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on your and fifty bonus bets when you

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do a better sexpot only when you use

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the promo code. Leading off it's me Joey

0:18

be that's the Welsh and is. The second

0:21

time we're doing is because I didn't he

0:23

go live the first time because it's been

0:25

that kind of day. And if you wanna

0:27

hear me rage, listen to cleaning up on

0:29

the audio podcast yesterday by think we finally

0:32

got that all set. But regardless I see

0:34

all the peanuts of the Cracker Jacks Happy

0:36

Paul Schemes Week everybody and don't forget tomorrow

0:38

show Ya gotta join us live! Our special

0:40

tribute to the. Pizza Gregor Jax will be

0:43

here Live on the program for twenty

0:45

thousand. Have you thought that the wigs

0:47

were good? You ain't seen nothing yet.

0:49

Welsh. Has. A Go on You

0:51

must be excited about Call on that

0:53

Paul Schemes date. Pretty pretty sharp on

0:55

your part. Come to me my X

0:57

Men! I'm using my tell the kinetic

1:00

powers to listen. Victory. Laughing

1:02

Is he going to get i'd

1:04

bottle that lists it was a

1:06

military lapping is kind of fine.

1:08

definitely of noxious. Two degrees by

1:10

their when I called to the

1:12

day. I'm definitely going in. Be

1:15

kind of stupid about it. But

1:17

yes, the. It's the eleventh we

1:19

said. does he want to pitch on the

1:21

road against the Cubs are at home and

1:23

always made since it was always always going

1:25

to be the eleven as he built up

1:28

that pitching marker. Really the only thing they

1:30

didn't hit was him getting over eighty pitches

1:32

in the last start you only had like

1:34

sixty something. He was a little bit more

1:36

a couple walks give up a home run

1:38

his first one but either way they got

1:41

that build up their he's making his debut.

1:43

This. Is what we wanted and I'm I'm

1:45

I'm really excited about it. I. Have

1:47

a little game. Let's. Play

1:50

another prediction game. Get.

1:52

You know, get the magni know how it off. give

1:55

me the line gimme the paul schemes line

1:57

coming up against the comes how far does

1:59

he go strike out walks and then after

2:02

we should talk about his overall fantasy value

2:04

but let's do prediction game. I'm gonna go

2:06

four and two thirds seven strikeouts no

2:09

runs two hits that's

2:11

what I'm gonna go no walks no walks okay that's

2:14

good I it's funny you

2:16

say that I'm gonna go four innings eight

2:19

strikeouts two earned runs two

2:22

walks that's gonna be my line

2:24

for Paul Skeen so the key here we both

2:27

don't have him going five maybe

2:29

he does maybe he pushes that limit but

2:31

this is a guy that's probably gonna push

2:34

up the pitch count it's gonna you know

2:36

throw a lot of high strikes there's gonna

2:38

be a lot of fastballs in there might

2:40

walk a few but it's gonna be a

2:42

fun early dominant performance and I saw someone

2:44

in the chat bring up the ultimate idea

2:46

that Paul Skeen's value has never

2:48

been more high than this start coming up

2:51

but do you agree with that on it look at

2:53

this would you trade Paul Skeen's for Matt Olson in

2:55

a second and I do that right now yes look

2:58

everybody in the chat give us your prediction

3:01

for Paul Skeen's line on Saturday we want

3:03

to see what you again I say four

3:05

and two thirds seven strikeouts two hits no

3:07

earned runs no walks that's what I

3:10

think it's gonna be a very good performance from him yeah

3:12

and let's see if we can get like a full prediction

3:14

here but but so with that like

3:16

if that trade is out there yeah

3:18

he traded Paul Skeen's for Matt Olson

3:20

but do you believe that this

3:23

is the ultimate point of trade

3:25

value because uh in a

3:27

way you mean yeah yeah okay of course this

3:29

is redraft dynasty I think it's a whole nother

3:32

ball game you're not touching that stuff but here's

3:34

why I say this as well and maybe this

3:36

feeds to it our dear friend Scott White posed

3:38

this question yesterday of saying is Paul Skeen's already

3:40

like a top 25 starting pitcher in ranks I've

3:43

got him in that general range I just did

3:45

my redraft uh rest of season update that's on

3:47

fan or it's a part of the fantasy pro's

3:49

uh algorithm and stuff but like do you believe

3:52

that he is already at top 25 because where I'm

3:54

going with this is if you think the upside is

3:56

there he's gonna pitch the rest of the year we're

3:58

gonna see the strikeouts he's gonna work into that

4:00

top 25 and continue to go,

4:02

trading him at top 25 SP

4:04

right now actually really wouldn't work,

4:07

but because I think he's gonna overperform that. But

4:09

if you don't, and you think he might have

4:12

some struggles and sometimes the fastball gets a little

4:14

bit flattened out and he doesn't go deep into

4:16

games, he doesn't go five, then

4:18

this would be if he's valued at a top 25

4:21

SP. So really, this is kind

4:23

of building, do you think this is

4:25

getting out of the Paul Skeins business in redraft

4:27

right now? By optimizing

4:29

your trade value. I think

4:32

just like I've been saying with the Gary Cole thing, I

4:36

can only see, I can see

4:38

so many negative outcomes, whether it be

4:40

limitations, whether it be getting shut down, whether it be an injury.

