Episode Transcript
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0:00
Hello and welcome to choose a fight today
0:02
on the show. We have a real treat.
0:04
We have a listener case study and this
0:06
was a really cool one. So last year
0:09
in episode four 63, we had an episode
0:11
called from food stamps to F I. And
0:14
I introduced you to one of our community members
0:16
named Teresa, and it was a remarkable story. So
0:18
if you're new to choose a fight, you haven't
0:21
heard this episode, just stop. Stop listening to this
0:23
right now. Go back to episode four 63. I
0:26
think it is just the perfect
0:28
embodiment of what a community is all
0:31
about. You're really going to get a lot
0:33
of value out of that. So anyway, towards the
0:35
end of that episode, Teresa was talking about the
0:37
struggle she was having figuring out her next
0:39
steps and I basically said, Hey,
0:41
why don't we reach out to a retirement
0:44
expert in our community to help you sort
0:46
out this transition from, okay, we are financially
0:48
independent, but now we want to reach retire
0:50
early status. And what do we have to
0:53
do to get from here to there? So
0:55
that episode came out on September 3rd, 2023.
0:58
Four days later, I reached out to
1:01
my good buddy Fritz from the retirement manifesto.com
1:03
and asked him if he could help out
1:05
with this. I just thought he'd be the
1:07
perfect person. And he instantly said yes, which
1:09
was really wonderful. And they spent hours upon
1:11
hours going over Teresa's situation and coming up
1:13
with a case study that we're going to
1:15
bring to you today. I think you're going
1:17
to get a lot of value out of
1:20
this, no matter where you are in your
1:22
five journey. So with that, welcome to choose
1:24
a fight. All
1:27
right. This
1:32
should be fun. Fritz and Teresa, thank you both for
1:34
being here and thank you for the time and care
1:37
you both put into this. Hey, thanks for having me
1:39
back on and Teresa, great to see you again. And
1:41
I loved your first episode and I was really honored
1:43
to be able to be a part of the crowdsourcing
1:45
solution to your situation. We had a lot of fun
1:47
working on this together. We did. Thank you so much
1:49
for saying yes. And I'm so happy to be back on
1:51
the show. Yeah, this should be really
1:54
great. And Fritz, you use the perfect
1:56
word, which is crowdsourcing. That is how
1:58
we have conceptualized choose a fight. from
2:00
the very, very beginning. And thank you
2:02
so much for stepping up and helping
2:04
and just giving, like I said, your
2:06
time care, attention, your expertise. It's just,
2:08
it's wonderful. So really appreciate that. And
2:11
you also had some other people step
2:13
up. Yeah, I took your crowdsourcing
2:15
another step further. I reached out to Steve
2:17
Chan at New Retirement and Mike Piper at
2:19
Oblivious Investor as part of this, and they
2:21
both jumped in and helped out as well.
2:23
So this thing has really gotten some legs
2:25
and there's quite a few people in the
2:27
community that have been involved. Yeah, it's remarkable.
2:29
It is absolutely remarkable. So all right, let's
2:31
dive into it. So Fritz, now you obviously
2:33
spent a lot of hours with Theresa. You've
2:35
thought about this in terms of a process,
2:38
right? Because I think that
2:40
was some of the trepidation was how do
2:42
I get from here to there, right? And
2:45
the reason why we're doing this on the
2:47
podcast is there are a whole lot of
2:49
people listening who need to figure out how
2:51
do I get from here to there? I
2:53
believe I'm fine. I think I'm fine on
2:55
paper, but A, how do I discern that
2:58
for real? And B, how do I actually
3:00
make this leap to RE at some
3:02
point in the future? So I'd love to hear
3:04
your thoughts on this. So yeah, Brad, you know,
3:06
really the question that Theresa had is the same
3:08
that everybody has. It's, it's when can I retire?
3:11
When can I stop working? And I think the
3:13
process that we used is really the value for
3:15
the listeners. Obviously, Theresa's is a great story and
3:17
it was a pleasure to work with her. But
3:19
I think the benefit for everybody is how did
3:22
we answer the question? And on
3:24
our first call, Theresa and I talked about
3:26
kind of the methodology. And we agreed that
3:28
taking a parallel approach where we do it
3:30
in a spreadsheet, but then we also bring
3:33
in a retirement calculator. I really like what
3:35
new retirement's doing. So she was already a
3:37
user, it made sense. So we ran parallel
3:39
models. One was with a calculator, new retirement,
3:42
and one was with a spreadsheet. The fortunate
3:44
thing is new retirement also threw in a
3:46
couple of really nice bonuses for Theresa and
3:48
we got some time with the CFP. We
3:51
got some time with one of the model
3:53
Experts. Thanks to Steve and his team. That was really
3:55
generous of them to offer those up. So We definitely
3:57
need to give a shout out. Maybe we can serve.
4:00
Oh back in touch on those because there were some value
4:02
in that as well. Yeah, they are greed friends
4:04
of the show. I've known Stephen for a while
4:06
and yet we do have a link at she's
4:08
about a com says new retirement and that's in
4:10
the show notes to for anybody who wants to
4:12
the make easy way to click over there. It's
4:14
a really great outta and and it's a great
4:16
model in either. Theresa was already using it, He's
4:18
comfortable with it. I'm so let's walk through kind
4:21
of how we did he to those. And we
4:23
started with a spreadsheet because even if you're going
4:25
to use of a calculator, you have to have
4:27
certain assumptions. What's your net worth right? what's your
4:29
spending gonna be? So Theresa and I felt more
4:31
comfortable. She's very good with spreadsheets. We we to
4:33
set up a google work seat where we could
4:35
share. It will work and back and forth you've
4:37
seen it with. Entity is a good look through
4:39
it and we just started building tabs based on
4:41
the questions we were trying to answer. So.
4:44
The first thing we did was we started
4:46
with or net worth and we updated or
4:48
current net worth and then the question is,
4:50
how's that going to change each year So
4:52
Theresa built a tab or sheep calculated her
4:54
savings every year. Here's how much I want
4:56
to save in my four o one K.
4:58
Here's how much I'm gonna save and my
5:00
after tax brokerage account. And we
5:02
just adjusted those lines in the
5:04
net worth. By. How much
5:06
she was gonna contribute every year? And we
5:08
put in an estimated growth rate every year
5:10
and we could project her net worth year
5:12
on year on year. As far as we
5:14
wanted to go, So. We looked at that
5:16
as the first line as income and spending,
5:19
right? That's the formula trying to solve. So.
5:21
As we project that her net worth out,
5:23
we would put a calculation down below. Were
5:26
using a four percent safe withdrawal rate here.
5:28
So much income you could draw at a
5:30
three and a half percent safe. With right?
5:32
here's how much income you could draw and
5:34
as that net worth increased, you can see
5:37
her ability to spend increased. so we now
5:39
know how much income she can count on.
5:41
Well, how's that going to compare to spending
5:43
right? So we created another tab that Theresa
5:46
did all on her own. Where. She
5:48
calculated their current spending and how she expected
5:50
that would change your retirement and then is
5:52
just a matter of one of the lines
5:54
cross right is not rocket science. math. And.
