Episode Transcript
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Fresh for everyone. Here
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are the highlights coming up this week on Bald Move.
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We're on our Christmas break, but we still got
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stuff for you to listen to. Maester Anthony is
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Thursday. And our last
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Season 4 Episode 8. We'll
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be back in the new year to continue for All
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Mankind and pick back up with Fargo Season 5. You
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can find these and many other great podcasts by searching
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for Bald Move Pulp or Bald Move Prestige in your
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favorite podcast app. Here
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are the highlights coming up this week on Bald Move. There
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true. We've got a regular slate of
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Actually, Scrooge, You've Got Mail and
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if you want your fill of Bald Move this month,
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head over to the club at support.baldmove.com and find
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out how to make it happen. Welcome
2:16
back to Game of
2:18
Thrones to electric. Who.
2:21
Column is Anthony Week as
2:23
a hearse for Electric Boogaloo.
2:25
My guest M. L. Cavanaugh
2:27
is an honest to goodness
2:29
military strategist. Matt. Is
2:31
a retired Us Army Lieutenant Colonel.
2:33
He's also got a Phd and
2:35
Political Science. He was a fellow
2:38
at the Modern War Institute at
2:40
West Point and now he is
2:42
professor of practice at Arizona State
2:44
University. His book is Winning West
2:46
Rose How Game of Thrones explains
2:48
modern military conflict. Of course you
2:50
can pick up this book on
2:52
Amazon or you can search for
2:55
Winning West Rose Potomac Books without
2:57
further ado. Here is Lieutenant Colonel
2:59
M. L. Cabinet. Matt
3:02
I'm just curious to
3:04
know. Your. Overall
3:07
relationship with. This.
3:09
Particular Book Yeah Arms. Unfortunately we
3:11
have to say the road. The
3:13
road begins a little bit further
3:15
back on. you know, I I
3:17
taught for several years at West
3:19
Point and it you know when
3:21
you're in a classroom and standing
3:23
up in front of a group
3:25
of college students are cadets. You
3:27
know there's an age gap there.
3:30
There's a time difference where some
3:32
of your jokes don't land. They're
3:34
not as funny as you thought.
3:36
Yeah, I'm fine, but also like
3:38
you're trying to relate. This
3:40
material. To. A group
3:42
of younger people and eat. You
3:44
don't necessarily have common ground on
3:47
which to hold a conversation and
3:49
sorry to interrupt, but what are
3:51
you teaching what subjects? So he
3:53
was a military strategy course. I
3:56
did this. You know this was
3:58
cheesy was or twenty. 12 to 2015 and
4:01
then I also teach a course
4:03
occasionally with Arizona State University
4:06
on the same subject. And
4:09
when you're trying to relate these
4:11
sorts of subjects to younger people, what you
4:13
realize is that you lack a common frame
4:15
of reference. And
4:17
we found that Star
4:20
Wars was an incredibly powerful
4:23
way of connecting with younger people, but not
4:25
just that. Right after leaving teaching
4:28
at West Point, I had an
4:30
assignment where I was working in Korea
4:33
with Korean military officers.
4:35
And it was the same sort
4:38
of thing that could cross not
4:40
just age gaps, but cultural gaps.
4:44
And so I pulled
4:46
together a book project that we
4:48
later titled Strategy Strikes Back, and
4:51
where we wrangled together a couple of
4:54
dozen writers from all
4:56
across the spectrum when
4:58
it comes to modern conflict. And
5:02
our foreword was written by General Stan
5:05
McChrystal, for example, who commanded all forces
5:07
in Afghanistan. And what was really striking
5:09
to me about that was General
5:13
McChrystal is 30 some years older than
5:16
I am. And when
5:18
we first talked about his participation in
5:20
the project, he said, you know, I'm
5:22
not like a huge Star Wars
5:24
fan, you know, but
5:28
the very first movie
5:30
he went to after
5:32
he finished Ranger School, which
5:34
is kind of it's a military school that
5:38
you often do when you're a second
5:40
lieutenant or before you're about to lead
5:42
a number of troops. So he's walked
5:44
out of this really tough military school,
5:47
and he walked into a movie theater to take
5:49
his mind off the world for a couple of
5:51
hours. And he walked into the very first Star
5:53
Wars film. And
5:55
you know, to me, that was a moment where
5:57
I realized how powerful pop culture can be.
6:00
in connecting people
6:02
across decades, across cultures.
6:05
And so that
6:08
book project was successful enough
6:11
that we looked
6:13
for a sequel and our sequel
6:15
was- Wait, before you go to
6:18
the sequel, let's talk about, it's
6:20
called Strategy Strikes Back. Strategy Strikes
6:22
Back. How Star Wars Explains Modern
6:24
Military Conflict. Yep. And then
6:26
the book that you're about to talk
6:29
to, I hope,
6:31
I mean, it's called Winning Westeros.
6:33
How Game of Thrones Explains Modern
6:36
Military Conflict. And
6:41
by the way, we had some amazing writers. Max
6:43
Brooks, who wrote World War Z, was
6:46
one of our headline writers. Yeah, I
6:48
noticed that. His chapters
6:51
are fantastic and he's
6:53
a great guy to work with. Admiral
6:55
James Stavridis, who is the Supreme
6:57
Allied Commander of Europe, the
6:59
Commander of NATO Forces, General
7:05
McMaster, who served as
7:07
the National Security Advisor. We
7:10
had some amazing writers and it's
7:14
all based on a simple premise and
7:16
a premise that we're gonna put into play here while
7:18
we're talking, is that you can use
7:22
pop culture as a jumping off
7:24
point to talk about
7:26
much larger, much bigger, much
7:29
more important issues. And that sort
7:31
of thing matters because whether we like
7:33
it or not, whether
7:36
we acknowledge it or not, we're
7:39
all participating in national security every
7:41
day with our tax dollars and
7:44
with our votes. So yeah,
7:47
so it can be a lot of fun, but it is
7:49
touching on some really important subjects. So
7:52
I'm really excited about this. I have not,
7:54
my book has not arrived yet. And
7:57
once I get it, I'm sure I'll have
7:59
tons more. questions than I do today. Ho
8:09
ho ho! It's Christmas time again! Time
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to hang out with friends and family,
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listen to the Christmas classics, and binge
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some of your favorite Christmas films. And
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here at Bald Move we have you covered.
