0:00

This is Gone Racing, Visa's

0:03

premier NASCAR betting podcast. Here

0:05

are your hosts, former NASCAR driver Brenda

0:07

Gone and Las Vegas Motor Speedways

0:09

Jeff Motley.

0:13

Welcome into Gone Racing, mister Molly, new digs

0:15

here for us, I'm Gone Racing.

0:17

Where are we are? We lost here?

0:18

We're at the fabulous Circa Casino right

0:21

downtown. Actually, really cool about the Circa is

0:24

this is the site of one of my grandfather's first casinos,

0:26

the Las Vegas Club was this site and the

0:28

Stevens brothers built this beautiful, the

0:31

most beautiful casino downtown in the history of downtown.

0:34

And we are at the new at the the studio

0:36

at Circa now, so this is our digs

0:38

for the rest of the year, I hope, and we're

0:40

we're here. Nobody's going to You don't see

0:42

faces in the back of the window anymore now you just have the board

0:45

with the odds.

0:45

Hey, let us come downtown. I don't know.

0:47

It's close for me.

0:48

We're downtown.

0:49

I still live five minutes from here, so this is perfect for

0:51

me.

0:51

It's no big deal for me either.

0:52

So but but what we talk about on the

0:54

show, of course, is our odds. And last

0:57

week we had Darlington the first round of the playoff

0:59

and Man Motley, a

1:01

guy that always does well there, never finishes

1:04

well there, but does well there. Kyle

1:06

Larson finally gets off the schneid and

1:08

him and Tyler Reddick, the two guys that we always

1:10

talk about being that, the guys that love the high line, the

1:12

guys that you know that's their befote,

1:15

finally he gets the w here well.

1:17

And I was going to give you credit because you called

1:19

it last week. You said, hey, that this track

1:22

sets up perfectly for Kyle Larson and

1:24

Tyler Reddick one too, and other than

1:26

Denny Hamlin, who was the best car most

1:28

of the day until they had an issue

1:30

with whether a tire was loose or not. But yeah,

1:32

and let's talk about Danny form menun. I mean he was the best

1:35

car, yes, but as a driver,

1:38

no matter what the crew said, he had an issue.

1:40

And look, I'm I'm you know me, I'm probably always more critical

1:42

of Denny than some. But Denny

1:44

Hamlin, you are a driver. If I tell you

1:47

that that there is something

1:49

wrong, there's something wrong. I

1:51

don't care. If that wheel wasn't loose, I don't

1:53

care. If they said that wheel didn't you know, it doesn't

1:56

matter what they said. Something was wrong

1:58

with that wheel or tire. Something was there

2:00

because as a driver, we feel those things. Whether

2:02

that tire had a bad sidewall that

2:04

was going to come unravel, whether that tire was going to

2:06

do something, it absolutely had a problem.

2:09

Denny is the driver. Denny is the guy that he

2:11

ran a couple laps and went, there's something wrong.

2:14

I gotta get out. So I believe in Denny.

2:16

He did dominate one hundred and seventy seven laps. He led

2:18

absolutely amazing day one Bow Stage is still

2:21

a good points day for for

2:23

the playoffs because he got so many stage

2:25

points and two more playoff points

2:27

so that carry over.

2:29

He's still okay and heading to a racetrack

2:31

that he's already run one at once already

2:33

this year. So I don't think Denny's going to anything to worry about.

2:35

He'll be okay. But Kyle Larson absolutely

2:38

him and him and Tyler Reddick the next two guys that led

2:40

the most laps. Absolutely amazing job they

2:43

both did. And then Chris Buscher still

2:45

come home top three, but it was but Larson

2:48

was did a phenomenal job at the end, holding holding

2:50

off Tyler.

2:50

And I think we would both agree that for Kyle

2:53

Larson, it's been a rather pedestrian season

2:56

for Kyle Larson by his standards. But

2:58

now you got to talk about

3:00

momentum and.

3:01

Who who runs all of Hendrick Motorsports

3:03

competition office.

3:04

Now Chad Canows, right, And what

3:06

was Chad.

3:06

Canals famous for with Jimmy Johnson, Well,

3:09

great season, great start this season, and

3:11

middle summers were always kind of everybody,

3:14

Oh, Jimmy's not looking good, Jimmy, and then what happens

3:16

when the playoffs start? It was Jimmy time? What is

3:18

he doing right now? Well, look what's

3:20

up? It's it's Hendrick time, you know. And

3:22

a great run. But Kyle Larson to win. He was plus

3:25

five hundred, He was a top three plus one fifty

3:27

five group, A two fifty of the top Chivy

3:29

of course, one fifteen TRUEX. He

3:31

was actually a favorite. He was actually the dog against TRUEX.

3:34

He was plus one oh five. Hamlin was

3:36

minus one thirty and Byron was minus one thirty

3:38

five. So still still

3:40

has a lot of plus numbers. A plus two

3:42

fifty in a group was pretty good. Plus one fifty

3:44

five and top three. Well that's why we didn't bet him. That

3:47

was his first Darlington win ever, so

3:49

that was a good deal for him. And when you go to the top

3:51

ten, how about some of these names in the top

3:53

ten, when are we going to when is the world

3:56

going to become RFK believers? You've

3:58

got it out of me.

3:59

I am I. I took Chris

4:01

Busher to win his group.

4:02

This week, and he did, and he did. He finished

4:05

in a plus three fifty for Tyler Redick

4:07

on the on the second place, plus four hundred for Chris

4:09

Buscher, William Byron the sleeper.

4:11

All that we've said kind of disappeared. Here

4:13

he is when the playoffs happened. There's the Chad Canals

4:16

theory. Ross chast Dame with a good run to start the

4:18

playoffs, needed that. Brad Keselowski

4:20

a top ten with his teammate right there, Bubba

4:22

Wallace a strong start, needed that

4:25

being where he was on the bubble of the playoffs. Him

4:27

there, Chase Elliott.

4:28

And how excited do you think Bubba is for

4:30

this week? He won this race last year

4:33

finished fourth here in the spring. If

4:35

Bubba's got a race circled to help

4:37

him advance in the playoffs.

4:38

It's right there. This week Chase Elliot. You gotta

4:41

remember Chase Elliott is in the Owner's Playoff,

4:43

so that was big points for him in the Owner's Playoff.

4:45

And then you end up with Blaney and Eric Jones. And how about

4:48

Eric Jones.

4:49

He loves Darlington.

4:50

We talked about him. Eric Jones loves Darlington.

4:53

Eric Jones absolutely does well here a top

4:55

ten, which that Legacy Motor Club team has not

4:57

had a lot of top tens this year, so he gets

4:59

it at a place that he always gets it at.

5:02

So great job for him right there.

5:03

Also, you know there's a name that's missing on that list

5:06

of the top ten who has been

5:08

phenomenal all year long, and

5:10

one of the guys we looked at going in

5:12

as a potential favorite who had a horrible

5:14

day, and that was Martin TRICKX Junior. Yeah,

5:17

he was never in contention at any

5:19

point during that race, despite he's got

5:21

a teammate and Denny Hamblin who's out there running

5:23

as well as he was, and a pseudo teammate,

5:26

and Tyler Reddick who had a very strong run

5:28

and TRUEX, I don't know that that

5:30

was surprising to me.

