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MLB: Leading Off May 7th, 2024 (EP. 806)

MLB: Leading Off May 7th, 2024 (EP. 806)

Released Tuesday, 7th May 2024
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MLB: Leading Off May 7th, 2024 (EP. 806)

MLB: Leading Off May 7th, 2024 (EP. 806)

MLB: Leading Off May 7th, 2024 (EP. 806)

MLB: Leading Off May 7th, 2024 (EP. 806)

Tuesday, 7th May 2024
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Episode Transcript

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0:05

Welcome everybody to Fantasy Bros FLB.

0:08

This is Leading Off Live, brought to you by Bet365. Use

0:11

that promo code leading off when you sign up at

0:13

Bet365. Bet five bucks, get 150 in bonus. Betts.

0:17

Oh my God, it's unbelievable. Look it's the

0:20

Welsh. It's Joey P. And of course it's

0:22

you, the peanuts and the cracker jacks. And

0:24

everything's back to normal here on the yard

0:26

today. So no technical difficulties. Thank goodness. Welsh

0:29

at the top of the show, I have something for

0:31

you. Would you, would you like to have it? Oh,

0:34

I don't know. I don't know if I want to

0:36

have it. Not that. There you go.

0:38

It's a loaded question. I'm going to show you my O

0:40

face. Oh, oh,

0:42

oh, Tani. A home run yesterday,

0:44

baby. Let's go. So

0:47

I'm up on the board again.

0:49

Let's get after it. I know a lot of people

0:51

on social media yesterday saw it and like up. Joe's

0:54

going to be annoying. Night said, well,

0:56

how is that different than any other day?

0:58

Welsh? Yeah. I see those homers

1:00

go 440. Oh,

1:03

no feet. I'm like, there we go. I

1:05

can't. In all fairness, anybody on the Dodgers

1:08

yesterday was probably a good investment.

1:10

Well, also it was one of those classic

1:12

days. If you guys remember at the end

1:14

of the show where I talk to myself,

1:16

I was like, by the way, kind of

1:18

really like Bryce Harper, but let's go with

1:20

Bobby Witt. I just,

1:22

I do this all the time. I will literally

1:24

say the guy that I should pick, but I'm

1:26

like, but I'm stupid. So I'm going to take

1:29

the not one. I got the solution

1:31

for you. You need a dummy discord account

1:33

where you have like the anti

1:35

Welsh. Oh, and then eventually

1:38

anti Welsh gets enough home runs when all

1:40

you just like the second guess Welsh like

1:42

Welsh junior, whatever it is, the Melch. It'll

1:44

just be like W, but the in the

1:46

outside. Oh, that's very good. That's very

1:48

like bad. Is it? Is it the Melch's comic book?

1:50

Is it? I

1:52

like it. I love this. Like, like is

1:54

here Jerry Nelson enjoying a chicken cutlet sandwich and, and

1:57

hanging out with us. There's nothing better than I just

1:59

had a chicken cutlet. before I came on. What's

2:01

a cutlet? No, I know. Listen,

2:03

but like, how would you

2:05

describe a cutlet more than like a

2:08

fried? I make outstanding chicken cutlets. My children know

2:10

this. First of all, you got to get good

2:12

chicken. You can't just go by it. Like you

2:14

got to get good chicken. No, I got the

2:17

chicken part. You pound out the chicken. You do

2:19

the egg, the flour, the breadcrumbs. You fry them

2:21

up. You know, the baking you want

2:23

to, you want to live forever good for you. A

2:25

proper chicken cutlet. You pound the hell out of it,

2:27

get it a little thinner, and then you go ahead

2:29

and you fry that bad boy. A little bit

2:32

of salt at the end. Boom. You make sure your

2:34

salt and pepper, a little garlic powder too. I like

2:36

to do before I dredge them, but

2:38

that's, that's how you do. What makes it

2:40

cutlet? What exactly makes the cut and the

2:43

lid? Let's

2:45

move on. Why is everybody freaking out? I don't

2:47

know. I don't know. Let's talk about more good

2:49

things. Cole Reagan's six

2:51

innings hit the strikeout number. It was

2:53

a good day. Well, it's a good day. We're up

2:55

finally back rock and roll. Zach Wheeler, 11 strikeouts

2:59

for clearly the Cy Young

3:01

leader right now in the National League. Like

3:03

he is the guy to beat. So the

3:05

question is, Welsh, can Zach Wheeler maintain this

3:07

pace? Somebody on X just hit me up.

3:09

My pitching stinks. My hitting is great. Can

3:12

I trade Freddie Freeman for Zach Wheeler? I

3:14

said he could. Could you trade Freddie

3:16

Freeman for Wheeler? I think that's all

3:18

right. I don't think, well, no, you could do it.