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This year the theme is Baa Humbug, where
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we're poking some fun at a few all
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time greats. Scrooge, Love Actually, You've Got Mail,
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and More. And that's just this
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year, you should see our whole Christmas catalog.
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We've got Home Alone 1 and 2, The
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Muppet Christmas Carol, A Christmas
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Story, A Christmas Story Christmas, Elf,
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and we have a healthy dose of
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Badass 2, Die Hard, Die Hard 2,
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Lethal Weapon, Rocky 4. And if
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you really want to suffer, we have full
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coverage of the infamous Star Wars Holiday Special.
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Ugh. Plus extra cozy Christmas lunches,
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Bald Move member. Join today to get
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Christmas to all, and to all
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Thanksgiving, it's Christmas time. Sure, some
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people might say we're a little early, but I
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can't help it, we're just that excited to
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celebrate the season once again. And there's also some
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important deadlines, that's the other reason we're jumping the
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gun here, we don't want anyone to miss out.
9:37
First, every active club member gets a
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Christmas card from me and Aaron. All
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international folks will receive this card in digital form,
9:44
but people in the states will receive theirs in
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the mail. So make sure you get
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one, you just gotta be signed up and current on
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your club membership by Thanksgiving. Second, some
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would say the highlight of our celebrations are
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our, shall we say cozy Christmas podcasts and
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live streams for Jim and I dreamt. our
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November 20th. Once again,
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Christmas.BaldMove.com is where you want to go to sign
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up for the Secret Santa. Enjoy
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the holidays with us this year. Our
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holiday festivities are exclusively for club members
10:38
and you can sign up today at
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Christmas.BaldMove.com. We're
10:50
covering Cat 6 POV chapter
10:52
in Clash. Uh-huh. And
10:55
I'm just curious, like when I reached out
10:57
to you, you said you're actually rereading Clash
10:59
at the moment. I'm wondering where you are.
11:02
Yeah, so when you asked,
11:04
I was just behind the chapter
11:06
in question. Oh
11:09
my God. You know, and so
11:12
I have read through the chapter and
11:14
what strikes me is just how many
11:17
different moments there are in that chapter.
11:19
Yeah. Generally speaking, you have a
11:21
character who's observing
11:25
the world around her, experiencing
11:29
war as a participant,
11:34
and there's at least six different moments
11:36
that I can identify
11:39
that pull threads on
11:41
much larger tapestries related to
11:43
modern war. Yeah, this chapter
11:45
has its tendrils all over
11:47
the place. I
11:50
did want to ask you before I do my synopsis, I
11:53
wanted to ask you about something
11:55
that maybe you're uniquely qualified to
11:58
talk about, and that is… Cat.
12:02
Talks about her duty in this
12:05
chapter. And.
12:07
She talks about how she's always done your
12:09
duty. In fact, she like recounts. Almost.
12:12
Every moment of her life when she
12:14
did her duty and now she finds
12:16
herself. In a very strange
12:18
position. Now she's sort of the
12:21
hell of a castle at me
12:23
as gone. Season. Charge.
12:27
And. So then the quest since
12:29
yes, ask yourself is how do I
12:31
know what my duty is Now that
12:33
all these people who. Are
12:35
used to server dead or gone deaf?
12:38
The As and so I guess I
12:40
think there would be sort of a
12:42
larger question that is. If
12:44
someone lives their life as
12:46
a soldier and measures success
12:49
or measures in the feeling
12:51
of success, With. How
12:53
well they met expectations. How
12:56
does that person transition to then
12:58
been the top dog? Yeah.
13:00
How does that person? Go
13:02
from someone who. Was. Always do
13:05
to for to someone who now
13:07
has a much different rank and
13:09
role in the entire efforts. Yeah.
13:12
And it is so I. I.
13:14
I can actually say that
13:17
I've I've studied it quite
13:19
closely in that my phd
13:21
dissertation who was on that
13:23
the the qualities and characteristics
13:25
that differentiates successful. Of.
13:28
Military supreme commanders from on
13:30
successful ones and it's a
13:33
really tough. Question.
13:35
To answer in the sense that. On.
13:39
The. i mean let's start with your
13:41
ear acknowledgement of of duty or
13:43
catalysts yeah acknowledgement of duty duty
13:45
is often just simply ah a
13:47
stand in for setting decisions aside
13:49
you know like i i i
13:51
did what i was told to
13:53
do rom you know and the
13:55
and there's there's more to it
13:57
than that and you know it's
14:00
It's almost like a rule of
14:02
thumb that you live by. But
14:05
when you go up the ladder, step
14:08
by step by step by step,
14:12
there are some problems
14:15
or scenarios or challenges
14:17
or conflicts where there
14:20
isn't, you cannot
14:22
rely on a rule of thumb anymore. Right?
14:26
And like the scenarios
14:28
that I was describing, or that I
14:31
mentioned, with respect to my
14:33
dissertation, studying
14:36
General George Washington in
14:38
the early stages of the war in 1776
14:40
into early 1777, when
14:43
he's being beaten by
14:45
the British all the way
14:47
across New York State and into New Jersey, General
14:54
Grant, General Ulysses
14:56
S. Grant, when the
14:58
war is in the latter part of the
15:04
war in 1864 and into 1865. And
15:06
then General Eisenhower in 1944, in
15:08
the six months preceding D-Day,
15:18
from this side of history, from the
15:20
other side of the timeline, it
15:23
looks like all three of those were cinches,
15:27
like the decisions were inevitably
15:30
to lead to success. And
15:32
that was never the case.
