Episode Transcript
Transcripts are displayed as originally observed. Some content, including advertisements may have changed.
Use Ctrl + F to search
0:01
Support for Land of the Giants comes from Mint
0:03
Mobile. Do you like having a
0:05
deal with hidden fees baked into your traditional
0:07
wireless plan? Didn't think so. Thankfully,
0:10
Mint Mobile is doing things differently.
0:13
Right now, Mint Mobile's plans start at just $15
0:15
a month, and every plan comes
0:17
with unlimited talk and text plus high-speed
0:20
5G, which means you can browse, buy,
0:22
and set up your phone plan totally online.
0:24
I've done this myself with my own money. It's
0:27
easy. To get your new unlimited wireless plan
0:29
for just $15 a month and get
0:31
the plan shipped to your door for free, go
0:34
to mintmobile.com slash
0:36
giants. That's mintmobile.com
0:40
slash giants. Cut your wireless
0:42
bill to $15 a month at mintmobile.com
0:45
slash giants.
0:54
Jason Goldman was supposed to be an astrophysicist.
0:56
Instead, he ended up dropping out of grad
0:58
school and working at internet companies. I'd
1:01
been extremely online before that was even a thing.
1:04
I was like a nerd from way back in
1:06
the early 90s. Goldman got a job
1:08
at Google and eventually ended up at a
1:10
dream gig for a young tech worker in
1:12
San Francisco. He was head of product
1:15
at Twitter.
1:17
One problem, though. Twitter barely
1:19
worked at all during this time. If
1:22
you used Twitter back then, you will remember the
1:24
fail whale. This is a cartoon
1:26
that showed a flock of birds carrying a whale. And
1:29
you got it when you opened the Twitter homepage if the
1:31
platform was down, which happened
1:34
a lot of the time. Most
1:36
of the time, Twitter went down unexpectedly.
1:38
Every so often, it went down on purpose,
1:41
like in June 2009. I
1:43
wrote a blog post saying, hey, we're
1:45
taking a downtime. We'll be down from 2
1:48
to 3 a.m. on Saturday morning,
1:51
West Coast time, in order to do this critical database
1:53
upgrade, which was critical. We're telling the
1:55
world we need to
1:56
take a break for a couple hours to
1:59
fix the thing. because we're failing all the
2:01
time. Yeah, because we're failing all the time.
2:03
Lots of people on Twitter would complain whenever
2:05
the service went down. But this time, the
2:08
Twitter team got an unusual request from
2:10
the State Department. We'd like you
2:12
not to do this if you can. We understand it's important,
2:15
but there's a thing going on,
2:17
and this is really bad timing for it. Could you
2:19
do it another time? The reason that
2:21
the US State Department wanted Twitter to stay
2:23
up was that Iran had just gone through a presidential
2:26
election,
2:27
and there were very believable accusations of fraud
2:29
and protesters had taken to the streets.
2:32
And people in Barack Obama's administration
2:34
thought protesters were using Twitter.
2:36
They felt like going down
2:39
would negatively affect the protesters'
2:41
ability to organize.
2:44
When Twitter got that request from the
2:46
State Department, it was not a tech
2:48
giant. It was a three-year-old
2:51
accidental company staffed almost
2:53
entirely by inexperienced young men.
2:56
But when the Obama administration looked at Twitter, it
2:58
didn't see a bumbling startup. The State
3:01
Department saw Twitter as a bastion of free
3:03
speech, a place where journalists and dissidents
3:05
and regular people shared information from all
3:08
over the world. This
3:10
may be hard to remember, but back in 2009, it
3:13
was totally normal for serious, important
3:16
people to talk about Twitter like this. All
3:18
kinds of people. Here's
3:20
a 2009 quote from Mark Fiefely,
3:23
a former official at the National Security
3:26
Council.
3:27
Quote,
3:27
Without Twitter, the people of Iran
3:30
would not have felt empowered and confident
3:32
to stand up for freedom and democracy.
3:34
End quote. Twitter, Fiefely
3:37
argued, should win the Nobel Peace Prize. The
3:40
Obama administration's request worried
3:42
Goldman and Biz Stone, one of Twitter's
3:45
co-founders. If they did something the State
3:47
Department asked them to do, did that mean they
3:49
were taking sides in an Iranian election?
3:52
We didn't want to pretend that we knew what
3:54
was going on, particularly with respect
3:56
to geopolitical affairs. Biz and I had
3:58
a real talk about this. at the time,
4:00
like a real like, can you believe this is
4:02
what we're doing right now? Like, can you believe
4:04
it? Like, we're not that smart.
4:07
Goldman and Stone did what Washington asked
4:09
and Twitter stayed up. And over in Iran,
4:12
well, that's the thing. This
4:14
role was minimal and it didn't, it was
4:17
in promise. It was a listening word of mouth that
4:19
organizers use in order to bring
4:21
people in the streets. Baba Krahimi
4:23
is a professor of communication, culture and
4:25
religion at the University of California,
4:28
San Diego.
4:29
In 2009, he went to Iran to study online
4:31
political life.
4:33
And when the protest kicked off, he ended up doing lots
4:35
of TV interviews from Tehran.
4:37
He found that TV networks thought what the State Department
4:39
thought.
4:40
That Twitter was driving events inside the
4:42
country. Protesters
4:45
aren't only sending video and photos,
4:47
but live updates from the demonstrations
4:50
using a website called Twitter.
4:52
I mean, I remember one Fox News reporter
4:55
asked me, what's your view of Twitter
4:57
in Iran? And
4:59
at that time, I actually didn't know
5:02
much about Twitter because I haven't really
5:04
used it at that time. I didn't see any Iranians use
5:06
it. I didn't encounter it much. I kept
5:08
talking about Facebook, but Twitter was somehow
5:10
pushed in our conversations. And
5:13
much of it had to do with, again, this
5:15
basic question, how Iranians
5:18
are using internet or Twitter.
