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Audio Studios. Podcasts.
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Radio. News. From
1:15
the heart of where innovation, money
1:17
and power collide in Silicon Valley
1:20
and beyond. This is
1:22
Bloomberg Technology with Caroline Hyde and
1:24
Ed Ludlow. I'm
1:39
Caroline Hyde at Bloomberg's World Headquarters in New York. And
1:42
I'm Ed Ludlow in San Francisco. This is
1:44
Bloomberg Technology. Coming up, Intel,
1:46
it slides amid some tepid
1:48
forecasts. We're going to discuss all of
1:50
that with the CEO, Pat Gelsinger. Plus,
1:52
Microsoft and Google post strong results on
1:55
AI demand for cloud. Full coverage ahead.
1:57
And Jeff Bezos and Andy Jassy, deleting
1:59
chat. I mean an anti-trust probe,
2:02
now that's according to the FTC, we bring
2:04
you their response and the details. Right now,
2:06
Caro, we start with semiconductors. We do, let's dig
2:08
in on Ill Things Intel. Room-X
2:11
inking was on, of course,
2:13
across the earnings last night, discussing with
2:15
the business. And look, this seems to
2:17
be a worry about forecasts. Q1 actually
2:20
pretty resilient, the forecast tepid. Yeah,
2:23
no, you're absolutely right. All of the divisions
2:25
performed roughly where Wall Street was expecting, if
2:27
not a little bit better. The
2:30
issue that investors had was with the forecast
2:32
that Partners team put out there, and that
2:35
was considerably lighter than the
2:37
consensus. And that was
2:39
explained by Partners management team as
2:41
being related to a structural issue
2:44
that some of the excess demand out
2:46
there can't be met because of an
2:48
issue with a shortage of a certain
2:50
type of manufacturing. It's important to
2:52
talk about the server market. What did we learn about Intel's
2:55
place in the server market? Yeah,
2:58
I mean, as I forwarded
3:00
along to you, an analyst put it this way, look,
3:02
the server market, the basic server market that
3:05
Intel has owned for many years just
3:09
isn't growing at a rate that
3:11
it has in the past because spending is
3:13
going elsewhere, it's going
3:15
into AI accelerators, and that isn't a big
3:17
market for Intel yet. And finally,
3:19
we should talk about Foundry. Intel
3:21
is unique in that sense that it is pursuing
3:24
two business models. What did you learn there? Yeah,
3:26
I mean, that's the big story, isn't it? That
3:29
Pat is pursuing some long-term fundamental
3:31
changes to the chip industry, and
3:35
if it plays out how he projects,
3:38
we're going to see a whole different Intel and a
3:40
whole different industry. But in the meantime,
3:42
he's got to report quarterly earnings based upon what's happening
3:44
right now. Bloomberg's Ian
3:46
King, who leads our semiconductor coverage here
3:48
at Bloomberg. Thank you very much. And
3:50
Caro, it's the earnings context, right? They
3:53
are numbers relative to street expectations. But
3:55
like every earnings, it's about an outlook
3:57
and the long term, the story of it. with
4:00
Intel that I think the market is seizing on
4:02
right now. The long term we want to dig
4:04
into with the CEO. In the short term though, we
4:06
have to acknowledge the market reaction. At one point, the
4:08
worst sell-off that we've seen since 2020, July of 2020,
4:10
we're now coming off
4:13
of those lows there, but we're now at the worst since
4:15
January 2024. But just to
4:17
add to the fact that this is a company that's
4:19
lost a third of its market capitalization in this year
4:21
alone. We
4:23
know that AI is a complicated story.
4:26
Yes, AI accelerators, but the server market
4:28
needs CPUs. It also needs memory, which
4:30
we discussed with Micron just the other
4:33
day. A lot of this is happening
4:35
in parallel. And as we learned with
4:37
Microsoft and Google, some of the cloud
4:40
growth is not necessarily AI related. Data
4:42
center infrastructure is needed for non-AI
4:44
reasons as well. So let's try
4:47
and unpick what's happening in a
4:49
name that, as you say, is
4:51
down. We
4:53
welcome now our Bloomberg TV and radio
4:55
audiences worldwide. And joining us is the
4:58
Intel CEO, Pat Gelsinger. Pat, good morning
5:00
to you and thank you for your
5:02
time. The stock is down more than
5:04
10%. And we're kind of
5:06
here again, right, where there's the short
5:08
term and the long term where you're trying
5:10
to convince investors of a
5:13
return to technology leadership and
5:16
also grow a foundry business. Have
5:19
you an updated timeline on when you think you
5:22
will achieve that target? Yeah,
5:24
thanks, Ed. And obviously, hey, we delivered a
5:26
solid Q1, right? We met on revenue. We
5:29
beat on earnings a bit tepid in the first half,
5:31
as we said, but we see a lot of improvement
5:35
as we go through the year. And
5:37
with that, obviously, the foundry business, as
5:40
I would say, we're going to see progress
5:42
on the foundry business every quarter from now
5:44
to the end of the decade. It just
5:46
gets better and better as we move into
5:48
our new technologies. As we've said,
5:50
getting back to process leadership, which have better
5:53
ASPs and we can build
5:55
better products with them. We win more
5:57
external foundry customers as our scale grows.
