Episode Transcript
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up at greenlight.com/podcast. Hello,
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welcome to How to Win 2024. It's
0:41
Thursday, March 21st. I'm Jennifer
0:43
Palmieri and I'm here with my co-host,
0:45
Claire McCaskill. All right, Claire. So
0:48
my voice is low today because I'm
0:50
under the weather, so I'm going to
0:52
do my deep radio voice today with
0:54
the help of a head cold. So
0:56
I apologize if I sound weird, but
0:58
the show must go on, right? That's
1:00
right. I have not gotten my picks in yet. You
1:03
tell me I have 45 minutes to do so. Where
1:05
are you on the women's final floor? I
1:08
took South Carolina, I took Iowa and South Carolina
1:10
in the final, and I took South Carolina to
1:12
win. It's interesting. I think what's
1:14
so much fun this year is how
1:17
many more people- This is the first
1:19
time our family has done a women's
1:21
bracket. Oh, wow. Yeah. We've always done
1:23
the men's bracket, but this year we're
1:26
doing a women's bracket. I
1:28
saw on TV this morning that
1:30
they have sold more tickets to
1:32
the final four women's tournament than
1:34
they have the men's. I love
1:36
it. This is the best. I
1:40
love it so much. Not
1:42
that we're also not excited for the men, but
1:44
this is just like, I love it
1:46
so much. Yeah, it's great. Okay. Today,
1:48
Claire and I want to use our
1:50
comms and strategy lens to look in
1:53
at some continuing trends as more states
1:55
continue to hold primaries. On Tuesday, you
1:57
had Arizona, Florida, Illinois, Kansas, and Ohio.
2:00
We'll dig into those results and why
2:02
Biden, Corgian Hispanic voters could not come
2:04
at a better time. Jen
2:07
and I are also going to check in
2:09
with Arizona Secretary of State Adrian Fontes about
2:11
his efforts to weed out A.I. and deepfigs
2:13
ahead of the election. And in
2:16
case you didn't know, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is
2:18
in the race. And while no
2:20
label seems to be fumbling, it seems
2:22
like they can't find a ticket to
2:24
challenge Biden and Trump. R.F.K.
2:26
Jr. has picked up the ball as the
2:29
third party spoiler. He picked up
2:31
that ball and was running with it, and we're going to
2:33
dive into that too. But first, this week's
2:35
strategy session. Takeaways from the
2:37
primaries we had on Tuesday. So the
2:39
Ohio Senate seat, the Trump-backed candidate Bernie
2:42
Moreno won. This is the—he's
2:44
a wealthy former car dealer. He's
2:46
a three-way primary. He's the MAGA Trump guy.
2:49
He was up against more
2:51
mainstream establishment Republicans that
2:54
the mainstream governor, Mike
2:56
DeWine, had endorsed. This is the candidate
2:58
that Sherrod Brown was hoping to get.
3:00
Claire, I know you're really close to
3:02
him. How are you feeling about this?
3:04
Listen, a couple things to takeaways in
3:06
Ohio. If I were
3:09
in the room, I would do
3:11
a happy dance because I think
3:13
this guy has a real chance
3:15
of imploding. He has said some
3:18
really bizarre things, including that he
3:20
supports no exceptions. This is the
3:22
state that voted in the most
3:24
high-profile way to protect
3:26
women's reproductive freedom. And
3:29
they nominate a guy in the Republican Party who
3:31
says no exceptions. There should be
3:33
no rape or incest exception and
3:35
supports a nationwide ban. Now, he's
3:37
tried to flip-flop around about it,
3:39
but the fact that he is
3:41
there when Ohio has said so
3:43
clearly how they feel about this,
3:45
I think, is really going to
3:47
help Sherrod, along with the fact
3:49
that the people know Sherrod and
3:52
know who he is. And by the
3:54
way, let's not leave this topic. We've got a
3:56
lot of other things to cover. But if I were
3:58
in the room, I would remind everybody. how badly
4:00
they pulled this. The polling was
4:02
way off. Everyone in Ohio
4:04
was told by poll after poll that
4:07
this was going to be a close
4:09
primary. It wasn't close. I
4:12
mean, Moreno got more votes than the other
4:14
two combined. But I'm just telling you, the
4:16
polling this cycle The
4:18
polling is really – Yeah. It's hinky.
4:21
Yeah. I mean, that's what we covered last week
4:23
about how it's not – the results were not
4:25
matching up from the primaries from the polls. But
4:28
if I had to pick the two candidates I
4:30
wanted running in the two key states, which is
4:32
Montana and Ohio, I don't think he could do
4:34
any better than my buddy John Tester and my
4:37
dear friend Sherrod Brown. They are both – I
4:39
know. Just – They are
4:41
aces. They are aces. Okay. So
4:43
let's look at the presidential stuff. You know, more
4:45
of the same. And
4:47
I continue to get a little
4:49
irritated that people keep talking about
4:52
that Biden has people voting against
4:54
him, which is not unusual
4:56
for an incumbent Democratic president. More
4:58
people voted against Barack Obama in
5:00
2012 than have voted against Joe
5:02
Biden this year. So this is
5:05
not anything to freak out about.