4:42

I mean, how often do we see guys, we go 100 miles

4:44

an hour and everything looks spectacular, we get all excited and actually,

4:46

oh, he fell something in his elbow. I mean, how many

4:48

times do we have to be beat over the head with

4:50

this? I'm excited for it, don't

4:53

get me wrong, I see a lot of people

4:55

trolling in the chat too. Two innings, five earned,

4:57

four homers, come on, don't be jerks, it's not

4:59

gonna be that. If it is, how hilarious is

5:01

that gonna be? I don't think it's going to

5:03

be that. It's not gonna

5:05

be that fun with the hate of the, you

5:08

know, the production on the prospects as of

5:10

late. But to your point, it's hard to,

5:13

it's hard not to say this is peak

5:15

redraft sell value for Skeins. Because

5:17

people will be frustrated because he might not get

5:20

a lot of quality starts because you know, depending,

5:22

he's not gonna go a lot of six innings,

5:24

you know what I mean? So path to the

5:27

wind becomes less. So in roto formats, I think

5:29

it's an interesting conversation especially because you

5:32

know, he has to be dominant in order to maintain

5:34

those really good peripherals. In points leagues

5:36

where you're looking for strikeouts and if you can

5:38

get into the fifth inning, maybe get you that

5:40

W okay. But it is a very tricky thing,

5:42

I think it's a very format related

5:44

question as well. But would you rather have Jared

5:46

Jones or Skeins rest the season? Jared Jones,

5:48

I would say that's a brief. Why? Like no

5:50

hesitation, but why? Well, I think Jared

5:53

Jones has already proved to be able to

5:55

get that pitch count even if it's a

5:57

little bit lower. Like his fastball, he has

5:59

been. Unhitable he is pushing into the

6:01

fifth and sixth inning. He has built up

6:03

those innings my slight

6:05

problem with Paul schemes is The

6:08

big thing that was coming out of the draft was the

6:11

fastball shape like he's dominated the minors They don't know what

6:13

to do with it, but you're gonna have the best hitters

6:15

in the world that are gonna be up there He's gonna

6:17

have to command that at every spot

6:20

He's gonna have to learn to have some innings

6:22

where he doesn't drive count. This is a big

6:24

strikeout pitcher We saw this with

6:26

Strider sometimes Strider would have some of those

6:28

innings where he struck out eight But

6:30

he could only go into the fourth inning because he this

6:33

is what he does He's a big striker again. This

6:35

is who Paul schemes is So what I'm worried about

6:38

is Paul schemes getting up into a hundred

6:40

plus pitches early on being able to get

6:42

into the fifth And sixth inning. I don't

6:44

think they won't let him do it But

6:46

they have slow rolled this process that I

6:48

don't know I think it's a possibility with

6:50

some of his secondary stuff if he's not

6:52

having big massive command numbers He might have

6:55

a little bit of a struggle, but at

6:57

the same time based that you would

6:59

say Jerry Jones the top 25 SP Restor

7:01

season, right? Yeah, well,

7:03

here's the other question too. What's the weather in Chicago?

7:06

This is the weather outside is

7:09

whether weather. Oh You

7:12

got that reference that you know what for

7:14

you Marshall all-time great movie for you That's

7:17

one of their favorite quotes from

7:19

that movie. No, that's welcome

7:21

to Collin wood the weather outside is weather

7:24

I think well, I know Paul Rudd in

7:26

forgetting Sarah Marshall. No, you're right. You're right.

7:28

No that I'm thinking of a different line

7:30

Yeah, that is Paul Rudd and whether outside

7:32

is weather very very looks like Sunday 74

7:35

degree Saturday 61

7:39

degrees so not too bad, you know,

7:41

Chicago sometimes can be a little you know Rough

7:43

weather wise so that could enter into it. But

7:45

look I think we're talking about schemes here. We're

7:47

all excited It's good for baseball. I

7:49

wish it was not on a Saturday to be honest

7:52

I wish it was like on a you know, like

7:54

a third I wish was tonight like Thursday night stand-alone

7:56

game That would have been like so tacky we're gonna

7:58

all like get excited to watch it Saturday Saturday's always

8:00

trickier with you know events and things like that,

8:02

but there's more things going on than just Paul

8:04

Skeens. No, there's not you want to see it

8:07

my Juan Soto Face

8:09

another home run for Juan Soto. Let's go

8:11

Aaron judge at home run You're gonna all

8:13

stand even at home run. Everybody was going

8:15

now I told you the team totally yesterday

8:17

was four and a half of the Yankees his

8:20

court nine runs did nine See

8:22

a good day that Stanton home run

8:25

I That's

8:27

the most ridiculous I was just talking

8:29

to you about watching happy Gilmore again

8:31

after a long time the most happy

8:33

Gilmore like swing Just he hits it

8:35

across his body. It's a hundred in

8:37

the chat 119.9

8:40

as it's described one of my favorite terms by the

8:42

way a piss missile that thing was just That

8:46

thing was crazy He's so not good at

8:48

baseball though, and it's just that's what he

8:50

does I saw someone be like how does

8:53

he do that because that's what he does.

