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Using the code

2:07

twenty two

2:09

feasts. Joe, we dive into

2:11

Thursday night

2:12

because it's interesting on

2:14

several levels. Titans

2:17

packers. Is everybody

2:19

now all aboard the Christian Watson

2:21

bandwagon this week, Joe? Yeah.

2:24

And and obviously, I would I would caution

2:26

to be all in because, you know,

2:29

three he called four passes and three even went

2:31

for touchdowns. expect that to happen every

2:33

week is is obviously full if you can't

2:35

do that. But, you know, I don't think anybody's

2:37

gonna rethink that. he

2:39

is certainly though a viable

2:41

wide receiver three. Volatile though he

2:43

may be. And Aaron

2:45

Rogers earning some trust. earning

2:48

some trust from Aaron Rogers rather. And

2:50

here is the thing that I keep going back to.

2:52

This is a season that has really

2:54

been derailed for person Watson by

2:56

injuries. You know, he's had the concussion. He

3:00

had the hamstring dating

3:02

back into the summer. But

3:05

it does stand out to me

3:08

that on the first drive of

3:10

the packer season, they

3:13

dialed up a go ball where Christian

3:15

Watson ran right by Patrick Peterson

3:17

and just flat out dropped it. Okay? They

3:20

took him in the top thirty five

3:22

of NFL draft. So they clearly

3:24

like this kid. And now, Romeo

3:27

is out for some time with the ankle

3:29

injury. So the opportunity

3:32

is arising here. For Christian

3:34

Watson, he is a wider Sever three.

3:36

So is Alan Lazard? Lazard, obviously,

3:38

I think is gonna have the higher floor. Watson,

3:41

as you clearly saw, has the higher

3:43

ceiling of these of these two receivers. By

3:46

the way, the packers released to Maury Rogers,

3:49

the punt returner who had who had

3:51

a really bad fumbling problem. I think that

3:53

means Randall Cobb could be back soon. Sammy

3:55

Watkins looks like he's hauling a refrigerator

3:58

on his back. So I would expect Randall Cobb

3:59

will get back in this lineup. I believe

4:02

next week, he's eligible. And

4:04

and then Aaron Jones has over

4:06

this back field coming off one of his best games

4:08

of the season. He got seventy percent

4:10

of the snaps and a season high twenty four carries.

4:13

Against Tennessee, by the way, who didn't have

4:15

their best defensive player, Jeffrey Simmons,

4:17

last week. I don't know if Simmons

4:19

is going to be able to play this week, but a

4:22

a Christian watch is obviously

4:24

the story of of the

4:26

week for the Green Bay hackers and rightfully

4:28

so. What about the Titans on the

4:30

other side? Well, Ryan handheld getting back

4:32

gives this team some semblance of a passing

4:34

game. And look, I am not going to tell

4:36

you to pick up Nick West Burkina. I can't

4:38

tell you. do that. Hopefully, maybe

4:40

you have a couple of baseball shares from the eighteenth

4:43

round back in back in May because

4:45

then they just paid off with that. The

4:47

one thing I will say about the titans and you know about

4:49

Derek Henry. One thing to point out here,

4:52

Ross, not that you're sitting Derek Henry in a

4:54

season long perspective, but the Titan's

4:56

center. Ben Jones is in concussion protocol. He's

4:58

probably not gonna play this week. It's yet

5:00

another example of the

5:02

difficulty getting turned up against Mike

5:04

Vrabe, and the Titans just keep winning football

5:06

games. But it's gonna be tough

5:08

sledding for Derek Henry this week. Trailong

5:10

Birx returned to the line up this past week.

5:12

He ran a route on

5:14

seventy four percent of the team's

5:16

pass plays in week ten, dis spite

5:18

a long layover. If there is anybody

5:21

outside of Derek Henry who has my interest

5:23

on this team, it's Tralon Birx.

5:25

I'm not saying you start them on Thursday

5:27

night. maybe a speculative

5:29

ad is worth worth your while.

5:31

Green Bay, by the way, three point favorite, forty one

5:33

being the total. So they're expecting

5:35

a pretty ugly Thursday night game as

5:37

the titans tend to play. Howard Bauchner:

5:40

We

5:40

talked about this last week a little

5:42

bit, Joe, but Justin Fields. Good

5:44

gracious. this. Mhmm. I mean, he's this

5:46

year's Jalen Hertz. Right? As they just

5:48

saw in the Falcon Sunday? Then I

5:50

don't think he's even where Jalen.