3:20

I don't think you're going to do it. I think

3:23

with the landscape of pitching, I think Zach

3:25

Wheeler might be one of the toughest dudes

3:27

to go acquire right now. Any

3:29

really, really good starting pitcher is going to cost

3:31

way more on the hitting front that you want.

3:34

I think I'd be willing to. I think it's an even, even

3:37

Stevens type of deal, but you know, like the

3:39

lack of walks in the positive way for Wheeler

3:41

is a big strikeout. I kind of

3:43

wanted to play a ladder yesterday with Wheeler and didn't

3:45

work out, but yeah, I mean, you've got the offensive

3:47

support. He looks as locked in as all can be,

3:50

but yeah, I think it's going to cost like first

3:52

round type of talent. Freeman's interesting because I

3:55

think if I were to present and

3:57

we were to do a poll and we were like,

3:59

would you trade? Ellie Day-La-Cruise for Zach Wheeler. I

4:01

feel like people would freak out,

4:03

like, oh my God, but Ellie's got the upside.

4:06

But even though Freddie Freeman is so safe, there's

4:08

a little bit of a boringness to him, not

4:10

a lead, you know, stolen bases, not a lead

4:12

homers. He's just good everywhere. People would be more

4:15

willing to move a Freddie Freeman for a Zach

4:17

Wheeler than they would

4:19

an Ellie Day-La-Cruise. But those

4:21

are the names that I think would probably take to

4:24

get a Zach Wheeler right now. And is that gonna be worth it?

4:26

I don't know. A cutlet, by the

4:28

way, the official definition. A

4:31

thin slice of meat from the leg, ribs,

4:33

or other parts of

4:35

veal pork or chicken. So typically, like,

4:37

you take a one single piece of

4:39

chicken breast and then you pound

4:41

it out. You gotta pound it. You gotta tenderize

4:43

your meat. You pound your meat. That's how you

4:45

get your stress out. But how do you do

4:47

it? Yeah, yeah, yeah. You do it

4:49

like this, that's how you do it. You do it

4:51

like that. We get a poor effect. Yeah,

4:54

yeah. Walker Bueller returns to

4:56

the mound. Three runs for innings.

4:58

Monday's game against the

5:00

Marlins there. So

5:02

again, good to have him back. Healthy,

5:05

Justin Steele also returned yesterday. Four and

5:07

two-thirds shutout innings. So Steele was better.

5:10

San Diego offense continues to struggle, by the

5:12

way. Just saying, I love the cubbies today

5:14

with Imanaga on the mound against, was

5:18

it Randy Vasquez in the Padres? Yeah, they

5:20

brought up Randy Vasquez. Nobody in their lineup

5:22

has seen Luis Arraez has seen Imanaga yet

5:24

and he was over against him. So just

5:27

saying, today is Imanaga. But what'd you think

5:29

about Steele and Walker Bueller? Yeah,

5:33

I wanna talk about Wheeler. So, so you've

5:36

got that in. When you said that Wheeler earlier, I wanna

5:38

like this Walker Bueller. Walker Bueller, if

5:40

you put it together, Wheeler. The

5:43

fake players that we've created, we have got

5:45

this roster of like MLB the show fake

5:47

players in my John Wick character, the All

5:49

Stars, but yeah. Yeah, well, I mean, whatever.

5:51

It's the seventh year into MLB the show

5:54

or something like that. So

5:56

Getting back to Walker Bueller, Walker Bueller 22% whiff rate. Overall

6:00

twenty seven percent C S W he was.

6:02

I use everything like ninety one on the

6:04

cutter, but the fastball. that was kind of

6:06

the big thing. That thing was back. it

6:09

was actually up over that last time we

6:11

had seen him it was averaging just that.

6:13

Ninety six. That was speed to me. So

6:15

all the different variations of fastballs that he

6:17

throws solid knuckle curve in. They're getting some

6:19

with thirty three percent whiff rate. I.

6:22

Actually thought it was really encouraging and you

6:24

guys heard me. I was like not to

6:26

bring to Walker Bueller for this first are

6:28

he did give up some early on but

6:30

that was good on the just and steal

6:32

side. Mom had mommy and Justin still looks

6:34

pretty locked and I did say this is

6:36

probably not the start to go a big

6:39

I wanted to do the strikeouts early on

6:41

but you're going up against the podres at

6:43

wasn't the first place to buy. Your.

