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The incredible story of Narendra Modi's rise to power in India

The incredible story of Narendra Modi's rise to power in India

Released Thursday, 2nd May 2024
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The incredible story of Narendra Modi's rise to power in India

The incredible story of Narendra Modi's rise to power in India

The incredible story of Narendra Modi's rise to power in India

The incredible story of Narendra Modi's rise to power in India

Thursday, 2nd May 2024
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0:00

This podcast is brought to you

0:02

by AJ Products, made in Sweden

0:04

for the rest of the world.

0:06

Visit AJProducts.ie to see how we

0:09

can make your workplace work for

0:11

you. Since the

0:13

turn of this century, India

0:16

has been the second fastest growing

0:19

economy in the world. Indian

0:21

Prime Minister Narendra Modi is set

0:23

for an election win. He's

0:25

been in power for 10 years and

0:28

in that time India has experienced an

0:30

economic transformation and Modi has been

0:32

welcomed on the world stage. Millions

0:34

have lifted themselves

0:38

out of poverty into a

0:40

new life of possibilities.

0:42

But it's his Hindu ultra-nationalism

0:44

and his use of anti-Muslim

0:46

rhetoric that underpins his popularity.

0:48

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi

0:50

has been accused of making

0:52

Islamophobic comments during an election

0:54

rally, triggering widespread anger from

0:56

Muslims and members of the

0:58

opposition. So who is Narendra

1:00

Modi? What secrets are in

1:02

his past like the wife

1:04

he walked away from and

1:06

his links to the world's

1:08

largest far-right organisation? And

1:11

why is he so popular despite

1:13

being so hard to pin down? It's

1:16

been hard trying to get people to

1:18

talk to me openly about him. They're

1:20

worried there will be consequences. For

1:22

her podcast series, Looking for Modi, the

1:25

South Asia Bureau Chief for Australia's ABC

1:27

News, Avani Diaz, explored every aspect of

1:29

his life and career. And

1:32

she tells us how her investigation into Modi's

1:34

attempts to silence his critics has

1:36

shut her out of India. I'm going to be

1:38

honest, as a journalist in India, I'm pretty nervous

1:40

about getting into this. This is in

1:43

the news from the Irish Times. I'm

1:45

Bernice Harrison. Today, who is

1:47

Narendra Modi? Avani

1:52

Dias, welcome to the podcast. Thanks so

1:54

much for having me. Now, we've invited

1:56

you on in the news to talk

1:58

about Narendra Modi. the popular

2:01

and successful Prime Minister of

2:03

India. He's 73, vital,

2:05

charismatic, and he is in

2:08

many ways the embodiment of modern

2:10

India, but there's a dark side to

2:12

him. He's built his political

2:15

career on a philosophy of Hindu

2:17

nationalism, often at

2:19

the expense of India's large

2:22

Muslim minority and other

2:24

smaller minorities. He's been

2:26

linked to outbreaks of sectarian

2:28

violence, and his hostility

2:31

to a free questioning press has

2:33

grown over his 10 years

2:35

in power. Avani, you

2:37

are the South Asia Bureau

2:39

Chief for Australia's ABC News,

2:42

and until recently you were based in India,

2:44

in New Delhi, but you

2:46

had to leave India. Why? Yeah, it

2:49

was a strange experience. I mean, I

2:51

started in India about two and a

2:53

half years ago and I knew when

2:55

I entered the country that there were

2:57

criticisms of the Narendra Modi government, his

3:00

handling of democracy in what is supposed

3:02

to be the world's largest democracy. I

3:05

knew that there were concerns around how

3:08

the press was treated, but I didn't

3:10

really expect to be in a position

3:12

where I'm now talking to you from

3:15

Australia while their Indian election, one

3:17

of the biggest stories of the year, is

3:19

playing out over there. About a month

3:21

ago is when things really escalated. I mean,

3:23

from the very beginning, there's constant pressure.

3:28

As a journalist in India, there

3:30

are constant threats and there's definitely

3:32

a chilling effect amongst journalists, but

3:34

in the last month, things really

3:36

escalated for me. When I got

3:38

a call from a ministry official,

3:40

someone from India's equivalent of the foreign

3:43

ministry, who told me that my reporting

3:45

had, quote, crossed a line and that

3:47

my visa extension would not be renewed.

