Episode Transcript
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here's Frank Scott and Chris. Welcome into
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a bonus edition of Fantasy Baseball today
1:25
on Thursday, March 28th. Frank
1:27
Stample joined by Chris Towers and a
1:29
very special guest, one that has racked
1:32
up 1382 managerial wins, three-time
1:36
manager of the year, two-time
1:38
pennant winner and 2016
1:41
World Series champion. Welcome to the show,
1:43
Joe Madden. What's going on Joe? Hi
1:45
Frank and Chris. All good man. I'm
1:47
in Pennsylvania not far from you guys.
1:50
Happy opening day. I'm excited
1:52
about this like you guys are. So I'm having a
1:54
good old time and I'll start watching
1:56
the games a bit later today too. Yep, we
1:58
were talking beforehand. No early
2:01
games because of the weather, but thank you so much
2:03
for taking the time. Happy opening day to you as
2:05
well. It kind of feels like it should be a national
2:07
holiday, right? No one has to work. No one has
2:09
to go to school. Just watch baseball all day, right? It
2:11
used to be like that when Cincinnati was the opening
2:13
day back in the day. It was all about the Reds
2:16
and it was pretty certain that the kids got
2:19
off from school. It was a big event. There
2:21
was a parade, all that kind of good stuff.
2:23
I mean, we've gotten away from some traditions. I
2:25
understand the impact of
2:27
having everybody play today and what
2:30
that's all about, etc. But there was something cool
2:32
about that when the Reds used to open
2:34
up the season. You knew baseball
2:36
season was officially open when the
2:38
Cincinnati Reds versus whomever played in
2:40
Cincinnati and everything shut down. I think we need
2:42
like three extra national holidays right at the beginning
2:45
of the year. We need the
2:47
day after the Super Bowl, the first
2:49
day of the NCAA tournament, an opening day of
2:51
baseball. Let's just get one in February, March and
2:53
April. Let's do it. Nothing wrong with
2:55
that. I mean, those are really deserving
2:58
kind of days. And
3:00
I think post Super Bowl probably ranks at
3:02
the most important one, it sounds like. At
3:04
least productive day of the year, for sure.
3:08
I got to get myself together again. I get it.
3:10
Totally get it. Joey, we've got some questions
3:12
for you regarding players that you've managed, different
3:14
teams that you've managed, some stats, analytics, things
3:16
like that. But let's start off here. So
3:19
stolen bases are very important in fantasy
3:21
baseball. Ron Washington wants the Angels to
3:23
run more this year. We know that
3:26
you have managed Mike Trout and he
3:28
is very fast, certainly fast enough to
3:30
steal, I would imagine, many bases. But
3:32
he has the six stolen bases over the past four
3:35
years. Do you think Mike Trout will run
3:37
more this year or do they maybe need
3:39
to preserve him so that he could stay on the field
3:41
more? I
3:44
would bet that he's not going to run much more if
3:47
I had to bet. Because when I was
3:49
with Michael, I mean, he's had a lot of injuries, man.
3:51
If you want, it's wonderful.
3:54
I think if it's obvious that it's
3:56
a no-brainer goal because there's no chance
3:58
to get you thrown. out or if you
4:00
have to really work at it, it would be a different thought. So
4:03
I would say this probably might
4:05
be an uptick, but not to the
4:07
level that it's going to be prodigiously
4:10
different. I think you're going to see a lot of the same.
4:13
How would you have handled the
4:15
change in the rules last year
4:17
and how would your teams have
4:19
played if you were managing with the
4:21
limitations on pick-offs and all the stuff
4:24
that we saw last year? Yeah,
4:26
I mean, that was really, okay, from an
4:28
offensive perspective, you would really work on that in
4:31
the off-season, I mean, in the spring training off-season
4:34
to really try to encourage guys to go more often.