6:45

Life you can be comfortable with just

6:48

unsealed clearly moving forward. And I really

6:50

think it's more about Walker Beulah Here,

6:52

Walker Bueller looks. Like. He is

6:54

in that all this form so I feel

6:57

very positive about that. Very good yeah I

6:59

wonder about her. You consider moving

7:01

him after a couple start knowing the

7:03

trade in the his rights. Interesting. Okay

7:05

here we go. Walker Bueller for Geron

7:08

Duran who is rather have rest of

7:10

season. Ice

7:12

and when I was I today and are

7:15

aware you do. I know that today I

7:17

don't I have added hello. I guess that

7:19

I I'm going. I'm a sucker for before

7:21

the show and that luxury other proteins are

7:23

surging through my veins. You guys don't understand

7:25

By the way how difficult it is on

7:27

our time zones. It's lunch time as crazy

7:29

time for Joe I'm tired. It's like nine

7:32

in the morning. I get up at seven

7:34

in the morning to get ready for the

7:36

show. In Jos life I've had my job

7:38

losses like our energies have already been to

7:40

the gym avert eat my by Protein ever.

7:42

Yell. Had three meetings recorded

7:44

to video round where you're going to. I

7:46

know it's it's amazing are both I would

7:49

I might lee was because of the. The

7:52

pods years and just like the

7:55

pitching market in general, I'm talking

7:57

about selling high that laugh at

7:59

it. I. Everybody enjoyed Was last day

8:01

of the program today. it's been a good

8:03

run. Okay, I wasn't the one that was

8:05

like this. It's forty minutes on. I was

8:07

just showing people how Caitlyn for pay I

8:10

know and on it's own talking about I

8:12

don't know what you're talking about He pounded

8:14

of on Jack Flaherty. Still Jack Flaherty. What

8:16

I mean. This is something I

8:18

saw com and I got about. Again,

8:21

As as big as it is on the show of

8:23

not As and on the Tv shows that there was

8:25

a party this years like Jack Flaherty what of would

8:27

have This is the your Jack Flaherty got a guy

8:29

puts it back together with I have never asked that

8:31

question. I do as I as a question allowed and

8:33

I went. And I just like

8:35

I can't do this and I was at it's Six. Or

8:38

more Strike Out and six Settings Page elusive

8:40

a Guardian below you have to runs with the

8:42

were Really good start for Jack Florida. Now here's

8:44

the thing. It's been really solid for the first

8:46

like six stars for this guy. Is this the

8:49

perfect example of the prototypical i don't know if

8:51

is in your video this week of the Sell

8:53

High God because Flowery so far has been. Unbelievable.

8:56

He's been free. There. Is

8:58

a script for you to write where the injuries

9:01

come back around. There is discovery could write were

9:03

obviously you know the Detroit Tigers are still very

9:05

much a. A. Negative: A work in progress

9:07

where they're still need on a very good when you

9:09

look at a deeper sets of Jax Larry to Just

9:11

Dakota. Throws: out there. Three.

9:13

Six he or a on the year is expected He

9:15

or eight, two, nine, nine his ex fifth two to

9:18

four. So. This is not like smoke

9:20

and mirrors. Saudia. Hold or The is

9:22

so Flaherty. I'm. A cell?

9:24

I do. I mean, this might be

9:26

one of those legs years. Wells is

9:28

gonna be dead on wrong the whole

9:30

year. That's fine. I don't

9:32

buy that, I don't buy the Flaherty stuff

9:34

long to I I understand like what he's

9:36

doing is amazing, but the he hasn't been

9:39

consistent like that's the thing that's the only

9:41

thing about him is his been wildly inconsistent.

9:43

i was trying to look at this rate

9:46

non i'm not finding it or a year

9:48

ago i wanted to look at pitch values

9:50

on flaherty because one thing feels very eric

9:53

lauer from a couple years ago ask

9:55

is just how like dominant his fastball as

9:57

right now because in his last start nine

9:59

hour I know well, no Eric Lauer

10:01

like two years ago He had like one of

10:03

the highest rated pitch values of a fastball the

10:06

most with his fastball was destroying everybody But

10:08

that is a very like reliever type thing

10:10

like starting pitchers getting all of your wisps

10:13

and stuff like that They just don't usually

10:16

like long-term Halt when

10:19

it's all about the fastball 30 had

10:21

nine wisps a forty nine Forty-one

10:23

percent whiff rate on his fastball in this

10:25

last start nine swinging with five on the

10:27

slider. It's been good So

10:29

I'm saying all this to say all right.

