0:02

This is Gone Racing, Vson's

0:04

premier NASCAR betting podcast. Here

0:06

are your hosts, former NASCAR driver Brendan

0:08

Gahn and Las Vegas Motor Speedways

0:10

and Jeff Mottley.

0:13

Welcome back in everybody to Gone Racing

0:16

the fabulous South Point Studio, which mister

0:18

Motley this we're not sure about us yet,

0:20

but by our last show in this studio, the Vson

0:23

is moving their studio and so this is

0:25

the last official day of Vson at the South Point.

0:27

Vson. We love you guys. Brent Musburger, you

0:30

know, thank you for what you did. DraftKings. You

0:32

know that they own it and they owned the network. Now

0:34

thank you guys for letting us continue to do this. This is a

0:36

we love it here and we don't know if we're gonna

0:38

be doing it from here or somewhere else, but we're

0:41

we're honored that we had this time with you

0:43

guys. Let's get

0:45

into what we talk about. We had Daytona,

0:48

we had the last race, we had all the drama,

0:50

and what do we end up with. Who's the hottest

0:52

guy in the sport right now? Chris Busher dang

0:54

right, who won three out of the last five

0:56

races. Chris Buscher, Uh wow,

0:59

what a Brad Keselowski.

1:01

What he's done at RFK. Chris Buscher

1:03

wins the regular season finale. Happiest guy in the

1:05

garage was Bubba Wallace, who eked

1:08

his way in on points and amazing

1:11

finish.

1:11

Jeff, if I had told you three months

1:13

ago that Chris Buscher was

1:15

going to be fourth going into the playoffs and

1:17

Chase Elliot and Alex Bowman we're not even

1:19

going to be in the playoffs, you'd have told

1:22

me that I need to have my head examine.

1:23

Listen, if you've said this, if you said at the start of

1:25

the year, well, in a minute, we're going to

1:27

show you how what we picked earlier this season.

1:30

And I promise you

1:32

none of us had Chase Elliott out, Chris

1:35

Buscher in, and none of us had Chase Chris

1:37

Buscher fourth in points, second most wins

1:39

on the season, and.

1:40

Right now he and I would still give Martin

1:42

Trux Junior. I'll say they're the two hottest guys

1:45

on the circuit. The Trucks hadn't been to Victory Lane as

1:47

much in the last few weeks, but still those your

1:49

two hot guys going into this playoffs, hot

1:51

guys is an understatement.

1:52

What he's done is amazing. To win the race. Chris

1:54

Buscher was sixteen to one. Mitch

1:57

again impressively big Top three

1:59

was four fifty. We talked about that. He was

2:01

Group B two seventy. Ford was

2:04

one fifty. Uh, you know, unbelievable

2:07

what he was able to do right there.

2:09

You know, there's no organization

2:11

that you and I both poop pooed

2:13

anymore both last year in the beginning

2:16

of this year than RFK. Where

2:18

did RFK finish at Daytona Saturday night,

2:20

first and second, first and second, And it's

2:22

three wins in the last five races.

2:25

And Keselowski has run well also,

2:27

No, Kez's right, he's in the playoffs.

2:29

Also in fact, he wins that race with anybody

2:31

but Buscher in front of him.

2:32

I think he really kind of blocked

2:34

for Busher.

2:35

He really would said, I wouldn't say he blocked as

2:37

bad as we've seen people block in the past. But

2:39

he knew it was better he was in. If

2:41

Chris is in, he knew one of them, he well,

2:43

he was a huge thing. Well, he knew that they were

2:45

going to finish one too. There was no way.

2:47

They were not going to finish one too.

2:49

And that's what I say is he'll make that move late after turn

2:51

four and try something, but there was too much traffic

2:53

around him, didn't have a shot. Pushed his team

2:56

to win. Amazing job. Let me let me

2:58

tell you gets paid either way.

2:59

Yeah for somebody who has Brad Keslowski

3:01

just to win one race this year. I was really hoping he dump

3:04

Busher there and.

3:04

He wasn't going to dump him, don't you car.

3:09

But he would have the you know, the satisfaction

3:12

that he helped out his number one fan.

3:13

I think Brad cares

3:15

about his wallet.

3:17

Brad listen, Brad did the right thing. Brad

3:19

did an amazing job. It was awesome. Uh

3:22

quick quick recap. Chase Elliott missed the playoffs

3:24

first time ever in his eighth Cup season. Right

3:28

here, I'm still gonna bet him to win though, Uh

3:30

you know, pre big flip. We're not going to talk about the flips

3:32

in the accidents. Priese's flip. You guys have heard

3:34

me before plenty of times. Rolling a race

3:36

car is actually much much healthier

3:40

for your body, as long as you don't get

3:42

hit like Ryan Newman got hit on the halo that you're

3:44

in Daytona. That's the fear.

3:46

That's a different situation. Absolute everything's loosened.

3:48

But the rolling and he walked out

3:50

of the race car. They cent him for observation. He's fine.

3:52

Really, the scarier wreck was to

3:55

me, was Ryan Blaney's and it's two

3:57

straight races at Daytona.

3:58

He's had a similar accident because somebody

4:00

else got here and there.

4:03

That was a race, there was and there

4:05

was no There was no fault on that. That was just a

4:07

product of the race.

4:08

Tyers really got bumped by his own teammate. He

4:10

got pushed, he.

4:11

Got pushed a little Wonkey Martin Trux

4:13

Junior, your regular season champion got his fifteen bonus

4:15

points. So that was awesome. Let's

4:18

look at the win, the odds to win the race. There

4:20

the top ten. Sorry, we just did that. Top

4:22

ten, we said, Chris Buscher, Brad

4:24

Keselowski three fifty, Eric al Rolap

4:26

plus six hundred didn't do him any good. He needed

4:29

to win. Chase Elliott needed to win, you

4:31

know. Corey la Joy though, brought home another solid top

4:33

ten at Daytona. So Corey did

4:36

what he loves to do at Daytona. But you

4:38

know that's great for that Spire team, but.

4:40

It just doesn't you know, the guys have finished

4:42

third, fourth, and sixth.

4:43

They all need to win and those are great finishes.

4:45

Congratulations, did

4:47

nothing for you, just another solid finish. Way to go. Yeah,

4:50

the championship standings we reset, we have

4:52

the championship odds. And there's

4:54

one glaring thing here to me. Jeff Motley, the

4:57

guy that's won three of the last five races.

5:00

This guy's won a road course, a speedway,

5:04

a super speedway and a short

5:06

track.

5:06

That's right, Michigan, Michigan, Michigan,

5:08

Richmond, Richmond, and Daytona

5:10

this year.

5:11

And the one he's has a career

5:13

win also where he won it.

5:15

Uh, Bristol, Bristol, won at Bristol

5:17

and anyone the fog race of Pocono.

5:19

But so he hadn't run a road course yet, not road

5:21

coad.

5:21

Sorry, but he's run every road

5:23

course.

5:24

But he's eighteen to one. I'm sorry. Uh.

5:27

Right now, that number is going to keep getting smaller because

5:29

first he starts forth he has all he has twenty one bonus

5:31

points that will carry to each round. So he

5:33

is looking really really good right there, eighteen

5:36

to one.