3:49

Now, every year we need to, as

3:52

journalists, foreign journalists working in India, get

3:54

a one-year extension. It's a pretty standard

3:57

process, just a bureaucratic process that we

3:59

go through. So I thought that mine would

4:01

come through as it usually does, but

4:03

I was told that that would not

4:05

be the case. Now

4:07

the day before that, a story I had

4:09

done on Sikh separatism, so this

4:12

movement to form the state of

4:14

Punjab in the north of India

4:16

into an independent nation for Sikhs,

4:19

which is a movement that has

4:21

gained traction in countries like Australia,

4:24

the US, the UK, and so on.

4:27

I was doing a story

4:29

investigating Canada's allegations that the

4:32

Indian government is orchestrating hits

4:35

on Sikh separatists. The

4:37

Narendra Modi government is being accused

4:39

of assassinating a Sikh separatist on

4:42

foreign soil. India says those

4:44

claims are absurd. It was a major story

4:46

that broke last year and we were looking

4:48

into that on the ground in Punjab. Now

4:50

a story that I had done on that was

4:53

blocked by the Indian government on YouTube and it

4:55

was taken down off social media sites. It's clear

4:57

that we're being really monitored and that there's concern

4:59

about the story that we're doing. And

5:01

that is what preceded that fall and me

5:04

being told that I wouldn't get that visa

5:06

extension. And of

5:08

course massively frustrating for you to be out of

5:10

India when the elections are going on.

5:13

Now in your podcast it's terrific. I

5:15

urge all our listeners to listen

5:17

to it. It's called Looking for Modi.

5:20

It's for ABC News. You explore

5:22

his personality and his rise to power

5:24

and the controversies that have followed him

5:26

but they haven't hindered him in

5:29

his life. Throughout it all

5:31

his popularity seems to be undimmed.

5:49

What is it about him that Indian voters

5:51

love so much? close

6:00

to Narendra Modi going to his

6:02

hometown, finding out more

6:04

about his life and through many

6:06

people that have been in his life. And

6:09

what I found, especially speaking to

6:11

ordinary Indians, is that people really

6:14

love Narendra Modi. There

6:16

is a huge popularity on the ground.

6:18

And that's because Narendra Modi has told

6:20

this story about his life as an

6:22

ordinary person, someone who can relate to

6:24

other Indians, which he compares

6:27

to the previous leaders in India,

6:29

namely the Congress Party, which is

6:32

the main opposition, which he describes

6:34

as dynasty politics, educated, rich,

6:36

English-speaking people who aren't like the

6:38

ordinary day-to-day Indians. And that's a

6:40

part of his story that has

6:42

just really resonated with voters and

6:44

something that people really relate to.

6:46

And a big part of Modi's

6:48

leadership over the last decade has

6:51

been welfare policies, saying I relate

6:53

to you as someone who grew

6:55

up in tough circumstances. I'm going

6:57

to give you a house through

6:59

the government or a toilet or

7:01

whatever other form of basic welfare

7:03

that these people need. And

7:05

that has made people feel really empowered.

7:08

And that's one element of Narendra Modi's

7:10

leadership that's made him really popular, going

7:12

into what is expected to

7:14

be a third term for him after this

7:17

election. And the other

7:19

element is his sort of appeal

7:21

to the Hindu majority, this idea

7:23

that Hindus in India, which make

7:26

up the majority of the country,

7:28

have been hard done by, especially

7:30

the Muslim empire, which came in

7:34

previous centuries, but also

7:36

other religions and sort of othering

7:39

them in order to make the

7:41

Hindu population feel safe. And

7:45

Mr. Modi said, if the opposition

7:47

congress is voted back into

7:49

power, it would distribute citizens

7:51

wealth among what he called

7:53

infiltrators. And there's

7:55

been a lot of criticism around Narendra

7:58

Modi's politics in that sense. The

8:00

to really major elements which of really appeal

8:02

to people but they didn't upon cost up

8:04

there are all that wanted to his life

8:06

that I found so fascinating and crazy. I

8:08

mean he has this wife that he was

8:11

estranged from ah when he was young he

8:13

was in put into an arranged marriage with

8:15

this woman from a village near by and

8:17

he left her when he was a teenager

8:19

to go walk around the Himalayas. so in

8:21

the podcast be good looking for her because

8:24

now she's just living a normal life. She

8:26

notices lady she's never out and about with

8:28

the range of modi and. The

8:30

some reason when that came out. In

8:32

Twenty Four Chain, it didn't damage she's reputation

8:35

at all, and it just. Shows. How

8:37

strong that narrative around Narendra Modi is?

