0:02

This is Gone Racing, Fison's

0:04

premier NASCAR betting podcast. Here

0:06

are your hosts, former NASCAR driver Brendan

0:08

Gunn and Las Vegas Motor Speedways

0:10

and Jeff Mottley.

0:12

That's another dedition of Gone Racing. And

0:15

I tell you I think the flag minu at NASCAR

0:18

his job is in jeopardy. If he would see

0:20

Wyatt he's waving that flag can give

0:22

us the whole you know, the old

0:25

you know. The big news coming out today is that

0:27

sho He Otani has a torn UCL.

0:29

I'm predicting a torn UCL for

0:32

Wyatt the way he is waiting.

0:34

I was warming up, I

0:37

was doing a couple pushups.

0:38

Otani got loose in the bull.

0:40

I want to see him do the double flag, the old double flag.

0:42

Oh they'll like the old Indy five hundred back in the

0:44

fifties and everything. Yeah, that's what we need.

0:47

I'm going to try. Yeah. Anyway, Well, speaking

0:49

of checkered flags, Watkins Glenn, we had

0:51

a checkered flagging William Byron twenty

0:54

two to one. The guy

0:56

who is like one more races than anybody

0:58

this year was twenty two to one.

0:59

Well, Molly, you know, me and Wyatt talked about

1:01

this last week. How many times do you and I

1:03

sit here and say, Alex

1:06

Bowman or William Byron, there are two

1:08

drivers that absolutely disappear

1:10

off the face of the earth. You don't talk about him anymore,

1:12

you don't know what's going on with him. And then and

1:15

Whyatt and I said it last week? We said, you know,

1:17

I said, I'm not high on Byron. I look at his stats,

1:19

horrible stats here one top ten ten

1:21

races. I said, but you know,

1:24

William Byron, every time we just stopped talking

1:26

about him is when he comes out.

1:28

And just puts it on him. And what does he do?

1:31

Comes out and flat puts it? And he really did put

1:33

it on him. I mean he was a dominant car all day

1:35

long. I mean terrific. Like I said, he

1:37

was twenty two to one to win, he was plus

1:39

six hundred for a top three. He

1:41

won his group at plus three seventy and

1:44

he got Chevy the minus one twenty

1:46

five. That really big deal. But

1:48

before we talk about the way the rest of

1:50

the guys finished top ten and the

1:52

other top threes, one guy who

1:56

has really left a shake in our head because I think

1:58

it was really his last best chance to make the playoffs.

2:00

Chase Elliott, you want to let what

2:03

on earth happen there?

2:04

Brandon, Look, we're going to get off of bet and talk for

2:06

a second and talk, just do it be a NASCAR talk

2:08

show for a minute. Might be

2:10

the worst team call

2:13

in the history of and maybe

2:15

the fans at home don't understand why I'm saying

2:17

it is the worst. You have the Hendrick

2:19

organization, which is unarguably

2:23

one of the greatest in the history of our sport.

2:24

Worse than the time that Kurt Busch

2:26

pitted at Daytona when it was pouring down rain

2:28

and gave the win to Justin Haywise, Okay.

2:30

Worse than that because they thought they might

2:33

get the true there was reasons to believe the race would

2:35

get going again. This was absolutely

2:38

when you figure this is the four car Juggernaut

2:40

team, right, this is you have Chase

2:42

Elliott champion. You have all

2:44

these guys that are just phenomenal, two

2:46

champions, two guys that are just winning races. This

2:49

whole place is They've got

2:51

a war room that probably costs five million dollars.

2:54

They have live telemetry, They've got they've got

2:56

twenty five engineers watching live

2:59

all the data. They have people that know exactly

3:01

everything about this car, and they

3:04

made a decision that Even me at home on my couch

3:06

when I heard what they were doing, I went, you

3:10

can't do three laps on the switch.

3:13

Now, I grant you. I'm a never

3:15

was almost was that you

3:18

know doesn't have all the pedigree.

3:20

I'm sorry even I know once

3:22

I turned that switch, I do not have

3:24

three laps at Watkins Glenn and

3:26

Alex Gufsson. We're good

3:29

for three. You'll pass us twice, is

3:31

what he said. Okay,

3:33

I'm doing math going there's no chance in hell.

3:36

After he runs out of gas, he says,

3:38

we got bad information. Sorry, I

3:41

am sorry. That is not good enough. He's

3:43

still the crew chief. He's

3:45

making that as a driver in the car, even I

3:47

go three laps, no

3:49

chance that box. What I know about that box

3:51

gallon gallion and a half. Maybe they have a bigger

3:54

box than I know of. Like I said, I don't not saying I

3:56

know, but I'm telling you I know from history

3:58

what these things do.

3:59

There's no way. And then Larry.

4:02

McReynolds, you know I love my Larry mcgrenolds.

4:04

I listened on Serious XMN Aster mac All all the

4:06

time. Listen to him and Daniel's show. Larry

4:08

Matck comes out with one of the best stats. I

4:11

liked the strategy he was on. He ran the

4:13

old school from start to finish.

4:15

We startish. They like to runwards,

4:18

right, completely backwards.

4:20

He needed a thirty seven lap run and a thirty

4:22

six lap run. And we knew that these cars

4:24

could get thirty four to thirty five. Maybe

4:26

if you push thirty six laps out of fueld run.

4:29

They needed thirty seven thirty six. They were already

4:31

pushing the limit to get to the end he

4:34

got. He

4:36

was on lap thirty eight when he ran out of guess, which.

4:39

Makes no sense why he was even running. They didn't

4:41

need the extra lap.

4:42

So the strategy Allen was running already,

4:44

he had hit it. Why keep him out for that

4:47

lap and take this shot, this risk when he

4:49

had a car.

4:49

Was he good enough to win? I don't know.

4:52

But when you run the strategy backwards, you're

4:54

the first one to pit. That's a massive advantage.

4:56

If there's no caution, you can make it to the end.

4:58

Well, if if you run out of gas on

5:00

a road course, you are guaranteed not to

5:02

one. Yeah, I mean you cannot run

5:04

that risk.

5:05

No, And I just I could not believe

5:07

that decision was made by Hendrick Motor.

5:09

You know, if he runs out of gas with one

5:11

lap to go in the race or two laps to go in the race,

5:13

okay, you try it, for it, you try it. You

5:16

run out of gas with thirty seven, thirty

5:18

six, thirty five laps to go in a race, and

5:21

excusable, you don't need it.

5:22

And I could not believe it that It

5:25

still has me upset. One because a bunch of

5:27

us here are betting Chelli Chase Elliott all season,

5:29

so as a better I was all pissed off. But two

5:31

is just a fan and a driver going, my

5:34

god, that was just you know better, they

5:37

know better, and that team knows better.

5:38

And you know, the one thing that I was actually thinking of out

5:41

and I know it's like a different form of racing, but

5:43

you know it's picturing. Imagine if aj Foyd

5:45

owned that race team. Oh god, up there with the

5:47

laptop.

5:48

You remember, Indy, when Robbie Gordon ran, he

5:51

spiked the laptop on the Rick

5:55

Hendrick is thank god not aj Foyd because aj

5:57

Foyd there wouldn't have been a pit box left after

5:59

that call, everybody would have been fired.

