Episode Transcript
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0:02
This is Gone Racing, Vison's
0:04
premier NASCAR betting podcast. Here
0:06
are your hosts, former NASCAR driver Brendan
0:08
Gone, and Las Vegas Motor Speedways
0:10
Jeff Mottley, and.
0:13
The Green Flag is out back here on
0:15
Gone Racing again this week. I
0:17
think they introduced us Jeff Motley, Brennan Gone.
0:19
We didn't actually couldn't hear the promo this time.
0:21
But hey, it's great to be back in the studio with you. I almost
0:23
forgot what you look like.
0:24
I appreciate it's great to be back here.
0:25
I just realized as we came on air that I forgot to change
0:27
shirts this morning.
0:30
Uh huh.
0:30
A little free advertising for city Light Shine
0:32
in an accident Vson.
0:33
I promise I was doing something else.
0:35
I got the right hat.
0:36
He's got the right hat. He's got well.
0:38
Look, Brendan owns like five different companies,
0:40
so it's very easy for him. He wears a
0:42
different shirt every day of the week for one of the companies.
0:45
I don't have a wardrobe.
0:46
All I have is different logoed polo shirts
0:48
because that's what I've had to do my whole life. And everybody
0:51
makes fun of me because I don't know how to dress myself. I go listen,
0:53
just what am I wearing that day? And that's what I have to do.
0:55
When was the last time you bought a shirt that you
0:57
wear? Well?
0:59
I always have toy south Point shirts because I
1:01
come here and forget the right shirts.
1:03
That so I have to go to the gift shop.
1:04
You don't just go to Sally's office and say, hey, I need
1:06
a shirt.
1:07
Yeah, I go see when you go to that well.
1:08
Too many times you have to go
1:11
to the well in the gift shop. And by
1:13
the way, Ruth Hall, who has run our gift shop since
1:15
I was two years old, three years old,
1:18
Ruth's still here. I think Ruth
1:20
makes more money in the gift shop than the casino does. I
1:23
bought a Greg Norman polo shirt with south Point
1:25
on it not too long ago. I'm not going to say the price, but dear
1:28
goodness, yeah,
1:31
we'll still do.
1:32
When I get the line from Sally, I gave my last
1:34
one to Brendan, I'm kind of like, okay
1:37
anyway, anyway, Hi mister Motley, Hi,
1:39
it's racing time. We're excited about
1:41
this week because we're going to Chicago. But before
1:43
we can get to the.
1:45
Home I'm excited about wrapping up last week.
1:47
Right before we get the sweet Home Chicago,
1:50
We're going to home of country music, Nashville,
1:52
where we were last week, Ross Chess Day and gets
1:54
a breakthrough. I know that made you excited because
1:56
it gets you one driver close to making
1:58
it more than sixteen winners this year.
2:00
And also who had ross Chasina the group?
2:02
Uh you look you you cleaned
2:05
up on us with the picks last week.
2:07
We're all gonna acknowledge that we're gonna.
2:09
Announe Look you get your last segment
2:11
to Brad.
2:12
Right, it's what the fourth segment is for this
2:14
whole first segment, which is recap
2:16
of Nashville.
2:18
Hey, Brad Kaselowski, who's the guy that
2:20
always picked Brad Kesloski. Who's the guy isn't
2:22
that the pickers made a picker?
2:23
Yep, they did not pick him last week.
2:25
As Dominic Toretto once said, we're
2:27
a family. So I'm helping you win your bets
2:30
by getting you to love Brad Keaslowski.
2:32
I'm just saying I could not win a bet to
2:34
the regular season. I'm still gonna be politic.
2:36
Well, Brendan thinks he was the big winner last week. But
2:38
the big winner last week was Ross Chastein.
2:41
He came in.
2:41
He was eleven to one to win that race, so it got
2:43
us a double digit winner there plus three
2:45
hundred for a top three. He won group beat plus
2:48
two to eighty. He had a headhead against Denny Hamlin
2:50
plus one fifteen. He brought Chevy home at
2:52
minus one oh five. Third
2:54
career victory for Ross. But he also
2:57
kind of swept the Cup weekend.
2:59
He won his first career poll in
3:01
route to win in the race. It was a huge
3:03
deal too, because you had Justin Marx is
3:06
from the Nashville area there. You know, it's kind of hometown
3:08
for him.
3:09
They got Tootsies on on so
3:12
always have a bit, and they had had a music
3:15
guy on. I mean, it was a big deal
3:17
for that team to come back. And remember we've
3:19
been talking he was on a schneid right ever since the sit
3:21
down where Justin said we got to calm down a little,
3:23
which Justin.
3:24
Says it didn't really go down quite that way. About
3:27
this a.
3:27
Month ago, he said it went down that
3:29
way. Justin Justin is an old driver.
3:31
Let's get this straight, because he's racing this weekend Justin's
3:34
an old driver, and Justin is
3:36
as full of poop as anybody else. He says
3:38
what he needs when it matches the deal. When
3:41
when he needs to say that he.
3:42
Had to have that talk with Ross, he had
3:44
to talk with Ross. When he wins, he says, I
3:46
didn't have that talk with Ross.
3:47
Yeah, well, I know when of the Ross was pretty
3:49
pretty darn good. H trucks that came
3:52
in second really didn't have anything for him. Uh,
3:54
But speaking of Martin Trux Junior, there's
3:56
the hottest guy in the sport right now.
3:58
Once again, I will freely admit
4:00
I may be kicking your butts in the picks. But
4:03
is there a minus number of points I get for having
4:05
the worst pick? And we're only in the fifteenth race
4:07
or whatever, eighteenth race of the year.
4:09
Worst pick of the year.
4:11
It's minus fifty minus
4:13
fifteen fifty points, Yes, minus fifty points.
4:15
Well, I might be able to make it up till I'm close enough already.
4:17
Right, I feel like that.
4:19
I think actually that still puts me ahead of you, even if I'm minus
4:21
fifty.
4:21
I kind of feel like, why keeps moving the start
4:23
finish line on you?
4:24
There?
4:24
Yeah, that's okay, because the worst pick
4:26
of the year was me saying the biggest disappointment this season
4:29
was going to be Martin Truex Junior. Martin,
4:32
I owe you like dinner at Michael's,
4:34
because that was the most god awful
4:36
pick I think in the history of our sports.
4:38
Well, well, take a look at the top ten.
4:39
Probably only one really big surprise here, but
4:41
Martin Trix Junior. He was plus two hundred for
4:43
top three. Denny Hamlin also plus
4:45
two hundred for a top three. Chase Elliott,
4:47
A lot of people thought this was a race he really needed to
4:49
win because he'd been so good at Nashville.
4:52
He did come in fourth, had a fairly strong run.
4:55
Only big surprise here, and it was a pleasant
4:57
surprise. Eric Jones with Legacy
4:59
Motor placing eighth in
5:01
this race. It's been a rough year for Legacy
5:04
ever since. I really think they made the announcement that
5:06
they were moving to Toyota next year. I'm
5:08
sure they haven't really been involved in many
5:10
of Chevy's meetings going forward the
5:12
rest of the year. Also, aj Allmendinger coming in
5:14
with the tenth and good run for colleague
5:16
racing. It was a good weekend for AJ Allmendinger.
