Episode Transcript
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0:00
Neil and I have an agency owners group called
0:02
the Agency Owners Association. All
0:04
you have to do just go to marketing school dot io
0:06
slash Agency. Once again, it's marketing school
0:08
dot ioslash Agency to learn
0:11
more.
0:11
And now back to the show.
0:13
It's funny you have a topic here on
0:15
Express. You know the funny story I used. I applied
0:17
for a job at Express, and then in college,
0:20
my friends all had edibles the night before and
0:22
then so basically I didn't make
0:24
it to my job interview. And then when you have edibles,
0:27
you're like lagging, and so I was lagging for
0:29
like twenty four hours. I was trying to drive
0:31
an interview, but I didn't make it. But go on with the
0:33
story. What do you mean by edibles? Like edible
0:36
like weat brownies, I didn't
0:38
want to eat it and dead, like you know, first time eating
0:40
it, and then like my world you
0:42
never had edibles? Right? No, Okay, have
0:44
you played like first person shooters where you're like lagging
0:46
and like you know, the bullets aren't like you
0:49
know, your weapon's not firing, and then like everything's slow.
0:51
I've played Monopoly, Oh my god. All
0:53
right, anyway, the point is when
0:55
your world is like there's like a
0:58
five millisecond lag time to everything.
1:01
It's annoying. So when you smoke weed, there's
1:03
a five second mill lag
1:05
and if you like, if you do too much
1:07
and you like have a bad trip or whatever, that's what
1:10
happens. See, this is why I don't do drugs or alcohol.
1:12
It makes my peace here. First of all, we were
1:14
like twenty years old. And I
1:16
don't like weed, by the way, But anyway, go on with the
1:18
express story. You know, it's funny. I haven't seen you
1:20
do. I
1:23
don't do a wead or even drink alcohol.
1:25
I don't like you don't drink alcohol either. Yeah, I
1:27
stopped a long ng.
1:28
Why let's tell everyone the reason. What's
1:31
good?
1:31
The real reason, Yeah, the real reason.
1:34
I'm allergic of me too. Yeah,
1:36
but like I had really bad reactions after
1:38
COVID, after COVID, Yeah,
1:41
after code, not getting COVID. But something
1:43
happened during the time of COVID where I
1:45
never drank. Even before that, I would
1:47
drink, but not really drink. It would be like more
1:50
like i'ld get one drink in a business meeting
1:52
and I would sit on the whole drink over three hours,
1:54
and I may finish it.
1:55
It's not enjoyable.
1:56
Yeah. So I was never getting drunk anyways. Yeah,
1:58
but the problem that I ended having is during COVID,
2:01
never cared for alcohol. Stop
2:03
drinking it when you're in lockdowns year plus and
2:05
a home I think it was a year plus. I don't know how long the
2:07
COVID lockdowns were, but it was longly in two years,
2:09
yeah, and then all of a sudden
2:12
things started opening up. Drink
2:14
my first ship at alcohol like a year and a half or two years
2:16
later, and one
2:18
little, tiny, teeny sip like you
2:20
wouldn't even notice a glass going down much
2:23
within five minutes, I had a headache like it was
2:25
a hangover. And then I
2:27
just didn't drink anymore. I got a headache. Tried
2:29
a few more times, doesn't matter what kind of alcohol
2:31
I drank, I just had a massive headache. So
2:34
then I'm like, all right, cool, don't need to drink this
2:36
anymore. I'm good. I'm done with it exactly.
2:38
It's for me.
2:39
I turn red when I drink it, right, So that automatically
2:41
means you're allergic, and that's not good
2:44
because if you turn red from
2:46
it, I mean they can cause cancer later, like everything causes
2:48
cancer, right, But that's
2:50
what it is. But anyway, talk about this Express story. Yeah,
2:53
so Express file chapter eleven bankruptcy.
2:56
Investor group called w HP
2:59
Global is going to acquire most of assets
3:01
I'm assuming including the brand name and stuff like that
3:04
they also own. I didn't know this Bonabos
3:06
Up West and a few others. No, it's like, uh,
3:10
ninety five Express stores and all
3:12
up West stores will close. So they're closing
3:14
quite a bit of stores. And I
3:16
forgot what the what
3:19
these guys paid for it. I think I really
3:21
like something like thirty million.