5:07
Not that we don't have to worry
5:09
about keeping the coalition together. Not that
5:12
Biden doesn't have an issue with Hamas
5:14
and the war in Gaza that he's
5:16
got to address to some
5:18
key constituencies. But Trump
5:21
is still struggling. And he's
5:24
an incumbent also. I mean, if you
5:26
look at this, he's an incumbent president
5:28
for the Republican Party. He's the last
5:30
one they had. And so
5:32
the notion that he is still
5:34
getting, in many instances, less
5:36
than 80 percent of the vote after Nikki
5:38
Haley has dropped out is
5:41
really – if I were in the
5:43
room, it'd be a situation where I'd
5:45
say, okay, let's hear the
5:47
plan for this week going after
5:49
these disenfranchised Republican voters that are
5:51
not going to go for Trump.
5:54
What are we doing this week to make
5:56
sure we're communicating with them, that we're hearing
5:58
them, what they have to say? say, and
6:00
that we're moving them over to our
6:02
column. And the thing is, Trump is
6:04
giving the Biden campaign, and they took advantage of this,
6:07
a great window to do that. Because
6:09
what we know from exit
6:12
polls in the early states,
6:14
and also just from the
6:16
Sarah Longwell Republicans Against Trump
6:18
effort, where she showed all of
6:20
the videos that people voluntarily sent into
6:22
her group to say they are not
6:24
going to support Trump, even though they voted for him
6:27
in 16 and 20. And
6:29
what was the reason? Jan 6. He's
6:32
got a problem with swing voters on Jan 6. He's
6:34
got a problem coalescing Republican voters on Jan
6:36
6. And what does he do? Go
6:39
to Dayton to start this rally
6:41
with the Jan 6th anthem of people
6:43
who were jailed for rioting at the
6:45
Capitol. He starts his rallies with their
6:47
national anthem, and then he starts talking
6:50
about them called some hostages. Well,
6:53
thank you very much. And you see the
6:55
spirit from the hostages, and that's what they
6:57
are, is hostages. They've been
6:59
treated terribly and very unfairly, and
7:02
you know that, and everybody knows that.
7:05
And we're going to be working on
7:07
that. So the first day we get
7:09
into office, we're going to save our country.
7:12
It was interesting. He actually started to
7:14
say, and on day one, he said on
7:16
day one, the first day in office, I
7:18
will, and you could tell you start
7:20
to say pardon them, and then somebody must tell him
7:22
say don't say you're going to pardon the Jan 6th guys,
7:25
even though he said that in the past. And
7:27
he held back and said, make sure they're treated
7:29
fairly or something like that. And
7:31
then went on a few minutes later to talk
7:33
about the bloodbath. So buying team picks this up
7:36
and runs with it, right? They put an ad
7:38
up right away. And it's the
7:40
worst possible thing Trump could be talking about. So if
7:42
you're in the room, that's what you do. And
7:44
they did it this time. If we were
7:46
in the room, I think you would agree with me. Joe
7:48
Biden needs to find two or three
7:51
of the people that are in
7:53
prison for assaulting police officers. Find
7:56
the videotape of them attacking police
7:58
officers. know these
8:00
three people. And they need
8:02
to be the examples that people think
8:04
of when they hear Trump say these
8:07
are hostages and they should be
8:09
pardoned. Because it is so flagrantly
8:11
offensive to the rule of law
8:14
and to law enforcement officers.
8:16
And the notion that all
8:18
these Republicans are lining up behind
8:20
this position when they claim
8:22
to be the party that cares about
8:24
police officers is just stunning to me.
8:26
And you know, the other thing that's
8:29
going on here, speaking of January 6th,
8:31
is we have a growing number of
8:33
former cabinet members that won't support Trump
8:35
in 2024 arriving on the
8:38
scene. These are his people. They
8:40
are the people he selected. You know, he
8:42
only selects the best people. They
8:44
were all in the room. You've got Pence
8:47
now, his vice president.
8:49
I mean, that's just stunning. It's
8:51
just unbelievable that
8:53
we are to this point. The
8:56
Washington Post gathered their voices in a
8:58
wonderful compilation of what they're saying right
9:00
now about their former boss. Let's take
9:03
a listen. Donald Trump is
9:05
pursuing and articulating an agenda that
9:07
is at odds with the conservative
9:09
agenda that we governed on during
9:11
our four years. And that's why
9:14
I cannot in good conscience endorse
9:17
Donald Trump in this campaign. If he runs again,
9:19
would you vote for him? No, I count me
9:21
amongst one of the Republicans that hopes he's not
9:23
the nominee at this point. If Donald Trump runs
9:25
again in 2024, would you vote for him again?
9:27
No. Why not? And I'll tell you why, because
9:29
in my view, any elected official needs to meet
9:31
some basic criteria. They need to be able to
9:33
put country over self. They need to
9:35
have a certain level of integrity and principle.
9:38
Look, Donald Trump doesn't meet those marks for me.
9:40
One of the reasons I'm against Trump as the
9:43
nominee is because I don't think he's going to
9:45
move the country forward. We don't take an oath
9:48
to a king or a queen
9:50
or a tyrant or a
9:53
dictator. And we don't take an oath to
9:55
a wannabe dictator. We have
9:57
his acting chief of staff who really was his chief
9:59
of staff. Mick Mulvaney, we've got
10:01
his defense secretaries, we've got generals
10:03
that served in the most high-ranking
10:05
positions in his administration all saying,
10:08
no, no, do not give this
10:10
guy the levers of power again. It's a
10:12
mistake. I think that's really
10:14
powerful going forward in the election and
10:16
I hope that the campaign uses them
10:19
extensively. Yeah, and people have been complaining about the press
10:21
cover to this. It is amazing that the New York
10:23
Times headline was Pence won't
10:25
endorse Biden. Now, what is up with that? I
10:29
mean, it's just the times. It's just the times for
10:31
you. They always just, they're just so hard on Democrats.