5:57
we came up with an answer of twenty twenty
5:59
nine There's always some
6:01
play in the numbers. How conservative do you want to
6:03
be on your spending? How aggressive do you want to
6:05
be on your growth? It's an unknowable answer. But
6:07
we knew when the lines crossed and we
6:10
knew when the income from her portfolio would
6:12
cover their spending. Good enough. Now let's
6:14
look at new retirement and see how that compares.
6:16
So Theresa, I'll throw it over to you. Any
6:18
comments on the spreadsheet work that we did? Theresa-
6:20
So I think you covered it all pretty
6:22
well, Fritz. I did want to talk about
6:25
my question on Social Security because I don't
6:27
have my 35 years of
6:29
earnings in. I was wondering
6:32
how that would impact my drawdowns
6:34
or my Social Security benefits when
6:36
I do start withdrawing. So
6:38
we used a tool from Open
6:40
Social Security, which is a Mike
6:43
Piper tool. And I was
6:45
able to play around with those numbers and
6:47
figure out, you know, if I were to
6:50
retire at 31
6:52
years of earnings, what is my estimated
6:54
Social Security coming in? If I were
6:56
to withdraw five years from now, you
6:58
know, what would my earnings be? So
7:01
it was important, I think, for me to
7:03
understand those numbers. And if I did have
7:05
some zeros, it's not the end of the
7:07
world. I did see a pattern of probably
7:10
the longer I worked, I would earn about
7:12
an extra $100 a
7:14
month. And so each year, it would
7:16
go up by $100. So
7:19
for every year I continue to work, I would
7:21
earn an additional $1,200 from Social Security. So,
7:26
okay, let's slow down here, because I think
7:28
this is important. And it's funny, because as
7:30
we're recording this, our good friend
7:32
of the show, Cody Garrett, just mentioned this
7:34
in the Facebook group and tagged me and
7:37
said, oh, this would be something interesting to
7:39
talk about on a future Choose of I
7:41
episode. And lo and behold, within 24 hours,
7:43
we're actually talking about it. So this is
7:45
amazing. Crowdsourcing, right? Yeah, it is all about
7:47
crowdsourcing. So, okay, as I understand it, and
7:49
Fritz, I'd love for you to jump in
7:52
after I'm done here, is Social Security works
7:54
on your highest 35 years of
7:56
income history. Now naturally, for people
7:58
who are retiring early. However, you
8:00
want to define that, 35 years is a very heavy
8:02
lift. It's going to be hard to get to that
8:05
35 years, assuming, let's say you go to college, you
8:07
come out at 22, you're at 57, right, before you
8:09
have all 35 years. So
8:14
for a lot of people, there are
8:17
going to be zeros in there as
8:19
part of some of these years. And
8:21
I think a lot of us are concerned,
8:23
how is that going to impact us? Is
8:25
this going to crater my potential social security?
8:28
And Theresa, what you just said, and now naturally
8:30
this is person specific, I have to assume based
8:32
on the number of years you put in. So
8:35
I believe based on our last conversation, we're about
8:37
the same age, so early to mid 40s. And
8:40
so I know I have about 22 years at
8:42
this point, I assume yours is somewhere plus or
8:44
minus the same. And I
8:47
guess that means every subsequent year, you
8:49
would work, you're saying you get $100
8:52
more in social security benefits. So it's about $1,200 per
8:54
year. But
8:57
that's actually to be perfectly honest, not as
8:59
massive as I feared, which is really great. I
9:02
agree. So I'm at my 30 year
9:04
mark. So I only have five more to hit
9:06
the goal. And
9:09
although $1,200 a year isn't very much,
9:11
I think over that additional five year
9:13
period, it would be a significant increase.
9:15
Yeah. And we should say to
9:17
Mike Piper was the one that gave the tool, I just sent you the
9:19
link you can put in the show notes, ssa.tools. But
9:23
if you think about it this way, if it's calculated based
9:25
on 35 years of earnings,
9:27
and you miss three years, okay, that's
9:29
about 10%. I
9:31
don't know if it's linear. I didn't know the answer when
9:33
Teresa, when I listened to your show, Brad, and that was
9:36
one of her questions, like, I don't know the answer to
9:38
that one. But that's the beauty of crowdsourcing. Mike's like, oh,
9:40
yeah, here's a place where you can blow in zeros, and
9:42
it'll calculate it for you. And Teresa didn't say,
9:44
oh, that was easy. Now I know the impact. And it was done. So
9:47
that link was very helpful. That
9:49
is awesome. So ssa.tools. And
9:51
that's a big, big hat tip to Mike
9:54
Piper on that. Thank you for stepping in. Yeah,
9:56
you can also go down the rabbit hole on
9:58
this one, just like with anything else. Because
10:00
you know, looking at my social
10:02
security statements, my first an oral
10:04
ten years of the earnings was
10:06
so low and I'm sure that
10:08
if I were to continue working,
10:10
you know those higher earnings would
10:12
pump out the lower. Your earnings.
10:15
But. Again, where do you draw the
10:17
line? When is enough enough? And when
10:19
do you step away and say I
10:22
have what I need. I don't need
10:24
to optimize everything. I don't need to
10:26
max everything out. And. Some other
10:28
things that my husband Paul and I have
10:30
been talking about: Because he is about eleven
10:32
years older than I am, when should he.
10:35
Start drawing down his social security.
10:37
And when should I start? So there was another.
10:39
Tool. That we worked with for if
10:41
you can feel it's open. Social Security
10:43
Calculator Agenda was developed by my paper
10:45
and you put him each of the
10:47
spouses social security numbers from though So
10:49
security website and it will tell you
10:52
the Daves you should claim spousal that
10:54
he should claim in Oh wait for
10:56
full benefits? It literally will say April
10:58
of Twenty Twenty Five is when he
11:00
should claim a minutes is very specific
11:02
yes and that was very useful. Slid
11:04
open so security.com or will have linked
11:06
to that as well. Yeah, that's wonderful
11:08
and you get. Those actual details of
11:11
the my account at the As As
11:13
A.gov Ray exact go my as I
11:15
say And to be right to this,
11:17
I had created an account years ago.