8:55

He's still lumberjack. He does Oh, I

8:57

was never heard that but that's tremendous.

8:59

You've never heard that. Plus case yesterday

9:02

Chris paddock 10 strikeouts Amazing

9:04

again with the Marlins, but still Chris sale

9:06

We said we were looking forward to that

9:08

start 10 strikeouts against the Red

9:10

Sox So there you go and Dylan cease not

9:12

to be outdone 12 strikeouts I gotta

9:14

say cease was a guy was not really in on when

9:16

he was a white sock and then When

9:18

he got traded to the Padres, I had some

9:20

buyers remorse that I didn't have more shares and

9:22

I gotta tell you Dylan

9:25

cease has been fantastic this year for the

9:27

Padres. Absolutely brilliant Yo on to Ron struck

9:29

out one batter in a score with night

9:31

So good on him Jordan Montgomery a good

9:34

bounce back after a bad outing last time

9:36

to run seven hits over seven and the

9:38

Rays Activated Taj Bradley put Peppio on the

9:40

IL So we'll see how

9:42

he does looks like Friday against the Yankees is

9:45

gonna be the Bradley start Just

9:47

for fun Alex Bregman my boy been dropped

9:49

to the sixth spot in the Astros order For

9:52

fighting I would just buy he's not a 195 hitter

9:54

with a 275 Obp with

9:56

a 260 slugging. He's just not, he's

9:58

not so bye. By whom

10:01

I would rather have rest the season

10:03

is Alex Bregman or Chris Morale Alex

10:05

Bregman. Stop. Stop. Overs

10:07

Morel Alex Bregman has end

10:10

up on duty that like

10:12

six years of productivity. I

10:14

know that varying but Chris Moral doesn't have one

10:16

full season that sniffs what Alex Bregman capable of.

10:18

It's a bad months this year on ever be.

10:20

this year it'll be. This year is a be

10:22

the one where I have the so old and

10:24

all of a sudden it just makes sense. Redmond

10:27

trash cans right about now have been. So

10:29

overrated. He had the one. Great.

10:31

You been hiding and will be. This is

10:33

a problem. I was the one pounding the

10:36

trash can devour. Be overrated. News of Alex

10:38

Bregman back in the day? When. Everybody

10:40

was going. not. As. All of a

10:42

sudden post a scandal everybody was out allows for

10:44

I'd been so much the the guy that

10:46

I have become the defender valves migrants which makes

10:49

me unhappy. but here we are. Also.

10:51

Unhappy Tyler Block because he got sent down

10:53

to Nashville because our guy a personal. it's

10:55

one of our guy. he's the guy. came

10:58

back and that's a good thing there. so

11:00

he is back for the Marquis. Brewers are

11:02

certainly some help on all birds, but. Of.

11:05

Course the rookie look. he's not the only thing

11:07

you get on Thursdays get a lot more because

11:09

it's time ladies and gentlemen for prospect and with

11:11

the well with you that there's Tom Hanks in

11:14

a beard putting a pick axe through the Welsh

11:16

his head and well just got of indifferent do

11:18

what he like whatever man. just another day of

11:20

the Officer Welsh this is the demaree. Dig into

11:22

the prospect. Watch here guys down the farmer going

11:25

to make an impact on fantasy baseball. So what

11:27

the a half of the people? where do you

11:29

want to start today? Well we do have a

11:31

for names that we're going to talk about, the

11:33

prospect articles available over and fantasy prose. Because want

11:35

to go and check that out Now I think

11:38

there's eight nine names on there but we also

11:40

I deep in the list of prospects to watch

11:42

some and give you a couple of the in

11:44

just a couple name's throw out these putting your

11:46

watch list. There. Are more names of we're

11:48

going to talk about that are on your stash

11:50

list. But I wanted to ask one question because

11:53

recent graduates with really good week last week we

11:55

obviously Paul Skins coming off that list prison Scott

11:57

came off the list. And. Comments: Art

11:59

of. Who made his debut? I

12:01

wanted to get your take before we

12:03

jump into anything here of the the

12:06

overall prospect failure that's been going on

12:08

that people losing their mind about everyone's

12:10

comments or discard come up. We gotta

12:12

get him up. Then.

12:15

He has had five strikeouts in the first

12:17

couple. He's struggling to get a sixty percent

12:19

k percentage to start off hitting one twenty

12:21

five. Do. You hold

12:23

The comments are ago. Or

12:25

do you take him to the curb? Oil luck

12:27

If you're a shallow league, I think it's different. I

12:29

think you can get guys to the curb. Jackson Holiday

12:31

comes up. He doesn't perform. It took him

12:33

to the curb. The shallowly will be a chance

12:36

to get back or what have you. but I

12:38

think this is. this is kind of a and

12:40

overall artwork arching issue where we talk about prospects

12:42

and patience. it comes with patients mother be baseball

12:45

or be Football a member. Couple years ago everybody

12:47

lost their mind because there are several the running

12:49

backs and the second half of the year old

12:51

was running backs. Want people championships if you wait

12:54

even Mere Gibbs last year rights in the baseball

12:56

world to with such a long season where. You.

