0:05

Welcome in everybody to Fennest of Bros.

0:07

MLB. This is Leading Off Live, brought

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to you by Bet365. Bet5 bucks. Get

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150 and bonus bets when you do,

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when you use that promo code leading off

0:16

in his me, Joey P. Joe P.

0:18

Zappia. That of course is the Welsh and

0:20

it's you, the Peanuts and the Cracker Jacks.

0:23

A fun day of baseball was had by

0:25

all. Today we've got some day games

0:27

going on. Lots of fun action breaking down.

0:29

We taught Welsh when a cannoli was yesterday,

0:32

which again, in case you missed it, go

0:34

back and watch. I did walk off the

0:36

show for a brief moment, but did you

0:38

have any desserts yesterday? Did you head out

0:40

to the Arizona Olive Garden and find yourself

0:42

a bottomless cannoli? I don't

0:44

know what the hell they do over there.

0:47

You know, it's like endless breadsticks and bottomless

0:49

cannolis or some stupid crap. Bottomless

0:51

breadsticks and cannolis. That sounds like too

0:53

much. No, I didn't. I

0:55

was very busy day. We didn't have any

0:57

of that, but we do have a special

1:00

surprise because things always happen here on leading

1:02

off. Ladies and gentlemen. Oh no. Cousin

1:07

Donnie, cousin Donnie with the cannolis.

1:09

I can only assume what's in

1:12

the box in the words of

1:14

Brad Pitt. What's in the box?

1:17

Look at this.

1:19

This is my daddy's

1:21

Italian bakery. Oh,

1:24

I got a little plethora of assorted. Oh,

1:26

look at the tricolor cookies. I said he

1:28

didn't have them either last week and I

1:30

was mad and then he said he didn't

1:32

have the cannolis and I couldn't

1:35

have that face looking at this face knowing no

1:38

cannoli. So this is further ado.

1:40

Oh my God. Live cannolis on

1:42

the show. We're going to do

1:44

a live cannoli testing. One

1:47

bite. Everyone knows the rule. Everywhere.

1:49

All right. Let's go. All right.

1:51

Here you go. Oh, there's sprinkles on this. I

1:53

don't want to take a look. Joe, really quickly

1:55

rate the visual of this before I dig in.

1:57

It looks pretty good. It seems

1:59

like The chocolate chips are throughout his that

2:01

chocolate chips I'm singers brought know these are

2:04

sprinkles. They didn't have Arnold with ships I'm

2:06

sorry one that's already a negative sir. A

2:08

can't score higher than at eight but Lj

2:10

some. but this is already a great surprise.

2:13

A true Italian Donny. Here. We go

2:15

to a judge him as was your. Average

2:17

Joe One by can always for Wow! So

2:19

what does he think? He

2:21

visited. Ten businesses like a measure Don't

2:23

know what I doubt is not a you come

2:25

to party but I'm not a dad is not

2:28

a sense when awareness but it's as my Italian

2:30

bakery. this feels authentic. It's one of the better

2:32

ones you can get out. you're. Very.

2:34

Young cousin down everybody host of ah

2:36

certain straight would done is the and

2:38

of course my relative is Donny. It

2:40

is hard to find. A. Good

2:42

Italian stuff out Arizona. I know you've was

2:45

down from there for quite some time, so

2:47

how would you rate as bakery on that

2:49

scale? These bakeries about a seventy six or

2:51

seven for out here. It's great, but for

2:53

what we're used to more we know it's

2:56

definitely some. I was right on. Oh no,

2:58

I brought enough for the whole family's saw

3:00

like it. I always a whole nine. Because.

3:03

You're here on leading off. Usual.

3:05

Damn and cousin doughty everybody's what a fantastic

3:07

that you're so lucky to be neighbors with

3:09

my cousin let me tell ya and my

3:11

grandma, my cousin Donny, my cousin Donny I

3:13

got the official delivery Danis the best are

3:15

no better way to get it can only

3:17

from a true Italian and the Italian bakery

3:19

and is pretty damn good American. A lot

3:21

of them over the now you don't come

3:23

to my house so I can fill you

3:25

with all the Italian meets oh I am

3:27

I to but I didn't think you'd be

3:30

well as well as sharp as as an

3:32

hour. Notice me for your tell ya. ride

3:34

them over to. Make an album. Art

3:36

and you guys got those are everybody's with these

3:39

faces. Love You are taught the a later of

3:41

the home address. I knew something was up. That's

3:43

all I knew. I always knew something was up.

3:45

Ah, So I think Doesn't Die has

3:48

a of prolia. i guess i

3:50

keep your house now as i was going on

3:52

a party with as a badge a pretty much

3:54

as it did you see this box by the

3:56

way to look at old at my always whiling

3:59

away Look, Napoleon's my favorite.

4:01

I don't see Napoleon in there, but I do

4:03

see the little, uh, Pinoli cookies. Those are good.

4:05

Is that what this is? That's what that is.

4:07

That's a Pinoli cookie. But you can eat

4:09

that while I'm doing the headlines. Let's start with the

4:11

headlines and get some baseball in here. That's fantastic. I'm

4:14

so happy right now. Jerry Jones struck out

4:16

seven guys in five innings yesterday. Unbelievable start.

4:18

My buddy Kurt is a huge Pirates fan.

4:20

He's so excited that the Pirates are relevant

4:22

again. And he's like, I don't understand. It

4:24

was the fifth inning and he had 59 pitches and he's dominating and

4:26

they took him out. WTF Welsh.

4:29

It's 59 pitches. I

4:31

get it. We're trying to save this kid. But for

4:33

what? A rainy day? It's April. You're the Pirates. You're

4:36

good. Let him go. I don't know. Seven innings and

4:38

75 pitches. It's not like he was

4:40

in a hundred pitches in the fifth inning. Hey, Jerry

4:42

Jones is the Canolia pitcher right now. A plus.