11:20
Frankly, I don't remember when or why
11:22
did I read. For instance, I still
11:24
had to create an account for my
11:26
wife Laura. So I'm going to be
11:29
going through this now. And yes, with
11:31
the actual numbers you're getting from As
11:33
As A.gov you can and plug them
11:36
into one or both of these and
11:38
figure out. Okay, here's. how it actually
11:40
make decisions off of this i'm guys this
11:42
is gold this is wonderful your and acid
11:44
mention to bread teresa not to self promote
11:46
but i have written a couple articles on
11:49
this and i have zero one called how
11:51
to determine when to claim social security and
11:53
it took me about fifteen minutes using this
11:55
tool to come up with the dates that
11:57
my wife is going to start claiming hers
12:00
dates I'm going to start claiming mine and
12:02
it's driven by a bunch of algorithms that
12:04
supposedly maximize your lifelong benefits but I'll send
12:06
a copy of that link. It's got links
12:08
to the calculator and it shows how I
12:10
used it. It covers exactly what we're talking
12:12
about. That is brilliant. That's gonna be so
12:15
helpful because yeah I mean Social Security seems
12:17
to be a black box for a lot
12:19
of people in the FI community for
12:21
a number of reasons. I think so
12:23
many of us are just ultra ultra
12:25
conservative when it comes to our money
12:27
and we factor our FI number and
12:29
don't think of Social Security at all
12:32
which means by definition we're being too
12:34
conservative with our safe withdrawal rate right
12:36
and I think the other thing is
12:38
there is some political concern about whether
12:41
Social Security will be there and in
12:43
what form. I think based on and
12:45
this is not the platform to dive
12:47
into this and we could not prognosticate
12:49
anyway based on everything I've heard I
12:51
think the worst case scenario is 70%
12:53
of current benefits is
12:56
what most people are saying is realistically the worst
12:58
you can anticipate. So if you want to factor
13:00
that in and even be more conservative take whatever
13:02
it's showing you and multiply it by either 0.7
13:04
or 0.6 call it a day unless
13:08
something crazy happens zombie apocalypse style
13:10
you're going to get 60 to
13:13
70% of current estimated benefits is what my
13:15
opinion is. Yeah and that's basically what I
13:17
did Brad is I took 75% you
13:20
know I think if you ignore it entirely
13:22
you're being too conservative you're working longer than
13:24
you have to work so you can't ignore
13:26
it I think it's reasonable to be conservative
13:28
and take a haircut on it just I
13:30
always like surprises to the good rather than
13:32
surprises to the bad so I always plan
13:34
conservatively as did Teresa by the way we
13:36
were so aligned as we went through all of our
13:38
spending decisions he's like well it could be 1500 or 2000 I'm
13:40
gonna go with 2000 because I want to be conservative
13:43
and I'm like man you are just perfectly
13:45
aligned with me it's always speaking to my
13:47
soul yes it's you know there's a trade-off
13:50
right if you're too conservative and you estimate
13:52
all your spending high and all of your
13:54
investment returns low you might end up working
13:56
longer than you have to right so there's
13:58
a trade-off there. But in general
14:01
my feeling is unfortunately trees and i were
14:03
aligned on this approach be a little bit
14:05
conservative have a little bit of a factor
14:07
in your numbers because once you get into
14:09
retirement it is so nice to say wow
14:11
i'm only pulling three point two percent safe
14:13
with the right of i was gonna be
14:15
a three and a half or whatever right
14:17
it's better to be have a surprise to
14:19
the good. Totally totally agree i love
14:22
that so okay there's still a lot
14:24
here so trees and we're talking about the
14:26
spreadsheets i think you're a spreadsheet lover the
14:28
three of us i think. I think you
14:30
could all claim that at this point as
14:32
i'm seeing there are a couple different strategies
14:35
right so there's frits is network spreadsheet which
14:37
again will have in the show notes but
14:39
then you created some type of income and
14:41
spending spreadsheet talking through that. Yeah so
14:43
i've been tracking our spending for
14:45
over three years now i can't
14:48
remember if it was one of
14:50
your articles fritz or if it
14:52
was billy and ikasha catterly i
14:54
don't know if you guys have
14:56
heard of them but this couple
14:58
has an online book that i
15:00
downloaded many years ago. And
15:03
they actually started i think
15:05
they retired back in the mid
15:07
nineties like before the
15:09
five movement was popular and
15:11
they really recommended calculating your
15:13
daily spend rate. So
15:15
that prompted me to start okay so
15:17
every month i just record what i
15:20
spend by category i still love my
15:22
paper and pencil and i've
15:24
got a little journal notebook and i buy
15:26
category record how much i spend and then
15:28
once a month i translate that into a
15:31
book. So i'll just change that up a
15:33
little bit and i'll just change that to
15:35
my spreadsheet so by month for the past
15:37
three and a half years i have my
15:39
annual spending by category now i actually just
15:41
recently within the last couple weeks changed that
15:43
up a little bit because brad you interviewed
15:45
tiffany sub budgetista. And i
15:47
really loved her split it before you
15:50
get it technique so
15:52
i just rearrange my spreadsheet a
15:54
little bit by expenses and
15:56
then by discretionary spending which i already had
15:58
it modeled that way but i really loved
16:00
it. I went a step further and I
16:02
pulled out my one-time spend and
16:05
I isolated that in one category because I
16:07
know Fred says we were going through this
16:09
business case. I'm like, well, I'm not gonna
16:11
spend this much when I retire because we
16:13
did some remodeling on our home. We
16:15
purchased a couple of vehicles, just
16:18
those one-time things that I don't
16:20
anticipate that spending again in the
16:22
future. So I
16:24
isolated that spending to one
16:26
particular line and then I
16:28
was able to really project how much I
16:31
was gonna spend even further. And
16:33
then split it before you get
16:35
it, I changed my paycheck and
16:37
I created two new brokerage accounts
16:40
so that one is exclusively
16:42
for bills, taxes, insurance
16:45
premiums, things like that. And then
16:47
my second brokerage is just for
16:49
spending, groceries, gas, fun, shopping,
16:52
whatever. So yes, I
16:54
do have spreadsheets. I've been tracking my
16:56
spending for a long time and it
16:58
really prepared me for this business case
17:01
with Fritz because I think we were
17:03
able to get running on that very
17:05
quickly. Yeah, well, one thing I
17:07
should say, Brad, too, Theresa obviously pays a
17:09
lot of attention to this. One thing I
17:11
will say to the other listeners, I did
17:13
not track my spending ever. We saved what
17:15
was an aggressive savings rate. We knew we
17:18
were saving aggressively so we knew we could
17:20
spend the rest. And if you would have
17:22
asked me how much do we spend on
17:24
automotive versus this, I couldn't have told you
17:26
at all. Okay, if it's in the checking
17:28
account, we spend it. So how did I
17:30
go about what we just talked about? You
17:32
can't plan for retirement. You can't calculate your
17:34
RE date without knowing a reasonable spending estimate.
17:37
So in my case, we went through 11
17:39
months. We tried to go a year and
17:41
we just couldn't do it. I don't have
17:43
the tolerance that Theresa does. But for 11
17:45
months, we tracked every penny and we built
17:47
a spreadsheet every month, broke it out by
17:49
category, built the baseline, and then said, okay,
17:51
now we know what we're actually spending. How
17:53
is that gonna change in retirement? And that's
17:55
what we use for our calculation. So you
17:58
can either go about it as Theresa. Teresa
18:00
did with very long tracking, very good consistent records.
18:02
Or you can say, you know what, we've never
18:04
really tracked this and start pulling out your credit
18:07
card receipts or just start today and track it
18:09
over the next year. But you've got to have
18:11
a firm baseline for your spending because ultimately the
18:13
decision on when you can retire is a math
18:16
question. It's how much can you draw from your
18:18
investments, how much other income are you going to
18:20
have, and what's your spending going to be? And
18:23
you can answer the spending question more accurately than
18:25
the other ones. So you've got to do some
18:27
work on the spending side. Yeah, I
18:29
love that. So critical to have
18:31
your current spending or an idea
18:33
of what your current spending is.