6:00
And we'll also get past this period where
6:02
we had to invest the catch up, right,
6:04
and create the capacity for a decade plus
6:07
of underinvestment. So everything there becomes a tailwind
6:09
going forward and we hit key milestones. And
6:11
one of those I was very proud of
6:13
just this week, we went to production with
6:16
our first server part on Intel 3. The
6:19
US is back to leadership process
6:21
technology being manufactured on our shores
6:23
for the first time in a
6:25
decade. So some key milestones and
6:27
I'll just say everything is coming
6:29
together as we would say. And we're
6:31
very optimistic that yes, in fact, we
6:34
will deliver the foundry business
6:36
and the manufacturing capabilities as we've laid
6:38
out for the company, the industry and
6:40
the world. Steve,
6:42
interestingly, analysts over there, 2024
6:45
should mark the bottom in many aspects,
6:48
Pat, but they really want to understand
6:50
the pace of the climb that is
6:52
necessary. How can you tell us about
6:55
how quickly you'll be able to scale
6:57
back that market share that you've so
6:59
far lost? Yeah, and
7:01
we look at Intel now in
7:03
these two different perspectives, Intel products,
7:06
and we expose through our recast
7:08
financials that we have a very
7:10
solid, fabulous business with healthy financials,
7:12
and we expect those to improve
7:14
over time. But the big story
7:16
has been about exposing the foundry
7:18
financials and the losses associated with
7:20
those. And what we see is
7:22
over the decade, that will cross
7:24
through profitability in the middle of
7:26
the period for that business
7:29
as we get back to process leadership and
7:31
start to moderate the level of investment
7:34
required to go rebuild that decade of
7:36
underinvestment. And as we do that, if
7:38
we would have that today, we'd be
7:40
more than double the earnings this year
7:43
that we're forecasting. So it becomes a
7:45
huge positive lever for us. And as
7:47
I like to say, all of that's
7:49
in our control. The
7:52
wafers, getting back to leadership, the product implications
7:54
of it, all of these things are our
7:56
control, and it gets better as we win
7:58
additional external foundry. for the Foundry customers. Where
8:30
are data centers being built and what are they
8:32
being built on right now? Yeah,
8:35
and this is important because we've been
8:37
at a period now for a number
8:39
of quarters where data center CPUs have
8:41
been fairly tepid. And we do see
8:43
that improving. We had good improvement in
8:45
the first quarter of the year and
8:47
we expect that to continue through the
8:49
year. And there's time for
8:51
refresh in those data centers. But we're
8:53
also seeing that the CPUs now as
8:56
head nodes for AI use cases, we
8:58
posted some pretty incredible results that we
9:00
can now run 70 billion
9:02
parameter models natively
9:05
on the CPU. I don't need a
9:07
special accelerator. I can do everything on
9:09
the software stack that I already use
9:11
inside of data centers. And
9:13
we're seeing that these power efficient products
9:15
that we're bringing to the marketplace, such
9:18
as our Xeon 6 that we just
9:20
announced are gonna enable us to stabilize
9:23
and regain market share. With much higher
9:25
core counts, the ASPs are going up
9:27
very nicely on that through the year.
9:29
So we saw growth in Q1. We
9:32
expect that to continue through the year. And
9:34
as we get to the back half
9:36
of the year, our accelerator product
9:38
line with Goudy, Xeon plus Goudy,
9:40
we believe becomes a very
9:43
compelling solution for enterprise customers. And we
9:45
had quite a number of announcements of
9:47
those this quarter. Customers such
9:49
as Bosch and Dell
9:52
and Super Micro all
9:55
bringing those into the marketplace. Bosch
9:58
and IBM and Eclap. partners
10:00
like Naver, the fastest growing cloud
10:02
provider in Asia, all of those
10:04
coming alongside the Intel strategy so
10:06
we see that momentum building it.
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steeple.com. That's STI F-E-L. Stiefel,
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Nicholas and Company Incorporated, Member SIPC and
12:03
NYSE. Momentum, and
12:05
we want to just remind us
12:07
that we are with TV radio
12:09
audiences, the CEO of Intel, Pat
12:11
Gelsinger. Pat, on the momentum, everyone
12:13
wants to talk about AI and all of its ways
12:16
and means. You've been focusing in on an
12:18
AI PC and I'm just really interested
12:20
in, ultimately, you're going to be shipping
12:22
in excess of originally 14 million AI
12:25
PC CPUs, that's a target for What's
12:28
the demand like at the moment, Pat? What's the cost
12:30
like? Yeah, when we
12:32
announced the category at the end of
12:35
last year, Carolyn, it was sort of
12:37
like everybody said, wow, what's going on?
12:39
The AI PC and you're seeing a
12:41
flurry of interest of other people coming
12:43
into that market. But Intel, unquestionably the
12:45
leader, first to declare the
12:47
market, first to describe the use
12:49
cases and our first product, Core
12:51
Ultra, is having a very robust
12:53
ramp into the marketplace. And
12:56
to some degree, I'm racing to catch up to
12:58
the demand. We're meeting all of our supply commitments,
13:00
but not all of the upside requests
13:02
yet that we're getting from
13:04
customers. So this is very robust. We
13:07
expect that we'll exceed the 40 million
13:09
units this year. We'll be introducing our
13:11
next generation product in the middle of
13:13
this year. So all of these pieces,
13:16
we are very optimistic. And you're seeing
13:18
use cases and communications
13:20
where all of a sudden
13:22
I get summarization, textualization, translation
13:24
in real time, all running
13:26
on my PC. Developers,
13:29
gamers, all of these use cases
13:31
are now becoming AI enabled and
13:33
Intel leading the AI PC parade.
13:35
It's a very exciting time, but
13:37
I believe will be the biggest
13:39
cycle of PC refresh and
13:41
expansion that we've seen in likely
13:44
decades. Pat, this is a conversation
13:46
about your technology and about
13:48
ultimately your fundamentals of a business. So
13:50
I'm just going to take a turn for a moment. And
13:52
it's a sensitive question. So I'll give you a moment
13:54
to think about it. But given your relationship with Israel
13:56
and the fact that you are one of the largest
13:58
employers How are
14:00
you currently feeling about students in
14:03
the United States protesting against endowments
14:05
being invested in companies that are
14:07
associated with Israel at this moment?