4:37
Primarily between first and second, obviously second and
4:39
third has always been to me
4:42
like somebody that's really slow and definitely a left-hander you
4:44
want to take advantage of, but trying to
4:46
steal second base, the
4:48
fact that you have limited times to
4:50
throw over. Yeah, I mean, there
4:53
would be probably some hard and
4:55
fast rules you would discover by doing the season that
4:57
you would want to incorporate with your team to
4:59
make sure that they did run more
5:01
often. So yes, that would be part of
5:04
it. Now from the defensive side, I
5:06
was surprised there wasn't more pitch-outs. That's
5:08
the one thing I was surprised with. You
5:11
get to that second time throw over just through
5:14
advanced scouting and knowing who you're playing. I think
5:16
that you'd have had been able to take
5:18
some guesses regarding
5:21
pitch-outs, especially with guys with command, your
5:23
pitchers with command, that you weren't really
5:25
concerned with them giving
5:27
them a ball, right? Analytically, that's
5:30
frowned upon. I know that. But
5:32
again, I mean, that's a perfect world.
5:35
We're talking about an imperfect world. If
5:37
I could dissuade you from trying to
5:39
steal only because I've thrown
5:41
over twice, there's some kind
5:43
of advantage to be gained from that. So I
5:46
think offensively, go. And
5:50
we would definitely try to pinpoint exactly who's
5:52
going to be brave or who's going to try different
5:55
things or not. And once you've determined that,
5:57
because it's going to hold true, managers are going to
5:59
be the same. They're going
6:01
to adhere to the
6:03
same kind of routines,
6:06
and you're going to know that. And conversely, defensively,
6:08
I'd have been more aggressive, I think, with
6:11
a pitch-up. Yeah, so we're talking about
6:13
stolen bases here early on, and steals were up
6:15
last year, kind of pondering whether or not Mike
6:17
Trout could run more. There were
6:19
three players with 50-plus stolen bases last
6:21
year. Ronald Acuna led baseball with 73
6:23
steals. You
6:25
had the pleasure of managing some really fast
6:28
players yourself. Somebody like Carl Crawford,
6:30
right back in the day, how many
6:32
steals do you think someone like Carl Crawford would have
6:34
had in this environment? Again, it's about
6:36
beating up your body, too. I mean, that's not
6:38
even discussed. Back
6:41
when Ricky did it, and
6:43
Rock Reigns did it, and to
6:46
a different level, like even Vince Coleman, of course, there's
6:48
a lot of beating up of your body going on right
6:50
there. So that would be part
6:52
of the consideration. So my point is,
6:55
I don't know if Carl would have run more, only
6:58
because his body would stand so many.
7:01
And Carl always slid feet first. He wasn't a
7:03
head-first slider. So how
7:05
much of that could your body absorb?
7:07
How many strawberries? How many,
7:10
how hard is the ground in this particular field? You
7:12
know that going into it. So am I
7:15
going to try this or not? So I don't know.
7:17
I mean, I would say there'd be an uptick. I
7:19
don't think it'd be as significant as you would think.
7:21
Whatever his biggest number was, maybe add 10 or 15,
7:23
I think. You
7:26
have to consider the physical toll it takes on
7:28
a guy too, and his
7:30
willingness to keep beating his body up.
7:32
Yeah. I mean, that makes me think of like, I
7:35
was a Marlins fan growing up. I'm still a
7:37
Marlins fan. I always remember Juan Pierre would hold
7:39
his batting gloves while he slid
7:41
head-first. And that's one of those things that,
7:43
you know, for fantasy, we just, just run,
7:45
just go, go, go. But
7:48
there are those kind of things that we don't necessarily
7:50
take into account, like trying to stay
7:52
upright. And that's why I think the Mike Trout
7:54
question, you know, we've
7:57
been trying to figure out he's still one of the
7:59
fastest players in the league. by all the tracking stats,
8:01
but it's just how much of it
8:03
is just, it's harder for him
8:05
to stay on the field when he's running
8:07
like that. So, you know, that perspective is
8:09
interesting. Yeah. Yeah, to me, that's all it's
8:11
about. I mean, if
8:13
he was in his mid 20s and
8:15
never had all these little maladies, I'm
8:18
sure this rule he would have been
8:20
salivating over this rule, right? But under
8:22
the circumstances where he's at, you look at it
8:24
recent last couple of years, how
8:26
much he's not been on the field and
8:29
why would he want to contribute to the potential of
8:31
that happening again, which he is. I mean,
8:33
by just not only the fact that you're running
8:35
and sliding, but just starting and stopping what it
8:37
does to your legs to go
8:40
and I didn't get a good
8:42
jump and stop. I mean, there's a lot of
8:44
stuff going on out there that's never accounted for
8:47
that takes us tall.
