Episode Transcript
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0:02
This is Gone Racing, Fison's
0:04
premier NASCAR betting podcast. Here
0:06
are your hosts, former NASCAR driver Brendan
0:08
Gone and Las Vegas Motor Speedways
0:10
and Jeff Motley.
0:12
Hey back another week, have Gone Racing, Jeff
0:14
Motley. And you kind of see the desk. It looks
0:16
a little empty right now. Brendan's
0:18
running a little bit late. And I know we say that we record
0:21
the show. You wonder, well, then why don't you guys wait
0:23
for him? Well, it's because other people get to
0:25
have the studio after we do, so we
0:27
have to start on time this week.
0:28
But fortunately we have our other
0:31
expert here.
0:31
Why at time check our producer behind the glass,
0:33
So he's gonna fill in back there for Brendan
0:36
until you see Brendan come running in, maybe
0:38
even faster than you saw him at Talladega
0:41
and Daytona back in his racing days.
0:42
When he gets here.
0:44
And when he does, we're gonna finish wrapping up this
0:46
Michigan race. We had this last weekend, the twenty
0:48
four Hours of Michigan as some people called it, because
0:51
they started the race on Sunday. They got
0:53
about seventy five of the two hundred laps in
0:55
before rain call things off and
0:57
had to finish the race on Monday. And holy
0:59
smokes, I had two weeks in a
1:01
row. Chris Buscher, huge,
1:03
huge underdog. I mean he's gone.
1:05
He was a fifty five to one to win the
1:08
week before, then a forty to one
1:10
to win this past week at Michigan. He's won two in
1:12
a row. Break up, Chris Buscher. That team looks
1:14
really good.
1:14
You know, I was talking with Brendan last week.
1:16
I was like, man, if Chris Buscher can win again,
1:19
I'm looking at RFK and especially him
1:21
as legit championship contenders, and that
1:24
was very impressive. I'm very frustrated yet again
1:26
we did not have Chris Buscher in a group
1:28
matchup. We always bet him, but shame on
1:31
us. Also, we didn't pick him to win.
1:33
No, we didn't pick him to win.
1:34
But I am looking forward to talking about
1:36
how we did last week. You know, I was off on vacation
1:38
last week, and I think I should stay on vacation
1:41
based on the picks that I had this week. But we'll talk
1:43
about those in the last segment of the show.
1:45
But one little bit of news we need
1:47
to cover here. You know, we are recording this show
1:49
on Thursday. The news just came down
1:51
this morning that Noah Gregson has asked for
1:53
his release from Legacy Motor Club.
1:55
Of course, he had been suspended by the race team and then
1:57
by NASCAR a couple weeks. So
2:00
just want to get that news out there that pretty
2:02
much hands the Rookie of the Year title to Ty Gibbs
2:05
because they were really the only two drivers that really had
2:08
a chance at it. So just want to get that piece of news out
2:10
there. But back to Michigan. We mentioned the fact
2:12
that Chris Buscher was forty to one
2:14
to win the race. He was also double digit
2:16
to get a top three, He was eleven to one for a
2:18
top three, and he also brought Ford
2:20
home at a plus two fifty five. Why
2:23
you mentioned the fact that he was not in a
2:25
group, he didn't have a head to head matchup. So
2:27
we don't have as many odds that we can talk about on what
2:30
Chris Busher did. But one thing that you know,
2:32
Brendan and I had talked about a number of times
2:34
on this show when we talk about the championship
2:36
odds, we talked about who do you need to jump
2:38
in on win Chris Buscher. Two
2:40
weeks ago before he won it Richmond was eighty
2:43
to one to win the championship. Then
2:45
he won it at Richmond, his
2:47
odds were cut in half forty
2:49
to one. Now he wins again at Michigan,
2:52
they're cutting half again, twenty
2:54
to one.
2:55
We're going to get down on Chris Busher.
2:57
You're probably better get in now, because if Chris Busher
2:59
has another solid run, you're gonna see those
3:01
numbers drop down to like twelve and thirteen to one.
3:03
Yeah, Joe, and I think now we
3:06
can make the argument. I think that RFK
3:08
has been the top four team this year, better
3:10
than Penske, definitely better than Stuart
3:13
Haas because Brad Kaslowski finished
3:16
top five yet again, I mean they
3:18
are running consistently well
3:20
week in and week out. This is
3:22
a very dangerous team. And I'm crossing
3:24
my fingers because I have an over on Brad Keselowski's
3:27
wins this year at half that he will get
3:29
into victory lane as well.
3:30
Well.
3:30
I think the way he's running, I think he certainly has has
3:33
a great opportunity. And I think the other thing that's
3:35
really interesting about this, I mean, let's
3:37
let's let's face it, the Penske team and
3:39
the Stuart Haws team. We probably
3:42
think of them as being bigger teams, maybe
3:45
better funded teams, I don't know, and
3:47
they really have not run that well in the Fords, and
3:49
what we've seen right now is that RFK has
3:51
become the dominant forward team out
3:53
there, and I think that is that's going to be huge for them
3:55
going forward. And it's also got to give Ford
3:58
a big shot in the arm to get a couple of wins here, because
4:00
I mean we've even kind of poop pooed them on the show
4:02
how poorly they had been running throughout this year,
4:05
and now to see them reel off a couple
4:07
of consecutive victories, looks like they're going
4:09
to get at least three, maybe four guys
4:11
into the playoffs. So they're gonna have as
4:13
good a chance as anybody when they get in there.
4:15
Yeah, me and Brendan were talking about it last week. We're like, man,
4:17
we kind of like the force. We just can't We didn't
4:19
know if that was going to be kind of a one off
4:21
at Richmond.
4:22
Now.
4:23
I mean, I'm believing the Fords with RFK, but everybody
4:26
else though, I mean, Logano was
4:29
decent. Ryan Blaney was kind of hit and
4:31
miss. Sindrick actually had a decent run, but
4:33
the Stuart Hawk guys. I thought Kevin Harvick
4:35
would have a more dominant day than he
4:38
did, and he just kind of kind of used strategy
4:40
there to get a top ten late in the race.
4:42
Right Well, you know, last year he went into this race
4:44
needing a win to make the playoffs, and
4:46
I don't think he really has to worry about making the playoffs
4:48
right now unless we get some big upsets in
4:51
these last three races, which we know are capable.
4:53
All right, let's take a look here at our top ten. We
4:56
mentioned Busher's numbers. Martin Trix Junior was
4:58
second with a plus two ten. I tell he
5:00
he's the hottest guy in the sport right now. Denny
5:02
Hamlin another Toyota plus
5:04
one seventy five for a top three,
5:07
and then you.
5:07
Run down the whole top ten.
5:09
Uh, not necessarily any shocks there.
5:10
Keselowski has been running well.
5:12
Larson a good bounce back run for
5:14
the track House team, Daniel Suarez, Ross
5:16
Chastain getting six and seventh, and
5:19
the fastest or slowest man in NASCAR
5:21
is walking in. Can we get can we hit a pan
5:23
into the screen of Brendan as he
5:26
walks into the chick.