5:52

I mean, Jalen Hertz

5:54

Well, let's say, Jalen Hertz is in his second

5:56

full season as a as a quarterback. And

5:58

I think he's very much progressed as a

6:00

pastor. I think that's obvious. Justin Fields is

6:02

gonna have the opportunity to do that

6:05

next week next year rather.

6:07

And look, compared to where Justin Fields

6:10

was five weeks ago, this is just staggering.

6:12

And when I look at him statistically,

6:16

Justin Fields reminds me

6:20

of early Atlanta

6:22

Michael Vick. He was not in any way refined

6:24

as a pastor, though he had the arm

6:26

talent. He was just an explosive

6:29

game changing runner who can make a

6:31

couple of throws that make you say,

6:33

wow. And then that's that can be enough to

6:35

win a football game. Of course, they didn't win came

6:38

last week because they don't really have AAAA

6:41

very good team right now. But

6:43

Justin Fields has finished as

6:45

a top ten Fantasy quarterback

6:47

in six straight games. He

6:50

opened the season, having

6:53

not finished as a top twenty Fantasy

6:55

quarterback in the first four games. He's been

6:57

a top five Fantasy quarterback in

6:59

the last four games. he's been the overall

7:01

quarterback in one of the last two games. I

7:03

mean, this is big time stuff for Justin

7:05

Fields. And and look, the

7:07

the passing game, they don't have a

7:09

ton of weapons. it's not like I'm looking

7:11

out here and saying, oh my god. Justin feels,

7:14

do I think this is sustainable? Well,

7:16

probably not. I mean, I think he has two

7:18

of the five highest total

7:20

rushing yard regular season games by a

7:22

quarterback of all time. I don't think that

7:24

is sustainable. But for a fantasy,

7:27

can can are they gonna build off

7:29

of this for this year? Yeah. Absolutely.

7:31

That's what they're going to do. So

7:33

yeah. Justin Fields. quarter

7:35

back one, maybe the quarterback

7:37

one, does he have

7:39

an opportunity to have a have

7:41

a back game at some point? Yeah. I'm

7:43

not sure it's this week against Atlanta

7:45

though. Two things to point out. Number one,

7:47

Khalil Herbert, the running backs on IR.

7:50

The bears have the NFL's best run game,

7:52

of course, in large part, because of Justin Fields.

7:54

So David Montgomery, could he be on the

7:56

league winning kind of radar? when you see

7:58

a guy go on IR, even though it's only

8:00

four weeks, in week eleven, Ross,

8:02

there's an opportunity that that's a season

8:04

ending injury. So keep an eye on

8:06

that with Kahlil Herber. And if you're desperate

8:08

and you're looking for somebody to pick up off

8:10

of off of the waiver wire to fill out

8:12

your bench, Rifty Tristan

8:14

Edner would be the guy for the bears because I

8:16

do think they'll still work a second running

8:18

back in here, though I do anticipate

8:20

Montgomery will be the heavy RB1

8:23

in this back field. What

8:25

about a land on the other side? Mario is

8:27

gonna try some new cool trick shots, trick

8:29

throws? He is horrible. I

8:31

mean, Oh, man.

8:33

How about this stat? And look,

8:35

we've already we've already written

8:37

the epitaph for Kyle Pitts

8:39

this year. Okay? It's not happening. And

8:41

if it does happen, I mean, great. I mean, I

8:43

don't know how you could have anticipated it

8:45

happening. Among the

8:47

twenty six tight ends with thirty or more

8:49

targets, Kyle Pitts' catch rate is

8:51

forty six point three percent that's by far the

8:53

lowest. The average catch rate for a

8:55

tight end this year This is Fantasy

8:57

Point's data and my my diagram barfield,

8:59

sixty nine point eight

9:02

percent So tight ends are

9:04

expected to catch about seventy percent of their targets

9:06

this year. how Pitts is at forty six.

9:08

And why? Because

9:10

just sixty one percent of

9:12

his targets per Fantasy

9:14

Point's data have been deemed

9:16

catchable. It's not only last

9:18

among tight ends who often see

9:20

some of the most catchable targets in

9:22

the league, it's last

9:24

among all players.

9:27

All of them.

9:29

It's like, Ross, there's

9:31

a there's a video game. I'm

9:33

dating I'm maybe dating my here. It's called

9:35

Metal Gear Solid two. Okay?

9:38

Sons of Liberty was on PlayStation two,

9:40

just a a prescient brody game.