18:36
But then clearly there are some
18:38
adjustments once you reach
18:40
early retirement or any type of
18:42
retirement. How did you both think
18:44
about that in terms of Teresa's
18:46
numbers or Fritz, how you conceptualized
18:49
this? I'll touch base on mine first
18:51
and then we'll talk about Teresa specifically. In our
18:53
case, we thought about what our... And I don't
18:55
think Teresa's quite there yet in terms of thinking
18:57
about what your retirement lifestyle is really going to
19:00
be. Hers is more when can I
19:02
retire, not what's retirement going to look like? And
19:04
you have to do both. We'll touch maybe on
19:06
that later. But so we basically said, okay, how
19:08
is our life going to change? And what's that
19:11
going to drive in terms of spending? So RVing
19:13
was a big example. We knew we were going
19:15
to RV a lot. So we said, okay, if
19:17
we RV 100 days a year, campgrounds, 40 bucks
19:20
a night, certain number miles, certain miles per
19:22
gallon, how much diesel are we going to
19:24
have to buy for my truck? We did
19:26
down to that level of detail to basically
19:29
try to reflect, oh, we were going to
19:31
downsize, which we did. So we're going to
19:33
sell the house. We're going to use the
19:35
proceeds to pay off our mortgage. We know
19:37
our mortgage rates, our taxes were going to
19:40
go down. So we modeled the big lifestyle
19:42
changes and what that impact would be. In
19:44
Teresa's case, I'll let her talk about it. The big
19:46
question for her I think was the insurance question. And
19:48
Teresa, I'll turn it over to you. Because that was
19:51
a question in our case too. I
19:53
planned conservatively. I went with a high open
19:55
market number. Teresa kind of took a different
19:57
approach, which I think was an interesting discussion.
20:00
as we went through this. So Teresa, you wanna talk about
20:02
that and any other questions or any other thoughts you had
20:04
on the spending and retirement question? Yeah,
20:06
so let's start with the medical insurance
20:08
because I currently carry the medical insurance
20:10
for myself, my husband and my two
20:12
kids. So they can stay
20:14
on until they're 26, which is another
20:17
five, six years. So
20:19
that's not an issue now, but when I
20:21
retire and using the new
20:23
retirement calculators, we were estimating about $1,000
20:25
for myself and for Paul. If
20:29
we went through aca.gov for our
20:31
medical insurance and $2,000 estimate
20:34
and now that has a lot to do
20:37
with your income. So it's based
20:39
on your income. That's how they determine your
20:41
premiums. And it was
20:43
really high and it was making
20:45
my numbers a little bit short
20:47
and I wasn't really comfortable with
20:49
that. So we're considering a health
20:51
share ministries coverage as an alternative,
20:53
which the premiums are much more reasonable.
20:56
We're both very healthy as of
20:58
right now. We don't
21:00
have reoccurring doctor appointments
21:02
or pharmaceuticals that
21:04
we take. So I would be comfortable
21:06
with using an option like
21:08
that. And it's important to
21:11
note that every time you use
21:13
a government program, there's
21:15
always stipulations that go along
21:17
with it, which further complicates
21:19
your numbers. So whether it, like
21:22
I said, they base your premiums on your income
21:24
or like when you
21:26
start withdrawing social security, the taxation
21:28
is different. So and you have Irma
21:30
limits. So there's a lot
21:33
of additional factors that you need
21:35
to consider when you're participating in
21:37
government program. Yeah, and
21:39
I think another thing, this shows how individual
21:41
this whole retirement planning gets, right? The other
21:44
big situation with Theresa and Paul was they've
21:46
got 63% of their net worth in pre-tax,
21:48
before tax and they want to do Roth
21:51
conversion. So you say, okay, well, look, let's
21:53
just not do any Roth conversions. We'll go
21:55
to zero income for a couple of years
21:57
before we start social security. get
22:00
all the ACA subsidies and we get that just
22:02
as cheap as health sharing coverage. Yeah, but then
22:04
you're not going to be able to do any
22:06
Roth conversions, right? Which is something that Theresa wanted
22:08
to do. So we had to work through what's
22:11
the trade-off of doing Roth conversions and
22:13
driving up your income, but potentially paying
22:15
more for insurance versus do you do
22:18
something, an alternative type of coverage, which
22:20
is where she landed. She's
22:22
got five years until she has to really figure
22:24
this out. But from a planning standpoint, the
22:27
answer was, okay, let's just assume kind of
22:29
a health sharing ministry type approach. We'll use
22:31
those kinds of spending and let's layer in
22:33
these Roth conversions during those first five
22:36
years of retirement when you've got low income and
22:38
you can convert quite a bit of this over
22:40
in those early years. And that's how we balanced
22:42
out that dynamic. Yeah, that's very
22:44
interesting. Like you said, this is very,
22:47
very personal. So I do want to
22:49
jump in here quickly on the health
22:51
sharing ministries. And just first off health
22:53
insurance premiums, I think we all are
22:56
aware that if we live in America,
22:58
we understand our system is almost irreparably
23:00
screwed up. And we look at
23:02
these premiums where frankly,
23:04
I'm paying $1,500
23:06
a month right now for my family.
23:09
And we use our insurance very infrequently
23:11
because we're all fairly healthy. But I
23:13
look at it as catastrophic, get hit
23:15
by a bus type scenario. And
23:18
for me, that makes sense. It's just
23:20
part of the deal, right? Like obviously I
23:22
could complain and moan about it or move
23:24
to a different country or whatever else I
23:26
wanted to do, but this is the reality,
23:28
right? So I think most of us are
23:30
wondering, okay, what do we do? Like how
23:32
do we deal with this? How do I
23:34
factor in? Okay, you just go to healthcare.gov
23:36
and you find out what's the absolute worst
23:38
case scenario. And it's yeah, I mean somewhere
23:41
in the vicinity for a bronze plan, depending
23:43
on your state, yada, yada, yada, a thousand
23:45
to $1,200 a month for a family. And
23:47
that's just a line item. Okay. Is it
23:49
unfortunate? Yeah, it's really unfortunate, right? Like
23:51
we're not going to sugarcoat this. It's unfortunate.
