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Our preparations here on Lockdown Dolphins are not done
1:17
for the 2024 NFL Draft, but we've covered
1:19
enough ground to reveal the list. The
1:22
prospects available that I would not trade
1:24
away from if I were the Dolphins
1:26
with the 21st overall pick in this year's class.
1:31
You are Lockdown Dolphins. Your
1:33
daily Miami Dolphins podcast. Part
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of the Locked On Podcast Network. Your
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team every day. Oh
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my my yummy.
1:47
Welcome to another episode of Lockdown Dolphins.
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It is your team every day. Here
1:52
on the Lockdown Network, I'm your host, Kyle
1:54
Crabs, a lifelong Miami Dolphins fan, host of
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Lockdown Dolphins, co-host of Lockdown NFL scouting.
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You can find our shows on YouTube. Wherever you
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the show We
2:23
reveal the list What
2:26
is the list the list is the
2:28
prospects in the 2020 for NFL
2:30
draft that if they are available on the clock For
2:33
the Dolphins. I would
2:35
not trade out of picking
2:38
now This cuts both
2:40
ways You could be in a
2:42
world where none of these players are on the board When
2:45
you pick a 21 and you say okay, well,
2:47
let's let's regroup slide down the board recoup some
2:49
of the draft capital we lost courtesy
2:53
of the tampering or the Bradley chub trade because you're missing a
2:55
three and a four and We'll
2:58
come back on the board and try and find appropriate value
3:01
later on or You
3:04
could have multiple players of
3:06
the list that are
3:09
still available and those
3:11
that being the case you
3:14
would then kind of take the Mathematical
3:16
look at the the board behind
3:18
you and say how far could we go afford to
3:20
go down and ensure we still get one
3:22
of these Players or you might just be so head
3:24
over heels with one of these players on this list
3:27
That you stick and pick one of them regardless if
3:29
he's the only one left or if there's eight of
3:32
them left on the board No,
3:34
any of those outcomes. I'm totally
3:37
cool with But this
3:39
is from my perspective me evaluating
3:41
the prospects. I Want
3:44
to make sure that we take the time to define the list
3:46
for what it is I've
3:49
evaluated the prospects. I've worked
3:51
through kind of the consensus. I believe them through the
3:53
consensus top 75 players We
3:57
have obviously not done presentations on all of them. I
3:59
haven't decided not to do
4:02
that breadth of player evaluations and instead try
4:04
to cherry pick the right names to bring
4:06
to the table for you guys to talk
4:08
about. But
4:11
I've done the evaluations through the lens
4:14
of fitting for Miami's scheme,
4:16
what we anticipate they're going to look like on both
4:18
sides of the ball, what they have,
4:20
what they don't, what they like. I've
4:23
graded these players in
4:25
accordance with that
4:28
scope. And
4:32
what I have come up with is a list
4:35
of 10 players. Technically
4:38
12, but there's a
4:40
quarterback on here and there's an injury
4:44
flag that I think disqualifies a player from being
4:46
drafted. So I've granted a total of 12 names.
4:49
And there's a 12 highest graded film
4:51
grades and assessments that I have given
4:53
out for the dolphin scheme thus
4:56
far this draft cycle. And I'm deep
4:58
enough into the class that I feel
5:01
pretty good about not
5:03
finding any additional names, which
5:06
makes now the logical time to say, look, here
5:08
are in my eyes the 12 best
5:12
players in
5:14
this class tailored for Miami's scheme.
5:18
And if you walk away with any of these players, I'm gonna
5:20
do backflips out in my backyard and
5:22
I can't do backflips. But
5:25
I'll figure it out or we're gonna
5:27
have one heck of a viral moment on our
5:29
hands. If I don't figure it out.