8:40

Actually, that's a great scene and podcast where

8:42

you almost got to talk to her on

8:44

the phone, but it doesn't quite work out.

8:46

I mean, Foster likes to sleep now it's

8:48

so. Interesting. I mean you know this

8:51

woman who eat there was set up

8:53

in very traditional circumstances in good your

8:55

odd and it was either the step

8:57

by step process that a lot of

8:59

people in nineteen sixties and seventies India

9:01

would have been going through and I

9:04

spoke to Narendra Modi childhood friends who

9:06

said year old us are getting married

9:08

off at that age and Modi decided

9:10

to leave and wanted to forge his

9:12

own path obviously ultimately going into politics

9:14

and I felt out that India is

9:17

actually quite a lot it and. Celebrated

9:19

to be a single person someone. he

9:21

says that they did dedicate everything over

9:23

in among Black Saxon to their job

9:26

and to leading the country that their

9:28

families Indian people in. That certainly the

9:30

narrative that Modi is built around his

9:32

prime Ministership, but going to zealots I

9:35

mean we we saw with the circumstances

9:37

she was living in. It is so

9:39

ordinary. It's an ordinary Indian place in

9:41

the west of the country. Good drops

9:44

the village. It's it's not. It's not

9:46

pool by any means, but it's and

9:48

family. average and this woman you know

9:50

people talk about her we met people

9:53

who had met her they said she

9:55

helps out and volunteers at the local

9:57

hospital she looks like any other woman

10:00

And people are quite shocked to learn

10:02

that she's actually married to the Prime

10:04

Minister, who is obviously living in totally

10:06

different circumstances. I've seen his bungalows in

10:08

New Delhi, and it's a very grand

10:10

place to live. So seeing that comparison

10:12

between the two, and I don't think

10:15

many people would realize that he has

10:17

this secret life that Narendra Modi really

10:19

never talked about at all. So

10:23

you mentioned there his early life,

10:25

but one early influence was his

10:27

membership of something called

10:29

the RSS. What

10:32

is the RSS, and what

10:34

influence did it have on him? So it's

10:37

this organization which now has

10:39

six million members, and it's

10:41

described by many researchers as

10:44

the largest far-right organization in

10:46

the world. It very explicitly

10:48

on its website says that

10:50

India is a Hindu-dominant country,

10:52

that Hindus deserve the first

10:54

stature when it comes to

10:56

India. And that is

10:59

in contrast with India's secular constitution.

11:01

The constitution specifically says that people

11:03

of all religions are welcome and

11:06

equal in India and should not be

11:08

discriminated against. And India is a huge

11:10

country. I mean, it's got several

11:13

hundred million Muslim

11:15

people, one of the largest Muslim populations in

11:18

the world, and many other religions. People

11:21

follow those religions in India. So

11:23

the RSS ideology is in contrast

11:25

to that that is in the

11:27

constitution. And we got

11:29

rear access into one of these

11:31

meetings of the RSS, which functions,

11:33

again, according to researchers, very much

11:35

like a paramilitary organization. Actually, some

11:37

have described it to the IRA,

11:39

but others are saying, well, it's

11:41

not as extreme in the fact

11:43

that it doesn't have weapons at

11:45

this stage or anything like that. But

11:47

it does train its members in things

11:50

like military drills,

11:53

combat and so on. So

11:55

this Showcase is happening basically on a

11:57

grass patch on the side of the road. I'm

12:00

it. A. Like. Fifteen we

12:02

need. He was. yeah. Home

12:05

and. Ness playing

12:08

a whole lot of physical

12:10

games, And the

12:12

Nets fan team or that

12:14

is. Holding

12:16

that Hindu nationalists. And.

12:23

And oh, what we heard from

12:25

the Rss is that it's actually

12:27

just a day to day charity

12:29

organization that helps people on the

12:31

ground while trying to spread this

12:33

ideology in a peaceful manner. So

12:35

it's denies his allegations. About being

12:38

a paramilitary organization. but if.