5:36

He does a great job of managing

5:38

his race car. And what is maybe

5:41

the most important thing this week managing

5:43

your race cars, Darlington A managing

5:45

your tire. That's exactly what you have to do.

5:47

This guy right here, I'm I

5:49

am a I'm a bad Brad Keselowski

5:52

bandwagon. I am a believer. And you

5:54

know that, Chris Buscher team eighteen to one.

5:56

You want to take a bet right there?

5:59

Jump on that well, and then you know, I look at these sixteen

6:01

guys in the playoffs right now, and I literally

6:03

do believe the top four guys

6:06

Byron, Truex, Hamlin and Busher, they

6:09

to me are clearly the

6:11

four best guys going into this playoff right

6:13

now. I mean, you look below them, Kyle Busch

6:15

struggling, Kyle Larson struggling, Christopher

6:17

Bell He's disappeared, chast Name disappeared.

6:20

Keselowski might be the next most

6:22

successful guy. Reddick, we haven't heard much out of him.

6:24

Logano has disappeared. Blainey he got

6:26

the win a few weeks ago, was Big locked

6:28

him in, and then the guys below him.

6:30

I mean, I just I don't know guys,

6:34

And that's a that's a that's a hell of

6:36

that. It's awesome right now, the sport right

6:39

now, healthy as it's ever been loved.

6:41

What looks like in that top four the

6:43

next four races, Let's get to the player the standings

6:45

real quick because we want to get to something kind of fun that we did

6:48

for the deal. Of course, we have the Southern

6:50

five hundred first round of the playoffs, Jeff, great

6:52

place to do it, unbelievable. You have the

6:54

Hollywood Cino four hundred out in Kansas, and

6:57

then the Bass Pro Shops Night Race,

6:59

all of our one of our absolute favorites. We know

7:01

that at Bristol, So what hell of

7:03

a first round coming up here? Bristol being the knockout

7:05

another great last race for a knockout race.

7:08

Absolutely.

7:08

I love the tradition of Labor Day weekend

7:10

Darlington back, but you're right having Bristol

7:12

is a knockout race.

7:14

We're going to have a knockout race.

7:15

On a road course with the road ho yep, another

7:18

short track knockout race, which we've

7:20

seen some crazy stuff at Martinsville.

7:22

So I think it's set up pretty well.

7:24

And you got a road course in there, you got a super speedway,

7:26

you got some intermediate tracks.

7:28

It's a great diversity of racetracks in this playoff.

7:30

Yeat Texas, Talladega, this next round

7:32

so really awesome. But what we want to get to is

7:34

we did, of course, at the beginning of the year, we

7:36

did our picks right, we said who our top

7:39

sixteen were, who is going to be our disappointment?

7:41

All these things. Now I am going to have to eat a

7:43

lot of crow Right now. I may be leaving leading the gone

7:45

standing gone race and standings by a line.

7:47

I might buy a large margin, but

7:50

I had the worst pick in

7:53

the history of any picking of

7:55

shows. And I will be the first to sit

7:57

here and say Martin triuckx Junior

7:59

alogized for saying you were going to be the

8:02

most disappointing driver of the year, and

8:05

the second worst pick of the whole deal was

8:08

saying that Austin Sindric was going

8:10

to be the breakout driver of the year. So

8:13

I have two absolutely awful picks. And if you really

8:15

want to go with another awful pick, Noah

8:17

Gregson's already not gonna even finish

8:19

the year for Rookie of the Year. So

8:22

I'm making up and you're driving with the most

8:24

wins didn't win a race a year. Really,

8:28

if you look at all that, I'm really glad. I'm leading

8:30

the standings right now.

8:31

You can give nineteen guys winning races

8:33

this year I did.

8:34

I cually end up with.

8:35

Sixteen, fifteen, fifteen

8:37

plus Van Gisbergen with sixteen.

8:39

No, that is fifteen.

8:40

Oh we had fifteen? Oh you're right, Oh it

8:42

was no.

8:44

We actually only had thirteen fourteen

8:46

at fourteen fourteen fourteen with Ben Gisbergen.

8:48

So you said about every number in between.

8:50

Yeah, But now it finally dawned on me that we

8:52

had three guys make the playoffs that didn't win races.

8:54

But playoffs was thirteen and then Van Gisbergen

8:57

made four.

8:57

I'm missing Austin Dylon, Chase Elliott,

9:00

Daniel Suarez, uh Byron

9:02

Blaney, Hamlin, Austin

9:05

Cindric, Alex Bowman, Chase

9:07

Briscoe. I'm missing five. I only

9:09

have nine drivers live, but I have three

9:12

of the final four still live. So you

9:15

missed brisco Bowman. Was it

9:17

five? So I did

9:19

a kind of a mediocre job on that. Mister

9:21

Motley, he was also had his predictions.

9:24

Bubba's had a he didn't win a race.

9:27

Rookie of the Year. Looks like he's kicking my butt on that one

9:29

driver that will disappoint You're

9:32

even the way there. Oh, I got

9:34

really close on the wins Chase Elliot,

9:36

Darvis most wins. Yeah, I also announced

9:38

that one miss.

9:39

Elliott, Larson Byron got four, Blaney's

9:42

five, Reddick six, Chestaint seven, Coyle Busch,

9:45

Hamlin's nine, Bells ten, Gibbs,

9:47

Bowman, Partick's eleven, Bubba's twelve.

9:49

I got missed four. You missed four.

9:51

I got missed four.

9:51

Yeah, I missed a whole lot more so, and

9:54

how much you only have?

9:55

Well, I'm I've already lost Chase Elliott of the final

9:57

four, and so we called that three of the final four I got, Danny

9:59

went at all I got, I

10:01

got all right, We're still alive

10:04

on that.

10:05

We still have some we still have some live on Channel

10:07

five Action here. But uh, yes,

10:09

as good as I've been doing in the Gone

10:11

Racing League this year, I

10:14

did that bad on my prece you know.

10:16

And and let's face it, Chase, we

10:18

we made that prediction, not know when Chase Elliot was

10:20

going to break his leg seven board.

10:22

He missed seven races.

10:22

I mean six ofn with a broken leg and one of

10:24

them for a dumb move on the racetrack.

10:26

So but but I mean you look at I

10:29

really no Gregson, I mean, come on, that's

10:31

I mean, he was doing okay. He wasn't near

10:33

Ty Gibbs and the rookie points, but he was doing okay.

10:36

But uh yeah, the the whole,

10:39

the whole, Martin Treux Junior, Austin Sindrick.

10:42

Uh, we nailed that one last year. Man,

10:44

we all we both did Keslowski.

10:45

We did.

10:46

We nailed that. We did.

10:47

But it's it's much much to One of the funny thing

10:50

is Brendan and we knew right away that was a bad pick

10:52

when he won the clash, Like.

10:56

I even try to say, it's the clash, it's the clash,

10:59

it's not a point. It doesn't count him

11:01

a little momentum.

11:03

You love that, you love that.

11:04

Moment, come out, come out swinging this year and he

11:07

swung me into the dirt.

11:10

It'd be even funnier if he actually ends up

11:12

winning the championship.

11:15

Wins.

11:15

If he wins the championship, it doesn't matter how many points

11:18

ahead, and the gone racing point league, I am,

11:20

uh yeah, that's that

11:23

was a bad pick.