4:44

He's a 10. But you got to

4:47

take care of these Canolis. Look at what is one

4:49

thing you know about a Canoli. They get messy and

4:51

they can break apart. It's not really breaking, but they

4:53

can break apart. And that's what happens with these pitchers

4:56

is they can break apart. Jerry Jones said after the

4:58

game, I think he's even a little bit annoyed by

5:00

it. He said I was going

5:02

five innings no matter what. He could have

5:04

had 35 pitches. He was

5:06

going five innings. That also

5:08

brings in an interesting question. He's

5:11

an extreme max type of guy.

5:13

Like his fastball has been insane.

5:15

It's rated near the tippy-top of

5:17

stuff plus. Overall, he's got the

5:19

we mentioned this before last outing.

5:22

He's got the second best stuff

5:24

plus in baseball. But maybe it's

5:26

not just about the actual executed

5:28

pitches in a game where it

5:30

is the length and how long

5:32

you're straining on your arm. Like

5:34

maybe teams are experimenting with other

5:36

thoughts. Plus, he's a rookie. It's

5:38

stupid. It's annoying because like any of us that

5:40

had him, he had seven strikeouts through five looks

5:42

like he could have had a complete game. But

5:45

this might be the world where we're like really,

5:47

really, really babying these guys a little bit more.

5:49

And we're just going to work in so well

5:51

because all the babying works so well for Yuri

5:53

Perez and all the baby is working so well

5:56

for everybody. That's the thing that drives me crazy.

5:58

It's like, you know, I know

6:00

it's a dead metaphor. I'm gonna use it anyway. You keep training everybody for

6:02

a sprint and you expect them to run a marathon That's

6:05

what the majoring baseball season is. It's a marathon

6:07

even for pitchers And when

6:09

you go back and look at the

6:11

Leo Mazzoni brave pitchers I know they're

6:13

all extremely talented, but they

6:15

had certain throwing programs why people aren't copying

6:17

this to this day I don't know those

6:19

guys threw a crap ton of innings every

6:21

single year It wasn't until they got into

6:23

their late 30s that they all broke down

6:25

and even so when they rebuilt them They

6:27

came back and pitched into their 40s. So

6:29

I mean it's it's dumb Just

6:35

to go back real quick on Jerry Jones like this

6:37

is one of the most the canolis for a second

6:39

I know I had to get a little drink to

6:41

get that out One

6:43

of the most absurd things hasn't just been his strikeout

6:45

rate 36.4% But

6:48

like it's a 2.3 Percent

6:51

walk rate which is so crazy right now.

6:53

He is and he's getting away with some

6:55

stuff I mean pretty high barreling against him

6:57

like you're gonna get some hard-hit stuff He's

6:59

got a 110 max EV but he is

7:01

so good. So deceptive the leak hasn't caught

7:03

up and As pissy as I could

7:05

see us getting about him Let's

7:08

have him for the year and he even I think said

7:10

as much like, you know Would you rather have me the

7:12

whole like let's have him the whole year at

7:14

least he's going five But we could

7:16

maybe like let's have 75 pitches or something like that,

7:18

but I might regret that We've

7:20

seen these guys talk about like there's outings where everything

7:23

is going good You feel great and you go and

7:25

there's outings where you labor and and you

7:27

know 75 pitches feels like 175

7:29

and this clearly was not one of those outings

7:31

for him if you watched it It wasn't like

7:33

that. I want to take a question here because

7:35

Alex was in here in the chat like The

7:39

second person in the chat before the show even started so

7:41

I want to get Alex's question Max free

7:43

today against Houston you want to bench him? I think

7:45

it's okay to do that if you're concerned like

7:48

I don't have a problem with this Welsh to you I'm

7:50

not sure I have like a problem with it. I

7:52

actually think it's a Semi-decent matchup from

7:54

a win perspective JP. I'm gonna be when we

7:56

get to the bet So I'm gonna be kind

7:58

of going against them JP France has not

8:01

been great, but Max Freed has really not

8:03

been great so far this year. I've

8:06

never been a big Max Freed guy, but his

8:08

Ks are way down, his walks are up, but

8:10

he does have quite a better

8:12

expected batting average against. I actually think this

8:14

is one I could semi-get down with, but

8:16

if you're worried about ratios or whatever, sure,

8:18

you could... He just hasn't been good enough

8:21

to get out there. I love

8:23

that we're becoming a show

8:26

that has other characters, now ancillary people. Yeah,

8:28

we have the wonky penguin, we have Mike

8:30

Mayer, we have Cousin Donnie. It's like... I

8:32

just keep saying that. It's pretty funny. I

8:34

mean, it's pretty good. Now

8:36

imagine chocolate chips all throughout it. You're

8:39

not gonna lie. It

8:42

sounds pretty amazing. Chocolate chips do sound pretty amazing on

8:44

these. I don't know where these have been my whole

8:46

life. Like, I've... Holy cannoli, baby.

8:48

All right, Kittle Marte, holy

8:52

cannoli, four for six, and a homer in the

8:54

ninth. Nice day for your D-backs. Mookie Betts, I

8:56

mean, this guy can't be stopped. More on Mookie

8:58

Betts, we get to the betting today. He was

9:00

five or five with two doubles, two ribbies. Went

9:03

over the gnats today. I like the over in

9:05

that game. We'll get to that later,

9:07

like I said, but again, Mookie Betts pace

9:09

is incredible right now. Ranger Suarez, complete

9:11

game shutout for him, struck out eight, five, nothing

9:14

win there. Yes, it was the Rockies, but it

9:16

just continues to show you when you have these

9:18

pitchers, whatever the K-prop is, you're looking for the

9:20

over right now when it comes to these guys.