5:21
That was the big question everyone wanted to know.
5:23
To be clear, people outside Iran were
5:25
certainly using Twitter. They were trying to focus
5:28
attention on what was happening inside Iran.
5:31
The State Department, the media, Iranian expats,
5:33
they all thought Twitter was central
5:35
to protests in Iran because they were
5:37
on Twitter and that's where they learned about the protests.
5:41
But to protesters on the ground, Twitter
5:43
was nowhere near as important as it looked from
5:45
the outside. I
5:47
remember this period really well.
5:49
I was spending a lot of time reporting on Twitter, the
5:51
company back then, and I was using
5:53
Twitter a ton.
5:55
And I was one of those people that felt like Twitter
5:57
was important. But also
5:59
I couldn't tell you.
5:59
exactly why that was.
6:02
Turns out the folks at the State Department were in the same
6:04
boat.
6:08
And to me, that is the story of Twitter, one
6:11
we've been playing and replaying for more than a decade.
6:14
We know it's a big deal, but we don't really
6:16
know how big a deal it is or
6:18
why. And we keep getting it wrong,
6:21
all of us, even now, it
6:23
can still command our attention in inexplicable
6:25
ways. Twitter has become kind of the de
6:27
facto talent square. It's
6:30
important to the function of democracy.
6:32
It's important to the function of the
6:34
United States as a free country and many
6:36
other countries and to help freedom
6:38
in the world. A year
6:41
ago, in 2022, Elon Musk
6:43
became the latest and most significant person
6:46
to fundamentally misunderstand Twitter. He
6:48
bought it for $44 billion, and
6:51
we all know what happened next. If I acquire
6:53
a Twitter, something goes wrong. That's
6:54
my fault 100%. I
6:57
think that will be quite a few hours.
7:03
I'm Peter Cosby. And you're listening to
7:05
Land of the Giants, the Twitter fantasy.
7:15
It's pretty reasonable to say we are at the end
7:17
of Twitter as we know it. For
7:19
one thing, it's now called X, which virtually
7:21
no one calls it, so I won't either. More
7:24
important, Twitter in some form will
7:26
probably still linger on for a while.
7:29
But despite what you've heard, Twitter's not dead
7:31
or dying because of Elon Musk.
7:34
I'd argue the platform had dug its own grave long
7:36
before he showed up to throw dirt on it. Long,
7:39
long before, you can go all the way back to
7:41
the very beginning. Twitter
7:43
began life as an accident. It
7:45
started as a side project of a side project,
7:48
and that afterthought quality has stuck around all
7:51
of its life. But choices people
7:53
in and around the company made in its earliest
7:55
days, and in some cases, choices they didn't make
7:58
helped permanently shape the company's trajectory.
8:01
It's a course that ends with the world's richest man
8:03
buying it and instantly regretting it.
8:05
Here's the quick backstory. Ev
8:08
Williams, a young, idealistic Nebraska
8:10
native, moved to San Francisco in
8:13
the 1990s to join the first web boom.
8:16
Williams co-founded a company to build workplace
8:18
productivity software, but the
8:20
only product they shipped was a side project called
8:23
Blogger. Blogger let anyone with
8:25
a keyboard and internet connection publish
8:27
their thoughts on a blog. And
8:30
Google bought Blogger in 2003.
8:33
Williams went on to co-found another startup
8:35
called Odeo and that was going to do for audio
8:37
what Blogger did for writing. But
8:40
in 2006, Apple made it easy to move
8:42
podcasts onto an iPod, which
8:45
is exactly what Odeo was trying to do. So
8:48
there was no reason for Odeo to exist.
8:51
So at that point it's like, well, you know,
8:53
what are we doing here? That's
8:56
Blaine Cook, one of the engineers who was working
8:58
at Odeo. Since Odeo now needed
9:01
to pivot, it organized a hack day.
9:03
That's a day for their developers to drop everything,
9:05
dream up a new idea, and build a rough
9:07
version of it. One of those developers
9:10
was Jack Dorsey.
9:12
He had an idea for something he called Status.
9:14
He borrowed the idea from instant messenger
9:16
apps like AIM.
9:18
Instant messaging clients had this
9:20
idea of status. So you could say like, I'm
9:22
available or I'm offline, but then you could put
9:24
in some other
9:26
information about what you were up to. Like you might
9:28
say, you know, making dinner or something like that. And
9:31
so Jack's idea was really just take that
9:33
course status update thing
9:36
and then make it something that persists
9:38
that you can actually share.
9:40
Shortly after that status got renamed
9:42
Twitter. Word for the sounds. Birds
9:44
make.
9:45
And that prototype of Twitter, the MVP
9:48
product that gets built in a day, more or
9:50
less. What is the reaction internally? Oh
9:52
my God, this is it? This is a gazillion dollar
9:54
company or is it? Oh, that's interesting.
9:57
I think more on the oh, that's interesting.
9:59
Part of the reason Twitter wasn't an obvious winner,
10:02
it worked using SMS text messages.
10:05
And at the time, in order to send a text for most
10:07
phones, you needed to tap out the letters
10:10
using the number pad. Tap a key once
10:12
for A, twice for B, three times for
10:14
C. This was deeply annoying,
10:17
and it was not something most people ever bothered
10:19
with. Sending and receiving text
10:21
messages also cost money, which
10:24
meant that early on, Twitter lost
10:26
money on every tweet. This is important.
10:29
We're gonna come back to it later.
10:33
Some people got Twitter right away.