12:40

Is really fascinating that this is

12:42

where the read your modi started

12:44

his political thinking. He was an

12:46

eight year old that was recruited

12:48

into these organizations. Again, racer to

12:50

say that sir. Similar to how

12:52

lot of these sort of right

12:55

wing organizations or pride around the

12:57

world they recruit kids are bring

12:59

them in, three games and food

13:01

is on these club sort of

13:03

boyscout Connors meetings and then as

13:05

soon as slowly indoctrinate them through

13:07

their various political ideologies. And that's

13:09

when. Modi started as an eight year

13:11

old in his village. He started going

13:14

to some of these meetings. I met

13:16

some as the he's Selling members who

13:18

went with him when they would kids

13:20

as well. On this still part of

13:22

the Rss sound or undermine, he worked

13:24

his way up through the organization of

13:26

the many decades. He ended up becoming

13:28

one of their chief organizes and then

13:30

the Rss created a political arm which

13:32

is called the Bjp and Ah although

13:35

they are separate entities. The roots of

13:37

the Bjp started from the Rss. Some

13:39

members of the Bjp. No longer agree

13:41

with Rss ideologies others very much do.

13:43

and Modi then moved into the party

13:45

and was actively an organizer in the

13:47

party and of course worked his way

13:49

up to prime minister of the country.

13:52

Now the Bjp has enormous tally in

13:54

India, a national holiday, and in state

13:56

parliament's I think a lot of people

13:58

would be surprised to learn. that those are

14:00

the roots of Narendra Modi. Another

14:03

aspect that's quite surprising to

14:06

me maybe is squaring his membership with

14:08

the RSS with what happened to him

14:10

just directly after he left his wife. He became a

14:13

devotee of a Swami, of Swami

14:15

Vekananda, a Hindu monk who died in 1902.

14:21

I mean, this is an entire fascinating

14:23

story in your podcast about young

14:26

Modi. He's three of his wife, takes to the

14:28

road, and it seems as

14:30

if he nearly becomes a monk, but

14:32

then turns his back on that

14:34

and goes back to politics. But

14:38

the philosophy of Vekananda

14:40

is milder to

14:42

the sort that Modi would have been

14:45

involved with in the RSS.

14:47

Do you think that experience

14:49

shaped his politics? Yeah,

14:52

and it's interesting that he actually says

14:54

that he trekked around the Himalayas and

14:56

went across India, and he

14:58

went to some of the ashrams, so sort of

15:00

the centers that

15:03

were built by people

15:05

who were inspired by the

15:07

Swami Vekananda. He

15:13

says that he went to some of the

15:15

head monks and said, look, I want to

15:17

join your order. I want to follow you.

15:19

I'm a dedicated person that loves Swami Vekananda.

15:21

And they said, oh, no, this isn't for

15:24

you. And then he says that the third

15:26

time he went to one of these ashrams,

15:28

he was told by the monk, your

15:30

actual job is your life's path,

15:32

which is social work

15:35

and serving society in a different way,

15:37

not through the monkhood. And he says

15:39

that's what really set him onto politics.

15:43

Then again, this is a part of his story

15:45

that according to researchers, no one can really

15:47

verify. I mean, there aren't records that show

15:49

Modi went to any of these ashrams. It's

15:51

something that only he has spoken about. No

15:53

one else can corroborate what happened. But

15:56

he has built this

15:58

into his narrative because... A, it

16:00

shows that he is again a monk-like

16:02

person, someone who's the sort of saviour

16:04

of India, and that's something he specifically

16:06

says in his speeches constantly, that he's

16:09

received word from God to do

16:11

certain things politically. But

16:14

it has also, as you say,

16:16

softened that hardline background which he's

16:18

had. He has this ability to

16:20

straddle both worlds. On one end,

16:22

he can appeal to that Hindu

16:25

right-wing majority, which is a big

16:28

part of his base, his political base, he's

16:30

really got that on board. But

16:32

having the Swami Vivekananda, who is a

16:34

really influential and very popular figure in

16:37

India, someone that he says he's devoted

16:39

his life to, someone he still talks

16:41

about in his political career, that is

16:44

a more moderate form of Hindu religion

16:46

that he can really tap into and

16:49

use that to say, look, I also appeal

16:51

to the moderate type. So in many ways,

16:53

Narendra Modi is a genius of a politician.

16:57

The way that he has marketed himself and

16:59

the way that he has told his story

17:01

to people and managed to appeal to so

17:03

many different parts of India is

17:05

really something that a lot of politicians around

17:07

the world can learn from because it is

17:09

really impressive the way that he's been able

17:11

to do that. So he's working his way

17:13

up through the BJP party.