8:49
So I would bet that he
8:51
might, but not by a lot. On a
8:53
kind of similar note, you know, you
8:56
managed to show Hey, O'Tani when he was both
8:58
pitching and and hitting and this season
9:00
coming back from elbow
9:03
reconstruction, not Tommy John. Do you
9:05
think there's a chance he can be even better
9:08
of a hitter this season when he's not
9:10
having to focus on pitching once a week? I
9:13
think the theoretically would think that, but the part that I
9:15
would concern me is the fact that, you know, all the
9:17
rest of the split is concentration. Thus, is he going to
9:19
think too much about it? Is he going to work too
9:21
hard on it? Does he not have this other
9:24
thing to go to when he isn't feeling really well? Again,
9:27
is he just going to focus too heavily
9:29
on it? Now? Okay. You
9:31
would think again, I mean, I think in a perfect role that
9:33
you would think that yeah, he's gonna, it's gonna
9:35
be better because this is all I got to worry about
9:37
today. But I actually even have
9:39
BJ as a possible topic
9:42
here today. When I
9:44
had BJ as my first year with the Rays,
9:46
he was coming up and
9:48
defense there
9:51
was, it was an infield there. So there's a
9:53
concern like errors, this and
9:55
that, where you're going to play him. So I
9:57
thought in order to get his bat rolling and
9:59
really, he played his offensive potential.
10:01
Give him several defensive positions to play
10:03
because he would then focus on that
10:06
and then he would just go hit. He didn't have time
10:08
to think about it sitting enough to
10:10
the point where it's going to get in the
10:12
way. So actually I thought the method
10:15
of, okay, I want you to have a
10:17
second base glove, a short stock glove, an
10:19
outfield glove, etc. So every day I
10:21
want you to take ground balls, whatever, all these different
10:23
places and then go ahead of course.
10:26
So now I'm not going to, he's not
10:28
going to spend all this in order amount of
10:30
time worrying about his offense where he's
10:32
got to think about all these defensive stuff. So
10:34
I don't know if I can just focus on one thing
10:36
if that's necessarily going to be better or not. Interesting.
10:39
Joe, you had the pleasure of managing both
10:41
Trout and Otani on the same team, two
10:43
of the best players of this generation, maybe
10:45
all time. I'm sorry, but I've got to
10:47
put you on the spot. If you could
10:50
build a team around just one of them,
10:52
Mike Trout or Shohei Otani, who would it
10:54
be? Well, it's a
10:56
tough one. I mean, obviously,
10:58
you know, Shohei is the,
11:02
everybody uses the term unicorn, whatever that
11:04
is. The
11:07
fact that he can win, I don't
11:09
say 20 games, I don't know that he's going to pitch
11:12
it off in enough innings to
11:14
win 20 games, but he should be
11:16
good between 12 to 15 is a good
11:18
year for him. And offensively, he's
11:20
not going to gain you any
11:23
points on defense necessarily, but offensively,
11:26
you've seen what he's already done. And
11:28
the part about him that you're
11:31
going to see if you talk about Trouty Shohei is
11:33
going to run this year, I think. So you're going
11:35
to see even more benefit from him offensively from the
11:38
space thing perspective. So yeah,
11:40
I would build it around Shohei. The other thing
11:43
about Shohei is just say he can't pitch anymore.
11:45
Just say, just say something happens
11:47
or this guy could be
11:49
an all-star and Hall of Fame performer on
11:51
defense. I would say right field. So
11:55
I think if you really wanted to pair
11:57
him up, you got Trouty's in every day.