6:01

Oh my goodness. Sorry, Well, let's take a look

6:03

at our top ten. Denny Hamlin was

6:05

plus five point fifty for a top three.

6:08

Pretty good return on Denny Hamlin coming in second

6:10

there. Christopher Bell, we know his road

6:12

racing prowess of the plus two seventy five. AJ

6:15

Almendinger really needed this win. He

6:17

didn't need fourth. It was a good run for Almendinger.

6:20

Ty Gibbs a terrific run for Ty

6:22

Gibbs placing in the top five. No

6:25

real big surprises after that, true EXE great

6:27

road course racer Chris Buscher. Buscher who

6:29

I'd like to point out I picked Chris Busher

6:32

to win his group. He's

6:34

in group C and he didn't win. Now only

6:36

does he not win his group, he finished

6:38

third in his group and seventh in the race.

6:41

William Byron happened to be in his group, which

6:43

did not help the situation. Tyler Reddick,

6:45

Ryan Blaney, Joeligano. Honestly,

6:48

kudos to AJ Almendinger, Ty Gibbs. Good

6:50

run for those guys, But for AJ it's

6:52

still got to be a disappointment because he had

6:54

one thing in mine and I was kind

6:57

of one.

6:58

I know somebody else also that had AJ as a top three.

7:00

I was really hoping he'd dive it in there and just take

7:02

Belle out for third.

7:03

And I was sitting there going, oh, they got a shot at him,

7:06

and we I kind of poop pooed him on the show last week

7:08

saying he has not shown up lately, has not shown up.

7:10

And here's the problem that fourth place finish. It

7:12

still means he didn't show up because he

7:14

didn't do what he needed to make the playoffs. And

7:16

the last restart is what really

7:19

up said to me that this is

7:21

not the AJ that we saw on

7:23

road courses for a while. He went into turn one

7:25

on that restart, here's your opportunity. You

7:28

gotta make some magic here. AJ, you gotta go do

7:30

something. He didn't dive bomb, he didn't get aggressive,

7:32

he didn't do nothing. He just kind of said, oh, let's get

7:34

through the court. Which is really surprising when you

7:36

know that it was.

7:37

I mean, because I don't really think he's a guy that's sitting there

7:39

saying, Oh, I can go win Dayton this that

7:41

was his big shot. Look he could.

7:43

Colleague has been phenomenal at the at the Super speedways.

7:46

Right, they've dominated the Xfindy series A one.

7:48

Actually I give Hayley a little bit more Maninger

7:51

when it comes to going to Daytona.

7:53

Though, but these but he he had an opportunity

7:55

on the on the restart, you

7:58

must take advantage of that opportunity. And

8:00

Aj just he you know, instead of being a lion,

8:02

he was a kiddy cat and meaut

8:05

and just went through and finished fourth.

8:06

Great finish. Love you. I was really excited

8:08

for you.

8:09

But it doesn't do anything for me in the long run.

8:11

Well, speaking of the points, we now have

8:13

fifteen of our sixteen spots.

8:15

We know we're locked in. Kevin Harvick,

8:18

Brad Keselowski added their names to the list

8:20

this week by getting locked in. So here's

8:22

what we're down to. There's only two guys

8:25

who can point their way in. Yep, Bubba

8:27

Wallace Ty Gibbs the only two guys

8:29

mathematically can point their way in. If

8:32

someone wins who's not

8:34

already in in the top fifteen, then they're automatically

8:37

in Bubba's lead. Though over Ty

8:39

Gibbs is pretty commanding. It's thirty two

8:41

points.

8:41

I mean, listen, thirty two points with stage racing,

8:44

you know, Bubba gets wrecked early and

8:46

ty Gibbs gets eight points in a stage,

8:48

six points in a stage, there's fourteen finishes

8:51

fifth.

8:52

But oftentimes at Daytona we see the

8:54

first two stages run relatively calm,

8:57

and I think, if you're Bubba, you really

8:59

got to be thinking about stage points.

9:01

I mean, if you can get up there and finish third or fourth

9:03

in each stage and you can pad that

9:06

even getting into a crash lake

9:08

could still save your bacon a little bit there.

9:10

Because still Ty Gibbs is going to have to look

9:12

at the names.

9:13

Look at the names Bubba has to have that can't

9:16

have good days. We can't win, they can't win.

9:18

We've just talked about aj Allmendinger and the colleague teams,

9:20

how great they are, Justin Haley, his teammate

9:22

on the colleague team, and how great they are Austin

9:24

Dillon. How any times Austin hit a walk off homer

9:26

in this race last year and won the Daytona five

9:28

hundred. You've got Alex Bowman and Chase

9:31

Elliott to the.

9:31

Hendrick Hundrick cars. I mean, we're gonna

9:34

have a Hendrick Carr sitting home. We may have two Hendrick cars

9:36

sitting home for the playoffs.

9:37

The guys that are that he's racing to get

9:39

that last spot. There is

9:41

a juggernaut of race teams and

9:43

names that are racing for that sixteen spot.

9:46

Daniel swar Daniel.

9:48

With a teammate that's already in that. You know, there's

9:51

there's a lot of stuff going to play out here.

9:53

How does that? Let me ask you, how does

9:55

that play out? You're ross Stain

9:58

and you're leading. Jwairez is

10:00

running second, coming to the white flag.

10:03

Everybody's been asking this question all week and is

10:05

it bad?

10:05

Is it good? Is you know?

10:06

Teammates, Here's what I tell everybody. I

10:09

will push anybody to the white flag. I

10:11

will do what I have to do to get to the white flag to be

10:13

in a position. Once I'm

10:15

in that position at the white flag, and

10:17

I'm coming off turn two, and I'm already

10:19

working my idea of where I'm going to go

10:22

to the finish. I'm working on how I

10:24

can win that race. But now I was also

10:26

a perennial teammate. I I also

10:30

like Ryan Blaney enjoy Logano at the Daytona five

10:32

hundred a couple years ago, Ryan Blaney

10:34

did not pull out to pass Joey Logano because he

10:36

wanted Roger Penske to win that race.

10:39

If he pulls out and somebody passes him

10:41

both he gave a last second move to get him.

10:43

He gave a last second, you know, coming out at

10:45

the turn four at the dog leg, but made sure

10:47

it was late enough that nobody else was going

10:49

to win the race besides a Penske car. I

10:52

think in this situation, a Daniel Suarez

10:54

is leading Ross, Chastain is going to push

10:56

him to make sure they

10:58

both are first and second.

11:00

I'm asking you, though, if Chastain is

11:02

in front and Suarez is in secondist

11:04

Chastain lift and let him go. That

11:07

to me is the bigger thing I can't I don't believe

11:09

he pulls out. I don't believe he pulls out and passes

11:11

it.

11:12

I believe he tries in the dog leg

11:14

where it's last second, where nobody else is going to get me.

11:17

But but I I'm

11:19

I'm not pulling over. I'm sorry.

11:20

I'm a great teammate, but I'm not just going

11:22

to say, oh, you need to get in.

