Podchaser Logo
Home
News Block: JP Morgan Analysts Predict $280k Bitcoin, Bull Market Dips 14%, More Companies Accept Bitcoin, Yellen Admits Inflation Wasn't 'Transitory'

News Block: JP Morgan Analysts Predict $280k Bitcoin, Bull Market Dips 14%, More Companies Accept Bitcoin, Yellen Admits Inflation Wasn't 'Transitory'

Released Tuesday, 19th March 2024
Good episode? Give it some love!
News Block: JP Morgan Analysts Predict $280k Bitcoin, Bull Market Dips 14%, More Companies Accept Bitcoin, Yellen Admits Inflation Wasn't 'Transitory'

News Block: JP Morgan Analysts Predict $280k Bitcoin, Bull Market Dips 14%, More Companies Accept Bitcoin, Yellen Admits Inflation Wasn't 'Transitory'

News Block: JP Morgan Analysts Predict $280k Bitcoin, Bull Market Dips 14%, More Companies Accept Bitcoin, Yellen Admits Inflation Wasn't 'Transitory'

News Block: JP Morgan Analysts Predict $280k Bitcoin, Bull Market Dips 14%, More Companies Accept Bitcoin, Yellen Admits Inflation Wasn't 'Transitory'

Tuesday, 19th March 2024
Good episode? Give it some love!
Rate Episode

Episode Transcript

Transcripts are displayed as originally observed. Some content, including advertisements may have changed.

Use Ctrl + F to search

0:02

Welcome to the Coin Stories News Block powered

0:04

by BitDeer. I'm Natalie Brunell and in the

0:06

span of just 10 minutes, roughly the time

0:08

it takes to mine a Bitcoin block, I'll

0:10

provide you with concise, insightful updates on Bitcoin

0:13

and the global financial landscape. Everything you need

0:15

to know in one place in one block.

0:17

Let's go. After

0:23

hitting a new all-time high, Bitcoin Euphoria appears

0:25

to be taking a little breather. Bitcoin

0:28

has dropped around 10% to below $65,000

0:30

in recent days and then rebounded to

0:32

the 67-68,000 range. Now,

0:35

it's important to remember, especially for those who

0:37

are new, that pullbacks like this are normal

0:39

during bull markets. Bitcoin does not go up

0:41

in a straight line. Head of

0:44

research at Galaxy Digital Alex Thorn highlighted this

0:46

when he showed how Bitcoin experienced 13 separate

0:48

12% drawdowns from

0:51

the lows in January 2017 to the

0:54

all-time highs made in December of that year. Now,

0:57

this trend also held true for Bitcoin's

0:59

next bull cycle. Thorn showed that Bitcoin

1:01

experienced, once again, 13% to 10% drawdowns

1:05

from the lows in March 2020 to

1:07

the all-time highs made in April 2021.

1:10

So the moral of the story? Larger price

1:12

drawdowns than the one we're experiencing are par

1:14

for the course and for investors with high

1:16

conviction, price dips like this are just

1:18

a great way to scoop up more sats before the

1:21

bull market marches on. And there

1:23

may not be a bigger Bitcoin bull on

1:25

the planet than MicroStrategy's Michael Saylor. Over

1:27

the last few weeks, we've covered on this show

1:29

how Saylor is raising cash to the tune of

1:32

hundreds of millions of dollars through both the equity

1:34

and debt markets to buy more Bitcoin. Saylor

1:37

didn't wait long to tap the debt markets once

1:39

again, announcing late last week another $525 million raise.

