Episode Transcript
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item at regular price. The
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NFL Draft nearly upon us. Our
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final thoughts on the San Francisco
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49ers selections in round one
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and beyond are final predictions for the
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draft and of course more talk and
1:18
speculation about Brandon Ayuka potential trade with
1:21
a monoroth named Brown now setting and
1:23
resetting the wide receiver market in
1:25
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croc another day another bit
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of news about Brandon
2:45
I you and I said on yesterday's pod that
2:47
was gonna be the last big Brandon I you
2:49
news pod because the next pod about Brandon I
2:51
you could be he either gets traded during the
2:54
draft or he signs a big Extension
2:57
but there is a bit of NFL news which pertains
2:59
to the 49ers and might add fuel to the fire
3:01
for a potential Brandon I you trade and we do
3:03
know now that the 49ers are at least listening
3:06
to offers I'm
3:08
on Ross a brown signing a four year 120
3:10
million dollar contract Lots
3:13
of guarantees with the Detroit Lions and
3:15
a resetting the wide receiver market and
3:17
now we've seen two really big contracts
3:20
This offseason for wide receivers and we still haven't seen
3:22
CD lamb So I haven't seen Justin Jefferson do their
3:24
deal and obviously we haven't seen Brandon. I you do
3:26
his deal yet There's other
3:29
potential deals till T Higgins potential trades that
3:31
could happen. It's gonna be a crazy offseason
3:33
for wide receivers and Really
3:36
this the in my immediate thought
3:38
isn't so much about a brain I you could
3:41
trade when I see the Detroit Lions resign on
3:43
or Saint Brown. My thought is immediately
3:47
Why aren't the 49ers trying to hurry up and get
3:49
this deal done before these all these other deals? Start
3:52
rolling through because brand I use price
3:54
only goes up from here. I Think
3:57
one thing that's more and more apparent again as much
3:59
as the the 49ers want
4:01
Brandon to be the long term guy, right?
4:03
They want him to be a 49er. I
4:07
don't think they want to
4:09
pay him the same amount
4:11
as some of these other receivers and what
4:14
they're getting. Saint
4:16
Brown who just signed a big contract extension
4:19
kudos to him. He is
4:21
really used and featured in that often. Now they
4:23
run the ball to him with Gibbs and Montgomery.
4:25
But a lot of the offense goes to Saint
4:27
Brown. They move him around. He plays outside, he
4:30
plays in the slot. He's
4:32
gonna get his 11-12 targets,
4:34
right? He has a big
4:36
focal point of what they do. And
4:38
that's not the case for the 49ers with Brandon
4:40
Iu. So I think the
4:43
way the 49ers are looking at it is like, man,
4:45
we love you as a football player. And
4:47
we want you and what you do on our team.
4:50
But not at the price tag of
4:52
these other guys, because we don't use you
4:54
that way. And that might be the hang up.
4:56
So even when we see these numbers, I think it makes it tougher.
4:59
I think the agent of Brandon Iu
5:01
and the 49ers get further apart on
5:03
their negotiations. I think the 49ers
5:05
will tell you, well, well, because you
5:08
have a 50 year option you have to play on
5:10
and push them to shove, we'll franchise tag you the
5:12
following year. So they kind of have them by the
5:14
cajones a little bit. But it doesn't
5:18
make the situation any easier for
5:22
the 49ers if they're not looking to pay him.
5:25
Now, what, 27 million? Cuz
5:27
think we're all got 30 million a year, 77 guaranteed. Yeah,
5:31
part of the problem too is just we
5:33
need to wait and see what the actual
5:35
dollars are and what the actual structure is.
5:38
Because there's guarantees and there's actual full guarantees,
5:40
right? There's guarantees for injury. There's
5:42
numbers that just turn out to be flat, inflated
5:45
versus what, and these are the agents numbers
5:47
that come out first, right? So the numbers
5:50
that Ian Rappaport reports out there,
5:52
those are coming from the agent side. When we actually see
5:54
what the numbers are, maybe it looks a lot less. Maybe
5:57
it makes a lot more sense to pay for you
5:59
closer to what this. contract is and I do
6:01
think that Brandon I you would not get
6:03
as much money as a Monroe St Brown
6:05
because of how they're featured in
6:08
their offense and what they've done how they
6:10
produce so far in the NFL throughout their careers.