10:32

I wanted to see what it what his

10:34

pitch values look like His slider is currently

10:36

the 111th, but it's a positive his

10:38

fastball is a positive, but it's only at a one

10:41

Uh, or no, that is his curveball his fastball right

10:44

now, even though he got all those wisps. This is

10:46

what i'm leading to negative

10:48

six run value a negative six

10:50

that fastball is doing a lot

10:53

of stuff That is still

10:55

not massively valuable and I don't think

10:57

the secondaries are as good He's

10:59

probably way out performing because he wasn't

11:01

even on my radar. I'm like Jack

11:04

flarity get out of my face get out of my

11:06

all right Well, let's talk about the opponents too. He's

11:09

faced the white Sox the A's the twins twice Tampa's

11:11

offense the Cardinals offensive strikes out a

11:14

ton and Cleveland every

11:16

single one of those but cleveland

11:18

massive strikeout guys. Here's where i'm

11:20

wrong. Flaherty has value Where

11:23

i'm like, nope never not going to do it

11:25

But what I do love at this

11:27

point like you alluded to there are some underlying

11:30

stats that speak pretty well to him I

11:32

would sell him maybe you could

11:35

sell him for walker beauler right now Probably not because

11:37

I don't think anyone believes yeah I know i'm gonna

11:39

buy a you know, i'm gonna buy a guy on

11:41

the tigers over a guy on the dodgers But I

11:43

think it is more of a what was that face?

11:47

I don't know if you're looking I was just like Me

11:51

you're still on camera so everyone no, no, no,

11:53

but like we're reading literally made this face Is

11:55

it carries you in? Well, no you are planning

11:57

juka breech for a second. I have a relationship

12:00

The audience sometimes when you're reading sheets and stuff like that

12:02

and I just letting them know I acknowledge that I mean,

12:04

yeah, but you mean you made like the

12:06

duck face kind of thing that you were like

12:08

It was very oh my god. You get pretty

12:10

full eating off. Oh my god. I

12:13

do Single double

12:15

walk twice. So hopefully you start a plot

12:17

of things I told you you're missing your

12:19

window to buy on the Casianos by now

12:21

rookie looky little sad here thing Parker Meadows

12:24

Expected to be optioned today the triple-a. I

12:26

know that was one of your guys, but

12:28

it's okay things will get better Mason black

12:31

not very good yesterday five runs eight

12:33

hits four and a third against the

12:35

Phillies Paul skeins Scheduled

12:37

a pitch for triple-a again this week Welsh. This

12:40

was not in the plan No, this is what

12:42

this was a counter plan because I had

12:44

said I thought this start coming up was

12:46

the Paul skein start Here's the one thing

12:48

though. The last start. He wasn't

12:50

very good. The previous one we nailed

12:52

it 75 pitches So

12:55

this was the start we needed 80 he went

12:57

66 he went less because he walked a

12:59

few he gave up his first Homer I

13:02

don't really understand why they babied him down part

13:04

of me was like, oh, maybe they're babying him

13:06

down a tiny bit to get him Go I'm

13:09

baffled by this stuff might be the

13:11

next start if it's not the next start then I

13:13

clearly don't know what the hell I'm talking about and

13:15

I can't figure it out, but I thought it was

13:17

this one So it's either the 17th or the 18th

13:19

and here are the two starts though both

13:22

are against the Cubs Why did I think

13:24

they would do it on this one because it's at

13:26

home They could he could face

13:28

the Cubs at home in Pittsburgh. Otherwise, it's

13:30

going on the road to Chicago If you

13:32

want the big gate I get that, you

13:35

know, you want to have that big first start at home

13:37

I'm all for that give you know Pirates fans have not

13:39

had a lot to cheer about in the last ten years

13:41

Give them something. Here's a question from Andy T Our

13:43

powers go to shut down Jared Joseph some point and backfill with

13:46

skeins No, they're gonna shut them both down at some point. I

13:48

hate to break it to everybody. I don't think they will I

13:50

don't I think they're down No,

13:53

I think they're managing. I think they're managing if they're

13:55

in it They're not shutting these guys down if they

13:57

are completely completely out of it, then they're just gonna

13:59

like I don't know if

14:01

there'll be any like massive actual shut down. They're

14:03

babying Paul Skeens right now in theory to not

14:06

have to do crazy babying at the back end of

14:09

the year. Jared Jones, I mean, you know, certain starts,

14:11

they didn't let him go 60 pitches. I don't know.

14:14

Here. We also just don't

14:16

know what's going on with the Pirates. Why

14:18

would you not have Paul Skeens? Why is

14:20

Mason Black making it to the majors and

14:22

Paul Skeens isn't when he's the most dominant

14:24

minor league pitcher we've seen since like, Steven

14:26

Strasperger or I think Strasperger, Stroud. It's

14:29

funny you said that. I was thinking the

14:32

other day, which I don't do

14:34

too often because I know that's probably a dangerous thing for

14:36

me. But I was thinking, you know, about pitching

14:38

prospects with this level of hype and anticipation.

14:41

And of course, Strasperger comes to mind. And we all

14:43

know what became of that, which was bouts

14:46

of disappointment and

14:49

injury with every now and then sporadic greatness.

