Episode Transcript
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0:03
This is Bloomberg Law with
0:05
June Brusso from Bloomberg
0:07
Radio.
0:10
That was a rigged election and it's a
0:12
shame that we had to go through and it's very bad
0:14
for our country.
0:15
We've heard that false claim from Donald
0:17
Trump about the twenty twenty presidential
0:19
election over and over and
0:22
over, despite the fact that sixty
0:24
court cases found no evidence of
0:26
fraud or illegality. It seems
0:28
to be part of Trump's repertoire.
0:31
The election is being rigged by
0:33
corrupt media, pushing false allegations
0:36
and outright lies in an
0:38
effort to elect Hillary Clinton
0:40
president.
0:41
Of course he dropped those rigged
0:43
election claims after you won,
0:46
but they're just below the surface of
0:48
this year's election.
0:49
Republicans must win. We want
0:51
to landslide. We wanted to be
0:54
too big, too rigg Will there.
0:56
Be a repeat this year of the litigation
0:58
frenzy that followed the twenty twenty
1:00
election. Well, the election is still
1:03
six months away, but political
1:05
groups are filing so many lawsuits
1:07
over voting rules that the numbers
1:10
could reach the records set in that bitterly
1:12
contested twenty twenty election. The
1:15
Democratic and Republican parties have raised
1:17
about forty one point three million
1:20
dollars to spend on court fights, and
1:22
nonprofits, including some dark
1:25
money groups, have likely raised
1:27
hundreds of millions more. Joining
1:29
me is elections law expert Derek Muller,
1:31
a professor.
1:32
At Notre Dame Law School.
1:34
Fighting over election rules in court
1:36
is big business for lawyers and
1:38
the groups challenging them.
1:40
Just how big?
1:41
So we know that the
1:44
political parties can collect significant
1:46
amounts of money ear mark designated
1:48
for election expenses. So the RNC and
1:50
DNC have large pools
1:53
of money, you know that are upwards
1:55
of one hundred million dollars a year now
1:57
to be thinking about these kinds of expenditure.
2:00
So they have significant funds
2:02
that they can use to involve themselves
2:04
litigation, to start litigation, to intervene
2:07
in litigation. But it's not even just the parties.
2:09
It's the growth of additional five
2:11
LL one C three's nonprofits organizations
2:14
dedicated to rooting out voter fraud
2:16
or protecting democracy or whatever we might
2:19
label the organizations and those we
2:21
don't even have a sense of the scope and scale
2:23
of these things. So it's significant amounts of money
2:25
coming into the system specifically
2:28
for litigation.
2:29
And you've done some research on the political
2:32
party's legal expenses.
2:33
There are so many different ways of calculating
2:36
the money. So I did research this. I
2:39
found that this fundraising for the twenty
2:41
twenty one and twenty twenty two election cycle
2:43
among Republicans and Democrats was one hundred
2:45
and fifty four million dollars. So it's a two year
2:48
period for both Republicans and Democrats
2:50
and a significant sort of chunk. It's
2:53
an escalating figure. We won't have
2:55
the figures for this next cycle, you
2:57
know, we only have the first few months of this cycle right
2:59
now now. But again, that's a significant amount
3:02
of money specifically designated
3:04
exclusively for litigation.
3:06
Expenses, do we know?
3:08
And I believe that's about thirty times
3:10
what the party's legal expenses were
3:12
back in two thousand and three.
3:15
And Congress played a role here, tell us
3:17
what happened in twenty fourteen.
3:19
Yes, So in twenty fourteen
3:23
there was called KROM the BEUS, a continuing
3:25
Resolution omnibus bill that
3:27
has a number of provisions that people's eyes
3:30
Mike lays over thinking about. But as
3:32
a part of that, one of the things
3:34
that they did was change some of
3:36
the contribution limits to the
3:38
major political parties. The notion
3:40
being right. Now, you can only give thirty
3:43
three hundred dollars for the primary, thirty three hundred
3:45
dollars for the general for presidential candidate or
3:47
senate candidate or whatever it might be. You can also
3:49
give fixed amounts of money to the
3:52
parties themselves. But the argument
3:55
was, well, there's other money that we could give to the
3:57
parties that would help them with their expenses.
3:59
That doesn'tbody say risk of corruption, right,
4:01
We're worried when we contribute money to candidates
4:04
or the party it looks like it's for corruption.
4:06
But what if we have some kinds of earmarked expenses
4:09
for instance, you know, running the presidential
4:11
nominating conventions. If you could just designate
4:14
an additional one hundred thousand dollars
4:16
to the parties to run their presidential nominating
4:19
convention. So we added some contribution
4:22
limits ten years ago in this bill,
4:24
and one of those was an
4:27
additional sort of designation for
4:30
we count or other litigation expenses.
4:33
And at the time that was one hundred and six thousand, five hundred
4:35
dollars that gets increased for inflation over
4:38
the years. But I mean, you can give about one hundred
4:40
and twenty thousand dollars now to
4:43
a political party just
4:45
to help it litigate, just
4:47
to help it engage in election related
4:50
litigation. So there's no question that
4:52
for a very long time, from about
4:54
twenty three to twenty fourteen, as I tracked
4:56
this, parties would spend about three
4:58
to five million dollars a year on litigation
5:01
expenses. And now we're just seeing
5:03
the earmarks the skybrocket
5:05
because as the parties collect bigger
5:07
and bigger checks from donors, there's only
5:09
so many places for the money to go because
5:12
there are other contribution limits. And
5:14
one of those places now that you can give and give
5:16
substantial amounts of money that you
5:18
can only give about six thousand dollars to a presidential
5:20
candidate, but you can give one hundred and twenty thousand
5:22
dollars to the candidate's lawyers. So it's a
5:24
significant mismatch that is funding this litigation.