3:22
Bucks or something nothing.
3:24
But yeah, dude,
3:26
last Spring Expressed acquired Bonnabos operating
3:29
assets and really liabilities for twenty five
3:31
million dollars from wat Bonobos used
3:33
to be like I used to buy stuff from there and it was
3:35
popular. Didn't work out for
3:38
Walmart, and I'm guessing it didn't work out for
3:40
Express either, But dude, these guys,
3:42
no joke, paid pennies on the
3:44
dollar. Look at this Express
3:47
bank.
3:47
Weren't they public before?
3:52
Let's see? Uh oh, they got a commitment
3:54
of thirty five million dollars, So that's
3:56
what it costs to buy that massive
3:59
brand. I would take more than thirty five
4:01
million dollars to build up those brands from scratch.
4:04
Just mismanagement of the business. Yep, we're
4:07
seeing a lot of that. Yeah, you're seeing
4:09
a lot of that. I'm seeing a lot of it. It's the best time
4:11
to buy. But you know what's crazy, dude, We're
4:13
getting people coming to us being like, Neil,
4:16
we're doing five million in revenue one in
4:18
profit. We want to sell
4:20
to you for ten to twenty million dollars.
4:23
I'm like, who's going to give you ten to
4:25
twenty million dollars? So walk us through
4:27
how they react when you when you say that,
4:30
So I first don't actually say it.
4:32
So usually typically someone comes to me and says, like, may
4:34
you should check out our business. It's amazing we do X,
4:36
Y and Z that you don't do. Usually, have a
4:38
business making a million in profit, we don't look
4:40
at it or try to buy it. But if someone's doing
4:42
a million in profit and something we don't
4:45
do, and we know do really well with
4:47
our customer base, why wouldn't
4:49
we look at it, especially if they're doing amazing job. So
4:52
before we even get into valuation, we ask them questions,
4:55
you know, questions like what
4:57
are you looking for from the business financially,
4:59
are you looking to stay on We're not talking about
5:01
what valuation we would pay. We're also asking
5:03
questions like how long have you been in business,
5:05
how do you generate your leads? Do you have you
5:07
have a built out management team? Are you the CEO
5:10
running it? Are you looking to stay on board? What's
5:12
your client concentration, what's your
5:14
churn rate? And you want them to stay We
5:17
want them to say we tend not to do deals where founders don't.
5:19
That's a key lesson for everyone. Agencies
5:21
are so driven by the founder and they add so
5:24
much you can't have them. They're like a star
5:26
player there. Yes, yeah, you would hope
5:28
that they're a star player. If not, you shouldn't buy that agency.
5:31
So then when we're looking looking at all these deals,
5:33
like one of these deals, they're like, all right, so
5:36
you have two clients that make up a bit more than forty
5:38
percent of your revenue. Oh, you
5:40
said your revenue is recurring. They said
5:42
no, we didn't say our revenue is recurring. We said, mrr
5:45
no. They said it's reoccurring, which
5:47
means it's happening often. That was a misunderstanding
5:50
on my end when I heard them on the phone. Yeah,
5:53
all right, that's fine. Reoccurring,
5:56
Like the same clients pay you how often? Well,
5:58
this one company has paid us three times over
6:00
the last seven years. That's not that
6:02
reoccurring. How long do your projects last with them?
6:04
Two to three months? And I'm like, oh, that's not that helpful,
6:07
so you can't predict that the next year. What are you looking
6:09
for? We're really unique. We've been
6:11
around for more than twenty years. What are you looking for?
6:14
Oh, we want at least ten to
6:16
twelve million dollars. That is very unique. Yeah,
6:18
And I was like, uh, no, one's going to give
6:20
you that. Your slow growing business has been around for
6:22
twenty plus years. Oh and by
6:24
the way, you have high churn, you don't have a built out management
6:27
team. And your profit
6:30
of Marecurtacy of a million dollars isn't
6:32
really a million dollars. You showed in your books two
6:34
hundred and something thousand dollars. Oh well, I'm running
6:36
a lot of my personal expenses through the business.
6:39
So you're running around eight hundred thousand dollars in
6:41
personal expenses after you take out your
6:43
rent and car. How
6:45
are you running all these expenses you can't even have this
6:47
person on your team because they have such high expectations.