14:51

I think, is that fair? Is that a

14:53

fair assessment of the Strasperger

14:55

career? Mark Pryor

14:58

was another guy. I was thinking of Mark

15:00

Pryor too. You and I were friends. So

15:03

Mark Pryor was another one where you had

15:05

the, oh my God, this guy is going

15:07

to be campmased. We all drooled over ourselves,

15:10

invested, over invested. And it

15:12

was short lived and

15:14

never had at least Strasberg had the

15:16

other glimpses. You're going down a path. People are not going

15:18

to like where you're starting to go. I know. And then

15:21

Fred Dinger got the other one here, which is Kerrywood again,

15:23

the same kind of thing that Kerrywood did last a little

15:25

while. And Kerrywood did have like a little second life there

15:27

towards the end of relief and stuff like that. But

15:30

still, it is difficult. You

15:34

know, even going back to the ages of Dwight

15:36

Gooden back in the eighties, right? Where you have

15:38

this pitching prospect that is just so thunderous and

15:40

everybody must see television. It

15:43

doesn't always work out well. And I'm

15:46

not saying Skeens is going to be that guy. Like Skeens

15:48

could turn out to be Roger Clemens, you

15:50

know, where he's just great. And he has a hall of fame career

15:52

and he delivers on that. But it

15:54

is worth noting that It feels

15:56

like more often than not, every time I Tried to find one

15:58

of these guys that had this. Level of hype around

16:01

him. And this level of

16:03

anticipation coming to fruition and actually been what

16:05

we wanted to be if. It

16:07

hasn't worked out more often than not, and I

16:09

don't want that to be the case for schemes

16:12

good for baseball. Put. It the same

16:14

time last you have that same reservation I do

16:16

you or your kind of like watching and hiding

16:18

your eyes of the same time. Oh

16:20

I don't I get I just don't approach

16:22

like players like that like oh hey there

16:24

are other guys that were super good so

16:26

this guy that super good might not be

16:28

that the yeah there is a big track

16:30

record of when you go through the players

16:32

but and of the game continuously changes the

16:35

management of players seem to the injuries are

16:37

changing players and stuff like that. I just

16:39

think it's good to be critical even though

16:41

like a cigarette the fear the day is

16:43

like the comments artist up comments are no.

16:45

Comes up to the majors and for your

16:47

three strikeouts in the first one and we

16:49

kind of talk so glowingly and stuff like

16:51

that and I can but now but you

16:53

can understand like people get frustrated and stuff

16:55

like that. It's just because baseball is unlike

16:57

any other sport and how long it takes

16:59

for the game to fully catch up and

17:02

similar. I wish I was more failure always

17:04

because you fail seventy percent the time you're

17:06

great with pitchers you feel sorry for and

17:08

says i'm your album Fleet of Mckinsey horrible

17:10

for me for him blasted by the Mckenzie

17:12

Gourlay not have the same no no no

17:14

but I'm saying like Mckinsey Gore was tippy

17:16

top and and kind of came back and

17:18

then is like slowly been finding himself. As

17:20

a lot of Doc flirty their guys that

17:22

end up finding themselves and their ups and

17:24

downs. so I guess a ah the way

17:26

that it can fail. Is when

17:29

we let our preconceived safe.

17:31

To. take over a certain player and don't allow

17:33

for growth or also an understanding that paul

17:35

schemes right now is the tippy top of

17:38

the prospect world and then if we look

17:40

back on were like he was good he

17:42

was really solid and it's like a failure

17:44

either only react when that equates to what

17:46

you're saying to me is short and careers

17:48

that are destroyed matt harvey someone brought up

17:50

in the chat on what even my heart

17:52

with i remember when matt harvey came up

17:54

and it was i oh wow they've got

17:57

this pitching prospect that's really come along quickly

17:59

things like that It wasn't the number

18:01

one overall pick in the draft. He

18:03

wasn't a guy that went from college

18:05

to AAA to major leagues. You

18:07

know, he wasn't a guy that was like, what

18:10

Skeens is doing right now is just unbelievable.

18:12

It is stressful, I guess, the only guy in

18:14

recent memory and prior that I can remember that

18:16

was like this, where it was like

18:18

a fever pitch and no pun intended.

18:21

But like that to me is where we are

18:23

with Skeens. And it does beg that question about

18:25

how much of a haul could you get for Skeens

18:28

in a dynasty league right now? It is so just

18:31

everyone's so wrapped up in it. It is an

18:33

interesting conversation. I'm glad we're having it. Yeah. And

18:35

the last thing I would end is I do

18:38

think one of the reasons that

18:40

maybe you can be positive of the babying of

18:42

Paul Skeens is I think they know when he

18:44

gets to the majors, the control is kind of

18:47

gone. The proverbial control is kind

18:49

of gone because once he's there, like he's just

18:51

going to go like you can't have him fail.