11:23

Well, it's certain it's gonna make for an interesting dynamic

11:26

because we do have a lot of situations where we got teammates

11:28

that are in and then your teammates and they're not in.

11:30

So that's makes makes Daytona

11:33

exciting. All right, we come back on Gone

11:35

Racing. It will be time to start breaking down

11:37

the odds to win in some of our top threes

11:39

for this weekend at Daytona.

12:04

This is Gone Racing, Fison's

12:06

premier NASCAR betting podcast. You're

12:09

your hosts, former NASCAR driver Brendan

12:11

Gone and Las Vegas Motor Speedways

12:13

Jeff Motley.

12:15

Back here again for another segment of Gone Racing

12:17

and it is final regular

12:20

season race of the year. His arm hurts

12:22

that ucl is ucl

12:24

is just getting worn out right now? A boy? Why final

12:27

regular season race of the year. Brendan, We were actually

12:29

talking off air. Is there anything more exciting than having

12:31

the final race of the year at Daytona.

12:32

No? When you talk the upcoming schedule, yeah, okay, we got

12:34

the playoffs coming, you got the Darlington race, you know, of

12:36

course at Southern five hundred, our famous

12:39

weekend. You got Kansas and Bristol

12:41

and all these things coming up. But NASCAR

12:45

moving the look July fourth was a huge

12:47

deal, right, I mean as a fan of.

12:49

Four hundred, we called it when I was a Fira four.

12:51

Hundred, you know, I mean, it was absolutely one of the most

12:54

famous race dates and it took guts

12:56

to move it. But this is the absolute

12:58

right race to be the last race for

13:00

the playoffs. It's played out every year just

13:03

about with drama to get people

13:05

in or out, and it's phenomenal.

13:06

It's just absolutely awesome. Blatch Well, we are

13:08

headed down to Daytona. This will be the final race

13:11

of the regular season. Then we look ahead to the playoffs.

13:13

We'll be going to Darlington for the Southern five hundred

13:16

to kick off the playoffs, then Kansas. Then we'll

13:18

close out the first round of the playoffs with the

13:20

night race in Bristol, and then we'll kick

13:22

off the next round with our only stop of the year

13:24

at Texas Motor Speedway. But Brendon,

13:27

all eyes right now are on Daytona. We'll

13:29

worry about the playoffs next week. This is all

13:31

about Daytona. And you know, when you look at the

13:33

statistics at Daytona,

13:36

you know we see a lot of these races where, for example,

13:38

you might throw Bristol up there and see where

13:40

Kyle Busch has got thirty five

13:43

starts, he got thirteen wins and

13:45

twenty three top five or something. No,

13:47

we look at Daytona forty

13:50

four starts for Kevin Harvey, it's only

13:52

won twice. Denny Hamlin, who we

13:54

think of, is mister Daytona thirty

13:56

five starts, only three wins.

13:59

Yeah, but you got to look those top ten, top five

14:01

numbers. I mean, that's the thing about me is when

14:03

Denny Hamlin, Denny Hamlin, is he wins

14:05

or finishes in the top like he's got eleven top

14:07

fives, twelve top tens. You basically

14:10

are there or you're not there. It's

14:12

a feast or famine. We've talked about that forever. But

14:14

there are guys and you've said this, why do certain

14:17

guys have more finishes than others. It's

14:19

not a total crapshoot. There is thought and strategy

14:21

to this and that plays out. And you

14:23

look at a guy like Kyle Busch. He's

14:26

got thirty six starts, eleven top tens,

14:29

eight top fives, not

14:32

as many top fives as Denny. Kyle

14:34

doesn't like it. So Kyle, especially mid

14:36

there's a midpoint of his career that Kyle absolutely abhorred

14:38

these places. So he did not you know, did

14:40

not do well. But you look at guys like

14:43

look at Austin Dillon, twenty starts fifty

14:45

percent almost top ten.

14:47

Say the two guys Austin Dillon and

14:49

Ryan Blaney, look at their percentages

14:52

and starts in top tens.

14:54

They are percentages way better than everybody,

14:56

way better than that. We talked about Ricky Stenthouse Junior.

14:59

He's not Actually he's.

15:01

Got the wins. Well, you talking about feast or famine.

15:03

That's Ricky Senthou Now that is wreckers or checking.

15:05

Yes, it is no question he didn't have to be that this

15:07

time though he's in the playoffs.

15:09

That's so my my earl Ross nugget kind of goes, oh.

15:11

Nuggets, whyatt has knowledge

15:13

he's gonna drop off this This.

15:14

Was on you know Twitter from NASCAR

15:16

man Underscore r R because Dale Jenior retweeted

15:19

it. Well, we talked about these races are chaos.

15:21

The last ten years, an average of thirty cars

15:23

of crashed in each of he used the firecracker

15:25

four hundred, but last year eighty six point

15:28

five percent of the cars crashed. It was the most

15:30

destructive race. So basically you guys are telling

15:32

me, it's like you're almost guaranteed to be in

15:34

a wreck in this race.

15:35

You're look, we used to we come to Daytona

15:37

as a race team. We show up with

15:40

every body panel pre made for

15:43

us to put back on this car.

15:44

Which is really hard to do now with the damaged vehicle.

15:47

There's there's different rules now than when

15:49

I was there. But you showed up ready

15:51

for damage like that was what you came up ready

15:53

to do, because you can prepare these cars and still go

15:55

fast. So you absolutely are coming

15:57

for carnage. And he's not wrong. Now

16:00

that you've outed this race as the cutoff race, there's

16:03

way more. You just said stages are going to be

16:05

huge for a bubble wallace ty Gibbs, So you're

16:07

going to have two guys at least

16:09

that are going to be making crazy moves

16:11

for stage.

16:11

Points, right, and if there is a big wreck,

16:14

I mean, if there's eight cars that are completely

16:16

torn up they can't run, that's eight points.

16:18

The key for you is, even if you're in the wreck, get

16:20

at least one lap in get guys

16:23

you passed. So yeah, there's advantages

16:25

to be able to just get the wheels on it if you get into

16:27

an accident. So no, it's a great point.

16:29

Why and I think that's why we You

16:31

know, Brenda and I love to call this this race somewhat

16:33

of a crapshoot because you like to call them. Well,

16:36

have you even got I think I even have you on board with

16:38

that? Now? No, I'm never gonna

16:40

be Well, let's talk about the odds

16:42

to win and guaranteed double digit winner,

16:44

guaranteed double digit winner. And

16:46

I'm going to be honest with you, I'm a little surprised at

16:48

the favorite. It's almost like somebody thinks that

16:51

that it's in for you, Chase Elliott,

16:53

so give you which is impossible at

16:56

a big track like this. Chase Elliott is

16:58

the favorite at eleven to one, and then let's throw

17:00

a blanket over twelve to one. Ryan Blaney,

17:02

Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, Denny

17:04

Hamlin, and Brad Keslowski all

17:06

at twelve to one. William Byron is

17:08

fourteen to one, Chris Buscher sixteen,

17:11

Bubba Wallace eighteen, Ross jass

17:13

Dain, Ricky Stenhouse Junior, Kyle Larson

17:15

and Daniel Suarez all at twenty to

17:17

one. Martin TRICKX junior, Austin

17:19

Dillon and Austin Sendrick coming

17:21

in there at twenty two to one.

