Episode Transcript
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0:02
This is Gone Racing, Vson's
0:04
premier NASCAR betting podcast. Here
0:06
are your hosts, former NASCAR driver Brendan
0:08
Gone, and Las Vegas Motor Speedways.
0:10
Jeff Montley.
0:12
Well, I'm sitting here in the beautiful Vson studios
0:15
here at the South Point Hotel Casino, but my
0:17
partner in crime, Brendan Gone, is
0:19
in parts unknown.
0:20
Brendan, where are you?
0:23
We're back in the space coast man. The
0:25
boys are at NASA Space camp this week.
0:28
So because there we're sitting in the
0:30
beach in Florida. Man, I can't. I got the little beach
0:32
picture behind me.
0:32
Come on.
0:33
I always do my best to try to give you, you
0:34
know, something better than the background you give
0:37
us in the media center.
0:37
Yeah, well you're looking very summary. There was
0:39
that a peach colored shirt you're wearing there?
0:42
Or what a peach or pink or
0:45
pink? Well, and I'm glad he's at NASA, not
0:48
at some Elon musk area trying to learn
0:50
how to do space flight, because
0:52
Elon's been struggling with his space flight.
0:54
So listen,
0:56
the kids are there. They can learn what they want from SpaceX,
0:59
NASA and whatever. But it's really
1:01
cool to be here, excited to be here, and got
1:03
here in time to watch an amazing
1:05
race that happened last Sunday, which
1:08
all three of us, you, Me
1:10
and Wyatt, we all said, there's no chance
1:12
in hell this race is happening on Sunday. There
1:14
are going to be their Monday. And once again that
1:17
is why you and I don't make those decisions.
1:19
Well, they did an amazing job just getting the race in
1:21
and I think when you look at all the notes that have
1:23
come out after the race, highest
1:26
rated race ever in NBC
1:28
sports history, the engagement
1:31
on social media, the highs for any event
1:33
other than a Daytona five hundred that NASCAR
1:36
has ever been able to track, I think this is just incredible.
1:38
The entire weekend they had, it was unfortunate they had to
1:40
cancel some of the concerts, didn't get to finish the Exfinity
1:43
race, didn't get to run the Cup race till its
1:45
full hundred laps. But when it was all
1:47
said and done, probably one of
1:49
the one of the biggest upsets
1:52
in NASCAR history, I think on
1:54
paper, Shane Van Giesberg and getting the
1:56
win, coming over from New Zealand and driving
1:58
that third car that Project ninety one car
2:00
for track house Racing, just just amazing
2:03
for him.
2:05
Hey, who picked him last week?
2:08
Well, somebody picked him for a top three. But okay,
2:11
you're gonna pull a muscle in your shoulder
2:13
padding your back there.
2:14
Look, look, we're gonna reset the playoff
2:16
standings if he keeps gloating last week.
2:18
I was like, hey, you know what you deserved it now now it's.
2:20
Getting a little little too excessive here. You're
2:22
hurting our feelings.
2:23
Now, Hey,
2:25
listen, you guys, Jeff, you talked
2:28
hold on. I mean I say, I knew exactly who
2:30
he was before we ever started the show. I mean I did
2:32
all the homework and research. But
2:36
Jeff, as soon as you mentioned be
2:38
a supercar to me, what did I say?
2:39
You said old?
2:40
Now maybe you knew he was going to be in a trackhouse
2:43
car and then you said old V eight
2:45
supercar champion from down Under.
2:47
This guy's got a chance.
2:48
I mean, we saw how good Marcus Ambrose was when
2:50
he came over here. This guy has broken
2:52
a bunch of Marcus Ambers's records over there
2:54
in New Zealand and Australia. Just
2:57
an amazing, amazing driver. And I was very fortunate
2:59
the week before to moderate his press conference.
3:01
When he got named to be the driver of that car,
3:04
the first thing I had to do is go up to him and say, okay, before we
3:06
start the press conference, tell me how to pronounce your name,
3:08
so I don't screw this thing up here.
3:11
But you could just tell he had a great confidence
3:13
coming into the race. And then you looked
3:15
at him out there and he was incredible in practice and qualifying.
3:18
And you know, Kyle Larson, I think made the great
3:21
comment after the race was over. He goes he came over here
3:23
and made fools of the rest of us because nobody
3:25
was getting off those corners and getting through those
3:27
turns.
3:28
Any better than he was. I mean, he was amazing
3:30
behind the wheel.
3:33
Well and honestly, Jeff, if you look at
3:35
we do this show on Thursdays, right, we always talk
3:37
about wait till you watch things. Wait so you see
3:39
practice, wait t you see qualifying.
3:42
This would have been one that after practice and after
3:44
you would have been going, oh hey, look at this guy.
3:46
You and I have to take these shots early in the
3:48
week before we get the advantage of all that. This
3:51
guy from the time they unloaded showed
3:53
why the Australian via supercar guys
3:56
are so good at what they do. You
3:58
and I talked off air. You know, he's driving
4:00
on the different side of the car than he's used to. He's
4:02
shifting with a different hand that he's used to. His
4:04
footwork is backwards of what he's used to. Absolutely
4:08
amazing job by this young man. Super
4:10
proud of him, super excited and of
4:12
course typical NASCAR fans everybody
4:15
now, oh, he should come to America and get a job,
4:17
you know, just like when Trevor Bain won the Daytota five hundred,
4:19
they said he should switch right away to those points.
4:22
They settled down everybody. He did a phenomenal
4:24
job though, super proud of him, justin
4:26
Marx Pitbull. But they have done
4:29
with Trackhouse Racing, absolutely
4:31
phenomenal in this program. You
4:34
got to give all the credits to them.
4:35
Man, No, you're right.
4:36
Just taking a look at the numbers, I mean, he was an amazing
4:38
fifty five to one to win that race,
4:41
eleven to one when we did the show
4:43
last week for a top three, Chevy
4:45
was a minus one twenty. The key to
4:47
that is, like I said, he was eleven to
4:49
one when we did the show last Thursday, But
4:52
after qualifying and practice was done
4:54
on Saturday, his numbers for a top three
4:56
dropped all the way. To think about a plus two to twenty
4:59
or plus two to twenty five, I've wired it was somethwhere
5:01
around there wasn't would you get him for a top
5:03
three?
5:03
I think round plus two twenty five.
5:05
Yeah, So there's an example of just once people saw
5:07
him on the track and what he was capable of doing,
5:10
kind of realized what he was able to.
5:12
Sixth driver not born
5:14
in the United States to win a Cup Series race,
5:16
the first one actually just since last year Daniel
5:19
Sware is interesting. The last two foreign
5:21
born drivers Shane BEng Giesbergen and Daniel
5:23
Suarez, both driving for track House Racing,
5:26
and the first guy in sixty
5:28
years since Johnny Rutherford, to
5:30
win his first ever Cup
5:32
Series race in his Cup Series debut. Just
5:35
just some remarkable numbers for him.
