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Statistical Splits Between Wins and Losses and Assistant Coaches Media

Statistical Splits Between Wins and Losses and Assistant Coaches Media

Released Wednesday, 5th January 2022
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Statistical Splits Between Wins and Losses and Assistant Coaches Media

Statistical Splits Between Wins and Losses and Assistant Coaches Media

Statistical Splits Between Wins and Losses and Assistant Coaches Media

Statistical Splits Between Wins and Losses and Assistant Coaches Media

Wednesday, 5th January 2022
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0:00

Two fires touch stop

0:04

waddle stocked into the end zone

0:06

of Miami tight pro tip

0:09

window. They had to get that touchdown

0:11

on that play. They give it. What

0:15

is up, Dolph Fans and welcome

0:18

to the Drive Time Podcast, part

0:20

of the Miami Dolphins podcast network,

0:22

covering your team, your Miami

0:25

Dolphins. How's it going everybody? I am your

0:27

host, Travis Wingfield, and as always

0:30

I am here for one more

0:32

week to bring you your daily dose of

0:34

Miami Dolphins football. We cut this thing down

0:36

to three shows a week in the off season except

0:38

for in the busy peak times. But

0:40

on today's show, it's a deep dive Wednesday.

0:43

We're gonna compare the numbers between wins and

0:45

losses this year, and a couple of very

0:47

interesting data points between the two

0:50

that I was curious to find out about, plus

0:52

the thin margin for air in this game.

0:54

We heard from the whole gamut of assistant

0:56

coaches on Tuesday as well. We're gonna play

0:58

the highlights from those media availabilities

1:01

from somewhere in South Florida. This

1:04

is the Drive Time Podcast.

1:10

I'll go ahead and start the podcast here with the

1:12

assistant coaches media sessions from

1:14

Tuesday. It was a long one. Getting all these

1:16

guys on zoom takes longer than it does

1:18

on the in person meetings. We get through it, and

1:20

we talked to them one on one with these good questions,

1:23

and there was all kinds of good stuff today. If

1:25

you have not done so, all the coordinators

1:27

will be up on YouTube, not the assistant

1:29

coaches. They'll have sound for some of those guys

1:32

for you here on this podcast. Let's

1:34

go ahead and pick it up with coach George Godsey,

1:36

Dolphins co O C and tight ends coach, who

1:38

was asked about the

1:41

idea of being more aggressive in the downfield

1:43

passing game and if the Dolphins

1:45

had more experience on the offensive

1:47

line, if they could have done that more

1:49

throughout the course of the season. Here's coach Godsy

1:52

on just that. Yeah, I mean, that's that's where most

1:54

of them passing

1:56

game starts. As protection. So, um,

1:59

whether it's matt Hip that we can do better on or

2:02

you know, it's it's executing our

2:04

our job as a protector, whether it's back

2:06

alignment or tight end, that

2:08

group's gotta gotta give the quarterback

2:11

enough time for the receivers to get open too. And

2:13

and uh, if we're having to get the ball out

2:15

of our hands because we're getting pressured then

2:18

uh, you know, we can't get the ball downfield.

2:20

So a lot of that plays into how

2:22

the game is being played and how

2:24

the matchups end up being. You know, we had some

2:27

guys in there moving around a little bit. Liam's

2:30

learning and improving each game. Austin

2:32

is going inside. You know, We've had some

2:34

rotation going on at center right

2:37

side. Seemed to be pretty consistent as

2:39

far as health wise. So all those

2:41

variables take uh take place

2:43

into calling a play and

2:45

um, you know, I want to make sure we give our guys the

2:47

best opportunity to execute that play.

2:50

So uh protection,

2:52

depth of route, uh, pattern

2:56

options for the quarterback of all that goes into

2:59

any like all our play design as

3:01

thorough as he always is there with coach George

3:03

Gods, it's go ahead and go back to coach real quick.