5:26
There he is, there, he is, he's
5:29
here. I'll
5:31
get that later and clean shaven looks like
5:33
that.
5:33
Oh big black feu. Oh we got the black flag.
5:36
Okay, black flag, black flag for Brenda, Brenda.
5:38
We're talking about the top ten right now, because we've
5:40
already given Chris Buscher his props for this
5:42
week.
5:43
Kind of down there.
5:44
Really the only big surprise in the top ten Eric Jones
5:46
getting another top ten for Legacy Motor Club.
5:48
Well, but me surprise Chris Buscher. I
5:51
mean, come on, forty to one last week, fifty five,
5:53
this week forty unbelievable. What
5:55
they're doing at RKA. I saw Brad Keselowski this
5:57
weekend. Never been so
5:59
proud of a person. I mean, what he's done is
6:01
amazing there.
6:02
And it's really, I think become obvious that he's
6:04
really kind of taking control of that team and kind
6:06
of molded it into the team that he wants it to be.
6:09
Talked to Newmark, talked to a lot of the guys. They
6:12
say that it's a totally different atmosphere
6:14
with Brad there. It's just he
6:17
brings what we always say, Kurt Busch brings
6:19
right, Kurt goes to a place, just
6:23
makes things better. But Brad's
6:25
doing it on an organizational level. It's amazing what he's
6:27
done after they have relevant skin well.
6:29
And I think a lot of people were probably
6:32
surprised that Chris Buscher
6:34
was going to be the second driver on that team,
6:37
because I don't think people really knew what Chris was capable
6:39
of, because we'd really never seen Chris in
6:41
a capable race car. I think Chris
6:44
Buscher has certainly established himself
6:46
now. I mean he's one of the guys to
6:48
be going into the playoffs right.
6:51
One the last two races on a short track
6:54
and now on not
6:57
a super speedway, but you know, a big, massive
6:59
speedway where by the way, you weren't here last
7:01
week. But all I did was poop
7:03
poo the Ford's about. But at Michigan
7:05
they always when straight.
7:07
What'd I say? Why what did I say? Last week? Though? I'm
7:10
so scared because the
7:12
Fords are awful on these tracks, but it's
7:14
Michigan. And that's why I bet Ford,
7:16
as I say, you picked for so you couldn't
7:18
have poo pooed them too bad? I did, but I just
7:20
I kept saying I wasn't sure. But you look at the top ten. Okay,
7:23
you got Brad, And how about the best
7:25
Ford team now is RFK? You
7:27
know you got Harvick there, Harvick once again a
7:29
A S.
7:30
Harvick Lain, he got in there.
7:31
But you're right, it's what we were talking about just right
7:33
before you walked in. You could
7:36
argue that the Penske team and Stewart host team are
7:38
better funded, bigger.
7:39
Teams, no argument they are. But RFK
7:41
is clearly setting the bar for Ford
7:43
right now. They're clearly the best one. And and
7:46
you know Martin Trux Junior, Denny Hamlin, those guys strong
7:48
right there. But what I liked was that Daniel Swarez
7:50
move. Daniel Suarez is finally starting
7:53
to to start clicking back
7:55
again where he's he's trying to keep himself
7:57
in that conversation of relevance.
7:59
Well, and that kind of brings to where we are right now
8:01
at the show. And that's kind of talking about where we are
8:03
in terms of the standings. We've only got
8:05
three races to go, and you talk to
8:07
that Daniel Suarez, well, he's only five points
8:09
below the cut line, even though he's in eighteenth
8:12
place. Right now,
8:14
if we don't get a big upset, we've
8:16
got fifteen of the sixteen spots
8:18
that are in pretty good shape right now.
8:20
I mean you get you look at at Bubba.
8:22
Wallace, Brad Keselowski, and Kevin Harvick, the
8:24
three guys without wins, they're in
8:26
pretty good shape.
8:27
You know. First, William Byron on the
8:29
on on the leader of the points. William
8:31
Byron had one hundred point lead a couple weeks
8:33
ago. Now he's one hundred points behind. So
8:36
William Byron has absolutely faded
8:39
as far as he Remember a couple weeks ago we were saying
8:41
he was our favorite for the whole deal. Now TRUEX
8:43
was there, and TRUEX now has their agency and point lead. But
8:45
this this cut line thing, how about Ty
8:48
get the rookie Ty Gibbs
8:50
squeaking in there? Now the cut line's super
8:52
close. It's it's a bloodbath right there at that line.
8:55
But as you said, Jeff, you get one winner, one
8:58
different winner right now, out of the top sixteen.
9:00
That cut line goes to Bubba Wallace, who has
9:02
a pretty comfortable gap.
9:04
He's an a comfortable gap as long as there's
9:06
only one set winner, that's right, and we're
9:09
and I know the one guy that we're both looking at, right,
9:11
there is a guy in nineteenth going
9:13
into these next two races. If AJ
9:15
Allmendinger doesn't have these two
9:18
races, I mean it is all or nothing in these two
9:20
races for AJ Allmendinger. The way I
9:22
see it, he really has to say I have
9:24
to win one of these two races.
9:26
Well, I think, colleague, I think CAUG already proved
9:28
that they already have that in their mindset, right
9:30
by what they did at Road America by
9:32
sending by sending AJ
9:35
to Road America to race the road course and not start
9:37
Richmond and start from the back. I
9:39
think they already kind of said all our
9:42
eggs are in the AJ road course basket. So
9:44
they're definitely looking at that. And you got twentieth Alex
9:46
Bowman, and don't forget not on this page who
9:48
was on it last week, Chase Elliott.
9:51
Two of the Hendrick cars are sitting way
9:53
out right now of the cut line.
9:54
Well, I think we know Chase Elliot
9:57
has to win to get in. He's not jumping
9:59
all those guys and making up all those points.
10:01
Jase Elliott, it's win now it
10:03
is. I agree right now, I believe it is. Absolutely
10:06
yeah, there's no pointing his way.
10:07
And well, looking at this, we talked about the fact we've only
10:09
got three races left in the regular season. This
10:11
weekend, it's going to be the road course at Indianapolis,
10:14
followed by another road course at Watkins Glen,
10:16
and followed by everybody's favorite
10:19
term, the crap shoot that is the
10:21
Coke zero Sugar four hundred at Daytona.
10:24
The playoffs will start with Darlington to Southern
10:26
five hundred and then go to Kansas. But honestly,
10:29
we're really not looking past Daytona right
10:31
now.
10:32
And I think NASCAR, how once, let's
10:34
go back through to a plaud Ben Kennedy and these guys that
10:36
do the scheduling. Now the app that you
10:38
took the notorious July fourth Daytona
10:40
race, right, I mean, Jeff, They've been doing that since
10:43
nineteen fifty something, and
10:45
they had the guts to put it as the
10:47
cutoff race. We used to love Richmond as the
10:49
cutoff race, nothing like what has become at
10:51
Daytona.