12:59

Have to think of it the same what you have to

13:01

think of as like of they come up in April, were

13:03

in May and they struggled for the last chance for them.

13:05

If you're deeper leagues I think you got a whole that.

13:07

I always say this: to win a prospect gets

13:09

called up if you can flip them for a

13:11

player that you know was very steady and solid.

13:13

like of commons aren't okay mobs and you can

13:15

flip him for Alex Bregman who has a track

13:17

record Be and goods. I'd make that trade in

13:19

a second. Why? Because there's a track record telling

13:21

me this guy's having a bad months. but overall

13:24

I know what the numbers going to be when

13:26

I look at a bag or baseball cards. So.

13:28

I treat the shallow leaguers a deeper league

13:30

differently and if they're keeper, implications that has

13:32

to enter into a do. When you're just

13:34

regular old redraft leagues, you have to be

13:36

patient. You're a twelve to mix league. I

13:39

think every piece of you may. These investments,

13:41

however, I. Think when you get to June

13:43

first as when you start to lose patience and then

13:45

it's okay to get back in there to. that's a

13:47

third of the season done. yeah and

13:49

i would are as good as well

13:51

said across the board talking and redraft

13:54

terms of course for most of these

13:56

guys that the reason you get into

13:58

the world stashing My idea,

14:00

hopefully, is that you are stashing these players in

14:02

a way that they are not meant to be

14:04

right into your starting roster. They have a starting

14:06

roster set and these are more bench players because

14:08

what we see is these guys come up and

14:10

people make these big decisions. Hey, should I cut,

14:12

you know, well now you can

14:15

cut Christian and Carnation Strand, but people are like, should I

14:17

cut Strand to do this? To make

14:19

these moves with players that are

14:21

not affecting your starting roster, it's

14:23

easier to stomach some of the early

14:25

difficulties. And we've seen some of that

14:28

with Mansardo, but his hit skills, they're

14:30

up there. They're going to get there.

14:32

Who cares about two games? Also positive,

14:34

they're talking about working him in the

14:36

outfield a little bit. So stay patient

14:38

if you can and make roster moves and

14:41

make room for these players in a way

14:43

that they are not desperately a part

14:45

of your starting lineup where you're screwed if

14:47

they struggle because guess what? Prospects are gonna

14:50

struggle a little bit early on. So let's

14:52

talk about the main crew here

14:54

and we will start with Junior Caminero, who

14:56

I know we've talked a ton about. A

14:58

couple notes on Junior Caminero. He has a

15:00

hit in every game in May so far,

15:02

at least as I wrote my article. He

15:04

also had a two run, two

15:07

home run game, which was on May 1st,

15:09

which is great. Hitting 315, six homers in

15:11

the minor so far. He has been solid.

15:13

Here's one of the most interesting things to

15:16

add in. And somebody posted this,

15:18

I think it was in one of our slacks

15:20

or whatever, but the rookie of the year odds

15:23

changed dramatically on Junior Caminero today. It went

15:25

from like 2,200 to 1,200. That

15:30

seems very, very telling. While there's been that article

15:32

that's been out there about the

15:34

Rays are gonna hold him back, I'm

15:37

gonna give you a prediction date again just

15:39

for funsies here. Because someone said after my

15:41

Paul Skeins prediction, they said now do Junior

15:43

Caminero. My Junior Caminero is May 24th. There's

15:47

a home game. It's after a day

15:49

off. That offense needs it. The Rays

15:52

are putrid. I keep repeating myself. Yes,

15:54

the Rays may hold them back. We

15:56

don't know what they're gonna do, but

15:58

Caminero continues to play. Really really well.