10:36
Here's Jason Goldman. Ev
10:38
signs me up for Twitter over
10:40
SMS, and we are having dinner
10:43
on our way to go on a trip together,
10:45
to go to Vegas together. And so all my
10:47
first tweets are from this trip
10:50
that we take together to Vegas. And
10:52
it's like me, like saying, I'm gonna go play poker, and
10:54
Ev saying, like, you know, he's hanging out by the pool. And
10:57
like, I'm like, oh, like, this is like this ambient
10:59
awareness of like what my friends are doing. I
11:01
don't have to like text with them or make a plan. I just
11:03
know what their day is like. And I just
11:06
like, I don't know, just like immediately made sense to me what
11:08
this was gonna be. Remember, this is before
11:10
the iPhone and before the millions of ways
11:13
our phones let us track and communicate with each
11:15
other.
11:16
Facebook existed, but that was where
11:18
you posted pictures from the party you went to last weekend.
11:20
Twitter gave you present tense, actionable
11:23
intel about what your friends were doing now.
11:27
Williams hired Goldman to help decide what
11:29
Odeo's parent company should do next.
11:31
My first decision, or like the first email
11:34
I send, basically as director of product strategy
11:36
is, we shouldn't work on anything besides
11:38
Twitter. Odeo spun off Twitter as
11:40
its own company. Williams didn't
11:42
want to run it day to day, so the founders held
11:44
a meeting to decide who would be CEO. It's
11:48
principally Jack's idea. And so
11:50
Jack becomes the CEO, and
11:52
basically everyone else ends up going to work there.
11:55
Jack Dorsey had never run a company.
11:57
He had zero management experience.
11:59
And at the time he was considering quitting tech
12:02
and becoming a fashion designer.
12:04
Jack was always a bit of a cipher.
12:06
John Borthwick is an investor who funded several
12:09
apps that Twitter ended up buying.
12:11
So he got to observe the early Twitter team
12:13
and Dorsey at close range.
12:16
Just very hard to read,
12:18
just hard to know exactly where his head's at.
12:20
And hard to know how much he's
12:23
actually thinking.
12:25
Dorsey loved nightclubs and one of his primary
12:28
use cases for Twitter was to send his friends updates
12:30
about his plans from a noisy bar.
12:32
So it made sense that Twitter's big coming
12:35
out party happened in 2007 at South
12:37
by Southwest. That's the music and culture
12:39
festival that takes place in Austin, Texas every
12:42
spring. There's a tech part too
12:44
and back then it had a real spring break
12:46
vibe for a certain kind of tech person. Who's
12:49
going, what kind of nerds are going
12:52
to Austin in March? Some real
12:54
nerds, man, some real nerds. Like people
12:56
who like writing on the internet, sort of
12:58
in that like kind of early internet culture
13:01
space. And then at the end
13:03
of the tech part, you start seeing all of
13:05
the cool people in leather jackets with
13:07
guitars and like, you know, musical instruments
13:09
show up. You're like, all right, the actually cool people are here
13:11
now. It's time for us to go home. But
13:13
while the tech nerd swarmed Austin, the Twitter
13:16
founders had a captive audience. They
13:18
set up a big screen in the lobby with a live feed
13:20
of tweets about the conference and they gave
13:22
attendees instructions about how to sign up.
13:25
And the tech guys at South by used
13:27
Twitter pretty much as intended.
13:29
They told other tech guys about where to find
13:32
free drinks. The whole structure
13:34
of South by is the yes, there's
13:36
the panels, but it's really about
13:38
like the social scene. And
13:41
you would see this emergent behavior
13:44
where people would be in the bar,
13:46
the scene would be kind of dying down. All
13:48
of a sudden you'd see a bunch of tweets that like something else
13:50
was popping off down the street and you
13:52
would just everyone. I was like, Oh, we're all moving
13:54
over. I saw the tweets and things going on and everyone move
13:57
over. It was just like this idea that you
13:59
could see. people moving because
14:01
of the tweets that they read. And
14:03
it was just like this dominant back
14:05
channel for the
14:08
conference itself. Twitter
14:10
ended up being the big startup coming
14:12
out of South by that year.
14:14
They even won an award for Best New
14:16
Blog. Jack Dorsey gave
14:19
the acceptance speech and he was very
14:21
on brand. I would like to thank everyone
14:23
in 140 Coaches left and I
14:25
just did. Thank you. Thank you.
14:29
So the founders South by proved that Twitter
14:31
could make a crowd of people move like a
14:33
single all knowing organism.
14:35
And that was one early idea of what Twitter was
14:38
gonna be. But it wasn't the only
14:40
vision of what Twitter could be. Around
14:42
this time there were lots of competing ideas even
14:44
inside the company. For
14:46
Ev Williams who'd founded Blogger a decade
14:49
earlier and would go on to found
14:51
Medium,
14:52
Twitter was another place that would make it easy
14:54
for ordinary people to say what's on their
14:56
mind.
14:57
Here's Williams in an interview from 2010. The
15:00
way we described on the homepage was a way to keep
15:02
up with friends, family, coworkers by
15:05
answering the question, what are you doing?
15:07
Another version of what Twitter could be was not
15:09
a platform at all but a protocol
15:11
like email.
15:13
No one owns email but it's one of the basic
15:15
languages of the internet. Allows people
15:17
in different parts of the world using software and devices
15:20
made by different companies to talk to
15:22
each other. Here's Jason Goldman again.
15:24
Jack really believed I think in this protocol
15:27
notion of the product and this
15:30
public good notion of the product like describing
15:32
Twitter as like the public town square or
15:34
like this protocol layer of the internet. But
15:36
protocols don't usually make tons of
15:38
money. And at that moment right
15:41
after South by Southwest, Twitter
15:43
started looking like it might make some people
15:45
very rich.
15:46
Yahoo offered $12 million for the
15:49
company. The founders turned the offer down.
15:51
They thought Twitter was worth $100 million at least.
15:55
Venture capitalists agreed.
