Episode Transcript
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Visit AJProducts.ie to see how we
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can make your workplace work for
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you. Since the
0:13
turn of this century, India
0:16
has been the second fastest growing
0:19
economy in the world. Indian
0:21
Prime Minister Narendra Modi is set
0:23
for an election win. He's
0:25
been in power for 10 years and
0:28
in that time India has experienced an
0:30
economic transformation and Modi has been
0:32
welcomed on the world stage. Millions
0:34
have lifted themselves
0:38
out of poverty into a
0:40
new life of possibilities.
0:42
But it's his Hindu ultra-nationalism
0:44
and his use of anti-Muslim
0:46
rhetoric that underpins his popularity.
0:48
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi
0:50
has been accused of making
0:52
Islamophobic comments during an election
0:54
rally, triggering widespread anger from
0:56
Muslims and members of the
0:58
opposition. So who is Narendra
1:00
Modi? What secrets are in
1:02
his past like the wife
1:04
he walked away from and
1:06
his links to the world's
1:08
largest far-right organisation? And
1:11
why is he so popular despite
1:13
being so hard to pin down? It's
1:16
been hard trying to get people to
1:18
talk to me openly about him. They're
1:20
worried there will be consequences. For
1:22
her podcast series, Looking for Modi, the
1:25
South Asia Bureau Chief for Australia's ABC
1:27
News, Avani Diaz, explored every aspect of
1:29
his life and career. And
1:32
she tells us how her investigation into Modi's
1:34
attempts to silence his critics has
1:36
shut her out of India. I'm going to be
1:38
honest, as a journalist in India, I'm pretty nervous
1:40
about getting into this. This is in
1:43
the news from the Irish Times. I'm
1:45
Bernice Harrison. Today, who is
1:47
Narendra Modi? Avani
1:52
Dias, welcome to the podcast. Thanks so
1:54
much for having me. Now, we've invited
1:56
you on in the news to talk
1:58
about Narendra Modi. the popular
2:01
and successful Prime Minister of
2:03
India. He's 73, vital,
2:05
charismatic, and he is in
2:08
many ways the embodiment of modern
2:10
India, but there's a dark side to
2:12
him. He's built his political
2:15
career on a philosophy of Hindu
2:17
nationalism, often at
2:19
the expense of India's large
2:22
Muslim minority and other
2:24
smaller minorities. He's been
2:26
linked to outbreaks of sectarian
2:28
violence, and his hostility
2:31
to a free questioning press has
2:33
grown over his 10 years
2:35
in power. Avani, you
2:37
are the South Asia Bureau
2:39
Chief for Australia's ABC News,
2:42
and until recently you were based in India,
2:44
in New Delhi, but you
2:46
had to leave India. Why? Yeah, it
2:49
was a strange experience. I mean, I
2:51
started in India about two and a
2:53
half years ago and I knew when
2:55
I entered the country that there were
2:57
criticisms of the Narendra Modi government, his
3:00
handling of democracy in what is supposed
3:02
to be the world's largest democracy. I
3:05
knew that there were concerns around how
3:08
the press was treated, but I didn't
3:10
really expect to be in a position
3:12
where I'm now talking to you from
3:15
Australia while their Indian election, one
3:17
of the biggest stories of the year, is
3:19
playing out over there. About a month
3:21
ago is when things really escalated. I mean,
3:23
from the very beginning, there's constant pressure.
3:28
As a journalist in India, there
3:30
are constant threats and there's definitely
3:32
a chilling effect amongst journalists, but
3:34
in the last month, things really
3:36
escalated for me. When I got
3:38
a call from a ministry official,
3:40
someone from India's equivalent of the foreign
3:43
ministry, who told me that my reporting
3:45
had, quote, crossed a line and that
3:47
my visa extension would not be renewed.
3:49
Now, every year we need to, as
3:52
journalists, foreign journalists working in India, get
3:54
a one-year extension. It's a pretty standard
3:57
process, just a bureaucratic process that we
3:59
go through. So I thought that mine would
4:01
come through as it usually does, but
4:03
I was told that that would not
4:05
be the case. Now
4:07
the day before that, a story I had
4:09
done on Sikh separatism, so this
4:12
movement to form the state of
4:14
Punjab in the north of India
4:16
into an independent nation for Sikhs,
4:19
which is a movement that has
4:21
gained traction in countries like Australia,
4:24
the US, the UK, and so on.