11:24

But you know that's why we do these predictions

11:26

at the beginning of the year. You know, he made the plan.

11:28

He missed the playoffs because he didn't win a race. I mean,

11:30

that's that's true. You're all

11:32

right, Will we come back enough joking around

11:35

time to get to the Cookout Southern five

11:37

hundred when we returned the odds to win.

12:03

This is Gone Racing, Visa's

12:05

premier NASCAR betting podcast. Here

12:07

are your hosts, former NASCAR driver Brendan

12:10

Gahn and Las Vegas Motor Speedways,

12:12

Jeff Motley.

12:13

And the Green Flag back out segment two Gone Racing.

12:16

Mister Motley, We are just now getting into Darlington

12:19

for the Southern five hundred on Labor Day

12:21

weekend cookout, the Cookouts Southern five

12:23

which you know, there.

12:24

Was announcement a couple of weeks ago, by the way,

12:26

that bo Jangles is going to open twenty

12:28

restaurants in Las Vegas. But I think

12:31

we need some cookouts. I love

12:33

their I love their little pork barbecue

12:35

sandwich, and you love this stuff that I can't get

12:37

that kind of barbecue out west. It's like a Southeastern

12:40

thing, you know where I grew up. It's the vinegar that

12:42

vinegar Ban's barbecue sauce. So yeah, if the cookout

12:45

people are listening, hey, bring your bring a restaurant

12:47

to Vegas.

12:48

Not against it, not against I will definitely

12:50

get what I am excited about some bo Jangles.

12:52

Yeah.

12:52

Me. I still love my farm Basket. I'm a Vegas og. Anybody

12:54

in Vegas knows farm basket. You

12:56

and the Bush Brothers og original and

12:59

you know, Curt and Kyle.

13:00

Come out here and they'd send their mom to the

13:02

farm basket to get food to bring it back in.

13:04

I did a whole thing on farm Basket when I was racing

13:06

for NBC. I was like farm Baskets, the it's

13:09

legit when you come to Vegas. Farm Basket.

13:11

Oh the way, we didn't even mention the fact that

13:13

our buddy Kurt officially announced his retirement.

13:15

Didn't us his retirement. Great video too, by the way,

13:17

it was such a good video.

13:18

I think we knew it was coming, but it was just you know, happy

13:20

for him, just glad he's okay.

13:22

That's all I care about. I want my friend, okay. But

13:25

Darlington Track Records, man, there is

13:27

one guy that absolutely just stands

13:29

out leaps and bounds above the rest. And

13:31

that is Denny Freaking Hamlin. Twelve

13:34

top fives in twenty

13:37

two races. That's fifty over

13:39

fifty percent, fifty five percent top

13:42

five at Darlington.

13:44

Well, we talked about to win at Darlington,

13:46

you have to manage your car. You know, Denny's

13:48

a guy who always manages his

13:50

car. I will give him credit for that. Now, we've

13:52

always been kind of negative on Denny's

13:54

pit crew, at least the last few years or him.

13:57

He got another penalty this week' speeding.

13:58

By the way, the thing about Darlington

14:00

is you're gonna make more pit stops at Darlington,

14:02

then you're gonna make probably in any race you

14:05

run on.

14:05

Which and you probably have even better stats if he didn't

14:07

do that so much.

14:08

And I'm talking about pit stops where you got

14:10

to take a four tire change. It's not a

14:12

no or not do we take

14:14

lefts or right?

14:15

No? No, there's no there's no pit stop games

14:17

at Darlington. There's no two tires, no tires.

14:20

Fuel only. At Darlington. There is one

14:22

pit stop, four tires and fuel

14:24

every time.

14:25

Now they get thirteen sets of tires and

14:27

some people say that's still made that's still not enough.

14:29

Listen. We used to actually push the car

14:32

out and change the tires on

14:34

pit road because we didn't want to push the car

14:37

on the tires we were qualifying on. That's how

14:39

bad it is at Darlington.

14:40

So five hundred miles around Darlington is about

14:42

what three hundred, three hundred

14:44

and some laps. I guess, yeah, you're

14:47

really gonna have to change tires every forty to fifty

14:49

laps minimum.

14:50

I change every four.

14:51

But if you run ten laps and there's another

14:53

caution, you're coming in for time.

14:54

I want them, you want them, I promise you that.

14:57

But amazing what Denny Hamlin's done at this place.

14:59

And Eric Jones that's another one that sneaky

15:02

on there. Seven top tens, two

15:04

wins in eleven starts. Eric Jones

15:06

won this race of course last year. So a couple

15:08

guys on here that really have some amazing

15:11

stats when you look at the career

15:13

of them. Some guys can run really well here.

15:15

You know.

15:15

And it's funny you see the guys that we

15:18

think of as being more of the aggressive

15:20

types are the ones we don't necessarily see

15:22

on the list, Like you don't see Ross Chastain you

15:25

know, on that list over there, but he was.

15:27

He had a hell of a run last year till

15:29

he well, he crossed

15:32

paths for like the fourth race roll oh, Kyle Larson

15:34

last year and they he larsened himself.

15:37

But yeah, this race

15:39

makes for some fun racing. It's

15:41

it's God, is so much fun. This is one of the tracks

15:44

I do miss. Let's get to the odds thoughts,

15:46

and our favorite is our regular season

15:48

point leader, who also happens to be very very

15:50

good at this place. Martin Truex Junior

15:52

is your leader at plus five hundred, tied with Kyle

15:54

Larson, William Byron, Denny Hamlin eight,

15:56

Ross Chastain nine hundred. Then you get double

15:59

digits Seebell eleven, Kyle Busch twelve,

16:01

Tyler Reddick thirteen, Kevin Harvick, Chris

16:03

Buscher fifteen, Brad Ka sixteen,

16:05

Chase Elliott seventeen, Ryan Blaney,

16:07

Joily gone on eighteens, and then interesting Eric

16:10

Jones and Bubba Wallace at twenty eight to one.

16:13

Last year's winner, and it was a super surprised

16:15

last year, Jeff Eric Jones,

16:19

we just talked about his stats here.

16:21

That's yeah,

16:23

you know, I think the one

16:25

that I'm kind of curious about is what

16:28

level of motivation are we

16:31

going to see out of Chase Elliott.

16:32

He is seventeen to one. Now did you

16:35

ever think Now, I know he's never won at Darlington,

16:37

but seventeen to one on Chase ell seventeen

16:39

to.

16:39

One on Chase Elliott, who, I've

16:41

got to believe, there's got to be some First

16:43

off, there's no pressure.

16:44

Now the pressure's gone. It's basically

16:46

just go out.

16:47

And try to win races, right Yep, Seventeen

16:50

to one is a big number on

16:53

Chase Elliott. There's no way I can see him going

16:55

this entire season without winning a race. Now,

16:57

maybe that comes at the Roval at Charlotte

16:59

or somewhere. I don't know, But I just think seventeen

17:01

to one is a really really big number.

17:03

To put on Chase Elliott, and.

17:04

About fifteen to one on Chris Buscher.

17:07

I mean, look, he's the guy that's won on every other place

17:09

they have this year. But you know, can

17:12

the Fords? Can the Fords

17:14

run?

17:14

Well?