15:58
Twitter started raising round after round. of
16:00
VC money starting in 2007.
16:02
They needed that money to add servers, to
16:04
hire people, to pay for those SMS
16:07
fees.
16:08
But taking that money meant the dream
16:10
of an open protocol
16:11
was dead.
16:13
Once you've agreed to become a VC company,
16:15
the VCs have a very specific
16:18
contractual structural
16:20
idea about like how
16:22
this is gonna play out, which is they're
16:25
investing to get an outsized
16:28
return, 10 X or more in
16:30
the next seven plus years, or
16:32
it goes to zero. Like those are the outcomes they're
16:34
optimizing for. It's like, we're not really
16:37
interested in a double here. Like we're not really interested
16:39
in like, we put in $5 million and
16:41
it comes back $10 million. How
16:43
seriously were those discussions happening? That
16:46
maybe it could be something else. It wasn't
16:48
happening at a sufficient level of detail to obviously
16:51
avoid future pain. I
16:53
think this is a really critical kind of hallucination
16:58
on all of our parts. Like we all kind of
17:00
saw what we wanted from this thing. Twitter
17:02
was a little bit like
17:03
Jack in that you could look into
17:05
its eyes and see whatever you wanted to see.
17:08
That's investor John Borthwick again. Some
17:11
people would look at it and say, oh God, this
17:13
is like short form email. Others
17:15
would look at it and say, this is the future
17:18
of communications. Others would look at it
17:20
and say, this is the public square. Twitter
17:23
didn't actually state what they were.
17:25
And so they could be many things
17:28
to many different people.
17:31
For a while, the Twitter board looked
17:33
into Jack Dorsey's eyes and saw a
17:35
visionary co-founder that could run a visionary
17:37
company. According to hatching Twitter,
17:40
Nick Bilton's definitive history of the company's early
17:42
days, Dorsey hadn't run anything before.
17:45
And it turned out he wasn't good at running Twitter back then.
17:47
So Twitter's board replaced him with Ev Williams,
17:50
his co-founder in 2008.
17:52
This was the beginning of a carousel of CEOs
17:54
at the company. A
17:57
lot of Twitter's early adopters lived in San Francisco
17:59
or Silicon Valley. Valley and they worked in tech.
18:02
Right behind them were journalists like Jay Wortham,
18:04
who now writes for the New York Times Magazine and hosts
18:06
the podcast Still Processing. Back
18:09
then Wortham worked at Wired.
18:11
I was a research back-checking intern, berm,
18:13
berm, berm, and you
18:16
know, I mean I think the early Twitter offices
18:18
we could see from the Wired offices,
18:20
like I think it was all in downtown San
18:22
Francisco. For Wortham,
18:24
like a lot of early users,
18:26
Twitter served as a kind of surrogate social
18:28
life.
18:29
Now I'm a little bit more of an extrovert. When
18:31
I was younger I was such an introvert. It was a much
18:33
easier way for me to talk to people, to share
18:36
about myself, to sort of learn about the world.
18:38
The thing that Twitter replicated for me
18:40
that really hooked
18:42
me was the feeling of being in an AOL
18:45
chat room and just always seeing
18:47
what people were talking about. And it's the most
18:50
intoxicating thing and they know that.
18:52
Twitter offered a chance to join the
18:54
conversation and that distinguished Twitter
18:57
from other social platforms.
18:59
Most people were not able
19:01
to share their thoughts in
19:04
real time in any meaningful way, right? And
19:06
if you're posting on Facebook, it's probably
19:08
to a very small limited group of people
19:10
that you've agreed to be quote friends with. Twitter
19:13
on the other hand, I mean, it's just a free-for-all.
19:16
So if you're someone who has any
19:18
opinion or any thoughts about
19:20
anything, all of a sudden you
19:22
have this currency that you didn't
19:24
have anywhere else and nobody could keep you
19:26
from that. It was a way
19:29
that you could be heard and seen
19:32
that we've never really experienced before.
19:35
Before long, actual bona fide
19:37
celebrities started showing up on the site
19:39
and jumping into chats with normies.
19:41
And I think that was also part of the early
19:44
intoxication, right? Like it was removing
19:47
all these barriers between people that normally
19:49
existed and that was a buy-in. I remember
19:51
this
19:52
was a rock
19:54
guy named Sebastian Bach.
19:56
The lead singer from Skid Row just joined
19:58
a conversation that was heavy. having one. So he might
20:01
even dunk down and be like, this is amazing.
20:03
I don't even care about Skid Row or Sebastian Bach,
20:05
but he's famous. He's now participating in
20:07
a conversation that I'm having. That's
20:09
wild. It's wild.
20:10
Yeah, it's wild. And I
20:13
do think in the beginning people
20:14
talked a lot about Twitter as like this
20:16
cocktail party. You never really knew who you were going to
20:18
meet. Soon some of those real life
20:21
celebrities were making pilgrimages to the Twitter
20:23
offices in San Francisco. Arnold
20:25
Schwarzenegger came by, Sean Combs,
20:28
that's Puff Daddy to me and maybe to you,
20:30
showed up and asked to become their chief marketing
20:33
officer. If there was one moment
20:35
you could point to when Twitter as celebrity magnet
20:37
really got going, it was Ashton
20:40
versus CNN. In April 2009,
20:42
the actor Ashton Kutcher
20:44
challenged CNN to a race to
20:46
be the first to count on Twitter with 1 million
20:48
followers. And the winner got
20:51
to say they were the winner. CNN
20:53
reported on the race as if it were real news,
20:56
and it became a viral story. Ashton
20:59
won, by the way. He live streamed the moment
21:02
he hit 1 million followers. The
21:04
whole freaking world is watching.
21:06
Come on, people, we can do this.
