Podchaser Logo
Home
KraneShares' Ahern on Alibaba Earnings, Stock Buyback (Audio)

KraneShares' Ahern on Alibaba Earnings, Stock Buyback (Audio)

Released Thursday, 11th August 2016
Good episode? Give it some love!
KraneShares' Ahern on Alibaba Earnings, Stock Buyback (Audio)

KraneShares' Ahern on Alibaba Earnings, Stock Buyback (Audio)

KraneShares' Ahern on Alibaba Earnings, Stock Buyback (Audio)

KraneShares' Ahern on Alibaba Earnings, Stock Buyback (Audio)

Thursday, 11th August 2016
Good episode? Give it some love!
Rate Episode

Episode Transcript

Transcripts are displayed as originally observed. Some content, including advertisements may have changed.

Use Ctrl + F to search

0:03

Global business news twenty four hours

0:05

a day. If Bloomberg dot com the radio

0:07

plus mobile last and on your radio. This

0:10

is a Bloomberg business flag from Bloomberg

0:13

World Headquarters. I'm Charlie Pellett's

0:15

stocks are trading higher. Heading for records

0:17

the dial the SMP Nastac Hall

0:19

Advancing SMP five hundred

0:21

index now at twenty one eighty seven,

0:24

up eleven points, a gain of five tents

0:26

of one percent. A batch of surprising

0:28

earnings from Macy's to Zurich Insurance

0:30

Group lifting global equities. Macy's,

0:33

for example, surging eighteen point

0:35

six percent as it closes stores.

0:38

Macy's up six thirty two to forty thirty

0:40

two. Right now, we've got the Dow up a

0:42

hundred and twenty nine points to eighteen thousand,

0:44

six hundred twenty five, a gain there of seven

0:46

tents of one percent, and Nastaks

0:49

surging twenty seven points, up five

0:51

tenths of one percent to fifty two

0:53

thirty two. The tenure down twenty two

0:55

thirty seconds that yield one point five

0:57

seven percent, Gold down three sixty

1:00

the ounce three dropped

1:02

there of three tenths of one percent, and crude

1:04

oil up four percent today to Barrel.

1:08

I'm Charlie Pellets and that's a bloom Bird

1:10

business flash. You're

1:13

listening to Taking Stoff with Kathleen

1:15

Hayes and Kim Fox on Bloomberg Radio.

1:18

Ali Baba on fire today.

1:20

It looks like jack Ma's diversification

1:22

strategy is starting to pay off,

1:25

as revenue at Ali Baba Group

1:27

Holding accelerates to the fastest

1:29

since its record initial public

1:32

offering share price of five dollars

1:34

and thirty four cents right now ninety two dollars

1:36

and sixties six cents. And we're very happy

1:39

to welcome back Brendan Hearn.

1:41

He's chief investment officer at Crane

1:44

Shares. Ali Baba is the

1:46

number one position of Crane

1:48

Shares c s I China Internet

1:50

et F ticker symbol k w EB

1:53

just rated five stars from

1:55

Morning Star and as Brendan Nister minus

1:58

or the last three years, they've

2:00

beaten the SMP five hundred by

2:03

holding Chinese stock, So welcome

2:05

back, Thank you, Cather. So, first of all the news

2:08

on Ali Baba. What did we find out today?

2:10

Three key takeaways? Some

2:12

of the parts companies buying

2:14

back stock and lastly the

2:17

cloud computing. So some of the parts. What I mean is

2:19

Ali Baba is breaking out the different

2:22

divisions for the first time, we're able to apply

2:24

a growth rate. Analysts are going to be upgrading

2:26

this stock over the next several days, I believe, based

2:29

on aggregating these different

2:31

divisions. UM secondarily

2:34

was buying back stock over five billion dollars.

2:36

And lastly, they're cloud computing is

2:38

about to go profitable uh fousand

2:41

paying customers and as we've

2:43

seen with Amazon with a WS, the

2:45

ability to drive that drive

2:47

the stock potentially significantly higher. Why

2:50

the buying back stock? Why do that?

2:52

I mean, if you're a young company and you're

2:54

supposedly a tech company, why

2:56

can't they invest that money in things that will

2:59

grow in the future buy back the

3:01

stock. All it ends up doing is making the earnings

3:03

look better mathematically because you take

3:06

the shares out of circulation and stick him in

3:08

the treasury. That that's a valid

3:10

point of him UM. At the same time,

3:12

the stock has been affected by broad

3:14

China news. Last summer's Onshore

3:17

equity market rolled over. Ali

3:19

Baba has nothing to do with the Shanghai

3:22

and shenz En stock exchanges, but the stock

3:24

came down, but they got a lot to do with how

3:26

business in China is doing well.