14:10
Well, we have been in Israel
14:13
for 40 years now, and
14:15
it's been an incredible country
14:18
for us, incredible innovators,
14:21
and extraordinary resilience by
14:23
the Israeli people. And
14:26
they continue, despite the challenges of
14:29
the war that's going on there, to
14:31
deliver against their objectives. So we're very
14:33
committed to support our teams wherever they
14:36
are in the world. That
14:38
said, hey, we seek peace. And
14:41
we've been clearly emphasizing
14:43
that we need to
14:45
find routes of sustainable
14:48
peace in the region. They've been
14:50
supporting perspectives that reinforce that across
14:53
the region. And as
14:55
we look across the world, we say,
14:57
boy, there continues to be the turbulence.
14:59
And fundamentally, our strategy is around building
15:02
globally resilient supply chains that are balanced
15:04
across the world. So our core strategy
15:06
is emphasizing that there will be these
15:08
challenges across the world, whether that's
15:11
in Israel, Ukraine, or Asia. And we
15:13
are committed to making sure that we
15:15
can support the global
15:17
markets that we serve with
15:19
a strategy that really was built for a
15:21
turbulent world. Pat,
15:24
let's end on AI accelerators. Gaudi is
15:26
on track for 500 million this year.
15:29
AMD's MI300X will probably do
15:31
3.5 billion. And
15:33
Nvidia, with its generations, will do 40
15:36
billion. You've said that choice
15:38
is important, and also the CPU is
15:40
important. And I accept that. Many share
15:42
it. But do you see
15:45
a clear path where the numbers I
15:47
just outlined rebalance in your favor in
15:49
the AI accelerator market going forward? Given
15:53
the strength that we saw at
15:55
our vision event that we had,
15:57
we had 20-plus customers coming out
15:59
publicly and supporting. of our accelerator
16:01
and our Xeon plus accelerator strategy,
16:03
we're really starting to see that
16:05
pipeline of activity convert, Ed. And
16:09
ultimately, much of the activity
16:11
that you've seen so far
16:13
on generative AI has been
16:15
in cloud training. And
16:17
now, and I think the ultimate monetization
16:19
of AI happens as
16:21
business deployments start to occur. And those
16:23
are the areas that we see strength.
16:26
We launched the open platform for enterprise
16:28
AI. How do
16:30
we enable these use cases inside
16:32
of the enterprise, but in an
16:34
open architecture that many get to
16:36
participate in? We announced the open
16:38
AI networking from closed proprietary networking
16:40
to standard Ethernet based scale up
16:42
and scale out networking. We announced
16:44
that this quarter. And obviously the
16:47
momentum that we're seeing with Goudy,
16:49
all of that's a half a billion, almost all of
16:51
it's in the second half of the year. So you
16:53
can see a very accelerated cycle, a
16:56
lot of enthusiasm for Goudy. We're
16:59
the unquestioned leader in TCO, total
17:01
cost of ownership for enterprises, building
17:04
on the Xeon franchise and the
17:06
position that we have in the
17:08
enterprise and literally ISVs and cloud
17:11
providers, but most importantly, enterprise customers,
17:13
seeing that value proposition. Yeah, we
17:15
feel like we're gaining a
17:17
lot of momentum now in this category
17:19
and feel good about the potential for
17:22
our AI everywhere, AI PC, AI Edge,
17:24
AI Enterprise and AI Cloud. Depending
17:27
on an optimistic moat, we thank you so
17:29
much Intel CEO, Pat Gelsinger there on
17:31
all things AI, all things Intel numbers.
17:34
What if everyone at work were an
17:36
expert communicator? What if every doc message
17:38
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17:40
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17:42
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17:45
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17:48
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17:52
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17:54
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18:38
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That's stifel.com Steeple, Nicholas and Company
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incorporated member as I, Pc and
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and Y Se. Ne.
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ne sais trillion dollar and trying to
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say though much success as i say
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something higher i'll set aside and cloud
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reading it as as as as a
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the old and part my guess was
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deliver strong earnest results on and get
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to say about him as a senior
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research analyst hillary says his says it's
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comment on the one that's me the
19:59
nice today and alphabet paired with
20:01
Google. Interestingly,
20:05
cloud has always been seen as a laggard there, but infusing
20:07
artificial intelligence is helping bring about market share, particularly with startups.
20:10
Indeed it is. Thanks for having me,
20:12
Caroline. Google
20:15
is well known for having a strong presence
20:17
among startups, tech companies, and they have
20:19
among the best AI assets around
20:21
historically. And so
20:24
they're going to benefit from this along with everybody else,
20:26
and we've seen two quarters of them at Google Cloud
20:28
now. And I think many were waiting
20:30
for, okay, you've got these offerings, how are people
20:33
using them, adopting them, and actually boosting their own
20:35
productivity? Microsoft shone a light on the fact that
20:37
what is it? 65%
20:39
of the Fortune 100 are using their Azure
20:41
cloud at the moment. I mean, they must
20:44
be just ripping away market share from everyone
20:46
else, even though cloud is still good for
20:48
Google. Microsoft still firing on all the
20:50
cylinders for you? Indeed it
20:52
is. In fact, the cylinders are just really starting
20:55
to get going. It's interesting
20:57
because Microsoft is absolutely benefiting from
20:59
a shared perspective due to their
21:01
leading position in AI across all
21:03
their businesses, certainly across cloud. And
21:06
I view AI as ultimately an
21:08
ultimate contributor, but it's definitely an
21:10
accelerant to cloud migrations. Hillary,
21:13
good morning. It's Ed in San Francisco.