11:59
center fielder, show he's an
12:02
everyday right fielder, that's where it becomes
12:04
interesting who would you pick. But the
12:06
fact that show could win 12 to 15 games
12:09
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is one that's grown in popularity
13:19
in recent years and it attempts
13:21
to do exactly that. Measure the
13:23
stuff of certain pitches using various
13:26
pitch characteristics whether it's velocity, release
13:28
points, spin rates. Did you
13:30
ever have something like that all encompassing
13:32
Stuff Plus or did
13:34
you ever use anything like that? Do you
13:36
find it to be predictive because well we're
13:38
trying to do you know fantasy baseball, we're
13:41
trying to predict performance. So what do you
13:43
think about stats like that? Stats
13:45
like that I think would if you
13:47
have a platoon especially offensively
13:49
I really like that kind of stuff. I
13:51
mean who's sensitive to elevated velocity as
13:53
an example as a hitter who really
13:56
handles the elevated velocity. Who
13:58
is a big chase guy versus the pitch
14:00
that relies on Chase. I mean, I think
14:02
it's very predictive in that regard. And furthermore,
14:04
to give somebody a day off, a regular
14:06
day off, you would look into those kind
14:09
of things to really try to maximize
14:11
the day off in regards to
14:13
this is the least good or
14:16
potentially good match up. So this is the day
14:18
I want to give Mikey
14:20
off, try it off or Shohei
14:22
off. The platoon guy,
14:26
definitely you would read into those kind of
14:29
things to match them up. Even at
14:31
the point, I might play a right on right or left on
14:33
left. I mean, the reverse
14:35
split stuff doesn't get spoken
14:37
about enough. If you remember, we played
14:39
Romero, the pitcher for the Blue
14:42
Jays several years ago. He was from
14:44
Cal State Fullerton, left hander. I
14:47
wanted all lefties on him. And
14:49
then they had Markham. Was
14:51
it Markham, the right handed pitcher? Yeah. Say
14:55
opposite. I wanted all righties on him.
14:57
So I would look at all this
14:59
stuff, the reverse splits as
15:01
an example, reverse splits, elevated
15:04
sensitivity to velocity, sensitivity to chase,
15:06
talking from an offensive perspective right
15:08
now. I think that's where you
15:10
really delve into it. On
15:13
the pitching side of it, it's more bullpen related, I
15:15
think, regards to match ups. Because
15:18
you're going to pitch your starter regardless.
15:20
Although if you have a chance to, I
15:24
might start Frank today instead of Chris based
15:26
on stuff, last game of the series,
15:29
I might choose one or the other based on their lineup
15:31
versus your abilities as an
15:33
example. So yeah, you look at all
15:36
that stuff all the time. Regular
15:39
player, everyday player, well
15:41
rested, you probably don't even consider any of
15:43
that. But it's the
15:47
platoon guy. If you're looking to give
15:49
somebody a rest, I'd be more delving
15:53
into that kind of stuff. And this goes
15:55
back. This goes back to shoot with
15:57
the Rays in the devil Rays.
16:00
That's where we started doing this stuff. Andrew and
16:03
I and Eric would get together and they would point
16:05
these things out to me because I did that prior
16:07
to that when I was at the Angels, but
16:10
I didn't have the sensitivity of
16:12
elevated velocity baked into my
16:14
number or the fact of somebody chased
16:16
her. And it was primarily reverse split kind of a
16:18
thing. It was a big thing for me. I
16:21
would look a little bit about history, but
16:23
I knew that there was not necessarily indicative.
16:26
So it was prodigious. It
16:29
was a guy that just absolutely
16:31
killed David Price. I mean, he killed
16:33
him. He was like 12 for 10 against him, right?
16:36
Something stupid like that. So it's a
16:38
small sample size. Why did you want to go that?
16:40
Well, I'll tell you why. Because when
16:42
that dude walks in the baddest block, David knows
16:44
that he beats him up. That
16:46
matters too. So there's human elements
16:48
to this match of stuff that
16:51
I would not run away from. But
16:53
when it came out to the mathematical side, it was
16:55
absolutely into it. So one thing
16:57
that all that makes me think of is like you
16:59
look at the team like the Rays now who they
17:03
don't necessarily have like the superstar player. They
17:05
don't have a show hair tie. They don't
17:07
have a mic trout. So they
17:09
sort of approach the regular season as
17:11
if every game's a playoff game. And
17:14
you know, they're I did. We did. Yeah.
