In this episode of Keep It Simple, hosts Adam and Joey continue to talk through "The Psychology of Money'' by Morgan Housel. Adam and Joey delve into the concepts of rationality and reasonability in financial decision-making. Chapter 11 of the book centers around reasonable vs. rational decisions. While some investors might be comfortable taking on more risk, adopting a double leveraged portfolio, although rational, may not be reasonable for most due to its extreme volatility. They stress the importance of constructing an investment portfolio that maximizes returns while allowing one to sleep soundly at night.

This episode highlights the inverse relationship between reward and risk, underlining that higher rewards often entail greater risks, which might not always be immediately apparent. The hosts draw on historical perspectives to explain that change is a constant, and history serves as a guide for the future, despite the presence of unforeseen events. Real-life instances involving clients' market concerns are shared, advocating for a balance between knowledge of historical patterns and preparedness for surprises.

Adam and Joey advise against over-reliance on one's expectations and suggest building a strategy that incorporates diversification. Recognizing the inevitability of being wrong at times, they stress the importance of a margin of safety. The podcast underscores the difficulty of forecasting one's future self due to personal growth and change. Regularly revisiting and aligning goals is recommended to avoid divergence.

Basing goals solely on trends is something to be cautioned against, and Adam and Joey highlight that everything in life involves trade-offs. They use investment scenarios to illustrate the trade-off concept, like choosing between low returns and avoiding high interest rates. Emotion-driven reactions are discouraged, as they can lead to mistakes. Overall, the episode promotes a thoughtful, reasoned, and adaptable approach to financial planning and decision-making, grounded in both historical knowledge and an understanding of one's evolving self.

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[00:00] Show intro 

[00:29] Welcome to the show!

[01:14] Chapter 11 

[08:13] Chapter 12

[14:22] Chapter 13

[21:13] Chapter 14

[28:12] Chapter 15

[33:56] Wrapping it up