5:18
He also won the Exfinity race on Saturday.
5:21
But I need a little shout out to our buddy
5:23
Riley herpst.
5:24
He was the top finishing Exfinity
5:26
car, best career finished there, finished second.
5:28
I happened to be standing by his pit
5:30
box for the last fifteen laps of the race and
5:33
saw his dad Troy, and talked to Riley after
5:35
the race.
5:35
And they were pretty pretty excited, to say the least.
5:38
I was very happy with him on
5:40
the second last restart, and I was very unhappy
5:42
with him on the last restart, but
5:44
really proud of Riley.
5:45
But I mean, let's go out.
5:46
I mean AJ Allmendinger a
5:49
good strong How about college racing second?
5:51
I mean Justin Haley qualified second. Now
5:53
didn't have a good race, but still
5:55
college cars showing speed. And that's a
5:58
good sign for this weekend because of what we think when
6:00
we think of road course racing, we think
6:02
AJ Allmendinger. So they've got speed.
6:04
But some some you know, Christopher Bell, good run,
6:07
Eric Jones. That was that team needed that good
6:09
run more than any team needs a good run.
6:11
That was that was finally a good
6:13
run for them.
6:14
Well, take a quick look at our at our standings
6:16
now we're up to eleven eleven different
6:18
winners.
6:19
Yep, we're close.
6:20
I think there's a few guys probably who could get across
6:22
the finish line, certainly with well, we got
6:24
three of two three three road
6:27
course street courses left here in the regular
6:29
season with Chicago, Indian and Watkins
6:31
Glenn. Plus we've got the Atlanta
6:33
and Daytona tracks, so there's certainly five
6:36
outliers out there. Plus we got some
6:38
guys that haven't won this year, like Kevin Harvick,
6:40
like Chase Elliott, who could find their
6:42
way across the line. So Martin
6:44
Trix Junior though, I do think right now he is starting
6:47
to show himself a little bit as a class of the field.
6:49
Yeah, no, Martin's definitely stepping up. And you
6:51
know, let's talk about the points for a second. With that Chase Elliott
6:53
move. You know, you don't see him on the on the front
6:55
page here, and you'll see him on the cut line page.
6:58
Because remember, Chase has missed so many races
7:00
this year. But let's talk about can
7:02
Chase Elliott point his way in. There's
7:04
the you know you're seeing the graphic now with with
7:07
where the cut line is and this cut line we've talked Jeff,
7:10
it is a bloodbath. I mean, if you look at the
7:12
drivers, the teams, the numbers there. But remember
7:14
Chase Elliott all the way down right now
7:16
in twenty fifth, two hundred and eighty nine
7:19
points, he's only
7:21
sixty sixty four point four points
7:24
out.
7:24
Of pointing his way in.
7:26
With the three road courses like we named,
7:28
I think Chase Elliott does not need to win a race.
7:30
Now I would agree that he doesn't need to win
7:32
a race, but also part of this
7:34
is going to depend on how does Alex
7:37
Bowman race, how does Daniel Suarez race?
7:39
Because it's one thing for Chase Elliot to go
7:41
out and finish fourth like he did at Nashville and made
7:43
up a bunch of points last week. But if Alex
7:45
Bowman and Daniel Suarez go out and run seventh
7:48
and eighth and Chase Elliot's running fourth
7:50
man, he's not gonna make up as much ground on those guys that
7:52
he's trying to catch.
7:53
Well, and let's talk about guys that
7:55
are not even we're talking about that. Austin
7:58
Dillon had a huge penalty earlier this year, so
8:00
he's way down on the points because he had the big penalty.
8:03
Austin can win a race at Daytona
8:05
and Talladega very well, I mean.
8:07
And that's when I was joking about the start
8:09
finish line moving. See if somebody
8:11
outside the top sixteen wins a race, well,
8:14
suddenly Chase Elliott's finish line moved farther
8:16
away.
8:16
Further away.
8:17
Absolutely, So you know, you look at this,
8:19
there's Austin Dillon
8:21
that hasn't won.
8:21
That's out there. There's still Chase Elliott that hasn't won. That's
8:24
out there.
8:24
You've got Michael McDowell we talked about with all
8:26
these road carre courses, how well he's doing.
8:29
Aj Allmendinger, who hasn't won with all
8:31
these road courses.
8:32
You have you know Ty Gibbs who's quietly
8:34
having a very very nice.
8:37
Rookie season sitting just outside
8:39
the cut line. You got Daniel Suarez who's
8:41
outside the cut line. You have big names
8:43
and big teams and big drivers that
8:45
can get them that there's a lot of this
8:48
line is going to be nasty coming down the stretch.
8:50
And you mentioned the sixty four points.
8:52
All right, look at the standings up there right now,
8:55
Let's just go off the points for this week,
8:57
okay, and forget what points are
8:59
going to get at CHICAI If aj Allmendinger
9:02
won at Chicago and Chase
9:04
Elliott goes from sixty four points back
9:06
to ninety two, two points back because the
9:08
guy in fifteenth, Bubba Wallace, would
9:10
fall to sixteenth and that's ninety two points different.
9:12
So I think that's where you.
9:14
Can't just say, oh, Chase Elliott has sixty four
9:16
points to make up. He could run well
9:19
and still have that number change
9:21
on him in the wrong direction. So that's why it's going
9:23
to be tough. Let's take a quick look at our upcoming
9:26
schedule we talked about this week. We're really excited about
9:28
going to Chicago. Then we're going to go to Atlanta
9:30
second time this year. First track we're visiting for
9:32
the second time, and then we'll head up to
9:34
loud in New Hampshire, Pocono and then
9:37
the short track of Richmond, Virginia. That'll be the second
9:39
track we're visiting for the second time. So pretty
9:41
exciting schedule coming up. But Brendon,
9:44
I am, I am. I'm fired
9:46
up for this week.
9:47
You know, I'm one of those guys I talked to Moody
9:49
this week. And I've never been a guy
9:51
that whether it's good. And you know, we've been together
9:53
a long time doing media tours, you know, we've.
9:55
Done all these things. I'm a guy when it comes.
9:57
To the sport Jeff that says, I
9:59
don't if I like it or dislike it.
10:02
We're going to see what it is and play it out. When
10:05
when the chase started, the sprint
10:07
for the Cup started to know for everybody
10:10
poop pooed the.
10:10
Idea, everybody this and that, and I said, timeout, I don't
10:12
know if it's.
10:13
Good or bad. I can have my
10:15
druthers of what I think, but let's play
10:17
it out, you know. And it turned out to be the
10:19
start of what I think is one of the greatest playoff formats
10:21
in all sport.
10:23
Then we went to the new car, the Gen
10:25
the next gen car.
10:27
Okay, and didn't go quite as well.
10:29
It didn't go quite as well, but NASCAR made
10:31
a quick reboot and chase it.
10:33
So I'm never a guy that says, oh,
10:36
I hate this before you started it, or I did or
10:38
I loved it before it started, because you're not
10:40
giving it a fair account. I can say whether I
10:42
liked something I liked the next
10:44
Gen car.