9:42

Anyway, there is a character in that game

9:44

named fortune who cannot get

9:46

hit by a bullet. Okay? Like bullets

9:48

just like when when they shoot her at

9:50

fortune, they just go around her. She can't

9:52

get hit. That's Kyle Pitts right

9:54

now, a football that cannot

9:56

find him in a catchable manner at

9:58

any point. So Kyle you are fortune for

10:00

metal gear solid two. Marcus Marietta

10:02

is incapable of hitting you with a

10:04

football. Carolinas in

10:06

Baltimore Joe, we've got a quarterback

10:09

switch in Carolina.

10:11

Yeah. The Panthers are twelve and a half point

10:13

underdogs here against Baltimore. Forty two,

10:15

the total. Baker

10:17

Mayfield is going to start. Welcome back

10:19

to the Bake Show. And,

10:22

look, he came in in relief of Walker

10:24

a couple weeks ago and probably played

10:26

messy has all year. I just don't think

10:28

this is a very good matchup for Baker Mayfield.

10:33

Baltimore getting back they got

10:35

back tied fouser before the

10:37

buy and gave it a Java, the rookie who

10:39

would have been a first round pick if he didn't tear his Achilles

10:41

at his Pro Day. It looks like he's going

10:43

to be up to be back in the fold

10:45

here in week number Baker's

10:47

NFL debut, rather, in week eleven,

10:49

not a great match up for Baker Mayfield.

10:52

DJ Moore. He's a wide receiver

10:54

three. You just pray that

10:56

Baker Mayfield's able to find him.

10:58

Diante Forman back in the saddle,

11:00

though, last week, putting up big

11:02

numbers in in that game

11:04

against Atlanta after

11:06

the horrible game the previous week in in

11:08

which the Panthers couldn't get anything going offensively.

11:10

Here is the problem for foreman though. He's

11:12

got a score touchdown. He's

11:14

going to be gamescript dependent. He's

11:17

run around on just twenty seven

11:19

percent of the

11:21

Panthers passing place, which is a

11:23

horrifically low number. The

11:25

Panthers are twelve point underdogs against the

11:27

Baltimore Ravens. That's a that's a

11:29

situation where I'm downgrading the Dante

11:31

format. What about

11:33

the Raven? So, I mean,

11:35

Ross, we record this on a on

11:37

a Wednesday morning. The Raven's

11:39

here from a fantasy perspective

11:42

entirely injury report dependent.

11:44

What is the status of

11:46

of Mark Andrews. What is the

11:49

status of Gus Edwards? We know

11:51

Rochelle batons out for the year. Does

11:53

Sean Jackson In True, does Sean

11:55

Jackson fashion? Come lums

11:57

out, plays and picks up a hamstring

11:59

injury. What is the status of DeShaun

12:01

Jackson in this game? So there is a lot

12:03

that is dependent on the injury

12:05

report for the Baltimore Ravens.

12:07

Obviously, if Andrew Andrew's goes you play them.

12:09

I I mean, there there there's no two ways about

12:11

that. But in their last game, The

12:14

Baltimore Ravens played. They played the in week

12:16

nine prior to their buy. They played that

12:18

game on Monday night against the Saints. Lamar

12:20

Jackson goes twelve of twenty two and he has

12:22

no receipt levers. Isaiah likely catches

12:24

only one pass. Kenyan Drake

12:26

carries the ball twenty four times for in two

12:28

touchdowns. If Gus

12:30

Edwards plays, I have to think he's

12:32

the top guy, but I can't be

12:34

sure of that. So he's probably someone

12:36

who's going to be in your line in line up

12:38

decisions because you just don't know what Kenyan Drake

12:40

is going to do. By the way,

12:42

Lamar Jackson hasn't finished as a top ten

12:44

Fantasy quarterback since week three.

12:47

Wow. That's surprising. Wow. Exactly.

12:50

That just the complete lack

12:52

of of passing game production here the Ravens has

12:54

hurt them. Mark Andrews being back would help in

12:56

a big way, but they still have anyone receivers.

12:58

Joe,

12:59

what if we'd what do we do if we have

13:01

browns or bills? on our

13:03

Fantasy teams. Well, Ross,

13:06

you do every other kind of podcast. I'm a

13:08

little surprised you don't do a weather one right

13:10

now. the the raw you gotta come

13:12

up with it. You gotta come up with a clever title

13:14

and get a get a weather ban on because

13:17

we could have a weather game. There could be

13:20

now, obviously, Ross, you know how these things

13:22

change? It it could

13:24

go north, it could go south, it could come

13:27

in earlier, coming later than they anticipate.

