0:02

This is Gone Racing, Vison's

0:04

premier NASCAR betting podcast. Here

0:06

are your hosts, former NASCAR driver Brendan

0:08

Gonn and Las Vegas Motor Speedways

0:10

and Jeff Motley.

0:12

Well, it's kind of Jeff Motley today.

0:15

Hi, Jeff, you look so different today.

0:16

You know it's go on the beard out a little bit.

0:18

Uh.

0:19

I don't think Jeff wants my record

0:21

this year in the season standing.

0:22

I don't think anybody wants.

0:24

Even the listeners don't want Wyatt

0:26

tom Jack sitting in the fabulous Vson

0:28

studio for our good friend mister Jeff Motley,

0:30

Rob behind the counter.

0:32

Just you know, we're Wyatt normally. Since we have Rob today.

0:35

He's the He's the goat of Vson, you.

0:39

Could say goat, except when you

0:41

have to explain to the man which

0:43

one is the green flag and why?

0:47

Yeah, you know, I just had to make sure that he was.

0:49

He was on top of his game today.

0:50

He's got the flags.

0:51

He's there, he's there, there, he is, There's got a

0:53

little got a little love for Rob there.

0:55

But yeah, we had to explain the come

0:57

on, guys, come on, fellas.

0:58

The one that no one knows is the blue

1:00

flag with the yellow O.

1:01

Yes, I believe it was requested

1:04

that it was a what's the Ukrainian flag?

1:06

I believe I was.

1:06

Told, yes, that was that was one of our lovely

1:09

audio guys. I won't name him, We'll.

1:11

Leave that one unnamed.

1:12

I said that'd be the get the hell out of the way flag. Anyway,

1:15

Welcome into Gone Races. Mister Motley

1:17

is is off this week and

1:20

so me and Wyatt hanging out.

1:21

Of course, why the voice of the Lady ReBs.

1:23

Got to throw a little Lady reb love in there, and

1:25

we are going to break down everything we had last weekend at

1:27

Richmond.

1:28

Which you want to We want to talk about

1:30

the Lady ReBs because I don't really want to talk about Richmond.

1:32

It wasn't good.

1:33

Well, look Richmond was. They

1:36

used to call it the action track.

1:37

Right.

1:37

We all know that this package of this car so

1:39

far white has not been It's forte

1:42

right, the short track package has not been. This car

1:44

has been amazing on mode and a half, amazing on super speedways.

1:47

NASCAR knows, and this is I got to give kudo a NASCAR.

1:49

They did a test on Monday after the race. They

1:52

know they're trying something. Now, I

1:54

say that with a little bit of reservation.

1:58

No caution flags other than one

2:01

at the end and the stage breaks. But you

2:03

shouldn't penalize me

2:06

us the drivers for doing our jobs.

2:08

Well yeah, you know, I mean that's the bad thing is oh,

2:11

no caution flies. Well we were professionals.

2:13

We did our job well that day. So it's it's

2:15

one of those deals where you got to balance

2:17

things. But NASCAR is working very hard on

2:20

trying to live in this package up.

2:22

But in the end, not a bad day, not a

2:24

terrible day, but we did see

2:26

something.

2:27

We look, we know we have I

2:29

have the King of Brad Kiselowski Love over here,

2:32

but OURFK Racing and Brad Kiselowski

2:34

Love didn't even expect Chris Buscher

2:36

at fifty five to one.

2:39

We didn't expect that. We didn't expect the Fords.

2:41

I mean, you know what the most annoying

2:43

thing Brendan if you look on this graphic here, they

2:46

didn't put him in a group we love and

2:48

all the groups.

2:49

And they knew that.

2:49

We said, Chris isn't a group.

2:50

But fifty five to one to win, fifteen to one

2:53

for a top three, we did mention fifteen to

2:55

one for the top three. We did say, hey, you

2:57

know Bouscher and him Ford

2:59

was the dog.

3:00

Of course at two fifty.

3:01

His championship odds have gone from eighty down

3:03

to forty to one. Still a long shot in

3:05

the odds, you know, But the

3:08

way the RFK car has been coming. And how

3:10

about Brad Keselowski, Man, I mean

3:13

you and I were talking before air. Jeff and I talk about

3:15

this all the time. We know we have a lot of Kurt Busch love on the show.

3:18

Kurt would go places and make them better.

3:21

Brad Keselowski had a daunting

3:24

task before him when he went to take ownership

3:27

of RFK Racing.

3:30

What you've seen him do, Remember he's only.

3:31

Been there sixteen months, you

3:34

know, maybe eighteen months. What

3:37

he has done at RFK unbelievable.

3:39

What it's been really good, Brenna.

3:42

If you think back to before Brad got there,

3:44

they've won now twice with Buscher in the two

3:46

years, in the five years probably

3:48

prior the probably Ricky went

3:50

in.

3:50

Yeah that was about it.

3:52

Oh and they won maybe a super speedway race.

3:54

Yeah, you know that.

3:55

What they've done right now, how well they're running

3:57

consistently is the big thing. And he

4:00

joke, Chris Buscher cashes tickets

4:02

on this show man. We let we we bet Chris

4:04

as often as we can because he is a

4:06

ticket cash and machine. And Brad

4:08

has become for me, my massive

4:11

daunting lead in the Gone Racing League has

4:13

a lot of Brad Keselowski wins in there. And

4:15

the guy who bets used to bet him every week, well

4:18

you know, has him betting him, and I've been making money on him.

4:20

Well you see, when I bet him, he loses. When

4:22

you bet him, he wins. But you know, talk about Chris

4:24

Buscher cashing tickets. I got a funny story. So I'm watching

4:26

the race and when the caution comes out, like, oh wow, we got

4:28

a caution. Holy cow. All of a sudden, my

4:31

phone rings. It's my dad. He

4:33

calls it and he's just he's he's just dejected.

4:35

He goes I had Chris Buscher to win,

4:38

and Buscher was up six seconds, and I'm

4:40

like, oh, I've seen this movie a thousand times.

4:42

Yep.

4:43

Thankfully Buscher got a good restart.

4:44

I was also a little concerned because Hamlin started

4:46

on the on the outside of him. Then he has a

4:48

record of running hard.

4:50

Yeah, and then and then my dad calls me afterwards. He goes, hey, if you

4:53

need any help cash in sixty one tickets, just

4:55

call me. I'm like, okay, all right, thanks pop, Yeah,

4:57

thanks. They should have told your son to bet him

4:59

for the win before. For the gone racing show

5:01

we had.

5:01

I might have been in the lead.

5:03

Wouldn't close.

5:05

I don't know. We're never really far.

5:06

Look at fifty five to one, you wouldn't have caught me. Let's

5:09

get to the top ten.

5:10

Two.

5:10

Top ten was fifty five to one, we said, Chris Buscher.

5:12

But Denny Hamlin was one of our favorites at plus

5:14

one eighty, Kyle Busch another one of the favorites

5:16

at plus two fifty.

5:17

Uh.

5:18

The fours actually had a decent day. Joey Legano

5:20

was up there, Harvick was up there a bunch.

5:22

But look at this, Ryan Pree say, much needed,

5:25

much, much needed.

5:26

Top five. There's our Brad k.