21:14
I think the fact that it was CNN versus
21:16
Ashton, it was a perfect illustration
21:18
of the flattening of the graph that
21:20
Twitter allowed. Like it was a place where you
21:23
could become famous or talk to famous people.
21:25
What's it like in the company when that
21:27
is happening? And it's you're only a couple
21:30
years out from being this is for
21:31
nerds to tell the other nerds where
21:34
they're having a margarita.
21:35
Right.
21:36
It would have been a lot more enjoyable if I
21:38
was not one of the primary people on
21:41
the hook for the thing to work. And
21:43
it fundamentally did not work
21:45
most of the time. Like the product
21:48
just didn't work. Like
21:50
it was just technically broken for
21:52
the better part of two years.
21:55
Coming up, it's Twitter versus the fail
21:57
whale. But even when the service
21:59
was up and running.
21:59
it still had an existential
22:02
problem.
22:10
Support for the land of the Giants comes from Mint Mobile.
22:14
Traditional phone companies seem to have lost
22:16
the plot when it comes to contracts these days.
22:19
Phone plan appears simple, but then it turns out to be
22:21
a minefield of hidden fees. But
22:24
what can you do? Everybody needs a phone,
22:26
right? So we just have to navigate the financial
22:28
hazards the phone companies throw at us? We do not.
22:31
Mint Mobile is doing things differently. They're
22:33
the first phone company to ditch retail locations,
22:36
which lets them pass those savings on to you.
22:39
You can browse by instead of a phone plan
22:41
totally online. It's an easy
22:43
shopping experience that could save you time and
22:45
money. I've done it with myself with my own
22:48
money. It works. Right now, Mint Mobile's
22:50
plans start at $15 a month, and
22:52
every plan comes with unlimited talk and text,
22:55
plus high-speed 5G. To
22:57
get your new, unlimited wireless plan for
22:59
just $15 a month, and to get
23:01
that plan shipped to your door for free, go
23:04
to mintmobile.com slash
23:06
Giants. That's mintmobile.com
23:09
slash Giants. Cut
23:11
your wireless bill to $15 a month at mintmobile.com
23:15
slash Giants.
23:25
Having celebrities like Ashton Kutcher
23:27
and Oprah Winfrey sign up for Twitter was
23:29
great publicity, but
23:31
it put a ton of stress on the company's tech
23:33
infrastructure. Infrastructure that was
23:35
never designed to handle tens of millions
23:37
of users.
23:39
Just because of the nature of the way it was built
23:41
and then how we tried to scale it, it was kind
23:43
of spaghetti.
23:45
Dick Costolo came on as Twitter's chief
23:47
operating officer in 2009.
23:50
He found a platform that was constantly being
23:52
rebuilt. Twitter's code would spring
23:54
a leak, and
23:55
the Twitter people would patch it quickly but temporarily.
23:58
I mean, there was a service. in
24:00
the architecture called the Ashton Kutcher
24:02
service, which had been built when Ashton
24:04
was getting so many followers and it rerouted
24:07
fanning out the tweets to anyone who followed
24:09
Ashton Kutcher through a separate service. It was all
24:11
this tourist stuff that was like not
24:13
the right way to write code at all. Twitter
24:17
needed a stronger tech backbone. More
24:20
servers, more engineers to rebuild the plane
24:22
in mid-flight, and that was going to take
24:24
even more VC money.
24:26
In 2009, Twitter completed a funding
24:29
round that valued the company at a billion
24:31
dollars.
24:33
And here it's important to place Twitter in the
24:35
history of social networking startups. After
24:38
the first web bubble collapsed in 2000, investors
24:40
stayed far away from consumer tech.
24:43
But a few years later, there was buzz around
24:45
web startups that connected people with
24:47
each other and that relied on those users
24:49
to post for free
24:52
things other users would find interesting, and
24:54
that meant zero content costs. These
24:57
things grew fast. They didn't require much money
24:59
to start. And every year, someone
25:01
made one that was more popular. First,
25:04
there was Friendster, which got overtaken by MySpace,
25:06
which Rupert Murdoch bought for $580 million. Then
25:10
MySpace got surpassed by Facebook, which
25:13
was supposed to be worth billions. Investors
25:16
saw a pattern.
25:17
Maybe Twitter would be the next big winner. Here's
25:21
investor John Borthwick again. This
25:23
cycle that
25:25
people get into, which is expectations
25:27
following that competitor, that Facebook competitor,
25:30
raising more capital, expectations
25:32
against that, and that people are basically
25:34
chasing that tail. We want to be Facebook.
25:37
Facebook's really big. In order to get really
25:39
big, we need to hire a bunch of people. We need to raise
25:41
money to do that. And then that then ratchets
25:43
up our expectations. We have to go down that path.
25:46
Right. It wasn't crazy to expect
25:48
in 2010 or 2011 that one
25:50
day Twitter would have a bigger valuation than Facebook.
25:53
Sean Garrett became Twitter's first PR
25:55
guy around this time. Did people feel
25:57
that way inside the company? At the time.
26:00
Like, there was no reason to believe that Twitter can
26:02
be more powerful, especially in a mobile world,
26:04
than Facebook.
26:06
Twitter was growing fast.
26:08
Faster than any other online service. When
26:11
Oprah Winfrey signed up in April 2009, Twitter had
26:13
about 20 million users. A
26:16
year later, there were 100 million. Twitter
26:20
is still small compared to Facebook, but it
26:22
was catching up fast.
26:24
And even Facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg
26:27
feared Twitter might beat Facebook,
26:29
or at least be a real competitor.
26:31
Zuckerberg tried to buy the company in 2008. And
26:35
after Twitter turned him down, Facebook
26:37
spent years trying to compete with Twitter. But
26:40
even if Twitter was growing faster than anything
26:42
else on the internet, there was still one
26:44
big problem with this scenario. When
26:47
Dick Costolo joined as COO
26:50
in 2009, Twitter was barely generating any
26:52
money. You don't have to be profitable
26:55
if you're a tech startup. You're supposed to be growing
26:57
at all costs. And it's okay to make
26:59
zero dollars when you start. The
27:01
generous term for this is pre-revenue.