5:31
The good news about the
5:34
list is there's a number of players who when
5:37
you look at their ADP on the mock draft simulators and
5:39
the data, there's
5:44
some that are kind of in
5:46
the ballpark of where Miami's
5:48
picking. So you feel like some of these you
5:50
have a realistic chance. I remember last year, we
5:53
did the evaluations and we're
5:55
talking about, we did the
5:57
Bijon Robinson conversation, the Jameer gives
5:59
conversation. Conversations like look these guys aren't gonna be
6:01
where Miami picks in the 50s You
6:05
talk about what a trade-up would look like,
6:07
but you really know it's not particularly realistic,
6:09
but they're awesome fits for your scheme You
6:14
knew you were gonna never gonna sniff those players There's
6:17
players on this list that you won't
6:19
sniff this year either because they're gonna be long gone
6:21
by the time like anybody's on the board that even
6:23
thinks about trading a pic and And
6:26
then the other exciting thing is that the
6:28
players that you know are going to go
6:31
before this that aren't on the list the
6:33
Jaden Daniels and JJ McCarthy's of the world
6:35
and the drank maze of the world That
6:39
are gonna push The
6:41
players on my do not trade away
6:43
from list or do not trade out
6:45
of all of them list Closer
6:50
and closer to you and there's
6:53
some intersection between needs and
6:55
value with this list Not
7:00
all of it case in point Caleb Williams
7:02
I'll spoil that Caleb Williams graded high enough
7:04
for this system and scheme that I
7:06
wouldn't be a player I would trade away from and
7:09
obviously there's He's gonna
7:11
go predictably first overall. That's not
7:13
saying I'm advocating for replacing to a tongue of
7:15
a loa I'm just saying in evaluating all
7:18
of the players in the class if
7:20
he were on the board at 21 He'd be
7:22
a player that I'd be like no I want to trade away from
7:24
him I Probably
7:27
not I think he's a very very very Promising
7:30
quarterback and in this system would be
7:33
totally electric But it's a moot point because
7:35
he's going first overall and that often are
7:37
going to pay to a tongue of a load. So But
7:41
that's one of the 12 highest graded players
7:43
on the list and I figured I'd acknowledge
7:45
him now and get that part out
7:47
of The way will cut the list to
7:49
11 for the next segment in which we
7:52
introduce who they are Including the
7:54
one player who from a medical
7:56
background perspective is is
7:58
gonna be disqualified from being on this
8:00
list but is an aim to watch if he ends up
8:02
sliding a little bit further down the board regard
8:05
again regardless of whether or not he
8:07
is a need for the Dolphins because
8:10
the ideal is to draft the
8:12
best available players and figure
8:14
out the rest as you go and they've kind of
8:16
been positioning in the selves to do that it's
8:20
not a complete process yet but
8:23
if they feel like they're close enough and they feel like they
8:25
have enough avenues for the other areas of need on the roster
8:27
then you're not married to well we have to get
8:30
a defensive tackle or we have to get an offensive
8:32
lineman we have to get a wider
8:34
receiver three right
8:36
so that doesn't account for any of this
8:38
this list but
8:40
it's the players that if they're on the board when the Dolphins pick
8:42
a 21 you do
8:45
the math and you do what you need to do to make
8:47
sure that one of them is available
8:50
when you put your card in whether that means
8:52
there's a surplus and you
8:55
move back far enough to guarantee you
8:57
still get one of them or scarcity
8:59
where they're all gone that would be the
9:01
trade-down scenarios but if there's one
9:03
left I turn in the car with
9:06
that name on it I feel really good about it I
9:08
feel really good about a immediate
9:11
contributor and impact starter for your
9:13
football team so we're
9:15
gonna get into who is on the list
9:18
next you're on this episode of locked on
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So I've kind
10:54
of teased this list for
10:56
a few weeks now. So let's, we'll, we'll give
10:58
you the names here before the 10 minute Mark.
11:00
Hopefully make everybody happy. We've
11:02
acknowledged Caleb Williams quarterback, um,
11:05
is on the list as far as
11:07
just graded prospects. I
11:10
have three wide receivers on the list. Marvin
11:12
Harrison jr Malik
11:14
neighbors and Roma dunes. A you've
11:16
consumed any mock drafts. You know, those guys
11:18
are consensus top 10 picks, but they're the
11:20
players that if they were on the
11:23
board for 21, you don't trade away from those players. Uh,
11:26
offensive lineman of two
11:28
offensive tackles. I would not trade out
11:30
of if they were available regardless of
11:32
where they are projected to be drafted.
11:34
One is Joe Walt. I
11:36
was considered and projected to be the top
11:38
offensive tackle. The other is Troy Faton from
11:41
Washington, uh, university of Washington,
11:43
uh, state or Washington
11:45
Huskies. He is my second ranked
11:47
offensive tackle in this class, uh,
11:50
ranked higher than names like Olufushanu from Penn
11:52
state and JC Latham from university of Alabama.