10:51
Well, and I agree with I love Daytona being last.
10:54
I will say this if it was one thing that
10:56
I would have done a little differently.
10:58
I wouldn't have had back to back road
11:01
courses.
11:01
I would have gone Indy Michigan
11:04
Watkins Glen Daytona or Watkins
11:06
Glenn Michigan Indie Daytona. I
11:09
probably wouldn't have put the two back to back road
11:11
courses back to back. That would just probably be the one
11:13
thing that me I would do different I.
11:16
Mean, you could argue for it, and you know, it gives
11:18
the guys an extra week for road course car you know, some things
11:20
like that, but still super cool and
11:23
we all know the last couple of years
11:25
we've had surprise winners to get themself. Austin Dillon
11:27
did the walk off home run last year
11:29
to make the playoffs.
11:30
He did, and we certainly know that's a possibility when
11:32
you get to Daytona.
11:33
Okay, we come back on Gone Racing.
11:35
We got a lot of things to talk about, but more
11:37
importantly we're going to be breaking down this race at
11:39
Indianapolis this weekend.
12:03
This is Gone Racing, Fison's
12:06
premiere NASCAR Betty podcast. You're
12:08
your hosts former NASCAR driver Brendan
12:10
Gone and Las Vegas Motor Speedways.
12:12
Jeff Motley and.
12:14
Yes, Brendan Gone really is here in
12:16
the flesh. He is here for the opening of the
12:18
secondent. Do you catch your breath? Okay,
12:22
all right?
12:22
Vegas in the rain, Jay, Well, it's
12:24
true, rarely rain.
12:25
I was gonna say, when you said you were late,
12:28
I was like, ooh, it is raining outside
12:30
and usually about five minutes of rain.
12:32
Yeah, town, it's Brendon
12:34
loves racing in the rain. I love it, and
12:37
I know one likes driving in the rain in Las
12:39
Vegas.
12:40
It's a little it's it's interesting.
12:41
Exactly if if if you've never been to
12:43
Las Vegas, driving in the rain in Las Vegas is like driving
12:46
on IC in Greensboro, North.
12:47
Yes, Brendan, what's more hectic driving
12:50
in the rain in Vegas or driving to Talladegain
12:53
in Vegas.
12:54
You can trust the guy you can for the most part, you
12:56
can trust the guys. I know
12:58
who I can fion at
13:01
least I know who it is that I'm next to
13:03
out here. You don't know who's putting their makeup on and
13:05
who's you know, got their phone playing Candy
13:07
Crush. So yeah, it's definitely interesting.
13:09
All right, Well, this weekend, let's hope
13:11
you don't get rain. But if we do get rain, guess what we
13:14
got rain tires for this race. It's okay.
13:16
So we're heading off to the road course in Indianapolis
13:18
two point six miles, which is actually a tenth
13:20
of a mile longer than if they actually ran the
13:22
oval. Fifteen turns asphalt
13:25
and brick, which is funny. The brick is all of like
13:28
three feet a brick.
13:30
But they actually list the brick. That's amusing
13:32
list the brick so away.
13:33
Last year's winner was Tyler Reddick, but
13:36
Tyler Reddick driving for a different race team last
13:38
year than he is this year. It seems like this
13:41
year Tyler Reddick, along with several
13:43
other Toyota guys, just keep getting
13:45
in their own way.
13:47
You know what's funny is I was first
13:49
segment type stuff. We were pitted next in with
13:51
the sixty two car next to Tyler's guys couple
13:53
RCR guys. I look at him. I good, guys, you realize
13:56
you're the fastest in the sport anyway, slow
13:58
down, you slow down on you
14:00
take that extra extra tenth of a second,
14:03
half a second, and you're still beating everybody.
14:05
Oh no, no, no, we got this. We got and what happens
14:08
again.
14:10
Exactly so as we head off
14:12
and now the last time we ran
14:14
on a road course, street
14:16
course, whatever you want to call it, had big
14:19
upset winner Shane van Gisbergen.
14:21
The man, the myth and the legend is
14:23
back.
14:23
He is back.
14:24
He'll be back in that in that car with track
14:27
House Racing the Project ninety one
14:30
car returning this week. We got
14:32
a big international flavor here of Brodie
14:34
Costeki will be coming in from Australia, Kamo
14:36
Kabayashi from Japan, and Jensen
14:39
Button making a return from England.
14:40
And of course we also have Daniel Suarez. I
14:42
mean, isn't he He's always He's always in, He's
14:45
always here, but I mean we should count Daniel Suarez
14:47
as well.
14:47
And we also got Mike Rockenfelters, who's going
14:49
to be in the car that Greson is.
14:51
That missed our our deal. He's now replacing Noah
14:54
this week.
14:54
So that's so it'll be playing a lot of different national
14:56
anthems before this.
14:57
We could I look Jensen,
15:00
he's been running some stuff all year long and hasn't
15:02
looked very good, so you know, you gotta
15:04
he is great normally, but the one to me that's
15:06
exciting is Kobayashi. If you don't know Komui
15:09
Kobayashi, he's an international,
15:12
he's a sports car guy in America. That's
15:14
phenomenal. But he's driving
15:17
a twenty three eleven Toyota. That
15:19
to me is where the big difference comes
15:21
in is that Kobayashi could be It could
15:23
be like shanevng Giesbergen where he's he's
15:26
driven heavier cars, he's done some things, so
15:28
I do like that. And Kosteki also is
15:30
a is a supercars guy also,
15:32
So that's what shanevanng
15:34
Giesbergen is is a via supercar guy. So is Brody.
15:37
So a lot a lot of international guys
15:39
could could have flair here.
15:40
Again well, and I think though I
15:42
think Shane van Geisbergen had a
15:45
little bit of a the street course the
15:47
street course well. But the other thing about the street
15:49
course race, though, is he had as
15:51
many laps on that track, is that anybody
15:53
else He had done the simulator work like
15:56
everyone else. Now he's
15:58
going to a track that these guys have a
16:00
lot of laps on that these other guys
16:02
are much more familiar with. I just think that's
16:05
gonna raise the bar and make it a little bit.
16:07
You're not gonna see him come from fourteenth to second
16:09
like he was doing at Chicago. He's gonna
16:11
have to work harder. But this is a road course that is
16:14
pretty technically sound, which you know my argument
16:16
on that, which means that it will give those guys
16:18
a little bit of a boost. Rockenfeller
16:21
is somebody that's not listed on here that we need to pay attention to
16:23
because he is also driving a good car. But Kosteki,
16:26
Kobayashi, and Van Geisberg, and I believe all
16:28
will be will be in the discussion
16:30
this week more so than other other road
16:33
courses, and I think I agree. I was gonna
16:35
say that because I think Watkins Glenn
16:37
I don't give them nearly the same opportunity
16:39
that I would at Indianapolis.