1:43

And this came just days after

1:45

MicroStrategy raised $800 million and turned

1:47

around and bought 12,000 Bitcoins. So

1:50

you might not be stacking this dip, but I

1:53

bet you Saylor is. And

1:55

this strategy has, at least in part, contributed

1:57

to an absolute surge in trading volume for

1:59

MicroStrategy. strategy stock. Last week it

2:01

traded more than Amazon's according to

2:04

Bloomberg senior analyst Eric Beltunas and

2:06

when you combine microstrategy's trading volume

2:08

with the ETF Beltunas notes that

2:10

Bitcoin equities are doing more than

2:12

20 billion dollars worth of

2:14

trading volume daily and microstrategy isn't

2:17

the only big entity buying Bitcoin

2:19

right now. BlackRock continues to gobble

2:21

up coins at an impressive pace

2:23

and although this is not a

2:25

true apples to apples comparison because

2:27

microstrategy actually owns Bitcoin whereas BlackRock

2:29

manages an ETF that holds Bitcoin on

2:32

behalf of its customers it's still true

2:34

that these entities appear to be in

2:36

a race to see who can acquire

2:38

the most Bitcoin. Last week BlackRock's ETF

2:40

surpassed microstrategy and now holds more than

2:42

230,000 bitcoins compared to microstrategy's 205,000 and

2:44

it's worth noting

2:48

that both corporations are still behind

2:51

grayscales ETF which holds 380,000. Now

2:55

something else to note with BlackRock last month

2:57

a quant analyst from the company gave a

3:00

presentation at an exclusive event to top

3:02

clients and said that a 28% allocation

3:05

to Bitcoin was quote not unreasonable

3:07

so some clients may have taken

3:10

that recommendation to heart and also

3:12

BlackRock recently announced that it will

3:15

include its Bitcoin ETF in multiple

3:17

funds including its 18 billion dollar

3:19

global allocation fund and its 36

3:22

billion dollar strategic income opportunities these

3:25

are large passive funds and this news

3:27

hints at the next evolution for these

3:29

Bitcoin ETFs issuers including them

3:31

more and more into their passive

3:33

funds which will create a continuous

3:35

flywheel of demand for Bitcoin. I

3:38

read a common narrative during the last bull

3:40

market was that corporations would follow the micro

3:42

strategy playbook and we would see this large

3:44

wave of corporate demand that would drive Bitcoin's

3:47

price higher but unfortunately that has yet to

3:49

materialize in a significant way why well for

3:51

starters it's rare for a leader to have

3:53

control over the voting rights for a large

3:56

corporation which is the case the sailor and

3:58

micro strategy and this gives the

4:00

power to steer the ship and execute on

4:02

a Bitcoin strategy without much opposition. Other

4:05

corporations don't have the same corporate

4:07

governance structure. Secondly, a lack

4:09

of clear accounting rules made it challenging

4:11

for corporations to put Bitcoin on their

4:13

balance sheets. But this all

4:15

changed earlier this year when new accounting rules

4:18

were approved that will make it easier than

4:20

ever before for corporations to buy Bitcoin, and

4:22

we're already beginning to see more evidence of

4:24

corporations embracing it. One story that

4:26

went under people's radars last week was when

4:29

Traeger Grills, a popular grilling company, you may

4:31

have heard about it from Joe Rogan, that

4:33

has more than $600 million

4:35

in annual revenue, announced that it will

4:37

begin accepting Bitcoin as a form of

4:39

payment. And here was the key point.

4:42

They may or may not liquidate the Bitcoin

4:44

upon receipt. So the wording here suggests that

4:47

Traeger is not only interested in accepting Bitcoin

4:49

for payment, but will also consider holding onto

4:51

the Bitcoin if they do receive it. So

4:53

whereas last cycle could be viewed as a

4:56

bit of a disappointment when it came to

4:58

corporate Bitcoin adoption, this cycle is shaping up

5:00

to be different. It's just another reason to

5:02

be bullish for the next couple of years.

5:05

And hey, maybe consider a Traeger Grill for

5:07

the backyard. The

5:09

News Block is powered exclusively by Bitdeer. As

5:12

a publicly traded leader, Bitdeer is not

5:14

just mining. They're industry pioneers standing

5:16

alone as the only vertically integrated,

5:18

technology focused Bitcoin mining company. With

5:21

the industry's most experienced leadership team and

5:23

25% of the workforce dedicated

5:25

to R&D, Bitdeer is pushing

5:27

the boundaries of what's possible in Bitcoin

5:29

mining. Learn more at bitdeer.com and explore

5:32

how they are pioneering the future today.

5:36

One consequence of the success of

5:38

the Bitcoin ETFs is that large financial

5:40

institutions appear to be getting increasingly

5:42

bullish on Bitcoin. Global banking

5:44

giant Standard Chartered recently increased its Bitcoin price prediction

5:47

for the end of 2024 from $100,000 to $150,000

5:49

and also updated its price prediction for 2025

5:55

to $250,000 a coin. Standard

6:00

Chartered analysts noted the success of the

6:02

ETFs and the sharper than expected price

6:04

gains this year as the primary reasons

6:06

for increasing their price predictions. And

6:09

it's not just Standard Chartered. A recent JP

6:11

Morgan Securities report estimated that $220 billion could

6:13

flow into the ETFs over

6:17

the next three years, and that

6:19

could be quote, quite impactful to

6:21

Bitcoin's price given the multiplier on

6:23

capital. So what exactly do they

6:25

mean by multiplier on capital? This

6:28

is alluding to the idea that Bitcoin's price

6:30

historically has been extremely sensitive to new

6:32

dollar inflows. In 2021, a Bank of

6:34

America study estimated that it only took

6:36

$93 million of new inflows to

6:40

move Bitcoin's price one whole percent. To

6:43

put this into perspective, the same Bank of America study

6:45

found that it took more than $2

6:47

billion of inflows to move the price of gold

6:49

1%. And this

6:51

recent JP Morgan report estimates the current

6:53

multiplier on capital and Bitcoin at 25x,

6:55

meaning that for every new dollar that

6:57

flows into Bitcoin, it adds $25 to

7:00

its market cap.