5:27
And there are groups nonprofits
5:30
where we don't know where their money is coming
5:32
from or how they're spending it.
5:34
So when it comes to the DNC or the
5:37
RNC, we know their donors, we know the
5:39
individuals who have contributed to
5:41
these entities, so we don't have sort of
5:43
the so called dark money groups. You
5:45
know, there are limitations about what packs
5:48
can contribute to parties,
5:51
So we have some transparency about where
5:53
that money is coming from, at least in terms of the
5:55
direct contributions to the parties.
5:58
Where where we're label as dark money
6:00
comes in would be if there are other
6:02
outside groups on the right or the left
6:05
who are starting litigation,
6:07
engaged in litigation, funding litigation,
6:10
intervening litigation, who want
6:12
to support or promote certain
6:14
kinds of laws or anticipate those ahead
6:16
of the twenty twenty four election. So you've
6:18
seen some of these organizations from you know,
6:21
former government officials, you know,
6:23
both on the right and the left, to support Trump, who oppose
6:25
Trump. I think we often think of that those terms,
6:27
maybe rather than a Republican and Democrats these days.
6:30
But those organizations, you know, we don't
6:32
necessarily know where their funding's coming from,
6:35
who's supporting them, are the reasons why they're
6:37
litigating. But when it comes to parties, at least we
6:39
have some pretty good transparency.
6:41
This, you know, sort of fierce challenging
6:45
of election laws and minution
6:47
election laws. Did it start after
6:50
bushby Gore or did it start
6:52
in twenty twenty.
6:55
It keeps rising. So there's lots
6:58
of inflection points. Yeah, So
7:00
Professor rickhaps in his tracked how Bush
7:02
versus Gore was sort of the first wave
7:04
of these things. Because Bush versus Gore
7:06
it's not just that, you know, a very small
7:08
margin to Florida could affect the outcome of a presidential
7:11
election. It also signified that the federal
7:13
courts were open for business about how
7:15
you did a recount, right, how
7:17
your machines were counting ballots.
7:20
So we see a steady
7:22
uptick in election litigation after
7:25
the two thousand election. But again, there
7:27
are different inflection points that arise, you
7:29
know, throughout this period of time. As states
7:32
introduce vhot identification laws
7:34
and those become a sort of rallying cry
7:36
and a challenging point for
7:38
different groups or different legislatures. We
7:40
see just the significant uptake in litigation
7:43
around those things. Promnibus Bill twenty
7:45
fourteen, twenty fifteen creates
7:47
this mechanism for more funding and elections.
7:50
You know, after the twenty sixteen election
7:52
we see Green Party candidate joll Stein pressing
7:54
for recounts around the United States, and twenty
7:57
twenty we see the run up to the election
7:59
is a lot of changes due to COVID,
8:02
and then there's just tons of litigation
8:04
being filed to challenge the rules or
8:07
to request accommodations from the rules,
8:09
followed by all those challenges after the twenty
8:11
twenty election. So every cycle
8:14
just seems to be bringing its own new challenges,
8:17
new crises, new rallying points
8:19
to fundraise off of. You know, a
8:21
lot of election laws that were enacted
8:23
by legislators in the past that might
8:25
have been ignored or sort of just moved
8:27
beyond and party organizers would have
8:30
accommoded them or handled them now are
8:32
being challenged. Almost any change
8:34
to your election machinery in very
8:36
basic terms, from the buying of a machine
8:38
to the list maintenance of
8:41
your voter roles gets challenged by
8:43
some group on the right or left. So we're
8:45
just seeing this escalation, and I think part
8:47
of it is the availability of funding, and maybe part
8:49
of it is the awareness that parties think that
8:51
very small differences can matter, and so
8:53
they want to challenge as much as
8:56
they can, anticipating that a small change
8:58
might matter in their election.
9:00
And are the big groups
9:02
that are challenging and defending these
9:04
laws, are they all tied to
9:06
a party or a candidate or
9:09
any of them independent.
9:11
So a number are at least extensively
9:13
independent, right, but a number of them do tend
9:16
to file on one side or the other. So
9:18
some of them will have former Republican
9:20
officials think about restoring integrity and trust and
9:22
elections, the Honest Elections Project or things
9:24
like that, or some of them will have former Democratic
9:27
officials or of never Trump officials who
9:29
are participating. Some of them State United
9:31
Democracy Center, Protect Democracy, or some
9:33
of these organizations tend to file much more heavily on
9:35
the Democratic side and the Republican side,
9:37
So you can trace what these organizations
9:39
are doing and see where their
9:41
officials are. And they can't formally coordinate
9:44
with the parties because if you have that coordination,
9:47
it creates campaign finance
9:49
problems. But it's that they are going around.
9:51
They're filing litigation again places
9:53
maybe where the party doesn't have the resources
9:55
to do it, or isn't aware of it, or wants
9:58
another group rather than the party to be involved.
10:00
That said, the parties do still have some significant
10:02
involvement. I's the most significant party level
10:04
litigation right now. It's Democratic
10:07
National Committee leading a number of challenges
10:09
to keep Robert F. Kennedy's name off
10:11
the ballot in a number of states, I think viewing
10:13
him as a third party threat. I think the R
10:16
and T might view him as a threat too, but hasn't filed
10:18
those challenges. So again, it's hard
10:20
to pin down exactly who's leading
10:22
the litigation in some of these places. It's following
10:25
the headlines, seeing who's led on the
10:27
docket, what the lead party's name is, and then
10:29
trying to identify, you know, who they
10:32
tend to support or where their attorneys have come
10:34
from.