5:38
Well, what I think is really really kind of cool in
5:40
this, Jeff is one you
5:43
said, you know, only the sixth non American
5:45
to win this race, and of course we
5:48
Beason and Gone Racing would be remiss if we didn't
5:50
mention the Earl Moss Earl Ross
5:52
nugget.
5:53
He was the second leader. He was the second one. He
5:55
was the second one from Canada. Right Earl
5:57
Ross, he's
5:59
on that line.
6:00
But to me, only the six guy
6:02
would win his debut and hold on first
6:04
one in sixty years. But remember the first
6:07
one is the guy that won the first ever NASCAR race.
6:09
That really doesn't count, right, we don't
6:11
count.
6:13
Johnny Manz, Johnny Manson Darlington, you know, we don't
6:15
count Johnny Man's.
6:18
Yeah. So to me, I look
6:20
at this and say, what he accomplished
6:22
the first time in honestly a modern
6:24
era of our sport. Absolutely phenomenal
6:26
job. And that's why I give it one to his
6:29
ability in a race car. You watched how he drove that
6:31
car down the stretch. You saw the things
6:33
he was doing to the other guys. He went
6:35
from fourteenth to lead without
6:37
pits, strategy, without all the stuff. You know,
6:40
this is a different NASCAR show. We're not going to get into
6:42
why the strategy, shortening the race, all
6:44
the things we felt kind of kind
6:46
of hurts some guys that should have been better. But
6:49
I'm looking at this as man. Look
6:52
he was able to do how he outdrove him,
6:54
And give credit to Justin Marx Darien
6:56
Grubb and that track House race team. This
6:58
is a part time team. We talked about how
7:00
part time teams have a
7:03
absolutely not in this case phenomenal
7:05
job all in all by that Trackouse
7:07
group. Give them kudos they deserve.
7:09
Yeah, and let's not forget. Let's take a look at the rest
7:11
of the top ten. Let's not forget the guy came in second,
7:13
drove his heart out. Justin Hailey, proved
7:16
himself on a road course, didn't an amazing job. Came
7:19
in at a twenty eight to one for a top three.
7:21
And then Chase Elliott, he was kind of a little bit of
7:23
the beneficiary the race getting shortened. Came
7:26
in with third with a plus one forty. You
7:28
look down the rest of the top ten. Kyle Larson Kyle
7:30
Busch rallied from being up under a
7:32
tire barrier early in the race. It was a pretty
7:34
remarkable crash where he literally had
7:37
the tire barrier sitting on half of his car. They
7:39
were able to pull him out, get him going. Austin Cindric.
7:41
We talked about him as a good street racer. Placing
7:44
six. Michael McDowell, I don't think that's a big surprise
7:46
coming in seventh there, Joey Logano, Ty
7:48
Gibbs a good run, and Chris Buscher. We got
7:51
to turn left and right. Chris Busher
7:53
just keeps knocking off those top tens.
7:57
Look, we talked about Busher on the show
7:59
and we talked about it if you can find them for a top ten somewhere.
8:02
Busher just does it again. Man, he's
8:04
he's really done well on these road courses
8:06
as of late. So great job by Chris
8:08
getting that top ten. And you talked about
8:10
it briefly. Strategy change mid race
8:12
when NASCAR changed their mind and went from one
8:14
hundred to seventy five lap had
8:17
to do it. But definitely some guys that are
8:19
on this top ten, Christopher Bell, you know,
8:21
in particular, guys that should have been more
8:23
upfront but were not because of that whole
8:26
strategy line change in the middle.
8:28
Of the race. Yeah, and that's kind of what happened both both
8:30
Christopher Bell and Tyler Reddick. I mean, they were the
8:32
guys running up front and they pitted
8:34
kind of thinking, Okay, we made our last pit stop.
8:37
All these guys in front of us have to pit and it's
8:39
a seventy five lap race. I guess what those
8:41
guys in front of us don't have to pit now, so kind of
8:43
threw things off a little bit for those guys. But then
8:45
Bell and Reddick both ended up having their problems
8:47
throughout the race. Well, Brendan, I know we've kind
8:49
of gone back and forth. Are we going to count? Does this
8:52
win count? I know you still think we could get to seventeen
8:54
winners, and yes, this is a twelve different
8:56
winner, but it does not count toward
8:58
the playoffs because and Giesbergan's
9:00
not running all the races, so we're
9:02
still sitting at eleven.
9:03
But I'll tell you what did happen?
9:05
The great run by Ty Gibbs finishing
9:08
ninth move Ty Gibbs up into the
9:10
sixteenth spot ahead of Daniel
9:12
Suarez by six points right now. And don't
9:14
look now, but Michael McDowell is only ten points
9:16
out of the playoffs as well, So it's getting interesting.
9:21
Well, first of all, I
9:23
still count if we get the seventeen winners. I'm still
9:26
going to say it counts, even
9:28
though you're squashing my hopes and dreams
9:30
there. But that cutoff line, we've been talking about
9:32
it for weeks. Justin Haley, what a crusher
9:34
for him, he is nowhere near the cutoff line.
9:36
Had he won that race, that would have put him
9:39
right up into this whole talk. Absolutely
9:41
amazing run for him. Austin Dyllan took
9:43
a huge blow trying to go for the win, doesn't
9:46
get here and it hurt him towards that cutoff line
9:48
he lost more space. But man,
9:51
I really do do look at this cutoff line,
9:53
Jeff, and it is going to be an absolute battle
9:55
Royale when it comes down to the last race
9:58
of the season.
9:58
And another big loser this week. Guy that was sixteenth.
10:01
Last week, Alex Bowman
10:03
finished dead last. He
10:05
is now twenty six points out of the last
10:07
playoff spot.
10:08
He's he's desperate right now, Yeah.
10:13
Alex, you know
10:15
he's got Look, there's a lot of races coming up for Alex
10:17
and some of these guys Chase Elliott is still included that
10:19
we think they can win on. But it definitely
10:22
is right now, you only got two Hendrick cars
10:24
and we still think the Hendrick group is the best group
10:26
in the field, but they only got two of their four
10:28
and you know Fleet in the in
10:30
the in the championships, so I mean it's going to be close.
10:33
Yeah, And you kind of talk about the upcoming races. This
10:35
weekend, we're going to be making our first trip,
10:37
our first it's our first track that we're making
10:39
our second trip of the year. Two, we're gonna be heading off down
10:41
to Atlanta for the Quaker State four hundred.
10:44
Then we're gonna head up the loud New Hampshire for the Crayon
10:46
not to be confused with Crayola three to oh one.
10:49
And we've got Pocono coming up, followed
10:51
by Richmond and then our only
10:53
stop of the year in Brooklyn, Michigan
10:56
to get August started. And you
10:58
look at those five races on the board, and once those
11:00
are Overprindon, there's only gonna be three left,
11:02
and that's two road courses in Daytona before
11:05
we get to the playoffs. So unless you're gonna
11:07
roll the dice with playoffs or with
11:08
h with road courses or Daytona, you've
11:11
had to get something done at some of these tracks.
