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2023: NFL Divisional Round

2023: NFL Divisional Round

Released Wednesday, 18th January 2023
Good episode? Give it some love!
2023: NFL Divisional Round

2023: NFL Divisional Round

2023: NFL Divisional Round

2023: NFL Divisional Round

Wednesday, 18th January 2023
Good episode? Give it some love!
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Episode Transcript

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0:00

It's time to eat.

0:02

What are you hungry for? Sit down and get

0:04

ready to consume an abundance of fantasy

0:06

football knowledge from rush Tucker

0:08

than Joe

0:09

Dolan. Beat me now. Stop

0:12

him. On the Fantasy Feast

0:14

Eton Podcast.

0:17

Yeah. Let's see, baby. It's a fantasy

0:19

feast. Eton Podcasts presented, of

0:21

course, by draft kings. I'm Ross Tucker.

0:24

Former NFL offensive, Lima, five

0:27

teams over the course of seven years.

0:30

Classic temp job in my twenties

0:32

was awesome. Now I get

0:34

a chance to do even more fun stuff. Got a

0:36

bunch of broadcasting gigs, including

0:40

I'll be in the booth Saturday night for

0:42

Eagles giants. I'll be on the sidelines,

0:45

Sunday afternoon. For

0:47

bills against the

0:49

bangles, should be an epic weekend

0:52

for your boys should be an epic show

0:54

because we got Joe. Dolan,

0:57

that is, at f g, underscore

1:00

dolan. He is the master,

1:02

one of the owners of fantasy

1:05

points dot com. Where

1:07

you use the code twenty two

1:09

feasts to get all kinds

1:11

of goodies. Although, wait a

1:12

minute, Joe, we probably wanna switch that twenty

1:14

three feasts at some point here.

1:17

Right? Yeah. We're probably gonna have to do that, Ross. Let

1:19

me let me get on that. will

1:21

say this right now. We have our super

1:23

early bird special. Of the website, which,

1:26

Ross, it's the dumbest thing on Planet

1:28

Earth. Okay? It's so dumb. You

1:30

get all the rest of the playoffs. You

1:33

get all of our off season content. And

1:35

you get all of next season

1:37

for thirty percent off the base price

1:40

with no catches. It's

1:42

so dumb. Should be thirty percent more. You

1:45

get get more stuff. I don't understand how it

1:47

works, but that's the way we're doing it.

1:48

Wow. That's awesome. Use

1:51

twenty two feasts or twenty three feasts.

1:53

Try them both. Make

1:55

sure one of them works at fantasy points

1:58

dot com. He's at f g underscore

2:00

dolan on social. I'm at Ross

2:02

Tucker NFL. We're at Ross

2:04

Tucker Pod. Highly encourage you to follow

2:06

Ross Tucker pod on Instagram

2:09

or Twitter. Or Facebook because

2:12

that's where we post the best of the best

2:14

social media clips from

2:16

each of our shows that I think you

2:19

will really, really enjoy. Or you

2:21

can check them out on TikTok over

2:23

at ross tucker NFL on

2:25

TikTok. Joe, there's only four

2:27

games this weekend. So

2:31

basically, we're playing in those like,

2:33

we can do those draft kings free

2:35

to play contests for sure.

2:37

For up to fifty thousand

2:39

dollars, which is pretty amazing. We

2:42

can also do the the regular DFS

2:44

stuff

2:45

at DraftKings? So

2:48

four games, man, I mean, that's

2:51

rough. There's only eight teams to choose

2:53

from. Indeed. So

2:55

you're gonna be digging in a

2:57

little bit deeper than you typically are

2:59

on this sleep, but that's the fun of the playoffs. You

3:01

gotta be, oh, man. You know? Let

3:03

me taste some. I

3:06

really like Noah Grey this week, man.

3:08

You know? I know that

3:10

there's a lot of fun. To be had with these

3:12

slaves. Because you gotta because if you wanna

3:14

fit in a Travis Kelsey,

3:16

you're gonna have to go down the

3:18

board. Oh, maybe to Michael Hasty. Get a couple

3:20

of carries. You know, oh, man. No, Brent.

3:22

T y Hilton. Yeah. Let's go,

3:24

man. Well, what what if the Eagles take a deep

3:27

shot to Quiz walk ins? I'm gonna be fired up

3:29

about that. That that's that's the kind of

3:31

slate that you play. But, you know, that that's

3:33

playoff Fantasy, football, fewer teams.