16:00

He's not striking out a bunch. The homers are

16:02

going he's getting lots of hits hitting every game

16:05

in May So I'm gonna make a prediction of

16:07

May 24th But pay attention to those rookie odds

16:09

because why would those what's funny because on Sunday

16:11

I made a point about I said There's two

16:13

guys. We did the rookie odds on the sports

16:15

grid and on the TV show I said

16:17

look there's two guys you have to

16:19

worry about right now whose odds have actually gone

16:22

up way Enormously like off the charts schemes and

16:24

Camanero both started out pretty low when they didn't

16:26

make the team out of spring Odds

16:28

went crazy and I literally just talked about both of them

16:30

and literally both of them in the last 24 hours have

16:32

pushed Completely back to where

16:35

they opened almost so that's very interesting there

16:37

bringing back up James would again You got to remember

16:39

when we're doing these segments you're gonna have guys that

16:42

are gonna be turned back over So if anything it's

16:44

important to come back to them and see how they've

16:46

been performing because James would When I

16:48

talk about prospects to stash I do think

16:50

we're getting to a more difficult range of

16:52

levels of how much do you put into

16:54

these players? I believe Camanero and wood are

16:56

the tippy top where you can sacrifice pieces

16:58

on the roster the rest of the guys It's

17:01

a little bit tougher to do James wood is that player

17:03

that I would do it with he's hitting 339

17:06

on the air for homers eight stolen bases on

17:08

May 8th put up a two home run game

17:10

a fun fact by the way All

17:13

four homers have come in two games so far

17:15

this year that he's had but sitting

17:18

385 on the month and if it wasn't for

17:20

Jacob young that's you know playing center field ceiling

17:22

bases at the front of that lineup I think

17:24

he would be up there so they got to

17:26

make that soon that move here in the very

17:28

near future But he is the only other guy

17:30

that I would put into that space where I'm

17:32

really gonna like burn roster spots

17:34

from the other two that are important as

17:36

far as the stash world goes Kobe Mayo

17:39

Who we've talked about a ton his average has dropped down to 301

17:43

But he's got 11 homers which is third in

17:45

the minors right now, which is crazy, but he

17:47

has been struggling in May He's hitting under

17:49

200 four of his six games in May

17:53

multi-strikeout performances So I

17:55

think he's gonna be kind of built to like

17:57

a an infield injury someone

17:59

that's not in the outfield. And then

18:01

Erovis Martinez has been the other big one

18:03

we've been all worrying about or wondering when

18:05

he's gonna come. He has not slowed down.

18:07

He's hitting 294 with nine homers on the

18:09

year. And he's hitting 292 with two more

18:11

homers in May. The low strikeout

18:13

rate, I think, has been one of the

18:16

biggest beneficiaries to him. And this is just

18:18

about the Blue Jays making the move of

18:20

like, Kevin Bizio off the main roster. So

18:22

once they do that, he will be up.

18:24

And then finally, Joe, my prospects to watch

18:26

list has gotten way deeper for everybody. So

18:28

these are guys to pay attention to. It's

18:30

10 deep. I'm gonna throw a

18:33

couple at you. Will Warren with the Yankees.

18:35

He should be the number one guy if

18:37

they suffer any injury in that rotation. He's

18:39

been solid. Max Muncie, yes, another Max Muncie

18:41

with the A's. He's in triple A. Well,

18:43

you already have one of those. I know,

18:45

it's another one of them. Like

18:48

when you get that sweater for Christmas and you already have that

18:50

sweater and you go, oh, great, a Max Muncie. Oh, this'll look

18:52

good again. Maxwell Muncie.

18:55

The interesting thing, they brought up Jacob Wilson who was

18:57

just drafted. He's already a triple A. I think he

19:00

would be better, but I think they'll give a shot

19:02

to Max Muncie first. Dorell Hernays just suffered an injury

19:04

on the IEL. So they might look to him. And

19:06

finally, Adri del Castillo with the Diamondbacks. He's a catcher.

19:08

I wonder if they play him another spot. He's hitting

19:11

like 340 in triple

19:13

A right now. Six home. He's been awesome.

19:15

He's a guy that could get a look

19:17

soon. Usually the watch guys are probably more

19:19

injury-based players, but those are some prospects for

19:21

you guys to get in your brains if

19:24

you're gonna start stashing and making some moves.

19:26

And get them prospects in your brains every

19:28

single Thursday with prospecting with the Welsh.

19:30

That's Chris Welsh. Maybe someday we'll get

19:32

that pickaxe out your head and then

19:35

maybe start making some better laugh decisions.

19:37

All right, Welsh. We promised

19:39

this yesterday on the show and our amazing

19:42

graphics professional, Ethan, has it for us. So

19:44

Welsh and I were talking about the decline

19:46

of Tim Anderson and what it looks like.

19:48

Well, here's what it looks like. I'm blue,

19:51

da ba dee ba ba da, da ba

19:53

dee da da da da. So

19:56

explain for the layperson what we're seeing

19:58

here on the YouTube channel. right now

20:00

with this Tim Anderson baseball savant

20:02

page. Oh yeah, so this is

20:04

the visualization of one

20:06

of the worst players in baseball. You

20:09

don't even need to do a full breakdown

20:12

to see that all of it's bad. Even

20:14

the blue men are just shocked right now.

20:17

His seasonal stats are bad, but over on

20:19

the right hand side, whether

20:21

people like it or not, these are

20:23

the percentile ranks in baseball from baseball

20:25

savant. And you'll see things like expected

20:27

stats, expected batting average. That's

20:29

the 7th percentile, worst percentile of

20:31

the league. You'll see average exit

20:33

velocity. You'll see barrel percentage, literally

20:35

one of the worst. Every

20:38

single thing that he

20:41

does is one of the

20:43

worst in baseball. It's

20:45

actually astonishing to look at that list

20:48

and that whole visualization there. And

20:50

whether you care about baseball savant

20:52

or whatever, certain things or certain

20:54

stats, whatever, everything is

20:56

bad. He doesn't walk one of the worst. He

20:58

strikes out too much, one of the worst. He

21:01

is one of the worst chasers in baseball. That

21:03

thing is incredible.

21:06

Da-va-di-da-va-da. Yeah, how

21:08

it was from beef. Tim Anderson is terrible at baseball.