11:55
I think Fatanu the explosiveness
11:57
off the line, the
12:00
Aggressiveness in which he plays his style
12:02
of pass protection I think
12:04
that all projects more favorably to
12:06
the scheme that the Dolphins want to run
12:08
and what they impress on their offensive linemen
12:11
and Because of that that
12:13
he is my second offensive tackle and the
12:15
one that if he's there I feel
12:17
really apprehensive about moving about now some of
12:19
these other guys like olu fushanu No,
12:22
he didn't make a list, but if he's
12:24
to pick a 21, I mean, he's rated four
12:26
spots out of lists He's a top 20 player
12:28
on my board. Like I get it. I'm totally
12:30
fine with the value But there
12:32
would be a place. There's a player on the list That's
12:36
there instead I would defer to
12:38
and these guys were graded in a different tier
12:40
as far as being fits for the Dolphins in
12:42
their office So it's not saying it has
12:44
to be one of these players But if it's
12:46
one of these players versus somebody that's not one of these players
12:49
I'm probably gonna feel like hey, maybe you could
12:51
have maximize your value a little bit different with
12:54
your in first investment opportunity I
12:59
Have two edge rushers on this list Jared verse
13:01
and lay off to lot to Jared
13:03
verse from Florida State We ought to a
13:05
lot to is from UCLA Lot
13:08
to is the best pass rusher in the class As
13:11
far as best rose as pass rush palette what he's
13:13
able to do to set up wins What
13:16
he's able to do to win inside or outside
13:18
or with speed or with power with finesse or
13:20
with hand usage Just a very
13:22
very diverse a menu in which he can
13:25
attack offensive tackles Whereas
13:27
Jared verse who I do have rated higher than
13:29
lot to Is
13:31
a player who has a little bit more
13:34
speed the power component a little
13:36
bit heavier set of hands He's a little longer.
13:38
I do think he's a
13:40
little bit more short area explosive where a lot
13:42
to is a little bit more fluid,
13:45
I think versus a little
13:47
bit more tight quarters explosive and I
13:50
I really think that
13:52
verse, you know, he's he's not without
13:54
his pass rush palette as well So
13:57
either one of those two pass rushers would get me very excited
14:00
Two defensive tackles, Byron Murphy
14:02
the second from Texas and Johnny Newton from
14:04
Illinois, both of them made the list. Those
14:07
are two players that have
14:09
the potential to be high volume players,
14:12
have the potential to be three down
14:14
impact into your defensive lineman. Different
14:17
strengths, we went over both of them in
14:19
the deep dive on kind of the top
14:21
defensive tackles in the class. Where
14:23
Murphy I think maybe doesn't have
14:25
as wide of a pass rush
14:27
and a hand counter menu
14:29
right now, but he's
14:31
more explosive than Johnny Newton. Newton's
14:34
really refined as a pass rush. I think Newton turns
14:37
the corner better than Byron Murphy does. I
14:39
think Murphy's a little bit better against the run right
14:41
now. So there's pros and cons in both, but either
14:43
one of those two interior defensive linemen, if
14:46
they're on the board at 21 and it's just
14:48
that player, you run that card in and
14:50
I wouldn't think twice about it. There
14:53
isn't a linebacker that made this list, but
14:56
this is the medical exemption. I think this is
14:58
when you get into the medical background for Peyton
15:01
Wilson from NC State. You're
15:05
just gonna have a really hard time finding a
15:07
team that's probably comfortable with drafting him in this
15:09
stratosphere of the draft. And obviously Miami spent
15:11
on Jordan Brooks, they have David Long
15:13
in the final year of his contract.
15:15
They brought in Anthony Walker. So they've
15:18
infused some players into the linebacker room.
15:20
But again, this list is not about
15:22
what do the Dolphins need. It's who are the
15:25
best players in the draft, specifically
15:27
for Miami's offense and defense.
15:31
When you consider the scheme, who are the
15:33
talents that have the
15:35
best potential to be plugged in
15:37
and be a quality
15:39
starter right off the jump. And
15:42
I think that's probably the defining variable
15:45
here. A
15:47
year one quality starter, I feel
15:49
like this list is those players.