3:36

A lot less a lot less

3:38

opportunities to get unique. Remember, you

3:41

can get you can duplicate

3:43

lineups in DFS. So A lot

3:45

of people, if you play a one game slate, a lot of

3:47

those who play one game slates, most of those who are

3:49

good at them, will tell you, don't

3:51

spend your full salary cap because if you

3:53

spend your full salary cap, somebody is almost

3:56

certainly going to duplicate your lineup

3:58

because there's so few players that

4:00

they're all gonna try to fit in all the big time

4:03

good players and then there's gonna somebody

4:05

who who just

4:07

so happens to fit in at like

4:10

three thousand right there under

4:12

the salary cap And then

4:14

if that line of hits, you end up splitting the prize

4:16

with twenty five people. So there there's

4:18

a lot of strategy that goes into this

4:20

week, including not spending your full

4:22

salary cap. But we can break

4:24

down the games from from I

4:26

like to look at point

4:27

spreads. I like to look at, you know,

4:29

player props for what to expect

4:31

from this slate. Yeah. I like

4:33

the player props as well. Always

4:36

intriguing this time of year when you feel

4:38

like you have, you know, there's as many games,

4:40

so you can kinda look at what props are. There's

4:42

all kinds of parleys that DraftKings

4:44

has out there. Let's start with

4:46

the jags and the Chiefs.

4:49

Joe, it's the first of the

4:51

four. The Chiefs are

4:54

at home four thirty on Saturday.

4:57

Yes. So the Chiefs are eight and a

4:59

half point favorites in this game against the Jacksonville

5:02

Jaguars. Fifty three being the total ROCE

5:04

will not be surprised to learn

5:06

that each jaguars has the highest total on

5:08

the slate. Now, if you're

5:10

a betting man, here's what's interesting. The

5:12

jaguars are five in one against

5:14

the spread over their last six games,

5:16

they're six and o straight up. Doug

5:18

Peterson is six and

5:20

o raid up against the spread

5:23

or excuse me, he's six to o against the spread

5:25

as an underdog in the postseason,

5:27

and then we know that Doug Peterson's

5:29

won a lot of games straight

5:31

up as an underdog in the postseason, including

5:34

on the Eagles Super Bowl run a number

5:36

of years ago. And here's what's interesting about

5:38

this game. The Chiefs were

5:40

fourteen and three. They're obviously the number one

5:42

seed. Andy Reed's coming off a buy.

5:44

Andy Reed's twenty one and three

5:46

after a buy in his NFL career straight

5:49

up. But the Chiefs, and

5:51

I'm I'm sure Fedsick has brought this

5:53

up. They are such

5:55

a public side that they get over

5:57

bet every single week. They are

5:59

five, eleven, and one against the spread.

6:01

So that suggests this game might be a

6:03

little bit closer than you anticipate, which

6:05

means there's gonna be opportunities for the

6:07

jaguars to score in this game. These

6:09

two teams did play. They

6:12

played back on November thirteenth. The Jag

6:14

the Jag's loss that came twenty seven

6:16

to

6:16

seventeen. You know what's

6:18

interesting about that Game Ross? What?

6:21

It's it's the second it is the second

6:23

to last game, the Jack Jaguars lost all

6:25

season. They were three and

6:27

seven after playing the Chiefs.

6:29

Back on November thirteenth, they are currently ten

6:31

and eight. So the Jaguars have been red

6:33

hot since then. Trevor

6:35

Lawrence has been, with the exception of a terrible

6:38

first half against the charges, Red

6:40

Hot, Christian

6:42

Kirk in this game. Last

6:45

time out, nine for 105

6:47

and two touchdowns. Jay Jones

6:50

who who got off the Schneid

6:52

last week. In his in his

6:54

last three games prior to last

6:56

week, Zejones had eight for fifty nine

6:58

receiving total. Against the chargers.

7:00

He saw thirteen targets, eight for

7:02

seventy four, and a score. He

7:04

also caught eight passes the

7:06

last time out. Against this Kansas

7:08

City Chiefs team. I think it's a good spot for

7:10

Trevor Lawrence to put up numbers. I think it's a good

7:12

spot for Jay Jones and Christian Kirk to put up

7:14

numbers. And as we know, the highest total

7:17

on the slate Kansas City. It's an eight and a

7:19

half point spread, but Kansas City

7:21

has been very, very

7:23

poor covering spreads this year. Kansas

7:25

City is rightfully favored. Not trying to

7:27

say that an upset is imminent here.

7:29

But this game could be closer than anticipated

7:32

and maybe it's something in the thirty

7:34

to twenty four range. Maybe it's something in

7:37

the thirty one twenty eight range

7:39

based on trends and histories, which

7:41

gives the jaguars plenty of opportunity

7:43

score in this game, I would not be afraid

7:45

won and done DFS to

7:47

use jaguars and to use them with

7:49

alacrity in this game. Interesting.