10:45
It had a wing. I thought these things were great. It
10:47
turned out to be a bust.
10:48
I loved the chase for the Sprint Cup and still loved
10:50
it to this day. So you know, it's
10:53
it's one of those things where this race, I think
10:55
this car in particular makes
10:58
this feasible.
10:58
Well, I think you look at the last five years and some of the really
11:01
cool things NASCAR has tried, whether
11:03
it's going to Austin, going
11:05
to Road America, running at the LA Coliseum,
11:08
running a race on dirt, going in crystal
11:11
dirt exactly, running
11:13
in the Iowa Cornfield if you will, in North Wilkesboro,
11:15
North Carolina. You know, so they've been able
11:17
to take some risks and take
11:19
some chances.
11:20
This is another risk, but it's also a great opportunity.
11:23
You're in downtown Chicago.
11:25
Man, come on, if they don't have play Blues
11:27
Brothers have to inter join ins on NBC.
11:29
I'm going to do that.
11:30
Well, I actually think the Bluesmobile should be the
11:32
pace car.
11:32
That's my thought. So the fastest
11:35
thing since Jake and Elwood. So I'm
11:37
calling on donnad all right, we'll be.
11:38
Back on Gone Racing We're going to show you the course
11:41
layout and start giving you the odds.
12:04
This is Gone Racing, Vson's
12:06
premier NASCAR betting podcast. Here
12:08
are your hosts, former NASCAR driver Brendan
12:11
Gahn and Las Vegas Motor Speedways
12:13
Jeff Motley.
12:14
All right here we.
12:15
Are back here at the South Point, oh Tol
12:17
Casino at Lovely Beson Studios talking
12:20
all things to Chicago Street Race.
12:22
Brendan, you know where you and I really dropped the ball.
12:24
We really really should have dressed up like Jake
12:26
and Elwood for the show today.
12:28
You know, I am such a Blues Brothers fan
12:31
since I was. It came out before I was, you know, I
12:34
watched it. But Kerrie Fisher, the
12:36
original Blues Brothers the chase
12:38
scene. By the way, part of these roads are
12:41
in the famous chase scene that
12:43
are in Grant Park.
12:44
I mean that's they go right through.
12:46
They're going to be racing around Grant Park and Buckingham
12:48
Fountain is in the middle of the course.
12:50
The bean is going to be just on the north side
12:52
of the course.
12:53
You go back and watch the famous Blues Brothers
12:55
car chase scene through Chicago, and it's
12:58
right here.
12:58
Right here.
12:59
So here's a look at the course and and
13:01
Brendon and I know obviously no one has ever raced
13:03
on this course, so uh, we got a
13:05
lot of tight corners, We've
13:07
got a couple of fairly linkedy
13:09
straightaways.
13:11
It's so I've talked to some people about the course.
13:13
It is very tight and that's that is very.
13:15
Different rough I'm hearing it because they did not
13:17
really pave the street.
13:19
You know what we're doing here for Formula one, no grip.
13:21
I was told extremely low grip, lower than Sonoma,
13:23
which if that's possible, I didn't know it was, and
13:27
very tight on the corners. What I what
13:29
I see out of this though, is if you look at this track map,
13:32
long straightaway corner, long
13:34
straight away corner, long straight away
13:36
corner, there's many passing zones here, because
13:39
remember a quarner is where you're going the only
13:41
place you're going to pass. So I see one,
13:43
two, three, four, five, I
13:45
see six legit passing zones,
13:48
which is a lot of passing.
13:49
And I think I think the area from turn
13:51
two to turn five, because
13:54
turn three and turn four are
13:56
really just like a curve to me, that
13:58
is where you're really really going to need to
14:00
make some hay in that four and five you're going to kind of have to
14:02
do.
14:03
We don't have to keep your momentum through four and five
14:05
to be able to pass when you get to
14:07
turn six, I believe is what that is. So my
14:10
thing about this is I see passing opportunities,
14:13
but it's going to have to be old
14:16
school risky, stick
14:18
your nose in, be there and
14:20
force your way. And if you look that three
14:22
of the opportunities are the same turn corners,
14:25
So that means if you get the inside six,
14:27
you have the inside for seven, which is where
14:29
you want to be. This is it's
14:32
going to be old school road coursing. And to me,
14:35
we don't have a lot of data points on this. NASCAR
14:37
doesn't.
14:37
We don't.
14:38
We're going to and we're picking this. Let's start
14:40
start prefacing this now, Jeff.
14:42
We're picking this on Thursday.
14:44
We haven't seen a practice, laugh, we
14:46
haven't seen anything except the entry
14:48
list. So guys, what
14:50
we're going to do today, way
14:53
early in this right now, no one.
14:55
Put your money down to qualifying is over and
14:58
we.
14:58
Unfortunately that put our money down on Thursday.
15:01
But we're gonna tell anybody how smarter, how
15:03
dumb we are when it's all over.
15:04
But what I see is there are names in
15:06
this field that when
15:09
we were going to get the odds here a second that
15:11
I'm going to look at traditional guys
15:13
that have raced at a Long Beach, guys that have raced
15:16
at a Belle Isle, guys that have raced
15:18
at the street courses
15:20
somewhere. Austin Syndric aj
15:24
Allmendinger. You named, You named a name that NASCAR
15:26
fans are going to have no clue who he is. But
15:29
you know there's gonna be some we might I might actually
15:32
put money on a Jensen button this weekend. A Rick Wercar
15:34
because he is so knowledgeable about
15:38
street racing.
15:38
Right.
15:39
And and the guy you met, Shane van Geesebergen,
15:41
who is from New Zealand.
15:42
You notice that, Hey did you hear that?
15:43
Little?
15:44
What I had to do is I had the MC his press
15:46
conference at Nashville, so I got
15:48
the pronunciation right. Shane vng geesebegan,
15:52
that's pretty good. He's Australian. And next news
15:54
he's.
15:54
From New Zealand.
15:55
You WoT I know? They man,
15:57
he's from New Zealand, but he's raced the V eight
16:00
supercars down there, which most Americans
16:02
know. Marcus Ambrose a very successful
16:04
racer down there.
16:05
NASCAR fan in America.
16:06
The closest thing you have anywhere in the world to a stock
16:08
car, and honestly, one cup car, a
16:11
cup car. One of the baddest to the bone race
16:13
cars in the world is a V eight supercar.
16:16
Muscle car, big heavy car, big
16:18
motor. It's bad to the bone racing.
16:20
And I used to talk to Marcus about going down to
16:23
Australian racing one because I want to do it one day.
16:25
But if he comes from VA supercars,
16:28
that puts him in a category that I like.
16:29
You know, and I think with the simulators and everything else,
16:31
now, I mean, he's obviously going to get, you know, a
16:34
feel of what it is. And guess what, He's got as
16:36
much time on that racetrack as everybody else is
16:38
going to have. Absolutely And one other interesting rule
16:40
that NASCAR passed this week, no
16:42
one racing in the Cup race
16:44
is allowed to race the Exfinity race
16:46
on Saturday, so no one's going to get any
16:49
extra lap, so it's going to be exciting. I
16:51
think this course layout reminds me a little bit
16:53
of Watkins Glen maybe because of the bus stop
16:55
and in the back, but I
16:58
don't know.