15:52
Not to say other players can't or other players
15:54
wouldn't make sense. So you couldn't draft other players.
15:56
I'll keep saying it because I know I'm gonna
15:58
get comments. Why don't you mentioned Brock Bowers
16:00
or Brock Bowers is ranked 14th
16:03
on my list if
16:05
you get him a 21 just from a raw numbers
16:07
perspective you got appropriate value for the pick I just
16:10
got done doing the show yesterday should the Dolphins go
16:12
get Brock Bowers no matter what and
16:14
my stance was if he's there 21 you want to pick him
16:16
great I wouldn't trade up for
16:18
him because he's not on
16:20
this list so I think there's these other players that like
16:22
man if you really want to get the
16:24
most impact with your
16:26
pick I
16:29
think the year one and year one to year
16:31
three projection for Brock Bowers while there's plenty of
16:34
correlation and there's plenty of appeal these
16:36
other players I think offer more so
16:40
these are the players that I'm really dialed
16:42
in on Peyton Wilson is on the list
16:45
just from a film grade perspective but
16:47
he has several ACLs several
16:50
shoulder separations so
16:52
there's just too much medical history for a
16:54
linebacker there so he's
16:56
probably getting it pushed to day two as a result I
16:59
do have a corner as well I
17:02
know I can hear cured already dolphins another corner
17:04
with a top pick with Kendall
17:07
for and and Jalen
17:09
Ramsey acquired in the last two years from
17:11
pro personnel and Cam Smith acquired and Kater
17:13
Kohu is and it's like I get it
17:17
but Quinn y'all Mitchell's a baller man Quinn
17:19
y'all Mitchell from Toledo is
17:22
a 4-3 athlete with six foot
17:25
one 200 pounds 4-3
17:28
speed and
17:30
has showcased himself to
17:32
the highest ability for coverage
17:35
versatility and he plays
17:37
a premium position now that that positional value
17:39
is not impacted in the the
17:43
status of whether or not you made the list
17:45
it's strictly speaking I'd rated you against the scheme
17:47
how did you project with your current talent and
17:49
skill set against the scheme so
17:53
in order in which I graded them as
17:56
far as the talent this is like if you
17:58
were going to stack them one through 10,
18:00
like we're acknowledging
18:02
Caleb Williams exists, but Caleb Williams is going number
18:05
one overall Chicago Bears and Peyton Wilson from a
18:07
medical standpoint is not going to make the list.
18:10
Is it just the disqualifier pre draft process
18:12
is just as much about finding
18:14
a reason to disqualify someone from
18:17
being the investment because of the risk that is
18:19
incurred when you make that selection. And for Peyton
18:21
Wilson in the first round, the risk outweighs the
18:23
reward, even though he's my fourth highest grade of
18:25
player against the dolphin ski. So
18:28
he's not going to make the final cut. And
18:30
we're going to not include Caleb Williams because we're not
18:32
going to waste that time and energy. And I'm sure
18:34
some people would get upset about the conversation about any
18:36
quarterback being a picket 21 anyway, just because like, I
18:38
get it, but dolphins have their
18:40
quarterback. And if you want it to
18:43
be different, I'm sorry, this is their, they're
18:45
committed to this space. And
18:47
I try not to in invite that BS.
18:49
If you want that kind of drama, go, there's plenty of
18:51
other YouTube channels and podcasts out there for you to consume
18:54
to do that. So
18:56
one through 10, right? You
18:58
have a quarterback that's that's a null,
19:00
null and void. And you have a
19:02
linebacker with a medical history that
19:05
is disqualifying from the first
19:07
round in order one through 10 of
19:10
how these players ranked as far as best fit
19:14
for the dolphins, offense, our defensive system
19:16
with their current skill sets. Joe
19:19
Alt is one. I think he's phenomenal
19:22
is a prototype to the nines
19:24
former tight end and moves like
19:29
a tight end still, despite being just a
19:31
mammoth human being. I think
19:33
he's going to be a home run selection for somebody.