17:15

Can the Fords? You know what can

17:17

the Fords do? So that's the question

17:20

is, well, you know, here lately,

17:22

I think they've shown some short improvement at

17:24

Michigan was where it really hung

17:26

my cap on it. Michigan has been the

17:28

one that really just sticks

17:30

out and says, wow, they did a hell of a job.

17:32

So I think we got to start talking about the forest.

17:34

Richmond, Michigan, Daytona all wins by

17:37

Buscher.

17:39

Yeah, I shouldn't say forest, Maybe we just say we should

17:41

just say.

17:41

Oh well, and keep in mind Darlington

17:44

is not a horsepower racetrack.

17:46

It is and it isn't, but you have to learn

17:48

how to harness it. It's it's tough.

17:50

You run too hard, you're just gonna burn your tires off.

17:52

You can run, you can run hard for a couple of laps, you're gonna

17:54

try to be driving your butt off for the next one

17:56

hundred. Let's get the second page.

17:59

Ty Gibbs is the start of it at thirty

18:01

five to one, Daniel Suarez, Alex Bowman there

18:03

at fifty five, Michael McDowell

18:05

eighty, Ricky Stenhouse one hundred. He's in the playoffs

18:07

at one hundred. Carson host far gets a shout

18:09

out on the show in that legacy

18:12

motor field forty two at one fifty. They

18:15

gave him one fifty and they gave le Joy a full timer

18:17

and Austin Dillon and Eric Alamarola

18:19

two hundred and two fifty. Wow, there's

18:22

some long shots on some regulars there that shouldn't

18:24

be that high.

18:25

Yeah, you know, it's almost like they set the odds

18:27

saying, well, you know these guys are going to

18:29

get away. But look like you talked about, what did

18:31

we see last year? We saw three nine playoff drivers

18:33

win the first three races, So I

18:36

will.

18:36

See it this year. But that's what with Elliott

18:39

and Bowman and Suarez.

18:41

I mean, I think it could very easy.

18:42

And I'm not saying it's gonna happen all three races, but I could

18:44

certainly see somebody winning at well.

18:46

The guys we have outside the playoffs, we

18:48

absolutely can see it. Let's get to our top

18:50

threes because I think there's some that Eric Jones number

18:52

is what I want to get to. On this top three, I want to see what that

18:54

is. We lead off with Martin Truex at plus

18:57

one forty, Kyle Larson at one fifty

18:59

five, which is odd they're equal odds

19:01

to win the race, but not for the top three.

19:04

William Byron two ten, Denny Hamlin there with him at

19:06

two ten, two eighty five, Kyle Busch three

19:08

to ten, Ross Chastain. You

19:11

got Christopher Bell at three ten, Also Tyler

19:13

Reddick three fifty, Kevin Harvick four, Chris

19:15

Bouscher four, Chase Elliott four fifty, Brad

19:18

Keslowski, Ryan Blaney, Joey Logano

19:20

all at five hundred. Eric Jones, Bubba

19:22

Wallace eight hundred. That's listen,

19:26

Eric Jones. We may not be a believer much, but

19:28

the guy's pretty stellar here. You give me plus

19:30

eight hundred last year's winner, a guy that's been

19:32

here, you know, with as

19:34

many top tens as he has and as many races as

19:36

top fives. That's a number I kind of like.

19:38

Well, both of those guys, I think plus eight hundred

19:40

are good to keep an eye on. Eric Jones and Bubba

19:43

has proven that these type tracks, and

19:45

I know it's not exactly a mile and a half, but Bubba

19:48

has gotten so much better. I mean, he's

19:50

in contention, it seems like all

19:52

the time when we run these intermediate tracks

19:54

now. So I think plus eight hundred, Like I said, I wouldn't

19:56

go pick him to win. Plus eight

19:59

hundred pretty good number on both of those guys,

20:01

it's.

20:01

Worth taking a shot at. Let's get to the second page.

20:03

Ty gives your rookie leader is there

20:06

at plus nine hundred. Then you get to the double digits.

20:09

Alex Bowman fourteen, Daniel Suarez fifteen,

20:11

Michael McDowell, Ricky Stenthou's twenty eight, there's

20:13

host far again, Forty Dylan at fifty al

20:15

Morola. You know, I

20:18

wonder why why is Austin Dillon so bad?

20:21

I mean, he's not that bad.

20:22

Well, obviously they don't like him at Darlington, But

20:25

I think this all comes down to the

20:27

Okay, they're not in the playoffs, they're

20:29

not going to run hard, which I think we all

20:31

know that's not necessarily the case out there. And I'm

20:33

a little surprised to see numbers as big as twenty

20:35

eight to one on a couple of playoff guys.

20:38

And I know this isn't this.

20:39

Isn't exactly McDowell and Stenhouse is forte

20:41

to run a track like Darlington, But twenty eight

20:43

to one for a top three, that's a pretty big number

20:46

on guys that you know are out there trying to trying

20:48

to just have a good finish.

20:49

I mean that that's even

20:51

on the front page. I look at that,

20:53

like again that Chase Elliot number. You got

20:56

Chase Elliott for a top three and

20:58

and yeah he hasn't

21:01

won yere, but looking at this, I mean four top

21:03

fives in the last ten races. You

21:05

know that's a guy even though he's out of the playoffs,

21:07

he's got something to prove.

21:09

He's got something to prove. He's got no pressure

21:11

on him whatsoever. And then look right now, it's

21:13

all about just getting wins.

21:16

Now.

21:16

I know we're talking about a top three right here, but guess

21:18

what if you're going for the win, you

21:21

come up three or short, you're still going

21:23

to get a top.

21:23

Three, you know. And and raw shast

21:26

a last year, had that had all the hasslehas

21:28

with with Kyle Larson and all that sort of

21:30

thing, you got a little

21:32

you know, there's some guys, I mean, I

21:34

mean Ross's three is three

21:36

to ten is a top three. I know

21:38

we have talked about it. Larson is in that

21:40

group right now with me with Byron and Bowman where

21:43

when they're hot, we talk about him every week, and

21:46

when they're not, they're gone,

21:49

like it's it's like where'd they go? But

21:51

when? But all of a sudden they come back with that they

21:54

win two races in a row type thing.

21:55

Well, and the other thing I think happens if you've got

21:57

a guy that's a non playoff driver and let's say

21:59

he's out for right, the other guys

22:01

are not gonna try to rough him up to win because he can't

22:03

hurt them, you know what I'm saying. I mean,

22:05

you might be a little bit more aggressive if you're a

22:07

playoff guy racing a playoff guy, but you're

22:09

a playoff guy racing a non playoff guy, that guy

22:11

can't hurt you at all. On the point, So if

22:14

a guy like Chase Eliy gets out front, I don't think you're gonna

22:16

see a guy go and try to like rough him up or anything

22:18

like that either.

22:19

You know, man' there's some guys

22:21

here, even Harvick. The long odds on Harvick.

22:24

I know we haven't been high on Harvick, but nine

22:26

top tens, eight top fives in the last

22:28

ten races.

22:29

He is really good at Darlington, you know.

22:31

And what have you done for me lately? Second last year?

22:34

Yeah, I think Harvick's

22:36

the guy that could probably surprise on the playoffs.

22:37

He ain't gonna win it, but he could surprise I

22:40

kind of.