17:23

Look you got the guy. You got some first

17:25

of all, Chase Elliott eleven to one to win the race.

17:28

He is the number one point getter last ten restrict

17:30

Super Speedway races, not counting Atlanta.

17:32

They don't include that on here, but Daytona and Talladega.

17:35

He is the best point getter in the last

17:37

ten races.

17:37

But he hasn't won it Daytona, No, but

17:40

he and he has to win. Doesn't matter. He's

17:42

finishing second does him no good.

17:43

He's finished second at Daytona. But he

17:46

is the best. So he is the best guy right now

17:48

in the last ten races at super speedway racing. With

17:50

the team and all the stuff, we think that you know, the guys

17:52

that are going to help. There's a reason why he's there.

17:55

But then how about an Austin Dylan at twenty

17:57

two to one, last year's winner with a walk

17:59

off Ben there knows how to you know, been there, bought

18:01

the T shirt, you know, not ready to move

18:03

on yet. How about Chris Buscher at sixteen to

18:05

one. They've been pretty strong that team on these

18:07

places Brad Keselowski knows what to do. These

18:09

are guys that you know, they like a lot

18:11

of it. And then you got guys like a Denny Hamlin,

18:14

who we just set his stats at twelve to one also,

18:16

and he's got a lot of reasons to make sure

18:18

he runs very well and wins this race because it saves

18:21

the car that he owns. It kind

18:24

of helps lock them in the race if nobody else wins well.

18:26

And you know, we still have that regular season championship

18:28

out there, which which comes with I think fifteen bonus

18:31

points going into the playoffs, and

18:33

Martin tricks Junior who's been the hot and I think

18:35

we all agree he has been the hottest driver all the summer

18:37

long. I don't think he's ever won it Daytona.

18:40

These are not his he doesn't

18:42

like these. This is not his cup of tea. So

18:45

I think that's really going to be interesting, the battle

18:47

between he and Denny Hamlin coming

18:50

down for this regular season championship. I mean,

18:52

it might get a little bit of advantage to Hamlin, but

18:54

you know, that's a big deal. I think this regular

18:56

season championship is going to be a big deal, and

18:59

I kind of the Austin Dillon, the defending

19:01

champion of this race twenty two to one. He's

19:03

won twice. He's got a we

19:06

talked about teammates. He's got a teammate

19:08

who's already in. He's got a teammate

19:10

who he knows will help him. Oh yeah,

19:12

and he's got a teammate who, while he may not

19:15

be the biggest fan of these races, I think

19:17

he found out driving a Childress car

19:19

is a little bit different than driving a Gibbs car for

19:21

him. I don't think Kyle was ever as comfortable

19:23

in the Toyota as he seemed to be this

19:26

year in that Chevrolet on some

19:28

of these type racetracks. So I

19:30

think Austin Dillon has got to make sure

19:32

his best friend in the whole world is Kyle Busch and

19:35

that they take care of each other during the race. And if

19:37

they do, twenty two to one could could

19:39

really come in. All right, Let's take a look at our

19:42

longer shots, if you will. As we go into

19:44

the second half of the page, Eric Almarola

19:47

he is twenty two to one. Tyler

19:49

Reddick, Christopher Bell, and Alex

19:51

Bowman are all twenty five to one. Ty Gibbs

19:53

and Michael McDowell, former

19:55

Daytona five hundred winner twenty eight to

19:58

one. Eric Jones thirty to one. I'm

20:00

Ryan Priest, Kevin Harvick and Chase

20:02

Briscoe at thirty five. Aj

20:04

Allmendinger forty five, Corey Lajoy

20:07

is fifty, Todd Gillilan Justin

20:09

Haley each at sixty. Josh Berry, who

20:11

will be driving the forty two car this

20:13

week, is sixty five to one along

20:16

with Harrison Burton.

20:17

You just gave a stat We just have the Earl Ross nugget

20:19

here where all the rex that happened? What does Michael McDowell

20:22

know how to do? He knows how to wait it out. He's

20:24

already locked in. He can wait out and be

20:26

there at the end of this race, and he knows how to win him.

20:28

I love that, Michael McDowell twenty eight to one.

20:31

I really like the Alex Bowman twenty

20:33

five to one. Another team that is looking

20:35

to win this thing, which has a lot of Chevy teammates

20:37

that will probably help him in the end. Tyler

20:40

Reddick, who's going to be out there trying to help,

20:43

you know, his teammate Bubba Wallace. I

20:45

like a lot of these long numbers, and even

20:47

the college cars thirty five and sixty

20:49

to one. Those college cars, man,

20:51

they're tough. And that's a Those

20:55

two guys have worked together to win I think four out

20:57

of the last seven Xfinity races on

20:59

dayton those two drivers right

21:01

there, they get working together.

21:03

That's gonna be pretty impressive, you know. And one other

21:05

guy here, you know, you know what we've seen at

21:07

Daytona. I mean, let's let's throw him out to I

21:09

mean, you have Trevor Bain and Michael

21:12

McDowell, and we've seen guys pull upsets

21:14

at Daytona. Right, fifty

21:16

to one. Corey Lajoy, Oh,

21:19

I mean that that's a big number on a guy

21:21

who This is where we know he's.

21:23

Comfortable listen, and he's and he's

21:25

got stats to back it up. I mean, he's he sixth,

21:28

eighth, ninth, tenth, fourteenth,

21:31

he's he knows how to be running at the end. That's the

21:33

thing that makes him good is that he gets there at the end.

21:35

And if there's carnage, that's a guy that's going to be there at

21:38

the end.

21:38

All right, Well, let's take a look at our top threes, and

21:40

I think we'll see that they mirror a little bit

21:42

of the way our odds to win our Chase

21:45

Elliott leads the board at plus three hundred,

21:47

Ryan Blaney, Kyle Busch, Joey Legano, Danny

21:49

Hamlin, Kazlowski all at three fifty, Byrons

21:52

four hundred, bush Er four fifty, Bubba

21:54

Wallace at five hundred, Chastain, Stenhouse,

21:58

Larson Suarez five fifty two

22:00

x Dylan and Cindric all at six

22:02

hundred.

22:03

Same thing at top three, right there, six hundred

22:05

for Austin Dylan. I just zero in right on that number,

22:07

right off the bat. Even a three hundred for Chase

22:09

Elliott top three. I mean, those

22:11

are those are great numbers.

22:13

Do we look at some of these though, and say, okay, Austin

22:15

Dillon, All right, here's the way I see Austin Dillon.

22:17

Checkers are winning.

22:18

He either wins or

22:21

he's coming back. But he's going with this carrying the steerwheel

22:23

in his hand. But he's gonna he's got to be there at the last

22:25

turn. And if somebody gets you at the end. You

22:27

know what if I talked for years, do teammates

22:30

here right if you think the Fords will be there. Pick

22:32

three Fords, Toyota's picked three three at Toyota's

22:34

Chevy's picked three Chevyes. Because at least you've

22:36

got you can narrow it down.

