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If you scroll down the page for this edition, you'll find
1:35
a reading list to go with it. I hope
1:37
you enjoy the programme. Nicolas
1:40
de Condorcet is known as the last
1:42
of the philosophical, the intellectuals in the
1:44
French Enlightenment who sought to apply their
1:46
learning to solving the problems of their
1:48
time. Born in 1743, he
1:52
became a passionate believer in the
1:54
progress of society, an advocate
1:56
for equal rights for women and
1:58
the abolition of the slave trade. The and
2:00
a representative government. The
2:03
French Revolution give him a chance to
2:05
advances ideas and wallets. Tara brought his
2:07
life to an end and seventy nine
2:09
divorce. His wife said that a good
2:11
sheets and sure does influence into the
2:13
next century and beyond with me to
2:16
discuss the Marty to com door say
2:18
ah John Hopkins senior teachers associated in
2:20
the Department of Politics and International Studies
2:22
in the University of Cambridge and seller
2:24
so in college Richard what more? Professor
2:26
of Modern History at the University of
2:29
St Andrews and Co Director of the
2:31
St Andrews Institute of Intellectual. History and
2:33
read so how Muslims Professor
2:35
of intellectual history it's at
2:37
Newcastle University Ritual: What was
2:40
condesa? childlike says. Is touted was
2:42
insisting he was born in September
2:44
seventeen, forty three and take a
2:46
day in Northern France and his
2:48
father was in the military but
2:50
his father died when on to
2:52
say was very young and his
2:54
mother perhaps understandably became by protective
2:56
of him and this involved her
2:58
and devoted dedicating him to the
3:00
virgin and insisting that he wore
3:02
a scarce and pitiful and ten
3:04
he was eight years old so
3:06
he had quite a protected childhood
3:08
and to begin with he said
3:10
educated. At a jesuit college in
3:12
stance on in France that with
3:15
needs he is time wait student
3:17
india the jesuit so religion to
3:19
him I don't think in this
3:21
some sense that that contributed to
3:23
his opposition t some of those
3:25
religious ideas they to in his
3:27
life and then he made send
3:29
their the late seventeenth fifties t
3:31
the college than of our and
3:33
parents and it's their that his
3:35
abilities a mathematician were picked south
3:38
Penn and recognized and know I
3:40
guess and establishing. Himself in Paris
3:42
in that landed Wow that.
3:45
This is paired marked on by
3:47
an extraordinary outburst of learning of
3:49
shares. Learning to be fine by
3:51
the encyclopedia deserves encyclopedia that was
3:53
a big part of it. What
3:55
was that? and how does your
3:57
lead to com Doesn't. Seem.
3:59
Like it. The is a very interesting
4:01
was because he say I'd been
4:03
zero with was fundamental and he
4:06
was initially asked teeth produce kind
4:08
of French fast said of an
4:10
English encyclopedia at the time the
4:12
chamber's sites a Pdf which it
4:14
appeared in the twenties, but the
4:16
the Friends on six up a
4:18
D ended up being a much
4:21
more ambitious was than that initial
4:23
an encyclopedia or Or or dixon
4:25
rates resulting in seventeen volumes of
4:27
texts and levin volumes of pictures
4:29
seventy two thousand. And trees and
4:31
really is a collection of the
4:33
state of knowledge at the time
4:36
and and particularly of knowledge that
4:38
would be useful. So one of
4:40
the interesting things about the On
4:42
Six Up A D is it
4:44
is about arts and sciences, but
4:46
it's also about patch plots if
4:48
you like same people who were
4:50
tradesman at the time producing things,
4:52
manufacturers, their procedures, the way in
4:55
which they did things. We've also
4:57
absolutely sent for them with set
4:59
out in. The dictionary alongside what
5:01
we might seem covers more current of
5:03
Pyo, abstract science and philosophy light so
5:05
it's an important walk from that point
5:08
of view. Would have gone
5:10
door so contribute to that. If anything I'm
5:12
I'm he. Did. So he was associated with
5:14
as a coach on down there who
5:16
alongside C Drive with involved that the
5:18
kind of foundation as the On Six
5:20
Oh Buddy and Seven Seventy Seven Seas
5:22
com to say contributed are a number
5:24
of articles on mathematics to the supplement
5:26
to the On Six. Ah pity. But
5:28
I think in some ways what's more
5:30
interesting is what. The. on six
5:33
of beauty contributed to condo say
5:35
because i think there's a real
5:37
connection that so it a bounce
5:39
it's about advancing knowledge see you
5:41
put all that noise together when
5:43
that provides a foundation for advancing
5:45
knowledge in the future but it's
5:47
also very much about the dissemination
5:49
of knowledge and that notion of
5:51
disseminating knowledge is fundamentals the enlightenment
5:53
but it's also particularly important to
5:55
condo size and also in that
5:57
know sniffing see about kind of
5:59
manufacturers and things like that, as well as
6:01
what we might think of as scientists. There's
6:04
a notion of practical knowledge,
6:06
of knowledge being practical and useful and
6:09
having a kind of value in the
6:11
world. And I think those three things,
6:13
the advancement of knowledge, the dissemination of
6:15
knowledge, and the practical application of knowledge,
6:18
really inform what Condor Sayo is about
6:20
in his later life. Thank you.
6:23
Tom Hopkins, he became an extremely distinguished
6:25
mathematician. Some people threw the word genius
6:27
around. What do you make of it?
6:30
Yes, it was quite controversial for his
6:33
family that he decided to pursue mathematics
6:35
professionally. It was a business, actually. Indeed.
6:37
They wanted him to be a soldier
6:39
like his father. And
6:41
so when he comes back from the College de
6:43
Nava, the expectation is that he's
6:45
going to return home for good, going to
6:47
the army and pursue a career in that
6:49
direction. Instead, he spends the year
6:52
1762 to three writing a couple of papers
6:56
that he then returns to Paris
6:58
to present, firstly to Jean Dalmbert,
7:01
who we've heard about already, and
7:03
another prominent mathematician, Jean-Louis Legrand.