15:36
There's a moment about
15:39
a week before the D-Day
15:42
landings where General
15:44
Eisenhower's Air Chief of
15:47
Staff, so it's a British air
15:49
vice-martial who comes to him and says, I
15:52
believe that the airborne drops will
15:56
be combat ineffective
15:58
on D-Day. They
16:00
intended to drop two divisions of
16:02
airborne troops behind the German lines
16:04
at the beach. The
16:09
belief was that so many of them
16:11
would be killed or wounded
16:14
or injured in the landing in the
16:16
drop, that they
16:19
would be combat ineffective, that they wouldn't
16:21
have an impact on the
16:24
German defenses. And that therefore,
16:26
we shouldn't
16:28
undertake the airborne drops. Eisenhower
16:34
asked that that particular officer put
16:36
his views in writing
16:40
because he knew how high the
16:42
stakes were and whether
16:46
he was right or wrong, he wanted all
16:48
of them to have their votes, so to
16:50
speak, recorded in history. And
16:52
there's a moment in the days leading up
16:55
the Normandy landings where Eisenhower goes back
16:58
to his room. And
17:00
I don't have it verbatim,
17:02
but it's something to the effect of, you
17:06
could not devise a more
17:08
soul-wracking problem. Because
17:10
if I let the airborne drops happen
17:15
and as this officer has described,
17:20
if they are combat ineffective, not
17:23
only will I have been wrong and
17:26
it will jeopardize the entire landings,
17:29
but I'll
17:31
have been warned not to do this and
17:34
we will have lost so many young people.
17:39
In the end, he overruled
17:41
the air commander and
17:45
let the drops go as they
17:48
went. And they were not combat
17:50
ineffective, of course, they were combat
17:52
effective. And those
17:55
are the sorts, that
17:57
is the characteristic. That
18:00
is the difference between successful
18:02
and unsuccessful Supreme
18:05
Commanders, by and large. I'm simplifying here,
18:07
of course. It's
18:10
good judgment. And not just
18:12
good judgment as in objectively
18:15
good or bad. There is no such
18:18
thing as good or bad at war
18:20
in the sense that all war is
18:22
relative to the adversary. There
18:25
is only superior or inferior
18:28
judgment. And that's
18:31
the sort of advice that I would
18:33
put a hand on Catlin's shoulder. And
18:35
I would say, do your best.
18:37
But no matter what you do,
18:40
do better than your adversary. Make
18:42
better decisions than your adversary. You
18:47
could make relatively poor decisions, but as
18:49
long as they were better than who
18:51
you're trying to beat, then you're still
18:53
in good stead. She's
18:55
in an interesting position because
18:58
there are certain elements
19:01
of her story that are
19:03
very much just about, you know, set aside
19:05
your own desires,
19:08
set aside your own will. Just
19:11
do what's asked for you because that is
19:14
your duty. And then there are other aspects
19:16
of her duty where
19:18
it's more like a social pressure. And
19:23
now she's got to navigate this
19:25
weird position where she
19:28
does not fully trust her
19:30
younger brother's strategic
19:32
mind. She
19:35
would be happier if Ned was still
19:37
alive or her father was a bit younger or
19:39
something like that. Edmure
19:41
doesn't really impress her in terms
19:44
of a military strategist. And
19:46
yet she kind of has this social pressure
19:49
where it's like, well, I
19:51
can't really undermine him in a
19:54
way that cuts out his
19:56
authority. It
19:58
could be that her duty in this case
20:00
is to hold her tongue, wait
20:03
and see what happens. And
20:07
that's kind of where she's sitting in this chapter.
20:10
So she's right to second guess him.
20:16
We lead the chapter with him
20:19
expressing, quote, tell father I
20:21
have gone to make him proud. And
20:24
what that naturally leads me to is,
20:26
you know, why we fight
20:28
or the reasons that put someone on
20:30
the battlefield. And I like to think
20:32
of it as almost like
20:34
the war of the knife and
20:37
the war of the map. So
20:39
you have, well, I mean, you have sort of the
20:42
passions, the
20:44
need for killing. And
20:48
then at the same token, you
20:50
know, to kill someone, you need the blood to do
20:52
it. And
20:55
then by that, you have to be able
20:57
to set that aside equally and be cold
20:59
and hard and rational. You
21:02
know, in any strategic engagement, there's
21:05
two wars that are happening simultaneously. Like I
21:07
mentioned that war of the map and the
21:09
war of the knife, you
21:12
know, and the map war is
21:14
brick by brick, block by block.
21:16
It's a logical contest where two
21:19
parties are engaging for
21:21
some interest using their
21:23
best logic. And,
21:26
you know, the knife war is,
21:29
you know, two animals attempting to tear one
21:31
another apart with all the power that their
21:33
selves can muster. The challenge
21:35
with this is that you need both to
21:37
succeed. Yeah, both are
21:39
valuable. You know, one points the
21:41
way and the other fuels the
21:44
journey. And with
21:46
Edmure, you get the sense that he's sort
21:50
of his coming from one
21:52
side of that coin. And
21:55
you need some of that in appropriate doses,
21:57
but you also need to mind the map.
22:01
You know, and you need to have a wider
22:03
gaze in order to be successful. Yeah,
22:05
that's so interesting. I'm going
22:07
to read a synopsis of this chapter and we
22:09
can talk more about it. After
22:15
sending off Edmure to defend the
22:17
river against Taiwan's men, Kat is
22:19
left with her doubt and fear.
22:22
She receives no comfort from the Sept and
22:25
offers no comfort to Brienne about the duties
22:27
of women. She
22:29
receives news from storms and wonders
22:31
about Jon Snow's mother and reflects
22:33
on Roose Bolton's odd description of
22:36
his bastard. As
22:38
Taiwan's men attempt to cross the river in
22:40
small groups, Edmure's host
22:42
sends them away with caltroops,
22:45
arrows, and the natural defenses
22:47
of the river, as Kat looks
22:50
on from the watchtower. After
22:52
day and night of intermittent
22:54
attacks, Kat visits
22:56
Cleo's fray and learns
22:58
that Tyrion's peace terms are worthless
23:01
and that only Sansa has been seen at court.
23:05
Days pass, then Kat learns
23:07
that Taiwan's most robust attack
23:10
has been thrown back. Katlyn
23:12
still feels sullen and afraid,
23:15
but the most recent battle is over. While
23:18
the others feast in celebration, Kat
23:20
studies maps by candlelight.
23:24
So Matt, I was
23:26
thinking that there's a number of directions we can go
23:28
with this. There's a lot, yeah. I
23:32
kind of would like to key in on
23:34
something you said before, my synopsis, and that
23:36
is sort of the reason to fight. Yeah.