22:39

Okay, I guess that's a fair point. I just think

22:41

that's going to be an interesting dynamic. All right,

22:43

We're not done with our top three is. We'll finish those

22:45

up when we come back on Gone Racing.

23:05

This is Gone Racing, Vson's

23:07

premier NASCAR betting podcast. You're

23:09

your hosts former NASCAR driver Brendan

23:12

Gahn and Las Vegas Motor Speedways

23:14

Jeff Motley.

23:15

Why don't we watch any part of today's show or any

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23:39

Brendan still talking our top threes

23:41

for this weekend at Daytona, and we've kind

23:43

of talked about the interesting dynamic that you're going

23:46

to have probably teammates helping teammates

23:48

and some guys going for wreckers or checkers

23:50

or whatever. So we kind of talked touched

23:52

on our top threes before we went to break and

23:55

obviously we Austin Dillon is a guy we brought

23:57

up specifically it's plus six hundred, and

23:59

I'm kind of the opinion that he's twenty two to one

24:01

to win. I'd say, if you're gonna bet Austin Dillon,

24:03

bet him to win, I would bet him for a top three.

24:06

I get it, But I still I still believe

24:08

that there's a a an advantage

24:10

to He's going to be trying as hard as

24:12

he can to win, and he may not be eked

24:14

out by an inch at the line, but

24:17

I think that a guy like Dylan knows how to get there to the end

24:19

of these things. And there's there's going and on the second page,

24:21

there's a bunch that you know, I'm

24:23

going to say the same thing about.

24:24

Yeah, And before we get to the second page, one thing that I

24:26

think is worth thinking about too,

24:29

is we talk about the teammate dynamic.

24:32

I believe if you've got a guy who's already

24:34

locked into the playoffs, and you

24:37

know that he's got a teammate that's not I

24:39

think that's the guy to take a really good

24:41

look at for a top three. Denny Hamlin,

24:44

William Byron. I mean, I think those

24:46

are the kind of guys where absolutely you look

24:48

at the top three saying, hey, he could really be

24:50

helping somebody and just be right there on

24:53

his bumper going across the line.

24:54

I still believe he'll try to win the race in the end,

24:57

but you're right now, hey still gets the top three,

24:59

but he still gets the And that's why I

25:01

think, well, William Byron is a good choice at a four hundred,

25:03

you know, because you know he's gonna be trying to help Chase er Alex

25:05

get in the race. He'll go to win the race at the end, but

25:08

you feel that he's going to be there in that position.

25:10

I don't disagree with that either. All right, Well, some of our

25:12

longer shots here for top threes. Eric

25:14

Almarola is plus six hundred, Tyler

25:17

Reddick, Christopher Bell, and Alex Bowman are all

25:19

seven hundred. Gibbs McDowell at eight

25:21

hundred, Eric Jones eight fifty, Ryan

25:23

Priest, Kevin Harvick, Chase Briscoe ten

25:26

to one, aj Almudinger twelve,

25:28

Corey Lajoy thirteen, Todd

25:30

Gillilan and Justin Haley at fifteen,

25:32

Josh Barry Harrison Burton at

25:34

sixteen.

25:35

How about the guy.

25:36

We're not talking about it sitting there at ten to one, Kevin

25:38

Harvick. I mean we have nobody's

25:40

even talking about him. We skipped him even on just

25:42

the wins. We didn't even mention him.

25:45

Harvick used to be great at these places, right, I mean we

25:47

used to talk all the time about Kevin Harvick, you know,

25:49

at Daytona's and Talladega's. Just hasn't

25:51

done it lately. But to me, Michael

25:54

McDowell, that eight hundred for that three year saying he's already

25:56

locked in. He's going to wait till the end of this race, and

25:58

he's going to survive the wreck and then he's

26:00

going to go out there and you know, try to go

26:03

win this race. But at the same time, you

26:05

know, if he can get behind a

26:07

Ford and say I can

26:09

push and try to beat you in the end, he's going to try to beat him.

26:12

I can promise this. Michael mcdowll will go for that w at

26:14

the end, but he's going to be there at the end,

26:16

and then if there's a Chase Brisco or Kevin Harvick sitting

26:18

there, he's going to help them for a moment until that

26:20

last corner. Another

26:22

guy that looks really good for a top.

26:24

Three, Yeah, and I think it in looking

26:26

at the top three, there's probably a chance

26:28

that one of the guys in the top three is gonna be

26:30

somebody we're gonna say, Man, what a great run

26:33

that guy had. It came out of nowhere, because a lot of

26:35

times you do get the big wreck takes out

26:37

a bunch of cars, and then you get one of those late

26:39

restarts and somebody gets in the right line and it

26:41

just happens. All right, We're going to take a real quick

26:44

look at our head to heads. But if you guys have watched

26:46

our show for the last several years, you'll know that Daytona

26:48

and Talladego, Brendon and I spend very little

26:50

time on the head to heads because guess what, there

26:53

really aren't any good match up.

26:54

Oh there's one that I don't dislike, like Kyle

26:56

Busch is plus one to ten against Denny Hamlin.

26:59

Kyle with all the Chevrolets in the field

27:01

to help push Kyle Busch, who we poo pooed

27:04

like mad And then this year came

27:06

out and has been like

27:08

Kyle Busch of old on super speedways.

27:10

You know he was They're definitely looking for a little

27:12

momentum right now.

27:14

Well, he won Talladeg, you remember, So Kyle Busch

27:16

did win Talladega this year and

27:18

then was running up front at

27:20

Daytona, was in that last crash,

27:22

you know, in the last corner type thing after leading laps.

27:25

So I just I do like Kyle

27:27

Busch versus any Hamlin. There's a lot of Chevyes there.

27:29

He's going to be helping his teammate. He's going to be, you

27:31

know, in that Chevy mix doing a lot of things.

27:34

And I think that Kyle Busch at one ten is

27:36

the best return we've ever seen on a big name driver

27:39

at a super speedway, I would agree.

27:40

And the only other driver with a plus number on him Daniel

27:43

Sarez plus one zero five against Derek Almarola.

27:46

But it's probably just time to talk groups of

27:48

things. Let's go to groups, all right. Let's take a look

27:50

at group A and based on the odds

27:52

to win the race and odds for top three. No

27:54

big surprise at our group A favorite is

27:56

Chase Elliott along with Denny Hamlin at plus two

27:59

sixty five, Joey Logano's plus

28:01

two seventy along with Ryan Blaney and Brendon.

28:03

We should point out going in when we do group

28:05

matchups at Daytona and Talladego, we don't

28:07

usually see a huge disparity between

28:10

the favorite and the underdog, and you're

28:12

not.

28:12

It's tough. It's tough to p you know, separate these right.