7:07
And what these papers deal
7:09
with are two very important problems that
7:11
are being tackled by many mathematicians across
7:13
Europe at that point. Firstly,
7:16
he's interested in integral calculus.
7:18
Secondly, he's interested in what's called the
7:20
three-body problem, which in
7:22
Newtonian physics deals with the motion
7:25
of bodies that are simultaneously
7:28
attracted to each other. He
7:30
used mathematics in all sorts of ways, didn't he?
7:33
I mean, he used it to talk about society,
7:35
who contained different ways of society. Can you give
7:37
us the first ways
7:39
in which he decided that the knowledge
7:41
he'd gained and the methods he'd gained
7:44
from studying mathematics at the level of
7:46
history would be useful in reshaping what
7:48
he wanted to do with society? The
7:52
key moment is in 1772, when
7:56
he becomes particularly interested in problems
7:58
of probability. No. He
8:01
has recently met the important
8:03
French philosopher and public servants.
8:06
To Go and to Go
8:08
is interested in problems by
8:10
public administration is also at
8:12
that time and point closely
8:14
connected the Voltaire and Voltaire.
8:17
His interested in particularly in
8:19
questions of injustice and problems
8:21
of evidence in ad cold
8:23
cases. So there's a number
8:25
of scandals around Air France.
8:28
Judicial decisions that com the
8:30
say is. Particularly concerned with
8:32
particularly the trial. And. Execution
8:34
of this value to the
8:37
bar and something sixty six
8:39
which he saw as a
8:42
major injustice sparked by prejudice,
8:44
bigotry and fools. Justice Now
8:46
Voltaire. Was. Interested in the
8:49
ways in which standards of
8:51
evidence could be improved through
8:53
the use of probability theory
8:55
and Condo Say agrees with
8:57
him that there is a
8:59
serious need reform. He doesn't
9:01
think Voltaire has the mathematical
9:03
skills necessary to deliver and
9:05
so he sets himself the
9:07
task of showing how improvements
9:09
and probability theory could give
9:11
a secure standard of proof.
9:13
In judicial trials this is
9:15
are useful to reasons. Firstly,
9:17
For pursuing this, thoughts about
9:20
how do you estimate the
9:22
use of particular kinds of
9:24
proof in judicial trials. Secondly,
9:27
has important implications. Fool. Think
9:29
about induction in natural science
9:31
at how could you reason
9:34
back from an effect to
9:36
it's causes Thinking about the
9:38
probable value of a hypothesis
9:41
Ah, so called assays Worth
9:43
in this area has quite
9:45
significant implications for a range.
9:48
of matters both scientific and social
9:50
and it does get notice he's
9:53
made her you and member of
9:55
the academy of sciences already in
9:57
at seventeen sixty nine but by
10:00
1781 he's been appointed to the
10:02
French Academy, largely under the
10:04
Passion of d'Alandbert, but this is
10:06
a major sign that
10:09
he's held in high esteem. Thank
10:11
you Richard, what more? Richard, we
10:13
hindsight, we know the revolution wasn't
10:16
far off, but Condar Seis
10:18
wasn't a revolutionary at the time that
10:20
we've been talking about. What was he?
10:23
He was definitely in these years 1770s, 1780s
10:27
the antithesis of the Republican revolutionary
10:29
he was to become, and it's
10:33
also worth saying that in a
10:35
sense he has an anti-politics because
10:37
he sees around him like Turgot,
10:41
like d'Alandbert, like Voltaire, he
10:43
sees a corrupt French court, he
10:46
sees a corrupt church, he
10:49
sees selfishness and Machiavellianism all
10:51
around him, and
10:53
he thinks that he can
10:55
define the public good for
10:58
everybody, remove
11:00
all political contestation, and
11:03
pass laws that ensure
11:05
that people adhere to this public
11:08
good. So it's
11:10
a vision of the public good
11:12
shared by a community and
11:15
the claim which Condar
11:17
Seis expresses and all of these
11:19
figures do, and obviously they're philosoph
11:22
but they're also associated with the
11:24
physiocratic movement, the reform movement in
11:26
France which is very influential
11:28
in these years. I suppose on land.
11:31
It's based on the reform of land
11:33
but the main consequence is really going
11:35
to be the restoration of French fortunes.
11:37
You know the perception is that the
11:40
world is unnatural because France is not
11:42
as great as it ought to be,
11:45
that an odd state called Britain
11:47
has risen, it's an unnatural
11:49
state and it shouldn't be as
11:51
powerful as it is, and they think it's
11:54
the fault of the French and they want to
11:56
do something about it and doing something about it
11:58
is passing laws. systematically to
12:00
guide French people towards the
12:03
common good and they think
12:05
French greatness will follow. So
12:07
there's quite a lot of
12:09
national pride associated with the
12:11
anti-politics that he's expressing in
12:13
these years. He wasn't
12:15
the first Montesquieu had looked at Britain
12:17
as an example before him. Well Montesquieu
12:20
in The Spirit of the Laws in
12:22
1748, especially in the 11th book, said
12:27
that Britain was the most free
12:29
state in history and also that
12:31
it was a republic hiding beneath the form
12:33
of a monarchy. Now
12:36
the presumption is that Montesquieu is therefore
12:38
praising Britain but actually it's the opposite.