22:40

I don't know the top three, Harvick.

22:42

I'll be looking at it all right.

22:43

We come back. Odds to win will jump into the groups

22:45

when we re turn on Gune Racing.

23:05

This is Gone Racing, Vison's

23:07

premier NASCAR betting podcast. Here

23:09

are your hosts, former NASCAR driver Brendan

23:12

Gonne and Las Vegas Motor Speedways

23:14

Jeff Motley.

23:17

Want to reach. Wow,

23:19

that was a bad rejoin for my promo reap professionally

23:21

unpres Yeah, that was want to rewatch

23:23

our show? Guys were a podcast, remember Gone Racing Podcasts.

23:26

It's free and it's available vson dot com for Slash

23:28

podcast. Uh, don't forget to head over there

23:30

a lot of great shows, all the other Vson shows.

23:32

So you know over vson dot com for Slash podcast,

23:35

catch us, catch all the other ones, and uh,

23:38

you know, don't forget. We give you all the great news, odds,

23:41

everything you need to know. Headed betting counter.

23:43

You know the one right back here, one right behind us.

23:45

I'm just impressed you got through that all.

23:47

Wyatt was waving that black flag in

23:49

front of your face, the black flag. Yeah,

23:51

you got the black flag for being professionally unprofessional.

23:54

I did the point too.

23:54

I was trying to point you like, hey, you you you bet

23:56

the black flag.

23:57

You see, that's what you get for not like reading it verbati,

24:00

trying to just add libit.

24:01

Well, I thought he was giving me the green flag. So my eyes

24:03

are so bad out that it was green flag. He's saying, keep rolling. I'm

24:05

like, okay, I'll keep going.

24:06

I can keep I mean, that was his excuse when

24:08

he would run into a guy in front of him on the race track.

24:10

I didn't you getting older, I can't see.

24:12

I'm colorblind, you know. I thought

24:14

I was running into Ross chest Day and I'm sorry.

24:18

You know, you know, you know what funny story about color blind

24:20

frank Tody is color blind or

24:23

Frank Tody, you know Southway Frankton. So he

24:25

always struggled looking at what color chips were on the table.

24:28

Good thing he wasn't the dealer he did.

24:30

He was a dealer. All right, let's get back

24:32

to you know what we what we do here, and let's get to the

24:35

head to heads now. And guys, I

24:37

like a lot of these head to heads Motley. This is what's fun

24:39

about a race like Darlington, right, we get some decent numbers

24:42

and right off the bat, Denny

24:44

Hamlin. We talked about the number one guy here, fifty

24:46

five percent in the top five, top

24:49

five at Darlington. I know Martin Truck's

24:51

is your point leader, but Martin Trux

24:53

Junior nowhere near as good as Denny. In

24:55

the last five ten races, he's

24:57

plus one twenty five head to head

25:00

versus his teammate.

25:01

Yeah, you know those negative, those big

25:03

negative numbers on Martin Trix Junior. I mean, there's

25:06

some really good guys out there running against

25:08

him, but you know the one I like Denny

25:10

Hamlin better on. I like the plus

25:12

one ten against Kyle Larson. I

25:14

mean, Denny's been really good here. He has

25:17

Kyle Larson, though, had.

25:17

This race, then tried to do the Ross Chastain video

25:20

game move.

25:20

Well in this race.

25:21

He can't remember he was leading the race when him and

25:24

Chastain got into their deal, did a little damage to him,

25:26

which is what kind of hurt him. But you

25:28

know, I look at four top ten's in the last seven

25:31

races for Kyle Larson, or four top fives last

25:34

seven races. Denny Hamlin five

25:36

with two wins Martin TRUEX Junior

25:38

only has one win, two top fives last ten

25:40

races, So I do like that one. The other one I like,

25:43

Look Kyle Busch. I know we're saying

25:45

they're struggling, but Kyle Busch versus

25:47

Chrisopher Bell is a plus one ten. And how about

25:49

Chris Buscher plus one oh five against

25:52

his teammate Denny Hamlin or Brad

25:54

Keselowski.

25:55

And he's also going to plus one of five against Kevin Harvick.

25:57

I think both of those numbers are good on Chris Buscher.

26:00

So yeah, I think there's definitely some value

26:02

this week in the head to heads of me. You know, last week

26:04

we had didn't even talk about the head. We can't

26:06

talk about it last week. But I think there's some real value here.

26:08

I mean, especially when you see guys like William

26:10

Byron and Denny Hamlin getting plus one

26:13

twenty five numbers, and you see guys like Chris Buscher,

26:15

who literally I do think is one of the two

26:17

hottest drivers on the circuit, is getting a plus number

26:19

against two guys that haven't even won a race this year.

26:22

Oh at Harvick, I mean he does even lately he's

26:24

been really good at Darlington. So I mean I

26:26

put a little old school stuff the Chris Buscher's

26:28

righting my favorite word, momentum, and

26:31

you got him sitting there with that, with that odd

26:33

with a head to head versus teammate. Look, Brad's doing well,

26:35

but not as well as Chris, right,

26:37

I mean, Chris has been in fuego.

26:39

So but I do though, I do believe

26:41

at some point Kazlowski is gonna be the one

26:43

in front of Busher. And

26:46

after the way that Keaslowski has had Busher's

26:48

back all year long, He's going to have to have his back.

26:50

Buscher will have it. That's his boss too.

26:52

So that it doesn't hurt to do that one. All

26:54

right, let's get into our group match ups, mister Motley, and we

26:56

start off with a pretty good spread

26:58

and groupe.

26:58

Here.

26:59

You got Martin Tree Junior your favorite two thirty

27:01

five, Kyle Larson two fifty, Denny Hamlin

27:03

two ninety five, and Byron three

27:05

hundred. Byron's

27:07

pretty darn good here. Remember he's got to win, you

27:09

know, four top tens, three top fives, last ten

27:12

races, won

27:14

the last race. I mean he's pretty darn

27:16

good here. No, there's no question. This

27:18

is just such a tough group here.

27:20

I mean, Martin Trux Junior said, one of the two hottest

27:22

guys out there.

27:23

We Larson needs no introduction.

27:26

Denny Hamlin, I mean he's been the most successful

27:28

guy that's actually still racing

27:30

at Darlington Raceway. Plus Byron,

27:33

this is the group I probably just say, you know what, I

27:35

throw a blanket over all them.

27:37

I'm I'm not gonna go and pick this group.

27:39

This is a group I'm staying away from this week, even

27:43

though that's great value on Denny Hamlin and William

27:45

Byron.

27:45

I agree with you on that.

27:46

I'm with you. Group A is

27:48

always one that a lot of times it's either feast or famine

27:51

with us. We either love it and love something in it. This

27:53

is the week that I'm the same place as you. I'm like, yeah,

27:57

it just makes me nervous, hard to do. All

27:59

right, let's get in the group B. Then we've got chrispher

28:01

bell is right off the bat at two forty

28:03

five, Ross schast A and fifty five, Kyle

28:05

Busch two seventy five, Tyler Reddick three hundred.

28:09

Or here's the question I'm trying to ask myself.

28:12

Has Kyle Busch's team been preparing for

28:14

the playoffs over the last couple

28:16

of months, because they certainly have struggled, There's no question

28:18

about it. This is the kind of racetrack that

28:21

suits Kyle perfectly. Though he is not a

28:23

guy who goes out and destroys as a cryp equipment.