7:52

What is that Doug Peterson stat

7:57

again? He's six and o against the spread as

7:59

an underdog in the

7:59

postseason? Six to no against the spread as an

8:02

underdog in the postseason. And and and if you'll

8:04

remember, I have

8:06

to go back and see if

8:08

he was an underdog against

8:11

the bear straight up. But

8:14

you remember, in the the Eagles twenty

8:16

seventeen post season

8:18

run, they

8:20

were an underdog in every

8:22

single game and won all three straight

8:25

up. He won straight up

8:27

against the he

8:29

won very much. I bet. He won

8:31

straight up. Well, last week against the chargers.

8:33

I believe the Eagles let me let me look at

8:35

that game while while we're while

8:38

we're while we're chatting

8:40

here. But I believe he was an

8:42

underdog against the Seahawks

8:44

in that game regards

8:46

to when Scott. Hurt. Member, Ben

8:49

McAllen, came in, and they kinda kept it

8:51

close ish. But, yeah, Doug

8:53

Peterson is one at least four games

8:55

straight up as an underdog in the postseason.

8:57

So, hungry dogs, Ross, they

9:00

hunt. And the jackets are hungry

9:02

dogs right now. Unreal.

9:04

What about the Chiefs? They got

9:07

are we gonna get maybe we should

9:09

have Clyde Edward's e Laire and

9:11

Jody Fortune in our

9:11

lineups. Joe, nobody will do that. No.

9:14

Yeah. Edwards of Lair has got an opportunity. I

9:16

don't know if he's I really don't know how

9:18

much Clyde Edwards of Lair is going

9:20

to is gonna play

9:23

if he if he's active at

9:25

all. Isaiah Pacheco had a strong

9:27

game the last time these two teams played.

9:29

He had think he

9:31

had sixteen caries for eighty two

9:33

yards. Derrick McKinnon,

9:35

who continues to be a touchdown

9:37

scoring machine. Caught six passes for

9:39

fifty six yards in that

9:41

game. Kedarius tonal

9:43

score to touchdown. In that game, boom, he's

9:45

been coming on of So Kansas

9:47

City was somebody like Judeo Smith Shuster who's

9:49

been fading. I wonder if

9:51

if the biweek is maybe

9:53

good for him Jeju had four

9:55

fewer targets in in

9:57

each of the last three games of the season.

10:00

Kedarius, Tony snaps,

10:03

around thirty percent, but they've been using

10:05

him. I wonder if they're using this bi week to

10:07

get Kedarius Tony a little

10:09

bit more involved in this offense.

10:13

Clad Edwards Alera. I know he's eligible.

10:15

Could complicate the back

10:17

field. I don't anticipate Clyde Edwards Alera

10:19

playing a whole lot of snaps in this

10:21

contest. Anything

10:22

else on the Chiefs we need to know?

10:25

Anybody else? Yeah. Patrick from Homes and

10:27

Travis Kelsey are probably a good stack.

10:29

We'll also be very

10:31

popular this

10:31

week. So Should I hold on a second. So

10:34

we should stop the show. Should I get should I

10:36

get Jack to cut that clip where

10:38

where Joe's gonna say, I think

10:40

my home and Travis Kelsey probably

10:42

a pretty good stack. I don't know if anybody

10:45

needs to if if if if I need

10:47

anybody coming after me on on Twitter,

10:49

but did you see we did

10:51

have people coming after me on Twitter

10:53

about me using the dolphins defense

10:55

last week.

10:56

Dude, that was awesome. Yeah. See?

10:59

That was and they scored a touchdown. And

11:01

I think is that the one that DraftKings

11:04

promote. I think drafting people. Draft people. Draft people.

11:06

Yeah. Which was interesting because I was

11:08

specifically referring to the FFPC

11:10

contest. But The

11:12

dolphins, if you used them on draftings, not only did

11:14

they save you money, they probably won

11:16

you

11:16

money. So you need to go back and, quote,

11:19

tweet that and say as

11:21

heard on fantasy feasts last

11:22

week. I read you. That's amazing. I

11:25

gotta give my shout out to my guy Chris

11:27

Wecht. From Fantasy Points

11:29

who brought that up because, like because

11:31

we were talking specifically about the FFPC

11:33

Condes and but it it it's the same with DraftKings.

11:36

You've gotta create when on these

11:38

short slates, you have got to create

11:40

differentiation in your lineups.