6:12
I think he's I think a better comp
6:14
still for Brandon I you is is Devante
6:16
Smith now Brandon I you might not see it that
6:18
way and if Brandon I use camp is asking for
6:20
30 million dollars a year. I know why the 49ers
6:22
haven't signed him yet and they shouldn't just give
6:24
him that just because he's asking for it right and
6:26
that's why this thing may drag out a little bit
6:28
longer. It might be why they might be more willing
6:30
to listen to a trade offer if they think it's
6:32
going to be a really tough deal to get done
6:34
and that they might not end up getting it done
6:36
because it gets a little bit more
6:38
difficult if you go through the season on the 50
6:41
year option, which is obviously an option for the 49ers
6:43
because Brandon I you don't forget still under contract then
6:45
they have the franchise tag and it could you
6:47
know go a lot of different ways from
6:49
here. I don't think 49ers want to do
6:52
that, but that's one of that's their biggest
6:54
strength in bargaining is that they're well,
6:56
okay. Well, you can ask for something crazy that we're
6:58
not going to give you and we'll just
7:00
not do a deal and you're under
7:02
contract, right? So like but
7:04
if the 49ers don't want to do a deal with
7:07
Brandon I you can want to play hardball. They can
7:09
absolutely do that and Brandon I you will play for
7:11
the 49ers on his fifth year contract at
7:13
some point. I don't think it's going to come to that,
7:15
but that is one Avenue and that's where
7:17
the 49ers are bargaining from so
7:21
with a and obviously a monorail St. Brown doesn't
7:23
have a fifth year options wasn't a first round
7:25
pick so that you know shortens what that rookie
7:27
deal would be compared to Brandon I you could
7:29
the extra fifth year on his deal. Also
7:32
when you talk about like the bargaining chips
7:34
within I think the 49ers can also utilize
7:36
that and the trade value
7:38
right like they still value him as
7:40
a piece of this offense and what
7:43
he does to help them be a Super
7:45
Bowl caliber team. So any team that wants
7:47
to trade for him, we're
7:49
not just going to give them away just because one, you
7:52
know, we can't come very close on the contract
7:54
right now. We hold him we have
7:57
kind of this power Over what
7:59
happens. You. Want him for.
8:02
You and give of the first round pick. And
8:05
will talk about been Albright's bad you
8:07
know what he kind of predicts or
8:09
whatever we his mark drowsiness sure there,
8:11
but. You're Not going to do something like
8:13
that. We. Will keep you. So.
8:16
You go. Had draft a receiver. At.
8:18
Whatever pick you want to just receivers and. You
8:20
don't know visa to be good or not.
8:22
We know we're burning are huge is we
8:24
know what value Hebrew sore team. Unfortunately
8:27
the with house in the hands his office
8:29
as a own force with works are you.
8:31
Is. Is not passes. It's
8:34
run. Things. To to run dreams
8:36
that set up the past to the runs and
8:38
then you start to get the bread and are
8:40
you. And. That's why does Will I?
8:42
Think. The whole a bit. On.
8:45
The subject to bring. Now you can
8:47
a potential trade in the draft: Daniel
8:49
Jeremiah Drop this Today or Tuesday or
8:51
what would I mean no daily use
8:53
of Wednesday is when he dropped it
8:55
on Twitter. were recording this or later
8:57
Wednesday Edge. Of. He
9:00
said. That. The two
9:02
teams the makes sense to him or
9:04
the colts. And the Jacksonville Jaguars
9:07
he says run through this are all
9:09
the scenarios in the in the things
9:11
that that makes sense to him. With
9:13
the Forty Niners potentially treating Breanna you
9:15
can the teams that makes sense on
9:17
the receiving end for brain and I
9:19
you would be the Indianapolis Colts who
9:21
have the fifties pig in the draft
9:23
and the Jacksonville Jaguars where the seventies
9:25
pick in the Nfl draft him as
9:27
he those are of picks that the
9:29
foreigners would be asking for in trade.
9:32
do those teams make sense to you i
9:34
don't know why you consider the steelers who
9:36
are it twenty is part of this for
9:38
deal jeremiah swaths he doesn't really elaborate on
9:40
it he just as those two teams in
9:42
an office because what he's hearing or if
9:44
it's because of what makes sense to him
9:46
if he's put his g m hat on
9:48
for all these teams but i don't know
9:50
how the the steelers are coming up workers
9:53
are just a few pics after the jags
9:55
and they have the receiver need as well
9:57
and they're not pain and expensive quarterback or
9:59
an expensive wider right now so you
10:01
would think under their cap and under their team
10:03
building strategy, Brandon and I would fit really nice
10:05
in Pittsburgh as well. I
10:08
think especially after losing Deontay Johnson or the
10:10
trade Deontay Johnson or whatever happened with him
10:12
but now the guy who was I felt
10:15
like a big piece in the offense and maybe he you
10:17
know had some frustration start to kick in and I mean
10:19
just get me out of here. I'm done
10:21
with whatever y'all going through at this quarterback position. I
10:24
don't want any parts of it. You obviously
10:27
still have Pickens and
10:29
you know he's a terrific receiver but
10:32
you would like a Brandon
10:34
Iuk and Pickens. Pickens
10:37
needs someone that compliments him in a
10:39
different way with the game that he
10:41
plays. He's kind of a contested catch
10:43
guy, not as much high volume
10:45
guy and that's why Deontay Johnson I felt like
10:47
worked so well but adding Brandon
10:49
Iuk takes that to a higher
10:51
level. And Deontay Johnson is a good receiver as well.