5:32

You know, I talked that he wasn't all that great there,

5:34

but truex eighteenth place, no stage

5:36

points, really just did nothing all day.

5:39

No, he was never a factor that surprised

5:41

me. And you know I still listen when

5:44

we get to the championship odds or the playoff

5:46

standings right now. Sorry, he's still

5:48

okay because of all those bonus points he got from

5:50

being the regular season champion from those sorts time, but.

5:52

He dropped from me in a regular season champ to six

5:54

Yeah, in the playoffs.

5:55

Right now, but guess what happens when they reset after he makes

5:57

it to the next round, he gets the point he has

6:00

being number one again. So if you look at the playoffs standings

6:02

right now, Bubba Wallace, huge race for him.

6:04

Great move by Bubba to keep himself

6:07

basically relevant and in contention. He is

6:09

only one point out right now.

6:11

Kevin Harvick two points out right now, Ricky

6:13

Senhouse Junior four points out right now.

6:15

The only one that's already put himself almost

6:18

in a must win situation, of course,

6:20

is Michael McDowell. He's the one

6:22

that he's already got himself

6:24

behind the open and he was kind of.

6:26

A victim of other people's problems

6:28

a little bit. I mean, he wasn't running strong, but

6:30

he definitely got in an accident there that was.

6:34

It wasn't of his making. I mean he and sucks

6:36

because that team has overachieved all

6:38

year, has worked so hard, Travis

6:40

Mack and that group has done such a good

6:43

job, Jeff of just playing

6:45

smart, playing it safe, getting it done,

6:47

and just the wrong time

6:50

for them to have that deal.

6:52

And unfortunately for Michael McDowell, the

6:54

next two races are probably not racetracks

6:56

that really sets up that well from him. I

6:58

mean Kansas and then the night race at Bristol,

7:01

and if he had a Talladega in there,

7:03

or if he had a Roval in there, you

7:05

know, you might say, Okay, there's

7:07

something, but I just don't know that I'm expecting

7:09

Michael McDowell to be able to make up that deficit

7:12

at a place like Kansas, and then at Bristol.

7:14

You look at those playoffs standings. Who is he going to

7:16

beat to be able to make up that many

7:19

points?

7:19

And he's got to beat the three guys that are in front of him

7:21

that are not even in and something else, yes,

7:24

somebody else.

7:24

So it's tough. I mean you look at where it's at. It's Joey

7:27

Logano, Seabell on the on the you know,

7:29

plus one and plus three side of the cut line.

7:31

McDowell's got to make up twenty points on

7:33

that and five guys.

7:35

So and that to me is the harder part. Like

7:37

I could see, you know, Christopher Bell blows an engine,

7:41

but like you said, he's still fifteen behind

7:44

Stanhouse, seventeen pind Harvick, and eighteen

7:46

behind Bubbas.

7:47

So, so let's the upcoming schedule. What

7:49

we got right now is Motley. We go from here

7:51

to the Hollywood Casino. Four hundred out

7:53

in Kansas. Used to be what

7:55

we called cookie cutter. Now it's one of those places that everybody

7:57

loves. Kansas is aged very well to

8:00

me.

8:00

And the new car has really taken well

8:02

to these mile and a half tracks. We see great races

8:04

at Kansas, we see those at Vegas,

8:07

Charlotte, Texas, Atlanta.

8:08

Plays well for this. Then we go to the Bass Pro Shop

8:10

Night race at Bristol. Then we had that will

8:13

be a cutoff race. Another brilliant cutoff race

8:15

by NASCAR. Put it at Bristol, best

8:17

place to do it. Then we get the second round,

8:19

and the full second round is going to be Texas

8:21

Motor Speedway. We got Talladega

8:24

and then the roval for a cutoff race. Really,

8:27

Ben Kennedy has done and Steve Phelps

8:29

and all the crew whoever is doing these schedules,

8:32

Jeff, they really have done well.

8:34

They have and that second stage there those

8:36

wildcards in there, going to Talladega and the roval,

8:38

the inner Texas. I think we can kind of predict

8:40

who's going to run well at Texas, but I think

8:43

once you get into Talladega and you get into that

8:45

road course, everything's

8:47

up for grabs. But hey, remember last year these first

8:49

three races, we had three non playoff

8:52

drivers win the first three races. Now, obviously that's

8:54

not going to happen because of Larson, and honestly,

8:56

I don't really foresee that happening now. I mean, Bubble

8:58

won this race Kansas a year ago.

9:00

He's a playoff driver.

9:01

He's a playoff driver now.

9:03

And if you look at the Hollywood Ceno four hundred,

9:05

this is where this is what is important with the schedule, guys, this

9:07

is playoff racing now. So the NASCAR, remember has

9:10

playoff racing it's the playoff race

9:12

two of the three races. Every round is

9:14

three elimination races, so this is

9:16

round two of three. It is a

9:18

mile and a half track, just like we used to be at Vegas until

9:20

everybody's kind of repaved a little bit. Sunday

9:23

night, three pm. Bubba was your winner last

9:25

year. So all those are that's

9:27

kind of the skinny of what is

9:30

happening with all that for Kansas.

9:33

Yeah, and Kansas is a track that there's

9:35

a lot of guys on the playoffs who have great,

9:37

really solid, great driver there too.

9:39

You look at their records here Kansas Speedway.

9:41

These guys, there are some people. There

9:44

are a ton of people that have amazing

9:47

stats here at Kansas. You

9:49

look, Denny Hamlin has thirty races,

9:52

twelve top fives. That's

9:55

almost fifty percent top five at

9:57

Kansas.

9:58

And on a mile and a half.

9:59

That's that's extraordinary, especially especially

10:01

if you go through what they

10:03

used to go through, you know when the

10:05

old mile and a half, remember it was they

10:07

were tough to get a hold of this place.

10:10

Denny Hamlin has a great look at some of these records

10:12

though. On Martin Truex Junior seventeen

10:14

over fifty percent top ten, Kyle

10:17

Busch just under fifty percent top ten, Brad

10:19

Keselowski just under fifty percent top ten,

10:21

Kevin Harvick with all those starts, over

10:24

fifty percent top ten, and that's some

10:26

amazing numbers. Then you get down to the Kyle Larsons

10:28

and the Chase Elliotts, who phenomenal

10:31

records. Here, even Bubba Wallace eleven

10:33

races, three top ten is in a win.

10:35

Well, if you look at this list right here, every

10:38

active driver that's won at Kansas, Chase

10:41

Elliot's the only one not in the playoffs.

10:43

Well, he's in the butt he's.

10:45

In the Owners playoffs. Go, he's not in the Driver's

10:47

playoffs. But so every car that

10:49

is one here is in the playoffs.

10:52

I think that's remarkable. And seeing the balance

10:54

there, Denny Hamlin four wins, Joey and Harvick

10:56

with three, Brad and Kyle and

10:58

Truex with two, I mean it's really

11:01

well balanced.

11:02

And you look at recent history, you always do what have

11:04

you done for me?

11:05

Lately?