11:42

Nobody wants to use a defense against

11:44

Josh Allen. But if looked at how the

11:46

bills are plated late, Alan,

11:48

throwing picks, taking sacks,

11:50

you're turning the ball over, It was

11:52

very easy to see an outcome where the

11:54

dolphins defense put up a good

11:56

score and the dolphins still lost that

11:58

game. That is exactly what happened in that

12:00

contest. Let's move

12:03

on and let's get

12:05

to the giants and the

12:07

Eagles Saturday night I'll

12:09

be in the booth for this

12:11

one, Joe. What do you think? Well, first

12:13

and foremost, Ross, Daniel Jones is playing

12:15

well. And

12:17

I I don't think that's denyable

12:19

right now, but

12:22

I was very I

12:24

definitely expected this line to move

12:27

towards the giants. I think I saw it open at

12:29

eight and a half in some places. It

12:31

got bent down to seven, and

12:33

now I'm not surprised to see it up

12:35

to seven and a half on the Eagles because I think

12:37

some of the sharper guys are gonna come

12:39

in and bet the Eagles. Again, the sharper

12:41

guys, the the wide guys, whoever you wanna call

12:43

them the high rollers, that doesn't

12:45

always mean they're right, often the public is

12:47

right. The public saw that eight and a

12:49

half, saw that seven and a half, saw

12:51

that eight took it the giants because of the

12:53

giants coming off that

12:54

performance. But I gotta tell

12:55

you, that

12:57

viking defense offers no

13:00

resistance whatsoever.

13:00

Terrible. I can't believe he's not

13:03

fired yet, the d coordinates. I cannot

13:05

believe that.

13:06

And that is not to take away from Daniel's

13:09

Jones. It's not to take away from Brian Daybell and

13:11

the job that those two guys have done. I think the angle

13:13

Jones has made himself a lot of money. I think Brian

13:16

Daybell might be shining up a shelf on

13:19

his trophy cakes because

13:21

of because of all that stuff. And and

13:23

look, Daniel Jones has thrown the guys.

13:25

They picked up off scrappy, ritchie

13:27

James, Isaiah Hodulans. Darius

13:30

Slaton. Darius Slaton

13:32

is like, wrong.

13:34

Like like one of those ingredients that you

13:37

use, like, every, like,

13:39

other year and but it has a great

13:41

shelf life here. Like, oh, yeah. I think I still have

13:43

some I got a got an open thing of Panko

13:45

bread crumbs in my fridge, you know. We

13:47

can put that on the mac and cheese. I used

13:49

it last year. Very sweet.

13:51

Wanted to go out and they wanted to get new Panko

13:53

bread crumbs. They wanted to go shopping at

13:55

Publix and say, well, I guess Wegmans up there. They

13:57

wanted to go shopping at Wegmans and say,

13:59

you know what? I think I have some Panko

14:01

in the fridge, but they're old. Let's get some new

14:03

stuff. They forgot to buy it. They had to

14:05

use the old stuff, and the old stuff has

14:07

come through. That's what Darius Layton is for

14:09

them. So credit to the giants, but

14:11

that Viking defense offers

14:13

zero resistance whatsoever. The

14:15

Eagles are getting healthier. The the

14:17

last time these two teams played healthy,

14:21

a number of weeks ago in New

14:23

York, the Eagles destroyed

14:24

them. And I don't I

14:26

think the giants are playing better than that right now.

14:28

If you'll remember, Sequan

14:31

Barkley came into that game

14:34

with a neck injury. He played a limited

14:36

role. He only had nine caries for twenty eight

14:38

yards, so that's obviously different. The fake

14:40

one I saw last week and the fake one I've been

14:42

seeing this year is as close

14:44

to rookie season Seguan as we've

14:46

seen with that

14:47

burst, that elusiveness, but

14:50

the Eagles' defense is,

14:52

you know, C. J.

14:52

Gardner Johnson's healthy. Josh

14:55

Sweat, after that scary injury a couple of

14:57

weeks ago, is going to play it. He's not even on the

14:59

injury report. The

15:01

Eagles' defense is as close to as healthy as

15:03

it's gonna get. Now the question is,

15:05

al dentematics, the slot corner

15:07

is not gonna play in this game. I don't think Nick

15:10

Seriani did not seem very positive. Now what

15:12

I think that means is CJ Gardner

15:14

Johnson is going to play slotcore and

15:16

they'll have Reed Blankenship playing

15:18

safety. I wonder if that's a little bit exploitable

15:20

for Ricky James. I think Gartner Johnson is a

15:22

great slot player but I wonder if Richie

15:24

James may be some Daniel Bellinger and

15:26

a deep shot to Darius

15:28

Layton is where the giants are going to look

15:30

to attack in this game. Because

15:32

Darius slay has been

15:34

I'm not saying he's been bad, but

15:36

over the last couple of weeks, he's been

15:38

seeding up some bigger plays. And Maybe

15:40

that's an area of concern for the Eagles.

15:43

It's one where Jonathan Gannon's entire

15:45

philosophy of the Eagles defensive coordinator.