10:34
Prominent Democratic lawyer Mark Elias
10:38
said that some of these new Republican
10:40
groups are emerging to launch mass
10:42
voter challenges against unsuspecting
10:45
voters, and he called the group's vigilantes.
10:49
Yeah. I mean, we can think about this in a couple of different
10:52
ways. And you know, I think attorneys like
10:54
mister Elias and others have long represented
10:57
the Democratic Party, but then they also represent
11:00
private or civic organizations, right,
11:02
And there's no question that some of these organizations,
11:05
like the NAACP but the ACLU,
11:07
have long been involved in voting
11:09
litigation. Now at the same time, there
11:11
are other organizations that, you know, they
11:13
seem to be popping up a new one almost
11:16
every week. Right, there are lots of
11:18
individuals who believe
11:20
that elections need to be
11:23
run or administered in a particular way.
11:25
They think they have the key to being able
11:27
to set up the litigation. They think that other
11:30
organizations somehow are failing or have not
11:32
stepped into the breach, and they're able
11:34
to set up a pitch and maybe get donors to contribute
11:37
and provide the opportunity to litigate.
11:39
And if you have these organizations cropping
11:42
up and they are going out and they
11:44
are challenging things that
11:46
maybe wouldn't have been challenged in the past, or
11:49
an organization that is jumping up for the
11:51
first time and filing these lawsuits, and
11:53
maybe they're still considered and likely
11:55
to lose, you know, I mean, you can call them vigilantes
11:58
step out there and step into the At
12:00
the same time, the courts are going to have the final say. Right
12:03
when you file the lawsuit. It's not like you win.
12:05
It's not like you get the election law changed or struck
12:07
down or the administrative procedure adjusted.
12:09
It does increase the amount of litigation we
12:12
see. It increases the screen on courts. Do
12:14
you think it increases some of the perceptions
12:17
that the public might have that these elections
12:19
are just under constant scrutiny
12:22
by the courts and subject to judicial
12:24
decrees, which I don't think a situation
12:27
we want to find ourselves in. But you know, to
12:29
the extent that the courts are open for business
12:31
and open to hearing these challenges, I think
12:33
we're going to continue to see more of them.
12:35
Coming up Next. Which state has the
12:38
most unsettled questions around
12:40
its election procedures?
12:42
This is Bloomberg.
12:44
The twenty twenty four US election
12:46
is already being fought in the courts.
12:49
Political group, some backed by anonymous
12:51
donors, are launching so many lawsuits
12:54
over voting rules this year that the numbers
12:56
could approach the record set in the bitterly
12:58
contested election. I've
13:01
been talking to elections law expert Derek
13:03
Muller, a professor.
13:04
At Notre Dame Law School.
13:06
Do you think that with all these lawsuits, the
13:09
more you have courts deciding
13:11
these issues, the more voters
13:13
think that the fix is in
13:16
or their vote doesn't count, or
13:19
you know, the system.
13:19
Is just screwed up, and
13:21
it's very hard, right. I mean, I think there's no question
13:24
that a lot of voters after two thousand, A
13:26
lot of Democrats feel like the court decided
13:28
the election, and you know that they lost
13:31
at because of the judiciary. I think there are a lot
13:33
of Republicans after the twenty twenty election
13:35
who say, you know, we didn't get our chance,
13:37
We didn't give a chance to sort of present our
13:39
evidence in the courts. And you see
13:41
this with other candidacies. It's
13:44
Stacy Abrams in Georgia and Kerry
13:46
Lake and Arizona, and you
13:48
can go on down the line. You can find Democrats and Republicans,
13:51
for different reasons and with different degrees
13:54
of legitimacy, arguing
13:56
that the election was stacked against them,
13:58
or the charges of the election was rigged in
14:01
some way. You know, it's not good rhetoric, it's
14:03
not good language. It's not good for the public to have
14:05
those things being said by officials, and then
14:08
to have the courts that step in, or
14:10
they're even blamed when they don't step in. You know, it leaves
14:13
us in a pretty precarious spot in the United
14:15
States. Again, I think the presumption was,
14:17
and you can even think about this in two thousand,
14:19
that when an official loss,
14:21
the official would concede and move
14:24
on, and we would sort
14:26
of just prepare for the next election. Now
14:29
we realize there's tremendous fundraising
14:31
power in rejecting election results,
14:34
in denying legitimacy of the winner, that
14:36
voters actually get
14:39
motivated and encouraged by that by
14:41
wanting to contribute to candidates whose claim
14:43
they've been wrong that an election has been stolen.
14:46
So it's a very precarious spot for us
14:48
as a democracy if we increasingly
14:51
have a system where the people
14:53
believe that if their candidate loses,
14:56
it's an illegitimate election, and
14:58
that when those words are spoken,
15:00
actually incentivizes them to contribute
15:02
money to the political consultants
15:04
who are making those claims. It's not a good place
15:07
for us. And I don't know what's going to change
15:09
that unless we have a true sea change
15:12
culture and how political
15:14
operations and litigation are being run in the United
15:16
States. And that's not im easy thing.
15:18
You know, when you read about the lawsuits,
15:21
it seems like the vast majority
15:24
and maybe it's because these are the ones that get attention
15:27
are not helping to clarify things,
15:29
but they're attacking this minutia
15:32
to deter the process.