5:27

Both RFK cars were running one two until

5:30

Brad made his mistake, So sixth

5:32

place finished for him. Though Eric Almeroll

5:34

another ford there, Austin Dillon I

5:36

we talked about him.

5:37

This is a good place for him. He had a good run.

5:39

And there's Harvick with is another solid top ten,

5:41

just kind of pointing his way in. So nice

5:43

job by those guys.

5:44

And this is a much needed race, I think, not only

5:46

for the Fords, but also also for Stuart hots This is

5:48

probably their best race of the

5:51

year. But Brandon, I'll

5:53

tell you what the biggest surprise I've been. You know, I've

5:55

been proud of some some moments have been really good betting

5:57

nascars. Some moments I've been really bad. I was

5:59

bad this week thinking the chevyes were going to be good and

6:01

Kyle Larson they weren't close at all.

6:03

The Hendrick cars were. You know, It's amazing this sport is

6:05

fickle. We were talking William Byron was the favorite a couple

6:07

weeks ago. He was the odds on favorite. Then Martin

6:10

Truex was the odds on favorite, and I still think Martin

6:12

Truex is probably more of the favorite than anybody else.

6:14

But the Fords finally showed

6:16

up. But this is the track that we've talked about.

6:18

Fordes have been running better on these than the others,

6:20

so I still little missing and.

6:22

As you mentioned, so much needed top top tens.

6:24

Yes, breareric Almarola Ryan Prize Austin

6:27

Dylon. Guys who have had just seasons

6:29

that they would like to just wash away. That's

6:32

not much needed.

6:32

Hey, I'll take one weekend and you

6:35

do it again, and you start making it. You know, it's

6:37

called a winning streak. You start putting them together.

6:39

So a lot of guys did that. But how about Chris

6:41

Buscher locked himself into the playoffs now with that w

6:43

because as Motley takes to point out, we're not

6:45

going to get to my magic number this year every

6:47

winter that's his favorite thing to mess I know every

6:49

winner will make it. Only three spots left

6:51

up for grabs. It was a clean race.

6:53

All thirty six cars are running at the finish, so kind

6:56

of a nice deal right there. You look at

6:58

the point standings, William Byron is still playoff

7:00

leader with seven hundred and one points. Your point

7:03

leader though regular season is Martin Truex Junior.

7:05

That comes with a lot of valuable bonus points

7:07

that help you get to that final four and

7:10

then that cut off line. It didn't move

7:12

the needle a lot on the cut off line because Chris was

7:14

in the playoffs before.

7:16

What it just did was it made

7:18

it more difficult.

7:19

He's out of that Battle Now that cutoff

7:21

line still Battle Royale.

7:23

How about Michael mcdawa still holding that last

7:25

spot?

7:26

Just but a decent gap there, Ty Gibbs,

7:28

the dinger, Chase Elliott in

7:30

your screen at the bottom there, Bowman

7:32

out of the bottom of the screen, Chase Elliott

7:34

in.

7:35

So I was gonna ask you, this is really what popped out to me.

7:37

Chase Elliott's only forty points behind, and

7:40

you know he didn't get the result

7:42

that he wanted overall, he finished thirteenth,

7:45

but he had some stage points and he got more stage points

7:47

in Michael lincdow. He's only forty points behind. Do you

7:49

think that he can race his way into the playoffs?

7:51

I don't win.

7:52

A couple of weeks ago I said it didn't think he could. I

7:54

still, first of all, I've said the whole time Chase Elliot's

7:56

going to probably win the regular season to get himself

7:58

there. But I do believe Chase

8:00

Elliot can point his way in at forty points, and you look

8:02

at the names he's going up against.

8:05

Bubba Wallace really lucky.

8:07

Right now, He's gapped himself a little bit from

8:09

that field, so he has unless

8:11

somebody else wins and.

8:12

Puts Bubba on the cut line.

8:14

If you look at this, I think Chase Elliott could point

8:16

his way in forty points with this point

8:18

system not insurmountable, especially when

8:20

you talk about a front row team like Michael McDowell who

8:23

has been kind of overachieving. Right, they've

8:25

been running better than they have been

8:27

in the past, so rooting for them,

8:29

don't get me wrong, Ty gives a rookie

8:31

aj Allmendinger and that colleague team which is

8:33

good but never been a great

8:35

team yet they're not at that level yet. And

8:38

Suarez who is so streaky hit and miss,

8:41

he absolutely can point his way in. But it's

8:43

going to take the last was

8:45

it four more races to go or three more races to go for

8:47

the playoffs. Yeah, it's going to take

8:49

super.

8:50

Clean racing by Chase Elliott that Hendrick.

8:51

So another question I had for you, do you think that they become

8:54

a little bit more aggressive and gamble on the stages

8:56

to get a little bit extra points where they'll

8:58

say, we'll risk maybe having an eleven the twelfth,

9:00

but if we can finish a second or third, you

9:02

know, with say like McDowell or guys in

9:04

front of you are are consistently running in the top

9:06

ten.

9:07

You know, I think that they right now, I think

9:09

the chase Elliot's still gonna try to win. I think they're gonna try

9:11

to throw some dice to win. But absolutely,

9:13

if I'm if I'm chasing, i'm his

9:15

crew chief, and I'm those guys, I am absolutely

9:18

looking this saying, you know what if we keep getting

9:20

Look what it did. You just mentioned this weekend, what it did for him

9:22

at Richmond. You know, he did not win the race. He

9:24

finished thirteenth in the race, but he got fourth

9:26

place stage points in stage one.

9:28

That's valuable. That's what put him back up in that

9:30

spot. So I do think that you might.

9:31

See those guys do a little bit more of stage

9:34

point gambling, especially with road courses coming

9:36

right now, where you can kind of play

9:38

that strategy and maybe try to gain some points

9:40

with the two road races they are coming in.

9:42

Because the stage win is not only you get ten points,

9:44

but you get the playoff points you can get in.

9:45

Let's talk about the next couple of races real quick. We have

9:48

of course, this weekend we're going to the fire Keepers

9:50

Casino four hundred in Michigan. I'm going to be

9:52

there the Mighty sixty two team. That's our first

9:54

non super speedway race. Then we go to the

9:56

road course in Nnapolis More Speedway, then the road

9:58

course at Waltkins Glenn and of course the Crapshoot,

10:01

the greatest cutoff race they ever could have come up

10:03

with, the Pepsi or sorry Coke zero four

10:06

hundred at Daytona. And then the

10:08

playoffs start with the Cookout

10:10

Southern five hundred back at Darlington on Lavery Day weekend.

10:13

Love the scheduling this year.

10:14

These are these are tough, tough races. I'm excited

10:16

for the race this weekend. Obviously, with the road

10:18

courses, you never know what that strategy and we've

10:21

seen some really wild ones. Oh yeah, I am

10:23

so excited for that Coke zero

10:25

four hundred. I hope that the weather

10:27

gods and the vortex theory works out that there's no rank

10:29

because that that.

10:30

Race is always loved, that vortex everything you and

10:32

Daryl Walter. That race is always rain

10:34

delayed till Sunday morning. It

10:37

does have a tendency to get rain delayed.

10:39

There are some guys that have been great at Michigan, the Fords,

10:42

of course, we've talked about the Fords forever at

10:44

Michigan. Rouse used to dominate this place. Penske

10:46

used to dominate it. It's the big

10:48

giant two mile oval. Used to look like California Speedway.