10:54
I think he's in the same class as Brandon
10:57
Iuk, no, Deebo
10:59
Samuel. Brandon
11:02
Iuk. 2017
11:05
Deebo Samuel class, yeah. He went a few
11:07
picks in the third round I believe after
11:09
DK Metcalflin. There we go, yeah. So,
11:14
like him a lot but he's gone.
11:16
So how do you figure
11:18
out a way to kind of bolster your receiver room
11:20
and it is potentially training for a guy like Brandon
11:22
Iuk. Because the Colts and the Jags
11:24
have already done work in free agency and the Colts
11:26
just paid Michael Pittman who's from the same
11:29
draft as Brandon Iuk, right? He just got
11:31
paid. So you'd be putting a lot
11:33
of money in wide receiver and now you got a
11:35
rookie contract quarterback and that's what you're trying to help
11:37
out so obviously it's not crazy money that they'd be
11:39
dropping but you know they'd be paying two big
11:42
wide receiver contracts the
11:44
same offseason. I don't know if
11:46
that makes as much sense and I think at 15
11:48
you'd be much more likely to have someone like Brian
11:51
Thomas Jr. there for you to
11:53
actually pick yourself. The teams that
11:55
would be more interested are the teams that are
11:57
outside of the top receivers in the draft probably.
12:00
think the brand I use better than what's left for them in
12:02
the draft. So let's get a little bit more into that. What
12:05
makes sense are predictions for a brand
12:08
and I trade if it happens
12:10
and our predictions for the 49ers draft.
12:14
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for trades croc you mentioned the
13:55
Ben Albright mock draft and
13:57
he's a pretty plugged-in guy and has sources
14:00
somewhere around the league in the NFL
14:03
front offices and he
14:05
projects an interesting trade the 49ers going
14:07
up with the Jacksonville Jaguars as Daniel
14:09
Jeremiah mentioned and what's interesting is those
14:12
two that mock trap was written Before
14:17
the Daniel Jeremiah stuff came out So maybe
14:19
they're starting to hear the same thing is
14:21
Trent bulky talking to John Lynch about a
14:23
potential brand and I you trade Because Albright
14:25
had the Niners trading up to 17 with
14:27
Brandon I are not trading up but trading
14:30
the brand and I you for the 17th pick and Selecting
14:34
a wide receiver right there out of LSU
14:36
Brian Thomas Jr 63433
14:39
speed a downfield weapon does that
14:41
receiver even fit? Shanahan
14:43
style if he was to trade Brandon I you to
14:46
the Jaguars for 17 well
14:48
when I saw that at pick 17 and they
14:50
took the receiver one not a huge fan of
14:54
Forcing anything right? I think 49 fans
14:56
they did at me because I'm not
14:58
forcing in an office attack Well,
15:00
you know, I would love to have one but at 31
15:02
is I always got to be office of line It's like
15:04
I'm not big on forcing things and I definitely wouldn't
15:06
want to force a receiver at 17 Just
15:09
because in that scenario you trade away Brandon
15:12
I so for me personally, I'm
15:14
looking what office alignment are available.
15:17
It's the time they were available am I making this
15:19
trailer for the town? No, it's not available and Looking
15:22
at Benjamin Albright board
15:26
Fotano went the pick before the 49ers to
15:28
I want to say Seattle Seahawks. Yes Yeah,
15:32
so, you know At
15:35
that point like I'm sorry Brandon I you
15:37
but you're not gonna get paid anymore this
15:39
year because I'm not trading you if the
15:41
guy that I would want on the board
15:43
is not there and then also When
15:46
you look at what they traded for and I think this
15:48
kind of is reminiscent a little bit a little bit
15:50
of the Deebo Samuel situation Deebo
15:53
Samuel stayed a 49er a lot of people
15:55
look at that like, oh see he was
15:57
never gonna go anywhere. No The
16:00
trade offer just was not good enough.