16:41
All right, let's take a look at our odds to win the race
16:43
this week. I guess we're not really surprised
16:45
to Our favorite is Martin Truex Junior. He is
16:48
the hottest guy on the sport. Well guess
16:50
he's the second hottest guy. But he has still been the
16:52
most consistent guy over the last three
16:54
months of the season. He's comes in at a plus four
16:56
hundred, Tyler Reddick at plus five fifty,
16:58
Shane Van Gisbergen is play seven hundred,
17:01
Chase Elliot or oddsmakers are still
17:03
believing in him plus seven fifty, Kyle
17:05
Busch at ten to one, Kyle Larson, Christopher
17:07
Bell at eleven, aj Allmendinger
17:10
sixteen, Daniel Suarez and Brodie Kostecki
17:12
at eighteen, Denny Hamlin, Chris
17:14
Busher at twenty, William Byron
17:16
Ross Chastain at twenty two, Michael
17:19
McDowell, Austin Sindrick at twenty
17:21
eight.
17:22
Sorry did you just say? I think I misheard
17:24
your I was looking down at my computer screen. Did did I hear?
17:26
J ellmen Dinger six sixteen one?
17:29
Sorry? Did I did? That's the folks
17:31
at DraftKings.
17:32
I think they've put it.
17:33
They put his car number up instead of I
17:37
liked the pool sixteen to one on a j almending
17:39
At this race.
17:40
Course, you'd realize that there's only been two
17:42
races here.
17:44
He won the first one when
17:46
he was a full time Infinity Series driver.
17:48
And finished seventh in the second one. Like
17:51
you know this right? Like Hi, Hello,
17:55
yeah, oh wow.
17:59
I think that's a that's a huge and you know, Christopher
18:01
Bell is a very accomplished road course guy.
18:03
Eleven to one Chris
18:05
Chris rs, well, how about okay,
18:08
eleven? But how about Chris Buscher. Here's
18:10
a guy who has proven himself this year that
18:12
he's capable, very capable on road courses.
18:15
Not to mention, as you like to say, I
18:17
love having moment.
18:19
If there's anybody who momentum my boy, Chris as
18:21
Buscher twenty to one on
18:23
Chris Buscher. Wow, And you gotta remember
18:26
Chris hasn't won a road course this
18:28
year, but in the last ten
18:30
road course races nine
18:34
nine top ten finishes, nine
18:37
average finish seven point nine. Not another
18:39
driver in the entire field
18:42
has a higher average finish than Chris
18:45
Buscher in the last ten road course races.
18:47
Twenty to one and he's going off at two wins in a row.
18:49
Oh you know the other guy at twenty to one Danny
18:51
Hamlin.
18:53
Now Danny Hamlin should have won this race
18:55
and Brisco took him out the first year.
19:00
Remember that.
19:01
No, I just I'm
19:03
looking at this going you know Denny.
19:05
Denny lately has n't been good on road courses, but he
19:07
did run well and got taken out.
19:08
Well, he was running great at Sonoma. Now that's a
19:10
little bit of a different type road course.
19:12
But I just I'm just looking
19:14
through some of these stats and going, wow, there
19:16
are a maz I mean Michael McDowell
19:19
twenty eight to one, you know, I mean Ross Shastain,
19:22
what he's done at Coda and stuff. You know, there
19:24
are some great numbers here, and there's guys in the second
19:26
pace that we can talk about who've done great at this track. Well,
19:28
let's get to that second page.
19:30
Joey Legato heads up
19:32
the second page at thirty five to
19:34
one, Ty Gibbs at forty
19:36
to one, Ryan Blaney who won
19:39
the first roval. If we'll remember at Charlotte,
19:41
who is very comfortable in these courses forty
19:43
five to one, Chase Briscoe
19:45
at sixty, Kevin Harvick
19:48
at sixty five to one, along
19:50
with Brad Keselowski and Alex Bowman.
19:52
You're got Kobayashi is seventy.
19:54
To one, and then we've got Haley and Button
19:56
at one hundred, Gilliland, Eric Jones,
19:59
Austin Dillon one fifty, Bubba Wallace,
20:01
who we know he hates road courses at two hundred
20:03
Almorole was at two fifty and Prise at three hundred
20:06
some crazy numbers.
20:07
Hates road courses finished fifth in this race last year.
20:09
I may not like Bubba for that, but I might like Bubba
20:11
maybe on that top three bet. But right there,
20:14
you know, Harvick's there for a reason. But Austin
20:16
Cindric was on the top of the other page. He
20:18
finished second in this race last year. You
20:21
got, You got Joey Logano thirty five
20:23
to one. Who on road courses is your
20:26
best point getter in the last ten races,
20:28
not as many top tens, but best point getter as
20:31
Chris Buscher. You got Blaney, who's done
20:34
stuff. You got Brisco's a road racer, Brisco
20:36
who you know could have won this race
20:38
a couple of years ago. I just I'm looking at this going
20:40
wow. And maybe
20:43
Kobeyashi not for win, but I would
20:45
love to see his top three number fees all the way down there.
20:48
Well, do you want to get into the top threes.
20:49
Let's get into the top threes then, because we are certainly
20:52
have some pretty interesting interesting
20:54
numbers here too. Martin trickx Junior plus
20:56
one ten, Tyler Redick one fifty, Ben
20:59
Gisbergen us two hundred, Chase Elliott
21:01
to ten, Kyle Busch two seventy five, Larson
21:04
and Bell three hundred, Almondinger four fifty,
21:07
Suarez five hundred, along with Costecki,
21:09
Hamlin at five point fifty, along with Busher,
21:11
Byron at six hundred, along with Chastain, McDowell
21:14
and Sindric are seven hundred.
21:16
Cindric seven hundred, Almondinger
21:19
for fifty, Boucher five to fifty. The LISTA
21:22
there's too many to even talk about.
21:23
And that's the thing.
21:24
I mean, there's a lot of guys here that I'm sitting
21:26
here thinking, well, I would really like to pick that guy, but
21:29
they can't all finish in the top three.
21:31
Yeah, but I could get two or three of them well.
21:33
And we also certainly know that this if you get a late
21:35
restart with how crazy it gets
21:38
Indianapolis. Although Elton Sawyer made a comment
21:40
today they could go to single file
21:42
restarts if the guys, if.
21:44
They become can't handle the idiots.
21:46
But I mean, isn't that kind of what we
21:48
expect to happen.
21:49
Can It's kind of what we had happened last year with
21:51
Ross Chastain and the whole stopping.
21:54
All right, let's take a look at our second page, real quick, Joey
21:56
Logano's plus nine hundred, Ty Gibbs is eleven,
21:58
Ryan Blaney twelve, Brisco fifteen,
22:01
Harvick, Keselowski, Bowman sixteen,
22:03
Kobeyoshi eighteen, Haley and Button
22:05
twenty five, Gillilan Jones and Dylan
22:08
at forty, Bubba at fifty, Almorrole
22:10
at sixty, Priests at sixty five.
