trip, the
8:17
the c Trip business a monopoly
8:19
on online travel in China. Say
8:22
they bought two of their largest the number
8:24
two and number three players. They have a monopoly. Um,
8:26
there's great. J D dot Com
8:29
just reported a few days ago
8:31
Great Great earnings Sina and Wi
8:33
bo Um Great earnings.
8:36
That this is the top down macro
8:38
issue, and that's where we love the basket approach.
8:41
We love diversifying. Tell me about the top
8:43
john macro. Great. Obviously,
8:45
there's plenty of Chinese consumers,
8:48
workers, people are making money. We know a
8:50
large part of China is still a poor country. And you
8:52
know they had a slow down. And again I think the big industrial
8:55
production numbers out of China tonight that's
8:57
and pulling back a bit. So it's
9:00
so fascinating, isn't it that I guess only the only part
9:02
of China's economy to do well
9:05
to spur this kind of growth for a company like Ali
9:07
Bab, And you can only manage what would happen if the rest
9:09
of the country could kind of digive itself out of poverty.
9:12
Well, certainly, China of
9:16
the population lived in cities today. It's
9:19
that correlation is one between
9:21
GDP per capita and China's urbanization,
9:24
the movement of people into cities UM
9:26
in China, proper housing,
9:29
UM, access to healthcare, education,
9:32
the becoming a middle class. And
9:34
then there's there's third definition of middle class.
9:37
So certainly, you know, there are liabilities
9:39
on the China balance sheet, but at the same time, there's
9:41
a there's assets, and we believe that
9:43
there are concerns around mpls
9:46
and banks and the X
9:48
what's going to happen with overcapacity and coal
9:50
stealing Alunum. Yes, what,
9:53
I don't want to hold them. I want to hold the part
9:55
of China that is growing and we get industrial
9:57
production tonight, Kathleen, I'll be up on
9:59
my terminal, but we to get retail sales. And retail
10:01
sales has averaged ten month.
10:04
You know, the monthly number for July. I
10:06
think it's going to be a really number
10:09
year over year, so it's pretty amazing off
10:11
of the month. That's true. That's
10:13
true, Um, But yeah, we know we love
10:16
the retail sales and in China where
10:18
your smartphone is your primary source of
10:20
entertainment and increasingly et commerce. UM
10:23
cell phones in China are very very big for a reason
10:25
because they spend a lot of time on them, and certainly
10:27
we see more as Ali Baba demonstrated
10:29
today, there's there's there's something going on
10:31
in China. I think that narrative is very
10:34
early in it being told. Thank
10:36
you very much for coming in and spending time with us. Brendan
10:38
Hearn is the chief investment officer for
10:41
Crane Shares. It can be followed
10:43
on Twitter at crane Shares
10:45
That's with a K and talking
10:47
about Ali Baba reporting
10:49
results that exceeded analyst estimates.
10:52
Some say it is a stellar report
10:54
card, reporting quarterly results that beat
10:57
estimates on all fronts. Sales during the last
10:59
quarter grew fifty nine
11:01
percent, the fastest growth since
11:03
it was listed in New York in
11:05
twenty fourteen. This is taking Stockheim
11:08
pim Fox along with my co host
11:10
Kathleen Hayes. This is Bloomberg
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