12:40
It's too free. It's
12:42
a state that France cannot model itself
12:45
on and the message really
12:47
is that states as free
12:49
as Britain with as much liberty
12:51
as Britain are likely to turn
12:53
fanatic and they must not be
12:55
followed as a political model. And
12:58
that's certainly what Condorsay thinks
13:01
and in a sense he's following Montesquieu
13:04
but the physiocrats and Turgot,
13:06
they all think that Britain's
13:08
risen unnaturally. It's got a
13:10
corrupt economy. It's got
13:12
an odd political system where the
13:14
common good is not followed and
13:16
therefore you really need to avoid
13:18
Britain as a model. And that
13:20
is something that is a view
13:22
that he adheres to to
13:24
his dying day. And
13:26
does it just brush aside the fact that it
13:29
seems to be rather successful? The
13:32
irony is that they don't think Britain's
13:34
successful at all. They think that it's
13:36
risen because of trade. The
13:39
trade that it pursues is associated
13:41
with an enormous national debt. It's
13:44
associated with the pursuit of war and
13:46
corrupt forms of empire and it must
13:49
fail. It's also the prediction of Voltaire
13:51
after the Seven Years' War. He thinks
13:53
Britain's in decline and it seems to
13:55
Be coming to pass with the
13:58
American Revolution and the... Relative
14:00
well: The defeat of Britain in
14:02
war When Britain is finally defeated
14:04
in war by France by the
14:07
American Colonies, it seems the all
14:09
the predictions of the filler south
14:11
of the seventeen Sixty Seventy Six
14:13
these are coming true and a
14:16
more natural world will emerge, guided
14:18
by law and science, exposed by
14:20
the philosophical defining the common good
14:22
which is better for the entirety
14:24
of humanity and of it's a
14:27
good thing if the Free State
14:29
of Britain collapses. Mitchell resumes
14:31
the "let's turn now to do"
14:33
when he married, says it a
14:35
Gucci, who now who was she
14:38
and and would diversity make to.
14:41
So. Says it agreed see is in her
14:43
life she becomes a philosopher in have I
14:45
Write. This even us for Monday through
14:47
translation of Adam Smith's and. So
14:49
he says he says nine Sahara
14:52
tent size and of necessary of
14:54
moral sentiments. And but I think
14:56
what's interesting about that watches that
14:58
she does. She can't Sites Smith's
15:00
taxed and as know it's It's
15:02
highly unusual of women to translate
15:04
works at that time. The is
15:07
an area that. Women do appear
15:09
in the. What's interesting about Secede
15:11
Great see is the as well
15:13
as translating the theory of my
15:15
sentiments she bites her writing letters
15:17
on sympathy with see A pens
15:19
t that what Say she's ten
15:21
citing him, she's making his ideas
15:23
accessible, but she's also critiquing him
15:25
while. He sees them ours
15:27
is an exempt from remind people
15:29
she reminds us his mind that
15:32
isn't totally equal terms and is
15:34
he has of of seizures and
15:36
zones of. Absolutely says not long
15:38
after the marriage can do with say
15:40
like to work on the yeah the
15:43
admission of women to the rights of
15:45
the city in which he basically all
15:47
keys for political rights for women and
15:50
bloated as he put forward are incredibly
15:52
powerful. So his basic premise is people
15:54
have invites advice on the fact that
15:57
human thanks arrest. New Places. When.
16:00
are rational creatures, just like men
16:02
are, and therefore women should also
16:05
have political rights. And
16:07
in response to the idea that, well, you
16:09
know, women haven't made great scientific discoveries, so
16:11
perhaps they're not as rational as men, his
16:13
response is to say, well, then
16:15
you'd have to restrict political
16:18
rights only to the men who make
16:20
great scientific discoveries. If you're going to
16:22
allow political rights for a wider proportion
16:24
of men, then you need to allow
16:26
those rights for women as well, or
16:28
you have to provide your explanation as
16:31
to, you know, what justifies excluding
16:33
them from those rights. And
16:35
at that time, that's a really strong
16:37
argument. And for that argument to be
16:39
met being made by a man, I
16:41
think is really significant. He
16:44
also he responds, he tries to
16:46
engage with what might be
16:48
the objections to rights for women.
16:51
So for example, he says, okay, well,
16:54
people might say that if you
16:56
give women political rights, then they
16:58
have influence that they shouldn't have.
17:00
But actually, he says, influence
17:02
without rights. So, so, you know, women are
17:04
going to try and exert influence anyway. And
17:06
if they're doing it without those rights, that's
17:09
more dangerous than if you give them a
17:11
voice and allow them to express their views.
17:14
He also says, well, you could argue
17:16
that the problem with giving women rights
17:18
is that it distracts from them from
17:21
tasks that they perhaps ought to be
17:23
pursuing, bringing up family or whatever. But
17:26
he says that that's not relevant in terms
17:28
of the kind of representative system of government
17:30
that he's thinking about. And he would also
17:32
want men who have to earn a living
17:34
and work to be able
17:36
to have rights. A representative system
17:38
of government makes it possible for people
17:41
to exercise their political voice to be
17:43
able to speak on political issues, but
17:45
also to be able to engage in
17:47
other activities as well, that politics doesn't
17:50
have to take up the whole of
17:52
your time and energies. Tom
17:54
Condor, I was interested in representative
17:57
government, and you could also be a rational
17:59
government. Can you about that? Yes,
18:01
so it had been a major plank
18:03
of the program of Turgot as Controller
18:06
General of Finances to begin
18:08
to introduce provincial assemblies into
18:11
France, begin building up an
18:14
element of representative government in France
18:17
in the 1770s and
18:19
Condorcet had been very interested in that. By
18:23
the time Turgot's dismissed from
18:25
the Ministry, Condorcet's interests have
18:28
drifted into subjects of political economy,
18:30
he's interested in public administration, but
18:32
that thought about representative government never
18:34
quite leaves him and
18:36
we see it emerge in his mathematical works
18:38
in the 1780s. So in 1785 he publishes
18:41
his major treaties which
18:45
is an essay on the
18:47
application of mathematical analysis to
18:50
majority decision-making, the probability of
18:52
majority decision-making and
18:55
he treats a number of problems
18:57
in that work of how
18:59
to think about rational
19:01
collective decision-making and
19:04
the reason why he says he's interested
19:06
in this is because
19:08
of a distinctive feature of modern
19:10
politics, whereas if you were
19:12
to look at ancient polities you
19:15
could very easily identify who
19:18
was exercising power and why
19:21
the assembly of a people
19:23
gathered together making democratic decisions,
19:25
there was no question whose will was
19:28
in charge of the state. In
19:30
modern politics power was always
19:33
going to be delegated, it didn't matter whether
19:35
you had a monarch appointing agents to act
19:37
for him or a people appointing representatives in
19:39
an assembly, you needed a
19:42
new way of thinking about the legitimation of
19:44
power and the only
19:46
way he could see that that would
19:48
work would be if the exercise of
19:50
power was rational. So what
19:53
he's interested in thinking about a
19:55
theory of representative government Is
19:57
in thinking about how you can secure rational.