15:35
Talking about this from kind of an economic standpoint,
15:37
if you have limited resources
15:40
to challenge the rules
15:42
governing elections, you are
15:45
going to challenge the things that you think are
15:47
the biggest deal right, the most important
15:49
ones, the ones that you think are really truly
15:52
changing the game. And that's also
15:54
the case that if you didn't have money earmarked
15:57
for litigation as a campaign, you
15:59
would have to make a call, do I think this
16:01
two hundred and fifty thousand dollars is better
16:03
spent on advertisements
16:06
in our district or on litigating
16:10
you know, this absentee voter rule
16:12
or this drop box rule or whatever it is.
16:15
So in the past, you would focus your
16:17
resources on those things
16:19
that were the most salient issues
16:21
that you thought had the highest likelihood of winning,
16:23
and those things that you thought were better
16:25
uses of resources than sort
16:28
of ordinary political expenses. Now,
16:30
when you earmark the funds, you are saying
16:32
this money is for only litigation. These
16:34
contributions can only be for litigation purposes,
16:37
so you don't have to make that trade off. And
16:39
the more resources you have, the more
16:42
money you have to spend on litigation, then
16:44
the more things you can challenge,
16:46
and the more things you challenge, by definition, you
16:48
are challenging weaker and weaker claims,
16:51
or more and more marginal claims, more and more
16:53
minutia of elections to say, you
16:55
know, we're dealing with a very small subset
16:57
of what we think could be at stake here,
16:59
So we can say, you know, at a very
17:01
high level, of course, we want elections to
17:03
be run fairly and with integrity. We
17:06
want every eligible voter to have a reasonable
17:08
opportunity to vote, and we don't want that
17:10
vote unreasonably burdened. But
17:13
we now expect a lot of things,
17:15
even what we could describe as fairly small
17:17
things about how elections are
17:19
run, in terms of how
17:22
counties are purchasing voting
17:24
equipment or the methods they use
17:26
to tabulate ballots. They're just being routinely
17:28
challenged. So I take less and less back
17:31
each day as I read the headlines about a new
17:33
lawsuit being filed, because you
17:35
know, many of these lawsuits just don't go anywhere. They're
17:37
not going to end up being successful, or even
17:39
if they're successful to the district court level, they're likely
17:41
to be reversed and appeal because I think
17:44
the more litigation we see just there's a lower
17:46
likelihood of success of each ensuing lawsuit.
17:49
Well it's watching that escalation
17:52
and trying to calculate what's the
17:54
actual added value at the end of the day, how
17:57
much of it is win loss rate, and how much of it
17:59
is convince donors they're
18:01
committing those of your fund raised from to say, hey,
18:03
we've filed a lawsuit, we're fighting. We're
18:06
fighting the fight, and then even if we lose, the point
18:08
is we're fighting. So that's been a
18:10
change in the dynamic. I would say over the last couple
18:12
of decades, you think.
18:13
That Pennsylvania is the state with the most
18:16
unsettled questions around
18:18
its election procedures. Hence we
18:20
are coming close to the election. What
18:22
is unsettled in Pennsylvania.
18:25
Yeah, Pennsylvania is definitely the
18:27
place I've been looking at for years,
18:29
and we saw it after twenty twenty, we saw before
18:31
twenty twenty, and we're seeing in the end before twenty twenty
18:34
four. It's a combination of factors. It's
18:36
a Republican controlled legislature
18:38
with the Democratic governor, you know, its own
18:40
challenge in a number of places, but there
18:42
seems to be an unusual recalcitrance
18:45
inside the state to try to address a result
18:47
some of these issues. It's issues that have
18:49
been known about how absentee
18:51
ballots are processed in the state,
18:53
and especially if there's an uptick in absentee ballots
18:56
after the twenty twenty election, about what kinds of
18:58
information is required to count the ballot. Ambiguities
19:01
in the statutes that have left
19:03
the State Supreme Court in its
19:05
own internal difficulties thinking about
19:08
remedies, it advising the legislature
19:10
to provide some clarity, and again the legislature
19:12
refusing to provide that clarity. It's
19:14
also the fact that Pennsylvania is not
19:16
just a closely contested state. You know,
19:18
there are many closely contested states. It's a large
19:20
state, so there are a number of electoral
19:23
votes in play for thinking about presidential
19:25
election. And it's a state with some of the most
19:27
significant local discretion to
19:29
election officials. So you knowing
19:31
about different systems where the Secretary of State provides
19:34
more guidance and that gives some
19:36
uniform clarity for how county
19:38
officials do their job when the legislature
19:41
has created some ambiguities or left place
19:43
for the administration of laws, Pennsylvania
19:45
you don't have that, So you have a lot of counties doing
19:48
individualized things in some places,
19:51
you know, there might be ten different standards
19:53
across the state about how they're supposed to handle
19:55
a particular issue that creates an
19:57
equal protection problem. Similarly situated
20:00
voters are being treated differently across the
20:02
state. That also spurs
20:04
more litigation to figure out what the
20:06
uniform rule needs to be or where there
20:08
can be deviation. So these
20:10
county officials in the different jurisdictions
20:13
have also sort of failed to coordinate with each other
20:15
and have very strongly held views individually
20:18
about how the elections should be administered.
20:20
So it's a series of issues that we have
20:22
known for several years that the
20:25
legislature and it's really I think the legislation and the
20:27
governor have failed to lead
20:29
and failed to act in a way to protect
20:31
the elections in the state and to provide some clarity.