13:29

But right now, it's looking like we could see

13:31

like two feet of snow on the

13:33

ground in this game, which would obviously make

13:35

the run game. extremely important.

13:37

Now, Buffalo

13:40

per our Fantasy Point's data rush

13:42

grade has the fifth best rushing

13:44

environment of the week against this

13:46

Cleveland defense, a defense that just

13:48

got absolutely shredded by

13:50

Jeff Wilson and Ricky Moster. So

13:52

I think it's a good week for Devin Singletary.

13:55

On the flip side, Cleveland

13:58

has the fourth worst rung rush grade

14:00

of the week and how we do that. is

14:02

we measure an offensive line's

14:04

performance in opening up holes

14:06

before contact vis à vis a

14:08

defenses performance in closing

14:10

holes before contact, and then we create a

14:12

rush grade for it. Now by the

14:14

numbers though, the bills

14:16

have gotten kinda shredded by some

14:18

good backs in recent weeks, Aaron

14:20

Jones, Michael Carter, Galvin Cook.

14:22

So I do think this is an

14:24

exploitable match up despite

14:26

what our our rush great thanks, and it's

14:28

a huge week for Nick Chubb. Kareem Hunt

14:30

has, like, completely disappeared from this

14:32

offense. He's got, like, six edges over the

14:34

past four games. He's gone under twenty

14:36

rushing yards in in in four of the last

14:38

five games. It's a Knick Chubb

14:40

game and a Knick Chubb environment. the

14:42

weather is obviously going to dictate

14:44

a lot of the rest of what goes

14:46

on in this game. Because if it

14:48

will be snowing, That's a massive

14:50

downgrade for Mark Cooper. It's a

14:52

massive downgrade for

14:54

for Donovan People Jones. It's a massive downgrade

14:57

for Gabe Davis. and and

14:59

and and Stephane Diggs and Josh

15:01

Allen, who obviously did not play well

15:03

last week despite playing. So,

15:05

unfortunately, Ross, we're looking at a a

15:07

game here. Let me find the total, which has

15:09

been bet way, way,

15:11

way, way down to

15:13

forty three. Buffalo's an eight and a half point

15:15

favorite. I mean, this opened in the high forties. It's

15:17

been bent way down. The weather is

15:19

expected to be a massive

15:21

factor in this game. Sounds

15:23

like

15:23

your good day to drink some of the bad blue

15:25

light. a a up

15:27

there in in Buffalo. It's gonna

15:29

be cold. Why not drink?

15:31

A cold Lebate blue light.

15:33

We

15:33

need it. We

15:34

need this. If you're a Bill's fan,

15:37

really Browns fans might need it. It

15:39

might be a good day to not even tailgate

15:41

just to stay home and

15:43

stock up in your fridge. Be the MVP

15:45

at your house or if you wanna

15:47

tailgate, MVP of your tailgate. Share

15:49

a Lebat on Game Day with

15:51

your crew always enjoy responsibly

15:53

beer. Labatt USA Buffalo,

15:56

New York. Ross,

15:57

if it snows, I don't even know what

15:59

the average

16:01

BAC in that stadium is going

16:03

to be.

16:03

It's gonna be pretty

16:06

high. What about

16:10

what about Washington

16:11

and Houston. Yeah.

16:13

Washington coming off a game against

16:15

Philadelphia, that was really

16:17

strange. Like, Look,

16:20

they controlled the clock. They controlled the game. The

16:22

Eagles couldn't get on schedule. But, Ross, if

16:24

I if I were to tell you, Let's

16:28

say let's say you're playing

16:30

offense. Okay? And I were to tell

16:32

you because you're in alignment, your

16:34

team ran the ball forty times in the game

16:36

and gained three yards to carry. What would you

16:38

say?

16:38

I

16:40

would

16:40

say it's good news that we ran forty

16:42

times. That means we probably had the ball a

16:44

lot and we're join the action. Yeah.

16:46

Which is exactly because, like, you look at

16:48

the yard for play. I mean,

16:51

four point one for Washington that What

16:53

happened was they got into third bounds, third

16:55

in shorts, and they just converted

16:57

all of

16:57

them. And I'm not sure

16:59

how sustainable that is. That being

17:02

said, I look at our rush grade

17:04

at Fantasy Points. Washington's

17:06

got the third best rush grade of the

17:08

week because Houston's run defense

17:10

has been atrocious.

17:14

atrocious. I have a

17:16

prediction. For the first time in

17:18

his career, Brian Robinson

17:20

will average four yards per carry in a game.