11:05

All of them have done stuff lately, All

11:08

of them have run I mean Bubba Wallace lately,

11:10

Kyle Larson lately, even Kevin Harvick,

11:12

lately. So, I mean, a lot of guys run

11:14

really well here. This new car, as you said, has

11:16

played out extremely well here. So I'm excited

11:19

to see a good mile and a half race because this

11:21

is the last mile and a half till we got Texas. There's

11:23

three, there's one in this round, one in the second round, and

11:25

then of course Las Vegas with the south point four hundred in

11:27

the third round.

11:28

Now, you're right, I love these mile and a halfs with a new car.

11:30

Nope, it's gonna be a lot of fun. All right, guys when

11:32

we come back, we're going to get you to the odds to win the

11:35

Hollywood Cascino four hundred and all the great

11:37

stuff that some of you give you here, not others.

11:39

Behind a screen.

12:03

This is Gone Racing, Visa's

12:05

premiere NASCAR betting podcast.

12:07

Here are your.

12:08

Hosts, former NASCAR driver Brendan Gone

12:10

and Las Vegas Motor Speedways, Jeff

12:12

Motley.

12:14

And welcome back in Green Flag in the Air, But we don't

12:16

have Wyatt waving his green flag anymore. We can kind

12:18

of see him through the through the glass over their new

12:21

studio blues. We got to get used to. TV's

12:23

are in different places. Me and Jeffy, we're we're

12:25

already telling the people at Circa how to fix everything

12:27

because you.

12:27

Know, we're rearranging the furniture.

12:29

You know, the profession professional after

12:31

ten minutes, that's right, the guys that of course

12:33

know better than anybody else on Vson of course,

12:35

I mean that's you know, you gotta listen to us, right, I mean that we're

12:37

professional unprofessional exactly. See in

12:40

all storks doesn't matter for in the

12:42

South Boys studio or.

12:43

The Circus Studios studios

12:45

a studio right right. We got microphones,

12:47

we got chairs, we got our notes, and we got

12:50

Wyatt and Isaiah behind the glass. But guess

12:52

what they can't talk.

12:53

Yeah, that's so guys. It is a little change

12:55

for the format. Of course you're used to seeing the third

12:58

man, the the velvety pipes of the

13:00

voice of the lady rebels. Why

13:02

he can't talk now, which I think he's really excited

13:04

about. With how bad the pick crew has been betting this year.

13:06

I think he's kind of can't not

13:09

that he has that was intentional. I

13:12

think they used to have something back there they could talk and look

13:14

at I think they did it intentionally.

13:16

Well, I don't know. He has no defense for his pick.

13:18

So Brad Keselowski's

13:21

number one fan. I mean, he doesn't bet him.

13:23

If he bets him, he wins a bunch of that. I've made more money

13:25

on Brad this year than name.

13:26

But I mean, the race wasn't even over.

13:28

Oh he's talking.

13:29

He's talking. He's talk here to us, but everybody

13:31

else cant here. I mean he's texting me before

13:34

the race is over with cuss words about

13:36

Denny Hamlin.

13:36

Last week it was funny.

13:37

And I mean and Danny, I'll, I mean, look it, loose

13:40

wheel, it happens funny.

13:41

All right, Let's get into the odds to win the Hollywood Casino

13:43

for Denny Hamlin of Denny Hamlin, and

13:46

our favorite right off the bat is the

13:48

afore mentioned Denny Hamlin. Denny is plus

13:51

four fifty. Martin Truex Junior and Kyle Larson are both

13:53

five to fifty. William Byron is seven to fifty, Tyler

13:55

Reddick is nine hundred, Christopher Bell right there, Bubba

13:58

Wallace twelve to one, Kyle Busch fourteen to

14:00

one. There's what I'm looking at. Ross

14:03

chast Dan Chris Buscher sixteen to one, Apparently they are

14:05

still not believers in Chris Buscher winning on every single

14:07

type of racetrack in our sport. Now, Kevin

14:09

Harvick, Brad Keselowski twenty, Ryan Blaney,

14:11

Joey Logano, Chase Elliott, all at twenty two,

14:14

Alex Bowman bringing up the end of the first page at

14:16

thirty to one, Motley, there are some names here that

14:18

I look and go ooh, I like

14:20

you.

14:20

Well, you know, first, okay, a

14:22

few things hit me. Bubba Wallace, who

14:25

is probably been the most consistent guy of the last

14:27

couple of races here, who has proven himself to be a pretty

14:29

good mile and a half racer, is getting double

14:31

digits. Kyle Busch getting double digits.

14:34

As you said, not believing in Chris Buscher,

14:36

his teammate who has not won a race all.

14:38

Yearn on this page.

14:39

Well, but he's twenty to one,

14:42

and here's a guy that you know he's hungry

14:44

to get a win. You expect Blainey to run

14:46

well, and look, I know he's

14:48

not in the playoffs. Twenty

14:50

two to one on Chase Elliott. At some point,

14:54

aren't they going to hit it? One

14:56

week?

14:56

Who have I said I'm going to keep betting on all

14:58

year long until he gets the win, because he

15:00

will win this season and it's Chase Elliott.

15:03

Oh and by the way, guess who has the best stats in the last

15:05

ten races.

15:05

At Kansas Probably Chase Elliot.

15:07

There you go, seven top tens, five top fives,

15:09

average finish of seven point nine in

15:11

the last ten races with a win. And if you take

15:13

that to the mile and a half races extended

15:16

out, you know, to all mile and a half races,

15:18

Chase Elliott is still still near the top

15:20

of the pack.

15:21

So I just got to

15:23

believe there's going to be a week when they figure

15:25

it out.

15:26

Well, and what did I say about Chad Canlson, Chad

15:28

Canow's time, this is it?

15:29

Well, the only problem now that's working against

15:32

him there is all the effort really is going

15:34

into Larson and Byron, I mean Channing

15:36

gonna spend a whole lot of time over with the

15:38

nine.

15:39

Or the forty eight run in the owner's

15:41

playoff.

15:42

He still isn't okay. But we all

15:45

know that getting Larson or Byron across

15:47

the finish line first at Phoenix

15:49

in the last race of the year is the most important thing

15:51

to Hendrick motorsport.

15:52

You see see what I'm doing with my pen right here on this page.

15:54

Yeah, I think I found my Chase Elliott bet for

15:56

the day.

15:56

I'm just saying, well, God, I'm glad I could

15:58

bring that to your attention.

16:00

Let's get to the second page of our stats here,

16:02

and on the second page of the odds to win, you kick off

16:04

with Ty Gibbs at thirty five to one. Daniel

16:06

Suarez is eighty to one. Then you got the

16:08

long long odds Ricky Stenhouse,

16:10

Eric Jones one fifty, Michael McDowell is there

16:13

at two hundred. Uh, you end up

16:15

with Austin Dillon two hundred, Chase Brisco two

16:17

fifty, Carson Josafar two fifty, Eric

16:19

Almerola, A j. Allmendinger two hundreds, Cindric

16:21

and the Penske car three hundred. Then the super

16:23

long guys.

16:24

It's might be the biggest numbers on page

16:27

two of a Yeah, it's a

16:29

half that I can ever remember. And Swarez

16:31

eighty to one. Like I would expect

16:33

Suarez to be a guy who runs solid.

