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0:01
This is Gone Racing, Fison's
0:03
premier NASCAR betting podcast.
0:05
Here are your.
0:06
Hosts, former NASCAR driver Brendan Gone
0:08
and Las Vegas Motor Speedways and Jeff
0:10
Montley.
0:12
Welcome back in to another edition of Gone Racing,
0:14
our New digs, our second week in our
0:16
new digs here at the Circa Hotel
0:18
Casino in downtown Las
0:21
Vegas. Brendant, we
0:23
had a big, big week this past weekend at Kansas.
0:26
A familiar car in victory
0:29
Lane, not necessarily familiar
0:31
driver.
0:31
You know, I'd be interested to see if there's
0:33
some stat that says that any
0:36
car number or team
0:38
has won that many races in that
0:40
short of time with that many different drivers. You
0:42
know, I mean the forty five team one with Kyle
0:44
Busch two years ago. I mean Kurt
0:46
Busch two years ag before he got hurt, then he got hurt,
0:48
Bubba Wallace ran the number and got
0:50
the win in the playoffs for him that
0:53
year. And then now
0:55
you have Tyler Reddick who and Tyler Redick, by the way,
0:58
almost won the first race of the season at
1:00
Kansas, come comes
1:02
back to win this one. So the forty five team,
1:05
that Toyota group absolutely dominates Kansas
1:07
Speed.
1:07
Well, and we clearly know that the Toyotas in
1:09
general are really good there. I mean, Bubba Wallace
1:11
was one of the best cars on the track all day. He ran second
1:14
almost the entire day. Denny Hamlin
1:16
had the race one and we had a lake costume,
1:18
Chris Busher with a flat tire, and.
1:20
Then you know how it all happened.
1:21
Somebody's doing a four tire stop, somebody's
1:23
doing two tires, somebody's taking no tires.
1:25
Hey listen, And if I'm a cruchie for those guys,
1:28
you go for it, baby. I mean, it's a green white checker. You
1:30
do what you can. You weren't running
1:32
well, you take the shot. And a couple of them
1:34
almost did well with it if you look at that deal. In the
1:36
end, Eric Jones comes home with a third place finish, which
1:38
is fantastic for him. But some of those guys,
1:41
you know, you have to throw caution to the win there,
1:43
you have to try something. The big loser in that was Daniel Suarez
1:45
who had no tires and did not
1:48
hang on to a good position.
1:49
Yeah, and some of those guys it took for Chase Elliott
1:51
was another guy who was running top three and he ended up
1:53
dropping back, but I'll tell you to win the race.
1:55
Tyler Redick was a plus nine hundred great
1:57
return on that. He was plus two to fifty for
2:00
a top three. He won Group B at a plus two
2:02
to twenty five driving Toyota
2:04
a plus one ten is only head to head matchup
2:07
against Kyle Busch, it was a minus one forty
2:09
five, so there was very little return there.
2:11
It also locks Tyler Reddick into the
2:13
next round of the playoffs so he doesn't have
2:15
to sweat out Bristol because we all kind of
2:17
know how Bristol can be. You know, one guy can spin
2:20
completely a whole straightaway ahead of you.
2:22
And then you could end up being in the mess there.
2:24
Listen, there are only two drivers right now that are happy
2:27
going into Bristol that they don't have to deal with the calamity.
2:30
I mean, then everybody else and there's
2:32
one guy right now that is sweating bullets
2:35
about to be the first guy ever to be the regular season champion.
2:37
And now that we have many data points on this, but
2:40
the first time a regular season champion we get knocked
2:42
out number last year I think was Chase Elliott came really
2:44
close. He had a couple bad first rounds,
2:47
ate up all his points. We talked about the same thing, but
2:49
Martin right now is on the outside looking at well.
2:51
And one of the things that helped last year is we didn't
2:54
have any playoff drivers win the first two
2:56
or those early races.
2:57
With Martin trickx Junior.
2:59
I think it's perplexing to all of us
3:01
right now that Martin Trickx Junior is sitting here on the
3:03
outside of the playoffs looking in. He had a
3:05
horrible race the weekend before at Darlington, and
3:07
in this race he blows a tire. I
3:09
mean literally, we're not even what fifteen laps
3:11
into the race, three laps, three laps into the race,
3:13
he's blown a tire, which I still can't quite
3:16
fathom. How does a tire not
3:18
last more than three laps? It makes me there
3:20
was something had to be wrong with that tire before that race
3:22
ever start.
3:23
He had to get a cut. I mean to me, it had to be a cut.
3:25
There's no way that There's nothing
3:28
they try. There's no camber, you know, they didn't
3:30
try to do to over camber the tire. That
3:32
had to be a cut tire. That's all that
3:34
it could be and but talk about
3:36
bad timing. Lap three, Martin Truex
3:38
Junior goes out, So that was horrible. But
3:41
a bunch of names in that top ten again, Motley some
3:43
great this sport healthy? Is this
3:45
sport when you look at names in the top ten?
3:46
Absolutely?
3:47
Danny Hamlin came in as a plus one thirty
3:49
for his top three. You mentioned Eric Jones.
3:51
Eric Jones forty to one
3:54
for a top three. Eric Jones finishes
3:56
third, you know, and they're going over to Toyota
3:59
next year in a Toyota yet but that team's
4:01
going to be a Toyota team next year. Kyle Larson,
4:03
our winner at Darlington. He came
4:05
in forth and he was strong all day long. I mean,
4:08
Larson was probably another guy that the lake
4:10
pit stopped. The caution with Chris Busher
4:12
didn't help Joey Logano getting the top
4:14
five. Chase Elliott, another guy ran top three
4:17
a good portion of today was there right at the mid end.
4:19
Kyle Busch a strong run and we're expecting a lot
4:21
out of Kyle I think this weekend. Going to Bristol,
4:24
Christopher Bell, Brad Keselowski had another
4:26
good run there for the RFK team, which also
4:28
had Chris Busher having a top ten run until
4:30
he cut the tire down at the very end of the race,
4:32
and Alex Bowman a top ten. So no real surprises
4:35
other than Eric Jones in that top
4:37
ten, but it's a solid group.
4:38
Larson led the most laps on the day, ninety nine laps,
4:40
so Larson was the strongest car if you go by the number
4:42
of laps led. But Eric Jones a great name
4:45
on that list right there. Even Kyle Busch
4:47
good rebound get himself just a solid finish
4:49
to get back in the conversation, so he's not in
4:51
danger near that cut line right now. Bowman
4:53
would finally at least a top ten
4:56
run, right I mean, Bowman has been kind
4:58
of disappeared the last half of the season. Seabell
5:01
still strong, but man, that RFK team, I think
5:03
this might be I wish, you know, I should
5:05
have thought this for the show started. I'd love to
5:07
see when the last time Jack Roush
5:09
had this many top tens in
5:11
a row in a season. It had
5:13
to be over ten years since he's had this many
5:15
top tens by his teams in a row.
5:17
Yeah, I think you're probably right, because I mean, there were some pretty
5:19
lean years in there in the you know Stenhouse
5:21
years and even toward the end of Biffles years and things
5:23
like that. All right, well, let's we talked a little bit about
5:26
TRUEX being on the outside. Let's take
5:28
a look at our standings. We know that Larson and
5:30
we know that Reddick. They're locked into the next round.