3:05

I asked him a question about personnel usage

3:08

this season, because we talked all

3:10

offseason long, right about how this Dolphins

3:12

receiving corps was super deep, and obviously

3:15

you lose one of the top key guys you're banking

3:17

on, Will Fuller early in the season. Davante

3:19

Parker misses a few games. You're at without Jillian

3:22

Waddle for one game. Preston Williams up

3:24

and down throughout the course of the season, Isaiah

3:26

Ford comes back, Albert Wilson has a

3:28

kind of fluctuating role. All of a sudden,

3:31

the depth seems like it's not what we expected

3:33

back in training camp, and again, injuries

3:36

and attrition has a way of having that happen. But

3:38

here's coach Gotzi on the utilization of so

3:40

much twelve personnel, which led the league

3:42

by a substantial number this season. With

3:44

two tight ends on the field, you know, starting

3:47

the season and Alie Tennis. Is probably

3:49

a lot of variables that have come up, whether

3:51

it's injuries or UM,

3:54

especially in receiver position. UM,

3:57

you know, in and out of the lineup. Obviously would

4:00

have some some injuries there too that people

4:02

have played. So those guys, like I said, have been

4:05

a healthy group for

4:07

the most part, and they're able

4:09

to do multiple things. Are able to block, They're

4:11

able to block in line, they're able

4:13

to detached if

4:15

we need to UM, you

4:17

know, and it's pretty reliable group from an assignment

4:19

standpoint. So as much as we can

4:21

use those guys, would like to every

4:23

time we do these, I always learned something And so just

4:26

thinking about having these guys every single

4:28

week here to talk to you on the podcast is

4:30

so beneficial to the basically

4:32

what I want to do here, and that's to educate football

4:34

fans to be smarter football fans, especially when

4:36

it comes to this Miami Dolphins team. And

4:39

I'll miss not having those guys every week. There's they're so informative.

4:41

And here's coach Eric Studiensville Dolphins co

4:44

O C and running backs coach talking

4:46

about the pass or

4:48

rather the run blocking execution of the offensive

4:51

line if he felt it's been good enough in

4:53

recent weeks in this season, and coach, there's

4:55

more to it than just the offensive line that goes

4:57

into your running game. Again, I don't,

4:59

I don't. I don't necessarily think it's just it's

5:01

it's not one unit that that's responsible

5:04

for. There's different runs that runs hit in different

5:06

places, There's different schemes. So

5:08

you know, if we're running a toss play outside,

5:11

that may be a different emphasis on who's

5:13

the point of attack blocking then if you're running a

5:15

dive play inside. So to to

5:17

put the responsibility on

5:19

on five guys and say that they're the only

5:21

ones that affect you know, what happens in the run game.

5:23

I don't. I don't think that. That's not what we do and that's not

5:25

that's not the beauty of this game. The beauty of this game

5:28

is it takes eleven people to be coordinated

5:31

to have success on one play at

5:33

a time. That's that's why you play

5:35

this game. That's why you get involved in it because it's the

5:37

team concept that's important to

5:39

you. So it's all of us involved in that, coaches,

5:41

from the from the diagram and the creation of the

5:44

plays and the teaching of what we're doing to

5:46

all the way down to the players of the execution. But it's

5:48

not it doesn't rely strictly on

5:50

one person um for the

5:53

execution, the success or the production. It's

5:55

it's the group better. Very informative

5:57

there from Coach again love hearing what these guys have

5:59

to say and to us. Spoke about that and

6:01

his postgame presser on Sunday about how

6:04

when you have eleven guys doing a job, if one

6:06

person screws up, it can send the entire

6:08

play kind of put and you hear Coach does

6:10

feel echoing that message and that sentiment

6:12

there with the question about the

6:15

run blocking this season from the Dolphins offensive line,

6:17

how to get the run game going in general,

6:19

Let's go ahead and spend this thing forward and pick it up

6:21

here with quarterbacks coach Charlie Fry,

6:23

who was asked about the growth of to a tongue of Byloa

6:26

in his first or rather his second season here

6:28

as a Miami Dolphin, his first under the tutelage

6:31

of quarterbacks coach Charlie Fry.

6:33

Yeah, I think, you know, he's they're

6:36

showing that he's shown growth in

6:38

in you know, the way he's played this

6:40

year. I think as

6:42

a young quarterback, the more reps you get, the more experience

6:45

that you get, the more you're gonna

6:47

be able to take from that the learning

6:49

moments and the things that happened within that

6:51

game. You know, we go over those

6:53

corrections the next day and meetings,

6:56

and then you try to apply it to the for

6:58

the next week's game, and then you

7:00

get into the you know, the overall

7:02

picture of the growth

7:05

and development more in the off season, um

7:08

and then try and try and take some steps that

7:10

way. But right now, it's it's

7:12

the things that happened in the Tennessee game, the

7:15

corrections that we make in trying to apply those

7:17

going into this last week against New England.

7:19

And you heard coach talk there about how right now

7:22

it is about the Titans game. And so there was

7:24

a follow up question about ball security

7:26

and how to it can approve in that regard, and

7:28

just looking at some of the numbers here for two of the season,

7:31

the interception percentage has jumped by a full

7:33

percentage point from last season, from

7:35

one point seven up to two point seven per

7:37

cent. And then we've also seen a lot more fumbles.