6:50
For her two high expectations, it won't work
6:52
out. There was another lady I met amazing
6:55
company. I wanted to buy it, and
6:58
my team hit her up. She's like, we're not ready
7:00
to sell it road to numbers. Okay, I don't
7:02
know the numbers yet, but I would buy the company.
7:05
They're really good at data and analytics.
7:07
So then I have my corpordav
7:10
guy hit her up, and then I see her
7:12
in Canada and then I was like, hey,
7:14
what's up. I'm like, you should talk
7:16
to Alex. And then she's like, who's
7:18
Alex. I'm like, oh, we bought Alex's company. She'll
7:21
make more on the earnout than
7:23
she would have done just from running the company on her own
7:25
because of all our customer base and up selling and
7:27
cross selling, et cetera. And we have data
7:29
and analytics, but there's this they're way more
7:31
built out because that's all they do. And
7:34
then she's just like, Neil, did
7:36
you guys not get the hint? I don't
7:38
care for money. I don't want to sell to you. I
7:41
was like why not. She's like, we can just work
7:43
together without you selling, I can still build
7:45
it. I don't want I don't care for
7:47
the money. And she's like, my team
7:50
we get I think she said two months
7:52
off every single year something like
7:54
that. I'm like, well, technically we have unlimited
7:56
PTO and she's like,
7:59
she's like, I'm interested in selling unless you give
8:01
me twenty million dollars cash and you let
8:03
all our team members have like two months off. And
8:05
the first thing that scratched my head was, I'm like, I thought,
8:08
you just said you don't care for the money.
8:09
But I don't care for the money.
8:10
But I care for the money. Yeah, I don't care for the money,
8:12
but you need to give me twenty million dollars two
8:15
months. It's very different than unlimited PTO.
8:17
That's because that's two months guaranteed versus
8:19
unlimited if they take two months, probably
8:21
in trouble. You
8:24
and I are thinking very similar on this, right.
8:26
I don't think unlimited PTO is like two
8:28
months. And a lot of
8:30
the people in our companies they just work remotely
8:33
and they get their work done and we're really flexible
8:35
with them. But you know, I was just like,
8:37
but you just said you don't care for the money, and on our
8:39
earlier calls when my team originally talked to you,
8:41
does like, oh, I can build it a little bit more, make a bit
8:43
more money before I sell it. And
8:46
you know what she doesn't realize
8:48
is talented entrepreneur, great
8:51
at the product, struggles with closing
8:53
tons of revenue based on what we can just estimate
8:55
from headcount and logos and stuff like that. A
8:58
dangerous thing in businessiness is
9:01
believing and I had more conversation with
9:03
it, but believing that you
9:05
know everything and you can just get whatever you want done,
9:07
and you can do everything on your own, and
9:10
you're doing an amazing job. There's always
9:12
two sides to his story. And I'll give you a great example
9:14
of this. There's agencies we know and mutual friends
9:16
that we know that's sold for crazy high
9:19
multiples like eighteen nineteen x And
9:21
some of the buyers of these companies paid half
9:23
a billion dollars, and then they bought on
9:26
another two three hundred million dollars worth of businesses
9:28
and combined them made them bigger and bigger,
9:30
and then some of these guys now do seventy eighty million
9:32
a year in profit, not revenue
9:35
profit. That's a lot of money. But
9:38
their growth has fined out and they're not growing anymore,
9:41
and some of them are shrinking a little bit. And
9:43
I can say, wow, these guys are idiots. They don't
9:45
know how to run it. Dude. They're
9:47
doing seventy eighty ninety million dollars a year
9:49
in profit. They did something right and they know something
9:52
instead of looking at something like, oh, I know
9:54
everything that I'm doing. Well, what
9:56
can I learn from them that's made them successful
9:59
and grow this fast even though they're flat now?
10:01
But what did they do to get that growth that I
10:03
have not been doing? And when you start
10:05
thinking like that, you'll get more
10:07
growth. There's something to learn from everyone, exactly.