21:15
The share reactions of each are interesting,
21:18
alphabet more pronounced. When I talked to
21:20
Ruth Poirat on the phone last night
21:22
about cloud, she basically said AI solutions
21:24
did make it a meaningful contribution to
21:27
that 28% cloud growth year on year,
21:29
but she didn't put a number on
21:31
it. Now Microsoft and Amy Hood did
21:33
put a number on it. They said 31% Azure growth,
21:35
7% of which came from AI. So
21:41
really interesting share reaction. I want to
21:43
put it to you that alphabet probably
21:45
isn't jumping as much on
21:47
that cloud narrative as it is the sweetener of
21:49
a dividend. I
21:57
think you're right about that Ed. investors
22:00
were pleased to see the results across the
22:02
board. I
22:05
think they breathed a sigh of relief that cloud
22:07
accelerated, that
22:10
all businesses accelerated quarter over
22:13
quarter. But the
22:15
big piece of new information here was operating
22:17
margin improvement and
22:20
commitment to that through the year as well as
22:22
the dividend. And
22:25
that's what we're seeing historically.
22:30
Hilary, do you believe now through the lens of alphabet and Microsoft's earnings
22:35
that corporate America is actually spending on and using
22:37
generative AI? I
22:40
believe they are. I believe most of
22:42
corporate America is experimenting with AI and
22:46
testing generative AI in Microsoft Azure Cloud and elsewhere,
22:51
certainly in Amazon and Google as well. And
22:54
that's just some level of scale. Microsoft's
22:56
seven points of AI contribution
22:59
were good. I would say they were generally in line
23:01
though, but Microsoft did signal on their
23:03
call that they were actually capacity constrained. Alluding
23:06
to the idea that that number would have actually been higher were
23:09
it not for those constraints. I
23:12
still believe it's going to be starting in the second half where
23:14
we see that Microsoft
23:16
inferencing base of users doing inferencing on their
23:18
Azure Cloud and
23:20
they're going out and start to drive that number. I
23:23
want to dig into basically the broadening idea
23:25
here. We're talking about two names that have
23:27
already done phenomenally well on the hype around
23:29
AI. We're waiting for the spillover effect. Now
23:31
you shine a light on certain companies that
23:33
I keep an eye on because they're New
23:35
York based, MongoDB. We also think
23:37
about what Datadog is up to. How
23:40
are these companies going to benefit from the adoption
23:42
of generative AI? So these companies will benefit the
23:44
whole consumption complex, MongoDB,
23:48
Snowflake, Datadog,
23:51
First and Third being in New York. They'll benefit
23:53
with a lag. I
23:55
agree with your care line that we're not
23:57
seeing it on a broad based basis yet.
24:00
let you who are
24:02
actually going to benefit, but what they will
24:04
benefit from is the absence of the extreme
24:06
cost optimization we saw last year. Companies
24:09
going on a virus strike in terms
24:11
of new projects. They're going to see
24:13
the flow through of what's effectively a
24:15
cyclical upturn in cloud consumption. We actually
24:17
heard that from Microsoft last night that
24:19
companies are conducting new projects, that they're
24:22
starting to do things, they're taking out
24:24
mothball projects and bringing those back. So I
24:26
think that's a positive for this cohort. Hilary,
24:30
we're down week one of MegaCap Tech
24:32
and I'm bracing for week two. What
24:34
do you think
24:36
is the kind of blanket takeaway of
24:39
this seven day period so far? I'd
24:42
say overall cautiously
24:45
optimistic. Again,
24:47
I stick to the names where
24:49
expectations are low, valuations
24:51
are reasonable, and
24:54
companies have idiosyncratic drivers. Microsoft
24:56
with AI and share gains.