10:51

One of my favorites of all time. But you look at

10:53

the guys that are great there and the name on top,

10:56

Kevin Freakin Harvick forty

10:59

two races, the old Man in the sea here, six

11:02

wins, twenty two top tens. But

11:04

why I told you a step before the show, last

11:07

ten races. Five of

11:10

those wins. That's

11:12

five in the last ten races.

11:14

That's legendary status at a try.

11:15

When I was doing the notes last night, I was looking,

11:18

I was like, okay, when's Harvick won at Michigan. I just

11:20

looked, just kept saying one, one, one. I was like, oh wow, yeah,

11:22

look out he dominated there.

11:23

Recently he's been winning.

11:24

And how about Chase Elliott ten top tens

11:27

and twelve races, no wins,

11:29

ten top tens, four races.

11:32

But I have a bet later on.

11:33

I don't think there might be somebody might have to put some money

11:35

on that one.

11:36

So it looks pretty solid right there. All right,

11:38

guys, when we come back We're going to get to.

11:39

The odds and all that good stuff on Gone Racing.

12:04

This is Gone Racing, Vson's

12:06

premier NASCAR betting podcast. You're

12:08

your hosts former NASCAR driver Brendan

12:10

Gohn and Las Vegas Motor Speedways,

12:13

Jeff Motley, and welcome

12:15

back everybody.

12:15

Wyat, Tom Check fillm in for Jeff Motley, us

12:17

in the dsinst you at the South

12:20

Point Hotel, casino, Spa, whatever else

12:22

you want to call it, all sorts of fun things. By

12:25

the way, the sportsbook behind us. Don't worry,

12:27

Jimmy will be back. It's a couple more weeks.

12:29

Did he retire again, Yeah, he's been gone for three

12:31

four months. Well I saw him like a

12:33

last month.

12:34

I felt like he hates baseball.

12:35

Oh, I got you, I got you.

12:36

So he'll be back for football season. Those

12:38

of you in the know, don't fret. Jimmy will

12:40

be back. We all made

12:43

that bet anyway, we know that. So

12:45

let's get into the fire Keepers Casino

12:47

four hundred and Wyatt. We have some

12:51

you know, one odds on favorite, which

12:53

I'm not sure I really agree with the odds on favorite,

12:56

but I do. I mean, he's Denny

12:58

Hamlin he's been pretty hot lately. But we

13:00

got Denny Hamlin is your leader at five fifty. Kyle

13:02

Larson. That's a huge number

13:05

in my opinion, for Kyle Larson at plus seven hundred,

13:07

Martin Truex junior, Kyle Busch, William

13:09

Byron all at eight hundred, Kevin Harvick eight fifty,

13:11

Ryan Blaney ten, Chrisopher Bell twelve, with Tyler

13:14

Reddick there at twelve, Joey Logano

13:16

fourteen, Chase Elliot, Bubba Wallace

13:18

both at fifteen, Ross Chastaying at eighteen,

13:20

Brad Kaselowski twenty two, Ty Gibbs

13:23

twenty five, and Chris Buscher rounds

13:25

out of our top page at forty to one.

13:28

That first of all,

13:30

Kevin Harvick's eight to fifty.

13:32

And we were just talking about last

13:34

five races or ten races, and

13:36

you're telling me Kyle Larson is.

13:40

Seven hundred. I mean to win, that's

13:43

wait?

13:44

What?

13:44

Huh?

13:45

Who?

13:46

I think they're a little upset of Kyle from last week at Richmond.

13:50

He sucked last week.

13:51

Yeah, I mean unfortunately if somebody who backed

13:53

him, you know, well, but we expect

13:55

better. But you you were talking about the the numbers,

13:57

I mean eight fifty for Kevin Harvick to win, and

14:00

he's won five of the last ten races here.

14:02

That's not a bad number. And for guy

14:04

who's also racing really well.

14:06

Over the last three races, he's had top ten finishes,

14:08

So that's a number that I really like.

14:10

Yeah, Jeff always talks about what have you done for me lately? Right,

14:12

and he says, oh, Harvick, you know lately you go

14:14

to these last ten races. First last

14:16

year, won this race in twenty twenty

14:18

two, had a fourteenth in twenty

14:21

twenty one, but then first and twenty first,

14:23

and there was two back, then first in twenty twenty twice

14:26

first in twenty nineteen, then a seventh,

14:29

then a first, then a second. I mean that

14:32

he's still been doing it lately. So and the

14:34

Fords, Now here's the problem. Where do I go

14:36

with the Fords of the conundrum? Do I say

14:39

the Fords have not been good on these places? But

14:42

they weren't good last year and

14:44

Kevin won.

14:46

So and also that way

14:48

they raced last week is like, you know, this

14:50

is a sport of momentum they have they kind

14:52

of figured it out or are you kind of on the bandwagon

14:55

for m that's kind of tough because

14:58

if you are thinking about the Fords and you think of of a

15:00

Brad Kaslowski Chris Busher

15:02

Again, I mean, who's who's to say that he

15:05

can't run up front?

15:05

The only track this is like is California Speedway.

15:08

Yep, I went now, I say that it used

15:10

to be very similar right now Michigan. They did such

15:12

a good job repaving it. It hasn't widened out like my

15:14

old Michigan merge that I used to have, that I used to love,

15:16

hasn't gotten that back. But if you go to the

15:19

two mile track which California was built

15:21

off of Michigan, the Chevrolets were

15:23

the Chevrolets Kyle Busch first, Chase Elliott second,

15:25

ros Chesting third, Daniels.

15:27

Wore of fourth. Kevin Harvick was fifth.

15:29

One Toyota in the top ten that

15:32

day, So the Chevyes

15:34

dominated early in the season. One

15:37

Ford, Harvick and a

15:40

Brad Kaslowski in seventh that day. So,

15:43

Hm, have they gotten better from

15:45

that? Do you think they've gotten better? This? This

15:47

one, to me is going to be a telling what

15:50

do we do with Ford the rest of the season? Right

15:52

this to me is going to be proof in the pudding.

15:55

Have you guys figured out that big stuff? Do

15:57

I bet them yet? Or do I not bet them yet?

16:01

That's tough.

16:01

I love the Kevin Harvick at plus eight fifty,

16:03

but the other guys, I'm not quite

16:06

there yet because, like you said, if if

16:08

the Fords can run well here, then I believe

16:10

that a few of the Forts have a legit

16:12

chance to win a championship.

16:14

But if they don't, I just don't.

16:16

I don't see them competing with the Chevies

16:18

and the Toyota says, we head down the stretch of the season.

16:22

And they need to figure it out heading down the stretch of the season.

16:24

Now, if they can make it to Phoenix, it's

16:26

the style track they've been good on, but they

16:28

got to get there first. Let's get the second page of

16:30

the guys to win, and you start off that second

16:32

page with the winners, and you got Alex Bowman

16:35

leads the way at forty to one.

16:36

There's a man that's a big number

16:39

for a big team at forty to one.

16:40

Daniel Suarez sixty, Noel Gregson eighty, Austin

16:43

Dillon, Eric Almarroll at and Eric Jones all at ninety

16:45

to one. Ricky stenhouse Hunter Ryan Priest

16:47

won fifty the Danger one to fifty.