11:14
Yeah, you know, I mean, we've
11:17
talked. You better get back off the Snyder pretty
11:19
quick otherwise he is going to have a problem.
11:22
And and but it once again the schedule
11:25
schedule. We go from
11:29
going.
11:32
Yeah, well absolutely, I think you look at it right now.
11:34
It's going to definitely be a pretty uh pretty
11:36
interesting see what happens over the rest of the summer. Okay,
11:38
we'll be back on God and Racing and we'll start talking
11:41
about the odds.
12:04
This is Gone Racing, Feason's
12:06
premier NASCAR betting podcast. Here
12:09
are your hosts, former NASCAR driver Brendan
12:11
Gone and Las Vegas Motor Speedways
12:13
Jeff Motley.
12:14
Well, we're back.
12:15
Here on Gone Racing and we are moving on
12:17
from the Windy City to Hot
12:19
Atlanta.
12:20
Heading back to Atlanta second time this year.
12:23
Brendan's remote this week, so he's checking
12:25
in on Skype.
12:26
Or Zoom or one of those various
12:29
platforms.
12:30
Brendan, this is now going to be the fourth
12:32
race that we've had Atlanta since the entire track
12:34
was completely revamped. It's still the one
12:36
point five miles, but with the banking it's
12:38
been added now it really kind of races
12:41
like Daytona and Talladega. So I think
12:43
maybe the novelty of this type racing
12:45
at Atlanta has worn off, but it still
12:47
makes for a pretty exciting race down there and kind of
12:49
makes it a wide open shootout for anybody.
12:53
The novelty may have worn off. Let me tell you this,
12:55
I'm still glad I'm not racing in Atlanta.
12:58
Uh Man, that place is it's
13:00
mean looking, Jeff, the
13:02
way you race that thing now, that super style
13:05
and the tight corners of Atlanta. I am glad.
13:07
I'm on my couch watching.
13:09
Well, you know.
13:09
And we've got a lot of stats on who's done what at
13:11
Atlanta, I mean, and Kevin Harvick's got thirty
13:13
three stars, Kyle Busch got twenty seven, Kevin's
13:16
won there four times. But I don't know if we really
13:18
just kind of throw those stats out the window and we
13:20
really look at the three races that have
13:22
been held there since the track's been revamped. Last
13:24
year, Chase Elliott won this particular
13:26
race. Joey Logano got his only win
13:29
this season so far earlier in the year. One
13:31
thing is going to be a little bit different about this. They're going to run
13:33
it at night, kind of trying to compensate
13:36
for the summer heat.
13:37
Down there in Georgia.
13:38
So that's really the only difference that we're going
13:40
to see from what we've seen over the last three races
13:42
down there, is running it at night. We also
13:44
know it was frigid cold
13:46
when they ran there earlier this year. At the end of
13:49
March, it's probably going to be a very very
13:51
warm, humid Georgia day
13:53
down there, So you think that's going to have any effect
13:55
going tonight And just the difference in the heat from
13:57
the cold. I mean it was really brutally cold in
14:00
low twenties down there when they raced earlier
14:02
this year.
14:03
Yeah, it will definitely make a difference. One the
14:06
main thing for me is the fans. The fans now
14:08
get a much better, much
14:11
better time, right, I mean there are sports about the fans.
14:14
Nobody wants to sit in the grand stands.
14:18
Well, that's definitely certainly part of the problem there
14:20
when we have the have the we
14:23
have a situation like that, and I think being able to get
14:25
a better time of year and a better
14:27
time of day, if you will, is certainly going to help.
14:29
All Right, It's time to get into the odds this week
14:31
to win. Kyle Busch
14:33
is coming in as the favorite here at
14:36
ten to one. Chase Elliott
14:38
is eleven to one, followed by Ryan Blaney
14:40
and Joey Logano at twelve to one. William
14:42
Byron, Denny Hamlin, Brad Keselowski
14:45
and Kyle Larson all at fourteen
14:47
to one. Pitt Crews excited seeing Brad Keselowski
14:50
in the first column on the first page. Ross
14:52
Chastain and Christopher bell Are at sixteen
14:54
to one, Martin Trix Junior and Christopher
14:57
Chris Busher coming in at twenty to
14:59
one, Bubba wa In, Austin Sindrick at
15:01
twenty two, Tyler Reddick at twenty
15:03
five, and Ty Gibbs at twenty eight.
15:07
Yeah, I'm not sure the Kyle Busch thing. I mean, you
15:10
know, he we talked about how Kyle normally
15:12
does not like super speedway racing, so kind
15:14
of a new favorite, but he
15:17
has done much better since he's gone over to RCR.
15:19
So I kind of dig that. Brad
15:22
Keselowski fourteen to one. I really
15:24
like that. We know what Brad does at these super
15:26
speedways. I do like that. And Chris Busher twenty
15:28
to one.
15:28
I like both of them well.
15:29
And I think one of the things that kind of stands out to me here
15:31
is everybody on the board is at double digits
15:34
and looking at I mean, Kyle Larson can
15:37
get him at fourteen to one, and William Byron at
15:39
fourteen to one.
15:39
I mean Byron.
15:40
I think Byron won won here last year
15:42
in the first race, so Byron's
15:45
got to win, Elliott's got to win, and Logano's
15:47
got to win. Elliott eleven to one, I think is
15:49
a little bit high, but I think just seeing William
15:51
Byron down there, Kyle Larson at fourteen to one, Chas
15:53
Stain has been really, really good
15:56
on this format. Okay,
15:58
sounds like we're going to be working on Brendan's audio here
16:00
for a little bit, so I'm gonna move on over
16:02
here to our second page. Some of
16:04
our longer shots. Ricky Stenhouse
16:07
Junior and Kevin Harvick are both coming in at
16:09
twenty eight to one. Eric Jones
16:11
and Eric Almarola, along with Alex Bowman
16:13
all at thirty to one, Daniel Suarez
16:16
and Corey la Joy at thirty five to one,
16:18
Michael McDowell, Austin Dillon, and aj
16:21
Allmendinger are forty to one. Justin
16:23
Haley and Chase Briscoe were at forty five
16:25
to one. Ryan Priest and Austin
16:27
Hill driving the Beard Motorsports car,
16:30
one of their few races this year. Brendan's old Ride
16:32
coming in at fifty five and Todd
16:34
Gillilan and Noah Gregson are coming
16:36
in at sixty to one. So we've got some long
16:39
shot guys there, and I think one guy we
16:41
really really have to take a look at. I mean, I
16:43
know he's never won in the Cup Series before, but
16:45
he has had some incredible runs here since we
16:47
redid.
16:48
Atlanta's Corey la Joy.
16:49
If you're looking for an upset, pick Corey la Joy
16:52
coming in there at thirty five to one. I
16:55
think that's a guy you got to look at. Brendan, what do you think about
16:57
Corey and some of these other guys on the long shot board?
17:00
Well, look, I like Corey a lot. I think he's there.