20:33
And there's no question I think Republicans, democratsm I think
20:36
very differently about how the election should be administered.
20:38
But I think to the extent that you can
20:40
bargain for some agreement
20:43
about that and provide that guidance
20:46
would go much much farther to protecting
20:48
the rights of everyone involved, rather
20:51
than sitting back waiting to see what
20:53
happens, and if it's close enough, litigating it
20:55
and trying to stave off a disaster. But
20:58
you know, I'm not in the legislature there, I'm
21:00
not in the governor's office. They're trying to figure out what that looks
21:02
like. It's a different political climate, but it's
21:04
the reality of what we see in a state like
21:06
Pennsylvania.
21:07
It sounds like it'll be a nightmare for twenty twenty
21:09
four.
21:10
The election administrator's prayers for wide margins,
21:12
right, the question is,
21:14
you know, if Pennsylvania is decided by
21:16
five points, nobody cares. Right,
21:19
if it's decided by less than
21:21
one percentage point, or you know, whatever
21:23
you view as sufficiently close, then you
21:25
have more and more litigation around it. So if
21:28
there's no question there's going to be significant attention
21:30
to Pennsylvania for how close the election
21:32
is, the size of the electoral votes at stake, and
21:34
then of course you have these decentralized issues
21:36
that remain a constant source of
21:38
litigation at the state.
21:40
Arizona got a lot of attention after
21:43
the twenty twenty election with armed
21:45
people intimidating voters.
21:48
You had the conspiracy theories.
21:50
And the recounts is that
21:52
likely to happen again this year.
21:55
It's hard to know. So Carrie Lake, who lost
21:57
the governor's election twenty twenty two, is
22:00
running for Senate. How much has she
22:02
learned her lesson about losing. How
22:04
much does she want to redouble those efforts. It's hard
22:06
to know. You know, I think there were
22:09
some particularcerns that came out
22:11
of COVID, and a lot of changes about
22:13
elections during COVID, more absentee
22:16
ballots, drop boxes, things like
22:18
that. And then again some people
22:20
who you know, would sell movies or
22:22
books preying on people's fears without
22:24
sort of material evidence resulting. And yeah,
22:27
a federal injunction against one of these
22:29
organizations that was providing
22:31
armed surveillance at some drop
22:33
boxes in the state. You know, I think,
22:36
you know, we watched the primaries. We see if
22:38
things are calmer than as opposed to
22:40
what they were in twenty twenty two, we'll
22:42
see how why the margins are. But you
22:44
know, I think the question for the Republican Party
22:47
in Arizona is, look, despite all this
22:49
stuff, we've lost significantly.
22:51
We've lost a lot of offices in this state.
22:54
We've lost both US Senate seats,
22:56
We've lost the state in the presidential election. We've
22:58
lost essentially all of the executive offices
23:00
in the state and the last election. Is
23:02
it time to think about a new playbook
23:05
and thinking about encouraging voters
23:07
rather than telling our voters that the system is
23:09
rigged. You know, again, it's a lot of speculation
23:11
about what kinds of fears are going to be
23:14
drummed up in these jurisdictions, what
23:16
kinds of people are trying to make a quick book
23:19
by selling people conspiracy theories,
23:21
and at what point, you know, political
23:24
organizations and say the Republican National
23:26
Committee steps into the state and says, look,
23:28
you can't keep destroying
23:31
our own credibility in terms of how elections
23:33
are administered, because if you are constantly
23:35
telling people that the election is rigged,
23:38
they won't show up and Republicans will lose.
23:40
So we'll see how much self interest is there as well.
23:42
But there's no question that some of the highest temperature
23:45
was in the state of Arizona, and we'll see
23:47
if that carries through in twenty twenty four.
23:49
Finally, could twenty twenty
23:51
four be worse as far as litigation
23:54
election litigation than the endless
23:56
litigation we saw after the
23:59
twenty twenty presidential election.
24:02
Well, it could be. It always depends
24:04
on how close it is, Right, the closer the
24:06
margin, the more litigation. Now we
24:08
say that, you know, twenty twenty in a way wasn't
24:10
particularly close, because you would
24:12
have had to flip several states
24:15
with somewhat significant
24:17
margins of victory in those jurisdictions,
24:19
even after a recount in places
24:22
like Georgia. So we'll have to see,
24:24
you know, if it's a Republican loss
24:26
or an apparent Republican loss. There
24:29
are a number of attorneys who promoted
24:31
things in twenty twenty and filed lawsuits
24:33
who are facing sanctions or have been disbarred,
24:36
And I don't know if that's going to be sobering for attorneys
24:38
on the Republican side to think about the quality
24:41
of the claims they bring to be more
24:43
limited and constrained. And again,
24:45
it depends on the size of the loss, the scope of
24:47
the loss. And many of the strategies in
24:49
twenty twenty turn on allegations that
24:52
states change their laws in the middle of the pandemic
24:54
inappropriately. You're not going to see that kind
24:56
of dynamic effect in twenty twenty
24:58
four. And there are changes the electoral
25:00
account reformat to that sort of tighten
25:03
some of the deadlines and force governors
25:05
to submit certificates in an earlier
25:07
and more timely fashion. So I think there's
25:09
a decent chance we would see less
25:11
litigation on that front for Democrats
25:14
and a close loss. Again, it's hard to know exactly
25:16
what that would look like. You know, how many resources
25:19
would be focused on certain jurisdictions to
25:21
allege their violations of federal
25:23
law. Again, I think it depends on the kinds
25:25
of jurisdictions Where places like Pennsylvania,
25:28
where you have more disparate methods
25:30
in how ballots are counted across counties,
25:33
you have more opportunities to bring those challenges
25:36
and to try to get more absentie you other
25:38
kinds of ballots counted, which might redound
25:40
to the benefits of whichever candidate
25:42
is trailing at the time trying to bring these
25:44
challenges. But it's a high degree of
25:46
uncertainty. We might see more in
25:49
twenty twenty four. And you know, I
25:51
go back to twenty twenty, we didn't see a lot
25:53
of states with litigation. We just saw a lot of
25:55
litigation concentrated in one state. Now it did
25:57
culminate in one case Bush versus Gore,
25:59
but there's still a lot of litigation happening
26:01
there. I think the thing about twenty twenty that was more
26:03
remarkable with seeing how diffuse and spread
26:05
out the litigation was, and I think that's
26:07
less likely to see that that kind of litigation
26:10
spread out. But if the election turns
26:12
on a close result in one or two
26:15
states and not just four or five states,
26:17
I would not be surprised to see a significant uptaken
26:19
litigation.