16:49

I don't think. I mean, I love McDowell,

16:51

but to win it would be a far fetch at two hundred

16:53

and one. One thing that doesn't happen

16:55

at Michigan. You get few mile of races, but you always

16:58

get big names.

16:58

There's never been a that

17:01

surprise kind of oh wow, where'd this guy come

17:03

from?

17:03

It's always big organizations, big

17:05

names.

17:06

And so Daniel Swore sorry

17:08

not Danias Wuars Alex Bowman forty

17:11

to one.

17:12

Ooh, And this is

17:14

a guy that needs a win, needs a win.

17:17

The Chevy's been super hot at

17:19

you know, the big places like this. He's

17:22

in a Hendrick Carry finished ninth in this race last

17:24

year.

17:25

I like that number.

17:26

And another guy that I want to point out too is the one below

17:28

and bless you excuse me, is Daniel Swarez

17:30

at sixty to one. Daniel is in desperate

17:33

need of a win. I don't think they have a consistency to get

17:35

in on points and catch McDowell.

17:37

And if you look at for Suarez last

17:40

year, he finished fourth. I mean at California

17:42

this year he finished fourth, yep. He was third

17:44

in stage one, fifth in stage two, and

17:47

last year he led twice

17:49

for thirty three laps did finish twenty fifth.

17:50

But this race, so he's got some speed. He does

17:53

well in the mile and a half tracks.

17:54

That's a guy if you really, you know, if you're you know,

17:56

fifty points behind somebody in a competition, that's

17:58

a guy you might want to throw a bet on.

18:01

Well.

18:01

And look, we all know that that Ross

18:04

Chastein has been very good. And like we said,

18:06

Daniel Swuare has been streaky. This is where

18:08

he got his first Sixfinity win. He loves this place,

18:11

so this is the place he also has been leading at many

18:13

different times.

18:14

He's very good here.

18:15

I don't like if I'm looking at this backpage for

18:17

somebody to win, it's worth

18:20

putting a chip on old Alex Bowman and Daniel

18:22

Suarez because those are two big organizations

18:24

that have been running well in these places that they

18:27

could legitimately win this

18:29

race.

18:30

Don't disagree with you on that.

18:32

Let's get to our top threes. Then our top threes

18:34

of course lead off a very paltry but

18:37

not a negative number. We have not a negative

18:39

I don't think this year in the top threes.

18:40

No, this is an F one yet.

18:42

Well, we used to have him, you know, we used to get a Kyle Busch and

18:44

Kevin Harvick. But Denny Hamlin is your favorite

18:46

plus one seventy five. You got Kyle Larson

18:48

at two hundred, Martin Truex junior, Kyle

18:50

Busch, William Byron All at two ten, Kevin

18:52

Harvick two forty two, eighty five, Ryan

18:55

Blaney three point thirty for Christopher

18:57

Bell. That's a pretty high number in my opinion, for Christopher

18:59

Bell. Tyler Reddick at three thirty.

19:01

Also, then you get down to Joey Logano four

19:03

hundred, Chase Elliot four hundred, Bubble Wallace four hundred,

19:06

Ross Shastain five, Brad Keselowski six, Ty

19:08

Gibbs seven, and Alex Bowman ten

19:10

to one.

19:11

That's kind of weird.

19:11

We got the pages don't actually match

19:13

up for a change. Chris Buscher, who

19:16

was on the Oh, they're both they're both forty to one. That's

19:18

why it's just where you guys printed them out.

19:20

Might all good, I'll be better at printed.

19:22

No, just Chris Buscher was

19:24

on the front page and then he's on the back

19:27

page.

19:27

But no.

19:27

I so Alex Bowman ten to one, I want

19:29

to look at that again and say, hold on Hendrick

19:32

Motorsports. But historically

19:35

Ford's runs so well here, I'm so

19:37

torn. Do I jump on the Forge yet? But

19:39

they just haven't shown me anything at the big tracks.

19:41

So you talking about the Fords, I'm gonna switch to the

19:44

toyotas real quick. Bubba Wallace

19:46

last year at this race, finished second,

19:48

led twice twenty two laps. He's had some good speed

19:50

as of lately. You know, is really

19:52

consistent the mile and a half tracks. Obviously one of Kansas.

19:54

I know it's a different track, but he can win at these

19:57

type of tracks. Another guy is

19:59

Tyler Reddick Man oh Man. Tyler

20:01

Reddick has had some great speed, but him and Christopher

20:03

Bell feel like they have the Denny Hamlin syndrome

20:06

and.

20:06

Shoot their pit crew or

20:08

them are making mistakes. They are doing

20:10

the Denny Hamler like that team right now.

20:12

If I'm Joe Gibbs racing, I am furious at my pit

20:15

crew. They have made way too many mistakes.

20:17

And you know, Reddick it's you know, he

20:19

had a rough stretch for about five weeks and then to the

20:21

last three weeks. He gets a speeding penalty in New Hampshire.

20:23

They will drive back for a top ten, but he had a top

20:25

five car Richmond and he misses the commitment

20:28

line. M h.

20:28

Just can't do that.

20:29

No, you can't be You can't make these mistakes

20:31

at this level. Then expect to run well.

20:34

Second page of the top threes, they're still once again.

20:36

Chris Buscher leads off eleven to one.

20:39

That was why I was saying they're back to back. Daniel

20:41

Swarez is fourteen, Noah Gregson, Austin

20:44

Is twenty, Austin Dyllan, Eric Almarola, Eric

20:46

Jones, Ricky Stenhouse All twenty two, and the

20:48

Dinger and Prise forty and fifty, Chase

20:50

Priscoe fifty five. It's a shame that Chase Perscow

20:53

and Austin Cidic or that far down when you figure the teams they're

20:55

on that we can laser

20:57

in again that Chris Buscher and Daniel

20:59

Swarez. It's like we did Alex Bowmen and Daniel

21:01

Suarez. Great numbers for top threes

21:04

from two guys right there.

21:05

That could

21:07

very well.

21:08

If the fours have the Ford magic here,

21:11

which they did win last year. You

21:13

look at Chris Bouscher and say what

21:16

they've been doing lately? But can Chris win

21:18

two in a row. I don't

21:20

know if they're there.

21:21

Yet, but I mean if they are, then you're looking

21:23

at ourf case. Yeah, brought

21:25

them back up. Yeah, I wouldn't put them back there yet, but

21:28

you know. And then you got Daniel Swarez at fourteen to one.

21:30

I love that.

21:31

That's the one I like for that top three. I do like the Daniel

21:33

Suarez and this.

21:34

Is a guy and sware Az it needs a

21:36

good run. I mean he's gonna I think they're gonna throw

21:38

everything in the egg basket here to get a win.

21:40

I can't disagree with you. It looks there

21:42

are some numbers here that I do like. Now I want to throw

21:44

a little love Austin Hill eighty to one

21:46

for a top three. That of course is my Mighty

21:49

Beard Oil sixty two team.

21:50

Let me say, if you hit at eighty to one, me, me and Jeff are

21:52

just you know what, we're walking off the stage. We throw

21:56

the white flag. Where we're done.

21:57

Listen.

21:57

I was back in North Carolina last week.

21:59

I was actually putting the roof on his backup car. Yeah,

22:04

Hopefully he doesn't need the best.