23:54
But okay, if that's the worst case scenario, that goes
23:56
in my budget and it is what it is. So
23:58
Teresa, like you were saying, don't. depending on
24:00
income, you can get subsidies for those
24:02
premiums. And if you're at a point
24:04
where you're retiring early and
24:06
your income is dramatically reduced, well, the subsidies
24:09
are gonna be significant, but then like Fritz
24:11
so wisely said, okay, well, there's a give
24:13
and take here if you wanna do rough
24:15
conversions, right? So there's always a give and
24:18
take. And I think just us understanding this
24:20
and knowing it gives us more information because
24:22
again, why we're doing an episode like this
24:24
is how can someone else do this? What
24:27
do they have to think through? And just
24:29
final word is many years ago,
24:31
I had my insurance, quote unquote insurance,
24:34
it's not insurance, through Liberty Health Share,
24:36
which I know, like you said, most
24:38
of them have religious requirements. Liberty did
24:41
not have a religious requirement. So that
24:43
was one that our family chose for
24:45
a couple years. And to Liberty's great
24:48
credit, they for us were fantastic, but
24:50
I was always cognizant of the fact
24:52
that it is not insurance. So
24:55
in the back of your mind, you need
24:57
to be aware that even if this company
24:59
is good, and I'm not making
25:01
a value judgment on any company including Liberty,
25:03
but even if they're good, even if they
25:06
do what they say, it's not insurance, so
25:08
there is some risk. And this is for
25:10
everybody out there. You look at the health
25:12
sharing ministries, the premiums are lower, there's no
25:15
question about that. But usually the party that
25:17
I found was the negative one was the
25:19
hospital actually. They balanced bill, they came after
25:21
us multiple times, Liberty went to bat for
25:24
us. This was in just a fairly short
25:26
bit of time. So I had some fairly
25:28
significant issues with this whole deal, and
25:30
that led me to stop being on
25:32
Liberty and going to a traditional
25:35
and true insurance, because it was just too
25:37
big of a risk for me. So
25:39
Theresa, I know you have wide eyes right now. This is
25:41
not to frighten you. It's just to go in truly with
25:43
eyes wide open of this is not insurance. So, Fritz, I
25:46
know you're dying to get in here. We
25:49
had exactly this discussion Brad Theresa and I did
25:51
when she said, you know, I think I like the health
25:53
sharing ministry approach. Well, recognize it's not
25:55
insurance and there is some risk. And
25:58
I Went through the same decision making. I
26:00
retired at fifty five and bread ironically we did
26:02
the same approach. We decided against the house
26:04
hearing because I had use the higher numbers and
26:06
are in are forecasting in our spreadsheets and
26:08
I was like look I've already built it into
26:11
the numbers I know that we can cover
26:13
it was just by you know an open market
26:15
plan. I end up getting us retiree plan which
26:17
any way to matters is so that it's
26:19
glop a lot as twenty five hundred a month
26:21
now my wife and an outward were sixty
26:23
right region over. But even see your point it
26:26
was in the numbers At that level I planned
26:28
conservatively. I planned twenty five hundred dollars five years
26:30
ago. it's just now they're now so my I'm
26:32
actually have a good guy off at a
26:35
bar ahead of experience. That's
26:37
okay, I got five years below
26:39
that rights. Again, it's just a
26:41
number and you've gotta think about
26:44
your risk versus reward. And my
26:46
anxiety was always. They can say
26:48
no and there's. Nothing you can do
26:50
about it and that is that bothered. Me
26:52
That really bothered me. Not that we have anything
26:54
I mean when you know but I would hate
26:56
to end up with the answers until know it's
26:59
something we're not going to cover because we think
27:01
it's distributed with the all about whatever and there's
27:03
nothing you can do So you do have to
27:05
think about their to recess. Not just the cost
27:07
is your peace of mind with taking on some
27:10
of that risk of potential coverages. Yeah,
27:12
that goes back to my home
27:14
mortgage deal to we pay off our
27:16
house early. Or it's not just a
27:18
mathematical thing, it is an emotional thing,
27:21
right? Very much so. And I think
27:23
a lot of personal finance. True years, emotional,
27:25
behavioral and psychological that says that. The numbers
27:28
I wouldn't either use the obviously as shown
27:30
by would you guys have been here by
27:32
their the easier part but say Ray like
27:34
it's all in our head And and that's
27:36
okay. Where humans, this is where we do
27:39
right? So through that lover on it though,
27:41
because a lot of people do go back
27:43
and forth like what are you thinking in
27:45
terms of paying off your mortgage before you
27:47
hit or he? oh gosh, we paid it
27:49
off And twenty eighteen. Or with i
27:52
don't read about my cat an orange and at
27:54
one bet. Especially going through Kobe. Then
27:56
yeah, the possibility of losing our jobs?
27:59
That a problem. So much
28:01
piece it was no worry
28:03
at all. Highly recommended. Eleven.
28:05
So. Bread. I think you know talking about
28:08
these things. These kind of show the considerations
28:10
you have to think about. and the important
28:12
thing is whether you're going to do a
28:14
spreadsheet or whether you going to do a
28:16
calculator. You've gotta think about these links because
28:18
you've gotta have some assumptions regardless of what
28:20
tool used to determine when you're going to
28:22
retire. So let me go here. I guess.
28:24
We talked about the spreadsheet. We talked about
28:27
the assumptions. It was a great exercise. It
28:29
was very useful to have that as a
28:31
baseline because we knew what is spending assumptions
28:33
were. We knew what the net worth assumptions
28:35
were and that exercise. In the spreadsheet. Was.
28:38
Very helpful. For one, we shifted over to
28:40
the second methodology with I guess by reasonable
28:42
to go and talk about that now. Yeah,
28:44
perfect com okay. So. The second approach.
28:46
quick reminder. The spreadsheet said she could retire
28:48
twenty eight, Twenty Nine Somewhere in there, depending
28:50
on your some sense. Okay sir, Twenty Twenty
28:52
Eight or Twenty Twenty Nine So about five
28:54
years approximately cracked. Theresa was happy with that.
28:56
We we could show assumptions were she could
28:58
retire and Twenty Twenty Six right? you can
29:00
have a much more aggressive market returned. You
29:02
could have lower retirement spending. You can make
29:04
the number, say what you are. So the
29:06
beautiful thing with the spreadsheet is you could
29:08
look at changing your assumptions and you could
29:10
say okay, if I want to retire at
29:12
Twenty Twenty six, how much do I have
29:15
to reduce. My spending in order to be
29:17
able to get to that four percent
29:19
safe withdraw, right? right? Or how much
29:21
more aggressive do my returns have to
29:23
be in order to support it? Because
29:25
as she goes for here, she's gonna
29:27
get actual returns for Twenty Twenty Three.
29:29
Twenty Twenty four, Twenty Twenty Five. And
29:31
if she's getting ten fifteen percent returns
29:33
and we assumed six or eight, she's
29:35
gonna start seeing, hey, maybe twenty twenty
29:37
six as possible, right? So the spreadsheet
29:39
gives you a nice baseline that you
29:41
can make changes to see what's the
29:43
impact. if I do want. To get out
29:46
earlier. That was really helpful. That said, the
29:48
most important part was getting the spending assumption
29:50
and the net worth assumption, both of which
29:52
we use when Teresa went into new retirement
29:54
and seated this entirely. on or on. I've
29:56
gotta give her credit as look, I'm not
29:58
going to log in to. The retirement You
30:00
already use it. Go in there, make sure
30:02
all the numbers reflect this and Trees will
30:05
will throw it over to you and your
30:07
new retirement experience and will circle back with
30:09
our discussion with their. Model. Expert
30:11
that went through your numbers with us. Yeah,
30:13
so that was really great because I was
30:15
already a user actually. Had all my accounts
30:17
connected to New Retirement so I had
30:20
live data to work with. but for
30:22
the case of this study that we
30:24
did. I unconnected everything and then
30:26
just put in our. Numbers manually.
30:29
So. They wouldn't change. And so
30:31
that's what our study was based off
30:33
of. The we met with Nancy and
30:35
she actually helped me update the model
30:37
because I had some changes with in.
30:41
The model requires a few workarounds when
30:43
it comes to and play or four
30:45
o one k matches, so she had
30:48
to show me how to work around
30:50
that. She was really great! And.
30:52
Then we met with Bruce who the
30:55
Cfp. We walked through all of the
30:57
assumptions that we had already put in,
30:59
we had some conversations around the Roth
31:01
conversions which for it's touched on are
31:03
ready and then he also pointed out
31:06
that maybe I need to look at
31:08
increasing my spending for the first send
31:10
a fifteen years after retirement because you're
31:12
healthy and you're younger. You know if
31:14
you want to travel or whatever plan
31:16
that you come up with. You.