17:22

His his career high so far in a

17:24

game is three point 65I

17:26

think he gets there against Houston. I don't

17:28

see why Washington would change what

17:31

Washington did last

17:33

week against a much better Philadelphia

17:35

team when you know that Houston

17:37

can't stop the run. The Eagles

17:39

held Washington to three yards to carry. I

17:41

don't think Houston's gonna do that. So I

17:44

think this is gonna be a big Brian Robinson in

17:46

an Antonio Gibson game. I don't think I'm

17:48

breaking any news there, but that's what

17:50

I think. I will have you know

17:52

this. Houston is

17:54

actually using Derek STINGLEY, their

17:56

rookie corner as

17:58

a shadow corner.

18:00

He's aligned across from four different

18:02

receivers at a seventy five percent

18:04

or higher route clip this

18:07

year. I would anticipate he's going to

18:09

shadow Terry McLaren in this

18:11

game. The bad news for Derek STINGLE is Terry

18:13

McLaren finally got the dariest sleigh

18:15

bugaboo off his back.

18:17

I don't think Derek STINGLE is a talented player.

18:19

What's what's what's he's never given up

18:21

a touchdown in his life, I think, is the

18:24

is is the stat on Derek STING, or that was

18:26

source Gartner. whatever the case, Derek

18:28

STINGLEY. I think he's gonna

18:30

have a rough go of it in this one

18:32

against against Harry

18:34

McLaren. Though it's good news for Houston's

18:36

future, they already trust him as a shadow

18:39

corner. What about Houston on

18:41

offense? Nico Collins is

18:43

available in, like, ninety percent of Yahoo! leads

18:45

or was before waivers ran

18:47

and is there a number one receiver?

18:49

And, like, Davis Mills is inconsistent, but he's

18:51

not hopeless. So

18:54

I think Nico College should be roster in

18:56

way more leagues than he is right now. Brandon

18:58

Cook's, I think, is has kind of fallen

19:00

by the wayside. I think Brandon Cook's is

19:02

is taking the alright. Let's get

19:04

through this season angle and see if I end up

19:06

on another team next off season. I think that's

19:08

where Brandon Cooks is. Nico College should

19:11

be picked up and way more leaves. And then outside of that,

19:13

then Damien Pierce man, I mean Damien

19:15

Pierce continues to get it done. Yeah. I know they

19:17

did sign Enno Benjamin that doesn't really move

19:19

the needle for me. Damien

19:22

Pierce. It's Damien Pierce, and Nico Collins

19:24

right now for the Houston, Texas. Brandon

19:26

Cook's is like a low and wide receiver for

19:28

me.

19:30

Curious to get

19:30

your thoughts on the Eagles against the

19:33

coles. There's a lot to get into

19:35

here. No Dallas County for

19:37

the Eagles. The

19:39

coat started Matt Ryan because

19:41

Jeff Saturday evidently didn't want me to

19:43

win my bet last week on the even

19:45

money podcast laying the points with the

19:48

because he told me it would be Ellinger. What do you got?

19:51

The Eagles are

19:52

just they're they're coming off a weird game

19:54

as I just mentioned. Okay. And

19:56

the number one thing and I think it's

19:58

a valid complaint

20:00

for for their fans will be, oh

20:02

my god, we're gonna get run over by

20:04

Jonathan Taylor. And Jonathan Taylor might be the best

20:06

back in football. So, yeah, I think that's

20:09

valid. But it was kind of a weird game

20:11

for the Eagles in that it's

20:13

a team that for nine for the

20:15

first nine weeks of the season

20:17

got pretty much every bounce. Now

20:19

I think they're good, so they created a lot of

20:21

their own luck. And then in week ten, all

20:24

those bounces went against

20:26

the Eagles in the most spectacular

20:29

way possible. miss penalty calls,

20:32

obviously, on on the Goddard fumble. Quizwalk

20:35

ins falling down for no reason, getting

20:37

up and then fumbling the football after

20:39

a long completion. An interception

20:41

going through AJ Brown's hands. Like,

20:43

these things, it it happens. It's the

20:46

NFL. There's seventeen games. There's a

20:48

lot of parody in the league. I would tell

20:50

Eagles fans don't panic. That

20:52

being said, I

20:54

would think teams are going to see the blueprint

20:56

here and say, alright, we're gonna run

20:58

the football until they can prove. They can get

21:00

us off the field in third and short situations.