21:11

Jim Carle's dad in quotes. That's

21:14

like the Michael Scott, Michael Jordan. Yeah,

21:16

I mean, Tim Anderson, Javi Baez also, that's

21:19

a good one too. Who's stolen more money, Javi

21:21

Baez. So he really is the big winner, I

21:23

think, at the end of the day. Some more

21:25

news and notes to get you three up and

21:27

three down. We'll do this quick. Conforto three for

21:30

four with the dinger yesterday. He is on a

21:32

great season. Kyle Bradish, another good outing for him.

21:34

Didn't get the W unfortunately, but nine strikeouts and

21:36

five innings, one run. Marcelo Zuna, not

21:38

one, but two home runs. We'll get to the

21:40

home run board in just a second, everybody.

21:42

Craig Kimbrel, third blown save. Kind

21:44

of mentioned the other day, maybe one of these

21:46

prospects has to go for another closer, might happen.

21:48

I don't know. Nick Pavetta was

21:50

not good in his return, five earned runs.

21:52

He was unfortunately beaten his

21:55

brain in by the Atlanta Braves

21:57

and Chrisale and Jack Leiter. Did

21:59

more. Jack lighter thing six runs for her

22:01

and three strikeouts. So Jack

22:04

lighter kind of Welsh feels like he's exactly who I

22:06

thought he was and I have This

22:08

spent zero fab chasing him. I was

22:11

not buying the turn out, you know We had you're

22:13

you're pretty optimistic. I feel like when it came

22:15

to Jack lighter. I was very pessimistic Well,

22:18

I love the mystic because of the thing and

22:20

I'm like, I don't think he is I

22:22

still actually think he's evolving I just think

22:25

it's gonna be a slow run. It's a

22:27

guy that doesn't throw enough strike Well when

22:29

you're doing a little bit more predictable how

22:31

slow well cuz he got he absolutely got

22:33

destroyed in the first art He was perfect

22:36

in the first inning destroyed in the second

22:38

great in the third inning destroyed in the

22:40

fourth He's not a redraft guy.

22:42

I okay back to your point. I was optimistic.

22:44

There could be some value in redraft this year

22:48

There ain't but I do think we'll be talking

22:50

about Jack lighter in a year or two In

22:53

a maybe even in like a Dylan cease type of

22:55

way a guy that you know You can have a

22:57

game where he strikes out nine and is good and

22:59

then he has another game The old Dylan cease like

23:01

from the last year or two in the White Sox

23:04

was not good was not very good at all He

23:06

might kind of be in that space. Maybe Mackenzie Gore.

23:08

He might be kind of like a gore which is

23:10

never gonna be more than Streamable, but

23:13

yeah, I mean I was just optimistic because

23:15

like you saw massive change from him, but

23:17

it ain't great You know Mason

23:19

Miller. That's for sure Every

23:21

time that guy pitches Our

23:24

night baby that guy's been on

23:26

the leave my dear

23:28

good friend Justin Steele Has

23:32

a new podcast that he was doing with

23:34

the bar stool guys and he had Mason

23:36

Miller on and they Told

23:38

Mason Miller that he had a negative Fip

23:41

and he would Mason Miller was like I didn't even

23:43

know that was possible like they all had this conversation

23:46

And Justin Steele didn't even know it was possible

23:48

to have a negative know that that's the thing

23:50

I can't know it's a good It's a pretty

23:52

good clip where Steele and Mason Miller just laughing

23:54

about having a negative because Justin was like I

23:56

thought it was like ERA where he just stops

23:58

at zero. It's like He's like he's so

24:01

good it went into the negative. Mason

24:03

Miller is ridiculous. It's like why don't

24:05

you take some more runs? Why don't

24:07

you take some more runs? Yeah, exactly. He's

24:09

the first guy ever who can score runs

24:11

for his own team while pitching. He's a run

24:14

thief. Yeah. Actually, wouldn't it be amazing to steal

24:16

a runway? That's what a

24:18

minus one is. That's why that's absurd.

24:20

It's stupid. That's dumb. He is

24:23

down here. Here's the injuries. Yeah. Pete Fairbanks,

24:25

another minor league rehab star for him. Pepio,

24:28

I mentioned earlier on the IL, the

24:30

contusion, like IL for the contusion. Edward

24:33

Cabrera on the 15th day IL with the right shoulder

24:35

impingement. We said that was going to happen. Braxton

24:38

Garrett is going to get the start. So Garrett

24:40

in, Bradley in. If they're on the way, go

24:42

pick them up. Blake Snell making a

24:45

minor league rehab. A start at single

24:47

A on Sunday. Chas McCormick and Jose

24:49

Iorquiti working their way back for the

24:51

Astros. The Giants put Horace or layer

24:54

in the 10 day IL retroactive to May 5th

24:56

with a shoulder strain. Sean Murphy

24:58

working his way back and Christian

25:00

Encarnacion Strand hits the IL with

25:02

the right ulnar styloid

25:04

fracture. I've never heard of a styloid fracture. How's

25:06

your styloid? By the way, I don't know. I'm

25:09

going to have to get it checked out. Tennessee.