4:27
I was doing a story
4:29
investigating Canada's allegations that the
4:32
Indian government is orchestrating hits
4:35
on Sikh separatists. The
4:37
Narendra Modi government is being accused
4:39
of assassinating a Sikh separatist on
4:42
foreign soil. India says those
4:44
claims are absurd. It was a major story
4:46
that broke last year and we were looking
4:48
into that on the ground in Punjab. Now
4:50
a story that I had done on that was
4:53
blocked by the Indian government on YouTube and it
4:55
was taken down off social media sites. It's clear
4:57
that we're being really monitored and that there's concern
4:59
about the story that we're doing. And
5:01
that is what preceded that fall and me
5:04
being told that I wouldn't get that visa
5:06
extension. And of
5:08
course massively frustrating for you to be out of
5:10
India when the elections are going on.
5:13
Now in your podcast it's terrific. I
5:15
urge all our listeners to listen
5:17
to it. It's called Looking for Modi.
5:20
It's for ABC News. You explore
5:22
his personality and his rise to power
5:24
and the controversies that have followed him
5:26
but they haven't hindered him in
5:29
his life. Throughout it all
5:31
his popularity seems to be undimmed.
5:49
What is it about him that Indian voters
5:51
love so much? close
6:00
to Narendra Modi going to his
6:02
hometown, finding out more
6:04
about his life and through many
6:06
people that have been in his life. And
6:09
what I found, especially speaking to
6:11
ordinary Indians, is that people really
6:14
love Narendra Modi. There
6:16
is a huge popularity on the ground.
6:18
And that's because Narendra Modi has told
6:20
this story about his life as an
6:22
ordinary person, someone who can relate to
6:24
other Indians, which he compares
6:27
to the previous leaders in India,
6:29
namely the Congress Party, which is
6:32
the main opposition, which he describes
6:34
as dynasty politics, educated, rich,
6:36
English-speaking people who aren't like the
6:38
ordinary day-to-day Indians. And that's a
6:40
part of his story that has
6:42
just really resonated with voters and
6:44
something that people really relate to.
6:46
And a big part of Modi's
6:48
leadership over the last decade has
6:51
been welfare policies, saying I relate
6:53
to you as someone who grew
6:55
up in tough circumstances. I'm going
6:57
to give you a house through
6:59
the government or a toilet or
7:01
whatever other form of basic welfare
7:03
that these people need. And
7:05
that has made people feel really empowered.
7:08
And that's one element of Narendra Modi's
7:10
leadership that's made him really popular, going
7:12
into what is expected to
7:14
be a third term for him after this
7:17
election. And the other
7:19
element is his sort of appeal
7:21
to the Hindu majority, this idea
7:23
that Hindus in India, which make
7:26
up the majority of the country,
7:28
have been hard done by, especially
7:30
the Muslim empire, which came in
7:34
previous centuries, but also
7:36
other religions and sort of othering
7:39
them in order to make the
7:41
Hindu population feel safe. And
7:45
Mr. Modi said, if the opposition
7:47
congress is voted back into
7:49
power, it would distribute citizens
7:51
wealth among what he called
7:53
infiltrators. And there's
7:55
been a lot of criticism around Narendra
7:58
Modi's politics in that sense. The
8:00
to really major elements which of really appeal
8:02
to people but they didn't upon cost up
8:04
there are all that wanted to his life
8:06
that I found so fascinating and crazy. I
8:08
mean he has this wife that he was
8:11
estranged from ah when he was young he
8:13
was in put into an arranged marriage with
8:15
this woman from a village near by and
8:17
he left her when he was a teenager
8:19
to go walk around the Himalayas. so in
8:21
the podcast be good looking for her because
8:24
now she's just living a normal life. She
8:26
notices lady she's never out and about with
8:28
the range of modi and. The
8:30
some reason when that came out. In
8:32
Twenty Four Chain, it didn't damage she's reputation
8:35
at all, and it just. Shows. How
8:37
strong that narrative around Narendra Modi is?
8:40
Actually, that's a great scene and podcast where
8:42
you almost got to talk to her on
8:44
the phone, but it doesn't quite work out.