10:11
And you and I have always had that belief. We don't even
10:13
from fools, Yes, even
10:15
from a flight attendant, even from a taxi
10:17
driver. Someone's can always pleas no,
10:20
no, no, no, I don't I'm not saying flight attendants
10:22
are fools, but I'm saying they don't even have to be in
10:24
your profession, and you can learn something from
10:26
them. Like people look down on taxi
10:28
drivers, what's wrong with it? It's an honest day's living,
10:31
and they hear so much stuff in
10:33
the car they pick up a lot of stuff
10:35
and they can actually teach you a lot about life. You want a
10:37
good interview question, Well, I stole this from Jamath
10:40
folly Helftia. We started trying it right, and
10:43
so here's an interview question. So, Neil,
10:45
what's something you're an expert at? So it could be like playing the
10:47
French horn or a poker, but
10:50
not business related, correct anything?
10:52
Okay, I believe I'm an expert at marketing.
10:54
Okay, tell me how
10:57
do you become an expert in marketing?
11:00
You become an expert in marketing by doing it
11:02
for a long long time and having
11:04
hours of trial and error, failing tons
11:07
of time, and figuring out how to fix all the problems
11:09
that you created by doing things the wrong way. That's the best
11:11
answer I got this week, right. So, so
11:15
because now I have a lot of threads, I can go that. Oh,
11:17
tell me about the experiments you failed and tell me about these
11:19
things. Right. There's a logical progression
11:22
in terms of how you're communicating this, and
11:24
that shows you can communicate clearly and you're
11:26
giving me a lot of threads to pull on to continue the conversation.
11:29
I tried this yesterday on someone
11:31
right, they made it to me. We
11:33
hadn't we hadn't deployed this question yet, and
11:35
so usually, like when they get to me, I just tried to brainstorm
11:38
with them. I just want to see how they think on their feet. So
11:40
they got to me and then I was like, oh, so tell
11:42
me what you're you're good at. I'm really good at English.
11:44
I was like, oh, interesting, so you're you're
11:46
a good writer. So yeah, I'm a great writer. So how do you
11:48
become a great writer? It's like, well, you know,
11:50
I went to college for journalism
11:53
and English. And the answer
11:55
stopped and I was like, so, like,
11:57
how do you become a great writers? Like? Well, like I said,
12:00
I went to college for journalism and English,
12:03
and I learned ap like this that
12:05
the MLA formats and all this shit.
12:07
And then I was like fuck.
12:10
And so at that point I was just like I got to end the interview.
12:13
But this is a chamath bus. He's like, this question
12:16
shows how people think critically. So now
12:18
we have that question in the very first part of the HR.
12:20
And when they get to me, now I'll just ask the questions about
12:22
marketing, like hey, like show me what you do with the website
12:25
or like stuff like that, Yeah,
12:27
we had a gentleman who worked with us
12:31
for a long time. His name was David Shapiro. He
12:33
eventually went client side and worked Dave
12:36
David Shapiro, and you
12:39
know, he gave me a call before he left and we talked,
12:41
and I always told him like, hey, appreciate everything you've
12:43
done for us. If you know, you ever
12:45
need anything from me for that company or anything. I'm
12:47
not talking about like income wise, but like just need any
12:49
free help him me up. And he's
12:52
like, do you remember my first interview with you? And
12:54
I was like, yeah, I remember
12:57
it. And he's worked with us for a very long
12:59
time, and back when he started
13:02
links are they're still important, but they were much
13:04
more important in the algorithm, and it was the leading
13:06
factor that everyone was saying that,
13:09
you know, improves rankings. So
13:12
he's just like, yeah, I gave him a really random
13:14
example. My interview question with him is you
13:16
know, and keep in mind other people in the team already
13:18
interviewed him at this point. My interview
13:21
example was like, you got this website,
13:23
you're in the life insurance space, you're
13:25
ranking on page two, You're
13:27
at the top of page two. You've already done everything
13:30
for optimizing click raids, code,
13:32
et cetera. The thing you lack is links. No
13:34
one wants to link out to life insurance. You can't buy
13:36
it. You can't break Google's policies in terms
13:38
of service. How would you go about building
13:40
links for this site? And he
13:43
answered it on the spot and it was a really good answer. And
13:45
then I was like, cool, you're hired. That was it.
13:47
Did you okay that question? Did you ask
13:49
it consistently or did you come up
13:51
with it on the spot? No? I came up with it on the spot.