3:28

Look at this past January where the

3:30

implementation the circuit breaker affected,

3:33

uh, the onshore equity market Shanghai

3:35

Shen's and Ali Baba stock got crushed.

3:37

So you you have investors the

3:39

Ali Baba baby goes out when

3:42

when the China water gets thrown out, and

3:45

um, there's there's Ali Baba has

3:47

nothing to do with

3:49

with the Chinese stock market. It's

3:51

so then why list there? So go ahead and just

3:53

list here in the United States. So list in London,

3:56

list somewhere outside of China. I mean, there are a lot of ways

3:58

to accomplish what you're talking about without

4:00

buying. It just seems odd when you're talking about

4:02

a growth company, a tech company, doesn't

4:04

it kind of make you question, g don't they have anything

4:06

better to do with that five billion? Well, and

4:09

I think you know you I p

4:11

O was priced at sixty eight dollars, It

4:13

got up to one twenty, it came all

4:15

the way back down below seventy. The

4:18

stock you're talking about a company that's growing

4:20

the top line at over thirty percent. Me in

4:22

here were one quarter you

4:24

know, long term growth rate over this

4:27

stock was just so inexpensive that

4:30

I think the management bought it. I love

4:32

that that that the company is buying back to stock and

4:34

that the the CEO and

4:36

the management team. UM is

4:39

on the same time of the same side of the table

4:41

as me as an investor talk

4:43

to us about cloud computing. When

4:45

I, you know, I think we will think of the competition

4:48

and people trying to get and you think of Microsoft,

4:50

Do you think of Amazon? I don't know if Ali Baba

4:53

is the first name that comes to a lot of minds, what are

4:55

they doing there? And why is that impressed

4:57

analysts? What you say, are gonna upgrade Ali Baba?

4:59

Now, yep, no, certainly, UM Ali Bamba

5:01

is the primary businesses is

5:04

in China basically selling

5:06

to Chinese companies

5:09

themselves, and and what they're

5:11

looking to do is to take advantage of the

5:15

very very advanced kind of technology ecosystem

5:17

in China. Just as kind of Amazon

5:20

is really you know, competing with Microsoft

5:22

and others and with their AWS division,

5:25

Alibaba is basically bringing that playbook to China.

5:28

They've had a great level of success

5:30

in a short period of time, over five thousand

5:32

paying clients. UM it's it's it's

5:34

about to start to hit an

5:36

inflection point where it's going to be monetized,

5:39

and the company guided that they believe they can

5:41

have over a million million paying

5:43

customers within a year. Ali

5:46

Baba is not just in the delivery

5:49

business, right, They're not just a broker products

5:51

and services. They're trying to get into a lot of

5:53

other businesses. Do you foresee a time

5:55

when they're going to split those businesses off

5:58

into separate units? Well think

6:00

to some degree. And financial

6:02

um, which is the equivalent

6:04

of say like a PayPal um. It's it's

6:07

I would argue, it's beyond what PayPal. It's

6:09

ubiquitous in China. Uh

6:12

it used to be called ali pay and and and financial

6:16

um. Ali Baba has a thirty eight percent ownership

6:18

position that's going to go public.