5:32
Denny Hamlin, William Byron, brad
5:35
Keselowski, all in pretty good shape.
5:37
But you start looking down that list and
5:39
you see the guy on the bubble right now is Kevin
5:42
Harvick. He's seven points ahead
5:44
of Martin Trix Junior. Martin Trix Junior
5:46
finishes eighth or seventh in stage
5:48
one and Harvick gets no stage points. They're tied
5:51
one stage into this race at Bristol, So that's pretty
5:53
tight.
5:54
I look at this and I go anywhere from Chris Buscher, who's
5:56
in ninth, all the way down to bubble with which.
5:58
Is that is a show just
6:01
that one blown tire run belonging to the race.
6:03
That Chris Buscher, who we thought was a
6:05
guy who's in really good shape for the final four,
6:08
is now I mean, he's got to make sure neck. Granted
6:10
he did win this race last year, but only
6:12
thirteen points to the good.
6:13
Well, I mean, look, you finished twenty seventh with that blown
6:15
tire last week, so that hurt him, and you look
6:17
at that, but you go, Bubba Wallace, even
6:20
Ricky Stenhouse at forty one, that's
6:22
not undoable for twenty one points to Kevin
6:24
Harvick, especially with a problem, especially
6:26
with stage points, all those things. So I
6:29
say, from ninth to fourteenth, maybe
6:31
even fifteenth, you've got five guys,
6:33
seven guys right there that literally
6:35
are going to be sweating this whole race, counting points,
6:38
counting cars, really figuring out what they
6:40
got to do to make sure they make this playoff. And one guy who's
6:42
got all the pressure in the world, Martin Truex Junior,
6:44
all the playoff points he got the regular season champion.
6:47
If he makes it to the next round, he resets
6:49
with all those points that he had the advantage of. He
6:51
goes back to being your leader in the point. He'll
6:53
go from twelfth to first in
6:56
one day if he makes it.
6:57
Yes, like losing the two point basketball game with
6:59
four timeouts, you
7:01
know, just to have all that sitting there
7:04
in your in your hands and know that
7:06
it could slip away. But you've also got to believe
7:08
that team drivers like
7:10
Truex, Harvick, Legano the importance.
7:12
They're gonna put number one on qualifying
7:15
yep, and number two. Guess
7:17
what you when that flag drops, there's
7:19
not gonna be any of this. I'm gonna take
7:22
it easy now because they've got to get every stage
7:24
point they can. And at Bristol, we're running
7:26
fifteen sixteen second laps.
7:28
Those one hundred and twenty five laps are gonna
7:30
go by in a hurry.
7:32
Listen at Bristol, get it gets spread
7:34
out right at the drop of the rag. I mean by
7:37
the time you get lap ten, the leader
7:39
is looking at the back of the field in his windshield,
7:41
you know, I mean it's right there. It is hard
7:43
to do. It is hard to keep up there. And those
7:45
guys. But when you look at those names, when you NASCAR
7:48
Champion, Kevin Harvick, NASCAR Champion, Martin
7:50
Truex, Junior NASCAR Champion, Joey Logano,
7:53
those are three guys that have been here, done that. Unless
7:55
we forget Christopher Bell, the king
7:58
of go or go home races. I
8:00
mean last year he's true walk off. Yeah, he proved
8:03
you know that that things clank when he walks
8:05
because he proved that he does not. He loves
8:08
pressure. So you got all those guys right there
8:10
that there's a lot of lot of guys
8:12
with confidence that are one of them is
8:14
going to be looking at the outside after this round, and some.
8:17
Guys that are probably not getting a lot of sleep this week.
8:19
So it is Bristol, and we need to remind
8:21
everybody. So for the last couple of years,
8:23
this is the only race on the concrete
8:26
at Bristol, so we really don't have any data
8:28
points this year. The only guy that
8:30
has won at Bristol on this surface
8:33
in this car is Chris Busher.
8:36
Yes, and that was last and that was last fall.
8:38
So looking at the schedule coming up, we talked
8:40
about the fact we've got Bristol this week. Once
8:42
we passed Bristol, the next trip, we're going
8:44
into the next the next round of the playoffs,
8:46
So we'll start that out in Fort Worth, Texas. Then
8:49
we go to Talladega, and then we run the roval
8:51
in Charlotte before coming here to Las Vegas
8:53
to start the third round of the playoffs.
8:55
I love that second round and I think once
8:57
Bristol is over, we're really going to have
8:59
a lot to talk about for that second round of the playoffs.
9:01
Once again, I really hope NASCAR does
9:04
not get talked into changing the
9:06
cutoff rounds right now. I love that
9:08
everybody they're they're not afraid to change schedules
9:10
this and that. But when you go from Daytona to
9:12
being a regular season cutoff race, which
9:14
is a crapshoot that you'd love to use, then
9:16
you end up with a Bristol Night Race as
9:19
a cutoff race, another race that is
9:21
calamity Jane Corner, you know, can be so
9:23
many things. Then you go to the Roval
9:25
at you know how I feel about that
9:27
one. But you go
9:29
to the you know, the Roval at Charlotte, which
9:32
another race that a lot of things
9:35
can happen in. I think they got these
9:37
cutoff races nailed, pat
9:39
I think it's hard to change want to change them.
9:41
And then I love the mixture of races mile
9:43
and a half, super Speedway, Roval.
9:46
Then you go to the South Point four hundred, we kick off with a
9:48
mile and a half. You gotta be good. It shows
9:50
that you have to be well rounded. And I
9:52
really like the way the schedule lays out for the playoffs well.
9:54
The main main one we're talking about right now is
9:56
going to be this cutoff race right here, which is Bristol.
9:59
And take a quick look get the stats at Bristol. Kyle
10:02
Busch, I mean, if he doesn't get in
10:04
erect Kyle Busch probably gonna win thirty
10:06
three races, eight wins, fourteen
10:08
top fives.
10:09
Are you raced at Bristol a few times? Can you fathom
10:12
nineteen top tens and thirty three
10:14
races at Bristol just knowing how quickly something
10:17
bad can happen.
10:18
Listen, I'm jealous
10:20
of that right there. I mean, that's just phenomenal. What Kyle
10:23
the Bush brothers, remember Kurt Busch was his stats
10:25
if we had them here. Kurt Busch's stats
10:27
were fantastic at Bristol. So the Bush
10:29
boys know how to get around that place. There's some
10:31
guys down there, Chase Elliott fifty percent top
10:33
ten, you know, even Eric Jones fifty percent
10:35
top ten, and he's been running better. He's coming
10:37
off two top tens in a row right now with Darlington
10:40
and Kansas, so he's got some stuff
10:42
there. You know. Chris Buscher not quite
10:44
as good, but he's got the win from last year,
10:46
Kyle Larson, nine top tens and fourteen
10:49
races. There are some amazing numbers on
10:51
guys here, along with the fact you got the Harvicks,
10:54
the and the Bushes that just flat out
10:56
you know know how to get it done.
