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Crayon 301 Betting Preview | July 13, 2023

Crayon 301 Betting Preview | July 13, 2023

Released Thursday, 13th July 2023
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Crayon 301 Betting Preview | July 13, 2023

Crayon 301 Betting Preview | July 13, 2023

Crayon 301 Betting Preview | July 13, 2023

Crayon 301 Betting Preview | July 13, 2023

Thursday, 13th July 2023
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Episode Transcript

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0:02

This is Gone Racing, Fison's

0:04

premier NASCAR betting podcast. Here

0:06

are your hosts, former NASCAR driver Brendan

0:08

Gone and Las Vegas Motor Speedways

0:10

and Jeff Motley.

0:13

Wait are we supposed to go?

0:15

I don't know. It's an air flag? Oh,

0:17

that's an air flag.

0:18

The professionally unprofessional Gone Racing here,

0:21

guys, get give me where

0:23

what I knew?

0:23

I forgot something? I was so I was, I

0:25

was like, all ready to go.

0:26

He's been so proud of those flags for the

0:28

last couple of months since he got them, and

0:31

now they're old news.

0:32

He forgets that just like us forgets about

0:34

us old news. I mean I

0:36

text you every Sunday or something.

0:38

Probably I can see that.

0:39

Hey, I text you guys every Sunday. I

0:41

don't forget about you guys.

0:42

Yeah, but usually there's four letter words in those

0:44

texts because Brad Keselowski's done something

0:46

I should.

0:47

We don't want to get No. No, it was it

0:49

was Brendan thinking that we won

0:51

the mcgogle bet.

0:53

Yeah, well we did all think we had beat

0:55

was an ultimate bad beat.

0:56

Of the week.

0:57

Welcome in everybody, Gone Racing, the

0:59

the show that is, of course, our favorite show on VS

1:02

in the most professionally unprofessional This is

1:04

us, Me and mister Motley

1:06

here in studio, both of us.

1:07

Again, this is kind of like a record, I think two

1:09

weeks in a row. No, you were here last week

1:12

watching Elon Musk set off rockets.

1:15

We were there.

1:16

We were there. Is a great time.

1:17

But we did have a race last weekend in Atlanta,

1:20

and we we got to start off

1:22

the show talking about you want to talk about we've

1:24

had some bad beats, all of us, right, We've had some beats that were

1:26

like, I can't believe that.

1:28

How about this one Group F.

1:31

The guy finishes fourth, Our guy, Michael

1:33

McDougall cash and tickets for us,

1:35

but you know he's in Group F.

1:37

He finishes fourth.

1:38

The three of us are patting ourselves on the back, texting

1:40

each other, going yeah, I get to say night taking.

1:42

We at least we got mcdewells. We got mc jackson.

1:44

We didn't that's right, we didn't, Jason, We got McDowell.

1:47

And then Wyatt the buzzkill has to text us,

1:49

you know, ten minutes later and goes guys

1:52

Age.

1:52

Almendinger finished third. He was in Group F.

1:56

The guy loses Group F. Finishing

1:58

force.

1:58

We did the unthinkable Jinks the Jinks.

2:01

We jinkd the Jinks group f

2:03

finishes fourth and we don't win

2:05

it.

2:06

It.

2:06

Almays had him, yeah, and you

2:09

guys had Keselowski too, And I mean,

2:11

look, if he just decides I'm not gonna

2:13

pit there at the end and waits.

2:14

On the rain, he wins there right. Well, no, he runs out

2:16

of gas. I don't think they.

2:18

Said he had ten laps left, the same as McDowell.

2:21

I think he would have made it.

2:23

But old we did have a rough day.

2:25

As far as it goes, it was a hell of a race.

2:27

Let me tell you someth Jeff I called you on Sunday said,

2:29

this is the definition why I'm glad I retired

2:32

one of the.

2:32

Best races I've ever seen.

2:33

Oh my, Daryl Waltrip even said said that

2:35

Darrel Walker's seen a lot of races in his time, and and

2:38

I wish we could have gotten his last seventy five laps.

2:42

I got goosebumps just sitting here talking about it right now.

2:44

That race, Motley was so but

2:46

you know, the rain makes that intensity, right, I mean, everybody

2:49

knew it was coming, So that rain creates

2:52

the intensity.

2:52

Yes, it does.

2:53

But we saw that kind of racing in the

2:56

first stage of the race. We did, and they

2:58

thought the rain wasn't coming into The rain

3:00

came sooner than they went at the rate.

3:01

Whether it happened then or seventy five laps later, that

3:03

intensity was there. Like I said, I got goosebumps

3:05

talking about it. I looked at you and said, man, I am so glad

3:08

I don't race anymore at this place. This play unbelievable

3:10

what they did the race in there. The

3:12

I mean, you know how we normally talk about, Hey, you

3:15

know, group the group F gives us a chance to talk

3:17

about sixteenth, seventeenth, eighteenth in the great battle

3:19

for some guy in Group F. You couldn't

3:21

watch sixteenth and seventeenth because first and

3:23

second we're scaring the poop out

3:25

of us, blocking each other, getting sideways.

3:28

And we're talking about GROUPF running

3:30

third and fourth, third and fourth. Yeah, this

3:32

was a hell of a race. But we did get

3:35

and William Byron crashes or crash

3:37

on ten, yeah, whatever it was.

3:39

That forty William Byron, he's out of the

3:41

freaking race and he ends up winning

3:43

the thing.

3:43

Talk about a heclack and.

3:44

Ford's you want to talk about to me

3:48

qualify eight of the top ten, they're

3:50

leading the thing. They're you know, it's

3:52

a Ford brigade up front. And by the way,

3:54

it's Ford brigade. And they're not playing nice with

3:56

each other.

3:57

Teammates were hey, Blainey leaving

3:59

Legano, and then you had Bush, Sindri,

4:02

Cindric and they were blocking each other

4:04

and crossing deals. But they were

4:06

occupying all the front space.

4:08

Yes, but they let Toyotas and Chevy's in there

4:10

because of it, and they were not playing

4:12

nice with each other.

4:13

And in the end, what flights

4:15

floats back to the top, Well, what.

4:17

Floats back to the top is the guy that's got the horseshoe

4:20

up.

4:20

He's got the Jimmy Johnson, He's got the Jimmy Johnson

4:22

shoe.

4:22

I mean, he's got four wins. Now, three

4:25

of those wins he

4:27

probably say they had to be listen, but hey, he

4:29

was there. But I'm telling you now, seventy if

4:32

we run the whole race, he ain't winning.

4:34

Probably not, He's not winning if we run that whole

4:36

race.

4:37

William Byron was the winner Atlanta, and

4:39

that's what matters is who got to cash that ticket, and

4:41

he was a fourteen to one.

4:42

Which is kind of astounding considered now we've

4:45

had four races on this new configuration, he's won

4:47

two of.

4:47

Them, and he's got the most wins

4:49

this season. He was fourteen to one plus

4:52

four hundred for a top three. Heck vertern

4:54

for a top three Group B was two seventy

4:56

and of course Chevy was the favorite

5:00

there at plus one fifteen. Spin

5:03

Early knocked a lap down. Fourth

5:05

win of the season, second win, like you said, second

5:07

win in two years. Can't believe that they had him

5:09

at fourteen to one. And then for the top three.