16:02
So here's here was the the
16:04
D-Bo Samuel situation. They tried to trade
16:07
pick 10 overall But
16:09
they want to pick swap they want to pick 61 in
16:11
return So
16:13
the 49ers would have had picked 10 and
16:15
they would not have picked again until late in the third round Right.
16:18
Like no we we valued D-Bo more than
16:20
that. Yeah, this is the 2022 draft,
16:23
right? Yes, and the new york jets
16:26
The 49ers would have basically packaged both D-Bo and
16:28
61 their second round pick Which is the first
16:30
selection they had in that draft to go up
16:32
to number 10, right? Right.
16:36
Yeah, look Garrett Wilson would have been real nice that was
16:38
the pick for the in that spot by the way by
16:40
the by the New
16:43
York Jets and he'd been a nice fit for
16:45
the 49ers and You
16:48
could argue whether or not that would have been worth
16:50
it, but this is a similar
16:54
Trade which is just a flat no for me with
16:56
a pick swap on top of pick 17 Your
16:59
the 49ers would have been basically utilizing
17:01
Brandon I you to move up from
17:04
31 to 17 just
17:06
to draft a receiver and that's a big
17:08
big no for me and the
17:11
the 49ers only get outside
17:14
of pick 17 and again using I like to
17:16
get get up he has The
17:19
Jacksonville giving the 49ers pick 116
17:21
so I mean what is
17:23
that a fourth round pick? So you know, you guys already
17:26
have three fourth round picks. They don't need another one. Yeah,
17:28
so I was like, okay We're gonna trade I you
17:30
to move up to draft another receiver just
17:32
to Absolutely not
17:34
like that. That's that's one of those scenarios where like
17:37
yes, he is for sale Yes, we would like to
17:39
have a pick 17, but we're not doing it This
17:42
way like where we feel like how does this
17:44
benefit us? Because we just
17:47
get rid of Brandon. I we don't want to get rid of Brandon.
17:49
I right Yeah,
17:51
that makes no sense if it was for 17 I
17:55
think you're talking right and that's why that's
17:57
what the 49ers are asking it should be
17:59
asking there a report, remember a few weeks
18:01
ago, which might be might
18:03
sound like it has a lot more validity than
18:05
at the time where there was a reporter in
18:07
Jacksonville that said she heard the 49ers axing
18:10
price was 17 plus wide receiver
18:12
Zay Jones from
18:14
the Jaguars. I think that's more in line of what John
18:17
was just probably asking for. A pick swap
18:19
is a huge no, very
18:21
reminiscent of the the
18:24
offseason two years ago with Depot. If
18:27
you told me right now that big 17, you get 17, you get
18:31
Zay Jones who I think Zay Jones
18:33
is a solid receiver. You know,
18:35
I think he could work well in the 49ers
18:37
offense. Is he a replacement for Brandon? I know,
18:40
but he'd be solid. Like if he
18:42
had 700 yards at the
18:44
end of the season and four touchdowns, like would I be surprised
18:46
not at all? Yeah, gives you a better player to plug in
18:48
now. And then you still draft the guy that you're trying to
18:51
develop for later. Yeah, and you still can't but at least you
18:53
still have picked 31. But
18:55
if you're saying I will give
18:57
you 17, but we're taking Iuke
19:00
and pick 31. I'm out. I'm
19:03
out. I'm sorry, Brandon. I'm
19:05
not trading for that. If I'm the Jaguars, you
19:07
could turn 17 into pick 31 state
19:11
has some first round pick and get Brandon Iuke. That's
19:13
insane. Like you'd be doing back once if
19:15
you're a Jaguars fan in that in that situation.