28:25

He's gonna manage his tires. He's a smart racer.

28:28

He also knows the importance when the playoffs

28:30

get here. The guy's a two time champion for

28:32

a reason, and so to me, I look at

28:34

Kyle Busch getting a plus two seventy five

28:36

in this group, and he is the one guy

28:38

that I say, going into a place like Darlington,

28:40

I feel like I can count on.

28:42

And that's that's the whole That or

28:44

Reddick with the three hundred, because they're enticing me with

28:47

Reddick because he runs what this

28:49

is him. The Kyle Larson is the tracks we think of

28:51

them. It's like the dirt track racers can really

28:53

get up by the wall. They get a mine the things they don't want, the

28:55

cushing and they don't wind a little love tap. I

28:58

do like those two, but it's

29:01

playoff time. Kyle Busch was

29:03

always a playoff guy, right, I mean this is when Kyle

29:06

Busch shines.

29:07

Yeah, he's like Reggie Jackson a NASCAR

29:09

you know. I mean it's like mister October

29:11

October. This is September, October and November.

29:13

You know.

29:14

So, I there's just something about that Kyle Busch

29:16

two seventy five number my aging

29:18

myself by comparing him to Rectory Jobs. That

29:21

thing as I caught it, uh, group

29:23

c real quick, Kevin Harvick two sixty five, Brad

29:25

two sixty five, Chris Buscher two sixty five, Chase Elliott

29:27

two seventy five, Chase Elliott.

29:30

The only thing I don't like is Kevin Harvick is so good

29:32

here. Even Kevin

29:36

Harvick is Okay, I get

29:38

it, but Kevin Harvick at Darlington when

29:40

you look at the stats, Kevin

29:42

Harvick is phenomenal at Darlington.

29:45

Boy, I want to ride.

29:46

Chris Buscher is the hot hand.

29:48

That's what I want to ride, the hot hand. The only thing honestly

29:50

scares me here is that his teammates

29:52

in this group too. And I do believe,

29:54

like I said, there's going to come a time where Brad Keselowski

29:57

is going to be the one in front of Chris Buscher because they've

29:59

been running like knows to tail. It seems like the last

30:01

few weeks. At some point it's gonna be Brad,

30:03

It's gonna gonna be flip up. But the other thing I

30:05

got here is am I a Ford believer?

30:07

Yet?

30:08

Do I believe that Ford has finally turned the whole corner?

30:11

So there's three Fords versus Chase Elliott, Chase

30:13

Elliott something to prove Chase Elliott

30:15

the driver that how many more racist does Chris Busher

30:18

have to win before you believe well and before

30:20

you before you become a Chris Bush.

30:21

I believe, like we said on different style

30:23

racetracks, It's not like he's just found this one

30:26

nit nitt that he's.

30:28

Not AJ Almendinger, Sorry, Aj, He's not AJ

30:30

and dominating road courses and doing that. He

30:32

even do that this year, but he's but he's been

30:35

a really broad, you know

30:37

category this year. So how

30:39

far do we have to go out? I don't know. I kind of like the Chase Elliot

30:42

two seventy five. I like the Hot Hand, I like

30:44

Kevin Harvick. I like all three of them. So that to me, says

30:46

group C.

30:48

Oh, that's your well, you've got two of them,

30:50

A n C. You're just throwing up the X uh well

30:52

A just nothing.

30:54

A is just this the four hot hands, right,

30:56

it's the top okay, but

30:59

this is the one that I can't pick between Group

31:02

D. We got Bubba Wallace your favorite at

31:04

two forty five, Ty Gibbs at two

31:06

sixty five, and then you end up with Eric

31:09

Jones two seventy and Alex Bowman two

31:11

ninety five in this in this group, Alex

31:15

Bowman disappointment. I mean, you

31:17

know, Chris, Eric Jones,

31:19

your winner last year in

31:22

this race, didn't do well

31:24

earlier this year in this race. I mean, just so you know, we just

31:26

we're talking about Eric Jones was twenty fifth, didn't

31:29

get a stage point, didn't get nothing in the spring

31:32

race.

31:32

Here. Here's what I'm gonna say about

31:34

that group. There's one playoff guy in.

31:37

That group, and you like that playoff.

31:38

I like the playoff guy.

31:39

And I just think Bubba Wallace has done so much

31:41

better on these intermediate race tracks this year. I

31:43

think we've really seen him kind of come into his own

31:46

on these intermediate tracks. Ty Gibbs

31:48

runs well, something always seems to happen.

31:51

Eric Jones, I know we won this race

31:53

before. I just don't see it in this in this car

31:55

is running and Alex Bowman. I hate

31:57

to say this, but you know Bowman, he gets his

32:00

new contract and then

32:02

in the.

32:02

Like any sport football back, that

32:04

always the thing.

32:05

He gets his new contract and then he just has

32:07

not been consistent at all. So to

32:10

me, the one guy who's brought it every

32:12

week in that group Bubba Wallace.

32:14

So I'm going with Bubba well and Alex Bowman did

32:16

not get to race this race in this fall. That was one

32:18

of the races he was out with his injury. So he

32:20

has I mean this past spring, the spring, I

32:22

mean sorry, the spring he was That was when

32:25

when Josh Berry was filling in for him.

32:27

So Barry had a pretty good run in that car.

32:29

He finished bad, but he had a good run to go run.

32:31

I think he got into an accent.

32:32

I think he got chestained.

32:35

But I'm glad we've turned that into a verbs.

32:38

You know, three top tens and nine

32:41

races here for Bowman. You

32:43

know, I just that,

32:46

Eric Jones, Bubba Wallace is your

32:48

playoff guy. I get it. But if I look at

32:50

the stats bubble Wallace two top tens ten

32:52

races ever finished twenty one.

32:54

I know.

32:54

I just think Bubba Wallace over the last two years

32:57

is not the same bubble we have. It's

32:59

kind like lease talk with Eric Jones. We left Gibbs and all

33:02

that stuff.

33:02

Right, some guys have like Kevin Harvick

33:05

ain't the same guy now that.

33:06

He was years ago.

33:07

It's getting a groupie groupye is Ricky Stenhouse

33:10

to forty, Michael McDowell to forty, Eric al

33:12

Moola three hundred, A j Almendinger three

33:14

hundred. Got

33:18

anything for me?

33:18

No, I don't have anything for you there.

33:20

You know, I guess to me, it's an al

33:22

Morola McDowell to me to

33:24

playoff guys, well, the alm role is not

33:26

playoffs, but m McDowell

33:28

and McDowell Stanhouse are. But to me it's a toss

33:31

up al rolland McDowell and it's plus three

33:33

hundred, no al Morola.

33:34

So have I got to pick somebody. I'm going al Morola

33:36

just for the plus three.

33:37

That'st average finished fifteen to five versus

33:39

A versus A twenty two,

33:43

twenty two. All right,

33:46

that was a boring group for us when we can back Groupye,

33:48

our props and our picks.

34:12

This is Gone Racing, fi Sin's

34:14

premiere NASCAR betting podcast. You're

34:16

your hosts former NASCAR driver Brendan

34:18

Gone and Las Vegas Motor Speedways

34:20

Jeff Motley.