26:20
I guess we should all hope then for wide margins.
26:23
Thanks so much, Derek. That's Professor
26:25
Derek Muller of Notre Dame Law School
26:27
coming up next. Why Trump's social
26:30
media company is a wash
26:32
in legal cases. I'm June
26:34
Grosso and you're listening to Bloomberg. Donald
26:37
Trump's newly public social media
26:40
company is entangled in many
26:42
legal cases. The bulk of them
26:44
involves suspected misdeeds by
26:46
the executives who help set the company
26:49
up and merge it with a public entity,
26:51
and by the former president himself.
26:54
The cases are entangled
26:56
and very confusing. Here to help
26:58
us sort it all out, he is Bloomberg Legal
27:01
reporter Greg Ferrell. Greg start
27:03
where it started truth Social.
27:05
So after the election, after Trump lost,
27:08
after the January sixth riots
27:10
on Capitol Hill, Trump found that he was
27:12
no longer welcome at most of the major social
27:15
media sites, especially Twitter, and
27:17
he decided in the aftermath of that to set
27:19
up his own company, his own social
27:21
media platform, truth Social, as it's
27:23
known, and to take it public
27:26
and turn it into a source
27:28
of wealth would be difficult on its own,
27:31
but as you know, and as we've written a lot
27:33
about here at Bloomberg, SPACs
27:35
had become very popular a few years ago around
27:37
this time, and a SPAC, a special purpose
27:39
acquisition company, is a vehicle
27:42
a wait for investors
27:45
investment companies to take companies
27:47
public without going through the usual
27:50
process of filing with the Securities
27:52
and Exchange Commission themselves and
27:55
subjecting themselves to all sorts of internal
27:58
disclosures about a company. Removes
28:00
that by I'm simplifying here, but it
28:02
removes that process by one step, allowing
28:05
a blank check company essentially
28:07
to raise money and say, you know, if you invest
28:10
with us, we will use your money to buy
28:12
at least one or more companies,
28:14
and we have a track record of investments
28:16
and if you trust us, we'll go find something
28:19
and take it public, and your investment
28:21
in US will increase, you know, doubles but
28:23
whatever, but we will increase. So the
28:25
special purpose acquisition companies are the ones
28:27
that go public. So once Trump
28:29
announced he was going to have his own social
28:32
media company, that was obviously a
28:34
desirable target, you know, for any
28:36
special purpose acquisition company because you
28:39
know, name recognition, the
28:41
former president of the United States, possibly future
28:43
president of the United States. It was very attractive.
28:45
So Digital World Acquisition Corporation
28:49
was established by a guy named Patrick Orlando,
28:51
and it went public in September twenty
28:54
twenty one, and its statements,
28:56
according to filings to potential
28:58
investors, it had not entered into any discussions
29:01
with any entity. It was a blank check company that was going
29:03
to scan the horizon and look for good investments.
29:06
And when public as was successful, and
29:08
shortly thereafter there was an announcement that
29:10
it was going to bring Trump Media Technology
29:12
Group public. So that's the origin story
29:14
in twenty twenty one of what we're now seeing playing
29:17
out.
29:17
Let's talk about some of the lawsuits.
29:20
Several involve Patrick Orlando,
29:23
the x CEO and I think still current director
29:25
of Digital World.
29:26
Acquisition now it's DJT. It's
29:29
Trump Media Technology Group, but it's it's trading
29:31
tickers DJT on the terminal, were
29:33
they and everything so right?
29:36
When d WAK went public. When the Digital
29:38
World Acquisition Company went public, it's primary
29:40
sponsor was a fund called ARC
29:43
Global Investments. But our Global
29:45
Investments is basically Patrick Orlando's
29:47
fund. He's the managing partner
29:49
in it. So he was the principal
29:52
investor that helped bring Digital
29:54
World Acquisition public, and therefore
29:57
he became, after it succeeded
29:59
in its IPO, the chairman and chief executive
30:01
officer. He lasted in that job until
30:03
early twenty twenty three when he was
30:05
fired, and he was fired because
30:08
the Securities and Exchange Commission was investigating
30:10
him and Digital World Acquisition
30:12
Company because it had uncovered
30:14
evidence that Patrick Orlando, before
30:17
de WAC went public, had been negotiating
30:19
or at least expressed interest in buying Trump
30:21
Media Technology Group. And it's
30:23
not so much that that was doing something wrong
30:26
as much as in its disclosures
30:28
in order to go public, d WACK had said it
30:30
had not committed to anything or any discussions
30:33
with any other party, you know, but invest
30:35
here and then we will go find after this,
30:38
you know, go seek out acquisitions. And
30:40
that was patently false because he had
30:42
in fact negotiated or at least had discussions
30:44
with the Trump Media Organization to
30:46
take that public. So the SEC investigation
30:49
led to an eighteen million dollars settlement with the company. Patrick
30:51
Orlando was outed a CEO, but not
30:54
as a board member. He got to stay on
30:57
and he was going to stay on, and the plan was
30:59
until such time as d WAC did in fact
31:01
make an acquisition, and after a couple of years
31:04
it finally close this spring. On
31:06
March twenty second was the date for
31:08
shareholders, including our global investments,
31:11
to vote whether or not to approve the
31:13
deal with Trump Media Technology Group. So
31:15
that's step two.