21:03

Matt Ryan, if you get the guy under pressure,

21:05

he is going to make mistakes. They're

21:07

gonna try to get the ball out of his hands quickly

21:09

just like Washington did with

21:12

Taylor Heineke. So they're gonna try to get

21:14

the ball out of his hands quickly, but I think that's gonna

21:16

be a lot of targets for Paris Campbell. By the

21:18

way, the Eagle slot corner of Anta

21:20

Maddox is on IR. because I got a

21:22

good backup. But Abante Maddox is on

21:24

IR, quick targets, a lot

21:26

of Jonathan Taylor. The formula is

21:28

simple. The question is, can the

21:30

cold sex execute it as effectively as the commanders did last week,

21:32

and and I'm not I'm not sure they can,

21:34

but it's gonna be fun

21:36

to watch.

21:37

What

21:38

about the Eagles offensively without

21:41

Goder? Yeah. I'm

21:44

interested

21:44

see what they do. I'm not picking up one of

21:46

these tight ends yet, although the guy Jack

21:48

Stoll has been kind of the top back

21:50

up for them. I do wonder if the rookie

21:52

Grant Calcatera will get more work

21:54

He's a big time athlete with

21:58

Goder out in this game. And by the

22:00

way, I think as of recording, the Eagles

22:02

have not put Goder on IR,

22:04

but III figure it could be coming

22:06

soon, so just keep an eye on that. It's a

22:08

big loss. There's no two ways about that for the

22:10

Eagles. Got her. Is is one of the two

22:12

or three best tight ends in the league

22:14

TransCelsion, Mark Andrews. So it's a huge

22:16

loss for them. The and

22:18

the other thing is without Goder,

22:20

I think that probably emboldens Indianapolis

22:23

to potentially shadow AJ

22:25

Brown with with Stephan Gilmore.

22:28

Now, here's the thing about that that thing.

22:30

I thought Gilmore would shadow Davonte

22:33

Adams last week, and he did not.

22:36

Gilmore has faced two wide receivers on over

22:38

seventy percent of the routes this year. That

22:40

was Portland Sutton in week five and Terry

22:42

McClard in week eight. And the two had identical

22:44

stat lines with Gilmore and

22:46

primary coverage, four for sixty nine,

22:48

four for Sutton and four for sixty

22:51

five, for AJ

22:53

for Terry McCorn. Davonte Adams

22:55

rather got shadowed on

22:57

just twenty nine percent of his routes by step

22:59

on Gilmore. That was not a shadow situation at

23:02

all in large part because the Raiders like to

23:04

put them in slot. I don't know what the Eagles are going

23:06

to do, but I still do project that

23:08

AJ Brown is more likely than not to catch a shadow here.

23:12

And Gilmore, last

23:14

week, allowed just one catch for sixty yard

23:16

twenty did match up on

23:18

Davonte Adams who roasted the rate the the cults the

23:20

rest of the game.

23:23

Before we

23:24

get Joe to the Jets

23:26

and The Patriots, which I'm looking

23:28

forward to. I wanna make sure

23:30

everyone's doing whatever they can to

23:33

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23:35

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24:39

Joe, Patriots jets. I'm not feeling

24:41

a lot a lot a lot of excitement about

24:44

this from a fantasy match up. Oh, really,

24:46

Ross. What what can

24:48

what gives you that that notion.

24:50

The Patriots have this is gonna

24:52

be fascinating because first and foremost, that

24:54

jet defense is legit.

24:57

the

24:57

Patriots, they're

25:00

rushed grade that we calculate the fantasy points

25:02

that I've already mentioned on this

25:04

podcast. is the

25:06

worst since is the worst

25:08

since I've been tracking it. So

25:11

it'll be really interesting to see

25:13

their approach. Remondry, Stephenson, and

25:15

Damien Harris combined for a hundred and four

25:17

yards on twenty seven carries when

25:19

these two teams met in

25:21

week eight, but thirty

25:23

five of Ramondray's seventy one

25:25

rushing yards came on a single carry. So

25:27

he had thirty six on his other

25:29

fifteen rushes combined. So he'll probably

25:32

need some juice in the passing game

25:34

to reach value in this game against this

25:36

nasty jet defense. And based on the

25:38

way that Mac Jones has played, I

25:40

mean, I don't trust that. The passing game

25:42

is going to be a big factor here. As

25:44

a matter of fact, Jacoby Myers is

25:47

quietly the wide receiver seventeen

25:49

at fourteen point eight Fantasy points per

25:51

game this year. He's been the

25:53

only consistent Patriot receiver for two

25:55

years running, but one thing

25:57

that not so quiet again is how well the jet's defense

25:59

is playing. And that includes slot

26:01

corner Michael Carter. Yes. They have a slot

26:03

corner named Michael Carter and also a running

26:06

back name Carter. And among

26:08

primary slot cornerbacks over the last five

26:10

weeks, Carter's point one three Fantasy

26:13

Points per coverage sample out is

26:15

the sixth. lowest in the league. So the jets

26:17

match up well on all the

26:19

Patriots' strengths. So that is

26:21

something that is really

26:23

concerning to me from a fantasy perspective.