7:39

Last year just one fumble for Toungo by

7:41

Loa in ten games played. But this year

7:44

in twelve games, nine fumbles,

7:46

nine times he's put the ball on the ground. That's just

7:48

a little bit too many turnover worthy plays or turnover

7:50

opportunities, I should say for the opposing

7:52

defense. So Coach Fry was asked about

7:54

ball security and how to it can get better in that

7:57

regard. I thought his answer here was really good about

7:59

the mental aspect of all security. I

8:01

think um obviously a

8:03

focus of you

8:05

know, when the pocket breaks down and and

8:08

and you you have to move, sometimes

8:10

the initial reaction is to separate your hands.

8:13

You know, obviously you're getting the ball into

8:15

a running position instead

8:17

of a passing position, and

8:19

usually that's that's where most of the fumbles

8:21

happen, is that initial break the hands

8:24

UM. So obviously

8:27

you drill that. But the problem is when you drill that,

8:29

there's there's you don't have that element of

8:32

life contact, you know, that lot the

8:34

element of man, this guy's coming to hurt me,

8:36

this guy is coming to tackle me. So a

8:39

lot of it is training your mind um

8:42

more so than than any any type

8:44

of drill of when there's contact, when when

8:46

you feel that coming of really

8:49

putting your body in

8:51

between the ball and the defender um

8:54

and and it's more of a mental

8:56

thing. And obviously you're gonna drill it.

8:58

You try and drill everything that's going to happen in the game.

9:01

But being able to take the drill to the practice

9:04

to the game is a lot of the

9:06

mental side. Interesting stuff

9:08

there from a guy who's played and inclement

9:10

weather, he came. He was with the Seahawks there for a little

9:12

bit, so he knows about bad what rainy

9:15

footballs and wind and and all the stuff. And

9:17

ball security of course, a big part of that

9:19

position let's go ahead and spend this thing forward to the

9:21

special teams and coordinator Danny Crossman,

9:23

who was asked about if the Dolphins lived up to

9:25

his standards so far this season on special

9:28

teams obviously not, you

9:30

know, and we be

9:33

quite honest, we've never met my standards.

9:35

But you know, obviously this

9:37

year even even a little bit more

9:39

so of not being where we need to be.

9:42

Well, the list is as

9:44

long as it as it always is. We need to

9:46

be better and everything we need to coach, I need to coach it better.

9:48

We need to executed better.

9:51

When we have opportunities, we need to be able to take

9:53

advantage of those opportunities. Um,

9:56

a lot, a lot to work on. That

9:58

second portion was a fall up question about what

10:01

specifically is on his list for things they have

10:03

to improve that you heard it. Let's go ahead

10:05

and go to the defensive side of the football here with DC

10:08

Josh Boyer, who was asked about the run defense

10:10

and how they had issues on Sunday

10:12

with the Titans who rolled up a hundred yards

10:15

on the ground. I mean, you know, some

10:17

of it, uh you know, I

10:19

mean it could be a little bit scheme related where

10:22

where we're trying to create negative

10:24

plays. Uh. Some of it is uh,

10:26

you know, them staying ahead of the change and

10:28

you know, staying on track and

10:31

um, you know, not being able to really get him

10:33

into situations where they need to throw

10:35

the ball and um, you know. And

10:37

then some of it, like I said, you know as

10:39

scheme issues. Uh, and then some of

10:41

it is you know, just fundamentals and techniques

10:44

and um you know. Um,

10:47

so those are the things like I said that

10:49

you know, when you review the film, you try to

10:51

correct all those and then you get ready to play.

10:54

Uh. Uh. You know New England

10:56

who's a very good run offense.

10:59

Um, And they can throw the ball. They do a lot of things.

11:01

They're very multiple, they're very well coached. They got very

11:03

good players. They've got a very good offensive line,

11:06

very similar to the team that we saw last week. Um.

11:09

Uh, their receivers all blocked well, they

11:11

all play hard, their physical, tough team.