34:22

And the white flag is in the air. Last segment

34:24

Gone Racing and segment in the studio

34:27

possibly we don't know yet. I don't know, but

34:30

last segment of our show for the cookout Southern

34:32

five Layoff

34:36

playoff playoffs. Uh,

34:38

practice, we are in our last

34:41

group You're doing I'm

34:43

doing Jim Moore that every time

34:45

I hear that those two things go hand and.

34:46

Hand your roommate for a while or something

34:49

A gave him. Bet, I

34:51

would love to have been a file on the wall with you, two guys

34:53

in dorm room.

34:53

Just find old pictures of him with butterfly bandage over his

34:56

eye and you know where it came from.

34:57

Uh.

34:58

Let's go to Group F and Group F is

35:00

always one of our favorites. Now I'm

35:02

going to preface this group F right here. Wes

35:04

Gate, we love you, you know, thank you for giving us such

35:07

the early odds that this is the only place we can

35:09

find group matchups on a Wednesday and a Thursday,

35:11

So we appreciate them over there taking good

35:13

care of us on this. Carson

35:16

host Far really the kids in is like his

35:18

second Cup race ever. He gets thrown in the Legacy

35:20

forty two. And you throw

35:23

up Carson Joseovar in a group.

35:25

There's so many other guys you could have thrown in a group. Austin

35:27

Dillon runs bad enough lately to be in group F and

35:30

you throw in Carson hoos Harc Austin Dillon didn't

35:32

even get a group this week. No, that's what I mean.

35:34

But I look and you make him your favorite, Carson Hosavart.

35:36

I look at this group and it just screams Chase

35:39

brisco.

35:39

To me, carsonos Far tw

35:41

twenty five, and Chase Priscow Harrismurt and Justin

35:43

Haley to eighty five. It's screams Chase

35:45

Briscoe. Now you and I talked off air, it

35:48

would scream Justin Haley. Justin Haley has three

35:50

good runs a year. We always joke he shows up a

35:52

couple times. He showed up in the

35:55

Spring race here came home with an eighth place

35:57

finish. What was just recently announced

35:59

Justin Haley.

36:00

Even that race team, I don't

36:02

necessarily know that they're real happy that he's

36:04

leaving the race team.

36:04

I don't know how smoothly it's gone.

36:06

So look, Chris Rice. I love Chris

36:08

Rice of colleague racing. Harrison

36:11

Burton just lost his crew chief because

36:13

they're doing a big crew chief change over there, swap

36:15

over there, So you've got a crew chief change on one guy, Chris

36:18

Rice, who I love to death, and I love Matt Collig to

36:20

death, but Chris Rice takes a lot of things personal.

36:22

If you ever met Chris, you know that he gets

36:24

very upset when things happen. So I

36:27

don't see that thirty one team having a strong finish

36:29

here. It's just screams Chase Brisco to me

36:31

and me too.

36:32

And I think this is a reminder to betters too

36:34

that, yes, the race we're always talking about,

36:37

Martin Trux Junior, Denny Hamlin, whoever. Guess

36:39

what, you might go find one of these little hidden

36:41

gems in the bridge right here, and does it pay

36:43

you at the betting windows pays

36:46

the same, pays the same. So that's

36:48

what I'm saying, don't always just look and

36:50

who's gonna win or don't always look at the

36:52

big names. Go look for some value.

36:54

There's Chase Brisco at plus two eighty five in group

36:56

F. I'm not saying he's gonna win the group. I think he's

36:58

gonna win the group. There's value

37:00

there. All right, let's get into our prop betting.

37:02

Our prop of course, Chevy is still your odds on favoritet

37:05

plus one fifteen, Toyota plus one twenty

37:07

five and Ford back at three hundred.

37:10

Am I a Chris Boucher

37:12

RFK believer with the Ford?

37:14

Or Kevin Harvick, who's been good here?

37:16

Kevin Harvick, who's been good?

37:17

Do you really think.

37:18

Harvick's going to go his final year without a win? To

37:20

me, this is as good a chance as any for him to pick up.

37:22

A win, absolutely? Or do I the Toyota's

37:25

with the Denny Hamlin Martin Truex combination with

37:27

Tyler Reddick who runs good there? Or do

37:29

we just stick with the number of guys we could name with

37:31

the chevyes.

37:32

I'm not gonna pick this one. I

37:34

don't have a pick here.

37:35

I mean, obviously the value is with Ford and Chris

37:37

Busher's won three of the last five races. In a Ford

37:39

there plus three hundred. You know, last week

37:41

we had these huge numbers on Toyota

37:43

and we thought what a great value the Toyota

37:46

pick was, and well that didn't exactly work out. In fact,

37:48

do we have a Toyota's even in the top

37:50

five last week?

37:51

I don't think we did.

37:52

I don't think we did.

37:53

So Bubba Wass was the highest finishing one

37:55

at twenth twelfth. Yeah, that's how I know because I won

37:57

a bubble loss top Toylet.

37:58

So there's not even a Toyota in the top and now we know

38:00

why they were plus three twenty or whatever

38:03

they were eighty. It's

38:05

actually three eighty last week. So so Loves

38:07

took that bad and a couple of us took it.

38:09

We took a shot on it, and it didn't work out well for

38:11

us. Uh last week, let's talk about

38:13

those results. Last week. We h one

38:15

of us here at least wasn't negative point five.

38:17

One of us here has been smart enough every week. I

38:20

told you I'm minimizing my damage. I'm going to get

38:22

a head to head. I it was minus one point

38:24

nine, okay, but I got my head to head. Bet, I

38:27

got Kyle Busch over Denny Hamlin brought

38:29

me home. At least at least it brought me some coin, mister

38:31

Motley. That's all that matters. Just a little bit

38:33

of action is all I needed.

38:35

It, did you know?

38:35

And when I look at the overall standings right now, it's

38:38

kind of like you're running in the Cup series. I'm

38:40

running the Xfinity Series, and the pit crews

38:42

running in the truck series.

38:44

I've maybe called Winston West. Maybe maybe

38:46

Isaiah says, we're Arkham and

38:48

Neard's West.

38:49

Here you go, hey, Brandon, I'll slip you at twenty

38:52

here if you if you agree with me on this. Look,

38:54

I know we picked winners and we didn't win, but

38:56

all five guys finished on the lead lap and

38:59

four of the five top ten.

39:00

Can I get a bonus point for that or on the lead

39:03

as I What he's saying is all his guys didn't get in a wreck,

39:05

so he thinks he should get a bonus for that.

39:07

I mean, he's he's

39:09

the guy who wants a trophy for participating

39:12

that.

39:12

No, no, no, participated

39:15

better than what generation are you?

39:17

Generation Z one?

39:18

Millennial?

39:19

You're a millennial? Yeah, you're like

39:22

too young for a millennial.

39:23

Even born in ninety four, so I know who Aggie Jackson

39:25

was when you're talking about him earlier. Hey,

39:28

I'm just saying the last three weeks, we

39:30

picked Chase Elliott to win, finish the second, we

39:32

had aj for top three, he finishes fourth, and then we

39:34

had Brad to win and he finished his second.

39:37

So and if you took those tickets to the betting window,

39:39

what would they tell you to do?

39:40

White tears with them.

