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News Block: Bitcoin Price Crashes Amid Fears of War, Gold vs. Bitcoin, Hong Kong Approves Spot BTC ETFs, CPI Inflation Remains Hot, UFC Fighter Asks to Be Paid in Bitcoin

News Block: Bitcoin Price Crashes Amid Fears of War, Gold vs. Bitcoin, Hong Kong Approves Spot BTC ETFs, CPI Inflation Remains Hot, UFC Fighter Asks to Be Paid in Bitcoin

Released Tuesday, 16th April 2024
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News Block: Bitcoin Price Crashes Amid Fears of War, Gold vs. Bitcoin, Hong Kong Approves Spot BTC ETFs, CPI Inflation Remains Hot, UFC Fighter Asks to Be Paid in Bitcoin

News Block: Bitcoin Price Crashes Amid Fears of War, Gold vs. Bitcoin, Hong Kong Approves Spot BTC ETFs, CPI Inflation Remains Hot, UFC Fighter Asks to Be Paid in Bitcoin

News Block: Bitcoin Price Crashes Amid Fears of War, Gold vs. Bitcoin, Hong Kong Approves Spot BTC ETFs, CPI Inflation Remains Hot, UFC Fighter Asks to Be Paid in Bitcoin

News Block: Bitcoin Price Crashes Amid Fears of War, Gold vs. Bitcoin, Hong Kong Approves Spot BTC ETFs, CPI Inflation Remains Hot, UFC Fighter Asks to Be Paid in Bitcoin

Tuesday, 16th April 2024
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Episode Transcript

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0:02

Welcome to the Coin Stories News Block powered

0:04

by BitDeer. I'm Natalie Brunell and in the

0:06

span of just 10 minutes, roughly the time

0:08

it takes to mine a Bitcoin block, I'll

0:10

provide you with concise, insightful updates on Bitcoin

0:13

and the global financial landscape. Everything you need

0:15

to know in one place in one block.

0:17

Let's go. Over

0:24

the weekend, we saw Bitcoin's price crash by

0:26

about 10% as conflict

0:28

in the Middle East escalated when Iran attacked

0:30

Israel. Markets hate uncertainty

0:32

and when geopolitical tensions rise, it can

0:35

spook investors, resulting in sharp sell-offs like

0:37

the one we just experienced. And when

0:39

major global shockwaves hit on a weekend,

0:41

well, Bitcoin is the only macro asset

0:43

you can trade 24-7, 365 days a

0:46

year. So

0:49

it makes Bitcoin available to sell

0:51

at any moment. When markets experience

0:53

stress, investors sell whatever's liquid

0:55

to hedge against other asset classes,

0:58

and it's really no surprise that we saw Bitcoin

1:00

react first to the drone strikes over the weekend.

1:04

As I said on Fox Business on Monday,

1:06

the fast money trades these events or gets

1:08

liquidated due to leverage. The

1:11

smart money and the permanent capital is here

1:13

to stay because it is seeking shelter in

1:15

Bitcoin as a flight to safety over the

1:17

long run. Now, as

1:19

expected, this price drop had some Bitcoin

1:21

skeptics coming out of the woodwork, like

1:23

CNBC's Andrew Ross Sorkin, who

1:26

tweeted, quote, trying to understand Bitcoin's price

1:28

movements this weekend. If

1:30

it is, as Bitcoin bulls believe, a store of

1:32

value during a war, wouldn't it be considered a

1:34

safe haven? And if

1:36

it is a hedge against inflation, wouldn't buyers

1:38

rush to it out of fear that countries

1:40

will spend more on conflict? What

1:42

explains its fall? I'm genuinely curious to

1:45

hear various perspectives. Okay,

1:47

I have a ton of thoughts on this, but

1:49

the first one that popped in my mind is

1:51

actually a quote from bestselling author Morgan Housle, who

1:53

said, every investor is making a bet

1:55

on the future. It's only called speculation when you

1:57

disagree with some of the things you're thinking about.

2:00

someone else's bet or time horizon.

2:02

What I would say to Andrew Ross-Storkin is WTF. What

2:07

timeframe? Lengthen your

2:09

time horizon, zoom out, and consider

2:11

how these developments can bolster or

2:14

undermine Bitcoin's long-term value proposition. Historically,

2:16

Bitcoin has sold off immediately on

2:18

news of war breaking out, only

2:21

to sharply rebound in the coming

2:23

months. Last year, when

2:25

Hamas attacked Israel, Bitcoin immediately dropped in the

2:27

wake of the news, only to

2:29

shoot up more than 25% in the coming months. Right

2:33

now, it feels like we're on the

2:35

brink of another world war. Geopolitical conflict

2:37

is accelerating, and war is always inflationary.