27:04
But you do eventually have to start showing the
27:06
world how you're going to make real money someday.
27:12
Investors saw a single pathway for revenue,
27:15
selling ads. But advertising
27:17
was never a great fit for Twitter, according
27:19
to John Borthwick.
27:21
The nature of the real-time web is
27:23
that it makes it incredibly hard
27:25
to, if not impossible, to
27:27
be able to target intentful behavior.
27:30
And so the most lucrative
27:32
forms of advertising that we've seen on the internet
27:35
are ones where people basically are placing
27:37
intent into a search engine.
27:39
You want to buy a foldable kayak? So
27:41
you type foldable kayak into
27:43
Google. Then Google serves you ads for
27:46
foldable kayaks. That is the best ad
27:48
business ever.
27:50
The second best business is Facebook's ad business.
27:53
You
27:53
have billions of users who tell you a lot
27:55
about what they like and care about, and you can maybe guess
27:57
that they're interested in foldable kayaks.
28:00
Google and Facebook are marvels
28:02
of modern advertising and they are money printing
28:04
machines. But Twitter didn't
28:06
have the, I would like to buy this thing now feature
28:09
that's built into Google,
28:10
and it didn't have Facebook scale.
28:12
Twitter's investors wanted this revenue
28:15
model. The founders, including CEO
28:17
of Williams, were not so sure. Remember,
28:19
Williams had founded Blogger and sold it to
28:21
Google, the world's biggest
28:24
advertising company. Here's Jason Goldman
28:26
again. We did have ambivalence about
28:28
it. I would say that as ambivalence about
28:30
it is one of the things that primarily got him fired
28:33
at the end of 2010. This
28:35
was Twitter's second leadership change in
28:37
two years. It replaced Williams
28:40
with Costolo, who had been Twitter's COO. Like
28:43
Williams, Costolo had built an early web
28:45
business and sold it to Google. Unlike
28:47
Williams, he was actually focused on making
28:50
money. We just raised money at a billion
28:52
dollar valuation. We got to start taking
28:54
it seriously as a business. But Twitter
28:56
didn't want to rely on banner ads, which were the
28:58
standard format at the time. The
29:01
ad networks, specifically
29:03
Google's and Facebook's ads, were
29:05
mostly what you would consider
29:07
in the right-hand rail and the sort of demilitarized
29:10
zone of content on the web.
29:12
In the middle of your screen, you had a feed
29:15
on the top and on the right rail, you had ads.
29:17
And that works okay on a laptop.
29:19
On mobile, of course, there is
29:22
no right rail, there's the feed.
29:24
If you use Twitter at all in the last 10 years,
29:26
or really any app that has a feed,
29:29
you know the solution.
29:30
Put the ads in the feed.
29:32
So the ad is a tweet. And it can
29:34
be replied to, it can be retweeted, it can be
29:37
favorited, et cetera. Then we can
29:39
have a set of tweets that are content
29:41
tweets and some tweets that are ad tweets, and the
29:43
ad tweets we can insert into the feed. And the ads
29:45
are content. The ads are content, and those
29:47
were the first in-feed ads. This
29:50
is hard to remember now that every ad
29:52
is part of the feed,
29:54
but at the time, promoted tweets really were
29:56
something different.
29:57
They were a new solution to the problem of how to get...
30:00
ads in front of eyeballs and they worked.
30:03
So much so that Facebook and later Instagram
30:05
and everyone else did exactly
30:07
the same thing. So
30:09
Twitter was finally making a little bit of
30:11
money but if it wanted to make real
30:14
Facebook sized money it was gonna have to
30:16
keep growing at a crazy pace and
30:19
that was no longer happening. At
30:21
the beginning of 2009 Twitter was growing faster than anything
30:24
else on the internet
30:26
but by the end of that year it had already begun
30:28
leveling off. The company was having
30:30
to work harder and harder to find new people to
30:32
sign up.
30:33
This it turns out may be the most existential
30:36
Twitter question of them all.
30:38
What if this thing just isn't that interesting
30:41
to most people? So
30:43
why wasn't Twitter for everyone? Let's
30:45
start with the obvious. To make a tweet you
30:48
have to write something and for a lot
30:50
of people
30:51
writing is no fun.
30:52
Twitter is really hard to use.
30:55
Jay Wirtham loved it but Wirtham is a writer
30:57
and most people aren't.
30:58
For all the supposed simplicity
31:01
of the service you just make an
31:03
account and you can write whatever you want it's really
31:06
hard to figure out what works. Like if you're
31:08
just tweeting any thought that comes
31:10
into your head it's not really gonna
31:13
probably land.
31:15
Wirtham is describing this from the perspective
31:17
of someone who wants to share stuff on the internet.
31:20
Just like Twitter's earliest employees and users
31:22
those people assume most people would
31:25
feel the same way.
31:26
Jason Goldman again.
31:28
When we did blogger we fully
31:30
thought that everyone was gonna have a blog. So then
31:32
when we do Twitter I'm like everyone's gonna do
31:34
this. Like this is clearly gonna be the one that everyone
31:36
does because it's short. It's even more seductive
31:38
than blogs. Like you know you could just say I'm
31:40
eating a taco everyone's gonna do this.
31:43
It turns out not everyone's gonna do this. Not
31:45
everyone wants to be a content creator.
31:47
There are some people who really do
31:50
want to be content creators.
31:52
Like journalists who famously like the sound
31:54
of their own voice. Who love getting likes
31:56
and retweets from their peers even more. Or
31:59
like certain celebrities.