10:33
It's like, that is not the headline, friends. The
10:35
headline is the vice president that served under
10:37
Donald Trump when it starts. I think this
10:39
really matters and the campaign can
10:41
do really effective ads with this
10:44
and it's respected leaders who are
10:46
not backing in this really respected
10:48
military leaders. Millie, you know, Mattis, John Kelly,
10:50
like former generals who've never involved themselves in
10:52
politics and that is going to matter. We've
10:55
seen it. There were Republicans who voted for
10:57
him in 16 and 20 and won't do
10:59
it now. So that is an audience that's
11:01
out there. You know it's there. Go get
11:04
them. Okay. So the Biden
11:06
campaign launched their Latino vote effort
11:08
this week. He went to Arizona to
11:10
do that. You're the reason
11:12
why in large part I beat Donald
11:14
Trump. Let's
11:17
beat him again. It
11:20
is a true thing that when you
11:22
look at polls for, you know, now
11:24
we know they're wacky, but Trump is
11:26
getting a bigger share of the Latino
11:29
vote than ever before. It's true for
11:31
black voters. It's true for Asian voters
11:33
as well. Like I don't find this
11:35
that surprising because there are voters in every
11:37
demographic that are in fine science. There are
11:40
and that's growing and you see most of
11:42
this is happening with non-college voters. It mirrors
11:44
what's happening with white voters. But what's your
11:46
take on this, Graham? Yeah, I listen.
11:49
I think it's too early to tell
11:51
to what extent some of the coalition
11:53
is frayed. I'm not panicked about it.
11:55
I'm glad they're focusing on it. I
11:57
think it's important. There is a real story.
12:00
to tell, this is not
12:02
a guy who supports the
12:04
policies that are most helpful
12:06
to these families. And
12:09
I think that the Republican Party always
12:11
underestimates the parts of these
12:13
coalitions that they try to
12:15
grab by assuming that they're
12:17
stupid. These people
12:19
are not stupid Republicans. They
12:22
know what's going on and they
12:24
are not going to vote against
12:26
their best interests if they have
12:28
the right communication on the right
12:31
issues that really matter to them
12:33
and their families. Right. And I
12:35
think sometimes people mistakenly assume that
12:37
that's immigration with Hispanic voters. It's
12:39
not. It hasn't been for a long time. I
12:42
did see that the Biden team this morning
12:44
put out a good video encapsulating
12:46
all the really racist, insane, terrible
12:48
things Trump has said about deporting
12:51
people and immigrants poisoning the blood
12:53
of Americans that's geared towards Hispanic audiences. But
12:55
I also know that they're sort of under
12:57
the radar strategy, which is what they should
13:00
do is about accomplishments, how unemployment
13:02
rate is lower among Hispanics,
13:05
how the wealth gap is narrowing
13:07
for Hispanic voters. So that's the
13:09
substance about the actual economic issues
13:11
people that impact people. They're focused
13:13
on that too, but you're going to
13:15
see a lot of the, you know, sparkle,
13:17
razzle, dazzle videos that's going to take on
13:19
Trump on the racist immigration stuff. We're
13:22
going to take a quick break, but
13:24
when we're back, Arizona Secretary of State
13:26
Adrian Antes joins us on how he's
13:28
thinking about the impact that artificial intelligence
13:30
could have on the coming election cycle.
13:33
Back in a moment. Oh
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14:23
Understand more. Welcome
14:31
back. We're hearing a lot about
14:33
the use and misuse of artificial intelligence
14:35
in all aspects of our lives. And
14:38
obviously politics is not immune
14:40
from those dangers. Warnings about
14:43
generative AI hoaxes in our elections
14:45
are popping up. And we should
14:47
be paying very serious attention to them.
14:49
So just last week we were talking
14:51
about a Trump supporter spreading fake images
14:53
of him surrounded by smiling, enthusiastic black
14:55
voters. And you knew it was fake
14:57
because he was letting them hug him, which
14:59
he doesn't like anyone to touch him.
15:01
So we knew that was fake.
15:03
But imagine seeing a fake video
15:05
pop up online showing a state election
15:08
supervisor shredding ballots and the impact that
15:10
that would have. Or an AI generated
15:12
call about false election results. How
15:14
can you tell what's real and what
15:16
isn't? You know, these questions are not just
15:19
keeping Jen and I up at night. Secretaries
15:21
of state all across the country
15:24
are spending a lot of time worrying
15:26
about this because this is their responsibility.