5:12

Amazing numbers for top three, and honestly, a

5:14

guy that really needed that number

5:17

was Daniel Suarez needed a good run like this. He

5:19

was ten to one for the top three. Michael mc aj

5:22

Allmendinger, sorry not McDowell. Eleven to one

5:24

for the top three. How about that? I mean, look justin

5:26

Haley.

5:28

Two top tens in a.

5:29

Row, and Haley almost had this thing,

5:31

you know one. I mean, he was battling for his life

5:34

for this whole thing. Was so much fun

5:36

to watch. Look at his top ten though, Kyle Busch.

5:38

Heck of a run at the end, there's Brad k

5:40

six, JJ Yaley. When was the last

5:42

time we had a JJ Yaley call on Gone Racing?

5:45

Seventh place, there's Haley in eighth.

5:47

You got Stenhouse was there at the end in tenth.

5:50

How much does Justin Haley love

5:53

rain? Oh?

5:54

Dude, he is so good.

5:55

I mean he got his only win ever because

5:57

of a rain short and race at Daytona. It's

6:00

second at Chicago in a race stopped

6:03

by rain basically because they ran out of

6:05

time. And then the rain stoppage here

6:07

gets him another top ten And what

6:09

are they call him for this weekend in New Hampshire?

6:11

Another rain race?

6:12

How about Michael McDowell want to talk about I want to give Travis

6:14

Peterson some love here. Most aggressive

6:16

crew chief in our sport. This

6:19

guy is is there's

6:22

a there's a clanking noise when he walks. This

6:24

dude is not afraid. He's got

6:26

his driver. When we look at the standings, he's

6:28

got his driver. In the playoffs.

6:31

With this aggressive, aggressive

6:33

style of calling races. You look at the top

6:36

ten of our points, there's William Byron sitting

6:38

there at the top. You know he's got the six hundred and twenty eight

6:40

points. He actually is the points

6:42

leader and the playoff leader.

6:45

Can I make one more point on that top

6:47

ten? You know we also had

6:50

both Group E guys.

6:52

We had two Group E guys in the top ten,

6:55

Stenhouse who I had, Yeah,

6:57

lost with fee because Justin Haley

6:59

was in Be's there. Just want to point

7:01

out I lost Group B and Group F and both guys

7:03

hit top tens that I picked.

7:04

It's been it's been pretty spectactical. Needed

7:07

to get that.

7:07

We had some bad beats on this one. But you look

7:09

at the start of the top of the playoffs. Here

7:11

ten guys. There's ore, there's eleven winners, but ten

7:13

right here. Heck of a battle,

7:15

William Byron at the top.

7:17

Are you ready to concede that we're probably

7:19

not gonna have never seventeen.

7:21

Guys, never till the end, baby, never till

7:23

seven races left.

7:24

We need six different winners for a winner to

7:26

not make the post, not counting, not counting

7:29

our guy from New Zealand, Shane

7:31

Man.

7:31

That's easy. They capt I think it counts first

7:34

of all, I said, but.

7:34

I'm just saying we're not going to have a winner

7:37

not it is eligible

7:39

for the playoffs.

7:39

It just is emptyme.

7:40

Hey, never say never. This is an Eric al Morola

7:42

win right here for some reason.

7:44

That's right, and it's gonna and we're talking about rain

7:47

this weekend. You look at the cut off line though, once again, Jeff

7:49

cut off line absolutely spectacular.

7:51

There.

7:51

I just talked about Michael McDowell. He is just

7:54

I mean tied to be in good

7:56

by three points.

7:59

Unbelievable. Bull what that team

8:01

is doing.

8:01

You got Daniel s Warez back in the top sixteen

8:03

with a couple of good runs in a row here, got

8:06

himself righted. Look at these guys though, Bubba

8:08

Wallace, aj Allmendinger, Ty Gibbs, Austin

8:10

Cindrick, and there's big names that aren't

8:12

in here. We're still not showing Chase Elliott,

8:14

Austin Dillon.

8:15

Another horrendous race for Alex

8:18

Bowman. He's gonna have to win now.

8:20

Well, you know Bowman has finished last.

8:22

What he finished last this past week, if at

8:24

last two weeks in a row, or he was last

8:26

in Chicago, he was pretty close to last.

8:28

If he wasn't last this.

8:30

Week, he was second, last, three, fifth,

8:32

Okay, well that's he could see last

8:34

for.

8:34

More than you're talking about two Hendrick cars and Bowman

8:36

and Elliott, and you're talking Austin

8:38

Dillon all not even shown on this cutoff

8:41

line. There are three guys that can move

8:43

this needle a big way, right. I mean you

8:45

get three guys back, you get Chase Elliott. I still say

8:47

Chase is gonna win. Chase can get himself in

8:49

there. I think Alex Bowman can win. That

8:51

moves this cut needle, you know, to a

8:53

couple different levels, which I think is.

8:55

Worth pointing out because right now, if you

8:57

look at it, you've got the top fourteen

9:00

guys feeling good about themselves, right

9:02

because it's another point league. It's

9:04

a ninety seven point drop off from

9:06

fourteen to fifteen. But

9:09

let's say j Elliott and Alex Bowman

9:11

wins races.

9:13

Well, now you still you still

9:15

got you still got the hundred point buffer.

9:17

But then Alex Bowman wins.

9:19

Now you're in a four point battle again between

9:21

Kaslowski and Buscher and a twenty point battle

9:23

in front of that. Well, it gets tight.

9:25

The pressure is really on Daniel

9:28

Suarez, Michael McDowell, Bubba Wallace,

9:31

aj Almandinger. With these road courses coming up,

9:33

I think we've got what two or two weeks, We

9:35

got at least two left, We got Indianapolis, We got Walkins

9:37

Glynn coming up here in the regular season. So to

9:39

me, the pressure is on those guys to win

9:42

because, like you said, you're

9:44

sitting there thinking, well, Chase Elliott,

9:46

you just gotta figure somewhere he's gonna find

9:48

victory lane. And it wouldn't shock you to see

9:50

Bowman or Austin Dillon or one of those guys.

9:53

But an Almendinger or Austin Sindric,

9:55

those guys we know they're good on road courses. So and

9:58

you got that wild card at Daytona in Thing

10:00

and that could be it, could it be anybody, that's

10:02

right.

10:02

So are you guys waving the red flag

10:05

a little bit on Chase because now that Atlanta

10:07

race, he was just not coming.

10:08

I told you, I told you what three weeks ago.

10:10

I'm going to keep betting him because there's no way Chase Elliott

10:12

doesn't win in the regular season to get himself in. I

10:14

still believe that, and I'm still going to be And

10:17

you look at these races coming down the stretch. Let

10:19

let let's get the schedule real quick, Jess, so we can show

10:21

that you get to the schedule. You got Louden

10:23

with our Craile of crayon three oh one, you

10:26

got the Pocono four hundred, you got Richmond,

10:28

you got Michigan, and you got the Indianapolis

10:31

Road Course. Chase Elliott can

10:33

win Pocono, Chase Elliott can win Richmond,

10:35

Chase eli can win Michigan, Chase Elliott

10:37

can can win Indianapolis. There's

10:40

four races out of these five that I think Chase ela could

10:42

be the favorite.