16:36

I don't know if he's gonna go win, But here's what I

16:38

do know. If Daniel Suarez is sitting here at

16:40

eighty to one to win. What we

16:43

haven't gotten to the top three.

16:44

Yeah, but hmm, and

16:46

I mean I'm looking at this Daniel Suarez just

16:48

mile and a half races, which this is a standard mile and a

16:50

half race. Daniel Suarez finished second

16:52

at Atlanta, which now isn't really a but

16:55

you know, has a couple top fives here, uh

16:58

in in the mile and a half that the last ten

17:00

races and then Ross chast You look at Ross

17:02

Chastain and then transfer it to Daniel.

17:05

That's a that's a huge number when we go on

17:08

to get into the top threes.

17:09

No, you're right, And I mean it's just seeing some of

17:11

these big numbers out there, it's just kind

17:13

of surprising. Even a guy like Eric

17:15

almrol Will being two hundred and fifty to

17:17

one.

17:17

That's a big number.

17:18

I don't think Aerlon Morole is gonna win, but I just think

17:20

it's a big number.

17:22

But he runs well. They still run well. Fords

17:25

have been running the Chris Buscher and

17:27

Brad Keseloski approved the Fords are running better,

17:30

so I'm liking both of those. Let's

17:32

get to the odds of the top three though, mister Motley, since

17:34

we think that there might be some fun numbers

17:36

in those, and we're going to kick off with Denny Hamlin,

17:38

of course your favorite at one thirty. Martin Truex

17:40

Junior and Kyle Larson both won sixties,

17:43

William Byron two hundred, Tyler Reddick, Christopher

17:45

Bell. That's a nice return for a top three

17:47

at two to fifty. Bubba Wallace last year's

17:49

winner, by the way, Bubba Wallace at three fifty,

17:51

Kyle Busch four hundred, Roschastan and Chris Buscher

17:53

four fifty, Kevin Harvick, Brad Keselowski

17:56

five, Ryan Blaney, Joelgano, Chase Elliott

17:58

at six hundred, and Alex Bowman at eight hundred. You

18:00

know, the Alex Bowman one.

18:02

He's disappeared again, but

18:05

this is one of his better places. Man, This is

18:07

the mile and a half where Alex Bowman has

18:09

really really been good as

18:11

of late, six top tens and nine races

18:13

here, average finish of eight point three.

18:15

Well, and he's been a good like you said, he's been a good

18:17

mile and a half racer. He actually, you know, he has a win

18:19

at Las Vegas, which is a very similar

18:22

track to Kansas maybe most

18:24

comparable track we've got out there to Kansas.

18:27

I'm going back to kind of what we were talking about

18:29

with the odds to win, though, you gonna give

18:31

me a plus four fifty on Chris Buscher. I

18:35

mean, I mean I believe in Chris Buscher. Do

18:37

you believe in Chris Busher?

18:38

I mean I'm a believer. I

18:40

mean that that deal. Chris Buscher and RFK

18:42

and even Brad Keselowski, these are

18:45

guys that, look, I

18:47

will be the first to say that Jack Roush has

18:49

not been relevant the race team.

18:51

And I'm sorry mister. I love mister Rausch. He's a

18:53

great man, been so nice to me in my

18:56

life, but that race team has not been a relevant

18:59

part of the conversation in what, Jeff

19:01

a decade.

19:02

It's been a while, and I mean it's

19:04

not like the days of Mark Martin, Jeff Burke means,

19:07

with Karl Edwards, Greg Biffle, those days

19:09

are gone.

19:10

Those days have been along gone

19:12

for a long time. And you look at what

19:14

Brad Kiselowski has done in what eighteen

19:17

months.

19:18

It's pretty phenomenal. But you know, he has brought

19:20

a modern way of thinking to that team and

19:23

clearly they have released a

19:25

lot of the power to Brad to steer

19:28

that thing in the right direction.

19:29

When we talk about what Brad's done, goosebumps pop

19:31

up because Brad Kaselowski has absolutely

19:34

done an amazing job. I cannot

19:36

praise Brad Kiselowski enough. There is no such thing

19:39

as enough praise for Brad Keseloski.

19:40

And I think to do it while driving

19:43

at a high level is very

19:45

difficult as well.

19:46

Oh absolutely absolutely, I just

19:48

while doing it while in the car absolutely

19:51

is something that just and I think.

19:53

When it's your race team. I'll give you an example. I

19:55

think for Denny to own

19:57

a team that he doesn't drive for, he's

20:00

actually easier than Brad

20:02

owning a team that he does drive

20:04

for. I think that is difficult.

20:07

You see what I'm saying. Jenny Diizey does it. Drive for it. He's

20:09

got Reddick, he's got buff Yeah. I think it's easier

20:11

to take drive for his own team, to take that approach,

20:14

to look at it from the other side. But when

20:16

you're on the inside of it, I think that's harder.

20:19

It is.

20:20

I mean, you're the boss, but you're out there in the race

20:22

car. I just think there's a

20:24

difficulty about.

20:26

It's amazing to being your team what he's doing. All

20:28

right, let's get to the second page because there's some good numbers here.

20:31

Ty Gibbs ten to one. I like that one a little bit.

20:33

The kid's been running really well. Daniel Suarez

20:35

there is again sixteen to one, Eric Ricky

20:37

Stenhouse, who's a playoff driver, forty to one,

20:39

with Eric George forty to one, Michael McDowell,

20:42

Austin Dillon fifty one is another playoff driver,

20:44

Chase Briscoe, Eric Almarola, Agen, Danger

20:46

carsonos far at sixties. The

20:48

rest down there, but the Ty Gibbs,

20:51

the Daniel Suarez, even

20:53

the Austin Dylan. You know, Kyle

20:55

Busch is is so low on the

20:57

board at his number, with

21:00

with Austin being so high. I

21:02

think that's a four hundred to fifty to one

21:05

for a top three. That organization

21:07

is better with Kyle Busch. And I

21:09

think that Austin Dillon, who finished tenth here by

21:11

the way earlier this season, is

21:14

something to look at.

21:16

Well, you know, something seems

21:18

to be to me though, this seems to be a miss

21:20

between the eight car and a three car.

21:22

Now if you look at how Austin's run. He's run well,

21:25

but he doesn't get the finishes. He's had mistakes,

21:27

but a lot of those have been his own mistakes. No, he's

21:30

running.

21:31

He's been a little bit of combination of both. I agree,

21:33

But I think the two guys that are at the

21:35

top of the board right there, Ty Gibbs, Daniel

21:38

Suarez, I mean getting double digits on either

21:40

one of those guys, but Tis also it's it's

21:42

something about these these Gibbs cars

21:45

hand them. There always seems to be something happens

21:47

fast. Christopher Bell, he's fast, but

21:49

something always seems to go wrong. Ty

21:52

Gibbs has been They make.

21:53

Their own they make their own profit.

21:54

That's my point. I don't know what it is. Truex

21:57

is the only one that doesn't have self inflicted problems.

21:59

They just didn't run well last week.

22:01

Ty Gibbs, to me, is the one that. So you look

22:03

at Ty Gibbs here, he doesn't

22:05

have good finishes in his two races at Kansas,

22:08

but he has good runs, got third

22:10

place stage points, then an accident last one of

22:13

his season, and another

22:15

good run at the second at Kansas race

22:17

last year when he filled in and then

22:19

an accident if he doesn't get in the accident, I

22:21

think Ty Gibbs could be an easy top ten.