20:00
The outcomes and he has
20:02
to say particular way to
20:04
think about this. In the
20:07
case of thinking about juries,
20:09
his confronting a problem where
20:11
the decision to be made
20:14
is either true or false.
20:17
And in thinking about this problem.
20:20
What? He thinks is significance
20:22
is that is the general
20:24
level of education of enlightenment
20:27
of those comprising Juri is
20:29
higher. The probability that they
20:32
will make the correct judgment
20:34
is higher is the absolute
20:37
majority. Of. Voters.
20:39
Boasting in the right direction
20:41
as he thinks that is
20:43
higher, the probability that they
20:45
judgment as a home be
20:47
tracked is also higher when
20:49
he turns to boasting. Things.
20:52
Get rough, more complicated
20:54
he's dealing. With. A
20:56
problem first laid out been added
20:59
some sound the Buddha in a
21:01
paper and seventeen seventy he didn't
21:03
say identified. Rather intriguing problem in
21:06
cases where voters were to rank
21:08
that preferences for different candidates A
21:10
could win more votes and be
21:12
be more votes than see and
21:15
yet see would win in a
21:17
had had contest with a com
21:19
the same worried. What he wanted
21:21
to show was that the most
21:24
sensible way to proceed A with.
21:26
This boating paradox was to seek
21:28
what's become known as condo say
21:30
winner one who would win in
21:32
a head to head contest against
21:34
any other candidate And what that
21:37
prompted him to think about his
21:39
ways of establishing to step a
21:41
three step of falstaff even me
21:43
elections that would allow you to
21:45
sift through the initial results of
21:47
a voting system to get out
21:49
now had to had contest that
21:51
would determine the fund Imf Come
21:53
thank you. Plan
21:58
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apply. mintmobile.com. Richard
23:01
Will Move would change for
23:03
Condos and his ideas when
23:06
the revolution came front. And
23:08
Seventy Two non. well, the
23:10
French Revolution is an enormous
23:12
opportunity for reforms long canvassed
23:14
to be put into practice.
23:16
At first in a sense,
23:19
nothing changes except that all
23:21
of a sudden his friends
23:23
you know people like say
23:25
as me of are both
23:27
fellow members of the Society
23:29
of Seventy Ninety Nine. they
23:32
have power and they can put
23:34
to goes program into practice it'll
23:36
change the world but it'll change
23:39
will gradually the reason it's not
23:41
necessarily a radical revolution is because
23:43
the end result is going to
23:45
be a patriotic monarchy initially the
23:48
king they think is on board
23:50
and they can go for together
23:52
with the king and the nation
23:54
rooting out machiavellian ism corruption in
23:57
the church in amongst theorists are
23:59
are So
24:01
again, France rises by
24:04
these practical measures and
24:06
the laws that they're going to pass. But
24:10
then everything changes as the revolution proceeds
24:13
because this reform project fails.
24:15
The king's not on board,
24:17
the court's not on board.
24:20
The such opposition to the
24:22
revolution not only among its
24:24
natural critics but the revolutionaries
24:27
themselves begin to disagree about
24:29
the reform projects that they've
24:31
initiated. And
24:33
the result is really revolution
24:36
after revolution debating how
24:38
do you put these rational
24:40
laws into practice. And
24:43
the solution in the end that Condorcet
24:45
focuses on is you need to have
24:47
a republic. And obviously that happens after
24:49
the flight to Varenne when the king
24:51
tries to escape. He shows that he's
24:53
completely abandoned the revolution by 1791 and
24:55
France has to become a
24:58
republic. Thank you very much, Rachel.
25:00
So we're at that, we've taken to a
25:02
particular point in the revolution. Did
25:05
this alone turn Condorcet into being a
25:07
republican? And if so, what sort of
25:09
a republican? The flight to
25:11
Varenne I think is key for him in
25:13
terms of making him realize that the constitutional
25:15
monarchy is not going to be... Well, they
25:17
run away. Well, exactly. And
25:20
they return but they're seen as having betrayed
25:22
the revolution and therefore you can't rely on
25:25
the king in order to
25:27
put in place the kind of reforms
25:29
that Condorcet and his friends want to
25:31
put in place. So that
25:33
moment is kind of key. I think when
25:35
you look at what happens after that point,
25:37
I think
25:39
it was perhaps much
25:41
easier for the kind of
25:44
things that Condorcet was wanting to institute
25:46
to be put into place under a
25:49
republican government than it might have been
25:51
under a constitutional monarchy. So he was just
25:53
looking for a way through. I'm not sure
25:55
I'd go so far to say he was looking for a way through but
25:57
I think looking at it in
25:59
hindsight... that looks like a more
26:01
natural route for him, if he's
26:03
arguing in terms of things like representative
26:05
government, in terms of people's rights, in
26:07
terms of rationality, than trying to fit
26:10
that into a constitutional monarchy. So in
26:13
terms of the kind of republic that
26:15
he's wanting to see, it
26:19
is at that point a republic
26:21
without a king. So the
26:24
arguments being put forward in terms of
26:27
the problems with the monarchy, the cost
26:29
that the monarchy incurs, the
26:32
notion that actually you can have a better kind of
26:34
system of government. But it's also,
26:36
so there's no king, but it's also very
26:39
much a representative form
26:41
of government. And one
26:44
of the things that Condor say
26:46
developed during this period of time
26:48
is a particular understanding of how
26:50
representation should work. And
26:52
it's one that sets him apart from some
26:55
of the other people who are also
26:57
arguing for republican representative government
26:59
at this time. The key distinction
27:02
for Condor say is
27:04
that you separate the
27:06
way in which you think about legislation from
27:09
the way in which you think about the
27:11
kind of constitution if you like. So
27:13
for him, representation has
27:15
to happen in terms
27:17
of legislation. So the legislation that's made, you
27:19
need a representative body that's going
27:22
to draw up those laws and put them into practice.