10:44

Yeah, he could. I'm more down

10:47

on Chase Elliot. I think that that Brendan

10:49

is the road courses.

10:51

He hasn't really done what I thought he would

10:53

do on them. Now, the two

10:56

races that are not up on our on

10:58

our screen right now, there's still

11:00

remaining. We got Watkins, Glenn and then Daytona,

11:03

and I guess to me, at least

11:05

with Indy, Watkins, Glen Daytona

11:07

being those last three, that's

11:10

where Chase Elliott. I'm not sure about

11:12

these next four, but I think Chase Elliot

11:14

there's two road courses in Daytona that's

11:17

where he might have to make Hey.

11:20

I think he can do it.

11:21

We are at the Magic Mile this week. It is that really

11:23

super flat oval asphalt.

11:26

July sixteenth, two thirty Eastern.

11:27

Have we have rain times and we have raintimes first

11:29

time?

11:29

And of course one of the coolest trophies, the

11:32

big old twenty pounds main Lobster.

11:34

We should talk.

11:35

About Harvick's interview this week about his

11:37

first lobster.

11:38

And twenty twenty two winter. Christopher Bell to

11:40

come back, give you the ODZ when we return.

11:42

Guys,

12:04

this is Gone Racing Fi Sin's

12:06

premiere NASCAR Betty podcast. Here

12:09

your hosts former NASCAR driver Brendan

12:11

Gonne and Las Vegas Motor Speedways,

12:13

Jeff Motley and

12:15

the Flags Return.

12:17

Whyatt found his flags?

12:19

You had your head down. Did you see what he was doing before

12:21

you wave the flag? He was like the flag man. He

12:23

was doing the hold hole, don't go,

12:26

don't go. It's I mean, it's like he's

12:28

putting, you know, whatever he's

12:30

watching.

12:31

He's watching the flag.

12:32

Jeff, if you need a backup flag guy, you

12:34

know at the bull Ring, I got you.

12:36

You know.

12:36

I think what we should do is talk to talk to

12:38

old NASCAR and you know, get him up in the flag staff

12:40

at that point for a hundred so he could be like, you know, learn

12:42

how.

12:43

To I'd be I'd be the first guy drop the flag.

12:45

You're not.

12:46

You're not the first guy dropped flag ever.

12:47

Oh somebody dropped the flag time

12:50

really all the.

12:51

Time, but it has happened on several occasions. I

12:53

was I remember Bakersfield get green

12:55

flag dropped. Watched the watch the flag

12:58

hit a race car and the yellow flag

13:00

came out because they got to go out and get the flat to go get the

13:02

flag.

13:03

Now at least they do carry a spare up there now,

13:06

but.

13:06

Neverthe they also now for the celebrities,

13:08

they got the little they got a wristband

13:10

now that they make you wear.

13:11

Yeah, that way you don't drop the flag.

13:13

I mean you could make him the honorary starter for

13:15

the South point four hundred.

13:16

You probably had the power to make that happen.

13:19

He's practicing.

13:19

I mean, you'd see, it's

13:21

so confident.

13:22

If not, I would really love for Isaiah do it. I

13:24

think Isaiah would have a blast.

13:27

The first year we did it, we had a very a big

13:29

player for mister Cook. You do that every year, yes,

13:31

we do.

13:32

Mister Coe was the first one and we weren't

13:34

sure he would be able to make it. He's he apparently

13:36

has afraid of heights. We didn't think he'd be able

13:38

to get up the stairwell, and so we had a backup.

13:40

His brother was going to be him.

13:45

Bob couldn't do. It's such a sweet man. Love

13:47

him to death.

13:48

Let's get back to the matters here, and this is New

13:50

Hampshire. The guys that are good at New Hampshire. And

13:52

there is one guy, Jeff that we have talked about

13:54

for a very very very long time

13:57

here and it's going to be his fortieth race

13:59

at New Hampshire. And over over

14:02

fifty percent top ten,

14:06

I mean Kevin Harvey.

14:07

Yeah, phenomenal.

14:08

I tell you, you know, it's funny when you look at the top

14:11

of the of the board that we've got here

14:13

showing on the screen, these guys that have run

14:16

here so many times, because you know, we used to run

14:18

here twice a year. Yep, Kevin Harvick

14:21

is over fifty percent on the top tens.

14:23

So is Denny Hamlin, So is Kyle Busch,

14:25

so is Brad Keselowski, so is Joey Logano

14:28

one of his home tracks too.

14:30

And Christopher Bell small, small

14:32

sample size, but still there man. Pretty

14:34

good.

14:34

No and the guys that are good here are good

14:37

here. This is a driver's track, Jeff. We've talked about this.

14:39

This is a place that drivers you like because

14:42

it's so difficult, so hard

14:44

to get a hold of that, the whole

14:46

PJ one thing and all that stuff. I mean, it's

14:48

it's channing to change a little bit of it. But this track

14:50

is so much fun. And how about rain

14:53

tires at New Hampshire. So I mean this

14:55

could be definitely a place where I

14:57

like old guard here. But what I don't

15:00

like is if it rains a guy like Kevin Harvick.

15:02

It's like me, he's not looking forward

15:04

to a rain race on an oval.

15:07

So then I go back to these young guns, Christopher

15:09

Bell, Kyle Larson's, Tyler

15:11

Reddicks.

15:12

These guys are like Justin Haley

15:15

in Chicago.

15:16

So you know, I start to like those numbers on

15:18

other guys.

15:18

Kind of becomes a road course race if

15:21

I mean, I think Austin cindric A j Almanding

15:23

and these guys, I think it will become a road course race

15:26

if the track's wet. Now we're not going to race

15:28

in a downpoint, but if the track is

15:30

wet, if it's missing.

15:31

They're gonna put the rain tires on run it.

15:33

So I think it'll be the first time on an oval we've

15:36

ever run the rain tires.

15:37

I don't believe they tested them. We've

15:39

had a practice at a track has been a race

15:42

race yet on an oval with range.

15:43

Let me tell you some one mile at Magic Mile

15:46

that's fast that I'm surprised they put

15:48

the a lot slower. I'm surprised they

15:50

put that on this list because this track is so slick. Let's

15:52

get to the odds though. The favorite right now. Last

15:55

year's winner, Christopher Bell leads the way. He is plus

15:57

five fifty, Martin Truex Junior six fifty,

15:59

Denny Hamle seven fifty, Kyle Larson eight

16:01

fifty. Only four guys there in single digits. Then

16:03

you jumped doubles Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick bow

16:05

ten to one, William Byron, Ryan Blaney, Chase

16:08

Elliott twelve, Joey Logano fourteen,

16:10

Tyler Reddick, k Ross chast ten at eighteen, Brad

16:12

k twenty, Eric Almola our surprise

16:15

winner a couple years ago, twenty two to one, Bubba

16:17

Wallace thirty and Alex Bowman runs out your

16:19

top paid your front page at forty

16:21

to one, Motley anything stick out real

16:23

quick there? I got a few that I.

16:24

Kind of like.

16:25

Well, I do think the cream is at the top.

16:27

I really do believe that Eric almerrolla

16:30

things a little interesting. I don't know that I see him

16:32

winning twice at New Hampshire, but the number

16:34

maybe. And I know this guy has really been struggling

16:37

and he's had a rough year. But Alex Bowman

16:39

at forty to one, if you're looking

16:41

to take a flyer on somebody, he's

16:45

fast every week.

