Fed in Focus - FOMC Rate Decision Wednesday.
Reddit IPO Frenzy!
Inflation - definitely not going away.
Announcing - A New Closest to The Pin
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Follow John C. Dvorak on TwitterFollow Andrew Horowitz on TwitterWarm Up- A New CTP Announced- No Show Next week - business meetings out of town- A not so surprising result in the Russian Elections- An important change to stock trade settlements is coming
Market Update- Fed in Focus - FOMC Rate Decision Wednesday- Reddit IPO Frenzy- Inflation - definitely not going away- AI Frenzy - Culd Call This DHAI Unplugged - so much AI news to discuss- Yield Frenzy
PPI Release- After a HOT CPI, PPI Comes in Hotter- 0.6% on the core - but only 1.6% YoY- The Producer Price Index for final demand rose 0.6 percent in February.- Prices for final demand goods advanced 1.2 percent, and the index for final demand services moved up 0.3 percent.- Prices for final demand advanced 1.6 percent for the 12 months ended in February.- Markets didn't know what to do with this on Friday.
PPI MoM
Company Stats - Recession?- According to FactSet: During Dec-March earnings calls, 47 cited the term “recession” during their earnings calls for the fourth quarter.-- This number is below the 5-year average of 85 and below the 10-year average of 61.- This quarter will mark the lowest number of S&P 500 companies citing “recession” on earnings calls for a quarter since Q4 2021 Companies Citing Recession% of CompaniesReddit- IPO slated to be live sometime this week (March 21)- 5X Oversubscribed- Reddit began sending invitations to users to participate in the IPO based on one of two measurements of engagement on the site: either the number of actions they’ve taken as a moderator of a forum on the platform (also known as a “subreddit”) or their “karma” score, a figure that indicates a user’s contributions and reputation among other users on the site.- Reddit plans to list 22 million shares at a price between $31 and $34, according to the latest version of the IPO prospectus it filed Monday with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The company stands to take in between $473.6 million and $519.4 million from the sale of roughly 15.3 million shares.- Valuation > $6 billion- Question???? Is Reddit profitable? NO - However, the company has been substantially growing revenue in the past few years.---- Reddit's total revenue in 2023 was $804 million, up 21% from $666 million in 2022.----- Reddit's net loss for 2023 narrowed to $90.8 million.
Yields - 10 YR- Highest level of 2024- technically breaking out - if Fed moves a bot more hawkish - 4.50% is next testYieldsJapan Yields- The Bank of Japan is set to raise its key interest rate for the first time in 17 years on Tuesday following its two-day monetary policy meeting, Kyodo reported.- The BOJ will raise the short-term rate to the 0%-0.1% range, the report said. The development reflects growing confidence among policymakers that a virtuous cycle of wage growth and price hikes is in motion following this year’s labor-management pay negotiations- RAISING TO ZERO!
Global Rates - Who Will CUT First?First Mover?ELON- Increasing prices on Model Y by $1,000--- Stock moves up by 6%- Goldman Downgrades - Perhaps this is why stock moved up - another bug downgrade - stock in the toilet - nowhere else to go--- SpaceX is building a network of hundreds of spy satellites under a classified contract with a U.S. intelligence agency, five sources familiar with the program said, demonstrating deepening ties between billionaire entrepreneur Elon Musk's space company and national security agencies.
Elon - Ketamine
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