15:47

His entire philosophy is prevent

15:49

big plays. They've been giving them up a little

15:51

bit more than I think Jonathan Gannon would like

15:53

to give up. And I think Brian Daybell is

15:55

maybe going to try to test that with

15:57

Darius Layton in this game. But

15:59

the offensive line for the

16:01

giants is going to be the king because

16:03

the Eagles pass rush is as

16:05

healthy as it's going to be.

16:08

Robert Quinn's practicing, like I said, Josh

16:10

Schwett isn't even on the injury report.

16:12

After that scary neck injury.

16:14

The Eagles led the NFL in

16:16

Saks, I think her second all time in

16:18

NFL in Saks in a single season.

16:20

And Daniel Jones is still somebody

16:22

If you pressure them and get after them for some

16:24

inaccurate throws and get the giants off the

16:26

field, the Eagles have the talent advantage in

16:28

this game on the defensive side of the

16:30

football. What about

16:31

the Eagles on the offensive side of the

16:34

ball? Well, speaking of the Eagles injury

16:36

report, you know, Nick Seriani

16:39

after Jalen Hertz played it a couple weeks ago

16:41

and obviously he looked rusty against the giants in that

16:43

game and I think that was to be anticipated. The

16:45

Eagles did not run him at all

16:47

in that game. I don't think there was a single design

16:50

JLN Hertz run. I think there was there

16:52

might have been a sneak, but there was nothing like in

16:54

the terms of the Zoom read or or

16:56

anything like that to get a couple of scrambles.

16:58

And I think the

17:00

Eagles, I think quite obviously

17:02

become easier to defend if you

17:04

know Jaylen Hertz isn't going to run. And I think the Giants knew

17:07

that in that game. They're like, look, we're playing

17:09

our backups. He's

17:11

playing Hertz. There's no way he's gonna come

17:13

out and carry the ball fifteen times. They were right. And it

17:15

made him a little easier to defend.

17:17

But jail and hurts is not on the injury

17:19

report. And I'm not

17:21

saying like, oh, he doesn't have a

17:23

game day designation. He is

17:26

not listed on the injury report.

17:28

Now as you well know, Ross, there are

17:32

fines to be had for that. III don't know

17:34

how often it's enforced in

17:36

the NFL. But the Eagles, not only not

17:38

only was Jaylen Hertz a full practice

17:40

participant with his shoulder injury, he doesn't even it

17:42

wasn't even notable enough to get him

17:44

on the

17:45

report. So

17:47

is it gamesmanship?

17:49

I think it's probably not. I think Jaylen

17:51

Hertz is probably feeling pretty So

17:53

I don't think the giants can come into this

17:55

game, anticipating that jail and hurts is not going

17:57

to be a threat as a runner. Because if

17:59

they anticipate that, I

18:02

think Jalen Hertz can pick them apart as a runner. So

18:04

I think it's gonna be an interesting game

18:06

of chess on that side of the of the

18:08

ball, and I'm willing to use

18:11

Jalen Hertz the way I think

18:13

Glynn Hertz can be used. As a

18:15

hammer quarterback one, I

18:17

think Beahomes is going to be more popular

18:19

on the four game slate because people might have

18:21

some concerns about Hertz. But I think Jalen

18:23

Hertz has the opportunity to put

18:25

up big time numbers in

18:27

this game. The fact that

18:30

he's not it on the injury report is a

18:32

phenomenal sign. The Giants

18:34

did a absolutely spectacular

18:36

job on Dustin than last

18:37

week, credit to wink Martindale. But here's the

18:40

problem.

18:40

The Eagles have two record setting

18:42

wide receivers on their team. And I Ross, we

18:44

know Adam Feelin is a good player.

18:47

He's not the Vante Smith.

18:49

A. J. Brown broke the Eagle single

18:52

season receiving yard's record.

18:56

Devonte Smith broke the Eagle single

18:58

seething single season receiving

19:00

receptions record by a wide

19:02

receiver. Zachert still had more catches

19:04

one year. So if they're gonna

19:06

try to take out AJ Brown the way they took

19:08

out Justin Jefferson, Davonte Smith

19:10

is going to pick the giants apart.

19:12

And the giants, I think what's very

19:15

notable about them, is in two

19:17

games against the Minnesota Vikings

19:19

in recent weeks, T.

19:20

J. Hawkins, ain't them alive.

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19:23

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feast. Joel, let's

20:53

hit the sundae. I'll

20:55

be on the sideline. You've always got a double

20:58

header.

