Podchaser Logo
Home
As the economy falters, tracking the money behind the money

As the economy falters, tracking the money behind the money

Released Wednesday, 7th September 2022
 1 person rated this episode
As the economy falters, tracking the money behind the money

As the economy falters, tracking the money behind the money

As the economy falters, tracking the money behind the money

As the economy falters, tracking the money behind the money

Wednesday, 7th September 2022
 1 person rated this episode
Rate Episode

Episode Transcript

Transcripts are displayed as originally observed. Some content, including advertisements may have changed.

Use Ctrl + F to search

0:00

this episode is presented by unit

0:02

unit of the leading banking as

0:04

a service platform that makes it simple to

0:06

accounts cards payments,

0:08

and lending into your product and just

0:11

weeks

0:23

hello and welcome back to equity

0:25

apart just about the business of start ups were be

0:27

unpacked the numbers and new ones behind the

0:29

headlines my name is alex will home and i'm subbing

0:31

in for natasha today and this is our wins

0:34

they show where we knew stone to a single topics

0:36

think about a question and unpack the rest

0:39

today we are asking the how is the economic

0:41

downturn and start slow down impacting

0:43

the seas and the fun to finance

0:45

venture capital funds i'm joined today

0:47

by becasue tech to get into this becca this

0:50

is essentially a christmas for us because

0:52

we just ramble on about lt isn't feces

0:54

and finally are nerd moment has

0:56

come

0:57

yeah we've been winning

0:58

for a long time just if you don't

1:01

like this particular episode of equity it's tough because

1:03

this is the stuff we talk about on slot and we are bringing

1:05

it to you today not life perceived as

1:07

close as we can get and a small know natasha

1:09

is just out with a small illness she was that

1:11

she is not giving up the wins the show to me i

1:13

just tried to pretend to be her journey interrupt she'll

1:15

be back asap now better

1:17

with that minds were talking about the

1:20

economic downturn and start up for down which is kind

1:22

of the same thing but i want to set the stage

1:24

here by discussing starts today because

1:26

i'm a little confused about where the market

1:28

is on one hand we've had people

1:31

you know ringing the bell of doom that everyone

1:33

should conserve cash and cut spending all that business

1:35

and the same time to venture capital flows

1:38

into startups seems to be holding up

1:40

reasonably well so my vibe

1:42

is that things aren't as bad as people so they

1:44

are for startups but i'm curious to see grunberg

1:47

here where you sit

1:48

yeah definitely i think the vive i'm getting

1:50

is that it's just really divided

1:52

mercury now i think some people

1:55

are doing much better than maybe they would have saved

1:57

three years ago in a more sibling smoking others

1:59

just not doing as well

2:01

okay expected to the sears pressure

2:03

coming off of last year but i

2:05

personally think this month maybe like the most

2:08

then let me test of how things

2:10

are going so many people like will

2:12

these issues are investing hear the species

2:14

or nothing there but they well

2:16

com like the magical dublin of

2:18

labor day so

2:19

no already on visit were say that

2:21

multiple pushed out people talking that

2:23

started seeing like cautiously bring the

2:25

to back in the water for fundraising and

2:27

such humid paused the summer's day for getting

2:30

much assumptions i think you treated

2:32

i think will be the most telling us how things are going

2:34

and to the routes what at the end of the timbers

2:36

all the two three did it up you will eventually see

2:39

in early october will be inclusive

2:41

of this period of time to sort of

2:43

that word delaine do you think

2:45

that that was the right move to think that venture

2:47

capital activity will actually picked back up

2:50

or is that more of a canard those performance

2:52

you know that's really hard to tell because

2:54

i'm so for some the shuttered you

2:56

will work out but i have a really hard time

2:58

believing that the seeds were really

3:00

passing on good companies the summer

3:02

just sort of principle of not investing so

3:05

well i think some who maybe chose

3:07

not to raise but didn't actually guam's

3:09

fly before making that decision they may

3:12

have perfect success now and maybe

3:14

would have over the summer they had so i think

3:17

i don't know i know to sell it buy that things

3:19

will just be like a lot

3:21

laughter and a lot mercy just because the boy did

3:23

yeah and use it is gonna a half and

3:25

have nots tuition the company's other raising

3:27

other not can or cannot have we

3:29

seen

3:30

the started that aren't going to be able to raise

3:33

deal with that struggle or

3:35

pain yet or is that kind