15:29
They're responsible for the oversight of elections, which I
15:32
want to remind everybody. One of
15:34
the reasons our elections are so secure is
15:37
because the power to oversee
15:39
elections is not in one
15:41
place. But this problem is
15:43
a new wrinkle for these important
15:46
elected officials. They are keenly aware
15:48
of the stakes, especially in this
15:50
election, where we are
15:53
kind of babbling how secure
15:55
people feel about our elections, not
15:58
how secure they are. because they
16:00
are frankly the most secure elections
16:02
in the world. But
16:04
Trump has done a real number
16:06
on people's sense of security about
16:08
whether or not these votes are
16:10
being tabulated fairly. So
16:12
we have today a great guest, Secretary
16:15
of State in Arizona, Adrian Fontes, is
16:17
one of these people that is worrying
16:19
about these problems alongside of us and
16:21
he is with us now. Welcome to
16:23
the program. I hope you don't mind
16:25
if I call you Adrian, please call
16:27
me Claire. And we are thrilled to
16:30
have you joining us. Thank you so much for having
16:32
me, Claire. It's a pleasure to be chatting with you
16:34
this morning. So Jen, I think
16:36
what we need to do first is
16:38
have Adrian explain to our audience how
16:40
your state actually works in terms of
16:43
counting votes and how concerned
16:45
are you actually about hoaxes through
16:48
artificial intelligence impacting our
16:50
elections this year? Well first, we
16:52
are a what we call sort of
16:54
in the parlance a bottom-up
16:56
state versus a top-down state. So
16:59
our elections are run at the
17:01
county level. Now Arizona's only got
17:03
15 counties but
17:06
they're quite large geographically and very,
17:08
very diverse. We have some counties
17:10
that are enormous in size.
17:12
Coconino County, for example, is the second largest
17:15
in the United States. It is 15 and
17:17
a half times bigger than Rhode Island, the
17:20
state. We also have some
17:22
of the smallest population-wise counties in the
17:24
United States of America. Greenlee County only
17:26
has a few thousand voters in it
17:28
and Maricopa County has 2.5 million,
17:30
second only in the
17:32
Los Angeles County. So it's very diverse. But
17:35
bottom-up because the boards of supervisors in each
17:37
of those counties are the county election board.
17:39
They appoint an election
17:42
director who is the check to
17:44
the balance. Now the balance there is a
17:46
county recorder who is elected, a
17:49
partisan elected executive. And that
17:51
was a job you had, right, for Maricopa?
17:53
I did in Maricopa County, yes. So there's
17:55
a that's exactly right. So you
17:57
have one partisan elected overseeing voter registration
17:59
or early voting things of this nature. And
18:01
then you have one appointed under a
18:03
board of supervisors. They're the
18:05
ones that acquire all of the equipment. They're
18:08
the ones who select the polling places and
18:10
the poll workers. They're the ones who take
18:12
care of the ballots. They're the ones who
18:14
take care of all the mailing and all
18:17
the budgeting and all that stuff. The Secretary
18:19
of State is really a regulator. But we
18:21
are a bottom up state versus a state,
18:23
for example, like Georgia, where Secretary Raffensperger is
18:25
top down. He gets all of the equipment.
18:28
He decides a lot of the policy-specific stuff
18:30
in their state. So in this bottom
18:32
up, we have a whole bunch
18:34
of questions and a whole bunch of ways of
18:36
doing things. And, Claire, I think you pointed out
18:38
the strength of our system is our diversity and
18:41
diffusion of this administrative model.
18:43
What am I worried about insofar as
18:45
artificial intelligence is concerned? It's
18:47
kind of a Rumsfeld moment for me, right?
18:49
We don't know what we don't know. This
18:52
thing is going to move. It's going to
18:54
change. It's going to shape differently. But the
18:56
really critical thing here is that artificial intelligence
18:58
is not a new threat. It is an
19:00
amplifier and a broadener of the
19:02
exact same old threats that we've already
19:04
faced. Misinformation, disinformation, malinformation, the lies, the
19:07
conspiracy theories and this. It just pushes
19:09
those things out there a lot further,
19:11
a lot deeper, and a lot broader
19:13
and a lot more quickly. And so
19:15
that's the main concern that we have
19:18
here in Arizona. And
19:20
I can say that for a lot of secretaries across the
19:22
country. You all ran the
19:24
first in a series of novel
19:26
experiments in Arizona back in December
19:28
where you used AI deepfakes to
19:30
try to prep for election hoaxes.
19:33
Yeah. So one of the best ways
19:35
to describe this is it's like the
19:37
boogeyman theory of the
19:40
way we deal with issues. A lot of people...
19:43
I'll just use a Hogwarts example type
19:45
of thing. People never said Voldemort's name
19:47
because invoking the name was really scary.
19:50
Well, once Harry Potter started running around
19:52
saying Voldemort, he wasn't so scary anymore.
19:55
AI is an unknown. A lot of people are
19:57
not familiar with it. It is a mysterious shadowy
20:00
So we wanted to put it in front of
20:02
our election officials. We wanted to put it front
20:04
and center with our communications folks, our law enforcement
20:06
folks. So we created a tabletop
20:08
exercise. Law enforcement and the military do this training a
20:11
lot. We sit around a big table and
20:13
we run folks through an entire scenario
20:15
and then we will have the trainers
20:17
put injects into the situation to
20:20
see how everybody reacts and they've got to go
20:22
back and forth. So one of the injects, several
20:24
of the injects that we had were deep
20:26
fakes. One of them was a deep fake of
20:29
myself. We had another deep fake of a different
20:31
election official as an example. And
20:33
that person was actually deep
20:35
faked speaking fluent German and
20:37
fluent Mandarin Chinese. That
20:40
person doesn't speak either of those languages. We
20:43
also had some voice deep fakes that
20:45
were played over sort of
20:48
the loudspeaker system for the 200 election
20:50
officials, law enforcement officials, county managers, county
20:52
emergency responders, vendors. We had just a
20:54
whole slew of folks in this exercise.