31:16
That was a drop dead date, March twenty second.
31:19
Yes, right, And there's some leverage here on
31:21
several of the parties here. If the vote
31:23
didn't occur, or if it went the wrong way, then
31:26
Digital World Acquisition Group would
31:28
be obligated to liquidate, in other words,
31:30
would turn the funds to investors. These special
31:32
purpose acquisition companies don't go on forever.
31:34
When they go public and raise money,
31:37
they have a timetable and it's much shorter than
31:39
the period here, but there were several delays that extended
31:41
it, and if nothing happened by March twenty
31:43
second, then d WAC would have to basically
31:46
return share funds to his investing
31:48
partners and miss out in this opportunity to
31:51
take Trump Media public.
31:53
Now, at this point, as you write
31:55
in your piece, the lawsuits
31:57
began to fly.
32:00
One of the lawsuits stopped the
32:02
merger.
32:03
Correct As this date was approaching,
32:05
several lawsuits were filed. Several of them
32:07
involved Patrick Orlando. So for one,
32:09
Digital World Acquisition Corps sued
32:12
him because it was clear that
32:14
in his role as director. According to
32:16
d Whack, they claimed that he was basically
32:20
subverting the acquisition process,
32:22
not jettising it, but subverting it
32:24
in such a way as to favor himself. He wanted a
32:26
better you know, set of shares or a better
32:29
conversion ratio for our Global
32:31
Investments holdings in d
32:33
WHAC. In the post conversion deal
32:36
with Trump Media, d WHAC had determined
32:38
that at least from day one, once
32:40
the vote went through and then the acquisition occurred,
32:43
that holders including our Global would get
32:45
one point three to four shares
32:47
in the new company what became DJT
32:50
for every one share they already held in d WHACK,
32:52
or Orlando had signaled as a board member that he
32:54
thought you'd much higher, as high as one point
32:56
eight. So there was clearly going to be a battle
32:59
over this in the last weeks leading up to the
33:01
vote. So d WAC suit him
33:03
preemptively in Florida in mid
33:05
February. He responded by filing
33:08
your countersuit, if you will in Delaware by
33:10
the end of February, saying no, it should
33:12
be one point seven eight to one. You guys have miscalculated.
33:15
You made misstatements about me, et cetera, et cetera.
33:18
So that's the beginning of this. Patrick Orlando
33:20
sued d WHAC for payment
33:22
of legal fees because he was racking up legal bills
33:24
because of the SEC investigation, and it
33:27
was clear from one of d WAC's lawsuits that the
33:29
SEC was going to investigate and quite
33:31
possibly bring a civil charge against Orlando
33:33
for making those misstatements about Trump
33:36
media and the run up to the IPO, and
33:38
that was resolved beforehand, so presumably
33:41
de WHAC did pay much,
33:43
if not all, of the legal expenses that
33:45
Patrick Orlando incurred as the director
33:47
of d WHAC for the SEC investigation.
33:50
So the suit by the Trump Media
33:52
co founders, the former contestants
33:54
on The Apprentice.
33:55
Yes, was that part of the d WAC suit.
33:57
I mean it's also about contention.
34:00
Is that Trump was trying to dilute
34:02
their stake.
34:03
Yes, it's related insofar as there was going to
34:05
be a transition. You know, they helped found this
34:07
company in twenty twenty one, so they thought
34:09
their stake was worth x or that was their understanding
34:12
in early documents. But over time,
34:14
you know, as the company got a little more mature or
34:16
approached this date of acquisition,
34:19
they learned that their shares were worth less than
34:21
what they believed. So they sued. And
34:23
again, part of this was not only to
34:25
get a larger cut of the share
34:28
to which they felt they deserved, but with
34:30
the deal coming up, it's a potential point
34:32
of leverage that we want more or
34:34
else. I'm not sure they could you know, undermined or
34:36
they could get it delayed further. So
34:39
that was resolved that the Delaware Chance re Court
34:42
judge overseeing that matter. No, he
34:44
was not going to postpone or
34:46
force this March twenty second vote
34:48
to be rescheduled, but would
34:50
simply sort out the issue of ownership
34:52
afterwards, because there'd be a large chunk of unallocated
34:55
shares in the wake of the March twenty second
34:58
acquisition.
34:58
So now Trump has countersuit,
35:01
but in Florida. And here's my favorite
35:03
part. The judge Samuel
35:05
Glascock the third said he was gobsmacked
35:08
to learn of Trump's Florida suit, which
35:11
he filed there instead of bringing counter claims
35:13
in the Delaware suit, and that he would
35:15
consider possible sanctions against the
35:18
former president.