31:59
or politicians who imagined they
32:02
could use Twitter to interact directly with fans
32:04
and followers
32:05
or, eventually, a rocket
32:07
company CEO with a bottomless supply
32:10
of takes and means. These folks
32:12
were the super users, the top 10%
32:14
of Twitterers
32:15
who wound up producing 80% of the content
32:17
on the site.
32:18
And gradually, Twitter accepted that reality
32:21
and landed on the idea that Twitter was a great
32:23
place to read other people's tweets,
32:25
even if you didn't want to write them yourself.
32:28
But the next problem was getting the right tweets in front
32:30
of you when you first tried Twitter so
32:32
you could see how great it could be.
32:35
Here's Michael Sippy, who is VP
32:37
of Product under Costolo.
32:39
If you're following the right people, it can be a magical
32:41
product. It can be a ton of fun. But
32:45
coming in, it
32:46
takes a lot of work
32:48
to actually get that follow
32:50
graph correct. And so we spent a lot
32:52
of time and a lot of technology to
32:55
essentially help you tune that initial
32:58
set of accounts that you would follow. And
33:01
that meant a bunch of different hypotheses
33:03
that we had. One is like, well, we
33:05
should do things like Facebook. It's a social
33:07
network. So let's go scrape your address
33:10
book and make sure that there are friends that are there.
33:12
And you can go find. The problem is that
33:15
we did not have the density of Facebook or the
33:17
growth of Facebook. So like your friends weren't
33:19
posting enough and then that's not good enough.
33:22
And if in your first
33:25
hour, day, three days
33:27
of usage, you're not finding value in the
33:30
product and you're not willing to put in the work to go
33:32
find those people to follow, you're
33:34
going to churn.
33:36
Churn is a term you hear a lot
33:38
when you talk to Twitter veterans about the company's
33:40
problems. Churn is when someone tries
33:42
your service and then leaves. And Twitter
33:45
had a lot of churn. And
33:47
for a long time, Twitter acted like it couldn't afford
33:49
to care about churn. It had to care about growing.
33:52
Here's Jason Golden. I think we were too
33:54
focused for too long on growth. And
33:57
this is during the era where growth hacking
33:59
became. a concept and
34:01
this idea that you just needed to get more people in the
34:03
top of the funnel and pay
34:06
less attention to the churn that
34:08
is happening when people bounce out because they simply
34:10
don't get it. There's a pretty good chance that
34:12
you've used Twitter because you're
34:14
listening to this podcast about Twitter. But
34:17
most people have never tried Twitter and
34:19
lots of those who have don't stick around. It's
34:21
so hard to get them to come back. That's
34:23
Michael Sippy again, the former head of product.
34:26
You can get kind of occasional use of a product,
34:29
right? So you'll hear people like, well, I'm
34:31
really only on Twitter during the NBA finals because
34:34
that's when it gets fun. I'll come on for
34:36
the Olympics. I'll come on for the World Cup. I'll come on
34:38
for the elections because that's my interest area
34:40
and that's what it is. Twitter
34:43
did try to make itself more appealing to new
34:45
users and to make it stickier for the ones
34:47
that showed up. And when you look back at Twitter's
34:49
history, there is a long list of kudawudda
34:52
shuddas. It cost a lot
34:54
of big idea was to make Twitter more like
34:57
Facebook. Everyone loves to go to Facebook and
34:59
look at their friend's photos. That's like a massive
35:01
use case. We don't have media at all. Twitter
35:03
needed photos. And in 2010,
35:06
2011, the best place to find photos
35:09
after Facebook was Instagram,
35:11
the super buzzy photo sharing app. We
35:14
had talked to them about buying them before
35:16
I was CEO. And then when I was CEO
35:19
in February 2012, we tried to buy
35:21
them aggressively. We
35:24
couldn't convince them to do it.
35:26
A few months later, Mark Zuckerberg convinced
35:28
the Instagram team to sell to Facebook instead
35:31
for a billion dollars. This
35:32
is a humongous amount of money at the time.
35:35
Twitter did end up buying Vine, an app that
35:37
showed looping six second clips. It
35:40
was intriguing, but no one at Twitter knew exactly
35:42
what to do with it. Michael Sippy.
35:45
How do we take Vine technology and put it
35:47
into the Twitter product and what's that mix and
35:49
how does that work and what does distribution look like and
35:51
how much Twitter branding is there on Vine?
35:53
All of those conversations, I think drove that
35:56
team nuts.
35:57
become
36:00
TikTok, the most powerful entertainment
36:03
app today. But by the end of 2016,
36:05
Snapchat and Instagram had eaten Vine's
36:08
lunch, and Twitter closed it down.
36:11
Twitter tried other ways to build out the platform,
36:13
to give people other stuff to do besides
36:15
writing and reading tweets.
36:17
It launched Periscope, a live video
36:19
service. It launched its own music service,
36:22
except it wasn't really what users wanted out
36:24
of a music service because it didn't really play music.
36:27
You're supposed to use it to follow musicians
36:29
or something,
36:29
there was lots of talk about turning Twitter into a place
36:32
where you could buy and sell stuff.
36:34
To Costolo though, the big one that got away
36:36
is always gonna be Instagram.
36:39
Do you replay like the coulda woulda,
36:41
like what happens if Twitter dies? I
36:43
think we would have won. The fact
36:45
that they had built this just gorgeous,
36:48
beautiful photo sharing application
36:50
that was becoming the dominant photo sharing
36:53
application, which is why we wanted to buy it
36:55
and why Mark did buy it. And we
36:57
owned, if you will, the text space
37:00
and would go on to acquire Vine, which
37:03
was number one in the app store for weeks
37:05
and weeks and weeks right before Instagram launched video
37:07
and sort of knocked it out, would
37:10
have been positioned to have these three apps that are
37:12
perfectly suited to their media types.