24:58
The cloud consumption complex with
25:01
the absence of negatives. Amazon
25:03
should show some pretty good results based
25:06
on the fact that they have a lot
25:08
of tech companies and startups on their platform
25:10
too who are experimenting with AI. But it's
25:12
really company by company and enterprise
25:14
budgets overall remain somewhat constrained
25:16
in first half, I
25:18
think, more of that opening up in second half. New
25:21
fresh, always so good to get your expertise on
25:23
the time that we have earnings and all the
25:25
time actually coverage investments we thank you for being
25:27
here. And what have you got? Let's
25:30
get some news in talking tech
25:32
and first up food delivery service,
25:34
Meituan is planning to launch its
25:36
international platform in Riyadh, its first
25:38
location outside of China. According to
25:40
sources involved in discussions, the company's
25:42
looked into expanding in the Middle
25:44
East for months and could launch
25:46
as early as a few months
25:48
from now. The move comes as
25:50
Chinese companies seek growth abroad to
25:52
combat a domestic slowdown. Plus, US
25:54
Secretary of State Anthony Blinken and
25:56
Chinese President Xi Jinping met in
25:58
Beijing. She's trying to she. issued a
26:00
warning to Blinken against quote vicious
26:02
competition between the two countries saying
26:05
quote China and the United States
26:07
should be partners rather than rivals
26:09
the two-day meeting composed a dialogue
26:11
on trade geopolitical tensions and
26:13
even an announcement of AI talks
26:15
that will begin in the coming
26:17
weeks and finally Huawei's Latest smartphones
26:19
that says been utilizing an updated
26:21
version of it's made in China
26:23
chips according to an independent analysis
26:25
the purest 70 phones sport
26:28
a Kirin 90 10 processor Which
26:30
is a new version of the 9000 chips
26:32
that alarms Washington officials due to
26:34
their 7 nanometer tech long thought
26:37
to be beyond China's capabilities according
26:39
to Jeffery's the purest 70 smartphones
26:41
sold out within two days of
26:44
being launched scarra Fascinating
26:46
coming up. We're gonna talk FTC
26:48
Allegations against the Amazon founder Jeff
26:51
Bezos and its current CEO Andy
26:53
Jesse Honey according to the
26:55
FTC they've been destroying messages amid an antitrust
26:57
probe But we'll get you the details and
26:59
the response from Amazon next you want to
27:01
of course happening with that trace today UK
27:04
listed company up 16% why the
27:06
UK say the company's actually agreed to sell
27:09
itself to a private equity firm from a
27:11
Bravo an equity value of 5.3 billion dollars
27:13
that's basically a 20% premium So
27:15
still a little bit of caution in the market that this deal will
27:17
get done Remember from a Bravo actually
27:19
walked away back in 2020 do that talks
27:21
to buy dark trace but really interesting and
27:23
this is a company of course in somewhat
27:25
a Interesting relationship with the
27:27
embattled British entrepreneur Mike Lynch who is on
27:29
trial for fraud here in the US
27:32
We shine a light on dark trace today. This is been
27:34
their technology What
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Visit www.choosestifel.com. Stiefel Nicholas and
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Company Incorporated, member SIPC and NYS. Welcome
29:47
back to Bloomberg Technology, Ed Ludlow in
29:49
San Francisco. Alan Hyde back in the
29:51
morning. Let's get to one of the
29:53
top stories on the Bloomberg terminal and
29:56
dot com. Top Amazon executives, including founder
29:58
Jeff Bezos and CEO Andy Jesse,
30:01
destroyed text messages discussing
30:03
business according to allegations
30:05
by the FTC, a
30:07
raising evidence the agency could have used
30:09
in an antitrust case against the retail
30:11
giant. I want to bring in Bloomberg's
30:13
Mike Shepard who leads our coverage of
30:16
the kind of intersection of tech and
30:18
politics. Now, Amazon
30:21
is pushing back against this FTC
30:23
allegation with some force. We will
30:26
get to that. But we're talking
30:28
about communications made by executives on
30:30
the Signal app. Mike, explain it to
30:32
us. Well, I
30:34
think it's important to turn the clock
30:37
back a couple of months to September.
30:39
And this is when the FTC filed
30:41
its initial antitrust case against
30:43
Amazon. And they've gradually been increasing
30:45
the pressure on the company in
30:48
this particular matter, in this lawsuit.
30:50
In November, they had a less
30:53
redacted version of the case released
30:55
to the public. And that indicated
30:57
that they had concerns. Executives have
31:00
been concealing some information, but they
31:02
didn't name names. Today, we
31:05
learned last night, we're discussing today
31:07
the latest. And that is that
31:09
they are naming names, including CEO
31:11
Andy Jassy and the founder Jeff
31:13
Bezos. And that indicates the kind
31:15
of pressure that the agency is
31:18
putting on the company. And it
31:20
echoes what this broader effort against
31:23
big tech by antitrust and forces
31:25
here in DC. Mike, turn
31:27
the clock back even further. And
31:29
you go to 2019 when Jeff
31:31
Bezos indeed made clear and evident
31:33
that his phone had been hacked,
31:35
he felt. And that is the
31:37
argument as to why executives move
31:39
to Signal and these automatic discussions
31:42
that can delete themselves. And I'm noting
31:44
that Amazon has currently said, look, the FTC
31:46
has a complete picture of Amazon's decision making
31:49
in this case, including 1.7 million
31:51
documents and sources like email, internal messaging
31:54
applications and laptops, among other
31:56
sources, over 100 terabytes of
31:58
data. What more? more needed
32:00
they do to prove that
32:02
they weren't using signal for, well,
32:05
conversations they didn't want seen by the FTC? Well,
32:08
you know, the FTC is actually alleging
32:11
that maybe there was more that
32:13
they needed to know about. Maybe
32:16
there was more in those conversations that
32:18
disappeared that they don't have access to
32:21
and are not privy to in the
32:23
case yet and that they should therefore
32:25
be able to see to have a
32:27
clear and complete picture. But Amazon is
32:29
saying that, look, you already have enough.
32:32
You have more than enough than you
32:34
need to be able to carry on
32:36
your work here. And I'm glad you
32:38
brought up Caroline the point about 2019, because
32:41
of course that's when Jeff Bezos'
32:44
texts were purportedly hacked and
32:47
his desire to maintain some
32:49
degree of privacy is another
32:52
driver here. And so
32:54
the company is saying, look, we've done
32:56
enough and also we had cause to
32:58
try to protect some of these communications
33:00
against people on the outside. Right,
33:03
Shevard, you always sum it up so beautifully.
33:05
Thank you very much indeed of all things
33:07
FTC and Amazon today. Meanwhile, I'll shift
33:09
gears a little bit. Elon Musk's
33:11
artificial intelligence startup, XAI, is
33:14
nearing a deal to raise $6 billion in funding,
33:16
and that would value the company at $18 billion.
33:18
That's all according to a person familiar with the matter.