19:18
Now, I did have someone in on
19:20
Twitter in the comments asked me, what do you
19:22
think about this scenario? And it was a pick
19:24
swap plus a second round pick. At
19:27
least I'm intrigued by that. Like I can
19:29
think about that. Because then at
19:31
least I still have three picks. And
19:33
the first two to three in
19:36
the first two rounds, I still have picked seven or
19:38
let's say I think it was the Steelers in the
19:40
scenario, but I picked 20. And
19:42
then I have two second round picks. And
19:45
then my late third. I'm
19:47
more intrigued by that. Would I just
19:49
put a trigger on it? I don't know. Again, if you're telling
19:52
me for tunnel is here. Now
19:54
we're talking about trading Brandon
19:57
I you for a legit Long-term
20:00
potentially right tackle or left
20:02
tackle plays left tackle Washington
20:06
And I get a second round pick That's
20:08
that's a little bit more Entitling
20:11
it gets me to think a little bit more like that's
20:13
just not a for sure. No, right, right No,
20:16
I totally agree. And so that's why And
20:18
look and that's why I think it's unlikely that a team
20:21
like the Colts or the team like the Jaguars Would be
20:23
willing to trade for bear now you think the asking price
20:25
is probably too high But the
20:27
folks around the league must be talking there must
20:29
be a reason like the Colts must be trying
20:31
to go get a wider receiver the Jaguars must
20:34
be making a lot of calls about getting wide
20:36
receiver or else those teams names wouldn't be thrown
20:38
out because to Me the Steelers make a ton
20:40
more sense as a trade partner or
20:42
I think if I had to
20:44
guess which team trades for Brandon I you it
20:47
would be the Carolina Panthers The Carolina
20:49
Panthers don't have a first round pick. So you might be saying
20:51
wait saying to you They're not
20:53
first round pick, you know, what they do have is pick
20:55
33 the first pick in the second round They also have
20:57
picked 39 right the eighth pick
20:59
in the first round. They've got We
21:04
got two picks in the second round 31 plus
21:06
or 33 plus 39 is worth more than Steelers
21:11
pick 20 by itself so they
21:13
could put together a package I think they would
21:15
entice the 49ers that gives them first round value
21:17
even though they don't have a first round pick
21:19
whether it's packaging a future pick with 33 or
21:21
something like that and I
21:24
think they have the most need cap space
21:26
to make a move They need a veteran
21:28
wide receiver They need a now wide receiver
21:30
for their young quarterback And I'm surprised that
21:32
we're not hearing about the Panthers and wide
21:35
receivers right now And I guess it's
21:37
just because they don't have first round pick So they're
21:39
not in all the first round mocks But I think
21:41
the dark horse team for Brandon you it's probably the
21:43
Carolina Panthers now He would want to he would have
21:45
to want to sign a deal there, too So maybe
21:47
that's a big no from a Ukes
21:49
camp potentially because that's a very different
21:51
offense now that you're in and a
21:53
very different Team that you're in
21:56
that you're on now, even if you get
21:58
a little bit extra cash if you're brand you
22:00
and as talented as you know
22:02
Bryce young is like is he going
22:04
to be good usually maybe he is
22:07
but maybe he's not I know one thing
22:10
hey with the 49ers I do have a
22:12
good quarterback so I like
22:14
my rapport with my quarterback in San Francisco
22:16
do I want to sign a
22:18
long-term extension which definitely like they would have
22:20
to iron out the details
22:22
of a contract or potential contract prior
22:24
to making the trade because if you
22:26
trade it for him and he's like I'm not he's kind of with you
22:29
guys then now you're just
22:31
in the same position as a 49ers
22:33
get your option maybe franchise tag them
22:35
but nothing is solidified with Brennan I
22:37
long term which is what he's trying
22:39
to get next
22:42
it's prediction time what will the
22:44
San Francisco 49ers be doing Thursday
22:46
night and Friday and Saturday
22:49
in the 2024 NFL Draft
22:52
next this episode is brought
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England should do in the draft and
24:02
his answer was objectively terrible. The
24:05
athletic just wrote a great article about
24:07
this, but Philip doesn't have the athletic
24:10
or the respect of a boisterous group
24:12
of 11-year-olds who once looked up to
24:14
him. Learn from Philip's
24:16
error, get the athletic and get the
24:19
info you need to speak draft fluently.
24:23
Prediction time, Croc, for the 2024
24:25
NFL Draft, will Brandon Iyuk be
24:27
traded? No. No. I
24:31
don't think that a team will
24:33
meet the demands that the
24:36
49ers have. And
24:38
the 49ers, again, they don't have to do this.
24:42
Yes, right. It's not, I would
24:44
bet that it doesn't happen, but it feels
24:46
much more likely today than it did a
24:48
month ago. Remember,
24:50
my percentage was 70%. He
24:52
plays on 50-year option, 20% gets a new contract,
24:54
10%. He's moved.
24:57
I'd book that 10% up to 25% right now. Now
25:00
still, you have much more chance. You got 75% chance. He
25:05
is a 49er to some extent. There's
25:08
25% chance, which is much higher than
25:10
10%. So
25:13
I put a tweet out earlier Wednesday
25:17
and it said this. By
25:20
the way, going back to Daniel Jeremiah, he had some
25:22
other intel. He said everyone he's talking to, people
25:25
are trading up for offensive tackles. That might be the 49ers.