22:05

Hopefully it doesn't need the best car. But it's

22:08

cool.

22:08

It is our first non super speedway race,

22:11

and so I got to throw a little love out to my Beard

22:13

Oil team. They it's our first time going

22:15

to a non superspeed We did a road course race

22:17

when I was there, but first non super

22:19

speedway race, so we're all excited. Darren Shaw

22:21

the crew of one I walked in the shop on Saturday

22:23

with the kids. It was Darren and

22:26

one guy Mike that's one of our part

22:29

time guys, and one guy from

22:31

RCR on a Saturday build

22:33

in the back of car.

22:34

All up.

22:35

Love to hear those stories. Hey, you know, I

22:37

wish you guys the best of luck. I hope it goes well

22:39

for you.

22:40

I'll be there. We'll be watching, all right.

22:42

Well, when we come back, you guys get to watch us

22:44

talk about head to heads and get into the group matchups.

23:05

This is Gone Racing, VSA's

23:07

premiere NASCAR betting podcast. You're

23:09

your hosts former NASCAR driver Brendan

23:11

Gonn and Las Vegas Motor Speedways

23:14

Jeff Motley.

23:16

I want to rewatch any part of today's show or

23:18

any past show for that matter. Check out the Gone

23:20

Racing podcast.

23:21

It's free and available now at Vson dot com, Ford

23:23

Slash Podcast or wherever you get your

23:26

podcasts. We give you all the latest news, odds

23:28

and everything you need to know. That's straight to the betting counter before

23:30

each and every NASCAR Cup race. Why are you there to catch

23:32

up on every great Vson show

23:34

as well Vson dot com, Forward

23:37

Slash Podcasts and

23:40

welcome back in everybody to the Gone Racing version

23:42

of the podcast. We have Wyatt

23:44

tom Check of course, filling in for mister

23:46

Jeff Motley.

23:47

It is having a fun time. Did you

23:49

hear him when he was talking about his trip. He's going

23:51

all the way down the up in Canada.

23:53

He was gonna go to all these hall of fames.

23:55

So I didn't.

23:56

I did not hear that.

23:57

You were remote last week. That's right, that's what he told me.

24:00

Yeah, Okay, he's a he's he's

24:02

doing a big Eastern seaboard.

24:03

Yeah. I like the NFL Hall of Fame, the Rock and Roll

24:06

Hall of Fame, all that stuff.

24:07

That's kind of cool. Yeah, that's kind of cool. They

24:09

uh, that's that's a fun trip. Good for him, Good

24:11

for him. So we, of course, are

24:13

not doing the East Coast road trip.

24:16

We're doing the VS and studio and the

24:18

head to heads on the fire Keeper four hundred,

24:20

four hundred, and you and I were talking

24:23

off air.

24:23

Why head to heads not real

24:25

fun this week, now, you know? I mean normally

24:27

we get head to heads lately, except when you get

24:29

to like Daytona's and you know, the super speedways.

24:32

But there's just not a lot of meat in the bone here

24:34

for these It's the lot

24:37

of even moneies. Nothing really sticks

24:39

out to me.

24:39

But whether there's one Ross chast Aime plus one twenty

24:41

to Christopher Bell minus one forty, it's

24:45

a good head to head and chast Ain,

24:47

I mean, you know, finished third

24:49

dominated California earlier this year one

24:51

stage one, one Stage two finished third, uh

24:54

and the Toyotas.

24:55

Were fairly poor at

24:58

that race. This year. Christopher Bill had an act in that

25:01

race so didn't run well.

25:02

So I don't know, maybe

25:04

maybe the plus one twenty Ross Chastain does he get

25:06

out.

25:07

He hasn't had a top ten since that win a few weeks

25:09

ago.

25:09

Yeah, this is a guy that I think desperately needs to

25:11

get back on the on the right track. I mean, we

25:13

talked about his incident. Darlington is like kind

25:16

of messed up with him driving. Then he wins at Nashville's

25:18

like okay, now he's back, and then it just faded

25:20

since then. And there's some races where he's not even

25:22

getting close to the top ten.

25:24

You may get it.

25:24

Atlanta, he racked, you know, had a good car, but

25:27

Richmond wasn't sniffing anywhere

25:29

near the top of the pack.

25:31

And Martin Truex Junior and I get a lot of love.

25:32

He's he's an even money line against

25:35

Kyle Larson, Denny Hamlin, William Byron. You

25:37

know, it's like, well, wait, this is the guy that's

25:40

the third best point getter last ten races. Eight top

25:42

tens average finished six point nine

25:44

in the last ten races. So Martin Truex

25:46

Junior against any one of those guys on an even money

25:49

line is not a terrible

25:51

bet, especially he's only a week removed from

25:53

us just basically, you know, the fans handing

25:55

him the championship for the season. So I mean,

25:58

if you want even money bet, but still

26:00

a decent bet there.

26:01

Yeah. And then another one I like was Harvick over

26:04

Kyle Busch, Kevin harvits Evin.

26:06

Yeah, Bowman plus one ten against

26:08

Ty Gibbs, the rookie.

26:09

I mean Ty, now what, remember this will actually

26:11

be Ty's second race at Michigan. He raced

26:13

this race last year when he was filling in and

26:16

he finished enth tenth last

26:18

year. So Ty had a good run at

26:21

this track last year.

26:22

So I mean, there you going.

26:24

And he was actually sixteenth at California and

26:26

only is fourth, you know, third, fourth

26:28

whatever it was race, So I don't know. I mean, Alex

26:31

Bowman plus one ten. I still think, like I said,

26:33

those Hendrick cars are gonna be tough to beat. But

26:35

let's get into our group matchups. And some of the

26:37

group matchups also Wyatt missing

26:39

a little bit of meat on the bone, Like it almost

26:41

looks a little bit like a speedway race

26:43

when you look at some of these odds. Where the

26:45

west gate where we get our odds from is. They're

26:48

a little nervous out there.

26:49

Group A. It's

26:51

the format horse race.

26:52

Kyle Larson, Denny Hamlin, and William Byron at plus two seventy

26:55

Martin Truex Junior dog at two seventy five.

26:58

Hard to differentiate between any of these guys and

27:01

you're not giving me any enticement on anybody.

27:03

So the one that I like and I think I might make

27:06

a play on is Denny Hamlin. In

27:08

this group, Hamlin has been on his

27:10

game since Sonoma, where he finished

27:13

thirty six Lowes. He was was fourteenth Atlanta.

27:15

I remember he had he spun I think a couple of times. I

27:18

like him in this group. Obviously, Truex has got the consistency.

27:21

William Byron I think is now starting to hit that

27:23

summer struggle that we've

27:25

seen from him in years past.

27:27

He since he won in Atlanta,

27:29

He's finished twenty fourth, fourteenth, and twenty first.

27:32

So I'm not really seeing much out of him. And Kyle Larson.

27:35

I was really really disappointed with him last week. That has

27:37

really kind of thrown me off him well.