25:11

I remember you sprained your styloid, but it

25:13

was well, you know, those flights and

25:16

stuff like that. Your styloid can flare up a little

25:18

bit. I'll tell you what

25:20

you sprained a styloid waiting to claim

25:22

your seat for Southwest. You should see the

25:24

anxiousness on Welsh's face during that whole debacle.

25:26

Well, when I was coming back, we were

25:28

we were actually going to play a football

25:30

game. We just like took over

25:32

this field, all of us at fantasy pros. And I

25:35

like was sitting there. Everyone was trying to do stuff

25:37

and I was waiting for the minute I could jump

25:39

on to instantly upgrade my

25:41

seat or try to get my thing. Then I didn't.

25:43

And I had to instantly upgrade. Like all I cared

25:45

about on that football sports day was upgrading my seat

25:47

on on Southwest,

25:51

which I care about today because

25:53

it's Thursday is the best

25:55

bet of the day with Joey P and the

25:57

Welsh. Make sure you're using. Bet

26:00

365 for all of your wages and

26:03

wagering of all sports bet five bucks get

26:05

150 and bonus bets when you do But

26:07

only when you use that promo code leading off at

26:10

that 365 Well, it's

26:12

a really light slate today and I know this comes out

26:14

a little later for people to the lot of day games

26:17

So next week I've got a little audio

26:19

short podcast coming up on betting pros where

26:21

I do a look at the you know

26:23

Uncle Joey looks at you know, the big

26:25

board for the futures because Joey futures is

26:27

a real thing But

26:29

there are three things I just want to preview on that.

26:31

The first one is Gunner Henderson a LMVP at plus 500

26:33

again This award is gonna go

26:36

to somebody who is on a

26:38

team. That's it gonna be extraordinarily good with a high

26:40

win total I still think Julio was in this mix

26:42

I still love that Julio number getting bigger and bigger

26:44

and bigger But the Gunner Henderson one's getting smaller plus

26:46

500. It's a good time to get him Bryce Harper

26:49

plus 1200 I'm pounding the

26:51

table for the Phillies, you know this Welsh so I

26:53

have not won but two Phillies wagers here I love this

26:55

Harper number plus 12. I know he's not the first or

26:57

second guy on the board right now for National League I

27:00

still think he can get there and Zach

27:03

Wheeler National League Cy Young plus

27:05

220 it's hard to see

27:07

a lot of competition when Strider went down

27:09

I kind of became open

27:11

season these first five weeks of the season

27:13

or six weeks of the season so far Zach

27:16

Wheeler has just been the guy and it seems

27:18

like he's in the best spot to potentially continue

27:20

to be this good So a two-to-one

27:22

right now, it's an interesting time to get in again April.

27:24

I don't like to chase too much I'm looking for value

27:27

not the guys at the top of the board necessarily But

27:29

Wheeler is one of those guys right now that just makes

27:31

a lot of sense to me Welsh When you look at

27:33

the top of the board, what do you see right now

27:35

from a Thursday betting standpoint and

27:37

you're a little Granular today. I'm

27:40

a little bit more 5,000

27:42

feet. We're gonna turn this bad boy around

27:44

here Oh On

27:47

a Thursday betting here is all dusty and stuff

27:50

But on a Thursday betting we're gonna turn that

27:52

hat around because we got a lock-in on Thursday

27:54

because there are Less and some people

27:56

are gonna miss out on some of these because like you said we've

27:58

got games that are gonna be starting up right as we get

28:01

out. So my top bet of the

28:03

day, Cleveland and the White Sox through the

28:05

first five, four and a half runs, I'm

28:08

going under. White Sox are

28:10

literally the worst in first five scoring

28:12

this season. Now Cleveland is

28:14

actually in the top five, but we've seen

28:17

Eric Fetti kind of be a monster so

28:19

far early this season. I also like Ben

28:21

Lively with Cleveland. So Fetti, Lively,

28:23

it seems like a weird combination. Bad

28:25

offense from the White Sox. I'm going

28:27

under four and a half runs in

28:29

that one. Next up, I'm going back

28:31

to Keaton Wynn, who I know Keaton

28:33

Wynn got lit up a little

28:36

bit in his last start. Going

28:38

up against the Colorado Rockies, you can get his

28:40

strikeouts over four and a half at minus 122.

28:43

This is why I like it. The

28:45

Rockies have the second highest chase rate

28:47

in all of baseball, and the third

28:50

highest chase rate against righties. Wynn

28:52

throws lots of splitters, and I think

28:54

they are gonna be chasing through that

28:57

sucker, especially coming off of

28:59

that bad performance. So I like Wynn on the strikeout

29:01

number. And then I'm gonna go with the Angels through

29:03

the first five. I'm gonna take the money line, try

29:05

it around minus 110. They got

29:07

Reed Detmers on the mound. So I'm gonna back

29:09

Reed Detmers. Hopefully the Angels have got the lead

29:11

through the first five. Those are

29:13

my bets. I might even have one or two

29:16

more. You can follow at bettingpros.com/Welsh. Betting

29:18

Pro, yeah, right there, bettingpros.com/Joe, if you

29:20

guys wanna follow all of our bets.