20:56
And it was really just a question
20:58
of can we familiarize folks with what
21:00
it is, you know, get rid of
21:02
some of the mystery and just make
21:04
folks aware so that we can figure
21:06
out how to react because the last
21:08
thing you want to do is
21:10
meet a threat that you've never seen. And
21:12
how did they react? How did the simulations go? It
21:15
was really interesting. I mean
21:17
folks were very, very curious. We had
21:19
some experts in artificial intelligence and generative
21:21
AI from Palo Alto from somewhere in
21:24
Massachusetts. I hear there's a lot of
21:26
computer people there. We did two full
21:29
exercises. One consisted of several months leading
21:31
up to election day and then the
21:33
second one on the morning of the
21:35
second day, we ran through an election
21:37
day scenario. And the reaction was very,
21:40
very positive, although folks were really concerned,
21:42
right? And they thought, wow, this is
21:44
definitely something we need to pay close
21:46
attention to. And the rough thing for all of
21:48
us is, you know, we came to the realization
21:50
that wherever this technology was in mid-December when we
21:52
did this training, it's a hell of a lot
21:54
further along now and it's going to get a
21:57
lot better by the time we hit next
21:59
fall. So what
22:02
did the exercises teach these
22:04
election officials about how they
22:06
need to deal with this this year? What
22:08
can people do? And what we try to
22:10
do on this podcast, Adrienne, is we
22:13
try to keep people from freaking out.
22:15
Yeah. You know,
22:17
there's a lot of folks that
22:19
are Democrats and that are really
22:21
worried about this election. And we
22:23
almost hate to pile another thing
22:25
on about everyone's anxiety about what's
22:28
going on this year. Is there
22:30
anything that you can give our
22:32
listeners that will reassure them that
22:34
we will know if someone is
22:36
trying to fake something that could impact
22:38
the election? I think first and
22:40
foremost, what we have to realize, and particularly
22:43
for your listeners, is this. There
22:46
are a lot of things that can
22:48
get thrown at election officials. But
22:50
the vast majority of us
22:52
are habitual planners. We plan
22:55
everything out and contingencies
22:57
and backups to our contingencies. And really
22:59
what emerged from this training was that
23:01
when we stick to the fundamentals, when
23:03
we stick to the basics and we
23:05
don't get distracted by the shiny objects,
23:08
we can plow through an election cycle
23:11
regardless of the distractions, regardless of the extra
23:13
stuff that's floating around out there. And we
23:15
can come up with good results, accurate
23:17
results. They may not be as quick as people
23:19
like, oh well. But at the
23:22
end of the day, our elections continue
23:24
to be free and secure and safe
23:26
because we're not falling into the trap
23:28
that all of this extra stuff is
23:31
bringing. And that includes a
23:33
lot of the fear, right? Look
23:35
we've lost a lot of people in election
23:37
administration because of threats, of
23:40
violence and things of this nature. But
23:42
the folks who are coming in are coming
23:45
in eyes wide open. They know that this
23:47
is going to be a rough environment. They
23:49
know that these sorts of things are going
23:51
to be happening. And they're that dedicated to
23:53
preserving and protecting our democracy that
23:55
they want to stick with it. So the fundamentals are solid.
24:00
are some kinds of tips for spotting fakes. Yeah,
24:02
well, first and foremost, get your information about the
24:04
time, place and manner of your elections from trusted
24:06
sources, right? Go to your Secretary of State, go
24:08
to your local elections officials. Don't go to Uncle
24:10
Bob on Facebook because it's probably a problem. The
24:12
other thing too though, if you want to get
24:14
a little more sleuthy and a little bit more
24:16
into the details, if you're
24:18
getting information from .gov websites,
24:20
probably pretty good to go, right?
24:23
If you're getting your information from a lot
24:25
of the campaigns or via text message, you're
24:27
following those links. You got
24:29
to kind of keep your guard up and when
24:32
your guard is up, look for those little weird
24:34
things, right? Look for odd shading in the background
24:36
of the folks. Look for kind of jumpy
24:39
video. Look for, you know, somebody's got eight
24:41
fingers on one of their hands or something
24:43
like that. If you want to get a
24:45
little bit more sleuthy, now do also know
24:47
that there's a lot of networks being set
24:49
up across the United States of America that
24:51
are really looking for these things and
24:53
are going to be putting out these
24:56
warnings when we do see these messages.