23:40
I want to tweak this just
23:44
slightly and ask you about the reason
23:46
to die. And
23:48
I think in this book
23:51
in particular, one of the things that
23:53
I've noticed this read through is that
23:55
we have several different ideas
23:57
about what we're going to do. this
24:00
idea of a good death. And
24:04
I'll just read a few of these that
24:06
I've noticed. In this chapter, you know, Ed
24:08
Nier is talking about, I'm going to make
24:11
Father proud, and, you
24:13
know, he's doing this for his father, who's kind of
24:15
a daughter. I don't know if his father
24:17
will really know what Ed Nier has
24:19
accomplished, but there's something
24:21
about earning
24:24
your father's approval or something. That would
24:26
be a good reason to die. And
24:29
then, you know, maybe Rob is in it
24:32
for revenge. We met
24:34
Corin Halfhand recently, and really the cause
24:36
of the night's watch, he think is
24:39
worth dying for. Stannis,
24:41
maybe he would think that death, a
24:44
good death would be about duty. Mel
24:46
would be like, a good death involves
24:49
doing God's will. And
24:52
Brienne would love to live on in
24:54
song. So these are all
24:56
kind of ideas of what a good death
24:59
looks like. And
25:01
so here's what I was going to ask you. Do
25:03
you believe that there's such a thing as a good
25:05
death? I do. I
25:08
mean, absolutely. And,
25:10
you know, the one thing that makes
25:12
it really hard to answer the question
25:15
in a general sense is that we
25:19
each get to spend our own, you know.
25:22
And so it really is
25:24
in the eye of the beholder. I've
25:26
always been in love with G.K.
25:29
Chesterton's phrase that
25:31
a true soldier fights not because he hates
25:33
what's in front of him, but because he
25:35
loves what's behind him. And
25:38
that's my sort of starter's pistol for
25:41
it. It's
25:45
the judgment that
25:48
the value of
25:50
the object that you
25:53
seek is worth the potential
25:56
price that it might cost. I,
26:00
you know, when before we came on,
26:03
I mentioned that two years ago, I donated a
26:05
kidney. There's a
26:07
vanishingly small chance that that that
26:11
sort of operation or
26:13
procedure would cost my life,
26:16
roughly one in 10,000, but
26:19
valued against the upside for
26:21
someone else. It
26:23
was an easy decision for me to make. So
26:25
it's actually something that I've wrestled
26:28
with. This isn't sort of an esoteric academic
26:30
question for me. I think it's a very
26:32
important one. We
26:34
talked about duty earlier. I
26:37
went to college at West Point,
26:39
and there are a number of
26:41
years there when you're a cadet,
26:44
and soon thereafter, where
26:47
there are a number of expectations that
26:49
come with your duty as
26:52
an officer in the United States Army. And
26:55
at first, you
26:58
sort of just follow that as a
27:00
general prescription. But somewhere along
27:02
the line, and obviously I can't pinpoint it
27:04
on a timeline, you know, you
27:08
say the words long enough, you start to believe
27:10
them. You start to, you
27:13
actually start to, I think, live
27:15
through them a little bit. And
27:18
so I absolutely do believe that there
27:20
are some causes
27:22
and risks worth taking. There
27:25
are some deaths that I would absolutely
27:27
say are good deaths.
27:31
You know, whether or not that, I'd
27:33
be perfectly happy, you know,
27:36
expiring in my sleep as an
27:38
old man, I guess, at this
27:40
point. But yeah, yeah, yeah, with
27:43
a little bit of what I
27:45
think they call it dream wind
27:47
in them, in a gun. But,
27:50
you know, whether your life is long
27:53
or short, I do think that it's
27:56
possible to have a good
27:59
one. have a good
28:01
go of it. You know, so
28:03
that's sort of on the individual sense.
28:07
But it raises another larger
28:09
issue, which is, you
28:11
know, what will we fight for collectively,
28:13
and how hard will we fight?
28:16
And in the chapter, Catlin
28:19
makes a comment, you know, that Ed
28:21
Meir had taken, quote, every able-bodied man
28:24
for the Fords and left only a
28:26
garrison made up of the wounded, the
28:28
old, and the sick. You
28:31
know, which is indicative that
28:33
they are fighting with as
28:37
much means as
28:39
they can muster. And, you
28:41
know, when I would stand in front of
28:43
cadets, one of the questions, you know, I
28:46
would ask them is that
28:48
if someone unannounced knocked on your door, and
28:50
they point the gun in your face, and
28:52
they say, give me your wallet, you're
28:55
probably going to give him your wallet.
28:58
But if someone knocks on your door,
29:01
points a gun in your face, and says,
29:03
give me your daughter, or give me your
29:05
son, you know, if you
29:07
see no other alternative, even
29:10
you might be willing to fight. And
29:14
so we start to see the big,
29:17
you know, the beginnings of the motivation,
29:20
the motivations for fighting. You know,
29:22
what interests are motivating
29:25
you to fight? For
29:27
some people, absolutely, it's a
29:29
good death. You know, like
29:32
Ed Meir says, he's looking to fight
29:34
to make his father proud. But,
29:37
you know, when you get
29:40
enough of those individuals that are interested
29:42
in fighting, banded together,
29:45
sooner or later you have a war. And
29:48
that's sort of that that war
29:50
that fighting really animates
29:52
this entire chapter, because
29:54
we're looking at it through the lens
29:56
of a participant, you know, someone who's
29:59
thinking through how it might turn out and
30:01
how she ought to act within it. You
30:05
know, Brianne is one
30:08
of these people that is probably
30:10
not going to be content with
30:12
a host or Tully, you know, going
30:14
out as a old
30:16
woman in a bed. I think her
30:18
idea of a good death would
30:21
be the kind of thing that would
30:24
bring glory and maybe someone like,
30:26
you know, Ryman the Rimer would
30:28
sing about after the fact. And
30:31
Kat is thinking, I think Kat when looks
30:34
on this and she's thinking that's kind of
30:36
a youthful, foolish point
30:38
of view. But,
30:41
and you can maybe correct me if I'm wrong
30:43
here, but I kind of feel like if
30:45
you're going to raise a host, you
30:48
kind of need people with that youthful
30:50
naivete. The idea, I
30:52
think for someone like Brianne
30:55
who longs to be a soldier, you
30:58
kind of need someone who
31:00
views the glorious death as
31:03
something that would be a good death.