20:58

Bang goals at the bills. What should

21:00

I be looking for? I

21:02

think the big concern by the way, the bangles are are five

21:04

point underdogs, forty eight and a half is

21:06

the total. And this is one of the

21:08

more interesting spreads of the week for

21:11

me because I don't think even but

21:13

look, they wanna play off game. Okay? I don't

21:15

care who you're playing. I don't care if you win by one. I

21:17

don't care if you win by a hundred and one. The Bills

21:19

wanna play off game last week. They

21:21

advanced. That's all it matters. Doesn't matter how pretty

21:23

it

21:23

was. But I think this is an interesting

21:26

line

21:26

here. Five

21:28

is a weird number. It

21:30

shows that, like,

21:31

the the the books really don't

21:34

know what to do with it nor because

21:36

because normally, you see, like, a three or three and a half

21:38

or six or six and a half five is right in

21:40

that kind of ugly zone where they're not really sure what

21:42

to do with it. And there's a couple of reasons for that.

21:44

Number one, the build point that crap last week.

21:48

And the bills because they

21:50

have talent. And Josh Allen can

21:52

always make a big time throw and step on

21:54

digs and Gabe Davis who

21:56

turns into who turns into Randy Moss in the

21:59

playoffs, these guys can

22:01

make big plays at any given time. They

22:03

can also Josh Allen's also made some

22:05

dumb plays. But the that

22:07

offensive line, is a big concern. It

22:09

was the reason they lost the Super

22:11

Bowl last year and they went out and they

22:13

went to attack that

22:16

offensive line in the off season. What were there two

22:18

big additions to that offensive line in the

22:20

off season? Alex Kaplan, Lyle

22:23

Collins. Who's hurt? Alex

22:25

Kaplan and Lyle Collins. Jonah

22:27

Williams got hurt last week. So this is

22:29

an offensive line that is arguably in

22:32

worse shape. Than it was in last year's

22:34

playoffs. And they're going up against the Buffalo Bill

22:36

Defense that Sachs Skyler Thompson

22:38

multiple four

22:39

times, as a matter of

22:40

fact, bangles are red hot. The bangles

22:43

have won nine consecutive games

22:45

and for the first time in that

22:47

span they failed to cover last week

22:49

against the Baltimore Ravens. The Ravens could

22:51

have you, me, and

22:53

Jack as the quarterback in two top

22:55

wide receivers and somehow cover points

22:57

spread. I understand how it happens.

22:59

It's ugly, but the Ravens had a shot to

23:01

win that game. So

23:03

Cincinnati, in a world of hurt on the

23:06

offensive line, I'm not

23:08

really sure how

23:10

to how to square the

23:13

the dolphins receiving performance

23:17

again. Against the bills defense last week in

23:19

terms of numbers, you know, Tyria kills seven for

23:21

sixty nine. Jalen Waddle had, like, three

23:23

drops, like, awful drops in

23:25

that game. So Skyler consummate

23:27

some bros on them. There is gonna be an

23:29

opportunity for the bangles to score in this

23:31

game. And with

23:34

the the Bengal's offense line

23:36

injuries make it a little tough for me to really

23:38

back them. I'm not so

23:40

sure that overall, they aren't the

23:43

more talented team or playing

23:45

better than the bills. So the five

23:47

would be tempting for me in this game from

23:49

the bank. It's not saying they're gonna win it straight up,

23:51

but I think that's a little bit tempting.

23:53

And here here's a DFS tidbit

23:55

for you. Joe Nixon

23:58

is coming off

24:00

a season low forty

24:03

five percent snap

24:03

share. Now now you might

24:06

be saying, oh, Dolan. Oh, that's

24:08

Samadji p, Ryan, DFS. I'm not

24:10

a hundred percent sure of that, and here's

24:12

why. I don't love you Joe Nixon

24:14

here. Samadji Peiran was essentially kept

24:16

into block as an extra offensive lineman. We

24:18

know they trust him in

24:20

in past protection. Well, with that

24:22

offensive line falling apart, don't be surprised

24:24

to see Samadji Peiran get a

24:26

lot of work in this game even if it

24:29

doesn't translate. From a fantasy perspective. The

24:33

bill's

24:33

offensive,

24:33

but you're right by the way about the drops by

24:36

the dolphin. What about

24:38

offensively?

24:38

Look, Josh Allen, here's

24:41

the thing I'll say about Josh

24:43

Allen, man. He'll

24:46

he'll

24:46

go play

24:47

in traffic every single

24:50

day. And and you know what? He might

24:52

get hit.

24:54

But

24:54

if he survives, he's like, that was fun. I'm gonna go do it

24:56

again. And and, like, I I

24:58

think a lot of people respect the way

25:00

Josh Allen plays. Reconcell always used to

25:02

say this about Eli manning. We

25:05

know Eli used to have AAAA

25:07

penshot for some

25:09

bad

25:09

interceptions. He said he

25:11

had selective amnesia. He would be like, hey,

25:13

you know

25:13

what? It was an

25:16

interception. It's I'm not gonna let it ruin my

25:18

confidence. I think that's the way Josh Allen is going

25:20

play. And game. And Josh

25:22

Allen is obviously he can

25:24

turn the ball over. He can get sacked.