16:45

He just hadn't been able to close the deal.

16:47

And you kind of think that a guy like that, at

16:49

some point the stars are going to line up for him,

16:52

and certainly there's that desperation there. So I

16:54

guess the one that I kind of like a little

16:56

bit there is if you're looking at a long shot, it's Alex

16:58

Bowman at forty. But also William another

17:00

double digit. The guy's got more wins than anybody and

17:03

and they still got him double eddy He's got a double digit.

17:05

Yeah, no, I'm with you on that one.

17:06

Now.

17:06

I looked at Alex Bowman.

17:07

Not real good here, but you know what sticks out to

17:10

me, right, off the bat on this Ross

17:13

chest Ain last two races, eighth place

17:16

finishes. If it's raining,

17:18

you know he's going to be an aggressive dude on that right,

17:20

and he's probably a guy that can drive it. Eighteen

17:22

to one on a guy that just won a couple of weeks

17:24

ago, on a guy that you

17:26

know, I don't dislike

17:28

that, eighteen to one there, and Reddick also eighteen

17:31

to one, and Reddick eighteen to one, and Reddick once again.

17:33

If it rains, Reddick is going to move right up the

17:35

top of my list.

17:35

Yeah, so everybody wait until Sunday morning,

17:37

see what the weather is like later before

17:40

you go put your bet in. Unfortunately, we're gonna make picks

17:42

today. We're not gonna help you much rain.

17:44

Let's get to the second page here. Ty Gibbs kicks

17:46

it off. The rookie having a good year forty five to one

17:48

with Daniel Suarez right there.

17:49

He needs another good run on Oval that will help him immensely.

17:52

Chris Buscher fifty, Ryan Prize fifty five, Chase

17:54

Brisco sixty five, and then a lot of guys

17:56

here, the big shots, Austin Dillon at one hundred, a j

17:59

Allmendinger, around a hundred, Eric Jones one

18:01

thirty, Stenhouse Cindric at one fifties,

18:03

McDowell two hundred and one.

18:06

You know, a guy in the

18:08

top sixteen is a two hundred

18:10

and one, and a guy who has got a second

18:13

and an eighth the last two weeks

18:15

is two fifty to one.

18:16

And I am telling you, if if

18:18

it rains, maybe

18:20

Justin Haley for top three is not a bad bet.

18:22

That's I was just gonna say.

18:23

I don't know if I'm really going to want to say w for

18:25

some of these guys, but we get to the top threes, maybe

18:28

some of them I do like it. Daniel

18:30

swaz and Chris Buscher, they've been surprising here, but

18:32

let's let's get to those.

18:33

Top There is one other long shot on here, and

18:35

now it would be a long shot.

18:38

Ryan Pries lots of laps

18:40

at this track.

18:41

He's gonna run the modified race, which could

18:43

also be running on Saturday.

18:45

And Priest, let me tell you someon when it comes to this track.

18:47

Very few people in this field know this track as

18:50

well as Ryan Prity, right.

18:51

So I think that's a little bit of a sleeper

18:53

kind of guy there, not necessarily in to win but what are

18:55

we getting ready to get to now?

18:58

Crunch time baby? Top threes? Top three? Oh

19:00

for us on the show exactly Top.

19:02

Three Top three start off with our man, Christopher

19:04

Bellet won fifty five, same favorite, Martin

19:06

Trux Junior one eighty five, Denny Hamlin two ten, Kyle

19:08

Larson two forty, Kyle Busch two eighty

19:11

five.

19:11

Is that?

19:12

Oh that's all right?

19:13

That matches up.

19:14

Kevin Harvick is also to eighty five.

19:16

Then you got William Byron, Ryan Blaney, Chase Elliott

19:18

three forty, Joey Logano four hundred, Tyler

19:21

Redick five, with Gross Chastain there five

19:23

point fifty is Brad Keselowski six hundred, Eric

19:25

Almarola eight fifty, Bubba Wallace. And we

19:27

got a double digit guy in the front page, Alex Bowman

19:30

eleven to one. Now we're talking

19:32

Ross Chastain plus five hundred, Tyler Redick

19:34

plus five hundred. Alex Bowman eleven

19:37

to one doesn't have good stats. But like you

19:39

said, and how about William Byron

19:42

three forty William.

19:44

Byron three forty, I probably like that more five.

19:46

Top five starts, no top tens here,

19:49

but I don't care William Byron right now,

19:51

just what he does is he may not be the best

19:53

all day, but like you said, at the end of the race,

19:55

he's there.

19:56

You're sitting there going, hey, look who's back William Byron.

19:58

I mean that's pretty staff.

20:00

Yeah, there's no way in the world I could see

20:02

leaving the guy who's leading the points with the

20:04

most wins on the season getting plus three forty

20:06

for a top three. I don't care where he's racing

20:09

at. I like William Byron top three here.

20:11

A I'm looking at that, going,

20:13

wow, that's a big number for that top

20:16

three for him. Let's get to the second page,

20:18

though, and there's guys that you and I both think might

20:20

be a value here, Ty Gibbs, Daniel

20:22

Suarez twelve, Chris Bouscher fourteen, Priest fifteen,

20:25

Chase Brisco eighteen to one, Austin Dillon

20:27

twenty eight, The Dinger twenty eight, Eric

20:29

Jones, and then forty one,

20:31

Stenhouse, Cindric both forty's, McDowell

20:33

fifty five, Justin Haley seventy and Jeff

20:35

I'm I'm I'm

20:38

kind of with you right there. I like

20:41

looking at that that Justin Haley. If

20:43

it rains seventy to one. I

20:45

really like that Ryan

20:48

Priest at fifteen to one. There

20:50

are some really good numbers on

20:52

you want to take a flyer. I know

20:55

a certain person in this room that they need

20:57

to take a couple of flyers just to even be respectable.

21:00

Might be more than one in this room.

21:02

We would have been fine if there wasn't any rain on

21:04

Sunday. Could should

21:06

Yeah, But that votex theories dw

21:09

lied to me.

21:10

So I'm just looking at this going wow,

21:12

there is a lot of value here. But Chris,

21:14

how about Chris Buscher. Here's a guy that all season

21:17

long.

21:18

Just every week he's around the top ten.

21:20

Yeah, so, I mean you run top tens every week,

21:22

you get top fives. Chris Buscher, He's not

21:24

half bad.

21:25

By the way.

21:25

He is one hundred points or ninety seven

21:28

points to the good in the playoffs right now, you

21:30

know.

21:30

And he's been great on this at This is a type of track

21:32

that Ford has been good on.

21:33

Right, this is where Ford has been better. This

21:35

this Phoenix.

21:36

Well we get alm Maarola one here two years ago

21:38

and was the dominant car. I mean it wasn't

21:40

like he he didn't win because the race got

21:43

shortened or he stayed out on fuel mileage.

21:45

He won because he was the best car. And he's plus six hundred.

21:47

I mean, there are some great, great numbers

21:49

here on for

21:51

for the top threes. I

21:53

like, now, let's get in the head heads. This has been my bread and butter

21:55

this season. I've jumped off the groups a little bit, ben head

21:57

to head. Let's start these There's

22:00

of course there's a doun't line right now.