8:46
I mean, Foster likes to sleep now it's
8:48
so. Interesting. I mean you know this
8:51
woman who eat there was set up
8:53
in very traditional circumstances in good your
8:55
odd and it was either the step
8:57
by step process that a lot of
8:59
people in nineteen sixties and seventies India
9:01
would have been going through and I
9:04
spoke to Narendra Modi childhood friends who
9:06
said year old us are getting married
9:08
off at that age and Modi decided
9:10
to leave and wanted to forge his
9:12
own path obviously ultimately going into politics
9:14
and I felt out that India is
9:17
actually quite a lot it and. Celebrated
9:19
to be a single person someone. he
9:21
says that they did dedicate everything over
9:23
in among Black Saxon to their job
9:26
and to leading the country that their
9:28
families Indian people in. That certainly the
9:30
narrative that Modi is built around his
9:32
prime Ministership, but going to zealots I
9:35
mean we we saw with the circumstances
9:37
she was living in. It is so
9:39
ordinary. It's an ordinary Indian place in
9:41
the west of the country. Good drops
9:44
the village. It's it's not. It's not
9:46
pool by any means, but it's and
9:48
family. average and this woman you know
9:50
people talk about her we met people
9:53
who had met her they said she
9:55
helps out and volunteers at the local
9:57
hospital she looks like any other woman
10:00
And people are quite shocked to learn
10:02
that she's actually married to the Prime
10:04
Minister, who is obviously living in totally
10:06
different circumstances. I've seen his bungalows in
10:08
New Delhi, and it's a very grand
10:10
place to live. So seeing that comparison
10:12
between the two, and I don't think
10:15
many people would realize that he has
10:17
this secret life that Narendra Modi really
10:19
never talked about at all. So
10:23
you mentioned there his early life,
10:25
but one early influence was his
10:27
membership of something called
10:29
the RSS. What
10:32
is the RSS, and what
10:34
influence did it have on him? So it's
10:37
this organization which now has
10:39
six million members, and it's
10:41
described by many researchers as
10:44
the largest far-right organization in
10:46
the world. It very explicitly
10:48
on its website says that
10:50
India is a Hindu-dominant country,
10:52
that Hindus deserve the first
10:54
stature when it comes to
10:56
India. And that is
10:59
in contrast with India's secular constitution.
11:01
The constitution specifically says that people
11:03
of all religions are welcome and
11:06
equal in India and should not be
11:08
discriminated against. And India is a huge
11:10
country. I mean, it's got several
11:13
hundred million Muslim
11:15
people, one of the largest Muslim populations in
11:18
the world, and many other religions. People
11:21
follow those religions in India. So
11:23
the RSS ideology is in contrast
11:25
to that that is in the
11:27
constitution. And we got
11:29
rear access into one of these
11:31
meetings of the RSS, which functions,
11:33
again, according to researchers, very much
11:35
like a paramilitary organization. Actually, some
11:37
have described it to the IRA,
11:39
but others are saying, well, it's
11:41
not as extreme in the fact
11:43
that it doesn't have weapons at
11:45
this stage or anything like that. But
11:47
it does train its members in things
11:50
like military drills,
11:53
combat and so on. So
11:55
this Showcase is happening basically on a
11:57
grass patch on the side of the road. I'm
12:00
it. A. Like. Fifteen we
12:02
need. He was. yeah. Home
12:05
and. Ness playing
12:08
a whole lot of physical
12:10
games, And the
12:12
Nets fan team or that
12:14
is. Holding
12:16
that Hindu nationalists. And.
12:23
And oh, what we heard from
12:25
the Rss is that it's actually
12:27
just a day to day charity
12:29
organization that helps people on the
12:31
ground while trying to spread this
12:33
ideology in a peaceful manner. So
12:35
it's denies his allegations. About being
12:38
a paramilitary organization. but if.
12:40
Is really fascinating that this is
12:42
where the read your modi started
12:44
his political thinking. He was an
12:46
eight year old that was recruited
12:48
into these organizations. Again, racer to
12:50
say that sir. Similar to how
12:52
lot of these sort of right
12:55
wing organizations or pride around the
12:57
world they recruit kids are bring
12:59
them in, three games and food
13:01
is on these club sort of
13:03
boyscout Connors meetings and then as
13:05
soon as slowly indoctrinate them through
13:07
their various political ideologies. And that's
13:09
when. Modi started as an eight year
13:11
old in his village. He started going
13:14
to some of these meetings. I met
13:16
some as the he's Selling members who
13:18
went with him when they would kids
13:20
as well. On this still part of
13:22
the Rss sound or undermine, he worked
13:24
his way up through the organization of
13:26
the many decades. He ended up becoming
13:28
one of their chief organizes and then
13:30
the Rss created a political arm which
13:32
is called the Bjp and Ah although
13:35
they are separate entities. The roots of
13:37
the Bjp started from the Rss. Some
13:39
members of the Bjp. No longer agree
13:41
with Rss ideologies others very much do.