33:21
He's got him like Max Chafkin, all in on
33:23
Elon Inc. joins us now. And I'm
33:25
interested by the fact that the sheer amount they're
33:27
raising versus the capitalization of the business. But we
33:29
did know they were going for funding to beef
33:31
up XAI. Well, here's the
33:33
thing. Elon Musk was able to kind
33:36
of spin this open AI
33:38
competitor. This company basically
33:40
it makes large language models very similar
33:42
to open AI. He did this kind
33:45
of quickly and with a very small
33:47
staff. But the thing is, to keep
33:49
these models training, you need an insane
33:51
number of very, very expensive GPUs. These
33:54
are the graphics chips that artificial intelligence
33:56
companies use. Elon Musk on X
33:58
spaces in a... Last
34:01
month said that they were using 20,000 already
34:04
of these Nvidia H100s. They would need
34:06
100,000 of these chips. So
34:08
this is a, you know, that's an expense that's
34:10
in the hundreds of millions of dollars, if
34:12
not the billions of dollars. So that's why he's
34:15
raising this money and why they need it. There
34:18
is a little backstory of all of
34:20
this that the Zet Chapman and I
34:23
of Bloomberg News reported on January 19th
34:25
that XAI was in talks to raise funds
34:28
with a valuation between 15 and $20 billion.
34:31
18 billion is pretty much between 15 and 20
34:34
billion. And Elon Musk
34:36
denied it. He said false, fake. And then the
34:38
FT followed up with the same report and he
34:40
said fake. And then the information came out yesterday
34:42
with a report which Bloomberg then reported to and
34:45
he hasn't said anything yet. The main thing is,
34:48
irrespective of what Elon Musk says, he's
34:50
got an ability to raise money for
34:52
pretty much any project he's doing, Max.
34:55
Well, and it's not that he only has an ability,
34:57
but he has to raise money here because Elon Musk,
35:00
as many people know, is very
35:02
wealthy, right? But he is not
35:04
very liquid. Most of his wealth
35:06
is tied up in Tesla stock,
35:08
SpaceX stock. He does not
35:10
have billions of dollars. He spent a lot
35:13
of money to buy Twitter, turn it into
35:15
X. He does not have billions of dollars
35:17
rattling around his pocket without selling some assets,
35:19
which would create some disruption
35:22
within his empire. So he needs
35:24
this outside money if he has any
35:26
prayer of sort of catching up to open AI.
35:28
And from the point of view of investors, you can see
35:31
why they're happy to give it to him because open AI,
35:33
anthropic, these companies, there
35:36
are some real questions about the business models,
35:38
but they have been able to achieve huge
35:40
valuations, a lot of adoption, taking a flyer
35:43
on Elon Musk and the hottest category in
35:45
business makes a lot of sense if you're
35:47
these venture capitalists who are considering this deal.
35:50
And to his credit, a lot of these projects
35:53
then do tend out to be influential and it's
35:55
a lean team at XAI and it looks like
35:57
they're making progress. Boom, best match, Tafquette, and happy
35:59
Friday. to you. A quick news story
36:01
that we're looking at. Shares of IBM, a
36:03
little lower, down a percentage point, but they're
36:05
backing a project in Canada, US$730
36:07
million, US$1 billion Canadian dollars. This
36:11
is for semiconductors, but in the context of
36:14
what IBM is involved in, which is packaging
36:16
and also testing labs. It's
36:19
an interesting bet. We haven't really talked as
36:21
much about Canada in
36:23
the context of, well, are they going
36:25
to be on-shore and making some kind
36:27
of domestic effort when it comes to
36:29
semiconductors like the United States are? Well,
36:31
IBM's doing something to the
36:33
tune of US$730 million. We
36:35
will be right back. This has been Bo Technology. What
36:45
if everyone at work were an expert
36:47
communicator? What if every doc, message and
36:49
email they wrote was perfectly clear and
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customer satisfaction scores would rise and
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everyone would be more productive. That's
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where Grammarly comes in. Grammarly
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37:13
because with Grammarly's AI, what used to take a
37:15
few hours only takes a few clicks, like
37:17
generating an instant first draft in your
37:19
company voice or tailoring a message to
37:22
your specific audience and goals. And
37:24
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Incorporated, member SIPC and NYSE.
38:46
Cyber
38:48
security firm Rubrik, remember? Jumped yesterday
38:50
on its IPO day and well,
38:53
it's holding onto its gains. Remember
38:55
it raised about $732 million on the back of that IPO. One
39:00
of the key backers, long term backers, is
39:02
Greylock. Probably pleased to say that we have
39:04
Greylock partner Ashim Chander with us. And
39:06
Ashim, you were there, stuck at Shange, ringing
39:08
the bell, celebrating. And
39:11
how does it feel ultimately to see an
39:13
early pay off like that? What was the
39:15
signals that you got early on to know
39:17
that Rubrik would go public and do so, so well? Yeah,
39:20
so thanks so much for having me. The
39:23
honest answer is when you back a company very early,
39:25
you don't really fully know what lies ahead. I'd
39:28
say this company is really a story of
39:30
an exceptional leadership team, exceptional leader
39:33
targeting a very, very large market.
39:36
So I think early on in the company's
39:38
history, it was very clear like the size
39:40
of the markets that they were targeting, market
39:43
sizes that most companies don't really go after, and then the
39:45
quality of the people. I
39:48
think what's interesting more broadly about the
39:50
direction of travel with Rubrik is that when
39:52
they pop, they've increased, but also that there
39:55
are other cybersecurity companies, I'm sure, in your
39:57
portfolio, eyeing the market, but it's also the
39:59
job that is Microsoft. And the same day that they
40:01
went public, Microsoft came out with its earnings, saying
40:04
that we're still making strides in cyber security all
40:06
interlaced with generative AI. How much
40:08
room is that for this sort of element of competition?