22:23

Yeah again, I just think that's been the story of his season,

22:25

and he snaked bit and you're maybe right, there's

22:27

going to be that week where it all finally comes

22:29

together for Ty Gibbs. And yeah, I wouldn't

22:31

be shocked to be in something victory lane for the season is over.

22:33

I wouldn't either. He's run good enough.

22:35

All right.

22:36

We got a lot of good head to heads this week, and you know I've

22:38

been killing the head to heads, so I got to focus a little more

22:40

on those because I got to keep my lead. Oh that's not tough

22:42

over to White when we get back head to heads heads

22:47

in the group when we return.

23:04

This is Gone Racing, Vson's

23:06

premier NASCAR betting podcast. You're

23:08

your hosts former NASCAR driver Brendan

23:11

Gonn and Las Vegas Motor Speedways

23:13

Jeff Motley.

23:15

I wonder you watch any part of today's show,

23:18

or any past show for that matter. Check out the Gone

23:20

Racing podcast. It's free and available now at vson

23:22

dot com for it's last podcast, or wherever

23:24

you get your podcasts. We give you all the latest news,

23:26

odds and everything you need to know to head straight to the bedingcounter

23:29

before each and every NASCAR Cup race. While you're

23:31

there to catch up on every Vson show as well

23:33

Vson dot com Forts last podcasts.

23:36

You realize are a professionally unprofessional

23:39

has rubbed off on our producer because clearly

23:41

when he's trying to make jokes and our ear

23:44

that they, yeah, public can't hear while we're

23:46

getting ready to.

23:46

But see, I think that's just the funny part, you know, it's

23:48

just kind of fun.

23:49

It is fun. But that's what I mean. Make the professionally

23:51

unprofessional.

23:52

I'll accept it. Well, Hey, I've been on some professional

23:54

shows where it's much worse from the back of the

23:56

house talking to the guys in front of the camera where

23:58

they're they're really give them a hard time, So I will I

24:00

will say it's okay, all right, Sorry,

24:03

Why I still love you pig crew, only

24:05

because I'm what am I? Eighty? Am I eighty units

24:07

ahead of them?

24:08

Eighty eighty?

24:09

What units ahead of them? In the garn Ray it's

24:11

a lot something like that. Eighty

24:15

Oh that's right.

24:15

He told me you could buy a small island with

24:17

the difference that you've got.

24:18

Probably it's over here somewhere there is hey there see

24:20

professionly unprofessional. I gotta put both of those

24:23

in so I can really hear everybody. Right, Okay,

24:25

let's get I love us that

24:27

we have more Nobody has more fun than us.

24:29

I promise you that we should have wireless ones.

24:31

Don't you think?

24:32

I listen? Can we really? Can we mess up with with

24:34

wired ones? Can you imagine what we'd look like with wireless?

24:36

Yeah, that's true.

24:37

Let's get to the head to head battles and the head to heads

24:39

right now. There's a bunch of fun little numbers here,

24:41

and I start off. You got Martin

24:43

TRUEX is a plus one oh five to Denny Hamlin,

24:46

not as excited. There's a lot of Denny Hamlin don't line

24:48

going on here. But I look around and I

24:50

go big. No, it's not big. But I

24:52

look around and I go hold on. Kyle

24:54

Busch one twenty five to Tyler

24:57

Redick. Now, Tyler Redick loves this place. Let's

24:59

let's start with that. Hard to bet against

25:01

Tyler Reddick in the mile and a half. Hard to bet against Tyler

25:03

Redick, you know, with how well

25:05

he's done. But Kyle Busch

25:08

is been strong, maybe not as strong

25:10

lately, but you're getting one twenty five

25:12

in a head to head where

25:14

you know Tyler Reddick here only hasn't average finished

25:17

eighteen point eight. This has not been

25:19

a mile and a half that has been his strong suit.

25:21

Finished ninth in the race earlier this year,

25:23

thirty ninth with a crash before that, thirtieth

25:26

in the race before that twenty second. So

25:29

I like that one twenty five Kyle Busch in a head

25:31

to head number.

25:32

You know, I hate to say this. I look at the head

25:34

to heads and there's nothing

25:36

that I see out there that I say, oh man, I

25:38

love that. Now there's no lock right now,

25:40

there's one I like, and it's teammates

25:43

Joey Logano getting a plus line at

25:45

one oh five against Ryan Blaney's minus

25:47

one twenty five. You know, Joey's

25:50

got nick granted, he's got a win. I know he's got a win here

25:52

when he took out Matt Kinsith. But Joey's

25:54

got multiple wins here at Kansas. Joey has

25:56

been very comfortable in this track, and

25:59

you're I know, you have your theory of the Fords

26:01

don't run well well, get this, two Fords going head

26:03

to headp So if I'm looking at a plus

26:05

line, I'm looking at Joey Logano over Ryan

26:07

Blaney probably more than anything

26:09

else I see. As far as the head to heads.

26:11

The only difference is that Ryan

26:14

Blaney in the last ten mile and a half races

26:17

he wonted Charlotte this year. So you

26:19

know that's where why they give Ryan Blaney the big

26:21

nod is the head to head battles. Ryan Blaney

26:24

is the best in the last ten mile and a half

26:26

races. I get it, but I do like that.

26:28

I also, though, don't dislike Kyle Busch on

26:31

a head to head with Bubba Wallace.

26:33

Yeah, that's the And I think my struggles

26:35

there right now with Kyle Busch is that they have not been

26:37

consistent over the last few months of the season.

26:40

And I think we know what confidence

26:42

level Bubba's taking into Kansas now. I

26:45

sometimes think there's no driver out there who gets

26:47

more down on himself sometimes than Bubba does.

26:49

When Bubba he's quicksand when he goes down, he goes

26:51

down fast.

26:52

But I think Bubba probably

26:54

can't get to Kansas soon enough. I mean, he wouldn't

26:56

have surprised me if Bubba had just gotten on the plane last

26:59

week at Darlington straight to Kansas, because

27:01

I think he. I think he's going to walk into

27:03

that garage with his head up pretty high this weekend.

27:05

So do I. But if you look at you have NASCAR

27:08

champion Kyle Busch as a plus

27:10

line against Bubba Wallace. I

27:13

just I struggle to say that that he

27:15

should be a plus one oh five versus Bubba Wallace.

27:17

I get all the outlying factors, but

27:19

you still look at Kyle Busch

27:21

versus Bubba Wallace and I had to head and Kyle Busch is the

27:24

is the dog? I like that? All

27:26

right, Well, let's get to the head to

27:28

our group matchups and we kick off with Group A, and

27:31

Group A is always the tough

27:33

one, but a big return here for one guy. You

27:35

got Denny Hammer in your favorite two thirty five, Martin

27:37

Truex Junior two seventy, Kyle Larson

27:40

two seventy, and William Byron three

27:42

hundred.