31:06
And so I'm wondering what you would say to that. I
31:09
mean, on some level,
31:13
it's better than an army
31:15
of criminals that are just, or
31:18
psychopaths that are just out for blood to
31:22
hurt and harm other human
31:25
beings. So I
31:27
like the mountain would
31:29
be a good example of that, right?
31:31
Absolutely. Yes. I mean,
31:34
there's, you
31:36
can imagine a hierarchy of virtues
31:42
that animate someone to
31:44
go to war. What,
31:49
you know, the
31:53
instinct for glory
31:55
has been embedded in people
31:59
since as long as the war. as we've
32:01
been writing. It's the part of the earliest
32:03
stories of war.
32:09
It may not be the most
32:12
noble, but
32:14
it's certainly not the least, certainly
32:16
not the worst. And
32:19
I, you know, there's an
32:22
expression, it's attributed to Napoleon that,
32:24
you know, that men,
32:27
men fight for little ribbons,
32:29
you know, they do anything
32:31
to obtain or win
32:35
a little ribbon or a medal. And
32:39
I actually think that he's not
32:41
necessarily talking about the ribbon or the
32:43
medal itself, but
32:45
the esteem of
32:48
others. We're social
32:52
creatures, we're social animals,
32:54
we're, you
32:57
know, we're well, you know,
33:02
being selfish has
33:04
been identified as a
33:06
trait that moves
33:08
you up the, you know, that
33:11
preserves your gene pool, so to
33:13
speak. You
33:15
know, humans
33:18
are wired to cooperate in
33:20
large numbers. And
33:22
there's, you know,
33:24
something built into all of
33:26
us to want that kind
33:29
of recognition and, you know,
33:32
common fellow feeling from, you know,
33:34
the others that we spend time
33:36
with. So you mentioned
33:39
that, you know, Ed Muir has made
33:41
this decision to really
33:43
take every able-bodied warrior
33:47
out to defend the river, leaving
33:49
the castle, I wouldn't
33:51
say undefended, but
33:53
because there are now a number of
33:55
troops, at least within close range, that
33:58
if there was a retreat, That would be
34:00
needed. But what I was thinking when that happened was,
34:03
Oh, this is, this is
34:06
foreshadowing. What's going to happen
34:09
next chapter. And that is
34:11
Winterfell is totally undefended. Yes.
34:14
And so here we have cat kind of thinking,
34:16
you know, even though, even
34:18
a wall as strong as riverrun
34:21
or even a Fort as, as
34:23
strong as riverrun, you need
34:25
someone to defend it. Yes. And
34:27
it, um, this is
34:29
where I get down to sort of the,
34:32
uh, imagine for a moment that I'm like
34:34
a pro football NFL analyst that's breaking down
34:36
game film. Um, so Karl
34:38
von Clausewitz, uh, wrote about
34:40
the concept of unlimited warfare, which
34:43
is to say, it's, it's
34:45
almost like idealized, not
34:47
ideal, but idealized warfare, which is
34:49
to say, absolute. Uh,
34:53
one immense knockout
34:55
blow with all the power
34:57
that you have. Um,
35:00
like a haymaker. It, uh,
35:02
yes, it's the, it's the, it's the haymaker
35:05
view of, of warfare. However,
35:09
we recognize that in the real
35:11
world, that's almost never possible. Uh,
35:14
so what we're looking at the
35:16
chapter is zooming in on fighting
35:18
between Lannister forces and Northern forces.
35:21
So we're going to stick to that for a moment.
35:23
We're not going to look or think about the wider,
35:25
wider conflict. Both of them are
35:27
fighting for limited ends. You
35:30
know, we're not at that single haymaker theory. So
35:32
they're, they're fighting to preserve their, their
35:35
own kingdom as they defined it, they're
35:38
fighting to retrieve the hostages that they want
35:40
back. And they're both fighting
35:42
with limited means.
35:44
Now, Rob's army
35:48
is closer to
35:51
maximal means than the
35:53
Lannister armies, as far as we can tell,
35:55
uh, because, you know,
35:57
they're, they're, they're really running. They
36:00
have no spares, no reserves, so to speak.
36:04
Both sides strategic objective is to
36:06
inflict enough pain and damage on
36:08
the adversary to force them to
36:11
sue for peace. Or this is
36:14
say uncle warfare, you know,
36:16
we are slicing the salami
36:18
bit by bit until the
36:20
other side says uncle. And,
36:22
you know, it's
36:25
a choice of objectives.
36:28
In the television show, season
36:30
three, episode three, it's called walk
36:32
of punishment is the episode. It's
36:36
a little bit differently characterized. But
36:39
Ed Meir takes a mill.
36:41
Yeah, and the mountain escapes.
36:44
And the thing that's worth I think raising
36:46
here because we're talking about the book, but
36:48
I think sometimes the show can shed
36:50
light. You know, Rob indicates
36:54
that he wanted to take the mountain
36:57
and has a great concern for
36:59
the troops that were lost in
37:01
taking that mill. But what the
37:03
show is highlighting here is what
37:05
is the more valuable target? And
37:09
so, in certain
37:11
circumstances, it might be the mountain. In
37:14
certain circumstances, it might be Winterfell,
37:17
it might be River Run. You
37:20
know, it's hard to say.
37:24
And the thing that's toughest about
37:26
it is you never know what
37:28
straw will break the
37:31
donkey's back. You never know what straw is going
37:33
to be the last straw for the episode.
37:35
Yeah, in the show, I think it was
37:37
something like along the lines of it
37:40
almost showed Rob is a more strategic.
37:43
Well, you can see Rob's in
37:45
sort of strategic interior. He's sort
37:47
of look, the mill
37:50
wasn't important to me. I wanted to
37:52
drive Tywin in a particular direction. Correct.
37:54
Yeah. And you were so
37:57
fixated on this little, you know,
38:00
know, piece of the, the chess board, this one
38:02
little square that you didn't
38:04
have the larger war
38:07
in mind. And
38:09
so the show really kind of gives
38:11
you something of an insight into
38:13
Rob's strategy.
