So...if you've been paying any attention to the markets lately, you might've noticed that there has been some major volatility lately. Most of this can probably be explained by the recent hawkish Fed posturing that took place back in the first

Other People's Money

22 days ago 53m 24s

It's pretty easy to have a robust economy and inflated housing market when the government deficit is still running rampant and has no real signs of slowing down. Additionally, core inflation has been revised upward, likely indicating that the F

Clawback Provisions Would Be Nice

Mar 21st, 2024 42m 46s

And not the corporate kind, but the kind as tax payers to the government. Anyways, more & more data is suggesting that the broader economy is resilient, giving the Fed no reason to lower rates (as we've seen today). However, as the debt maturit

Fomo for Finance Bros

Mar 7th, 2024 52m 53s

AI Optimism has certainly led to some unusual price action in the stock markets. As a result, it seems as though the volatility skew has flipped on its head & shifted over to the call side of the options chain, driven by FOMO. But while we're s

Revocable Antitrust

Feb 22nd, 2024 48m 43s

The Fab Four/Mag Seven, as we all know, has really spearheaded the recent strength and momentum in the major markets. But could there potentially be some risks or external factors that could potentially arrest their momentum? Well, of course th

Is this a good thing?

Feb 8th, 2024 46m 5s

So...we've been on our good news bears train for a bit now; but with recent economic data released along with us all surviving the first Fed week of 2024, we may find ourselves back in a situation where good news is bad news. With numbers comin

Im-Maturity Wall

Jan 25th, 2024 51m 7s

As we approach a unique business cycle where the economy is seemingly strong despite inflation pressures, the walls may seemingly be closing in as this giant debt maturity wall approaches. Economists believe this may compel the Fed to step in,

New Year, New Whiskey

Jan 11th, 2024 42m 57s

Welcome to 2024 everyone, hope you all had a great holiday season! Because we have yet to see any sort of "landing" in 2023, hopefully we can see a good economic resolution and turning point in 2024. Either way, we're still on our good news bea

Santa Claus Rally

Dec 22nd, 2023 45m 15s

Another December to remember thanks to this post Fed Santa Claus rally. However, tensions in the Middle East brewing could finally get us off our Good News Bears train. In any event, it's been a great year y'all! Loved drinking with you guys &

Policymakers are Overrated

Dec 14th, 2023 47m 20s

Welcome to probably the last big week of the year in terms of economic data being reported. With CPI and another Fed meeting coming out this week, we decided to remain cheery as we head into our holiday season. All that being said, we remain in

Good News Bears

Dec 7th, 2023 43m 17s

First off, hope you all had a great week off; also, we had to amend some things we said after a few drinks last episode. Something about IRA's being tax-sheltered. Anyways, with all the doom news going on, we had to provide some good news to ta

Social Insecurity

Nov 23rd, 2023 58m 14s

It's Thanksgiving already?? I guess with time flying so fast, we all could probably have a dram to retirement plans and ways we can make sure we're financially stable when we get to that point in our lives where we think about how time flew by

The Millennial Dilemma

Nov 16th, 2023 48m 45s

There you have it; CPI came in slightly lower than expected, but Fed posturing still implores the economy to put up with a "higher for longer" environment. With that, a shower thought I had recently made me think about the millennial plight; be

Delinquent

Nov 9th, 2023 48m 47s

Happy week after Fed week everyone! Hope you were all able to recover swiftly from your hangovers this last weekend because this US Government balance sheet is nothing but sobering. Upon viewing the Fed day interview with Jeff Gundlach on CNBC

Terminal Junkie

Nov 2nd, 2023 53m 15s

Well, the Fed decision is out now; looks like the tone and stance of the Fed is still pretty hawkish pending some sort of major economic catastrophe. But the main question now becomes: when does the Fed their terminal rate? Also, when will the

Equities vs. Fixed Income

Oct 26th, 2023 43m 5s

Well...at the time this episode was being recorded, there was still a 'speakerless House.' Of course, in an uncharacteristic fashion, they managed to elect a speaker in Mike Johnson within a day of this being recorded; but congrats on getting s

DC Clown Show

Oct 19th, 2023 47m 50s

I guess...having a 'speaker-less' house is pretty fun. It's at least funny to observe the kind of clown show we have at our nation's capitol. In case you missed it, Kevin McCarthy was ousted a couple weeks ago from his speakership position and

This One's For Israel

Oct 13th, 2023 1h

CPI data, Fed forecasts, Job Numbers, those are all important figures to pay attention to in terms of global macroeconomics, but it pales in comparison in total importance at times. In case you missed it, there was a very tragic war that broke

Gin for the Win

Oct 5th, 2023 53m 38s

Welp...we've officially made it to the last quarter of the year; and what a year it's been. Because we're all awake now that September has ended, we can expect to see CPI data come in similar to the way energy stocks performed last month. If yo

Absolutely Nothing

Sep 20th, 2023 45m 3s

As the Fed President has mentioned in his presser today, the economy still has yet to see the affects of the tightening monetary policy from last year. Pair that with employment and inflation data that just came in, it shows that the Fed potent

Why the 2% Obsession?

Sep 14th, 2023 51m 47s

I'm beating myself up for not coming up with the question earlier...but why is the Fed so obsessed the the 2% inflation rate? Historically, inflation has seen an average rate of about 4%. Granted, that does include some difficult cycles of pric

Just the TIPS

Sep 7th, 2023 50m 35s

It seems like the weeks spend digesting the Jackson Hole Symposium turned out to be a real bummer. The Street pretty much decided to focus on the Fed's commitment to that 2% target inflation rate and could see plenty of hurdles we need to navig

Jackson Hole in One

Aug 31st, 2023 54m 44s

Well so much for that market euphoria. A lot of market observationists were really expecting a Fed victory lap at the Jackson Hole symposium after CPI came in under the Fed Funds rate for multiple consecutive months. However, Jerome Powell expr

A Deflating Chinese Floatation Device?

Aug 17th, 2023 50m 59s

As we continue to harp on China for producing less than promising economic data, we also need to observe some promising economic data here in the U.S. With CPI coming in at below 4%, the idea of a soft landing achieved is certainly not off the

Interest is Weak

Aug 10th, 2023 41m 53s

Some very surprising economic data overseas came in earlier this week; but for sake of continuity, lets start with last week. Tech earnings coming in strong (for the most part) furthered echoed the resiliency of the U.S. consumer base. From the