40:11
Yeah, I would say, you know, so cyber
40:14
security is a, you know, is
40:17
a secular kind of growing market. These
40:19
markets have, you know, have become very, very large. And
40:21
today, you know, it's one of the most important parts
40:23
of information technology. Most large and
40:25
mid-sized companies spend anywhere from 5% to 10% of
40:27
their IT budget on cyber. And
40:30
so there's a lot of room for multiple providers
40:32
in order to provide different pieces of the stack.
40:36
And then Rubrik is an important partner
40:38
with, you know, Rubrik and Microsoft have
40:40
a strong partnership together. Ashim,
40:43
I'm really, really interested in Rubrik's
40:46
very close relationship with Microsoft. There's a
40:48
financial element to it, but
40:51
given how AI
40:53
and all of its guises is playing out, I
40:55
just wondered if you had a particular thesis on
40:58
how that relationship continues. Yeah,
41:00
I would say it's a multi-faceted
41:02
relationship, but fundamentally, you know,
41:04
what Microsoft and Rubrik are
41:07
trying to do is really provide customers with cyber
41:09
resilience, so, you know, and
41:11
just bring different pieces together. So
41:14
what's next, the gray lock? I
41:16
mean, you have a lot going on. You
41:20
would claim, I think, and many of your
41:22
colleagues have said on this show that you
41:24
guys, early on generative
41:26
AI and organized on generative AI,
41:29
I wondered if you've kind of sharpened your focus
41:31
on any other areas in particular. Yeah,
41:34
I would say, you know, I've been in gray lock now just
41:37
a little over two decades. It's never been a
41:39
more exciting time to be in venture capital, just
41:42
with everything going on with journey AI. You know,
41:44
I'd say the average day in the life
41:46
of a VC has really
41:48
become an AI job, and, you know, we think
41:50
of it fundamentally at three layers, kind
41:52
of the foundation layer at the lowest level, enabling
41:54
infrastructure in the middle, and then applications at the
41:57
top. And, you know, In
42:00
particular for VC backed startups, there's
42:02
a lot of opportunity around enabling
42:04
infrastructure and also in
42:07
applications. I think it's
42:09
a safe statement to say that over
42:11
the coming five to 10 years, you're
42:13
gonna see lots of applications completely reinvented
42:15
with new workflows leveraging generative
42:18
AI. You've got companies
42:20
in the portfolio already doing that and
42:22
you can name some of the other key AI
42:24
companies that you might want to anticipate coming
42:26
to the market, I'm sure. What
42:29
about the companies that aren't inherently
42:32
AI focused and just try to become so? How
42:34
do you advise those? Yeah, I
42:36
think any company that started, let's
42:38
say more than three or four
42:40
years ago, they're at
42:42
risk of being completely disrupted by a new
42:44
startup. So I think it's the company that
42:46
has a product line that
42:49
whether it's a publicly traded company or a newer
42:51
startup, they have to really go and AI enable,
42:53
they have to go and look at the application
42:56
of AI as a product line
42:58
and kind of reimagine other
43:00
ways. And either in the copilot
43:03
mode or really the more important
43:06
trend, if you take even the one year view
43:08
from here, it's all about
43:10
agent frameworks and agentic approaches. So
43:13
most companies really should be looking at how
43:16
do these technologies really apply to the
43:18
product area? There's
43:21
one thing Caroline and I have learned in the last, I
43:23
say, 12 months or so. It's
43:26
that not just a company is
43:28
being founded incredibly quickly, but a
43:30
platform or products being built very
43:32
quickly. You guys have this Edge
43:34
program where that basically is what
43:36
you facilitate, an idea
43:38
from an individual through to a business playing
43:40
out. Yeah, I know, thanks
43:42
for asking about that Ed. So we have
43:44
a bespoke company building program at Greylock. It's
43:47
called Edge. We're very selective
43:49
about who we pick in the program. And
43:53
once we do mutually, once an entrepreneur in Greylock,
43:55
kind of mutually select each other, we
43:58
basically work very closely with engineers. and
44:01
founding teams, all the way from
44:03
market segmentation to product
44:05
strategy to insertion for initial
44:07
product, working with initial
44:10
customers, building customer advisory boards, then
44:12
over time helping recruit go to market.
44:14
So it's a very peaceful program. And
44:17
many years ago, Palo Alto Networks started in our
44:19
office through that approach. Another
44:24
one that went public, started through that approach is
44:26
Sumo Logic as well. And
44:28
more recently, a company called
44:30
Abnormal Security started in that process
44:32
as well. They've rapidly grown
44:34
to become a late stage company. And
44:37
we have another one in stealth mode today,
44:39
Sengna, San Francisco office in that program. A
44:43
shame to have that, great lot of partners. It's great to have
44:45
you on the program, Alan. New York, we really appreciate it. What
44:48
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46:36
ifel.com Steeple Nicholas and Company
46:38
incorporated member as I, Pc
46:40
and and Y Se. He
46:51
operates or said electric bikes and skaters
46:53
line which is that by the likes
46:55
to do that is trying to invest
46:58
more than fifty five million dollars this
47:00
us to expand it's fleet globally. join
47:02
yes now is the line sea ice
47:04
Wayne saying of and when I find
47:06
is really interesting because it's not to
47:08
San Francisco the story as and relationship
47:11
is my from ability his well told
47:13
the you're looking at other reasons around
47:15
the world which region is is most
47:17
receptive right now to adding more to
47:19
the microbus. the offering. And thank
47:21
you for having me out where she sees
47:24
demand from over the world on. Line
47:26
is today and thirty countries five thousand
47:28
as three hundred plus cities. And
47:31
the reason why cities are so interested is
47:33
because the biggest challenge of our time is
47:35
the challenge of the climate crisis. And.