9:23

And if you have streaming pitchers or you're looking

9:25

to stream somebody and they've got the Rockies, you

9:28

got nothing to lose here. Well, I mean, at this point, the Rockies

9:30

are just a gift that keeps on giving. Yeah,

9:32

it's gonna... It is gonna stabilize like at

9:34

some point, but I don't know if the

9:36

strikeouts are ever gonna really stabilize. Ranger Suarez

9:38

has just been good this season,

9:40

and this was a uniquely great matchup. I mean,

9:43

he threw 112 pitches as well. He had 61

9:45

swings on

9:48

those pitches. 30% Of

9:51

those were for whiffs. He had

9:53

seven whiffs on the curveball, five

9:55

on the changeup, and clearly, clearly

9:58

this Rockies team. And

10:00

Not manage. Big. Breaking

10:02

pitches so pitcher is that utilize a

10:04

really good curveballs. I mean my god,

10:06

you get me nip would dollars versus

10:08

this Rockies and he striking out ten

10:10

you can me big sweeping sweepers. you

10:12

know, big biting sliders. these guys are

10:14

gonna eat. So yeah the I think

10:16

the play here is from a betting

10:18

perspective is like getting your pitchers before

10:20

the strike out. prop against the Rockies

10:22

is a decent player but also just

10:24

from a streaming perspective on if it's

10:26

not in Colorado, they're often stinks. They

10:28

strike out a whole bunch. You

10:31

can play against them and renders wars that

10:33

a complete game shutout. Rangers War Is has

10:35

definitely gone from this kind of like Fringe

10:37

E S P out there to an absolute

10:39

must start. like every single outing and I

10:41

think is moving up the rankings. We actually

10:43

just did a rank up data few of

10:45

us might mayor was heading it wonky myself.

10:47

If you're looking for rest of season ranked

10:49

wouldn't be doing those every single week here

10:52

and fantasy prose which is really fun. and

10:54

your two guys we just kind of blew

10:56

past them gets home Arts Eight moving up

10:58

in my recipes and ranks and Rangers War

11:00

as is. definitely. Making a big move. Yeah,

11:02

forgot. You know I like the Phillies win the

11:04

division. Yeah I got money in that are so

11:07

we'll see how that goes. Hundred brown. To.

11:09

Run six in exile or ago like a was

11:11

looking so good. All the numbers are there. That's

11:13

been the way it's been last two weeks. like

11:16

I just can't catch a break on around. We.

11:18

Have been lying down the planet of a

11:20

sudden was on hittable for a few and

11:22

the you are right but you are ready

11:24

to be like he's gotta go play Mexico

11:26

like you were gone you are like it

11:29

is he you were out on hundred brown

11:31

he looked pretty dang good and that homer

11:33

oh my god to if you just watch

11:35

I was watching the break because I had

11:37

the Braves money like the behave Orlando rc

11:39

i hit a homer those like a little

11:41

bit questionable on the top and the the

11:43

Houston Astros. Comments: He

11:46

commentary team they were losing their mind

11:48

about this omer. Know away it's not.

11:50

It's not as it. It was

11:52

a homer. Like they call that homer. I don't

11:54

I say you guys? Announcers that are no pun

11:56

intended. Homers: I was crazy. It's humid while. I've

11:59

never realize this because when you grow up in a

12:01

New York area that typically doesn't happen. They are very

12:04

like by the board and a lotta guys you do

12:06

the New York stuff, do a lot of. Your.

12:08

Like Ron Darling, you're here on other things and

12:10

need our you. You'll hear them do national broadcast

12:12

so they they just kind of call down the

12:15

middle for the most part even really notice either.

12:17

But first I was in Chicago and I heard

12:19

of Chicago announcers. I'm. Bob. Is

12:21

a great when for awful like us. On

12:23

I've never heard a loud to say on that

12:25

one thing never talking about this is really in

12:28

the Us. Stuff was very jarring. Dob a good

12:30

one hundred brown battle my bankroll burrow are blue

12:32

Jays beat up on the aggies you say to

12:34

to sheath. About nine case for

12:36

him over six innings and your Lamont

12:38

overturns from the darkness to get a

12:40

save. So law Blue Jays moving a

12:43

good direction but haven't gone spends on

12:45

the mound today. Well

12:47

enough and good for Devon Gosman I. I'm

12:49

still worried about his health now. Last start

12:51

his velocity was good. The results were bad.

12:54

So. The A Storm today against the Yankees.

12:56

I don't know man how use and we

12:58

certainly get into this range where it's like

13:01

you make these investments on these guys. He's

13:03

been like this elite pitcher but boy do

13:05

I hate this matchup. I really do if

13:07

I'm in the top be V P Guy

13:09

the player with the most homers versus a

13:12

pitcher going today is Aaron Judge vs. Gosman

13:14

his iron. See this is eleven point five

13:16

Yeah rain were like okay. Other things he

13:18

has an expected A are it still sucks

13:20

he's not walking Guys these on striking out

13:23

guys you mention the stuff is just been

13:25

kind of down overall and. The wits have

13:27

been down across the board. I. Don't know, man.