28:14

I mean, we've talked about every single one of these guys, Chase Elliott,

28:17

Deny Hamlin, Joy Logano. I'm going to go back

28:19

to the thing I've done on this all the time. When we do these

28:21

shows, though Jeff teammates, I see

28:23

a Joey Logano and a Ryan Blaney right there,

28:25

versus a Chevy and a Toyota. So

28:28

if I'm on this Ford bandwagon, I'm going to take

28:30

either the Joey or Ryan or

28:32

if I'm going to say that that wreck happens and

28:34

takes out all the Fords, I'm going to lean towards the

28:37

chaser a Denny. So it's it's

28:39

easy to kind of knock a few out depending on which way

28:41

you want to bet me personally, Chase Elliott

28:43

with what's going on, the only Chevy in that group.

28:45

I like Chase Elliott well, and I think it's

28:47

a matter of just saying is it does

28:49

Chase elli get in or not?

28:51

Because I think I can win this group. He can win, he

28:53

can win the race.

28:54

I am I'm gonna I listen, how many weeks

28:56

now have I said I'm betting Chase Elliot

28:59

he's making the playoffs.

29:01

You've run out a week, I've run out a week.

29:02

So I gotta say Chase Elliot's gonna win it and say

29:04

he's there now.

29:05

We talked about not having much disparity in the groups.

29:08

We have a little bit. In Group B. We

29:10

have a clear favorite here Brad Keselowski

29:12

plus two fifty, Kyle Busch,

29:14

and then Brad's teammate Chris Buscher

29:16

plus two seventy and last week's

29:18

winner, and the guy wh's won the most racest this year, William

29:21

Byron at plus two eighty. We

29:23

got four guys up here who are already

29:25

locked into the playoffs, So there's no one in this

29:27

group who is desperate.

29:29

The only thing I see here is two teammates

29:31

that are both locked in with Brad and Chris, so

29:34

a little less cheese

29:36

for the mouse to be excited about. But you

29:38

got a William Byron who you said, you know, he's

29:40

going to be trying to help that Chase Elliott or that Alex Bowman,

29:43

so he's going to be running. Well, he's either going to get

29:45

wrecked with that group or he's going to make it through.

29:47

So I kind of like the dog here, William Byron just

29:49

because of that. But I'm splitting

29:52

hairs to say I like the dog just because of that.

29:54

Well, I would say, though, the one guy

29:56

in that group right there who probably

29:58

wants to win worson anybody is Brad

30:01

Keselowski. His team has

30:03

won three races now since he took

30:05

over his part owner, and he hadn't

30:08

won any of them. His teammate there Chris Buscher, and don't

30:10

get me wrong, he's happy Busher, he is loving

30:12

it. But you know, Brad wants

30:14

to get the victory lane. He has always

30:16

been really good on these type of race tracks. I

30:18

mean Talladega. I think he got his first career win Talladega.

30:21

Carl Edwards might might have been the paid

30:24

the pricey, but yeah, that's

30:26

what happened. So I think I kind of

30:28

like Brad a little bit right here, just because I think

30:31

knowing he's in the playoffs and knowing how much

30:33

he likes this type of racing and wanting

30:35

to get that first win for the race team

30:37

that he partially owns, I think his motivation

30:40

is pretty high. All right, let's take a look over at

30:42

Group CEE. We got three guys pretty

30:44

close to the top. Al Maola and Larson

30:46

are two sixty Bubba's two sixty

30:48

five. A long shot here is Daniel

30:51

Suarez at plus two eighty five.

30:53

So now we're getting into a

30:56

group where three guys are not

30:58

in, although one pretty

31:00

much if he can just keep his nose clean and not have

31:02

an upset winner other than Chase

31:04

Elliot, I guess he wouldn't be an upset winner.

31:06

But I,

31:09

you know, I look at this and say, Kyle Larson is the

31:11

guy that can have a calm, easy, cool day,

31:13

and he's going to be helping his teammate, He's going to be

31:16

trying to do his thing. So I could zero in

31:18

on him and just say Larsen, But then

31:20

I'm gonna say, Larson is going to have to be right in the mix

31:22

helping those chevies. He's gonna be upfront trying to push

31:24

people, trying to help things, which means

31:26

he's going to be more aggressive, so I could pull him out of

31:28

it. I struggle with this one because there are

31:30

guys that are going to be fighting tooth. Eric Almarola,

31:33

maybe his last year racing, is trying to go

31:35

out and make the playoffs. He's going to be super aggressive.

31:37

Daniel's going to be super aggressive. Bubba, we

31:39

know, is always super aggressive with these plays.

31:41

Buba's strategy he wants

31:43

to win.

31:44

He wants to lead laps and win. Bubba

31:46

needs that, but he can also get

31:48

in without winning. Yeah, maybe I

31:51

know it's a tough position.

31:52

If you can.

31:53

Guarantee himself by going up there and winning this thing.

31:54

I think this is a really hard ga. I think

31:56

it's a very hard group. All right, let's take a look at group

31:59

D Martin Trick Junior the favorite at

32:01

two fifty, Alex Bowman's two seventy,

32:03

Ross Chastain and Ty Gibbs at two

32:05

seventy five.

32:09

Well one, I always kind of we

32:12

said it earlier. Barton Trux Junior is not. He

32:15

doesn't really like how these

32:17

things play out, so I

32:19

kind of can fudge off of him.

32:23

To me, the wild card is that Ty

32:25

Gibbs man aggressive young man trying to

32:27

make the playoffs in his rookie season. We've seen

32:29

what the kid would do, especially in the

32:31

Exfinity Series when he was running for that championship.

32:34

He's not afraid to ruffle feathers. I

32:36

like that. You got Alex Bowman who's got to make his way

32:39

into the show with all the teammates and

32:41

the strength of that Hender group. So I like

32:43

Bowman or Gibbs. But you know, once again,

32:45

you're not getting a lot of spread on the action

32:47

here, and you got to pick one

32:49

of them. It's tough for me to pick one. So

32:52

I like one guy in this group, okay, And I'm gonna

32:54

tell you why. I like Ross Chastain

32:56

in this group. And this is the reason I like him.

32:58

Number one. I don't think true

33:00

X. I mean, look, he wants to win, of course,

33:02

and don't get me wrong, I don't, but Martin Trux

33:05

Junior is not gonna really run

33:07

up front. I don't think. I don't

33:09

believe Bowman or Ty

33:11

Gibbs are still

33:14

on the racetrack after the checkered

33:17

flag flies. I just think their aggressiveness,

33:19

their desperation, I just

33:22

see them forcing the issue

33:24

a little bit. I think we've probably seen

33:27

that a little bit with their history, and so that

33:29

leaves me as a, for lack of a better

33:31

term, a last man standing, and that last

33:33

man standing to me is Ross chest Day. I can't.

33:35

I can't dog it. I mean, that's not terrible.

33:37

He Ross chest Dame has been very good.

33:39

So at least I have rationale for my pie.

33:41

I'll look at it that way. Okay, Back on Gone

33:44

Racing, our final segment, finish up our groups,

33:46

give you our picks and tell you how bad we did last year.

34:12

This is Gone Racing, Feason's

34:14

premier NASCAR betting podcast. Here

34:16

are your hosts, former NASCAR driver Brendan

34:18

Gone and Las Vegas Motor Speedways

34:21

Jeff Motley.