3:37

of still to com waiter in the year when cash

3:39

supplies dwindle even further i'm sort

3:41

of figure out like have you seen the bad news or

3:43

is the bad news for startups that are going to struggle

3:45

the residents still coming i think it's

3:47

upcoming a nice talking with

3:50

a d c last week as he was

3:52

telling me about it

3:53

lyric depriving just how many unicorn companies

3:55

are kind of hanging on a threat

3:57

right now and he's like that so not apparent

3:59

for know

3:59

might the back inside of the conversation

4:02

so my feeling on that

4:04

there's gonna be one day

4:07

maybe not even day but there's gonna be some sort

4:09

of notable announcement of a copy that just like

4:11

we just can't raise any more where we

4:13

have to sit down or in some sort of fire

4:15

sale and i think the dominance of all pretty quickly

4:17

from there is just because the company

4:19

in question you're talking about this theoretical feel

4:22

your flame else to document a unicorn so

4:24

company worth a billion dollars or more on paper

4:26

so we actually might have out there some

4:28

road to the wounded companies that look like

4:30

so horses but are in effect essentially

4:33

heading for the glue factory

4:34

so they and i think some of it

4:36

is true from last year i do

4:38

the runway an extension financing as and such

4:40

become

4:41

the same throughout this whole bunch of funding

4:43

pullback but while some of the start of that reads

4:45

last year some of the larger companies and

4:47

the unicorns are overvalued

4:50

that doesn't change the fact that they did raise a ton

4:52

of money so it's like wow

4:55

some of them may appear better on people

4:57

for that reason like oh maybe they're valuation

4:59

is too high but they're still like running

5:01

business as usual some of the

5:03

probably not running business as usual they just

5:05

said actually in not frenzy last

5:07

year raise a pretty good work has to

5:09

keep them going for at least a while yet we have

5:11

talked about communism raising twice

5:13

and twelve months three times and twelve months

5:16

and if they spent all that money by

5:18

now i have to say works

5:20

and also what were they thinking but there's a lot of companies

5:22

also the do have a lotta cash and i would say even

5:25

some companies that are doing less well than others

5:27

probably are still overcapitalized just

5:29

predicated on how easy it was lost your

5:31

to raise city or hundred million in a single

5:33

go absolutely i know the least one company

5:35

i covered last year that raise right

5:38

before the and reporting twenty and and bruce

5:40

was and twenty twenty

5:41

why i remember asking the ceo of

5:43

they've spent all of the money in the past reason

5:46

she said that they haven't even touched it

5:48

yet and then they went on and raised again so i mean that

5:50

money as soon as

5:51

the bank so i mean yeah generate

5:53

in what is it like you know zero point one percent

5:55

interest or whatever rate they can guess it

5:57

reminds a little bit of when i think it was air bnb

6:00

was it actually running the get in house hedge fund

6:02

with all their surplus gas because bad

6:04

do something with all the money they had that they weren't using

6:06

smuggler i don't think that's particularly common

6:09

but things have changed and now

6:11

the question is what is going on

6:13

from the venture perspective and a datapoint

6:15

that you and i have talked about and i think that was

6:17

surprising was just the sheer amount of money that

6:19

he sees raised for their own funds

6:22

in the first half of this year he was something

6:24

along the order but one hundred and twenty billion dollars

6:26

for recall correctly a very high very strong

6:28

number

6:29

yeah so it's interesting because as

6:31

chatting with pittsburgh last week and they're

6:33

saying that you can tell if you like when you look

6:35

at the first half your total yes

6:37

it's crazy high and

6:38

the or for like a really strong to an overall

6:41

a breaking it down quarter of a quarter while the

6:43

corner haven't been drastically dropping off

6:45

they are heading in that direction

6:47

the fight he was seventy something

6:49

with your wine is in the forties for

6:51

you to suppress sizable drop off

6:53

but in combination is still obviously creates

6:55

like a really strong number for the first half of

6:57

the year

6:58

to they said was tracking

7:00

so far to be somewhere in the mid twenties

7:02

market change by the end of

7:05

this month obviously i've wanted people push

7:07

to close friends right for the end of the corner so i'm sure

7:09

that will bump up a little birth sign with

7:11

so pretty big drop off but

7:13

still puts the are on track to either be the best

7:16

on record or second best

7:18

they're essentially seventy billion to one

7:20

fifty million sq to twenty