6:20

I believe in probably about a year's

6:23

time listening exchange to be

6:25

determined. UM. But but I

6:27

do think and and coming out

6:29

UM was part of the value that some

6:31

of the parts idea. So

6:35

in terms of growth are

6:38

Bloomberg News story points

6:41

out that you know you

6:43

can they they are the may the big thing in China,

6:45

but they've got still got growth in users,

6:47

big growth in users. Yeah, I mean

6:49

one of the one of the statistics

6:52

I love is the

6:55

utile is Internet utilization right here in the United

6:57

States is nearly we

6:59

would over fifty percent in two thousand

7:02

two. China just went

7:04

over fifty percent utilization Amazon

7:07

stock. Back in two thousand two, when the U S

7:09

went over fifty percent, utilization was at six

7:11

dollars. So unless you have a DeLorean

7:13

out front, you're able to get into

7:16

um China internet and

7:18

e commerce companies UM

7:21

at basically at a fifty percent, and

7:23

that that numbers are only going to go higher. And that's why

7:25

we're quite bullish, and that's self

7:27

serving and highly biased. But as

7:30

Somaly, as a shareholder myself, I'm a big believer

7:32

in k Web. Now, the position that you

7:34

hold in ali Baba is not a

7:36

reflection of an actively managed

7:39

decision making process. Correct,

7:42

So how do you foresee

7:44

the role of ali Baba in an

7:46

index when it is so dominant a

7:48

position? Well, ali Baba is

7:50

certainly a big, big beneficiary of what we believe

7:53

is with the top down policy, where where China's

7:55

economy as a barbell, you have export

7:57

driven manufacturing adversely affected

7:59

by tep global growth. Global growth

8:02

at the same time domestic consumption is

8:04

doing very well in China so well

8:07

as much as um I love Ali Baba,

8:09

Um, I love ten Cent, ten

8:12

Cent, the Facebook of China with their reach out application.

8:14

I love c Trip, the

8:17

the c Trip business a monopoly

8:19

on online travel in China. Say

8:22

they bought two of their largest the number

8:24

two and number three players. They have a monopoly. Um,

8:26

there's great. J D dot Com

8:29

just reported a few days ago

8:31

Great Great earnings Sina and Wi

8:33

bo Um Great earnings.

8:36

That this is the top down macro

8:38

issue, and that's where we love the basket approach.

8:41

We love diversifying. Tell me about the top

8:43

john macro. Great. Obviously,

8:45

there's plenty of Chinese consumers,

8:48

workers, people are making money. We know a

8:50

large part of China is still a poor country. And you

8:52

know they had a slow down. And again I think the big industrial

8:55

production numbers out of China tonight that's

8:57

and pulling back a bit. So it's

9:00

so fascinating, isn't it that I guess only the only part

9:02

of China's economy to do well

9:05

to spur this kind of growth for a company like Ali

9:07

Bab, And you can only manage what would happen if the rest

9:09

of the country could kind of digive itself out of poverty.

9:12

Well, certainly, China of

9:16

the population lived in cities today. It's

9:19

that correlation is one between

9:21

GDP per capita and China's urbanization,

9:24

the movement of people into cities UM

9:26

in China, proper housing,

9:29

UM, access to healthcare, education,

9:32

the becoming a middle class. And

9:34

then there's there's third definition of middle class.

9:37

So certainly, you know, there are liabilities

9:39

on the China balance sheet, but at the same time, there's

9:41

a there's assets, and we believe that

9:43

there are concerns around mpls

9:46

and banks and the X

9:48

what's going to happen with overcapacity and coal

9:50

stealing Alunum. Yes, what,

9:53

I don't want to hold them. I want to hold the part

9:55

of China that is growing and we get industrial

9:57

production tonight, Kathleen, I'll be up on

9:59

my terminal, but we to get retail sales. And retail

10:01

sales has averaged ten month.

10:04

You know, the monthly number for July. I

10:06

think it's going to be a really number

10:09

year over year, so it's pretty amazing off

10:11

of the month. That's true. That's

10:13

true, Um, But yeah, we know we love

10:16

the retail sales and in China where

10:18

your smartphone is your primary source of

10:20

entertainment and increasingly et commerce. UM

10:23

cell phones in China are very very big for a reason

10:25

because they spend a lot of time on them, and certainly

10:27

we see more as Ali Baba demonstrated

10:29

today, there's there's there's something going on

10:31

in China. I think that narrative is very

10:34

early in it being told. Thank

10:36

you very much for coming in and spending time with us. Brendan

10:38

Hearn is the chief investment officer for

10:41

Crane Shares. It can be followed

10:43

on Twitter at crane Shares

10:45

That's with a K and talking

10:47

about Ali Baba reporting

10:49

results that exceeded analyst estimates.

10:52

Some say it is a stellar report

10:54

card, reporting quarterly results that beat

10:57

estimates on all fronts. Sales during the last

10:59

quarter grew fifty nine

11:01

percent, the fastest growth since

11:03

it was listed in New York in

11:05

twenty fourteen. This is taking Stockheim

11:08

pim Fox along with my co host

11:10

Kathleen Hayes. This is Bloomberg

Unlock more with Podchaser Pro

  • Audience Insights
  • Contact Information
  • Demographics
  • Charts
  • Sponsor History
  • and More!
Pro Features