17:02
Ricky Stenhouse Junior. I remember he's
17:04
you know, won the Daytona five hundred this year. This is
17:07
super speedway. He likes those. Austin
17:09
Dylan is Dylan is one of those guys that's
17:11
won on super speedways. Justin Haley proved
17:14
himself on a speedway. So a lot of guys
17:16
that are really good here on super speedways. I
17:18
can't say I dis like a lot of guys in the second board,
17:20
but for top three is probably more so than
17:22
the wins.
17:23
Well, how about your car.
17:24
Yeah, I mean you're you're still kind of involved with the Beard
17:26
Motorsports car. How's Austin Hill going to do?
17:28
I mean fifty five to one? That is that about
17:30
right on him? I mean could he get in there? Because look,
17:32
Austin has proven himself as a very accomplished racer,
17:35
just hasn't really been had the opportunity to do it in the Cup
17:37
series very much.
17:38
No on that, and I think Austin Hill is absolutely fantastic
17:41
And once again I know what car that is. So I mean
17:43
we got a hell of a car going to Atlanta.
17:45
This got added to the race. This is his home
17:48
track, so he's gonna be pumped up. Those guys
17:50
also have I mean, this is what you always love to
17:52
say, the crap shoot word, right, I mean it husedd just be preserved
17:54
for Daytona and Talladega. Well the
17:56
crap shoot is here, and Austin Hill
17:59
has a great Chevrolet race car with a
18:01
great DCR power behind it. He could be something
18:03
to wreck with the ear.
18:04
Also, Brendon, you mentioned the fact that the
18:06
top threes might be the place to make some money. So
18:08
let's start taking a look at our top threes for this
18:10
week, Kyle Busch, no big
18:12
surprise comes in at the top of the board. It's going to follow
18:15
suit. But the numbers just obviously get much
18:17
smaller. Kyle Busch is plus two eighty
18:19
five, Chase Elliott a plus three hundred, Ryan
18:21
Blaney, Joey Logano at three point thirty, Byron
18:24
Hamlin, Kazlowski and Larson all at
18:26
four hundred, Chastain and Bell at
18:28
four point fifty, Truex Busher
18:30
at five point fifty, Bubba Wallace and
18:32
Cindric at six hundred, Reddick at seven hundred,
18:35
and Gibbs at eight hundred. And man, there's
18:37
a whole bunch of guys that you could make some money on.
18:39
The problem is only three guys can finish
18:41
in the top three, and I could make a case for pretty
18:43
much everybody on this list for a top three.
18:47
Yeah, let's talk about Bubba Wallace, what he
18:49
does on super speedways, right, I mean, Bubba's gout
18:51
normally runs really well on these type of places.
18:53
He's plus six hundred right there, So that's
18:55
decent. And even if you go to Chase Elliott Ryan Blaney
18:58
again on
19:00
a top three, that's a great return. And remember
19:02
this is a race, we might do all a bunch of that manufacturer
19:05
teammate style racing, so you can either
19:08
you know, fade or bet with your manufacturer
19:10
or your team guys, and you can find some
19:12
ways around the odds. And that's the case also.
19:15
Well, and and I guess I look at guys too, like
19:17
Denny Hamlin and Brad Kaslowski. I mean, those
19:19
are guys that look every time we
19:21
race on a track that I know we
19:24
like to use the term restrictor plate races
19:26
or whatever, but every time we race on
19:28
a track like this, you feel like Denny Hamlin, Brad
19:30
Keselowski, those guys are always going
19:32
to be in the mix. So I think those are certainly some guys
19:34
to look at. Now, if we move over to our page
19:37
two, when we see some of I guess
19:39
what you would say are longer shots, if you will.
19:41
Ricky Stenhouse Junior another guy who runs
19:44
really really well in these type tracks, along with Kevin Harvick
19:46
at plus eight hundred, Eric Jones,
19:48
al Marola and Bowman all at eight point
19:50
fifty, Suarez and Corey Lajoy
19:53
at ten to one, Michael McDowell, Austin
19:55
Dillon aj Almadinger eleven to one,
19:58
Justin Haley, Chase Brisco at twelve, Ryan
20:00
Priest, Austin Hill at fifteen, Todd
20:02
Gilliland and Noah Gregson at seventeen.
20:06
It's worth it to drop a couple bucks on these
20:08
top threes. Look at the returns. Ricky Stenhouse
20:11
eight hundred, Corey la
20:13
Joy ten to one, McDowell eleven
20:15
to one, Dylan eleven to one. These are
20:17
guys that are getting a great
20:19
return for a top three. And you get some of
20:21
these manufacturers lined up and they're going to need that
20:23
push from some of these guys. There's
20:26
great returns on them. So I
20:28
do like a lot of the top three guys here.
20:30
Well, and I'm completely with you there. I mean I
20:32
just look at I mean, I look
20:34
at those eleven to ones right there, and now forget Allmundinger
20:36
for a minute. Michael McDowell and Austin
20:38
Dillon. Hmm, let's see.
20:41
I believe they've got some wins on
20:43
these type racetracks. Now at Atlanta. Michael
20:45
McDowell's a former Daytona five hundred winner.
20:47
We know Austin Dillon he's got to win at
20:49
Daytona. And honestly, I
20:51
think Atlanta probably because it's narrow,
20:54
even though it's a mile shorter. I think probably
20:57
right now, it's probably most like Daytona
20:59
then track on the circuit, wouldn't you agree?
21:02
Yeah, because this still has handling characteristics.
21:04
Your race car has to work well here. The
21:06
tight corners, the much smaller area
21:09
means you're going to have to basically have handle
21:11
in that race car like the old Daytona
21:13
used to. So it's going to come down
21:15
to cars that also handle well
21:18
in this super speedway format. And you're
21:20
naming guys from big teams, right, I mean even
21:22
Daniel Suarez right there with Trackhouse
21:24
and dealing with RCR, and Dinger and
21:27
Haley with that colleague team, with the
21:29
help from RCR. These are organizations
21:31
that are going to really get the handle right
21:34
on these cars as well well.
21:35
And I think one of the things that's interesting, and
21:37
we can even go back and talk about the odds to win
21:40
or the odds the top three, I'm not
21:42
even sure at Daytona and Talladega
21:44
earlier this year that we have seen the
21:47
odds be so big on so
21:49
many good drivers. I mean talking about the
21:51
fact that we've got double digits to win
21:53
the race all the way to the favorite a Kyle
21:55
Busch. And when you look at these guys
21:58
that are getting these top threes that are plus eight
22:00
hundreds and ten to ones, eleven to ones, I think
22:02
that just kind of is all about the unpredictability
22:06
of what this race is going to play out, don't you agree?
22:09
Yeah? Absolutely. I mean when you got Kyle Busch
22:11
on a super speed by style race is your favorite,
22:13
that definitely shows that the odds bakers
22:15
are scratching their heads, going, well,
22:17
he's run really well lately, so maybe
22:20
we just need to put him up there. It
22:22
definitely has them worried. I like a lot
22:24
of these numbers. You're getting double digits all through the field,
22:27
So Motley, we're guaranteed a double digit winner
22:29
at this point.