16:58
We'll see, we'll see how out.
17:00
But we've got to get to our odds here, Briny,
17:02
so our odds to win and our favorite
17:04
this week. I'm actually
17:06
a little bit surprised, but Chase
17:09
Elliott is coming in at a plus five hundred
17:11
as our favorite. Then Tyler Reddick, Martin
17:13
Truex Junior, the hottest man in Nascart
17:15
plus six fifty, Kyle Larson's plus
17:17
seven fifty, a j Allmendinger plus nine
17:19
hundred, Kyle Busch ten to one, William
17:21
Byron eleven to one, Ross Chastein twelve
17:24
to one. And then the numbers get much bigger.
17:26
Chris Bush at twenty, Daniel Suarez,
17:28
Christopher Bell at twenty five, Michael McDowell,
17:30
Austin Sindrick at twenty eight, Joey
17:33
Logano, who always seems to win the
17:35
first race anytime we go anywhere, although he
17:37
didn't win at northwolkes Borough. He and Denny
17:39
Hammon are thirty to one and Alex Bowman
17:41
forty to one.
17:42
Well, look I start off with it.
17:43
Let's talk about the Joylgono thing won the inaugural
17:47
Colosseum.
17:47
Race, and he won the first dirt race at Bristol, won
17:49
the.
17:49
Dirt race at Bristol, and we said he had no dirt
17:52
experience. We on this show, We're like, oh,
17:54
he didn't even talk about Joeyligan.
17:55
He didn't win the first Code of race, and he didn't win the first
17:57
Northwolke Sports.
17:58
He didn't win them all.
17:59
But if you go back to when even
18:01
back in the Kentucky, I think he won Kentucky the year it
18:03
came out. I think he, you know, Joey the Gondal, is
18:05
a guy that knows how to win at these new tracks. So I
18:08
do like the Joy the Gone, but I said, I'm gonna focus on
18:10
guys that have traditional road race experience.
18:12
Let's start on this page. Michael McDowell
18:14
twenty eight to one, Austin Cindric twenty eight to one,
18:17
Daniel Suarez twenty five to one. These
18:20
are big long odds, and the Dinger at plus
18:22
nine hundred, I get the chase. Elliott
18:24
is a favorite plus five hundred. I
18:27
get it just because maybe we talked
18:29
about what he did a couple years ago, but I
18:31
think that that's way overrated, and
18:34
so I am going to fade Chase on a win here.
18:36
But man, I do like the dinger at nine
18:39
hundred. That's a great return. Ross
18:41
Chastain. Remember what he did at Coda. I remember how well
18:43
he's run at that place. I
18:45
like, there are big numbers here. I'm
18:48
so far in the lead I could just pick winners and see and
18:50
live and pull away from it.
18:51
And at the risk of you disagree
18:53
with me. You're the guy that's been a professional race car
18:55
driver. Clearly I have not. But I
18:57
do not compare this track
19:00
really to any road course, because there's
19:02
one thing that does not have no runoff.
19:05
If you make a.
19:06
Mistake here, you've hit a wall,
19:08
or you've hit a tire barrier. You've not
19:10
kicked up some dust at Sonoma or
19:12
those big, huge runoffs that do we
19:14
have heny years.
19:16
If I yelled at you about nascarizing
19:18
these road courses, what I say about Walkins, Glenn
19:20
and Sonoma, and why I love road America so
19:23
much is the nascarising the tracks
19:25
I hate now. Road America
19:27
has a penalty for missing huge curves,
19:30
dirt, grass, gravel pit, nasty stuff.
19:32
Sonoma, Walkins Glenn, They've got rid of those.
19:34
You can you can.
19:35
Blow drawn off. I got as fault out there.
19:37
You can keep blow.
19:38
Turn one by a mile and you're passed
19:40
three people. You know, this is
19:43
the nth degree of road racing. This
19:45
is where if you miss a shift going into a
19:47
corner and wheel hop, you are hitting a wall and
19:49
ending your day. So that's why to
19:51
me, I like some of these names
19:54
that that maybe you wouldn't normally talk about.
19:56
Maybe you're in equipment a lah Shane
19:58
Vane's.
20:01
Uh Jens began.
20:02
We're in some of these cars that maybe are lesser teams
20:04
that were not used to but they're not going to
20:06
make those mistakes. That's
20:08
what I like. I mean, I've raced long Beach, I've
20:11
raced street courses. It is a different
20:13
animal. If you know what you're doing, it will be a
20:15
huge advantage.
20:16
Taking care of your car. Okay, are long shots,
20:18
and it's interesting see some of these names on the long
20:20
shot list, if you will. But Ryan Blaney
20:22
coming off a horrible crash at Nashville last week
20:24
along with Kevin Harvick at forty five to one, Ty
20:26
Gibbs is fifty that man Shane Van
20:29
gheesbeg and I just like saying his name fifty
20:31
five to one, Chase Briscoe, Brad Keselowski
20:34
at sixty five, Ricky Stenhouse
20:36
Junior, Bubba Wallace at eighty, Todd
20:38
Gidlan, Ryan Priest, Noah Gregson, Justin
20:41
Haley, Jensen Button making a return
20:43
this week, Harrison Burton, Eric Jones, Corey
20:45
La Joy All at one hundred to one.
20:47
Anybody off this page, I guess anybody
20:50
can listen.
20:51
I want to get to the top threes because Jensen
20:53
Button for a top three Shane van Geisberg
20:55
in fifty five to one hundred to one. Okay, I like
20:57
it, but top three is a little more legit.
21:00
Yet. Maybe let's say, and if they're one hundred
21:02
to one here in fifty five to one here, what are they going
21:04
to be for the top threes?
21:05
Well, we are about to find out. So
21:07
let's take a quick look at our top threes here. No
21:10
big surprise here that we have Chase Elliott
21:12
at plus one forty, Tyler Reddick
21:14
and Martin Trix Junior plus one eighty five, Kyle
21:16
Larson's a plus two ten, Al mcdinger
21:19
two fifty, Kyle Busch two sixty, Byron
21:21
three hundred Chastain three thirty, bush
21:23
Or six hundred, Suarez and Bell seven
21:25
hundred, McDowell and Sindric seven
21:27
point fifty, Logano and Hamlet at eight,
21:30
Alex Bowman at nine.
21:32
Decent returns on the guys, I was mentioned Cindric
21:34
at seven fifty and a McDowell
21:36
seven fifty, Danner at two fifty. Man
21:38
they took that just lower than
21:40
I really want.
21:41
I'd like to say that at three hundred well, and rather pick
21:44
him.
21:44
To win basically at the nine hundred than
21:46
the two fifty. But the next page, Motley
21:48
is the one that I think is is.
21:50
All right, We'll take a quick look there.
21:52
Also Blainey and Harvick both are coming in at
21:54
a plus nine hundred, ty Gibbs at ten to one,
21:56
Van Gisbeggan at eleven to one, Briscoe
21:58
and Keselowski, Si Stenhouse and
22:00
Wallace at twenty two, and a whole
22:02
bunch of guys at twenty eight.