22:02

It's screams Christopher Bell. But how

22:04

about Chris.

22:05

How about Kyle Larson is plus

22:07

one twenty five Kyle Larson.

22:09

I mean, look, Kyle's been snake bit plus

22:12

one twenty five.

22:13

I was looking at that one and wow,

22:15

and he's even got a plus number on Danny Hamlin.

22:18

But to see a plus one twenty five on Kyle

22:20

Larson just and

22:22

Christopher Bell's team has made a lot of mistakes

22:24

this year, by the way, the Toyota has been making

22:26

a lot of mistakes.

22:27

But Larson's been snake bit, been fast

22:29

man. That's a And I mean Kyle Busch

22:31

one of the hottest guys. One O five to Kevin Harvick.

22:33

I just said, how great Kevin Harvick is here. But Kyle

22:36

Busch ain't bad either, and he's a plus one

22:38

oh five in a head to head.

22:39

Yeah.

22:39

I kind of like that too. There's a couple of good ones

22:41

I think in the head to heads this week.

22:43

All right, guys, when we come back, I might touch

22:46

these one more time, but then we're going to jump into our group matchups.

22:48

And the yellow flag is back out.

23:06

This is Gone Racing, Vson's

23:08

premiere NASCAR betting podcast. You're

23:10

your hosts former NASCAR driver Brendan

23:12

Gonn and Las Vegas Motor Speedways

23:14

Jeff Motley.

23:17

Want to rewatch any part of today's show, or any pass

23:19

show for that matter, check out the Gone Racing Podcast.

23:21

It's free and available out vson dot com,

23:23

Ford Slash Podcast or wherever you get your

23:25

podcasts. We have you all ladis, odds news

23:28

and everything you need to know to ahead to the betting counter before

23:30

each and every NASCAR Cup race. While you're there,

23:32

a catch up on every Vson show as well vson

23:34

dot Com, Forward Slash podcasts,

23:37

and the green Flag is back out.

23:38

After being told to hold on Gone.

23:40

Racing, mister Motley back in studio,

23:42

we got our man Wyatt behind the counter

23:45

talking about Lady Rebels. He apparently he

23:47

is. He is officially gonna be back this year with the Lady

23:49

Revs. Congratulations.

23:51

They somewhat like me, So I'm glad it's somewhat like

23:53

you.

23:53

And he was a good luck charm for him last year.

23:56

They went all the way to the NCAA Tournament Mountain

23:58

West.

23:59

He did have a good run, pretty good, pretty good year.

24:01

So we were just finished up our head to heads and you know, there's

24:03

one more on that page that I kind of wanted to talk about,

24:05

the very bottom right corner.

24:06

Tyler Reddick, Joey Logano. Logano's

24:08

great here.

24:09

Let's not let's not get this wrong, right, this is home track

24:11

loves it up there. But Tyler redickt

24:13

at a plus one fifteen in the head to head two.

24:15

That's a I like that.

24:18

Yeah, it's it is a

24:20

pretty interesting one there. And again I have lot a good head

24:22

and look if it rains pound that

24:24

pound, that one pound, it's just.

24:27

Like a lot of good head heads we've had. We've had a couple weeks in a

24:29

row where the head to heads were a little soft. This week

24:31

got some good head out.

24:32

I'm just not I'm not seeing

24:34

the veteran drivers of Logano's, the Harvick's,

24:36

the Bushes, guys am true exit

24:38

it rains. I'm just not seen it being their their cup

24:40

of tea.

24:41

I'm with you now. How about this, though,

24:43

Let's talk about our group matchups.

24:45

Look at these numbers, Motley that the

24:48

Westgate is trying to entice, and they are

24:50

making me think twice uh group

24:53

egg cool.

24:54

Poet and didn't know it like a rhyme every

24:56

time, but each first gets worse,

24:58

so we won't.

24:59

Do it any Oh,

25:02

why do I have mister D's in my head?

25:04

Christopher Bell to forty, Martin Truex Junior to

25:06

forty, Denny Hamlin two eighty, Kyle Larson

25:09

in a group matchup?

25:10

It's group A. I get it.

25:12

Three forty five. That's

25:15

Kyle Larson. Hello, Kyle Larson, three

25:18

forty five. Anybody knock knock it is It

25:20

is unbelievably enticing. It is incredible

25:22

to see that number. But there's a reason

25:24

that that number is there, and I think that's

25:27

because the Toyotas are

25:29

going to be really really strong here, and especially

25:31

those three ahead of him and two

25:33

second place finishes here at loud And by the way, I'm

25:35

just saying that is a big number,

25:37

and it's understandable.

25:39

Right now, I still think the hottest gown in the circuit

25:41

right now is Martin Truck Junior.

25:43

I really do I know that he didn't think

25:45

he's I think you're just saying that's a rub. It end that I picked him

25:47

as the most disappointing guy this year.

25:49

Well, actually I'd forgotten about that, but last

25:51

week he was the fastest car at Atlanta. He

25:53

just kept going to the back. So I

25:56

don't know. It's a great number on Larson,

25:58

but I don't think he wins.

25:59

This grew.

26:01

Let's get into group B, and we got this is probably

26:03

the only one that they don't have a big spread on. You

26:05

got Harvick your favorite, two fifty, Bush, two sixty,

26:07

William Byron and Chase Elliott two nineties

26:10

apiece. You got three

26:12

Chevrolets and one Ford. And I've

26:14

talked about how the Fords are really good at this sort of place.

26:16

Chevys are when we get to the to the prop bet

26:18

are not your favorite for the first time and I can't remember

26:21

how long. So it's three Chevies and

26:23

a Ford. Kevin Harvick two fifty I kind

26:25

of like the favorite.

26:26

Yeah, but I'll tell you what else I like about this group.

26:28

Right here, that guy who's got.

26:31

Four wins is you're dotting the points

26:33

and he's plus two ninety and Group B.

26:36

He's usually in Group A this year, I

26:39

really really do like.

26:40

Your points leader, your most wins on the season, You're you're

26:42

all these things you're gonna give me B

26:46

Yeah, all right, I can't disagree with you on

26:48

that one. It's this one's tough. I think

26:50

I can make an argument for I told you I'm

26:52

going to keep betting Chase because he's gonna win. I

26:54

got Kyle Busch got I can make an argument for each

26:56

one. This one's the toughest one for me. Group B,

26:58

and there's no entice to go anywhere because

27:01

they're all pretty tight.

27:02

Group C.

27:03

You lead off with Ryan Blaney, Ross chaste Ay

27:05

or your co favorites at two thirty, and then

27:07

how about this Joey Logano

27:10

is three twenty and Tyler Reddick is

27:12

three thirty Motley.

27:14

Well, so let me get this straight. Now, we're

27:16

all loving these toyotas over there.

27:19

In Group A. Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah yeah.

27:21

And Tyler Reddick, what's he driving? Uh,

27:24

let me check.

27:24

Uh.

27:25

I think that's good. That thing's Toyota. Yeah,

27:27

and he's getting a plus three thirty.

27:31

I like, let's just I like Tyler Reddick

27:33

at three thirty in Group C better than

27:35

I like Kyle Larson at three forty five

27:37

in Group A.

27:38

You know, Joey Logano has got seven

27:40

top tens in the last ten races here.