7:22

five thirty billion que three

7:25

and i would put us a summer neighborhood of five

7:27

dollars i think by the end of year is

7:29

that decline continues so things

7:32

have to stabilize some point but

7:34

a downward trend ah man i just

7:36

i wonder this a similar effect or non some

7:38

sort of raise bunch of money still have

7:40

a bunch of money regardless of the macro conditions

7:43

some these he's raised a bunch of money early this year

7:45

i wonder if that essentially sets up a

7:47

strong venture capital

7:49

cast backlog is he will investment backlog

7:52

even if we do see relatively lackluster

7:54

to three to four venture capital fund

7:57

raisers murder

7:58

and that's what makes this such an interest

7:59

dynamic especially because we've

8:02

been having the switch cash and some not

8:04

investing of same pace are looking a kind of do

8:07

more concentrated

8:08

this and it really does set up this weird

8:10

dynamic and i can definitely say

8:12

from talking with founders for various reasons

8:14

over the summer thunders definitely

8:16

have thoughts opinions and feelings about

8:19

being top know because of market conditions

8:21

by a fun that was just able to raise a ton of

8:23

money

8:24

the market conditions right do too

8:26

favorable market conditions he would presume

8:28

you don't raise and alzheimer's disease and of things

8:30

are paragraphs also you

8:32

know venture returns have been pretty good the

8:34

last couple years and another nuance between

8:37

paper returns and hard cash returns

8:39

but based on what you've told me it seems that

8:41

venture capital firms are done rather well

8:43

maybe we shouldn't be too surprised that even

8:45

with a deteriorating macro economic

8:48

picture this is are going to be able to set a

8:50

all time record in fundraising for themselves this year

8:53

despite declines as the calendar kind of rose

8:55

want to do especially when looking at

8:57

funds i get backing from institutional investors

8:59

like pension funds i mean those

9:02

types of investors are across so many different

9:04

asset classes and even essential was

9:06

to knock off like a significant percentage on

9:08

his return it would still outperformed

9:10

why a bit of the as

9:12

the classes that pension funds are investing

9:15

in which isn't to say that would necessarily

9:17

be a good thing but is that going to be up this going

9:19

to cause i'm specifically pull back from

9:21

industry it's like know what

9:23

asset class are you gonna now pile into

9:25

that's gonna perform better it's like dot asa

9:27

ca still doesn't exist brought know i'm in the

9:30

stock markets taking you know sea sponges

9:32

and if you look at my bond index fund the lab

9:34

and my snow the gun with roughly the

9:36

worst thing of all time so i don't know where you would

9:38

possibly put capital apart from bitter capital funds

9:40

to do you think that the slowdown in vc fund

9:43

raising never seen this year is driven

9:45

by people that were trying to raise

9:47

their fun before things got worse and so they kind of front

9:49

loaded the year or is it more like

9:51

people are just less interested today giving

9:53

these his money even as returns were pretty good

9:56

these pension funds these them in offices and so forth

9:58

i think else lot to do at the peace

9:59

the market last year to suffers moving

10:02

so fast on the vc side l pizza

10:04

increase their faces wow

10:06

so coming into this year worried that pressures

10:09

just not on anymore is talking to a

10:11

lawyer who focuses on gp fund raising

10:13

and ventured just last week and she was saying

10:15

that in her mind fundraising still

10:17

seems pretty healthy but it is absolutely

10:20

taking funds longer to get to that first

10:22

close but she was saying the good indicator

10:25

of how healthy fund raising his is

10:27

the terms in the fund raising interest

10:30

she was like the

10:31

have not shifted to like the out

10:33

his favorite like tp stuff i saw the

10:35

upper hand

10:36

it's hard funding terms or a now

10:38

in these gp officer

10:39

so she was like even have suffered slowing

10:41

down there is a place still enough appetite from

10:44

lp said she pees to gonna get that upper hand okay

10:46

so we dot a lot about sound or friendliness

10:48

when it comes to the founder of interpersonal relationship

10:51

and a founder from a term she would include with

10:53

no rational to include know dilution protection

10:55

for dusters and put essentially price keep a

10:57

lot of the power in the house saunders perhaps even given solder

10:59

more votes etc all that's kind of understood

11:02

talked about the show for years a dot is really

11:04

now when it comes to terms between an l

11:06

p and a v c i'm thinking about

11:08

things like how much can a charge in

11:11

our management fees and what cut a promise

11:13