17:16

It's relatively small and it's relatively obscure

17:18

at the time, but it found

17:21

success with the campaign around the

17:23

idea that secularism in India had

17:25

become biased against the Hindu

17:27

majority. And what that led to was

17:30

a mob destroying a Muslim mosque in

17:33

1992. That was a

17:35

watershed moment. Thousands of people died

17:37

in the subsequent riots. Whereas the

17:39

dust settles on the demolition at

17:42

Ayodhya, it is apparent that the

17:44

BJP has affected the greatest political

17:46

polarization since independence. Equally

17:49

importantly, the communal frenzy which followed

17:51

the events of December the 6th

17:53

has been so seared on the

17:55

Indian conscience that perhaps India has

17:57

changed forever. What

18:00

impact did that have on Modi

18:03

and the BJP? Yeah, as you

18:05

say, I mean, that was a hugely divisive

18:07

part of India's history in 1992. And

18:10

a lot of people saw that as a

18:12

real turning point for the country when it

18:14

came to these religious clashes

18:17

that we have continued to see in

18:19

different ways in India. But

18:21

earlier this year, I was there in

18:24

that town, Ayodhya, where that new Hindu

18:26

temple has been built in the place

18:28

of that mosque for several decades since

18:30

1992. So nearly more

18:33

than 30 years, there's been

18:35

this campaign to build that new temple,

18:37

that Hindu temple. There have been court

18:39

cases, there have been major inquiries, huge

18:42

disputes in the public sphere about what

18:44

should happen on that site. And finally,

18:46

in 2024, Narendra Modi in

18:49

January consecrated part of that Hindu

18:51

temple. And he's made it a

18:53

part of his prime ministership to

18:55

really advocate for the opening of

18:57

that Hindu temple, which many see

18:59

as a real symbol for his

19:01

treatment of minorities in the country.

19:03

I mean, it's physically replacing

19:06

what was once a mosque that stood

19:08

in its place. And when I was

19:11

there, on one hand, there

19:13

was huge celebrations on the streets, people

19:15

were very jovial. There

19:17

was saffron-coloured robes when people were walking

19:20

around on the streets. I mean, people

19:22

were so excited, people were watching it

19:24

across India. I mean, Narendra Modi managed

19:26

to make so many Indians

19:28

a part of that temple and that

19:30

opening. But then when you turn the

19:32

corner and spoke to the Muslim people

19:34

who were in the sort of back

19:36

streets living there, they felt left out.

19:38

They felt worried about even

19:41

walking out on the streets and what could

19:43

eventuate and so on. But

19:45

one key thing that Narendra Modi made

19:47

clear in his speech was that he

19:49

marked this as a new turning point

19:52

for India, one where violence was over.

19:54

He never actually specified the violence or

19:56

the riots which had occurred after

19:59

that temple But he said that

20:01

this was a new chapter for India. So

20:03

it was really interesting and again really smart

20:06

the way Narendra Modi spoke about it because

20:08

he tried to make it all-encompassing and it

20:10

was effectively his campaign launch for this year's

20:12

election. Can we talk about another

20:15

riot? And that was in 2002. Modi

20:18

at the time, he was chief minister

20:20

of the Gujarat region, which

20:22

has a population of 60

20:25

million. That's just for context

20:27

for us. The Gujarat riots, this

20:30

was a situation that is being

20:32

regarded as the darkest chapter in

20:35

his career. What happened? Yeah,

20:37

and it's a really controversial one as

20:39

well. I mean, there's a lot of

20:41

division again over what happened in those

20:43

riots. What we do know is that

20:45

there were several people who died, mostly

20:47

Muslim people, and those

20:49

riots were triggered actually

20:51

after a trainload of

20:54

religious pilgrims had returned from that town

20:56

of Iordia, which we were just talking

20:58

about. They were there sort of in

21:01

the fight for that temple. And when

21:03

they came back, there was

21:05

a train fire and there's been a lot of

21:07

inquiries into who did that train fire. Some

21:09

people said it was by Muslims. Others

21:12

said that it was not, that

21:14

it was just an accident. But

21:16

what happened afterwards, Narendra Modi's government

21:18

endorsed the taking

21:20

out of those bodies of those Hindu pilgrims

21:22

who died on that train fire. And

21:25

we speak to one of the family members of someone who

21:27

died on that train. Those bodies were

21:29

put in the middle of a town in Gujarat for

21:31

many to see. And

21:33

this sparked off anguish

21:35

and outrage and the

21:37

communal bitter feeling leading to

21:39

an attack on the Muslims. That

21:42

decision and other decisions triggered

21:44

riots between Muslims and

21:46

Hindus in that time. And that's a

21:49

part of Narendra Modi's story that has caused

21:51

him a lot of grief. I mean, after

21:53

those riots, so at the time he was

21:55

chief minister of the state of Gujarat, he

21:57

was banned from countries like the US, Europe.