11:13

They're gonna play for sixty minutes. So again,

11:16

I mean, we have a big challenge in front of us this week. So

11:18

um, that's kind of really where our focus is really

11:21

found. Coaches comment there about scheme

11:23

things and trying to create negative plays and the running

11:25

game was interesting. Obviously, we talked about

11:27

one of the keys of the game was getting the Titans into those

11:29

long down distances to get those free hitters, to

11:31

get those blitz opportunities. Just didn't happen

11:34

frequently enough in this game. We talked about

11:36

that in the All twoint to review about how Miami

11:39

the Titans game plan allowed

11:42

them, or the execution of their plan allowed

11:44

them to get to the part of the game plan where they could

11:46

really kind of minimize those rush options

11:48

and get into the different types of conflict like the bootlegs

11:51

and the rolls and the quarterback runs, all

11:53

that fun stuff that's fun for your offense,

11:55

not so much we have to defend it. Now. Let's go ahead

11:57

and pick us up here with Dolphins linebackers

11:59

coach Anthon Campinelli, and you know, I

12:01

think one of the things I might want to look at this summer

12:03

is Jerome Baker's just charting

12:05

his play because of how many different plays he made.

12:08

Spots are different spots he made plays from

12:10

kind of a switch from full time

12:12

MIC linebackers are more off the edge, and that

12:14

Baltimore game, which of course coincided

12:17

with Miami's defensive resurgence in the second

12:19

half of the season. Coach Camp was asked about

12:21

Jerome Baker's ability to play multiple spots

12:23

with selflessness to do that and what he does

12:26

or what it is about Jerome Baker that makes

12:28

him able to get better every game and

12:30

every season. I think he's

12:32

done a really good job. You know, He's

12:34

been called upon to do a bunch of different things and he's

12:37

uh, he's excelled in a lot of ways.

12:40

Um. I think he's continually improved over the

12:42

course of the season, whether it be in

12:44

the run game, UM, you

12:46

know, pass coverage and pass rush. Um.

12:49

So I think, uh, I

12:51

think people recognize that about him. I

12:53

certainly do. UM,

12:55

just in terms of just being around

12:57

somebody every day, incredibly

13:00

coachable, humble

13:02

personality, and I think

13:04

it's guys like that usually

13:07

continue to get better. That's a really

13:09

fun quote to end that on there, talking

13:11

about Jerome Baker. From the second level

13:14

of defense, we move up to the front portion and

13:16

you guys heard me raving about Christian

13:18

Wilkins game on Sunday

13:20

on the Tuesday Recap podcast, and I

13:23

just can't get enough of what this guy can do in terms

13:25

of the physicality, the quickness, stack

13:27

and shed the eyes, the eye discipline, the

13:29

ability to backdoor play on the front side,

13:31

just so many things he can do that really

13:34

increases Miami's versatility, which we know

13:36

is a key in this defense and on this team.

13:39

And I think it also allows him to do what he

13:41

did on Sunday and play over of

13:43

the snaps for this Dolphins defense. Here's

13:45

Coach Clark, Dolphins d line coach on

13:47

Christian Wilkins. Yeah. I think, you know, credit

13:50

credit to Christian. His versatility and

13:52

how he's developed there has definitely helped helped

13:54

us as a defense. And you know, he can't

13:57

feel multiple roles, and I would say his

13:59

willingness to do whatever role has asked

14:01

to him is what's awesome.

14:03

You know, it's it's not um

14:06

you know, he never second guesses anything we're asking

14:08

him to do. He goes full speed and he has

14:10

a real focus on the technique and fundamentals.

14:12

I think that's where he's made his biggest strides and uh,

14:15

you know, hopefully, uh you know, we can

14:17

have a good one with him on Sunday. Glad you mentioned

14:20

the technique and fundamentals because that one player where

14:22

I talked about how he locked out of the guard

14:24

and then tossed him back to the direction. You just saw everything

14:26

that you see on those bags all August

14:29

long in the training camp, and the sweat and the blood, sweat

14:31

and tears they put out there on that practice

14:33

field. You see that translate onto the game

14:35

day field. That's always a good feeling for a player

14:37

to have that kind of come to fruition without

14:40

the course of the season, especially now in your

14:42

number three for Christian Wilkins. Let's go ahead

14:44

and take our first break and come back and finish up

14:46

with two more coaches media and the quotes

14:48

from Gerald Alexander and Charles Burke's

14:50

then we'll have a deep dive after that as well. Drivetime

14:53

Podcast Wednesday edition. Keep it locked

14:55

right here. Let's

14:57

pick it back up with Gerald Alexander

15:00

on this coach's availability Wednesday

15:02

edition of the Drive Time Podcast. Who was asked?