38:16
The books don't really do this,
38:19
but in this
38:21
chapter, it seems like
38:24
Taiwan is doing one
38:26
of two things. And maybe I'm not seeing that
38:28
the whole picture here either, but either
38:31
he's doing what Brienne thinks. And that is
38:34
I'm going to test different parts
38:36
of the river to see where I can truck,
38:38
where I can push my host
38:40
over the river. And
38:42
I'm going to, I might have to lose
38:44
a dozen men here or there to find
38:46
the weak spot, but it's worth it if
38:48
I can find out that information. Or
38:51
another possibility is he
38:54
doesn't care at all about Riverrun
38:56
and he's trying to play some
38:58
kind of psychological game with Rob.
39:01
Like I can get close to your mother, something,
39:03
something along those lines. And I'm not
39:05
sure what Taiwan's ultimate
39:08
strategy here is because we don't
39:10
really have Taiwan POVs either. Um,
39:13
but at the end of the day,
39:15
in this chapter, Edmure is not a fool like
39:17
the show, uh,
39:19
portrays, he defended, he,
39:23
it was his job to defend this
39:25
particular castle and he did it. All
39:27
this relates back to sort
39:30
of the central theme that's emerging from our
39:32
conversation, which is, uh, war
39:36
has no price list. You,
39:40
you determine what is
39:42
the objective worth to you? What
39:46
is worth spending human lives to
39:48
achieve? And sometimes
39:51
that is a psychological
39:53
victory. Sometimes
39:56
that is, um, frightening. your
40:00
adversaries, sometimes it's taking
40:03
a key location
40:05
or place like Winterfell.
40:09
And sometimes it's something else
40:11
entirely. Yeah. You know,
40:14
and I would say, you know,
40:17
Ed Meer does, of course, come across
40:19
as more, you know,
40:24
he's not comedic relief in the book,
40:26
whereas he almost did. Oh, yeah. He's
40:28
totally comic relief. My lords and ladies,
40:34
I suppose this is the most important moment
40:37
of our lives. What
40:39
we decide today reverberates with the annals
40:41
of history. I
40:44
stand before you as one
40:46
of the senior lords in the country, a
40:49
veteran of two wars. And
40:52
I like to think my experience has led
40:54
to some small skill in
40:56
statecraft and underst... Is
41:01
it? In one of his messages
41:04
to Catelyn in the chapter, he
41:08
writes, they
41:11
shall not cross with
41:13
respect to permitting the Lannister forces
41:16
to cross the river. You
41:19
know, there's a message,
41:22
a transmission that comes through that Tywin
41:25
tries to force a crossing at a
41:27
dozen different Fords, but
41:29
every thrust had been thrown back at
41:31
grievous cost to our foes. You
41:35
know, that highlights the
41:37
importance of geography. Almost,
41:40
you know, if we start with the
41:44
proposition that the Earth's surface
41:47
is necessarily complex, then
41:50
we can use it in uncountable
41:52
ways for protection and cover
41:54
and concealment. You
41:57
know, tunnels are a great example. is
42:00
paying witness to in Gaza
42:02
right now. Successful
42:05
modern warfare is built on that principle
42:08
that you have small units in
42:10
tight coordination and cooperation moving
42:12
independently and interdependently to
42:14
take advantage. The
42:17
problem is that rivers remove all
42:19
cover and concealment. So
42:22
you are, you know,
42:24
you are a
42:26
target every moment that you're
42:28
crossing. Even if you hold
42:31
your breath really really well and
42:33
you go, you know, you dive into
42:35
the water and you swim underneath the
42:37
water, you still have to surface to
42:40
crawl out of the water and you are still
42:42
at target because there are not, there
42:45
is not a huge amount of tree cover at
42:48
a riverbank. And so the,
42:52
you know, Ed Meer and his
42:54
teams, his platoons,
42:57
his fighting men are
43:00
in a really wonderful position because
43:03
they are using cover and concealment
43:06
and they are engaging targets that
43:08
are not covered and not concealed.
43:11
They also have the high ground in a sense
43:13
that the banks are uneven.
43:15
That's right. And they've
43:17
got some good, you know, good tree
43:20
coverage. They can, they can shoot their
43:22
arrows farther. They've got, they've got a
43:24
better line of sight. You
43:26
know, Taiwan's trying to send people a day
43:29
and night and different, different spots along
43:31
the river. And, and
43:35
Kat gets to see some of this and
43:37
which is kind of an interesting moment
43:39
in the book because Martin does
43:42
not tend to write battle scenes
43:44
very often. Yeah. Like even
43:46
when Tyrion's in battle, he kind of gets conked
43:48
out and wakes up later and finds out what's
43:50
going on. But
43:54
it is from Kat's view and she is in
43:56
a watchtower, but she does get to see a
43:58
little bit of the battle unfold. And I was
44:00
wondering if there was anything about this battle that struck
44:03
you as interesting or remarkable I
44:06
mean a couple things first you've mentioned
44:08
this a couple of times Uh
44:10
martin doesn't write that many battle
44:12
scenes. Um, you know if You're
44:15
you may be familiar or maybe not. Um,
44:18
you know in interviews he said he's
44:20
always been fascinated by war um,
44:23
but what's really interesting to me is that
44:25
uh, He he
44:27
while he was not and never was
44:30
a pacifist As he's
44:32
put it sometimes war is necessary He
44:34
asked for and was awarded conscientious
44:36
objective status during the vietnam
44:39
war and chose alternate public
44:42
service in chicago uh
44:44
during vietnam and so
44:47
to me that actually rings true in that
44:49
you could imagine that if if he had
44:52
Uh served overseas in vietnam
44:54
Uh, he might be inclined to write more
44:57
battle scenes as a result of his um
45:01
experiences but you
45:03
know the defining war of his generation
45:05
he Sort
45:07
of uh viewed from afar And
45:10
uh, so there's a little bit of
45:12
a distance when you see him writing about um,
45:14
these scenes and and by the way I
45:17
don't take that at all as a strike. In
45:19
fact, actually in the book that we talked about
45:21
the winning westeros book um, I
45:24
Concluded the book, uh by thanking
45:27
Martin for the gift that
45:30
he's given by bringing major
45:32
concepts in in war Uh
45:35
to a far larger audience um
45:39
the The thing
45:41
that stood out for me about
45:45
the riverine fighting Is
45:48
that? if
45:50
we rewind To
45:52
the beginning of our discussion. I
45:55
mentioned that war of the knife versus the war of
45:57
the map and it
45:59
may have come off that I was denigrating
46:02
Ed Meer and sort
46:04
of praising Katlyn in that
46:06
one was sort of identified with one side of
46:09
the coin and the other the other. If
46:13
you are to engage in intimate
46:16
combat in such
46:18
a, you know, like I
46:20
mentioned, this is within, you know, this
46:27
is, there's no cover, there's
46:29
no concealment on the river, and they
46:31
are within miles
46:33
or kilometers of
46:35
their home. We
46:38
get Ed Meer saying
46:42
defiantly, they shall not
46:44
cross. You
46:47
have to have the stomach in
46:50
order to stand and
46:52
continue to fight no
46:54
matter what. Because at
46:57
least the way that this
46:59
chapter has revealed itself or unfolded, Ed
47:02
Meer has made that commitment that
47:05
he's either going to
47:07
defend successfully defend his
47:10
home, or he's not going to live
47:12
to tell about it. And
47:15
that's, you
47:18
know, like, you know, at least to him, clearly,
47:26
that's a good death. You
47:28
know, that's worth dying for. And
47:30
I think
47:33
that's part of why so
47:36
many people find
47:39
it interesting
47:41
to get involved and in the
47:43
headspace of a story like Clash
47:47
of Kings. Because there
47:49
are so many characters
47:53
that are literally gambling with the highest
47:55
stakes. Right.