10:57
But you know a couple of names we don't see on this list right here,
11:00
Martin Truch Junior and Bubble Wallace. The two guys
11:02
are sitting on the bubble. They don't have any wins here.
11:04
They really don't have a strong showing here.
11:06
Martin Truch Junior, two top tens, last ten
11:08
races, average finished twenty point six.
11:10
Well, so you know Martin is going in and
11:13
Martin's going into this race at Bristol, and he
11:15
probably doesn't have a great deal of confidence.
11:17
I'm thinking to you.
11:18
Listen, right now, he's scratching
11:21
his head, going, oh my god, he's got all
11:23
the pressure because this becomes
11:25
a meme. Right if you
11:28
not get knocked out the first round after being the race
11:30
season points champion with a fifty five point lead, that's
11:32
a meme.
11:33
We may even give you a little credit for maybe the most disappointing
11:35
season that you called it before the season started.
11:37
Are we back on ground racing.
11:39
We'll start going over the odds to win and our top
11:41
threes.
11:58
This is Gone Racing since
12:00
premier NASCAR Betting podcast.
12:02
Here are your.
12:02
Hosts, former NASCAR driver Brendan Gonn
12:05
and Las Vegas Motor Speedways Jeff
12:07
Motley.
12:08
We're back here talking all things the Night
12:10
Race at Bristol. Brendan, you know, they're
12:13
so proud of the name of this race. They don't even put a number
12:15
on it. It's not even it's not the Bass Pro
12:17
Shops five hundred, it's just the Bass
12:19
Pro Shops Night Race. And they've been doing
12:22
that, I think for we used to call it, I think just the
12:24
Night Race at Bristol when they didn't have a
12:26
sponsor on the race. So pretty cool. But anyway,
12:28
we're going to start taking a look at odds to win. Kyle
12:31
Larson comes in as our favorite. I
12:33
might be mildly surprised, but
12:36
maybe not shocked there. He's a plus five fifty,
12:38
William Byron and Denny Hamlin of both plus seven
12:40
to fifty, Christopher Bell plus eight hundred,
12:43
Brad Keselowski plus eight fifty, Chase
12:45
Elliott ten to one, Kyle Busch,
12:47
Kevin Harvick, Chris Buscher all twelve to
12:49
one, Ryan Blaney, Rosschastain,
12:51
Martin Trix Junior, Joey Lgano all at fourteen,
12:54
Tyler Reddick at sixteen, Bubba Wallace
12:56
twenty eight and making an appearance on the
12:58
first page this week, Tyger Gibbs it forty
13:00
to one. What jumps out at you there?
13:03
Well, I'll give you the stat for Kyle Larson. He's the only
13:05
guy in the single digit in the last ten races.
13:08
To be the only guy in single digits average
13:10
finished last ten races. He's only got eight data points
13:12
because remember he missed a couple of races, but he's
13:14
seven top tens, four top fives and a win
13:17
in the last ten races, and the one that
13:19
he didn't was a nineteenth place that he still
13:21
led sixty laps in, So you
13:24
know, he is really good here fifth, first, sixth,
13:26
second, second, ninth and sixth in
13:28
the last eight not counting
13:30
the nineteenth. So there's a reason why he is
13:33
the favorite. But I look at that Kyle Busch number.
13:36
You know, six top fives and the last
13:38
ten races, got three wins in the last
13:40
ten races, and he's twelve to one. He
13:43
hasn't been very loud lately. We've
13:45
talked about that fade. But where did they
13:47
start the season that Kyle Busch was so good
13:50
at the coliseum? Now anything not
13:53
anything like Bristol. Let's not you know, don't
13:55
get me wrong, but a short track. That's where
13:57
they came off the bus, you know, with the
13:59
new RCR deal, and he came out
14:01
firing. So this could be a place. At twelve
14:03
to one, that's a hell of a number on a Kyle
14:06
Busch.
14:07
I like that.
14:07
Well, and you know we talk about attitude,
14:10
right, he has great attitude.
14:11
He has a great attitude at Bristol. I mean when a guy when
14:13
he.
14:13
Wins, he says, I hate this car, I hate
14:16
you, I hate this but he loves Bristol
14:18
and.
14:18
That's the thing.
14:18
He's got eight wins there, so I agree with you twelve
14:21
to one. And the other guy is, like we just
14:23
said a minute ago, the only guy that's
14:25
won on this surface in this.
14:27
Car is Chris Buscher, who's been one of the hottest
14:29
shirts.
14:29
Look, he was running top ten last week, so let's
14:32
let's discount where he finished last week.
14:34
No belief to one, No belief, No
14:36
believers. No, no believers in Chris
14:38
Buscher still. I mean, you got to look, Chris Buscher won
14:41
the race last year, led one hundred.
14:43
Didn't just win the race last year? Remember not
14:45
playoff guy RFK. Last
14:47
year much different year than this year, right, We're
14:49
not that strong, went and led one hundred
14:52
and sixty nine laps. The guy
14:54
who led the most laps, he
14:56
finished seventh in Stage one, one
14:58
hundred and sixty nine laps. And you got him
15:00
right now sitting here at four to twelve
15:03
to one. I'm sorry, there's
15:05
two numbers right there that I might bet winners
15:07
this week just because of that.
15:08
Well, and then one other name it jumps out
15:10
of me on the very beginning of the board there,
15:13
Tyler Reddick at sixteen to one.
15:15
Tyler Reddick, here's a guy he won last week.
15:18
We've talked about how these are kind
15:20
of his kind of racetracks. You
15:22
know, Reddick is run He's run well here in every
15:24
other series that he's been in, and we know
15:26
the Toyotas are going to probably run well here because
15:28
they always do. I just think that's a really, really
15:31
nice return on Tyler Reddick.
15:33
Honestly, I'd probably have him up there close
15:35
to where Brad Keselowski is at at plus eight fifty
15:38
as opposed to be in sixteen to one.
15:39
But that's just me.
15:41
I don't discount that. I mean ty and right now,
15:43
Reddick is no pressure. Is fast,
15:45
He's been fast everywhere.
15:46
The last He's just going for bonus points. Now, that's
15:49
what matters to him is bonus points. All right, let's
15:51
take a look at our longer shots this race
15:54
coming up here in Bristol. We got Alex Bowman at fifty
15:56
five to one, Eric Jones who just
15:58
keeps finishing well one,
16:00
Daniel Suarez and Eric Almol at ninety,
16:03
Stenhouse and McDowell, a couple of playoff
16:05
drivers along with Chase Briscoe at one hundred
16:07
to one, Ryan Prees, Almondinger at
16:09
one fifty, Haley Josse of ar In,
16:12
Austin Dylon big now last
16:14
fifty and there's some bigger.
16:16
Yeah, there's some bigglers behind that. But still
16:18
I mean Austin Dillon way down there behind Carson Josvar
16:21
same odd. But I mean, really, Ryan,
16:23
I mean that just surprises me. Not that I
16:25
think he's going to win the race. Sorry Austin, but
16:28
still nothing on this back page.
16:30
Really, the only one maybe
16:32
that gets gets me going to say, hmmm,
16:35
rather talk about him in the top threes is that Eric
16:37
Jones stat we started the show
16:39
with where Eric Jones ten races,
16:42
five top fives, four top tens, average
16:44
finish at thirteen point three last ten races.
