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first time since July of two percent now
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fifty nine. I'm Charlie Pallotte.
1:12
That's a Bloomberg Business flash.
1:16
You're listening to taking Stock with
1:18
pim Box and Kathleen Hayes on
1:20
Bloomberg Radio. Eat
1:22
or Be Eaten, Acquire or Be
1:25
Acquired? M and A madness in the startup
1:28
universe, and our next guest says, if
1:30
you want to survive and thrive, you better pay
1:32
attention to a very major trend,
1:34
the move from the information age into
1:37
the intelligence age. Joining us the
1:39
studio day is gust Tie. He's general
1:41
partner at Trinity Ventures in Menlo
1:43
Park, California, the heart of
1:46
the valley, and he's here today to join us
1:48
to talk about this. Gus, welcome, Thank you. So,
1:51
uh, there is certainly a lot of M
1:53
and A activity what is driving
1:55
in and we're talking about trends, but is there anything
1:57
about people uh
2:00
getting more confident, financing being
2:02
cheap? What's behind it? Yes, Kathleen,
2:05
I think we're in a super fascinating time
2:08
right now where you have Microsoft buying
2:10
LinkedIn for six billion, you have Walmart
2:12
buying Jet for three point three billion, and
2:15
even GM bought Crews for billion
2:17
dollars. I think that the trend is driving.
2:19
All of these are large corporations seeking
2:22
to bring in DNA and capability to
2:24
move from the information age to the intelligence
2:26
age. Hey, Gus, you
2:28
know, just to give some context here, at
2:31
Trinity Ventures, Zu
2:33
Lily initial public offering, that
2:35
would be you, Blue Nile
2:37
initial public offering, that would be
2:40
you. If I always keep asking
2:42
myself, if these are all such great companies,
2:45
whether it's publical private, why
2:47
sell them? Sure? Well,
2:50
from a venture capital standpoint, when we
2:52
make investments in companies, we do make
2:54
agreement with the management team and the other shareholders
2:57
to have some form of liquidity. And so if
2:59
the liquidity comes in other forms
3:01
such as dividends, that would be possible. But in
3:03
general, when a company is acquired
3:05
or goes public, it makes their capital
3:08
liquid and then we could we buy in
3:10
and we liquid eight and we distribute those
3:12
profits back to our LPs. That makes sense
3:14
to me. You want to put some money in your pocket when you put all that work
3:17
into starting up a company. What
3:19
about this? What are you talking about? Information
3:21
age to intelligence age? What does
3:23
that mean? It's it's very it's very compelling.
3:26
What does it mean? Yeah, we
3:28
view this as as transformative from
3:30
moving from the industrial revolution
3:32
to the information revolution. And so now
3:35
over the last twenty years, we've been aggregating
3:37
all of this information about things. So if you look
3:40
at Amazon when they pulled together
3:42
all the things you could buy, that's pulling
3:44
together information on one particular
3:46
place. However, the information
3:48
overwhelms all of us, whether we're individuals
3:51
or businesses, and so you need to add
3:53
intelligence to be able to sort through that information.
3:56
So you've seen this intelligence
3:58
revolution where you makes sense of
4:00
the data in in information technology
4:03
companies, but you haven't seen that shift
4:05
yet in all the other industries. And
4:07
that's what we're arguing is taking place
4:09
right now that if these large companies don't
4:12
add intelligence to all the information they have already,
4:14
they may become dinosaurs. Does
4:17
that same strategy apply to the
4:19
venture capital world? Well,
4:21
because I understand that what is it you know? You do ten
4:23
investments, seven dive, three maybe
4:26
live on, and one is the thing that
4:29
you know puts the roof over everybody's head,
4:31
it sure does apply to venture
4:34
capital in all other industries. And
4:36
you are seeing innovation at various
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different types of venture firms, particularly the newer
4:41
ones that have this fresh look A
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dear friend of mine who who inspires me in
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the valley is Dave McClure. He
4:47
has five startups, and he would argue that
4:50
firms that are traditional, perhaps even a
4:52
firm like ours, as a dinosaur, and and
4:54
we have to pay attention to that because
4:56
you need to sort data better. I mean, seriously, what does
4:59
that mean for you? If you're a dinosaur? How could
5:01
you be a dinosaur? Well? You know, I would
5:03
argue that venture firms are more resilient
5:05
to this trend because we actually
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are competing to understand
5:09
and makes sense of data we already have and
5:12
put it in the forms of or
5:15
what it's it's the model of
5:17
so so a thesis for a
5:20
disruption for venture capital what pim
5:22
the way, what I inferred from what Pim was saying is
5:24
that the traditional model is you make
5:27
two investments per partner per year. And if
5:29
you have a firm of ten ten partners at investments
5:32
per year, from a portfolio theory
5:34
basis, it may make sense to make a hundred
5:36
investments per year. If you have a strategy
5:39
for feeding the winners and calling the
5:41
losers, that's a legitimate strategy. And
5:43
if you have information that that you
5:45
can transform it intelligence to understand that trend
5:47
better. You could have a leg up. I just
5:49
want to go through some recent deals to get your thoughts
5:52
on this. Gillette, Dollar Shave
5:54
Club. Yeah, I mean Dollar Shave
5:56
Club, as I understand, doesn't make money necessarily,
5:59
at least not yet. Is
6:01
there a strategy or a theme that we need to understand
6:03
here? Yes? And and so? Uh
6:06
the theme and Uni Leaver purchased
6:08
Dollar Shave Club for a billion in Gillette, which
6:10
is owned by PNG, had a lawsuit against Dollar
6:13
Shave Club. If I understand the public information
6:15
properly, the theme would be
6:18
that Uni Lever, being a hundred and thirty
6:20
billion dollar, hundred forty billion dollar company,
6:23
would be interested in developing a deeper relationship
6:25
with end consumers and collecting information from
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them and serving them. Dollar Shave Club
6:30
innovated in moving from a product
6:33
to a service and using analytics
6:35
of understanding the customers and how to tune
6:38
products for those customers. So it's very savvy.
6:41
So what what do you make of
6:44
I just have to ask you. Just Walmart just seems like
6:46
a match made in heaven potentially, sure,
6:48
yes, Uh, it's I think it's
6:50
a very savvy strategic move
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and strategic moves have to play out operationally.
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You have to execute. But why so savvy
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strategically is that Walmart is
7:00
a four billion is revenue
7:02
company. Last year it actually shrank from the previous
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year. It's online business
7:07
last year was fourteen billion dollars.
7:10
And if you think online revenue retail
7:12
is important, that fourteen billion dollars
7:15
barely matched the growth of
7:17
of Amazon, so they have to do something to catch up. You
7:21
remember a dollar Shape Club? I am not no
7:23
would you invest in that? Would you have invested in Dollar
7:26
Shape Club? I made the mistake in passing,
7:28
and I regretted, but you were offered
7:30
Yes both, Thanks
7:32
very much, Gus, general partner at
7:35
Trinity Ventures. They're based in Menlo Park,
7:37
California. You're listening to
7:39
taking Stock. This is Bloomberg
7:45
coming up. Designers on
7:48
a dime, a global consignment
7:50
business selling merchandise via e
7:53
commerce platform. I'm gonna take
7:55
a look at how it works and why small business and
7:57
focus something of the radio
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