to the gets you know the to and twenty model as

11:15

in a rule of thumb for weight and law now

11:17

adding some about this but what else fits

11:19

into that l pvc relationship

11:22

that makes something pc friendly

11:24

as opposed to lp from was i think

11:26

those two are probably the main drivers for sure

11:28

and looking at things like carry in front of

11:30

how overdraft of breaks down

11:32

i don't know enough about the capital

11:35

cost structure to note that would have any impact

11:37

fair but i'm sure how

11:39

, were pop more freedom or time

11:41

over capital cause i did see that

11:44

something that could come into play of the funniest

11:46

moment us more dicey but that's

11:49

clearly and regulation clearly and have any dot

11:51

on on that specifically just for folks

11:53

who are sitting with us and we're tracking

11:55

so far and in got to capital calls and are confused

11:58

what is a capital call

11:59

in the day one eight hundred number or something

12:02

different

12:02

capital quality where the

12:04

a gps what and to use

12:06

okay capital to invest in

12:08

a specific production or a dealer

12:11

anything

12:11

the like they have to com and lpt

12:13

the kind of cafe okay to protect capital

12:16

port of pacific investments

12:18

usually someplace that is pretty will keep

12:20

the sun appears

12:22

a back and for areas and some advice

12:24

causes or canvases or geography space

12:27

on sort of internal structures

12:29

if you got until i government pensions and

12:31

areas like canada and the uk

12:33

so capital costs are kind of a

12:34

a for lps that sort of sign off on

12:37

their capital of being used for the specific

12:39

investment through the gps on structure

12:41

and this is because when an lp commit to say

12:43

fifty million dollars to a one billion dollar fund they

12:45

don't run a check for fifty million and then

12:47

send it in they essentially provide a

12:50

pr deal texas my understanding especially

12:52

the capital is called from them for

12:54

a particular transaction and normally

12:57

that goes off without a hitch the vc has the right to kind

12:59

of call the capital but with different terms

13:01

maybe there is more overview oversight

13:03

and will you might call babysitting baxi

13:05

driving monday morning quarterbacking

13:07

we've a lot of phrases in english for what's going on here but

13:10

that is not going to be welcome on the vc said

13:12

because who the hell wants an advisory board

13:14

yeah know you'll notice the language a lot

13:16

of lp documents to very few

13:18

will say they invested in a certain manager they'll say

13:21

that manager yup and i've

13:23

noticed the distinction right there now one thing you

13:25

read about recently that i thought was very interesting was

13:27

about venture capital markdowns because some

13:30

of the the companies that did raise money last

13:32

year raised it at raised price that we now

13:34

think may have been excessive and there's been examples

13:36

of is from client on the private sides

13:38

to sides mean affirm on the public side

13:40

or you know zoom on the public side

13:42

are really are bunch of companies that were high flyers that

13:45

i've seen evaluations declined for one reason or the other

13:47

and vcs has to decide when to kind

13:49

of make that appearance on their

13:51

accountant of their investments so why

13:53

are some vichy is waiting and what impact does

13:55

that have on that have c lp relationship

13:58

the what i gathered for the main reason

13:59

why some feces may be waiting

14:02

to markdown the for four years

14:04

i'm optimistic side some may

14:06

actually think that media

14:08

attention is negative around x y z per

14:10

for your company or concern was

14:13

he sees mark to market the fun at

14:15

the end of each year they may think

14:17

what we don't know what's gonna happen if you

14:19

for especially fucking of the conversation

14:21

happened a few months ago like others have to your life

14:23

maybe that won't lock overvalued

14:26

or maybe if i marked down now that would

14:28

end up being to down from originally

14:31

he would look like

14:32

the year so dot sort

14:34

of approach is interesting and

14:37

maybe there is some validity for my some firms

14:39

for that for sure i know i

14:41

when i heard from an l p was sought

14:43

some early stage portfolios

14:46

they just really need to do it might maybe

14:48

you have one company and the portfolio that

14:50

may be on paper airflow

14:52

off now but is it worth it to

14:54

go to the whole idea when your company

14:57

you're perfectly are still so far away from

14:59

the public market it's like thought might

15:01

not and are being a super fruitful exercise

15:04

she did say

15:04

it's always good for [unk] gps to get used

15:06

during this kind of stuff and like have any kind of open

15:08

opie communication