35:19
Yes, Judge Glascock, I've seen him.
35:21
He's excellent. And there's real rules
35:24
regarding Delaware chance record and a
35:26
pattern of the way you prosecute or litigate
35:28
things. And this was clearly stepping out of something
35:31
that was brought in chance record, trying
35:33
to drag it down to Florida. So we'll see what happens.
35:35
But he did not earn any favors
35:38
Trump's lawyers by suing Florida rather
35:40
than taking this or dealing
35:42
with this in chance record.
35:44
And then also there's
35:46
an insider trading case.
35:48
Where yes, if that weren't enough, exactly.
35:51
It's crazy.
35:52
There's civil litigation between the
35:54
parties, the sec bringing
35:56
suits and the Manhattan US
35:58
attorney bringing a criminal.
36:00
Case, so over and above
36:03
the current spat, you know, different
36:05
legal questions about who owns how much
36:07
of the now the new company DJT. Is
36:10
this other fact that one
36:12
of the early investors, Bruce Corellik,
36:14
who was affiliated with Rocket Mortgage,
36:17
learned and was aware of before
36:19
the public became aware of d wax
36:21
interest in doing a deal with Trump Media. Now that's
36:23
valuable information. If you've got a blank check
36:25
company and they haven't decided where to spend their money,
36:28
it's worth whatever it's worth. If
36:30
you happen to know before it's announced that no, they're
36:32
going to do a deal for Donald Trump's media
36:34
company, a very high profile, almost
36:37
can't miss kind of bat, then
36:39
that's worth something. And the Justice
36:41
Department accused him and a couple of
36:44
confederates who we knew through Rocket Mortgage,
36:46
the Schwartzmann brothers, of
36:48
insider trading, misappropriating the
36:50
information about this, sharing it
36:52
with friends, and then trading on it, buying more
36:55
de wax shares, and then selling the de Wax shares
36:57
wants. The news about its plan to acquire
36:59
Trump Technology Group came
37:01
out and all three you know, were
37:04
determined to fight it. They pled not guilty. But
37:06
you know, just last week or two weeks ago, the Schwarzman
37:09
brothers both changed their pleat guilty, So
37:11
you know, Gorillic hasn't. But now
37:13
he's in a little bit of trouble. Not only
37:15
has he been charged with the inside of trading, but
37:18
two men who the government alleges
37:20
he shared this with, have both pled guilty.
37:22
So we'll see what happens with his case. But
37:25
yes, it has nothing directly
37:27
to do with Trump, but it's it's not a good fact
37:29
pattern if you're trying to launch a company
37:31
that this has happened in the background, and this helped
37:33
delay the launch of the company.
37:35
And just what is DJT word?
37:37
There have been these wild swings
37:40
in the shares and it's a company
37:43
that's never generated a profit
37:45
yet it's worth billions.
37:47
Not only no profit, but it's barely
37:50
generated any revenue and it's created losses.
37:52
That's what we've seen in its first public filings
37:54
after this acquisition. But you know,
37:57
you and I grew up in a world where people
37:59
who pick stocks, you know, obsessed over
38:01
the fundamentals, how much money you would generate,
38:03
and you know this is why you bought a company and had
38:05
a brand value, et cetera. We're in a different
38:07
world now of meme stocks, and I
38:10
think this is actually ingenious. You know, on Trump's
38:12
half, he has a bunch of MAGA supporters.
38:14
You know, his his real ardent fans who
38:16
do put their money with their mouth is they buy his merchandise,
38:19
They support him, they give him money. And this is a way
38:21
of giving money to him as well, whether or not
38:23
they can keep the stock up at its level even
38:25
though it doesn't have the underlying revenues to
38:28
justify it at this time. I remember, growing
38:30
up in the Boston area, at some point in the nineteen eighties,
38:33
a group of investors took the
38:35
Boston Celtics public. Now, the Celtics
38:37
were at the height of their fame
38:39
and success in the nineteen eighties with Larry Bird,
38:41
and it was a stock play, like, you know,
38:43
let's get a lot of Boston Celtics fans and
38:46
Boston sports fans, you know, get them
38:48
to buy into it. It was not ultimately
38:50
a success, but I see on
38:53
a much larger scale sort of a similar enticement
38:55
here. You know, Trump has tens of millions
38:58
of passionate supporters and
38:59
ask to buy sheriff stock for forty
39:01
or fifty bucks or whatever. Who knows. If
39:04
he mobilizes them, you know what he
39:06
could get them to do.
39:07
Well, they want to buy his four hundred dollars sneakers.
39:09
They're sold out. They buy
39:11
the mugs, the T shirts and everything
39:13
else. So we shall see.
39:15
This is interesting. This gets us away from,
39:17
like I say, fundamental stock
39:20
analysis and what the return on investment
39:22
be too, Like, no, this is what you know.
39:24
Frump's passionate supporters might run
39:26
up. We'll see. This will be an interesting
39:28
test case. There will be some kind of a business
39:31
school case study probably and.
39:34
Maybe law school too.
39:35
We'll see, yes, yes, maybe, Thanks.
39:37
So much, Greg for unraveling all these
39:39
lawsuits. That's Bloomberg Legal reporter
39:42
Greg Ferrell, and that's it for this edition
39:44
of the Bloomberg Law Podcast. Remember
39:46
you can always get the latest legal news by
39:48
subscribing and listening to the show on
39:50
Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and
39:52
at Bloomberg dot com, slash podcast,
39:55
slash Law.
39:56
I'm June Grosso and this is
39:58
Bloomberg f
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