15:05

I asked him actually about how you,

15:08

as a guy who's played in the league and also coached

15:10

in the league, on if this week, when

15:13

you're eliminated from posteas and contention, if

15:15

you can learn anything about your team and your roster

15:17

and the way guys prepare, and if the

15:19

way guys work in a

15:21

week that has an atmosphere

15:24

or disappointment from Sunday

15:26

that carries over if it reveals

15:29

anything about your team and the character those guys have wanted

15:31

to ask you. Because of his experience as a player

15:33

and coach, here's coach. Yeah,

15:35

I think in regardless of the circumstances,

15:38

when you look at just the opportunity

15:40

that it is to work and play in the NFL, you can

15:42

never take any of these weeks for granted. You know, there's

15:44

a lot of work that gets put in, you know for

15:46

the seventeen you know, guaranteed opportunities

15:49

that we have to go out there on the field together and incompete.

15:51

So, um, you know, whether

15:54

it reveals character about

15:56

an individual, um,

15:58

you know, how don't put that.

16:00

I don't put a lot of stock into that. I think that

16:02

every game, UM definitely,

16:05

Uh, you learn from it and exposes

16:07

you know, really anybody you know, strengths,

16:09

weaknesses and things like that. But um,

16:11

you know, it's just another opportunity for us to do this together.

16:14

Unfortunately we didn't do wanted to do this

16:16

season, um, but we have one more opportunity

16:18

to go out there together because we know at this point Uh,

16:21

you know, it's definite ality. I gotta

16:24

love that answer. That's why I asked him that questions.

16:26

I would get a good one there from g A

16:28

and that's yeah, I completely understand

16:30

that mentality. In that mindset, you can't preach the

16:32

one day of time mentality and then have a

16:35

different week carry more weight than

16:37

another week earlier or later in

16:39

the season. Let's go ahead and finish up here with Charles

16:42

Burks, who was asked about the

16:44

elements of Noah

16:47

egg banogenis game that makes him believe

16:49

he can transition at some point his career to a

16:51

full time player and have success in this

16:53

league. Here's Charles Burke's on noahgo,

16:56

Well, this is an athletic ability. You know,

17:00

think he he definitely

17:02

has tools to be successful in the league,

17:05

but there's a lot more to that. Not

17:08

saying that he doesn't have those other things, but it's

17:10

just not necessarily an athletic skill.

17:12

There's are a lot of athletic guys

17:14

that have came in the NFL at that particular position,

17:17

but there there's more that goes into it. So,

17:20

uh, it's not just necessarily being a really

17:22

good athlete, you know, it's the preparation.

17:25

Um, it's the instincts, it's

17:27

you know, the film, it's all of that

17:30

encompassing that can really change a

17:32

game and take it to a high level. So there you

17:34

go. That's the end of our assistant coaches media

17:36

availability. I believe we'll get the coordinators

17:38

next Tuesday, and then there will be a rap on talking

17:41

to those guys for quite some time once the season comes

17:43

to a conclusion. But I wanted to go back here

17:45

now to something Coach Gods

17:47

he said off the top about making plays

17:50

to move the football, which then can help

17:52

you produce points and ultimately score more

17:55

than the opposition does. And when he

17:57

said how we've done it half the time and the other

17:59

half the time we have not, it kind of

18:01

got me thinking about what

18:03

kind of deep dive I wanted to do.