39:42

Get lost exactly, And that's all. That's exactly

39:44

what Brenda and I are going to tell you.

39:46

To But what we're gonna tell you is you're still in

39:48

the trunk. So guess who gets to go first.

39:50

I'm gonna I'm gonna laugh till you I'm gonna

39:52

laugh when I passed Motley for a second.

39:54

It's coming all right.

39:55

So for the pit crew this week, we're gonna go with Denny

39:58

Hamlin over Martin Trucks Junior plus one twenty

40:00

five Kyle Busch to win Group B plus two

40:02

seventy five, Ryan Hive with Brad to

40:04

win Group C plus two sixty five. I agree

40:07

with what Jeff said about Bubba Wallace in Group

40:09

d's the only playoff driver. So we got him at plus

40:11

two forty five, and Michael McDowell

40:13

the win group E plus two forty eight, group

40:15

they.

40:15

Called the most boring group in the whole thing, and I Isaiah

40:18

let him pick Keselowski.

40:20

They got a Brad pick in there.

40:21

All right, I think we're at the point now where Brad's

40:23

good, so we can okay.

40:25

Okay, all right, mister Motley, all

40:27

right, won't have to go second you do.

40:29

No, I'm gonna go head to head Denny Hamlin

40:31

over Kyle Larson, and then the rest

40:33

of my picks are going to be in the groups. I'm going Kyle

40:35

Busch in group B. I'm

40:37

going to ride that hot hand in group C with

40:39

Chris Buscher, as

40:41

the pick crew just iterated. I'm

40:44

gonna go Bubba Wallace in group D plus

40:46

two forty five. And

40:48

the last one is the one that you and I just talked about, Chase

40:50

Briscoe in group F. I love him at plus two

40:52

eighty five.

40:53

So we might have just given somebody the kiss of death

40:55

because you're going

40:57

Bubba Wallace. Nope, nope, nope, no, be

41:00

the only one that we all three, No, we have

41:02

we all have the Denny

41:04

Hamlin Martin TRUEX Junior head to head.

41:06

I don't I have Danny over Kyle Larson. I though you said Denny

41:09

over Oh good sweet, So that

41:11

note I.

41:11

Mean Denny's still gonna speed on pit road at some point.

41:13

He's no Denny Hamlin. Absolutely, I've

41:18

never seen anybody get so many speeding penalties

41:20

in the history.

41:21

Christ Christopher Bell and Tyler

41:23

Reddick are trying to catch him.

41:24

No, they're learning from the wrong guy. Then I'm

41:26

gonna take one top three. What did I say earlier in the

41:28

season, I'm going to bet.

41:30

Who every week, Chase Elliott.

41:32

I'm doing Chase Elliott not to win.

41:34

I really really liked that.

41:35

I'm doing Chase Elliott top three.

41:36

I want you to know I circled it and then I crossed it out,

41:38

so I'm probably gonna You're probably gonna win it because

41:40

I crossed.

41:41

The plus four fifty for that one. Then

41:43

I do have the Denny Hamlin Martin Truex Junior head

41:45

to head. I'm sticking in the head to heads. I got Kyle

41:48

Busch over Christopher Bell at plus one ten, and

41:51

I'm also sticking in the head to heads. I got Chris Buscher

41:54

over his teammates plus one oh five for

41:57

Chris Buscher against his teammate

41:59

Brad Can and then my last pick is

42:01

the Chase Briscoe. I gotta go to Group F.

42:04

That two eighty five Group F pick with Chase

42:06

Briscoe. That's just that, That to me is

42:08

the pick of the of the You

42:11

no offense, Sorry, Carson, love you don't

42:14

know you love you, but you

42:16

got thrown in a group in your first second

42:18

Cup race ever, in a team that's struggling,

42:21

in a team that's had three or four drivers

42:23

in the last four races, just.

42:26

Well all three of the drivers

42:28

going against Chase Briscoe. There is some turmoil

42:31

turmoil going on. You got a host of all replacing Gregson.

42:33

Haley is leaving his race team, Harrison Burton's

42:35

lost his crew chief. The only ones got any consistency

42:38

there whatsoever is Chase Briscoe. He ran well

42:40

last week and.

42:41

He's already he's coming back next year. He's the only other team

42:43

that we know is coming back at Stuart Haws.

42:44

Right, he's signed up. We know he's good

42:46

to go. We know Josh Barry is good to go over there.

42:49

So I just I think that that's a simple,

42:51

easy pick for that one, and there's

42:53

my five. All right,

42:56

Well, I'm gonna try to gain on you a little bit, but we'll

42:58

see it's uh gain Listen, all I get

43:00

a couple of them head to heads. If I get one

43:02

head to head them only a minus point five. Again, it's all

43:04

good for me.

43:05

I'm going to try to graduate from the ARCA

43:07

series right now where the Arka breaks, We're not even

43:09

ARCA, We're just the breaks. You know.

43:10

They always just run into each other crashing.

43:13

He's been crashing a lot.

43:14

They have crashed a lot.

43:15

Yeah, and he has moments of brilliance, he does

43:17

well, and then he goes back to minus thirty.

43:19

Well, you know it's it's he gained on you for a couple of weeks.

43:22

Monthly.

43:22

It's close. But no cigar for me this year.

43:24

Jeff a few weeks ago was in the positive too, by the way.

43:26

He was right.

43:28

And and these big tracks like Daytona

43:30

always seemed to kill me because you

43:32

know, it's a crap shoot.

43:34

It's fine.

43:35

I look back at both Daytona, Yeah, crap shoot.

43:37

Both Daytona races. The only two bets that have been

43:39

one are matchup bets are

43:41

the head to heads. I'm sorry, so the ones that we poopa with they

43:43

keep playing.

43:44

Yeah, but I picked one. Just listen. All I needed was a

43:46

little small minus number, not a big minus

43:48

number. Keeps me in that plus forty range.

43:50

I'm all good.

43:51

Well, I think one great thing about this weekend, though,

43:53

is we're going to one of the most legendary

43:56

tracks on the circuit. We're going to a track where

43:58

the racing is usually always exciting because it's not

44:00

only what you do on the racetrack, it's also

44:02

what you do in the pits. There's a lot of strategy to

44:04

it. It's a great way to kick off the playoffs.

44:07

Absolutely, get the playoffs started. Best way to

44:09

kick off the playoffs. It is a unique design. It

44:11

is the oval egg shaped design. It is the track

44:14

too tough to team. The Lady in Black has the most nicknames,

44:16

you know. And the reason that one turn is wider than

44:18

the other is there's a mental pond. When

44:20

they went to build the racetrack, they realized, oh

44:22

shoot, we can't move the pond, so they had

44:24

to make one turn narrower than the other.

44:26

Ask cal Petty about it. He'll tell you all.

44:28

That's one of my earl Ross McNuggets.

44:30

There's Cayle Petty. Like I say, Richmond,

44:32

the best thing to do is fill it with water, is what he says.

44:35

Oh, the whole race track, Philip, make

44:37

a boat race.

44:38

All right, guys, thanks for joining us from the South Point

44:40

Studio. Our last call here gone

44:42

Racing, Jeff Botley. We'll talk to you next week.

44:44

We break down Darlington and we get into everything

44:46

that is Kansas Kansas