34:22

All Right, it's our final segment of the

34:24

regular season of the NASCAR Cup

34:26

Series coming up, talking this weekend's

34:28

race. The Coke zero Coke

34:30

zero four hundred, RIGHTO Coake zero four

34:32

hundred at don't call it something else. We used to be

34:35

called the Firecracker four hundred because.

34:36

He used to run it on also, and also I

34:38

still call it Firecracker, but there was one in between before

34:40

Coach was a competing soft drink

34:42

brand.

34:43

So we probably don't want to just make

34:45

the people that Daytona mad.

34:46

So, but that's that's the race that I remember when

34:48

I was You probably remember that race.

34:50

He and I remember Firecracker. You remember the middle one

34:52

now it's Cox.

34:53

Yeah, And you know they used to run the Firecracker four

34:55

hundred at like ten o'clock in the morning

34:57

Eastern time before it got too hot. And

35:00

I think they used to run it on the fourth of July

35:02

and then they moved it to the Saturday

35:04

of fourth of July weekend. So all

35:07

right, let's finish up our group matchups. Group

35:09

E. Another tight group here, Christopher

35:11

Bell, Tyler Reddick at two sixty five, Ricky

35:14

Stenhouse Junior, Austin Sindrick at two seventy.

35:16

So here's what I look at.

35:17

Who won the day twenty five hundred last year, Austin

35:20

Sindrick, this is groupie, You've

35:22

won it this year Ricky

35:24

Sinhuse Junior.

35:26

So we got the last two Daytona five hundred winners

35:28

in this group who needs.

35:29

To win and who doesn't and who we talked about

35:31

is feast or famine and who.

35:32

Who do we need? So I'm gonna

35:34

throw him in my ty Gibbs Alex Bowman.

35:37

But I like that Austin Sindric. I mean, here's a guy that's won

35:39

at Daytona. He's got he's got a couple

35:41

of teammates that are probably gonna throw throw an

35:43

assist if he needs it, And so I like

35:45

Austin Cindrick right there.

35:46

Well, you know, he's the guy I picked to have the most disappointing

35:49

season and he has his hass absolutely.

35:51

However, if Chase Elliott does

35:53

not win on Saturday Night, Chase Elliott will win

35:55

that award hands Yes, Austin Sindrick

35:58

will have to just take the runner.

35:59

Up Center Scott four starts at Daytona, two top

36:01

fives and then fourced parts.

36:02

Well, and part of that also is the Penske cars. I mean

36:04

plays run there, Logano Keselowski

36:07

when he ran a Pencay car Penske cars other than

36:09

our buddy Rusty that's still never ran

36:11

well there. He didn't like it. He didn't like it,

36:13

all right. Our final group is group f Michael

36:15

McDowell's our favorite at plus two fifty, Austin

36:18

Dillon two seventy, Chase Briscoe and

36:20

aj Almadinger at two seventy five.

36:22

Here's another one.

36:23

You got a Daytona five hundred winner, Michael McDowell,

36:26

and then you have an Austin Dillon who has hit

36:28

a walk off before. So I'm going to go with

36:30

the same argument that McDowell. I think it can

36:33

live till the end. Dylan's

36:35

going to be going for brokes so well the Dinger

36:37

and Chase Briscoe. You could say that

36:39

Michael mcdowe will miss the res and just peanut

36:42

his way, you know, do the old Charlie Brown,

36:44

you know, racing, the racing the motorcycle, and

36:46

just be there at the end and beat these guys because they're going to beat

36:49

themselves to death trying to get it. So I

36:51

could stick with McDowell, or I could go with the former

36:53

walk off winner who's done it before, been there, done that, Austin

36:55

Dillon.

36:55

Well, and I do like to say that I do think

36:58

it comes down between those two guys. I

37:00

probably will lean Dylan just because the odds are

37:02

better, but I'm I do believe it

37:04

comes down to those two guys, don't. I

37:07

don't see Risco or Almondinger being

37:09

in the hunt there, all right. And our last one is our

37:12

our manufacturer picks and

37:14

uh if you're a Toyota fan, there's some money

37:16

to be one here.

37:18

Yeah, Toyota the dog for the first time in multiple

37:21

weeks. But they're always the dog at this place

37:23

because there's only six of them on the racetrack.

37:26

That is why they are the dog. One wreck takes

37:28

out four of them, that's that's a bad day for them.

37:31

So there's the reason they're plus three eighty.

37:33

But some of the guys they got take out,

37:35

TRUEX, you still got Tyler Reddick, Bubba Wallace.

37:38

Christopher Bell and ty

37:40

Gibb.

37:41

You have these these five guys that

37:43

that to me are all very good. There

37:46

a couple of them really hungry for the win. A couple of

37:48

them that just like the bragging rights of the wind. So

37:50

I do like Toyotat three eighty, that's enough. That's

37:53

that's enticement, right, that's what I talk about.

37:55

The DraftKings is enticing

37:57

me on this one. That three eighty is big enough for me to say

37:59

yes.

38:00

And you know, I really can't add much to that because

38:02

I agree with you totally. I think the enticement there

38:04

on Toyota and the fact that sixty

38:06

seven percent of the Toyotas in the race are already

38:08

locked into the playoffs. That tells

38:11

me we got four Toyotas out there helping

38:13

two other Toyotas try to win the race. And

38:17

I know we like to talk about, oh, I see these guys

38:19

all stay together, there's a big chance of them being in

38:21

a big wreck. But when you got fewer

38:23

cars, there's also a less chance

38:26

of having been a big wreck. So I

38:28

think that can kind of work a little bit of both ways. So I do like

38:30

that We're not going to spend a whole lot of spend any

38:33

time really on the championship odds. They really haven't

38:35

changed since last week. We'll focus on next We will focus

38:37

on next week because you're going to probably see a major

38:39

change in him next week.

38:41

I mean you also have to say, though, this is the last week to get

38:43

big, big odds on some people, right, I mean, you

38:45

know, Kevin Harvick twenty to one, that'll drop if

38:47

he makes the playoffs or next week

38:49

A little bit he'll be in the playoffs. But

38:51

there's some guys that are still on the outside looking in that

38:55

the odds could drop drastically if.

38:56

You think Bubba Wallace is going to make it. Look he's

38:58

fifty five to one right now. He opened

39:01

the season forty to one, and he's the odds

39:03

on favorite right now to be that sixteenth.

39:05

He'll be twenty five to one next week once it

39:07

starts, because he's locked in if he gets locked in correct.

39:09

So I think if you're going to roll the dice on somebody,

39:13

ll time, if you're going, it's gonna drop

39:15

dress Bubba Wallace. Okay, well

39:18

do we really have to talk about how we do?

39:20

I want to bet me, Hey, did you win a

39:22

bet? I want to bet the pick crew win a bet. That's right, I want

39:24

to bet.

39:24

They want to bet. Who's the only guy that didn't want to bet? The guy that

39:26

was playing golf at Pinehurst? Like, yeah,

39:28

you go, So you know what, at least I played

39:30

golf at Pinehurst even if I went over five

39:33

last week. Congratulations

39:36

up, Brent Brendan got a win with a

39:38

head to head with Okay, now I want to point

39:40

this. Brendan gets a head to head win over a

39:42

guy who crashes on the final lap

39:44

only because the guy he was head to head with

39:47

crew chief ran him out of gas with

39:49

thirty five laps.

