In this week's special episode of the Global Guessing Weekly Podcast, Andrew and Clay are joined by Regina Joseph and Pavel Atanasov of Pytho: A boutique R&D shop that use decision science to improve predictions and decision making. Pavel and R

GGWP 6 w/ Saar Wilf: What is Rootclaim, Syrian Chemical Attacks, COVID Origins, Bzigo

Mar 27th, 2021 1h 24m

In the sixth episode of the Global Guessing Weekly #Podcast we sit down with Rootclaim founder Saar Wilf. Saar goes over his entrepreneurial background and discusses the story and method behind Rootclaim. In the podcast, we question Saar on som

GGWP 5 - US-China Summit, New Forecasting and Geopolitics Books, North Korea Tensions

Mar 20th, 2021 46m 35s

We review the new books that we've been reading on forecasting and geopolitics. We also cover the major geopolitical stories of the week, including the US-China Summit in Alaska, new North Korean tensions, and the status of US troop withdrawal

GGWP 2 - Israeli-Saudi Relations After Khashoggi, Korea ICBM Test in 2021?, Road to Superforecasting

Mar 20th, 2021 53m 54s

Clay and Andrew are flying solo...or rather duo. In this week’s episode of the Global Guessing Weekly Podcast we chat about the most pressing news from this week in geopolitics. Then we discuss our latest Metaculus Monday article regarding norm

GGWP 4 w/ Ross of ARGS - Future of Statehood, Geopolitics of the Arctic, Hybrid Warfare

Mar 13th, 2021 1h 3m

Ross, founder of AR Global Security, a brand dedicated to providing news and analysis about the global security landscape, joins us this week. We discussed how the rise of cyberspace will change the future of statehood, discuss the implications

GGWP 3 - Metaculus Scoring Controversy, Future of US-China Competition, Rootclaim Intrigue

Mar 6th, 2021 1h 3m

Andrew and Clay are flying solo again. In Episode 3 of GGWP, we cover the recent Metaculus scoring controversy and discuss ways to better incentivize accurate forecasts in community prediction platforms. We also reflect on the recent geopolitic

GGWP 1 w/ Dr. Balkan Devlen - Theory in Forecasting, Incentives, Prediction Retrospectives

Feb 20th, 2021 49m 9s

For the first episode of the Global Guessing Weekly Podcast we are joined by Dr. Balkan Devlen, author, professor, and superforecaster for Good Judgement, Inc. In the episode, we discussed Dr. Devlen's introduction to quantified forecasting and

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