47:58
Now I study ancient
48:01
Near Eastern history and texts,
48:05
and the ancients have a much
48:07
different view of what would
48:09
make a war just. I
48:12
think for us, something
48:14
along the lines of a holy war or
48:16
God told me to go fight, or my
48:19
God's bigger than your God, I think
48:22
it's repugnant to most people. And I
48:25
would tend to agree with that assessment.
48:28
But in the ancient world, it
48:31
was the only reason to fight. You've
48:33
got to prove this. Is
48:35
this something that God wills? And
48:38
I thought it was interesting that Cat goes
48:40
into the Sept, prays
48:43
for victory for her son
48:46
and her brother, so she
48:48
lights a candle for Edmure and Robb.
48:52
But in the previous chapter, it's a chapter
48:54
that's really close to this anyway, Tyrion
48:57
is lighting a candle to the warrior
48:59
for his brother. So it's almost like
49:01
they're praying to the same God for
49:04
victory. And
49:06
I think, I mean, there's no doubt that
49:08
that is an intentional commentary
49:10
from Martin who's... I'm
49:13
pretty sure he's making some kind
49:15
of commentary on holy war. But
49:19
I just noted that because in
49:22
the ancient world, yeah, absolutely. That
49:24
was the only kind of war that was legitimate.
49:28
I mean, not just ancient. You get the same
49:31
comments out of Abraham Lincoln about the
49:33
American Civil War. Oh, interesting. Oh,
49:35
absolutely. We're all appealing to God. We
49:38
all think that we're fighting in God's name, and
49:41
none of us know for certain. Because
49:44
if we did know for certain, then it could
49:46
be proven conclusively, then we wouldn't have
49:50
to even assemble on the battlefield. Like,
49:56
I understand why it is... because
50:00
the stakes are as high as they are, it
50:03
naturally lends people to start thinking of
50:06
higher powers. There's
50:09
a very concluding sentiment to the chapter,
50:11
is Catlin appealing
50:15
to the gods or thinking about the
50:17
gods as the chapter ends,
50:19
the gods had granted them victory after
50:22
victory at Stone Mill, Ox
50:24
Cross, in the Battle of the Camps,
50:26
at the Whispering Wood. But
50:28
if we're winning, why am I
50:30
so afraid? And it's
50:34
because war
50:37
is where one plus one equals
50:39
apple. It
50:43
is as difficult
50:45
to tease out cause and
50:47
effect as
50:49
anything. For
50:52
example, General George Washington is
50:54
America's, probably, and
50:57
I'm fairly certain that this is true, America's
51:00
losingest battlefield commander.
51:04
But he won the war that mattered the most,
51:06
without which there would be no United States of
51:08
America. General Ulysses
51:11
Grant lost more men, and
51:13
it was men then, in the Overland Virginia
51:16
campaign in 1864, than any other campaign
51:18
to date. In fact, Arlington
51:25
National Cemetery is filled.
51:27
It was that
51:30
campaign alone that got Arlington
51:33
National Cemetery its first plots
51:37
of dirt, first bodies into the
51:39
ground. But,
51:41
of course, General Grant ground
51:45
Robert E. Lee down until
51:47
his Confederate forces, his Army of
51:49
Virginia, was too weak to continue.
51:52
You know, again, it's
51:54
that same idea. It's incredibly difficult, darn
51:57
right impossible, to know which straw will
51:59
break the the donkey's
52:02
back or whether
52:05
the actions you are undertaking
52:08
now will
52:10
in fact lead to the
52:12
objective you seek to achieve.
52:17
That's a tough thing for us to
52:19
take. We're
52:21
used to baking
52:26
bread with a
52:28
step-by-step, paint-by-numbers approach where
52:31
if you do A, B, and C, then you get
52:33
D for sure. That's
52:36
not how it works on the battlefield. That's
52:39
what Katlyn is appealing
52:42
to here. She's
52:44
got this sense that little
52:48
victory, little victory, little victory, little
52:50
victory isn't really going to
52:52
lead to what they
52:54
want. Of course, she
52:56
doesn't know it yet, but she's right. Well,
52:59
and she's an interesting character in this
53:01
book because she's been all over the
53:03
place. Ed
53:06
Meares' whole world is Riverrun.
53:10
He's got news. He's
53:12
got ravens coming to and fro. He understands
53:15
the larger politics of the realm I
53:17
would imagine. His
53:20
whole success and failure, in fact, I would
53:22
almost say his whole life hinges on this
53:25
one battle. Whereas Kat doesn't
53:28
really have the luxury to just think in
53:30
terms of small battles. Her
53:33
sons are up north and cast to the wind.
53:38
Her daughters are hostages, or so she thinks.