22:13
Bubba at fifty, who finished really well here
22:15
last year and is getting better on the road races.
22:17
If you look at his recent history, Bubba's
22:20
done a whole lot better. And
22:22
Kobyashi eighteen, guys,
22:24
I don't think you're getting enough love to these
22:26
two guys. I think that's.
22:29
You know, I think sometimes we worry about these teams when it comes
22:32
to pitt stops, but pitstops can be inconsequential
22:35
here.
22:35
Really, if you can get a good Kobyashi has they
22:37
got amazing teams right there? I mean you have twenty three elevens
22:39
making mistakes, but still amazing teams.
22:41
All right, we come back on Gone Racing head to head
22:43
matchups. We'll start talking about our group's
22:46
frandy.
23:04
This is gone Racing, Visa's
23:07
premiere NASCAR betting podcast.
23:09
You're your hosts.
23:09
Former NASCAR driver Brendan Gone and
23:12
Las Vegas Motor Speedways Jeff Motley.
23:15
Want to rewatch any part of today's show or any
23:17
past show, check out the Gone Racing Podcast.
23:19
It's free and available now at vson dot
23:21
com, slash Podcasts, or wherever you get
23:23
your podcasts. We give you all the latest news,
23:26
odds and everything you need to know to head
23:28
to the betting counter before each NASCAR
23:30
Cup Series race. While you're there, catch up
23:32
on all the other Vson shows as well. That's vson
23:34
dot com slash Podcasts. You
23:37
know, Brendan, you would think after having read that promo
23:39
for four years, I would remember I needed to do it until
23:41
three seconds before we both do I needed to read.
23:43
You know how. I know you weren't ready for it because it
23:45
wasn't even anywhere near me glasses
23:47
and I can't read.
23:48
With my glasses on, so see I normally prepare
23:50
myself by getting my glasses off.
23:52
But nice catch night. Hey do
23:55
we have like a is there a gold flag
23:57
or a gold star?
23:58
I don't know, but it just it's just a another example
24:00
of professionally unprofessional.
24:03
I think I get moved into second in the standings. Now I
24:05
get Jeff, So you get.
24:06
Not after the week I had last week, boy, I
24:08
can't wait to beat my chest about.
24:11
I still had a decent week, and I'm not. I don't want to talk about
24:13
last week after what you did.
24:15
Finally, it's about time, all right, let's take a look
24:17
at our head to head deals
24:19
here. Well, if you don't like Martin Trix
24:21
Junior, Tyler Reddick's going to give you a plus one thirty
24:23
and Chase Elliot's going to give you a plus one fifty.
24:26
I don't dislike the Chase Elliott number there. I mean
24:29
you look at Treu's average finish eighteen
24:31
and the two races Chase Elliott average finished at ten. You
24:33
know that's a that's a big number one.
24:36
And I remember I told you every week I'm making a Chase Elliott
24:38
bet. I think I found my Chase Elliot bet.
24:40
And Chase Elliott also plus one thirty against
24:42
Tyler Reddick. I think I might like that
24:44
one a little bit better, to be I
24:46
hate betting against Martin Trix Junior.
24:48
I hate betting against Reddick at this place.
24:50
Well, My problem is, Reddick,
24:52
it just seems like something just goes wrong every
24:54
week.
24:54
I mean in the pits last week at Michigan.
24:56
It just I don't know. That team just seems to
24:58
me to be a little bit snaked.
25:00
How about Dinger one ten though over with Christopher
25:02
Bell one thirty.
25:03
And a one ten against Kyle Busch. And
25:06
another one that I'm kind of
25:08
scratching my head about a little bit, Brad Keselowski's
25:11
getting a plus one fifteen against Alex Bowman's
25:13
minus one thirty five. I just
25:15
think Bowman's team is I'm
25:18
not sure that that team just.
25:20
Bowman two races average finish of twenty six and
25:22
a half, Brad in the two races,
25:24
average finish of twenty two, so close
25:27
in these two races.
25:28
Okay, but I think we will agree that
25:30
the where RFK is right now
25:33
where RFK was a year ago or a.
25:35
Big different day, big difference. So
25:37
I kind of like that one a little bit. But we'll
25:41
see, Okay, anything else you want
25:43
to talk about on and Chris Buscher. You're
25:45
getting of a plus one ten love, you know with Kyle
25:47
Busch. I mean that's a tough one with Kyle Busch, but you
25:49
know, still Chris Buscher on the road courses.
25:51
And Kyle Busch is another team that struggled a little
25:53
bit here lately. You know, they're not exactly you
25:56
know, preparing for the playoffs on a on a hot streak.
25:58
But they got three races I guess to get it back. So
26:00
all right, let's take a look at our group matchups. Here
26:03
the Group A Martin Trix Junior
26:05
heavy favorite here at plus two ten, Tyler Reddick
26:07
two forty five, Chase.
26:09
Elliott still standing in Group A.
26:11
I mean a guy not in the top twenty in points
26:13
getting in Group A at plus two ninety.
26:15
Kyle Larson a real long shot plus
26:18
three seventy.
26:19
I'm sorry, but a Group A at
26:21
three seventy
26:25
won two of the last ten road courses overall.
26:28
I they're enticing me
26:30
there, it's enticing. I tell
26:32
you. The betting against Martin
26:34
TRICKX Junior, which you guys should have learned
26:36
a lesson last week. Look, look he
26:38
has one week. Yeah, he has one week that he's
26:41
like, look.
26:41
At me now, TRUEX finished.
26:43
Hammon was third. Hammon was like a second
26:45
behind.
26:46
Where exactly where did he finish compared.
26:48
To trueex behind you one.
26:51
We were close. Cash and tickets, Baby, cash
26:53
and tickets. Okay, just three
26:55
seventy is massive. It is massive.
26:57
I agree, it's just hard to bet against truex all
27:00
I'm saying, all right, let's take a look at our group
27:02
B. Kyle Busch is a favorite plus
27:04
two thirty, then Christopher Bell at plus two
27:06
forty, aj Allmendinger plus
27:08
three hundred, and Chris Buscher jumped all
27:11
the way up to group B at
27:13
plus three thirty five.
27:14
We said it last week that they're going to start
27:16
putting Buscher in group B and C, and
27:18
they did, and they put him against Dinger
27:21
and Kyle Busch. It's like, dang
27:23
it, what congratulations?
27:25
Chris Buscher should be in order. But this is
27:27
the group I can't pick.
27:28
It's just but tell to me
27:30
a plus three hundred from aj
27:33
Almondinger.
27:34
No, I mean first off, but I can get him in a top three
27:36
at fricking four fifty. But look at
27:38
those four names, which one
27:41
is desperate.
27:41
For the win, oh the Dinger. The other
27:43
three are in the playoffs.
27:45
Chris Chris Rell is too.
27:46
They all got wins. I mean Busher and Bush, you got
27:49
multiple wins.