13:43
and Modi then moved into the party
13:45
and was actively an organizer in the
13:47
party and of course worked his way
13:49
up to prime minister of the country.
13:52
Now the Bjp has enormous tally in
13:54
India, a national holiday, and in state
13:56
parliament's I think a lot of people
13:58
would be surprised to learn. that those are
14:00
the roots of Narendra Modi. Another
14:03
aspect that's quite surprising to
14:06
me maybe is squaring his membership with
14:08
the RSS with what happened to him
14:10
just directly after he left his wife. He became a
14:13
devotee of a Swami, of Swami
14:15
Vekananda, a Hindu monk who died in 1902.
14:21
I mean, this is an entire fascinating
14:23
story in your podcast about young
14:26
Modi. He's three of his wife, takes to the
14:28
road, and it seems as
14:30
if he nearly becomes a monk, but
14:32
then turns his back on that
14:34
and goes back to politics. But
14:38
the philosophy of Vekananda
14:40
is milder to
14:42
the sort that Modi would have been
14:45
involved with in the RSS.
14:47
Do you think that experience
14:49
shaped his politics? Yeah,
14:52
and it's interesting that he actually says
14:54
that he trekked around the Himalayas and
14:56
went across India, and he
14:58
went to some of the ashrams, so sort of
15:00
the centers that
15:03
were built by people
15:05
who were inspired by the
15:07
Swami Vekananda. He
15:13
says that he went to some of the
15:15
head monks and said, look, I want to
15:17
join your order. I want to follow you.
15:19
I'm a dedicated person that loves Swami Vekananda.
15:21
And they said, oh, no, this isn't for
15:24
you. And then he says that the third
15:26
time he went to one of these ashrams,
15:28
he was told by the monk, your
15:30
actual job is your life's path,
15:32
which is social work
15:35
and serving society in a different way,
15:37
not through the monkhood. And he says
15:39
that's what really set him onto politics.
15:43
Then again, this is a part of his story
15:45
that according to researchers, no one can really
15:47
verify. I mean, there aren't records that show
15:49
Modi went to any of these ashrams. It's
15:51
something that only he has spoken about. No
15:53
one else can corroborate what happened. But
15:56
he has built this
15:58
into his narrative because... A, it
16:00
shows that he is again a monk-like
16:02
person, someone who's the sort of saviour
16:04
of India, and that's something he specifically
16:06
says in his speeches constantly, that he's
16:09
received word from God to do
16:11
certain things politically. But
16:14
it has also, as you say,
16:16
softened that hardline background which he's
16:18
had. He has this ability to
16:20
straddle both worlds. On one end,
16:22
he can appeal to that Hindu
16:25
right-wing majority, which is a big
16:28
part of his base, his political base, he's
16:30
really got that on board. But
16:32
having the Swami Vivekananda, who is a
16:34
really influential and very popular figure in
16:37
India, someone that he says he's devoted
16:39
his life to, someone he still talks
16:41
about in his political career, that is
16:44
a more moderate form of Hindu religion
16:46
that he can really tap into and
16:49
use that to say, look, I also appeal
16:51
to the moderate type. So in many ways,
16:53
Narendra Modi is a genius of a politician.
16:57
The way that he has marketed himself and
16:59
the way that he has told his story
17:01
to people and managed to appeal to so
17:03
many different parts of India is
17:05
really something that a lot of politicians around
17:07
the world can learn from because it is
17:09
really impressive the way that he's been able
17:11
to do that. So he's working his way
17:13
up through the BJP party.