13:30

I. If. I would

13:32

be really, really picky. and might not

13:34

do this but it's still so early in the

13:36

your take on a broom you're ready eeg you

13:38

call off on or brown he's completely don't care

13:40

and gossiping is an elite elite pitcher through like

13:43

that gallon may have taken taken a couple starts

13:45

to get going i think this is a time

13:47

where gosman can start to get going it's just

13:49

a horrific li bad matchup against like judge and

13:51

soda my gut says i'm going to do it

13:53

my guess is i'm gonna do it but you

13:55

know when he gets a five earned runs or

13:57

six and runs or two innings all go back

13:59

And I'll be like see I was waffly I

14:01

said to not start him the whole time, but

14:03

I will yeah good Now I'm

14:05

just talking about waffles all right one more here

14:07

before we get through the headlines Logan Gilbert one

14:10

Run six and two-thirds well. I gotta ask every

14:12

time Logan Gilbert has a quality start. Do you

14:14

die a little bit inside? Yeah, he looks so

14:16

this is the wildest thing if you I don't

14:18

know you guys watch it I was

14:21

watching it because Joe and I both were on the seven

14:23

and a half under strikeouts He

14:26

struck out the side in the first inning

14:28

I almost tweeted he's striking out 20 in

14:30

this game because the Reds just stood there

14:32

and Watched him throw

14:34

strikes was interesting though It's

14:36

kind of the thing I pick on for some reason

14:39

He was just throwing a ton of fastballs

14:41

right on the corner He's just a magician

14:44

as far as command goes that is what

14:46

is so uniquely awesome about him and these

14:48

guys were looking for Secondaries they weren't expecting

14:50

fastballs then I think he struck

14:52

out another two in the second inning But

14:54

as the game went on he got less

14:56

consistent less consistent. He struck out three in

14:58

the first inning He finished the game going

15:01

like seven innings only striking out six so

15:03

our bet hit But the secondary stuff really

15:05

fell apart completely lost the curveball slider was

15:07

gone later in the game But he's

15:10

just so much better than what I

15:12

had expected So it

15:14

absolutely just tears little pieces of my

15:16

heart Just like a flower petal coming

15:18

off every time he's so good and

15:20

Castillo and Kirby have not been as

15:22

awesome But I don't know the late

15:24

game thing is I think something to

15:26

consider to watch for Logan Gilbert moving

15:28

forward because he really got inconsistent later

15:30

into the game But you know you command on those

15:32

corners you can get away with a lot of stuff

15:36

All right Let's do some fun things here Aaron

15:38

Savali three earned runs five hits over six innings

15:40

struck out eight guys Savali's been one of those

15:42

Guys we talked about you know Tampa Bay when

15:45

they get it there their claws on somebody They

15:48

tend to get the best out of them these league

15:50

average pitchers. They see something in them I don't know

15:52

what it is, but it's magical. He's

15:54

got a two seven four ERA and a

15:56

point nine one whip He's been just fantastic

15:59

Unfortunately, Or. Jd. Martinez hasn't been

16:01

at all and it's unlikely he's gonna be up

16:03

for the west coast road trip. so. Who.

16:05

Knows when we're seeing him but we are

16:07

going to see Justin Verlander on Friday. may

16:10

be Saturday's against the Nationals were those games

16:12

so would you for overland or right back

16:14

to the balls on Friday or Saturday gets

16:16

enough I would I would but it it

16:18

doesn't feel is like you know rocket you

16:20

know that you've been has little the Bjp

16:23

has been pretty good is actually one of

16:25

the higher walk. San Strikeout

16:27

team. So like I don't know if Verlander

16:29

is going to have this incredible big out

16:31

in their office has been better. I don't

16:33

think it's gonna be a high strikeout game,

16:36

but I think it could be an easy

16:38

like win ratio type. again. maybe. goes five

16:40

pitches eighty something probably strikes out me before.

16:42

I'll be very curious at what version of

16:44

him. But if you're gonna do it like

16:46

this is where you do. If anything like

16:49

bottom fifteen or twenty, you just don't want

16:51

to start. I'm against public teams like the

16:53

Diamond Backs and the Braves. like a keep

16:55

the Royals at this. Point teams that are

16:57

putting up like massive amounts of runs. but

16:59

yeah I would I would from other yeah

17:01

I would. Army and lox even wait for

17:04

Verlander pitching ruff right now you go out

17:06

there. Maybe it's a fi that eating out

17:08

and but then again that's really getting from

17:10

just about everybody. So what's the difference? Or

17:12

Dylan agrees with you? A convoy waffles of

17:14

that? Good move. There's actually a cool little

17:16

Italian breakfast/lunch brunch placed. By. Me the

17:18

does the different french toast they do the

17:21

can only french toast they do the tiramisu

17:23

friend shows is very good and Angelos point.

17:26

In our that waffle what I was up itself.

17:28

Now you know what up excel and have no

17:30

idea would have been. I order to educate you

17:32

on the Italian foods here I would go go

17:34

google pits l and you go back to the

17:36

finals in the grocery store. Maybe not in Arizona

17:38

idol now but we'll see I read out there

17:40

is a pizza thing when you. When I saw

17:42

that I was like oh is that like of.

17:45

Which. Would be to the letter. It's like a little

17:47

tiny sin. Waffle. almost i might

17:50

be any other so much yourself in here

17:52

now i know it's like it's like this

17:54

big their big my daddy's italian bakery cafe

17:56

a nice onto the show you can't show

17:58

that oh sorry sorry sorry lives to the

18:00

rookie lookie and by the way speaking of rookies

18:02

tomorrow Welsh is going to be prospect and everybody

18:04

everybody loves when Welsh is out there prospect and

18:06

there he is oh I wish your face was

18:08

on there with the beard that's what I love

18:10

this so we probably just need like a photoshopper

18:12

I probably have to do like this I have

18:14

got to have one of the worst profiles on

18:16

the planet what I do like about now that's

18:18

an amazing picture of you and the best part

18:20

is your face because it looks

18:22

like he's putting the pickaxe through your head

18:25

oh he does yeah he's like oh I

18:27

just realized would you like Nick Prado yeah

18:29

all right Christian Scott struck out seven more

18:31

guys over five and a third for AAA

18:34

Syracuse look Bhutto's up I

18:36

know Senga's working his way back but there's

18:38

nothing stopping the Mets from making good decisions when

18:40

it comes to the young pitchers if guys are

18:42

knocking at the door at some

18:45

point they're going to be up there so if

18:47

you're in a deeper league we talked about Christian

18:49

Scott I think on the waiver wire last week

18:51

yeah so he's he's in my article I've got

18:53

the prospects to stash article it's coming out tomorrow

18:55

we'll do kind of like a little version of

18:57

it on the show tomorrow so I won't probably

18:59

talk about Christian Scott he's in that but 50%

19:02

k-walk percentage his swinging strike rate is

19:04

up he's that big heavy fastball slider

19:06

guy with the splitter I mean like

19:08

this is good stuff this is good

19:10

stuff that can play and

19:12

the read and I actually make this interesting distinction

19:15

in there because there's value

19:17

of talent versus proximity so like

19:19

I think Tiedemann long term is

19:21

going to be in a much

19:24

higher talent like I think

19:26

he's gonna be long term he can be

19:28

into you know like a number two or

19:30

three I'm not 100 sure on that with

19:32

Scott but I have them very close because

19:34

Scott's proximity so if you were val valuing

19:36

proximity first he should be probably one of

19:39

the top five or six prospects you're overall

19:41

paying attention to and the number one starting

19:43

pitcher now that Jack Leiter is coming up

19:45

tomorrow but you know talent versus is something

19:47

I'll kind of try to have a distinction

19:49

of in in these prospect conversations but I

19:51

would pick up Christian Scott whether it is

19:53

a spot start or taking over regularly in

19:55

the near future it's in his world only way don't

19:58

read your budo guy though might be a a

20:00

little bit of a stopgap before they start pushing him.