25:26

Josh Allen can also make spectacular

25:28

throws as we we

25:30

as we saw. The rebels did allow the

25:32

third fewest Fantasy Points for Game to opposing

25:34

quarterbacks during the regular season.

25:37

But Tyler Huntley, two

25:39

twenty six and two passing, nine for fifty

25:41

four rushing last

25:42

week. Tyler Hadley played the best game of the season

25:44

for them. Stephane Diggs,

25:47

Back to back games with seven catches and a

25:49

hundred plus yards. The

25:52

bangles allowed four different wide receivers

25:55

in weeks fifteen and

25:57

sixteen to get

25:59

eighty three or more receiving yards. That's four

26:01

different receivers. And then they played the Ravens, the

26:03

last two games, and the Ravens just don't have

26:05

any wide receivers. So I view this as an exploitable

26:07

matchup for Stephane Diggs

26:09

and Gabe Davis. Isaiah

26:11

Mckenzie missed last week with a

26:13

with a hamstring injury. And

26:15

the question I have with Isaiah Mckenzie, if he comes

26:17

back, what's his role? Because both Colby'sley,

26:20

Colby'sley scored and Khalil Shirkir

26:22

played pretty well in

26:24

Mackenzie's stead. They essentially split the

26:26

slot roll down the middle. And

26:28

both of those guys played well. Shahir had three

26:30

catches for fifty one and and Beasley had

26:32

the touchdown. Austin notch has scored in

26:34

five straight games for the bills. He's kind of

26:36

become their go to red zone

26:38

guy. Meanwhile,

26:41

Devon Singletary and James Cook.

26:44

Interesting. Devon Singletary

26:48

had fifty five percent of the

26:50

snaps to thirty one percent

26:52

for

26:52

Cook. And though neither guy saw a

26:54

target. Cook actually got more carries than Devon Singleton

26:56

in that game. JK

26:59

Dobbins had a strong game last

27:01

week. Gus Edwards had a strong game

27:03

last week. I

27:04

won't be

27:04

surprised to see the bills run the ball a little

27:07

bit here. And James Koch might be their

27:09

preferred guy to do that right

27:10

now. Howard Bauchner: Did you

27:12

say last week that you thought it may be a breakout

27:15

guy to play all. Yeah. And, like, he didn't get

27:17

the snap share I was looking for, but he

27:19

scored the touchdown. He looks pretty

27:21

explosive right now. Not not the whole anything against Singletary who

27:23

had some hard charging runs in that game, but I

27:25

think they really trust what Cook's giving them

27:27

right now.

27:29

Last but not least, Joe.

27:32

We head over to

27:34

Sunday night, cowboys

27:35

niners. Boy Dack look good, let's

27:38

be honest. Yeah.

27:38

He looked he looked really good.

27:41

And the

27:41

bugging your girlfriend just couldn't move the football. It

27:43

couldn't protect Tom Brady. This is gonna

27:45

be pretty fascinating. I

27:48

think you can go you can get the

27:50

ball down the field on

27:52

the forty niners. You

27:53

know? Obviously, that pastor

27:56

if Bose is gonna win player the year, defensive

27:58

player the

27:58

year. We'll see what's up with the Cowboys

28:01

offensive line. I know Jason Peters got

28:03

hurt in that game. I don't think the Cowboys

28:05

offensive line is a weakness, but I don't think it's

28:07

anywhere near the strength that has been in

28:09

years past. By the way, the Cowboys are three and a

28:11

half point underdog in this

28:13

game. And I think that's fascinating

28:15

because of how much hype the forty niners

28:17

are getting is the best team in the NFC and

28:19

Brock party and all that.

28:23

I think people are really impressed by what they saw

28:25

with the cowboys. And I think they're wondering if

28:27

that cowboys pass rush is

28:29

finally the thing that's going to make

28:31

Brock party kinda look like a seventh

28:33

round rookie

28:33

quarterback. But from the Cowboys' perspective,

28:36

here is the thing

28:38

that I think

28:43

Fascinates me. Because I think

28:45

that the forty niners are most

28:47

exploitable to big plays in the passing game. Well, who

28:49

are the Cowboys guys gonna be? To do

28:51

that. CB Lam, more of a slot receiver,

28:53

but he can get down the field. You

28:55

know, CB Lam's coming off a

28:57

game. He he scored eight touchdowns in his

28:59

last eleven

28:59

games. He sits sixteen Fantasy points and

29:02

nine of his last eleven. But

29:05

last week, he wasn't really needed. He had just

29:08

four catches. DK Metcalfe went nuts on

29:10

them. Last week,

29:12

Michael Gallip is coming off his second

29:14

best fantasy performance of the season.