27:50
Buscher and Busch. Boy, that was a mouthful
27:52
bush. I just love Almondinger
27:54
here at plus three hundred.
27:55
I just I think maybe because because
27:58
the number is so big that that Alman
28:00
Dinger.
28:00
Who, Boy, that one's hard to let go.
28:03
All right, let's move on to Group C.
28:06
I know my excitement over all mcdinger
28:08
is not as big as yours.
28:10
All right.
28:10
In Group C, we got whoa favorites
28:12
here, Michael McDowell and Shane Van Gisbergen
28:15
at plus two fifty, Daniel Suarez
28:17
at plus two seventy, and speaking of
28:19
big numbers, enticing plus
28:22
three twenty five for Ross Chastain.
28:25
Yeah, that's an impressive one for Ross Chastain,
28:27
who not terrible road racer. He's
28:31
kind of disappeared again, right, He's kind of faded
28:34
into where did he go? Area again?
28:36
But Fan gisberg
28:39
And at two fifty that's better than his top three number, you
28:41
know what I mean. So, and he's Group
28:43
C. I'm
28:46
I'm I kind of like that. I like,
28:48
you know, the guy that I'm
28:50
I'm perplexed on is Michael McDowell.
28:52
Now, McDowell's a good road racer.
28:55
He just dropped out of the top sixteen
28:57
last week now only by three points behind Ty
28:59
Gibbs.
29:00
But I just don't know what to make
29:02
a McDowell.
29:03
It seems like here the last few weeks, when he really
29:05
needed to be making a charge, he hasn't.
29:08
But he's he also in his mind
29:10
had to be thinking about these last three races
29:13
because probably his most successful
29:15
tracks are road courses and what we used
29:17
to call restrictor plate tracks, so maybe
29:19
that's where his focus has been. I'm just I'm
29:22
not sure that one. That was a little
29:24
perplexing to me. So not sure where to go in that
29:26
group. I like Ben Gizbergen. We'll
29:28
see what happens, all right. Group
29:30
D William Byron, huge
29:33
favorite, plus one sixty. Denny
29:36
Hamlin plus two sixty. Brody
29:38
Costecki, who's he driving for Richard
29:41
for Childress?
29:42
Yeah? Okay, so Brodie.
29:43
Costeki's plus three sixty five
29:45
and he ready for this folks. Joey Lgano
29:48
is plus four hundred.
29:52
Now, I'm sure you're gonna throw.
29:53
Me a stat and say why he is plus four
29:55
No, I can't tell you a stat why he's plus
29:57
four hundred. He was He finished sixth here
30:00
in the in the race last year. He's
30:02
the number one point getter in the last ten
30:04
races on road courses in general.
30:08
This season alone, his road race finishes
30:10
are third, eighth and then a twenty
30:14
eighth at Austin where he got into that melee near the end.
30:16
Had had a poll last year at the At
30:18
the I have nothing
30:20
for why Joey Logano is four hundred. The
30:23
only fear I have there is
30:26
that Brodie Kostecki in an RCR car
30:28
is in the Vaight Supercars.
30:30
Man those guys I bragged about him last time. That's
30:33
a that's a pretty stout number for Kostecki.
30:36
But Joey Legano, I have zero stat
30:38
why they have him at plus four hundred.
30:41
That is enticement right.
30:42
There, no kidding, And honestly,
30:44
I think Denny at plus two sixty being
30:46
all the way down in group D is also something
30:48
certainly worth looking at. I don't quite
30:50
get the William Byron Love here at plus one sixty.
30:53
I don't think he has been nearly I mean
30:55
he looked he hadn't been that good over the last couple of months
30:57
of the season, regardless, road courses
30:59
have been his huge strength.
31:01
I mean he's had some good runs. Don't get me wrong,
31:03
average finished a thirty second at this track.
31:05
But if you remember he was he got that deal with
31:07
Chase Briscoe at the end of this race where they were the ones
31:09
that beat and banged on each other at
31:12
the finish. But even on regular road
31:14
courses, only two top tens last ten races. So I
31:16
don't know why he's a plus one sixty except for what
31:18
have you done for me lately? You know where he was
31:20
one of the hottest guys in the sport that
31:23
Brodi Kosteki enjoy the gone. I really like those two
31:25
down there at the bottom. All right, let's take a look
31:27
at group E. This is one of our
31:30
throw a blanket over everybody groups here,
31:32
Alex Bowman, Kevin Harvick, Brad Keselowski
31:34
all at plus two seventy and Chase
31:36
brisco at plus two to seventy five. Yeah,
31:39
this is the one that I gonna have to look
31:41
at and go One, they've given no enticement.
31:43
Two. I can give you stats on each one
31:45
of these. Why they're all going to run in that same If
31:47
I went through and looked up their average finish, I bet you
31:49
they're all the four positions of each other on
31:52
an average finish in the last ten races on road courses.
31:54
And this group right here brat
31:57
Kevin Harvick only because he's the most consistent,
32:00
but Brad Kazlowski because they're the hottest team.
32:03
I can't give you anything.
32:04
I mean, I think if I had to lean anywhere, I
32:06
would lean Kazlowski on this group
32:08
only because I think they've been probably the most consistent
32:11
team lately out of this group here. But I'm kind
32:13
of with you. I guess that's that goes back to there's
32:15
a reason that you can throw a blanket
32:17
over all of them and the odds are so close. Well, then our
32:19
final group Group F is very similar
32:22
to that. Eric Jones is the favorite at plus two sixty,
32:24
and then you have Austin Dillon, Todd Gillen,
32:26
and Ryan Prees all at plus two seventy
32:28
five.
32:30
You know, I
32:32
made fun last week of Austin Cindric being
32:34
in the in group F.
32:36
Oh h, Harrison Burton.
32:38
And Harrison Burton. I said, both of them, the two Penske cars,
32:41
and what did they do last week? Austin Cindric had a top
32:43
ten, you know, and Burton won the group
32:45
didn't it and Burton won the group position.
32:47
Yeah, Harrison Burton won. So it was one of those
32:49
things where you know, they they they
32:52
showed up from group from group F. This
32:55
group right here. Eric Jones has
32:57
probably been running that that
32:59
that Legacy team has been running better
33:01
lately, Jeff, I'm not going to say they've been running
33:04
great, but they've been running better.
33:07
Austin has been better on
33:10
the road courses in the last little bit, but
33:12
this has not been one of his better ones. Thirty
33:14
average finish at thirty point five. Gilligan's
33:17
kind of a you know, he's just kind of
33:19
right there. Don't really talk about him much except
33:21
for that he just signed extension. That's the only thing you've heard from him.
33:24
I'd have to go Eric Jones the favorite.
33:27
Yeah, I think this is kind of a tough group for me even
33:29
to pick, But you know you talked about I
33:31
guess if I had to go somewhere, I would probably be leaning
33:33
a little bit toward Todd Gilliwan on this one,
33:35
but I also think Austin Dylon wouldn't
33:38
necessarily surprise me. So anyway, throw a blanket
33:40
over that group, just like on Group B.