17:18
And that's probably what you have to when you're when you're playing
17:20
in a small market and you don't have the resources to compete.
17:22
You've got it. But one thing that I
17:24
think about with the Rays is, you know, there's a lot of talk
17:26
every year about they go out and they
17:28
win 90, 96, 100 games in the regular season. And
17:31
then, you know, they've only won one postseason game in the last three
17:33
years. And it makes me think of, you know,
17:35
Billy Bean, the famous quote, our, you know,
17:37
our stuff doesn't work in the
17:40
playoffs. And I just I wonder, is that something
17:42
with the Rays where because they're treating every regular
17:44
season game like the playoffs, are they
17:46
at a disadvantage when it comes to the playoffs or is it
17:48
just randomness? I still think
17:50
it's randomness. I do. We
17:53
OK, we 2008, we go all the way to the World Series,
17:55
right? That
17:58
was a good team. We had a we had a really well balanced
18:00
team and we could hit for
18:02
power run. We had a great defensive team.
18:04
If anything, we probably, which was our strength,
18:06
was our normally is our strength.
18:08
The pitching was kind of woven
18:12
together. I mean, we lost Percy. So
18:14
all of a sudden, Balfour and JP
18:16
Howe become your guys. Middle inning closers
18:18
became popular with us back then offensively.
18:20
We did do some platooning, but we played
18:23
some defense brother. We had some
18:25
defenders on that team and that always showed
18:27
up on a daily basis. So where
18:30
we built for it, I just
18:32
think that team had the depth to perform that time
18:34
of the year. Part of it was that we had
18:37
to play the Red Sox a lot and beat them.
18:39
And we had to play the Yankees a lot and
18:41
beat them. So there's like this competitive thing that you
18:43
learn how to win in very
18:45
difficult venues on the road. But
18:48
then you go back to that. We couldn't get past
18:50
the Rangers. Adrian
18:53
Beltran, three
18:55
homers in one game beats us in at
18:58
the top. Okay, we, I think it
19:00
was three to two or four to whatever, but you
19:03
got this superstar dude, this player
19:05
that just beat you. So
19:08
I don't know if it comes down to
19:10
singular performance sometimes that maybe after
19:12
2008, we didn't necessarily have that
19:15
guy. We're in 2008. I
19:17
mean, look what BJ did, look what Longo did.
19:20
You talked about Carl earlier, Jason,
19:22
Jason, Barley, I'm
19:25
really good player, Carlos.
19:27
We had more of that individual talent, I
19:29
think. And then you get to the later
19:32
years, we pitched our butts
19:34
off, man. So the pitching got really good.
19:36
We caught the ball, but we
19:38
could not score enough. I mean, with the Cubs,
19:40
even with the Cubs, we didn't win some playoff games
19:43
there in
19:45
15 and in 17, just because we didn't score
19:48
enough. I mean, we ran out of offense at
19:50
some point. So I don't know. I mean, I
19:52
don't know if I'm answering your question or not.
19:54
Yeah. I just think that to say
19:59
you're built for it or not, or not. That
20:01
comes up to individuality, man. Do you have Michael
20:04
Jordan on your team? Do you
20:06
have Larry Bird on your team? Do you have Derek
20:08
Jeter on your team? Do you have that one dude
20:11
that just pulls you through in some
20:14
difficult moments? I still believe that
20:16
is why the Yankees dynasty occurred.
20:19
More recently, the Dodgers, they're relying on
20:22
a nice group of guys that
20:24
the leadership is spread out. It's not
20:26
just one or two people. I don't
20:29
know. I did to
20:31
be built for it or not. And
20:34
then again, where the Diamondbacks
20:36
built for it last year, you know?
20:40
Although I love the way they
20:43
played. It's just, I don't know.
20:45
There's no one size
20:47
fits all. On a year annual basis,
20:49
it just changes, I think. Joe,
20:52
let's wrap up with this. I know that you're
20:54
working with Sage here on opening day and I've
20:56
got a video. Mind if I play this for
20:58
you? Wow, go ahead. It's really well done. Joe
21:04
Madden, he came in this morning. He
21:07
got introduced to talking about
21:09
money with budgets, things about
21:11
forecasting, scheduling. Joe? Hey.