13:54
Okay, So what I learned, so it's
13:58
over time, it has to be consistent and you
14:00
have like, you know, apples to apples comparison, because
14:02
if we keep changing the question all the time, then how we're going
14:04
to know how to compare. But that's a great question because
14:07
that is very specific and it sounds
14:09
like he gave you a very specific answer. But this
14:11
just goes to show. I don't know if this was with Airbnb or
14:14
maybe another tech company. But once they got to
14:16
the CEO, they're like, it wasn't even interview.
14:18
It's like, hey, let's brainstorm, Okay, here's the problem set
14:20
over here. Blah, blah blah, and if you
14:23
just learn a lot more about the person and
14:25
how they respond to adversity and how they
14:27
how they think, and that's really important if you want to hire
14:30
the best people. Yes, And when I did interview
14:32
other people, I did ask them a similar question.
14:34
It was about link building and how do you build links?
14:37
But it wasn't like Life Insurance. I would just pick a random
14:39
vertical Davis was Life Insurance.
14:41
What I should have done is use the same exact
14:43
example every once. I could have compared
14:46
the apples helps, but already knew
14:48
what was a good answer, because I know how to do it myself.
14:50
And I was like, oh, this guy's spot on. So
14:53
our key takeaway for this one is if
14:55
you're going to try to get the best people.
14:57
Brainstorm with them, dude,
14:59
that's so true.
15:00
You know, if I look at some of the best people
15:02
I hired, By the time I've
15:05
gotten to the candidate, it's more
15:07
so been talking about the problems we're facing
15:09
and discussing how we can solve these problems and
15:11
whether the potential solutions that they think about,
15:13
and not all of their ideas are good and not all of mine
15:16
are good, and some of theirs are bad and some of mine are bad.
15:18
But the people that you can actually work through to try
15:20
to solve problems like on an hour call or
15:22
zoom, those are the leaders that I tend
15:25
to end up hiring. Yep. And by
15:27
the way, if you're at the end, the good thing
15:29
about Meal is he's not afraid to have tough conversations.
15:31
Sometimes I've gotten better at it, but I tend
15:33
to you know, normal human beings. I'm
15:35
not saying you're not normal, but typical human beings
15:38
tend to shy away from tough conversations. And I
15:40
actually believe that the altitude of
15:42
an organization is really dependent on a number of
15:44
tough conversations you're willing to have, because it's
15:46
like a bunch of problems in an organization right now,
15:49
we've changed it where because at the end, after
15:51
they've been through with so many people, I feel bad, right if
15:53
I say no, I feel bad, you don't have that problem, right.
15:56
But now I'm just a lot earlier in the process,
15:58
and so when they get to me, I just cut it out and then we
16:01
move on a lot faster. Yeah, yeah,
16:03
yeah, And I do think that is the
16:07
you know, correct approach because It's like if you're interviewing
16:09
someone you know it's not the right pit. Like I've
16:11
told people on the interview, like, hey,
16:14
you got some great skills. Love what you're doing. It's
16:17
not what we're looking for. And I don't want to be that
16:19
person who waste your time. But if I
16:21
do run into someone who is looking
16:23
for someone like you is a good pit? Can I pass your resume
16:25
along? Like, I'll ask them that because
16:27
I don't want to send the resume. So what percent of people
16:30
made it to you that you said no or
16:33
you said no? Ten percent?
16:37
Maybe ten to twenty percent max.
16:40
Do you think if you're a little early in the process
16:43
you would have said no more? What
16:46
do you mean? There's a lot of nose before no.
16:49
You're meaning that the people who come to me if I'm
16:51
interviewing, like, there's an eighty ninety percent chance
16:54
we're hiring them.
16:54
Yeah, so they're.
16:55
Already pretty sure, right, they're pretty sure.
16:58
Yeah, But do you think if you were earlier
17:00
in the process you would reject more people of
17:03
these people that I'm approving. No, we
17:05
have a pretty good success rate of the people we hire
17:08
that have worked out.
17:10
What's that success rate.
17:12
If I had to give it for executives,
17:14
I don't know too much about mid level or executives.