19:35
Marvin Harrison Jr is number two. I
19:37
know that's a little bit of an upset to have somebody over
19:39
Harrison Jr. But
19:42
I do think Alt has
19:44
really, really special talent and his ability
19:46
to be versatile on the line
19:49
of scrimmage. Is trumping the ability to be versatile
19:51
with where you line up and win on the
19:53
perimeter versus when the slot and
19:55
Marvin Harrison Jr run after catch is not one of the
19:57
hallmarks of his game. So that's kind of why the. consensus
20:00
of Marvin Harrison Jr. Is a higher rated player for
20:02
all 32 teams. It's
20:05
probably true if you were to apply for all 32
20:07
teams Harrison Junior would be a higher ranked player, but
20:09
if I'm putting it specifically through the lens of
20:12
who the dolphins are and how they look
20:14
at players I come out with Alton top
20:16
and Harrison Junior to Troy Fotano is three.
20:20
It's important to remember because when we're done going through the one
20:22
through 10, we're going to look at according
20:25
to pro football focuses data
20:30
Where their average draft position is across all
20:32
the mock drafts that are being run and
20:35
then have a conversation of like, okay, who's
20:37
realistically not going to be here and then
20:39
who realistically has a chance to be here
20:42
and where do they rank on this list because
20:44
that's going to determine exactly how excited you get to
20:46
turn in the car. Peyton
20:49
Wilson would be fourth, but this qualified
20:51
for medical background. So fourth is Byron Murphy
20:53
the second the defensive tackle from the Texas
20:55
long-haul fifth is Malik
20:57
neighbors from the LSU Tigers sixth
21:00
is Quinn Yaw Mitchell from the corner from
21:02
the Toledo Rockets Jared
21:04
verse is next. That's
21:06
one two three lost my spot. Seven
21:09
is Jared verse from Florida State the
21:11
edge defender Roma dunes a is eight
21:15
wide receiver from Washington Johnny Newton
21:17
the defensive tackle from
21:19
Illinois is nine and layout to
21:22
lot to edge from UCLA is 10 those
21:26
players in that order would be how
21:28
I would prefer to attack them if
21:31
they were on the board for Miami. Those
21:34
would be the players that if five of them are
21:36
left, I'm not trading down more than four spots to
21:38
guarantee I get one of them. If
21:42
you told me that only one of them was left and
21:44
it was Troy Fotano who's the
21:46
third-ranked player on this list regardless of positional
21:48
value or anything like that. I'd
21:50
stay and pick him if they're all gone then yeah,
21:53
I might look to entertain trade down get into the
21:55
next tier of players where I think there's some
21:57
players that are closely bunched together just missing the
21:59
list. We'll get into
22:01
honorable mentions next as well as the
22:03
probabilities of these players making 21 here
22:06
on lockdown dolphins stick with us Going
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easy to get in get an idea of
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what the sight lines were gonna be for
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24:00
favorite NFL team should be adding
24:02
to its roster, you need to
24:04
check out Locked On NFL Scouting,
24:06
available on YouTube and wherever you
24:08
get your podcasts. Part of the
24:10
Locked On Podcast Network, your team
24:12
every day. So,
24:18
the honorable mentions, I
24:21
have four, four that were like in the
24:24
very tippy top of the next tier. Because the
24:26
way that I do things is I grade
24:28
the players with
24:31
positional weight, or
24:33
with trait weight, I should say. Each
24:36
position has 10 traits that I
24:38
grade them on that are tailored to
24:40
Miami and what Miami does offensively and
24:42
defensively. And it spits out
24:44
a number out of 100, and
24:46
it gives you that as the player's grade, right?