2:39

It offers the perfect excuse for printing

2:42

more money without asking any of us

2:44

for consent. And wars are expensive.

2:46

A common theme of all wars is a

2:48

sharp rise in government spending. And the things

2:50

you don't want to own during times like

2:52

this are cash, which will be devalued, and

2:55

bonds, which the government will flood with new

2:57

supply as they borrow more money for their

2:59

war efforts. The data proves this,

3:01

too. The CFA Institute published data that

3:03

showed that during World War II,

3:05

Treasury bonds returned double-digit losses for

3:07

investors when taking into account inflation.

3:10

And if you do hold cash, you're definitely going to

3:12

have a bad time. Don't believe me? Well,

3:14

just listen to what Warren Buffett had to say about it in 2014.

3:18

When people start to think, well, this could be the

3:20

beginning of something really bad. It could be even a

3:22

World War III situation. It could be a return to

3:24

the Cold War. Does any of that

3:27

ever go through your mind? Well,

3:29

if you tell me all of that's going to happen, I

3:32

will still be buying the stock. You're

3:34

going to invest your money in something over time. The

3:37

one thing you could be quite sure of

3:39

is if we went into some very major

3:41

war, the value of money would go down.

3:43

I mean, that's happened in virtually every war

3:45

that I'm aware of. In

3:47

times of war, investors want to

3:50

own hard, scarce assets like Bitcoin

3:52

that cannot be devalued and that

3:54

will outpace the rising inflation. But

3:56

also one of the reasons we've seen a surge in

3:59

the price of gold. which we have

4:01

to acknowledge. Gold has historically functioned

4:03

as a safe haven asset that

4:05

investors flee to during times of

4:07

geopolitical or economic upheaval. Central

4:09

banks have been buying record amounts of gold

4:11

over the last couple of years, and

4:13

gold has outperformed bitcoin over the last

4:15

months. But when you zoom out,

4:17

the scoreboard is clear. Bitcoin still shines.

4:20

And the reality is both bitcoin and

4:22

gold are poised to do well if

4:24

the traditional system grows increasingly unstable and

4:26

inflationary pressures continue to mount. But in

4:29

the long run, only bitcoin has all

4:31

the properties that will enable it to

4:33

become the foundation of a new monetary

4:36

system. We already tried it

4:38

with gold, but because of its defects,

4:40

namely its physicality, it led to fiat

4:42

and a system built on IOUs and

4:44

leverage. It's bitcoin's time now. And

4:47

unlike gold, which people will be trying to

4:49

mine on asteroids if it were to somehow

4:51

hit $100,000 an ounce, no

4:54

bitcoin price or level of demand

4:56

can increase the supply. As Jack

4:58

Moller said, you can always direct

5:00

more energy to mine gold out

5:02

of the ground. You can't travel

5:04

in time to mine more bitcoin.

5:07

And on the topic of rising geopolitical

5:09

tensions, we're witnessing the world become more

5:11

fragmented and multipolar, and bitcoin has no

5:14

stake in any of it. It's a

5:16

neutral place to store wealth without having

5:18

to worry about who wins or loses

5:20

in any conflict. Bitcoin is peaceful, and

5:23

it's really the only thing certain during

5:25

times of chaos. It's the only thing

5:27

predictable. Wars are political. The

5:30

dollar and every fiat currency is

5:32

political. Bitcoin is apolitical and

5:34

incorruptible. It just keeps going like clockwork.