29:18

TY Hilton had two for twenty three last week, but

29:20

he had finished with more receiving yards than gallop

29:22

in week sixteen through eighteen. I would not

29:24

be surprised to see a deep shot toTY Hilton to

29:26

be part of their game plan, I would

29:28

not be surprised to see a couple deep shots to see why Hilton be a part

29:30

of their game plan, which I think could help

29:33

you fill out a DFS lineup

29:35

in this game.

29:38

Now in the back field, I think people have been

29:40

saying it forever. Tony

29:43

Pollard Snapshare, carries,

29:45

skrimage yards, and receptions. He

29:47

led Ezekiel Elliott in all

29:49

of those categories in the in

29:51

the game against the Buckineers. The

29:54

forty niners gave up the fewest fantasy

29:56

points per game to running backs in

29:58

the regular season. But Kenneth Walker

30:00

had a solid game against him sixty three

30:02

yards and a touch down on four point two

30:04

yards per carry. I will tell you this. I

30:06

would think it would be a mistake for the

30:08

Dallas Cowboys to give the ball quite a bit to his

30:10

Eco Elliott in this game. Based on

30:12

what we've seen from Pollard, based on the forty

30:14

nineers defense.

30:17

The nineers man I don't even

30:19

know what position to say McAfee is

30:22

anymore or depot. They're just

30:23

weapons. And and they're so hard to

30:25

defend. And and the

30:28

cowboys, I think Kyle Shea in a hand, is

30:31

probably I

30:34

think he's probably salivating.

30:36

Right? Now because he knows how exploitable

30:38

this secondary can be. And I don't think he's

30:40

going to look at that buccaneer's game

30:42

as a template for what the forty

30:44

niners are going do. Brock Party has more mobility than Tom Brady.

30:46

They have a better offensive line than the

30:49

Buckineers have. And quite frankly, they have a better

30:51

coaching staff than the Buckineers

30:53

that. And this is an exploitable secondary. I've

30:55

said it for weeks, and we know it. Now, if

30:58

Dallas can get Michael Parsons to

31:00

wreak havoc on forty nine years old pencil line

31:02

the way he did on the

31:03

books, then

31:04

that's a different story. Brock

31:07

Purdy, you know, Ross, he got away with

31:09

a couple

31:09

last week. He really did. What's the there

31:12

was the I think it was it might have

31:14

been to IU. Do you know what I'm talking about?

31:16

It was like kind of a

31:18

skinny post on the left side and the

31:21

ceiling was coming up. That ball should have been

31:23

intercepted. Or at the very least, that ball

31:25

never should have been thrown. So

31:28

if Dallas can get after Brock party, there

31:30

is an exploitable there

31:32

is a weakness here, but

31:34

that being said, Purdy has shown to

31:37

me some pretty impressive second

31:39

reaction ability. It's something that is

31:41

just not a part of

31:43

Jimmy Guropolos game. And, yeah, party and when I say second

31:45

reaction, yeah, he can scramble for ten

31:47

yards on Thursday. He can do that.

31:49

But also, extend the play

31:51

in the pocket let your really

31:53

good weapons get open and make a play. He's shown

31:56

that ability as well. And if they can

31:58

protect Brock party, this is a team

32:00

that you can throw on. A team that

32:02

you've been able to throw on for basically

32:04

the entire season. Thibaut Samuel

32:06

had his best game of the season last

32:08

week. Brandon IUP, has seen

32:10

only five targets in each of the last two weeks

32:12

with Deboe back, but he's caught seven of them for

32:14

a hundred and thirty two yards. And

32:17

we definitely know that Christian McCaffrey is going to get the

32:19

ball a ton in this game. This

32:23

this is just going to be one of the more fascinating

32:26

breakdowns because I think

32:28

it's an opportunity for the Cowboys

32:30

to get after a rookie quarterback and

32:32

say, hey, look, we're

32:34

gonna pressure him. We're gonna force him to make the mistakes that he

32:36

almost made last week. On the

32:38

other

32:38

hand, if they protect him, Dibos

32:40

Samuel Brandon and I, you, George Kittle,

32:42

guys have the opportunity to go nuts in this

32:44

matchup. At f

32:47

g underscore dolan please

32:50

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Their early bird special

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is amazing. I'm at Ross Tucker

33:07

on Love these breakdowns from Joe.

33:10

We are at ross tuckerpie. You can always

33:12

watch us too by the

33:12

way. YouTube dot com

33:15

slash ross tucker NFL. I'm stuff.

33:17

We're done. Thanks for listening

33:19

to the Fantasy Feast podcast. Make

33:21

sure to also subscribe to the Ross Tucker

33:23

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33:26

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33:28

all available at Apple Podcasts,

33:30

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33:32

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