Success without dignity: a nearcasting story of avoiding catastrophe by luck, by Holden Karnofsky.https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/75CtdFj79sZrGpGiX/success-without-dignity-a-nearcasting-story-of-avoidingNote: Footnotes in the origin

Larks — A Windfall Clause for CEO could worsen AI race dynamics

Mar 20th, 2023 14m 35s

In this post, Larks argues that the proposal to make AI firms promise to donate a large fraction of profits if they become extremely profitable will primarily benefitting the management of those firms and thereby give managers an incentive to m

Otto Barten — Paper summary: The effectiveness of AI existential risk communication to the American and Dutch public

Mar 20th, 2023 7m 15s

This is Otto Barten's summary of 'The effectiveness of AI existential risk communication to the American and Dutch public' by Alexia Georgiadis. In this paper Alexia measures changes in participants' awareness of AGI risks after consuming vario

Shulman & Thornley — How much should governments pay to prevent catastrophes? Longtermism's limited role

Mar 20th, 2023 57m 30s

Carl Shulman & Elliott Thornley argue that the goal of longtermists should be to get governments to adopt global catastrophic risk policies based on standard cost-benefit analysis rather than arguments that stress the overwhelming importance of

Elika Somani — Advice on communicating in and around the biosecurity policy community

Mar 14th, 2023 13m 6s

"The field of biosecurity is more complicated, sensitive and nuanced, especially in the policy space, than what impressions you might get based on publicly available information. As a result, say / write / do things with caution (especially if

Riley Harris — Summary of 'Are we living at the hinge of history?' by William MacAskill.

Mar 14th, 2023 7m 10s

The Global Priorities Institute has published a new paper summary: 'Are we living at the hinge of history?' by William MacAskill.https://globalprioritiesinstitute.org/summary-summary-longtermist-institutional-reform/Note: Footnotes and refere

Riley Harris — Summary of 'Longtermist institutional reform' by Tyler M. John and William MacAskill

Mar 14th, 2023 5m 32s

The Global Priorities Institute has published a new paper summary: 'Longtermist institutional reform' by Tyler John & William MacAskill.https://globalprioritiesinstitute.org/summary-summary-longtermist-institutional-reform/Note: Footnotes and

Hayden Wilkinson — Global priorities research: Why, how, and what have we learned?

Mar 13th, 2023 44m 42s

The Global Priorities Institute has released Hayden Wilkinson's presentation on global priorities research. (The talk was given in mid-September last year but remained unlisted until now.)https://globalprioritiesinstitute.org/hayden-wilkinson-

Piper — What should be kept off-limits in a virology lab?

Mar 13th, 2023 7m 49s

New rules around gain-of-function research make progress in striking a balance between reward — and catastrophic risk.https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/2023/2/1/23580528/gain-of-function-virology-covid-monkeypox-catastrophic-risk-pandemic-lab

Ezra Klein — This changes everything

Mar 13th, 2023 10m 42s

"One of two things must happen. Humanity needs to accelerate its adaptation to these technologies or a collective, enforceable decision must be made to slow the development of these technologies. Even doing both may not be enough."https://www.

Victoria Krakovna — Near-term motivation for AGI alignment

Mar 11th, 2023 4m 39s

Victoria Krakovna makes the point that you don't have to be a longtermist to care about AI alignment.

Anthropic — Core views on AI safety: when, why, what, and how

Mar 11th, 2023 38m 11s

Anthropic shares a summary of their views about AI progress and its associated risks, as well as their approach to AI safety.https://www.anthropic.com/index/core-views-on-ai-safetyNote: Some footnotes in the original article have been omitte

Noah Smith — LLMs are not going to destroy the human race

Mar 8th, 2023 16m 46s

Noah Smith argues that, although AGI might eventually kill humanity, large language models are not AGI, may not be a step toward AGI, and there's no plausible way they could cause extinction.https://noahpinion.substack.com/p/llms-are-not-goin

Andy Greenberg — A privacy hero's final wish: an institute to redirect AI's future

Mar 8th, 2023 12m 58s

Peter Eckersley did groundbreaking work to encrypt the web. After his sudden death, a new organization he founded is carrying out his vision to steer artificial intelligence toward “human flourishing.”https://www.wired.com/story/peter-eckersl

Noy & Zhang — Experimental evidence on the productivity effects of generative artificial intelligence

Mar 4th, 2023 24m 58s

A working paper by Shakked Noy and Whitney Zhang examines the effects of ChatGPT on production and labor markets.https://economics.mit.edu/sites/default/files/inline-files/Noy_Zhang_1.pdfNote: Some tables and footnotes in the original articl

Robin Hanson — AI risk, again

Mar 4th, 2023 8m 29s

Robin Hanson restates his views on AI risk.https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/ai-risk-again

Williams and Kane — Preventing the Misuse of DNA Synthesis

Mar 4th, 2023 41m 9s

In an Institute for Progress report, Bridget Williams and Rowan Kane make five policy recommendations to mitigate risks of catastrophic pandemics from synthetic biology.https://progress.institute/preventing-the-misuse-of-dna-synthesis/

Kevin Collier — What is consciousness? ChatGPT and advanced AI might redefine our answer

Mar 2nd, 2023 7m 28s

Kevin Collier on how ChatGPT and advanced AI might redefine our definition of consciousness.https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/tech-news/chatgpt-ai-consciousness-rcna71777

Landgrebe, Barnes & Hobbhahn — Reflection Mechanisms as an Alignment Target - Attitudes on “near-term” AI

Mar 2nd, 2023 14m 28s

Eric Landgrebe, Beth Barnes and Marius Hobbhahn discuss a survey of 1000 participants on their views about what values should be put into powerful AIs.https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/4iAkmnhhqNZe8JzrS/reflection-mechanisms-as-an-alignment-tar

Risto Uuk — The EU AI Act Newsletter #24

Mar 2nd, 2023 6m 14s

Risto Uuk published the EU AI Act Newsletter #24.https://artificialintelligenceact.substack.com/p/the-eu-ai-act-newsletter-24

Noam Kolt — Algorithmic black swans

Mar 1st, 2023 1h 20m

The prospect of automated systems manipulating our information environment, distorting societal values, and destabilizing political institutions is increasingly palpable. At present, it appears unlikely that market forces will address this cla

Matthew Barnett — Why I think it's important to work on AI forecasting

Mar 1st, 2023 17m 57s

Matthew Barnett on the importance of work on AI forecasting. (This audio version is based on a talk given at EA Global: Bay Area 2023.)https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/zrSx3NRZEaJENazHK/why-i-think-it-s-important-to-work-on-ai-forec

Scott Alexander — OpenAI's planning for AGI and beyond

Mar 1st, 2023 21m 55s

Scott Alexander on OpenAI's "Planning For AGI And Beyond"https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/openais-planning-for-agi-and-beyond

Scott Aaronson — Should GPT exist?

Feb 27th, 2023 19m 51s

Scott Aaronson: "My purpose, in this post, is to ask a more basic question than how to make GPT safer: namely, should GPT exist at all?"https://scottaaronson.blog/?p=7042

Sam Altman — Planning for AGI and beyond

Feb 26th, 2023 9m 52s

OpenAI released a blog post explaining their AGI roadmaphttps://openai.com/blog/planning-for-agi-and-beyond/Note: Some footnotes in the original article have been omitted.