29:23

I gotta clean my hat here, but we

29:25

did turn it around. That means we mean

29:28

business today. Business today, over the top bets.

29:30

And of course, make sure you're using Betting

29:32

Pro's app. Download that bad boy, sync your

29:34

sportsbooks for free, and start betting smarter, not

29:36

harder. That is the best bets of the

29:39

day for Thursday. Welsh, it's time

29:41

to look at the home run board today.

29:43

So let's get a look at that because

29:45

somebody's got another one. Oh, it's me. I'm at 12.

29:47

But look, I keep falling down. I keep getting the home runs,

29:50

and I keep falling down the board because

29:52

all these other maniacs continue to just crush

29:54

it. Glarp's still at the top with Pazzi,

29:56

both at 15. So I'm still

29:58

three behind the leaderboard. Welsh is still

30:00

trying to get to double digits, but he's oh

30:03

so close. So Welsh that being

30:05

said, where are you going for your home run

30:07

call today? I know. Just it's like I get

30:09

one and everybody else does. And I just keep

30:11

being one off from it. I

30:13

am actually going to go against my team today.

30:15

This is going to be happening here in just

30:17

a second. Give me Ellie De La Cruz up

30:19

against Lade Shikoni. I think Ellie is going to

30:21

drop a big one today. So Ellie of the

30:23

De La Cruises is going to be my home

30:26

run call. Ellie of the New

30:28

Hampshire De La Cruises, I believe. The

30:30

yeah. Yeah, I'm just going

30:32

to let it ride again because, you

30:34

know, really? Yeah, because I'm just

30:37

a jerk this week. You know, I got

30:39

the Otani Homer. I let it ride. It

30:41

didn't work. I got the Soto Homer. I'm going to

30:43

try to let it ride. See how that works. See

30:45

how that goes for us. Because I know infuriates people

30:47

when I pick the same guy two days in a

30:49

row and it's going to piss them off

30:51

even more if I'm right again. It

30:54

feels good. Well, it feels good. But Juan Soto, man,

30:57

how good is that guy for the Yankees? Talk about

30:59

I mean, you want to talk about betting AL, AL

31:01

MVPs. I mean,

31:03

yeah, but again, but the problem is, again,

31:05

judge is there and he is a massive

31:08

in more ways than one presence. But

31:10

the the feeling of a player

31:12

going to the Yankees specifically and

31:14

having such a positive impact

31:17

on that team as a whole, just not not even

31:19

just on the field, even off like is an electric

31:21

situation. They're in there right now in the New York

31:23

area with Soto like it is crazy. Like they love

31:26

this guy. I think he's leading in like every offensive

31:28

county that category. They're going to have to back up

31:30

the truck. Old school Yankee style if

31:32

they want to keep them, because he is doing everything

31:34

the right way. And my goodness, the number one thing

31:36

you could do right now is a new Yankee is

31:38

kill the Astros. And he has killed the

31:41

Astros this year. Like you want to you want to get yourself

31:43

like back in the day. Used to be beat the hell out

31:45

of the Red Sox. You do that. Yankee fans are going to

31:47

love you. He's beaten the hell

31:49

out of the Astros. Yankee fans are loving

31:51

this. So it's going to be a good

31:53

time. Make sure you join the home run

31:55

to call contest as well. Over on our

31:57

Discord, fansbros.com/chat. It is free to join. fun

32:00

to play so go ahead and do that because the

32:02

winner is getting that Vladimir Guerrero autographed bat and if

32:04

I get it gonna break it over my leg Bo

32:07

Jackson and throw it into the fire. Do

32:09

you think you could break a bat over

32:11

your leg? Not without hurting myself. I think

32:14

you break your siloid. I mean

32:16

I could do it like against a tree I think I could

32:19

get hard enough to break it but okay yeah I

32:22

mean yeah sure if I get it well not everybody I think

32:24

is strong enough to do that like that's hard but I think

32:26

I could do it I got the bat speed still Yeah

32:28

I told you Welsh you get me out there

32:30

on the uh get me out there on the

32:32

batting practice Old man

32:35

can still swing the bat a little bit Still swing

32:37

in the bat I'll hit the batting rack get me

32:39

out on that old batting practice and I'll do some

32:41

batting There you go ends on this note from the

32:43

chat Juan Soto is a perfect Yankee cocky talented and

32:45

a little crazy That certainly sounds

32:47

a lot like me sounds a lot like me Alright

32:49

great stuff today from Welsh obviously with the prospect stuff

32:52

as always and that's always going to be on the

32:54

YouTube channel So if you ever miss it live you

32:56

want to go back and watch it again it's up

32:58

there too in its own segment You can check that

33:00

out as well you can also follow us on all

33:02

the social media platforms too fantasy bros MLB Yeah,

33:05

that'll do it for us but the story of the

33:07

game goes on for the Welsh. I'm Joey P See

33:10

you next time kids tomorrow on Friday

33:12

20k celebration Beep

33:14

Beep Do good Beep

33:27

Beep