37:14
We just didn't get Instagram. And that
37:17
probably would have changed the course of the internet in
37:19
some important way. Maybe,
37:24
or maybe none of those features really mattered. People who were on Facebook wanted
37:26
to use Facebook, not
37:29
Twitter. In 2009, Zuckerberg
37:32
had been so freaked out by Twitter that he wanted
37:34
to own it or bury it. But
37:37
eventually Zuckerberg and crew learned
37:39
to stop worrying about Twitter. In
37:42
Nick Bilton's book, Hatching Twitter, Zuckerberg
37:44
describes Twitter's team as lucky incompetence.
37:48
It's as if they drove a clown car into a
37:50
car into a gold mine and fell
37:52
in.
37:53
This wasn't a unique assessment and
37:56
there's a lot of evidence that supports it. Take
37:58
Twitter's CEO musical chairs. For instance,
38:00
in the 15 years before Elon Musk
38:02
bought the company, Twitter had five
38:05
different CEOs, two of whom were
38:07
Jack Dorsey. Lots of startups
38:09
swap out leaders at different times, but
38:11
that's the kind of instability that indicates the company
38:14
fundamentally can't decide what it should
38:16
be.
38:18
To be fair,
38:20
Twitter did make it to an IPO
38:22
in 2013, where Twitter's private
38:24
shares turned into public stock and made tons
38:26
of money for its investors and its early employees.
38:29
But ever since then, Twitter's stock lurched
38:31
and stalled as various managers tried
38:34
unsuccessfully to convince Wall
38:36
Street that Twitter was going to be the next Facebook.
38:39
Twitter did build an ad
38:41
business worth nearly $5 billion a year.
38:44
That sounds like a lot
38:45
until you compare it to Facebook, which
38:47
does $113 billion a year, or Google, which does $224 billion.
38:56
Another reason Elon Musk could buy Twitter
38:58
in 2022 is that unlike tech companies
39:01
like Facebook and Google and Snap, the
39:03
founders didn't control the company's stock, so
39:06
they couldn't fend off an unwanted buyer.
39:09
But the main reason is that Twitter had been public
39:11
for nearly a decade and investors didn't care
39:14
about it anymore.
39:15
They'd heard Twitter's story over and over
39:17
and they weren't buying it. So when the
39:19
world's richest man showed up and wanted to pay
39:22
way more than Wall Street thought it was worth, they
39:25
had no choice but to take the deal. So
39:29
let's spell this out. Deciding
39:31
to take venture money,
39:33
deciding to be an ad business,
39:35
deciding to compare yourself to Facebook
39:37
and losing out on that comparison,
39:40
those are all decisions that led to the real-life
39:42
scenario where Elon Musk owns Twitter.
39:45
And why should we care about what happens
39:47
to Twitter? Objectively speaking,
39:50
it's a tiny company compared to real tech
39:52
giants.
39:53
But...
39:54
Twitter, for better or for worse, has completely
39:57
shaped and participated
39:59
in a conversation for the last 10 years,
40:02
you know, and probably will for the next 10 years. And
40:05
I think that alone is worth just looking
40:07
at. Like, what is this thing that had
40:10
so much power in shaping national
40:12
politics, from elections to social
40:14
movements to even our understanding of
40:16
gun violence? I mean, Twitter has played a massive
40:18
role in that, and there's no denying it.
40:21
This series is called Land of the Giants.
40:23
But Twitter was never a giant, not
40:26
by market cap, not by user numbers. But
40:28
it could exert an influence totally disproportionate
40:31
to its size or its value. Figuring
40:34
out how exactly Twitter commanded that
40:36
power, and what exactly that
40:38
influence was,
40:40
those are questions that have flummoxed a lot of smart
40:42
people. And that's why we're here, to
40:45
try our best to provide some answers. Because
40:47
there is one thing I'm certain about. Twitter,
40:50
for all its flaws and in all its glory,
40:53
could only exist in a certain time, and that
40:55
time is winding down.
40:58
So while it's still here, let's talk about why
41:00
Twitter mattered,
41:01
and what that tells us about what comes
41:04
next.
41:17
Audio clips from AlgaeZero, the TED
41:20
conference, South by Southwest, and Marketplace.
41:23
Land of the Giants, the Twitter fantasy, is
41:25
a production of Vox and the Vox Media
41:28
Podcast Network.
41:29
Matt Frasica is our lead producer. Alua
41:32
Kemi, Alade Sui is our producer. Megan
41:35
Koonane is our editor. Charlotte
41:37
Silver is our fact checker. Brandon
41:39
McFarland composed the show's theme and engineered
41:42
the episode. Art Chung is our showrunner.
41:44
Shach Kurwa is our executive producer. I'm
41:47
Peter Kofke. If you like this episode, as
41:49
always, please share it. Follow the show
41:52
by clicking the plus sign in your podcast
41:54
app.
41:58
Mint Mobile
42:00
for their support. Paying high prices
42:03
for traditional wireless plans does not feel
42:05
great. What's worse is
42:07
dealing with the hidden fees on top of that.
42:10
Thankfully Mint Mobile can provide
42:12
you an alternative. Right now,
42:14
Mint Mobile's plans start at just $15 a
42:17
month.
42:18
And every plan comes with unlimited talk
42:20
and text plus high-speed 5G, which
42:23
means you can browse, buy, and set up a phone plan
42:25
totally online. To get your
42:27
new unlimited wireless plan for just $15 a
42:29
month, and to get that plan shipped
42:32
to your door for free, go to MintMobile.com
42:35
slash Giants. That's MintMobile.com
42:38
slash Giants. Cut your wireless bill
42:42
to $15 a month at MintMobile.com
42:45
slash Giants.
Podchaser is the ultimate destination for podcast data, search, and discovery. Learn More