20:02

He might, but look, I don't think it's a either

20:04

or scenario. I think it's more of a looking

20:07

at the rest of this flirtation. Like, Katana is

20:09

going to be there. They're paying him. Yeah, definitely.

20:11

No, it's going to be there. Is that a

20:13

long term solution? I mean, I know what Adrian

20:15

Hauser is like. Come on, look, there's definitely space

20:17

to make for the kids. Astros

20:19

have made some space. Spencer Arreguetti says the triple

20:21

A for Forrest Whitley coming back. I feel like Forrest

20:24

Whitley has been a prospect since the 90s. Dude,

20:26

that's so funny. You say that. I

20:28

got an anecdotal thing for you. So

20:30

I shared on my Twitter because 2018

20:32

was his first stint in the AFL.

20:34

Forrest Whitley, he was there twice. And

20:37

that was where he was amazing. Look, he was

20:39

like the top pitcher prospect in baseball. I shared

20:41

video of that. If you want to see

20:43

it, though, it was a great year. Blah, blah, blah. Go to the

20:45

AFL. 2018, I was texting with someone. I

20:48

had this realization. Jackson

20:51

Holiday. I mean, when Forrest

20:53

Whitley was starring in the AFL was 14 years old

20:57

and he beat Forrest Whitley to the majors.

21:00

14 year old Jackson Holiday while he

21:02

was in the AFL beat him to the majors. Wait, wait,

21:04

hold on a second. I think we have a picture of

21:07

Jackson Holiday at that game. Oh, there it is.

21:10

Oh boy, I want to be like Forrest Whitley

21:12

someday. Oh boy, I'll be so much fun with

21:14

this. I watched him before when I was a

21:16

tween. I was a tween. I

21:19

was listening to K-pop stuff and I was

21:21

really excited back then about baseball. Now I

21:23

get to be a baseball player. Oh boy.

21:25

Where's that guy that like remember like two

21:28

seconds into doing this? Like that's going to get old. Like

21:30

he must be gone. He must hate it. He's fine by

21:32

me. Guess what? Jackson Holiday

21:34

still here. Baby Jackson Holiday is

21:36

not going anywhere, folks. Look how much better the

21:38

A.I. is this year compared to last year. So

21:40

I can't wait for the next project. It's going

21:42

to come our way. Oh, I got a few

21:44

in the works. I'm sure there's going to be

21:46

one. All right. Let's do a little three up

21:48

and three down. My goodness. We're making some progress

21:50

here today. Ian Hap, Grand Slam. Great game for

21:53

him. Three for five. Right. All the low pads.

21:55

How about him? Check out seven guys. Talk about

21:57

saving the bacon of The rotation for the.

22:01

Well, no one has been. Well, he's

22:03

been really, you know, so weird to

22:05

he like he doesn't qualify as be

22:07

anywhere. He's just like a relief pitcher

22:09

designation. He'll have that pretty soon. Absolutely.

22:11

I did not hit the forte prop

22:13

yesterday because Chris Patten gave up eight

22:15

earned runs, went like seven innings, and

22:18

could only strike out to everybody else

22:20

hits. But Rinaldo was the one that

22:22

has been dominant at this point. From

22:24

a betting perspective, if you've got a

22:26

team that's unlike the if even bottom

22:28

half of strikeouts in the league and

22:30

it's four and a half, it's gotta

22:33

be just an automatic kit for Reynaldo

22:35

Lopez. And he's pushing himself into a

22:37

territory where it's not so much streaming

22:39

or matchup based. You. Might just put

22:41

him out there every single day because he

22:43

does look great. He's efficient is sliders, get

22:45

work done, his fastball pops in this case

22:47

keep common. So yeah, I'm kind of down

22:50

with Renault. I don't Obama like go nuts

22:52

about his rank. As far as and S

22:54

p by yeah, he's becoming a lot more

22:56

trustworthy. By. Let's go on with

22:58

some more of the ups or got one more

23:00

up to do Here we have. I don't see

23:03

Sues been again. Tremendous pick up there. For.

23:05

The San Diego Padres Six innings for him picked

23:07

up the W Ah, another strung out of

23:09

for him of course the down for a paddock.

23:12

Go. To my bones. Just what I thought

23:14

it was safe. Nine runs. Twelve.

23:17

Years advisor Third use. Ah,

23:20

out of our door Robert Ozil way

23:22

I was a lack insert. I can't

23:24

talk today. I'll zola although I will.

23:26

Eyes are blue save doesn't matter both

23:28

save Kyle. Hendricks also set up a

23:31

severance afford a third question. Thomas.

23:33

For known Ah has been really good.

23:35

a Aaa for the Cubbies. Any

23:38

chance we see him sooner than later is a

23:40

call it because like some of these other I

23:42

mean are no reason just assume return. Software.

23:44

Create a little bit a logjam there but as

23:46

any hope they're pinata at some point. makes his

23:48

appearance. I. Wouldn't that wouldn't be

23:51

my bet. My good friend Just and Steel should

23:53

be condemned very soon. Been Brown has kind of

23:55

solidified himself to continue getting opportunities to your point

23:57

from the spot start prospective. Maybe your guy are

24:00

Advocate Horton I think as can be the long

24:02

term option. I think if they were looking for

24:04

a long term sill even though Horton has been.like

24:06

that's the guy that you're gonna end up going

24:08

to. but now I think like they're getting a

24:11

little bit healthier. Don't think they're going experiment too

24:13

much and it from and I think what you're

24:15

looking to it's not going to be of they're

24:17

expensive. Far Kyle Hendricks Another Kyle Hendricks is going

24:20

anywhere anytime soon. The matter how rough it is

24:22

for quite some time they are going to be

24:24

committed. He's kind of a legacy play for them.

24:26

Or they can. We take a month or two

24:29

of just bad outings. For them to let him go. Inarguably.