17:17
Executives ninety
17:20
plus percent. That's great. So usual
17:23
hires, like, let's just say normal
17:25
hires, you're lucky if you can bat fifty percent or
17:28
five hundred, right. But
17:30
executive hiring there's just a lot more diligence
17:32
that happens as well, and so you better make
17:34
sure you get the right person because it's a huge bet too,
17:37
dude. We meet them in person, we fly to them,
17:39
or they fly to us. We do reference checks,
17:41
we try to see who we know in our network. But
17:43
the other thing that's helped us hire really good executives.
17:46
We tend to hire people who have worked for
17:48
competitors, who have gone promoted multiple times,
17:50
that you know that you know someone found them
17:52
valuable. And we usually hire executives
17:55
that someone on our team has worked with directly
17:57
on the past, that we trust and is producing
18:00
well for us, because then they know what our
18:02
culture is and if that person is going to be a good fit.
18:04
Almost all our executives, literally
18:07
majority of them, have come from referrals.
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on the other side. All right, what's the next topic,
18:42
Eric? The next topic is what
18:44
do you think about? So let me just set the tone
18:47
here. So Mark Zuckerberg has rebranded
18:49
himself basically right with the chain that he's
18:51
got the chain, he's got the mustache. Now he's got
18:53
the lama. Like he's writing a lama. He's
18:55
like out there doing podcast, He's writing a
18:58
lama. Yeah, lama. That's the that's their l that's
19:00
what it's called a lama. Three you know, Like I know that
19:02
a real lama. I think it was generated by AI. Like
19:04
he's like writing like a colorful lam right,
19:07
and so like I just his personal
19:09
brand transformation. He's sharing a lot about features,
19:11
he's he's out there a lot more now he's doing jiu
19:13
jitsu right, And I
19:16
think it's interesting. We should talk we should talk about that. I
19:18
think it's good because people,
19:20
when you think about Elon, love him or hate him. Elon's
19:23
very much the face of space X. He's very much the
19:25
face of Tesla, and he's very much
19:27
the face of X right. Even though there's multiple
19:29
operator CEOs or or people
19:31
people helping with these companies. Now, Zuck
19:34
is out there and I'm all for it. Like
19:36
he's out there walking out there with m MMA
19:39
fighters. He's at the fights, right, He's
19:42
I like it. Okay. So I got to
19:44
read this text from Mark Zackberg to Priscilla Chan.
19:47
He posted this on threads a while ago.
19:51
Mark says to his wife, did you see
19:53
the octagon I put in the backyard. She
19:55
responds with yes, I saw, Mark
19:57
then says it looks awesome. Her
20:00
response Mark. Then
20:03
Mark responds with we have plenty of yard space
20:05
exclamation mark, and then she responds
20:07
with I've been working on that grasp for two
20:10
years. That's
20:12
when it first came out and he was promoting threads,
20:15
right, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. Look
20:17
I think it's I mean, what's your take on.
20:19
I think it's more and more people are going to do
20:21
this because we're moving more into a world
20:23
where brand is the thing that's going to stand the test
20:25
of time because you have all these AI
20:27
agents and all these ai jen ai things being
20:29
created. I like the new
20:31
Mark Zuckerberk. Forget the chain and the
20:33
style and whatever. Okay, first off, his haircut
20:36
is way better. His old haircut look
20:38
like a bull's not the same. Now it's like
20:41
curly, yeah, but his old one was just more like a
20:43
straight line and it was flat, like you
20:45
know, like when I was a kid, they would do a bowl cut, like
20:47
my parents would bull cuts, different bull cuts, like
20:50
you know, like like a mushroom
20:52
almost no, no, but like what my parents
20:55
would take. Because my dad used to cut my hair. He's like,
20:57
I just put a bowl over your head and just cut a line
20:59
and it would be all even. Maybe my dad had
21:01
it wrong, yeah, and you know,
21:03
but either way, I like the new Mark
21:05
Zuckberg. You see his personality. The old
21:07
ones seem more robotic. But I'm not saying he's
21:10
a robot, but it was just really cold.
21:12
The new mark Zuckerberg has like it's
21:15
not personality but warmed to it, which
21:17
like you can more so relate, Like when he posts
21:20
that thing on like threads about his wife
21:22
getting mad, dude, most guys can relate to
21:24
that. A girlfriend getting mad at you, a spouse getting
21:26
mad at you. He's like, we have tons of
21:28
backyard space. And Zuck doesn't just
21:30
own his house, he owns all the neighboring houses
21:32
in the community, so you can pretty much combine all the yards.