24:50
And depending on what number
24:52
you get, it puts you
24:54
into tiers, buckets, if you
24:56
will. And the top two tiers
24:58
slash buckets are like the tippy top elite of
25:00
elite, like top 10 overall picks. And
25:03
then there's another tier that's like top 20 values. Miami
25:06
picking at 21 is kind of
25:08
in that weird limo where they're just outside the top
25:10
20. So maybe your expectation shouldn't be that you're gonna
25:12
get a top 20 value. But if you're gonna get
25:15
surplus value with the pick, you'd be looking for a
25:17
player that would be valued in a vacuum as a
25:19
top 20 selection. It gives you
25:21
12 total players in this year's class. Evidence
25:26
down on some of the other quarterbacks. They didn't get
25:28
graded in the stratosphere, particularly
25:30
for Miami and their system and what they wanna do. Brock
25:34
Bowers, we talked about him yesterday. A
25:37
little bit more of a Dalton Kincaid type
25:39
offensive weapon as compared to the be all
25:42
end, all tight end prospect, the greatest of
25:44
all time, which I've seen thrown around, which
25:47
just feels crazy to me as well. And
25:49
then some of the other offensive linemen, guys like
25:51
JC Latham and Olufu Shanu, guys
25:55
who have really appealing
25:57
traits, but I don't think they're
25:59
necessarily complete. Profiles for Miami
26:02
where I think about Latham and I'd love
26:04
to have a little bit more dynamic athleticism
26:06
off the ball right and
26:10
For Olu Fushanu. It's just the consistency of
26:12
the balance, you know There's times where he
26:15
overextend himself over top of this frame a
26:17
little bit more where I
26:19
think Alton Fotanu kind of play within themselves
26:21
and trust their athleticism a little bit more
26:23
they're a little bit more refined as far
26:25
as Optimizing their gravitational
26:27
pull and not allowing
26:30
their base to be compromised So
26:33
my honorable mentions Cooper Dijon from Iowa. I graded
26:35
him as a safety in the dolphin system I
26:37
should gray him as both a corner and a
26:39
safety He graded hires a safety. So
26:41
I put him on the list as a safety Brock
26:43
Bowers the tight end from
26:46
Georgia Dallas Turner the edge rusher from University
26:48
of Alabama and Olu
26:50
Fushanu offensive tackle
26:52
from Penn State, that's a grand total of
26:56
16 names minus Peyton Wilson would be 15, right?
26:59
So that's 15 names before you
27:01
get into Potentially
27:04
three other quarterbacks that be 18 names
27:07
and then you get into okay Or any of the
27:10
corners gonna go is Terry and Arnold gonna go in
27:12
the top 20 picks if he does that's 19 Is
27:14
Latham gonna go that'd be 20, right?
27:17
So you see here you start doing the
27:19
math police Fuhlaga who rated hires an interior
27:21
offensive player offensive lineman is compared to an
27:23
offensive tackle for me from Miami scheme specifically
27:27
He starts sitting here doing the math You can
27:29
get that number to a point where the
27:31
expectation should be one of these guys should Be
27:34
here, but realistically speaking when
27:36
you forecast them will they
27:38
be so let's look at the ten
27:40
names that were on the list In
27:43
order starting with Joe all his average draft
27:45
position according to pro football focus is All
27:49
of their mock draft data is seventh overall. That would
27:51
be the Tennessee Titans I think it's safe to say
27:53
he's not going to be there. So
27:56
That's one of those you acknowledge how great of
27:58
a fit he would be for Miami But
28:00
you also acknowledge it's a pipe dream. It's
28:02
probably not gonna happen same goes for Marvin
28:05
Harrison Jr His average drafted position is fourth
28:08
Probably going to be the first water see rough the board
28:10
if not the second water see rough the board probably be
28:12
top six pay So
28:14
the top two players regardless of whether or not
28:16
they're going to be available for Miami or not
28:20
Are probably a top eight picks which makes the
28:23
next two names really interesting?
28:26
Because Troy Fotano ranks 19th That's
28:29
two spots out of striking distance from Miami
28:32
and that's one player going in an unexpected
28:34
spot as a domino effect That
28:36
would put him in Miami's lap and
28:38
Byron Murphy the defensive tackle food from Texas.
28:40
He's 20th so that's the
28:42
third and fourth highest ranked players from
28:45
all the players in the class and Their
28:49
average drafted position in all mock drafts is
28:52
19th and 20th and Miami picks 21st That's
28:56
not it's knocking right on the door.
28:58
All you need is one Pivot
29:01
somewhere and you're gonna have
29:04
an outstanding value opportunity with that pick at
29:06
21 Malik neighbors His average
29:08
drafted position is sixth in mock drafts.
29:10
So he is Also
29:12
a pipe dream to be completely honest
29:15
quinon Mitchell from Toledo I know
29:17
dolphins fans are probably plenty that would be upset
29:19
with a corner He could rest fairly easy if
29:21
that's the case his average drafted position
29:23
and all of the mock draft data is 15th
29:27
so he's projected to be a top 15 pick that
29:29
would put him kind of comfortably outside of Miami's
29:32
stratosphere Jared verse, however sits
29:35
17th on the
29:37
list verse What
29:41
he's the second ranked edge defender
29:43
behind Dallas Turner predictably I like
29:45
verse better for Miami than then
29:47
Turner anyway 17th
29:52
right now is Jacksonville. They're a team
29:54
that could go edge.