27:24
But when you're talking about the kind
27:27
of fundamental constitutional powers,
27:29
the kind of foundation of the system, if you like,
27:32
he feels that actually that should
27:34
not operate via representation. Whereas Siaas,
27:37
for example, would say that you
27:39
should have representation under that system
27:41
as well. But for Condor
27:43
say that system, you really
27:45
need a popular endorsement of the constitution. And
27:47
that brings in the notion of a kind
27:50
of plebiscite. So the population
27:52
as a whole will agree to the
27:54
constitution. And then once that's established, you
27:56
can have representative government operating through a
27:58
legislative representative body. Thank you very
28:00
much. Let's switch now to another area
28:03
which concerned him, Tom, Tom Hopkins, which
28:05
was a slave trade. He wanted it abolished. Yes,
28:08
he'd been interested in this question for some
28:11
time. He'd written a piece in as early
28:13
as 1780 under the
28:16
pen name Dr. Schwartz. So Dr. Black,
28:19
he was presenting himself as a Swiss
28:21
pastor concerned at the inhumanity of
28:23
the slave trade. But by 1788, we
28:25
get the foundation
28:27
of the Society of Friends of
28:30
Black Africans, which is
28:32
explicitly modeled after American
28:35
and British anti-slave trade
28:37
campaigns. And Condelser is
28:39
very, very keen that this play a
28:41
central role in what promises to
28:44
be a particularly febrile
28:46
political moment. So he takes a
28:48
lot of time in preparing
28:50
the rules for the society. What's
28:53
driving him in this interest is
28:55
that same thought about natural rights
28:58
that Rachel was exploring in relation to women
29:00
earlier. He thinks it's self-evident
29:02
that there can be no
29:05
natural basis for slavery.
29:08
If there were, then there wouldn't be
29:10
restrictions on the use
29:12
of white Europeans as
29:14
slave labor. So he
29:17
doesn't think it's at all worth getting
29:19
into an argument about whether or
29:22
not slavery is justified morally. It's
29:24
not end of story. The
29:26
real question is, how do you
29:28
go about abolishing it? And there,
29:31
what he wants to do is
29:33
demonstrate to slave owners that their
29:35
interest, their economic interest in particular,
29:38
lies in the abolition of the
29:40
trade, the improvement in the
29:42
conditions of their slaves, and
29:45
gradually their emancipation. Free
29:47
labor makes more productive labor. And this
29:49
is what's going to end the slave
29:51
trade to the West Indies as far
29:53
as he's concerned. Thank you. Richard,
29:56
if you want more, can we spend some time
29:58
on Condelser's ideas on the trade? progress.
30:01
Some of these ideas became better than
30:03
Apery's death because he wrote this sketch
30:06
about human progress. But can you just
30:08
give us a brisk summary of his
30:10
ideas on progress? The
30:12
bottom line is that he believes in
30:15
the perfectability of
30:18
the human species. And
30:20
he makes these claims
30:22
in the work that probably
30:25
becomes his most famous posthumously.
30:28
It's published in 1795, known
30:31
as the Eschys, the English translation
30:33
is the sketch for a historical
30:35
picture of the progress of the
30:37
human mind. And
30:40
in a sense, it's
30:42
Condorcet's response to the
30:45
utter failure of his revolutionary
30:47
career. And
30:49
he writes it in hiding, obviously during the
30:51
period of the terror. And it
30:53
says, don't worry, humans
30:57
will find solutions to all
30:59
problems, science progresses. And
31:02
he outlines 10 stages
31:04
of human development through history.
31:07
It's a story from rudeness to
31:09
refinement. The Philosoph, of course,
31:11
play a major role in the ninth
31:14
stage. And they really set
31:16
out the plans that are
31:18
realized in the French revolution
31:20
and then frustrated because
31:22
he says humans, so many humans
31:25
are really still children. They're
31:27
not sufficiently rational. They
31:29
need to be educated. And that
31:31
will happen in the 10th stage
31:34
when human nature itself
31:37
will change. So human
31:39
communities will ultimately be so successful
31:41
that nature itself will change. You
31:43
live longer, you'll become more rational,
31:46
and projects for education will
31:49
continue this improvement. Science, mathematics,
31:51
etc. will foster
31:53
this as well. In
31:55
a sense, arguments about
31:57
Condorcet and progress written
32:00
at a time when the French Revolution has
32:02
failed to produce a stable republic, you
32:05
could say that he
32:08
only believes in progress if
32:10
human nature itself changes. So he
32:13
doesn't believe in progress for the
32:15
present, because manifestly hasn't worked, but
32:17
he believes passionately in it for
32:19
the future. And I think it
32:21
marks the eschies, the sketch, it
32:24
marks a real shift
32:26
in Condorcet's thinking, because
32:30
as we've talked about, as
32:32
Tom and Rachel have said, Condorcet
32:34
is obsessed with reform projects, getting
32:36
everything really precise, getting the laws
32:38
right, getting the rules right. I
32:40
think as a republican, he moves
32:42
to the point of view that
32:45
you have to get the culture
32:47
right. And the eschies,
32:49
the sketch is saying you have
32:51
to get human nature right in
32:53
communities. And that means
32:56
changing the culture. Thank you. Can we
32:58
just take that on, Rachel? And to
33:01
what role did you see education
33:03
playing in this progressive
33:05
revolution? If you think about,
33:08
well, how do you go about changing
33:10
culture? Of course, education
33:13
is absolutely crucial to
33:15
that. And in fact, one
33:18
of the things I find interesting about the
33:20
sketch is that this is the work that
33:22
he produces at this point. Which is in fact
33:24
a very, very long essay. It is a very
33:26
long essay. It's supposed to be a kind of plan
33:29
for a future work that he never manages to
33:31
produce. But as a sketch, it's actually quite
33:34
long in its own right. But people
33:36
had thought about the
33:38
sort of stages of civilization before,
33:40
but often those had been based
33:42
around economic foundations, if you like.