22:05
And in that whole bunch of guys is Jensen Button.
22:07
I gotta tell you, Jensen, but it's
22:10
a Rickware car. I don't think it may
22:12
be a little bit more than a Rickware car.
22:14
That's gonna be a Roush engine.
22:16
Is it gonna be a Penske. They're
22:18
a Ford teen feen, So.
22:20
I mean, I think it'll have a little bit more under the
22:22
under the hood. I think it'll have a little bit maybe, you know,
22:24
maybe it's going to come from a different shop. You
22:26
know how those things work some days that we don't always
22:28
know.
22:29
But I like the Van.
22:30
Gisberg and angle. I like the Jensen button angle.
22:32
Those are big returns on guys that have
22:34
so much experience.
22:36
I think it will come into play well.
22:38
I think it's gonna be interesting because I won't be shocked to see
22:40
somebody who surprises the heck out
22:42
of us.
22:42
So, okay, we come back.
22:44
We'll start getting our head to heads and our
22:46
group matchups.
23:05
This is Gone Racing, Visa's
23:07
premiere NASCAR Beny podcast. You're
23:10
your hosts former NASCAR driver Brendan
23:12
Gon and Las Vegas Motor Speedways
23:14
Jeff Motley.
23:16
Want to we watch any part of today's show or any
23:18
past show. Check out the Gone Racing Podcast.
23:20
It's free and available now at Vison dot
23:22
com, slash podcast, or wherever you
23:24
get your podcast. We give you all the latest
23:26
news, odds and everything you need to know.
23:29
Heading to the bed encounter before each NASCAR
23:31
Cup Series race. While you're there, catch up
23:33
on all the other Vson shows as well. It's
23:35
Vison dot Com Slash Podcast.
23:38
Welcome back, everybody. I'm Jake. This
23:41
is Elwood. We're talking about Chicago this
23:43
weekend. Not really, this is Jeff
23:45
and that's Brandon.
23:46
But I think we're both more Jake than we are Elwood.
23:48
Well, you know this is probably true.
23:51
Jake was Belushi, Yes, yeah, j
23:54
yeah. I might have used to have Acroyds
23:57
bigger, but I don't anymore. So yeah, you and
23:59
I probably both John Belushi these
24:01
days. But except we're live,
24:04
we are a live So that's good.
24:05
You're down thirty thirty take
24:07
it. Wow, she's just exercising,
24:09
just exercising. I thought they said
24:12
you lose more in the kitchen than you do in the
24:14
gym. Wow, I'm
24:16
impressed. That's good. All right.
24:18
I got to get notes from Brendan after the show on
24:20
weight loss I believe. So okay, let's
24:23
talk about our head to head matchups
24:25
as we had to Chicago.
24:27
The Street Race not to be confused with Chicago
24:29
Land Speedway. Everybody you know that was an or
24:32
Chicago Motor Speedway, which I actually
24:35
was at that track one time, so I remember
24:37
going there. They were filming that movie
24:39
Driven or something like that. I believe Stallone
24:42
was there that day. I met all kinds of interesting
24:44
people that day as a Richard Dent was there robbing
24:46
you out?
24:47
Was there?
24:47
Chris and I went up to meet with Robbie ray
24:49
Hall about bringing a cart race to Vegas.
24:51
It was like, was it two thousand or two
24:53
thousand and one or someone?
24:54
I was not full time one.
24:56
You were racing because Kyle Busch I think, had to road
24:59
the plane back.
24:59
He was race.
25:00
He was like sixteen years old before they made him get out of
25:02
the truck when they went to Fontanas. So one a
25:04
long time ago. So okay, let's get back
25:06
to our head to heads. Here a
25:08
lot of Chase Elliott love, a lot of Chase Elliot
25:10
love, which makes me want to
25:12
bet against Chase Elliott almost here.
25:14
But Ross Chastain won twenty five minus
25:16
one forty five. I mean, look, Chastain's
25:19
proven himself to be a pretty decent little road racer.
25:21
And Chastain has
25:24
you know, he's riding high, right, I mean, the kid just
25:26
came off of another win.
25:27
He's finally got himself.
25:28
You know, they're not talking about You're not talking about
25:31
you had It's.
25:31
Been might be a record for Ross.
25:34
It's been what four or five races since we've heard
25:36
Ross chastpain being a schmuck.
25:38
So now he's got to win.
25:40
He's kind of pitching some of that
25:43
to the wayside. You had here where you
25:46
can you can root people out here and it's not going to really
25:48
piss anybody off.
25:48
Well, and I don't you probably weren't able to catch
25:51
all of Ross chas Stayin's post race press
25:53
conference. I'd actually sit through all thirty
25:55
minutes of it last Sunday night.
25:58
He made an interesting point. He said that he
26:00
had spoken with a number
26:02
of drivers. Truex Hamlin
26:05
were a couple of drivers he had talked to, and
26:07
they had kind of given him a little bit
26:09
of a little bit. Okay,
26:11
look, when somebody is really faster
26:14
than you are, unless you're racing
26:16
for the stage win or you're racing for the race,
26:18
wind show some courtesy and I'll bet
26:20
you those guys will show you that courtesy back. And
26:23
he talked about how at the end of the second stage,
26:25
how hard Truex raced
26:27
him, but he said that was at the end of the stage.
26:30
But he said everything that
26:32
they said would happen on the
26:34
racetrack happened, happened. I raced
26:36
those guys with respect. Those
26:38
guys raced me with respect. I mean,
26:41
Truex had a shot at him there, probably
26:43
with about eight or ten laps to go, gave
26:45
it his best. But I think everybody knows Martin
26:47
Trix Junior he's not going to put a fender on
26:49
anybody.
26:50
He just doesn't race that way.
26:51
Had he not had that conversation, and this was still
26:53
the Ross Schastain that they were everybody so mad at
26:56
even Martin Truex would have gone up there and dumped
26:58
him, you know.
26:59
So there's the differ diferences. He had the talk.
27:02
All right, I'll give you the leeway here on this
27:04
talk. Let's see if you honor it. I'll
27:06
honor it to you if you want it to me. And they did, and hopefully
27:09
Ross learned from it, because that'll be a bonus.
27:11
But one twenty five versus Chase.
27:13
I like that, Yeah, I do too. I think that's
27:15
part of it. I like that one.
27:16
I think the other one maybe that I really kind of like
27:18
up there is and I really don't know why.
27:21
I kind of like Christopher Bell the plus one twenty
27:23
against Kyle Busch.
27:24
I just I get this one
27:26
day till Bell just's.
27:28
You know, I don't know. He's a young guy who
27:30
these kind of things just seem to come naturally for
27:32
him. So I kind of like that one too. But
27:34
I'm with you. I really like Ross chest Day and against
27:36
Chase Elliot. All right, let's take it. Start getting into
27:38
our group matchups here, and I'm just gonna tell
27:40
all the folks here, the group matchups this week
27:43
are really hard to pick. At
27:45
least they're gonna be really hard to pick into Qualifying is over
27:47
on Saturday. So Brenda and I are gonna
27:49
do our best here. So group bay, Chase Elliot's
27:51
the favorite, Tyler Reddick, who's shown
27:54
great prowess on the road courses, plus two seventy
27:56
five, Martin Truex Junior who won
27:58
it Sonoma and is the hottest guy right now at
28:00
plus two eighty Kyle Larson at plus
28:02
two eighty five.