31:18
Want to be able to spend that
31:21
money at that point in time and
31:23
then when you're older you're spending is
31:25
going to be drastically reduced. So that
31:27
something also to can said are so
31:29
there's just a lot of i'm. I
31:32
know we're not talking about specific numbers
31:34
in this episode very much, but because
31:36
that so person all that's like you
31:38
said, Brad, The easy part of it,
31:40
It's all the other things that you
31:42
need to consider when you're working through
31:44
your business case. in your situation
31:46
right it would almost be a distraction
31:48
to talk about your specific numbers because
31:50
it's really about the process rights and
31:52
i love with you said there which
31:54
is really burrito so the diver zero
31:56
book that i was still miss out
31:58
of the roka other I love that book. Yeah,
32:01
that's funny. You could see the idea forming
32:03
in my brain. Because right, I mean, when
32:05
is your spending going to be significantly higher?
32:08
It's going to be in those years when, hey,
32:10
you can still travel as significantly as you want.
32:13
This is not to say, obviously, that your life is
32:15
over at 80 or some arbitrary number and it's all
32:18
down. Like, we're not saying that clearly. But
32:20
if you're honest with yourself, are you going to be able
32:22
to travel and do more things at 50 or 55 or
32:24
60 than you are at 80, 85, 90? Yes,
32:28
very obviously. By definition. So we're
32:31
not telling anybody something that they don't
32:33
know intuitively. But you need to think
32:35
about this because your spending is not
32:37
going to be the same every single
32:39
year. And I think that's what's beautiful
32:41
about tools like this is that they
32:43
enable you to get much
32:45
more granular than just a spreadsheet, potentially.
32:47
Those spreadsheets, obviously, we can make them
32:49
as convoluted as we want. But most
32:51
people just say, OK, my five spending
32:54
is going to be X. And then
32:56
they gain that out for a 30-year
32:58
period. And the reality is, hey, sometimes
33:00
you might pay off your house six years
33:02
into five. You might have a college payment
33:04
for the first two years, but not for
33:07
the rest of you. You can adjust all
33:09
this. And that's what's beautiful about using a
33:12
much more significant tool like this. Yeah,
33:14
and I think, Brad, the other thing too is, I've
33:16
always struggled with it. When you first retire, you're not
33:18
going to have Social Security. OK, I'm going to use
33:20
safe withdrawal rate of 3.5%. Well,
33:23
realistically, if you look at
33:25
what that turns into when Social Security starts,
33:27
it's a lot less than 3.5%, right? So
33:30
wait a minute. Does that mean I can start with a
33:32
higher safe withdrawal rate? Well, yeah. But how
33:34
much higher? And how does that? That's really hard
33:37
to do in a spreadsheet. And
33:39
with a model, it does let you
33:41
run that out. And it'll show you the Monte
33:43
Carlo. It'll show you the projected net worth. Even
33:46
if you go to a 5%, 6% spending in
33:48
the first couple of years before your
33:50
Social Security kicks in, that may be
33:52
totally fine because your withdrawal rate will
33:55
drop so low after your Social Security
33:57
starts. And that's hard to model in
33:59
a spreadsheet. Whereas a model like new
34:01
retirement captures that and it runs all the
34:03
Monte Carlo's around it and it shows you
34:05
that's okay, right? It's hard to model, I
34:08
find that hard to model in a spreadsheet.
34:10
Yeah, agreed. And so, right, I think what
34:12
a lot of us miss is that social
34:14
security is current income in that year when
34:17
you get it. And it reduces how you
34:19
would do this calculation is, okay, my spending
34:21
is X, $50,000. And
34:24
I get social security of Y just making up
34:26
a number, $25,000. You're
34:28
not taking like a safe withdrawal rate out of
34:31
that social security. That is dollar for dollar.
34:33
Hey, I'm using that to cover my life
34:35
expenses. So in that case, okay, 50 minus
34:37
25, I just need to
34:39
cover from my fine number, my pot
34:41
of money, the $25,000 that's remaining, right? So
34:45
Fritz, what you said, which is so brilliant
34:47
is that then significantly adjust
34:49
upward. In an upward fashion, you're safe
34:51
withdrawal rate for the years prior to
34:54
when you get social security. And we
34:56
just, again, we're so simplistic with this.
34:58
All of us, when we think of
35:00
this in our head, it's like, okay,
35:02
my fine number is this, my safe
35:04
withdrawal rate is that. And it just
35:06
goes out till infinity. It doesn't work
35:08
that way. There's nuance. And
35:10
what the punchline is, a lot of
35:12
us are working more years than we
35:14
have to, right? And what
35:17
is the one non-renewable resource we
35:19
have? It's our time. I think we're
35:21
all being conservative upon conservative upon conservative
35:23
with our numbers, which I get. I
35:25
mean, believe me, I get it. But
35:27
I think when you layer on four
35:29
different levels of, oh, I'm just gonna
35:31
be a little more conservative with this
35:33
number, it gets to a point that
35:35
it's not reflecting reality. Yeah, and
35:37
the nice thing, if you look at, you know,
35:39
Teresa's case, again, we're talking about the second
35:41
methodology, which was new retirement. We're not necessarily promoting
35:44
them. It's just the model concept in general.
35:46
You can play with scenarios of, I'm gonna retire
35:48
a year early, I'm gonna retire two years early,
35:50
and it will instantly show you your probability of
35:52
success, right? So we did that and we looked
35:55
at, okay, right now we're gonna say 2028, but
35:58
what does 2027 look like? What is 2028? We
36:00
talked about how you can do that in
36:02
the spreadsheet. It's as
36:04
easy in the model as changing your retirement
36:06
date and it'll show you what your funding
36:08
ratio is. That flexibility to help
36:11
you decide how conservative you want to be
36:13
in your number and how long you want
36:15
to work, it's a functionality of these types
36:17
of models that's really helpful because you can
36:20
kind of vet out, am I being too
36:22
conservative? Am I sandbagging every single number and
36:25
maybe I don't need to do that.
36:27
I told Theresa, she's planning 2028, 2029,
36:30
I told her I'd be willing to bet she'll
36:32
be able to retire earlier than that because I
36:34
know how conservative we were on the growth assumptions,
36:36
the spending assumptions and she's going to continue to
36:38
update this every year and look at the new
36:41
retirement model when the actual numbers come in. My
36:43
guess is she'll be out by 2026, 2027, I'll say 2027 Theresa,
36:45
I'll put a dollar down that you'll
36:49
be out by the end of 2027. Well hang
36:51
on to that dollar because I had a little
36:53
life change. Oh no. Both
36:56
of my kids moved back home. Wow.
36:58
I just lost a dollar. I'd
37:03
rather lose my dollar than what you lost.
37:05
Hey, that's life, right? So yeah, we had
37:07
talked about in your assumptions, what should I
37:09
assume for continued care for our kids, right?
37:11
Right. And that's different than what you assumed.
37:13
It is. So Brad, after we
37:15
recorded the first episode, my younger one
37:18
moved home literally that weekend and
37:20
then my older one just moved home a week
37:23
ago. So this is breaking news. It's
37:25
not going to derail our plan too
37:27
much. They're pretty self-sufficient, but
37:29
it does make me think a little bit
37:31
more. I don't really think I'm going
37:34
to extend past 2029. I
37:36
think that is like my firm goal. But
37:38
I'm also considering the idea of maybe working
37:40
flex time, which is 24 to 32 hours
37:45
a week instead. That way
37:47
we can have a little bit of income
37:49
coming in and we can keep that medical
37:51
coverage reducing any huge premiums.