33:42
Okay, I'll be back on Gone Racing. We'll give you the manufacturer
33:44
props, tell you how we did last week, We'll
33:46
give you our picks.
34:11
This is Gone Racing, FISA's
34:13
premier NASCAR Beny Podcast. You're
34:16
your hosts former NASCAR driver Brendan
34:18
Gone and Las Vegas Motor Speedways
34:20
Jeff Motley.
34:21
Now we're back for.
34:22
Our final segment of Gone Racing this week,
34:24
breaking down everything at the road course
34:26
at Indianapolis Motor Speedway, one of.
34:28
Them, what might be the last, could be the
34:30
last one.
34:30
There's some murmurs about going back to the Big the
34:33
Big track next year.
34:34
So in fact, they're doing a test tomorrow or one
34:36
day on the Big track.
34:37
On the Big Track. Some inside
34:40
or information. Well, you know, we was already posted.
34:42
You know, we've seen the we've seen the
34:44
new car be so good at least
34:47
type down for I mean, it's been good at Pocono, it's
34:49
been good on the mile and a half tracks, so I
34:51
think, and we saw it was good at Michigan last week.
34:53
India is India, I mean it's it's Indian road
34:55
course is great.
34:56
But well, and considering there's a very
34:58
good possibility that there's a new road
35:00
course coming on the circuit next year as well,
35:02
so it'll still be the same number of road course races
35:05
on the schedule next year, but that we'll
35:07
get to that winner as an official announcement on that. We're
35:09
not trying to break too much news here on
35:11
the show. So anyway, our last,
35:14
our last bet we've got this week is the manufacturer
35:16
prop Chevy's a favorite at plus
35:19
one twenty because they got more cars out there, Toyota
35:21
is at plus one forty because they got some really good
35:23
cars out there, and Ford is plus
35:25
three thirty.
35:26
Winner of the last two races for you win.
35:28
Are the last two races coming in at plus three
35:30
thirty. Although I think, I mean,
35:32
look, we both picked Forward to win last week
35:34
because of their dominance because of Michigan.
35:36
At Michigan road.
35:38
Courses kind of can sometimes throw out
35:40
the whole horsepower thing.
35:41
But I'm just not so sure the Fords.
35:43
Have the best drivers when
35:45
it comes to road course race.
35:47
I can't name one in their camp that you're going to say,
35:50
Oh, that guy, Austin Cindrick got a ton of experience,
35:52
Chase Briscoe has experienced, Busher has been good,
35:54
Busher's been great, but none of
35:56
them make me say, oh, look, col Ers and Chase Latin
36:00
top three to you got to win the race here, So
36:02
I think that that's that's right numbers, and
36:05
it's it's a tough one to pick on that Chevy and Toyota
36:07
this week. All right.
36:09
I'm kind of with you there. I think that's a tough one to
36:11
go with. And I don't really like the numbers
36:14
on Chevy or Toyota.
36:15
Sope. I'm just kind of staying away from that one this week.
36:17
Little paltry this week. All right.
36:18
So with three races to go, we can
36:21
take a quick look at our odds
36:24
for the championship here truex, no big
36:26
surprise is there at the top.
36:28
We're still twenty to one on Christ
36:31
That's where my eyes immediately went.
36:33
The guys won the last two races. Nobody
36:35
is a believer yet you're not a boocher believer.
36:38
And he is twenty to one still, I think
36:40
that's the biggest one. And Chase Elliott,
36:42
finally he's been fifteen to one, fourteen to one,
36:44
hanging finally twenty two to one.
36:47
I know he's outside, but I still
36:49
think that's worth you know, if
36:51
he gets back in he's gonna be off
36:54
points even if he gets in. You always
36:56
knocked that, but I think it's a it's a good shot there.
36:58
Well, you're right if you can win one of the three races
37:01
when you get into the playoffs and the points don't matter,
37:03
so it does move you along.
37:04
I don't disagree with you there.
37:05
I'm kind of with you on the on the Busher things, and
37:08
it needs to be pointed out to Chris
37:11
Busher, though did not win any of these races
37:13
because of fuel mileage or the
37:15
race of fog, or the race
37:17
got stopped short of the distance
37:19
for rain or anything else. I mean he
37:21
went out at Richmond and kicked everybody's butt, and
37:24
at Michigan I would argue he might have been
37:26
the second best car the way.
37:28
He held duel the end with Martin Truax
37:30
to Martin Truex with not
37:32
dueled with somebody that was fuel Miley. He
37:34
dueled with some of the best and toe to toe with champions
37:37
of the sport and went, I'm here to play,
37:39
get out of my way. Let me ask you a quick question about
37:42
the battle he had with true X. As a race
37:44
car driver.
37:45
I think that I
37:47
would look out there and say they're two guys.
37:49
Martin TRICKX Junior and Kyle Busch
37:52
are the two guys who do
37:55
not touch anybody to pass
37:57
them. No, they race hard. They raced hard,
38:00
but they will race you clean. Does
38:02
that make it different? Like if you're Busher
38:04
and you've got Chastain behind you,
38:07
you or Denny Hamlin?
38:08
Are you looking at that different words?
38:10
With true it? You say you know what I know if
38:12
I hold my line, what guy wants? What you know about
38:14
trust? Or Kyle is if I didn't move
38:16
him, he won't move me. If
38:18
I moved him, he'll move me.
38:21
So you absolutely treat it differently. You
38:23
always treat it's a little easier if you're leading, right,
38:26
I'm not going to say ease trust the guy though you say
38:28
it's a respect level. There's there's a respect.
38:30
I wouldn't call it easier, but there's a respect. And Busher
38:32
has never been a guy to go when Russell up
38:35
either. So I just point,
38:37
let's gloss over last week's results.
38:39
No, let's not. In fact, this could be the
38:41
longest segment of the show. We might just blow
38:43
off our picks this week because I want to revel.
38:46
In my he Sai zero point seventy five,
38:48
and not because I got one guy at
38:50
fourteen to one.
38:51
I want to point out I got four out of
38:53
my five picks, and I got beat by Harrison
38:56
Burton and the one that I lost.
38:57
Yeah, and I got beat by Harrison Burton and Group
39:00
BE also because I had priests by like
39:02
two five positions.
39:03
The funny thing is with the group f W. Brendan did
39:06
not pick mcdoub because he didn't want to.
39:07
I didn't want to ja.
39:09
I was already to buy them all flowers and everything, nice
39:11
breakfast and sneak in.
39:13
Well, it's a good thing you didn't pick. Now you've lost it anyway,
39:15
I guess, so okay, just.
39:16
To pick Crew a good week, though you got to get the Pick Crew some love Pit
39:18
Crew did.