16:46
So here's a guy that he's finished second
16:48
here in the past, granted it was with Gibbs,
16:51
but got a fifth place here, got a third
16:53
place, here, got another fifth place. Here's
16:56
a guy pretty good here.
16:58
Yeah, I think, and I think Suarez is an guy
17:00
that it's a really big number on Daniel.
17:02
I know he hasn't won this year, but Daniel.
17:05
Seems fairly comfortable when he goes to some
17:07
of these short tracks and runs fairly well.
17:09
But I guess we'll see.
17:10
Okay, let's take a look at our top threes. Kyle
17:12
Larson comes in as our favorite there at plus one
17:14
sixty, William Byron
17:17
and Denny Hamlin are both plus two to ten, Christopher
17:19
Bell at plus two twenty five, Brad Kasilowski
17:22
two fifty, Elliott two seventy five, Bush
17:24
three fifty, along with Harvick and Busher, Blaney,
17:27
Chastain, Truex, and Legano All
17:29
at four hundred, Reddick at four to fifty,
17:31
Bubba at eight hundred, and Ty Gibbs at
17:33
twelve to one.
17:34
I lock right back in those same two Chris Buscher
17:36
at three to fifty. Here's a guy that won last
17:38
year, he was fast last week at Kansas.
17:40
He's been fast the arguably
17:43
the hottest guy coming into the playoffs, and you're
17:45
telling me he's three fifty. That's a great return,
17:48
I do. I'm intrigued by the Bubba Wallace
17:50
number there, just because
17:52
of how well he's been running lately. I
17:54
think the Bubba has really matured a
17:56
lot, and the last little bit I think Tyler Reddick has
17:58
helped him a lot. I think Bush as a
18:01
as a driver, coach, slash mentor over there has
18:03
helped and it's shown lately. So that
18:05
that eight hundred on Bubba Wallace and
18:07
even that Ty Gibson, Remember the kid just missed
18:09
the playoffs. Having a good rookie season. I
18:12
think that he could snap off a top three here because
18:14
he won this in Xfinity at least once
18:16
that I can remember off the top of my head. So I
18:19
like those two numbers at the bottom page.
18:20
You know, and I think a couple of guys here that I
18:23
probably wouldn't discount because
18:25
I think they'll run well. Here are
18:27
those two Penske cars there, Blainey and Logano.
18:30
Blaney in Logano, he's said
18:32
his moments at britt he's been pretty good.
18:34
He's been lately, not bad.
18:36
Four top tens, three top fives, so
18:38
not terrible lately. But Logano did
18:40
win here, did used to do really well here.
18:43
He does like this place so.
18:45
And he's plus four hundred. I mean, there's
18:47
some real value I think there on Joey Logano. I just
18:49
don't think he should be discounted. You know, we've really
18:51
kind of talked about a lot of what we talked
18:53
about Ben the Toyota guys, you know, and
18:55
in Kyle Busch along with Apple Sleeve Larson, sorry.
18:58
Not name it, and we haven't said Ross Chastain's name. Ross
19:01
Chastain.
19:02
I think Mike issue with chastainn He just had that strong
19:04
this year or two, and he sometimes gets himself
19:07
into trouble.
19:07
And Bristol is one track where.
19:09
Well that's one track where people get even with him. And
19:12
we've seen that at this track he's gotten people
19:14
have gotten even with Ross here at Bristol
19:16
in the past. This is a place that his personality
19:21
has not paid dividends when it comes to Bristol.
19:23
Well, and maybe that's one thing we need going into
19:25
this race. We need a scorecard, or
19:28
as Dion Sanders coach Prime likes
19:30
to say, I keep receipts.
19:32
We need to know who's keeping receivers.
19:33
This weekend, because this, as you say,
19:36
is the weekend that you tend to redeem those
19:38
receipts.
19:40
You tend to cash
19:42
in a lot of tickets on this one,
19:44
so it definitely happens. Let's just say,
19:46
all.
19:46
Right, let's take a look at our longer shots for top threes.
19:48
Here, Alex Bowman comes in at fourteen to
19:51
one, Eric Jones is sixteen to
19:53
one, Daniel Suarez, Eric al Merle at
19:55
twenty, Stenhouse, McDowell and Briscoe
19:57
at twenty five priests and Almendinger at
19:59
four Hayley, hos of Ar,
20:02
Dylan and Burton All at sixty, Cindric
20:04
And at one hundred, Corey La Joy at one thirty,
20:07
and Ty Dylan two fifty.
20:10
You know, maybe Alex Bowman, Eric Eric Jones
20:12
again, I harped the dead horse, right I mean, Eric Jones,
20:14
we're talking about a lot Alex Bowman. A couple
20:16
of good runs here, last eight races, two
20:19
top fives, got a fifth and got a fifth.
20:22
Not terrible, but once
20:24
again, he's the guy that's kind of disappeared as
20:26
of late. But when Alex Bowman shows
20:29
back up on the scene, Alex Bowman
20:31
shows up, right. I mean normally, when all of
20:33
a sudden we talk about Alex Bowman again, it's like, oh my god, Alex
20:35
Bowman ripped off two wins in a row, and then you
20:37
don't talk about him for three weeks, you know,
20:40
so it's it's three
20:42
months. So that one
20:44
kind of gets me there. Really,
20:47
that's it on this page. That kind of gets me excited
20:49
as Eric Jones and Alex Bowman. Eric Jones sixteen
20:51
to one, I think that could happen well.
20:53
And it seems like, you know, every week
20:55
we've got somebody that's now granted, I
20:57
say, we've got every week we got somebody surprising
20:59
us. It's really kind of been Eric Jones
21:02
has been the guy that's been surprising on so most.
21:04
Of these weeks.
21:04
But you know, we've had, like you mentioned,
21:06
Bowman, Bowman's had some good runs. Problem
21:08
with Bowman he hasn't had good finishes. And
21:12
also you got to look at I mean, okay,
21:14
I know they haven't been great at Bristol, but Ricky
21:16
Stenhouse and Michael McDowell, those guys
21:19
don't want to be one and Dons in the playoffs,
21:21
and those guys are gonna I mean, look.
21:23
I'm not saying they're gonna go out there and win, but.
21:25
I just gotta believe you're going to get absolutely
21:27
their best effort this week.
21:29
And look, Michael McDowell's crew chief.
21:31
How many times has he proven this year that this
21:33
man has got guts and is
21:35
not afraid to roll the dice and take chances
21:37
and do these things. So McDowell's kind of a wild
21:40
card down there at that twenty five to one.
21:42
I just here's the deal. At twenty five to one for a top
21:44
three, I'd love to look at Michael
21:46
McDowell. We don't do it here of course on Gone Racing,
21:49
but you know, DraftKings does have and a lot of the books
21:51
in town do have top ten top five.
21:54
I would love to see a Michael McDowell or Ricky
21:56
Stenhouse junior top ten top five number
21:58
because if they're twenty five to one here,
22:00
they may still be eight nine,
22:03
maybe even ten to one on a top ten
22:05
number. Pretty good, pretty good odds for that, right.