37:54
Right. It is very easy
37:56
to fall prey to one more year syndrome,
37:58
right? Which I think a lot of us.
38:00
or like we want that safety, we want
38:02
that security, it's just, it's natural. And
38:05
again, to not wish away your life of
38:07
like, okay, yeah, it would be a little
38:09
safer and yeah, the number is ugly. And
38:12
I'm not giving you advice here, obviously, too.
38:14
So this is your life. You have to
38:16
figure out what works. But I would just
38:18
caution. I've seen so many people do that
38:20
because that's, I mean, we're savers, right? Like
38:22
we're people who were worried about the future.
38:24
We're thinking about the future. And
38:27
sometimes that leads us to maybe make
38:29
potentially suboptimal decisions for our
38:32
lives. And if I
38:34
could just quickly jump in on your kids are
38:36
back, like, I have to say like, that was
38:39
such a gift that my parents gave to
38:41
me. And I understand how fortunate I was
38:43
to be in this position, but I lived
38:45
at home for a couple of years after I graduated
38:48
from college. And I mean,
38:50
that was the springboard that set me
38:52
up for my path to F.I. I
38:54
was able to save essentially 90%
38:57
of my income for two and a half, three years.
39:01
And it was remarkable. I was able
39:03
to then purchase a co-op apartment on
39:05
Long Island, which turned into more equity.
39:07
And it's just that, again, that was
39:09
a springboard. So it was really just
39:11
such a gift. So I'm speaking on
39:13
behalf of your daughters. It's a really
39:15
remarkable thing to be able to do
39:17
that. Yeah, I'm glad we were able
39:19
to welcome them back home. I
39:22
am actually setting them both up with the
39:24
split it before you get it method and
39:27
brokerage accounts because, man,
39:29
those the money market rates are just
39:31
so great right now, instead of just
39:34
a standard checking account. Yeah. Oh,
39:36
it's amazing. It's hard to pass
39:38
up five. It really is. Right. We've
39:40
mentioned before we the bank that I personally use
39:42
is CIT Bank, which has a I just I'd
39:44
like them a lot. Their rate is really wonderful.
39:46
So we have a link choose about a comm
39:48
slash CIT. Fritz, just real
39:51
quick, I wanted to jump in. You said,
39:53
obviously, new retirement has bent over backwards to
39:55
help us. And they've been a great friend
39:57
of the show forever. That's not
39:59
the only software. that runs this. I
40:01
know my buddy Chris Hutchins has used
40:03
something called Projection Lab. So, projectionlab.com. For
40:05
people out there, we're not saying new
40:07
retirement is the only option. It's a
40:09
fantastic option. And they helped so very
40:11
much with this project, for prior projects
40:13
that choose to buy. But there are
40:15
different softwares of this. Just these pieces
40:17
of software are just remarkable though. And
40:20
I think it's very important to get
40:22
down to that granular level and use
40:24
one of them. So, just always one to throw
40:26
out. Yeah. And the other thing I would say,
40:28
Brad, let me piggyback on your comment. Because I
40:30
said this to Teresa too. So, I think it's
40:32
important. It's so easy to get concerned about, when
40:35
am I going to have enough to retire, right?
40:37
And one more year, one more year. It
40:39
goes with the die with zero approach. I actually
40:41
wrote an article, my most recent post called, The
40:43
Three-Legged Stool of Retirement. And when you were talking
40:46
about this, it triggered the thought. There's three legs
40:48
on your stool. One is your money, one is
40:50
your time, and one is your health. And as
40:52
much as we focus on money, the reality of
40:54
it is, money will be the last leg standing
40:56
on that stool. You're going to run out of
40:58
your health and you're going to run out of
41:01
your time before you run out of your money.
41:03
Almost guaranteed, right? If you're a conservative, if you
41:05
listen to this show, if you manage your money,
41:07
unless you retire at 25 or something stupid,
41:09
right? If you're methodical like Teresa is,
41:11
and you're managing this and you're making
41:14
educated decisions, you're probably... Think about this.
41:16
The safe withdrawal rate concept is kind
41:18
of worst case scenario. So in anything
41:21
better than a worst case scenario, you're
41:23
going to have more money than you
41:25
think, because that's based on the lowest
41:28
success rate over the past, the
41:30
Trinity study, right? Over the past 50
41:32
years, what's the level you could withdraw
41:34
from that would work in basically every
41:36
market environment? So by definition, that's a
41:38
lower than average market return. So
41:41
you do have to be careful about getting hung
41:43
up on the what-ifs, because they
41:45
will eat you alive. You can never
41:47
answer the question, absolute black and white,
41:50
Teresa, you can retire in December of
41:52
2028. You'll never have to
41:54
worry another day in your life. You can never make
41:56
that kind of statement because there are always the kids
41:58
that move back home. There's always the... roof that
42:00
needed replaced. There's always the car accident,
42:02
right? There's always a health issue. Those
42:05
things are life. Don't get
42:07
so focused on, and this isn't Teresa, this
42:09
is everybody, don't get so focused on the
42:11
money side that you don't realize that the
42:13
more scarce resources are actually the time in
42:16
your health. Those are as scarce or more
42:18
than the financial side of it. Yeah, here,
42:20
here, and that's a big part of certainly
42:22
why so many of us are really focusing
42:25
on our health now, right, is how can
42:27
you extend what's known as the health span.
42:29
You may or may not be able to
42:31
affect your lifespan, which is the number of
42:33
years you're going to live. You probably have
42:36
some level of impact on that, but that
42:38
health span, the number of healthy years, you
42:40
have to put in the work, right? And
42:42
this is really an important part of this
42:45
whole, this three-legged stool of just life in
42:47
general is you have to realize as you
42:49
get older, again, just biological fact is we
42:51
start losing muscle. Then it all just kind
42:53
of keeps compounding negatively in terms of, okay,
42:56
I can't walk as easily, and then it
42:58
just keeps going and going and going. So
43:00
you have to understand that's gonna happen. I'm
43:03
spending six hours a week at the gym
43:05
lifting weights at this point, and it's because
43:07
I understand I can do this at 44,
43:10
but I need to set the groundwork for what is it gonna look
43:12
like when I'm 75, 85, hopefully
43:15
95, right? And there's
43:17
things I want to still be able to do,
43:19
and I have to put the work in
43:22
now because it doesn't just magically appear,
43:24
right? You've obviously read Peter Atia's
43:26
Outlive, which is a great book, I read that
43:28
too, and that's where the health span concept, and
43:30
the thing that really struck me with that book
43:32
is he talks about, let's say your dream is
43:34
that 75 years old, you want to
43:36
be able to pick up your granddaughter or grandson. Okay,
43:38
let's say it's a 40-pound grandkid at 75. Well,
43:41
that means you've got to be able to
43:43
pick up like 80 pounds today, right? Because
43:45
you will naturally atrophy, and that concept from
43:47
that book, I've started doing protein supplements as
43:49
a result of that book. I
43:52
started taking the fish oil, right? He's got
43:54
some really good tactical advice, and I've always
43:56
done weights. Since I've retired, I didn't beforehand, I've
43:58
always been a runner. But focusing on
44:00
the weights is hugely important. It's not just
44:03
cardio, right? It's cardio and weights. So yeah,
44:05
that's one of those legs of the stool,
44:07
right? So you can manage your investments to
44:09
maximize your return. You can manage your health
44:12
to maximize your return. You can manage your
44:14
time, right? You talk about the 1% stuff.