25:28
That might be the Kansas City Chiefs at 32, trying to get in
25:30
front of the 49ers and a bunch of other teams. That
25:35
might be the Steelers. The Steelers need an offensive tackle. By
25:37
the way, my guy Matt Williamson, we've
25:39
talked about this. What would a Iyuk trade look
25:41
like? And he's like, man, that
25:44
first round pick, I don't think is going anywhere because the Steelers
25:47
want an offensive tackle with that pick. And
25:49
so it's the Steelers. There's so
25:51
many good tackles in this class, but there's so many teams that
25:53
need an offensive tackle as well. So they're going to fly off
25:55
the boards. Teams might be going up to try to get them.
26:00
I mean, we're just bringing this up. I
26:02
like that you talked about that with the
26:04
focus on officer tackle around the league. Everybody
26:06
looks at McKivvits like it's just this terrible
26:09
officer lineman and it's so easy to replace
26:11
him. Excuse
26:13
me, John Lynch said it in
26:15
the press conference yesterday. They're
26:18
struggling with offensive linemen around the
26:20
league. This is not an
26:22
issue exclusive to the 49ers. So
26:25
when you have McKivvits and this is
26:27
my, everybody pushes back on me. I'm not saying this
26:29
guy is great, but he is serviceable
26:31
to the point. And someone brought up some great points,
26:33
man, they had to run away from him. They had to run to the
26:35
left side all the time. They figured
26:38
out a way to be serviceable with him out
26:40
there. And you wrote that
26:42
to the Superbowl. All right, so
26:44
obviously this is a guy that you would love to
26:46
improve over. But the rest of
26:48
the league is thinking the same thing. Why
26:51
is everybody trying to trade up for
26:53
these tackles? Why are so many tackles
26:55
projected to go first round? Because everybody
26:57
tackles, they have the same issues
26:59
as the 49ers. So
27:01
I'm glad, I just wanted to say that because I'm glad you
27:03
brought that up. It's not as easy as just, oh,
27:06
it's just drafts anybody and it's gonna be
27:08
good. The entire league is having trouble finding
27:11
guys that are good on
27:13
the offensive line. Forget just
27:15
tackle, tackles, guards. That's
27:17
why they can't pay so much on the market now. offensive
27:20
guards are getting paid a premium
27:23
because it's hard to even find good guards
27:25
as well. Pickens
27:30
are gonna be slim at 31 for the 49ers
27:32
at offensive tackle. And I hope they don't force it.
27:35
And they've done enough work on their roster where
27:38
I don't think they have to force it and
27:40
they can go best player available. Maybe they do
27:42
move up, maybe they do move back, Croc. But
27:44
I get the sense right now, if
27:46
the 49ers stick at 31, there's not
27:48
gonna be a really clean option for them
27:50
at offensive tackle. And
27:52
so I don't think I would predict that
27:54
they take any offensive tackle necessarily at pick
27:56
31. So if they are at
27:58
31. What's the prediction?
28:01
Who do the 49ers draft in
28:03
the first round of the 2024 NFL Draft? Kroc.
28:09
I think it's been clear you and I were on the
28:11
same page with this, right? You
28:14
want the right guy, not
28:16
just a guy. And we've kind of narrowed it
28:18
down. There's a couple of guys I would love
28:20
to be on the board. I'm talking about Cooper
28:22
DeGene. I think he's a day one, plug and
28:24
play guy in the secondary. He'd start even impactful
28:27
player. I would love to have him. I don't
28:29
quite foresee him being there at 31. Hope
28:31
he is. And we're talking about him at
28:33
safety slash nickel. We call him Palin
28:36
Ramsey. All right. We're not talking about
28:38
him being in the outside corner, aka
28:40
Jason Seaworm out there. So
28:43
I don't foresee him being there. And
28:45
then you go straight to another position where you
28:47
feel like a guy can make an impact and
28:49
both of us landed on the defensive line. Different
28:51
guys. I kind of landed more on Robinson. I
28:53
like to value that. A lot of people don't.
28:56
I wouldn't quite need that at pit
28:59
31. You really like Johnny
29:01
Newton who could come in
29:03
and be someone that
29:05
compliments Yvonne Hargreaves extremely well.
29:08
But so if I had to guess, you're probably
29:10
landing in the market of one
29:12
of those two guys potentially. Yeah,
29:15
I would put like Kool-Aid in there
29:18
as well as a potential pick for
29:20
the 49ers. But they've done some work.