18:53

You can't bring him down. You can't do major

18:55

shutdowns. I think they know they just have to

18:57

go. So they are babying this process across the

18:59

board. And then everything else, you know, for us

19:02

from a fantasy perspective, is it going to be

19:04

worth it? It probably is. It

19:06

really it reminds me of maybe even how Max Scherzer

19:08

came out early on. Maybe there'll be a few

19:10

blow up games, but just big strikeout games that are

19:13

coming. And that's why we're holding. Yeah. And

19:15

that's why he went to Detroit that he figured things out. Yeah. Well,

19:18

Diamondbacks mismanage. They had weird period of time where you

19:20

guys couldn't throw certain pitches and stuff. But

19:22

if it's not this start, I do believe it's going

19:24

to be the next start. We just wanted to get

19:26

to that 80 pitch mark. We didn't get it in

19:28

the last start. And I think that might be key

19:31

to him starting this next one, which might put him

19:33

on the road or maybe they just keep playing with

19:35

us and I tweeted. We're going to need Kendrick

19:37

Lamar to help us get Paul scenes there.

19:40

I think everyone's tweeting to Kendrick Lamar and Drake

19:43

right now. I tried to meet the chairing. This

19:45

was my tweet. So I

19:47

look, I know Strasburg, one of World Series guys, like I get

19:49

it. I know he had some good seasons, but you can't look

19:51

back at the career of Strasburg and say that it reached the

19:54

potential of what it could be. There's

19:56

just no, that's just being false. It's

20:00

just not true. Three up and three

20:02

down. Yeah, that's the definition by the

20:04

way We learned the definition of true

20:07

and false and the definition of cutlets

20:09

today on the program Corey Seger three

20:11

run Homer That's an up Simeon Woods

20:13

Richardson eight strikeouts. Well eight no

20:16

decision, but still eight Boy

20:18

that matters offense sure could use some help Mariner's

20:21

get on that Mitch Keller second

20:23

career complete game third win

20:25

of the season against the Angels Mitch Keller

20:27

has got to be the most infuriating guy like you know

20:29

He has these stars really looks dreadful that all of a

20:31

sudden throws a complete game. He's like what how? Three

20:34

down Tyler Anderson. We just talked about selling

20:36

Tyler Anderson, right? We talked about the difference

20:39

of his ERA and his XERA and those

20:41

other numbers well for earned runs again

20:43

against the Pirates not good Matt Chapman 0 4 3 K's and Rodry

20:47

Munoz six runs seven hits four and two

20:49

thirds. So not good for him ton of

20:51

injuries So let's just fly through them here

20:53

because we got bets and other things to

20:55

get through Blake Snell Today's gonna face live

20:57

hitters. That's good. Braxton Garrett 13 strikeouts over

21:00

five and two thirds now It was just Florida

21:02

Complex League, but still put on you Braxton

21:04

Garrett. Anyway real quick. Yeah Florida Complex

21:07

League I was at the Arizona Complex

21:09

League yesterday last night. There

21:11

is another I just want to point this out There's nothing to do

21:13

with this would have been better for rookie looky, but you got me

21:15

thinking about it There's another Guerrero coming you

21:17

can see on my timeline Pablo Guerrero Vlad's

21:19

other son playing out here for the Rangers

21:21

So make sure to follow me on Twitter

21:24

thinking of that if we only had a

21:26

major league or pitching they all strike out

21:28

Everybody remember these are 17 18 year old kids

21:31

that are out there So Braxton Garrett's 13 is

21:33

more equivalent to like four in real

21:35

life There's

21:38

the equivalency AJ Puck struck out to

21:40

in his rehab assignment in one inning

21:43

Eddie of all these got good news

21:45

apparently on the groin. So he's making

21:47

progress Jake Berger coming off

21:50

the aisle So they yay guys actually

21:52

playing baseball Francisco Alvarez of the stitches

21:54

removed from his left thumb So

21:57

that's a good thing. We'll hopefully get more

21:59

news on that Maybe he'll make a

22:01

student recovery who knows probably not Christian Yelich

22:03

was taking part in batting practice and fielding

22:05

a little so Maybe working his way back

22:07

to return just in case keep an eye

22:09

on that Austin Hayes Begins his

22:11

rehab assignment, which I can only mean mean testing curse

22:14

dad's gonna be get sent down Great,

22:16

and then Wyatt Langford finally did hit

22:18

the IEL with the hamstring and it's

22:21

also Brian Whoo time could be activated this

22:23

weekend against the A's and all people were

22:25

asking about who there you go We gave

22:27

you the woo and you know what

22:29

else we give the people Welsh besides the woo Do

22:32

you know what else I'm asking? Oh, yeah, that was

22:34

like more rhetorical. Whoa, you know, what else do we