15:09

yeah some friends may not be doing it because

15:12

they may be stored and during a quite a

15:14

internal

15:15

review and realizing that like say maybe just

15:17

don't have to yet at least but

15:20

on the pessimistic side table

15:22

some species are awaiting doing

15:24

it because

15:24

there are known for hiding something because

15:27

you really i mean everyone knows when

15:29

a market has had a great know

15:30

the they think probably would not actually do secret

15:32

to they're all teams but some

15:35

are trying to avoid market down their portfolio

15:37

especially if say the were

15:39

a manager trying responses

15:41

what do gusto uber shopify,

15:43

at angellist all have in common they

15:45

all to build banking into their product

15:47

to accelerate growth, reduce customer

15:50

acquisition cost and create game revenue

15:53

streams unit is the market

15:55

leader in banking as as combining

15:57

multiple men partners with a developer friendly

16:00

p i to empower companies of all sizes

16:02

to launch a town cards payments

16:04

on monday in just a few it the

16:07

unit a trusted by leading brands such

16:09

as angel as high beams and voice to go

16:11

and restart to hear more about

16:13

how unit and they both companies like yours

16:15

to build baking visit unit dog

16:17

cove such equity podcast

16:25

yeah yeah you probably want to

16:27

have those high multiples are t v p

16:29

d pq nine is a point

16:31

seven x versus four point two i mean you have

16:33

a lot better to matter how real or not the number

16:35

is right i mean if this portfolio represents

16:38

your only track record at the moment

16:40

you deathly are not gonna be the quickest percentages

16:42

let's make it look worse processor

16:45

thinking about fund raising her sort of having those conversations

16:48

especially as an emerging manager

16:50

the improvement the t v

16:52

c funds and that's what i spoke to was like i'm

16:54

sure and races done and i'm sure

16:56

sequoias donate like i'm sure the firms

16:58

that are so big it would be laughable not

17:01

you probably the have a

17:03

similar the middle till firms that maybe do

17:05

have unicorns in a portfolio

17:06

the or it necessarily the fundraising

17:09

multiple

17:09

in dollar vehicles each time they go out

17:12

there hasn't been see there is i don't

17:14

know if they think there is a recent really

17:16

justifying it's kind of like elephant

17:19

in the room sounds like so

17:21

this so this really interesting thing because we have

17:23

seen for example center companies getting

17:26

replaced in the public markets like paypal block

17:28

i mentioned your from earlier not to pick on them for any particular

17:30

reason but you've seen this happen across a lot of companies

17:32

so the market that you might marked to

17:35

is very clearly changed but

17:37

when it comes to some sectors like the

17:39

three most of the companies are not

17:41

yet public and so we don't have a basket

17:43

of floating from speaking to attract the value

17:46

of so if you're a crypto fund and you invest

17:48

in series a and b web three companies

17:51

with the metaverse focus on i dunno

17:53

digital land or whatever what the hell are you

17:55

comps how do you mark to market

17:57

in a nascent field like that i wonder

18:00

if we're seeing not more honesty

18:02

per se in certain areas but maybe the more

18:04

traditional and a later stage your portfolio

18:06

is the easier it is to be honest

18:09

vs earlier stage more esoteric

18:11

companies having fewer marks that

18:13

he had even tell if you're right down to

18:16

point out facilities newer industries

18:18

the only thing to counter with that point is

18:20

that because all these species generally

18:22

do this or at once a year if they start

18:25

investing comedies with three members

18:27

tech companies last year they would have already gone

18:29

through and on it on them for a mark to market so

18:32

i don't know how those accounting

18:34

firms breakdown

18:35

volume of companies by i

18:38

would imagine because so much of

18:40

that momentum started last year that

18:42

these accounting

18:42

in front of would actually be able to kind of work through that

18:45

here's a question that i have is the market is entirely

18:47

on the part of the time and the only data points you have

18:49

to generate evaluations to uses comps

18:52

come from other v c's do you essentially

18:54

ended up mark to marketing incorrectly

18:56

based on having essentially no good

18:59

comparable i dunno i love comps from the public

19:01

markets because they're so illustrative but where

19:03

the kind of overall market headed that

19:05

is just so while to me if i mean what do you look

19:07

at the board ape floor price

19:10

for the nf t markets actual

19:12

values i mean i don't even know but injuries and

19:14