22:00

and the UK as well for a

22:02

period of time. And he was really

22:04

ostracized from the political and business communities,

22:07

but he did manage to sort of bury

22:09

that part of his story and

22:12

try to move forward in an

22:14

economic sense and sort of focus

22:16

on that part of Gujarat and

22:18

developing that. And he still managed

22:20

to win future elections in Gujarat

22:22

in very, very strong circumstances. So

22:24

he did manage to put that

22:27

aside, but even just in

22:30

last year, the BBC released a documentary which

22:32

scrutinized his role in those riots and they

22:35

were raided and that documentary was blocked and

22:37

that was a big controversy. So this is

22:39

a part of his story that still does

22:41

come up, but politically, I mean, he's welcomed

22:43

back in the US, in the UK, just

22:46

recently had a state dinner with Joe Biden.

22:48

He's back on the political scene, obviously, as

22:50

one of the most powerful leaders in the

22:52

world. And as you say,

22:54

it didn't hurt him politically at home.

22:56

He was elected chief minister in 2012. And

22:59

then in 2014, he became prime

23:01

minister of India. Was

23:03

that because he was perceived as

23:06

a good leader of Gujarat or

23:08

was it more to do with

23:10

his appeal to Hindu nationalism? It was a combination.

23:13

I mean, on one hand, he was

23:15

seen as someone who brought a lot

23:17

of economic progress to Gujarat. Now, some

23:19

economists debate whether that was purely him

23:22

or whether Gujarat always had a lot

23:24

of effective economic

23:26

policy, but a lot of people saw

23:28

the development that came in Gujarat under

23:30

Narendra Modi's leadership there. And they thought,

23:33

look, this could happen across the country.

23:35

He also ran on this platform in

23:37

2014 for his first

23:39

run for prime minister, saying, again,

23:41

that he was different to the Congress, the main

23:43

opposition party, which we spoke about earlier,

23:46

one which had been plagued by corruption scandals.

23:48

And he said, look, my aim

23:50

and promise to you is that I

23:52

won't be a corrupt leader, that I'm

23:54

different to those leaders. And again, he

23:57

really hand home that idea of being

23:59

the ordinary man. different to the

24:01

political elite, which really resonated with

24:03

a lot of ordinary Indians. Although

24:05

there have been other previous Prime

24:07

Ministers who've had ordinary upbringings, Narendra

24:09

Modi has really had a poor

24:11

upbringing, and that's something that's

24:13

really admired by a lot of Indian people.

24:16

And yes, those Hindu nationalist policies also

24:18

resonated with people. So it's really nuanced,

24:20

the kind of popularity that Narendra Modi

24:22

has been able to garner. It's not

24:24

just one thing that's brought him to

24:27

get this level of popularity. I mean,

24:29

some Polish say that he's the most

24:31

popular leader in the world. It's several

24:33

different things that have made him appeal

24:35

to different parts of the world. This

24:37

is happening first time that

24:39

that party, my party,

24:42

BJP, is coming to power.

24:44

This is a landmark. The

24:47

people's entire population of India,

24:50

if all of you go

24:53

one step ahead, then

24:55

the whole country will go

24:59

ahead more than a billion steps.

25:02

This is people's power. Can

25:04

we talk about his popularity

25:06

that's rooted in India's economic

25:08

success? It's real. You

25:10

make it clear in your podcast that people have really

25:13

benefited. People's lives are better than their

25:15

parents, for example, but there's

25:17

a downside. And that is

25:19

the huge and growing economic

25:21

inequality, the gap between rich

25:24

and poor. Is that

25:26

a liability for him now during the election?

25:28

Well, it's an interesting question because on one

25:30

hand, as you say, a lot of people

25:32

that I spoke to before I left India

25:34

on the ground were saying, we are in

25:37

a better position than we were 10 years ago.