28:04
Yeah, I mean Hendrick, Hendrick
28:07
Toyota Toyota, you know, I mean this
28:09
is a battle
28:11
of road course titans here, right, I mean, I think that's
28:14
every road course win just about except for Ross Chastain
28:16
in the last few races. Very
28:19
tough to pick this one, especially before qualifying,
28:21
especially before practice, especially before
28:23
knowing anything about what's going to happen. So
28:26
I am really really not comfortable
28:28
picking Group A because I got to see
28:30
what's going on, so I can't touch it.
28:32
I'm with you, boy, Group A. I
28:34
think my gut right here tells
28:37
me. I just love how hot Trueex has been.
28:39
I don't like Elliott, I
28:41
really don't. I just he hasn't
28:44
done anything yet this year too.
28:45
I've been saying, remember, I might keep picking Chase Elliot every
28:47
week because he's going to win one of these. So I mean, I
28:49
could but keep with my trend and say I'm going to pick
28:51
Chase Elliot just because I think he's going to win one here soon.
28:53
But I kind of think this group's gonna come down to truection
28:55
Reddick. I really do, But it's
28:58
just my thought. Our group b our favorites
29:00
there Ross Chastain and aj Allmendinger
29:03
two point fifty five, Kyle Busch is plus
29:05
two seventy and Chris Buscher, who,
29:07
oh my goodness, couldn't We've got about we'd
29:09
certainly get him at least Group C or Group D. He's
29:12
a plus three ten, a big number. But man, you're gonna
29:14
pick him against Ross Chastain and aj Allmendinger.
29:16
There's a reason why he's in Group B.
29:18
Last ten road course races, eight top tens,
29:20
average finish eight point one.
29:22
Ain't a road course.
29:24
Last ten left and right turn courses
29:26
in NASCAR, eight
29:29
top tens in the last ten races.
29:31
Jeff Motley, we have talked about this.
29:32
The silent assassin on road
29:35
courses has been Chris Buscher.
29:36
So he absolutely deserves to be in
29:39
Group B. But that really pisses me
29:41
up.
29:41
That's what I'm saying. I was hoping not to have him in
29:43
group.
29:43
B because you put him against Ross Chastain.
29:46
The guy aj Allmendinger we've talked about, Kyle
29:48
Busch, you.
29:49
Know, is like dog gone it.
29:51
I mean, Kyle Busch average finished sixteen one last
29:53
ten, Chris Buscher average finished eight.
29:56
See.
29:56
The guy I really like here is Almendinger. I just
29:58
hope he has the car that's gonna do it.
30:00
I think colleague has the car.
30:02
I think he's got he's the driver. I think could be the car.
30:04
We'll see, all right, let's take a look.
30:05
Sure, come on, how do they put our men that kills
30:08
us?
30:08
I know, I'm like, that's my ticket cash machine.
30:11
It will pay me hem machine for gone racing.
30:13
Now, it will pay me not to pick them this week,
30:15
all right?
30:15
Group, see, William Byron is our favorite there
30:17
at plus two forty. Christopher Bell
30:20
is a two point fifty five, Michael McDowell
30:22
plus two to ninety, Denny Hamlin plus
30:24
three ten.
30:25
That's a big number on Denny Hamlin.
30:26
Yeah, I'm trying to get a stat here for Denny Hamlin.
30:29
Okay, Well, Denny Hamlin last
30:31
ten road course.
30:32
Races, I know it's not a road
30:34
course.
30:34
Well, and Sonoma, let's kind of.
30:37
He was running great at Sonoma and
30:39
he made that driving blunder
30:41
by smacking the of all walls
30:43
to turn twelve.
30:44
So the only top five
30:46
he has had in the last ten races was
30:49
Charlotte Road Course in twenty twenty
30:51
one. He has been awful
30:54
on no top tens, one top five, had
30:56
the pollet. Sonoma finished thirty six for a mistake.
30:59
So that's why Denny Hamlin is the dog in this
31:01
group, and apparently rightfully so. You
31:04
pointed out, you know, the Christopher
31:07
Bell thing, how he runs well everywhere.
31:09
I get that.
31:09
Also, McDowell is statistically
31:13
leader in the clubhouse. Mcdalell has
31:15
the best average finish, the most
31:17
top tens of anybody in this group.
31:20
So that leads me to you know, Seabell.
31:22
The only difference is he's got the one win
31:24
at Daytona. But other than that, mcdala
31:27
statistically is the best driver in the group.
31:28
See my thing with Denny Hamlin, and I look back
31:30
at the Sonoma thing with him qualifying on the
31:32
pole. Denny Hamlin is really
31:35
good on road courses when there's nobody else out
31:37
there. He doesn't race well,
31:39
but he's really good at getting around the track. He usually
31:41
tends to qualify well. I think
31:43
qualifying is going to be so important
31:46
in this race that I think
31:48
that Denny Hamlin. I think it plus
31:50
three ten plus three ten
31:53
at that.
31:53
Number A lot of juice left in there for a three to ten
31:55
on a guy like Denny Hamlin. So I
31:57
get where you're going. Me personally,
31:59
I like the two mids there. I like the two ninety
32:02
mcdallas. It's got enough enticement
32:04
to get me there. And I like Seabell at two fifty
32:06
five, just you know, based
32:08
off of what I saw him at Daytona the one year. So
32:11
I mean, I I kinda I'm in
32:13
the middle road.
32:13
Well, and one other thing with Danny Hamlin is I don't
32:15
think that he's gonna have to worry about any green, any any
32:18
yellow flag pit stops where you can lose fifteen
32:20
spots on pitt Road. I think everybody will
32:22
want to pit under green on this track,
32:24
And if you lose a second under green, that's not
32:26
nearly as bad as losing a second under yellow. A second
32:29
under yellow is fifteen spots. A second under green
32:31
might be one or two spots on the racetrack. So
32:33
all right, let's take a look at Group D. Here, Austin Sindricks
32:36
our favorite at plus two twenty, Daniel Suarez
32:38
two seventy, Ryan Blaney plus three
32:40
oh five along with his teammate Joey
32:43
Logano plus three oh five in
32:45
Group D, Blaine and Legano three
32:47
o five's in Group D.
32:48
Yeah.
32:49
Well, you know, once again, I started off the show
32:51
talking about what old Joey Logano
32:53
does at these new tracks. You put him as
32:55
the dog. The only fear I have there
32:57
is. Look, I was super high on Daniel Suarez. I
32:59
think the last two years I was like, Daniel
33:01
Suarez a great road racer, and I think he's
33:04
blown more transmission than I blew in my career
33:06
in the last five or six road races.
33:08
So I am off the Suarez bandwagon.
33:10
Now he's got one win, three top fives
33:12
in the last ten on road courses.
33:15
But in the other ones it's.
33:18
Twenty seven, twenty seven, thirty six, twenty eight, twenty
33:21
four, thirty seven, blown transmission, blown
33:23
transmission blow. You know, it's like dang so.