22:07
I just think if you're going in and you've got the mentality
22:09
of Ricky Stenhouse junior Michael McDowell,
22:12
finishing top ten is probably not gonna be
22:14
good enough now and then, like we talked
22:16
about early in the show, though, one thing we do know
22:18
they're gonna be is very very
22:20
aggressive from the start of the race because
22:22
these stage points are gonna need so
22:25
much.
22:25
And McDowell's a guy who they managed
22:27
that.
22:28
They've proved it, they've done it, he's done putting
22:30
on that.
22:30
Stenhouse sometimes gets himself
22:33
in a little bit of trouble.
22:36
All Right, we'll be back on Gone Racing very charly,
22:38
and we will start talking about our driver head to heads
22:40
and our group matchups.
22:58
This is Gone Racing, FISA's
23:00
premiere NASCAR betting podcasts. Here
23:02
are your hosts, former NASCAR driver Brendan
23:05
Gahn and Las Vegas Motor Speedways
23:07
Jeff Motley.
23:09
I want to rewatch any part of today's show or any
23:11
past show, check out the Gone Racing podcast.
23:13
It's free and available now at vson dot
23:15
com, slash Podcasts or wherever
23:17
you get your podcasts, we give you all the latest
23:19
news, odds and everything you need to know
23:22
before you head to the banning counter for each NASCAR
23:24
Cup Series race, and while you're there, catch
23:26
up on all the other vson shows as well. That's
23:29
vson dot Com slash Podcasts.
23:32
Okay, Jeff Miley, Brendan Ghan or the promo
23:34
just.
23:34
Told you that put them goggles back on there?
23:36
Put my goggles back on here. I got
23:38
to be Kareem Abdul Jabbar, now here.
23:40
Put some I'm dating myself.
23:42
Pet.
23:43
Half the people probably remember Kurt
23:46
rambas Baby, come on, Kurt Rambas. Oh.
23:48
But if you're watching that Winning Time
23:50
on HBO then, which is a
23:52
great show by the way, you see a lot of Kareem
23:54
and Kurt Rambus and all those guys.
23:56
And baby, here's the King of the
23:58
Rexpax back then this Showtimeli.
24:00
Oh, Yeah, yeah, I gotta love Kurt Rambiss.
24:01
But all right, it's uh it's
24:03
Bristol Night Race, the Bass Pro
24:06
Shops Night Race at Bristol. That's
24:08
our sister track, Speedway Motorsports. So I gotta
24:10
get their sponsor love in there a little bit. So looking
24:12
at our driver head to heads, boy,
24:15
they just don't blow me away this week, Brendan.
24:17
But uh, I mean we got a few plus
24:19
lines there. Bell's a plus one ten against
24:21
Hamlin, and he's plus one ten against
24:23
Larson, and Elliott's one ten against Larson.
24:25
There's some evens.
24:26
But I feel like I'm
24:28
looking at Talladega and Daytona here not
24:31
not really.
24:32
And we only got six to choose from this week, where normally
24:34
we have nine on them and Westgate we
24:36
appreciate them always, you know, getting odds up for us
24:38
so early, so it's
24:40
sometimes tough for us to get you know, kind
24:42
of fun choices on picks. But really
24:44
not a lot of fun there. I mean, you know, Christopher
24:47
Bell, he's up against Denny Hamlin, Kyle Larson.
24:50
Okay, the Denny Hamlin even
24:52
money versus Kyle Larson, you
24:54
know that. That to me, it's it's
24:58
just Denny. The problem is Denny's. You
25:01
never know what Denny's gonna show up on Pitt
25:03
Road every week. So there's not a
25:05
whole lot of fun on the headheads.
25:07
And it bumms me out because I've been knocking
25:09
the head heads out of the park this year and just chipping
25:11
away at the season. And I got I don't.
25:13
I just don't feel any love in the headheads for me this
25:15
week.
25:15
Yeah, I mean, the only one I see that I might
25:18
feel a little bit pretty good about, maybe
25:20
is Christopher Bell head to head against Brad Keselowski
25:22
on an even line. But again, I'm not gonna
25:25
touch these. It just doesn't do
25:27
much for me. So let's just get to the groups.
25:29
We talk enough about those, So on to the groups
25:31
we go. We're gonna take a look at Group A. Kyle
25:33
Larson is the favorite here at a plus two fifty.
25:36
Denny Hamlin comes in plus two to seventy,
25:38
William Byron, and Brad
25:41
Keselowski plus two seventy
25:44
five. Brad Keaslowski has not won
25:46
a race and how many years now
25:48
two years and he is in Group
25:50
A.
25:51
Well, and I'm looking at this going okay, hold on,
25:54
Christopher Bell, one of the hottest guys in the sport. Hit the
25:56
guy who drives for Brad Keselowski, won three races
25:58
right before the playoff and three or FO style acts finished.
26:00
You know, amazing here won this race last year.
26:03
He's in Group b Brad Keselowski's
26:05
in group A.
26:07
I think somebody might have
26:10
that might have be off off a little bit somewhere.
26:14
Look, I can take that down a three man horse race right there. I'm
26:16
sorry, I don't disbelieve in Brad, but you
26:18
take that to a Byron, Larson and Hamlin,
26:21
and you know, then it becomes, well,
26:23
who do I give them on too? I like Kyle Larson
26:25
heavy in that group.
26:26
Well, and I guess that's
26:28
a good thing since you're kicking our butts in the standings.
26:30
Because I'm with you totally. I mean, if Kyle
26:33
Larson was coming in there at plus one
26:35
seventy five or plus one eighty five, then
26:37
I might be like, well, I don't know if I'm going to go down that route.
26:39
But plus two fifty on Kyle Larson you
26:41
talked, I mean, Brennan, you read off the stats,
26:43
how dominant he's been here at
26:45
Bristol, So I think at a plus two to fifty, I'm
26:48
with you. Love Kyle Larson in group A.
26:50
Yeah, it's because I can take
26:52
Brad out right off the bats three man horse race. Byron's
26:54
pretty good. Don't get me wrong on Brian Byron Byron's
26:57
got two third place finish his last two races,
26:59
so Byron up there, But I still
27:01
like Larson at two
27:03
fifty there.
27:03
So now when we look at group B, we can make a
27:06
case that every guy that's in group B
27:08
could be in group A. We'll take a look right off the
27:10
top. Christopher Bell and Chase Elliott are the co
27:12
favorites at plus two thirty. But then Chris
27:15
Buscher we mentioned in fact he won this race
27:17
last year's plus three fifteen, and Kyle
27:19
Busch, he of the eight wins,
27:22
A nineteen top five and I'm
27:24
gonna sorry, nineteen top tens and fifteen top
27:26
fives and thirty three starts at Bristol
27:29
A plus three fifteen in group B.
27:31
Now I'm not hedging how I feel, but those
27:33
two three fifteen's are pretty
27:35
good numbers.
27:35
We talked about enticement, right, they're trying to entice
27:38
us here now. Christopher Bell in the race
27:40
last year, second in stage one, first in stage
27:42
two, one hundred and forty three last years and
27:44
mister walkoff and mister walkoff.