21:13
Didn't seem to know his way around
21:15
this environment. He was a little out
21:18
of his element. I'm a little worried
21:20
about Joe, but everything's a baseball analogy and
21:22
we're a construction company. Superintendents to managers. Superintendents
21:25
to your starting pitcher. Okay. Quite frankly, I'm
21:27
looking at that. I don't really understand that.
21:29
You can't always get what you want, but
21:31
you got to make it work somehow. Right.
21:33
But the numbers here show you that you
21:35
can get what you want and the data
21:38
allows you to get the job done right.
21:40
Joe, I'm always looking for the right tools
21:42
and insights so that I can make better
21:44
decisions in my business. I'm all into that.
21:46
I've been a data guy, still am, but
21:49
I'm also a heartbeat guy. I've been
21:51
fortunate to build a team and a lineup
21:53
of good people. You can't get here without
21:55
having a good team behind you. Although that
21:57
is absolutely perfect. Very
22:02
fun stuff. You're working with Sage Joe, a
22:05
company that prides itself on increasing efficiency by
22:07
offering insights and data, which helps you prepare
22:09
for your day-to-day task. Why was this a
22:11
partnership that you were interested in? Well,
22:14
they approached me, first of all, and
22:16
I, in philosophical, you very much aligned
22:18
the union, the marriage between
22:20
data and the heartbeat, and they understood that
22:22
about me, and I understand that about
22:24
them. I think in
22:27
today's game, today's world, in general,
22:30
in industry, all we hear
22:32
about is information, numbers, and math, that we
22:34
don't hear enough about what's
22:36
going on in somebody's chest, their tummy, and in
22:38
their brains. I think it's
22:40
important, it's vital, it's paramount to morph
22:43
together both. Yes, we were just talking
22:45
about that. I explained to you
22:47
why or how it would set
22:50
up match-ups based on sensitivities to different
22:52
issues that I could only know through
22:55
the matrix that I would be receiving,
22:57
and I'd need to know how that
22:59
matrix was manufactured. What
23:01
amount of weight
23:03
did you put into each element of
23:05
this? How much was elevated velocity considered?
23:07
How much was walks over strikeouts considered?
23:09
When I look at this number, I
23:11
always wanted to know how
23:14
did you derive this number, too. Just don't give me a number. What
23:17
was the equation? Who were the analysts that
23:19
put this together? Because go from one
23:21
team to another, you're going to get
23:23
different numbers based on bias
23:26
of each group, and that's just absolutely
23:28
true. You got that, and me as
23:30
the manager, I have to be able
23:32
to read the people that are
23:34
giving me information, too. I don't think that's spoken
23:36
about enough. Then you got me. I've
23:39
been doing this since, I don't
23:41
know, 81, so I've had that
23:43
many years of experience, and
23:45
I will rely on feel and wisdom
23:47
and experience to make judgments
23:50
or decisions, which I
23:52
think is, for lack of a better
23:54
word, wise or sage. I think
23:56
when you just get
23:58
too heavy-handed, One way
24:00
that all analytical or all heartbeat,
24:04
you're missing the point. It's always about balance.
24:06
And that, when I spoke to the
24:08
people from Sage, we
24:10
were absolutely philosophically aligned on that
24:12
point. And to me, that's
24:14
the way to go about either running a
24:16
business or a ball club. Absolutely
24:19
love that. World Series champion, manager
24:21
Joe Madden, we appreciate you so much
24:23
for being here. Happy opening day, man.
24:26
Gentlemen, nice to meet you guys. I wish you nothing
24:28
but the best in the future. That
24:30
was a lot of fun for me. I appreciate it. Thanks, you
24:32
too. We're gonna wrap up for Chris and Joe. I
24:34
am Frank Thanksgiving for tuning in to Fantasy Beast,
24:36
Waltz and A and Queen. And
24:38
I'm your next leader on tonight. Bye-bye. Bye.
24:41
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