17:16
It's relatively small and it's relatively obscure
17:18
at the time, but it found
17:21
success with the campaign around the
17:23
idea that secularism in India had
17:25
become biased against the Hindu
17:27
majority. And what that led to was
17:30
a mob destroying a Muslim mosque in
17:33
1992. That was a
17:35
watershed moment. Thousands of people died
17:37
in the subsequent riots. Whereas the
17:39
dust settles on the demolition at
17:42
Ayodhya, it is apparent that the
17:44
BJP has affected the greatest political
17:46
polarization since independence. Equally
17:49
importantly, the communal frenzy which followed
17:51
the events of December the 6th
17:53
has been so seared on the
17:55
Indian conscience that perhaps India has
17:57
changed forever. What
18:00
impact did that have on Modi
18:03
and the BJP? Yeah, as you
18:05
say, I mean, that was a hugely divisive
18:07
part of India's history in 1992. And
18:10
a lot of people saw that as a
18:12
real turning point for the country when it
18:14
came to these religious clashes
18:17
that we have continued to see in
18:19
different ways in India. But
18:21
earlier this year, I was there in
18:24
that town, Ayodhya, where that new Hindu
18:26
temple has been built in the place
18:28
of that mosque for several decades since
18:30
1992. So nearly more
18:33
than 30 years, there's been
18:35
this campaign to build that new temple,
18:37
that Hindu temple. There have been court
18:39
cases, there have been major inquiries, huge
18:42
disputes in the public sphere about what
18:44
should happen on that site. And finally,
18:46
in 2024, Narendra Modi in
18:49
January consecrated part of that Hindu
18:51
temple. And he's made it a
18:53
part of his prime ministership to
18:55
really advocate for the opening of
18:57
that Hindu temple, which many see
18:59
as a real symbol for his
19:01
treatment of minorities in the country.
19:03
I mean, it's physically replacing
19:06
what was once a mosque that stood
19:08
in its place. And when I was
19:11
there, on one hand, there
19:13
was huge celebrations on the streets, people
19:15
were very jovial. There
19:17
was saffron-coloured robes when people were walking
19:20
around on the streets. I mean, people
19:22
were so excited, people were watching it
19:24
across India. I mean, Narendra Modi managed
19:26
to make so many Indians
19:28
a part of that temple and that
19:30
opening. But then when you turn the
19:32
corner and spoke to the Muslim people
19:34
who were in the sort of back
19:36
streets living there, they felt left out.
19:38
They felt worried about even
19:41
walking out on the streets and what could
19:43
eventuate and so on. But
19:45
one key thing that Narendra Modi made
19:47
clear in his speech was that he
19:49
marked this as a new turning point
19:52
for India, one where violence was over.
19:54
He never actually specified the violence or
19:56
the riots which had occurred after
19:59
that temple But he said that
20:01
this was a new chapter for India. So
20:03
it was really interesting and again really smart
20:06
the way Narendra Modi spoke about it because
20:08
he tried to make it all-encompassing and it
20:10
was effectively his campaign launch for this year's
20:12
election. Can we talk about another
20:15
riot? And that was in 2002. Modi
20:18
at the time, he was chief minister
20:20
of the Gujarat region, which
20:22
has a population of 60
20:25
million. That's just for context
20:27
for us. The Gujarat riots, this
20:30
was a situation that is being
20:32
regarded as the darkest chapter in
20:35
his career. What happened? Yeah,
20:37
and it's a really controversial one as
20:39
well. I mean, there's a lot of
20:41
division again over what happened in those
20:43
riots. What we do know is that
20:45
there were several people who died, mostly
20:47
Muslim people, and those
20:49
riots were triggered actually
20:51
after a trainload of
20:54
religious pilgrims had returned from that town
20:56
of Iordia, which we were just talking
20:58
about. They were there sort of in
21:01
the fight for that temple. And when
21:03
they came back, there was
21:05
a train fire and there's been a lot of
21:07
inquiries into who did that train fire. Some
21:09
people said it was by Muslims. Others
21:12
said that it was not, that
21:14
it was just an accident. But
21:16
what happened afterwards, Narendra Modi's government
21:18
endorsed the taking
21:20
out of those bodies of those Hindu pilgrims
21:22
who died on that train fire. And
21:25
we speak to one of the family members of someone who
21:27
died on that train. Those bodies were
21:29
put in the middle of a town in Gujarat for
21:31
many to see. And
21:33
this sparked off anguish
21:35
and outrage and the
21:37
communal bitter feeling leading to
21:39
an attack on the Muslims. That
21:42
decision and other decisions triggered
21:44
riots between Muslims and
21:46
Hindus in that time. And that's a
21:49
part of Narendra Modi's story that has caused
21:51
him a lot of grief. I mean, after
21:53
those riots, so at the time he was
21:55
chief minister of the state of Gujarat, he
21:57
was banned from countries like the US, Europe.