27:39

And Denny Hamlin, He's maybe in a bunch of money lately. I've

27:41

been betting him and I can't disagree. You look at what he

27:43

did at California this year. He was the

27:45

number one Toyota sixth place, so

27:48

it led laps, finished great

27:50

in stages. You go back to this race last year, finished third,

27:52

second in stage one, first in stage two, led

27:54

a bunch of laps, so you know, last

27:57

ten races third, fifth, second, six, second

28:00

five. So I could

28:02

give you Denny Hamlin on that and be happy

28:05

given that, especially with the Hendrick kind of Wayne

28:07

right now, call it between Denny and Martin Truex

28:09

and give the edge just a little bit to Denny. So I could,

28:11

I could agree with you. It's just tough, tough matchup.

28:14

I did win a Group A matchup with Denny recently, though I

28:16

think it was last week.

28:17

Or the week before.

28:17

I think he might have won it with the Pokano.

28:19

Yeah, maybe it was Pokano. It was, Yeah, So I'll

28:22

give it to you.

28:23

Group B.

28:24

Is Kyle Busch your favorite?

28:25

Two sixty Kevin Harvick and Tyler Reddick

28:27

at two seventy, Ryan Blaney two eighty

28:30

five. This is the tough one Blaney's

28:32

won here, not too distant

28:34

future Harvick though, Kyle

28:37

Busch, who just whooped

28:39

it this year at California

28:41

Speedway.

28:42

You know, I

28:45

don't mind the Kyle play, but the one I'm looking at here is

28:47

Kevin. I mean, like you said, what have

28:49

you done for me lately? And I love the way he's been

28:51

running the last three weeks that I think he's picking

28:54

it up at the right time before the playoffs start.

28:56

God, the Ford sucks.

29:00

He was the top five at California

29:02

Speedway this year.

29:02

So and then you

29:05

know, you mentioned Ryan Blaney. Is

29:07

a hard feel on Brian Blane. I feel like he's

29:10

just there.

29:10

He's persona non grada. We don't talk about

29:13

him for weeks at a time, and then he wins. Yeah,

29:15

and you're like, hey, look Blane's back, and it's

29:17

like Byron right now. And we said that Alex Bowman,

29:19

William Biro and Ryan Blaney are the three kids that they

29:22

get hot, and you say, oh my god, we're talking about him every

29:24

week, and then we keep talking about him

29:26

and they're doing nothing, and then we stop talking about

29:28

him and they win a race, and they.

29:29

Go win a race. You know, it's I'm with you

29:31

on Ryan Blaney thing. It's he is decent

29:33

here.

29:34

If you go last ten races, six top tens,

29:36

four top fives, and a win in the last ten.

29:38

So Blaney is good at this place. But again,

29:41

the Fords.

29:43

Just don't know. That's that wild card this week.

29:46

That's tough for me to pick a forward right now. I don't know. But

29:48

if they do it this week, we're on the forog and bad wagon. It's

29:50

wide open again.

29:52

Let's go into Group C, and Group C leads off with Christopher

29:54

Bell and Bubba Wallace.

29:56

Our co favorites.

29:56

The two toyotas there Chase Elliott

29:58

two ninety five, Ross Chez Staying two ninety five.

30:01

I'm sorry,

30:04

this is Group C. I know I've been I've

30:06

been beating the dead horse. Why I'm

30:09

telling you every week I'm betting him every week

30:11

he's in Group C against Bubba, Chris

30:14

Bell and Ross jesting Chase

30:16

Elliott at two ninety five.

30:17

Sorry, I just he's going he is

30:19

going to I know he Chase

30:21

Elliott.

30:22

He's like when I was betting Jimmy in his final year, My Jimmy's

30:24

gonna win a race before he retires, and it

30:26

didn't happen. But I'm like, I don't want to miss Chase

30:28

Elliott winning a race when I know he's

30:31

capable of. So that's not that's

30:33

a great value play on Chase. The

30:36

one guy I'm throwing out in this group is Christopher

30:38

Bell. I have just can't trust

30:40

him at the moment. He has finished eighteenth or worse

30:42

in four of the last five races. He keeps getting

30:45

the accidents just kind of like we said, shooting himself

30:47

in the foot. That team right now doesn't have the consistency.

30:50

Another one, I mean, Bubba,

30:53

I think would be a Bubba.

30:54

Listen. Bubba is is the sneaky pick

30:57

in this group right here.

30:57

Bubba Wallace two top tens and a top

31:00

five here and he's only got nine starts. So

31:02

Bubba has and he was second in

31:04

this race last year. You know, Bubba

31:07

is the guy that if I go back to

31:10

California, blew an engine. So don't

31:13

have a great stat on it, but Bubba's

31:15

the sneaky one because he's been running very well lately,

31:18

like sneaky well, like we.

31:19

Don't talk about him.

31:20

He led a good portion of that Richmond, he's

31:22

led rate, he's led laps, we don't talk about him

31:24

on air. And then he shows up and he's

31:26

been very his consistency since he argued

31:29

was at six weeks ago he said he should be fired.

31:31

He was like, oh, I suck.

31:33

He's been sneaking his way up into being where

31:36

he's I think I think Kurt Busch is helping him

31:38

tremendously over there, and I think that's

31:40

a sneaky one.

31:41

But I'm sorry, Chase Elliott, I

31:43

won't.

31:43

Be able to talk you out for that one.

31:45

I'm gonna bet him every week till he went, no' worry.

31:46

We're gonna have a head head in this one. I can already tell you.

31:48

All right, let's get to group D then, and we got

31:50

the rookie as our big favorite. Ty Gibbs two thirty

31:53

five Alex Bowman, Brad Keselowski

31:55

two seventy five's Daniel Sworez

31:57

three ten.

31:58

Brad's been hot lately due Ude, Brad

32:01

has been hot. I mean, I don't know.

32:03

I was struggling with this one. What was

32:05

that good?

32:06

Was I gonna make a pick with my heart or make a pick

32:08

that I need to make up money? And the

32:10

one, the money one is. I like Daniel

32:12

Sorez, but I like what RFK

32:15

Racing's done. And Brad who you

32:17

remember the California race. He spun midway

32:20

through the race and still was able to get his way up to seventh.

32:23

So it's a

32:25

tough one, Ty Gibbs, I don't really know. And

32:28

Alex Bowman. I know you're high on Alex. He's

32:30

won here before, But I just don't know.

32:32

Just the thing about Alex Bowman is that team is

32:34

just too good. Yeah, it's Hendrick Motorsports

32:36

and we've talked about him all year where he is

32:38

a fader, right, he goes great, he goes away, he goes

32:40

great. He's been away too many weeks. That's

32:43

my thinking on that is he's been he's been away

32:45

too long. Is

32:48

this the week that he snaps? Well, I thought it was

32:50

gonna be Pocono and that's

32:52

what I'm saying. Yeah, it's like so so the

32:55

struggle there for me is Alex Bowman. But

32:57

at the same time, Ty Gibbs ran

33:00

their last year ran well could he do

33:02

it? This group to me is probably

33:04

the toughest. But Brad because last given cash and tickets.

33:06

He has been I mean, he him,

33:08

I mean the RFK guys that probably made us the most

33:11

money on On Gone Racing along

33:13

with Shane Van Giesbergen.

33:15

Made me a thank you Shane. He's coming back in a

33:17

couple weeks. Were talking about him. Let's get to Group B real

33:19

quick.

33:19

Group B.

33:20

We got Eric Jones to forty, Austin Dylan two

33:22

seventy, a ja Allmendinger two ninety Ricky Stenhouse

33:24

Junior at two ninety.