21:35
It's not like he's struggling with yard
21:37
space or anything like that, but
21:39
it just shows like it's much more relatable
21:41
and I think, you know, like you're saying with AI,
21:44
that is the future. It really does separate a
21:46
brand. It's why Kylie Cosmetics does well.
21:49
How is Kylie Cosmetics doing, though.
21:51
Not as well as it probably used to do from
21:54
a growth perspective, growth
21:56
has to have died down. But
21:59
the problem I would say with Kylie
22:01
Cosmetics is when
22:03
you think about that brand, you know, Kylie
22:06
Jenner just cranked it out, sold
22:08
it, and you don't see
22:10
the push going towards a brand that like he used
22:12
to you see a ton of kios in the airports.
22:15
It was a flip. It was a flip. I
22:17
believe it too. And what's funny is
22:19
I was at the kios the other day.
22:21
When I was at the airport, I was like, all right, let me order something
22:23
from Kylie Cosmetics for what I was
22:25
at the Las Vegas airport and it
22:28
was dry. I wanted chapstick. Oh okay,
22:30
I could not find chapstick in this thing. It's
22:32
like lipstick. I'm like, is there chapstick in here? I
22:34
don't care if it was pink. I just wanted chapstick because
22:37
it was dry in Vegas and my lips were
22:39
kind of I'm like, give me some chapstick. Couldn't
22:41
find it. So I went into Hudson and I found chapstick.
22:43
There you go. I don't know why you thought you would have gotten
22:46
chopstick from her thing in there. I
22:48
always thought it was like cool marketing to have these
22:50
Kiosks in the in the
22:53
airports. I was like, oh, they probably
22:55
have chapstick. But I was very
22:57
mistaken on what Kylie Cosmetics said
23:00
versus what they have. But they do have makeup
23:02
stuff and lip six stuff.
23:04
I don't know what else, but yeah, you know, all the stuff
23:06
for people that want to look like Kylie. Speaking
23:09
on Zuck, just hanging on him for a second. He did
23:12
a this guy.
23:13
I don't know if you heard of this guy? Uh, how
23:15
do you? This is an Indian name. I think Dwarkesh?
23:18
Is that right? I have no idea did
23:21
You could be right? But I
23:23
wasn't born in India. And uh
23:26
no, but when I asked, you had to pronounced surrob. You
23:28
pronounce it correctly. I haven't heard of that Indian
23:30
name. Excuse me? So
23:32
okay, this person at
23:35
API. So this this was
23:37
taken from Zuck on Dorkash podcast. So t
23:39
ldr Ai Winter is here. Zuck is a realist
23:42
and believes progress will be incremental from here on.
23:44
No agi for you in twenty twenty five. So
23:46
this is again Zuck branding himself. But I like some
23:49
of the takeaways from this podcast. It was really interesting.
23:51
So this guy's like a technical guy interviewing like
23:53
technical CEOs. So number
23:55
one, Zuck is essentially a
23:58
real world growth pessimist. He thinks
24:00
the bottlenecks start appearing soon for energy and they
24:02
will take decades to resolve. AI growth
24:04
will thus be gated on real world constraints.
24:07
That's the first thing. Second thing, Zuck would stop
24:09
open sourcing if the model is the product. Maybe
24:11
the model ends up being more of.
24:13
The product itself.
24:14
I think it's trickier economic calculation than
24:16
whether you want to open source that. And then number three, he
24:19
believes they will be able to move from Nvidio's
24:21
GPUs to customs Silicon soon. So we're
24:23
not tactical here, so we don't want to go too deep. But
24:26
he seems to believe no AGI coming quickly.
24:28
Elon seems to believe AGI is coming quickly. Sam
24:30
Moltan thinks it's going to come.
24:32
I don't know.