18:06

And so I became curious about differences between

18:08

the eight wins and the eight losses. And

18:10

then I've got to thinking, what

18:13

were the things that I specifically remember

18:15

about those games, Things that I can look at

18:18

besides numbers that I can find on Pro

18:20

Football Reference or NFL True Media

18:22

or the Jesus site, g S I S

18:24

site, Pro Football Focus or

18:26

what have you. As far as what your

18:29

resources are next gen. I use that one a lot

18:31

too, something like how many made

18:33

in missfield goals do we have compared to our opponent

18:35

and the wins and losses? Then also

18:37

how did teams beat us and how did they fail

18:40

to do so? So I thought, let's look at

18:42

blitz rate for instance. That will be one I can chart

18:44

real quick, So this will be a short segment,

18:47

but I wanted to compare some things that stood out over

18:49

the eight game sample size of victories and

18:51

the sample size and defeats. And we can do this again

18:54

come the off season with much more time

18:56

put into it, much more data and charting. That

18:58

goes into that one of my fair things to do with football

19:01

is to chart things, and they always teach you something,

19:03

whether or not your hypothesis or the opposite

19:05

or something in between. You always learn something when you

19:08

do these deep dive projects. Let's go ahead and

19:10

jump right into that, but first, real quick, these

19:12

words back

19:15

here on the Drive Time podcast, and we are

19:17

taking a look at the difference and a few

19:20

statistical categories between Miami's

19:22

eight wins and eight losses and

19:24

trying to find out what worked and did not

19:26

work in the winds and the losses,

19:28

and we start here with four stats

19:30

I was curious to look at, and

19:33

we could pull up rushing and passing

19:35

and very basic

19:39

counting stats, which I did here also

19:41

for a few of these ones. But I wanted to look

19:43

at things that you have to kind of go back and peek

19:46

through the game books to find out exactly

19:49

what happened. And there's two stats in here that kind

19:51

of qualified for that, and too that don't, but one

19:53

of almost field goals, and I became very curious

19:56

about that, and that was the biggest find

19:58

for me as far as my hypoth us has

20:00

went in terms of difference in

20:03

how wins and losses were formulated

20:05

this year by this Dolphins team. And in victories,

20:08

the Dolphins were thirteen for fifteen on

20:10

field goals, which is eighty one point three

20:12

percent. Check that, thirteen for sixteen

20:14

for eighty one point three percent. The

20:17

opposing kickers were fifteen for nineteen

20:19

in the victories. That's seventy eight point

20:22

nine percent, so nearly a wash. But

20:24

when you get to the eight losses, Miami

20:28

was eight for fourteen this year on field goals

20:30

at fifty seven point one percent, and

20:32

the opposition was fifteen for sixteen

20:35

ninety three point eight percent, so eight

20:38

for fourteen compared to fifteen for sixteen.

20:40

And I think it's the craziest part

20:43

about that as far as the field goals go,

20:45

is that all three of the Dolphins

20:47

buzzer beating losses came on buzzer

20:50

beater field goals, and in each of those games,

20:52

Miami missed a field goal and the opposing

20:55

kickers went three for three, so nine

20:57

for nine in total. Those small

20:59

margins, and that's what it comes down to in

21:01

this league, and so that was the biggest one

21:03

for me. But from the victories,

21:06

the offense on third down was forty

21:08

six for one ten that's forty

21:10

one point eight percent. And

21:12

then in the losses the Dolphins

21:15

were forty two for one oh eight, so thirty

21:17

eight point nine percent. Just a

21:19

few percentage bumps point

21:21

bump there from the victories and the losses,

21:23

and of course different quarterbacks played in those games as

21:25

well, which obviously has an impact

21:27

on those numbers. And then in

21:29

the penalties per game for the Dolphins,

21:32

in the victories, there was forty six penalties

21:34

for three hundred and sixty yards. That was five

21:36

point seven five penalties per game for

21:38

forty five yards per game, and

21:41

then in the losses it was fifty four

21:43

penalties for four hundred and thirty two yards.

21:45

That's six point seven five penalties for

21:47

fifty four yards a game, so one more penalty

21:50

for nine yards in the losses than

21:52

in the victories. On

21:54

blitzes versus how many dropbacks

21:57

there were for the Dolphins offense, they were blitzed

21:59

eighty eight times compared to two

22:01

eight total dropbacks. That was thirty point

22:03

six percent of the time in their victories.

22:06

When the Dolphins lost, opposing teams

22:08

blitzed us eighty six times out

22:10

of three eight dropbacks. That's a twenty two

22:12

point six percent blitz right, and a lot

22:14

of the blitz number when Jacobe Brissette was in this

22:16

game, we're in the game, We're way way down.

22:18

So that was a huge fluctuation there as well.