is putting money into a bunch of these companies

19:16

at you know twenty to fifty million dollars

19:19

per day they're basically of based on something

19:21

i'm just curious what it is vs

19:23

you know in the old days success company you can just matricide

19:26

stuff the opposite of that know that

19:28

such a good point to now i am

19:30

going to be obsessed with that idea and i now

19:32

want to know how they do all this mark

19:34

to market for allergies really like you

19:37

mentioned still on the private side companies

19:39

and sectors are now as i want more wrinkles

19:41

of this the business cycle goes up and down as

19:43

you know everyone knows and into traditional

19:46

economy which is a weird way of saying the main

19:48

economy business cycles have a certain length

19:50

to them i dunno caught five ten fifteen years depending

19:52

on where we are in the world the crypto business

19:54

cycles are compressed dramatically and they have

19:57

crypto summers and winters much more frequently than

19:59

the business cycle turn so

20:02

what's to stop you from the same we're not going to mark anything

20:04

until decrypt a winter is over and things looked

20:06

better for us because we think we take a long

20:08

term perspective on this part

20:10

of the economy and so we're just not

20:13

going to deal with your from fluctuations in the diversion sides

20:15

because they think they're noise couple people

20:17

are believers for serve and quite frankly

20:20

even though i mean i sort of lead into

20:22

that mindset fully

20:25

that's a pretty good argument on their behalf

20:27

of same why would we marked down or for full in

20:29

the screws up and down x y and z so

20:31

definitely not an interesting part of the conversation

20:33

but i mean if you look at a fun the has say

20:36

authentic unicorn that's laid off twenty five

20:38

percent of it's staff and there

20:39

now can be so via the same

20:41

like

20:41

i mean no one really believes that no one no

20:43

one believes that so what are some point three billion dollars

20:46

for having one doing a when sorry frame

20:48

or it's are on the up beside a couple of thing so

20:51

there's the possibility that people

20:53

get more conservative and pull back from

20:55

exotics which is the fraction of a

20:57

capital pool speed a pension fund your family

20:59

office that they can devote to the venture capital

21:01

space you wrote about how there's recommendations

21:04

against funds doing this and i'm just curious

21:06

driving factors and possible risks

21:09

of reducing these exposure amongst these large

21:11

russian citizens

21:12

boy did good something really interesting about

21:14

the lp side that sometimes gets lost

21:17

in similar positions with the seasons

21:20

is the fact that oh this

21:22

year the vintage isn't as good because of market

21:24

conditions

21:25

hope you structure their entire portfolio

21:27

around each other class eventually

21:29

having like about integer to like

21:32

that as a whole structure of the piecing plan

21:34

and that's why they go through all of these

21:36

things because they get them

21:38

through multiple market cycles lot of these are piece of

21:40

in investing for say seventy five

21:42

past year old not all of them on the pension

21:45

funds have been investing friendly sixty

21:47

seventy five years they're not expecting

21:49

censure to continue to go up into

21:52

the rate every year what's interesting

21:54

though is looking at why they would

21:56

necessarily sub invest

21:57

the because of it i think it's instead

21:59

point i came up away the cause they had it

22:01

that what's happening right now does not

22:03

impact the money they

22:05

the putting a

22:06

how he only impacts the money

22:08

they've already put in mainly

22:10

so it's like if you sit out now because

22:13

of what's happening to the money that's

22:15

already in

22:16

you're kind of running in circles there is you're not

22:18

putting in more money to sexually have

22:20

a better

22:20

com as things tend to improve

22:23

or the whole all buy low sell high

22:25

you're literally just spacing out for the fact that

22:27

your current money isn't going to do as

22:30

well today is so work

22:32

i know

22:34

the money and potentially do better it's like when

22:36

i heard at explaining that way i thought

22:38

i was just about the way of putting our fact it's much

22:40

more of an impact on the money that thirty and i suppose

22:43

the money you met today and is

22:45

are sort of like i'm some rory

22:47

list factor here because i think of the world

22:49

of buying for hours if you're are

22:51

on the multiple buyers list they have any release

22:53

a new cars they must have a recent special

22:55

edition blob of of a lot as lead to turn

22:57

to three of them if you have always

22:59

thought the news for are you stay at times less

23:01

but if you skip one drop a lot