22:29
Yeah, we are.
22:30
And I think if there's ever going to be one of those kind of weeks
22:32
where you say, hey, you know what, I
22:34
could go bet three guys to win or
22:37
four guys to win, I mean your odds are going to
22:39
be pretty good if you're able to do that. Okay,
22:41
we come back on Gone Racing. We don't have in d'ar over head
22:43
to heads this week. We'll get straight into our group
22:45
matchups, talking about this week at Atlanta.
23:05
This is Gone Racing, Vson's
23:07
premiere NASCAR betting podcast. Here
23:09
are your hosts, former NASCAR driver Brendan
23:12
Gonn and Las Vegas Motor Speedways
23:14
Jeff Motley.
23:15
Want to rewatch any part of today's show or any
23:17
past show, check out the Gone Racing Podcast.
23:19
It's free and available now at vson dot
23:22
com, slash Podcasts or wherever
23:24
you get your podcasts.
23:25
We give you all the.
23:26
Latest news, odds and everything you
23:28
need to know to head to the betting counter over
23:30
each NASCAR Cup Series race and
23:32
while you're there, catch up on all the other vson
23:35
shows as well. That's vson dot Com
23:37
slash Podcasts. Well
23:39
back here in the Vson studios here at
23:41
the South Point and then also remotely
23:44
from the Space Coast they
23:46
call it down in Florida. Brendan Gonn,
23:48
who is remote, I don't even know if
23:50
we can see his video or we
23:52
may just have his moke shot on the screen right now. But Brendan,
23:55
we're getting under our group matchups here for Atlanta
23:58
this week. We talked about the fact this is our first
24:00
track that we're running our second event of the year on and
24:03
group A and then we're gonna find this with all of our groups.
24:05
It's really a matter of who's in the group, not really the numbers,
24:07
because the numbers are going to be pretty much the same group.
24:10
Bay we got Chase Elliott and Joey Logano
24:12
was the favorites at plus two sixty five, Denny
24:14
Hamlin plus two to seventy five, Ryan Blaney
24:17
two eighty.
24:18
Well, what I like here is I see two Fords at
24:20
two sixty five and two eighty against
24:22
a Chevy and a Toyota. I like all
24:25
of them, but Logano and Blaney teamed
24:27
up in this group. You know, I
24:29
I'm gonna stick with a Ford
24:31
in this group and Logano coming off his last
24:33
win. I'm going to
24:36
give the nod to Logano because there's not enough
24:38
juice to go down to Blaney. But I
24:40
just I'm just tagging on it as
24:42
two Fords versus a Chevy and
24:44
a Toyota. So I like it.
24:46
Yeah, And I can see that too.
24:48
I mean, I think, you know, Logano probably gets excited
24:50
for these kind of races. I'm with you, though, you
24:53
can look at all four of these guys and make
24:55
a case for him to win, and look at some point, Chase
24:57
Elliot's got to be like, hey, we
24:59
gotta win one of these deals here. We're
25:01
not going to make the playoffs. I think that's pretty obvious.
25:03
And you know, this is his home track. I know
25:05
Joey Logano claims it a little bit because even
25:07
though he was born up in the Northeast, Joey
25:10
moved down to Atlanta when he was about I don't
25:12
know, ten eleven years old to race Legends
25:15
cars and kind of also consider as a sort
25:17
of a home track. So I'm sure this is a big deal for both
25:19
Chase and Joey. So this is
25:21
this might be my group where it's kind of me to
25:23
just say, eh, I don't know if I want to touch this one
25:26
or not.
25:27
I think we're going to say that about a lot of groups unfortunately
25:29
today.
25:30
Yeah, but guess what, we got to pick some of them,
25:32
or well, we don't have to pick any of them. I guess we
25:34
can pick top threes and winners and everything
25:37
else. All right, let's take a look at Group B, where Kyle
25:39
Busch is a plus two sixty five, William
25:42
Byron plus two to seventy, Brad Keselowski,
25:44
and Christopher Bell at plus two seventy five
25:46
and Brendan. The first thing that jumps off at me is
25:49
the guy who is the favorite to win the race
25:51
and the favorite to have a top three drops
25:54
all the way to Group B even though he's the favorite here.
25:56
And Kyle Busch, Yeah,
25:58
you.
25:58
Know, sometimes we kind of joke about the Westgate and
26:01
you know how they do their stuff. Are some
26:03
of ours come from DraftKings, some from Westgate,
26:05
back and forth. This is one of those where it's
26:07
a little bit of anomaly. But I'm going to take the same
26:10
theory I didn't grew back. Kyle Busch and William
26:12
Byron are both Chevrolets
26:14
versus a Ford and bres Keselowski
26:16
and at Toyota and Christopher Bell. I'm
26:19
going to stick with the Chevrolets, and I give the nod to
26:21
Kyle Busch just off of you know, what
26:23
he's been able to do this year, especially
26:25
at Daytona. You know, I just I
26:27
think that that that's a That's
26:30
the only way I can give a differentiation,
26:33
so to speak, is that Kyle Busch finished
26:35
tenth earlier this year, and he seems like he's running
26:37
better on these type of places with his new duds
26:40
over at RCR.
26:41
Yeah, And it's interesting you say that because I think we've
26:43
seen Kyle Busch's attitude
26:45
maybe towards these type of tracks improve
26:47
a little bit this year since he went over to RCR,
26:50
you know.
26:50
But William Byron, I mean he got to win this.
26:53
He won the first race on this this new
26:55
layout at Atlanta a year and a half ago. Brett
26:57
Kesilowski, he finished second there earlier
27:00
this year. Christopher Bell is probably the one
27:02
I would I would count out right there.
27:05
But man, that's a pretty tough one for me. But
27:07
I kind of agree with you. They're probably lean
27:09
a little Kyle Busch. All right, let's take a look over
27:11
at our group. See one of our favorites
27:14
is up there at the top, but it's a three way top
27:16
there. Chris Bush or Martin TRICKX Junior, Tyler
27:18
Reddick are all plus two seventy how
27:21
Ty Gibbs comes in there at plus two seventy
27:23
five. Hey, we're finally going to a track that is
27:25
not one of Martin Tricks Junior's home tracks.
27:27
So are you sure
27:29
about this?
27:30
Yeah?
27:30
Sure, Yeah, I'm giving this one to Chase Elliot.
27:32
This is Chase Elliott, And like I said, Legano
27:34
gets a little bit of credit there, but yeah, we're
27:37
not going to give this one to true X.
