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Welcome to "The Week Ahead" with your host Tony Nash. Key themes for this discussion are:

1. Supply Chain Risk: Middle East Conflict

Ross Kennedy leads this segment, diving into the critical issue of supply chain risk amid the current Middle East conflict. He explores the US's supply chain capabilities in the face of geopolitical risks, including the historical context before WW2 and analyzes US political realities in Washington, D.C., and its intelligence gathering capability.

Ross also examines the US's share of container shipping, the challenges of distance, and dependence on different shipping carriers and discusses the inhospitable nature of the Suez Canal and Eastern Mediterranean.

Further, Ross assesses the US's reliance on European "commercial navies" and considers the potential impact on various commodities over the medium term due to ongoing political risks in the Middle East and beyond.

1. Geopolitical Dovishness

Albert Marko takes the lead in discussing geopolitical dovishness. He examine how dovish statements by Fed speakers have unfolded in response to recent geopolitical events, such as those in Israel. Albert also analyzes the elevated PPI and CPI reports and their impact on market dynamics, including fluctuating yields. He also gave insights into the future of the Federal Reserve and Treasury activities, and how we can discern the direction they're taking.

1. Risk or Recession Back On?

Michael Belkin guides us through this segment and explores the dynamics of the tech trade and the recent resurgence of shares in companies like META. He takes into the intriguing analysis of a potential recession following a series of rate hikes and a 19-month lag.

Understand what he expects as the economy slows. What factors contribute to this scenario regarding the VIX (volatility index) and whether its movement is primarily influenced by recession expectations or other factors.

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This is the 84th episode of The Week Ahead, where experts talk about the week that just happened and what will most likely happen in the coming week.

Watch this episode on Youtube: https://youtu.be/gKYa4lItWsE