33:44
So moves from a kind
33:46
of pastoral society to an agricultural
33:49
society, to feudalism or whatever. And
33:52
there's an element of that in what Condor say
33:54
is saying. But what I think is really interesting
33:57
about the way he presents that kind
33:59
of work is that he's of development there
34:02
is that knowledge, the
34:04
development of knowledge, the spread
34:07
of knowledge is absolutely key to
34:09
the story. So for example, he
34:12
picks up on the invention of
34:14
the alphabet and the invention of
34:16
printing as fundamental moments that really
34:18
bring about a kind of sea
34:21
change because they allow for that spread,
34:23
for that communication of knowledge. And this
34:25
for him is absolutely key. The
34:28
other thing that I think is interesting is that it's not, although
34:31
he is presenting a view of progress
34:33
here, it's not the sense that everything's
34:35
just always going in the, you know,
34:37
in the right direction from his point
34:39
of view. And of course, that's kind
34:41
of obvious given the circumstances under which
34:43
he's writing this work. So
34:46
there is a sense of, there are periods
34:48
of the stagnation of knowledge, there are periods
34:50
of ignorance and decline through
34:53
the kind of history that he
34:55
traces. And so again, I
34:57
think that comes back to what Richard was
34:59
saying about the kind of final stage in
35:01
the future. I think that gives a
35:04
certain degree of hope that even though the French
35:07
Revolution that what he was wanting to see had
35:09
failed, that Republican project has
35:11
failed, he's writing this in trading
35:13
because he's fallen from power. There's
35:17
still this notion that actually that's not necessarily
35:19
the end and there is still
35:21
the possibility that this will, you know, things
35:23
will improve again and there will be a
35:25
change and education,
35:28
public instruction, as he would put
35:30
it, is absolutely key to bringing that about.
35:32
But as you imagine, Heidin, he had been
35:35
a great star and
35:37
then he crossed Robespierre, just
35:40
to put it very simply, but that's what
35:42
happens isn't it Tom? And Robespierre went for
35:44
him and you take the story on from
35:47
there. Yes, so there had
35:49
been a brewing conflict within the assembly
35:52
now prebranded as the National Convention
35:55
with the beginning of the Republic and
35:58
this had pitted followers. of
36:01
prominent politician named Briso
36:03
against the left of
36:05
the Assembly, increasingly
36:07
looking to Robespierre for leadership.
36:10
And by the time
36:12
that the Journdin, as the followers
36:15
of Briso had become called,
36:17
were driven out of the Assembly by
36:19
Robespierre and the population
36:21
of Paris under the
36:23
Paris Commune, Condorcet is in
36:25
a very isolated position. He's been
36:28
trying to play both sides against
36:30
each other in a way, presenting himself as
36:33
above the political fray. Nevertheless,
36:35
no one quite believes that he's
36:38
that impartial. So he's seen as
36:40
too close to the Journdin by
36:43
the Jacques-Maine, too close to the
36:45
Jacques-Maine by the Journdin, and
36:47
this catches up with him. He's
36:49
not expelled immediately, but particularly when
36:51
he sets out to defend his
36:53
constitutional plan that he presented to
36:55
the Convention against
36:58
a new Jacquemine version of the document,
37:01
he is seen as a traitor to
37:03
the Jacquemine cause. Richard,
37:05
let's take two steps back and one
37:07
step sideways. How did
37:09
Condorcet come to be divorced and
37:11
then condemned to death in 1794? Let's
37:14
start with a divorce. Well,
37:16
the story is tragic, and
37:19
strictly speaking, he's divorced after
37:21
death because one of the
37:23
tragic elements is Sophie
37:26
Grusche is not aware that he
37:28
is in fact dead, and
37:31
that is because after
37:33
an arrest warrant is
37:35
issued for him, he goes into hiding
37:37
and he's worried about
37:42
the safety of the people that he's lodging
37:44
with, and he stays
37:46
in hiding from July 1793 to
37:49
March 1794, and then he's arrested. Now,
37:53
during this time, from the period
37:55
that an arrest warrant is issued
37:57
for his person, really
38:00
declared an Emmy Grey.
38:03
It's the case that when the
38:05
revolutionary authorities are searching for you,
38:07
you lose your property, it can
38:10
be sold, and that
38:12
is an utter
38:14
crisis for his wife
38:17
and their daughter. And
38:19
Sophie is desperate. She
38:23
knows that reform laws have
38:25
been passed in September 1792,
38:27
which allowed divorce for the
38:29
first time. It's possible
38:31
to get a divorce on
38:34
the grounds that you disagree with an
38:36
Emmy Grey. You're not an Emmy
38:38
Grey. You're not an enemy of the revolution
38:40
yourself. So she actually,
38:42
in order to survive, because she
38:44
is destitute and the Condorcet's property
38:46
is being sold, she
38:48
sets up a lingerie shop in
38:51
Paris, and she paints
38:53
portraits of revolutionary figures, some
38:55
of whom are destined very
38:57
soon for the guillotine. So
39:00
that's how she survives, but she's so desperate that
39:02
she institutes proceedings for
39:05
a divorce, and that
39:07
doesn't actually occur until May 1794,
39:11
by which time he's already dead. But
39:14
she doesn't know that he's
39:16
dead, because when he's arrested,
39:18
he's operating under a
39:20
pseudonym. He calls himself Pierre
39:22
Simon. He's pretending to
39:25
be an unemployed servant, traveling
39:27
around looking for work. But
39:29
the revolutionary committee that watches
39:31
people moving around, they see
39:33
that he has a silver
39:35
stick, a silver watch, and
39:38
he's carrying a book in Latin
39:41
by Horace. They know he's an
39:43
aristocrat. He's arrested, not as
39:45
Condorcet, but as Pierre
39:47
Simon, and by the end
39:49
of March, within two days of his
39:51
arrest, he's dead. We don't know whether
39:53
it's natural causes, we don't know whether
39:55
it's suicide, we don't know whether it's
39:58
murder. But Condorcet, at
40:00
the age of 50 is dead. Rachel,
40:04
he became known as the lust of the
40:06
philosophical. Was he? I see
40:08
him as a kind of pivot
40:10
if you like. So he does
40:12
absolutely as we've explored. He embodies
40:14
the principles of the enlightenment in
40:16
terms of advancing knowledge,
40:18
disseminating knowledge, putting knowledge to
40:21
use. But he's also
40:23
paving the way for things that
40:25
follow partly in terms of the
40:27
development of what we might see
40:29
as the beginnings of social sciences in the 19th century, and
40:33
particularly that notion of applying ways
40:35
of operating, mathematical principles, those sorts
40:37
of things to think about how to make
40:40
the world a better place. So to think about
40:42
moral and political questions. He's also,
40:44
of course, somebody, I mean, some of the things that we've
40:46
touched on today sound very
40:48
modern to us. His notion
40:51
of political rights for women,
40:53
his take on slavery, and
40:55
also some of the things
40:57
he has to say in the sketch
41:00
about the way in which European nations
41:02
have treated other countries around the world.