27:39
Well, so here's my problem. In this group. You've got Chris
27:41
Busher is sitting duck with the three Toyotas right,
27:43
Trecks, Redick, and Gibbs, all teammates,
27:46
all lined up right there. They're all three Toyotas
27:48
ready to go. But here's the deal. What
27:51
if the Toyota is getting to the reck right
27:54
what if those three are teamed up and one of
27:56
them makes the mistake and takes them all now
28:00
sitting pretty with one guy. So
28:03
I kind of like the Chris Buscher
28:05
only because if there's the Joe Gibbs
28:07
racing aka Toyota, rec it
28:09
can be Chris Buscher because I can't differentiate
28:12
between Tyler Redick, ty
28:14
Gibbs, and Martin Trush Junior to me all
28:16
the same. They all run well here. Redick
28:18
was fifth in the last race. Here, Gibbs was ninth
28:21
in the last race. Here, with Denny Hamlin right there and
28:23
chrispher Bell, all the Toyota's pushed really well
28:25
together. So I just would
28:27
give a Chris Buscher going on the theory of
28:30
if the Toyota's getting the wreck. They're all going to be
28:32
taken out in the same one that would take those out,
28:34
which leaves Chris Buscher well.
28:35
And one of the things I like about Chris Buscher
28:37
in this group is his teammate Brad Kaseilowski.
28:40
We expect Kaslowski to run well.
28:42
If those two can team up together, that's certainly
28:45
gonna work in Busher's favor. We know
28:47
Brad is certainly embraces this
28:49
type of racing, so I think that's a big help.
28:52
I look at true X and all right, throw
28:54
Chicago out, where literally he hit everything
28:56
but the pace car. It was not a
28:59
good experience for him and Chicago. But beyond Chicago,
29:02
there hasn't been a hotter driver on the circuit over
29:04
the last month of the season than Martin Trickx Junior,
29:06
and I believe that that momentum
29:09
is still there. I think he can
29:11
probably take Chicago and
29:13
present and pretend he never even went
29:15
to Chicago. So that's the thing with true
29:17
Ex right now, that team has momentum, That
29:19
team is on a roll, and they are kind of just
29:22
loving life right now. So I think
29:24
true X and Bush are definitely the two guys to look
29:26
at. I don't really think Reddick or Gibbs are going
29:28
to be the guys here.
29:29
Can I jump in real quick?
29:30
If you're thinking about a guy that wrecks
29:33
all the time at plate races, Martin Trucks Junior
29:35
is like, oh, it's got to be like minus ten thousand.
29:37
He just has no luck in it.
29:38
And I know because I keep betting him thinking that he's going to
29:40
win one of these plate races. He just
29:42
has Him and Kyle Larson probably have the two
29:44
cruddy lucks in these type of races.
29:46
There's probably some truth to that. You know the definition
29:49
of insanity, right, So if you keep betting him
29:51
and you keep losing, that's what.
29:53
I did with Brad last year.
29:55
All right, let's take a look at our group.
29:57
Would you say, Brendan, I'm making the money,
30:00
I'm Brad this year He's jumped off it, I'm on
30:02
it and I'm winning every week. But I bet Brad.
30:04
Yeah, Well, I have a feeling there's going to be some kind of
30:06
a Kesilowski bet this week out of our pit
30:08
crew.
30:09
I'll be very surprised if there's not. All right, let's take
30:11
a look at our group.
30:12
D here, Bubba Wallace, Alex Bowman, Kevin
30:14
Harvick all at plus two seventy, Eric Jones
30:17
coming in at plus two seventy five.
30:20
So here you got the
30:22
the Eric Jones Chevrolet, the Kevin Harrick
30:24
Ford, the Alex Bowman Chevrolet, and the Bubba Wallace
30:27
Toyota. But the two Chevrolets here,
30:29
one of them is leaving to go. So I don't
30:32
see that him being allowed to work in the
30:34
reindeer game, so to speak. Which
30:37
leaves you Harvick and Bubba
30:39
and Bowman. And you
30:42
want to talk about a group that I and I'm going to
30:44
try to go through and give you some stats
30:46
somewhere here, jeff right. I mean, that's what I'm
30:48
supposed to do. And I'm trying to find any
30:50
stat to give you, and it's like, uh,
30:53
I can't differentiate. And Bubba Wallas
30:56
third best point getter in super Speedway races,
30:58
last ten races. So if
31:00
I want to give you one, Bubba Wallace is
31:02
the one that I would say, yeah,
31:04
he's run the best
31:07
man. I just there's not a whole
31:09
lot of Kevin
31:13
Harvick emotion. One is his last races
31:15
Atlanta, and you know the
31:18
amazing first race in Atlanta. You know,
31:20
I mean totally different racetracks though, but
31:22
I mean filling in for you
31:25
know, the recently passed Daleenhart Senior,
31:27
that amazing emotion and win, and that was the old
31:29
Atlanta. This is his last Atlanta. Will there be a
31:31
bunch of emotion there? And Kevin Harvick bring
31:33
the ghosts of you know, Christmas
31:35
past.
31:36
I don't know, I think to me, I
31:38
really, you know, you hit the nail on the head when
31:40
you talked about third best average fanage
31:42
last ten races. Bubba Wallace, I think bubb
31:45
is the guy who's going into Atlanta saying
31:48
bring it on, bring it on. You know Bowman
31:50
and the rough week last week. But Bowman
31:53
hasn't really been that good even since he came back to the injury.
31:55
Harvick.
31:56
You know, we've kind of written off Harvick so many times
31:58
and then like even last year he go in wins at
32:00
Michigan when we thought he was kind of left for dead. But
32:03
I really really like Bubba Wallace in this group
32:05
only because I think he is probably
32:07
going to embrace this race and embrace this type
32:09
of racing better than most of the others.
32:12
All right, let's move along and take a look at our
32:14
group E. Daniel Suarez,
32:16
Austin Sindrick, Chris, Ricky Stenhouse Junior
32:18
all at plus two seventy and Corey
32:21
La Joy an interesting case here
32:23
at plus two seventy five.
32:25
Yeah, you know, Corey La Joy being the dog
32:28
here. I mean I wish it was a little more, you know,
32:30
I wish we had a little more juice in there, right, I mean two
32:32
seventy five is really tight. I
32:34
do like that because the Joy normally is the guy
32:36
right that knows how to how to wait and
32:38
get around these things, and you
32:40
know, do that whole What we feel is the
32:44
super speedway style ration. You know, he finished
32:46
fourth in this race earlier this year.
32:48
He finished fourth, you know, not last year this year.
32:50
So I don't dislike the Corey
32:52
La Joy pick. But you're putting them up against
32:55
a Ricky Standhouse junior who just
32:57
won the day twenty five hundred, right, I mean he's got
32:59
a lot moment in this sort of
33:02
sort of deal. You're putting him up against
33:04
an Austin Sindric who here's a guy that won the
33:06
atony five hundred last year and needs to
33:08
have this race to kind of get in. So there's
33:10
a lot of guys here that I'm just I
33:14
like, But Corin La Joy at two seventy
33:16
five is the guy that knows how to.