33:26
I mean, he's either feast or famine, so to speak.
33:28
But Joey Logano, man at them new tracks.
33:31
Joey Logano's well.
33:32
And you know, and Ryan Blaney's been a guy that's been good
33:34
on road course talking about I
33:36
mean, this is a.
33:37
Tough group here to pick.
33:38
I mean, because I think it's one of where you can make an argument
33:40
for everybody, and you know, the old one.
33:42
Can't make an arm the others.
33:43
Okay, we come back, we'll have our final segment, we'll
33:45
go finish up our groups, and we'll give you our picks
33:48
for Chicago.
34:11
This is gone Racing. Feasa's
34:13
premier NASCAR betting podcast. You're
34:15
your hosts former NASCAR driver Brendan
34:17
Gone and Las Vegas Motor Speedways
34:20
Jeff Motley.
34:21
And well, we get the white flag with one
34:24
segment to go.
34:24
I was expecting the green flag and then
34:26
the white flag with one minute to go.
34:29
Well, we get the white flag. It's a four lap
34:31
race.
34:31
That's too much counting for me to figure out.
34:33
But listen.
34:34
As bad as they are with giving us countdowns, let's
34:38
just start with white flag last segment.
34:39
But my earl Ross nugget for you here. That
34:41
is four lap race.
34:43
That is three laps longer than the
34:45
first ever race that was ever held,
34:47
which was actually held in Chicago in
34:49
eighteen ninety five. It was a one lap race,
34:52
average speed seven miles per hour.
34:54
I want you to know this true story. Go look it up.
34:56
They race from downtown Chicago to Evanston,
34:58
Illinois and back. They had to
35:01
avoid dead horses on the course, people
35:03
walking out into the road. There were only
35:05
six cars in the race. It's true story. Go look it up.
35:07
First race.
35:08
Eighteen cars were invented later than that. I
35:10
was first.
35:11
I was thinking that he's full of crap because I don't think there's
35:13
cars in eighteen ninety five. Second, wouldn't
35:17
that be called like a cannonball run running on like county
35:19
roads?
35:19
Well, yeah, pretty much was. But I'm telling you a
35:22
true story. Go look it up. Go look it up.
35:24
Eighteen ninety five. Yep, there were more horse drawn
35:26
carriages. There were not many cars, but there were. There
35:28
were six cars in the race, average speed seven
35:31
miles per hour.
35:31
It was a very small I
35:34
say, I just got on my air and said, eighteen sixty six
35:36
was when cars first invented.
35:37
Okay, well I don't believe this set at all.
35:39
Well, eighteen ninety five there was a race
35:41
in Chicago. So anyway, all right, we're getting to
35:43
finish up our group matchups here.
35:45
Group E.
35:46
Kevin Harvick major favorite at plus one eighty,
35:48
Ty Gibbs plus two ten, and some big numbers
35:50
on some pretty big drivers Alex Bowman plus
35:52
three hundred and Brad Keselowski
35:54
plus three sixty five.
35:57
I think once or twice Brandon, we might have seen a plus
35:59
four hundred or something on a group, but this is a very
36:01
very big number.
36:02
I'm too busy looking up the automobile right now.
36:04
Well, you can look that up when the show's over.
36:06
Sorry, uh no here.
36:07
So we were talking off air, I
36:11
that enticed, right. We talked about a book
36:14
enticing us to bet somewhere. Well you're
36:16
enticing us. You've got Kevin Harvick at plus one. Look at
36:18
the spread plus one eighty and plus three sixty
36:20
five. Why Kevin Harvick
36:23
is the favorite at that one point eighty I'm
36:25
not one thousand percent sure of.
36:28
To me either. That's why I'm not picking him.
36:30
I mean, Harvick is three top
36:33
tens, two top fives, average finished fourteen.
36:35
Alex Bowman three top tens, two top fives, average
36:37
finished thirteen to four. Okay, so I like
36:39
Alex Bowman on the numbers. You and I think the wildcard
36:42
here is Ty Gibbs because he has it's
36:44
done so well in the Xfinity Series and roll course stuff.
36:46
But who's been cashing more tickets for me
36:48
lately than even Chris Buscher. His teammate,
36:50
Brad Keselowski. He's three sixty five.
36:53
Brad used to be held road race. Remember Marcus Ambrose
36:55
and him having that amazing battle.
36:56
The other thing I love about Kaslowski is he
36:59
has a great attitude to new
37:01
things like he's like, bringing on, let's
37:03
give it a try.
37:04
That comes in with the right attitude of this sort of
37:06
thing, and that's.
37:07
A big deal. So I kind
37:09
of like that.
37:09
Through sixty five, I think they're enticing me with
37:11
a big enough number to say I
37:13
could do Brad.
37:14
Yeah, I like that too. All right, let's take a look at Group
37:16
F. Chase Briscoe is our favorite at plus two fifteen.
37:19
Then the numbers get pretty big. Todd Gillan and two
37:22
eighty, Eric Jones coming off at top ten last
37:24
week at Nashville at plus two eighty five, and
37:26
another guy with a big number who is almost
37:28
worth looking at, Ricky Stanhouse Junior plus three
37:30
twenty five.
37:31
Yeah, but I think I talked for Sonoma that Ricky hadn't
37:33
had a top ten like ever in a road course, and he
37:35
got one at Sonoma, which was at
37:37
CODA.
37:38
So you gave him the reverse jink. So whatever.
37:41
That's but right
37:43
now, if I'm picking a guy without looking
37:45
at stats, Chase Briscoe is probably the most
37:48
accomplished road racer in that group. Chase prisco
37:51
came from a lot of different road racing
37:53
background over at Raus. She'd been there a long time
37:55
doing some road racing, so I kind of leaned
37:57
towards the Brisco thing.
38:00
Gilan No. I mean, look, he's he's pretty.
38:02
Scrappy, right, He's got a lot of West Coast
38:05
road racing experience in him. But if
38:07
I got everybody, I do like the favorite therap at two
38:09
fifteen.
38:10
Yeah, probably gonna stay away from that group.
38:12
All right, Let's take a quick look at our manufacturer odds
38:14
this week. Chevy's coming in at minus one twenty,
38:17
Toyota at plus two hundred, and
38:19
Ford coming in at plus three eighty.
38:22
I tell you like, I like like the like
38:24
the Toyotas this week at plus two
38:26
hundred. I think
38:29
with you got a lot of guys Joe
38:31
X out there, Reddick out there, Bell, Denny
38:33
Hamlin. I just think that there's an opportunity
38:36
for the for the Toyota's out there. So I
38:38
kind of like Toyota there at plus two hundred.
38:40
Yeah, so do I I do like the plus two hundred the Ford
38:42
number. I mean, Joey Logano, the jokes
38:44
we're making, but Joey Logano kind of is only
38:47
one Ryan Blaney maybe, so
38:50
I do like unless I get a Jensen
38:52
button you know, with his plus one hundred and one to
38:54
win. But I do like the plus two
38:56
hundred on Toyota.