24:31

What I just found here on the

24:34

computer here. I found last year's favorite

24:36

Ai off V terrifying lasagna making of

24:38

them out whereas friends discovers his I

24:40

i don't know it fell in their

24:42

be along with i was better at

24:44

it is year over year the droids

24:47

are covering for us wells. It's

24:49

happening. Sooner. Than later

24:51

of get to the injuries year. ah unfortunately

24:53

the Braves had to put all the album

24:56

attend a I L with fractured toe. So.

24:58

Speedy recovery for him, but he did. You notice that they

25:01

move Michael Harris of those two spots of. Those.

25:03

We have Michael hers that's a good little

25:05

girl. Temporary bump I think, but there's a

25:07

lot know middle infield. Really good replacement. They'd

25:09

lose an air. My gear made your mouth

25:11

or is who they ended up bringing up.

25:13

Sign on earth it's is not good They

25:16

they have no really. Go. They had Von

25:18

Grissom at one point when they moved him

25:20

both. There's really no good like second base

25:22

replacement and I mean just around the league

25:24

you're gonna have to find replacements for losing

25:26

Ozzy on another to you know guy like

25:28

Blaze. If you're looking for middle infield is

25:31

definitely an option. Davis Snyder if he still.

25:33

Sitting out there they just doesn't feel like the

25:35

second base options are is plentiful and losing our

25:37

the kills me in a league or to some.

25:39

I don't know what's going on but my mares

25:41

and the child the fastballs account still naming Expo

25:43

that was a Monday. A good are

25:45

you doing here? Still doing the. Marquise,

25:48

a lotta expensive items Bro Jeb, what

25:50

does the watching Another arrow? Yeah, just

25:52

as Sarah, what are we were doing?

25:54

Wheelies named can only types or something

25:56

good with the with the program with

25:58

the current content. I let's

26:00

get you out the rest of the injuries.

26:03

your personal extend day I yell retroactive to

26:05

the thirteenth with a lower back straight onto

26:07

others a little bit yesterday. Games not good.

26:10

That's. Issues from baseball players.

26:13

Historically. Do Not end well as really

26:15

kind of killed for shutouts his career after

26:17

those back to back and credible seasons that

26:19

he had a real i am very worried

26:21

about Bastard Like a dozen see I was

26:23

just talking about this. I. Don't.

26:25

Know how these guys are going to be able

26:28

to like to have quick recoveries from Battler? Give

26:30

you roll your ankle or something? you can't keep

26:32

up for two weeks of old. but as back

26:34

injuries it just takes one wrong twins as the

26:36

own get older. I feel it every single day.

26:39

So for Monopoly doing you know like real stuff

26:41

they're gonna keep kind of a lingering on as

26:43

I am worried about that. Also I don't know

26:45

if you had a x I think this just

26:47

came down so apologies if I'm stepping on it

26:50

but I see the chat really wants us to

26:52

mention Yu Darvish has been put on the fifteen

26:54

day I'll and that's it's. I mean just

26:56

another as below, which is absolutely brutal. And

26:59

had they not gotten rid of a godly

27:01

Drew Thor by thing through, Thorpe would have

27:03

been a decent option to come up with.

27:05

They traded him to the White Sox, but

27:07

you darvish on the I was pretty pretty

27:10

bad. Garrett. Whitlock was

27:12

a move yesterday. Are those other guy vested in

27:14

was a good number of? fortunately he has an

27:16

oblique tightness now so he'll be on the shelf.

27:18

I'm sure Braxton Garrett scan undergo further testing. He

27:20

has a dead arm issues so that's not good.

27:22

Ah say Suzuki we know is gonna miss four

27:25

weeks. Talk about him going on. But the good

27:27

news is Josh Low Key is working on a

27:29

rehab assignment are starting on Thursday so he is

27:31

on his way back. so some reason he soared

27:33

around or mail somebody who doesn't need him has

27:35

been the roster. Go make a trade. you know

27:37

I thought I'd it as i'm sorry a very

27:39

that just with I just saw this. Yesterday the

27:42

to someone posted the two thousand and

27:44

sixteen Mlb draft and Josh Low was

27:46

in the first round and I was

27:48

amazed by it's look worse draft you've

27:50

ever seen of talent making it. So

27:52

go back and look two thousand and

27:54

sixteen Mlb draft first France like. josh

27:57

slow is the best player

28:00

of that entire crew. That was like Mickey Moniac

28:02

was the number one overall pick. It just had

28:04

me thinking when I think about Josh Lowe now,

28:06

like is not into him as I am. He

28:08

is hands down the best of that entire crew.

28:10

So go go and look and tell me what

28:12

you guys think. 2016 first round MLB draft. Kyle

28:16

Bradish through three shutout innings. He had

28:19

a rehab start yesterday. So fingers crossed

28:21

for Bradish. Walker Bueller is going to

28:23

make another rehab start on Thursday. And

28:25

Gary Cole throwing off flat ground. So

28:27

we had a catch. He's throwing off the

28:29

flat ground from 75 feet. Welsh. Is

28:32

this the time to sell on Gary Cole

28:34

when everything is the upward trajectory? See, I

28:36

know. No, no, you got to wait on

28:38

me why it's not. No, you got

28:40

to wait a little bit. You got no, the perfect

28:42

time to sell is when he starts with the rehab

28:45

assignments and he gets up. Like I get your worry.

28:47

He starts ramping up a little twinge and then he's

28:49

gone for the year. But no, I don't I don't

28:51

think there's enough excitement because we're not on the precipice.

28:53

You need to be doing if that's what you want

28:55

to do. I don't know why, but

28:57

if you were to have gotten like a super, super

29:00

late share and you wanted to get rid of him,

29:02

you would want to sell that like within a

29:04

couple weeks of him coming up. But

29:06

I wouldn't I would I want to sell him

29:08

before the first rehab start. You do not want

29:10

to be part of Garrett Cole this year. I

29:12

want and I might be wrong,

29:14

but I think that his peak value potentially again,

29:16

we have to look at the downside. There's a

29:18

lot of downside here. When

29:21

and when it's announced of his rehab star, like maybe

29:23

not today, maybe you're right. Maybe I'm being overreactive today.