27:46
So I mean, I don't dislike the ce Bell
27:49
pick, but three
27:52
point fifteen on Chris Buscher, who won the race last
27:54
year, who's been super hot going
27:56
into the playoffs peaking at the right time.
28:00
Or Kyle Busch with those amazing stats.
28:02
I like the two dogs and this one. Hell, I can
28:04
put one, you know, on each of them. I'm still gonna end up ahead.
28:06
Right if either one of those guys wins the group, I kind of
28:08
I'm with you. I think those are huge numbers and really
28:11
like Kyle Busch and Chris Busher in that group.
28:13
There all our group.
28:14
See Ryan Blaney comes in as a favorite
28:16
here at plus two sixty five. Tyler
28:18
Reddick, Martin TRICKX Junior, and Ross Chastain
28:21
all come in at plus two seventy. Brendan,
28:24
I'm just gonna jump right in there and tell you that I
28:26
like one guy way more than I do the
28:29
other three, and he's
28:31
not even the favorite in this group. Tyler
28:33
Reddick to me in this group, I
28:36
just love the Tyler Reddick bet right here.
28:38
Look, Martin TRUEX Junior has
28:40
not been good here lately. I mean our
28:42
start of the show two top ten to ten races average finished
28:45
twenty point six, thirty six, seventh,
28:47
twenty fourth, twentieth, thirteenth, seventeenth,
28:50
thirtieth, thirtieth twenty first not
28:52
Martin truckx's favorite place. Ross Chastain,
28:55
another guy that when he shows up, he shows up
28:57
in a big way, but hasn't been showing up lately.
29:00
I really like that Reddick, but he's in
29:02
this group. He's a guy that arguably could
29:04
be in Group A. He's
29:06
down in Group C. That's like a couple weeks ago
29:08
we talked, we had a we had like
29:10
Chase Elliot or somebody down in Group C or D, and
29:12
we're like, well, what do you How can you not
29:14
pick Kyle Busch or Chase Elliott in Group C? Tyler
29:17
Reddick? How can you not pick him in Group C?
29:19
Yeah?
29:19
And we know the Toyotas are strong here, and you
29:21
mentioned the fact that TRUEX, this just isn't his
29:23
favorite place. I agree that he's desperate,
29:26
but I think sometimes when you get the guy who
29:28
can kind of throw caution to the wind, I
29:31
like that guy.
29:32
Yeah, And that's what.
29:32
Tyler Reddick can do right now? All right, Group D,
29:35
we got a heavy favorite and Joey Logano
29:37
at plus one seventy five,
29:39
Bubba Wallace at plus two eighty five,
29:42
and then ty Gibbs and Alex Bowman
29:44
both coming in at plus three point
29:46
thirty. Now you talking about a group
29:48
that is spread out with some enticement
29:52
in here.
29:53
There's some enticement in this group.
29:54
Yeah, and Logano being the heavy favorite.
29:56
Is that for a reason Alex
29:58
Bowman is my you know? Once
30:00
again, I just it's so tough to read
30:03
Alex Bowman. Ty Gibbs was
30:05
in this race last year, crashed
30:07
out, finished thirty fifth, so
30:10
tough to get a read on Ty Gibbs on the on the
30:12
number of starts because he doesn't have many,
30:15
so tough to read him. Bowman
30:18
once again? Is it time for Bowman
30:20
to start? Bowman? Bowman the showman? Is
30:22
he coming back? Or do we got this Bowman
30:24
we've had right now? I
30:27
told you I kind of like Bubba a little bit. But you know what,
30:29
I'd still bet Legano at one seventy five.
30:32
The problem is one seventy five. I
30:34
can get a better number for his top three well.
30:37
And I think that's my hold up here. I mean, I think Legano
30:39
there's a reason he's the favorite. I think Legano is
30:41
the best one in the group. But this is a group that I'm
30:44
just not going to touch only because I
30:46
don't like the plus one seventy five number. Bowman
30:49
to me is the other guy that I think,
30:52
like you just said, Brendan, I mean, Bowman is
30:54
so unpredictable.
30:56
When he shows up, he should be groupe. I
30:58
mean, when he shows up, he is Alex Bowman, grew a
31:00
Alex Bowman and amazing and
31:02
fantastic. When he doesn't show up, he's Alex
31:04
Bowman. Group deep, you know, and so
31:06
it's you just don't know what he's going to get. So it's too
31:08
tough for me. This is we always have the one group that
31:11
we look at and say I'm not I'm
31:13
not touching. Here's my group, and
31:15
I'm with you on that.
31:16
But we're agreeing on a lot to wait.
31:17
This is that just means we're jinks
31:20
and everybody out here, which is usually
31:22
what happens is we Brendan, I agree, all right, we'll take
31:24
a look at.
31:24
Group E here.
31:26
Eric Almarola, Eric Jones, and Daniel
31:28
Suarez all come in at plus two fifty
31:30
five and Chase Briscow at plus three
31:32
ten. And finally a week that I don't think
31:35
Chase Briscoe is the guy to beat. In
31:37
a in a group right here. I know there's
31:39
three guys tied at the top, but man,
31:41
you know, we like to talk about what have you done for me
31:44
lately? And the only guy in this group is
31:46
Eric Jones that has done something lately.
31:48
Now, before the last three weeks, we
31:50
were not talking much about Eric Jones or the Legacy
31:52
Motor Club team. Now I look at this
31:54
and go, well, Eric Jones pretty good,
31:57
and I gave you the stats. He's pretty darn good here. But
31:59
there's one that's tough fun that Chase Briscoe has
32:01
been kind of our money maker and Group F lately and
32:04
bummer, he's not in Group F this week because
32:07
putting him in this group, But Chase Briscoe
32:09
fourteenth and thirteenth. This
32:12
is what makes sports betting so
32:15
great for NASCAR. Do
32:17
you care normally who finishes thirteenth or fourteenth
32:19
in a race?
32:19
Absolutely not, And nor do you care where Eric almerol,
32:22
Eric Jones, Daniel Swarez or Chase prisco finished.
32:24
Mostly But last week we lost
32:26
our group BEF bet with Chase Briscoe to Ryan
32:28
Priest fourteenth and fifteenth
32:31
position. So you look at this and this
32:33
is what I get so mad that the television
32:35
networks right, don't spend more
32:37
time focusing on the gambling, because it's like,
32:39
dude, you could have had a hell of a battle
32:42
showing Brisco and Priests
32:44
running for that fourteenth place finish. Going, man, there's
32:47
money on that well.
32:48
No question, and I'm you and
32:50
I have been preaching to the choir on that one.
32:51
All right, quick, But I like Eric John's quick.
32:53
Look at our group f Michael McDowell is a favorite
32:55
at plus two sixty five, along with Stenhouse and
32:57
Almendinger. Dylan comes in at plus two
33:00
seventy five.
33:01
I like McDowell here, you
33:03
know, I don't dislike McDowell, but he just
33:07
I don't know. I circled Austin Dylan
33:10
because just that's
33:12
the best team in this group. If
33:14
you look at the team right, RCR
33:17
is the strongest team that's right there in groupth That's
33:20
the only reason I'm throwing to Austin
33:23
Dillon.