22:36

give the people? we give them the

22:39

best bets of The

22:41

day with Joey P and

22:43

the Welsh This is the NPR version

22:45

of bets of the day with Joey P in

22:47

the well. Hello everybody. Welcome into the show We're

22:49

gonna do the pros and the

22:51

LB channel if you would like to place

22:53

your bets with leading off Do

22:56

that with the promo code leading off at bet

22:58

365 where you can bet five dollars and get

23:00

150 in bonus bets All

23:03

right, Welsh, let's get back from the end of

23:05

our version of the program there. Hopefully everybody enjoyed

23:07

that. I'm sure you did Let's

23:09

start with Louise Gil Under

23:11

five and a half strikeouts today plus 110

23:13

again the Astros don't strike out a lot

23:16

I've been beaten to death Oh the

23:18

two times I tried to go against that and I'm just

23:20

gonna give in now getting plus money on this bad boy

23:22

in The under so let's go with the under on that

23:24

one the Cubs on the run line Shoto

23:26

Imanaga I mentioned this at the top of the show on

23:29

leading off Guy's on the

23:31

ERA under one. He's undefeated This is the first time

23:33

around the league for him first time the Padres are

23:35

seeing him You only got it see us so

23:37

far as a rise who went over against him I think

23:40

it's gonna be a long day at the office for the

23:42

Padres Plus 138 on the minus one and a half run

23:44

line for the cubbies today. I love

23:46

this one So give me the Cubs on

23:48

that plus 138 number and Jose Buto You

23:52

know, I didn't believe in you last time you proved

23:54

me wrong It's going to get the cards today. They

23:56

strike out a ton over just four and a half

23:58

strikeouts at minus 104 is a Great one.

24:00

And as far as the parlay of the

24:02

day goes, let's go back to those cubbies

24:04

here. Randy Vasquez on the other side of

24:06

this game. I want the Cubs.

24:08

I want Choteau Imanaga. Give me the over four

24:10

and a half strikeouts on Imanaga. It's a small

24:12

number. He can get to five and

24:15

give me that run line. You give me both of

24:17

those, you get two and a half to one. So

24:19

that is the parlay of the day. Woesch, what do

24:21

you have for the people? I like some of your

24:23

plays. I actually think your Luis Gille one is very

24:26

sneaky. I might tell that one. That's it. He's tough

24:28

because he's a big strikeout guy, but this is

24:30

not the team. We've also seen walk issues with it.

24:32

More. Think about it. I think I am going to tell

24:35

that one. I've got a strikeout for one for you as

24:37

well. And it's a little bit of a parlay. So

24:39

Choteau Imanaga, who we like. It's a tough

24:41

matchup. I want to take the just normal

24:44

over K's, but Padres, as

24:46

we mentioned yesterday with Justin Seale, they can be a little bit

24:48

tough. I'm coming it down

24:50

a little bit. And we're going Choteau

24:52

Imanaga four strikeouts plus

24:55

pairing that with Kyle Harrison

24:57

at five strikeouts. Who's got Colorado?

25:01

Who was awful? They always strike

25:03

out. So five strikeouts for Harrison

25:05

four from Imanaga pairing together minus

25:08

one 12. I know it's not big plus

25:10

money, but I really liked that one. I

25:12

personally put two units on it. That's my,

25:14

one of my favorite plays of the day,

25:16

Arizona Diamondbacks. So the first five, you can

25:18

get the money line over at bet three,

25:20

six, five, one of the best lines out

25:22

there at minus one 25. They've

25:24

got Zach Gallen on the mound going up

25:27

against Frankie Montes. Gallen

25:29

has been a little bit wishy washy, but the

25:31

offense for the Arizona Diamondbacks keeps going. Frankie Montes

25:33

with the return from injury. I like Arizona. You

25:35

can also, and this is what I'm personally playing.

25:37

If you don't want to just play the money

25:39

line, money line safer, because if it's tied, you

25:41

just push your bet. But if you want to

25:44

play the Diamondbacks are up by a run after

25:46

the first five, you can get

25:48

even money just plus 100. So

25:50

that is one that I'm playing. And then

25:53

I'm going Texas and Oakland first five over

25:56

four and a half runs. Jose Urania

25:58

on the mound. Ross, Russ, tripling

26:01

is okay. Is fine. Uh, Oakland's offense

26:03

has been pretty hot. Dumbest

26:05

thing I said all off season was like,

26:07

he's under, uh, but Jose rain is awful.

26:09

So I really like this to

26:11

go over four and a half runs through the

26:14

first five innings. So I am taking that bad

26:16

boy, getting it at minus one 15 because books

26:18

don't, I don't know, a hundred percent know where

26:20

they direction they want to go. They're just like,

26:22

screw it. One 15 across the board. So give

26:24

me those over runs. So again, even Aga

26:26

Harrison K prop, uh, combo strikeouts.