22:00
and the UK as well for a
22:02
period of time. And he was really
22:04
ostracized from the political and business communities,
22:07
but he did manage to sort of bury
22:09
that part of his story and
22:12
try to move forward in an
22:14
economic sense and sort of focus
22:16
on that part of Gujarat and
22:18
developing that. And he still managed
22:20
to win future elections in Gujarat
22:22
in very, very strong circumstances. So
22:24
he did manage to put that
22:27
aside, but even just in
22:30
last year, the BBC released a documentary which
22:32
scrutinized his role in those riots and they
22:35
were raided and that documentary was blocked and
22:37
that was a big controversy. So this is
22:39
a part of his story that still does
22:41
come up, but politically, I mean, he's welcomed
22:43
back in the US, in the UK, just
22:46
recently had a state dinner with Joe Biden.
22:48
He's back on the political scene, obviously, as
22:50
one of the most powerful leaders in the
22:52
world. And as you say,
22:54
it didn't hurt him politically at home.
22:56
He was elected chief minister in 2012. And
22:59
then in 2014, he became prime
23:01
minister of India. Was
23:03
that because he was perceived as
23:06
a good leader of Gujarat or
23:08
was it more to do with
23:10
his appeal to Hindu nationalism? It was a combination.
23:13
I mean, on one hand, he was
23:15
seen as someone who brought a lot
23:17
of economic progress to Gujarat. Now, some
23:19
economists debate whether that was purely him
23:22
or whether Gujarat always had a lot
23:24
of effective economic
23:26
policy, but a lot of people saw
23:28
the development that came in Gujarat under
23:30
Narendra Modi's leadership there. And they thought,
23:33
look, this could happen across the country.
23:35
He also ran on this platform in
23:37
2014 for his first
23:39
run for prime minister, saying, again,
23:41
that he was different to the Congress, the main
23:43
opposition party, which we spoke about earlier,
23:46
one which had been plagued by corruption scandals.
23:48
And he said, look, my aim
23:50
and promise to you is that I
23:52
won't be a corrupt leader, that I'm
23:54
different to those leaders. And again, he
23:57
really hand home that idea of being
23:59
the ordinary man. different to the
24:01
political elite, which really resonated with
24:03
a lot of ordinary Indians. Although
24:05
there have been other previous Prime
24:07
Ministers who've had ordinary upbringings, Narendra
24:09
Modi has really had a poor
24:11
upbringing, and that's something that's
24:13
really admired by a lot of Indian people.
24:16
And yes, those Hindu nationalist policies also
24:18
resonated with people. So it's really nuanced,
24:20
the kind of popularity that Narendra Modi
24:22
has been able to garner. It's not
24:24
just one thing that's brought him to
24:27
get this level of popularity. I mean,
24:29
some Polish say that he's the most
24:31
popular leader in the world. It's several
24:33
different things that have made him appeal
24:35
to different parts of the world. This
24:37
is happening first time that
24:39
that party, my party,
24:42
BJP, is coming to power.
24:44
This is a landmark. The
24:47
people's entire population of India,
24:50
if all of you go
24:53
one step ahead, then
24:55
the whole country will go
24:59
ahead more than a billion steps.
25:02
This is people's power. Can
25:04
we talk about his popularity
25:06
that's rooted in India's economic
25:08
success? It's real. You
25:10
make it clear in your podcast that people have really
25:13
benefited. People's lives are better than their
25:15
parents, for example, but there's
25:17
a downside. And that is
25:19
the huge and growing economic
25:21
inequality, the gap between rich
25:24
and poor. Is that
25:26
a liability for him now during the election?
25:28
Well, it's an interesting question because on one
25:30
hand, as you say, a lot of people
25:32
that I spoke to before I left India
25:34
on the ground were saying, we are in
25:37
a better position than we were 10 years ago.
25:40
Our kids are going to be in a
25:42
better position than we were growing up. And
25:44
that's something that people really admire and that
25:47
Modi's taken credit for wrongly or rightly. There
25:49
are some people who criticize him for that and
25:51
say that it's a much broader government change that's
25:54
allowed this to happen. But there
25:56
are a lot of people who do feel
25:58
empowered by those policies. But the
26:00
thing that you also hear from even
26:02
his most staunch supporters, especially young Indians,
26:04
and it's worth noting that India is
26:07
the youngest country in the world, so
26:09
it has such a huge young voting
26:11
population, those young people are telling
26:13
me, well, we need jobs, we don't have
26:15
jobs, there aren't enough jobs going around. And
26:18
you know, Narendra Modi talks constantly about
26:20
improving India's place in the world, which
26:23
obviously he's done. India is
26:25
so recognised now as a geopolitical player,
26:27
Western countries are pivoting away from China
26:29
and towards India. And
26:32
he talks about the economic development.