24:58
So pay close attention. The trusted sources
25:00
of information are going to keep you
25:02
informed well and we'll issue warnings. So
25:05
look to your, again, Secretaries of State, your local election officials
25:07
at the county level and you're really at this stage
25:09
of the game, you got to know who's running your elections
25:11
locally. So this is one of the
25:13
reasons why I'm not that freaked out. I mean,
25:16
I'm freaked out, but I ultimately have confidence about
25:18
what will happen in November because a reminder like
25:20
you have Adrian Fontes in Arizona. You
25:22
want to talk about battle tested? But you
25:24
have been through from the Maricopa County Recorder
25:27
and the experience in 2020 and
25:30
we have Jocelyn Benson in Michigan. You have
25:32
like strong Secretaries of State and all of
25:34
the battlegrounds and I feel like on the
25:36
Democratic side, like the Trump years have made
25:38
Democrats great, particularly in the States to rally,
25:40
to protect democracy and prepare to do it
25:42
again. But Claire, you looked like you were
25:44
getting ready to ask something. Well, I think
25:47
it's time to have him tell a war
25:49
story or two about the ninja
25:51
folks that rolled into... Oh, the
25:53
cyber ninjas. Yeah. Yeah. And
25:56
it could tell us how that went down. I love it. I
25:58
mean, we watched it from the outside. side,
26:00
but it really appeared like
26:02
just as the circus came to
26:04
town. Give us
26:06
a little sense of the atmosphere in Maricopa
26:08
County after 2020 election. Well,
26:11
the really funny thing, and I'll give you
26:13
the epilogue first, I wasn't actually the Maricopa
26:15
County recorder during the audit. I
26:18
actually lost my reelection bid in 2020. So
26:21
I'll take you quick back to 2018. We
26:23
were redoing the entire election system, 2020. We
26:26
executed and we had that team.
26:29
We had that new system, the new
26:31
processes, the new procedures and everything set up for
26:34
They executed a phenomenal election. And let me
26:36
point this out. The 2020 election
26:39
in Maricopa County is the single
26:41
most highly scrutinized public exercise in
26:43
the history of the world. Okay.
26:46
Everybody on the planet, the congressional
26:49
investigators, we had partisan investigators,
26:51
we had nonprofit investigators, we had journalists from
26:53
all stripes, we had everybody on the planet
26:55
looking at Maricopa County, all the emails, all
26:58
the planning, all the everything. And
27:00
we did a phenomenal job. Not a
27:02
single real issue emerged. I
27:05
was the chief architect of that system. So when
27:07
you say cyber ninja, Claire, man,
27:09
that is a feather in my cap. I
27:11
may get it tattooed on my chest because
27:13
I'm so proud of the result. It
27:16
was crazy. It was insane. Karen
27:19
Fann, the former Senate president, cost
27:21
the state of Arizona. I think the running
27:23
tab at this stage is probably close to
27:25
$15 million, if not a lot more,
27:29
particularly in reputation. But
27:32
at the end of the day, when you
27:34
look at what we did, and you look
27:36
at the performance of the actual work, and you look
27:38
at the results of all these investigations, I'm
27:40
really proud of Maricopa 2020. And
27:43
there isn't anything that the naysayers and those
27:45
guys can say to pull me away from
27:47
that attitude. But what I loved
27:49
was even though they didn't find and even
27:51
though they concluded there were more votes for
27:53
Biden, still the Maricopa County Board of Supervisors
27:55
went back and did a hit for hit
27:57
rebuttal like a 97 page report or something.
28:00
something, our 200-page report for
28:02
about every single charge that
28:05
cyber ninjas made to disprove them. And
28:07
I feel like that experience in 20
28:09
feels like it runs deep with voters
28:11
in Arizona and that, you know, people
28:13
are really on alert for, you know,
28:15
Michigan on the Republican side. The
28:18
truth shall set you free and really good work speaks
28:20
for itself at the end of the day. And
28:22
this is what is important about election administration in
28:24
Arizona. We've been doing it really well for a
28:26
very long time. And if you
28:28
come at us with lies and misinformation and
28:31
conspiracy theories, you're going to get exposed for
28:33
the liar that you are. You're never going
28:35
to win a court case. You're never going
28:37
to win a legitimate challenge because we have
28:39
professionals in all these democratic institutions, in the
28:41
courts, in the election offices, in all of
28:44
our procurement offices. And history will show what
28:46
it has up to this point and will
28:48
continue to show. Arizona's
28:50
elections are not only safe, secure, accountable
28:52
and free. They
28:54
can hold up to the highest levels of scrutiny.
28:56
And so as the chief election officer
28:58
in the Grand Canyon State, I could not be more
29:01
proud, not only of the work that we've done, but
29:03
the work that we are doing right now. And oh,
29:05
by the way, we had a
29:07
statewide election on Tuesday, the 19th of March.
29:10
And what'd you hear about it? Nothing.
29:12
You know why? Because we run great
29:14
elections and the complainers are just going
29:16
to complain when it achieves a political
29:19
end for them and a
29:21
moneymaking end for them. And that's
29:23
their motivation for casting aspersions on our election
29:25
system. So I want to make sure your
29:27
folks understand when you hear the complaints, when
29:30
you hear the conspiracy theories, when you hear
29:32
all this nonsense, understand what the motive of
29:34
the complainers is. They want to make money
29:37
and they want to steal political power. Don't
29:39
fall for it. Yeah. And
29:41
by the way, I think it's
29:43
really important to point out, which
29:46
you just did very eloquently, that
29:48
frankly, the only time people
29:51
complain about how an election
29:53
is run is when
29:55
they've lost. And there's
29:57
a reason for that. And the irony of it is that we're is
30:01
always that all these members of
30:03
Congress that have
30:05
done an incredibly irresponsible
30:07
and unpatriotic thing, which is to
30:10
buy into the big lie, somehow
30:12
the election was
30:14
not fair and free in 2020. They
30:17
all got elected in the same election. They
30:20
were all on the ballot. Many
30:22
of them were on the same ballot
30:25
that they're complaining about. So it
30:27
is, Trump should tell everyone
30:29
all they need to know about
30:31
why Trump devised the big lie
30:33
ahead of the election, why he
30:35
planned the big lie months ahead,
30:37
started talking about the big lie,
30:40
why he continues to lie. And now
30:42
he's doing it again for this cycle.