33:23
I guess I think Mike McDowell's a rather popular
33:26
driver amongst the other drivers. He is a blessed
33:28
guy. I don't think guys will give him a lot of
33:30
trouble if he's a little faster. I think they might
33:32
let him go.
33:33
I don't know. We'll see. Maybe
33:35
I'm wrong, who knows. Okay, we'll be back on Gone
33:37
Racing.
33:37
We have our final segment Web Manufacturers
33:40
and give you our picks.
33:58
This is Gone Racing Feasts,
34:00
premier NASCAR betting podcast. Here
34:02
are your hosts, former NASCAR driver Brendan
34:04
Gahn and Las Vegas Motor Speedways.
34:07
Jeff Modley.
34:09
Well, it's our final segment for today, talking
34:11
about the Bass pro Shop Night race at
34:13
Bristol. We've got Wyatt
34:15
in our ear. He's very good, very
34:18
very very very clever in
34:20
our area. I think he's just trying to trip us up, is what
34:22
he's really trying.
34:23
It's not tough to trip up the professionally unprofessional.
34:25
That's true.
34:25
I mean we don't need you know, we've made it through
34:27
this whole show without doing something unprofessional.
34:30
So we've got one segment to go to listen, I
34:32
just jinxed.
34:32
It or I think we just look the desk isn't
34:35
would so I'm not really knocking a would have
34:37
my head thing?
34:37
There you go? Yeah, there were so all
34:40
right.
34:40
Our last bet for this week is our manufacturer
34:43
Props and we see a closer
34:45
group here than we've seen a Ford's getting
34:47
a little bit more love than we're used to. I'm
34:49
not really sure who their love
34:51
is going to, if it's Joey Logano or what
34:53
many or Kevin Harvick, but anyway.
34:55
Chris Buscher or Brad Kelaski
34:57
for some reason.
34:58
So anyway, Chevy's a plus one twenty five
35:00
Toyota and Ford or plus two ten.
35:03
Maybe not a lot of value here, other than I'm a
35:05
little surprised Toyota's plus two
35:07
ten knowing that Hamlin
35:10
and Reddick in particular, I think those two
35:12
guys and Christopher Bell shouldn't leave him out.
35:14
Could be very tough here.
35:15
Yeah, no, I like that Toyota
35:18
two ten number. A lot of the chevyes
35:20
I like, But right now I can take out
35:22
two of our favorite Chevy's always been Chase Elliott
35:24
and you know, any of the Hendrick Chevvies,
35:26
and right now two of them mart running will really
35:29
well, So you're really relying on Kyle
35:31
Larson, you know, it's just really
35:33
just kind of a one man show,
35:36
Kyle Busch. Maybe Kyle Larson
35:38
is your main Chevy guy. So
35:41
I think the Toyota actually is a great number. I think
35:43
it should be flip flopped almost.
35:45
Well, and I think it's like I said, I think is one
35:47
throw a blanket over them. So it's really kind of hard to have
35:49
a favorite here.
35:50
You know, something you.
35:51
Just said kind of remind me some Okay, there's
35:54
somebody we have not even mentioned
35:56
his name on this show today. Not one time
35:58
has his name been mentioned this year, this
36:01
this week. And this is the guy who's won
36:03
more races than anybody in the entire
36:05
series this year.
36:08
Is a Chevrolet I named one name.
36:10
So is William Byron?
36:11
Do we think that, well, gosh, his best
36:14
days are behind him. I mean, you know, he's
36:16
in great position to move on and he's going to
36:18
carry a lot of bonus points with him. But
36:20
is Byron just riding around collecting points?
36:22
And people were ready to hand him the trophy? You
36:25
know, halfway through the regular season and at
36:27
Bristol he's got three top tens, two top fives.
36:30
But the difference is they both come in the last two
36:32
races, and Jeff, your favorite thing is what have you
36:34
done for me lately? Third and third
36:36
in the last two races, So there's
36:39
something to be said about that.
36:40
He finished and in fact, we haven't even talked about him is
36:43
Man. We never brought his name.
36:44
Yeah, good point, So good point.
36:46
Okay, Well, speaking of speaking
36:48
of running for the championship, we can and take a look
36:50
at our championship odds and we kind
36:52
of get our little comparison from where we were
36:55
going into the playoffs to where we are now and
36:57
kind of looking at the whole deal. Obviously, one
36:59
guy who made up big leap last
37:01
week was Tyler Reddick.
37:03
We talked about he was a guy at eighteen.
37:04
But it's still eleven to one, still.
37:06
Eleven to one, still eleven to one, and maybe
37:08
but which surprises me knowing we've got a
37:10
road course coming up in the next round of the playoffs,
37:12
so we know how good he is on road courses, So that
37:15
one does surprise me a little bit.
37:16
Uh, we don't really see.
37:18
I don't think a ton of movement, at least
37:20
not movement to There's.
37:21
There's a good side.
37:22
There's three that I like on this right now. Martin
37:24
Treux Junior is plus eight hundred. He's had a bad round,
37:27
Okay, Martin Treux Junior makes it through the next.
37:29
Round, and he was a favorite going in.
37:30
He gets his fifty five points back. So Martin Trux Junior
37:32
plus eight hundred, that's the highest he's going to be
37:35
because once he makes it the next round, he's gonna drop way
37:37
back down. Tyler Redick eleven to
37:39
one, Chris Busher twelve to one, and Christopher Bell
37:41
right there at sixteen to one. Those are three
37:43
that I really do like right now as big
37:45
odds that those are going to drop as
37:47
we get closer to the playoffs.
37:48
And you know the guy, the guy who will
37:51
see a dramatic difference if he makes it into
37:53
the next round. Bubba Wallace was thirty
37:55
five to one when the playoffs started. He's seventy
37:58
five to one now. But he's
38:00
not that many points out of sneaking into the playoffs.
38:02
So if he is able to sneak into the playoffs,
38:05
you're going to see that seventy five to one number drop
38:07
all the way back down, probably to thirty five to
38:09
one.
38:10
I'm with you, all right, Well, last
38:12
week, Brandon, I.
38:13
Think, see, I'm going to claim I haven't
38:15
had many offers yet this season,
38:18
and I'm going to claim new digs I wasn't used to
38:20
looking at the case. You know, it's just all new stuff. You
38:22
know, I don't got Wyatt right here, I'm
38:24
looking through glass. We got the circle
38:26
in the back. It had me off, but
38:28
it's not going to be off two weeks in a row, I'm telling.
38:30
Well, just remember Joe Demaggio got hitting fifty
38:32
six straight games and then he went, oh for four. Everybody's
38:35
got to go four at some point for five
38:37
in your case here. So, uh, we had a couple
38:39
winners last week. The pit crew came
38:41
in with a winner, getting Joey
38:43
Logano to win his group. Congratulations
38:45
to the pit crew. You know, it's so great that
38:47
the pit crew we don't have Wyatt here defending
38:50
himself on on camera now.
38:55
I think they're behind where I was last year.
38:57
Now. Yeah, and my.