29:26

But for me, once that

29:28

rehab start is announced, oh, next Tuesday or whatever

29:30

the hell it is, that's

29:33

when you put him on the block and you see what you can get because

29:35

people go, OK, he's coming back. Let's go. I might be

29:37

able to win my league with Gary Cole, but Gary Cole could

29:39

lose you a league if I gave you. You

29:42

don't try to make you think he'll be the best pitcher in

29:44

baseball. You don't trust to be the best pitcher in baseball. Like

29:46

I comes back or a version of that, whether he's talented. Well,

29:48

she's about whether he's healthy. That's

29:51

my problem. Yeah, that's talent. It's

29:53

about is this a ticking time bomb that's going to ruin

29:55

the rest of my season? Do I have a chance to

29:57

get out from that time bomb? I mean.

30:00

I'm not saying like Logan Gilbert's the guy that you want

30:02

for him. Not

30:05

maybe Logan Gilbert. But if somebody gave you Grayson

30:07

Rodriguez for him, would you take that? I would.

30:10

What, right now? Yeah, right now. Yeah, I'm

30:12

not getting any production. Yeah, right now I

30:14

would. But I don't think anybody is going

30:16

to like sell anything top

30:18

100 or 150 for

30:21

a guy that's still two months away. That's why he

30:23

fell like past 150, 200 in redraft leagues. Maybe

30:26

it's different if like you drafted him really early

30:28

on and you drafted him in the second round

30:30

and you've been sitting here holding the bag. But

30:32

no, I don't know. I think he's kind of

30:34

a weird one. I think the only play you

30:36

can ever do is buy on him extremely low,

30:38

because otherwise when he's close, the idea of

30:40

if you took him at like 200 and he comes back

30:42

and you're going to have half

30:45

of the season of Garrett Cole. I

30:47

want that. I'm going to think of all those people that didn't

30:49

take him that late. Like I think there's a lot of people

30:51

that did not do that. Well, you're sure there's a lot of

30:53

earlier drafts. I understand. But I think there's

30:55

a lot of earlier drafts or people that did not

30:57

get that kind of discount on him, potentially. I think

31:00

that's something to not really consider. All right. Let's move

31:02

on to the

31:04

real stuff here. Let's get on to it because

31:06

it is Wednesday, folks. And Wednesday means a few

31:09

things, but it also means it's time for the

31:11

best bets of the day with Joey P and

31:13

the Welsh. Make sure when you're betting, you're using

31:15

Bet 365, Bet five bucks, get 150 bonus bets

31:17

when you use the

31:20

promo code leading off. All right. Welsh. Tough luck

31:22

yesterday. It was on some good things, but Whitlock's

31:24

injury kind of hurt me there. So we'll get

31:26

back on it today. Red Sox minus one and

31:28

a half on the run line versus the Guardians.

31:30

I like this one with Halk on the mound

31:33

of getting plus money, plus 146. Halk has been

31:35

terrific. The Guardians are, you know, up

31:37

and down, I think a little bit. I

31:39

think the Red Sox can take advantage of this matchup

31:42

here. They got Ben Lively on the mound too. So

31:44

that's the other thing is lively means you're going to

31:46

probably be into that bullpen a little sooner than you

31:48

want to be. Then I'm looking into this Dodger game

31:50

with the nationals and I'm looking to Mookie Betts

31:52

and I'm looking to CJ Abrams, Mookie Betts over

31:54

one and a half total basis plus one Oh

31:56

four. I can't believe you're getting plus money on

31:58

this. Even use five for five. The

32:00

guy's been on fire all year and then CJ Abrams

32:02

over one and a half total bases for him as

32:04

well You're getting even money on that. So really

32:07

good opportunity here I like the over

32:09

in this game too with some suspect pitching in

32:11

this one So you could see a lot of

32:13

firepower there for the parlay of the day. Let's

32:15

keep it simple Let's take that over in that

32:17

Dodger game with the naps minus 108 for nine

32:19

and a half Let's go over on that one

32:21

I mean there's a chance that the Dodgers could

32:23

do this by themselves today and then the Phillies

32:26

on the money line minus 225 Against

32:28

the Rockies. I'm trolling the Rockies again. You put

32:30

those two things together get plus 178

32:33

well, so that's what I got going today. What

32:35

do you have for Wednesday in Major League Baseball?

32:37

Well, my very first one I'm just gonna tell

32:39

you it's a benefit to follow me on betting

32:41

pros if you care what I'm betting betting pros

32:43

comm slash Welsh Is just an easy quick fine?

32:45

Because this is about to happen and I'm just

32:47

gonna quickly burn through it because this game is

32:50

just about to start But this is one of

32:52

those if you had seen it you could have

32:54

bet it all morning But Pablo Lopez walks one

32:56

and a half under Lopez currently a 5.8% walk

32:58

rate Orioles have

33:00

the lowest walk percentage in baseball and

33:02

Lopez is a weird one in 2023

33:06

only walked more than two consecutive batters

33:09

In back-to-back games three times the entire season

33:11

So it was more often than not two

33:14

batters and the next game would be one

33:16

one stuff like that That's

33:18

when you would have had to got in a little bit early or if you're

33:20

watching live you got like minutes to do it Second

33:22

up we did hit the nerf e parlay yesterday If

33:24

you guys the two to one on that that was

33:26

a nice hit I was two and one on the

33:28

day Logan Gilbert also hit But I'm

33:30

going back to the nerf e and I'm going

33:33

to an ugly game But we're going to an

33:35

ugly offensive someone in the chat said who do

33:37

you like Paul Blackburn or Stephen Matts today? Well,

33:39

give me both because I'm going with the Cardinals

33:41

and the A's no run first inning that over

33:43

on bet 365 is minus 125

33:46

Oakland is the fourth worst first

33:48

inning score Offense so far

33:51

and st. Louis is the seventh worst

33:53

as far as first innings scoring Matt

33:55

He's been pretty good and Oakland is

33:57

hitting just two hundred against lefties this

33:59

year Blackburn, he hasn't given up a

34:01

run all year. It's risky

34:03

because the pitchers are not elite

34:05

of elite, but those offenses are

34:07

less than elite. And then finally,

34:09

talking about Atlanta, JP France, I'm

34:11

picking on him with Atlanta's team

34:13

total runs two and a half

34:15

through the first five innings. I know it sounds so convoluted,

34:17

but over the first five innings, I am

34:19

betting that Atlanta scores three runs or more, that's minus

34:22

115. JP France has given up

34:24

three or more earned runs in each of his starts.