38:57
All right, let's take a quick look at our season
38:59
chainampionship. The guy who, please, let's
39:01
look, the guy who is fading fast
39:04
now is Chase Elliott. He is all the way down to
39:06
a plus nine hundred. And the problem with Chase
39:08
Elliott right now is even
39:10
if he can get his way in, if he points his way
39:12
in, he's going to get in with no playoff
39:14
points.
39:15
And I think that's gonna but.
39:17
Plus nine hundred, you know, I mean, that's you got
39:19
to look at where's the value at right now?
39:21
Tyler Redick has dropped back to twenty to one.
39:23
I think that is a another you
39:26
know, golden opportunity right there of guys
39:28
that have gone the right way. Ross
39:31
Shastain stayed at twelve, so I think that's still a
39:33
steal. I think Ross will continue to go
39:35
down as this goes on. So there's
39:37
still some good numbers out there.
39:40
I still think getting Martin Trix Junior at plus
39:42
seven hundred is a good one, probably good number, you
39:44
know, so certainly you know those numbers
39:46
are not the only way those you're going to see
39:48
a gigantic move right now is if someone
39:51
who's got a big number ends up picking
39:53
up a win.
39:53
I don't think we're going to see a ton of.
39:55
Let's get to urg.
39:56
I know you've been excited to talk about how
39:58
well we did or how poorly we did last week.
40:00
We will not talk about my picks.
40:02
Ryan Blaney trying to knock down the inside
40:04
wall and turn one certainly put me behind
40:06
the eight ball for the entire day. Uh
40:09
Pit crew did eke one out there
40:11
with Martin Tricks Junior winning Group A.
40:13
Uh so they did get one win. But Brendan,
40:17
you also had the true X pick. You
40:19
also had Chastain. I mean, if you'd been really smart,
40:21
you'd picked Chastain to win instead of just winning
40:23
Group B. And then and then you hooked
40:25
your wagon too, Brad Kasilowski. I mean
40:27
you basically just said take that Pit crew
40:30
and and your lead is pretty much
40:32
insurmountable.
40:33
Now you have a well Listen, I never
40:35
say I'm a sports guy. It's
40:37
never over till it's over. Now.
40:39
I was gonna give you props. You you know last year
40:41
was a struggle. This year, what a great turnaround.
40:43
Just somehow I will try to take like a fifty
40:46
to one guy at Daytona and see if
40:48
I can make up ground on Brendan.
40:49
Make it do it here.
40:50
But the good news is the pick crews catching Jeff.
40:57
Past week point.
40:58
They gained five point one point because
41:00
they gained point one point last week,
41:03
So it's kind of like I'm gaining on the pit crew.
41:05
Really go in the other directions is really
41:08
more like it.
41:09
So who picks first?
41:10
Again? Oh, that's we do know
41:12
who picks first.
41:13
So we're gonna pick Brad Keslowski
41:15
to win the Atlanta Motors.
41:16
Oh that's next week. Sorry, alright, preview next
41:19
week.
41:19
All right for the pick crew this week, we're gonna be high
41:21
on Ross Chess Day top three plus three thirty
41:23
and we liked the number against Chase Elliott at
41:25
plus one twenty five. Tyler
41:27
Redick to win group at plus two seventy five. He should
41:29
have won his group last week, but that was a tough
41:32
loss for US.
41:33
Michael mcdowald won his group
41:35
last week. He was out at the beginning of the second
41:37
stage.
41:38
He was top five the entire time. If they can
41:41
tighten one lug nut, we have been perfect one.
41:43
We only had one, I know screwed
41:46
up the one Michael mcdowald win Group
41:48
C at plus two ninety and you've been high
41:50
on Todd Gillen. Sometimes for these
41:52
races we go left and right, so we picked them Group
41:55
F plus two eighty one.
41:56
Of those road course guys. A lot of road course
41:58
ringers there for those guys. All right, my picks,
42:01
I'm gonna well, here comes the
42:03
kiss of death because I have a sneak peek
42:06
of Brendan's picks too. But Ross
42:08
chess Stain over Chase Elliott. Everybody seems
42:10
to like Ross chess Stain.
42:11
Over Chase guaranteesus and Chase Elliott will absolutely
42:14
He's probably going to win the race or he's
42:16
going to finish second, and Ross is going to finish thir third.
42:18
Yep. And in my other picks, I'm going to
42:20
go into the groups.
42:21
I am going to go with aj Allmadinger in
42:23
Group B, that plus three
42:25
ten on Denny Hamlin in Group C,
42:29
the plus three sixty five on Brad
42:31
Kaslowski in Group E. And
42:34
I am going to jump on to Toyota bat Van
42:36
Wagon this week. I like Toyota plus two hundred
42:40
all.
42:40
Right, All right, Well, I
42:42
am going to take a little bit different approach
42:44
here because not because I
42:47
because you can, not because I can, because
42:49
I think that I think those are good picks. I'm
42:51
going off of what I started to show with guys with experience. I'll
42:53
start with the dinger to win, right, aj Allmendinger.
42:56
He's plus nine hundred. I think
42:58
that that this is his way to get into the playoffs. I think he
43:00
kind of has this circle. I think he qualifies well.
43:02
I like what Colin has, like their motors, like their package.
43:04
I'm going him.
43:05
I'm taking Austin Cindric In Grew for
43:08
top three. I like what
43:10
I see from Syndric, and.
43:11
I'm going to go.
43:11
I'm putting my money where my mouth is. Shane
43:14
Van, He's began,
43:16
He's beregan for a top
43:19
three V eight Supercars. Come
43:21
on, my guys from down under my Kiwi,
43:24
let's go. I will not call you an Aussie. I know
43:26
the difference onl like Jeff Motley. So I'm going
43:28
Shane Van Geeze Betigan for the
43:31
top three. I'm going to keep the head to head
43:33
as we said. Chase I just
43:36
ross Chastain one twenty five and a head to head
43:39
way. Too much of a of an
43:41
opportunity there, and I'm going to finish
43:43
it off with Brad
43:46
Keselowski. I'm sorry, big
43:49
Brad. Three sixty five got me three eighty last
43:51
week.
43:51
I'm going to give me another.
43:53
So we all three agree on chess stain
43:55
over Elliott, you and I are together on Keselowski
43:58
to win his great.
43:59
Welcome picking brag because we had
44:01
two kiss of deaths there that had just been.
44:04
Yeah, that would have been that would have been rough. All
44:06
right, we got I don't know what about thirty thirty
44:08
five seconds left in the show. Excited
44:10
for this week at Chicago, you kind of I just think
44:12
it's great.
44:13
For the sport that we're gonna be racing.
44:14
No, I do think it's great for the sport. I love the Blues
44:16
Brothers' references.
44:17
And by the way, the first steam powered vehicle was sixteen
44:19
seventy two Jesuit mission in China.
44:23
And going from steam powered, it was Oh.
44:26
The race was right. The race was right that he talked
44:28
it was.
44:28
Like the Chago Chicago. The
44:30
Chicago Tribune sponsored the race again.
44:33
They had twelve entries, only six cars showed
44:35
up. Sounds like the Belmont Steaks,
44:38
So anyway, okay,
44:40
we'll be back next week. We'll break down the race
44:42
in Chicago, and then I think we're going to Atlanta.
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