23:04

and i wonder if some lps are worried that if they

23:07

don't commit to the next sequoia fund

23:09

or whatever the lose their spot essentially

23:11

on the sequoia lp captain

23:14

roof enough

23:14

i [unk] validity to that because

23:16

not generally is what happens i know

23:18

we weren't talking about this particular but i think

23:20

it ties in i know from talking with fund

23:23

of funds about new fund of funds

23:25

that's something they say a lot where they're like

23:27

well current fund of funds do really well

23:29

because they've had these fifteen year the separate

23:32

only sake fun flagship says

23:34

of your to start as fund upon today short

23:36

course i'm not gonna lie and say you can't make a great

23:38

tool and good good a merchant manager strategies

23:40

but

23:41

be able to get into those large

23:43

fun so it's really hard

23:45

the outside and i think it does from

23:47

the ceiling i've gotten is like if you step on the

23:49

outside your stay on the outside because

23:52

someone else will secure spot never they got

23:54

a raise that next fun

23:56

why do they reach out to you have everyone else is already

23:58

willing to reconnect

23:59

the

23:59

quite frankly kind of makes sense to me when

24:02

raises hard and

24:03

i'm consuming if you know oh well

24:06

x y a pension fund say may come

24:08

in on this fun series but i know

24:10

a b c bunch of and will definitely come in like

24:13

they opted to time management on there as well

24:15

you know like the overall tenor

24:18

of second on startups and then

24:20

the seas and then l these is that

24:22

while embark conditions are seizing

24:25

the game is still going to be going

24:28

clear that i've been in there is no real tell

24:30

us rather slow down at any pointing out the money

24:32

cascade from bars pension funds

24:34

and similar all those out the founders

24:36

admittedly gabi slight differences and in hub money

24:39

is still third and where it lands exactly

24:41

but the cascade still happening things are still

24:43

flowing

24:43

absolutely no defined seems like

24:46

the top tier level of the money the like

24:48

the top of the finance their worrying billie

24:51

so i get why startups wearing

24:53

a get my pc funds are worrying but it seems

24:55

like the backing us coming from the top

24:57

is any

24:58

don't need to talk the trickle down economics

25:01

and is that works or not but in the structure

25:03

is that generally is the flow of money saw

25:06

as the people at the top are the least worried

25:08

about that conditions right now on are so line

25:10

a kind of put money in it kind of shows that

25:12

even if this is bad if religious and can't be

25:14

that bad for very long because money

25:17

setbacks then she'd run is still

25:19

a very much coming in so you know

25:21

and she's was a doorknob a new not be

25:24

a lot of his into that sort of data but

25:26

the yields on money are still relatively

25:28

modest compared to the expected returns

25:30

from a basket of venture capital

25:32

fund investments and so to me there's

25:34

too much more attractive

25:37

than anything that you can get other that safer

25:39

and i noticed was been inverse relationship between interest

25:41

rates and more speculative and essence like my god

25:43

going from one to two percent returns

25:45

on safe that's vs shooting for

25:47

a new twenty percent i rr one of her i mean just

25:50

seems to be still suicide by i guess i'm not

25:52

that shocked the there's still this much money

25:54

sloshing it's way towards v sees even

25:56

though last year was nuts and a lot of money

25:58

was misspent

25:59

well yeah and something that i almost

26:02

never really come across going through pension

26:04

documents that that came up on one of the cause i had

26:06

for the out the story was that one

26:08

of the concerns i spoke to said if a friend

26:10

or from they're working with

26:11

merely did much to say decrease

26:13

their enter allocation

26:15

maybe the germany facts

26:17

that about you prefer the now it's over weight

26:19

cause other as a causes have been marked down

26:22

from the other markets they can

26:24

just write a smaller check why

26:26

that's so easy i don't know why that had never occurred

26:28

to me because i'd never see pension funds

26:30

rate smaller chunks if they've invested

26:33

they've invested larger check prior in this a miniature

26:35

by he was saying like that was the advice

26:37

number one for any honestly

26:39

oh i think i need to sort of products to

26:41

little bit easier like okay tp financing

26:43

plan just like knock side know of with each year

26:46

stint keep going into the same funds

26:48

can access the same returns the like mexicans

26:51

air as opposed to the tire fund or

26:53

entire percentage of investing in the from saw

26:55

the our anything like that it's just like makes