33:17
Wait it out well, and I think it's
33:19
something we have to look at in all of our group
33:21
matchups here, as they're all really really tightly
33:23
packed together. Stenhouse and La Joy
33:26
are the two guys are probably embracing this type
33:28
of racing more than anybody else, although
33:30
certainly Cindric is going to be a factor here for
33:32
some reason, I guess I'm kind of leaning
33:35
on the Ricky Stenhouse junior bandwagon
33:37
in this group. But again, it's gonna be another competitive
33:40
one. Okay, we come back on ground racing. We got
33:42
one group left. We'll give you our manufacturer
33:44
props and we'll give you our picks for
33:46
Atlanta.
34:12
This is Gone Racing, FISA's
34:14
premier NASCAR betting podcast. You're
34:16
your hosts, former NASCAR driver Brendan
34:18
Gone and Las Vegas Motor Speedways
34:20
Jeff Motley.
34:22
All right, it's our final segment of Gone Racing this
34:24
week, talking about this weekends race, the Quaker
34:26
State four hundred at Atlanta Motor Speedway.
34:29
Just south of Atlanta.
34:30
I'm sitting here in our beautiful Vson Studios
34:32
at the South Point Hotel Casino. Brendan
34:34
is down on the east coast of Florida
34:36
around Cape Canaveral, going
34:39
to space camp or taking the kids to space Camp.
34:41
So, Brendan, we got on
34:43
one segment to go here and we're in our final
34:46
group Group F and hey, guess
34:48
what, We've got a guy who's actually.
34:49
A clear cut favorite according to the oddsmakers.
34:52
Here Eric Almarola at plus two fifty,
34:54
aj Allmendinger and Michael McDowell at plus
34:57
two seventy five, and Justin Haley fresh
34:59
off that second place finish in Chicago
35:01
at plus two ninety.
35:03
Well, look, I mean, you can see why Eric Almirola would
35:05
be the favorite, right you think about him and how many
35:07
times he came close to winning a super speedway
35:10
race. But that's that's what have you done for me
35:12
lately? He hasn't done a lot lately. I
35:14
look at this and I go, Okay, I got
35:16
the two colleague teammates of aj Allmendinger
35:18
and Justin Haley. Who those two
35:20
guys right there, man, think about what they
35:23
were able to do in the Exfinity Series, right colleague
35:25
racing absolutely dominated
35:28
the super
35:31
speedway races in those you
35:33
know, college cars. So I do like
35:35
those two guys, But you know, the sneaky guy right there
35:38
is that Michael McDowell. McDowell runs
35:40
really great on these places. He's patient,
35:43
like Corey, he knows how to be there at
35:45
the end, and now he's point racing. So I
35:47
think that Michael McDowell is gonna wait, avoid
35:49
some of them, Rex, and try to be there at the end.
35:52
You know, I really agree with you there. I really like Michael
35:54
McDowell here.
35:55
And I think another thing that is
35:57
probably helping Michael McDowell racing
35:59
on these speedways over maybe the last
36:01
few races where we've seen him do well, is
36:03
he's run so many of them that the other
36:06
guys out there have confidence in him.
36:08
You know.
36:08
I'm not so sure that the veteran
36:10
drivers have quite as much confidence in Justin
36:13
Haley or even Allmendinger on these
36:15
type racetracks, whereas McDowell
36:17
has proven himself, and there's no question
36:20
in the world that McDowell there would be any
36:22
problem with a Joey Logano or a Ryan
36:24
Blaney or even the guy's in another
36:26
manufacturer, Denny Hamlin, Kevin Harvick, any
36:28
of those guys that would be willing to get behind
36:31
Michael McDowell. He's always been a guy who's
36:33
been able to lead on these type racetracks,
36:35
and he finds himself in the right spot. I just
36:37
think McDowell's a guy who is going to
36:40
run up front and maybe run up front a little
36:42
bit better than these other guys. So I kind of like
36:44
your thinking there on, Michael McDowell. Okay,
36:47
our last line we've got is our manufacturer
36:50
props. Chevy comes in with
36:52
a plus number. Finally, for a change, Chevy's
36:54
been in the negative number so many weeks. Chevy's
36:56
a plus one fifteen, Ford's a plus one forty
37:00
plus three point fifty. That is a big
37:02
number for some pretty good Toyota cars.
37:06
Let me read you the top ten from the
37:08
last Atlanta race. Chris Ravel
37:11
third, Tyler Reddick fifth,
37:13
Denny Hamlin sixth, Ty Gibbs ninth.
37:17
The Toyotas work amazingly well
37:19
together. They have extra ones now that they
37:21
used to didn't have that they didn't have before, and
37:23
they have great drivers in them. I
37:26
really like the three fifty Toyota. I
37:28
really do, only because it's a
37:30
massive return in a three man horse race. You're
37:32
getting over a third return in a
37:34
three man race even though there's only six
37:37
cars on the track. I like that Toyota
37:39
number. That three point fifty just screams
37:42
to me. Value.
37:43
Yeah, I'm an I am so in agreement
37:45
with you on that one. And look, you look at the six
37:47
guys that are in Toyota's I know Ty Gibbs
37:49
has never won a Cup Series race, but I really look
37:52
at those six guys and I say, all six of
37:54
these guys are capable of winning
37:56
the race. In fact, I think Bubba Wallace, Denny
37:58
Hamlin, Martin Trux Junior. I mean those three
38:00
guys, I think all are completely
38:02
embracing this type racing and they have done
38:05
it for a number of years. You know Whyatt
38:07
mentioned the fact that true X has had a lot
38:09
of bad luck, but you know, kind
38:11
of those things kind of come around, and I'm
38:13
not so sure that good luck for other than
38:15
last week in Chicago hasn't been smiling
38:18
on true X a little bit there, So I'm kind of with you there.
38:20
I really really do like Toyota
38:22
coming in their plus three to fifty. I think you got so
38:24
many opportunities with good drivers. All
38:27
right, let's move along. We'll take a quick glance at
38:29
our odds
38:31
to win the championship. Not
38:34
much movement we've seen over the last
38:36
few weeks, partly because last week we didn't
38:38
have anybody pull an upset when
38:40
that was actually running for the championship. Shane
38:42
Ben Giesbergan was not running for the
38:45
title, so it's only Racey's run this year.
38:47
So not a lot of movement other than
38:49
I think we're just continuing to see
38:51
Chase Elliott's odds go up and up and up.
38:54
I mean, are you at the point Brandan? I mean, Chase Elliott
38:56
right now is down to ten to one to
38:58
win the championship. First
39:00
off, it's gonna be hard for him to get in it without
39:02
a win, and even if he does get in it, he
39:05
doesn't have a whole lot of playoff points unless he runs
39:07
off three or four wins here before we get into
39:09
the regular season.
39:11
Yeah, I like that. I like that because everybody's
39:13
doubt him. Right now. He's a double digit. Last year
39:15
he was a plus four fifty. I think by the end,
39:18
I think that he absolutely is an
39:21
amazing contender, and that's a team that can
39:23
win for five races in a row, right, I mean, those
39:26
guys have done it before. So I think that's
39:29
your best value on the board. Is that ten to one there and
39:31
Joey Logano and Ryan
39:33
Blaney vote twelve to ones. I think that right
39:35
there just screams pick me, pick me, and hedge
39:37
my bet for later in the season.