27:43

You know, it's just he's the other

27:45

dog three twenty and I picked Ross Chaste

27:47

and start of the show, I said, you got a guy for a top

27:50

three in Ross Chaste and this guy, you know,

27:52

you never never know what he's going

27:54

to get for you. Man, this is

27:56

but Tyler Reddick three thirty on the Toyota

27:58

three. The Toyotas are the FI favorite this week, and you're

28:01

telling me the biggest dog is

28:03

the is Joey Logano, who's held that lobster wewie,

28:06

I think, and

28:08

Tyler Redick, who if it rains, Tyler

28:10

Redick is going to move right to the top of that list for me.

28:12

The road race skills of Tyler. Yeah,

28:16

I've there's enticement

28:18

there and I kind of like Group C.

28:20

I'm with you there. That's who that's

28:22

a tough number to leave out there.

28:24

And Logano though, I mean, just man, if it doesne

28:26

win, Logano's Logano's

28:28

great here.

28:29

I mean it's just he's great here. He is. But

28:32

look, if you're gonna have all this love for the Toyotas.

28:34

Then then why do you have the three thirty oneth 's have.

28:37

Love for the toyotas well.

28:38

Let's go into group D in Toyota love is there?

28:40

Group D?

28:40

Your favorite is Bubba Wallace two forty,

28:43

Brad Keselowski your co favorite at two forty,

28:45

Eric Almrola, who won a couple of years

28:47

ago to eighty, and Daniel Suarez three forty five, Eric

28:50

Almarola. We talked about this, Jeff, you and I a minute

28:52

ago. I called

28:54

it a surprise win. I think it absolutely

28:56

was a surprise win. But you go back and look at

28:58

his finishes, yeah, third, eleventh,

29:01

seventh, first, you.

29:03

Know, and I think he had a mechanical problem

29:05

last year into.

29:06

Yeah thirty first, but but but it was

29:08

he had he had a problem. But like, hold on, this

29:12

is a guy that was your winner a couple of years and

29:14

not just win. Remember that, well, we

29:16

talked about that on the show back then. Dominated

29:19

the end of that race. I mean, like absolutely,

29:21

was just just kicked

29:23

everybody's butt.

29:25

Yeah, And I'll be honest with you.

29:26

Look, first off, I don't think this

29:28

is Bubba's kind of track, and it

29:30

hasn't really been. I don't

29:32

think lately it hasn't been Kesilowski's

29:34

best track. I mean, Kesilowski, you give me a mile and a

29:37

half and bigger. I love Keslowski

29:39

a track under a mile and a half. I'm not nearly

29:41

sold in Kasilowski. The fact that these two long

29:44

shots or or whatever.

29:46

I think the reason is Bubba's last

29:48

race qualified, Force finished third, so he had

29:51

a good run last year. And the Toyota

29:53

love go back to Group C you

29:56

got you got no Toyota love

29:58

and Group C big toy to love

30:00

in Group D.

30:01

And one thing I think we're going to see

30:03

as we kind of go through this is

30:05

that the only group that has

30:08

a Toyota where a Toyota is

30:10

not the favorite is the.

30:11

One with Tyler Reck. Yeah, and we've

30:13

got one more group coming up too.

30:14

I just I'm kind of like

30:17

with you, I am kind of confused

30:20

on where they got here. And Danisuarez,

30:22

you know, three top tens and seven races,

30:25

not bad here, and he's been running better like and he's

30:27

been running better again lately, So I mean, can't knock

30:29

that. But this I circle

30:31

in on that, Eric Alarola at two eighty, that

30:34

I just that I kind of like that

30:37

two eighty on alm Rola.

30:40

Don't disagree.

30:42

Let's get into group E, and

30:44

Group E starts off with a huge,

30:47

huge.

30:47

Favorite and what's he driving?

30:50

Toyota Toyota love continues plus

30:52

one eighty for the rookie Ty Gibbs. Then

30:54

you got Chris Buscher at three hundred, Bryan Priest at

30:56

three hundred, and Eric Jones three fifty five. Who's

30:59

the guy that cashes most of our tickets when we talk

31:01

about things on this show, mister Buscher, And

31:03

I get that mister Buscher maybe doesn't have a great record

31:05

here, but but.

31:07

You know what, there's a lot of tracks he hadn't had a great record

31:09

that he's running running well this year.

31:11

You finished my statement for me there, mister Motley.

31:13

This here's a guy that could.

31:14

Say about William Byron from two years ago and

31:16

see what he's doing now too.

31:18

Chris Buscher just he finished his top ten. It seems like

31:20

every other week. Right now, he's running great.

31:22

He's plus three hundred and a four man horse

31:24

race. No offense to my man Eric Jones, who has

31:26

a couple of good runs here, because who did Eric

31:29

Jones used to drive for Joe Gibbs.

31:31

When he ran for Joe Gibbs, he had good runs.

31:33

Has not had good runs here lately. And

31:36

you know Fords had been good here. You look at

31:38

the wins Kevin Harvick's head here. We talked about Eric

31:40

Almarola getting a win here. So Fords

31:43

have run well here, Chris Busher, Ryan Priest

31:45

both plus three hundred driving

31:47

Fords. Yeah, I just I look at

31:49

this and it screams to me. Chris Buscher at plus

31:51

three hundred in a group E, our

31:53

man, Chris is back in the lower tier groups,

31:56

right, He's back, He's down in group E.

31:57

Now, well, there's only one.

31:59

Guy on that board right that's in the top fourteen

32:01

in point points right now, and he's in.

32:03

GROUPY and he's in group BY. So I

32:05

like that three hundred. There a lot on him. And

32:08

let's finish up our groups today with our

32:10

favorite Group F. And Group F has

32:12

a big favorite in the dinger. Then you got

32:14

Dylan at two fifteen, sorry Dylan at two

32:16

forty. Then Cindric three thirty, Justin Haley

32:19

three thirty. This one, to me is

32:21

intriguing. If it rains, I

32:23

think absolutely. I look at aj Allmendinger right

32:27

knows how to drive in the rain. Justin Haley just

32:29

well, Justin Haley, they just know how to Like Justin

32:31

Haley's he just plays the rain. He plays the rain

32:33

card well. But when you talk about skill

32:35

as a driver, I look

32:38

right off the bat as Dinger in

32:40

the rain.

32:40

But Cindric has raced in the rain and see his

32:42

cars before, so I probably those

32:44

two guys. But look what Hailey did at Chicago

32:47

again, I think if it rains, it turns into kind of a road

32:49

course race, and.

32:50

I that's that's where.

32:52

Now I'll predict that whoever wins

32:54

this group's name starts with an A.

32:58

I get three out of four.

32:59

I just say, really, wah

33:02

wah, wah wah, you know what, just

33:04

for that, just for that, why it's worth us

33:07

making a side bet and picking Justin you

33:09

go just to I'm gonna put five units

33:11

on the line.

33:12

This is a tough group, but there are big

33:14

numbers.

33:14

I will say they get Cyndric and Haley

33:16

both at plus three thirty. I'd love the fact that a lot

33:18

of our groups, we've had a lot of big numbers

33:21

in our groups.

33:22

There's money to be won in groups, absolutely.

33:23

But what I'm looking at is you got Kyle Busch, who is

33:26

second in points phenomenal

33:28

at RCR.