27:43

Boy, to me, this one is tough. Uh. You

27:45

know the three hundred is a huge number on William

27:47

Byron. We know he's gonna run well, and

27:50

I gotta ask myself, does does Trueex finally

27:52

get it going here. I mean just it hasn't

27:54

been like a month's long slump,

27:56

but the last few weeks it's been a little bit of

27:59

a slump for TRUEX. And that's a plus

28:01

two to seventy number on the guy who's really been the

28:03

hottest guy pretty much on the circuit

28:05

until Chris Busher came along the last month.

28:07

Look, Denny is Denny's hot. Let's let let's

28:09

let's you know Denny. Even though what he did, he is still

28:11

in maybe figure then a

28:13

little. But what I look at is William Byron

28:16

is your is your second best point getter in the last

28:18

ten mile and a half races, and he is

28:20

great here at Kansas. He's in take

28:22

Atlanta out. I don't count Atlanta as the mile and a half.

28:25

You've got a second place at Charlotte, a third

28:27

place at this race at Kansas. Go to last

28:29

year he won the Vegas race. William Byron, that

28:31

is you know, William Byron,

28:33

third, sixth, sixth, ninth,

28:36

eighth in all these Kansas races. You

28:39

want to find enticement, You've got

28:41

me enticed. I get he's up against some

28:44

tough, tough competition.

28:46

But he's tough competition too.

28:47

He's a tough competition too.

28:49

I like that the plus three hundred number,

28:51

that's.

28:51

Where it's better than is numbered for a top

28:53

three. So I like that one.

28:55

Now. I'm with you there. Definitely like William Byron

28:57

in that group for the value that's up there. I just there's

29:00

a part of me that says, man, this might be the week to take a flyer

29:02

on TRUEX. It It could be,

29:05

but that's just a hunch thing.

29:06

It's not like a hottest guy on the Spot three weeks ago, were

29:08

given them the championship trophy couple.

29:09

Weeks ago exactly. And I just think this is

29:11

the kind of racetrack that suits

29:14

his driving style. And I

29:16

don't know it does.

29:17

I mean, we can't disagree that it doesn't. But

29:19

I just that that plus three hundred member. We always talked

29:21

about what what does the book? What's the book do? Why

29:23

do they give you this spread? They try to entice

29:26

you somewhere. They want more action on Byron.

29:28

I might give him that action.

29:29

I'm with you, all right.

29:30

Group B leads off with Christopher Bell as

29:32

your favorite at two twenty five co favorite. They're a Tyler

29:34

Redick Ross shast Ain three twenty and

29:37

Kyle Busch three twenty five.

29:39

Wow, now now you go back

29:41

to huge value. But my problem

29:43

with this group here is them two toyotas

29:45

at the top. Those two toyotas at the top, I think are

29:47

there's a reason there were a plus two twenty five and they're

29:49

the favorite, And honestly, I

29:52

would not be shocked if either one of them actually went out

29:54

and won this race.

29:55

Christopher Bell seven races here, two top

29:57

fives, four top tens, he's got eight

30:00

fifth third and then this year thirty sixth

30:02

where he uh, he actually had a

30:04

crashed out like on lap one, first

30:07

first half.

30:07

Something happened there.

30:08

First out of the race. Him and Kyle

30:10

Busch got into each other, I think is what it was. And

30:12

they both had bad days. But you know, Christopher

30:15

Bell, that's that that there's

30:17

a reason. But man, that Kyle Busch number keeps screaming

30:20

at me.

30:20

It's a big number. I just think it's a it's a

30:22

it's a big chore to try to win that

30:25

group. If Belle or Redick don't have

30:27

a problem, which they're saying Bell not having a problem,

30:29

au Retick not having a problem, because most of

30:31

their issues all year long have been self inflicted,

30:34

been pit crew or we saw Tyler Reddick have

30:36

a clean race last week where he had nothing self

30:38

inflicted and whered He end up second. Bell

30:40

had a good car last week, but guess what he had

30:43

self inflicted problems?

30:44

All right, Well, Group C, let's get Group

30:47

C is gonna be a kicks off of Bubba

30:49

Wallace at plus two forty, Brad Keslausk

30:51

get two sixty five, Chris Buscher at two

30:53

eighty five and Kevin Harvick too eighty five. Well,

30:55

you got your Well, so here's a conundrum

30:58

for Wyatt and the pit crew. You got Brad and in

31:00

the same group, and you've got Chris Buscher in Group

31:02

C, which right now, guys, I almost

31:05

would give him one of the hottest drivers in the sport title

31:08

if you look at how he's been running, and he's

31:10

plus he's the he's the co dog in this

31:12

one at plus two eighty five.

31:14

Look, I've believed in Chris Busher pretty

31:16

much all year.

31:17

But we believe in it for years.

31:18

Yes we have.

31:19

Chris Buscher has been has been a recurring I don't want

31:21

to call it a joke.

31:21

It's not a joke.

31:22

Chris Buscher has been cash

31:25

more tickets on this show than any driver in our

31:27

in our show's history.

31:28

Yeah, and and and I'm going to take him in this group,

31:31

but I will tell you that it is Bubba

31:33

could Bubba. There's is a favorite for a reason.

31:36

So I think this one here's I

31:39

like Busher because I'm believing in Busher. But

31:42

boy, Bubba Bubba in this group

31:44

is tough. And you know, I don't

31:47

know, by the way, speaking to Harvick, tough

31:49

break for him last week. Had a really really

31:51

good car and I don't really know how you avoid

31:53

that penalty so.

31:55

Well I didn't. We've talked why he didn't

31:57

drive through a couple of different things.

32:00

Chief made an interesting point though.

32:02

So no, no, And that's why I told you. I

32:04

texted you during the time that said, it's just a tail

32:06

end. He's going to be there either way. But there's other things.

32:08

But it sucks for him

32:10

now. I look at him at Kansas last

32:13

ten mile and a half, Kevin Harvick. I gotta

32:15

go way down to find Kevin Harvick

32:17

for the last ten mile and a half, all the way down to nineteenth

32:19

best point, getter two top tens, last ten.

32:21

Miles have not been his forte lately. To

32:24

me, he's he's out of

32:26

the equation. This is that this is a three person

32:28

group.

32:29

Let's get into Group D. And Group D leads off with our

32:31

favorite Ryan Blaneiott two forty, Chase Elliott

32:34

two fifty five, Joey Logano two fifty five, and

32:36

my mucha chief o' Daniel swore is at plus three

32:38

thirty five. That's a tough

32:40

one because I like, I like that Chase Elliott

32:43

man Hendrick carrs. I

32:45

already got Chase Elliott circled on a couple

32:47

of pages. I just Chase

32:50

Elliott is is. It's very difficult for me

32:52

not to to look

32:54

at that and go, man, Chase Elliott two fifty five.

32:57

No, I'm in the Chase Elliot camp with you there

32:59

too. I know that we've we've got a couple

33:01

of playoff guys there in Blaney and Logano, But

33:04

I mean, look, Chase wants to win. I know he

33:06

wants to win, and you know he's going to run well,

33:08

and I just think you know the Fords

33:11

have struggled a bit, So I'm I'm

33:13

in your Yeah, I mean your camp on

33:15

the Chase Elliot right here.

33:16

Let's let's not talk about the Ford struggling. Brad

33:19

Keselowski, Ford and

33:21

and Chris Buscher Ford have not been struggling.