39:39
Yeah, And you know the guys that have gone the other way, you
39:41
know, William Byron, Martin Driux Junior, Kyle Busch,
39:44
those were the guys to have gotten in on earlier in the season.
39:46
And you know, I'm almost you know, go back and you look
39:48
at it. I'm almost surprised that Truex
39:50
was was only eleven to one, that he wasn't more like
39:52
fifteen or sixteen to one, given that he didn't
39:55
even make the playoffs last year. So it kind
39:57
of surprised me a little bit that he opened
39:59
at eleven to one. He's down to plus seven hundred,
40:01
and you know the four guys at the top of the board
40:03
right now, Kyle Larson at plus five hundred and Byron
40:05
Trucks and bush All at plus seven hundred, they're
40:07
clearly the four hottest guys on the circuit right now,
40:10
so I guess it's no big surprise that they're there at the top.
40:14
Nope, that's and look trucks. Once again.
40:16
We can talk about it all day long. I have the
40:18
worst bet of the season, I admit
40:20
it. I will have to eat Crow and Admitte all season.
40:23
Martin Truex has not been the disappointment of twenty
40:25
twenty three.
40:26
Well, and I think you're going to be
40:28
forgiven on you eating Crow because now we can talk
40:30
about our picks from last week and
40:32
where we have the standing. Unfortunately we do.
40:35
Of course, I got shut out last week. It
40:37
was It was a brutal, brutal week for me. You
40:39
know, I was feeling so good about a Toyota
40:42
win until the whole issue
40:44
with Christopher Bell and Tyler Reddick and the shortening
40:46
of the race. Pit crew did get one right
40:49
last week, picking Michael McDowell
40:51
to win in Group C, and again they lost
40:53
point one point. They are literally dying by
40:55
pin pricks. It gets a zero
40:57
point one. It's like it seems like every week right now.
41:00
Brendan only got one right, but hey, it was an
41:02
eleven to one winner. With Shane Van
41:05
Giesberg and so Brendan. You're
41:07
up fifty three points on
41:09
me now and I am thirteen points
41:12
ahead of the pit crew. So I
41:14
need a big win here somewhere.
41:16
You know, you keep saying that the pick crew's dying
41:18
by pin prick, but I think that
41:20
what's happening is they're slowly catching
41:23
up to you by just sitting still.
41:24
Yeah, we're about thirteen. We're only three laps down
41:26
now.
41:27
Oh yeah, I mean, here's a deal. There have been
41:29
pinpricks. I severed a main artery. That's
41:32
a big difference. Come on, Okay,
41:34
we got to get into our picks though for this week, so
41:37
we'll let Wyatt take off on the pit crew.
41:38
Go ahead, all right, big money this week for the pit crew.
41:40
We're gonna go with Chase Elliott to win eleven
41:42
to one, and the pick that I've been hyping about since
41:45
probably last year, Brad Keslowski to win
41:47
fourteen to one. Really high on Corey
41:49
la Joy. He's been running really well here. I
41:52
should have could have won the race last
41:54
fall. We're gonna go top three with him at ten to one.
41:56
Bubba Wallace to win Group D plus two to seventy
41:58
and Michael mcdaalds win Group F plus
42:00
two seventy five.
42:02
Since I already know Brendan's picks and I've got
42:04
my picks done, there's a kiss
42:06
of death that is coming today, folks.
42:07
Somebody that all three of us are picking.
42:09
I swear if it's the Braad Kaslowski to win, I'm gonna
42:12
be mad.
42:12
Well it won't be that one, But I am in agreement
42:14
with the pit crew. I am gonna go Chase
42:16
Elliott to win. I think if he's gonna break
42:18
through, this is the week that he breaks through.
42:20
So I'm going Chase Elliott to win. I have
42:23
three group picks.
42:24
I'm gonna go Bubba Wallace with the pit crew
42:27
there in Group D, I'm going
42:29
into Group E with Ricky Stenhouse
42:31
Junior, and Group F I am
42:33
going Michael McDowell. And my last
42:35
pick is going to be Toyota to
42:38
win. Let's say you, mister Gahn.
42:41
So mister Gann is going to start off with that top Toyota
42:43
pick. Also that plus three fifty, I really
42:46
like that. Then I'm gonna go Brad
42:48
Kez at plus four hundred for a top three. I'm
42:50
gonna dominate. Top three's here Keselowski
42:52
plus four hundred on a top three, Reddick
42:55
at plus seven hundred for a top three, and
42:57
Hamlin for plus four hundred on a top
42:59
three. I just I like those
43:01
top three numbers better than our group picks. And
43:03
then McDowell to win Group F. I'm
43:06
gonna go with that. Michael McDougal pick and
43:08
pick him at plus two seventy five.
43:10
In group Brenda, do you have McDowell's
43:12
phone number?
43:14
I do.
43:15
You should text him and apologize ahead of
43:17
time that he will not be winning Group F. Since
43:19
all three of us have picked McDowell and.
43:21
Group have we ever won with all
43:23
three of us?
43:23
I think we might have gotten one right, but I know it was
43:26
a chest dain we lost on the head to head
43:28
last week. We all three had chest dain going head to
43:30
head over Elliott may.
43:32
Also picker at him top three and that was
43:35
the case of poor qualifying just stood
43:37
no chance.
43:38
Well that's true.
43:39
Well, Chase Elliot didn't have a good qualifying either, That's
43:41
who he was head to head against. Chase Elliott crashed out
43:44
in qualifying.
43:44
If Chase Eli's got eight plus strategy this
43:47
year, apparently.
43:47
Well, definitely things kind of fell
43:50
right in his lap or exactly the way he wanted
43:52
him.
43:52
So uh.
43:53
Anyway, so we got about a minute left in this segment.
43:55
Brandon, you look forward to this racing in Atlanta.
43:58
Do you think we got enough of those with Dayton? And it
44:00
doesn't really matter because what we got now is what we got now. But
44:02
these Atlanta races have been pretty exciting since redid
44:05
the track.
44:06
He've been exciting. But remember, I'm older, going
44:08
to show my age here. I really loved that Atlanta
44:10
track. I was part of that group years ago that
44:13
we used to We used to go up to old Don Hawk
44:15
and beg and scream and kick
44:17
and everything about please don't
44:19
repave, Please don't repave. So I
44:22
do love the old track. With this new track definitely
44:24
exciting. Fans get their money's worth when they go
44:26
to the race now.
44:27
Well they do, and it's definitely you're right, You're
44:29
right. It's very exciting to see these races at Atlanta
44:31
and it's one of our home tracks. It's one of our speedway
44:34
motorsports facilities. So looking forward
44:36
to having a great weekend in Atlanta. All right,
44:38
that's our show for today. Brittan was remote
44:40
down there, down there in Florida, so we'll
44:43
be back next week.
44:44
We'll break this race down and talk about the next
44:46
one.
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