33:29

You had Austin Dillon in group F.

33:31

I'd like the two forty on Dylan just because

33:34

the organization this is not an organization

33:36

that belongs in group F. You got him in there,

33:38

you got them all the way down there.

33:40

I like that.

33:41

I can see that. Like I said, I think this is a wide

33:43

open group right here.

33:44

Gotcha?

33:44

All right, guys, we can return.

33:45

We got our prop bets and our picks, and.

33:48

You'll know how we did last.

33:49

Week, which will be fast.

34:12

This is Gone Racing, Visa's

34:14

premiere NASCAR Bety podcast. You're

34:16

your hosts former NASCAR driver Brendan

34:18

Gone and Las Vegas Motor Speedways

34:21

Jeff Motley, and

34:23

the.

34:24

White flag is out and it's

34:27

smiling it once again. We're great.

34:29

I love what we did.

34:30

Should we really get the green flag and get the white

34:32

flag with one minute to go?

34:34

No, I think the white flag.

34:35

Last segment, Wife Flas, last segment, you're

34:37

asking for too much.

34:39

I think white flag. You can't have too many flags in

34:41

a second.

34:42

Nobody likes you, know you and are going to get a blue and yellow

34:44

for Wyatt at some point.

34:46

Oh okay, you know you said that,

34:48

but hold up this. It's stuck in the little thing.

34:50

This is the flag that needs to be put for me

34:53

and you when we go up against Brendan, because Brendan's

34:55

lapped is like ten times.

34:56

In the you're going to say, listen, I gotta

34:58

have a failure of catastro.

35:01

You know, you know who Brendan

35:03

is this year. He is Martin trickx

35:05

Junior, the.

35:06

Most disappointing guy

35:08

out there last year who has turned

35:10

into having an amazing sea.

35:12

See you bet against me right at the start of

35:14

the season.

35:14

And look what I do.

35:15

See Martin, I dogged you early,

35:17

but we're similar.

35:19

To right, he did the reverse jink, So that's right

35:21

on, Martin, that's right.

35:22

Let's get to our last bet, which of course is our our

35:25

winning manufacturer bet. Jeff first time

35:27

and I can't remember this season that I can remember.

35:29

Chevy not your favorite Toyota plus one

35:31

forty, Chevrolet plus one seventy

35:34

and Ford.

35:34

Plus two twenty.

35:35

I gotta tell you, I am intrigued with this

35:38

Ford bet knowing what they did at Phoenix,

35:40

knowing what they do it the Richmond's knowing

35:42

what they do it now. The problem is they they've catastrophic

35:45

failure last week. But I

35:47

do like two twenty on Ford, do like

35:49

the even the favorite at one forty. I mean it's

35:52

a three man horse race, and I'm getting a one forty.

35:54

I think the tough thing with Ford here is that you see a

35:56

lot of those Ford wins came from Harbick when Harvick

35:58

was more consistent, stronger

36:01

than he is right now. And I think

36:03

maybe those the statistics.

36:05

Are pretty good too, and Eric

36:07

Almerola won this thing, and then I just if

36:09

that.

36:10

Was plus three hundred, I'd say go for

36:12

it. Plus two twenty. It's really not that

36:14

much different.

36:14

But the one forty Toyota, I mean, look I've got I've

36:16

got a couple of head to heads. I could

36:19

take one forty Toyota. It's not a head to

36:21

head. A's a three man.

36:22

But you got Bell and Hand.

36:23

I gotten Tenny x Bell, Red

36:25

Tyler true X, I got

36:27

a great I might be talking myself back into changing

36:30

one of my bad I just gave Motley my picks in the

36:32

break, and I may have like to make me scribble.

36:34

He may have to scribble this time. I'm really

36:37

I'm thinking about change. I have to keep an eye on them, think about.

36:39

Changing, all right.

36:41

So that is all the odds we have

36:43

for the I can't caught Crayola.

36:45

I got yelled at.

36:46

It's the crayon three zero one. Motley

36:48

had to explain to me a couple of weeks ago, that's not what

36:51

I was hoping it was.

36:51

That might be the most disappointing thing that's happening on

36:53

this show.

36:54

It's most disappointing for me.

36:55

I was.

36:55

All I was like, mine is that we don't

36:57

have the bushy macbush face right

37:00

anymore, Bushy mcquackerd and bush Bush

37:02

whatever.

37:03

But I don't worry. There's an open sponsorship for the Richmond

37:05

Race.

37:05

There No. They just filled it this week with

37:07

something. I saw what it was, but I

37:09

can't remember what it was. But they failed it allowed not

37:12

allowed to say or no. They put a press release

37:14

out. I just can't remember what it was.

37:15

That's not one of your tracks. You wouldn't be you would be privy

37:18

to the inside knowledge. Take

37:20

a quick look DASCAR Champion twenty twenty three. Not

37:23

a whole lot right now. I mean it's

37:25

double digits now. Chase, Well, he's been double

37:27

digits for a while. He's been ten to one. He's kind of plateaued right

37:29

there at that ten to one number Byron,

37:32

you know, staying as your side, which cracks me up.

37:34

He's still only second favorite at plus six hundred. You

37:37

and I still both think that a guy like Tyler Reddick at

37:39

twenty two to one, there's there's some

37:41

big numbers. Alex Bowman fifty to one. As

37:44

soon as he wins one race, that's going to

37:46

go down to fifteen.

37:47

Yeah.

37:47

Tell you though, a lot of these guys that haven't won, they

37:50

also don't have any playoff points, so even

37:52

though they get in the playoffs, it's still

37:55

there's.

37:55

A little bit there.

37:56

Yeah, last week we

37:58

would like to even meet he included

38:00

this week, would probably like to not talk

38:02

about how we did last week. But

38:06

if you look, you know, look some of the bad ones,

38:08

all right, two of you had Chase Elliott to win. Chase

38:10

Elliott was nowhere to be found. That was

38:12

kind of a bummer. Brad kta Win Pitt

38:14

crew, You're looking great, man. If they throw that

38:16

caution before the the you know, the stage

38:19

end and the rain comes five minutes earlier.

38:20

Brad Ka screw Chief had the same guts mcdowalls

38:23

s Crew Chief had. He'd you know, they were

38:25

in the same pit strategy.

38:26

The big loser for all all of us

38:28

had McDowell. We joked that we you know, we gave him

38:30

the gone racing Jinks.

38:33

We didn't.

38:33

He finished fourth and gone

38:36

race, and Jinks still kicked in because third place

38:38

was a j Omen and his crew.

38:39

I really am still smarting

38:41

both the bubble Wallace felt like I had that

38:43

one locked up, and then he has to go spin out.

38:45

And cause what was the final caution?

38:47

And then Stenhouse gets a top ten out

38:49

of Group E and loses out to Justin.

38:51

Hayes, and I had Toyota.

38:53

I'm sitting there watching this thing, you know, with the fourth

38:55

dominating going to and I'm out, and then both

38:57

had Toyota and then all of a sudden, Martin Threux

38:59

and Deedny Hamlin come and I'm like, oh, coca

39:01

Cola Dnny Hamlin, Come on, I got him for a top three, I got

39:03

the Toyota. I was like, oh, I'm looking good for

39:05

a minute. Yeah, then the wheels

39:07

fell off everything for me.

39:09

Another one that's stunk was Corey la Joy.