26:34
And it is true, it is
26:36
the world's fastest growing economy now,
26:38
which is very admirable. But
26:41
what economists say is that without
26:43
jobs for people, which is
26:45
the way that China managed to increase
26:47
its economic growth, India
26:49
will not be able to achieve those
26:52
huge, huge strides that it wants to
26:54
make and become one of those top
26:56
three economic players in the world. So
26:59
there is a lot of work to do
27:01
if Narendra Modi gets into power, which he's
27:03
very likely to achieve. And that
27:05
real focus that people want is jobs and
27:08
security once they, you know, may have a
27:10
small house over their head, they may have
27:12
a toilet in their village, but without a
27:14
job, they don't have longevity. And that's the real
27:16
concern for people on the ground. Coming
27:20
up, what is Modi's election promise
27:22
to India's nearly one billion
27:24
voters? This
27:28
podcast is brought to you by
27:30
AJ Products, creating a more friction free
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office made in Sweden for the rest
27:35
of the world. Visit AJProducts.ie
27:37
to see how we can make your
27:39
workplace work for you. All right, voting
27:41
is being done in the world's largest
27:43
political contest, the world's largest democracy with
27:45
millions heading to polls in India, six
27:48
week election today. The vote is being
27:50
viewed as a referendum on Prime Minister
27:52
Narendra Modi. The sheer scale of the
27:54
election is mind boggling. There
27:57
are almost a billion registered voters
27:59
in the world. India. There are
28:01
15 million electoral staff and they
28:03
travel across deserts in Northern India,
28:06
glaciers in the Himalayas, jungles, oceans
28:08
to make sure everyone
28:10
can vote. And all the polls say Modi
28:13
will win. Are the elections free
28:15
and fair? Well, it depends who you talk to.
28:17
I mean, on one hand, as you say, it's an amazing
28:20
feat, enormous in scale and the
28:22
sheer access to a voting booth
28:24
or these electronic systems, which is
28:26
the way that India votes is
28:28
incredible. I mean, these electoral offices,
28:31
they go across the Himalayas, they
28:33
go to jungles, they make sure
28:35
even one person in an individual
28:37
village that is only reachable by
28:39
foot will get a voting station
28:41
if they want it. And that
28:44
is really admirable. And it's something
28:46
that, you know, India is
28:48
teaching other countries around the world about
28:50
how to make a voting system. And
28:53
there's access for women. There's
28:55
almost actually by the
28:57
next election, more women will be
28:59
voting than men, which is huge
29:01
as well. Digitally, it's accessible as
29:04
well. So definitely when it comes
29:06
to voting, there is no doubt
29:08
that this is an extremely impressive
29:10
democratic process, the biggest vote in
29:12
history. But when it comes to
29:15
other elements of India's democracy, that's
29:17
where critics are concerned. I mean,
29:19
just in the last month or
29:21
so, we've seen opposition leaders being arrested and
29:23
jailed. We've seen the Congress Party, which has
29:25
spoken about quite a lot. Their accounts have
29:28
been frozen, accused of tax fraud. And what
29:30
researchers have told us and what they say
29:32
publicly is that 90% of
29:35
these cases are targeted at
29:37
opposition members. The BJP does not seem
29:39
to be targeted in the same way.
29:41
And there's concerns around how enforcement authorities
29:43
are being used in the lead up
29:46
to the election. And of course, those
29:48
concerns around freedom of the press. So
29:50
look, it's really both sides of the coin.
29:53
But Modi goes out there and he says,
29:55
we're a democratic country. You can't argue with
29:57
that. And you know, maybe there are these
29:59
criticisms. but they maintain that this is
30:01
a democracy. Yeah, we started off
30:04
talking about the possibility that
30:06
Modi's government assassinates dissidents overseas
30:09
and of course you yourself have had to leave
30:11
India. I mean, we've seen
30:13
in Russia how oppression can escalate into
30:15
something very, very dark and very, very
30:17
dangerous, where the same
30:19
leader holds power for a long time.