26:28

Arizona first five Moneyline and Texas

26:31

Oakland first five over total runs

26:33

at four and a half. And

26:35

boom. And there you have it everyone. Thank you

26:38

for coming to the best bets of the day. Don't

26:40

forget to download the betting pros

26:42

app today to start betting smarter

26:45

and not harder. Oh yeah. They, oh

26:47

yeah. It was a nice touch of the end. Very

26:49

nice. All right. Let's get to the home run board

26:51

because well, we can cause you're on now. It's a

26:53

little bit of a mixed bag here on the home

26:56

run board today because I'm excited that I've moved up

26:58

to 11, but I moved from

27:00

the 10 spot to the 11 spot because

27:02

everybody else got home runs too yesterday. So

27:04

there you have it. That's life. That's how

27:06

you live it. So, uh, today I'm

27:09

going to let it ride. I'm

27:11

going to show you my old face for two days in a row and

27:13

give you show, Hey, Oh, Tommy, not once, but

27:15

twice. We're going to do it again. Let's keep

27:17

rolling the dice here for Oh, Tommy. He's red,

27:19

hot. He is locked in with this guy's locked

27:21

in. You just ride the wave right now. Everybody.

27:23

What are you doing? Welsh if your home run

27:25

call? I'm so glad you're doing it. I don't

27:27

know if you saw this snarky ass comment, uh,

27:29

from earlier, the guys like, I didn't need to

27:31

come to this show to know that Oh, Tony

27:34

could hit homers. It's like, okay. It's

27:37

a contest where we pick who's going to hunt a home

27:39

run for every day. I know. It

27:42

made me laugh. So I'm glad that you went back

27:44

in on it. We should just like literally

27:46

just only go like Oh, Tony and Aaron

27:48

judge every single day. People, by the way,

27:50

called Oh, Tony yesterday, according to Freddie. So

27:52

I didn't call the home run cause I

27:54

didn't call Oh, Tony yesterday. Uh, today I'm

27:56

going to go with my boy. Cattell Marte,

27:58

Cattell Marte. Scott for straight games

28:01

with a hit had a homer on Sunday

28:03

had the day off yesterday. They've got Frankie

28:05

Montes there in Cincinnati Yes,

28:07

give me could tell Marte from a

28:09

hometown team to get a home

28:12

run today and I know buddy It's not Oh

28:14

Tawny. So now maybe now maybe he needs the

28:16

show right now He needs the show whatever your

28:18

name was because I called I

28:21

Tooted to the show for you. Tell me show me

28:24

how time is good at baseball. No

28:26

But when you're telling me

28:28

the show's about Oh Tawny homers

28:31

and cutlets Well,

28:37

we did have a very intellectual conversation about

28:39

Jack Flaherty today We had a very good

28:41

meta conversation as the kids like to say

28:43

about Paul Skeaton. I it was

28:45

a very productive program That's what I

28:47

think I learned. I learned about cutlets. I feel

28:49

great and yeah, and

28:52

Knowing's how the way GI Joe drop your

28:54

comments below subscribe to the channel You might

28:57

win a trophy spec fantasy baseball championship, but

28:59

I didn't know they give out belts for

29:01

fantasy Baseball you play fancy

29:03

baseball and give out belts. Well,

29:06

we do So if you'd like to win

29:08

this belt comment below but not that comment you make

29:10

that comment you ain't winning the belt Actually, I hope

29:12

I hope that comment wins the belt that would actually

29:14

be hilarious I've pulled

29:16

everybody before there's never been a negative comment. That's

29:18

one anything. So just putting that out. That is

29:21

true That is true. Maybe maybe it's time. You

29:24

did not promote it. You did not promote it

29:26

But remember Friday Joe and I've got you. I

29:28

mean you did yesterday, but we do it every

29:30

day We've got our special 20k stuff. Oh on

29:32

Friday. I Got

29:35

a part of the special thing last

29:37

night that's come in. So Joe and I will

29:39

be If I just said that properly The

29:43

nature of the surprise of what's going on part of mine is

29:45

in and Joe and I will have a little meeting After

29:47

the show about our Friday show, so make sure you

29:50

are locked into the YouTube channel

29:52

and on the podcast Definitely video. This is

29:54

a video. This is a video. Yeah, look

29:56

you showed up in droves on opening day

29:58

Friday Don't

30:00

forget, put in the calendar right now,

30:02

watch Leading Off Live because, well, it's

30:05

gonna be good for you. That will do it

30:07

for us, but of course the story of the

30:09

game goes on for the Welsh. I'm Joey P.

30:11

We'll see you next time, kids. Bye-bye! Bye,

30:14

everybody. How's my hair? I'm

30:16

the Welsh. Thanks

30:30

for watching!

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