33:24

It's the Penenske Fords and the Stewart He's

33:28

up against the two Penske forwds that have struggled.

33:30

I mean Chase, Ryan Blaney did win Charlotte

33:32

but struggled. And Dani Suarez,

33:35

who's kind of persona longrado right

33:37

now, you know, trying to find his way over there.

33:39

That's a yeah.

33:41

I like, all right, when we come back and finish

33:43

up the groups, give your our prop bits and our

33:45

picks, and the last segment and Gone Racing.

34:10

This is Gone Racing, FISA's

34:12

premier NASCAR betting podcast. Here

34:14

are your hosts, former NASCAR driver Brendan

34:16

Gahn and Las Vegas Motor Speedways

34:18

Jeff Motley.

34:20

The white flag literally

34:23

figuratively in the air right now. Last segment Gone

34:25

Racing, our new digs at the Circa Sports Studio

34:27

right here, and mister Motley, we got Group

34:29

E is where we're kicking off our last segment

34:32

with them, and let's get into it with Ricky Stenhouse

34:34

junior playoff driver Ricky Stenhouse Junior as

34:36

your favorite two thirty with Michael McDowell

34:39

playoff driver at two fifty five, Eric

34:41

Almarola two ninety and aj Allmendinger

34:43

at three hundred. I hate this group, Okay,

34:47

Motley and I always have a group that we

34:49

just kind of look at and go, yeah, there's

34:52

nothing for us there. This is

34:54

absolutely the group that I'm like, I

34:56

got nothing for you, Matte.

34:57

I'm totally with you. I'm spending very I

35:00

mean, look, if you want to do something, bet the Almond

35:02

Dinger for plus three hundred, because he's the

35:04

or ninety on al Moarola, you might

35:06

as well go for the go for the guys with the

35:09

best odds here.

35:10

I just I got, I got.

35:11

Yeah.

35:12

I can't even give you stats to separate him.

35:14

They're all right there in a blanket.

35:15

Yeah, not touching this one.

35:16

You know, maybe Dinger mon and

35:18

a half three top tens last seven races.

35:21

That's a stat for him, but

35:23

those were a while back. You got his

35:25

top ten. Oh you finished? No, that Atlanta don't count, so.

35:28

I don't like. Yeah, we'll we'll move on.

35:29

Okay, let's get into group from GROUPF is

35:31

always one of my favorite groups anyway, because

35:34

it's we love picking group f bets. You

35:36

got Austin Cindric is your favorite at

35:38

two thirty five, Chase Briscoe and Ryan Priest

35:41

two seventy five, Harrison Burton two eighty five.

35:43

You and I last week we.

35:44

Need to pat ourselves on the back a little bit. We said

35:46

there was a lock pick.

35:49

I kind of think this, here's my here's

35:51

my only problem. Toughest

35:53

Right now, there's a new man that has the toughest

35:56

man in NASCAR title.

35:58

Ryan Priest and

36:00

baby Ricky Rudd.

36:02

Look what do I always tell you? Flipping the race

36:04

card doesn't hurt, It just gives you a lot more bruises.

36:07

Ryan Priese is the definition of a lot more

36:09

bruises. Bad to the bone. Ryan, I

36:11

love you. You are a You're

36:14

one of the only guys I will call a throwback right now.

36:16

Most of the other guys be at home crying, trying to

36:18

keep cucumbers on the rise. And Ryan

36:20

was like, I'm here, I'm showing everybody.

36:23

So I almost want to bet Ryan Priese just because

36:26

I love Ryan Priese right now, but I

36:28

think this, to me is the same thing.

36:29

Yeah, I mean last week we thought Briscoe was

36:31

a lot. Now I will give Carson host of our credit.

36:34

He had a heck of a run last night, and it's nervous

36:36

only finished. I think a couple spots behind id

36:38

Briscoe was very close. But I

36:40

look at this right here, and I do think Briscoe's

36:42

the cream here. I mean, he's

36:45

the guy so and he's plus two seventy five. Cindric

36:48

is the favorite here in Cindric hasn't done anything

36:50

all year.

36:51

Yeah, no, So I'm I'm I'm right there with

36:53

Chase Briscoe, and I think that's that I'm

36:56

going. I'm right. Just like we used to write Chris Buscher and group

36:58

F, it's now Chase Briscoe

37:00

is the guy that I'm I'm kind of riding my hitching

37:02

my wagon to and Briscoe.

37:04

We Trustrisco, we trust all.

37:07

Right, Well, we do have our prop bets this week. And how

37:09

about this, This might be the first time

37:11

all season long, but the first time in a long

37:13

time that I can remember, the favorite is

37:15

not Chevrolet.

37:16

Yeah that is, But you know what, I think that's

37:18

because well, who won the last race, Danny

37:20

Hamlin, who won the race before that, Bubba

37:23

Wallace, and we know that Reddick's

37:25

gonna run well here, and I think we expect

37:27

true X to run well here, and we expect Bell to run

37:30

well here. So even

37:32

though we don't have as many toyotas, the

37:34

quality of the toyotas, I honestly think Chevy

37:37

is looking at it's either Byron or Larson

37:39

or nobody.

37:40

And so I'm looking at that going Chevy's

37:42

not the favorite. I'm getting one fifty on Chevy with all

37:44

the with the William Byron's, the Kyle Larson's,

37:46

the Chase Elliotts, the Kyle Busch, you know, Kyle

37:48

Busch. I got enough there that I'm saying

37:51

one fifty. You've now put it back in my ballpark

37:54

Ford once again, though, Chris Buscher,

37:56

Man.

37:57

Chris Busher, and Keselowski make that plus four

37:59

fifty enticing, yes, they really does.

38:01

And it's four fifty. It's not three fifty this week, not three

38:03

twenty five. It's a four to fifty number.

38:06

It almost makes me want to bet it.

38:07

I can understand that I'm probably gonna

38:10

stay away from the manufacturer prop this week because

38:12

I am I'm kind of feeling a Toyota win

38:14

here, but plus one ten,

38:17

that's enough. The values there all.

38:19

Right, first round of the playoffs. So we got to get some playoff

38:21

odds right now, and our playoff odds. Remember

38:23

we talked this is the way you're supposed to hitd your bet all season

38:26

long.

38:26

Guys.

38:26

If you didn't get on in time, you missed

38:29

a lot of boats. But there are still some pretty big

38:31

boats out here. And right now, the first one

38:33

that jumps off this page to me is

38:35

still Tyler Reddick eighteen

38:37

to one. Larsen down to three fifty, Byron

38:40

down to four fifty, Truex up

38:42

to five hundred. But right now you

38:44

go Tyler Reddick at eighteen to one. That

38:46

is just screaming my name at

38:48

Tyler Reddick right now.

38:49

Reddick eighteen to one. Look who else has taken

38:51

a major, major move toward his odds getting

38:54

worse or getting better, depending on which way

38:56

you look at it, as Chris Busher. He's gone from

38:58

eighteen to one to twelve to one, but he's still

39:00

getting double digits.

39:01

And I think that number is going to get keep getting

39:03

smaller because Chris Buscher is right now showing

39:05

that he can absolutely make

39:07

his way through this playoff.