30:23
Is there talk in India that
30:26
its democracy is in peril? Of
30:29
course there is. There are a lot of critics who
30:31
say that this is no longer
30:33
a democracy and they say that up
30:35
front. Some people say, especially researchers who've
30:37
looked at this space, they say just
30:39
because you have free and fair voting,
30:41
that does not make you a democracy.
30:43
There are plenty of countries which have
30:45
voting on paper. I mean, we've seen
30:47
some of those elections this year alone
30:49
with Bangladesh, for example, where there was
30:51
voting, we saw voting in
30:53
the Pakistan election and there are concerns
30:55
around whether that means that there is
30:57
actually a free and fair vote. And
31:00
so yes, while India is different
31:02
compared to those countries and the
31:04
fact that it's voting on paper
31:07
seems to be quite open and
31:09
transparent, there are real concerns about
31:11
how the Narendra Modi government is
31:13
acting when it comes to its
31:15
treatment of minorities, the press, the
31:17
opposition, any critics or people holding
31:19
the Modi government to account. And
31:22
the other concerns and questions I'm hearing
31:24
are what will happen in the next
31:26
five years when Narendra Modi wins? I
31:28
mean, it's really unlikely he'll lose this
31:30
election. I mean, in
31:32
a big part because there is effectively
31:34
no proper opposition at the moment that
31:36
can really challenge him and have that
31:38
level of popularity. There are people
31:41
who say he'll still lose seats. But
31:43
what people are questioning is what will happen in
31:45
the next five years in India? If
31:47
there is a change of government, what
31:49
would even happen? Could you change 15
31:52
years of this level of shifting of
31:54
democratic ideals? phases
32:01
in an Indian general election to a complete
32:03
at the time of recording the third is
32:05
next week. As you say,
32:07
Modi and his party are predicted to win. But
32:10
how is the campaign going?
32:13
And I mean, is
32:15
there even a vague possibility of
32:17
Modi losing? Or is at this point, is it
32:19
just about the scale of his victory? There's
32:23
of course, I mean, always, I mean,
32:25
there's always a chance that Modi could
32:27
lose it is still a democracy that
32:29
is still a possibility because
32:31
we've seen in many different countries around
32:33
the world, the polls say that someone's
32:35
definitely going to win an election and
32:37
then it doesn't eventuate. And that is,
32:40
of course, a possibility here. But I
32:42
think the difference here is there isn't
32:44
really a key contender that is able
32:46
to sort of battle Narendra Modi in
32:49
this way. We have seen an alliance
32:51
of more than two dozen opposition parties
32:53
coming to the other trying to put
32:55
aside their differences and forming this group
32:57
called the India Alliance. But even that
32:59
alliance is struggling to agree on policies
33:01
who the face of the campaign will
33:03
be. And obviously, we're already into voting
33:06
at this stage as well. And
33:08
I think then that does make
33:11
you ask a few questions about
33:13
why Narendra Modi is taking some
33:15
of these actions. Why is the
33:17
press being targeted? Why are opposition
33:19
leaders being targeted? And that's meant
33:22
some people are saying, well, maybe Modi
33:24
isn't as secure as he says he is
33:26
and what the polls say he is. Maybe
33:29
he is worried. Maybe their internal polling says
33:31
something different and that he might lose more
33:33
seats than people have expected and will have
33:35
to form a coalition. But
33:38
the fact is, at this stage, from what I've seen
33:40
on the ground, it does seem unlikely someone
33:42
else can lead India after this election. It
33:44
seems clear Narendra Modi will win in some
33:46
way. But it'll be interesting to see how
33:48
much of a victory he will be able
33:50
to get. I mean, Modi is going around
33:53
in his campaign saying they'll win 400 seats,
33:55
which would be a huge, huge victory for
33:57
them if they could do that. be
34:00
a landslide, but many are
34:02
saying that that's probably not possible that the
34:04
BJP will actually lose seats. So I think
34:06
that will be the real thing to look
34:08
at at the next election. Avani
34:10
Diaz, thank you very much. My thanks to Avani Diaz. The
34:12
seven-part podcast or confirm
34:19
modi is well worth a listen wherever you
34:21
get your podcasts. And for
34:23
more coverage of the Indian election,
34:26
subscribe to irishtimes.com forward
34:28
slash subscribe. I'm Bernice
34:30
Harrison. This episode is produced by Declan
34:32
Conlon. In the news, we'll be back tomorrow.
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