5:36

The halving won't be delayed or postponed

5:39

due to any outbreak of violence. It

5:41

will arrive as scheduled at block 840,000. So, kick talk, next

5:44

block. The

5:48

news block is powered exclusively by

5:50

Bitdear. As a publicly traded leader,

5:52

Bitdear's not just mining, their industry

5:54

pioneers standing alone as the only

5:56

vertically integrated, technology focused Bitcoin mining

5:58

company. industry's most experienced

6:01

leadership team and 25% of

6:03

the workforce dedicated to R&D, Bitdear

6:06

is pushing the boundaries of what's possible

6:08

in Bitcoin mining. Learn more at bitdear.com

6:10

and explore how they are pioneering the

6:12

future today. Turning

6:15

now to China, where multiple asset managers

6:17

announced that they have received conditional approvals

6:19

from the Hong Kong Securities and Futures

6:22

Commission to launch spot Bitcoin ETFs. These

6:25

ETFs will help boost Bitcoin adoption in the

6:27

long run as more ETF products around the

6:29

globe mean more ways for investors to gain

6:31

exposure. But although this is no doubt good

6:33

news, it's important to remember that the Hong

6:35

Kong stock market is just a fraction of

6:37

the size of the U.S. stock market. Bloomberg

6:40

Senior Analyst Eric Beltunas threw some cold water

6:42

on the excitement when he said quote, don't

6:45

expect a lot of flows. I saw one estimate

6:47

of $25 billion. That's

6:49

insane. We think they'll be lucky to get $500

6:51

million. But

6:53

Beltunas also added, just to be clear, all

6:55

of this is clearly positive for Bitcoin as

6:58

it opens up more avenues to invest. All

7:01

right, let's talk about inflation, which continues to

7:03

run hot. Last week, CPI rose

7:05

3.5% year over year above expectations. Shelter

7:10

and energy costs drove the increase in the

7:12

headline number. The shelter component

7:14

of CPI is particularly interesting because

7:17

higher interest rates meant to bring

7:19

inflation down could actually be contributing to

7:21

rent and home prices remaining high. And

7:24

it's crazy to think how many people wouldn't

7:26

be able to afford the home they're currently

7:28

living in at current prices and mortgage rates.

7:31

Oppenheimer CIO John Staltfuss recently argued

7:33

that lower mortgage rates would prompt

7:35

more people to sell their homes,

7:37

leading to more supply and potentially

7:39

softer prices. But we haven't seen

7:41

home prices fall because no one

7:43

is selling. People are locked into

7:45

low 30-year mortgage rates. And who

7:47

wants to move when their new

7:49

mortgage would effectively be double? This

7:51

has caused home prices to stay high,

7:53

which forces more people into renting, which

7:55

keeps rent levels elevated and ultimately leads

7:58

to higher CPI prints. The

8:00

Times recently covered this one. It found

8:02

that about seventy percent of all Us

8:04

mortgage holders had raised more than three

8:06

percentage points below with the market would

8:08

offer them if they tried to take

8:11

out a new loan. And the shelter

8:13

component is the largest when it comes

8:15

to calculating Cpc. So the fact that

8:17

inflation remains elevated should surprise no one.

8:19

And one note on inflation. He recently

8:21

came across a chart that showed how

8:24

price increases major fast food restaurants have

8:26

risen faster than Cpm nights. Mcdonalds prices

8:28

have more than doubled since Twenty. Fourteen

8:30

despite Cp I inflation only rising

8:32

thirty one percent over that time

8:34

phone. Traditionally fast food is the

8:36

cheap option for struggling families, but

8:38

now feeding a family at Taco

8:40

Bell or Mcdonalds has never been

8:42

more expensive. Coin. Base just

8:45

released a new ad on how

8:47

holding bitcoin has allowed a person

8:49

to buy more pizza with each

8:51

having they wrote food for thought?

8:53

What if money was designed to

8:55

get you more overtime? A nautilus?

8:57

everything's and pizza to homes are

8:59

getting cheaper when placed in Bitcoins

9:01

and as time goes on, you

9:03

can buy more goods and services

9:05

with fewer. Bitcoin is is why

9:07

Bitcoin is the best solution to

9:09

the pernicious theft of inflation. Allright

9:12

last story This week it's a video

9:14

clip that went viral of us see

9:16

Fighter Re not only Cornell after he

9:18

won his fight at U F C

9:20

three Hundred and in his post victory

9:23

speech, he gave a shout out to

9:25

Austrian economists Ludwig von Mises and told

9:27

everyone to read his lectures on inflation

9:29

and capitalism. He talked about the importance

9:31

of property rights, and then he tweeted

9:33

that he wants his bonus to be

9:36

paid in Bitcoin when professional athletes are

9:38

talking about Austrian economics and asking to

9:40

be paid in Bitcoin. Than you

9:42

know, Bitcoin is starting to reach people

9:45

from all walks of life and that

9:47

makes me optimistic because everyone needs Bitcoin

9:49

and Bitcoin is for everyone. And

9:52

that's. It for the news lock powered

9:54

by bit the or your weekly bitcoin and

9:56

economic news update. I'm Natalie Brunel. Make sure

9:58

you're subscribed to Points. you never miss

10:00

an episode. This show is for educational

10:03

purposes and should not be construed as

10:05

investment advice. Until next time, keep stacking.

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