41:04
These things sound incredibly positive. So I
41:06
think he builds directly into some
41:08
of the things that happen in the 19th
41:10
century. But also I think he prefigures ideas
41:12
that we would still see as important
41:15
and in some ways, perhaps progressive today.
41:17
Thank you for coming to the end. But,
41:20
Tom, how did
41:23
Condors' ideas influence the
41:25
social sciences for the
41:27
next few decades, the next century? I
41:29
think there's two main directions. Firstly, starting
41:32
from the sketch, you get a lot
41:34
of interest in his philosophy of history
41:36
and the ways he thinks about progress.
41:39
So particularly the founders of
41:41
sociology, Henri Saint-Simon, Nogustgont, the
41:43
great admirers of his. They
41:45
were skeptical about his extreme anti-clericalism,
41:48
but they build very much on what he
41:51
had to say about progress. The other direction
41:53
is the mathematics. There isn't very
41:55
much direct interest in what he was saying
41:57
in the 19th century. There's certainly a tradition.
42:00
of expanding on this idea of
42:03
social mathematics in various directions. But the
42:05
Condorcet voting paradox is largely
42:07
forgotten until the 1950s, when
42:10
it's rediscovered by economists like Kenneth
42:12
Arrow, who make it one of
42:14
the foundation stones of modern social
42:16
choice theory. Thank you
42:18
very much. Finally, Briskley, what impact do you think he's
42:21
had on the whole, starting with you? What
42:23
seems to me to be particularly interesting
42:25
about Condorcet is that he's
42:27
wanting a form of government
42:30
that allows people to exercise their political
42:32
rights, to voice
42:34
those rights. But he's also
42:36
aware that although he's operating on
42:38
the idea that human beings are
42:41
rational, he recognises that people don't
42:43
always act rationally all of the
42:45
time. And it seems to
42:47
me that that question of producing
42:50
government that is rational,
42:52
that is in the interests of the public, and
42:54
at the same time having a kind of
42:56
democratic system, is an issue
42:58
that we still grapple with today. And
43:00
I think that makes his ideas important
43:02
and interesting. Tom Hopkins. I
43:05
think where he has
43:08
left a lasting legacy is
43:10
in this commitment to the
43:12
expansion of the range of tools
43:15
available to the social sciences. Without
43:18
him, I think it's very hard to
43:20
imagine mathematics being quite
43:23
as firmly on the agenda for political theorists
43:25
as it has subsequently
43:27
become. Richard, Richard Womol,
43:29
last word for you. I
43:32
think slightly differently that
43:34
he lives through the end of
43:36
enlightenment, the French revolution fails, and
43:39
the real challenge is how, is still
43:42
the old challenge, how to put the
43:44
French revolution into practice, how to put
43:46
reform into practice. He
43:48
imagines a world without a
43:51
sinner or a saint, where
43:53
everybody is part of this
43:56
very strong, ultimately republican community,
43:58
it's very homogeneous. It's
44:00
very rational. He
44:02
doesn't manage to make a reality of
44:04
it, nor have we. Thank
44:07
you very much. Thanks to Rachel
44:09
Hammersby, Tom Hopkins and Richard Wattmore,
44:11
and to our studio engineer, Andrew
44:13
Garrett. Next week, Nefertiti,
44:15
the Egyptian queen from the 14th
44:17
century BC, and the reasons for
44:20
her fame today. Thank you for
44:22
listening. And
44:24
the In Our Time podcast gets some extra
44:26
time now, with a few minutes of bonus
44:28
material from Melvin and his guests. What
44:31
didn't you say that you'd like to have said? I
44:33
guess one of the things that perhaps didn't
44:35
come out in the conversations that we were talking about,
44:38
well, there are two things. And both
44:40
around that period of the beginning of
44:42
republicanism in the French Revolution, so not
44:44
quite the beginning of the French Revolution,
44:46
but the early 1790s. One
44:49
is that I think another important model
44:51
for Condorcet and some of the people
44:53
that he associated with was the example
44:55
of the American Revolution and the Republic
44:57
in America. And that in some ways
44:59
they were looking to that, not that
45:01
I think they recognize the differences between
45:04
America and France, but there was a
45:07
sense of that being a positive model
45:09
that they could look to and bring
45:11
some of those ideas into play in
45:13
France. The other
45:15
thing is that we talked about him
45:17
at that point with the flight to
45:20
Varen, him shifting to being a republican,
45:22
being anti the monarchy. But also, I
45:24
think it's interesting, we get a sense
45:26
of his views on precisely that question
45:29
when there are the debates around what
45:31
should be done with the former King
45:33
Louis XVI. And Condorcet and
45:37
some of the people he's associated with are
45:39
certainly in favor of establishing republican government,
45:42
but they're not in favor of killing
45:44
the king, which is of course what eventually happens.
45:47
And as part of that debate, one of the things
45:49
that Condorcet says, which I think gives a sense of
45:52
his views and his insight is that
45:54
to judge an accused king is a
45:56
duty to pardon him can
45:58
be an act. of prudence. So
46:01
there's a notion that he doesn't want the king
46:03
within the political system, but he
46:05
doesn't necessarily think that executing him is
46:08
a good step to take.
46:11
Tom, would you like to? Yes, I
46:13
think what I like to emphasise
46:15
most is the anti-clerical aspect of
46:17
his thinking, which was quite
46:19
violent. Rachel mentioned...