38:58
Only win last week was getting Joey Logano
39:01
over Ryan Blaney, So at least it was Joey
39:03
Logano who was giving wins
39:05
to us, which unfortunately
39:07
dropped me down to where I have that little
39:10
minus number right beside.
39:12
Who Who's Who's?
39:15
What's that? How many positive?
39:16
Wife? Forty?
39:17
These cameras are kind of my way. What what what's the positive?
39:20
I'll read it for you. Forty point seven.
39:21
Congratulations yet jeez,
39:24
I think we need to add the last two years
39:26
together.
39:27
In some I'm still positive. I'm positive.
39:29
Probably we wont still be about that point.
39:30
You'd be barely positive. I think after
39:32
last year.
39:33
I don't know, and I'm mumbling because I'm
39:35
disappointed that I'm so far behind you, is what
39:37
I'm doing. Okay, let's get into
39:39
our picks for this week and our fabulous
39:41
pit crew. They get to go first because
39:44
they are last. And what's that that would
39:46
mean?
39:46
Worst is first? Worst
39:48
first.
39:49
So they've got Chase Elliott over Kyle Larson
39:51
at a plus one ten, Kyle Busch to
39:53
finish it in the top three at a plus three fifty.
39:56
Martin Truex Junior go win for Truex
39:59
there at plus two seventy in Group C, Eric
40:01
Jones in Group E, and Michael
40:03
McDowell in Group F, which
40:06
will come as a little disappointment to me
40:09
because we're gonna have some head to heads. Actually,
40:11
we're going to be in agreement on some of these with the pit
40:13
crew. I'm gonna go Tyler Reddick
40:16
for a top three at plus
40:18
four fifty, and the rest of my picks
40:20
will be in the groups. I'm going Kyle
40:22
Larson at plus two fifty to win Group
40:25
A. I like Tyler Reddick in
40:27
Group C, so we're gonna go head to head with the pit crew
40:29
there on Martin Drix Junior. But I do like
40:31
the Eric Jones pick in Group E, and
40:34
I like the Michael McDowell pick in Group
40:36
F.
40:38
All right, I don't dislike some of these that we're
40:40
throwing out. I mean the the
40:42
Kyle Busch top three from the pit crew. I
40:44
think it's very doable. I do like that.
40:47
Unfortunately, I think we're going to give a Jinks to somebody
40:49
here, oh boy. And so that's kind
40:51
of the bummer right now. Last week, do you remember last
40:53
week I said, you know we're going to jinks
40:55
Chase brisco I think I want to go Priest. Priest is
40:57
a tough guy, the eyes, the whole guy
41:00
thing. I said, Nope, nope, sticking with Briscoe.
41:02
And then when the race ended, I looked at the finish and I go,
41:04
I knew I should have gone Priest, and I said I was gonna
41:06
be mad about it, and I was. This week
41:09
I had.
41:10
I may have gotten a text from you with the bad word.
41:12
Yeah, yeah, I had a
41:14
head to head circled chrispher Bell. But
41:17
I'm nope, I'm taking it off off the board.
41:20
With that one off the board, I'm going
41:22
Group B with Chris Boucher U
41:24
Boucher Cash's tickets. He's in Group B. He's
41:27
plus three fifteen. I'm just hoping
41:29
that he has enough to cover Kyle Busch right there. I'm
41:31
going Group C with Tyler Redick. I'm going head to
41:33
head with the pit crew. I think
41:36
that I know Martin's going to go swing and do
41:38
great and blah blah blah. But I think that Tyler
41:40
Redick is just running too well. Sticking
41:42
in the groups. I got Group E with
41:45
Eric Jones. That's where the jinks comes
41:47
in. I do like
41:49
him. I got Group F with Austin
41:51
Dillon when I just after we talked, I did
41:53
some looking on the stats. He is five
41:55
average finish of five spaces higher than
41:58
all three other guys in the group. So
42:00
I like that one. And then my last pick. This
42:02
is why I canceled out the even
42:04
money pick with Christopher Bell Toyota
42:07
plus two ten. I like.
42:10
I think the Toyotas are very very strong right now,
42:12
and looking at how they finished last year. With this new car.
42:14
They also are very strong last year with
42:17
the number of laps led by Christopher
42:20
Bell and what they were able to do there.
42:22
So will you be sending the
42:24
text Eric Jones with apologies before
42:27
the race they ever even starts. Since he's the
42:29
one, who are James Well?
42:30
I don't think he's going to show up to the Brendan gonn Selty
42:32
Blackjack Tournament after what if he hits the
42:34
jinks? So I think we're in trouble.
42:36
Maybe if we pick him, he will show up for the Brendan
42:38
Gone Celebrity Blackjack Tournament which we
42:40
picked him, which everyone should attend on
42:42
Thursday night, October twelfth, at
42:45
the South Point leading into the Las Vegas
42:47
Race, the Brendan Gon Celebrity Blackjack Tournament.
42:49
I did not name it, by the way. I just want that known,
42:52
not my choice of names. Just throw
42:54
that up.
42:54
I may have had something to do with it, because I knew if we put
42:56
his name on it, he had to get us the drivers. But
43:00
I think we've got Kevin Harvick so
43:02
far.
43:02
We got yes, Rick Allen Ring Allen, Kevin
43:05
Harvick.
43:05
Rusty Walls, Rusty Wallace is going to be there.
43:07
We got a couple that are real close. We should butt know
43:09
by the end of the week and we.
43:10
May have a legendary Vegas Golden
43:12
Night as a possibility as a player.
43:15
See here's the fun thing about it, though. What I tell everybody
43:18
I only call the guys I like, and the guys I
43:20
like in the sport are dwindling because I'm you know,
43:22
my guys are going away, so you can imagine
43:25
there's very few guys left that I like. So those names
43:27
are the ones that are going to be there.
43:28
Yeah, in five years, we won't be able to have a tournament
43:30
because anybody, Brenda
43:32
won't know anybody anymore. Well, Brenda, we got about a minute
43:35
left. Talk talk to us about Bristol.
43:37
I mean, did you love it? Did you hate
43:39
it?
43:39
Love it?
43:39
Love it? Absolutely love Bristol. Bristol
43:42
is I'm telling you. The first time I went there,
43:44
we call it the Great Coliseum. I'm telling
43:46
you. Walk through that tunnel Motley, you look up.
43:49
The grand stands are at what thirty five forty
43:51
degrees? The high bank half mile
43:53
you think, I swear, I think a drunk guy can fall from
43:55
the top and hit the racetrack, you know, I mean it's just it's
43:58
that much fun, it's that wild, you
44:01
just everything about it. Jeff is the best.
44:03
Well and I think if there is a bucket
44:06
list place to it to watch your right, this
44:08
race is it, and this is it.
44:10
You're right, the night race at Bristol on
44:12
the concrete, the beating, the banging, the
44:14
huge crowds will get there. Yeah, I'm excited
44:17
to see this race.
44:17
On Saturday Saturday night. Remember, don't forget Saturday night.
44:19
A Saturday night race.
44:20
Okay, that'll do it for us on Gone Racing this
44:23
week, breaking down all things Bristol. Next week,
44:25
we're back to talk about Bristol and kick her off
44:27
the second round of the playoffs.
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