39:11

It was about I think twelfth when it happened.

39:13

But you know, he was not running as

39:15

well as he had run in some of the leather Atlanta.

39:17

But la Joy is always the guy that knows how to get there to the end,

39:19

right. That's kind of one his fortes is be there at the end,

39:21

and that's kind of what these kind of races are.

39:23

And when you call it with seventy five laps to go, all

39:25

that hurt strategy.

39:26

That when I was racing, that would have hurt

39:28

a guy like me, right because I didn't have that time

39:30

for me to get, you know.

39:31

To my deal.

39:32

And Brad k id him for the top three fit.

39:35

I'm like watching him come through, I'm like he's battling

39:38

at the end.

39:38

I'm like, come to bread one

39:40

more pet.

39:41

When the caution came out, I was like, Oh, you've got to be

39:43

kidding me.

39:44

That just was It was that

39:46

the block AJ made on him maybe

39:48

about two laps prior he was

39:50

he's coming.

39:51

He was coming.

39:52

But so our standings though, I still have a

39:56

can I call it commanding is commanding?

39:57

A lot of me said it's a commanding lead. I mean,

39:59

you go one oh for five is like show hey Otani

40:01

going oh for four. Nobody even realizes

40:04

it because they're so much better in everybody.

40:06

Well, here's the thing, bredon, we didn't catch you. So yeah, you have the same

40:08

leaders you did last.

40:09

I still have the same lead, and you did not lose anything jeft

40:11

this week, nor true gain.

40:13

He didn't gain his one tenth of a point.

40:14

That's right, But hey, listen, cut

40:17

the death by a thousand cuts, right, I mean that's what it

40:19

was.

40:19

That's what he's been doing to you. You've been slowly coming

40:21

back to him.

40:22

So we still start, of course first to work or

40:24

worse to first, and that means we lead

40:26

the way as usual. This season has become.

40:29

We just don't need to give that spot to

40:32

the pick crew.

40:33

All right, this is the week. I've been saying it about five

40:35

weeks in a row, but I feel this week because

40:37

Martin Truex Junior is gonna win the race. We got him

40:39

at plus six fifty should have won it last

40:41

year when he picked it, So redemption. We

40:44

like the Kyle Busch over Kevin Harvick matchup

40:46

plus one oh five. I'm still bitter about

40:48

Brad losing last week, so we're gonna pick him this week

40:50

to win Group D plus two forty, the man who

40:52

cashes all the tickets for us Chris Busher to win

40:54

Group E plus three hundred, and I like the Toyota

40:56

to win plus one forty.

41:00

What just happened?

41:01

I just got mad, I scratched out to him.

41:03

Now I'm like, oh, yeah, well, but

41:05

you also realize that no, since

41:07

I know your picks already, since we've written them

41:09

down, and I know my picks, we have

41:12

just thrown the jinks on our favorite

41:14

guy. Thank you, Pitt Crew. You

41:16

didn't have to pick Chris Buscher, but it

41:19

is what it is, all right. My picks

41:21

this week, I'm going William Byron for

41:23

a top three, and then the rest of my

41:25

picks, I'm going into the groups. I'm

41:28

going Martin Church Junior in Group A. I'm

41:30

going William Byron in Group B.

41:34

I'm going Tyler Reddick in Group

41:36

C. And the

41:38

jinks the Kiss of Death on Chris Busher

41:40

in Group B.

41:42

See now.

41:44

I'm sicking with Chris Buscher. I don't care, but I'm

41:46

still torn. Do I take the William Byron or do I go?

41:48

But I want I stretched it out before

41:51

your picks came on the screen.

41:52

I scratched out William Byron was

41:54

going to.

41:54

The Toyota, And now I see them with the Toyota and I'm like, they've

41:57

been so bad at picking that it's like I

42:00

almost want to just jump off anybody.

42:01

Hit off the Busher when so we don't jinx him.

42:03

And if I have two of them with them, I'm like, I'm like,

42:08

we won last year, so we weren't that bad

42:10

at picking.

42:13

All right, my picks? Are

42:16

you changing him?

42:17

I just want to be prepared since I do write

42:19

your picks down over here.

42:20

All right, I want this with an asterix. I

42:23

can't have two picks the same as the pick crew because they've

42:25

been horrible. So I'm sticking

42:27

with William Byron as my top three. I'm going

42:30

to smatch you, mister Motley, even though you haven't been much

42:32

better. Then I'm going into the head

42:34

to heads and I am taking Kyle Larson

42:36

at plus one twenty five over

42:38

Christopher Bell, and I am taking

42:41

Kevin Harvick at plus one thirty over

42:44

Maddy Truex Junior in one of his real

42:46

home tracks. Then I have two

42:48

group matchups. I am going

42:50

against the Group C pick for you. I'm going to

42:52

go head to head with you. I've got Legano

42:54

in Group C, and I'm taking Group

42:56

E the man that cashes our tickets,

42:59

not the kiss of death. We got youa Chris, I promise

43:01

you you're gonna pull through for us at

43:03

plus three hundred in Group E.

43:07

You know what, there should have been a head to head between

43:09

Truex and Legano since they are the

43:11

guys who it is kind of really their home tracks.

43:15

I mean Truex has got ten home tracks, maybe

43:17

twelve. Legano kind of has sixteen

43:19

to two. He takes New Hampshire and Atlanta

43:21

since he was born in New England

43:23

and then he grew up in Atlantic.

43:25

If Truex decides to race on the Stewart Tony

43:27

Stewart Racing League, you'd have like thirty

43:29

hometown tracks.

43:30

Yeah, I think, well, you've got Stafford. Well,

43:32

they're gonna be racing in Connecticut tonight. They've got

43:34

a race in Michigan. They're gonna be

43:36

racing in Virginia, racing

43:38

in Indiana.

43:39

Where else are they racing? I can't even all Martin

43:42

Truck's home tracks.

43:43

Hey, and we got to talk about Stafford Race because apparently

43:46

once again everybody's stealing my money.

43:47

There's gonna be a south Point car out there and two south

43:49

Point cars.

43:51

Yeah, two south Point cars, and the

43:53

guy who kind of helps run the south Point didn't

43:55

even know about it.

43:56

Is either of them got me driving them?

43:59

No?

44:00

Of course, my dad likes Kevin better and

44:03

Ryan better, and there's south Point on the

44:05

wall at Stafford Speedway.

44:06

So maybe they'd ask nicer. I

44:10

don't know.

44:10

So, yeah, that's ESPN for the next six

44:12

weeks. They get the SRX, we're not gonna

44:14

be putting any lines on it.

44:15

And in the contract it says that if either if

44:18

either guy can't race, I'm in so Kevin,

44:20

Ryan you might want a food tester.

44:22

I'm just saying, if anybody hears about

44:24

a mugging in either one of those guys, we've got

44:26

a suspect right right here.

44:29

If anyone gets Ryan Newman, I

44:31

don't believe that.

44:32

One I can get him.

44:34

I can take him.

44:35

All right, guys, that's our show this week. Thanks for joining us

44:37

on race and we'll be back next week. We break down New Hampshire

44:39

and we had to what we got rich?

44:41

Oh poking a lump on next week? Oh can I see guys

44:43

next week?

44:44

Check your flags out.

45:02

Thanks

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