33:27

Just going off the numbers, this one is the easiest

33:29

one for me.

33:29

Austin Dylan.

33:30

I know everybody, I'm biased, we all know

33:32

that.

33:32

But going off of numbers, Austin

33:35

Dylan ninth at California this year runs

33:38

really well here.

33:41

Just and he got a top ten last week, so that helps

33:43

build the moment. I'm going into this this race.

33:45

I'm with it, all right, we come back, we'll finish up. Group

33:47

BEV give you our what was the props

33:49

and our picks.

34:12

This is Gone Racing, Visa's

34:14

premier NASCAR Betty podcast. You're

34:16

your hosts former NASCAR driver Brendan

34:18

Gone and Las Vegas Motor Speedways

34:21

Jeff Motley.

34:22

Welcome back in Gone Racing. White flag is in the air.

34:25

Last segment and why you know you

34:27

asked me earlier about I'd knocked something off

34:29

a desk while I was I had a phone call during

34:31

the show, had you know between my legs. It was my buddy Jimmy

34:33

Johnson, who was basically just throwing a dig at me.

34:37

How did the sunglasses survive?

34:38

The sunglasses that they're on the ground still, I haven't got off the show.

34:40

Okay, Yeah, to Jimmy,

34:43

I love you and I sent you the message

34:45

that says what I said. Congratulations

34:47

to the Jimmy and congrat And we didn't talk about at the start of the show,

34:49

but Chack canow Is, Jimmy Johnson, two guys

34:52

that if if there's ever a first ballot Hall of Fame,

34:54

to the four people who did not make them make him

34:56

a unanimous vote, I would love to see

34:58

what your criteria is to be a unanimous

35:01

first ballot Hall of Famer.

35:03

Uh?

35:03

Does Tom Brady not get first ballot Hall of Fame?

35:06

Yes?

35:07

Okay, you know, like we were talking about it, Derek

35:09

Jeter, one of the greatest baseball players of all time.

35:11

One person didn't vote him. Yeah, it would have been I'm

35:13

like, why why you and Jeff

35:15

Gordon had the same thing. Yeah.

35:16

So and the guy that did Jeff Gordon's literally said

35:19

he just didn't want it to be unanimous. Those

35:22

type people don't need to be on voting boards anyway.

35:25

Let's finish off our Group F and Group

35:27

F of course normally our favorite group, but we are Matt

35:29

Westgate, You're killing us.

35:32

We want some Chris Buscher back in Groups two weeks

35:34

in a row. The problem is they're gonna start

35:36

put him in.

35:36

B and C.

35:37

Why no, God, but Chase

35:39

Brisco is your favorite? Two sixty Michael McDowell

35:42

to seventy Ryan Priests to seventy Harrison

35:44

Burton two eighty five Harrison, Who

35:46

I mean, that's what I'm sorry. I don't mean to be rude,

35:48

but he has not shown they

35:51

should have stuck with with Matt de Benedetto.

35:53

Is the way it looks lately.

35:55

Yeah, that's the first person I take

35:58

out of here.

35:58

Yeah. I just look at that, brisk go kind

36:00

of the same thing.

36:01

Brisco's good, but hasn't

36:04

you know, other than the Phoenix

36:06

style tracks, that hasn't shown a lot. I

36:08

look at this and go, who's the guy that Priescee

36:11

is? Is a Priese has been streaky

36:13

hot? Yeah, and he's with Stuart Haas, which

36:15

is a better team than front Row. But McDowell

36:17

and his crew chief and the decisions they make

36:19

and what they're running for. I really like

36:21

McDowell right here.

36:22

I think that's a great that

36:25

That was the one I circled right

36:27

away. It's like, who's the guy that's desperate

36:29

needs for a consistent run. Those two you guys

36:31

need to win, so they're gonna gamble more. McDowell would

36:33

like to win, but he's currently in.

36:35

All they're doing is they're at the point point to point their way

36:37

to death, get some stage points, point their way

36:39

in so you know they're going to make a solid run. Priese

36:42

could gamble and try to get something, but McDowell's

36:45

just going to get solid points, solid day.

36:47

I think McDowell's my pick on this one.

36:49

I like that one our prop bet

36:51

and here's so here's where I think I'm going to hedge some of

36:53

my bets.

36:54

Why Chevy.

36:55

Of course, back to your favorite one forty Toyota one

36:57

fifty five. Ford's two fifty five. Coming

37:00

off the win last week, Ford

37:02

has been the dog. Absolutely Ford. Ford

37:04

deserves three twenty if you want the truth.

37:07

But there's always been something at Michigan that

37:09

the Fords have always had some magic. And

37:13

even though I'm not high on Fords, even though

37:15

I'm sitting here saying I don't like the Ford drivers,

37:17

I'm not picking the four drivers two point

37:19

fifty five in the three man horse race.

37:24

Enticement it really really enticing. That's when

37:26

I circle like I think I'm on the Ford bandwagon.

37:28

I'm not.

37:29

It's like it's so tough. If they didn't

37:31

win that race at Richmond, I'd been like, no, no, don't

37:33

bet this. But now I'm like how And

37:36

I'm not even taking Richmond out of it. I'm just looking at you

37:38

look at Michigan and what Ford has done

37:40

there. The breadth of work

37:43

even years that Ford had nobody even

37:45

years that it was when when Raush Fenway disappeared

37:47

for the decade and you knew that that Ford

37:50

always found a way, whether it was with Penske, whether

37:53

it was the early years, was Stuart Haws, whether there's recently was

37:55

Stuart Hawk.

37:55

Ford at Michigan is just

37:58

there's something there. Even

38:01

though I'm not high on the Fords, I can.

38:02

Hedge my bet and speak out of both sides of my mouth, you

38:05

know, and say yeah, but but

38:07

I'll take the Ford manufacturer here. But it's for

38:09

two fifty five and a three man horse race.

38:11

It's like I took it because I want to win money. Yeah, it's

38:13

nuts.

38:14

Let's go into the championship ods this week,

38:16

just because I want to bring this in because especially

38:19

Chris Buscher was pre season one hundred

38:21

to one before the race, he was still at eighty.

38:23

Dropped all the way down to forty.

38:26

He probably will drop again if they keep running

38:28

as consistently as they are, but

38:31

you know, still moving the right way.

38:32

We talk all the time.

38:33

You know why you do all these shows atvsen

38:36

guys sports betters understand

38:38

how to hedge bet and use futures as a hedge.

38:40

Nascar guys probably not so much. This is

38:42

where you hedge.

38:43

You use your futures to put a little extra,

38:46

you know, headge your bet a little bit down the stretch.

38:48

Yeah.

38:48

And then there's a couple guys here Brennan

38:50

that I was seeing, you know, obviously Chase l at fifteen

38:52

to one. If you believe that Chase Elli is that guy, he's

38:54

gonna get in and be consistent, that's

38:56

a great bet. Another guy I've been talking about

38:58

how frustrating it's been betting him is Tyler Reddick.

39:01

Tyler Reddick has top five speed, it feels

39:03

like every week, but it finds a

39:05

way to have karuddy finishes. So

39:07

if you believe that a kid right the ship

39:10

twenty two to one for a guy who's you

39:13

know, one where he want to Coda this year

39:15

should have won at least a few more races.

39:17

It feels like that's a that's not a bad bet.