25:40

Our kids are going to be in a

25:42

better position than we were growing up. And

25:44

that's something that people really admire and that

25:47

Modi's taken credit for wrongly or rightly. There

25:49

are some people who criticize him for that and

25:51

say that it's a much broader government change that's

25:54

allowed this to happen. But there

25:56

are a lot of people who do feel

25:58

empowered by those policies. But the

26:00

thing that you also hear from even

26:02

his most staunch supporters, especially young Indians,

26:04

and it's worth noting that India is

26:07

the youngest country in the world, so

26:09

it has such a huge young voting

26:11

population, those young people are telling

26:13

me, well, we need jobs, we don't have

26:15

jobs, there aren't enough jobs going around. And

26:18

you know, Narendra Modi talks constantly about

26:20

improving India's place in the world, which

26:23

obviously he's done. India is

26:25

so recognised now as a geopolitical player,

26:27

Western countries are pivoting away from China

26:29

and towards India. And

26:32

he talks about the economic development.

26:34

And it is true, it is

26:36

the world's fastest growing economy now,

26:38

which is very admirable. But

26:41

what economists say is that without

26:43

jobs for people, which is

26:45

the way that China managed to increase

26:47

its economic growth, India

26:49

will not be able to achieve those

26:52

huge, huge strides that it wants to

26:54

make and become one of those top

26:56

three economic players in the world. So

26:59

there is a lot of work to do

27:01

if Narendra Modi gets into power, which he's

27:03

very likely to achieve. And that

27:05

real focus that people want is jobs and

27:08

security once they, you know, may have a

27:10

small house over their head, they may have

27:12

a toilet in their village, but without a

27:14

job, they don't have longevity. And that's the real

27:16

concern for people on the ground. Coming

27:20

up, what is Modi's election promise

27:22

to India's nearly one billion

27:24

voters? This

27:28

podcast is brought to you by

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office made in Sweden for the rest

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of the world. Visit AJProducts.ie

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to see how we can make your

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workplace work for you. All right, voting

27:41

is being done in the world's largest

27:43

political contest, the world's largest democracy with

27:45

millions heading to polls in India, six

27:48

week election today. The vote is being

27:50

viewed as a referendum on Prime Minister

27:52

Narendra Modi. The sheer scale of the

27:54

election is mind boggling. There

27:57

are almost a billion registered voters

27:59

in the world. India. There are

28:01

15 million electoral staff and they

28:03

travel across deserts in Northern India,

28:06

glaciers in the Himalayas, jungles, oceans

28:08

to make sure everyone

28:10

can vote. And all the polls say Modi

28:13

will win. Are the elections free

28:15

and fair? Well, it depends who you talk to.

28:17

I mean, on one hand, as you say, it's an amazing

28:20

feat, enormous in scale and the

28:22

sheer access to a voting booth

28:24

or these electronic systems, which is

28:26

the way that India votes is

28:28

incredible. I mean, these electoral offices,

28:31

they go across the Himalayas, they

28:33

go to jungles, they make sure

28:35

even one person in an individual

28:37

village that is only reachable by

28:39

foot will get a voting station

28:41

if they want it. And that

28:44

is really admirable. And it's something

28:46

that, you know, India is

28:48

teaching other countries around the world about

28:50

how to make a voting system. And

28:53

there's access for women. There's

28:55

almost actually by the

28:57

next election, more women will be

28:59

voting than men, which is huge

29:01

as well. Digitally, it's accessible as

29:04

well. So definitely when it comes

29:06

to voting, there is no doubt

29:08

that this is an extremely impressive

29:10

democratic process, the biggest vote in

29:12

history. But when it comes to

29:15

other elements of India's democracy, that's

29:17

where critics are concerned. I mean,

29:19

just in the last month or

29:21

so, we've seen opposition leaders being arrested and

29:23

jailed. We've seen the Congress Party, which has

29:25

spoken about quite a lot. Their accounts have

29:28

been frozen, accused of tax fraud. And what

29:30

researchers have told us and what they say

29:32

publicly is that 90% of

29:35

these cases are targeted at

29:37

opposition members. The BJP does not seem

29:39

to be targeted in the same way.

29:41

And there's concerns around how enforcement authorities

29:43

are being used in the lead up

29:46

to the election. And of course, those

29:48

concerns around freedom of the press. So

29:50

look, it's really both sides of the coin.

29:53

But Modi goes out there and he says,

29:55

we're a democratic country. You can't argue with

29:57

that. And you know, maybe there are these

29:59

criticisms. but they maintain that this is

30:01

a democracy. Yeah, we started off

30:04

talking about the possibility that

30:06

Modi's government assassinates dissidents overseas

30:09

and of course you yourself have had to leave

30:11

India. I mean, we've seen

30:13

in Russia how oppression can escalate into

30:15

something very, very dark and very, very

30:17

dangerous, where the same

30:19

leader holds power for a long time.