30:45
He is saying the same thing
30:47
now that he said four years
30:49
ago, which is if I don't
30:51
win, then somebody cheated because I
30:53
can't lose. That is
30:56
the total position of
30:58
a loser. I mean, with a
31:00
big L on his forehead. Well, you know, the
31:02
funny thing about that, I tracked with Donald Trump.
31:05
We both won in 16. We both lost in
31:07
20. Here's the big difference. In
31:09
2020, when Stephen Richard, the new county
31:11
recorder, took my spot, I invited him
31:13
in. I had a tour
31:15
with him and I introduced
31:17
him to the staff and we went through and
31:20
looked at all the systems. And so regardless of
31:22
the way he campaigned against me, regardless
31:24
of the fact that he won, I welcomed
31:26
him in because that's how you America
31:29
when it comes to these elected offices, you
31:31
are supposed to peacefully transfer the power because
31:33
the power doesn't belong to the individual, it
31:35
belongs to the people and disrespecting
31:37
the American people and disrespecting
31:40
the American voters. The
31:42
way some of these folks have really,
31:45
really is telling. And I think that's what
31:47
we need to stand on is that dignity
31:49
that we owe to the folks that put
31:52
us in these spots. Listen,
31:54
we were thrilled to have you today and we hope
31:56
that you will come back, especially if
31:58
you see anything going on. on out there
32:00
in terms of these deep fakes in the lead
32:02
up to the election. We'd love you to give
32:05
us a shout so we can
32:07
continue to sound a warning bell that
32:09
people need to pay attention, that what
32:11
they may be seeing may not be real. Thank
32:13
you for taking the time today to go over this
32:16
with us. We were really thrilled to have you. Well,
32:18
Claire, great to meet you. Thank you so much for
32:20
your prior service and what you're doing now. And Jen,
32:22
always good to see you again. Yeah, it's great to
32:24
see you. Thank you so much. We're going
32:26
to take a quick break. But when we're back,
32:29
RFJ Jr. has picked up the ball as the
32:31
third party spoiler. He picked up that ball and
32:33
was running with it back in a moment. When
32:41
booking with other vacation rental labs, it
32:43
sounds like this. This
32:46
place doesn't look like the pictures. Come on. The
32:48
doors are on back. Is
32:52
there a door behind all those spiders? It's
32:58
time to try one that sounds more like a
33:00
vacation. Look
33:03
at how many spiders there aren't. Where
33:05
should we lie down for eight consecutive hours
33:07
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Get one month free when you
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sign up at greenlight.com/podcast. Welcome
33:44
back. We just spent some time on
33:46
concerns over using generative AI to spread
33:48
misinformation. There is another cautionary
33:50
tale we want to dig in today and this
33:52
one is very real. We want
33:54
to put the spotlight today briefly on
33:57
RFK Jr. He is in
33:59
this race. And his
34:01
presence is very frustrating to not only
34:03
all the people in America that support
34:05
Joe Biden, but I think it's very
34:08
frustrating to his family. And
34:10
it really has the potential to
34:12
hand this election to Donald J. Trump.
34:14
If you listened last week, you'll
34:17
remember we talked about the former Trump voters
34:19
who have soured on him and looking for
34:21
a new outsider. Some people
34:23
think RFK is it, but it's
34:26
not just Republicans, it's Democrats too. And
34:28
you see this a lot in California,
34:30
I see it reflected in polling in
34:33
California, I see it anecdotally in California.
34:35
He's a big anti-vaxxer, there's been an
34:37
element of that in the Democratic Party
34:39
prior to COVID. And he
34:41
has appeal on what he's talking
34:43
about with some Democrats, as well
34:45
as just sort of the name
34:47
and just this notion as an
34:49
outsider. So RFK's family,
34:51
he is Bobby Kennedy's son. He
34:53
is that. The
34:56
family has, I think, just
34:58
about everyone. There might be
35:00
one cousin who's helping RFK,
35:02
but otherwise they have all rallied
35:04
around Biden. They did this
35:07
photo at the White House on St. Patrick's
35:09
Day with dozens of them to show support
35:11
for Biden. By the way, the Democratic Party
35:13
has started a little war room about third
35:15
party candidates and to help define RFK Jr.
35:17
and they have put Liz Smith in charge
35:20
of this. And let me tell you what,
35:22
have you ever dealt with her, Claire? She
35:24
is a killer. She worked in
35:26
my 2006 Senate campaign. She
35:29
is a killer. RFK will rue the day that
35:31
Liz Smith got assigned to go in after him.
35:33
But anyway, let's talk a little bit about what
35:35
he's actually for. Yeah, well, first,
35:37
I think the family members, if I
35:39
were in the room, I think one
35:41
thing we need to spotlight is how
35:43
powerful the family is collectively against Robert
35:46
F. Kennedy Jr. And
35:48
them going to the White House this early
35:50
signals that they are willing to do things
35:53
to be helpful. I will tell you, I
35:55
don't care what RFK Jr. does
35:57
or says if Caroline Kennedy goes
36:00
a camera that is a
36:02
very, very powerful voice. She
36:05
is seared into people's
36:07
brains as the legacy
36:09
of the Kennedy family in many ways. Not
36:12
that there aren't other family members that are
36:14
amazing, but she really is an amazing woman.