46:22
His education. He never got over his education. He
46:24
never got over his education, as
46:26
Rachel mentioned. But we see this coming out in all sorts
46:29
of ways. Turgot once branded him a
46:31
rabid sheep, placid most of the time,
46:34
but inflamed to violence,
46:36
particularly by thoughts of the
46:38
injustices perpetrated by the Church.
46:42
And when we turn to the sketch, we can see
46:44
that playing out in quite interesting ways. One
46:46
of the most prominent aspects of that text is
46:48
the way in which he's interested in, if
46:52
you like, a kind of sociology of error,
46:54
if he was a phrase that
46:56
Keith Baker's given to us, he's
46:59
interested where does opposition to progress
47:01
come from? And
47:03
it seems to him that it's
47:05
always coming from groups that
47:07
have delivered progress in the past,
47:10
have used the tools that they've developed
47:12
for the advancement of human
47:15
society, then to build up their own power.
47:17
So the alphabet is a good example, the
47:20
ways in which sacred languages can become
47:22
a tool for power for priesthoods, gives
47:25
them a means of controlling the lives
47:27
of others. And the
47:29
great thing about modern science as he sees it
47:31
is that by virtue of its
47:33
empiricism, by virtue of its
47:35
alliance with the printing press, that
47:38
idea of a monopoly of knowledge and
47:40
power has been broken. And
47:42
there will be no return to that kind
47:45
of clerical society in the future. Richard,
47:47
I'd agree entirely with what
47:51
Tom has just emphasized, but
47:53
I just had one thing,
47:56
which is he hates churches, but
47:58
my goodness, his old ultimate vision
48:00
of the Republic looks like a
48:02
church. And one
48:05
of his critics, critic of the
48:07
French Revolution, Bonall, said
48:10
that Condorcet's sketch
48:13
was the apocalypse of a new gospel.
48:16
And that's the way Republicans were
48:18
seen at the time. Obviously, Thomas Paine writes
48:21
The Age of Reason. Who knows whether Condorcet
48:23
would have come to similar conclusions that
48:26
actually you need a civil
48:28
religion to make a reality,
48:31
make the revolution successful. So
48:34
I think that's worth saying. The other
48:36
thing is that if you read the
48:38
sketch, he does sound, I
48:41
guess, an 18th century equivalent of a
48:44
tech entrepreneur from Silicon Valley telling
48:46
you to have faith in the
48:48
future of AI. In
48:51
other words, everything's gonna be alright
48:55
once human nature changes, whereas
48:58
actually it didn't. And
49:00
the following generation, they're
49:03
obsessed with Condorcet because he looks as
49:05
if he's the kind of person who
49:07
could have made a success of the
49:09
French Revolution. And the terrible
49:11
tragedy is that he didn't, he wasn't
49:13
trusted. So for Sophie
49:16
Grusche, for figures such as
49:19
Arthur O'Connor, who's a united
49:21
Irishman who changes his
49:24
name when he marries Eliza
49:26
Condorcet to Arthur O'Connor Condorcet,
49:29
he's responsible for the the
49:31
complete works of Condorcet in the
49:33
early 19th century. So
49:36
Condorcet kind of becomes a revolutionary,
49:38
a kind of republican poster boy,
49:40
and future revolutionaries are definitely channeling
49:43
their inner Condorcet with
49:47
a view to making a reality of
49:49
the French Revolution to
49:51
combat this failure that Condorcet
49:53
himself lived through. Anything
49:55
else? So the only other thing that I guess we
49:58
haven't touched on very much is... the notion
50:00
of public instruction because he
50:02
also wrote things about public instruction. So,
50:05
not surprisingly, he sees education as important, he sees
50:08
the spread of knowledge as absolutely key to bringing
50:10
about the kind of cultural change that he wants
50:12
to see. But
50:14
he also talks about, well, how do you go
50:16
about implementing that and what kind of system would
50:18
you have? And what he wants
50:20
is kind of state education that would
50:22
be free for people to to
50:26
access. And there's a really
50:28
close link between that and
50:31
his understanding of kind of government, representative
50:33
government, that you're providing people with the
50:35
tools and the understanding that
50:37
they need in order to participate in
50:40
society and in politics in the way
50:42
that he thinks they should be doing.
50:44
Do you think if he hadn't been
50:46
caught, if he escaped to live another
50:48
day, he would have continued to make
50:50
a difference? Can I answer that?
50:52
Yeah, go ahead. I
50:55
think the really fascinating thing would
50:57
have been how he fell out
50:59
with Bonaparte because the
51:02
attempt to make a success of the
51:04
French Revolution continues. Obviously, the
51:06
sketch becomes a manifesto for
51:08
republican reform during the Directory.
51:11
Bonaparte ruins everything.
51:15
And how Condorcet, who would
51:17
definitely have been embraced
51:20
by Bonaparte, probably
51:22
turned into a nobleman in the
51:24
same way as Séz was, how
51:26
would he have reacted? That's the
51:28
question. Sophie, of course,
51:31
she falls out with him. Initially, she's
51:33
fascinated by Bonaparte, thinks
51:36
he's a patriotic monarch in the
51:38
Republican general slash patriotic monarch. So
51:41
you can trust him to undertake
51:43
republican reform, then it all goes
51:45
wrong. Yes, well, thank you all very
51:47
much. Thank you very much. Does
51:49
anybody want tea or coffee? I know a cup of tea please.
51:54
Oh, tea. It'd be great. In
52:00
our time with Melvin Bragg is produced
52:02
by Simon Tillotson. Will
52:06
you please welcome the 2023
52:08
BBC Reath lecturer, Professor Ben
52:11
Ansell. I
52:14
don't think anybody expects to be asked
52:16
to do the Reath lectures. So it's
52:18
an enormous honour, but it's an enormous
52:20
responsibility. Hello,
52:22
I'm Anita Arndt and in this
52:24
year's BBC Radio 4 Reath lectures,
52:27
Professor Ben Ansell explores our
52:29
democratic future and what we must
52:31
do to protect it. Democracy
52:34
is our legacy from past generations
52:37
and it's an obligation of ours
52:39
to secure for future generations. It's
52:42
up to us. That's
52:44
the 2023 Reath lectures.
52:46
Listen on BBC Sounds.
52:57
Thank you.
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