30:23

Is there talk in India that

30:26

its democracy is in peril? Of

30:29

course there is. There are a lot of critics who

30:31

say that this is no longer

30:33

a democracy and they say that up

30:35

front. Some people say, especially researchers who've

30:37

looked at this space, they say just

30:39

because you have free and fair voting,

30:41

that does not make you a democracy.

30:43

There are plenty of countries which have

30:45

voting on paper. I mean, we've seen

30:47

some of those elections this year alone

30:49

with Bangladesh, for example, where there was

30:51

voting, we saw voting in

30:53

the Pakistan election and there are concerns

30:55

around whether that means that there is

30:57

actually a free and fair vote. And

31:00

so yes, while India is different

31:02

compared to those countries and the

31:04

fact that it's voting on paper

31:07

seems to be quite open and

31:09

transparent, there are real concerns about

31:11

how the Narendra Modi government is

31:13

acting when it comes to its

31:15

treatment of minorities, the press, the

31:17

opposition, any critics or people holding

31:19

the Modi government to account. And

31:22

the other concerns and questions I'm hearing

31:24

are what will happen in the next

31:26

five years when Narendra Modi wins? I

31:28

mean, it's really unlikely he'll lose this

31:30

election. I mean, in

31:32

a big part because there is effectively

31:34

no proper opposition at the moment that

31:36

can really challenge him and have that

31:38

level of popularity. There are people

31:41

who say he'll still lose seats. But

31:43

what people are questioning is what will happen in

31:45

the next five years in India? If

31:47

there is a change of government, what

31:49

would even happen? Could you change 15

31:52

years of this level of shifting of

31:54

democratic ideals? phases

32:01

in an Indian general election to a complete

32:03

at the time of recording the third is

32:05

next week. As you say,

32:07

Modi and his party are predicted to win. But

32:10

how is the campaign going?

32:13

And I mean, is

32:15

there even a vague possibility of

32:17

Modi losing? Or is at this point, is it

32:19

just about the scale of his victory? There's

32:23

of course, I mean, always, I mean,

32:25

there's always a chance that Modi could

32:27

lose it is still a democracy that

32:29

is still a possibility because

32:31

we've seen in many different countries around

32:33

the world, the polls say that someone's

32:35

definitely going to win an election and

32:37

then it doesn't eventuate. And that is,

32:40

of course, a possibility here. But I

32:42

think the difference here is there isn't

32:44

really a key contender that is able

32:46

to sort of battle Narendra Modi in

32:49

this way. We have seen an alliance

32:51

of more than two dozen opposition parties

32:53

coming to the other trying to put

32:55

aside their differences and forming this group

32:57

called the India Alliance. But even that

32:59

alliance is struggling to agree on policies

33:01

who the face of the campaign will

33:03

be. And obviously, we're already into voting

33:06

at this stage as well. And

33:08

I think then that does make

33:11

you ask a few questions about

33:13

why Narendra Modi is taking some

33:15

of these actions. Why is the

33:17

press being targeted? Why are opposition

33:19

leaders being targeted? And that's meant

33:22

some people are saying, well, maybe Modi

33:24

isn't as secure as he says he is

33:26

and what the polls say he is. Maybe

33:29

he is worried. Maybe their internal polling says

33:31

something different and that he might lose more

33:33

seats than people have expected and will have

33:35

to form a coalition. But

33:38

the fact is, at this stage, from what I've seen

33:40

on the ground, it does seem unlikely someone

33:42

else can lead India after this election. It

33:44

seems clear Narendra Modi will win in some

33:46

way. But it'll be interesting to see how

33:48

much of a victory he will be able

33:50

to get. I mean, Modi is going around

33:53

in his campaign saying they'll win 400 seats,

33:55

which would be a huge, huge victory for

33:57

them if they could do that. be

34:00

a landslide, but many are

34:02

saying that that's probably not possible that the

34:04

BJP will actually lose seats. So I think

34:06

that will be the real thing to look

34:08

at at the next election. Avani

34:10

Diaz, thank you very much. My thanks to Avani Diaz. The

34:12

seven-part podcast or confirm

34:19

modi is well worth a listen wherever you

34:21

get your podcasts. And for

34:23

more coverage of the Indian election,

34:26

subscribe to irishtimes.com forward

34:28

slash subscribe. I'm Bernice

34:30

Harrison. This episode is produced by Declan

34:32

Conlon. In the news, we'll be back tomorrow.

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