26:25

I cannot sit for Andre Stephenson. The

26:27

guy's been a legit bal cal. I just need

26:29

to I think he's going to need to do it in the past

26:32

and get week to really reach the value that you'd want from

26:34

Ramondray Stephenson. What about

26:36

the jets

26:36

on offense? Well, the

26:39

First and foremost, do I do I believe in Zach

26:41

Wilson right now? No. I do not. But

26:44

the one thing I will note

26:46

and I'm

26:46

not starting them this week. I'm I'm

26:49

just not doing it. They

26:51

did say Robert Sala

26:53

heading into the buy Elijah

26:55

Moore is going to get more

26:58

work out of the slot. That is a change

27:00

in his role that that

27:02

maybe gets in more targets. Of

27:04

course, you need a quarterback, though,

27:06

who's going to deliver the

27:08

football. Court Davis could be back

27:10

this week. Garrett Wilson's really

27:12

been coming on. Outside of

27:14

Michael Carter, really the only

27:16

jet Tyler Conklin, by the

27:18

way, is a viable streaming tight

27:20

end. Although, Again, Wilson drags this whole thing

27:22

down, which concerns me, but I'm

27:24

excited to see Elijah Moore's

27:26

role in this offense. And and

27:28

just to put a blow on because Ross,

27:30

you mentioned how unexciting this is from a

27:32

fantasy perspective. The total is

27:35

thirty eight and a half, which is tied for the

27:37

lowest of the week. So not a whole

27:39

lot of points expected in this

27:41

game?

27:41

No. I'm not expecting a lot of points

27:43

in the Rams Saints game either.

27:46

Well, Ross, You will not

27:48

believe what I have in store for you because the

27:50

game on DraftKings sportsbook that

27:52

is tied with Patriots

27:53

Jets for the lowest total on

27:56

the slate. is the Los Angeles Rams

27:58

and the New Orleans Saints. First and foremost, as

28:00

we record, don't know who's playing

28:02

quarterback for the Saints. It could be James

28:04

Winston. It could go back to Dalton. Winston's

28:06

in there, boost up Chris Ollave, boost

28:08

up maybe Jarvis Landry a little,

28:10

pull back on Alvin Kamara.

28:13

I mean, the the things are sinking ship. The

28:15

problem is the rams are a ship that

28:18

sunk. The rams were last

28:20

in the the defending Super

28:22

Bowl champion Rams with

28:24

Sean McVeigh as head

28:26

coach. Our last in the

28:28

NFL in York's for play. And that is

28:30

with Cooper Cup. Cooper

28:32

Cups gained thirty four

28:34

percent of their yards for

28:36

scrimmage from scrimmage the

28:38

way, I'm surprised it's not higher than

28:40

that, quite right frankly.

28:42

Matthew Stafford, even when he comes back from

28:44

a concussion, if he can come back this week,

28:46

who's he throwing to? Van Jefferson, low

28:49

and wide receiver three. Allen Robinson's

28:51

been a zero all year. Tyler

28:53

Hickby finally got back involved in the passive

28:55

game last week But here's the problem.

28:57

Hikmet's role shrunk because they were using

28:59

them as a glorified offensive tackle,

29:01

and they just lost two

29:03

more offensive linemen. A Lark

29:05

Jackson, who I believe, opened the year as

29:07

their right guard, then moved to left tackle

29:09

when Joe Notepad went down for the year. He's

29:11

out for the year. He's got blood clots.

29:13

I really hope that young man's healthy. And

29:16

then brewer who came in there to

29:18

play White Guard for a

29:20

sheriff Jackson He's now down with an

29:22

MCL injury. He might miss the

29:24

rest of the season. So the the

29:26

Rams offensive line is

29:28

terrible. their receiving group is terrible. Their quarterback is

29:30

hurt. I mean, even

29:33

with Cooper Cup, they were the worst offense in

29:35

the NFL. What

29:37

do we do? Like, how how many of these guys do

29:39

I feel good about playing? Zero. Oh, and

29:42

now they have a three man running back

29:44

rotation too. Good

29:45

luck.