26:57

a small the corner cuts yeah

26:59

i want to narrow down to a particular segment

27:01

of the bc most it will quickly or lps as

27:04

excited about backing first time fund

27:07

managers as they have been and by that i mean

27:09

not just as will first time but more

27:11

nascent more early for managers because

27:13

the talking lot about you know calpers and other

27:15

major missing pools major nothing

27:17

sons the country since plants that are us those

27:19

was and sips or like the titanic very slugs

27:22

and rounds but more nimble smaller

27:24

fund managers has been bubbling up

27:27

twice weekly or are they gonna kind of like

27:29

catch the same tail ones that were describing

27:31

or as a distinct enough to

27:33

not touch the center

27:35

yeah so that's really interesting area

27:37

of this because some time with lawyer

27:40

focused on center from fund raising last

27:42

week's you saying that she stuff i notice emerging

27:44

managers are struggling more so

27:47

than were established players

27:49

fire at the same time this is

27:51

hopefully for a story of weird because while but

27:53

her plus a few other people to see said like

27:56

this is actually the bus and for for some for neighbors

27:58

and emerging managers to go out

27:59

for this relationship because

28:02

after last year so many big phones

28:05

if you raise the multibillion dollar fun

28:07

find a close this year and you're sitting

28:09

on your hands yeah you're probably for

28:11

fund raising and a quicker amount of time and

28:13

i would ever imagine but you're not doing

28:15

it this year so it's like this

28:18

is actually the time lp don't have the pressure

28:20

from last year and fundraising is actively

28:22

slowing down so if you want to get their attention

28:24

you want to actually get in front of them into like a meaningful

28:27

conversation that could result in something

28:29

i sorts of for people who said the time

28:32

now to do the best time for percent and managers

28:34

even say maybe they don't get a commitment for some

28:37

students list you know could be good

28:39

for fun to they're saying like this

28:41

just agree to him for him for in in

28:43

there too many jurisdictions start making has connections

28:45

with this piece are usually just too busy

28:48

so as officer cents on managers and other

28:50

kind of relatively new disease we always

28:52

have that the next generation in the absence of very

28:54

well as how the whole idea of tuck once

28:56

i think as a public nuisance and then apply some money

28:58

and sorts of it's nothing further

29:00

to go it is why see do at a week windows

29:03

comes out it'll be wednesday morning and i mean is

29:05

that he will be gearing up to watch a

29:07

to julian companies and

29:09

here's my boss every year and last and

29:11

thousand years we've heard this is complain about why

29:13

see start up prices and yet this time

29:16

i haven't heard in the of that am curious

29:18

if things have calmed down enough on the early stages of

29:20

are going to have the first ever y c demo day

29:22

he would vc do not complain publicly and

29:24

privately about how more starts cost

29:26

i don't know any so interesting

29:28

to think about x you see there's such a

29:31

big lead up to this day especially and

29:33

like the

29:34

if you were very

29:36

though they're to find that have been quiet but other

29:38

thing front is that just because

29:40

all the other stuff happening with why see that

29:42

shit like as more occupying people's

29:44

time and sort of like that's more

29:47

of the talking points

29:48

the throne of companies can i don't know

29:50

i mean early his fundraising is

29:52

starting to decline but

29:54

really not that much so i feel like anyone

29:56

who'd kind of be going and looking to

29:58

invest that one of these them a day

30:00

probably still planning to go and invest

30:02

sylvia many people are hoping the

30:04

prices will be lower and will see sort of

30:06

our neighbors were backlash after of that's not

30:09

the case

30:10

the possible but yeah definitely noticeably

30:12

quieter this year let's summarize

30:15

rich people are still with the money is still flowing

30:17

and sort of slowdown is not as bad as an evil

30:19

thought at least yet but we will course

30:21

come back with que three numbers for venture capital

30:23

fund raisers and sort of result as soon as we had

30:25

them back to thank you very much i'm looking for to work

30:27

with you on wise you stuff the next couple of

30:30

days and former else out there will be on

30:32

twitter spaces here and there in the next couple days

30:34

so equity pot on twitter his your tweet allowed

30:36

to touch your friday morning folks that much

Unlock more with Podchaser Pro

  • Audience Insights
  • Contact Information
  • Demographics
  • Charts
  • Sponsor History
  • and More!
Pro Features