36:17
And I think if she speaks out, and
36:19
her son is really something too. I worked
36:21
with him on the Profiles
36:23
in Courage Award at the Kennedy Library
36:25
and had an opportunity to spend some
36:27
time with him. I think they will
36:30
get involved. I hope they'll get involved and I think
36:32
that'll make a big difference. You
36:34
know, he is wacky. His
36:36
claim to fame has been
36:38
fighting vaccines and erroneously
36:40
stating that there's some
36:42
science that vaccines cause
36:45
autism. And he's said other
36:47
crazy wacky things that
36:49
are not healthy for our country
36:51
or respectful of science. And
36:53
I feel like that he is a
36:56
spoiler. I looked
36:58
at all the polls. And frankly, if you
37:00
look at the polling, when you do
37:02
head to head with Biden and Trump,
37:04
and then you add in Kennedy and
37:06
Stein and West, in those polls, you
37:08
see actually him taking a few more
37:10
points, one or two more points from
37:13
Biden than Trump. And they've got to
37:15
flip that. They've got to make sure
37:17
that if he's in the race in
37:19
some of these states, that he takes
37:21
more votes from Trump than he takes
37:23
from Biden. And obviously, we've got to also
37:25
worry about Cornel West and Stein.
37:27
They are also dangerous in
37:30
these swing states where it's going to be
37:32
really, really razor close. And, you know, abortion
37:35
for Democratic voters, abortion will be a
37:37
vulnerability for him. He had said that
37:41
he supported a national abortion ban. He
37:43
tries to go back on that. So
37:46
that is for the Democratic voters, that's
37:48
a vulnerability for him. But,
37:50
you know, he's polling at like 14, 15% right now.
37:54
So no one's tried to define him right
37:56
now. He's an empty vessel. And if you
37:58
say like I don't like either. choice, you
38:00
can say you're for him and it sounds like
38:02
a good option. I think the Democrats
38:04
will have to define him and then
38:07
there's just gonna have to be eight months of messaging about
38:09
a vote for him as a vote for Trump. And I,
38:11
you know, so if you can like shrink this down to
38:13
single digits from 14% to, you know, five or three
38:17
percent, great, but five or three
38:19
percent is a lot in
38:21
these battlegrounds. So this is a
38:23
very big threat. Yeah, and currently
38:25
he's on the ballot in a
38:27
couple of states that really matter,
38:29
Nevada and New Hampshire. Those are
38:32
two states that the team at the DNC
38:34
needs to focus on. At this point, there
38:37
is a group that's supporting him
38:39
that's trying to get ballot access
38:41
and they are trying to prioritize
38:43
another few states that are very
38:45
important. That would be Arizona, Georgia
38:47
and Michigan. Those are
38:49
the states where they could really have
38:51
a huge impact on what happens here
38:54
and really throw this country
38:56
into a constitutional crisis if
38:59
in fact the election had to go to
39:01
the House of Representatives. And you know, by
39:03
the way, before we leave this topic and
39:05
get on the basketball track here for the
39:08
rest of the weekend, yay! I think his
39:10
selection of vice president is gonna tell a
39:12
lot about who this guy is. The idea
39:14
that Aaron Rogers, you know, whether they get
39:16
a microdose in a black cave somewhere, I
39:19
don't know. You know, is this gonna be the party
39:21
that brings you LSD and cold
39:24
plunges? I don't know what the hell
39:27
that is. You know, and Jesse Ventura
39:29
once again. And then now they're
39:31
talking about a woman that literally
39:33
has zero experience
39:35
who funded his Super Bowl
39:38
ad, who has a lot of
39:40
money. She was married to one of the founders
39:42
of Google. I don't have anything against this woman.
39:44
I'm sure she's perfectly smart. I know she's a
39:46
lawyer. I don't mean to diss her because she
39:48
is a young woman. But I don't
39:50
think she fully comprehends the meat
39:53
grinder she is stepping into. And
39:56
when you step into a meat grinder
39:58
like this with no experience, is with
40:00
a meat grinder, it gets ugly. And
40:02
I have a feeling this could get
40:04
really ugly. Yeah, and it
40:06
seems like it's light. I don't know who knows, but
40:09
he's going to announce his running
40:11
mate in Oakland and that's where she's from. She
40:13
can finance him though. So it is
40:15
like, this is a for real deal,
40:17
people. This is like four alarm fire.
40:19
Got to pay attention. I think we
40:21
should close with this tells you what
40:23
you need to know about RFK Jr.
40:25
When he was asked about the in
40:27
vitro fertilization issue coming out of Alabama,
40:30
let me tell you his quote, I
40:32
don't know, you tell me what
40:35
should I be doing? Not
40:37
exactly a quote that you let
40:40
us start a presidential campaign with.
40:45
Thanks so much for listening. As
40:47
always, if you have a question for
40:49
us, you can send it to how
40:51
to win questions at NBC uni.com. You
40:54
can also leave us a voicemail at
40:56
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41:00
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41:02
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41:09
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41:13
notes to sign up. This show
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is produced by Vicki Vergolina with
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production support from C. O'Mara Germain.
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Catherine Anderson and Bob Mallory are
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41:24
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41:29
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41:34
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41:36
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