29:48

Any difference with the saints if it's

29:50

Seamus? I like Chris Alave

29:52

more. slight boost to

29:54

Jarvis Landry, and I think it's a

29:56

knock on on on

29:58

on Alvin Kamara. The other thing though is,

30:00

like, if you're desperate for a tight end and we

30:02

just lost two of our best

30:05

fantasy tight ends for potentially extended

30:07

stretches, this past week in Goddard and Zach

30:10

Erks, Joanne Johnson is is somebody to

30:12

pick up consider on the wafer wire for the

30:14

Saints. He's actually been one of their few semi

30:16

consistent receivers.

30:17

Last but

30:21

not least, we've

30:23

got the lions at

30:25

the giants, Joe. Curious about

30:27

your thoughts on this one. Forty five and

30:29

a half is the total. So they actually think there's

30:32

gonna be some decent scoring in

30:34

this game. Sake one

30:36

Barkley, by the way, on pace to touch the ball four

30:38

hundred and fifty four times this year.

30:40

That's a lot, and he's done well with

30:42

it.

30:42

The problem

30:45

is with Sequan getting

30:47

so many touches, there's very

30:50

little production to be had

30:52

for this receiving group.

30:54

Wandale Robinson led them in routes running week

30:56

ten, he ran eighteen routes.

30:59

Darius Layton has kind

31:01

of emerged here. Let's get some let's get

31:03

some numbers on Darius Layton. Let's throw some love

31:05

out there on Darius Layton's name because he's

31:07

got a good match up this week. He

31:10

rekindled his relationship obviously with Danny

31:12

Dines Ross. They basically had a

31:14

sheer necessity. And now he might be

31:16

good again. He scored double digit Fantasy

31:19

points in top fifty eight receiving yards and four out of his last

31:21

five games, obviously had the

31:23

bizarre touchdown against the Texans in

31:26

which he basically just caught a dump off pass and they refused

31:28

to tackle him. Kenny Galladay

31:30

continued to prove he's one of the biggest

31:32

ways of of money in NFL

31:35

history He dropped both of his week ten

31:37

targets. So I think Darius

31:39

Layton should continue to get a large

31:41

portion of the Giants perimeter

31:43

targets. also runs his highest, the highest

31:45

percentage of his routes on the defense's

31:47

left side where he'll draw the coverage

31:49

of Amani or Warier.

31:51

you remember him from Penn State Ross? Well, unfortunately for

31:54

Ora Arlier, he has

31:56

surrendered point five three fantasy points per

31:58

coverage snap. over

31:59

the

31:59

last five weeks? That

32:01

is most among all corners.

32:03

Lions on offense? Yeah.

32:06

So the lions right now

32:08

have what we and Fantasy

32:10

Points have determined the

32:12

strongest rush grade of

32:14

the week. So they have the best run

32:16

game match up here, problem is they seem

32:18

committed to their three man rotation. Deandre

32:20

Swift shoulder and ankle injuries that

32:22

limited him just a handful of snaps in the

32:24

last two weeks. despite his not even having an injury designation

32:27

on last week's report. However, he

32:29

scored twice in the last three weeks. That is

32:31

probably what he's going to need

32:33

to do going forward to make

32:35

value for Fantasy. It's a

32:37

good

32:37

matchup at least if you need the Andre Swift,

32:39

but it goes without saying,

32:41

Jamal

32:41

Williams with his really touchdown heavy

32:43

volume oriented role is a

32:45

very strong RB2 this week. And and I'm

32:47

on Ross St. Brown. I mean,

32:50

in his last one. In his

32:52

last twelve healthy games,

32:55

he's seen

32:55

at least twenty four percent of the

32:57

the lion's targets. with nine

32:59

total targets in every single game in that

33:02

span. You were looking for Cooper

33:04

Cup. You've got

33:05

them. Cooper Cuts

33:06

going. I'm on Ross Saint Brown isn't. That

33:10

is the voice of Joe Dolan.

33:12

Make sure you check him out on

33:14

social at f g underscore

33:17

dolan. Really make sure you

33:18

subscribe to this show so

33:20

you know exactly when

33:23

episode two is posted. because we're about to record

33:25

that one right now. Thanks

33:28

for

33:28

listening to the Fantasy Feast podcast.

33:31

Make to also subscribe to the Ross

33:33

Tucker football podcast, even

33:35

money, business of sports, and the

33:37

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33:39

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