29:22
And if you just read the tea
29:24
leaves, they've brought in a bunch of veterans. And
29:29
I think if you look at who's
29:31
on one-year deals, who's on two-year deals,
29:33
looking down the road, defensive tackle is
29:36
where I land here with where I would put
29:39
my money on who's going to be
29:41
there, Johnny Newton. And so I'm
29:43
going to guess Johnny Newton at 31. And
29:46
I think these are sort of
29:48
the chalky picks. I
29:50
think Johnny Newton and Darius Robinson should be
29:52
the betting favorites for the 49ers and then
29:54
maybe Chop Robinson and Kool-Aid and McKensrey after
29:56
that. Those four guys I think are the
29:59
most likely. potential best
30:01
players on the board available for the 49ers. I'm
30:03
gonna throw one more out there though, Croc, because
30:05
I think this is really worth the discussion. And
30:07
that's Jackson Powers Johnson. I'm gonna add him as
30:09
the fifth guy, because I've seen
30:11
him slide. He was like kind of a lock first
30:13
rounder and came seeing him kind of slide in mock
30:15
drafts a little bit. Graham Barton seems to be going
30:17
ahead of him a lot. When you're looking at the
30:19
like the center types, the interior offensive lineman. Wouldn't
30:23
it be smarter to draft somebody that
30:25
you think, even though it's not the
30:27
most position, highest position value or maybe,
30:30
you know, fans out there are gonna erupt if
30:32
they don't draft an offensive tackle in the first round. Isn't
30:35
it smarter if you think, man, there's a guy who he thinks
30:38
is an all pro center. Wouldn't you
30:40
wanna draft that guy over what
30:42
you think is maybe you're just kind of settling
30:44
on a guy who's not as good at the
30:46
offensive tackle position? I think
30:48
definitely, and I think as I'm
30:51
playing things through my head, we talked about Robinson,
30:53
we talked about Jack Newton. They
30:56
did throw a lot of resources. We talked about
30:58
outside quarterback Kool-Aid in the history. They brought in
31:00
a lot of free agents for those spots. Edge,
31:03
they brought in multiple guys. Interior defensive
31:05
line, they brought in multiple guys. Cornerback, they
31:07
brought in multiple guys. Center,
31:09
they brought in nobody.
31:13
Guard, they brought back at least Feliciano
31:15
101. They brought back Feliciano, but
31:18
that's not. Tackle did
31:21
nothing. They added a year
31:23
to Colton McKibbin's contract at a dollar amount
31:25
that says he's not a starting offensive tackle
31:27
in the NFL. They gave him swing tackle
31:29
money, right? So they're
31:33
gonna draft an offensive lineman. The question is, is it
31:35
in the first round or not? I'd
31:38
say they would do well.
31:40
And I also saw a chart. It shows
31:42
like hit rate on positions for
31:45
the first round. Yeah. More like
31:47
highest, lowest percentages of players hitting. The
31:50
hit rate on centers that are drafted in
31:52
the first round is the highest out of
31:54
any other position. Yeah, there was one miss.
31:57
And this was based on, so it's a little bit.
32:00
It's based on that player signing
32:02
a second contract with the team that
32:04
drafted him So for example Brandon I
32:06
you if they trade him would be a miss Because
32:09
the Niners didn't resign him. He's clearly a
32:11
hit divorce Buckner is listed as a miss.
32:13
He was clearly a hit There's not that
32:15
many of those like TJ. Hopkinson was traded
32:17
and so he's part of the miss category
32:19
for the tight ends But he would be
32:21
a hit I think you know So there's some
32:23
that it's not perfect But the
32:26
top three positions are guard center tackle
32:28
or center tackle guard or something like that in
32:31
a row So it's like the best
32:33
hit rate is the offensive lineman in the NFL draft the
32:35
worst hit rate is wide receiver by the way Interesting
32:38
which is why under 50% well, which is which
32:40
is why why are More
32:44
teams not banging down the door the
32:46
49ers to try to get Brandon I
32:48
eat which is why if you end up with a top
32:50
20 pick We're probably shouting at
32:53
him to draft an offensive tackle with that pick and
32:55
not a wide receiver with that pick and attack wider
32:57
See related maybe just multiple times Especially the sweet spot
32:59
seems to be in the second round right now for
33:01
wider severs in the NFL They do
33:04
if you have the ability to pour some especially
33:06
the early day to write you I
33:08
feel like second round is rich with
33:11
you know And especially like those top 15 picks
33:13
in the second round to be able
33:15
to get a receiver that could come
33:17
in a really contribute I kind
33:19
of want to make my My guess
33:21
actually Jackson Powers Johnson now that I think about
33:24
it. Yeah, I'm gonna change it I'm
33:26
gonna say Jackson Powers Johnson around one
33:28
is my guess but those
33:30
five players have a pretty That
33:32
I think it's gonna be one of those five players Not
33:34
offensive tackle in round one if they stay at 31 and
33:37
they don't move up or down Which I think is a
33:39
big possibility as well What's
33:42
your percentage on the Niners picking at 31?