29:56
They could go corner.
29:58
They could trade out they like a team
30:00
that's kind of teasing the opportunity to trade out
30:03
so that's an interesting spot to watch. Roma
30:06
Dunsey who's next on this
30:08
list, he's eight and his
30:11
average drafted position is eight. That's
30:14
either Atlanta at eight, Chicago
30:16
at nine, Jets at ten
30:18
is kind of the consensus strike
30:21
zone for Dunsey so that is another
30:23
those top three wide receivers just forget
30:25
about it for Miami. But
30:28
the last two names Johnny Newton and Leatu
30:30
Latu. Newton's 23rd and
30:33
Latu is 18th. So
30:38
what you end up having is
30:42
one player for sure based off of the
30:45
mocked aggregated mock draft data all of the picks
30:48
that are made for all of the mock drafts
30:50
on the simulator and it's not the be all
30:52
end all I understand that but
30:55
it is helpful information to process
30:57
the forecast of the players and
31:01
consensus boards generally consensus
31:03
mocks for these simulators usually
31:05
perform at about the same
31:08
rate of success as your average
31:10
mock draft that's put out by an analyst the
31:12
week of the draft. I
31:15
would know I've been a part of doing it for like
31:17
four years running with draft network before
31:19
I left there last spring. See
31:25
if a Tano 19, Latu
31:28
18 verse 17, Byron
31:31
Murphy 20, Johnny Newton 23. That's
31:35
kind of five names that
31:38
I kind of have soft circle
31:40
this realistic expectations that maybe make
31:42
it and if they
31:44
do then
31:47
you ask yourself the question how
31:49
many are left zero
31:53
see if I can find a trade partner
31:55
that's going to give me surplus value to move out
31:58
and then I'll go into the next tier and Pick whenever
32:00
I want to pick Ones left
32:02
you got to stay and pick that player. I think it's
32:04
too good of an opportunity to pass up Oh,
32:07
there's three of them are left. Does
32:09
Minnesota want to flip-flop? Does Minnesota
32:11
want to come up from 23 or is is Minnesota
32:15
trading up with Arizona and does
32:18
Arizona want to come up and and jump Philly
32:20
for a corner And
32:22
then we can pick it 23 we picked two
32:24
spots later if there's three left and they both
32:26
go worst-case scenario We're still guaranteed and maybe we
32:28
pick up a fourth rumpet like that's kind of
32:30
the school of thought here From
32:32
letting the board come to you and finding the value as
32:35
you go But
32:37
those ten names I think five of them you have
32:39
a modest chance to a realistic chance of seeing on
32:41
the board Are the ones that
32:43
if they're there? I'm
32:45
not trading away from the chance to pick one of them And
32:49
I'd be happy with any of Joe Walt Marvin
32:51
Harrison Troy Fittano Byron Murphy Malik neighbors Quinn
32:53
yah Mitchell Jared verse Roma Doin say Johnny
32:55
Newton lay out to lot See
32:59
what happens We're
33:02
gonna continue doing some deep dive prospects We're gonna
33:04
have some guests coming up this next week or
33:06
so here on the show Get you
33:08
fully ready for the 2024 NFL Draft. I'm Kyle
33:10
crabs That is gonna do it for today's episode
33:12
of the show you can find us on YouTube
33:14
or wherever you listen to your favorite podcast Make
33:17
it a great rest of your day. I'm out of your
33:19
fins up You If
33:25
you're looking for the most comprehensive NFL
33:27
draft coverage this offseason Look
33:29
no further than the lock
33:31
on NFL scouting podcast Join
33:34
the draft dude Kyle crabs and Joe
33:36
Marino as they go position by
33:38
position through the NFL free agent
33:40
class And into the start setting
33:42
from college stars For
33:46
NFL draft if you
33:48
want to know who your favorite NFL
33:50
team should be adding to its roster
33:52
You need to check out locked on
33:54
NFL scouting available on YouTube and wherever
33:56
you get your podcast part of the
33:58
locked on TAS Network. You'll
34:01
dream every day.
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