39:19
Pickrew had a good week. Picker got winners with Harvick
39:21
and Group A and Chastain in Group C. You
39:24
and I got winners with Ford even though
39:26
I know you don't really want to ever get
39:28
them four butt.
39:29
But you put your money where you're left.
39:31
Because I said the Fords at Michigan. That was the It was hard
39:33
for I kept hedging, I kept talking out of both sides
39:35
of my mouth going. The Ford suck at these tracks this year,
39:37
but this is Michigan and so I at least
39:39
covered my bases well.
39:40
And I was able to also get Group B along with the pit crew
39:43
there with Harvick. I'm really excited
39:45
that I got a group with Brad Keselowski
39:48
and the pit crew didn't even pick break.
39:49
We both have made more off Brad and the pit crew won't.
39:51
They don't let Wyatt pick them.
39:53
And maybe the one I'm most proud of is that
39:55
I went head to head with both of you guys
39:57
in Group A. You guys, Doe Hamlin,
40:00
thank you, Martin Jr.
40:02
Second son Hamlin stalled this car on pit
40:04
road.
40:04
Second to what else is new? Danny makes more
40:06
mistakes on That was funny.
40:08
As I was watching the end of the race, I was rooting so
40:10
hard for Truex to finish second
40:13
because I knew I had forward to win the Manufacturer,
40:16
so I wanted Buscher to win that one. But Buscher
40:18
and Truex were not in the same group, so
40:21
I knew I was guaranteed two wins, which you gotta
40:23
win out of that.
40:24
Keeps this up. He's going to be a head to head in
40:26
that group as soon.
40:27
Let me tell you, I was looking my chops when Daniel Suarez
40:29
was up in the front, so close yet again,
40:32
oh good.
40:33
Worse the first so somebody's still worst, that's
40:35
true.
40:35
And boy they lost even though you know what,
40:37
they had a good week and they still lost nine points.
40:40
Nobly one, no, but they lost nine points
40:43
on me just saying.
40:45
God, I know, you know what.
40:47
Let's see what happens in two weeks. I think we're gonna be close
40:49
together, all right. So, as
40:52
Brendan said, we're gonna be bet Chase Elliott
40:54
to do something this week. We like him to win plus
40:56
seven fifty. We like Shane van Geisbergen
40:59
to wing Groups D plus two fifty, like
41:01
that number on Joey Logano to win Group D at plus
41:03
four hundred. You guys keep talking smack
41:06
to me about not picking Brad keas lastka. I'm going with him
41:08
to win Group E at plus two seventy and Todd Gillen
41:10
to win Group FT plus two seventy five.
41:13
See, I wasn't ready to go pick Todd Gillen,
41:15
but I like Todd gilling that group pit crew.
41:17
Listen to you, okay, all right, that's good. I
41:19
think well, I know who we've given the kiss
41:21
of death to already, Shane.
41:24
No, no, but you'll see.
41:25
You probably well trust me when
41:27
I make my picks, you'll see, Okay.
41:30
I am going Denny Hamlin for a top three
41:32
plus five point fifty to get
41:34
a top three on Denny Hamlin. I'm gonna pick a
41:36
couple of head to heads. Not big
41:39
returns here, but I feel good about these guys.
41:41
I just can't let Chris bush Er
41:44
not get picked somehow someway this week, So I'm
41:46
going Chris bush Or head to head against Kyle Busch.
41:48
I'm also going Brad Kazlowski head
41:50
to head against Alex Bowman, and
41:53
then my other picks will be in the group matchups.
41:55
I'm going into Group B and I'm gonna take
41:58
aj Allmendinger. I believe in the this
42:00
week. And yes, not
42:02
that I'm foreshadowing who your picks are because
42:05
I don't want to give him away even though I have a list of them.
42:07
But yes, I'm going Joey Logano
42:09
with that plus four hundred in Group D.
42:11
I may have to make an audible because I can't
42:13
give that JINX.
42:14
When the Joey Logano pick was by Karina. You can't
42:16
give Karina the jinks.
42:19
Na's pretty stout, but still
42:21
all three of us a little tough, all right,
42:23
So I'm sticking with the Dinger love. I got Dinger for
42:25
the top three, though he's plus four fifty. I
42:27
think that's way too overpriced for him as a top
42:29
three. I want him to win, but I'm going to be a little
42:31
more conservative. Take the top fifty. That
42:33
plus one fifty number on Chase Elliott against Martin
42:35
Turex, that's too big for me. I'm sorry. That's
42:38
just that's a massive head to head number, and
42:40
I'm picking Chase Elliot. Ever you have believed in
42:42
Chase, fine, I'm going THEREA is plus one fifty.
42:44
There's my bet friend this week. I'm
42:47
going into group A, and that's kind of a
42:49
hedge, honestly, if you really think of it. I got Kyle
42:51
Larson at plus three seventy. You're telling me Kyle
42:53
Larson on road courses is plus three seventy
42:55
in a group. I'm sorry, i gotta take that. Then
42:58
I'm going Shane Van Giesberg and also the
43:01
one for you the last time, and the group he's got
43:03
right there is just too I
43:05
think that's too undervalued for where he's at.
43:07
And then I currently
43:10
have Joey Logano in Group D. I
43:12
could go Brett Brody Castecki because
43:15
he is in an RCR car. I was talking to those
43:17
guys this week. I do know what they have Joey
43:21
gonna four hundred and
43:23
there we go.
43:25
This this will be the week we we finally get
43:27
one toget we get we.
43:27
We all get a three A three, a three pack pick.
43:30
We want to make it. We can break the curse here with Joygano
43:33
Brody. Brody wins this thing. I'm gonna be so pissed
43:35
everybody. Do you want to just send Joey a text
43:37
right now and say sorry buddy. Nope,
43:42
because it was Karina and Karina
43:44
is a better picker than the picker.
43:47
You know, I like to give you know, when people want their picks,
43:49
I want to give them the praise, Like when Isaiah
43:51
told me to pick Justin Haleyott Richmond to win his
43:53
group and Haley finished about twenty laps down.
43:56
You know, hey, wow.
43:58
You know I love I love I love
44:00
the fact he can attack Isaiah because
44:02
Isaiah is sitting there listening to the show
44:04
right now.
44:04
He's downstairs and that's Isaiah.
44:07
Isaiah can't talk, well, he can, but he chooses
44:09
not to and chooses not to be on camera, so he's
44:11
he's like yelling at mate.
44:12
He could yell.
44:13
That's okay, time he can. He could
44:15
talk if he wanted.
44:16
We got about twenty seconds left. Excited. Another
44:18
road course, racing courses.
44:20
I love the road course. The only think it could be better is if you get
44:22
a little rain, right. You love the spring
44:24
downboards, sprinkle.
44:26
Okay, all right, that's a wrap for us
44:28
for this week. We're really excited about this week going
44:30
to the road course at Indy, follow that up another
44:33
road course of Watkins Glen and then the regular season is
44:35
going to end a Daytona. We'll be here to break it
44:37
all down for you
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