44:16
A lot of that is time related. How
44:18
do you be more efficient with your time
44:20
to do the things that you
44:23
want to do rather than wasting your time
44:25
doing things that aren't of value to you?
44:27
Each one of the legs, you can have
44:29
a discussion just like we just had on
44:31
health, just like we've been having on financial.
44:34
You should think that way about each one
44:36
of those legs and invest in all three
44:38
of them equally. Yeah, Fritz, I love that.
44:40
And as you surmise properly, I've
44:43
been following Dr. Atiyah for many, many
44:45
years. And yeah, it's just so important
44:47
to think about this. And it really,
44:49
it touches every aspect of your life.
44:51
And like you said, it really
44:53
is, it's all of these things. It's
44:55
not just the finances. You need to
44:57
really think of it. So kind of
44:59
speaking of it's not just the, there
45:01
were two different parts of how you
45:03
both went through this case study. And
45:06
obviously we have spent this whole
45:08
episode, and this is really where we're
45:10
largely going to stop here, but we
45:12
spent this whole episode thinking about the
45:14
process, right? Like, how do you get
45:16
to the point where the numbers make
45:18
sense? I'm confident with the numbers. I
45:20
feel like in the future, this is
45:22
my date. And I know obviously Fritz,
45:24
like you said before, reality intervenes both
45:26
good and bad, right? Which
45:29
is, this is not just something you do
45:31
one time as new reality comes in. And
45:33
every year there are market returns, there's new
45:35
income, there are new expenses. You update this,
45:38
right? Like this is not just set in stone. Theresa
45:40
is going to close her eyes and wake up in 2029 and ta-da,
45:42
here I am, right? She
45:45
might find out that ta-da moment comes in in 2027, like you
45:47
think it might. And
45:50
that's what's great about this. So there's that side, but
45:52
then there's also, okay, preparing
45:54
my actual finances for
45:57
early retirement. What do I
45:59
think about it? about in the years beforehand, do
46:01
I think about as Fritz, you love the
46:03
different buckets, right? And we talked about this
46:05
a lot a couple of years back in
46:08
episode 206, which I think we entitled what
46:10
happens when the paycheck stops. But I wanted
46:12
to give you just a couple of minutes,
46:14
maybe to just give a super
46:16
high level overview of how you thought
46:18
about that with Teresa. And then, like
46:21
I said, I think that's outside the
46:23
scope of what we can do in
46:25
this one episode, but we can refer
46:27
people to articles on your site and
46:29
that prior episode for sure. Yeah, great.
46:31
I agree. It's a good point to
46:33
wrap. And really the focus has been how do you
46:35
decide when you can retire? For Teresa, we answered the
46:37
question. It's 2028, right? Maybe
46:40
earlier, we'll watch every year, but we answered
46:42
the question, we went through the process, and
46:44
it was a great exercise. And Teresa, I
46:46
really admire you. You're a remarkable woman, and
46:48
congratulations on reaching this point. To
46:51
your comment though, Brad, that's not the end of it.
46:53
You know, the second phase, and Teresa and I did
46:55
go through this, it's in the article, I'm sure you'll
46:57
put it in the show notes that I wrote up
46:59
about the case study. We also spent quite a bit
47:01
of time saying, okay, now as you get closer to
47:03
this retirement date, here's some of the things
47:05
you've got to think about. And the biggest one that
47:07
jumps out as kind of being obvious when you think
47:09
about it is you've got to build a little bit
47:12
of a cash buffer, right? You can't just be selling
47:14
stocks every year to fund your spending because you run
47:16
into that sequence of return risk. Well, how do you
47:18
build, let's say you want to have three years of
47:20
cash. You can't wait until six
47:22
months before you retire to start building three
47:24
months of cash, right? So part of what
47:26
Teresa is doing now is redirecting some of
47:28
those savings to start building those buckets, which
47:30
is what I use, but you don't have
47:32
to, but you have to have some kind
47:35
of liquidity buffer. So there's a
47:37
whole stage of things as you move
47:39
from the accumulation phase to the withdrawal
47:41
out of your investments of
47:43
positioning your portfolio and how do you
47:45
think about that? That's all in
47:47
the article, and it is a part of this
47:49
planning, but it's kind of the second phase of
47:51
this planning. And then the third thing is
47:54
not only the financial stuff,
47:56
but the psychological preparedness for
47:59
retirement. offside as I call
48:01
it. And I would say both of those,
48:03
if you're thinking about a process, the first
48:05
process is when can I retire? The second
48:07
process is how do I transition my portfolio
48:09
for retirement? And the third process is what
48:11
am I going to be when I retire?
48:13
Those are the three phases to the general
48:15
planning. Yeah, I love that. And yeah,
48:17
we have been remiss to
48:19
this point of not mentioning this incredible
48:21
case study article that you put on
48:23
your website. So that is really essential
48:25
for everybody. If you're listening to this
48:27
and you've gotten to this point in
48:30
the episode, check out this article, I'll
48:32
link it in the show notes. It's
48:34
this case study of Teresa. And like
48:36
you said, Fritz, you go into a
48:38
lot of the numbers, but then there's
48:40
also this critical part at the end,
48:42
the strategy overview, the final working years,
48:45
and then the drawdown strategy overview, the
48:47
retirement years. And I think that's where
48:49
people will get a lot outside of
48:51
the scope of what we're doing here.
48:54
So yeah, super duper helpful. Teresa, like
48:56
Fritz said, this is amazing. I'm just
48:58
so happy for you. I mean, to
49:01
see the remarkable path you've taken, it
49:03
is just so inspiring. And I just
49:05
want to thank you for being a
49:08
member of our community, for coming on
49:10
the podcast, for being so open. It's
49:13
really, it's remarkable. And now to reach
49:15
by in your forties and retire
49:17
early. That's not
49:19
too shabby, right? My
49:21
heart is just overflowing with gratitude for
49:23
you Fritz and for you, Brad, and
49:25
this whole community, because I wouldn't
49:28
be here if I hadn't found this show all those
49:31
years ago to kind of help
49:33
me, you know, guide me and lead me
49:35
and to, um, poise myself to be in
49:37
this position. I'm just extremely
49:39
thankful. I appreciate all the time and
49:41
effort you guys poured into me. And,
49:44
uh, like I always tell my kids, you win or
49:46
lose by the way you choose. Oh,
49:48
that is, that is beautiful. What a perfect
49:51
way to end the episode. So thank you
49:53
both. Teresa, again, thank you for being here
49:55
Fritz. A huge thank you for all the
49:57
time and care you put into this. remarkable.
50:00
And to our friends in new retirement,
50:02
they just went out of their way
50:04
to help. I mean, hooking you up
50:06
with a CFP to chat with and
50:08
to use their software, it's just amazing.
50:10
So yeah, huge thank you to everybody
50:12
involved. Thank you
50:14
for listening to today's show and for
50:17
being part of the Truthify community. If
50:19
you haven't already, the best ways to
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So head to truthify.com/local and you'll find
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51:30
great just starting point to get an understanding
51:32
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51:34
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51:52
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