47:37
The number one source or carbon pollution in
47:39
Europe and is in the United States is
47:41
success that he said. The vast
47:43
majority of Dallas personal cars and trucks.
47:46
And. If we're going to meet the
47:48
challenge of climate change the we
47:50
must transition away from cars and
47:52
A.white green Transportation Alternatives like advice
47:54
is scooters which is why I
47:56
think you're seeing cities all around
47:58
the world. And brace. micro mobility as
48:00
a way to reduce their reliance on cars. I
48:04
told our audience who are coming on the show
48:06
and I put a poll out there to ask,
48:08
do cities need more electric scooters and bikes? The
48:12
majority of respondents said no, well
48:14
almost majority. And
48:16
in some cases they voted for fewer.
48:18
There's still sort of frustration
48:21
and skepticism and disinterest
48:23
out there. How do you overcome it? I
48:27
think the best way, we need to earn
48:29
the trust of residents and city
48:32
governments in order to operate. I think
48:34
the best way to ensure that is
48:36
to make sure that our scooters and
48:38
bikes are parked responsibly, that we
48:40
have a great safety record, which we do,
48:42
that we continue to invest in technology and
48:45
line bills and R&D's every scooter and bike
48:47
that we put on the street to
48:50
ensure that they're the safest, best ride out
48:52
there. And when we
48:54
continue to deliver an excellent service, we will
48:56
continue to hopefully build that trust with cities
48:58
to expand. Wayne, you're
49:01
talking to a bike addict here.
49:03
I actually prefer the non-electric ones
49:05
than the electric ones here, but I do it a lot
49:07
here in New York City. I do it when I'm over
49:09
in London. I use the Uber app to get what you're
49:11
currently seeing on your screen, the line bike. But they're
49:13
a mess and they're everywhere. And I think that's
49:15
the key concern here. How do you ensure, do
49:18
you have to spend more on infrastructure to ensure
49:20
that people do have places to park them? What
49:22
is the responsibility of you vis-a-vis? The overall government
49:24
right now? I think
49:27
it's a joint effort. So
49:29
you mentioned London. So London has two
49:32
and a half million cars. There
49:34
are 100 times more cars in London than
49:36
there are electric e-bikes. And
49:39
each parking spot can fit six to eight
49:41
e-bikes. So if you say
49:43
there's overabundance of something, there's
49:46
an overabundance of cars in London,
49:49
because if anything, if we
49:51
can even take a tenth of
49:53
the parking spots in London and turn it
49:55
into bike parking corrals, we can easily solve
49:57
any parking issues we have in London. So
50:00
we have to continue to work with cities
50:02
and city governments to make an infrastructure transition
50:05
to build more bike lanes and protected bike
50:07
lanes and to build more places where
50:09
you can safely, respectfully park your e-bike.
50:13
You're someone who's building out, spending money while you're
50:15
also thinking about profitability. And I know you've been
50:17
thinking about Abbott-Dah positive for a couple of years
50:19
now. You probably took a leaf out of the
50:21
book of Uber, having worked so closely with Daruk
50:23
Al-Sashahi and continuing to work with Uber at Lime
50:25
now. But I'm interested as to what
50:28
ultimately the goal is at the moment. Do you have
50:30
to remain profitable in this current environment? Is that what
50:32
the VCs are asking? Yeah. So,
50:36
Caroline, as you pointed out, the 2023 line grew
50:39
by over 30% and hit over $600 million in
50:43
gross bookings. It's actually our
50:45
third year of 30-plus-percent growth in a row. More
50:48
impressively, our profitability of 5X
50:50
to nearly $100 million in
50:52
adjusted EBITDA. And that
50:54
is actually what's enabled us to
50:57
invest $50-plus million into scaling e-bikes.
51:00
And I absolutely think that today's public
51:02
markets demand sustainable and profitable companies.
51:04
And Lime has shown that we
51:07
can do it in a very
51:09
tough industry as we continue
51:11
to expand our profitability and profit margins. Are
51:13
you going public soon? Well,
51:17
I think that depends on both the
51:19
macro markets and our internal business
51:21
results. What we can focus
51:23
on is making sure that Lime continues to
51:25
grow rapidly and continues to expand our profitability.
51:28
The macro market is still, I would
51:30
say, a little bit iffy. You guys were
51:32
chatting about Rubrik. Rubrik, great IPO. Rednet
51:35
had a good IPO. And then you had Instacart
51:37
last year. But it's still one step forward, three
51:39
steps back. I would say the overall
51:41
IPO market is probably still a little bit frosty. So
51:44
we're doing everything we can to ensure that Lime
51:46
has the business, the profitability, and the internal controls
51:48
to be ready to live as a public trading
51:51
company. And whether or not the right time is
51:53
going to have to depend on the macro markets,
51:55
which is outside of our control. Winting,
51:58
Lime CEO, iNetMarket. We thank you for
52:00
telling us the internals of the business. Meanwhile, let's get
52:02
back to those public markets, Ed. Mm-hmm. Yeah,
52:05
astonishing week in earnings. And then next
52:07
week, it's another astonishing week in earnings.
52:11
Well, we've just had so much focus on AI
52:13
spend. The fact that there's, what, $40 billion
52:15
apiece on AI spend? But
52:17
what can you get from that? Google
52:20
outperforms, Microsoft outperforms. We'll see what Apple,
52:22
AMD, and Amazon have to us. That's
52:24
it for this edition of Bloomberg Technology. Check
52:27
out the pod, the pod, pod, pod. This is
52:29
me talking. bloomberg.com/AI
53:00
slash radio.
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