39:50

Listen, I'd rather have the Chase Elliott to win at three fifteenth

39:53

trus you would have, But I'll take my plus

39:55

two twenty five right there and lose point

39:57

and a half. It just keeps me at forty plus units

39:59

for the season. And I'm still looking good. And the pict

40:01

crew, they gained on you, the picture got closer

40:03

to Jeff again.

40:04

Yeah, it's still a pretty good gap there. So

40:08

with with Joey Logano winning

40:10

his group group, get Joey Logano in groupy.

40:12

That's and that's what we said last week Logan's group.

40:14

I was really happy, you know, Daniel Suarez talked so

40:16

high about him and he spins coming out of the asses.

40:19

That was great.

40:20

Well, and then of course the last lap, Austin Dylan

40:22

and Kyle Larson took each other out coming to the checker.

40:24

Guys, I didn't see that, and I and I looked

40:26

at the finish or afterwards and I saw that, you

40:28

know, I was like, Okay, I got my Kyle Larson

40:30

over Chase Elliott, and then I looked at twentieth. Then

40:33

I was like, wait, where crowl larsa go? And then I

40:35

saw that he was like twenty seventh. I'm like wait, gee,

40:37

oh good.

40:37

Jase was still yeah. Well they never got

40:39

a caution back.

40:41

I was like, that was lucky. I've

40:44

squeaked in that.

40:45

The video was hilarious. Kyle

40:47

Larson is sipping on his water bottle and

40:50

Austin Dillon walks by to say something

40:52

to him, and Dylan is saying something as he walked

40:54

by, and Larson just kept sucking

40:56

on his water bottle and.

40:57

Then he just keep going, just keep

40:59

going.

41:00

It's like it happened. Let's just move on down

41:02

the road, all right. So it's picks

41:04

time this week. Pit crew is still

41:06

bringing up the.

41:07

Rear all right, Well,

41:09

these are desperation picks.

41:11

Guys need to win to get in the playoffs. We need to win to catch

41:13

up with you. So we're going with five winners. WHOA,

41:17

We've got Chase Elliott to win, Brad

41:19

Keslowski to win, Bubba Wallace,

41:22

Alex Bowman, and the long shot, I'll

41:24

be dancing if he does. Corey Lajoy fifty

41:27

to one, and.

41:27

I wouldn't have gone the Corey La Joy. If they're going to pick

41:29

five winners, but Jeff I cannot

41:32

knock a Bowman, Bubba Brad

41:34

or Chase, maybe I would have picked

41:36

it.

41:36

No, but I will say this, it'll be the funniest thing

41:38

in the history of motorsports if all five end

41:40

up in the same crash and get taken out. Will

41:42

at least be the.

41:43

Best text message group we've ever had that There'll be a

41:45

lot of words we can't say.

41:47

The emojis that will be coming

41:49

through our text messaging over through the race

41:51

weekend would be rather amusing.

41:52

Absolutely so well, I

41:54

am not gonna go with five winners. I'm going with no

41:57

winners. I am going to go with two guys for the for

42:00

top threes. If I can figure out where I circle him,

42:02

I believe I am going to go with Denny

42:04

Hamlin for a top three at plus three

42:06

fifty. I am also going to

42:08

go with William Byron at

42:10

plus four hundred for a top

42:13

three. I'm gonna take a couple

42:15

of group picks. I'm going into

42:17

Group D and taking Ross Chastain.

42:19

I think I kind of pretty made it clear that I really

42:21

like him. There, I'm going Austin Dillon

42:24

in group F and then I also,

42:26

uh boy three point eighty the for

42:28

those six Toyotas to win. I really

42:31

like that one. So I'm going Toyota win. All

42:33

right.

42:33

Well, I am going to pick a winner this week. Who

42:36

have I been picking every week? That I said is going to get one?

42:38

Chase Elliot?

42:39

Chase Elliott to win baby eleven to one.

42:41

Come on, Chase, So I gotta stick.

42:43

I gotta put my money where my mouth is. I'm not afraid to do

42:45

it. Then I'm going to do a.

42:46

Couple, says the guy with a forty unit

42:49

lead. Hey, I mean I can have a sixty unit lead after

42:51

this one. You never know.

42:53

Austin Dillon plus six hundred. I think

42:55

that he's going to try to work his way to the end. But then

42:57

I'm also going to take mikeal McDowell plus eight hundred

42:59

because of I've mentioned it, he's going to

43:01

survive. He's going to play the survival game and

43:03

race really hard at the end. So I like McDowell.

43:06

I'm doing the one head to head.

43:07

That I liked.

43:08

I'm taking Kyle Busch with my uh over Denny

43:10

Hamlin at that plus one ten number. It's good

43:12

head to head number to have. I've got one

43:14

group. I am doing

43:17

Austin Cindric in group

43:19

eight at plus two seventy.

43:21

Are you switching your picks that you gave me? No, I just give

43:23

you that. Didn't they give you that? No? You didn't. You tell me you were taking

43:25

Toyota to win one two unless

43:27

you're getting six picks?

43:29

Oh no, oh no that. I won't take Austin

43:31

Cindric. Yeah, thanks,

43:33

I forgot I scratched that one out. I will go

43:35

take the Toyota at plus the three eighty little

43:37

hedge on my Chase Elliott to win bet.

43:39

Yeah. Hey, we bade it. We

43:41

made it through the whole show without professional

43:44

stuff. Had to throw it in there. That's right.

43:46

Hey, I got to count. Counting is difficult.

43:48

Counting is difficult. One Oh god,

43:50

what do we have here as Georgetown? What

43:53

on earth is up on our screen? Are

43:55

we Motley Crue?

43:57

Your last name is Motley, so they wanted to make a Motley

43:59

Crue?

44:00

Yes? Nice?

44:01

Hey, okay, Brendon, I love the blonde hair.

44:03

You know, listen, Vince Vince Neil, Yeah,

44:05

you know the man he's a nice man.

44:06

I'll take it. Vince Neil a little bit rocker, okay

44:09

by Michelley, we haven't seen the wrestling

44:12

picture with the scars. No, no, they definitely

44:14

haven't brought that one.

44:15

Like I told Brennan last week, I used

44:17

that for motivation for you guys to be better this year.

44:19

Brennan has done it, You've been so.

44:21

I'm just like the perennial bridesmaid. I finished

44:23

second last year to you guys, looks like I'm

44:25

going to finish second this year.

44:26

We do have two things this week. Austin Hill my sixty

44:28

two cars back. But Riley herbs Our

44:31

Vegas is own. Riley is also in the race. We didn't

44:33

talk about him, devods on him, but you got to get a little love,

44:35

okay.

44:35

Hopefully we'll get a good win out of right Riley

44:38

or Austin Hill. That let me see that.

44:39

All right.

44:40

We'll be back next week and we'll tell you who made the playoffs

44:42

and tell you how we did on picking our sixteen drivers.