39:19

And ross Chefs say, in a few weeks ago, is I think plus eight

39:21

hundred, eight to fifty or plus nine hundred, he's back up

39:23

to fifteen to one. Yeah, so that's the guy

39:25

that's made the final four last year. He knows

39:27

how to you know, we if that team can just

39:29

get themselves back in the right direction. There's even

39:32

Kyle Busch at seven to fifty I think is a great

39:34

number based off of how hot he's been streaky

39:36

this year. So a lot of numbers here. You can hedge

39:38

with a lot of ways you can. You can really get

39:41

some some some bang

39:43

for your buck. Really and and has that bet down

39:45

the stretch. All right, let's last week.

39:48

Fifty fifty week for.

39:49

The for the for the deals. Nobody won

39:52

lot, but some of us didn't lose much

39:54

and some of us.

39:55

Did lose much.

39:56

I told Michelle to burn this graphic.

39:57

We need to you know, me and Motley, we dig

40:00

I got the Motley got the Stenhouse group f

40:02

win so he was minus point one.

40:04

I got the Denny.

40:05

That was where Denny Hamlin group A last week we

40:07

go at the minus point half a point,

40:09

and then of course the pit crew continuing

40:11

their previous streak of over.

40:15

You know, there was only one that was kind of

40:17

close, and that was Kevin Harvick, but the rest of

40:20

them, man, I just ran into a wall, and

40:22

Christopher Bell didn't have a good race. Kyle Larson obviously,

40:25

Isaiah talked me into Justin Haley. I think

40:27

he finished thirty fifth, like five laps down. And

40:29

then obviously we're high on the Chevy's, like, man,

40:31

this is a Chevy track. They dominated the race

40:34

in the spring, and Kyle Busch

40:36

was really the closest one and he wound up racing his way

40:38

up to a top five finish.

40:39

They didn't come close at all.

40:41

Yeah, so for the season, I just just

40:43

by standing still, I keep pulling away. You

40:48

could have hit that fifty five to one with Chris Buscher, you

40:51

would still be I would have had a Jeff at least you'd

40:53

got ahead of Jeff, but you'd be way behind me still.

40:56

Well, and with that, let's start our pick. So, of

40:58

course, the pit crews been the perennial favorite

41:01

to go first this year.

41:02

So please Wyatt lead

41:04

the way.

41:05

So we're going with some long shots

41:07

this week because we need to.

41:08

And I also redemption because I had Daniel Suarez

41:10

for a top three at California and he finished

41:12

fourth like twelve to one, so we got him at

41:14

fourteen to one. I think this is a race for him that he needs

41:16

to really kind of go for

41:18

the hell Mary and go for the win. Loving with Danny's

41:21

been doing these last handful of races. I got him

41:23

in Group A plus two seventy A guy

41:25

who's dominated this race, this

41:27

race track over the last five years, Kevin Harvick

41:29

to win Group B. I think

41:31

this is the week Ross chas Daine pick

41:33

some moment of back up like him in Group C, and we

41:36

were talking about it in Group BAF Michael McDowell to win.

41:38

He's the guy that needs the consistent finishes

41:41

well.

41:42

Unfortunately, we're going to have a couple of the same this week,

41:44

which kind of bums me out because anytime I have the same as

41:46

the pick care I get nervous. The way they've been picking this year.

41:48

Even Robb's back there shaking his head going, yeah, you

41:50

guys, pictures.

41:52

Rob goes. He asked me he's what I told him

41:54

about black flag. I owe you wave it when we do something bad.

41:56

So he goes, so wave it when you give your picks out. I was like, thanks,

41:59

he's got it out.

42:00

Picker, you got their picks And there's Rob with his black see.

42:03

So mister Motley is not here. But mister Motley

42:06

did phone a friend, he did send

42:08

his picks in and.

42:09

Did he send those to you or me?

42:10

Well, we also have it onographic too.

42:12

Oh you have a grap it? No, how about that.

42:13

Let's bring up the phone for a bit good thing good

42:16

professionally unprofessional come prepared here, apparently

42:19

the picktory does. We got Martin Truex Junior

42:21

at plus two seventy five and Group A. Okay,

42:23

we're gonna be a little head to head action there. He does

42:25

have Kevin Harvick and Group B at plus two seventy

42:28

so you guys are picking the same there. Brad Kislowski

42:30

group, he's finally jumping on the Brad k bandwagon.

42:34

Little hey, never too late, never too

42:36

late, and oh the kiss

42:38

of death, I'm gonna have to change something. Michael McDowell

42:40

Group F to seventy and

42:43

he's taken the four to win theory.

42:45

See now I'm now I really.

42:47

Don't like my picks today. Man,

42:49

the McDowell one. Just I may

42:52

change that on the fly. Right now, I'm just saying, so that

42:54

is Jeff picks for Michigan.

42:55

Well, you want to annoy him because you know he won't

42:57

have to scribble anything.

42:58

He won't to scribble anything out. That's right, because I I haven't haven't

43:00

told him yet. So I'm gonna start

43:02

off.

43:02

I'm gonna go head to head with him in group A, but agree

43:05

with you in group A Denny Hamlin two seventy

43:07

just that he has been solid consistent. If

43:10

Denny keeps not making mistakes on pit lane,

43:12

Danny will be fine. I'm gonna go group

43:14

C head to head against you. I'm taking Chase

43:16

Elliott Group C. I told you every week I'm

43:19

picking a Chase Elliott pick because he's going to start picking

43:21

these up, and I think this is this is honestly

43:23

where I think he's going to get me possibly the win. I

43:25

had him for a top three and then decided to go

43:28

just on the head to head. Uh, I'm

43:30

going into group E. Austin Dillon.

43:33

I said that was one that popped out in my head

43:35

right off the bat, and then

43:37

Group F.

43:38

H Well,

43:40

you could deny us by catching you in Group F.

43:43

You know what, I'm gonna switch it always switching

43:45

on the fly, okay, catching out Jeff Motley's mad at

43:47

me. I am switching to Ryan Priest.

43:50

Okay, all right.

43:51

Uh. It was a toss up between those two, and

43:55

I just I can't. First of all, I hope

43:57

I lose this back. I hope Michael

43:59

mcdowll wins and I actould at least get a point

44:01

for charity or something like that, because I don't want

44:03

a jinx Michael McDowell. So I'm dumping off

44:06

that and then my last pick. I also

44:08

am hedging my bet with Ford. I'm taking the two fifty

44:10

five on Ford.

44:11

I just I like that one.

44:13

Well, from the bottom of my heart, I appreciate you've switching the

44:15

mtime I have to.

44:16

I just I can't do it. I gotta I

44:19

don't want to give him the jinks. So that's

44:21

our show for this week. Why do I think Motley's back

44:23

in studio next week?

44:24

Yes, he's back in studio next week, and then he's off the weekend.

44:26

That's right, And I'm in studio next week, so we actually

44:29

have both of us here next week.

44:29

I becau it's a party.

44:30

Let's going to say it's about time we all three were here for the same

44:32

week.

44:33

That we'll break down everything that is Michigan

44:35

that we just had and then we'll talk about the Indianapolis

44:38

Road Course.

44:38

And the return of Shane Van Giesebergan.

44:42

Get me some more money, Shane. Talk to you guys next

44:44

week. Y'all