53:41
Her whole life and her whole heart
53:43
is spread all over this kingdom. She
53:47
does not have the luxury to really
53:50
celebrate any one battle. No,
53:52
that's right. You raise the hostages
53:54
issue. As
53:57
distant and cold and rational as she is.
56:00
Similarly, the taking
56:03
of hostages that's almost,
56:05
I would say, a theme in Martin's
56:07
book. Oh
56:11
yeah, absolutely. It's as
56:13
old as it gets in warfare
56:15
and it's
56:17
still happening because it still works. It's
56:21
not like I say that with a – I'm not
56:23
smiling while I'm saying that. I
56:25
hate thinking that way, but that's part of
56:27
this competition. Yeah,
56:32
it's amazing how ancient
56:34
a practice that is and that it
56:37
is still used in modern warfare. Oh,
56:40
it's as old as tunnels.
56:44
Yeah. And we
56:46
have all these modern
56:48
gizmos and widgets and we think AI
56:50
is about to change the world. But
56:54
both in Gaza and in North Korea,
56:57
those people are Olympic gold
56:59
medalists in digging holes in
57:01
the ground. And those holes
57:03
that they dig in the ground are
57:06
very protective. They are the ultimate
57:08
in cover and concealment, and
57:11
they do protect them against all these
57:13
modern bells and whistles that we think
57:15
are so important. Was there anything
57:18
else that struck you about this chapter that
57:20
you thought was interesting because
57:22
it connects to a larger theme of
57:24
a book or runs throughout the
57:27
larger story that Martin's put together? So
57:31
there's a – at
57:34
a moment, Katlyn
57:37
mentioned the Lannisters are liars,
57:40
everyone. And I do
57:42
want to highlight that as a theme, and
57:44
something that I picked up on. The Lannisters
57:46
do – they are
57:48
successful, but they seek cheap victories, and
57:50
the Red Wedding that's coming is a
57:53
classic example. Short-term
57:55
gains with long-term consequences, and
57:57
the problem with those long-term
57:59
consequences. But
1:00:00
she's right in
1:00:03
the sense that Tyrion's peace terms
1:00:06
cannot be trusted. They
1:00:09
are lying in the sense that they don't
1:00:11
have Arya, or they are lying
1:00:13
in sort of presenting
1:00:15
these peace terms as if this is something that
1:00:17
we could all agree on. Tyrion
1:00:19
knows that that's not the case. So
1:00:22
she comes to the right conclusion based
1:00:24
on the wrong evidence, I suppose. Yeah,
1:00:27
absolutely. I
1:00:31
think that as
1:00:35
naive as it comes off, Ned
1:00:38
Stark's actions and
1:00:41
later Jon Snow's actions
1:00:45
really reverberate well
1:00:48
beyond themselves. You
1:00:50
find that more and more
1:00:52
people are attracted to their cause
1:00:54
and are desiring to ally with them
1:01:03
whereas the Lannisters, their
1:01:05
list of allies is only
1:01:08
as long as their
1:01:10
pocket is large enough to pay them.
1:01:14
Notable introductions in the chapter. We
1:01:16
hear about Septon
1:01:18
Osman from Kat's
1:01:20
childhood. We do not
1:01:22
meet him, but she remembers him. Also Maester Kim.
1:01:27
Lord Deremond is mentioned and I met
1:01:29
for the very first time the word
1:01:31
Ryl, R-I-L-L. Are
1:01:35
you familiar with that word? I am not.
1:01:37
Okay. This
1:01:39
was in the little song that Ryman the
1:01:41
Rimer was singing. A Ryl
1:01:43
is a small stream or a groove
1:01:46
created by a small stream and
1:01:48
I always love it when Martin
1:01:51
brings in that kind of archaic
1:01:54
vocabulary. So Ryl
1:01:56
was a new word for me. Notable
1:02:00
departures Lord leopard
1:02:03
banner man of Tywin We
1:02:06
hear tell of his death And
1:02:08
then I was gonna say in terms of
1:02:11
the differences between the show and the book
1:02:14
Well kind of none of this is in
1:02:16
the show except we
1:02:20
see the Strategy of
1:02:22
the the stone mill kind
1:02:24
of repurposed. Uh-huh for the
1:02:26
show which we talked about a bit Situation
1:02:28
with one of my lieutenants at the stone
1:02:31
mill which may have some bearing Don't
1:02:36
call him nephew he's your king Rob
1:02:38
knows I meant him no do you're
1:02:40
lucky. I'm not your kid. I
1:02:44
Wouldn't let you wave your blunders around like a
1:02:46
big tree for a high blunder Tywin's
1:02:49
mad dog scurrying back to cast me rock with
1:02:51
his tail between his legs I think King Rob
1:02:53
understands we're not gonna win this war if he's
1:02:55
the only one winning any battles There's
1:02:57
glory enough to go around it's not about glory
1:03:02
Your instructions were to wait for him to come to you Seized
1:03:05
an opportunity what value was the mill? The
1:03:09
mountain was garrisoned across the river for me. Is he there
1:03:11
now? Of course not we
1:03:13
took the fight to him. He could not withstand us. I
1:03:16
wanted to draw the mountain into the West Into
1:03:19
our country where we could surround him and kill him.
1:03:21
I Wanted
1:03:23
him to chase us She
1:03:25
would have done because he is a mad
1:03:28
dog without a strategic thought in his head
1:03:30
I could have that head of a spike
1:03:32
by now Instead
1:03:36
I have a middle. Thank you Matt No,
1:03:39
it's super. I usually talk with professional medievalists
1:03:42
But this is the kind of conversation that
1:03:44
I just haven't had on this
1:03:46
podcast yet. So I super Yeah,
1:03:50
I love knocking around the subject I mean
1:03:52
honestly like I do I mean I recognize
1:03:54
that a lot of the stuff
1:03:56
that Martin raises You
1:03:59
know not Not everybody wants to go down
1:04:01
those rabbit holes, but to the extent
1:04:03
that they're interested, I can, you know,
1:04:05
I really appreciate the opportunity to do
1:04:07
it. Well, fantastic. And maybe I'll knock
1:04:09
on your door again sometime. Thank
1:04:12
you so much. And thank you. Have a
1:04:14
great day.
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