7:02

So if the analysis is correct here

7:05

and $220 billion flows into the Bitcoin

7:07

ETFs over the next three years, these

7:10

flows alone could increase Bitcoin's price to

7:12

$280,000 per Bitcoin. Let's

7:17

shift gears now over to the fiat world. Treasury

7:20

Secretary Janet Yellen made headlines last week

7:22

when she admitted in an interview with

7:24

Fox Business that she regrets calling inflation

7:26

transitory. Listen to this. In

7:28

2021, you did say that inflation was transitory.

7:31

Do you regret saying that now? I

7:33

regret saying it was transitory. It

7:36

has come down, but I

7:38

think transitory means a few

7:40

weeks or months to most people.

7:43

So transitory was the messaging from both

7:45

the Federal Reserve and Treasury when it

7:47

came to inflation, and they turned out

7:49

to be very, very wrong. And although

7:51

inflation has come down, CPI still remains

7:53

above 3%, and core CPI,

7:56

which subtracts food and energy, remains closer

7:58

to 4%. Both

8:00

measures are still well above the Fed's 2%

8:02

target, and they don't appear likely to reach

8:04

that level any time soon. But

8:06

to anyone who can connect the dots between printing more

8:08

than $6 trillion and the rise in

8:11

prices everywhere, the sickiness of

8:14

this inflation comes as no surprise. And Americans

8:16

should get used to higher inflation levels considering

8:18

that our government continues to spend money at

8:20

a crazy clip. If adopted, and

8:23

that's a big if, the new 2025

8:25

Biden budget proposal expects to run a

8:27

nearly $2 trillion

8:29

fiscal deficit next year. Larry Laparte

8:31

is one of my favorite people who has been

8:33

hammering the table that we will not be going

8:35

back to a 2% inflation world.

8:37

And I just had him on CoinStories to

8:39

discuss how investors should look at hard money

8:41

like gold and Bitcoin to protect their wealth.

8:44

You may be surprised to hear what he

8:46

says about his gold allocation. All right, I'd

8:48

like to end this news block with just

8:50

a couple of quick headlines and updates. El

8:52

Salvador's president, Naeib Bukele, recently tweeted that the

8:55

country moved about $400 million worth

8:57

of its Bitcoin holdings into a cold wallet,

8:59

calling it, quote, our first Bitcoin piggy

9:01

bank. It was notable because El Salvador

9:03

is now using Bitcoin in a sovereign

9:06

way. The government now has full control

9:08

over the funds without any trusted third

9:10

party. And it's also interesting

9:12

because this tweet revealed that El Salvador

9:14

holds more than 5,500 Bitcoin, which

9:17

is nearly double the amount that was

9:19

previously thought. So if there's one country

9:21

that has benefited significantly from Bitcoin's recent

9:23

rally, it happens to be the smallest

9:25

country in Central America. Lastly,

9:27

the Bitcoin community celebrated a win this past

9:30

week when a UK court deemed that Craig

9:32

Wright is not Satoshi Nakamoto. The judge concluded

9:34

that Dr. Wright is not the author of

9:37

the Bitcoin white paper. He is not the

9:39

person who adopted or operated under the pseudonym

9:41

Satoshi Nakamoto. He is not the person who

9:43

created the Bitcoin network. And he is not

9:46

the author of the initial versions of the

9:48

Bitcoin software. Craig Wright had

9:50

claimed for years that he was the

9:52

inventor of Bitcoin. He's used the slide

9:54

to confuse newcomers and push other projects.

9:56

And He's even sued Bitcoin developers and

9:58

influencers over the years. That's false claim.

10:01

After this ruling, the bitcoin community

10:03

can finally move on from this

10:05

charade. Peter Mccormick, who is one

10:07

of the prominent voices that cried

10:09

Right attacked said it best quote.

10:11

We are also Toshi except for

10:13

Cried Right who is literally the

10:15

only person who is it confirmed

10:17

by law. That's

10:19

it for the new lock Powered by Bit.

10:22

The are your weekly bitcoin and economic news

10:24

update. I'm Natalie for now. Make sure you're

10:26

subscribed to coin stories. You never miss an

10:28

episode. The shows for educational purposes and should

10:30

not be construed as investment. Agree until next

10:33

time.

Unlock more with Podchaser Pro

  • Audience Insights
  • Contact Information
  • Demographics
  • Charts
  • Sponsor History
  • and More!
Pro Features