22:20

But I found that to be a little

22:23

bit interesting as far as the Dolphins offense

22:25

goes. Now, as far as the defense goes, compared

22:27

to wins versus losses, the

22:29

biggest differentiator you

22:31

see here is obviously the third down defense,

22:34

and of course the third down defense got much better

22:36

over the course of that seven game winning streak. In

22:39

the Dolphins eight victories this season, thirty

22:41

nine third down conversions on a hundred

22:43

and fourteen attempts that's thirty three point three

22:46

percent. In the losses, fifty

22:48

three for one or seven that's forty nine point five

22:50

percent and a sixteen

22:53

point two percent increase in

22:55

third downs allowed. The blitzing numbers,

22:57

I'm sure a lot of you wanted to hear that. One one hundred

23:00

fifty six blitzes on three nineteen

23:02

dropbacks in the victories, that's a forty

23:04

eight point nine percent blitz rate. When

23:07

the opposing quarterback went back to pass. In

23:10

the losses, it was one thirty

23:12

four out of three eleven, so forty

23:14

one point eight percent, a seven point

23:16

one percent decrease and the losses

23:19

in blitzing the quarterback. But again, those numbers can

23:21

be skewed a little bit because of the

23:24

way the game unfolds in terms of, you

23:26

know, late game situations. It's all situational,

23:28

so I don't know that one really tells us all that much,

23:31

but I was curious to find out the difference there,

23:33

So that was really the key one that I looked

23:35

at, and the field goal numbers. I

23:37

mean that was the outrageous one to me was

23:41

how field goal successes

23:44

and failures, And I mean, I don't want to call

23:47

it luck. I think the opposing team missing field

23:49

goals a lot of times can come down to luck. But

23:51

last year the Dolphins were thirty for thirty three

23:53

and field goal percentage had the first team

23:55

All Pro this year actually had the lowest

23:57

field goal percentage of any team in the National Football

23:59

League. We talk about fine margins.

24:01

That's a good area to look at

24:04

for how the record swung

24:06

from ten wins to eight and possibly nine

24:08

wins if the Dolphins can find a victory on

24:10

Sunday against the Patriots. But again,

24:13

small margin's big difference. Some others

24:15

here with some miscellaneous stats and information. The

24:17

turnover differential and the victories was plus

24:19

four. They had two games they

24:22

won with more than one turnover, the Houston

24:25

game when they had four or rather five turnovers,

24:27

and the Jets game they had three turnovers.

24:29

There was two games without a turnover they

24:31

won, and they won four games with

24:34

one turnover exactly, but plus four in the victories

24:36

in the losses, negative seven in

24:39

the take in the turnover differential department sixteen

24:41

takeaways and the wins seven takeaways.

24:44

In the losses, the point differential

24:47

I thought was gonna go a different direction that I remembered

24:49

back to the Buccaneers game and the Bills game and

24:51

the Titans game, and that through this entire

24:53

equation out of whack. But

24:55

the Dolphins points for in their victories

24:58

one four. That's twenty three points

25:00

per game, and their wins as far as

25:02

points allowed just ninety eight points

25:04

twelve and a quarter points per game. In the

25:06

eight victories, that's a plus eighty

25:08

six differential. In the losses,

25:11

they scored a hundred and twenty four point sixty

25:13

points fewer. That's fifteen point five

25:15

points per game. And those losses in

25:18

the points allowed category two hundred

25:20

and fifty one. So what is

25:22

that a hundred and fifty three points

25:24

more allowed in the eight losses compared

25:26

to the eight wins. That's thirty one

25:28

point four points per game. That's say two

25:31

and a half times increase there if

25:33

my math is right, which probably isn't. In terms

25:35

of points allowed per game, that's a minus one seven

25:38

point differential in the losses, so plus eighty

25:40

six and the eight wins minus one seven

25:43

in the eight losses. Last thing I wanted

25:45

to explore here was the wins at

25:47

the buzzer at the hands of the Dolphins

25:50

and what exactly happened

25:52

in those games. My point here is again the

25:55

razor thin margins in this league, and

25:57

you could do this in a few of our wins as well,

25:59

where you find four five plays in those games

26:01

that could have gone the other way, really

26:03

only to me in the Patriots game. Otherwise the Dolphins

26:06

were pretty much clear winners

26:08

and a lot of those other contests. But we

26:10

start off here with there's three games Vegas, Jacksonville,

26:12

Atlanta, and we start here with Vegas. First off, Derek

26:15

Carr played so damn well in that game, and just

26:17

to that point, I you know, I wasn't a huge fan of

26:19

his game early on in his career, but he sure

26:21

as hell has won me over what a terrific player he

26:23

has become in his NFL career.