33:46
Or remember I I give a higher percentage of
33:48
the 49ers moving down. Yeah This was our bet
33:50
right? I think it's a better 50% chance They
33:53
stay just because it's less likely it's more likely to
33:55
stay than make a trade But maybe the 49ers are
33:57
more likely to be one of the more mobile teams
34:00
I still like the idea of moving up on day two more
34:02
than on the more than from 31. Cuz I
34:04
think one of the five players I mentioned are gonna be there and I think
34:06
they'd be a good draft pick at 31. Then you
34:08
go up and get that asshole, right? If
34:10
they want Jackson Powers Johnson and or
34:13
Jackson Powers Johnson. Yeah, yeah.
34:15
And he's the only guy that's like him
34:17
and he starts sliding
34:19
down. I can see them
34:22
say we gotta move up to 24 to get this guy.
34:25
He's the only one that's like him.
34:27
Or maybe Graham Barton. But I
34:32
tweeted out earlier Wednesday. Since
34:35
pickings are slim and offensive tackle, I don't think they'll
34:37
go offensive tackle as I just mentioned. And
34:40
I do think the 49ers will end up
34:42
with one of these four players croc. This
34:44
is my prediction. Kingsley Suo-Mataia, we've talked a
34:46
lot about Roger Rosengarten, Blake
34:48
Fisher, right tackle from Notre Dame, who
34:51
was the bookend with Joe Alt who's going
34:54
in round one and then Caden Wallace, who
34:56
was the right tackle at Penn State, who's
34:58
the bookend with Olu
35:01
Fashionu, who's gonna go in round one
35:03
at right tackle. So Kingsley
35:05
Suo-Mataia, Blake Fisher
35:07
and Caden Wallace all came on 30 visits
35:09
for the 49ers, Roger Rosengarten, the 49ers went
35:11
to Washington and had a private workout with
35:13
him. Now, one of
35:15
those guys could be the pick at 31, but I
35:17
think their plan, if I had to guess, is
35:20
they're looking at more round two
35:23
guys here. And they're gonna go
35:25
somewhere else, best player available in round one.
35:27
And then round two,
35:29
they're hoping to either, or maybe round
35:31
three, to draft one of these four players or
35:33
maybe even move up to maneuver the board to
35:35
get one of their tackles there. That's my prediction
35:38
right now, bro. I
35:40
can see that. This is gonna be fun,
35:42
man. This next 24 hours, very
35:45
nerve wracking for not just
35:47
a lot of 49ers fans, but a lot of Laker fans, cuz we
35:49
got a chance to go OM3 in this series. It
35:51
gets the nuggets and I'm excited about that. I
35:54
can't even watch the Lakers Nuggets playoff game. I
35:56
gotta watch the NFL draft, man, but it is
35:59
gonna be exciting. for a
36:01
day, a exciting day for me for a lot of different reasons.
36:04
All right. Well, I'll be
36:06
rooting against the Lakers and I'll be rooting for the 49ers
36:08
to, uh, to
36:10
blow our minds. And I know John Lynch and
36:12
Kyle Shanahan, when they get in their office and
36:14
they start talking, they come up with some wild
36:16
stuff that we don't expect. So, um, always expect
36:19
the unexpected when it comes to the NFL draft
36:21
and make sure you are subscribed right
36:23
here to lock down 49ers. We're
36:25
going to break down all the picks after
36:27
they happen, but you also have to be
36:29
subscribed to Eric Crocker's YouTube channel and
36:32
Brian Peacock's YouTube channel OT with
36:34
BP, uh, on my channel. We're
36:36
going to be going live during the first round
36:39
of the NFL draft, breaking down everything that's going
36:41
on with the picks, waiting to see the 49ers
36:43
move up, move down what they do and have
36:45
a live reaction to the 49ers selection in round
36:47
one, and then in round two,
36:49
we'll be on Crocker's channel and we'll be doing
36:51
the same thing there. So make sure you are
36:53
subscribed. Those are YouTube only. We'll be doing long
36:55
lives and answering chats and super chats and having
36:57
all kinds of fun on draft day at those
36:59
channels. And who knows what we'll be doing in
37:02
round three and beyond. Maybe we'll do it up
37:04
again on one of those two channels, but make
37:06
sure you're subscribed there. We're pumped for it. The
37:08
NFL draft is here and
37:10
we will talk to you then everywhere,
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