39:09

Well, and I think here's the key. So I look

39:11

at Larson, look at Byron, Maybe

39:14

truex Hamlin. I mean, certainly

39:16

those four guys are probably the

39:19

four right now that if you'd say they're the four that

39:21

should make it to Phoenix, should get

39:23

through. But if one of them doesn't,

39:25

somebody else has to get there, and I don't think

39:28

it's going to be Kyle Busch. So if

39:30

that's the case, somebody that's in double digits

39:32

will end up at Phoenix.

39:33

No, I'm with you, and Chris Buscher

39:35

right now is my favorite for it. I mean, even Denny

39:37

Hamlin, six hunters not a bad number. I mean, that's that's

39:39

still a pretty good number.

39:41

Unless something horrible happens in the next two races.

39:43

Busher's through to the next round. And how

39:45

good has Busher been on super speedways

39:48

and.

39:48

On course courses, So you got.

39:51

And guess what he's been stockpiling

39:54

these bonus points with all those wins. He

39:56

gets a few more bonus points. That's even gonna make

39:58

it a little easier to make it into that final four.

40:00

Absolutely. Okay, So let's

40:02

talk about last week because me and Jeff want to talk about

40:04

last week right now, Isaiah and

40:06

Wyatt and the whole pit crew and our ears are trying

40:08

to like talk over us right now to break

40:10

our concentration.

40:11

That's why they're not on camera this week because they're

40:13

a shamed Yes, shame, shame, shame,

40:15

and that's what they say when you go the penalty box and the fucking

40:18

shame.

40:19

Well, so, Motley, I was not the big winner of the week.

40:21

You were, and that big win put

40:23

you back by one hey, one

40:27

point to the positive. One

40:30

point.

40:30

I can buy a beer, but

40:34

not not in Las Vegas. Yeah,

40:37

maybe in Darlington, South Carolina.

40:39

I'm buying lots of beers. Baby. I got the big lead

40:41

right now. I am forty five. I got six six

40:44

units last week. I won my the Boucher bet,

40:46

I won the brisco Bet and the bush

40:48

over Bell. The picker did get a

40:50

win. Wallace one group D so they

40:52

only had a very small minus number.

40:54

We couldn't even gain ground because I also had Bubba

40:56

in his group. I with you had Briscoe,

40:58

and and I was believing in Busher.

41:01

Believe in Busher.

41:02

Believe in Buscher. I like that believe it is

41:05

believe in Busher and Briscoe. Now, yeah,

41:08

it's all about the bees.

41:09

Group F used to be we used to call it that, the Ron Flatter

41:12

group, and now it's it's Group F is the

41:14

believe in Buscher and Briscoe. But I don't

41:16

think we're going to see Buscher any times.

41:18

And Busher has immersed as a star and Ron

41:20

Flatters and the Witness Protection program.

41:22

Let's horse race season's over, so that was

41:25

kind of his main gig.

41:26

All right.

41:26

Well, with that, we're going to get to our picks, and of

41:28

course we kick off from worse to first here

41:31

and as we know, the perennial doormat

41:34

this year has been our friends

41:36

in the pit crew, and so we're going to kick off

41:38

the pick crew, which I hope they don't jinx us because

41:40

they've picked a couple of picks that we like. They're

41:42

going to start. They're believing in Buscher, Chris

41:44

Buscher to finish top three at four fifty, Ross

41:46

Chastain to win Group B at three twenty, Chris

41:49

Buscher to win Group C at two eighty five, Joey

41:51

Legano to win Group D and they're joining

41:53

the bandwagon with Chase Briscoe in

41:56

Group F.

41:57

Well, that pretty much does Group FN.

42:00

We just take the kiss of death because I think

42:02

we've gotten one pick all year, right that we

42:05

all three to.

42:05

You, I might have to switch to Cyndric or something real quick.

42:07

Send you're thinking I should change that, took.

42:09

I go next? No, sorry,

42:11

no, you haven't.

42:12

Gone next since like March.

42:15

So I'm gonna go one head to head, which I talked about

42:18

a lot when we were at head to heads. I'm

42:20

gonna go Joey Logano over his teammate

42:22

Ryan Blaney plus one oh five. The rest

42:24

of mine will be in groups. I'm gonna take that plus

42:26

three hundred on William Byron in

42:28

Group A. It's just too enticing for me not

42:30

to going with the pit crew there with

42:32

Chris Buscher and Group C believing in Busher.

42:35

I'm going Group D. I'm gonna go head to head with the

42:37

pit crew here. I'm going Chase Elliott.

42:40

I like Elliott there, and then yeah,

42:42

I'm sticking by my guns on Chase Brisco in

42:44

Group F.

42:45

I can't dislike most of those, but

42:47

I am going to have to do what if I said the

42:50

last what three months, I'm

42:52

making a bed every week on Chase Elliott and I'm sticking

42:54

with it. I scratched out the circle to window.

42:57

I'm gonna go top three because plus six hundred on a

42:59

top three on Chase Elliott is still way too

43:01

much return for me. And then I'm going to

43:03

go to two head to heads. I like William Byron plus

43:05

one fifteen to Danny Hamlin. Hamlin

43:08

perennial make mistakes right now, and Byron's just

43:10

kind of smooth sailing. Kyle

43:12

Busch at plus one twenty five in

43:15

the head to head versus Tyler Reddick. I

43:18

just I've something tells me about Kyle Busch.

43:21

Then the Kiss of Death, I am taking Chase Brisco

43:23

and group F. I'm

43:27

thinking maybe I just switched that to maybe Preech

43:29

just for the toughness factor, just to get off him

43:31

so we don't drink some should I do? That should

43:33

change it?

43:34

Well? We do want to do?

43:35

I know how much time I go.

43:37

Whatever I write down that's gonna stay if I'm written

43:39

it down once, but I can cross it out one time.

43:42

Oh, I'm going to I'm believing in Brisko okay,

43:46

and then Chevy as the winning manufacturer

43:48

at plus one fifty. Just there's too many chevyes

43:50

out there and they're not the favorite. I get a little bit of return there,

43:52

So get me a couple of them head to heads and the cheapies and I'm

43:54

looking good.

43:56

All right. Well, heck, I'm never going to argue with your

43:58

picks the way you're doing this year. So I mean,

44:00

and we even found out before the show like that that

44:02

we're trending.

44:03

Yeah, apparently.

44:05

How successful we've been with our that's right.

44:08

I think that that would not be the pit crew, that would

44:10

be the hosts.

44:12

Does that put us up there with like the Lombardes

44:14

and the Palms and the humans, and.

44:16

Hey, Mike, Mike, I know Mike was in here

44:18

just before us. If you need some if you need some advice, I'm

44:20

right here, Mike. I'm in the circle now with you, so to

44:22

be absolutely But thank you very much to our new digs

44:24

guys. Thanks for joining us. We'll be back next

44:26

week when we get.

44:27

Tv TV fores behind

44:29

us.

44:30

But we'll be back next week with Bristol to break

44:32

down this one. Go to Bristol, and thanks for joining us

44:34

in the Circus studios. Guys. We appreciate it, and uh,

44:36

we'll see you guys next week from our new digs.

44:38

They're fancy digs here too, appreciate

44:40

it.