26:25

But in this game, he hit maybe

26:27

his best throw of the season on that thirty two

26:30

yard pass to Brian Edwards under pressure

26:32

in a tight window, and that was on second and

26:34

ten. If you don't get that all of a sudden,

26:36

Miami has a chance for one of their blitz packages

26:38

or creative calls on third and tend to get

26:40

off the field, but instead they convert and

26:43

kick a field goal. And then the Dolphins drive

26:45

back into field goal range and had a

26:47

shot play into the end zone on first

26:49

down to Will Fuller, and

26:51

we've seen that call made before, we've

26:53

seen it not made before. It doesn't get

26:55

called. The Dolphins cannot hit either of

26:57

the next two passes and then convert on fifty

26:59

yard field goal from Jason Sanders. And

27:01

then the Raiders again from car to Edwards

27:03

on a second and fifteen for thirty five yards,

27:06

and that time was backed up too, with under three

27:08

minutes to play. You get off the field there,

27:10

you get the football back with either a chance to win or

27:13

if you don't, succeed to tie the football game. But

27:15

because they hit that Peyton Barber, one more run

27:18

and they're back into field goal ranch and they hit

27:20

it at the buzzer and

27:22

again three for three for Daniel Carlson d that game,

27:24

and the Dolphins had a missed field goal at the end of the first half

27:27

in that game. For the Jacksonville game played

27:29

pretty good on defense, especially when you consider

27:31

the fact that Both xaviing Howard and Byron Jones

27:34

were down in that game, but Jacksonville

27:36

kicker Matthew Right went three for three in that game

27:38

and hit from fifty four and fifty three yards

27:40

in the fourth quarter. He's four for six

27:43

this year from fifty plus, so two for two in

27:45

the Dolphins game, two for four

27:48

Otherwise. He didn't hit

27:50

two fifty plus yards in any other game this year.

27:52

To his credit, he has seventeen for twenty

27:54

and it looks like he's gonna have a long term solution there

27:57

at the kicking possession in Jacksonville, but he

27:59

entered that game over one kicking in

28:01

his career and the Jags had gone

28:03

a full year without a made field goal.

28:06

Just a weird nugget from that game that the Jaguars

28:08

were able to hit big field goals late in

28:10

that football game, which was the difference ultimately

28:13

in the Atlanta Falcons game. That was the

28:15

second and the last time the Falcons

28:18

offense hit thirty points in a game this season,

28:20

their second highest yardage output and their

28:23

third highest passing output of the season

28:25

against this Dolphins defense. That really transformed

28:27

a week or two after this and the way

28:30

it ended with Miami having two touchdown drives

28:32

and offense, a defensive takeaway and

28:34

a forced punt in there. Then they

28:36

come back after all that in Miami

28:38

gets a lead with two twenty seven to play in the

28:40

game, and they complete an incredible catch

28:43

up the perimeter to rookie tight end Kyle

28:45

Pitch for twenty eight yards, a phenomenal

28:47

catch by a hell of a player, and that was after

28:50

he already hit for twenty three yards. So he

28:52

piles up in quick succession fifty

28:54

one yards of offense on two plays, and

28:56

the Falcons were able to run for a first

28:58

down on three plays, where if the Dolphins

29:00

gonna stop on any of those, they're gonna have

29:02

about a minute and some change to try

29:04

to navigate the field on the other side and get a game

29:07

winning field goal from two and the offense, which

29:09

in that fourth quarter they were moving the ball just

29:11

fine, but the Falcons run for a first down,

29:13

exhaust the time ouse and clock and any chance

29:16

of answering, and they kick it to go ahead and win

29:18

that football game. So all three of those games, Miami's

29:20

missing a field goal and the opposition goes

29:23

three for three nine for nine in

29:25

total. Those small margins there

29:27

they are. I just think those three games and clearly

29:30

evident by the buzzer beating ending, but

29:32

the way they played out, they

29:34

show you that the margin between wins and losses,

29:37

the margin between Week seventeen elimination

29:39

and fighting for division championships

29:41

and high seating in the postseason, can come

29:43

down to a play or a moment. And

29:46

that's kind of what you look back on each of the last

29:48

two seasons as you are just one or two win shy

29:50

of getting into the postseason tournament. Now

29:53

there are plenty more things, but that's a two

29:55

day project I did to look into,

29:57

you know what, where the difference is

29:59

in the victories and losses. You can look at personnel

30:02

groupings, ran route concepts, different

30:04

types of blitz packages and games and stunts and

30:06

things of that nature. That's all for the offseason.

30:08

I just wanted to give you guys a sample taste of that

30:10

on this edition of the Drive Time Podcast,

30:13

which has come to its conclusion.

30:15

You all please be sure to subscribe

30:17

to the podcast on Apple Podcast, Leave us

30:19

a rating, leave us a review. You can follow me

30:21

on Twitter and Instagram at Wingfield NFL.

30:24

Follow the team across all Socials at Miami

30:26

Dolphins. Check out the Fish Tank Podcast

30:28

with Seth and o J. Of course, our YouTube

30:31

channel, the Coordinator Media availabilities will

30:33

be posted to the channel today. You can also

30:35

find Dolphins Today on YouTube as

30:37

well as Miami Dolphins dot com for written,

30:40

photo, video, podcast content. Everything

30:42

on your Miami Dolphins. Until next time finds

30:44

up Caroline. Daddy is

30:47

coming home.

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