24:33
I think sooner
24:35
than twenty twenty nine, because I remember Ray Kurzweil,
24:37
the futurist. He thinks AGI is going to hit by twenty
24:39
twenty nine. So I do think
24:42
AGI is going to hit within ten years
24:44
for sure. I don't know for certain. I'm not as smart
24:46
as these guys. The thing I question
24:48
is how good is AGI? Because
24:51
I look at AI and what SG is producing
24:53
right now, A lot of it is crap. I
24:56
get this early stages, but when
24:58
you have this that comes out within five years
25:01
or nine years. I don't think it's going to
25:03
be perfect from day one, and I think it's going to go
25:05
through a lot of iterations, just like everything else, you
25:07
know. I think one thing we'll both appreciate
25:10
Zuck saying this towards the end of the interview. So I heard the last
25:12
part today. So the question
25:15
was, Hey, Mark, Mark Zuckerberg,
25:17
what would you do if you were to see
25:19
you.
25:19
Of Google Plus? And he's like, I
25:22
don't know.
25:22
I think he starts to think about it, and
25:24
so Mark Zuckerberg is like, you know, the
25:27
most underrated thing with organizations,
25:29
especially when you have a large organization.
25:31
Is the power of focus.
25:33
And the thing with Google Plus was they never
25:35
had a CEO, they never had a head that was running
25:37
it. And you know, early on in
25:39
a company you can focus more, but when you're a lot bigger,
25:41
you have to figure out how to channel the resources. And
25:43
it just goes back to the same thing we've been talking about for years
25:45
and years. It's it's focus. Was
25:48
it recently that he had? This was very recent, like
25:50
last week. It's a good podcast. Google Plus
25:52
hasn't existed, and I don't even know how No, so I think
25:54
he just asked that question for fun because Google Plus was such
25:56
a flame out. Yeah, it was a flame out. Yeah,
25:58
but like you look at YouTube, they have a CEO
26:01
for that and yes, so, and
26:03
YouTube's revenue is massive. Instagram generates
26:05
more ad revenue than YouTube, though, But both YouTube and
26:07
Instagram are bigger than Netflix. Yes,
26:09
yeah, in
26:12
revenue or in viewership
26:14
revenue. I didn't know that.
26:16
No, now you know? Yeah, seriously,
26:20
I'll bet you another air one.
26:22
No, it's okay, Netflix
26:24
stock. Let's see how much revenue they generate. So
26:27
Netflix is generating thirty
26:30
ish billion, thirty three billion a year. Yeah,
26:32
YouTube is bigger than them in revenue. Yep,
26:35
YouTube revenue. So
26:37
while you got thirty one point five in
26:39
twenty twenty three, Netflix
26:42
in twenty twenty three was thirty three, Netflix
26:45
is bigger. Okay, slightly,
26:47
right, I get the air. It's crazy.
26:50
It's crazy that YouTube could
26:52
be what was Instagram's revenue forty
26:54
one? I think it's forty something
26:56
the last time I looked it up. Okay, anyway,
26:59
it's pretty crazy that the social platforms are bigger
27:01
than like a Netflix. By the way,
27:03
going back to Amazon for a second Prime. When
27:05
they were first competing, they realized
27:08
that they because they had to keep they didn't have they didn't
27:10
have distribution, nor did they have content
27:12
back in the day. And then we used to be called Amazon unboxed,
27:15
right, and they had to pay like Sony
27:17
for the distribution rights and all that. This is
27:19
when they realized they're
27:21
offering Sony for these these titles,
27:24
and then all of a sudden the price doubled. It's like, why
27:26
did the price double. It's because Netflix came in and started
27:28
competing, and then everyone realized they had to
27:30
start making their own content to have that piece
27:32
of it, and they had to create their own distribution. So Amazon
27:34
Prime was a distribution to content. So
27:36
sometimes it's like a chicken and egg thing. That's
27:39
why, you know, to digress a little
27:41
bit, Neil and I, we don't really do marketplace
27:43
businesses because when you don't have to fight two sides,
27:45
it's kind of hard not saying that's a marketplace, but
27:47
you get what I mean. So that is it for today. Go
27:49
to marketing school on the iiO Slash Agency to
27:51
learn more about the Agency Owners Association. Please
27:54
don't forget to rate review, subscribe.
27:57
You know, we meet in person. For this, we've got
27:59
Brad from record edit podcast dot
28:01
com and uh yeah, we'll
28:03
catch you in the next episode.
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