34:26

His last one, he gave up eight, he

34:28

didn't go five innings. And by the way,

34:30

the Braves are hitting 315 against Rydys. Those

34:34

are my best bets. And if you want to

34:36

follow, I'll probably add a few more when this

34:38

is all said and done. So make sure you're

34:40

following me on Betting Pros to see what else

34:42

I add to my card. And join our group

34:45

to bettingpros.com/leading off because starting on

34:47

Friday of this week to Friday of next

34:49

week, we're gonna be giving away free swag.

34:51

Whoever has the best record over that time.

34:53

So if you want a free hat or

34:56

free t-shirts, or something like that, well, all

34:58

you gotta do is make picks. You don't

35:00

even have to make wagers, go do that.

35:02

Download the Betting Pros app today. And of

35:04

course join that group to bettingpros.com/leading off. And

35:06

that my friends, of course, is

35:08

the best bet of the day

35:11

for Wednesday and Major League Baseball. All

35:13

right, well, so let's get after it. And let's talk about

35:16

home runs. I'm gonna keep it simple. I'm

35:18

gonna stay with the Dodgers. That's where I'm

35:20

staying. I'm gonna stay in that Dodger game.

35:23

And I'm gonna go with Shohei Otani in

35:25

this one today. So let's go Shohei for

35:27

the dinger. Welsh, before we

35:29

get to the wheel, just a reminder

35:32

everybody that after the show today, you

35:34

can continue the chatter with us over

35:36

on our Discord, fantasypros.com/chat. Cleaning

35:38

up will be on right after

35:40

this. So you run to our Discord, you

35:43

can hang out there, ask us questions, talk

35:45

to us about your team, about life, about

35:47

your favorite Italian pastries, whatever it might be.

35:50

And we will be there for you

35:52

again. That's only on our Discord, fantasypros.com/chat.

35:54

And Welsh, that means that it's time

35:56

to get to the wheel. And here

35:59

it is. We always hear. Back.

36:01

Again, All. right? So

36:03

who's the names we see? I see

36:06

O'neill Cruz, I see Jackson Merrill. Of

36:08

Who's The Scrubber the day as well.

36:10

We got a couple we got Blaze,

36:12

Alexander, Jackson Merrill say Langa Layers Carry

36:14

Carpenter is kind of are low plays

36:16

Aaron Judge or Bryce Harper Matt Olson

36:18

O'neill Cruz as are high plays and

36:21

then we've got the first comments over

36:23

lands on first comments. After that hits

36:25

I will look in the first com

36:27

and I see as a person I

36:29

will take yesterday the wheel didn't want

36:31

me to have a homer. We picked

36:33

Mark Kenneth not in the lineup. We

36:35

picked Bobby wit rain doubts. Wells goes

36:37

okay. I'll go to the Discord. And I'll

36:39

go into the home run call room, pick

36:41

my own didn't work. The. Well with we'll

36:43

just had something going to they so this is really

36:45

try to say the wheel so let's see what it

36:47

is. Ladies and gentlemen the wheels Going to pick my

36:49

home run call so I can get on that homer

36:52

on board with shows. Gotta show! After all done here

36:54

because I want to get back on it. Who do

36:56

you a hoodie wanted to land on for me before

36:58

I hit it. Ah I think I

37:00

speak for everybody when I say blaze

37:02

Alexander was processed food as a rude

37:04

or nord of ah. There.

37:07

It is the wheel is spreading phobes, Jackson.

37:10

Were. All Jackson Marrow.

37:12

Okay, I think less that

37:14

was methods like one homer. It's not a

37:16

i got the scrub call as a day

37:19

but you know what? I don't want to

37:21

be scrubbing about Jackson Merrill because he's hitting

37:23

over three hundred multiple other you that back

37:25

to back three hit get. He has been

37:27

fantastic an awesome this year. Plus this is.

37:30

Not. Them as don't run follow the day.

37:32

a well we shall see it is if

37:34

he hits a home run of course there's

37:37

the leaderboard hasn't changed really are day over

37:39

day so hopefully today or gets of movement

37:41

on that one at again are we can

37:43

weigh free stuff you're on the channel for

37:45

all of you join us every single day

37:47

watching the video subscribe to the channel well

37:49

if you're a subscriber fans rose mlb if

37:52

you could win this the jose ramirez autograph

37:54

jersey that's were giving away right now again

37:56

i got your comment below on one of

37:58

the videos and subscribe to the channel and

38:00

that's it. This could be yours. So win

38:02

it because it's going to be gone pretty

38:04

fast here. Welsh we're going to be gone

38:07

pretty fast too. We're going to be running

38:09

over to discord to jump in there.

38:11

And of course, talk

38:13

to the people because we are men of the people

38:15

after all. Shout out to cousin Donny, making

38:17

an appearance, making an Uber, each delivery of canolis

38:20

to Welsh. I'm going to finish this over on

38:22

there. Oh, you know what? How about this too?

38:24

How about I'll try the on the discord. I'm

38:26

going to try the rainbow cookie as well. Oh,

38:28

but I will be eating this when we go

38:30

over. I kind of want to work out for the on the

38:32

wheel. I wanted to get

38:34

the first name out of the chat because if

38:36

it was mayor, he would have shouted out some

38:39

random expo like Tim Wallach or something like that.

38:41

And that would have been a definitive zero. Luis

38:45

Guerrero like mayor, what are you talking? Where

38:47

was mayor? What is he doing? I don't

38:49

know. He's talking about Ryan Mountcastle right now.

38:51

So that's all I know. Go to the

38:53

discord. fantasypros.com/cleaning up. That's the way to get

38:56

there. That'll do it for us. And the

38:58

story of the game goes on for the

39:00

Welsh. I'm Joey P. We'll

39:02

see you next time. Can I lie? Oh,

39:04

I'm not.